Statistical evaluation of the May 15 - September 30, 2002 BaseB1 CMAQ simulation across the OTR

 (plus all of VA + WV)

Daily average PM2.5 mass and speciation at IMPROVE sites (N = 21)

PM2.5 mass, SO4, NO3, EC, OM (assumed to be 1.8 times the blank-corrected OC, where

 blanks are assumed to be zero), and soil/crustal (IMPROVE definition)

Only those times when the observed and predicted concentrations agreed to within a

 factor of 25 are considered in this analysis

July 6-9 data were excluded because of the influence of the Quebec forest fires

Site names include standard IMPROVE site designations

Statistics:

observed average

predicted average

coefficient of determination, R2

normalized mean error

root mean square error

fractional gross error

mean absolute gross error

mean normalized gross error

mean bias

mean normalized bias

mean fractionalized bias

normalized mean bias

Statistics are organized two ways - "by date" (consider all valid observed/predicted data pairs at all

 sites on a given day) and "by site" (consider all valid days at a given site)

Since the data are predominantly 1-in-3 day samples, only every 3rd day are displayed here
obs avg, ug/m3CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, % MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3 MNB, % MFB, % NMB, % N

20020517 9.32 6.85 0.816 30.34 3.61 42.83 2.83 33.74 -2.47 -29.58 -39.08 -26.51 20

20020520 3.87 6.81 0.531 80.34 3.89 60.04 3.11 97.79 2.94 96.12 58.21 75.96 21

20020523 8.07 12.2 0.444 52.89 5.4 37.42 4.27 51.43 4.13 49.73 35.63 51.16 20

20020526 10.47 9.97 0.797 21.2 2.91 22.9 2.22 22.55 -0.5 -3.04 -6.81 -4.79 20

20020529 15.05 12.39 0.231 30.21 5.23 34.63 4.55 29.99 -2.66 -15.26 -22.03 -17.68 20

20020601 10.78 6.5 0.527 44.35 5.27 67.35 4.78 48.12 -4.29 -42.83 -62.9 -39.76 19

20020604 9.32 7.22 0.632 35.79 5.42 32.14 3.33 31.1 -2.09 -0.09 -7.27 -22.48 18

20020607 3.9 3.94 0.021 32.25 1.74 38.86 1.26 36.03 0.05 8.27 -4.8 1.17 19

20020610 12.99 11.06 0.804 30.71 6.65 38.49 3.99 42.63 -1.93 19.4 8.09 -14.84 19

20020613 7.04 5.02 0.495 41.61 3.96 46.87 2.93 41.81 -2.02 -10.24 -22.45 -28.74 18

20020616 5.02 5.36 0.807 26.89 1.77 29.45 1.35 32.92 0.34 9.5 2.53 6.73 18

20020619 10.1 9.71 0.445 37.2 5.78 37.02 3.76 42.6 -0.39 21.49 8.98 -3.82 21

20020622 18.87 16.58 0.36 31.31 7.47 34.19 5.91 29.97 -2.29 -8.13 -15.35 -12.14 21

20020625 14.19 11.17 0.667 35.52 8.29 35.57 5.04 35.36 -3.01 6.22 -2.71 -21.23 19

20020628 9.25 6.26 0.503 38.08 3.99 47.99 3.52 37.83 -2.99 -33.82 -44.66 -32.34 20

20020701 26.48 13.97 0.647 47.24 14.43 58.53 12.51 44.27 -12.51 -44.27 -58.53 -47.24 20

20020704 20.94 9.8 0.489 56.76 12.86 77.26 11.89 57.32 -11.14 -49.07 -71.41 -53.22 20

20020707

20020710 15.62 5.2 0.416 66.79 11.72 101.67 10.43 64.9 -10.42 -64.41 -101.19 -66.72 21

20020713 9.85 10.24 0.352 34.68 4.5 33.82 3.42 34.57 0.39 3.02 -5.37 3.92 21

20020716 11.88 8.21 0.862 35.51 5.77 39.57 4.22 34.1 -3.67 -19.24 -28.07 -30.87 18

20020719 18.35 14.36 0.75 30.36 7.71 41.59 5.57 33.48 -4 -15.54 -26.73 -21.77 20

20020722 22.23 14.23 0.659 37.88 9.95 41.3 8.42 33.27 -8 -29.49 -38.02 -35.98 20

20020725 6.36 6.95 0.202 50.85 4.62 44.78 3.23 72.51 0.58 47.38 13.44 9.18 19

20020728 16.08 12.13 0.232 34.16 6.35 42.12 5.49 33.46 -3.96 -24.34 -33.87 -24.6 18

20020731 10.33 7.15 0.765 31.89 4.1 42.24 3.3 33 -3.18 -32.25 -41.52 -30.81 18

20020803 11.89 9.53 0.328 30.82 6.18 27.88 3.67 24.09 -2.37 -9.11 -15.26 -19.9 19

20020806 5.38 4.26 0.827 28.47 2.63 25.47 1.53 24.58 -1.12 -4.61 -9.69 -20.86 21

20020809 4.51 5.45 0.266 42.82 2.57 36.41 1.93 43.48 0.95 29.08 18.69 21 21

20020812 27.41 26.52 0.264 28.73 8.61 30.81 7.87 31.74 -0.89 4.74 -1.52 -3.24 21

20020815 22.38 16.68 0.593 29.77 8.47 31.48 6.66 26.81 -5.7 -18.49 -24.03 -25.45 21

20020818 15.85 11.27 0.464 31.68 5.52 38.44 5.02 32.39 -4.58 -26.58 -33.94 -28.89 20

20020821 8.53 8.38 0.808 27.26 3.45 29.5 2.32 33.02 -0.15 17.43 11 -1.79 18

20020824 7.8 8.95 0.462 47.48 4.76 48.19 3.7 64.91 1.15 46.94 23.77 14.69 20

20020827 8.22 10.64 0.707 40.36 5.26 35.27 3.32 48.08 2.42 41.65 28.15 29.49 19

20020830 4.76 5.28 0.698 35.37 2.03 40.43 1.68 41.91 0.52 12.34 0.08 10.93 19
20020902 4.88 6.8 0.331 53.68 3.56 43.39 2.62 58.39 1.92 42.94 21.33 39.25 20

