Project Objectiv

•Evaluate adaptive manag

literature for guidance on to transition from sciencmanagement actions

•Survey active adaptive 

management programs fcriteria being utilized
Adaptive Manageme

Conservation Project

y Adaptive water fowl harvest manage

Johnson

y Kissimmee River Program; Kent Lofy Columbia River Programs; David My Cal-Fed Program; Michael Henleyy Bridge River Restoration Program; y Trinity River Restoration Program; y Klamath Basin Restoration Program

Brown/Phil Dietrich

y Platte River Program; Chad Smith
Adaptive Manageme

Conservation Projects (

y San Juan River Recovery Implementation Pry Northwest Forest Plan; Oregon, Washy Jornada Experimental Range; NMy East Cascades Greater Forest Ecosystemy South Florida Restoration Task Forcey Upper Colorado River Recovery Implementy Chesapeake Bay Programy Lower Colorado Multispecies Conservation 
` Nov. 2009 obtain input f

GCMRC and TWG on proprospectus

` January 2010, report pro

TWG meeting

` February 2010, report p

at AMWG meeting

` February 2010, submit f

report to TWG/AMWG/G
Literature Review

y AM is relatively new approach in manag

{ Development of approaches in 1970s t{ Applications ; 1980s to current

y Utilizes concepts from several science a

{ Management science{ Probability theory{ Risk and uncertainty{ Decision theory{ Conservation biology{ Ecosystem science
Literature Review (co

y Impetus for AM Development

{Need to address natural resour

management under significant 

{Need to incorporate broad stak

group input

{Need to conduct policy experim

management actions
Literature Review (co

y Principals of AM Application

{ AM approach must be understood, transparent 

stakeholders engaged

{ AM goals, objectives, dfcs, processes etc. must b

embraced 

{ Management alternatives, management actions 

impacts must be documented

{ Management decisions and iterative assessmen

action cycles should respond to system behavior

{ Critical tools of decision theory under uncertain

employed

{ Assessment of AM effectiveness and improved a

be adopted
Literature Review (con

y Adjusting management actions 

learning improves resources, dand knowledge

y Monitoring /science evaluates 

management effectiveness to atobjectives

y AM programs must adopt revis

approaches to remain effective
 AM accepts the reality that we cannot resolv

many natural resource programs

 AM is

a management model adapted to issu

high uncertainty where traditional science p

limited effectiveness

 Complex multi

‐objective large scale natur

issues with high variability and uncertaint

 Smaller scale experiments to establish proo

have limited system effectiveness

 AM approach is “learning by doing” i.e. impl

management actions; monitor results; revis

actions

 AM must make greater use of risk analysis, p

theory, Bayesian statistics, tradeoff analysis

accommodate uncertainty in decisions
GCDAMP Issue of Science Transition May 

GCDAMP Design, Objectives and Operatin

y Design of GCDAMP post EIS emphasize

science program to develop baseline inf

LTEP basis, etc

y GCDAMP program structure, strategic s

budget, etc. reinforced science focus

y Implementation of first decade GCDAM

strongly on learning

y Greater emphasis toward management a

2004‐2009 period
` Increasing Management Actions

◦ Translocation LCR; translocation other trib

LSFs; Non-native fish control mainstem; nocontrol tributaries; cultural value impact m

` Increasing Compliance:

◦ Native American properties/cultural resour

fish control; native fish translocation; HFE; protocols; native fish population assessmeprotection; recovery program

` Increasing Science:

◦ Physical resource program, cultural resour

native fish program; food base program; nprogram; riparian ecology program; modeldata management program; socio-econom
• Review and Proposals

2005 SA ReviewRoles ReportGCMRC Strategic and Annual PlanTWG RecommendationsSPG Report

• Recommendations

GCDAMP direct TWG to form manage

group to develop programmatic direfor developing management actions
POTENTIAL AMWG CONSIDERAT

TO ADDRESS MANAGEMENT ACT

 Clarify Management Needs 

• Goals, DFCs, Objectives• Management Information Needs• Strategic Management Questions

 Review and Revise AM Structure and Procedures

• Roles and Responsibilities• Protocols and Procedures

 Review and Revise AM Model

• Risk Averse Model

• Science/Management Actions

• Risk Acceptance Model 

• Management Actions/Monitoring

 Incorporate Greater Uncertainty Analysis 

• Risk Analysis • Probability Assessments• Bayesian Statistics• Decision Theory• Tradeoff Analysis