### EPA IPM Run Results **All costs and prices are in 2007-year dollars** NATIONWIDE EMISSIONS 2015 2020 

### 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 

### SO2 (million tons) 3.8 3.5 

### 7.2 6.7 1.8 1.9 3.4 3.3 2.9 2.8 

### NOx (million tons) 1.9 1.9 

### 2.1 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.8 1.8 

### CO2 (million metric tons) 2227 2306 

### 2252 2333 2219 2297 2226 2310 2218 2298 

### Hg (tons) 25 25 

### 29 29 9 9 25 26 25 25



### TOTAL COSTS 2015 2020 

### 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 

### Total Costs (billion $) 149.29 160.10

### 143.46155.16 155.22 165.26 144.12 155.60 145.76 156.96



### PRICES 2015 2020 

### 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 

### National Wholesale Electricity Price (m 48.22 49.74 

### 45.32 48.09 49.17 50.13 46.30 49.17 47.40 49.74 

### Natural Gas Prices (2007 $/MMBtu) Henry Hub 0.00 0.00 

### 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 

### Delivered 5.64 5.01 

### 5.37 4.90 5.73 4.99 5.34 4.95 5.46 5.01 

### Minemouth Coal Prices (2007 $/MMBtu) Appalachia 2.07 2.18 

### 2.07 2.20 2.11 2.20 2.04 2.15 2.03 2.15 

### Imports 2.27 2.10 

### 2.27 2.18 2.19 2.03 2.16 2.09 2.16 2.04 

### Interior 1.70 1.80 

### 1.74 1.83 1.75 1.82 1.64 1.72 1.64 1.72 

### Waste Coal 1.16 1.15 

### 1.16 1.17 1.16 1.15 1.16 1.17 1.16 1.17 

### West 0.80 0.83 

### 0.80 0.84 0.80 0.84 0.84 0.81 0.83 0.81 

### National 1.37 1.43 

### 1.37 1.44 1.38 1.42 1.35 1.36 1.35 1.37


### Emission Allowance Prices ($/Ton) 2015 2020 

### 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 

### SO2 Region 1 (TR)

- - 

### - - 0.00 0.001,317.001,814.001,315.001,811.00 

### SO2 Region 2 (TR)

- - 

### - - 0.00 0.00 651.00 457.50 642.00 477.20 

### SO2 (Title IV) 0.00 0.00 

### 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 

### NOx Annual (TR)

- - 

### - - 0.00 0.00 556.80 766.80 761.301,048.00 

### NOx Ozone Season (TR)

- - 

### - - 0.00 0.001,814.002,498.001,509.002,078.00 

### CO2 ($/metric ton)

- - 

### - - - - - - - -


### EMISSION CONSTRAINTS (Mtons) 2015 2020 

### 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 

### SO2 Region 1 (TR)

- - 

### - - 1,063 1,050 1,513 1,406 1,515 1,409 

### SO2 Region 2 (TR)

- - 

### - - 296 288 790 790 790 790 

### SO2 (Title IV) 3,697 3,322 

### 7,029 6,600 1,697 1,685 3,276 3,143 2,785 2,672 

### NOx Annual (TR)

- - 

### - - 1,145 1,174 1,165 1,172 1,168 1,173 

### NOx Ozone Season (TR)

- - 

### - - 537 558 569 578 569 579 

### CO2 (metric ton)

- - 

### - - - - - - - -


### TOTAL CAPACITY (Cumulative GW) 2015 2020 

### 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 

### Hydro 99 99 

### 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 

### Non-Hydro Renewables 70 73 

### 70 72 70 73 70 73 70 73 Biomass 3 6 3 5 3 5 3 5 3 5 Other 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 Wind 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 

### Coal 308 305 

### 316 313 303 302 310 310 307 307 PC 305 302 312 310 300 299 307 307 304 304 IGCC 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 IGCC - CCS 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 

### New Future Technology 0 0 

### 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 

### Nuclear 104 105 

### 103 105 105 106 104 105 104 105 

### Natural Gas 348 352 

### 347 351 348 355 348 352 348 352 CC 205 209 205 208 205 212 205 209 205 210 CT 143 143 142 142 143 143 142 143 142 143 