20020905 4.47 6.15 0.722 38.83 2.35 33.78 1.73 46.46 1.68 44.65 31.79 37.63 20

20020908 9.69 14.06 0.319 47.5 6.55 34.11 4.6 47.71 4.38 45.63 31.9 45.19 20

20020911 10.81 11.38 0.263 28.95 4.86 28.14 3.13 42.6 0.58 21.34 3.76 5.34 20

20020914 12.47 14.76 0.431 36.91 6.08 42.04 4.6 80.33 2.29 68.24 27.88 18.4 21

20020917 8.88 12.68 0.916 42.71 5.21 36.51 3.79 48.7 3.79 48.7 36.51 42.71 17

20020920 17.47 16.46 0.366 25.74 5.79 24.49 4.5 24.27 -1.01 2.29 -1.66 -5.81 19

20020923 4.85 5.88 0.35 47.7 2.72 45.9 2.31 51.22 1.03 23.96 9.51 21.27 21

20020926 5.82 9.27 0.402 67.08 4.48 53.41 3.9 75.08 3.45 64.56 39.12 59.34 19

20020929 8.45 11.46 0.805 43.4 4.56 51.98 3.67 84.24 3.01 80.17 47.62 35.64 19
obs avg, ug/m3 CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, % MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3 MNB, %

improACAD1 7.22 6.5 0.503 41.82 4.39 46.46 3.02 50.92 -0.73 15.15

improADPI1 13.5 9.96 0.722 35.9 6.63 38.41 4.85 34.82 -3.54 -14.1

improAREN1 17 16.52 0.547 31.27 7.02 31.36 5.32 32.69 -0.48 4.48

improBRIG1 13.18 11.85 0.417 37.63 7 38.49 4.96 37.1 -1.32 1.11

improBRMA1 8.4 8.07 0.683 42.1 4.35 47.08 3.54 55.23 -0.33 27.38

improCABA1 8.5 8.99 0.532 40.84 4.89 41.31 3.47 48.06 0.49 24.5

improCACO1 9.36 8.71 0.175 51.61 6.83 59.6 4.83 71.84 -0.65 20.24

improCOHI1 12.78 9.83 0.628 37.79 6.99 37.54 4.83 35.65 -2.95 -5.52

improDOSO1 14.69 10.52 0.425 40.13 8.05 47.31 5.9 38.87 -4.18 -18.34

improGRGU1 8.48 6.26 0.722 39.46 5.52 40.22 3.34 37.45 -2.22 -0.41

improJARI1 17.83 11.4 0.41 39.97 9.34 44.84 7.13 36.68 -6.43 -24.55

improLYBR1 9.06 6.78 0.716 39.84 5.59 42.86 3.61 43.09 -2.28 4.32

improMKGO1 15.21 13.04 0.694 26.05 5.55 30.88 3.96 27.15 -2.17 -10.51

improMOMO1 10.01 9.15 0.501 37.32 5.53 38.6 3.73 39.72 -0.85 6.37

improMOOS1 6.72 6.77 0.521 45.63 4.26 49.13 3.07 59.05 0.05 30.08

improOLTO1 9.28 8.97 0.591 32.48 4.92 32.15 3.01 33.32 -0.31 12.43

improPMRF1 9.21 6.42 0.696 43.94 6.65 44.33 4.05 43.81 -2.79 1.06

improPRIS1 6.66 5.98 0.535 41.6 4.38 43.99 2.77 44.16 -0.68 7.27

improQURE1 9.23 10.98 0.484 46.83 5.72 46.63 4.32 65.13 1.75 47.97

improSHEN1 16.69 15.65 0.365 38.27 7.88 42.68 6.39 59.31 -1.04 24.17

improWASH1 16.63 18.2 0.452 31.15 6.25 31.28 5.18 36.6 1.57 21.93
MFB, % NMB, % N

-1.27 -10.06 45

-23.76 -26.24 45

-3.68 -2.85 45

-8.77 -10.03 42

11.01 -3.98 45

10.26 5.73 42

-17.78 -6.96 33

-15.42 -23.12 44

-30.32 -28.42 35

-11.22 -26.14 43

-35.58 -36.08 44

-8.58 -25.13 38

-16.84 -14.3 45

-6.21 -8.52 43

10.11 0.69 45

4.67 -3.37 32

-13.33 -30.25 45

-7.35 -10.21 44

24.01 18.98 45

-0.61 -6.23 43

13.81 9.44 40
obs avg, ug/m3 CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, % MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3 MNB, % MFB, %

20020517 3.49 2.67 0.862 29.1 1.18 52.94 1.01 38.72 -0.82 -32.68 -47.4

20020520 1.64 1.69 0.812 23.6 0.64 24.35 0.39 25.73 0.04 7.28 2.57

20020523 3.21 4.36 0.816 41.37 1.88 26.98 1.33 34.48 1.16 28.37 20.46

20020526 3.94 4.47 0.731 25.84 1.82 27.52 1.02 36.57 0.53 22.5 10.57

20020529 7.68 6.67 0.287 28.37 2.6 30.71 2.18 27.24 -1.01 -11.45 -17.06

20020601 3.03 2.76 0.708 32.81 1.41 36.2 0.99 36.1 -0.28 -3.03 -12.6

20020604 2.95 2.49 0.885 22.96 1.06 21 0.68 19.02 -0.46 -9.76 -12.47

20020607 0.98 1.25 0.456 57.17 0.87 46.17 0.56 49.75 0.26 20.52 1.78

20020610 5.12 5.31 0.961 16.69 1.29 44.86 0.85 76 0.19 71.23 39.76

20020613 3.05 2.01 0.583 39.73 2.04 44.71 1.21 37.07 -1.03 -15.56 -26.93

20020616 2.01 2.71 0.901 38.22 0.99 41.53 0.77 72.71 0.7 61.63 28.16

20020619 3.18 3.83 0.727 39.65 1.81 45.16 1.26 73.77 0.65 53.75 21.19

20020622 8.68 7.95 0.677 25.95 3.04 31.07 2.25 28.64 -0.72 -1.65 -8.2

20020625 7.2 5.83 0.664 45.52 5.14 52.5 3.28 61.12 -1.37 27.93 8.24

20020628 3.46 3.2 0.701 24.94 1.25 26.53 0.86 24.85 -0.26 -4.1 -9.8

20020701 10.26 6.74 0.794 35.05 4.58 39.68 3.6 31.92 -3.52 -29.23 -37.19

20020704 6.96 4.67 0.243 47.59 4.29 52.37 3.31 68.9 -2.29 0.69 -34.16

20020707

20020710 3.96 2.38 0.885 42.73 2.5 57.41 1.69 44.33 -1.58 -33.78 -49.16

20020713 2.48 3.54 0.641 52.14 1.8 41.2 1.29 54.35 1.07 39.67 22.51

20020716 4.36 3.74 0.961 27.38 1.82 33.69 1.19 41.01 -0.62 19.69 8.15

20020719 8.93 8.53 0.882 27.6 3.58 44.36 2.46 54.79 -0.4 21.67 -3.72

20020722 10.34 8.05 0.876 34.57 4.3 39.06 3.58 40.88 -2.29 1.2 -8.89

20020725 2.36 2.85 0.446 60.1 2.4 54.73 1.42 118.68 0.48 93.62 23.63

20020728 7.82 7.15 0.326 35.65 3.36 35.27 2.79 32.5 -0.67 -9.4 -16.68

20020731 3.58 2.95 0.682 35.33 2.01 32.05 1.26 29.05 -0.63 -15.11 -21.11

20020803 4.74 4.29 0.349 38.34 2.67 35.34 1.82 36.57 -0.45 11.06 1.48

20020806 3.58 2.08 0.44 52.73 6.75 42.11 1.89 60.03 -1.51 43.08 18.07

20020809 0.88 1.07 0.552 48.04 0.67 41.01 0.42 54.14 0.19 41.95 25.76

20020812 13.39 16.52 0.201 44.32 7.05 41.15 5.93 56.98 3.13 41.68 23.29

20020815 10.07 9.44 0.605 23.01 2.98 24.39 2.32 26.46 -0.63 5.44 -0.21

20020818 7.5 5.62 0.702 26.83 2.28 31.67 2.01 27.56 -1.88 -21.83 -27.21

20020821 3.41 3.32 0.853 29.35 1.78 30.49 1 41.7 -0.09 27.44 14.29

20020824 3.42 4.28 0.691 48.35 2.38 59.07 1.65 106.87 0.86 95.96 46.15

20020827 2.68 4.04 0.78 63.35 2.68 49.87 1.7 72.36 1.36 67.84 44.26

20020830 1.53 1.27 0.576 39.32 1.08 47.12 0.6 47.27 -0.26 4.27 -12.61
20020902 1.67 2.18 0.458 64.36 1.53 55.81 1.08 76.24 0.51 49.18 17.26

