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        -  HomeAbout FCSMResourcesEvents and ProceedingsGroups OverviewSearch small2009 Research Conference-  FCSM Research and Policy Conferences 
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2009 Research Conference
**FINAL PROGRAM**

**Resources and Proceedings**

Unless noted, all of these documents are in Portable Document Format [PDF]. To view them you will need the Adobe® Acrobat® Reader which is available for free from the Adobe Web site.

PLENARY - **What We Don’t Know Could Hurt Us:Some Reflections on the Measurement of Economic Activity**SESSION - Katharine G. Abraham (University of Maryland)

MONDAY AM
CONCURRENT SESSION II-A  REDESIGNING THE NATIONAL CRIME VICTIMIZATION SURVEY  
Assessing Sample Design Options for the National Crime Victimization Survey

Robert Fay and Jianzhu Li (Westat, USA)

Analysis of Possible Nonresponse Bias in the National Crime Victimization Survey

Fritz Scheuren and Zhiwei Zhang (NORC at the University of Chicago, USA)

Examination of Data Collection Methods for the National Crime Victimization Survey

Lisa Carley-Baxter, Emilia Peytcheva, Vince Iannacchione, and Rachel Caspar (RTI International, USA)

Experimenting with Speech Interactive Voice Response, Touchtone Data Entry and the Web for the National Crime Victimization Survey

David Cantor and Pat Dean Brick (Westat, USA), Roger Tourangeau (University of Maryland, USA), and Frederick Conrad (University of Michigan, USA)

Evaluation of a 12-Month Reference Period in the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS)

Lisa Lee and James Carr (NORC at the University of Chicago, USA)
CONCURRENT SESSION II-B  ECONOMIC INDICATORS  
Modeling Corporate Failure: A PLS Logistic Regression

Ben Jabeur Sami (University of Toulon-Var, France) and Aroua Rachid (University of Nice Sophia Antipolis, France)

Music as a Capital Asset

Rachel Soloveichik (Bureau of Economic Analysis, USA)

The Transportation Services Index: Its Methodology and Relationship to the Business Cycle

Kenneth Notis and Peg Young (U.S. Department of Transportation)

Reliability of Price Indices to Age Expenditure Data Used in Government Measures

Sharon O’Donnell (U.S. Census Bureau) and Stuart McDonald (University of Queensland, Australia)
CONCURRENT SESSION II-C  BAYESIAN METHODS  
Record Linkage Modeling in Federal Statistical Databases

Michael Larsen (George Washington University, USA)

Generalized Maximum Likelihood Method in Linear Mixed Models with an Application in Small-Area Estimation

Partha Lahiri (University of Maryland, USA) and Huilin Li (National Institutes of Health, USA)

Spatial-Temporal Assimilation of Fine Fraction Particulate Matter

Ana Rappold (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency) and Marco Ferreira (University of Missouri, USA)

The Spatio-Temporal Determinants of Charter School Site Selection in New York City

Charisse Gulosino (Brown University, USA)

 MONDAY PM
CONCURRENT SESSION III-A  ISSUES IN DATA CONFIDENTIALITY AND DISCLOSURE RISK  
Incorporating Quality Measures in Tabular Data Protected by Perturbation Methods  

Ramesh Dandekar (Energy Information Administration, USA)

Protecting Numerical Confidential Data Using Data Shuffling: A Demonstration of Effectiveness of Approach and Flexibility of Delivery

Rathindra Sarathy (Oklahoma State University, USA) and Krish Muralidhar (University of Kentucky, USA)

Vulnerability of Complementary Cell Suppression to Intruder Attack

Lawrence Cox (National Center for Health Statistics, USA)

Evaluating the Impact of Data Swapping Using Global Utility Measures

Sylvia Dohrmann, Tom Krenzke, and Shep Roey (Westat, USA) and J. Neil Russell (National Center for Education Statistics, USA)
CONCURRENT SESSION III-B  STATISTICAL USES OF ADMINISTRATIVE DATA  
NCHS Linked Survey and Administrative Records: Data Resources for Health Outcomes to Health Policy

