# Interpollutant Calculation

2009 Receptor Analysis

Kern Tulare

Observed concentration 2000 23.24 24.08

Modeled projections 2009 18.93 20.12

Direct PM2.5 OC Sulfate particulate Direct PM2.5 OC

PM2.5 concentration attributable to category 1.07 1.31 1.24

Category emissions tons/day 5.45 2.97 3.70

PM2.5 micrograms/ton 0.20 0.44 0.34

relative atmospheric ratio 0.44

# Sulfate particulate

1.41

3.38

0.42

0.81SJV Interpollutant calculations.xls2009 IPTCountyIP RatioGeologic andConstructionTire and BrakeWear Vegetative BurningAmmoniumNitrateincludingassociatedwaterAmmoniumSulfateincludingassociatedwaterMarine UnassignedKern0.2553 0.6945 3.3798 0.1964 1.3031 0.02890.1130 0.0244Nitrate 2.6285530.0747 0.4425Sulfate 0.443886Fresno0.1786 1.2520 2.4050 0.3293 0.9292 0.01660.1796 0.0528Nitrate 2.5092260.1312 0.5134Sulfate 0.641428Kings0 19291 07051 41780 33920 89470 0228Organic CarbonPrimary SecondaryMobile ExhaustPrimary SecondaryNumbers represent the amount of observed particulate per ton of emissions for the various categories of emissions.Interpollutant ratio is the comparison of organic carbon primary particulate (from industrial emissions) to nitrate or sulfate.Interpollutant RatioProjected to 20090.19291.07051.41780.33920.89470.02280.1367 0.0401Nitrate 2.233480.1519 0.5363Sulfate 0.63257Tulare0.1969 1.9999 2.5945 0.3364 0.9261 0.02320.2086 0.0387Nitrate 2.244130.1499 0.4171Sulfate 0.806442SJV Interpollutant calculations.xlsIPR Fresno 2000-20091234567891011121314151617A B C DE F G H I J K L M NFresno - Annual2000-2001 species mass =21.52005 Design value = 17.2General Note Geologic and Construction Tire and Brake Wear Vegetative Burning AmmoniumNitrateincluding associated waterAmmoniumSulfateincluding associated waterMarine UnassignedLine1 Source Contribution from Analysis From CMB monthly analysis Feb 2000 to Dec 2000,adding January2001 episode for chemistryequivalent to annual design valueFrom CMB From CMB From CMB minus estimated OrganicCarbon from other sourcesFrom CMB From CMB From CMB, if present Unaccounted massfrom CMB, if any.LINE 122.45 0.95 0.35 4.73 7.48 2.20 0.00 0.58Line 2 Natural and Transport Contribution, seeProtocolPortion not included in rollback analysis, removedprior to rollback as not subject to local control,added back to projected future concentrationsEstimate (see Protocol) removedprior to rollback as not subject tolocal control, added back toprojected future concentrations0, no naturalbackground, transportestimated at 0Estimate (see Protocol) removed priorto rollback as not subject to localcontrol, added back to projectedfuture concentrations. Includeswildfires and biogenic.=20% + 10%Adjusted to PMF result of 13% from10% estimate (see Protocol) removedprior to rollback as not subject to localcontrol, added back to projected futureconcentrationsAdjusted to PMF result of 13%from 10% estimate (seeProtocol) removed prior torollback as not subject to localcontrol, added back toprojected future concentrations100% because marinesalts are a naturalemission0, no additionalbackground estimatefor unexplained massLINE 23.18 0.1 0.0 1.4 1.0 0.3Line 3 Net for Rollback Net for Rollback, default percentages adjustable forepisode characteristics, applicable to all columnsexcept as indicated.Removed entirely fromrollback, added back toresultLINE 319.27 0.9 0.4 3.3 6.5 1.9 0.0 0.6Line 4 Local Contribution PM2.5 Primary EmissionsArea of InfluenceSource contribution from smallest area of influence,representative of large particle primary source area,includes all PM size emissions in the area - Rolledback against local area of influence emissionestimatesMass adjusted influence of 50%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influenceof 50% PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 50%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 50%PM2.5 of net,non-linear rollbackMass adjusted influence of50% PM2.5of netMass adjustedinfluence of 50%PM2.5of netLINE 47.37 0.234 0.169 0.892 2.703 0.824 0.118Line 5 Local Contribution Primary and Secondary Areaof Influence of PM2.5Rolled back against local PM2.5 area of influenceemission estimates - episode specific adjustmentsbased on meteorology and episode durationMass adjusted influence of 30%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influenceof 30% PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 30%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 30%PM2.5 of net,non-linear rollbackMass adjusted influence of30% PM2.5of netMass adjustedinfluence of 30%PM2.5of netLINE 54.01 0.179 0.071 0.815 1.333 0.406 0.076Line 6 Sub regional ContributionPrimary and Secondary PM2.5 (Line 5 and Line 6 arethe same area for annual evaluation but may differ forepisode evaluation)Rolled back against specified County(ies) emissionestimates - episode specific adjustments based onmeteorology and episode durationMass adjusted influence of 15%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influenceof 15% PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 15%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 15%PM2.5 of net,non-linear rollbackMass adjusted influence of15% PM2.5of netMass adjustedinfluence of 15%PM2.5of netLINE 63.69 0.214 0.048 0.954 1.068 0.326 0.192Line7 Regional Contribution Rolled back against Valleywide emission estimates -episode specific adjustments based on meteorologyand episode durationMass adjusted influence of 5%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influenceof 5% PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 5%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 5% PM2.5of net,non-linear rollbackMass adjusted influence of 5%PM2.5of netMass adjustedinfluence of 5% PM2.5of netLINE 74.20 0.226 0.062 0.646 1.404 0.357 0.195Associated Emissions Categories Based upon appropriate seasonal or annualinventoryPaved roads+Unpaved roads+Off road mobile+Farm operations+Construction+WindblownTire and brake wear aspredicted by EMFACPM & CO residential burningPM & CO waste burning and disposalPM cookingPM & CO firesCO presumed to add minimal massTotal E.I. NOx (+ bacterial soil NOxestimate removed as naturalbackground)Total SOx None, natural emissionfrom the ocean, bayand delta watersTotal PM2.52 5 6 7 8 9 10 14 15 N/A 16Mobile ExhaustFrom CMB4.140, no natural background,transport estimated at 00.04.1Mass adjusted influenceof 50% PM2.5of net using directPM2.5 emisions1.9Mass adjusted influenceof 30% PM2.5of net using directPM2.5 emisions0.82Mass adjusted influenceof 15% PM2.5of net using directPM2.5 emisionsOrganic CarbonEstimated portion of mass includedin Vegetative Burning =30%2.03Estimate (see Protocol) removedprior to rollback as not subject tolocal control, added back to projectedfuture concentrations. Includesbiogenic emissions.