# A P P E N D I X 8 B

. S U P P L E M E N T A R Y L I F E C Y C L E C O S T A N D P A Y B A C K

P E R I O D R E S U L T S

T A B L E O F C O N T E N T S

8 B .1 I N T R O D U C T I O N

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 1

8 B .2 I N T R O D U C T I O N TO U N C E R T A I N TY A N D V A R I A B I L I T Y

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 1

8 B .3 U N C E R T A I N TY

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 2

8 B .4 V A R I A B I L I T Y

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 2

8 B .5 A P P R O A C H ES TO U N C E R T A I N T Y A ND V A R I A B I L I T Y

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 2

8 B .6 P R O B A B I L I T Y A N A L Y S I S A ND T H E U S E O F C R Y S T A L B A L L

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 3

8 B .7 G E N E R A L S E R V I C E F L U O R E S C E NT R E S U L T S

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 4

8 B

. 7 .1 M o n t e C a r l o R e s u l t s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 4

8 B

. 7

. 1 .1 4

­ f o o t M e d i u m B i p i n

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 8 B

­ 4

8 B

. 7

. 1 .2 8

­ f o o t S i n g l e P i n S l i m l i n e

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 8 B

­ 1 0

8 B

. 7

. 1 .3 8

­ f o o t R e c e s s e d D o u b l e C o n t a c t H i g h O u t p u t

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 8 B

­ 1 3

8 B

. 7 .2 L a m p a n d B a l l a s t P r i c e S c e n a r i o R e s u l t s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 1 8

8 B

. 7

. 2 .1 4

­ f o o t M e d i u m B i p i n

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 8 B

­ 1 8

8 B

. 7

. 2 .2 8

­ f o o t S i n g l e P i n S l i m l i n e

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 8 B

­ 3 4

8 B

. 7

. 2 .3 8

­ f o o t R e c e s s e d D o u b l e C o n t a c t H O

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 8 B

­ 4 3

8 B .8 I N C A N D E S C E NT R E F L E C T O R R E S U L T S

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 5 3

8 B

. 8 .3 M o n t e C a r l o R e s u l t s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 5 4

8 B

. 8 .4 L a m p P r i c e S c e n a r i o R e s u l t s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 5 7

8 B

. 8 .5 O p e r a t i n g H o u r S c e n a r i o R e s u l t s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 6 4

L I S T O F T A B L E S

T a b l e 8 B

. 7 .1 L C C a n d P B P M o n t e C a r l o R e s u l t s f o r a 3

­ L a m p 4

­ f o o t 4 0 W T 1 2 M e d i u m

B i p i n S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 6

T a b l e 8 B

. 7 .2 L C C a n d P B P M o n t e C a r l o R e s u l t s f o r a 3

­ L a m p 4

­ f o o t 3 4 W T 1 2 M e d i u m

B i p i n S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 8

T a b l e 8 B

. 7 .3 L C C a n d P B P M o n t e C a r l o R e s u l t s f o r a 3

­ L a m p 4

­ f o o t 3 2 W T8 M e d i u m

B i p i n S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 1 0

T a b l e 8 B

. 7 .4 L C C a n d P B P M o n t e C a r l o R e s u l t s f o r a 2

­ L a m p 8

­ f o o t 7 5 W T 1 2 S i n g l e

P i n S l i m l i n e S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 1 1

T a b l e 8 B

. 7 .5 L C C a n d P B P M o n t e C a r l o R e s u l t s f o r a 2

­ L a m p 8

­ f o o t 6 0 W T 1 2 S i n g l e

P i n S l i m l i n e S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 1 2

T a b l e 8 B

. 7 .6 L C C a n d P B P M o n t e C a r l o R e s u l t s f o r a 2

­ L a m p 8

­ f o o t 5 9 W T8 S i n g l e

P i n S l i m l i n e S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 1 3

T a b l e 8 B

. 7 .7 L C C a n d P B P M o n t e C a r l o R e s u l t s f o r a 2

­ L a m p 8

­ f o o t 1 1 0 W T 1 2

R e c e s s e d D o u b l e C o n t a c t H O S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e I n d u s t r i a l

S e c t o r

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 1 5

8 B

­ i

# T a b l e 8 B

. 7 .8 L C C a n d P B P M o n t e C a r l o R e s u l t s f o r a 2

­ L a m p 8

­ f o o t 9 5 W T 1 2

R e c e s s e d D o u b l e C o n t a c t H O S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e I n d u s t r i a l

S e c t o r

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 1 6

T a b l e 8 B

. 7 .9 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 3

­ L a m p 4

­ f o o t 4 0 W T 1 2 M e d i u m B i p i n

S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r w i t h H i g h L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . 8 B

­ 2 0

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 1 0 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 3

­ L a m p 4

­ f o o t 4 0 W T 1 2 M e d i u m B i p i n

S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r w i t h L o w L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . 8 B

­ 2 2

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 1 1 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 3

­ L a m p 4

­ f o o t 4 0 W T 1 2 M e d i u m B i p i n

S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r w i t h No B a l l a s t P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 2 4

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 1 2 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 3

­ L a m p 4

­ f o o t 3 4 W T 1 2 M e d i u m B i p i n

S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r w i t h H i g h L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . 8 B

­ 2 6

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 1 3 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 3

­ L a m p 4

­ f o o t 3 4 W T 1 2 M e d i u m B i p i n

S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r w i t h L o w L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . 8 B

­ 2 8

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 1 4 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 3

­ L a m p 4

­ f o o t 3 4 W T 1 2 M e d i u m B i p i n

S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r w i t h No B a l l a s t P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 3 0

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 1 5 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 3

­ L a m p 4

­ f o o t 3 2 W T8 M e d i u m B i p i n

S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r w i t h H i g h L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . 8 B

­ 3 1

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 1 6 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 3

­ L a m p 4

­ f o o t 3 2 W T8 M e d i u m B i p i n

S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r w i t h L o w L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . 8 B

­ 3 2

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 1 7 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 3

­ L a m p 4

­ f o o t 3 2 W T8 M e d i u m B i p i n

S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r w i t h No B a l l a s t P r i c e

. . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 3 4

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 1 8 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 2

­ L a m p 8

­ f o o t 7 5 W T 1 2 S i n g l e P i n S l i m l i n e

S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r w i t h H i g h L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . 8 B

­ 3 5

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 1 9 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 2

­ L a m p 8

­ f o o t 7 5 W T 1 2 S i n g l e P i n S l i m l i n e

S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r w i t h L o w L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . 8 B

­ 3 6

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 2 0 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 2

­ L a m p 8

­ f o o t 7 5 W T 1 2 S i n g l e P i n S l i m l i n e

S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r w i t h No B a l l a s t P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 3 7

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 2 1 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 2

­ L a m p 8

­ f o o t 6 0 W T 1 2 S i n g l e P i n S l i m l i n e

S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r w i t h H i g h L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . 8 B

­ 3 8

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 2 2 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 2

­ L a m p 8

­ f o o t 6 0 W T 1 2 S i n g l e P i n S l i m l i n e

S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r w i t h L o w L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . 8 B

­ 3 9

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 2 3 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 2

­ L a m p 8

­ f o o t 6 0 W T 1 2 S i n g l e P i n S l i m l i n e

S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r w i t h No B a l l a s t P r i c e

. . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 4 0

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 2 4 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 2

­ L a m p 8

­ f o o t 5 9 W T8 S i n g l e P i n S l i m l i n e

S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r w i t h H i g h L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . 8 B

­ 4 1

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 2 5 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 2

­ L a m p 8

­ f o o t 5 9 W T8 S i n g l e P i n S l i m l i n e

S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r w i t h L o w L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . 8 B

­ 4 2

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 2 6 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 2

­ L a m p 8

­ f o o t 5 9 W T8 S i n g l e P i n S l i m l i n e

S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r w i t h No B a l l a s t P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 4 3

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 2 7 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 2

­ L a m p 8

­ f o o t 1 1 0 W T 1 2 R e c e s s e d D o u b l e

C o n t a c t H O S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e I n d u s t r i a l S e c t o r w i t h H i g h L a m p

P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 4 4

8 B

­ i i

# T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 2 8 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 2

­ L a m p 8

­ f o o t 1 1 0 W T 1 2 R e c e s s e d D o u b l e

C o n t a c t H O S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e I n d u s t r i a l S e c t o r w i t h L o w L a m p

P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 4 6

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 2 9 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 2

­ L a m p 8

­ f o o t 1 1 0 W T 1 2 R e c e s s e d D o u b l e

C o n t a c t H O S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n t h e I n d u s t r i a l S e c t o r w i t h No B a l l a s t

P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 4 8

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 3 0 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 2

­ L a m p 8

­ f o o t 9 5 W T 1 2 R e c e s s e d D o u b l e

C o n t a c t H O S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n I n d u s t r i a l S e c t o r w i t h H i g h L a m p

P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 5 0

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 3 1 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 2

­ L a m p 8

­ f o o t 9 5 W T 1 2 R e c e s s e d D o u b l e

C o n t a c t H O S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n I n d u s t r i a l S e c t o r w i t h L o w L a m p

P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 5 1

T a b l e 8 B

. 7

. 3 2 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 2

­ L a m p 8

­ f o o t 9 5 W T 1 2 R e c e s s e d D o u b l e

C o n t a c t H O S y s t e m O p e r a t i n g i n I n d u s t r i a l S e c t o r w i t h No B a l l a s t

P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 5 2

T a b l e 8 B

. 8 .1 L C C a n d P B P M o n t e C a r l o R e s u l t s f o r a 9 0 W P A R 3 8 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n

t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 5 4

T a b l e 8 B

. 8 .2 L C C a n d P B P M o n t e C a r l o R e s u l t s f o r a 9 0 W P A R 3 8 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n

t h e R e s i d e n t i a l S e c t o r

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 5 5

T a b l e 8 B

. 8 .3 L C C a n d P B P M o n t e C a r l o R e s u l t s f o r a 7 5 W P A R 3 8 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n

t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 5 5

T a b l e 8 B

. 8 .4 L C C a n d P B P M o n t e C a r l o R e s u l t s f o r a 7 5 W P A R 3 8 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n

t h e R e s i d e n t i a l S e c t o r

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 5 6

T a b l e 8 B

. 8 .5 L C C a n d P B P M o n t e C a r l o R e s u l t s f o r a 5 0 W P A R 3 0 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n

t h e C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 5 6

T a b l e 8 B

. 8 .6 L C C a n d P B P M o n t e C a r l o R e s u l t s f o r a 5 0 W P A R 3 0 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n

t h e R e s i d e n t i a l S e c t o r

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 5 7

T a b l e 8 B

. 8 .7 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 9 0 W P A R 3 8 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n t h e

C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r w i t h H i g h L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 5 8

T a b l e 8 B

. 8 .8 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 9 0 W P A R 3 8 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n t h e

R e s i d e n t i a l S e c t o r w i t h H i g h L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 5 8

T a b l e 8 B

. 8 .9 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 9 0 W P A R 3 8 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n t h e

C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r w i t h L o w L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 5 9

T a b l e 8 B

. 8

. 1 0 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 9 0 W P A R 3 8 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n t h e

R e s i d e n t i a l S e c t o r w i t h L o w L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 5 9

T a b l e 8 B

. 8

. 1 1 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 7 5 W P A R 3 8 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n t h e

C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r u s i n g H i g h L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 6 0

T a b l e 8 B

. 8

. 1 2 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 7 5 W P A R 3 8 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n t h e

R e s i d e n t i a l S e c t o r u s i n g H i g h L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 6 0

T a b l e 8 B

. 8

. 1 3 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 7 5 W P A R 3 8 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n t h e

C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r u s i n g L o w L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 6 1

T a b l e 8 B

. 8

. 1 4 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 7 5 W P A R 3 8 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n t h e

R e s i d e n t i a l S e c t o r u s i n g L o w L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 6 1

8 B

­ i i i

# T a b l e 8 B

. 8

. 1 5 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 5 0 W P A R 3 0 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n t h e

C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r u s i n g H i g h L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 6 2

T a b l e 8 B

. 8

. 1 6 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 5 0 W P A R 3 0 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n t h e

R e s i d e n t i a l S e c t o r u s i n g H i g h L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 6 2

T a b l e 8 B

. 8

. 1 7 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 5 0 W P A R 3 0 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n t h e

C o m m e r c i a l S e c t o r u s i n g L o w L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 6 3

T a b l e 8 B

. 8

. 1 8 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 5 0 W P A R 3 0 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n t h e

R e s i d e n t i a l S e c t o r u s i n g L o w L a m p P r i c e s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 6 3

T a b l e 8 B

. 8

. 1 9 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 9 0 W P A R 3 8 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n t h e

R e s i d e n t i a l S e c t o r u s i n g H i g h O p e r a t i n g H o u r s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 6 4

T a b l e 8 B

. 8

. 2 0 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 9 0 W P A R 3 8 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n t h e

R e s i d e n t i a l S e c t o r u s i n g L o w O p e r a t i n g H o u r s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 6 5

T a b l e 8 B

. 8

. 2 1 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 7 5 W P A R 3 8 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n t h e

R e s i d e n t i a l S e c t o r u s i n g H i g h O p e r a t i n g H o u r s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 6 6

T a b l e 8 B

. 8

. 2 2 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 7 5 W P A R 3 8 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n t h e

R e s i d e n t i a l S e c t o r u s i n g L o w O p e r a t i n g H o u r s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 6 6

T a b l e 8 B

. 8

. 2 3 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 5 0 W P A R 3 0 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n t h e

R e s i d e n t i a l S e c t o r u s i n g H i g h O p e r a t i n g H o u r s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 6 7

T a b l e 8 B

. 8

. 2 4 L C C a n d P B P R e s u l t s f o r a 5 0 W P A R 3 0 L a m p O p e r a t i n g i n t h e

R e s i d e n t i a l S e c t o r u s i n g L o w O p e r a t i n g H o u r s

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B

­ 6 7

8 B

­ i v

# A P P E N D I X 8 B

. S U P P L E M E N T A R Y L I F E C Y C L E C O S T A N D P A Y B A C K P E R I O D

R E S U L T S

8 B

. 1 I N T R O D U C T I O N

T h i s a p p e n d i x d i s c u s s e s u n c e r t a i n t y a n d v a r i a b i l i ty a n a l y s e s a n d p r e s e n t s r e s u l t s o f t h o s e

u n c e r t a i n t y a n d v a r i a b i l i t y a n a l y s e s p r e f o r

m e d i n t h e l i f e c y c l e c o s t ( L C C ) a n d p a y b a c k p e r i o d

( P B P ) a n a l y s i s

. R e s u l t s f o r t h e l i f e c y c l e c o s t ( L C C ) a n d p a y b a c k p e r i o d ( P B P ) a n a l y s i s u s i n g a

d i s t r i b u t i o n o f o p e r a t i n g h o u r s

, d i s c o u n t r a t e s

, s a l e s t a x

, a n d e l e c t r i c i t y p r i c e s a r e p r e s e n t e d

. T h e

a v e r a g e L C C s a v i n g s a t e a c h c a n d i d a t e s t a n d a r d l e v e l ( C S L ) f o r e a c h l a m p o r l a m p

­ a n d

­ b a l l a s t

d e s i g n a r e g i v e n a s w e l l a s t h e p e r c e n t a g e o f c o n s u m e r s w h o w o u l d e x p e r i e n c e a n e t b e n e f i t o r

n e t l o s s b y p u r c h a s i n g a f r o m a s t a n d a r d s c a s e d e s i g n i n s t e a d o f a b a s e c a s e d e s i g n

. T h e m e d i a n

a n d m e a n P B P a r e a l s o g i v e n

. T h i s a p p e n d i x a l s o p r e s e n t s r e s u l t s o f t h e L C C a n d P B P a n a l y s i s

u s i n g h i g h a n d l o w l a m p p r i c e s

. F o r g e n e r a l s e r v i c e f l u o r e s c e n t l a m p s ( G S F L )