### Oil/Gas Steam 91 91 

### 90 90 90 90 90 89 90 90 

### Other 4 4 

### 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 

### Grand Total 1,024 1,029 

### 1,029 1,034 1,019 1,029 1,025 1,032 1,023 1,030



### NEW CAPACITY (Cumulative GW) 2015 2020 

### 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 

### Non-Hydro Renewables 25 27 

### 24 27 25 27 25 27 25 27
Biomass 0 3 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 Other 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Wind 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 

### Coal 2 2 

### 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 PC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 BART+TR

Run 2 

### Final CSAPR Run 130 Nationwide BART Run 1d 

### Basecase Run 2n Proposed MATS Run 31IGCC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 IGCC - CCS 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 

### New Future Technology 0 0 

### 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 

### Nuclear 0 0 

### 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 

### Natural Gas 3 7 

### 3 7 3 10 3 7 3 8 CC 1 4 1 4 1 8 1 5 1 5 CT 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 

### Other 0 0 

### 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 

### Grand Total 30 36 

### 30 36 30 39 30 36 30 37



### RETIREMENTS (GW) 2015 2020 

### 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 

### Advanced Coal Retirement 0 0 

### 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 

### CC Retirements 1 1 

### 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 

### Coal Retirements 9 10 

### 3 5 14 14 9 7 10 9 

### CT Retirements 0 0 

### 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 

### Nuclear Retirements 0 1 

### 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 

### O/G Retirements 19 19 

### 19 19 19 19 19 20 19 20 

### Grand Total 30 31 

### 26 28 35 35 30 30 32 30



### GENERATION MIX (thousand GWh) 2015 2020 

### 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 

### Hydro 288 288 

### 287 287 288 287 286 285 287 286 

### Non-Hydro Renewables 275 313 

### 272 310 273 310 273 310 274 310
Biomass 19 34 17 31 19 33 18 33 18 33 Other 49 49 49 49 49 49 49 49 49 49
Wind 181 181 179 179 179 179 179 179 179 179 Biomass Co-firing 26 49 26 50 25 49 27 48 27 48 

### Coal 1,970 1,987 

### 2,017 2,037 1,961 1,976 1,977 2,001 1,962 1,983 PC 1,946 1,964 1,993 2,013 1,937 1,953 1,953 1,978 1,938 1,959 IGCC 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 IGCC - CCS 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 