= 20%0.41.6Mass adjusted influence of 50%PM2.5of net using direct PM2.5 emisions0.6Mass adjusted influence of 30%PM2.5of net using direct PM2.5 emisions0.31Mass adjusted influence of 15%PM2.5of net using direct PM2.5 emisionsWhat Row to use forLookup Function ------------------------------------------->Total ROG minus motor vehicle, OCmay also include a small portion ofotherwise unassigned elementalcarbonPM & CO Area, StationaryCO presumed to add minimal massMass adjusted influence of 5%PM2.5of net using direct PM2.5 emisions0.300.430.59Mass adjusted influenceof 5% PM2.5of net using directPM2.5 emisions0.88PM, ROG & CO onroadmobile+PM, ROG & CO 860offroad equipmentPM, ROG & CO 870 farmequipmentCO presumed to addminimal massPage 4 of 17SJV Interpollutant calculations.xlsIPR Fresno 2000-20091A B C DE F G H I J K L M NFresno - Annual2000-2001 species mass =21.52005 Design value = 17.2General Note Geologic and Construction Tire and Brake Wear Vegetative Burning AmmoniumNitrateincluding associated waterAmmoniumSulfateincluding associated waterMarine UnassignedMobile Exhaust Organic Carbon18192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960616263642000 Emissions Inventory (area of influence emissions inventory, each on a separate line for automated calculations)INDEXPM2.5 L1= Area 3 2.110 1.300 0.102 1.552 2.1363.410 3-FrL2= Areas 3,4 5.388 1.900 0.143 2.817 6.5067.288 Sum 3,4Sr= Fresno, Madera 12.880 2.737 0.195 5.393 15.24037.038 Fresno + MaderaR= SJV 40.682 12.272 0.746 23.281 30.963112.405 SJV TotalNOx L1= Area 361.1703-FrL2= Areas 3,4100.585Sum 3,4Sr= Fresno, Madera161.161Fresno + MaderaR= SJV635.349SJV TotalROG L1= Area 320.834 18.9053-FrL2= Areas 3,430.979 37.872Sum 3,4Sr= Fresno, Madera54.505 60.148Fresno + MaderaR= SJV198.230 227.374SJV TotalSOx L1= Area 34.022 3-FrL2= Areas 3,46.610 Sum 3,4Sr= Fresno, Madera10.596 Fresno + MaderaR= SJV34.856 SJV Total2009 Emissions Inventory PM2.5 SIP EI V1.0PM2.5 without new controls L1= Area 3 1.847 1.101 0.133 1.391 1.6152.948 3-FrL2= Areas 3,4 4.743 1.664 0.193 2.635 3.6796.408 Sum 3,4Sr= Fresno, Madera 11.337 2.404 0.264 5.022 8.23428.149 Fresno + MaderaR= SJV 36.236 10.302 0.985 20.545 16.80988.661 SJV TotalPM2.5 with new controls L1= Area 3 1.847 1.101 0.133 1.391 1.6152.948 3-FrL2= Areas 3,4 4.743 1.664 0.193 2.635 3.6796.408 Sum 3,4Sr= Fresno, Madera 11.337 2.404 0.264 5.022 8.23428.149 Fresno + MaderaR= SJV 36.236 10.302 0.985 20.545 16.80988.661 SJV TotalNOx without new controls L1= Area 350.7353-FrL2= Areas 3,485.108Sum 3,4Sr= Fresno, Madera126.549Fresno + MaderaR= SJV497.505SJV TotalNOx with new controls L1= Area 350.7353-FrL2= Areas 3,485.108Sum 3,4Sr= Fresno, Madera126.549Fresno + MaderaR= SJV497.505SJV TotalROG without new controls L1= Area 313.234 20.4983-FrL2= Areas 3,420.277 42.100Sum 3,4Sr= Fresno, Madera37.013 68.513Fresno + MaderaR= SJV129.775 244.750SJV TotalROG with new controls L1= Area 313.234 20.4983-FrL2= Areas 3,420.277 42.100Sum 3,4Sr= Fresno, Madera37.013 68.513Fresno + MaderaR= SJV129.775 244.750SJV TotalSOx without new controls L1= Area 34.022 3-FrL2= Areas 3,46.586 Sum 3,4Sr= Fresno, Madera10.222 Fresno + MaderaR= SJV23.022 SJV TotalSO ith t lL1 A 34 0223 F64656667SOx withnew controlsL1=Area34.0223-FrL2= Areas 3,46.586 Sum 3,4Sr= Fresno, Madera10.222 Fresno + MaderaR= SJV23.022 SJV TotalPage 5 of 17SJV Interpollutant calculations.xlsIPR Fresno 2000-20091A B C DE F G H I J K L M NFresno - Annual2000-2001 species mass =21.52005 Design value = 17.2General Note Geologic and Construction Tire and Brake Wear Vegetative Burning AmmoniumNitrateincluding associated waterAmmoniumSulfateincluding associated waterMarine UnassignedMobile Exhaust Organic Carbon68697071727374757677787980818283848586878889909192939495969798991001011021031041051061071081092009 Rollback ProjectionIMS95Local Contribution PM2.5 Primary Emissions Area ofInfluence=(2009 L1/2000 L1) * LINE 4 0.2 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.7 2.4 0.8 0.1Local Contribution Primary and Secondary Area ofInfluence of PM2.5=(2009 L2/2000 L2) * LINE 5 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.4 0.1Sub regional Contribution =(2009 Sr1/2000 Sr2) * LINE 6 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.1Regional Contribution =(2009 R/2000 R) * LINE 7 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 1.2 0.2 0.2+ Natural Background contribution = LINE 20.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.02009 projected Annual Result 19.28 0.8 3.0 0.4 0.5 1.7 0.3 3.4 6.7 2.1 0.0 0.52009 Rollback Projection withadditional controlsIMS95Local Contribution PM2.5 Primary Emissions Area ofInfluence=(2009 L1/2000 L1) * LINE 4 0.2 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.7 2.4 0.8 0.1Local Contribution Primary and Secondary Area ofInfluence of PM2.5=(2009 L2/2000 L2) * LINE 5 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.4 0.1Sub regional Contribution =(2009 Sr1/2000 Sr2) * LINE 6 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.1Regional Contribution =(2009 R/2000 R) * LINE 7 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 1.2 0.2 0.2+ Natural Background contribution = LINE 20.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.02009 projected Annual Result 19.28 0.8 3.0 0.4 0.5 1.7 0.3 3.4 6.7 2.1 0.0 0.5Linear2009 projected Annual Result 18.88 linear nitrate projection2.2Modeling comparisons19.28 IMS95 nitrate modeling1.1Current 2005 Design value = 17.2 19.23 CMAQ nitrate modeling0.819.13 Average of all three1.119.25 Average of CMAQ and IMS955.3CMAQ2.41.20.91.25.72009 Final Species Mass19.25 0.847129462 3.0097438 0.403263 0.463373864 1.65357890.26671767 3.418929837 6.66 2.064606598 0 0.4685345446.6581653092000 Interpollutant Ratio EvaluationMicrograms/ton Direct PM > 0.16 1.2857143 2.4454429 0.255339402 0.5083533310.015686583Micrograms/ton Secondary Organic > 0.02 0.01Nitrate Ratio (G100/J102) 2.400120263Micrograms/ton Secondary > 0.11 0.48Sulfate Ratio (G100/K102) 0.5368460651091101111121131141152009 Interpollutant Ratio EvaluationMicrograms/ton Direct PM > 0.18 1.25 2.40 0.33 0.930.02Micrograms/ton Secondary Organic > 0.18 0.05Nitrate Ratio (G112/J114) 2.509226043Micrograms/ton Secondary > 0.13 0.51Sulfate Ratio (G112/K114) 0.641427905Page 6 of 17SJV Interpollutant calculations.xlsIPR Kern 2000-20091234567891011121314151617A B C DE F G H I J K L M NKern - Annual2002 species mass 22.972005 