, r e s u l t s u s i n g

m e d i u m

­ r a n g e l a m p p r i c e s a n d n o b a l l a s t p r i c e

, w h e r e t h e p r i c e o f t h e b a l l a s t s i s e q u a l t o z e r o

,

a r e a l s o p r e s e n t e d

. F o r r e s i d e n t i a l i n c a n d e s c e n t r e f l e c t o r s l a m p s ( I R L ) r e s u l t s u s i n g h i g h

o p e r a t i n g h o u r s ( 1

, 2 1 0 h o u r s / y e a r : t h e a v e r a g e o p e r a t i n g h o u r s o f a l a m p p l a c e d i n t h e k i t c h e n

o f a s i n g l e

­ f a m i l y d e t a c h e d h o m e ) a n d l o w o p e r a t i n g h o u r s ( 1 8 3 h o u r s / y e a r : t h e a v e r a g e

o p e r a t i n g h o u r s o f a l a m p p l a c e d i n a c l o s e t o f a m u l t i

­ f a m i l y 2

­ 4 u n i t h o m e ) a r e p r e s e n t e d

. T h e s e o p e r a t i n g h o u r s a r e o b t a i n e d U

. S

. L i g h t i n g M a r k e t C h a r a c t e r i z a t i o n : V o l u m e I 1



# .

8 B

. 2 I N T R O D U C T I O N T O U N C E R T A I N T Y A N D V A R I A B I L I T Y

A n a l y s i s o f a n e n e r g y

­ e f f i c i e n c y s t a n d a r d i n v o l v e s c a l c u l a t i o n s o f i m p a c t s

, f o r e x a m p l e

,

t h e i m p a c t o f a s t a n d a r d o n c o n s u m e r L C C

. I n o r d e r t o p e r f o rm t h e c a l c u l a t i o n

, t h e a n a l y s t m u s t

f i r s t : 1 ) s p e c i f y t h e e q u a t i o n o r m o d e l t h a t w i l l b e u s e d ; 2 ) d e f i n e t h e q u a n t i t i e s i n t h e e q u a t i o n ;

a n d 3 ) p r o v i d e n u m e r i c a l v a l u e s f o r e a c h q u a n t i t y

. I n t h e s i m p l e s t c a s e

, t h e e q u a t i o n i s

u n a m b i g u o u s ( c o n t a i n s a l l r e l e v a n t q u a n t i t i e s a n d n o o t h e r s )

, e a c h q u a n t i t y h a s a s i n g l e

n u m e r i c a l v a l u e

, a n d t h e c a l c u l a t i o n r e s u l t s i n a s i n g l e v a l u e

. H o w e v e r

, u n a m b i g u i t y a n d

p r e c i s i o n a r e r a r e l y t h e c a s e

. I n a l m o s t a l l c a s e s

, t h e m o d e l a n d / o r t h e n u m e r i c a l v a l u e s f o r e a c h

q u a n t i t y i n t h e m o d e l a r e n o t c o m p l e t e l y k n o w n ( i

. e

., t h e r e i s u n c e r t a i n t y ) o r t h e m o d e l a n d / o r

t h e n u m e r i c a l v a l u e s f o r e a c h q u a n t i t y i n t h e m o d e l d e p e n d u p o n o t h e r c o n d i t i o n s ( i

. e

., t h e r e i s

v a r i a b i l i t y )

.

T h o r o u g h a n a l y s i s i n v o l v e s a c c o u n t i n g f o r u n c e r t a i n t y a n d v a r i a b i l i t y

. W h i l e t h e

s i m p l e s t a n a l y s i s i n v o l v e s a s i n g l e n u m e r i c a l v a l u e f o r e a c h q u a n t i t y i n a c a l c u l a t i o n

, a r g u m e n t s

c a n a r i s e a b o u t w h a t t h e a p p r o p r i a t e v a l u e i s f o r e a c h q u a n t i t y

. E x p l i c i t a n a l y s i s o f u n c e r t a i n t y

a n d v a r i a b i l i t y i s i n t e n d e d t o p r o v i d e m o r e c o m p l e t e i n f o r

m a t i o n t o t h e d e c i s i o n

­ m a k i n g p r o c e s s

.

8 B

­ 1

# 8 B

. 3 U N C E R T A I N T Y

W h e n m a k i n g o b s e r v a t i o n s o f p a s t e v e n t s o r s p e c u l a t i n g a b o u t t h e f u t u r e

, i m p e r f e c t

k n o w l e d g e i s t h e r u l e r a t h e r t h a n t h e e x c e p t i o n

. F o r e x a m p l e

, t h e e n e r g y a c t u a l l y c o n s u m e d b y a

p a r t i c u l a r a p p l i a n c e t y p e ( s u c h a s t h e a v e r a g e U

. S

. l a m p ) i s n o t d i r e c t l y r e c o r d e d

, b u t r a t h e r

e s t i m a t e d b a s e d u p o n a v a i l a b l e i n f o r

m a t i o n

. E v e n d i r e c t l a b o r a t o r y m e a s u r e m e n t s h a v e s o m e

m a r g i n o f e r r o r

. W h e n e s t i m a t i n g n u m e r i c a l v a l u e s e x p e c t e d f o r q u a n t i t i e s a t s o m e f u t u r e d a t e

,

t h e e x a c t o u t c o m e i s r a r e l y k n o w n i n a d v a n c e

.

8 B

. 4 V A R I A B I L I T Y

V a r i a b i l i t y m e a n s t h a t d i f f e r e n t a p p l i c a t i o n s o r s i t u a t i o n s p r o d u c e d i f f

e r e n t n u m e r i c a l

v a l u e s w h e n c a l c u l a t i n g a q u a n t i t y

. S p e c i f y i n g a n e x a c t v a l u e f o r a q u a n t i t y m a y b e d i f f i c u l t

b e c a u s e t h e v a l u e d e p e n d s o n s o m e t h i n g e l s e

. F o r e x a m p l e

, t h e n u m b e r o f h o u r s a l a m p i s

o p e r a t e d b y a h o u s e h o l d d e p e n d s u p o n t h e s p e c i f i c c i r c u m s t a n c e s a n d b e h a v i o r s o f t h e o c c u p a n t s

( e

. g

., n u m b e r o f p e r s o n s

, p e r s o n a l h a b i t s a b o u t h o w m u c h l i g h t t h e p e r s o n n e e d s

, e t c

. )

. V a r i a b i l i t y m a k e s s p e c i f y i n g a n a p p r o p r i a t e p o p u l a t i o n v a l u e m o r e d i f f i c u l t i n a s m u c h a s a n y

o n e v a l u e m a y n o t b e r e p r e s e n t a t i v e o f t h e e n t i r e p o p u l a t i o n

. S u r v e y s c a n b e h e l p f u l h e r e

, a n d

a n a l y s i s o f s u r v e y s c a n r e l a t e t h e v a r i a b l e o f i n t e r e s t ( e

. g

., h o u r s o f u s e ) t o o t h e r v a r i a b l e s t h a t

a r e b e t t e r k n o w n o r e a s i e r t o f o r e c a s t ( e

. g

., p e r s o n s p e r h o u s e h o l d )

.

8 B

. 5 A P P R O A C H E S T O U N C E R T A I N T Y A N D V A R I A B I L I T Y

T h i s s e c t i o n d e s c r i b e s t w o a p p r o a c h e s t o u n c e r t a i n t y a n d v a r i a b i l i t y :

• s c e n a r i o a n a l y s i s

, a n d

• p r o b a b i l i t y a n a l y s i s

.

S c e n a r i o a n a l y s i s u s e s a s i n g l e n u m e r i c a l v a l u e f o r e a c h q u a n t i t y i n a c a l c u l a t i o n

, t h e n

c h a n g e s o n e ( o r m o r e ) o f t h e n u m e r i c a l v a l u e s a n d r e p e a t s t h e c a l c u l a t i o n

. A n u m b e r o f

c a l c u l a t i o n s a r e d o n e

, w h i c h p r o v i d e s o m e i n d i c a t i o n o f t h e e x t e n t t o w h i c h t h e r e s u l t d e p e n d s

u

p o n t h e a s s u m p t i o n s

. F o r e x a m p l e

, t h e l i f e

­ c y c l e c o s t o f a l a m p c o u l d b e c a l c u l a t e d f o r e n e r g y

r a t e s o f 2

, 8

, a n d 1 4 ¢ p e r k W h

.

T h e a d v a n t a g e s o f s c e n a r i o a n a l y s i s a r e t h a t e a c h c a l c u l a t i o n i s s i m p l e ; a r a n g e o f

e s t i m a t e s i s u s e d ; a n d c r o s s o v e r p o i n t s c a n b e i d e n t i f i e d

. ( A n e x a m p l e o f a c r o s s o v e r p o i n t i s t h e

e n e r g y r a t e a b o v e w h i c h t h e l i f e

­ c y c l e c o s t i s r e d u c e d

, h o l d i n g a l l o t h e r i n p u t s c o n s t a n t

. T h a t i s

,

t h e c r o s s o v e r p o i n t i s t h e e n e r g y r a t e a t w h i c h t h e c o n s u m e r a c h i e v e s s a v i n g s i n o p e r a t i n g

e x p e n s e t h a t m o r e t h a n c o m p e n s a t e f o r t h e i n c r e a s e d p u r c h a s e e x p e n s e .) T h e d i s a d v a n t a g e o f

s c e n a r i o a n a l y s i s i s t h a t t h e r e i s n o i n f o r

m a t i o n a b o u t t h e l i k e l i h o o d o f e a c h s c e n a r i o

.

8 B

­ 2

# P r o b a b i l i t y a n a l y s i s c o n s i d e r s t h e p r o b a b i l i t i e s w i t h i n a r a n g e o f v a l u e s

. F o r q u a n t i t i e s

w i t h v a r i a b i l i t y ( e

. g

., e l e c t r i c i t y r a t e s i n d i f f

e r e n t h o u s e h o l d s )

, s u r v e y s c a n b e u s e d t o g e n e r a t e a

f r e q u e n c y d i s t r i b u t i o n o f n u m e r i c a l v a l u e s ( e

. g

., t h e n u m b e r o f h o u s e h o l d s w i t h e l e c t r i c i t y r a t e s

a t p a r t i c u l a r l e v e l s ) t o e s t i m a t e t h e p r o b a b i l i t y o f e a c h v a l u e

. F o r q u a n t i t i e s w i t h u n c e r t a i n t y

,

s t a t i s t i c a l o r s u b j e c t i v e m e a s u r e s c a n b e u s e d t o p r o v i d e p r o b a b i l i t i e s ( e

. g

., m a n u f a c t u r i n g c o s t t o

i m p r o v e e n e r g y e f f i c i e n c y t o s o m e l e v e l m a y b e e s t i m a t e d t o b e $ 1 0 ± $ 3 )

.

T h e m a j o r d i s a d v a n t a g e o f t h e p r o b a b i l i t y a p p r o a c h i s t h a t i t r e q u i r e s m o r e i n f o r

m a t i o n

,

n a m e l y i n f o r

m a t i o n a b o u t t h e s h a p e s a n d m a g n i t u d e s o f t h e v a r i a b i l i t y a n d u n c e r t a i n t y o f e a c h

q u a n t i t y

. T h e a d v a n t a g e o f t h e p r o b a b i l i t y a p p r o a c h i s t h a t i t p r o v i d e s g r e a t e r i n f o r

m a t i o n a b o u t

t h e o u t c o m e o f t h e c a l c u l a t i o n s

, t h a t i s

, i t p r o v i d e s t h e p r o b a b i l i t y t h a t t h e o u t c o m e w i l l b e i n a

p a r t i c u l a r r a n g e

.

S c e n a r i o a n d p r o b a b i l i t y a n a l y s i s p r o v i d e s o m e i n d i c a t i o n o f t h e r o b u s t n e s s o f t h e p o l i c y

g i v e n t h e u n c e r t a i n t i e s a n d v a r i a b i l i t y

. A p o l i c y i s r o b u s t w h e n t h e i m p a c t s a r e a c c e p t a b l e o v e r a

w i d e r a n g e o f p o s s i b l e c o n d i t i o n s

.

8 B

. 6 P R O B A B I L I T Y A N A L Y S I S A N D T H E U S E O F C R Y S T A L B A L L

To q u a n t i f y t h e u n c e r t a i n t y a n d v a r i a b i l i t y t h a t e x i s t i n i n p u t s t o t h e e n g i n e e r i n g

, L C C

,

a n d p a y b a c k p e r i o d ( P B P ) a n a l y s e s

, t h e D e p a r t m e n t u s e d M i c r o s o f t E x c e l s p r e a d s h e e t s

c o m b i n e d w i t h C r y s t a l B a l l

, a c o m m e r c i a l l y a v a i l a b l e a d d

­ i n

, t o c o n d u c t p r o b a b i l i t y a n a l y s e s

. T h e p r o b a b i l i t y a n a l y s e s u s e d M o n t e C a r l o s i m u l a t i o n a n d p r o b a b i l i t y d i s t r i b u t i o n s

.

S i m u l a t i o n r e f e r s t o a n y a n a l y t i c a l m e t h o d m e a n t t o i m i t a t e a r e a l

­ l i f e s y s t e m

, e s p e c i a l l y

w h e n o t h e r a n a l y s e s a r e t o o m a t h e m a t i c a l l y c o m p l e x o r t o o d i f f i c u l t t o r e p r o d u c e

. W i t h o u t t h e

a i d o f s i m u l a t i o n

, a s p r e a d s h e e t m o d e l w i l l o n l y r e v e a l a s i n g l e o u t c o m e

, g e n e r a l l y t h e m o s t

l i k e l y o r a v e r a g e s c e n a r i o

. S p r e a d s h e e t r i s k a n a l y s i s u s e s b o t h a s p r e a d s h e e t m o d e l a n d

s i m u l a t i o n t o a u t o m a t i c a l l y a n a l y z e t h e e f f

e c t o f v a r y i n g i n p u t s o n o u t p u t s o f t h e m o d e l e d

s y s t e m

. O n e t y p e o f s p r e a d s h e e t s i m u l a t i o n i s M o n t e C a r l o s i m u l a t i o n

, w h i c h r a n d o m l y

g e n e r a t e s v a l u e s f o r u n c e r t a i n v a r i a b l e s a g a i n a n d a g a i n t o s i m u l a t e a m o d e l

. M o n t e C a r l o

s i m u l a t i o n w a s n a m e d f o r M o n t e C a r l o

, M o n a c o

, w h e r e t h e p r i m a r y a t t r a c t i o n s a r e c a s i n o s

c o n t a i n i n g g a m e s o f c h a n c e

. G a m e s o f c h a n c e s u c h a s r o u l e t t e w h e e l s

, d i c e

, a n d s l o t m a c h i n e s

,

e x h i b i t r a n d o m b e h a v i o r

. T h e r a n d o m b e h a v i o r i n g a m e s o f c h a n c e i s s i m i l a r t o h o w M o n t e

C a r l o s i m u l a t i o n s e l e c t s v a r i a b l e v a l u e s a t r a n d o m t o s i m u l a t e a m o d e l

. W h e n y o u r o l l a d i e

, y o u

k n o w t h a t e i t h e r a 1

, 2

, 3

, 4

, 5

, o r 6 w i l l c o m e u p, b u t y o u d o n o t k n o w w h i c h f o r a n y p a r t i c u l a r

r o l l

. I t ' s t h e s a m e w i t h t h e v a r i a b l e s t h a t h a v e a k n o w n r a n g e o f v a l u e s b u t a n u n c e r t a i n v a l u e f o r

a n y p a r t i c u l a r t i m e o r e v e n t ( e

. g

., e q u i p m e n t l i f e t i m e

, d i s c o u n t r a t e

, a n d i n s t a l l a t i o n c o s t )

.

