### Monitoring Sites AIRS ID 2006 2007 2008 3-year average

(NAAQS = 75 ppb)



### Wythe Co. 511970002 69 72 71 70

Rockbridge Co. 511630003 68 65 67 66

Page Co. 511390004 73 69 68 70

Fauquier Co. 510610002 76 69 68 71

Caroline Co. 510330001 85 78 80 81

Rockingham Co. 511650003 NA 69 69 NA

Albemarle Co. 510030001 NA NA 73 NA



### Roanoke EAC Area:

Roanoke Co. 511611004 76 76 71 74



### Frederick County EAC Area:

Frederick Co. 510690010 74 72 73 73



### Richmond Area:

Chesterfield Co. 510410004 77 77 80 78

Henrico Co. 510870014 86 85 86 85

Hanover Co. 510850003 82 79 80 80

Charles City Co. 510360002 81 84 84 83



### Hampton Roads Area:

Hampton 516500004 76 76 79 77

Suffolk - TCC 518000004 77 76 77 76

Suffolk - Holland 518000005 71 78 78 75



### Fredericksburg Area:

Stafford Co. 511790001 91 85 69 81



### Northern Virginia Area:

Loudoun Co. 511071005 84 86 79 83

Prince William Co. 511530009 86 76 74 78

Arlington Co. 510130020 85 88 84 85

Alexandria 515100009 84 84 75 81

Fairfax Co. - Lee Park 510590030 87 85 85 85

Fairfax Co. - McLean 510595001 88 83 80 83

Fairfax Co. - Mt. Vernon 510590018 88 88 85 87

Fairfax Co. - Chantilly 510590005 81 78 78 79

Fairfax Co. - Annandale 510591005 85 84 82 83

Shenandoah National Park - Madison Co. 511130003 76 73 78 75

(Site operated by the National Park Service)



### > 84 parts per billion (ppb)

76-84 ppb 

# 2006-2008 Fourth Highest Daily Maximum Ozone 8-hour Averages



# ENCLOSURE I

< 76 ppb

## 48. In § 81.347, the table entitled “Virginia

- Ozone” is revised to read as follows:

§ 81.347 Virginia

* * * * *

Virginia

- Ozone (8

- Hour Standard)

Designation Classification

Designated Area

Type Type

Norfolk

- Virginia

- Beach Newport

News (Hampton Roads) Area

Chesapeake............................

Hampton...............................

James City County....................

Newport News........................

Norfolk.................................

Poquoson..............................

Portsmouth............................

Suffolk.................................

Virginia Beach........................

Williamsburg..........................

York County..........................

R ichmond Area

Charles City County...

............... Chesterfield County..................

Colonial Heights......................

Hanover County......................

Henrico County.......................

Hopewell...............................

Richmond..............................

Washington Area

Alexandria.............................

Arlington County.....................

Fairfax........................

.......... Fairfax County........................

Falls Church...........................

Loudoun County......................

Manassas............................... Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment 

# Enclosure III

## Manassas Park........................

Prince William County...............

.

Fredericksburg Area

Fredericksburg........................

Spotsylvania County.................

Stafford County.......................

Caroline Count y

(part).....

........... Beginning at the intersection of

State Route 2 and the

Spotsylvania/Caroline County line.

Proceeding south

east along State

Route 2 to the intersection with

Route 610. Proceeding northeast

on Route 610 to the intersection

with Burma Road. Proceeding

north eas t on Burma Road to the

intersection with State Route 17.

Proceeding north on State Route

17 to the intersection with the

Caroline/Spotsylvania County line.

Accomack County

Albemarle County

Alleghany County

Amelia County

Amherst Count y

Appomattox County

Augusta County

Bath County

Bedford

Bedford County

Bland County

Botetourt County

Bristol

Brunswick County

Buchanan County

Buckingham County

Buena Vista

Campbell County

Caroline County (part)

Remainder of county

Carroll County

Charle s City County

Charlotte County

Charlottesville Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Nonattainment

Unclassifiable /Attainment

Unclassifiable /Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifi able/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Uncla ssifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

## Clarke County

Clifton Forge

Covington

Craig County

Culpeper County

Cumberland County

Danville

Dickenson County

Dinwiddie County

Emporia

Essex County

Fauquier County

Floyd County

Fluvanna County

Franklin

Frank lin County

Frederick County

Galax

Giles County

Gloucester County

Goochland County

Grayson County

Greene County

Greensville County

Halifax County

Harrisonburg

Henry County

Highland County

Isle Of Wight County

King And Queen County

King George County

King Wi lliam County

Lancaster County

Lee County

Lexington

Louisa County

Lunenberg County

Lynchburg

Madison County

Martinsville

Mathews County

Mecklenburg County

Middlesex County

Montgomery County

Nelson County

New Kent County

Northampton County Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

U nclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainme nt

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Atta inment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/ Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