20020905 1.56 1.79 0.86 31.14 0.81 25.92 0.49 26.52 0.23 2.34 -2.63

20020908 3.18 3.23 0.493 25.66 1.02 27.44 0.82 28.95 0.05 7.82 1.84

20020911 5.12 4.82 0.519 25.89 1.74 31.83 1.32 41.23 -0.3 14.59 0.46

20020914 5.38 5.8 0.686 25.66 1.99 35.67 1.38 99.43 0.43 88.43 22.95

20020917 4.47 6.23 0.899 40.1 2.53 43.23 1.79 62.54 1.76 61.85 42.53

20020920 8.63 7.72 0.714 22.38 2.6 21.92 1.93 21.77 -0.91 -1.02 -4.4

20020923 2.19 2.5 0.606 36.06 0.98 41.96 0.79 44.52 0.3 18.31 3.54

20020926 1.742 0.042 40.22 0.92 39.77 0.7 52.75 0.27 34.07 14.92

20020929 4.06 4.03 0.957 16.75 0.91 24.93 0.68 27.73 -0.03 9.57 3.31
NMB, % N

-23.56 20

2.72 21

36.07 20

13.48 20

-13.21 20

-9.15 19

-15.56 18

26.95 19

3.71 19

-33.92 18

35.02 18

20.37 20

-8.34 21

-19.04 20

-7.41 20

-34.29 20

-32.85 20

-39.93 21

43.13 21

-14.23 18

-4.48 20

-22.13 20

20.33 19

-8.62 18

-17.54 18

-9.52 19

-42.06 21

21.68 21

23.39 21

-6.26 21

-25.1 20

-2.66 18

25.23 20

50.61 20

-16.82 19
30.69 20

14.53 20

1.61 20

-5.86 20

7.91 21

39.42 19

-10.57 19

13.84 21

15.3 19

-0.72 19
obs avg, ug/m3 CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, % MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3 MNB, %

improACAD1 2.4 2.56 0.766 39.84 1.57 44.4 0.96 56.19 0.16 28.82

improADPI1 6.05 5.14 0.867 25.82 2.63 24.74 1.56 24.1 -0.9 -2.21

improAREN1 7.78 7.21 0.671 30.58 3.73 30.88 2.38 29.14 -0.57 -4.68

improBRIG1 5.48 6.01 0.574 44.24 3.41 44.05 2.43 55.98 0.53 32.11

improBRMA1 2.95 2.72 0.913 29.04 1.32 38.74 0.86 49.13 -0.23 25.03

improCABA1 2.58 2.99 0.707 44.9 1.85 47.12 1.16 68.53 0.41 44.99

improCACO1 3.47 3.69 0.337 57.17 2.91 61.68 1.98 96.79 0.22 55.11

improCOHI1 5.9 4.73 0.775 33.48 3.24 31.77 1.97 30.8 -1.17 -1

improDOSO1 7.86 6.89 0.185 46.76 6.47 48.49 3.68 61.81 -0.97 21.59

improGRGU1 3.22 2.49 0.894 35 1.96 39.8 1.13 47.73 -0.73 12.41

improJARI1 7.62 6.88 0.558 28.89 2.76 32.65 2.2 35.54 -0.75 3.53

improLYBR1 3.54 2.95 0.895 28.93 1.67 41.9 1.03 49.64 -0.6 18.2

improMKGO1 6.56 7.15 0.796 27.23 2.63 30.61 1.79 35.36 0.58 17.9

improMOMO1 3.75 3.79 0.805 29.94 1.64 37.41 1.12 42.14 0.03 16.23

improMOOS1 2.2 2.28 0.797 34.47 1.36 41.42 0.76 61.03 0.07 39.19

improOLTO1 3.01 2.74 0.919 22.11 1.09 26.27 0.67 23.72 -0.27 -7.52

improPMRF1 3.56 2.63 0.893 37.04 2.42 45.65 1.32 65.18 -0.93 29.63

improPRIS1 1.81 1.64 0.832 34.35 1.28 40.11 0.62 46.26 -0.17 18.55

improQURE1 3.27 3.8 0.737 40.43 1.94 39.26 1.32 52.39 0.54 38.05

improSHEN1 7.65 7.76 0.537 33.43 3.56 35.7 2.56 56.95 0.11 32.18

improWASH1 7.86 7.88 0.627 31.37 3.44 31.77 2.46 34.12 0.02 8.04
MFB, % NMB, % N

7.63 6.65 45

-6.92 -14.94 45

-11.66 -7.28 45

13.28 9.59 43

9.44 -7.68 45

17.35 16.05 42

-1.96 6.34 34

-8.4 -19.76 44

-6.76 -12.31 35

-3.48 -22.64 43

-6.3 -9.81 44

2.41 -16.88 38

9.29 8.84 45

3.64 0.9 43

12.89 3.33 45

-12.07 -9.04 32

0.35 -26.1 45

3.08 -9.58 44

20.6 16.43 45

5.8 1.41 43

-0.24 0.26 41
obs avg, ug/m3 CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, % MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3 MNB, % MFB, %