F o r e a c h u n c e r t a i n v a r i a b l e ( o n e t h a t h a s a r a n g e o f p o s s i b l e v a l u e s )

, p o s s i b l e v a l u e s a r e d e f i n e d

w i t h a p r o b a b i l i t y d i s t r i b u t i o n

. T h e t y p e o f d i s t r i b u t i o n s e l e c t e d i s b a s e d o n t h e

c o n d i t i o n s s u r r o u n d i n g t h a t v a r i a b l e

. P r o b a b i l i t y d i s t r i b u t i o n t y p e s i n c l u d e :

8 B

­ 3

# NORMAL 

# TRIANGULAR UNIFORM



# F i g u r e 8 B

. 6

. 1 N o r m a l P r o b a b i l i t y

D i s t r i b u t i o n F i g u r e 8 B

. 6

. 2 T r i a n g u l a r

P r o b a b i l i t y D i s t r i b u t i o n F i g u r e 8 B

. 6

. 3 U n i f o r m P r o b a b i l i t y

D i s t r i b u t i o n



# D u r i n g a s i m u l a t i o n

, m u l t i p l e s c e n a r i o s o f a m o d e l a r e c a l c u l a t e d b y r e p e a t e d l y s a m p l i n g v a l u e s

f r o m t h e p r o b a b i l i t y d i s t r i b u t i o n s f o r t h e u n c e r t a in v a r i a b l e s a n d u s i n g t h o s e v a l u e s f o r t h e c e l l

. C r y s t a l B a l l s i m u l a t i o n s c a n c o n s i s t o f a s m a n y t r i a l s ( o r s c e n a r i o s ) a s d e s i r e d

— h u n d r e d s o r

e v e n t h o u s a n d s

. D u r i n g a s i n g l e t r i a l

, C r y s t a l B a l l r a n d o m l y s e l e c t s a v a l u e f r o m t h e d e f i n e d

p o s s i b i l i t i e s ( t h e r a n g e a n d s h a p e o f t h e p r o b a b i l i t y d i s t r i b u t i o n ) f o r e a c h u n c e r t a i n v a r i a b l e a n d

t h e n r e c a l c u l a t e s t h e s p r e a d s h e e t

.

8 B

. 7 G E N E R A L S E R V I C E F L U O R E S C E N T R E S U L T S

D O E a n a l y z e d t h r e e p r o d u c t c l a s s e s f o r G S F L

, 4

­ f o ot m e d i u m b i

­ p i n

, 8

­ f o o t s i n g l e

­ p i n

s l i m l i n e

, a n d 8

­ f o o t r e c e s s e d d o u b l e c o n t a c t h i g h

­ o u t p u t

. F o r e a c h o f t h e t h r e e p r o d u c t c l a s s e s

, D O E c o n d u c t s b o t h p r o b a b i l i t y a n a l y s e s ( b a s e d o n M o n t e C a r l o r u n s ) a n d s c e n a r i o a n a l y s e s

.

8 B

. 7 .1 M o n t e C a r l o R e s u l t s

To c h a r a c t e r i z e t h e L C C s a v i n g s a n d M o n t e C a r l o r e s u l t s f o r G S F L

, D O E d e v e l o p e d

t a

b l e s t o d e s c r i b e t h e r e s u l t s d i s t r i b u t i o n s

. T h e s e t a b l e s d o c u m e n t t h e a v e r a g e L C C s a v i n g s a n d

p e r c e n t a g e s o f b u i l d i n g a n a l y z e d w i t h p o s i t i v e a n d n e g a t i v e L C C s a v i n g s f o r v a r i o u s s y s t e m i n

e a c h e v e n t a n a l y z e d

. I n a d d i t i o n

, t o c h a r a c t e r i z e t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n o f p a y b a c k p e r i o d s

, D O E

r e p o r t s t h e m e d i a n a n d a v e r a g e p a y b a c k p e r i o d f o r e a c h s y s t e m a n a l y z e d f o r e a c h e v e n t

.

8 B

. 7

. 1 .1 4

­ f o o t M e d i u m B i p i n

F o r t h e 4

­ f o o t m e d i u m b i

­ p i n p r o d u c t c l a s s

, D O E a n a l y z e d t h r e e b a s e l i n e l a m p s : a 4 0 W

T 1 2

, 3 4 W T 1 2

, a n d 3 2 W T 8

. E a c h l a m p w a s a n a l y z e d a t f i v e c a n d i d a t e s t a n d a r d l e v e l s w i t h

m i n i m u m e f f i c a c y r e q u i r e m e n t o f 9 2

. 4

, 8 5

. 0

, 9 0

. 0

, 9 2

. 3

, a n d 9 5 .4 l m / W

. T h e f o l l o w i n g t a b l e s

p r e s e n t t h e L C C s a v i n g s a n d P B P M o n t e C a r l o r e s u l t s f o r t h e t h r e e 4

­ f o o t m e d i u m b i p i n

b a s e l i n e s o p e r a t i n g i n t h e c o m m e r c i a l s e c t o r

. K e y i n p u t s c o n s i s t o f u s i n g t h e E n e r g y

I n f o r

m a t i o n A d m i n i s t r a t i o n ’ s ( E I A ’ s ) A n n u a l E n e r g

y O u t l o o k 2 0 0 7 ( A E O 2 0 0 7) r e f e r e n c e c a s e

8 B

­ 4

# e l e c t r i c i t y p r i c e s

, a n d m e d i u m

­ r a n g e l a m p a n d b a l l a s t p r i c e s

. N o t e : L a m p r e p l a c e m e n t r e s u l t s i n

E v e n t I a r e n o t s h o w n f o r a 3 4 W T 1 2 l a m p b e c a u s e t h e r e a r e n o e n e r g y s a v i n g l a m p r e p l a c e m e n t

o p t i o n s

.

8 B

­ 5Table8B.7.1LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora3­Lamp4­foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorMeanLumensfromBaseline%0.0­10.3­3.5­2.78.73.3­10.3­1.0­8.3­2.0­6.2­6.4­1.70.0­3.5­2.78.73.3­10.3­1.0­8.3­2.0­6.2­6.4­1.7PaybackPeriodyrAverageN/A2.110.911.514.011.56.87.04.55.74.74.56.6N/A10.911.514.011.56.87.04.55.74.74.56.6MedianN/A2.110.711.213.711.26.66.94.45.64.54.46.4N/A10.711.213.711.26.66.94.45.64.54.46.4LifeCycleCostSavings$BuildingswithNetCost%N/A0.088.388.392.589.421.622.61.911.72.12.517.3N/A97.097.099.197.142.748.55.926.27.28.234.2NetBenefit%N/A100.011.711.77.510.678.477.498.188.397.997.582.7N/A3.03.00.92.957.351.594.173.892.891.865.8AverageSavingsN/A17.23­9.10­9.92­9.39­10.188.707.0525.7413.6124.3626.0210.78N/A­15.81­16.63­16.11­16.901.980.3419.026.8917.6519.304.07

D e s i g n O p t i o n40WT12&0.95BFMag34WT12&0.88BFMag40WT12&0.88BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec32.5WT8&1.18BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec34WT12&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec30WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec28WT8&1BFElec25WT8&1.18BFElec40WT12&0.95BFMag40WT12&0.88BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec32.5WT8&1.18BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec34WT12&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec30WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec28WT8&1BFElec25WT8&1.18BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W80.091.282.585.086.290.091.290.892.395.095.497.396.080.082.585.086.290.091.290.892.395.095.497.396.0

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL3CSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.aLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitaThroughoutthefollowingtables,Replacementisreferredtoas“Repl.”,andNewConstructionandRenovationisreferredtoas“NewConst.”and“Renov.”,respectively.8B­6Table8B.7.1LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora3­Lamp4­foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSector(continued)MeanLumensfromBaseline%­7.4­4.6­2.73.3­10.3­1.0­8.3­2.0­6.2­6.4­1.78.73.3­10.3­1.0­8.3­2.0­6.2­6.4­1.7PaybackPeriodyrAverageN/A39.467.068.82.81.00.00.80.00.42.0N/A6.72.10.80.00.70.00.41.5MedianN/A38.365.266.92.71.00.00.80.00.42.0N/A6.52.10.80.00.70.00.41.5LifeCycleCostSavings$BuildingswithNetCost%N/A100.0100.0100.00.10.00.00.00.00.00.0N/A70.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.0NetBenefit%N/A0.00.00.099.9100.0100.0100.0100.0100.0100.0N/A29.2100.0100.0100.0100.0100.0100.0100.0AverageSavingsN/A­5.79­7.44­7.7011.189.5428.2216.0926.8528.5013.26N/A­0.7918.0916.4535.1323.0033.7635.4120.17

D e s i g n O p t i o n40WT12&0.88BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec34WT12&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec30WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec28WT8&1BFElec25WT8&1.18BFElec32.5WT8&1.18BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec34WT12&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec30WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec28WT8&1BFElec25WT8&1.18BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W80.082.585.090.091.290.892.395.095.497.396.086.290.091.290.892.395.095.497.396.0

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventIII:BallastFailureEventIV:BallastRetrofit*Comparativelumensaresometimesnon­zeroforbaselineT12electronicsystemsundereventsIIIandIV(ballastfailureandretrofit)becausethelumenpackageiscomparedtoasystemwithaT12magneticballast.DOEchosetocomparethesesystemsfortheseeventsbecauseitrecognizesthatthoughfederalregulationswillprohibittheuseofmagneticballasts,futurepurchasersmaystillseekthecurrentlumenpackagedeliveredbycurrentT12magneticsystems.8B­7Table8B.7.2LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora3­Lamp4­foot34WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorMeanLumensfromBaseline%0.07.010.99.64.418.55.63.38.0­1.3­0.90.07.010.99.64.418.55.63.38.0­1.3­0.90.04.510.99.64.418.55.63.38.0PaybackPeriodyrAverageN/A13.814.39.16.815.16.35.76.54.55.3N/A13.814.39.16.815.16.35.76.54.55.3N/A11.132.30.00.042.00.00.00.0MedianN/A13.313.88.86.514.56.05.56.24.45.2N/A13.313.88.86.514.56.05.56.24.45.2N/A10.731.10.00.040.40.00.00.0LifeCycleCostSavings$BuildingswithNetCost%N/A96.799.255.024.099.113.315.516.32.76.1N/A99.599.981.442.699.827.630.432.18.814.4N/A100.0100.00.00.0100.00.00.00.0NetBenefit%N/A3.30.845.076.00.986.784.583.797.393.9N/A0.50.118.657.40.272.469.667.991.285.6N/A0.00.0100.0100.00.0100.0100.0100.0AverageSavingsN/A­12.48­17.87­1.006.67­18.0911.3010.779.9222.4418.03N/A­17.86­23.26­6.391.28­23.475.915.384.5417.0612.65N/A­2.06­9.087.7915.46­9.3020.0919.5618.71

D e s i g n O p t i o n34WT12&0.88BFMag34WT12&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&0.78BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec30WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec28WT8&0.78BFElec25WT8&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.88BFMag34WT12&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&0.78BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec30WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec28WT8&0.78BFElec25WT8&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&0.78BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec30WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W77.982.485.386.290.891.292.395.095.497.396.077.982.485.386.290.891.292.395.095.497.396.077.982.485.386.290.891.292.395.095.4

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitEventIII:BallastFailure8B­8MeanLumensfromBaseline%­1.3­0.9PaybackPeriodyrAverage0.00.4Median0.00.4LifeCycleCostSavings$BuildingswithNetCost%0.00.0NetBenefit%100.0100.0AverageSavings31.2326.82

D e s i g n O p t i o n28WT8&0.78BFElec25WT8&0.88BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W97.396.0

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lCSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s e

E v e n tTable8B.7.2LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora3­Lamp4­foot34WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSector(continued)MeanLumensfromBaseline%9.618.54.45.63.38.0­1.3­0.9PaybackPeriodyrAverageN/A42.00.00.00.00.00.00.4MedianN/A40.40.00.00.00.00.00.4LifeCycleCostSavings$BuildingswithNetCost%N/A100.00.00.00.00.00.00.0NetBenefit%N/A0.0100.0100.0100.0100.0100.0100.0AverageSavingsN/A­9.3015.4620.0919.5618.7131.2326.82

D e s i g n O p t i o n32.5WT8&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec30WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec28WT8&0.78BFElec25WT8&0.88BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W86.291.290.892.395.095.497.396.0

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaseline/CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLamp&BallastRepl..

E v e n tEventIV:BallastRetrofit8B­9Table8B.7.3LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora3­Lamp4­foot32WT8MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorMeanLumensfromBaseline%0.06.32.6­9.50.0­4.7­3.6­5.7­1.41.6­9.50.0­4.7­3.6­5.7­1.41.6­9.5PaybackPeriodyrAverageN/A2.60.91.6N/A1.41.21.21.80.91.6N/A1.41.21.21.80.91.6MedianN/A2.50.91.6N/A1.41.21.11.70.91.6N/A1.41.21.11.70.91.6LifeCycleCostSavings$BuildingswithNetCost%N/A7.10.00.0N/A0.00.00.00.00.00.0N/A0.00.00.00.00.00.0NetBenefit%N/A92.9100.0100.0N/A100.0100.0100.0100.0100.0100.0N/A100.0100.0100.0100.0100.0100.0AverageSavingsN/A2.0113.8818.82N/A7.5812.1711.6210.8013.8818.82N/A7.5812.1711.6210.8013.8818.82

D e s i g n O p t i o n32.5WT8&0.88BFElec30WT8&0.88BFElec28WT8&0.88BFElec25WT8&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec30WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec28WT8&0.88BFElec25WT8&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec30WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec28WT8&0.88BFElec25WT8&0.88BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W86.295.097.396.086.290.892.395.095.497.396.086.290.892.395.095.497.396.0

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaseline/CSL2CSL4CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL2CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL2CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventIII:BallastFailureEventV:NewConst.andRenov.8B.7.1.28­footSinglePinSlimlineForthe8­footsingle­pinslimlineproductclass,DOEanalyzedthreebaselinelamps:a75WT12,60WT12,and59WT8.Eachlampwasanalyzedatfivecandidatestandardlevelswithminimumefficacyrequirementof87.3,92.0,94.8,98.2,and101.5lm/W.ThefollowingtablespresenttheLCCsavingsandPBPMonteCarloresultsforthethree8­footsinglepinslimlinebaselinesoperatinginthecommercialsector.KeyinputsconsistofusingtheEnergyInformationAdministration’s(EIA’s)AnnualEnergy8B­10Outlook2007(AEO2007)referencecaseelectricityprices,andmedium­rangelampandballastprices.Note:LampreplacementresultsinEventIarenotshownfora60WT12lampbecausetherearenoenergysavinglampreplacementoptions.Table8B.7.4LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora2­Lamp8­foot75WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorMeanLumensfromBaseline%0.0­13.1­5.7­2.59.0­8.10.0­5.7­2.59.0­8.1­6.4­5.7­2.5­8.19.0­8.1PaybackPeriodyrAverageN/A0.412.112.446.36.7N/A12.112.446.36.7N/A8.611.10.7N/A0.0MedianN/A0.411.812.145.36.6N/A11.812.145.36.6N/A8.410.90.7N/A0.0LifeCycleCostSavings$BuildingswithNetCost%N/A0.096.792.5100.013.0N/A100.099.4100.031.8N/A100.099.50.0N/A0.0NetBenefit%N/A100.03.37.50.087.0N/A0.00.60.068.2N/A0.00.5100.0N/A100.0AverageSavingsN/A29.83­15.22­11.71­26.9713.30N/A­23.44­19.93­35.195.08N/A­5.17­1.6523.36N/A40.27

D e s i g n O p t i o n75WT12&0.94BFMag60.5WT12&0.88BFMag75WT12&0.85BFElec75WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&1.18BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec75WT12&0.94BFMag75WT12&0.85BFElec75WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&1.18BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec75WT12&0.88BFElec75WT12&0.85BFElec75WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&1.18BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W85.697.587.392.094.8101.585.687.392.094.8101.585.687.392.0101.594.8101.5

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL3CSL1CSL2CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL5Baseline/CSL3CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.Lamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitEventIII:BallastFailureEventIV:BallastRetrofit8B­11Table8B.7.5LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora2­Lamp8­foot60WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorMeanLumensfromBaseline%0.06.713.510.03.23.610.10.06.713.510.03.23.610.10.06.713.53.23.610.110.03.23.610.1PaybackPeriodyrAverageN/A16.317.022.912.513.612.8N/A16.317.022.912.513.612.8N/A6.311.03.04.03.7N/A1.41.92.0MedianN/A15.916.622.212.113.312.4N/A15.916.622.212.113.312.4N/A6.210.72.93.93.6N/A1.41.81.9LifeCycleCostSavings$BuildingswithNetCost%N/A99.799.799.990.682.388.5N/A100.0100.0100.097.894.697.1N/A100.0100.00.00.00.0N/A0.00.00.0NetBenefit%N/A0.30.30.19.417.711.5N/A0.00.00.02.25.42.9N/A0.00.0100.0100.0100.0N/A100.0100.0100.0AverageSavingsN/A­19.52­19.11­18.23­11.35­8.51­10.65N/A­25.27­24.85­23.97­17.09­14.25­16.39N/A­3.08­2.675.097.935.79N/A6.889.727.58