### New Future Technology 0 0 

### 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 

### Nuclear 829 836 

### 822 832 831 841 828 838 830 839 

### Natural Gas 694 812 

### 662 779 705 826 692 807 705 820 CC 675 786 645 755 684 800 673 781 685 795 CT 19 27 18 24 21 25 19 26 19 26 

### Oil/Gas Steam 28 49 

### 24 44 25 47 23 43 24 44 

### Other 23 23 

### 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 

### Grand Total 4,106 4,308 

### 4,107 4,311 4,106 4,309 4,102 4,306 4,103 4,304



### TOTAL CONTROLS (Cumulative GW) 2015 2020 

### 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 

### FGD 245 250 

### 179 187 228 227 209 214 220 224 

### Existing Scrubber 145 144 

### 148 148 145 145 148 148 146 146 

### Existing Wet Scrubber 122 122 

### 126 126 123 123 126 126 124 124 

### Existing Dry Scrubber 22 22 

### 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 

### Non-Disapatchable Scrubber 57 64 

### 8 17 33 34 15 20 25 30 

### Retrofit Wet Scrubber 19 23 

### 5 11 6 7 11 14 17 20 

### Retrofit Dry Scrubber 38 41 

### 4 5 27 27 4 6 8 10 

### Disapatchable Scrubber 43 42 

### 23 22 50 49 46 46 49 49 

### Retrofit Wet Scrubber 39 39 

### 20 20 45 45 44 44 45 45 

### Retrofit Dry Scrubber 5 4 

### 2 2 4 4 2 2 4 4 

### New Scrubber 0 0 

### 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 

### New Wet Scrubber 0 0 

### 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 

### New Dry Scrubber 0 0 

### 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 

### SCR 152 155 

### 141 144 145 147 146 149 151 155 

### Existing SCR 117 116 

### 122 121 120 119 121 121 121 121 

### Non-Disapatchable SCR 26 30 

### 14 17 17 19 14 18 20 23 

### Disapatchable SCR 9 9 

### 6 6 9 9 11 11 11 11 

### New SCR 0 0 

### 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 

### SNCR 27 26 

### 28 27 23 23 27 27 27 27 

### Existing SNCR 27 26 

### 28 27 23 23 27 27 27 27 

### Retrofit SNCR 0 0 

### 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 

### New SNCR 0 0 

### 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 

### ACI 52 52 

### 53 53 146 147 52 52 51 51 

### Existing ACI 47 47 

### 48 48 48 48 48 48 47 47 

### Retrofit ACI 5 5 

### 5 5 98 99 5 5 4 4 

### New ACI 0 0 

### 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 BART+TR Nationwide BART 

### Basecase Proposed MATS 

### Final CSAPR Run 1d 

### Run 2n Run 31 Run 130 Run 2

### CCS 2 2 

### 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 

### Hardwired CCS 0 0 

### 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 

### Retrofit CCS 0 0 

### 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 

### New CCS 2 2 

### 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 

### DSI 1 3 

### 7 7 65 65 9 9 9 10 

### C2G 1 1 

### 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0



### NON-DISPATCHABLE RETROFITS (Cum 2015 2020 

### 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 

### FGD 57 64 

### 8 17 33 34 15 20 25 30 

### SCR 26 30 

### 14 17 17 19 14 18 20 23 

### SNCR 0 0 

### 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 

### ACI 5 5 

### 5 5 98 99 5 5 4 4 

### CCS 0 0 

### 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 

### DSI 1 3 

### 7 7 65 65 9 9 9 10 

### C2G 1 1 

### 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0



### DISPATCHABLE RETROFITS (Cumulati2015 2020 

### 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 

### DFGD 43 42 

### 23 22 50 49 46 46 49 49 

### DSCR 9 9 

### 6 6 9 9 11 11 11 11



### TOTAL CONTROLS IN NEEDS FGD SCR SNCR ACI

FUEL SUPPLY AND CONSUMPTION 2015 2020 

### 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 2015 2020 

### Coal Use by Region (million tons) 1,060 1,064 

### 1,084 1,090 1,130 1,128 1,063 1,073 1,054 1,062 

### Power Sector 993 1,005 

### 1,017 1,031 1,058 1,062 995 1,014 987 1,003 

### Appalachia 183 174 

### 182 177 208 199 183 171 184 171 

### Imports 30 37 

### 30 37 30 37 30 37 30 37 

### Interior 230 247 

### 238 249 242 237 216 221 215 221 

### Waste Coal 13 13 

### 14 14 13 13 14 14 14 14 

### West 537 533 

### 554 555 565 575 552 572 545 560 

### Non-Power Sector 68 60 

### 68 60 72 66 68 60 68 60 

### Appalachia 37 33 

### 37 33 40 34 37 33 37 33 

### Interior 15 11 

### 15 11 9 9 15 11 15 11 

### West 16 16 

### 16 16 22 22 16 16 16 16 

### Power Sector Coal Use by Rank (TBtu) 19,833 20,013

### 20,26520,476 19,905 20,083 19,845 20,112 19,694 19,922 

### Bituminous 11,446 11,486

### 11,57811,591 11,628 11,547 11,305 11,109 11,205 11,056 

### Subbituminous 7,511 7,496 

### 7,782 7,825 7,668 7,885 7,705 8,141 7,688 8,032 

### Lignite 876 1,031 

### 904 1,060 609 651 835 863 802 835



### Natural Gas Use (Tcf) 5 6 

### 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 6

### 2015 Run 1d -- National BART

column BQ (post combustion control

Run 2 -- BART+TR

Coal Retirements 8.9 (90) 7.1 (80) 1.8 (10) Existing FGD among BART unit 88.5 (182) 66 (132) 22 (50) New FGD 75.6 (186) 60 (142) 15.6 (44) GW Total TR West BART Effected Units 195 (489) 170 (420) 25 (69) 3.3 (8) 19 (46) 195 (489) 88.5 (182) 106 (258)

9.2 (39) 170 (420) 66 (132) 86 (212) 5.9 (31) Total TR West25 (69) 22 (50) BART Effected Units Existing FGD among BART unit New FGD (all wet) Coal Retirements GW