Design Value 18.9General Note Geologic and Construction Tire and Brake Wear Vegetative Burning AmmoniumNitrateincluding associated waterAmmoniumSulfateincluding associated waterMarine UnassignedLine1 Source Contribution from Analysis From CMB monthly analysis Feb 2000 to Dec 2000,adding January2001 episode for chemistryequivalent to annual design valueFrom CMB From CMB From CMB minus estimated OrganicCarbon from other sourcesFrom CMB From CMB From CMB, if present Unaccounted massfrom CMB, if any.LINE 123.24 1.47 0.55 3.31 10.06 2.62 0.00 0.57Line 2 Natural and Transport Contribution, seeProtocolPortion not included in rollback analysis, removedprior to rollback as not subject to local control,added back to projected future concentrationsEstimate (see Protocol) removedprior to rollback as not subject tolocal control, added back toprojected future concentrations0, no naturalbackground, transportestimated at 0Estimate (see Protocol) removed priorto rollback as not subject to localcontrol, added back to projectedfuture concentrations. Includeswildfires and biogenic.=20% + 10%Adjusted to PMF result of 13% from10% estimate (see Protocol) removedprior to rollback as not subject to localcontrol, added back to projected futureconcentrationsAdjusted to PMF result of 13%from 10% estimate (seeProtocol) removed prior torollback as not subject to localcontrol, added back toprojected future concentrations100% because marinesalts are a naturalemission0, no additionalbackground estimatefor unexplained massLINE 23.07 0.1 0.0 1.0 1.3 0.3Line 3 Net for Rollback Net for Rollback, default percentages adjustable forepisode characteristics, applicable to all columnsexcept as indicated.Removed entirely fromrollback, added back toresultLINE 320.17 1.3 0.6 2.3 8.8 2.3 0.0 0.6Line 4 Local Contribution PM2.5 Primary EmissionsArea of InfluenceSource contribution from smallest area of influence,representative of large particle primary source area,includes all PM size emissions in the area - Rolledback against local area of influence emissionestimatesMass adjusted influence of 50%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influenceof 50% PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 50%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 50%PM2.5 of net,non-linear rollbackMass adjusted influence of50% PM2.5of netMass adjustedinfluence of 50%PM2.5of netLINE 49.53 0.437 0.303 0.893 4.645 0.749 0.157Line 5 Local Contribution Primary and Secondary Areaof Influence of PM2.5Rolled back against local PM2.5 area of influenceemission estimates - episode specific adjustmentsbased on meteorology and episode durationMass adjusted influence of 30%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influenceof 30% PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 30%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 30%PM2.5 of net,non-linear rollbackMass adjusted influence of30% PM2.5of netMass adjustedinfluence of 30%PM2.5of netLINE 54.80 0.333 0.109 0.468 1.947 0.770 0.172Line 6 Sub regional ContributionPrimary and Secondary PM2.5 (Line 5 and Line 6 arethe same area for annual evaluation but may differ forepisode evaluation)Rolled back against specified County(ies) emissionestimates - episode specific adjustments based onmeteorology and episode durationMass adjusted influence of 15%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influenceof 15% PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 15%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 15%PM2.5 of net,non-linear rollbackMass adjusted influence of15% PM2.5of netMass adjustedinfluence of 15%PM2.5of netLINE 62.40 0.166 0.054 0.234 0.973 0.385 0.086Line7 Regional Contribution Rolled back against Valleywide emission estimates -episode specific adjustments based on meteorologyand episode durationMass adjusted influence of 5%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influenceof 5% PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 5%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 5% PM2.5of net,non-linear rollbackMass adjusted influence of 5%PM2.5of netMass adjustedinfluence of 5% PM2.5of netLINE 73.44 0.390 0.083 0.720 1.187 0.372 0.158Associated Emissions Categories Based upon appropriate seasonal or annualinventoryPaved roads+Unpaved roads+Off road mobile+Farm operations+Construction+WindblownTire and brake wear aspredicted by EMFACPM & CO residential burningPM & CO waste burning and disposalPM cookingPM & CO firesCO presumed to add minimal massTotal E.I. NOx (+ bacterial soil NOxestimate removed as naturalbackground)Total SOx None, natural emissionfrom the ocean, bayand delta watersTotal PM2.5256789101415N/A16Mass adjusted influence of 5%PM2.5of net using direct PM2.5 emisions0.160.18Mass adjusted influence of 50%PM2.5of net using direct PM2.5 emisions0.5Mass adjusted influence of 30%PM2.5of net using direct PM2.5 emisions0.32PM, ROG & CO onroadmobile+PM, ROG & CO 860offroad equipmentPM, ROG & CO 870 farmequipmentCO presumed to addminimal massOrganic CarbonEstimated portion of mass includedin Vegetative Burning =30%1.42Estimate (see Protocol) removedprior to rollback as not subject tolocal control, added back to projectedfuture concentrations. Includesbiogenic emissions.= 20%0.31.1Mass adjusted influence of 15%PM2.5of net using direct PM2.5 emisionsTotal ROG minus motor vehicle, OCmay also include a small portion ofotherwise unassigned elementalcarbonPM & CO Area, StationaryCO presumed to add minimal massMass adjusted influenceof 15% PM2.5of net using directPM2.5 emisions0.34What Row to use for Lookup Function------------------------------------------->Mobile ExhaustFrom CMB3.240, no natural background,transport estimated at 00.0Mass adjusted influenceof 5% PM2.5of net using directPM2.5 emisions0.353.2Mass adjusted influenceof 50% PM2.5of net using directPM2.5 emisions1.9Mass adjusted influenceof 30% PM2.5of net using directPM2.5 emisions0.6817256789101415N/A16WhatRowtouseforLookupFunction>Page 7 of 17SJV Interpollutant calculations.xlsIPR Kern 2000-20091A B C DE F G H I J K L M NKern - Annual2002 species mass 22.972005 Design Value 18.9General Note Geologic and Construction Tire and Brake Wear Vegetative Burning AmmoniumNitrateincluding associated waterAmmoniumSulfateincluding associated waterMarine UnassignedOrganic CarbonMobile Exhaust181920212223242526272829303132333435363738394041424344454647484950515253545556575859606162632000 Emissions Inventory (area of influence emissions inventory, each on a separate line for automated calculations)INDEXPM2.5 L1= 122.279 3.292 0.136 3.041 