D e s i g n O p t i o n60.5WT12&0.88BFMag60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec57WT8&0.78BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec60.5WT12&0.88BFMag60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec57WT8&0.78BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec60.5WT12&0.88BFElec60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec57WT8&0.78BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec57WT8&0.78BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W87.692.697.594.898.2101.8101.587.692.697.594.898.2101.8101.587.692.697.598.2101.8101.594.898.2101.8101.5

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaseline/CSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL1CSL2CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitEventIII:BallastFailureEventIV:BallastRetrofit8B­12Table8B.7.6LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora2­Lamp8­foot59WT8SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorMeanLumensfromBaseline%0.06.25.60.02.22.60.15.60.02.22.60.15.6PaybackPeriodyrAverageN/A3.61.5N/A4.82.82.01.5N/A4.82.82.01.5MedianN/A3.51.4N/A4.72.81.91.4N/A4.72.81.91.4LifeCycleCostSavings$BuildingswithNetCost%N/A0.00.0N/A89.00.00.00.0N/A89.00.00.00.0NetBenefit%N/A100.0100.0N/A11.0100.0100.0100.0N/A11.0100.0100.0100.0AverageSavingsN/A5.188.06N/A­0.996.557.638.06N/A­0.996.557.638.06

D e s i g n O p t i o n60.1WT8&0.88BFElec57WT8&0.88BFElec55WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.85BFElec57WT8&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec55WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.85BFElec57WT8&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec55WT8&0.88BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W94.8101.8103.694.898.2101.8101.5103.694.898.2101.8101.5103.6

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaseline/CSL3CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.BaselineLampandBallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventIII:BallastFailureEventV:NewConst.andRenovation8B.7.1.38­footRecessedDoubleContactHighOutputForthe8­footrecesseddoublecontactHO,DOEanalyzedtwobaselinelamps:a110WT12and95WT12.Eachlampwasanalyzedatfivecandidatestandardlevelswithminimumefficacyrequirementof83.2,86.1,87.6,91.9,and95.3lm/W.ThefollowingtablespresenttheLCCsavingsandPBPMonteCarloresultsforbothofthe8­footrecesseddoublecontacthighoutputbaselinesoperatingintheindustrialsector.KeyinputsconsistofusingtheEnergyInformationAdministration’s(EIA’s)AnnualEnergyOutlook2007(AEO2007)referencecaseelectricityprices,andmedium­rangelampandballastprices.Note:LampreplacementresultsinEventIarenotshownfora95WT12lampbecausetherearenoenergysavinglampreplacementoptions.8B­138B­14Table8B.7.7LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora2­Lamp8­foot110WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSector M e a n L u m e n s

f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.00.0­7.73.8­9.8­8.2­8.2­7.00.03.8­9.8­8.2­7.0­6.40.03.8­9.8­8.2­7.0­6.40.03.8­9.8­8.2­7.0­6.40.03.8­9.8­8.2­7.0PaybackPeriodyrAverageN/A0.01.959.59.310.710.87.9N/A59.59.310.710.87.9N/A7.40.01.51.51.7N/A7.40.01.51.51.7N/A7.40.01.51.5MedianN/A0.01.855.78.710.010.17.4N/A55.78.710.010.17.4N/A7.00.01.41.41.6N/A7.00.01.41.41.6N/A7.00.01.41.4LifeCycleCostSavings$BuildingswithNetCost%N/A0.031.7100.092.8100.0100.066.9N/A100.0100.0100.0100.092.3N/A100.00.00.00.00.0N/A100.00.00.00.00.0N/A100.00.00.00.0NetBenefit%N/A100.068.30.07.20.00.033.1N/A0.00.00.00.07.7N/A0.0100.0100.0100.0100.0N/A0.0100.0100.0100.0100.0N/A0.0100.0100.0100.0AverageSavingsN/A13.801.53­36.29­9.63­21.90­22.52­3.73N/A­45.53­18.88­31.15­31.77­12.98N/A­8.1318.536.255.6324.42N/A­8.1318.536.255.6324.42N/A­8.1318.536.255.63

D e s i g n O p t i o n113WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.9BFElec113WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec113WT12&0.9BFElec113WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec113WT12&0.9BFElec113WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec113WT12&0.9BFElec113WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec113WT12&0.9BFElec113WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W80.186.187.683.286.187.688.995.380.183.286.187.688.995.380.183.286.187.688.995.380.183.286.187.688.995.380.183.286.187.688.9

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL2CSL3CSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.Lamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitEventIII:BallastFailureEventIV:BallastRetrofitEventV:NewConst.andRenov.8B­15M e a n L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.0­6.71.1PaybackPeriodyrAverage6.74.75.1Median6.24.44.7LifeCycleCostSavings$BuildingswithNetCost%6.62.88.5NetBenefit%93.497.291.5AverageSavings6.428.606.17

D e s i g n O p t i o n86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W91.993.095.3

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lCSL4CSL4CSL5

R e s p o n s e

E v e n tTable8B.7.8LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora2­Lamp8­foot95WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSector M e a n L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.06.97.69.0­0.11.31.00.06.97.69.0­0.11.31.00.06.97.69.0­0.11.3PaybackPeriodyrAverageN/A79.545.445.716.416.412.5N/A79.545.445.716.416.412.5N/A5.68.48.73.93.9MedianN/A75.042.843.115.415.511.8N/A75.042.843.115.415.511.8N/A5.38.08.23.73.7LifeCycleCostSavings$BuildingswithNetCost%N/A100.0100.0100.099.299.898.7N/A100.0100.0100.0100.0100.099.9N/A100.0100.0100.00.41.0NetBenefit%N/A0.00.00.00.80.21.3N/A0.00.00.00.00.00.1N/A0.00.00.099.699.0AverageSavingsN/A­31.88­41.79­42.42­18.49­21.54­18.71N/A­38.39­48.30­48.92­25.00­28.05­25.22N/A­3.75­13.66­14.289.646.59

D e s i g n O p t i o n97WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.89BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec97WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.89BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec97WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.89BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W82.586.187.688.991.993.095.382.586.187.688.991.993.095.382.586.187.688.991.993.0

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitEventIII:BallastFailure8B­16M e a n L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %1.0­0.11.00.06.97.69.0­0.11.31.0PaybackPeriodyrAverage3.2N/A0.4N/A5.68.48.73.93.93.2Median3.1N/A0.3N/A5.38.08.23.73.73.1LifeCycleCostSavings$BuildingswithNetCost%0.5N/A74.2N/A100.0100.0100.00.41.00.5NetBenefit%99.5N/A25.8N/A0.00.00.099.699.099.5AverageSavings9.42N/A­0.22N/A­3.75­13.66­14.289.646.599.42

D e s i g n O p t i o n86WT8&0.81BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec97WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.89BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W95.391.995.382.586.187.688.991.993.095.3

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lCSL4Baseline/CSL3CSL4BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4

R e s p o n s eBaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventIV:BallastRetrofitEventV:NewConst.andRenov.8B­17

# 8 B

. 7 .2 L a m p a n d B a l l a s t P r i c e S c e n a r i o R e s u l t s

A s m e n t i o n e d e a r l i e r

, D O E a l s o a n a l y z e d L C C s a v i n g s a n d P B P r e s u l t s u s i n g a s c e n a r i o

a n a l y s i s

. S p e c i f i c a l l y

, b e c a u s e t h e L C C a n d P B P r e s u l t s a r e h i g h l y d e p e n d e n t o n e q u i p m e n t

p r i c e s

, D O E e x a m i n e d s e v e r a l s e n s i t i v i t i e s t o t h e m e d i u m l a m p p r i c e a n d b a l l a s t p r i c e r e s u l t s

p r e s e n t e d i n C h a p t e r 8

. C h a p t e r 7 d e s c r i b e d t h r e e p r i c e s ( l o w

, m e d i u m

, a n d h i g h ) D O E

d e v e l o p e d f o r e a c h g e n e r a l s e r v i c e f l u o r e s c e n t l a m p

. T h e f o l l o w i n g t a b l e s p r e s e n t L C C s a v i n g s

a n d P B P r e s u l t s u s i n g t h e l o w a n d h i g h l a m p p r i c e s

. I n a d d i t i o n

, b e c a u s e D O E a n a l y z e s G S F L

b y c o n s i d e r i n g b o t h t h e l a m p a n d t h e b a l l a s t

, r e s u l t s p r e s e n t e d i n C h a p t e r 7 a c c o u n t f o r t h e f i r s t

c o s t o f t h e b a l l a s t

. H o w e v e r

, a s a s e n s i t i v i t y t o t h e a n a l y s i s

, D O E p r e s e n t s L C C a n d P B P r e s u l t s

a s s u m i n g t h a t t h e b a l l a s t p r i c e i s e q u a l t o z e r o

.

8 B

. 7

. 2 .1 4

­ f o o t M e d i u m B i p i n

T h e f o l l o w i n g t a b l e s p r e s e n t t h e f i n d i n g s o f a n L C C a n a l y s i s o n t h e t h r e e 4

­ f o o t m e d i u m b i p i n

G S F L b a s e l i n e s o p e r a t i n g i n t h e c o m m e r c i a l s e c t o r

, c o n s i d e r i n g l o w l a m p p r i c e s

, h i g h l a m p

p r i c e s

, o r n o b a l l a s t p r i c e s

. K e y i n p u t s c o n s i s t o f u s i n g A E O 2 0 0 7 r e f e r e n c e c a s e e l e c t r i c i t y

p r i c e s a n d a n a n a l y s i s p e r i o d o f 5 .5 y r s

. N o t e : L a m p r e p l a c e m e n t r e s u l t s i n E v e n t I a r e n o t

s h o w n f o r a 3 4 W T 1 2 l a m p b e c a u s e t h e r e a r e n o e n e r g y s a v i n g l a m p r e p l a c e m e n t o p t i o n s

.

8 B

­ 1 88B­19Table8B.7.9LCCandPBPResultsfora3­Lamp4­foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithHighLampPrices M e a n L u m e n s

f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.0­10.3­3.5­2.78.73.3­10.3­1.0­8.3­2.0­6.2­6.4­1.70.0­3.5­2.78.73.3­10.3­1.0­8.3­2.0­6.2­6.4­1.7

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A2.710.411.212.611.36.66.54.25.34.44.26.2N/A10.411.212.611.36.66.54.25.34.44.26.2

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.005.715.805.983.955.9810.158.3411.2710.5411.2713.189.770.005.805.983.955.9810.158.3411.2710.5411.2713.189.77

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $16.7932.4177.2683.7566.4184.1783.6270.7563.6772.5465.8671.7077.8116.7977.2683.7566.4184.1783.6270.7563.6772.5465.8671.7077.81

L C C S a v i n g s $0.0013.89­12.35­14.23­9.34­14.604.676.1425.3410.7723.4123.658.500.00­20.10­21.99­17.09­22.35­3.09­1.6217.593.0215.6515.900.74

L C C $174.94161.05187.29189.17184.28189.54170.27168.80149.60164.17151.53151.29166.44167.18187.29189.17184.28189.54170.27168.80149.60164.17151.53151.29166.44

D e s i g n O p t i o n40WT12&0.95BFMag34WT12&0.88BFMag40WT12&0.88BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec32.5WT8&1.18BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec34WT12&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec30WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec28WT8&1BFElec25WT8&1.18BFElec40WT12&0.95BFMag40WT12&0.88BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec32.5WT8&1.18BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec34WT12&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec30WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec28WT8&1BFElec25WT8&1.18BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W80.091.282.585.086.290.091.290.892.395.095.497.396.080.082.585.086.290.091.290.892.395.095.497.396.0

C a n d i d a t e

S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL3CSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.bLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitbThroughoutthefollowingtables,Replacementisreferredtoas“Repl.”,andNewConstructionandRenovationisreferredtoas“NewConst.”and“Renov.”,respectively8B­20Table8B.7.9LCCandPBPResultsfora3­Lamp4­foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithHighLampPrices(continued) M e a n

L u m e n s f r o m

B a s e l i n e %­7.4­4.6­2.73.3­10.3­1.0­8.3­2.0­6.2­6.4­1.78.73.3­10.3­1.0­8.3­2.0­6.2­6.4­1.7

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A50.285.487.73.61.10.01.00.00.52.5N/A8.72.81.00.00.90.00.62.0

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.000.180.180.184.352.545.474.745.477.383.970.002.046.204.397.326.597.329.235.82

I n s t a l l e d

P r i c e $68.0077.2683.7584.1783.6270.7563.6772.5465.8671.7077.8166.4184.1783.6270.7563.6772.5465.8671.7077.81

L C C S a v i n g s $0.00­8.43­11.15­11.517.769.2228.4313.8626.4926.7411.590.00­5.2614.0015.4734.6820.1132.7432.9917.84

L C C $178.03186.45189.17189.54170.27168.80149.60164.17151.53151.29166.44184.28189.54170.27168.80149.60164.17151.53151.29166.44

D e s i g n

O p t i o n40WT12&0.88BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec34WT12&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec30WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec28WT8&1BFElec25WT8&1.18BFElec32.5WT8&1.18BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec34WT12&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec30WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec28WT8&1BFElec25WT8&1.18BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W80.082.585.090.091.290.892.395.095.497.396.086.290.091.290.892.395.095.497.396.0

C a n d i d a t e

S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventIII:BallastFailureEventIV:BallastRetrofit*Comparativelumensaresometimesnon­zeroforbaselineT12electronicsystemsundereventsIIIandIV(ballastfailureandretrofit)becausethelumenpackageiscomparedtoasystemwithaT12magneticballast.DOEchosetocomparethesesystemsfortheseeventsbecauseitrecognizesthatthoughfederalregulationswillprohibittheuseofmagneticballasts,futurepurchasersmaystillseekthecurrentlumenpackagedeliveredbycurrentT12magneticsystems.8B­21Table8B.7.10LCCandPBPResultsfora3­Lamp4­foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPrices M e a n L u m e n s

f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.0­10.3­3.5­2.78.73.3­10.3­1.0­8.3­2.0­6.2­6.4­1.70.0­3.5­2.78.73.3­10.3­1.0­8.3­2.0­6.2­6.4­1.7

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A1.29.59.713.09.75.76.44.15.14.14.15.7N/A9.59.713.09.75.76.44.15.14.14.15.7

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.005.715.805.983.955.9810.158.3411.2710.5411.2713.189.770.005.805.983.955.9810.158.3411.2710.5411.2713.189.77

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $10.7717.4765.9568.7361.9968.9168.6863.8556.4364.6257.3764.2666.8710.7765.9568.7361.9968.9168.6863.8556.4364.6257.3764.2666.87

L C C S a v i n g s $0.0021.08­7.06­6.97­10.93­7.1311.867.0225.7214.0624.9026.3712.140.00­12.03­11.95­15.91­12.116.882.0520.759.0819.9221.407.17

L C C $168.92147.84175.98175.90179.86176.05157.06161.90143.20154.86144.03142.55156.78163.95175.98175.90179.86176.05157.06161.90143.20154.86144.03142.55156.78

D e s i g n O p t i o n40WT12&0.95BFMag34WT12&0.88BFMag40WT12&0.88BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec32.5WT8&1.18BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec34WT12&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec30WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec28WT8&1BFElec25WT8&1.18BFElec40WT12&0.95BFMag40WT12&0.88BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec32.5WT8&1.18BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec34WT12&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec30WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec28WT8&1BFElec25WT8&1.18BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W80.091.282.585.086.290.091.290.892.395.095.497.396.080.082.585.086.290.091.290.892.395.095.497.396.0

C a n d i d a t e

S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL3CSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.cLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitThroughoutthefollowingtables,Replacementisreferredtoas“Repl.”,andNewConstructionandRenovationisreferredtoas“NewConst.”and“Renov.”,respectively8B­22cTable8B.7.10LCCandPBPResultsfora3­Lamp4­foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPrices(continued) M e a n