Kimberly Lochner (National Center for Health Statistics, USA)

An Evaluation of Data from the NCES Teachers Compensation Survey: The Relationship Between Teacher Compensation and Students in Poverty

Stephen Cornman and Frank Johnson (U.S. Department of Education), Steven Honegger and Amber Noel (American Institutes for Research, USA), and Lei Zhou (Macrosys Research, USA)

Using Administrative Data in the 2007 Census of Agriculture Edit

Virginia Harris, Jeffrey Beranek and Dan Beckler (National Agricultural Statistics Service, USA)
CONCURRENT SESSION III-C  EVALUATING AND IMPROVING SAMPLE COVERAGE AND DATA COLLECTION PROCEDURES  
Census Population Coverage Error: Results and Methods

Colleen Clark (Statistics Canada)

Assessment of Potential Bias in Telephone Survey Estimates Due to Noncontact and Noncoverage Where Respondents Primarily Use Wireless Telephones or Do Not Have Landline Telephones

Meena Khare and Abera Wouhib (National Center for Health Statistics, USA)

Developing a Common Mode-Independent Approach for Evaluating Interview Quality and Interviewer Performance

Howard Speizer, Susan Kinsey, Richard Heman-Ackah and M. Rita Thissen (RTI International, USA)

The Influence of State-Specific, Programmatic Characteristics in the Modeling of Medicaid Undercount: A Record-Check Study of the 2001 Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplement (CPS ASEC)

Matthew Stevens (U.S. Census Bureau)

 TUESDAY AM
CONCURRENT SESSION IV-A  MODELING OF DATA  
Project for the Evaluation of the Economic and Safety Situation of the Street Transportation Using a Cost-Effective Methodology: The Case of Cameroon

Ramses Zang, Sebastien Djienouassi, and Annie Laurence Mapondjou (Centre for Studies and Research on International Development (CERDI), France)

More Efficient Local Polynomial Regression on Random-Effects Panel Data Models

Ke Yang (University of Hartford, USA)

Assessing Immigrant Naturalization: Longitudinal Research Findings and Challenges

Karen Woodrow-Lafield (University of Maryland)

First-Line Supervisors: An Analysis of Job Satisfaction and Job Proficiency

Kelly Maguire and Charles Griffiths (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency)
CONCURRENT SESSION IV-B  DEFINING THE GREEN ECONOMY; AND ISSUES IN U.S. OCCUPATIONAL CLASSIFICATION SYSTEMS  
Occupational Classification Systems: Analyzing the 2010 SOC Revision

Alissa Emmel, Theresa Cosca, and Anne Louise Marshall (Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA)

Defining the Green Economy

Richard Clayton and George Stamas (Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA)

Updated Unified Category System for 1960-2000 Census Occupations

Peter Meyer (Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA)
CONCURRENT SESSION IV-C  IMPROVING COVERAGE AND RESPONSE RATES  
SIPP 2008 Incentive Analysis

Stephen Clark and Stephen Mack (U.S. Census Bureau)

Adaptive Contact Strategies in a Telephone Survey

James Wagner (University of Michigan, USA)

Characteristics of Parent Respondents in the National Household Education Surveys 

Cameron McPhee and Stacy Bielick (American Institutes for Research, USA)

Measuring the Effects of Reminder Postcards in the Occupational Employment Statistics Survey

Carrie Jones (Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA)

**TECHNICAL DEMONSTRATIONS:  DEMONSTRATION OF SOFTWARE TOOLS FOR COLLABORATION, MATCHING, AND ANALYZING QUESTION QUALITY AND PARADATA**

Q-Notes: Development and Use of Analysis Software for Cognitive Interviews to Examine Survey Question Comparability