1.9205.571 12-KeL2= Kern 5.783 3.988 0.163 6.780 3.35620.337 KernSr= Kern 5.783 3.988 0.163 6.780 3.35620.337 KernR= SJV 40.682 12.272 0.746 23.281 30.963112.405 SJV TotalNOx L1= 12124.34512-KeL2= Kern173.699KernSr= Kern173.699KernR= SJV635.349SJV TotalROG L1= 1224.978 30.82612-KeL2= Kern34.022 63.116KernSr= Kern34.022 63.116KernR= SJV198.230 227.374SJV TotalSOx L1= 123.508 12-KeL2= Kern12.018 KernSr= Kern12.018 KernR= SJV34.856 SJV Total2009 Emissions Inventory PM2.5 SIP EI V1.0PM2.5 without new controls L1= 122.089 2.626 0.179 2.445 1.3014.715 12-KeL2= Kern 5.302 3.181 0.214 5.450 1.81815.809 KernSr= Kern 5.302 3.181 0.214 5.450 1.81815.809 KernR= SJV 36.236 10.302 0.985 20.545 16.80988.661 SJV TotalPM2.5 with new controls L1= 122.089 2.626 0.179 2.445 1.3014.715 12-KeL2= Kern 5.302 3.181 0.214 5.450 1.81815.809 KernSr= Kern 5.302 3.181 0.214 5.450 1.81815.809 KernR= SJV 36.236 10.302 0.985 20.545 16.80988.661 SJV TotalNOx without new controls L1= 12105.82812-KeL2= Kern133.672KernSr= Kern133.672KernR= SJV497.505SJV TotalNOx with new controls L1= 12105.82812-KeL2= Kern133.672KernSr= Kern133.672KernR= SJV497.505SJV TotalROG without new controls L1= 1216.473 28.81812-KeL2= Kern22.623 59.004KernSr= Kern22.623 59.004KernR= SJV129.775 244.750SJV TotalROG with new controls L1= 1216.473 28.81812-KeL2= Kern22.623 59.004KernSr= Kern22.623 59.004KernR= SJV129.775 244.750SJV TotalSOx without new controls L1= 121.337 12-KeL2= Kern4.598 KernSr= Kern4.598 KernR= SJV23.022 SJV Total64656667SOx with new controls L1= 121.337 12-KeL2= Kern4.598 KernSr= Kern4.598 KernR= SJV23.022 SJV TotalPage 8 of 17SJV Interpollutant calculations.xlsIPR Kern 2000-20091A B C DE F G H I J K L M NKern - Annual2002 species mass 22.972005 Design Value 18.9General Note Geologic and Construction Tire and Brake Wear Vegetative Burning AmmoniumNitrateincluding associated waterAmmoniumSulfateincluding associated waterMarine UnassignedOrganic CarbonMobile Exhaust68697071727374757677787980818283848586878889909192939495969798991001011021031041051061071082009 Rollback ProjectionIMS95Local Contribution PM2.5 Primary Emissions Area ofInfluence=(2009 L1/1999 L1) * LINE 4 0.4 1.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.6 4.2 0.3 0.1Local Contribution Primary and Secondary Area ofInfluence of PM2.5=(2009 L2/1999 L2) * LINE 5 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.6 0.3 0.1Sub regional Contribution =(2009 Sr1/1999 Sr2) * LINE 6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.1 0.1Regional Contribution =(2009 R/1999 R) * LINE 7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.2 0.1+ Natural Background contribution = LINE 20.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.02009 projected Annual Result 18.96 1.4 2.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.2 2.4 9.0 1.3 0.0 0.52009 Rollback Projection withadditional controlsIMS95Local Contribution PM2.5 Primary Emissions Area ofInfluence=(2009 L1/1999 L1) * LINE 4 0.4 1.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.6 4.2 0.3 0.1Local Contribution Primary and Secondary Area ofInfluence of PM2.5=(2009 L2/1999 L2) * LINE 5 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.6 0.3 0.1Sub regional Contribution =(2009 Sr1/1999 Sr2) * LINE 6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.1 0.1Regional Contribution =(2009 R/1999 R) * LINE 7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.2 0.1+ Natural Background contribution = LINE 20.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.02009 projected Annual Result 18.96 1.4 2.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.2 2.4 9.0 1.3 0.0 0.5Linear2009 projected Annual Result 18.42 linear nitrate projection4.0Modeling comparisons18.96 IMS95 nitrate modeling1.5Current 2005 Design value = 18.9 18.90 CMAQ nitrate modeling0.718.76 Average of all three0.918.93 Average of CMAQ and IMS957.1CMAQ4.21.60.81.07.62009 Final Species Mass18.93 1.353413401 2.209089 0.3211026 0.724292937 1.0705134960.162881014 2.368474766 8.95 1.313213484 0 0.457260678.9482603072000 Interpollutant Ratio EvaluationMicrograms/ton Direct PM > 0.229384608 0.6906064 3.378378386 0.142170977 0.6899249010.028126263Micrograms/ton Secondary Organic > 0.02 0.0036Nitrate Ratio (G100/J102) 2.420958169Micrograms/ton Secondary > 0.06 0.29Sulfate Ratio (G100/K102) 0.484932511081091101111121131141151162009 Interpollutant Ratio EvaluationMicrograms/ton Direct PM > 0.26 0.69 3.38 0.20 1.300.03Micrograms/ton Secondary Organic > 0.11 0.02Nitrate Ratio (G112/J114) 2.628553079Micrograms/ton Secondary > 0.07 0.44Sulfate Ratio (G112/K114) 0.4438861812.967753104Page 9 of 17SJV Interpollutant calculations.xlsIPR Kings 2000-20091234567891011121314151617A B C DE F G H I J K L M NKings - Annual2002 species mass 23.9 -MV adjustment2005 Design Value 17.2General Note Geologic and Construction Tire and Brake Wear Vegetative Burning AmmoniumNitrateincluding associated waterAmmoniumSulfateincluding associated waterMarine UnassignedLine1 Source Contribution from Analysis From CMB monthly analysis Feb 2000 to Dec 2000,adding January2001 episode for chemistryequivalent to annual design valueFrom CMB From CMB From CMB minus estimated OrganicCarbon from other sourcesFrom CMB From CMB From CMB, if present Unaccounted massfrom CMB, if any.LINE 122.27 1.41 0.14 3.47 10.96 2.34 0.00 0.49Line 2 Natural and Transport Contribution, seeProtocolPortion not included in rollback analysis, removedprior to rollback as not subject to local control,added back to projected future concentrationsEstimate (see Protocol) removedprior to rollback as not subject tolocal control, added back toprojected future concentrations0, no naturalbackground, transportestimated at 0Estimate (see Protocol) removed priorto rollback as not subject to localcontrol, added back to projectedfuture concentrations. Includeswildfires and biogenic.