L u m e n s f r o m

B a s e l i n e %­7.4­4.6­2.73.3­10.3­1.0­8.3­2.0­6.2­6.4­1.78.73.3­10.3­1.0­8.3­2.0­6.2­6.4­1.7

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A21.536.637.61.50.70.00.60.00.31.2N/A3.41.10.40.00.40.00.20.8

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.000.180.180.184.352.545.474.745.477.383.970.002.046.204.397.326.597.329.235.82

I n s t a l l e d

P r i c e $61.9865.9568.7368.9168.6863.8556.4364.6257.3764.2666.8761.9968.9168.6863.8556.4364.6257.3764.2666.87

L C C S a v i n g s $0.00­3.14­3.89­4.0414.9510.1128.8117.1527.9829.4615.230.003.8022.7917.9536.6624.9935.8337.3123.08

L C C $172.01175.15175.90176.05157.06161.90143.20154.86144.03142.55156.78179.86176.05157.06161.90143.20154.86144.03142.55156.78

D e s i g n

O p t i o n40WT12&0.88BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec34WT12&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec30WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec28WT8&1BFElec25WT8&1.18BFElec32.5WT8&1.18BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec34WT12&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec30WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec28WT8&1BFElec25WT8&1.18BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W80.082.585.090.091.290.892.395.095.497.396.086.290.091.290.892.395.095.497.396.0

C a n d i d a t e

S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventIII:BallastFailureEventIV:BallastRetrofit*Comparativelumensaresometimesnon­zeroforbaselineT12electronicsystemsundereventsIIIandIV(ballastfailureandretrofit)becausethelumenpackageiscomparedtoasystemwithaT12magneticballast.DOEchosetocomparethesesystemsfortheseeventsbecauseitrecognizesthatthoughfederalregulationswillprohibittheuseofmagneticballasts,futurepurchasersmaystillseekthecurrentlumenpackagedeliveredbycurrentT12magneticsystems.8B­23Table8B.7.11LCCandPBPResultsfora3­Lamp4­foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithNoBallastPrices M e a n L u m e n s

f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.0­10.3­3.5­2.78.73.3­10.3­1.0­8.3­2.0­6.2­6.4­1.70.0­3.5­2.78.73.3­10.3­1.0­8.3­2.0­6.2­6.4­1.7

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A2.01.11.90.01.91.10.10.10.20.30.10.6N/A1.11.90.01.91.10.10.10.20.30.10.6

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.005.715.805.983.955.9810.158.3411.2710.5411.2713.189.770.005.805.983.955.9810.158.3411.2710.5411.2713.189.77

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $13.7824.9420.4025.0411.7925.3424.9414.8915.3116.1616.8815.5619.9313.7820.4025.0411.7925.3424.9414.8915.3116.1616.8815.5619.93

L C C S a v i n g s $0.0017.4819.5618.6619.8218.3937.5236.5351.1042.3749.7154.9640.270.0013.1912.2913.4512.0331.1630.1644.7336.0043.3548.6033.91

L C C $171.93154.45152.37153.27152.11153.54134.41135.40120.84129.57122.22116.97131.66165.57152.37153.27152.11153.54134.41135.40120.84129.57122.22116.97131.66

D e s i g n O p t i o n40WT12&0.95BFMag34WT12&0.88BFMag40WT12&0.88BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec32.5WT8&1.18BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec34WT12&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec30WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec28WT8&1BFElec25WT8&1.18BFElec40WT12&0.95BFMag40WT12&0.88BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec32.5WT8&1.18BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec34WT12&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec30WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec28WT8&1BFElec25WT8&1.18BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W80.091.282.585.086.290.091.290.892.395.095.497.396.080.082.585.086.290.091.290.892.395.095.497.396.0

C a n d i d a t e

S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL3CSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.dLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitdThroughoutthefollowingtables,Replacementisreferredtoas“Repl.”,andNewConstructionandRenovationisreferredtoas“NewConst.”and“Renov.”,respectively8B­24Table8B.7.11LCCandPBPResultsfora3­Lamp4­foot40WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithNoBallastPrices(continued) M e a n

L u m e n s f r o m

B a s e l i n e %­7.4­4.6­2.73.3­10.3­1.0­8.3­2.0­6.2­6.4­1.78.73.3­10.3­1.0­8.3­2.0­6.2­6.4­1.7

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A35.961.062.62.60.40.30.50.60.21.5N/A6.72.10.70.50.70.70.41.4

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.000.180.180.184.352.545.474.745.477.383.970.002.046.204.397.326.597.329.235.82

I n s t a l l e d

P r i c e $13.7820.4025.0425.3424.9414.8915.3116.1616.8815.5619.9311.7925.3424.9414.8915.3116.1616.8815.5619.93

L C C S a v i n g s $0.00­5.78­7.52­7.7811.3510.3624.9216.1923.5428.7914.100.00­1.4217.7116.7131.2822.5529.9035.1520.46

L C C $145.76151.54153.27153.54134.41135.40120.84129.57122.22116.97131.66152.11153.54134.41135.40120.84129.57122.22116.97131.66

D e s i g n

O p t i o n40WT12&0.88BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec34WT12&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec30WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec28WT8&1BFElec25WT8&1.18BFElec32.5WT8&1.18BFElec40WT12&0.87BFElec34WT12&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec30WT8&1BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec28WT8&1BFElec25WT8&1.18BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W80.082.585.090.091.290.892.395.095.497.396.086.290.091.290.892.395.095.497.396.0

C a n d i d a t e

S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventIII:BallastFailureEventIV:BallastRetrofit*Comparativelumensaresometimesnon­zeroforbaselineT12electronicsystemsundereventsIIIandIV(ballastfailureandretrofit)becausethelumenpackageiscomparedtoasystemwithaT12magneticballast.DOEchosetocomparethesesystemsfortheseeventsbecauseitrecognizesthatthoughfederalregulationswillprohibittheuseofmagneticballasts,futurepurchasersmaystillseekthecurrentlumenpackagedeliveredbycurrentT12magneticsystems.8B­25Table8B.7.12LCCandPBPResultsfora3­Lamp4­foot34WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithHighLampPrices M e a n L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.07.010.99.64.418.55.63.38.0­1.3­0.90.07.010.99.64.418.55.63.38.0­1.3­0.90.04.510.99.64.418.55.63.3

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A12.713.88.26.314.75.85.46.14.25.1N/A12.713.88.26.314.75.85.46.14.25.1N/A14.040.60.00.052.80.00.1

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.004.444.815.568.004.818.739.678.7312.1611.180.004.444.815.568.004.818.739.678.7312.1611.180.000.370.371.123.560.374.295.22

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $12.9569.3279.1558.7363.0883.6263.6764.8665.8664.0270.1312.9569.3279.1558.7363.0883.6263.6764.8665.8664.0270.1364.1669.3279.1558.7363.0883.6263.6764.86

L C C S a v i n g s $0.00­14.38­22.55­1.505.16­23.2510.077.378.1319.6015.400.00­20.36­28.53­7.49­0.82­29.234.091.392.1513.629.420.00­3.50­13.337.7114.38­14.0319.2916.59

L C C $145.36159.74167.90146.86140.19168.61135.29137.99137.22125.75129.96139.37159.74167.90146.86140.19168.61135.29137.99137.22125.75129.96154.57158.07167.90146.86140.19168.61135.29137.99

D e s i g n O p t i o n34WT12&0.88BFMag34WT12&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&0.78BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec30WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec28WT8&0.78BFElec25WT8&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.88BFMag34WT12&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&0.78BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec30WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec28WT8&0.78BFElec25WT8&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&0.78BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec30WT8&0.78BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W77.982.485.386.290.891.292.395.095.497.396.077.982.485.386.290.891.292.395.095.497.396.077.982.485.386.290.891.292.395.0

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4

R e s p o n s eBaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitEventIII:BallastFailure8B­26M e a n L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %8.0­1.3­0.9

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y r0.40.00.9

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $4.297.726.74

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $65.8664.0270.13

L C C S a v i n g s $17.3528.8224.62

L C C $137.22125.75129.96

D e s i g n O p t i o n32.5WT8&0.75BFElec28WT8&0.78BFElec25WT8&0.88BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W95.497.396.0

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lCSL5CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s e

E v e n tTable8B.7.12LCCandPBPResultsfora3­Lamp4­foot34WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithHighLampPrices(continued) M e a n L u m e n s

f r o m B a s e l i n e %9.618.54.45.63.38.0­1.3­0.9

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A52.80.00.00.10.40.00.9

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.000.373.564.295.224.297.726.74

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $58.7383.6263.0863.6764.8665.8664.0270.13

L C C S a v i n g s $0.00­14.0314.3819.2916.5917.3528.8224.62

L C C $146.86168.61140.19135.29137.99137.22125.75129.96

D e s i g n O p t i o n32.5WT8&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec30WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec28WT8&0.78BFElec25WT8&0.88BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W86.291.290.892.395.095.497.396.0

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaseline/CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventIV:BallastRetrofit8B­27Table8B.7.13LCCandPBPResultsfora3­Lamp4­foot34WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPrices M e a n L u m e n s

f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.07.010.99.64.418.55.63.38.0­1.3­0.90.07.010.99.64.418.55.63.38.0­1.3­0.90.04.510.99.64.418.55.63.38.0­1.3

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A12.012.08.15.912.45.44.95.53.94.5N/A12.012.08.15.912.45.44.95.53.94.5N/A6.017.40.00.022.60.00.00.00.0

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.004.444.815.568.004.818.739.678.7312.1611.180.004.444.815.568.004.818.739.678.7312.1611.180.000.370.371.123.560.374.295.224.297.72

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $9.1362.5566.7654.3156.1768.6856.4356.9457.3756.5859.209.1362.5566.7654.3156.1768.6856.4356.9457.3756.5859.2060.3362.5566.7654.3156.1768.6856.4356.9457.3756.58

L C C S a v i n g s $0.00­11.43­13.98­0.918.24­13.8612.6512.8511.8224.5221.240.00­15.65­18.20­5.124.02­18.088.438.637.6020.3017.020.00­0.55­4.768.3117.46­4.6521.8622.0721.0333.73

L C C $141.53152.96155.51142.44133.29155.40128.89128.68129.72117.02120.30137.32152.96155.51142.44133.29155.40128.89128.68129.72117.02120.30150.75151.30155.51142.44133.29155.40128.89128.68129.72117.02

D e s i g n O p t i o n34WT12&0.88BFMag34WT12&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&0.78BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec30WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec28WT8&0.78BFElec25WT8&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.88BFMag34WT12&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&0.78BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec30WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec28WT8&0.78BFElec25WT8&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&0.78BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec30WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec28WT8&0.78BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W77.982.485.386.290.891.292.395.095.497.396.077.982.485.386.290.891.292.395.095.497.396.077.982.485.386.290.891.292.395.095.497.3

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitEventIII:BallastFailure8B­28M e a n L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %­0.9

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y r0.0

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $6.74

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $59.20

L C C S a v i n g s $30.45

L C C $120.30

D e s i g n O p t i o n25WT8&0.88BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W96.0

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lCSL5

R e s p o n s e

E v e n tTable8B.7.13LCCandPBPResultsfora3­Lamp4­foot34WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPrices(continued) M e a n L u m e n s

f r o m B a s e l i n e %9.618.54.45.63.38.0­1.3­0.9

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A22.60.00.00.00.00.00.0

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.000.373.564.295.224.297.726.74

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $54.3168.6856.1756.4356.9457.3756.5859.20

L C C S a v i n g s $0.00­4.6517.4621.8622.0721.0333.7330.45

L C C $142.44155.40133.29128.89128.68129.72117.02120.30

D e s i g n O p t i o n32.5WT8&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec30WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec28WT8&0.78BFElec25WT8&0.88BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W86.291.290.892.395.095.497.396.0

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaseline/CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventIV:BallastRetrofit8B­29Table8B.7.14LCCandPBPResultsfora3­Lamp4­foot34WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithNoBallastPrices M e a n L u m e n s

f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.07.010.99.64.418.55.63.38.0­1.3­0.90.07.010.99.64.418.55.63.38.0­1.3­0.90.04.510.99.64.418.55.63.38.0­1.3

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A0.82.20.10.52.90.50.50.70.40.8N/A0.82.20.10.52.90.50.50.70.40.8N/A10.029.00.71.137.71.01.01.40.6

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.004.444.815.568.004.818.739.678.7312.1611.180.004.444.815.568.004.818.739.678.7312.1611.180.000.370.371.123.560.374.295.224.297.72

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $11.0414.7321.7511.7914.8924.9415.3116.1616.8815.5619.9311.0414.7321.7511.7914.8924.9415.3116.1616.8815.5619.9311.0414.7321.7511.7914.8924.9415.3116.1616.8815.56

L C C S a v i n g s $0.0016.3511.0024.3632.2610.7036.9235.6735.5447.6243.880.0011.255.9019.2627.165.6031.8230.5730.4442.5238.780.00­2.02­9.054.3212.22­9.3416.8815.6315.5027.58

L C C $143.44127.09132.45119.09111.18132.74106.52107.77107.9195.8299.56138.35127.09132.45119.09111.18132.74106.52107.77107.9195.8299.56123.40125.43132.45119.09111.18132.74106.52107.77107.9195.82

D e s i g n O p t i o n34WT12&0.88BFMag34WT12&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&0.78BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec30WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec28WT8&0.78BFElec25WT8&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.88BFMag34WT12&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&0.78BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec30WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec28WT8&0.78BFElec25WT8&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.88BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&0.78BFElec34WT12&0.86BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec30WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec28WT8&0.78BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W77.982.485.386.290.891.292.395.095.497.396.077.982.485.386.290.891.292.395.095.497.396.077.982.485.386.290.891.292.395.095.497.3

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitEventIII:BallastFailure8B­30M e a n L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %­0.9

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y r1.3

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $6.74

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $19.93

L C C S a v i n g s $23.84

L C C $99.56

D e s i g n O p t i o n25WT8&0.88BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W96.0