Kristen Miller, Aaron Maitland, Heather Ridolfo, Stephanie Willson, and Justin Mezetin (National Center for Health Statistics, USA)

A Demonstration of FI Tracker: A Tool for Displaying and Monitoring Survey Interview Paradata

Joe Murphy, Susan Myers, and Barbara Bibb (RTI International, USA)

Statipedia – A Platform for Collaboration Across Statistical Agencies

Peter Meyer and James Buszuwski (Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA)

Demonstration of Census Coverage Measurement Clerical Matching Software

Tamara Adams, Susanne Johnson, Lee Goldberg, and Paul Clemm (U.S. Census Bureau)
CONCURRENT SESSION V-A  SOCIAL SECURITY ADMINISTRATION USES OF ADMINISTRATIVE RECORDS LINKED WITH SURVEY DATA  
Pension Coverage and Pension Types: Using W-2 Tax Records to Correct SIPP Survey Reports

Howard Iams and Irena Dushi (Social Security Administration, USA)

Measurement Error in Estimates of the Participation Rate in Means-Tested Programs: The Case of the U.S. Supplemental Security Income Program for the Elderly

Alexander Strand, Kalman Rupp, and Paul Davies (Social Security Administration, USA)

Using Matched Survey and Administrative Data to Estimate Eligibility for the Medicare Part D Program Low Income Subsidy</a>  

Lynn Karoly, Erik Meijer, and Pierre-Carl Michaud (Rand Corporation, USA)
CONCURRENT SESSION V-B  STATISTICAL WEIGHTING AND EDITING  
Census Data Editing and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance

Michael Levin (Harvard University, USA)

Re-Weighting of CPS Data

Maryan Cammarata (U.S. Census Bureau)

Comparison of Retail Drug Prices Obtained in the MEPS and Commercial Claims Data: Implications for Price Editing Rules and Data Quality

Marc Zodet, Steven Hill, and G. Edward Miller (Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, USA)

Different Approaches for Non-Response Adjustments to Statistical Weights in the Continuous NHANES (2003-2004)

Lisa Mirel, Vicki Burt, Lester Curtin, and Cindy Zhang (National Center for Health Statistics, USA)
CONCURRENT SESSION V-C  IMPROVEMENTS IN SAMPLE DESIGN AND SURVEY ESTIMATION  
An Evaluation of the Use of the American Community Survey as the Sampling Frame for the National Immunization Survey (NIS)

James Singleton and Philip Smith (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, USA) and Andrea Piani and Christopher Stringer (U.S. Census Bureau)

NIS Evaluation Study

Kimball Jonas (U.S. Census Bureau)

Methodological Changes in the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey

John Wohlford (Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA)

Issues Related to Adding Sub-Annual Estimates to the Data Products Available from the American Community Survey

Karen King, Alfredo Navarro, Mark Asiala, B. Dale Garrett, Michael Starsinic, Sirius Fuller, J. Gregory Robinson, Michael Ikeda, Charles Nelson, and Scott Boggess (U.S. Census Bureau)
CONCURRENT SESSION VI-A  UNIQUE METHODS FOR CONSIDERATION REGARDING DATA CONFIDENTIALITY  
The Unique Method for Obtaining Data: Entering Agreements to Share Administrative Records

Stephen Cornman (U.S. Department of Education, USA)

Statistical Disclosure Control of Tabular Format Magnitude Data: Why It Is Not A Good Idea to Use Home Grown (Manual or Automated) Cell Suppression Procedures  

Ramesh Dandekar (Energy Information Administration, USA)

Privacy Violations in Accountability Data Released to the Public by State Educational Agencies  

Krish Muralidhar (University of Kentucky, USA) and Rathindra Sarathy (Oklahoma State University, USA)

Expert Task Force Consideration of Confidentiality, Effect Sizes, and Computerized Adaptive Testing at NCES