=20% + 10%Adjusted to PMF result of 13% from10% estimate (see Protocol) removedprior to rollback as not subject to localcontrol, added back to projected futureconcentrationsAdjusted to PMF result of 13%from 10% estimate (seeProtocol) removed prior torollback as not subject to localcontrol, added back toprojected future concentrations100% because marinesalts are a naturalemission0, no additionalbackground estimatefor unexplained massLINE 23.21 0.1 0.0 1.0 1.4 0.3Line 3 Net for Rollback Net for Rollback, default percentages adjustable forepisode characteristics, applicable to all columnsexcept as indicated.Removed entirely fromrollback, added back toresultLINE 319.06 1.3 0.1 2.4 9.5 2.0 0.0 0.5Line 4 Local Contribution PM2.5 Primary EmissionsArea of InfluenceSource contribution from smallest area of influence,representative of large particle primary source area,includes all PM size emissions in the area - Rolledback against local area of influence emissionestimatesMass adjusted influence of 50%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influenceof 50% PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 50%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 50%PM2.5 of net,non-linear rollbackMass adjusted influence of50% PM2.5of netMass adjustedinfluence of 50%PM2.5of netLINE 45.01 0.305 0.031 0.513 2.530 0.856 0.081Line 5 Local Contribution Primary and Secondary Areaof Influence of PM2.5Rolled back against local PM2.5 area of influenceemission estimates - episode specific adjustmentsbased on meteorology and episode durationMass adjusted influence of 30%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influenceof 30% PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 30%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 30%PM2.5 of net,non-linear rollbackMass adjusted influence of30% PM2.5of netMass adjustedinfluence of 30%PM2.5of netLINE 54.90 0.376 0.037 0.746 2.396 0.472 0.093Line 6 Sub regional ContributionPrimary and Secondary PM2.5 (Line 5 and Line 6 arethe same area for annual evaluation but may differ forepisode evaluation)Rolled back against specified County(ies) emissionestimates - episode specific adjustments based onmeteorology and episode durationMass adjusted influence of 15%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influenceof 15% PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 15%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 15%PM2.5 of net,non-linear rollbackMass adjusted influence of15% PM2.5of netMass adjustedinfluence of 15%PM2.5of netLINE 62.73 0.233 0.021 0.383 1.302 0.174 0.116Line7 Regional Contribution Rolled back against Valleywide emission estimates -episode specific adjustments based on meteorologyand episode durationMass adjusted influence of 5%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influenceof 5% PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 5%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 5% PM2.5of net,non-linear rollbackMass adjusted influence of 5%PM2.5of netMass adjustedinfluence of 5% PM2.5of netLINE 76.43 0.353 0.049 0.784 3.307 0.534 0.203Associated Emissions Categories Based upon appropriate seasonal or annualinventoryPaved roads+Unpaved roads+Off road mobile+Farm operations+Construction+WindblownTire and brake wear aspredicted by EMFACPM & CO residential burningPM & CO waste burning and disposalPM cookingPM & CO firesCO presumed to add minimal massTotal E.I. NOx (+ bacterial soil NOxestimate removed as naturalbackground)Total SOx None, natural emissionfrom the ocean, bayand delta watersTotal PM2.5256789101415N/A16What Row to use for Lookup Function------------------------------------------->Mobile ExhaustFrom CMB1.980, no natural background,transport estimated at 00.02.0Mass adjusted influenceof 50% PM2.5of net using directPM2.5 emisions0.6Mass adjusted influenceof 30% PM2.5of net using directPM2.5 emisions0.45Mass adjusted influenceof 15% PM2.5of net using directPM2.5 emisions0.27Mass adjusted influenceof 5% PM2.5of net using directPM2.5 emisions0.71PM, ROG & CO onroadmobile+PM, ROG & CO 860offroad equipmentPM, ROG & CO 870 farmequipmentCO presumed to addminimal massOrganic CarbonEstimated portion of mass includedin Vegetative Burning =30%1.49Estimate (see Protocol) removedprior to rollback as not subject tolocal control, added back to projectedfuture concentrations. Includesbiogenic emissions.= 20%0.31.2Mass adjusted influence of 50%PM2.5of net using direct PM2.5 emisions0.1Mass adjusted influence of 30%PM2.5of net using direct PM2.5 emisions0.33Mass adjusted influence of 15%PM2.5of net using direct PM2.5 emisionsTotal ROG minus motor vehicle, OCmay also include a small portion ofotherwise unassigned elementalcarbonPM & CO Area, StationaryCO presumed to add minimal massMass adjusted influence of 5%PM2.5of net using direct PM2.5 emisions0.230.4917256789101415N/A16WhatRowtouseforLookupFunction>Page 10 of 17SJV Interpollutant calculations.xlsIPR Kings 2000-20091A B C DE F G H I J K L M NKings - Annual2002 species mass 23.9 -MV adjustment2005 Design Value 17.2General Note Geologic and Construction Tire and Brake Wear Vegetative Burning AmmoniumNitrateincluding associated waterAmmoniumSulfateincluding associated waterMarine UnassignedMobile Exhaust Organic Carbon181920212223242526272829303132333435363738394041424344454647484950515253545556575859606162632000 Emissions Inventory (area of influence emissions inventory, each on a separate line for automated calculations)INDEXPM2.5 L1= Area 5 1.761 0.481 0.024 0.325 1.0122.242 Sum 5L2= Areas 5,6,7,8 7.227 1.299 0.096 2.651 4.9078.527 Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Tulare, Kings 8.947 1.540 0.106 3.686 5.04021.329 Tulare + KingsR= SJV 40.682 12.272 0.746 23.281 30.963112.405 SJV TotalNOx L1= Area 524.302Sum 5L2= Areas 5,6,7,876.700Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Tulare, Kings83.401Tulare + KingsR= SJV635.349SJV TotalROG L1= Area 55.517 14.022Sum 5L2= Areas 5,6,7,825.513 40.291Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Tulare, Kings32.263 36.424Tulare + KingsR= SJV198.230 227.374SJV TotalSOx L1= Area 52.791 Sum 5L2= Areas 5,6,7,85.133 Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Tulare, Kings3.793 Tulare + KingsR= SJV34.856 SJV Total2009 Emissions Inventory PM2.5 SIP EI V1.0PM2.5 without new controls L1= Area 5 1.544 0.397 0.032 0.334 0.5181.941 Sum 5L2= Areas 5,6,7,8 6.643 1.129 0.130 2.590 2.6237.772 Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Tulare, Kings 8.206 1.329 0.144 3.701 2.90918.159 Tulare + KingsR= SJV 36.236 10.302 0.985 20.545 16.80988.661 SJV TotalPM2.5 with new controls L1= Area 5 1.544 0.397 0.032 0.334 0.5181.941 Sum 5L2= Areas 5,6,7,8 6.643 1.129 0.130 2.590 2.6237.772 Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Tulare, Kings 8.206 1.329 0.144 3.701 2.90918.159 Tulare + KingsR= SJV 36.236 10.302 0.985 20.545 16.80988.661 SJV TotalNOx without new controls L1= Area 521.807Sum 5L2= Areas 5,6,7,865.042Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Tulare, Kings68.203Tulare + KingsR= SJV497.505SJV TotalNOx with new controls L1= Area 521.807Sum 5L2= Areas 5,6,7,865.042Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Tulare, Kings68.203Tulare + KingsR= SJV497.505SJV TotalROG without new controls L1= Area 53.826 16.192Sum 