### 2015

State Name National BART (Run 1d)BART+TR (Run 2)Final TR (Run 130)Basecase (Run 2n)2-1301d-130 TR bt BART (2-1d) National BART (1d)BART+TR (Run 2) Final TR (Run 130)Basecase (Run 2n) 2-130 1d-130 TR bt BART (2-1d)State Name 

### Alabama 181.5 168.5171.7 417.3-3.2 9.9-13.0 74.1 70.3 69.3 76.0 1.0 4.8 -3.8Alabama Arizona 24.6 24.6 35.6 35.6-11.0-11.0 0.0 26.0 26.0 35.6 35.6 -9.6 -9.6 0.0Arizona Arkansas 38.1 39.7103.8 99.4-64.1-65.7 1.6 26.2 36.9 36.8 36.3 0.1-10.6 10.7Arkansas California 7.4 7.3 7.4 7.3-0.1 -0.1 0.0 27.0 27.1 29.8 26.9 -2.7 -2.8 0.0California Colorado 22.4 26.6 73.5 62.1-46.9-51.1 4.2 46.9 48.0 49.4 49.4 -1.4 -2.5 1.2Colorado Connecticut 1.9 1.9 4.5 3.8-2.5 -2.6 0.0 2.7 2.5 7.3 2.9 -4.8 -4.6 -0.2Connecticut Delaware 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2-0.1 -0.1 0.0 1.8 1.7 1.9 1.7 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1Delaware DC 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0DC Florida 77.5 79.8147.0 143.6-67.2-69.5 2.3 81.0 75.7 89.5 100.6-13.8 81.0 -5.3Florida Georgia 151.4 93.6 91.7 170.3 1.9 59.8-57.9 45.4 41.8 41.5 49.4 0.3-44.1 -3.7Georgia Idaho 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.0-40.9 0.0Idaho Illinois 116.1 133.7132.1 141.6 1.5-16.0 17.5 49.3 49.6 52.7 55.3 -3.1 48.7 0.4Illinois Indiana 454.5202.9204.2 727.8-1.4250.3-251.6107.8 111.5110.4 117.8 1.1 55.1 3.7Indiana Iowa 43.9 83.8 83.0 133.1 0.8-39.1 39.9 41.8 42.4 41.9 48.4 0.5-68.6 0.6Iowa Kansas 19.8 49.1 49.1 69.8 0.0-29.3 29.3 22.6 24.4 24.8 32.6 -0.4-19.3 1.9Kansas Kentucky 164.9 125.4125.4 488.0 0.0 39.5-39.5 75.4 78.0 77.3 83.5 0.750.6 2.6Kentucky Louisiana 81.2 92.6139.2 118.2-46.6-58.0 11.4 31.7 31.7 31.6 31.6 0.1-45.6 0.0Louisiana Maine 2.6 2.4 2.5 2.4-0.1 0.1 -0.2 6.2 5.4 6.3 5.4 -0.9-25.4 -0.8Maine Maryland 36.5 28.6 28.8 42.9-0.2 7.7 -7.9 15.6 16.8 20.2 17.6 -3.4 9.3 1.2Maryland Massachusetts 8.4 8.4 14.1 13.4-5.8 -5.7 -0.1 7.2 7.1 11.9 7.0 -4.8-13.0 -0.1Massachusetts Michigan 141.4 174.3174.2 269.4 0.0-32.9 32.9 64.7 62.3 62.1 67.7 0.2 52.8 -2.4Michigan Minnesota 56.5 50.1 50.3 70.9-0.2 6.2 -6.4 34.1 35.1 36.5 41.5 -1.4-28.0 1.1Minnesota Mississippi 16.3 17.8 32.1 31.0-14.3-15.8 1.5 19.7 19.5 26.1 26.3 -6.6-16.8 -0.2Mississippi Missouri 107.9 181.8179.3 390.3 2.5-71.4 73.8 50.3 51.2 50.6 57.3 0.624.2 0.9Missouri Montana 5.9 6.7 22.8 15.4-16.2-17.0 0.8 13.4 13.5 19.3 19.4 -5.8-37.2 0.1Montana Nebraska 32.9 71.2 71.5 73.1-0.3-38.6 38.3 30.2 28.1 28.4 45.0 -0.3 10.9 -2.2Nebraska Nevada 14.8 14.8 14.4 14.