20020517 0.37 0.38 0.436 58.3 0.33 69.32 0.22 65.75 0.01 3.61 -30.07

20020520 0.22 1.29 0.552 486.62 1.74 125.08 1.07 492.15 1.07 489.26 121.68

20020523 0.47 1.37 0.213 219.42 1.54 98.22 1.03 243.75 0.9 209.62 43.98

20020526 0.67 0.6 0.665 46.4 0.43 65.24 0.31 54.16 -0.07 -17.69 -41.93

20020529 0.5 0.74 0.423 83.34 0.6 74.38 0.41 124.49 0.24 88.32 19.85

20020601 0.31 0.54 0.394 132.08 0.73 94.67 0.42 110.49 0.22 34.89 -29.51

20020604 0.33 0.52 0.741 82.32 0.44 65.38 0.27 90.08 0.19 49.57 7.18

20020607 0.21 0.25 0.227 79.8 0.26 71.87 0.17 74.71 0.04 13.22 -21.69

20020610 0.28 1.22 0.718 359.06 1.55 122.75 1 282.59 0.94 232.22 37.42

20020613 0.44 0.46 0.538 67.97 0.39 82.88 0.3 106.75 0.02 37.53 -19.54

20020616 0.19 0.34 0.19 137.69 0.4 96.59 0.26 152.79 0.15 83.58 -14.1

20020619 0.35 0.84 0.419 175.46 0.98 85.21 0.61 205.57 0.49 185.37 54.83

20020622 0.34 1.08 0.048 248.22 2.01 80.07 0.85 233.71 0.74 194.34 21.93

20020625 0.23 0.7 0.586 247.38 0.97 92.69 0.56 186.94 0.47 131.98 10.17

20020628 0.39 0.19 0.273 63.53 0.31 95.11 0.25 66.31 -0.2 -46.22 -81.37

20020701 0.34 0.57 0.031 146.93 0.98 95.57 0.5 157.91 0.24 78.65 -26.55

20020704 0.39 0.44 0.054 108.72 0.61 104.83 0.42 122.53 0.05 25.07 -52.74

20020707

20020710 0.38 0.13 0.067 79.79 0.37 131.7 0.31 80.88 -0.25 -66.28 -122.48

20020713 0.3 1.06 0.421 297.53 1.93 90.72 0.89 199.18 0.76 136.09 -7.5

20020716 0.2 0.36 0.001 156.47 0.83 84.35 0.31 164.16 0.16 92.71 -26.3

20020719 0.39 0.25 0.031 84.26 0.49 108.24 0.33 120.01 -0.14 4.52 -82.03

20020722 0.38 0.21 0.002 76.15 0.36 97.14 0.29 75.04 -0.17 -26.08 -69.1

20020725 0.26 0.34 0.59 103.05 0.47 103.47 0.26 92.56 0.09 -7.51 -63.79

20020728 0.28 0.46 0.089 140.74 0.62 99.66 0.4 136.3 0.18 63.68 -22.49

20020731 0.18 0.34 0.186 146.74 0.53 97.95 0.26 138.3 0.17 58.53 -38.06

20020803 0.29 0.53 0.003 148.96 0.65 83.7 0.43 169.75 0.24 125.6 17.79

20020806 0.19 0.07 0.368 64.73 0.18 132.82 0.12 75.58 -0.12 -75.58 -132.82

20020809 0.14 0.38 0.247 222.85 0.55 99.52 0.31 214.14 0.24 161.03 13.38

20020812 0.27 0.68 0.029 188.95 0.85 92.09 0.51 215.05 0.41 169.56 14.11

20020815 0.39 0.37 0 90.78 0.48 94.95 0.36 96.54 -0.02 8.24 -49.16

20020818 0.25 0.34 0.099 122.1 0.53 92.19 0.3 107.55 0.09 22.98 -40.48

20020821 0.23 0.48 0.221 153.71 0.6 99.9 0.36 184.78 0.25 128.3 7.96

20020824 0.31 0.5 0.547 107.5 0.56 78.98 0.33 113.74 0.19 52.62 -13

20020827 0.35 0.96 0.46 192.85 1.39 74.67 0.67 161.16 0.62 145.08 51.25

20020830 0.25 0.63 0.392 176.46 0.72 103.57 0.45 226.48 0.38 169.74 7.93
20020902 0.34 0.68 0.394 138.31 0.89 86.68 0.47 139.91 0.34 87.72 0.79

20020905 0.17 0.35 0.205 160.76 0.62 88.37 0.27 141.24 0.19 79.27 -12.47

20020908 0.29 1.76 0.235 508.9 2.69 102.67 1.48 447.05 1.47 444.12 99.24

20020911 0.27 0.93 0.103 284.92 1.72 92.73 0.77 282.86 0.66 234.19 18.87

20020914 0.38 1.41 0.428 285.18 1.9 94.69 1.09 328.42 1.03 309.89 70.4

20020917 0.4 1.11 0.726 178.56 1.17 70.84 0.72 174.49 0.71 169.46 65.15

20020920 0.65 0.78 0.708 61.16 0.48 72.73 0.4 112.19 0.13 71.91 11.05

20020923 0.23 0.41 0.287 134.32 0.5 94.64 0.31 126.7 0.18 60.29 -13.87

20020926 0.57 1.71 0.488 210.84 1.91 104.31 1.21 365.15 1.14 347.08 75.5

20020929 0.25 1.48 0.267 485.49 1.75 121.64 1.23 592.14 1.22 579.4 103.27
NMB, % N

2.58 20

484.75 21

191.52 20

-10.55 20

49 20

71.38 15

57.81 18

20.95 18

338.55 16

3.81 18

81.72 18

139.63 20

214.7 21

207.27 19

-50.78 17

70.33 19

13.62 20

-66.13 16

254.67 21

80.07 18

-36.6 18

-44.8 19

34.31 17

62.77 18

96.21 16

83.67 18

-64.73 14

173.75 18

151.14 21

-5.82 20

37.18 19

107.81 16

62.41 19

176.61 19

148.43 17
100.16 19

110.23 20

504.46 20

244.83 20

268.02 21

176.28 19

20.33 19

79.38 21

198.16 19

482.64 18
obs avg, ug/m3 CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, % MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3 MNB, %

improACAD1 0.29 0.24 0.266 65.46 0.26 88.48 0.19 76.68 -0.05 -9.6

improADPI1 0.35 0.66 0.046 141.7 0.84 84.4 0.49 171.07 0.31 124.05

improAREN1 0.72 2.46 0.165 252.57 2.74 103.71 1.81 389.08 1.75 380.48

improBRIG1 0.38 0.78 0.035 154.81 1 82.89 0.59 178.71 0.4 131.94

improBRMA1 0.16 0.25 0.224 112.52 0.33 88.85 0.18 118.12 0.09 52.05

improCABA1 0.34 0.48 0.274 98.71 0.51 91.23 0.34 117.48 0.14 53.01

improCACO1 0.44 0.81 0.075 150.06 1.05 104.23 0.66 196.3 0.37 122.29

improCOHI1 0.34 0.63 0.074 142.45 0.76 82.74 0.48 183.19 0.3 135.54

improDOSO1 0.23 0.42 0.016 163.46 0.56 104.43 0.38 203.69 0.19 134.37

improGRGU1 0.09 0.15 0.067 128.55 0.2 92.74 0.12 147.89 0.06 78.61

improJARI1 0.39 0.45 0.46 66.91 0.37 71.33 0.26 79.29 0.05 17.79

improLYBR1 0.22 0.26 0.052 101.38 0.32 94.51 0.22 134.23 0.04 62.87

improMKGO1 0.47 0.9 0.019 143.27 0.97 85.88 0.67 150.96 0.43 105.49

improMOMO1 0.35 0.92 0.058 215.03 1.57 96.14 0.75 227.16 0.57 181.7

improMOOS1 0.21 0.09 0.103 72.52 0.2 112.99 0.15 75.53 -0.12 -48.24

improOLTO1 0.3 0.2 0.475 51.68 0.19 88.46 0.16 62.42 -0.1 -36.86

improPMRF1 0.13 0.22 0.029 138.38 0.32 93.1 0.19 188.51 0.09 121.91

improPRIS1 0.14 0.09 0.382 62.12 0.11 93.36 0.08 69.88 -0.05 -31.46

improQURE1 0.28 1.29 0.187 374.7 1.84 103.87 1.05 381.39 1.01 365.96

improSHEN1 0.38 1.87 0.21 390.27 2 116.54 1.5 467.46 1.49 466.61

improWASH1 0.64 0.71 0.183 81.7 0.76 79.74 0.52 80.47 0.07 9.81
MFB, % NMB, % N

-52.47 -16.27 38

13.25 89.48 45

89.9 244.43 45

9.93 105.56 42

-19.12 58.54 45

-13.6 41.92 41

-18.74 84.35 27

12.46 87.7 43

-6.49 79.87 35

-19.67 60.63 42

-20.16 13.23 40

-20.98 18.09 36

17.68 92.81 45

21.15 163.3 41

-96.77 -57.39 37

-70.63 -34.88 28

-11.71 63.82 45

-73.77 -34.37 36

81.85 357.57 45

115.64 388.8 43

-32.66 11.3 41
obs avg, ug/m3 CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, % MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3 MNB, % MFB, %