5L2= Areas 5,6,7,816.983 46.461Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Tulare, Kings22.421 42.421Tulare + KingsR= SJV129.775 244.750SJV TotalROG with new controls L1= Area 53.826 16.192Sum 5L2= Areas 5,6,7,816.983 46.461Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Tulare, Kings22.421 42.421Tulare + KingsR= SJV129.775 244.750SJV TotalSOx without new controls L1= Area 52.524 Sum 5L2= Areas 5,6,7,83.382 Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Tulare, Kings1.553 Tulare + KingsR= SJV23.022 SJV Total64656667SOx with new controls L1= Area 52.524 Sum 5L2= Areas 5,6,7,83.382 Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Tulare, Kings1.553 Tulare + KingsR= SJV23.022 SJV TotalPage 11 of 17SJV Interpollutant calculations.xlsIPR Kings 2000-20091A B C DE F G H I J K L M NKings - Annual2002 species mass 23.9 -MV adjustment2005 Design Value 17.2General Note Geologic and Construction Tire and Brake Wear Vegetative Burning AmmoniumNitrateincluding associated waterAmmoniumSulfateincluding associated waterMarine UnassignedMobile Exhaust Organic Carbon68697071727374757677787980818283848586878889909192939495969798991001011021031041051061071082009 Rollback ProjectionIMS95Local Contribution PM2.5 Primary Emissions Area ofInfluence=(2009 L1/2000 L1) * LINE 4 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 2.4 0.8 0.1Local Contribution Primary and Secondary Area ofInfluence of PM2.5=(2009 L2/2000 L2) * LINE 5 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 2.2 0.3 0.1Sub regional Contribution =(2009 Sr1/2000 Sr2) * LINE 6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.1 0.1Regional Contribution =(2009 R/2000 R) * LINE 7 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.4 2.8 0.4 0.2+ Natural Background contribution = LINE 20.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.02009 projected Annual Result 19.03 1.3 1.4 0.2 0.2 1.3 0.2 2.3 9.9 1.8 0.0 0.42009 Rollback Projection withadditional controlsIMS95Local Contribution PM2.5 Primary Emissions Area ofInfluence=(2009 L1/2000 L1) * LINE 4 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 2.4 0.8 0.1Local Contribution Primary and Secondary Area ofInfluence of PM2.5=(2009 L2/2000 L2) * LINE 5 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 2.2 0.3 0.1Sub regional Contribution =(2009 Sr1/2000 Sr2) * LINE 6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.1 0.1Regional Contribution =(2009 R/2000 R) * LINE 7 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.4 2.8 0.4 0.2+ Natural Background contribution = LINE 20.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.02009 projected Annual Result 19.03 1.3 1.4 0.2 0.2 1.3 0.2 2.3 9.9 1.8 0.0 0.4Linear2009 projected Annual Result 18.50 linear nitrate projection2.3Modeling comparisons19.03 IMS95 nitrate modeling2.0Current 2005 Design value = 17.2 18.97 CMAQ nitrate modeling1.118.83 Average of all three2.619.00 Average of CMAQ and IMS958.0CMAQ2.32.11.12.88.42009 Final Species Mass19.00 1.281193544 1.4227498 0.2000155 0.18431192 1.255603720.200311436 2.347190508 9.88 1.813878711 0 0.4137170489.8788626652000 Interpollutant Ratio EvaluationMicrograms/ton Direct PM > 0.175214458 1.0926443 1.435445892 0.273976768 0.4942648890.02311373Micrograms/ton Secondary Organic > 0.02 0.01Nitrate Ratio (G100/J102) 2.203829766Micrograms/ton Secondary > 0.12 0.40Sulfate Ratio (G100/K102) 0.6905616541081091101111121131141152009 Interpollutant Ratio EvaluationMicrograms/ton Direct PM > 0.19 1.07 1.42 0.34 0.890.02Micrograms/ton Secondary Organic > 0.14 0.04Nitrate Ratio (G112/J114) 2.233480398Micrograms/ton Secondary > 0.15 0.54Sulfate Ratio (G112/K114) 0.632570017Page 12 of 17SJV Interpollutant calculations.xlsIPR Tulare 2000-20091234567891011121314151617A B C DE F G H I J K L M NTulare - Annual2002 species mass 23.92005 Design Value 18.2General Note Geologic and Construction Tire and Brake Wear Vegetative Burning AmmoniumNitrateincluding associated waterAmmoniumSulfateincluding associated waterMarine UnassignedLine1 Source Contribution from Analysis From CMB monthly analysis Feb 2000 to Dec 2000,adding January2001 episode for chemistryequivalent to annual design valueFrom CMB From CMB From CMB minus estimated OrganicCarbon from other sourcesFrom CMB From CMB From CMB, if present Unaccounted massfrom CMB, if any.LINE 124.08 1.41 0.25 3.52 10.96 2.34 0.00 0.49Line 2 Natural and Transport Contribution, seeProtocolPortion not included in rollback analysis, removedprior to rollback as not subject to local control,added back to projected future concentrationsEstimate (see Protocol) removedprior to rollback as not subject tolocal control, added back toprojected future concentrations0, no naturalbackground, transportestimated at 0Estimate (see Protocol) removed priorto rollback as not subject to localcontrol, added back to projectedfuture concentrations. Includeswildfires and biogenic.=20% + 10%Adjusted to PMF result of 13% from10% estimate (see Protocol) removedprior to rollback as not subject to localcontrol, added back to projected futureconcentrationsAdjusted to PMF result of 13%from 10% estimate (seeProtocol) removed prior torollback as not subject to localcontrol, added back toprojected future concentrations100% because marinesalts are a naturalemission0, no additionalbackground estimatefor unexplained massLINE 23.23 0.1 0.0 1.1 1.4 0.3Line 3 Net for Rollback Net for Rollback, default percentages adjustable forepisode characteristics, applicable to all columnsexcept as indicated.Removed entirely fromrollback, added back toresultLINE 320.85 1.3 0.3 2.5 9.5 2.04 0.0 0.5Line 4 Local Contribution PM2.5 Primary EmissionsArea of InfluenceSource contribution from smallest area of influence,representative of large particle primary source area,includes all PM size emissions in the area - Rolledback against local area of influence emissionestimatesMass adjusted influence of 50%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influenceof 50% PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 50%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 50%PM2.5 of net,non-linear rollbackMass adjusted influence of50% PM2.5of netMass adjustedinfluence of 50%PM2.5of netLINE 46.50 0.379 0.094 0.838 3.056 0.591 0.100Line 5 Local Contribution Primary and Secondary Areaof Influence of PM2.5Rolled back against local PM2.5 area of influenceemission estimates - episode specific adjustmentsbased on meteorology and episode durationMass adjusted influence of 30%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influenceof 30% PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 