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lCSL5

R e s p o n s e

E v e n tTable8B.7.14LCCandPBPResultsfora3­Lamp4­foot34WT12MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithNoBallastPrices(continued)EventResponseCandidateStandardLevelRatedLampEfficacylm/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavingsOneYear$PaybackPeriodyrMeanLumensfromBaseline%EventIV:BallastRetrofitBaselineBaseline/CSL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec119.090.0011.790.00N/A9.6Lamp&BallastRepl.CSL391.234WT12&0.86BFElec132.74­9.3424.940.3737.718.5CSL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec111.1812.2214.893.561.14.4CSL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec106.5216.8815.314.291.05.6CSL495.030WT8&0.78BFElec107.7715.6316.165.221.03.3CSL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec107.9115.5016.884.291.48.0CSL597.328WT8&0.78BFElec95.8227.5815.567.720.6­1.3CSL596.025WT8&0.88BFElec99.5623.8419.936.741.3­0.9Table8B.7.15LCCandPBPResultsfora3­Lamp4­foot32WT8MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithHighLampPrices8B­31EventResponseCandidateStandardLevelRatedLampEfficacylm/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavingsOneYear$Pay­backPeriodyrMeanLumensfromBaseline%EventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline/CSL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec121.300.0014.000.00N/A0.0LampRepl.CSL495.030WT8&0.88BFElec122.33­1.0320.121.913.26.3CSL597.328WT8&0.88BFElec109.8011.4919.284.461.22.6CSL596.025WT8&0.88BFElec104.4016.9025.395.622.0­9.5EventIII:BallastFailureBaselineBaseline/CSL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec146.860.0058.730.00N/A0.0Lamp&BallastRepl.CSL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec140.196.6763.082.441.8­4.7CSL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec135.2911.5763.673.171.6­3.6CSL495.030WT8&0.78BFElec137.998.8764.864.101.5­5.7CSL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec137.229.6465.863.172.2­1.4CSL597.328WT8&0.88BFElec135.3711.4964.024.461.21.6CSL596.025WT8&0.88BFElec129.9616.9070.135.622.0­9.5EventV:NewConst.andRenov.BaselineBaseline/CSL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec146.860.0058.730.00N/A0.0Lamp&BallastRepl.CSL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec140.196.6763.082.441.8­4.7CSL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec135.2911.5763.673.171.6­3.6CSL495.030WT8&0.78BFElec137.998.8764.864.101.5­5.7CSL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec137.229.6465.863.172.2­1.4CSL597.328WT8&0.88BFElec135.3711.4964.024.461.21.6CSL596.025WT8&0.88BFElec129.9616.9070.135.622.0­9.5Table8B.7.16LCCandPBPResultsfora3­Lamp4­foot32WT8MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPrices8B­32EventResponseCandidateStandardLevelRatedLampEfficacylm/WDesignOptionLCC$LCCSavings$InstalledPrice$OperatingCostSavingsOneYear$Pay­backPeriodyrMeanLumensfromBaseline%EventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline/CSL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec116.880.009.580.00N/A0.0LampRepl.CSL495.030WT8&0.88BFElec113.033.8512.201.911.46.3CSL597.328WT8&0.88BFElec101.0615.8111.844.460.52.6CSL596.025WT8&0.88BFElec94.7322.1414.465.620.9­9.5EventIII:BallastFailureBaselineBaseline/CSL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec142.440.0054.310.00N/A0.0Lamp&BallastRepl.CSL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec133.299.1556.172.440.8­4.7CSL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec128.8913.5556.433.170.7­3.6CSL495.030WT8&0.78BFElec128.6813.7656.944.100.6­5.7CSL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec129.7212.7257.373.171.0­1.4CSL597.328WT8&0.88BFElec126.6315.8156.584.460.51.6CSL596.025WT8&0.88BFElec120.3022.1459.205.620.9­9.5EventV:NewConst.andRenov.BaselineBaseline/CSL286.232.5WT8&0.88BFElec142.440.0054.310.00N/A0.0Lamp&BallastRepl.CSL390.832.5WT8&0.78BFElec133.299.1556.172.440.8­4.7CSL492.332.5WT8&0.75BFElec128.8913.5556.433.170.7­3.6CSL495.030WT8&0.78BFElec128.6813.7656.944.100.6­5.7CSL595.432.5WT8&0.75BFElec129.7212.7257.373.171.0­1.4CSL597.328WT8&0.88BFElec126.6315.8156.584.460.51.6CSL596.025WT8&0.88BFElec120.3022.1459.205.620.9­9.58B­33Table8B.7.17LCCandPBPResultsfora3­Lamp4­foot32WT8MediumBipinSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithNoBallastPrice M e a n L u m e n s

f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.06.32.6­9.50.0­4.7­3.6­5.7­1.41.6­9.50.0­4.7­3.6­5.7­1.41.6­9.5

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A2.30.81.4N/A1.31.11.11.60.81.4N/A1.31.11.11.60.81.4

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.001.914.465.620.002.443.174.103.174.465.620.002.443.174.103.174.465.62

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $11.7916.1615.5619.9311.7914.8915.3116.1616.8815.5619.9311.7914.8915.3116.1616.8815.5619.93

L C C S a v i n g s $0.001.4113.6519.520.007.9112.5611.3111.1813.6519.520.007.9112.5611.3111.1813.6519.52

L C C $119.09117.68105.4399.56119.09111.18106.52107.77107.91105.4399.56119.09111.18106.52107.77107.91105.4399.56

D e s i g n O p t i o n32.5WT8&0.88BFElec30WT8&0.88BFElec28WT8&0.88BFElec25WT8&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec30WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec28WT8&0.88BFElec25WT8&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&0.88BFElec32.5WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec30WT8&0.78BFElec32.5WT8&0.75BFElec28WT8&0.88BFElec25WT8&0.88BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W86.295.097.396.086.290.892.395.095.497.396.086.290.892.395.095.497.396.0

C a n d i d a t e

S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaseline/CSL2CSL4CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL2CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL2CSL3CSL4CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventIII:BallastFailureEventV:NewConst.andRenov.8B.7.2.28­footSinglePinSlimlineThefollowingtablespresentthefindingsofanLCCanalysisonthethree8­footsinglepinslimlineGSFLbaselinesoperatinginthecommercialsector,consideringlowlampprices,highlampprices,ornoballastprices.KeyinputsconsistofusingAEO2007referencecaseelectricitypricesandananalysisperiodof4.0yrs.Note:LampreplacementresultsinEventIarenotshownfora60WT12lampbecausetherearenoenergysavinglampreplacementoptions.8B­34Table8B.7.18LCCandPBPResultsfora2­Lamp8­foot75WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithHighLampPrices M e a n L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.0­13.1­5.7­2.59.0­8.10.0­5.7­2.59.0­8.1­6.4­5.7­2.5­8.19.0­8.1

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A0.511.411.841.56.2N/A11.411.841.56.2N/A10.914.20.8N/A0.0

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.008.697.067.062.1912.280.007.067.062.1912.280.000.820.826.030.0010.08

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $20.7125.29101.12103.77111.7597.1420.71101.12103.77111.7597.1492.20101.12103.7797.14111.7597.14

L C C S a v i n g s $0.0030.28­17.94­13.33­24.2115.030.00­28.30­23.69­34.574.670.00­8.32­3.7024.660.0039.25

L C C $172.80142.53190.75186.14197.02157.77162.45190.75186.14197.02157.77182.43190.75186.14157.77197.02157.77

D e s i g n O p t i o n75WT12&0.94BFMag60.5WT12&0.88BFMag75WT12&0.85BFElec75WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&1.18BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec75WT12&0.94BFMag75WT12&0.85BFElec75WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&1.18BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec75WT12&0.88BFElec75WT12&0.85BFElec75WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&1.18BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W85.697.587.392.094.8101.585.687.392.094.8101.585.687.392.0101.594.8101.5

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL3CSL1CSL2CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL5Baseline/CSL3CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.Lamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitEventIII:BallastFailureEventIV:BallastRetrofit8B­35Table8B.7.19LCCandPBPResultsfora2­Lamp8­foot75WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPrices M e a n L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.0­13.1­5.7­2.59.0­8.10.0­5.7­2.59.0­8.1­6.4­5.7­2.5­8.19.0­8.1

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A0.210.710.842.86.1N/A10.710.842.86.1N/A4.76.10.5N/A0.0

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.008.697.067.062.1912.280.007.067.062.1912.280.000.820.826.030.0010.08

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $11.3613.3286.6687.80105.1385.6511.3686.6687.80105.1385.6582.8486.6687.8085.65105.1385.65

L C C S a v i n g s $0.0030.60­11.60­9.01­29.2513.370.00­17.28­14.69­34.937.690.00­1.970.6223.000.0042.62

L C C $161.15130.56172.75170.17190.40147.78155.47172.75170.17190.40147.78170.78172.75170.17147.78190.40147.78

D e s i g n O p t i o n75WT12&0.94BFMag60.5WT12&0.88BFMag75WT12&0.85BFElec75WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&1.18BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec75WT12&0.94BFMag75WT12&0.85BFElec75WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&1.18BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec75WT12&0.88BFElec75WT12&0.85BFElec75WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&1.18BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W85.697.587.392.094.8101.585.687.392.094.8101.585.687.392.0101.594.8101.5

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL3CSL1CSL2CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL5Baseline/CSL3CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.Lamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitEventIII:BallastFailureEventIV:BallastRetrofit8B­36Table8B.7.20LCCandPBPResultsfora2­Lamp8­foot75WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithNoBallastPrices M e a n L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.0­13.1­5.7­2.59.0­8.10.0­5.7­2.59.0­8.1­6.4­5.7­2.5­8.19.0­8.1

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A0.40.91.20.00.2N/A0.91.20.00.2N/A7.810.10.4N/A0.6

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.008.697.067.062.1912.280.007.067.062.1912.280.000.820.826.030.0010.08

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $16.0319.3022.4024.3012.6118.7116.0322.4024.3012.6118.7116.0322.4024.3018.7112.6118.71

L C C S a v i n g s $0.0030.4416.2619.8614.8745.750.008.2411.846.8537.730.00­5.14­1.5424.350.0030.89

L C C $166.98136.54150.72147.12152.11121.23158.96150.72147.12152.11121.23145.58150.72147.12121.23152.11121.23

D e s i g n O p t i o n75WT12&0.94BFMag60.5WT12&0.88BFMag75WT12&0.85BFElec75WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&1.18BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec75WT12&0.94BFMag75WT12&0.85BFElec75WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&1.18BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec75WT12&0.88BFElec75WT12&0.85BFElec75WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&1.18BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W85.697.587.392.094.8101.585.687.392.094.8101.585.687.392.0101.594.8101.5

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL3CSL1CSL2CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL5Baseline/CSL3CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.Lamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitEventIII:BallastFailureEventIV:BallastRetrofit8B­37Table8B.7.21LCCandPBPResultsfora2­Lamp8­foot60WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithHighLampPrices M e a n L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.06.713.510.03.23.610.10.06.713.510.03.23.610.10.06.713.53.23.610.110.03.23.610.1

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A15.116.020.811.612.712.0N/A15.116.020.811.612.712.0N/A8.013.93.64.84.5N/A1.82.42.5

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.005.165.163.586.946.386.940.005.165.163.586.946.386.940.000.820.822.602.042.600.003.362.803.36

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $13.9591.9996.7888.6194.7495.2897.1413.9591.9996.7888.6194.7495.2897.1485.4391.9996.7894.7495.2897.1488.6194.7495.2897.14

L C C S a v i n g s $0.00­21.51­21.27­17.84­12.46­8.42­11.660.00­28.49­28.25­24.81­19.43­15.40­18.630.00­5.37­5.133.687.724.490.005.389.416.18

L C C $134.61156.12155.88152.44147.06143.03146.26127.63156.12155.88152.44147.06143.03146.26150.75156.12155.88147.06143.03146.26152.44147.06143.03146.26

D e s i g n O p t i o n60.5WT12&0.88BFMag60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec57WT8&0.78BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec60.5WT12&0.88BFMag60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec57WT8&0.78BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec60.5WT12&0.88BFElec60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec57WT8&0.78BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec57WT8&0.78BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W87.692.697.594.898.2101.8101.587.692.697.594.898.2101.8101.587.692.697.598.2101.8101.594.898.2101.8101.5

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaseline/CSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL1CSL2CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitEventIII:BallastFailureEventIV:BallastRetrofit8B­38Table8B.7.22LCCandPBPResultsfora2­Lamp8­foot60WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPrices M e a n L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.06.713.510.03.23.610.10.06.713.510.03.23.610.10.06.713.53.23.610.110.03.23.610.1

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A14.414.820.511.012.011.1N/A14.414.820.511.012.011.1N/A3.46.01.82.42.2N/A0.81.01.1

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.005.165.163.586.946.386.940.005.165.163.586.946.386.940.000.820.822.602.042.600.003.362.803.36

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $8.4682.7584.8081.9984.6284.8585.658.4682.7584.8081.9984.6284.8585.6579.9482.7584.8084.6284.8585.6581.9984.6284.8585.65

L C C S a v i n g s $0.00­16.85­16.14­18.06­9.17­7.82­8.500.00­21.08­20.37­22.29­13.40­12.05­12.730.00­0.710.006.978.327.640.008.8810.239.55

L C C $127.77144.62143.91145.83136.94135.59136.27123.54144.62143.91145.83136.94135.59136.27143.91144.62143.91136.94135.59136.27145.83136.94135.59136.27

D e s i g n O p t i o n60.5WT12&0.88BFMag60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec57WT8&0.78BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec60.5WT12&0.88BFMag60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec57WT8&0.78BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec60.5WT12&0.88BFElec60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec57WT8&0.78BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec57WT8&0.78BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W87.692.697.594.898.2101.8101.587.692.697.594.898.2101.8101.587.692.697.598.2101.8101.594.898.2101.8101.5

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaseline/CSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL1CSL2CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitEventIII:BallastFailureEventIV:BallastRetrofit8B­39Table8B.7.23LCCandPBPResultsfora2­Lamp8­foot60WT12SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithNoBallastPrice M e a n L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.06.713.510.03.23.610.10.06.713.510.03.23.610.10.06.713.53.23.610.110.03.23.610.1

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A0.91.60.40.81.01.1N/A0.91.60.40.81.01.1N/A5.79.92.23.02.9N/A1.31.71.8

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.005.165.163.586.946.386.940.005.165.163.586.946.386.940.000.820.822.602.042.600.003.362.803.36

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $11.2015.8819.3012.6116.9917.3718.7111.2015.8819.3012.6116.9917.3718.7111.2015.8819.3016.9917.3718.7112.6116.9917.3718.71

L C C S a v i n g s $0.0011.8512.3213.6020.7423.4321.470.006.256.728.0015.1317.8215.870.00­3.04­2.565.858.546.580.007.139.827.87

L C C $131.19119.34118.86117.58110.45107.76109.72125.58119.34118.86117.58110.45107.76109.72116.30119.34118.86110.45107.76109.72117.58110.45107.76109.72

D e s i g n O p t i o n60.5WT12&0.88BFMag60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec57WT8&0.78BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec60.5WT12&0.88BFMag60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec57WT8&0.78BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec60.5WT12&0.88BFElec60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.5WT12&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec57WT8&0.78BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec57WT8&0.78BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W87.692.697.594.898.2101.8101.587.692.697.594.898.2101.8101.587.692.697.598.2101.8101.594.898.2101.8101.5

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaseline/CSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL1CSL2CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitEventIII:BallastFailureEventIV:BallastRetrofit8B­40Table8B.7.24LCCandPBPResultsfora2­Lamp8­foot59WT8SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithHighLampPrices M e a n L u m e n s

f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.06.25.60.02.22.60.15.60.02.22.60.15.6

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A4.61.9N/A6.13.62.51.9N/A6.13.62.51.9

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.001.442.930.001.011.853.362.930.001.011.853.362.93

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $15.9222.5921.4488.6194.7495.2897.1494.1388.6194.7495.2897.1494.13

L C C S a v i n g s $0.004.767.340.00­2.686.166.187.340.00­2.686.166.187.34

L C C $120.89116.13113.56152.44155.12146.29146.26145.11152.44155.12146.29146.26145.11

D e s i g n O p t i o n60.1WT8&0.88BFElec57WT8&0.88BFElec55WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.85BFElec57WT8&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec55WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.85BFElec57WT8&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec55WT8&0.88BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W94.8101.8103.694.898.2101.8101.5103.694.898.2101.8101.5103.6

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaseline/CSL3CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.BaselineLampandBallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventIII:BallastFailureEventV:NewConst.andRenovation8B­41Table8B.7.25LCCandPBPResultsfora2­Lamp8­foot59WT8SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPrices M e a n L u m e n s

f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.06.25.60.02.22.60.15.60.02.22.60.15.6

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A2.00.8N/A2.61.51.10.8N/A2.61.51.10.8

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.001.442.930.001.011.853.362.930.001.011.853.362.93

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $9.3012.1611.6781.9984.6284.8585.6584.3681.9984.6284.8585.6584.36

L C C S a v i n g s $0.005.589.210.000.836.979.559.210.000.836.979.559.21

L C C $114.27108.70105.06145.83145.00138.85136.27136.61145.83145.00138.85136.27136.61

D e s i g n O p t i o n60.1WT8&0.88BFElec57WT8&0.88BFElec55WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.85BFElec57WT8&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec55WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.85BFElec57WT8&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec55WT8&0.88BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W94.8101.8103.694.898.2101.8101.5103.694.898.2101.8101.5103.6

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaseline/CSL3CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.BaselineLampandBallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventIII:BallastFailureEventV:NewConst.andRenovation8B­42Table8B.7.26LCCandPBPResultsfora2­Lamp8­foot59WT8SinglePinSlimlineSystemOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithNoBallastPrices M e a n L u m e n s

f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.06.25.60.02.22.60.15.60.02.22.60.15.6

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A3.31.3N/A4.32.61.81.3N/A4.32.61.81.3

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.001.442.930.001.011.853.362.930.001.011.853.362.93