Andrew White and Marilyn Seastrom (National Center for Education Statistics, USA)
CONCURRENT SESSION VI-B  IMPROVING DATA QUALITY THROUGH THE USE OF ECONOMETRIC MODELING  
Fitting A Linear Model to Survey Data When the Long-Term Average Daily Intake of a Dietary Component Is An Explanatory Variable

Phillip Kott (RTI International, USA), Patricia Guenther (U.S. Department of Agriculture), David Wagstaff (Pennsylvania State University, USA), WenYen Juan (U.S. Food and Drug Administration), and Sibylle Kranz (East Carolina University, USA)

Collinearity Diagnostics for Complex Survey Data

Dan Liao (University of Maryland, USA)

Multilevel Models and Small Area Estimation in the Context of Vietnam Living Standards Surveys

Phong Nguyen (General Statistics Office of Vietnam, Vietnam), Dominique Haughton (Bentley University and Toulouse School of Economics, USA), and Irene Hudson and John Boland (University of South Australia, Australia)
CONCURRENT SESSION VI-C  VARIANCE ESTIMATION  
The RAO-WU Rescaling Bootstrap: From Theory to Practice  

Claude Girard (Statistics Canada)

Linearization Variance Estimation and Allocation for Two-Phase Sampling Under Mass Imputation

Abdellatif Demnati (Statistics Canada) and J.N.K. Rao (Carleton University, Canada)

Variance Approximations for Price Index Estimation

John Eltinge and Moon Jung Cho (Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA)

On Point Estimation and Variance Estimation for Mean Expenditures in the Consumer Expenditure Survey 

Michail Sverchkov, John Eltinge, and Lawrence Ernst (Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA)

 TUESDAY PM
CONCURRENT SESSION VII-A  INFORMED CONSENT AND PARTICIPATION  
Securing Informed Consent from Less Educated Respondents: Results from the National Inmate Survey

Rachel Caspar (RTI International, USA) and Paul Guerino (Bureau of Justice Statistics, USA)

Motivating Non-English-Speaking Populations for Census and Survey Participation

Yuling Pan and Nancy Bates (U.S. Census Bureau)

Informed Consent and the Statistical Use of Administrative Records

Michael Hawes and Carol Comisarow (U.S. Census Bureau)
CONCURRENT SESSION VII-B  CHALLENGES OF FEDERAL HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS IN EVALUATING FINANCIAL WELL-BEING  
A Tale of Two Surveys: Mortgage Wealth Data in the AHS and the SIPP

George Carter III and Alfred Gottschalck (U.S. Census Bureau)

Income Measurement in Federal Surveys

John Czajka (Mathematica Policy Research, Inc., USA) and Gabrielle Denmead (Denmead Services and Consulting, USA)

A Preliminary Evaluation of Health Insurance Coverage in the 2008 American Community Survey

Joanna Turner (U.S. Census Bureau), Michel Boudreaux (University of Minnesota, USA), and Victoria Lynch (Urban Institute)
CONCURRENT SESSION VII-C  EFFECTS OF IMPUTATION ON SURVEY ESTIMATES  
Effects of Imputation on CPS Poverty Series, 1987-2007

Joan Turek, Brian Sinclair-James, and Bula Ghose (U.S. Department of Health and Human Services), Fritz Scheuren (NORC at the University of Chicago, USA), and Charles Nelson and Edward Welniak (U.S. Census Bureau)

Testing New Imputation Methods for Earnings in the Survey of Income and Program Participation  

Martha Stinson and Gary Benedetto (U.S. Census Bureau)

Sensitivity of Inference Under Imputation: An Empirical Study

Jeffrey Gonzalez and John Eltinge (Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA)

Imputation Methods for the Current Employment Statistics Survey

Kennon Copeland (NORC at the University of Chicago, USA) and Lan Pham (Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA)
CONCURRENT SESSION VIII-A  IDENTIFYING AND REDUCING SOURCES OF SURVEY ERROR  
Measuring the Complexity and Importance of Businesses in Order to Better Manage our Data Collection Efforts