30%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 30%PM2.5 of net,non-linear rollbackMass adjusted influence of30% PM2.5of netMass adjustedinfluence of 30%PM2.5of netLINE 54.98 0.347 0.055 0.633 2.216 0.578 0.088Line 6 Sub regional ContributionPrimary and Secondary PM2.5 (Line 5 and Line 6 arethe same area for annual evaluation but may differ forepisode evaluation)Rolled back against specified County(ies) emissionestimates - episode specific adjustments based onmeteorology and episode durationMass adjusted influence of 15%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influenceof 15% PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 15%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 15%PM2.5 of net,non-linear rollbackMass adjusted influence of15% PM2.5of netMass adjustedinfluence of 15%PM2.5of netLINE 62.76 0.215 0.030 0.325 1.205 0.214 0.111Line7 Regional Contribution Rolled back against Valleywide emission estimates -episode specific adjustments based on meteorologyand episode durationMass adjusted influence of 5%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influenceof 5% PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 5%PM2.5of netMass adjusted influence of 5% PM2.5of net,non-linear rollbackMass adjusted influence of 5%PM2.5of netMass adjustedinfluence of 5% PM2.5of netLINE 76.61 0.326 0.071 0.666 3.059 0.654 0.194Associated Emissions Categories Based upon appropriate seasonal or annualinventoryPaved roads+Unpaved roads+Off road mobile+Farm operations+Construction+WindblownTire and brake wear aspredicted by EMFACPM & CO residential burningPM & CO waste burning and disposalPM cookingPM & CO firesCO presumed to add minimal massTotal E.I. NOx (+ bacterial soil NOxestimate removed as naturalbackground)Total SOx None, natural emissionfrom the ocean, bayand delta watersTotal PM2.5256789101415N/A16What Row to use for Lookup Function------------------------------------------->Mobile ExhaustFrom CMB3.600, no natural background,transport estimated at 00.03.6Mass adjusted influenceof 50% PM2.5of net using directPM2.5 emisions1.1Mass adjusted influenceof 30% PM2.5of net using directPM2.5 emisions0.80Mass adjusted influenceof 15% PM2.5of net using directPM2.5 emisions0.47Mass adjusted influenceof 5% PM2.5of net using directPM2.5 emisions1.26PM, ROG & CO onroadmobile+PM, ROG & CO 860offroad equipmentPM, ROG & CO 870 farmequipmentCO presumed to addminimal massOrganic CarbonEstimated portion of mass includedin Vegetative Burning =30%1.51Estimate (see Protocol) removedprior to rollback as not subject tolocal control, added back to projectedfuture concentrations. Includesbiogenic emissions.= 20%0.31.2Mass adjusted influence of 50%PM2.5of net using direct PM2.5 emisions0.4Mass adjusted influence of 30%PM2.5of net using direct PM2.5 emisions0.26Mass adjusted influence of 15%PM2.5of net using direct PM2.5 emisionsTotal ROG minus motor vehicle, OCmay also include a small portion ofotherwise unassigned elementalcarbonPM & CO Area, StationaryCO presumed to add minimal massMass adjusted influence of 5%PM2.5of net using direct PM2.5 emisions0.180.3917256789101415N/A16WhatRowtouseforLookupFunction>Page 13 of 17SJV Interpollutant calculations.xlsIPR Tulare 2000-20091A B C DE F G H I J K L M NTulare - Annual2002 species mass 23.92005 Design Value 18.2General Note Geologic and Construction Tire and Brake Wear Vegetative Burning AmmoniumNitrateincluding associated waterAmmoniumSulfateincluding associated waterMarine UnassignedMobile Exhaust Organic Carbon181920212223242526272829303132333435363738394041424344454647484950515253545556575859606162632000 Emissions Inventory (area of influence emissions inventory, each on a separate line for automated calculations)INDEXPM2.5 L1= Area 7 2.366 0.520 0.050 1.120 1.9492.886 7-TuL2= Areas 5,6,7,8 7.227 1.299 0.096 2.651 4.9078.527 Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Kings, Tulare 8.947 1.540 0.106 3.686 5.04021.329 Tulare + KingsR= SJV 40.682 12.272 0.746 23.281 30.963112.405 SJV TotalNOx L1= Area 731.7437-TuL2= Areas 5,6,7,876.700Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Kings, Tulare83.401Tulare + KingsR= SJV635.349SJV TotalROG L1= Area 713.231 15.5197-TuL2= Areas 5,6,7,825.513 40.291Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Kings, Tulare32.263 36.424Tulare + KingsR= SJV198.230 227.374SJV TotalSOx L1= Area 71.573 7-TuL2= Areas 5,6,7,85.133 Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Kings, Tulare3.793 Tulare + KingsR= SJV34.856 SJV Total2009 Emissions Inventory PM2.5 SIP EI V1.0PM2.5 without new controls L1= Area 7 2.255 0.471 0.068 0.983 1.1322.727 7-TuL2= Areas 5,6,7,8 6.643 1.129 0.130 2.590 2.6237.772 Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Kings, Tulare 8.206 1.329 0.144 3.701 2.90918.159 Tulare + KingsR= SJV 36.236 10.302 0.985 20.545 16.80988.661 SJV TotalPM2.5 with new controls L1= Area 7 2.255 0.471 0.068 0.983 1.1322.727 7-TuL2= Areas 5,6,7,8 6.643 1.129 0.130 2.590 2.6237.772 Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Kings, Tulare 8.206 1.329 0.144 3.701 2.90918.159 Tulare + KingsR= SJV 36.236 10.302 0.985 20.545 16.80988.661 SJV TotalNOx without new controls L1= Area 726.0387-TuL2= Areas 5,6,7,865.042Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Kings, Tulare68.203Tulare + KingsR= SJV497.505SJV TotalNOx with new controls L1= Area 726.0387-TuL2= Areas 5,6,7,865.042Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Kings, Tulare68.203Tulare + KingsR= SJV497.505SJV TotalROG without new controls L1= Area 78.501 17.8507-TuL2= Areas 5,6,7,816.983 46.461Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Kings, Tulare22.421 42.421Tulare + KingsR= SJV129.775 244.750SJV TotalROG with new controls L1= Area 78.501 17.8507-TuL2= Areas 5,6,7,816.983 46.461Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Kings, Tulare22.421 42.421Tulare + KingsR= SJV129.775 244.750SJV TotalSOx without new controls L1= Area 70.548 7-TuL2= Areas 5,6,7,83.382 Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Kings, Tulare1.553 Tulare + KingsR= SJV23.022 SJV Total64656667SOx with new controls L1= Area 70.548 7-TuL2= Areas 5,6,7,83.382 Sum 5,6,7,8Sr= Kings, Tulare1.553 Tulare + KingsR= SJV23.022 SJV TotalPage 14 of 17SJV Interpollutant calculations.xlsIPR Tulare 2000-20091A B C DE F G H I J K L M NTulare - Annual2002 species mass 23.92005 Design Value 18.2General Note Geologic and Construction Tire and Brake Wear Vegetative Burning AmmoniumNitrateincluding associated waterAmmoniumSulfateincluding associated waterMarine UnassignedMobile Exhaust Organic Carbon68697071727374757677787980818283848586878889909192939495969798991001011021031041051061071082009 Rollback ProjectionIMS95Local Contribution PM2.5 Primary Emissions Area ofInfluence=(2009 L1/2000 L1) * LINE 4 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 2.7 0.2 0.1Local Contribution Primary and Secondary Area ofInfluence of PM2.5=(2009 L2/2000 L2) * LINE 5 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 2.0 0.4 0.1Sub regional Contribution =(2009 Sr1/2000 Sr2) * LINE 6 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.1 0.1Regional Contribution =(2009 R/2000 R) * LINE 7 0.3 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 2.6 0.4 0.2+ Natural Background contribution = LINE 20.