20020517 0.34 0.28 0.673 47.85 0.23 55.61 0.16 45.4 -0.06 -21.77 -37.6

20020520 0.21 0.3 0.435 78.48 0.24 59.15 0.16 90.42 0.09 67.22 29.5

20020523 0.38 0.44 0.254 52.62 0.3 42.52 0.2 50.66 0.06 18.72 1.48

20020526 0.35 0.32 0.414 51.8 0.24 53.56 0.18 49.74 -0.03 -2.72 -18.52

20020529 0.41 0.33 0.047 51.13 0.27 57.22 0.21 52.12 -0.07 -14.69 -34.19

20020601 0.4 0.27 0.24 64.72 0.34 80.31 0.26 60.8 -0.13 -38.19 -67.06

20020604 0.37 0.34 0.15 52.08 0.3 45.4 0.19 45.45 -0.03 -0.56 -14.94

20020607 0.2 0.13 0.2 41.84 0.1 52.88 0.08 42.17 -0.07 -28.92 -42.9

20020610 0.36 0.26 0.119 64.06 0.32 63.58 0.23 67.68 -0.1 9.79 -18.32

20020613 0.3 0.15 0.198 57.45 0.23 69.08 0.17 50.24 -0.15 -39.58 -60.48

20020616 0.18 0.13 0.454 48.22 0.11 53.74 0.09 44.83 -0.05 -25.3 -39.59

20020619 0.44 0.31 0.344 48.89 0.29 52.25 0.21 40.72 -0.12 -22.35 -37.06

20020622 0.56 0.44 0.007 58.83 0.44 64.42 0.33 66.99 -0.12 -3.99 -38

20020625 0.49 0.44 0.683 44.31 0.29 47.57 0.22 45.57 -0.05 -0.39 -14.8

20020628 0.36 0.24 0.397 64.52 0.33 77.43 0.23 58.04 -0.12 -42.72 -67.96

20020701 0.76 0.45 0.095 55.44 0.49 69.08 0.42 50.65 -0.32 -38.08 -59.45

20020704 0.38 0.37 0.384 46.98 0.31 41.33 0.18 40.85 -0.01 -7.32 -20.46

20020707

20020710 0.5 0.22 0.118 76.35 0.44 108.85 0.38 76.09 -0.28 -51.42 -93.99

20020713 0.43 0.44 0.067 49.83 0.36 45.8 0.22 53.11 0.01 6.34 -15.81

20020716 0.43 0.32 0.286 58.22 0.37 56.99 0.25 47.07 -0.1 -23.85 -41.21

20020719 0.53 0.34 0.373 58.2 0.4 72 0.31 53.94 -0.19 -41.25 -64.12

20020722 0.59 0.45 0.217 42.29 0.3 48.12 0.25 41.26 -0.14 -18.95 -31.17

20020725 0.28 0.25 0.349 49.64 0.17 56.7 0.14 74 -0.03 25.75 -8.1

20020728 0.43 0.32 0.399 51.79 0.29 63.87 0.22 51.1 -0.11 -26.27 -47.82

20020731 0.38 0.32 0.467 63.3 0.34 66.23 0.24 56.18 -0.05 -22.91 -42.98

20020803 0.41 0.39 0.283 54.23 0.35 45.9 0.22 44.43 -0.02 -3.99 -18.08

20020806 0.22 0.19 0.369 57.05 0.2 49.91 0.12 46.95 -0.03 -4.9 -21.8

20020809 0.26 0.31 0.277 69.26 0.34 49.88 0.18 57.82 0.05 19.67 -2.87

20020812 0.65 0.55 0.326 48.13 0.4 53.42 0.32 47.28 -0.1 -14.67 -30.33

20020815 0.56 0.46 0.001 50.93 0.41 53.36 0.28 56.08 -0.1 -3.43 -26.32

20020818 0.41 0.35 0.037 67.69 0.42 68.28 0.28 67.39 -0.06 -14.58 -45.45

20020821 0.33 0.32 0.253 53.74 0.29 46.59 0.18 46.31 -0.01 -4.83 -19.7

20020824 0.29 0.29 0.113 81.6 0.38 68.28 0.24 71.75 0 1.86 -28.35

20020827 0.35 0.39 0.544 46.62 0.3 33.77 0.16 35.16 0.04 4.59 -4.69

20020830 0.27 0.28 0.285 67.01 0.39 52.08 0.18 63 0.01 10.72 -17.11
20020902 0.14 0.28 0.284 109.33 0.36 63.99 0.16 180.91 0.14 172.59 54.61

20020905 0.27 0.31 0.614 53.74 0.2 49.39 0.15 63.07 0.04 34.42 11.78

20020908 0.46 0.6 0.672 46.83 0.36 31.75 0.22 39.66 0.14 21.71 10.02

20020911 0.43 0.34 0.078 54.4 0.36 50.34 0.23 45.88 -0.09 -16.66 -31.92

20020914 0.45 0.45 0.122 46.74 0.31 46.05 0.21 67.310 32.79 -0.1

20020917 0.37 0.37 0.359 64.18 0.5 45.49 0.24 46.070 -8.44 -25.28

20020920 0.61 0.57 0.004 40.11 0.36 38.67 0.25 40.03 -0.04 0.56 -13.25

20020923 0.21 0.24 0.311 68.8 0.25 56.85 0.15 59.06 0.02 2.92 -19.67

20020926 0.41 0.36 0.128 45.22 0.23 47.79 0.19 42.54 -0.05 -9.68 -23.07

20020929 0.29 0.38 0.321 69.29 0.32 48.92 0.2 66.21 0.09 43.37 19.93
NMB, % N

-16.54 19

43.9 20

15.17 19

-8.98 19

-18.1 20

-32.51 18

-8.81 18

-34.34 18

-27.36 18

-50.44 18

-27.18 18

-28.16 21

-22.02 21

-10.17 20

-33.72 20

-41.44 20

-3.26 20

-55.94 21

1.62 21

-24.59 18

-36.06 20

-23.42 20

-10.22 19

-25.23 18

-14.04 18

-4.25 19

-12.71 21

18.19 21

-15.75 21

-17.13 21

-14.75 20

-2.66 18

0.44 20

10.96 20

4.28 19
95.28 20

13.39 20

30.54 20

-20.84 20

-0.26 21

0.51 18

-6.43 19

11.16 21

-13.03 18

29.9 19
obs avg, ug/m3 CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, % MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3 MNB, %