Serge Godbout and Sungjin Youn (Statistics Canada)

Assessing and Correcting the Effects of Measurement Error on the 2008 Economic Directorate Editing and Imputation Inventory

Laura Ozcoskun, La Toya Thomas, and Michael Hayes (U.S. Census Bureau)

Models of Nonresponse and Their Relationship to Survey Estimates

John Dixon (Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA)

Findings from a Pretest of a New Approach to Measuring Health Insurance in the Current Population Survey

Joanne Pascale (U.S. Census Bureau)
CONCURRENT SESSION VIII-B  FORECASTING  
Using Spectral Peaks to Detect Seasonality 

Tucker McElroy (U.S. Census Bureau) and Scott Holan (University of Missouri-Columbia, USA)

A Review of Air Travel Passengers Forecasting Models and Their Robustness

Ali Dadpay, Charlie Han, and David Chesser (Macrosys Research, USA) and Antony Homan (U.S. Department of Transportation)

Seasonal Adjustment of Short Time Series with Calendar Effect Treatments – Applied Methods in the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Brian Dahlin (Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA)

 WEDNESDAY AM
CONCURRENT SESSION IX-A  ISSUES CONCERNING THE STATISTICAL USE OF ADMINISTRATIVE RECORDS  
Overview of Open Research Questions in Methodological and Empirical Work with Statistical Uses of Administrative Records

Shelley Wilkie Martinez (Office of Management and Budget, USA), John Eltinge (Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA), and Jenna Fulton (University of Maryland, USA)

Expanding Statistical Use of Administrative Data: A Research Proposal Focused on Privacy and Confidentiality

Gerald Gates (Gerald Gates Privacy Consulting, USA)

Investing in A Data Quality Assurance Program for Administrative Data Linked to Survey Data for Policy Research Purposes Is Essential

Michael Davern (University of Minnesota, USA)

Discussant:

Robert Fay (Westat, USA)
CONCURRENT SESSION IX-B  WEB SURVEYS  
Internet Surveys and the Demise of the Matrix

Grace O’Neill and Stan Freedman (Energy Information Administration, USA)

The Effects of Grouping Response Options in Factual Questions with Many Options

Cleo Redline and Roger Tourangeau (University of Maryland, USA), Frederick Conrad and Mick Couper (University of Michigan, USA), and Cong Ye (University of Maryland, USA)

Response Format Effects on Measurement of Employment

Randall Thomas (ICF International, USA), Jolene Smyth (University of Nebraska-Lincoln, USA), and Don Dillman (Washington State University, USA)

Mode Effects in Mixed-Mode Surveys of Veteran and Military Populations

Boris Rachev (ICF International, USA)
CONCURRENT SESSION IX-C  ISSUES IN SAMPLE DESIGN  
Revisiting Nested Stratification of Primary Sampling Units

Tom Krenzke and Wen-Chau Haung (Westat, USA)

Statistical Sample Design for Coalbed Methane Industry Survey: Projects Versus Wells

Marla Smith and Carey Johnston (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency)

Maximizing Overlap of Large Primary Sampling Units in Repeated Sampling: A Comparison of Ernst’s Method with Ohlsson’s Method

Padraic Murphy and Reid Rottach (U.S. Census Bureau)

Minimizing Duplication of Samples Drawn from Overlapping Frames of Multiple Surveys 

Peter Kwok, Hee-Choon Shin, Colm O’Muircheartaigh, Whitney Murphy, Angela Debello, and Kari Carris (NORC at the University of Chicago, USA) and Youlian Liao (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, USA)
CONCURRENT SESSION X-A  PRODUCING AND COMMUNICATING DATA AND STATISTICS  
Metadata and Data Harmonization

Daniel Gillman (Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA) and Frank Farance (Farance Inc., USA)

Innovative Uses of Data Mining Techniques in the Production of Official Statistics