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.02009 projected Annual Result 20.15 1.3 2.7 0.4 0.3 1.2 0.2 2.4 9.8 1.4 0.0 0.42009 Rollback Projection withadditional controlsIMS95Local Contribution PM2.5 Primary Emissions Area ofInfluence=(2009 L1/2000 L1) * LINE 4 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 2.7 0.2 0.1Local Contribution Primary and Secondary Area ofInfluence of PM2.5=(2009 L2/2000 L2) * LINE 5 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 2.0 0.4 0.1Sub regional Contribution =(2009 Sr1/2000 Sr2) * LINE 6 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.1 0.1Regional Contribution =(2009 R/2000 R) * LINE 7 0.3 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 2.6 0.4 0.2+ Natural Background contribution = LINE 20.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.02009 projected Annual Result 20.15 1.3 2.7 0.4 0.3 1.2 0.2 2.4 9.8 1.4 0.0 0.4Linear2009 projected Annual Result 19.56 linear nitrate projection2.5Modeling comparisons20.15 IMS95 nitrate modeling1.9Current 2005 Design value = 18.2 20.09 CMAQ nitrate modeling1.019.93 Average of all three2.420.12 Average of CMAQ and IMS957.8CMAQ2.72.01.12.68.32009 Final Species Mass20.12 1.31 2.66 0.36 0.34 1.240.20 2.43 9.75 1.41 0.00 0.429.7484556762000 Interpollutant Ratio EvaluationMicrograms/ton Direct PM > 0.175214458 1.986626 2.609901621 0.278127932 0.5017537510.02311373Micrograms/ton Secondary Organic > 0.03 0.01Nitrate Ratio (G100/J102) 2.237221126Micrograms/ton Secondary > 0.12 0.40Sulfate Ratio (G100/K102) 0.7010247091081091101111121131141152009 Interpollutant Ratio EvaluationMicrograms/ton Direct PM > 0.20 2.00 2.59 0.34 0.930.02Micrograms/ton Secondary Organic > 0.21 0.04Nitrate Ratio (G112/J114) 2.244130143Micrograms/ton Secondary > 0.15 0.42Sulfate Ratio (G112/K114) 0.806442149Page 15 of 17LAST to landscape SJV Interpollutant calculations.xlsIP Ratio Documentationratio:NorthernsitechemistryratiosarewithintherangeofsouthernSJVratiosPeakratio,Interpollutant Ratio Issues & DocumentationGoal of Interpollutant Evaluation: Establish the atmospheric exchangerelationship for substitution of alternative pollutant or precursorreductions for required reductions of directly emitted particulateSJVAPCD Interpollutant Ratio ResultsSOx for PM ratio: 1.000 ton of SOx per ton of PMNOx for PM ratio: 2.629 tons of NOx per ton of PMThese ratios do not include adjustments for other regulatoryrequirements specified in provisions of District Rule 2201.TOPICReference1Reason for using PM2.5 for establishing the substitution relationship between directemitted carbon PM and secondary nitrate and sulfate PM:Consistency of relationshipbetween secondary particulates and industrial direct carbon combustion emissions.2008 PM2.5 Plan,Sections 3.3.2through 3.4.22Reason for using 4th Quarter analysis:Highest PM2.5 for all sites.DV Qtrs3Reason for using analysis of southern SJV sites to apply to regional interpollutantratio:NorthernsitechemistryratiosarewithintherangeofsouthernSJVratiosPeakratio.will beprotective for all SJV counties.Q4 Model Pivot,M-c,odelsitehemModel-Daily Q44Reason for using combined results of receptor and regional model:Receptor model provides breakdown of different carbon sources to isolate connectionbetween industrial emissions and secondaryPM.2008 PM2.5 Plan,Appendix FRegional model provides atmospheric information concerning the northern SJV not availablefrom receptor analysis.2008 PM2.5 Plan,Appendix G5Most significant contributions of receptor evaluation:Separation of industrial emissionsfrom other source types. Area of influence evaluation for contributing sources.2008 PM2.5 Plan,Appendix F6Most significant contributions of regional model:Scientific equilibrium methods foratmospheric chemistry projections for 2014. Receptor technique is limited to linear methods.2008 PM2.5 Plan,Appendix G7Common area of influence adjustments used for all receptor evaluations:Modelingevaluation byJ. W. SweetFebruary 2009ReflectedinIPRGeologic & Construction, Tire and Brake Wear, Vegetative Burning - contribution extendsfrom more than just the urban area (L2)Mobile exhaust (primary), Organic Carbon (Industrial) primary, Unassigned - contributionextends from more than larger area, subregional (L3)LAST to landscape SJV Interpollutant calculations.xlsIP Ratio DocumentationWorksheetsSecondary particulates from carbon sources are dominated by the local area with somecontribution from the surrounding area (average of L1 and L2)ReflectedinIPRCounty2000-2009worksheetsMarine emissions were not found to be present in CMB modeling for this analysis.8Variations to reflect secondary area of influence specific to location:Modelingevaluation byJ. W. SweetFebruary 2009Reflected inIPRCounty2000-2009worksheetsFresno: Evaluation shows extremely strong urban signature (L1) for secondary sourcesKern: Evaluation shows a strong urban signature mixed with emissions from the surroundingindustrial areas (average L1 and L2) for both carbon and secondary sourcesKings and Tulare: Prior evaluation has show a shared metropolitan contribution area (L2)9Reasons for using 2009 Interpollutant Ratio Projection:2009 Interpollutant ratio is consistent with current emissions inventories2008 PM2.5 PlanRegional modeling does not show a significant change in chemical relationships through2014.Q4 Model Pivot10Reason for using SOx Interpollutant Ratio at 1.000:A minimum offset ratio is establishedas 1.000 to 1.000 consistent with prior District policy and procedure for interpollutant offsets.District Rule 2201Section 4.13.3Additional material contained in this file:AFull output of Regional model, daily projections for all quartersModel-Daily AnnualBDesign value data 1999-2006, used for "DV Qtrs" pivot sheetDVCEmission Inventory and other analysis sheets prepared for the 2008 PM2.5 PlanWorksheetsfollowingDV