improACAD1 0.24 0.19 0.34 41.44 0.14 48.47 0.1 43.27 -0.05 -11.09

improADPI1 0.43 0.23 0.45 49.63 0.26 62.24 0.21 47.1 -0.2 -39.29

improAREN1 0.5 0.37 0.431 31.98 0.21 37.89 0.16 30.05 -0.13 -24.18

improBRIG1 0.41 0.46 0.464 33.88 0.18 34.69 0.14 44.02 0.05 27.68

improBRMA1 0.32 0.26 0.277 41.63 0.18 42.99 0.13 46.08 -0.05 2.92

improCABA1 0.37 0.37 0.377 42.19 0.2 44.71 0.16 49.73 0 12.32

improCACO1 0.28 0.38 0.207 68.94 0.24 68.44 0.19 146.1 0.1 119.09

improCOHI1 0.39 0.24 0.387 42.81 0.22 48.77 0.17 38.26 -0.15 -27.24

improDOSO1 0.35 0.14 0.091 60.8 0.25 84.83 0.21 56.9 -0.21 -56.9

improGRGU1 0.25 0.15 0.327 48.26 0.18 56.04 0.12 43.03 -0.11 -29.38

improJARI1 0.58 0.23 0.1 59.79 0.4 81.54 0.35 55.95 -0.35 -55.95

improLYBR1 0.28 0.19 0.454 43.06 0.19 44 0.12 48.65 -0.09 -3.39

improMKGO1 0.62 0.28 0.396 54.1 0.38 74.3 0.33 52.26 -0.33 -52.26

improMOMO1 0.36 0.35 0.397 36.76 0.2 38.71 0.13 41.06 -0.01 10.31

improMOOS1 0.22 0.17 0.373 37.07 0.12 41.41 0.08 37.78 -0.04 -4.73

improOLTO1 0.48 0.26 0.178 48.6 0.32 65.07 0.23 45.31 -0.22 -41.99

improPMRF1 0.3 0.22 0.16 48.91 0.2 54.06 0.14 56.86 -0.08 1.03

improPRIS1 0.28 0.15 0.383 49.52 0.19 60.87 0.14 43.85 -0.13 -41.28

improQURE1 0.37 0.57 0.698 56.5 0.24 49.78 0.21 75.73 0.2 73.09

improSHEN1 0.41 0.24 0.255 45.4 0.22 55.2 0.19 44.13 -0.17 -34.1

improWASH1 0.71 1.75 0.184 145.83 1.09 85.82 1.04 174.87 1.04 174.87
MFB, % NMB, % N

-25.59 -20.9 45

-56.57 -46.87 45

-32.51 -26.25 45

14.94 11.65 41

-13.41 -17.2 45

-3.75 -0.85 42

29.91 36.18 30

-40.11 -38.19 41

-84.83 -60.8 35

-45.02 -42.75 43

-81.54 -59.79 45

-24.47 -32.04 38

-74.3 -54.1 45

-1.67 -2.55 43

-15.78 -20.01 45

-62.06 -45.33 32

-21.12 -26.71 45

-58.52 -47.57 44

46.69 52.93 45

-48.25 -41.34 43

85.82 145.83 41
obs avg, ug/m3 CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, % MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3 MNB, % MFB, %

20020517 2.8 1.49 0.622 49.21 1.9 61.48 1.38 46.2 -1.31 -39 -56.11

20020520 1.3 1.76 0.006 77.05 1.14 64.96 1 88.89 0.46 64.89 31.97

20020523 2.51 2.8 0.284 34.4 1.08 30.8 0.86 33.48 0.29 14.07 6.81

20020526 3.04 2.08 0.399 41.22 1.57 49.54 1.25 40.97 -0.96 -21.97 -34.64

20020529 2.62 2.06 0.068 39.71 1.46 41.52 1.04 34.12 -0.56 -10.15 -21.04

20020601 4.89 1.3 0.007 73.34 3.91 114.82 3.59 71.15 -3.59 -71.15 -114.82

20020604 3.09 1.99 0.179 56.23 2.77 56.68 1.74 61.48 -1.1 12.4 -14.21

20020607 1.55 1.53 0.02 62.5 1.09 66.44 0.97 67.89 -0.02 9.91 -16.8

20020610 3.61 1.74 0.161 58.39 4.58 48.05 2.11 36.6 -1.87 -15.95 -30.2

20020613 1.85 1.11 0 54 1.42 64.57 1 47.81 -0.74 -26.7 -47.7

20020616 1.62 0.82 0.593 53.21 1.16 58.96 0.86 42.66 -0.81 -35.18 -52.36

20020619 4.12 2.23 0 53.39 4.3 50.97 2.2 38.76 -1.89 -19.53 -34.59

20020622 4.78 3.17 0.199 37.94 2.2 50.89 1.81 37.92 -1.6 -33.41 -46.92

20020625 4.4 2.66 0.106 51.32 2.9 59.35 2.26 45.47 -1.75 -23.3 -40.9

20020628 3.4 1.14 0.05 66.47 2.47 102.74 2.26 66.18 -2.26 -66.18 -102.74

20020701 8.8 2.96 0.105 66.34 6.39 96.05 5.84 63.03 -5.84 -63.03 -96.05

20020704 5.48 1.81 0.325 66.99 4.06 102.04 3.67 66.17 -3.67 -66.17 -102.04

20020707

20020710 9.14 1.35 0.284 85.2 9.5 140.5 7.79 80.9 -7.79 -80.9 -140.5

20020713 4.81 2.77 0.457 42.68 2.46 53.72 2.05 39.94 -2.04 -39.4 -53.19

20020716 4.24 1.85 0.193 61.34 3.24 76.57 2.6 54.08 -2.39 -42.91 -67.09

20020719 4.45 2.3 0.001 58.22 3.25 76.09 2.59 54.04 -2.15 -34.56 -60.57

20020722 6.42 2.12 0.25 66.93 4.56 100.74 4.3 66.1 -4.3 -66.1 -100.74

20020725 1.89 2.02 0.08 45.57 1.06 47.69 0.86 54.62 0.13 15.56 -3.51

20020728 2.93 1.81 0.002 54.11 1.89 68.25 1.59 50.72 -1.12 -26.97 -49.72

20020731 3.99 1.8 0.11 54.99 2.39 79.73 2.2 54.72 -2.2 -54.72 -79.73

20020803 3.89 1.98 0.095 49.34 2.37 64.57 1.92 45.35 -1.91 -44.82 -64.05

20020806 1.78 1 0.11 48.03 1.17 55.78 0.85 41.22 -0.77 -33.72 -49.33

20020809 2.41 2.59 0.179 37.4 1.03 36.68 0.9 37.96 0.18 9.25 0.71

20020812 5.65 3.55 0.072 43.14 2.95 55.77 2.44 41.49 -2.1 -34.03 -49.43

20020815 5.53 2.73 0.518 50.71 3.34 72.07 2.8 50.75 -2.8 -50.75 -72.07

20020818 3.73 2.51 0.328 47.69 1.97 70.12 1.78 50.46 -1.23 -36.28 -58.97

20020821 2.73 2.4 0.03 48.44 1.63 51.52 1.32 48.86 -0.33 2.01 -14.55

20020824 2.33 2.04 0 55.31 1.64 62.96 1.29 58.08 -0.29 3.02 -21.94

20020827 3 2.89 0.036 48.84 1.79 47.78 1.46 54.89 -0.11 22.39 4.3

20020830 1.94 1.91 0.18 51.74 1.34 52.58 1 48.48 -0.03 -1.69 -20.05
20020902 1.77 2.11 0.539 45.9 1.18 40.92 0.81 48.58 0.34 16.02 0.35