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $12.6117.3716.5612.6116.9917.3718.7116.5612.6116.9917.3718.7116.56

L C C S a v i n g s $0.005.178.270.00­0.926.577.878.270.00­0.926.577.878.27

L C C $117.58112.41109.31117.58118.51111.02109.72109.31117.58118.51111.02109.72109.31

D e s i g n O p t i o n60.1WT8&0.88BFElec57WT8&0.88BFElec55WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.85BFElec57WT8&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec55WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.88BFElec60.1WT8&0.85BFElec57WT8&0.85BFElec60.1WT8&0.78BFElec55WT8&0.88BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W94.8101.8103.694.898.2101.8101.5103.694.898.2101.8101.5103.6

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaseline/CSL3CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5Baseline/CSL3CSL4CSL5CSL5CSL5

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.BaselineLampandBallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventIII:BallastFailureEventV:NewConst.andRenovation8B.7.2.38­footRecessedDoubleContactHOThefollowingtablespresentthefindingsofanLCCanalysisonthetwo8­footrecesseddoublecontacthighoutputGSFLbaselinesoperatingintheindustrialsector,consideringlowlampprices,highlampprices,ornoballastprices.KeyinputsconsistofusingAEO2007referencecaseelectricitypricesandananalysisperiodof3.2yrs.Note:LampreplacementresultsinEventIarenotshownfora95WT12lampbecausetherearenoenergysavinglampreplacementoptions.8B­43Table8B.7.27LCCandPBPResultsfora2­Lamp8­foot110WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSectorwithHighLampPrices M e a n

L u m e n s f r o m

B a s e l i n e %0.0­7.7­6.13.8­9.8­8.2­7.0­6.40.03.8­9.8­8.2­7.0­6.40.03.8­9.8­8.2­7.0­6.40.03.8­9.8­8.2­7.0­6.40.03.8­9.8­8.2­7.00.0­6.7

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A0.12.250.97.69.29.36.6N/A50.97.69.29.36.6N/A8.50.01.71.71.5N/A8.50.01.71.71.5N/A8.50.01.71.75.63.9

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.007.997.991.9010.6710.6710.6715.910.001.9010.6710.6710.6715.910.001.9010.6710.6710.6715.910.001.9010.6710.6710.6715.910.001.9010.6710.6710.677.3510.61

I n s t a l l e d

P r i c e $25.0825.5242.77121.80106.09123.34124.21129.5325.08121.80106.09123.34124.21129.53105.65121.80106.09123.34124.21129.53105.65121.80106.09123.34124.21129.53105.65121.80106.09123.34124.21125.02125.48

L C C S a v i n g s $0.0015.72­1.53­38.83­5.40­22.65­23.523.390.00­51.43­18.00­35.25­36.12­9.210.00­12.3121.133.883.0029.910.00­12.3121.133.883.0029.910.00­12.3121.133.883.0011.0613.21

L C C $157.13141.41158.66195.96162.53179.77180.65153.74144.53195.96162.53179.77180.65153.74183.65195.96162.53179.77180.65153.74183.65195.96162.53179.77180.65153.74183.65195.96162.53179.77180.65172.59170.44

D e s i g n

O p t i o n113WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.9BFElec113WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec113WT12&0.9BFElec113WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec113WT12&0.9BFElec113WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec113WT12&0.9BFElec113WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec113WT12&0.9BFElec113WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W80.186.187.683.286.187.688.995.380.183.286.187.688.995.380.183.286.187.688.995.380.183.286.187.688.995.380.183.286.187.688.991.993.0

C a n d i d a t e

S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL2CSL3CSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.Lamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitEventIII:BallastFailureEventIV:BallastRetrofitEventV:NewConst.andRenov.8B­44M e a n L u m e n s f r o m

B a s e l i n e %1.1

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y r4.4

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $10.61

I n s t a l l e d

P r i c e $129.53

L C C S a v i n g s $9.87

L C C $173.78

D e s i g n

O p t i o n86WT8&0.81BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W95.3

C a n d i d a t e

S t a n d a r d L e v e lCSL5

R e s p o n s e

E v e n t8B­45Table8B.7.28LCCandPBPResultsfora2­Lamp8­foot110WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSectorwithLowLampPrices M e a n

L u m e n s f r o m

B a s e l i n e %0.0­7.7­6.13.8­9.8­8.2­7.0­6.40.03.8­9.8­8.2­7.0­6.40.03.8­9.8­8.2­7.0­6.40.03.8­9.8­8.2­7.0­6.40.03.8­9.8­8.2­7.00.0­6.7

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A0.00.946.17.68.38.36.4N/A46.17.68.38.36.4N/A3.60.00.70.71.3N/A3.60.00.70.71.3N/A3.60.00.70.75.33.7

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.007.997.991.9010.6710.6710.6715.910.001.9010.6710.6710.6715.910.001.9010.6710.6710.6715.910.001.9010.6710.6710.6715.910.001.9010.6710.6710.677.3510.61

I n s t a l l e d

P r i c e $14.0614.2521.64101.5594.82102.21102.59115.7214.06101.5594.82102.21102.59115.7294.63101.5594.82102.21102.59115.7294.63101.5594.82102.21102.59115.7294.63101.5594.82102.21102.59113.79113.99

L C C S a v i n g s $0.0015.978.58­29.60­5.15­12.54­12.912.080.00­36.67­12.21­19.61­19.98­4.980.00­3.0821.3813.9913.6128.610.00­3.0821.3813.9913.6128.610.00­3.0821.3813.9913.617.5211.68

L C C $146.11130.14137.54175.72151.26158.65159.03144.03139.05175.72151.26158.65159.03144.03172.64175.72151.26158.65159.03144.03172.64175.72151.26158.65159.03144.03172.64175.72151.26158.65159.03165.12160.96

D e s i g n

O p t i o n113WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.9BFElec113WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec113WT12&0.9BFElec113WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec113WT12&0.9BFElec113WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec113WT12&0.9BFElec113WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec113WT12&0.9BFElec113WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W80.186.187.683.286.187.688.995.380.183.286.187.688.995.380.183.286.187.688.995.380.183.286.187.688.995.380.183.286.187.688.991.993.0

C a n d i d a t e

S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL2CSL3CSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.Lamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitEventIII:BallastFailureEventIV:BallastRetrofitEventV:NewConst.andRenov.8B­46M e a n L u m e n s f r o m

B a s e l i n e %1.1

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y r3.9

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $10.61

I n s t a l l e d

P r i c e $115.72

L C C S a v i n g s $10.25

L C C $162.39

D e s i g n

O p t i o n86WT8&0.81BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W95.3

C a n d i d a t e

S t a n d a r d L e v e lCSL5

R e s p o n s e

E v e n t8B­47Table8B.7.29LCCandPBPResultsfora2­Lamp8­foot110WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatingintheIndustrialSectorwithNoBallastPrices M e a n

L u m e n s f r o m

B a s e l i n e %0.0­7.7­6.13.8­9.8­8.2­7.0­6.40.03.8­9.8­8.2­7.0­6.40.03.8­9.8­8.2­7.0­6.40.03.8­9.8­8.2­7.0­6.40.03.8­9.8­8.2­7.00.0­6.7

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A0.01.66.10.01.21.20.2N/A6.10.01.21.20.2N/A6.10.01.21.20.2N/A6.10.01.21.20.2N/A6.10.01.21.20.50.4

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.007.997.991.9010.6710.6710.6715.910.001.9010.6710.6710.6715.910.001.9010.6710.6710.6715.910.001.9010.6710.6710.6715.910.001.9010.6710.6710.677.3510.61

I n s t a l l e d

P r i c e $19.5719.8932.2131.1119.8932.2132.8323.0619.5731.1119.8932.2132.8323.0619.5731.1119.8932.2132.8323.0619.5731.1119.8932.2132.8323.0619.5731.1119.8932.2132.8319.8420.17

L C C S a v i n g s $0.0015.843.52­7.6921.258.938.3135.520.00­17.5311.42­0.90­1.5325.680.00­7.6921.258.938.3135.520.00­7.6921.258.938.3135.520.00­7.6921.258.938.3121.2224.38

L C C $151.62135.78148.10159.31130.37142.69143.31116.10141.79159.31130.37142.69143.31116.10151.62159.31130.37142.69143.31116.10151.62159.31130.37142.69143.31116.10151.62159.31130.37142.69143.31130.40127.24

D e s i g n

O p t i o n113WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.9BFElec113WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec113WT12&0.9BFElec113WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec113WT12&0.9BFElec113WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec113WT12&0.9BFElec113WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec113WT12&0.9BFElec113WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W80.186.187.683.286.187.688.995.380.183.286.187.688.995.380.183.286.187.688.995.380.183.286.187.688.995.380.183.286.187.688.991.993.0

C a n d i d a t e

S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL2CSL3CSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL5BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4CSL4

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.Lamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitEventIII:BallastFailureEventIV:BallastRetrofitEventV:NewConst.andRenov.8B­48M e a n L u m e n s f r o m

B a s e l i n e %1.1

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y r0.7

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $10.61

I n s t a l l e d

P r i c e $23.06

L C C S a v i n g s $21.99

L C C $129.63

D e s i g n

O p t i o n86WT8&0.81BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W95.3

C a n d i d a t e

S t a n d a r d L e v e lCSL5

R e s p o n s e

E v e n t8B­49Table8B.7.30LCCandPBPResultsfora2­Lamp8­foot95WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatinginIndustrialSectorwithHighLampPrices M e a n L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.06.97.69.0­0.11.31.00.06.97.69.0­0.11.31.00.06.97.69.0­0.11.31.0­0.11.00.06.97.69.0­0.1

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A66.639.840.113.713.710.5N/A66.639.840.113.713.710.5N/A6.49.710.03.53.53.0N/A0.4N/A6.49.710.03.5

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.001.342.682.687.927.9210.690.001.342.682.687.927.9210.690.001.342.682.687.927.9210.697.9210.690.001.342.682.687.92

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $16.93106.09123.34124.21125.02125.48129.5316.93106.09123.34124.21125.02125.48129.5397.50106.09123.34124.21125.02125.48129.53125.02129.5397.50106.09123.34124.21125.02

L C C S a v i n g s $0.00­32.41­46.95­47.83­14.28­18.07­15.300.00­40.92­55.46­56.33­22.79­26.58­23.800.00­5.89­20.43­21.3012.248.4511.230.00­1.020.00­5.89­20.43­21.3012.24

L C C $132.82165.23179.77180.65147.10150.89148.12124.31165.23179.77180.65147.10150.89148.12159.35165.23179.77180.65147.10150.89148.12147.10148.12159.35165.23179.77180.65147.10

D e s i g n O p t i o n97WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.89BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec97WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.89BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec97WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.89BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec97WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.89BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W82.586.187.688.991.993.095.382.586.187.688.991.993.095.382.586.187.688.991.993.095.391.995.382.586.187.688.991.9

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4Baseline/CSL3CSL4BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitEventIII:BallastFailureEventIV:BallastRetrofitEventV:NewConst.andRenov.8B­50M e a n L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %1.31.0

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y r3.53.0

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $7.9210.69

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $125.48129.53

L C C S a v i n g s $8.4511.23

L C C $150.89148.12

D e s i g n O p t i o n86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W93.095.3

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lCSL3CSL4

R e s p o n s e

E v e n tTable8B.7.31LCCandPBPResultsfora2­Lamp8­foot95WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatinginIndustrialSectorwithLowLampPrices M e a n L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.06.97.69.0­0.11.31.00.06.97.69.0­0.11.31.00.06.97.69.0­0.11.3

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A63.034.334.413.013.19.8N/A63.034.334.413.013.19.8N/A2.84.14.32.92.9

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.001.342.682.687.927.9210.690.001.342.682.687.927.9210.690.001.342.682.687.927.92

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $10.5794.82102.21102.59113.79113.99115.7210.5794.82102.21102.59113.79113.99115.7291.1494.82102.21102.59113.79113.99

L C C S a v i n g s $0.00­27.50­32.19­32.56­14.27­16.34­11.950.00­32.81­37.50­37.87­19.58­21.66­17.260.00­0.98­5.66­6.0412.2510.18

L C C $126.46153.96158.65159.03140.73142.81138.41121.15153.96158.65159.03140.73142.81138.41152.99153.96158.65159.03140.73142.81

D e s i g n O p t i o n97WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.89BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec97WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.89BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec97WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.89BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W82.586.187.688.991.993.095.382.586.187.688.991.993.095.382.586.187.688.991.993.0

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:StandardsInducedRetrofitEventIII:BallastFailure8B­51M e a n L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %1.0­0.11.00.06.97.69.0­0.11.31.0

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y r2.3N/A0.2N/A2.84.14.32.92.92.3

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $10.697.9210.690.001.342.682.687.927.9210.69

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $115.72113.79115.7291.1494.82102.21102.59113.79113.99115.72

L C C S a v i n g s $14.580.002.320.00­0.98­5.66­6.0412.2510.1814.58

L C C $138.41140.73138.41152.99153.96158.65159.03140.73142.81138.41

D e s i g n O p t i o n86WT8&0.81BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec97WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.89BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W95.391.995.382.586.187.688.991.993.095.3

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lCSL4Baseline/CSL3CSL4BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4

R e s p o n s eBaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tEventIV:BallastRetrofitEventV:NewConst.andRenov.Table8B.7.32LCCandPBPResultsfora2­Lamp8­foot95WT12RecessedDoubleContactHOSystemOperatinginIndustrialSectorwithNoBallastPrices M e a n L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.06.97.69.0­0.11.31.00.06.9

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A4.66.97.10.80.80.9N/A4.6

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.001.342.682.687.927.9210.690.001.34

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $13.7519.8932.2132.8319.8420.1723.0613.7519.89

L C C S a v i n g s $0.00­3.43­13.05­13.6718.5015.5719.160.00­10.34

L C C $129.64133.07142.69143.31111.14114.07110.49122.73133.07

D e s i g n O p t i o n97WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.89BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec97WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.89BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W82.586.187.688.991.993.095.382.586.1

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4BaselineCSL1

R e s p o n s eBaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureEventII:8B­52M e a n L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %7.69.0­0.11.31.00.06.97.69.0­0.11.31.0­0.11.00.06.97.69.0­0.11.31.0

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y r6.97.10.80.80.9N/A4.66.97.10.80.80.9N/A0.3N/A4.66.97.10.80.80.9

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $2.682.687.927.9210.690.001.342.682.687.927.9210.697.9210.690.001.342.682.687.927.9210.69

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $32.2132.8319.8420.1723.0613.7519.8932.2132.8319.8420.1723.0619.8423.0613.7519.8932.2132.8319.8420.1723.06

L C C S a v i n g s $­19.95­20.5811.598.6612.250.00­3.43­13.05­13.6718.5015.5719.160.000.650.00­3.43­13.05­13.6718.5015.5719.16

L C C $142.69143.31111.14114.07110.49129.64133.07142.69143.31111.14114.07110.49111.14110.49129.64133.07142.69143.31111.14114.07110.49

D e s i g n O p t i o n97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec97WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.89BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec97WT12&0.9BFElec97WT12&0.89BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec97WT12&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.88BFElec86WT8&0.81BFElec

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W87.688.991.993.095.382.586.187.688.991.993.095.391.995.382.586.187.688.991.993.095.3

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lCSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4Baseline/CSL3CSL4BaselineCSL1CSL2CSL2CSL3CSL3CSL4

R e s p o n s eBallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.BaselineLamp&BallastRepl.

