U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis www.eia.gov

Buildings Sector Working Group

Erin Boedecker, Buildings Analysis Team Leader

 Behjat Hojjati

 Kevin Jarzomski

 David Peterson

 Steve Wade

Owen Comstock (currently on detail)

August 7, 2014

AEO2015 Model Updates
Discussion purposes only – do not cite or circulate

Overview

AEO2015 Builldings Working Group 

Washington, D.C., August 7, 2014 2

• Shorter AEO this year

• Federal standards

• End-use technology characterizations

• Historical updates

• Discussion
Discussion purposes only – do not cite or circulate

Federal standards

AEO2015 Builldings Working Group 

Washington, D.C., August 7, 2014 3

• Residential

– furnace fans: effective 2019

– external power supplies: effective 2016

– set-top boxes (de-facto standard): effective 2014 (tier 1), 2017 (tier 2)

• Commercial

– metal halide lamp fixtures: effective 2017

– commercial reach-in refrigerators & freezers and refrigerated display cases: 

effective 2017

– commercial walk-in coolers & freezers: effective 2017
Discussion purposes only – do not cite or circulate

End-use technology characterization update

AEO2015 Builldings Working Group 

Washington, D.C., August 7, 2014 4

• Commercial space heating equipment, space cooling 

equipment, water heaters

• Residential space heating equipment, space cooling 

equipment, water heaters, refrigerators, freezers, 

dishwashers, clothes washers, clothes dryers

• Contract report from Leidos/Navigant will be available online
Discussion purposes only – do not cite or circulate

Tech. update example: commercial rooftop heat pumps

AEO2015 Builldings Working Group 

Washington, D.C., August 7, 2014 5
Discussion purposes only – do not cite or circulate

Tech. update example: residential top-loading clothes washers

AEO2015 Builldings Working Group 

Washington, D.C., August 7, 2014 6
Discussion purposes only – do not cite or circulate

Historical updates

AEO2015 Builldings Working Group 

Washington, D.C., August 7, 2014 7

• Sectoral energy consumption by fuel

– Monthly Energy Review

– STEO

• Usual annual updates

– weather data and projections

– distributed generation capacity

– annual “look” at photovoltaic costs
Discussion purposes only – do not cite or circulate

Comments/Discussion

AEO2015 Builldings Working Group 

Washington, D.C., August 7, 2014 8

• Pressing suggestions for AEO2015

• Comments or suggestions for AEO2016

– thoughts on growth of “other” electricity use (high, low, approach?)

– references/research on approaches to incorporating water heating interactions 

for residential clothes washers and dishwashers

– references/research – comprehensive look at energy impacts and costs of 

energy efficiency programs
Discussion purposes only – do not cite or circulate

Discussion/questions

AEO2015 Builldings Working Group 

Washington, D.C., August 7, 2014 9

Kevin Jarzomski | phone: 202-586-3208

| email: kevin.jarzomski@eia.gov

David Peterson | phone: 202-586-5084

| email: david.peterson@eia.gov

Steve Wade | phone: 202-586-1678

| email: steven.wade@eia.gov 

Behjat Hojjati | phone: 202-586-1068

| email: behjat.hojjati@eia.gov

Erin Boedecker | phone: 202-586-4791

| email: erin.boedecker@eia.gov

U.S. Energy Information Administration home page | www.eia.gov

Annual Energy Outlook | www.eia.gov/aeo