20020905 1.72 2.19 0.275 44.661 39.4 0.77 56.29 0.47 42.11 22.32

20020908 4.19 5.16 0.471 40.9 2.2 36.5 1.71 41.74 0.98 20.87 9.93

20020911 2.37 2.73 0.468 41.18 1.34 37.78 0.98 42.95 0.35 14.38 2.07

20020914 3.41 3.44 0.039 46.12 1.84 48.99 1.57 65.05 0.03 33.1 8.61

20020917 2.3 2.23 0.426 36.09 0.94 37.8 0.83 37.61 -0.06 1.98 -6.77

20020920 3.55 3.46 0.047 42.3 1.87 41.47 1.5 40.7 -0.09 0.77 -10.51

20020923 1.48 1.25 0.013 48.88 0.91 53.37 0.72 46.09 -0.23 -11.81 -27.87

20020926 2.37 2.99 0.616 42.64 1.25 42.89 1.01 46.23 0.62 23.18 9.55

20020929 2.25 2.88 0.128 49.34 1.31 46.55 1.11 70.15 0.62 56.42 29.8
NMB, % N

-46.68 19

35.69 20

11.54 19

-31.69 19

-21.23 20

-73.34 18

-35.69 18

-1.53 17

-51.85 18

-39.89 18

-49.76 18

-45.96 21

-33.56 21

-39.66 20

-66.47 20

-66.34 20

-66.99 20

-85.2 21

-42.41 21

-56.3 18

-48.41 20

-66.93 20

6.86 19

-38.1 18

-54.99 18

-49.01 19

-43.61 21

7.3 21

-37.19 21

-50.71 21

-32.87 20

-12.08 18

-12.62 20

-3.59 20

-1.57 19
18.97 20

27.49 20

23.28 20

14.88 20

0.83 21

-2.82 18

-2.57 19

-15.77 21

26.03 19

27.72 19
obs avg, ug/m3 CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, % MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3 MNB, %

improACAD1 2.55 2.09 0.09 58.47 2.61 59.05 1.49 66.13 -0.47 18.2

improADPI1 3.05 1.45 0.134 54.91 2.13 69.03 1.68 48.59 -1.6 -43.63

improAREN1 4 1.93 0.292 52.54 2.68 70.47 2.1 48.73 -2.07 -46.45

improBRIG1 3.83 1.92 0.195 55.34 3.21 66.85 2.12 49.21 -1.91 -37.16

improBRMA1 3.17 3.16 0.13 51.95 2.18 49.81 1.65 60.72 -0.01 32.38

improCABA1 3.28 2.91 0.219 46.15 2.12 46.22 1.51 45.21 -0.36 5.75

improCACO1 3.36 1.6 0.031 60.57 2.92 80.25 2.04 59.31 -1.77 -38.24

improCOHI1 3.35 1.64 0.101 55.01 2.6 65.66 1.84 46.9 -1.71 -38.52

improDOSO1 3.05 1.16 0.098 62.28 2.39 84.34 1.9 55.09 -1.88 -54.27

improGRGU1 2.95 2.48 0.093 45.28 2.1 43.29 1.34 44.37 -0.47 13.67

improJARI1 5.2 1.63 0.126 68.61 5.14 92.14 3.57 60.17 -3.57 -60.17

improLYBR1 2.82 1.87 0.089 54.96 2.54 53.18 1.55 50.91 -0.95 2.5

improMKGO1 4.25 1.35 0.151 68.29 3.47 98.8 2.9 64.29 -2.9 -64.29

improMOMO1 3.47 2.04 0.151 51.79 2.56 57.54 1.79 43.31 -1.43 -27.26

improMOOS1 2.84 3.05 0.04 61.94 2.69 56.16 1.76 67.96 0.21 39.43

improOLTO1 4.49 4 0.019 49.29 4.68 42.51 2.21 43.97 -0.5 16.06

improPMRF1 3.14 1.89 0.056 51.09 2.67 52.85 1.6 41.13 -1.25 -19.01

improPRIS1 3.2 3.06 0.101 55.67 2.98 51.85 1.78 55.81 -0.15 18.92

improQURE1 3.6 2.48 0.175 43.69 2.37 46.77 1.57 39.86 -1.13 -13.46

improSHEN1 3.22 1.5 0.272 57.66 2.52 69.53 1.86 51.8 -1.72 -37.07

improWASH1 4.81 4.19 0.155 33.07 2.14 33.03 1.59 35.45 -0.62 4.09
MFB, % NMB, % N

-9.1 -18.34 45

-64.98 -52.4 45

-68.41 -51.64 45

-57.93 -49.85 42

11.18 -0.22 45

-8.87 -11.1 42

-68.14 -52.48 29

-59.06 -51 41

-83.53 -61.82 35

-0.68 -15.85 43

-92.14 -68.61 45

-16.76 -33.55 38

-98.8 -68.29 45

-44.82 -41.2 43

14.51 7.31 45

4.09 -11.05 32

-34.99 -39.75 45

-0.73 -4.57 44

-27.01 -31.24 45

-58.7 -53.56 43

-5.84 -12.96 41
obs avg, ug/m3 CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, % MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3 MNB, % MFB, %