E v e n tStandardsInducedRetrofitEventIII:BallastFailureEventIV:BallastRetrofitEventV:NewConst.andRenov.8B.8INCANDESCENTREFLECTORRESULTSDOEanalyzedthreeIRLbaselinesinthecommercialandresidentialsectors:a90WPAR38lamp,a75WPAR38lamp,anda50PAR30lamp.Foreachofthethreebaselines,DOEconductsbothprobabilityanalyses(basedonMonteCarloruns)andscenarioanalyses.8B­538B.8.3MonteCarloResultsSimilartoGSFL,tocharacterizetheLCCsavingsandMonteCarloresultsforIRLDOEdevelopedtablestodescribetheresultsdistributions.ThesetablesdocumenttheaverageLCCsavingsandpercentagesofbuildinganalyzedwithpositiveandnegativeLCCsavingsforeachlampdesign.Inaddition,tocharacterizethedistributionofpaybackperiods,DOEreportsthemedianandaveragepaybackperiodforeverylampdesignandCSL.ThefollowingtablespresenttheLCCsavingsandPBPMonteCarloresultsforthethreeIRLbaselinesoperatinginthecommercialandresidentialsectors.KeyinputsconsistofusingtheEnergyInformationAdministration’s(EIA’s)AnnualEnergyOutlook2007(AEO2007)referencecaseelectricitypricesandmedium­rangelampprices.Table8B.8.1LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora90WPAR38LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorEventResponseCandidateStandardLevelRatedLampEfficacylm/WDesignOptionLifeCycleCostSavings$PaybackPeriodyrInitialLumensfromBaseline%AverageSavingsHouseholdswithNetBenefit%NetCost%MedianAverageEventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline14.690W,14.6lm/W&2500hrs,HalogenN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0LampRepl.CSL116.679W,16.6lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen2.61100.00.00.60.60.0CSL218.070W,18lm/W&3000hrs,HIR4.42100.00.00.40.4­3.8CSL319.866W,19.8lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR6.15100.00.00.60.60.08B­54Table8B.8.2LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora90WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorEventResponseCandidateStandardLevelRatedLampEfficacylm/WDesignOptionLifeCycleCostSavings$PaybackPeriodyrInitialLumensfromBaseline%AverageSavingsHouseholdswithNetBenefit%NetCost%MedianAverageEventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline14.690W,14.6lm/W&2500hrs,HalogenN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0LampRepl.CSL116.679W,16.6lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen2.45100.00.01.61.60.0CSL218.070W,18lm/W&3000hrs,HIR4.55100.00.01.01.0­3.8CSL319.866W,19.8lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR5.95100.00.01.61.50.0Table8B.8.3LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora75WPAR38LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorEventResponseCandidateStandardLevelRatedLampEfficacylm/WDesignOptionLifeCycleCostSavings$PaybackPeriodyrInitialLumensfromBaseline%AverageSavingsHouseholdswithNetBenefit%NetCost%MedianAverageEventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline14.075W,14lm/W&2500hrs,HalogenN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0LampRepl.CSL115.966W,15.9lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen2.15100.00.00.70.70.0CSL217.560W,17.5lm/W&3000hrs,HIR3.30100.00.00.50.50.0CSL319.155W,19.1lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR5.24100.00.00.70.70.08B­55Table8B.8.4LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora75WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorEventResponseCandidateStandardLevelRatedLampEfficacylm/WDesignOptionLifeCycleCostSavings$PaybackPeriodyrInitialLumensfromBaseline%AverageSavingsHouseholdswithNetBenefit%NetCost%MedianAverageEventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline14.075W,14lm/W&2500hrs,HalogenN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0LampRepl.CSL115.966W,15.9lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen1.99100.00.02.01.90.0CSL217.560W,17.5lm/W&3000hrs,HIR3.36100.00.01.41.30.0CSL319.155W,19.1lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR5.04100.00.01.91.80.0Table8B.8.5LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora50WPAR30LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorEventResponseCandidateStandardLevelRatedLampEfficacylm/WDesignOptionLifeCycleCostSavings$PaybackPeriodyrInitialLumensfromBaseline%AverageSavingsHouseholdswithNetBenefit%NetCost%MedianAverageEventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline11.650W,11.6lm/W&3000hrs,HalogenN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0LampRepl.CSL114.044.3W,14lm/W&3000hrs,Halogen­0.1125.574.51.11.16.9CSL215.041.3W,15lm/W&3000hrs,HIR0.3894.75.30.80.86.9CSL317.040W,17lm/W&4000hrs,HIR1.37100.00.01.31.417.28B­56Table8B.8.6LCCandPBPMonteCarloResultsfora50WPAR30LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorEventResponseCandidateStandardLevelRatedLampEfficacylm/WDesignOptionLifeCycleCostSavings$PaybackPeriodyrInitialLumensfromBaseline%AverageSavingsHouseholdswithNetBenefit%NetCost%MedianAverageEventI:LampFailureBaselineBaseline11.650W,11.6lm/W&3000hrs,HalogenN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0.0LampRepl.CSL114.044.3W,14lm/W&3000hrs,Halogen0.0642.557.53.23.06.9CSL215.041.3W,15lm/W&3000hrs,HIR0.6596.23.82.32.26.9CSL317.040W,17lm/W&4000hrs,HIR1.2598.02.03.73.617.28B.8.4LampPriceScenarioResultsAsmentionedearlier,DOEalsoanalyzedLCCsavingsandPBPresultsusingascenarioanalysis.Specifically,becausetheLCCandPBPresultsarehighlydependentonequipmentprices,DOEexaminedseveralsensitivitiestothemediumlamppriceresultspresentedinChapter8.Chapter7describedthreeprices(low,medium,andhigh)DOEdevelopedforeachIRLlampdesign.ThefollowingtablespresentthefindingsoftheLCCandPBPanalysesonthethreeIRLbaselinesoperatinginthecommercialandresidentialsectors,consideringlowlamppricesandhighlampprices.KeyinputsconsistofusingAEO2007referencecaseelectricityprices,averageoperatinghoursineachsector,andananalysisperiodof0.9yrsinthecommercialsectorand3.4yearsintheresidentialsector.8B­57Table8B.8.7LCCandPBPResultsfora90WPAR38LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithHighLampPrices I n i t i a l L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.00.0­3.80.0

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A0.70.40.7

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.002.704.915.89

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $7.879.739.9611.72

L C C S a v i n g s $0.003.275.127.04

L C C $31.2627.9926.1524.22

D e s i g n O p t i o n90W,14.6lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen79W,16.6lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen70W,18lm/W&3000hrs,HIR66W,19.8lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W14.616.618.019.8

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureTable8B.8.8LCCandPBPResultsfora90WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorwithHighLampPrices I n i t i a l L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.00.0­3.80.0

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A2.01.21.9

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.000.931.692.02

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $6.848.698.9310.69

L C C S a v i n g s $0.002.504.546.02

L C C $31.1828.6826.6325.16

D e s i g n O p t i o n90W,14.6lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen79W,16.6lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen70W,18lm/W&3000hrs,HIR66W,19.8lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W14.616.618.019.8

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailure8B­58Table8B.8.9LCCandPBPResultsfora90WPAR38LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorwithLowLampPrices I n i t i a l L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.00.0­3.80.0

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A0.30.20.3

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.002.704.915.89

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $4.455.385.506.38

L C C S a v i n g s $0.003.085.046.59

L C C $26.7223.6521.6820.14

D e s i g n O p t i o n90W,14.6lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen79W,16.6lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen70W,18lm/W&3000hrs,HIR66W,19.8lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W14.616.618.019.8

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureTable8B.8.10LCCandPBPResultsfora90WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorwithLowLampPrices I n i t i a l L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.00.0­3.80.0

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A1.00.60.9

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.000.931.692.02

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $3.424.354.465.34

L C C S a v i n g s $0.002.644.806.04

L C C $26.9724.3322.1720.93

D e s i g n O p t i o n90W,14.6lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen79W,16.6lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen70W,18lm/W&3000hrs,HIR66W,19.8lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W14.616.618.019.8

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailure8B­59Table8B.8.11LCCandPBPResultsfora75WPAR38LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorusingHighLampPrices

I n i t i a l L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.00.00.00.0

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A0.80.60.8

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.002.213.684.91

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $7.879.739.9611.72

L C C S a v i n g s $0.002.813.966.12

L C C $27.8024.9923.8421.68

D e s i g n O p t i o n75W,14lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen66W,15.9lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen60W,17.5lm/W&3000hrs,HIR55W,19.1lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W14.015.917.519.1

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureTable8B.8.12LCCandPBPResultsfora75WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorusingHighLampPrices

I n i t i a l L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.00.00.00.0

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A2.41.62.3

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.000.761.271.69

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $6.848.698.9310.69

L C C S a v i n g s $0.002.003.285.00

L C C $27.3825.3924.1122.38

D e s i g n O p t i o n75W,14lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen66W,15.9lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen60W,17.5lm/W&3000hrs,HIR55W,19.1lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W14.015.917.519.1

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailure8B­60Table8B.8.13LCCandPBPResultsfora75WPAR38LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorusingLowLampPrices

I n i t i a l L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.00.00.00.0

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A0.40.30.4

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.002.213.684.91

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $4.455.385.506.38

L C C S a v i n g s $0.002.613.885.66

L C C $23.2620.6419.3717.59

D e s i g n O p t i o n75W,14lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen66W,15.9lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen60W,17.5lm/W&3000hrs,HIR55W,19.1lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W14.015.917.519.1

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureTable8B.8.14LCCandPBPResultsfora75WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorusingLowLampPrices

I n i t i a l L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.00.00.00.0

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A1.20.81.1

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.000.761.271.69

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $3.424.354.465.34

L C C S a v i n g s $0.002.143.545.03

L C C $23.1821.0419.6418.15

D e s i g n O p t i o n75W,14lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen66W,15.9lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen60W,17.5lm/W&3000hrs,HIR55W,19.1lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W14.015.917.519.1

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailure8B­61Table8B.8.15LCCandPBPResultsfora50WPAR30LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorusingHighLampPrices

I n i t i a l L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.06.96.917.2

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A1.31.01.6

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.001.402.142.46

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $7.078.929.1510.91

L C C S a v i n g s $0.00­0.53­0.071.04

L C C $18.6319.1618.7017.59

D e s i g n O p t i o n50W,11.6lm/W&3000hrs,Halogen44.3W,14lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen41.3W,15lm/W&3000hrs,HIR40W,17lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W11.614.015.017.0

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureTable8B.8.16LCCandPBPResultsfora50WPAR30LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorusingHighLampPrices

I n i t i a l L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.06.96.917.2

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A3.92.84.6

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.000.480.730.84

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $6.037.888.129.88

L C C S a v i n g s $0.00­0.410.110.74

L C C $18.6819.0918.5717.95

D e s i g n O p t i o n50W,11.6lm/W&3000hrs,Halogen44.3W,14lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen41.3W,15lm/W&3000hrs,HIR40W,17lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W11.614.015.017.0

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailure8B­62Table8B.8.17LCCandPBPResultsfora50WPAR30LampOperatingintheCommercialSectorusingLowLampPrices

I n i t i a l L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.06.96.917.2

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A0.70.50.8

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.001.402.142.46

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $4.054.985.095.97

L C C S a v i n g s $0.000.390.971.80

L C C $15.6115.2214.6413.82

D e s i g n O p t i o n50W,11.6lm/W&3000hrs,Halogen44.3W,14lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen41.3W,15lm/W&3000hrs,HIR40W,17lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W11.614.015.017.0

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureTable8B.8.18LCCandPBPResultsfora50WPAR30LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorusingLowLampPrices

I n i t i a l L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.06.96.917.2

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A1.91.42.3

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.000.480.730.84

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $3.023.944.064.94

L C C S a v i n g s $0.000.521.161.63

L C C $15.6615.1514.5114.03

D e s i g n O p t i o n50W,11.6lm/W&3000hrs,Halogen44.3W,14lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen41.3W,15lm/W&3000hrs,HIR40W,17lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W11.614.015.017.0

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailure8B­638B.8.5OperatingHourScenarioResultsInaddition,analyzinglamppricesensitivitiestotheanalysis,DOEalsoanalyzesLCCandPBPsensitivitiestooperatinghours.Asdiscussedearlier,MonteCarloresultstakeintoaccountdistributionsinoperatinghoursacrossbuildingtypes.Specifically,becausetheLCCandPBPresultsarehighlydependentonequipmentprices,DOEexaminedseveralsensitivitiesHowever,intheresidentialsector,becausethereisalargerangeofhoursacrossroomtypes(notdepictedintheoperatinghourdistributionoverbuildingtypes)DOEanalyzeshighandlowoperatinghoursensitivityLCCandPBPresults.Forresidentialincandescentreflectorslamps(IRL)resultsusinghighoperatinghours(1,210hours/year:theaverageoperatinghoursofalampplacedinthekitchenofasingle­familydetachedhome)andlowoperatinghours(183hours/year:theaverageoperatinghoursofalampplacedinaclosetofamulti­family2­4unithome)arepresented.TheseoperatinghourswereobtainedU.S.LightingMarketCharacterization:VolumeIii.ThefollowingtablesdepicttheseresultsfortheresidentialsectorusingkeyinputssuchasAEO2007referencecaseelectricitypricesandaveragelampprices.Thehighoperatinghourscenariousesananalysisperiodof2.5yearsandthelowoperatinghourscenariousesananalysisperiodof16.4years.Table8B.8.19LCCandPBPResultsfora90WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorusingHighOperatingHours I n i t i a l L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.00.0­3.80.0

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A1.10.71.0

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.001.272.312.77

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $5.136.526.708.01

L C C S a v i n g s $0.002.564.736.10

L C C $29.6927.1324.9623.58

D e s i g n O p t i o n90W,14.6lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen79W,16.6lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen70W,18lm/W&3000hrs,HIR66W,19.8lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W14.616.618.019.8

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailure8B­64Table8B.8.20LCCandPBPResultsfora90WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorusingLowOperatingHours I n i t i a l L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.00.0­3.80.0

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A7.24.56.9

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.000.190.350.42

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $5.136.526.708.01

L C C S a v i n g s $0.001.442.933.19

L C C $22.5321.0819.6019.34

D e s i g n O p t i o n90W,14.6lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen79W,16.6lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen70W,18lm/W&3000hrs,HIR66W,19.8lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W14.616.618.019.8

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailure8B­65Table8B.8.21LCCandPBPResultsfora75WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorusingHighOperatingHours I n i t i a l L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.00.00.00.0

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A1.30.91.2

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.001.041.732.31

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $5.136.526.708.01

L C C S a v i n g s $0.002.033.425.06

L C C $25.7723.7422.3520.71

D e s i g n O p t i o n75W,14lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen66W,15.9lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen60W,17.5lm/W&3000hrs,HIR55W,19.1lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W14.015.917.519.1

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureTable8B.8.22LCCandPBPResultsfora75WPAR38LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorusingLowOperatingHours I n i t i a l L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.00.00.00.0

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A8.86.08.3

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.000.160.260.35

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $5.136.526.708.01

L C C S a v i n g s $0.001.072.002.45

L C C $19.7618.6917.7617.31

D e s i g n O p t i o n75W,14lm/W&2500hrs,Halogen66W,15.9lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen60W,17.5lm/W&3000hrs,HIR55W,19.1lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W14.015.917.519.1

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailure8B­66Table8B.8.23LCCandPBPResultsfora50WPAR30LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorusingHighOperatingHours I n i t i a l L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.06.96.917.2

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A2.11.62.5

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.000.661.001.15

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $4.525.916.097.41

L C C S a v i n g s $0.000.100.701.25

L C C $17.5717.4716.8716.32

D e s i g n O p t i o n50W,11.6lm/W&3000hrs,Halogen44.3W,14lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen41.3W,15lm/W&3000hrs,HIR40W,17lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W11.614.015.017.0

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailureTable8B.8.24LCCandPBPResultsfora50WPAR30LampOperatingintheResidentialSectorusingLowOperatingHours I n i t i a l L u m e n s f r o m B a s e l i n e %0.06.96.917.2

P a y b a c k P e r i o d y rN/A14.010.316.5

O p e r a t i n g C o s t S a v i n g s O n e Y e a r $0.000.100.150.17

I n s t a l l e d P r i c e $4.525.916.097.41

L C C S a v i n g s $0.00­0.340.04­0.26

L C C $13.7414.0813.7014.00

D e s i g n O p t i o n50W,11.6lm/W&3000hrs,Halogen44.3W,14lm/W&3000hrs,ImprovedHalogen41.3W,15lm/W&3000hrs,HIR40W,17lm/W&4000hrs,ImprovedHIR

R a t e d L a m p E f f i c a c y l m / W11.614.015.017.0

C a n d i d a t e S t a n d a r d L e v e lBaselineCSL1CSL2CSL3

R e s p o n s eBaselineLampRepl.

E v e n tEventI:LampFailure8B­67

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