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 13.8 13.9 14.1 14.1 -0.2-14.6 0.1Nevada New Hampshire 4.7 5.2 6.8 6.5-1.6 -2.1 0.5 3.1 3.0 5.6 5.1 -2.6-11.0 -0.1New Hampshire New Jersey 26.1 6.1 6.5 38.9-0.4 19.6-20.1 8.1 7.8 11.1 8.0 -3.3 2.5 -0.3New Jersey New Mexico 10.8 11.7 13.9 11.9-2.2 -3.2 0.9 13.0 13.0 64.8 64.7-51.8 1.9 0.1New Mexico New York 42.1 18.8 20.0 42.9-1.3 22.1-23.3 21.8 20.5 26.7 21.7 -6.2-43.0 -1.3New York North Carolina 130.9 74.0 74.1 126.0 0.0 56.8-56.9 52.2 45.4 45.1 49.3 0.325.5 -6.8North Carolina North Dakota 37.7 37.0102.8 103.6-65.7-65.1 -0.6 43.9 43.9 53.3 53.3 -9.4 -1.2 0.0North Dakota Ohio 546.7 190.0189.9 851.2 0.1356.8-356.7 96.9 90.1 90.1 104.1 0.043.6 -6.8Ohio Oklahoma 41.4 41.4138.1 138.0-96.7-96.7 0.0 44.6 44.3 44.1 67.0 0.2-45.5 -0.3Oklahoma Oregon 0.2 0.2 11.4 11.3-11.1-11.1 0.0 2.3 2.3 9.9 9.6 -7.6-41.8 0.0Oregon Pennsylvania 222.6 134.5135.5 509.6-1.0 87.1-88.1 122.3 118.4123.4 134.1 -5.0112.4 -4.0Pennsylvania Rhode Island 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 -0.1-123.0 0.0Rhode Island South Carolina 114.0 101.5100.4 213.3 1.1 13.5-12.5 34.3 37.0 36.8 39.0 0.2 33.8 2.7South Carolina South Dakota 2.4 2.5 29.7 29.7-27.2-27.3 0.1 2.5 2.6 14.3 14.3-11.7-34.3 0.1South Dakota Tennessee 321.3 66.7 67.8 284.5-1.1253.5-254.6 34.7 20.5 20.5 29.3 0.020.4-14.3Tennessee Texas 139.3266.6266.5 453.3 0.1-127.3127.4139.4 139.5139.3 142.1 0.2118.9 0.1Texas Utah 32.7 32.1 34.0 33.5-1.9 -1.3 -0.6 61.7 62.2 67.4 67.4 -5.2-77.6 0.5Utah Vermont 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.1-66.9 0.0Vermont Virginia 78.7 53.9 54.2 77.3-0.2 24.5-24.8 41.9 39.1 43.0 40.5 -3.941.5 -2.8Virginia Washington 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 10.0 13.8 13.3 -3.8-33.0 0.0Washington West Virginia 165.1 90.4 90.4 498.5 0.0 74.7-74.7 65.7 53.2 54.5 64.8 -1.351.9-12.5West Virginia Wisconsin 52.1 51.4 50.9 130.5 0.5 1.1 -0.6 36.5 34.5 34.3 40.7 0.2-18.0 -2.1Wisconsin Wyoming 37.2 42.9 58.0 51.8-15.1-20.8 5.7 46.5 46.5 70.8 70.2-24.3 12.2 0.0Wyoming National 3820.42918.43415.27159.6-496.8405.3-902.11798.01755.91945.62089.4-189.7-76.8-42.1National TR 3346.42416.92417.76220.6-0.8928.7-929.51265.21217.51240.51365.9-23.0486.0-47.8TR

State Name National BART (Run 1d)BART+TR (Run 2)Final TR (Run 130)Basecase (Run 2n)2-1301d-130 National BART (1d)BART+TR (Run 2) Final TR (Run 130)Basecase (Run 2n) 2-130 1d-130 

### Annual NOx (1000 Tons)

Annual SO2 (1000 Tons) Annual NOx (1000 Tons) Annual SO2 (1000 Tons)