20020517 0.51 0.86 0.791 73.71 0.51 53.39 0.38 89.8 0.34 82.25 43.52

20020520 0.25 0.83 0.214 226.31 0.67 109.74 0.58 447.98 0.58 447.59 109.34

20020523 0.58 1.26 0.352 119.77 0.82 74.81 0.69 142.64 0.69 142.09 74.25

20020526 0.47 0.97 0.459 108.37 0.64 70.31 0.51 135.83 0.51 135.83 70.31

20020529 0.59 0.9 0.027 73.37 0.55 55.75 0.43 115.17 0.32 100.45 35.18

20020601 0.63 0.7 0.608 31.94 0.24 35.14 0.2 40.26 0.07 19.25 8.14

20020604 0.48 0.84 0.246 82.33 0.54 56.19 0.39 101.8 0.37 98.7 52.86

20020607 0.23 0.41 0.029 106.05 0.29 69.75 0.24 113.42 0.19 96.81 47.01

20020610 0.54 0.77 0.29 67.79 0.49 67.95 0.37 139.01 0.23 124.29 45.96

20020613 0.27 0.46 0.003 127.29 0.39 106.21 0.35 443.98 0.19 425.24 77.37

20020616 0.17 0.41 0.442 145.92 0.31 97.04 0.24 513.23 0.24 509.49 92.95

20020619 0.39 0.77 0.187 110.13 0.54 85.65 0.43 404.63 0.38 398.45 77.73

20020622 0.69 1.03 0.065 73.84 0.67 58.43 0.51 105.33 0.34 83.18 31.34

20020625 0.68 0.9 0.176 77.63 0.7 73.19 0.53 156.23 0.21 137.43 49.32

20020628 0.4 0.55 0.28 59.29 0.31 46.86 0.24 67.62 0.16 52.63 28.7

20020701 0.67 1.05 0.158 81.11 0.64 70.38 0.55 149.89 0.38 136.56 53.08

20020704 4.46 0.99 0.09 80.4 4.13 125.52 3.59 107.85 -3.47 -34.34 -109.8

20020707

20020710 0.36 0.45 0.52 50.43 0.22 49.4 0.18 86.33 0.09 70.86 31.01

20020713 0.39 0.97 0.174 147.89 0.73 78.64 0.58 180.8 0.58 179.99 77.8

20020716 0.44 0.71 0.773 68.86 0.35 76.69 0.3 224.72 0.27 221.06 72.31

20020719 0.7 0.86 0.727 38.23 0.34 50.35 0.27 107.48 0.16 94.71 35.1

20020722 0.71 1.07 0.041 70.98 0.6 63.9 0.5 188.02 0.36 176.33 50.29

20020725 0.34 0.64 0.038 116.65 0.48 86.65 0.4 206.47 0.3 199.47 76.43

20020728 0.43 0.77 0.008 105.38 0.57 83.41 0.46 295.32 0.34 281.25 64.23

20020731 0.48 0.73 0.176 80.17 0.49 64.45 0.39 113.66 0.25 97.84 42.86

20020803 0.56 0.88 0.245 72.61 0.53 57.44 0.41 102.53 0.32 94.47 46.96

20020806 0.35 0.42 0.277 55.78 0.25 49.75 0.2 66.7 0.07 50.15 28.31

20020809 0.41 0.67 0.088 83.47 0.43 59.82 0.34 94.88 0.26 80.01 41.22

20020812 1.35 1.44 0.002 43.5 0.7 44.02 0.59 57.74 0.09 27 6.54

20020815 1.24 1.24 0.038 47.12 0.84 41.73 0.59 47.91 0 19.46 5.1

20020818 0.94 0.9 0.091 37.46 0.49 38.24 0.35 41.89 -0.04 5.94 -7.13

20020821 0.52 0.76 0.133 71.68 0.5 57.62 0.37 94.03 0.24 83.24 44.12

20020824 0.33 0.67 0.104 120.87 0.49 84.59 0.4 229.23 0.34 222 75.77

20020827 0.43 0.93 0.653 118.62 0.64 71.24 0.51 130.5 0.49 126.25 65.91

20020830 0.29 0.64 0.271 118.72 0.49 72.47 0.35 166.43 0.34 166.36 72.4
20020902 0.16 0.74 0.005 365.94 0.67 129.4 0.58 673.28 0.58 673.28 129.4

20020905 0.31 0.83 0.397 171.59 0.62 90.17 0.53 226.08 0.53 224.87 88.88

20020908 0.54 1.66 0.004 209.8 1.4 90.44 1.13 223.34 1.12 221.32 88.19

20020911 0.67 0.98 0.341 51.21 0.49 40.13 0.34 62.62 0.31 58.53 35.68

20020914 0.69 1.35 0.151 97.98 0.87 71.66 0.67 194.44 0.66 193.07 70.2

20020917 0.49 1.04 0.677 112.14 0.65 81.25 0.55 176.03 0.55 176.03 81.25

20020920 0.8 1.55 0.007 100.09 0.98 65.37 0.8 120.3 0.76 116.29 60.47

20020923 0.26 0.65 0.338 149.58 0.48 80.7 0.4 167.87 0.38 165.97 78.59

20020926 0.3 1.07 0.206 262.56 0.88 112.36 0.79 374.84 0.77 368.97 104.23

20020929 0.42 1.06 0.216 161.09 0.78 103.29 0.67 379.76 0.65 377.18 100.48
NMB, % N

67.23 19

225.74 19

119.08 19

108.37 19

54.39 20

10.67 19

76.26 18

82.05 19

42.06 19

69.04 18

142.52 18

96.82 21

48.88 21

31.11 19

39.36 20

56.2 20

-77.72 20

24.11 21

147.29 21

62.25 18

22.8 20

51.48 20

86.88 18

78.01 18

52.32 18

57.52 19

19.83 21

64.31 21

6.56 21

-0.15 21

-4.26 20

47.21 18

100.71 20

113.42 19

118.55 19
365.94 20

170.35 20

208.21 20

46.22 20

96.3 21

112.14 16

95.36 19

145.48 21

257.32 19

155.2 19
obs avg, ug/m3 CMAQ avg, ug/m3 R^2 NME, % RMSE, ug/m3 FE, % MAGE, ug/m3 MNGE, % MB, ug/m3 MNB, %

improACAD1 0.45 0.79 0.132 141.82 0.83 108.11 0.63 401.7 0.35 392.8

improADPI1 0.67 0.73 0.078 56.84 0.67 51.92 0.38 82.87 0.07 63.94

improAREN1 0.99 1.36 0.006 89.21 1.56 71.24 0.88 176.67 0.38 168.85

improBRIG1 0.74 0.79 0.194 57.65 0.9 49.59 0.43 65.54 0.05 43.6

improBRMA1 0.41 0.83 0.057 137.8 0.74 95.6 0.56 396.84 0.42 390.87

improCABA1 0.48 1.25 0.123 184 1.08 108.42 0.88 363.58 0.78 360.71

improCACO1 0.54 1.11 0.185 149.34 1.05 95.56 0.8 251.61 0.57 242.26

improCOHI1 0.67 0.91 0.102 71.23 0.81 59.34 0.48 100.43 0.24 93.09

improDOSO1 0.61 0.73 0.176 53.8 0.42 55.44 0.33 111.44 0.13 84.72

improGRGU1 0.43 0.38 0.134 65.54 0.57 57.52 0.28 101.3 -0.05 76.05

improJARI1 0.8 0.66 0.014 42.85 0.71 40.76 0.34 45.55 -0.14 9.81

improLYBR1 0.49 0.61 0.16 73.96 0.66 72.04 0.36 216.96 0.11 206.92

improMKGO1 0.8 0.99 0.065 60.78 1.02 48.66 0.49 74.64 0.18 68.25

improMOMO1 0.47 0.78 0.051 100.43 0.69 76.69 0.48 175.06 0.31 166.75

improMOOS1 0.29 0.62 0.299 120.39 0.43 87.62 0.36 267.79 0.32 265

improOLTO1 0.39 0.94 0.448 146.2 0.75 74.38 0.57 168.81 0.56 165.12

improPMRF1 0.45 0.63 0.148 91.79 0.59 80.83 0.42 207.77 0.18 194.72

improPRIS1 0.57 0.54 0.071 51.58 0.4 52.43 0.3 69.2 -0.03 29.93

improQURE1 0.55 1.28 0.081 159.35 1.06 102.18 0.88 283.44 0.72 280.19

improSHEN1 0.76 0.87 0.041 61.25 0.99 59.97 0.47 160.96 0.1 148.8

improWASH1 1.08 1.72 0.018 88.08 1.33 66.91 0.95 120.96 0.64 116.96
MFB, % NMB, % N

94.9 78.1 44

26.55 9.91 45

58.91 38.12 45

20.12 6.46 42

87.05 103.34 45

104.3 162.75 42

82.65 106.78 29

49.12 35.83 44

20.64 20.66 35

22.69 -11.52 43

-6.41 -17.55 44

57.91 22.66 38

39.1 23.03 45

65.02 65.1 43

84.32 109.99 45

70.16 143.82 32

63.04 39.99 44

-1.19 -5.21 44

97.07 130.83 45

43.36 13.72 42

60.25 59.52 40