Jaki McCarthy, Thomas Jacob, and Dale Atkinson (National Agricultural Statistics Service, USA)

Benchmarking the Performance of Statistical Agencies

Marilyn Seastrom and Valena Plisko (National Center for Education Statistics, USA)
CONCURRENT SESSION X-B  REDESIGNING LARGE-SCALE FEDERAL SURVEYS: CONNECTING TO THE PAST, ANTICIPATING THE FUTURE  
Searching for Alternatives to A Random Digit Dial Telephone Interview – Redesigning the National Household Education Surveys

Chris Chapman (National Center for Education Statistics, USA) and Mary Hagedorn (Westat, USA)

Redesigning the National Surveys on Drug Use and Health

Joseph Gfroerer, Jonaki Bose, Dicy Painter, Mike Jones, and Joel Kennet (Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration, USA)

Redesigning the National Crime Victimization Survey

Michael Rand (Bureau of Justice Statistics, USA)
CONCURRENT SESSION X-C  ADVANCES IN AGRICULTURAL FRAME DEVELOPMENT AND USE  
Utilizing An Alternative Sampling Frame to Produce Agricultural Survey Indications

Wendy Barboza and Mark Harris (National Agricultural Statistics Service, USA)

Four Digits or No-Digit Social Security Numbers – Impact on the National Agricultural Statistics Service Record Linkage Maintenance Processes

Denise Abreu, Kara Daniel, William Iwig, and Stan Hoge (National Agricultural Statistics Service, USA)

Comparison of Methods for Updating Census Based Estimates of Number of Farms to Non-Census Years

Michael Bellow (National Agricultural Statistics Service, USA) and Phillip Kott (RTI International, USA)

 WEDNESDAY PM
CONCURRENT SESSION XI-A  APPLICATIONS OF SAMPLING  
Evolutionary Algorithms for Optimal Sample Design

Charles Day (Internal Revenue Service, Statistics of Income Division, USA)

Derivation of Sample Size Formula for Cluster Randomized Trials with Binary Responses Using A General Continuity Correction Factor and Identification of Optimal Settings for Small Event Rates  

Majnu John and Madhu Mazumdar (Weill Cornell Medical College, USA)

Sampling from Discrete Distributions: Application to An Editing Problem  

Lawrence Cox (National Center for Health Statistics, USA) and Marco Better (OptTek Systems, Inc., USA)

Discussant:

Michael P. Cohen (Statistical Consultant, NORC at the University of Chicago, and George Mason University, USA)
CONCURRENT SESSION XI-B  INCOME AND THE BUSINESS CYCLE  
Earnings Volatility in the U.S.: Short-Term and Long-Term Trends

Beethika Khan and David Beede (U.S. Department of Commerce)

Measuring Business Cycles with Rapid Estimates  

Pieter Vlag (Statistics Netherlands)

Business Age, Another Source of Employment

Ting Zhang and David Stevens (University of Baltimore, USA)
CONCURRENT SESSION XI-C  EFFECTS OF QUESTIONNAIRE AND SURVEY DESIGN ON RECALL AND RESPONSE  
Establishment Respondents as Survey Managers: Using Survey Design Features to Empower Respondents to Find and Recruit Knowledgeable Company Personnel for Assistance

Alfred Tuttle (U.S. Census Bureau)

Using Negatively Framed Questions to Evaluate Nursing Home Care

Elizabeth Frentzel, Chris Evensen, and San Keller (American Institutes for Research, USA), Judith Sangl (Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, USA), Julie Brown (Rand, USA), and Carol Cosenza (University of Massachusetts, USA)

The Effects of Recall Length and Reporting Aids on Household Reporting of Health Care Events in the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey

Samuel Zuvekas (Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, USA)

Social Desirability Bias, Response Order Effect and Selection Effects in the new Dutch Safety Monitor  

Thomas Kraan, Jan van den Brakel, Bart Buelens, and Harry Huys (Statistics Netherlands)

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