## Northumberland Co unty

Norton

Nottoway County

Orange County

Page County

Patrick County

Petersburg

Pittsylvania County

Powhatan County

Prince Edward County

Prince George County

Pulaski County

Radford

Rappahannock County

Richmond County

Roanoke

Roanoke County

Rockbridge Coun ty

Rockingham County

Russell County

Salem

Scott County

Shenandoah County

Smyth County

South Boston

Southampton County

Staunton

Surry County

Sussex County

Tazewell County

Warren County

Washington County

Waynesboro

Westmoreland County

Winchester

Wise County

Wythe County Unclassifia ble/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclass ifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unc lassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

Unclassifiable/Attainment

# ENCLOSURE IV

COMMONWEALTH OF VIRGINIA AREA

DESIGNATION RECOMMENDATIONS UNDER THE

2008 OZONE STANDARD

TECHNICAL SUPPORT DOCUMENT

### 2



## B ACKGROUND

On March 12, 2008, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency tightene d the National Ambient

Air Quality Standard (NAAQS) for ground level ozone from 0.08 parts per million to 0.075 parts

per million (ppm). This action was taken by EPA in light of new and compelling scientific

evidence that a lower standard was needed to pr otect human health and welfare.

One of the first actions required when a new air quality standard is established is to designate

areas in regard to compliance with the standard. Those areas not c ompl ying with the standard

are design ated as “nonattainment” areas, while areas in compliance are designated “attainment”

. Areas where insufficient data is available to make a determination are designated as

“unclassifiable”.

On December 4, 2008, the Principal Deputy Assistant Administrato r, Robert J. Meyers, issued

guidance to EPA and the states on the process and factors to consider when designating areas

under the new ozone standard. In general, this guidance recommended the use of census

bureau areas such as Core Based Statistical Area s (CBSA) or Combined Statistical Areas (CSA)

as the starting point for nonattainment area designations when a violating ozone air quality

monitor is present. However, EPA also allows states the flexibility to make area specific

designations based on nine ozone related factors that are listed below:

• Ozone air quality data

.

• Emissions data ( location of sources and contribution to ozone).

• Population density and degree of urbanization.

• Traffic and commuting patterns.

• Growth rates and patterns.

• Meteorology (wea ther/transport patterns).

• Geography/topography.

• Jurisdictional boundaries.

• Level of control of emission sources.

T he approach taken by Virginia to making individual jurisdiction determinations was furthermore

based on the following hierarchy of criteri a :

• Does the jurisdiction have a violating ozone monitor?

• Is the jurisdiction part of a current ozone nonattainment or maintenance area?

• Would exclusion of the jurisdiction create an illogical result, such as an attainment area

within a larger nonattainmen t area?

• Does the jurisdiction significantly contribute to ozone formation in a nearby recommended

nonattainment area?

In the case of areas that required a determination of significant contribution

, if the area did not

meet any of the other criteria , a c lear and compelling case was required based on available data

for the nine EPA factors to make a nonattainment recommendation.

The remainder of this document describes the analysis performed by the Virginia Department of

Environmental Quality (DEQ) to su pport the designation recommendations that are being

submitted to the EPA as part of the ozone standard implementation process. This analysis

considers the major factors listed above as they pertain to each area in Virginia containing one or

more monitors that are violating the new standard.

Once submitted, EPA will consider these recommendations and either accept or modify these

recommendations. EPA will notify the Commonwealth of any modifications made to the state

recommendations no later than Novemb er 12, 2009 and will provide a 30

- day public comment

period. The Commonwealth will then have an opportunity to submit additional information prior

to EPA’s final issuance of designations by March 12, 2010.

### 3 

## Greater Washington DC/MD/VA Metropolitan Statistical Area

The Commonwealth of Virginia recommends that the areas of standard violation in Northern

Virginia continue to be divided into two separate nonattainment area s . The precedent for these

areas was previously set during the designation process for the 1997 ozone standard. In

addition, the Commonwealth is recommending the addition of part of Caroline County that

contains a monitor that also violates the ozone standard. The j urisdictions that make up these

nonattainment areas are as follows:

Again, the Northern Virginia area will be part of the greater Washington, D.C. Nonattainment Area

made up of the District of Columbia and jurisdiction s from both Maryland and Virginia.

As shown by the figures b elow, the Commonwealth believes that these nonattainment

recommendations for the Virginia portion of the greater Washington, D.C. Metropolitan Statistical

Area are reasonable and appropriate in that the recommended jurisdictions account for 9 2 % of

the oz one precursor pollutants, population, expected growth, and vehicle miles of travel for the

area. 

## Northern VA Nonattainment Area

Fredericksburg Nonatt ainment Area Arlington County

Fairfax County

Loudoun County

Prince William County

City of Alexandria

City of Fairfax

City of Falls Church

City of Manassas

City of Manassas Park

Caroline County (part)

Spotsylvania County

Stafford County

City of Fredericksburg

### 4



## Ranking of Selected Ozone Criteria for the Virginia Jurisdictions in the

Virginia portion of the DC/MD/VA MSA

Emission

Density Population

Density Area

Emissions Area

Population P opulation

Growth for

Area Vehicle

Miles Combined

Average County / city

Percent ton/sq

mile No

/sq mile

Recommended Nonattainment Jurisdictions

FAIRFAX COUNTY 38.4 43.5 13.3 38.4 33.4 0.466 2,617

PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY 15.2 16.7 24.5 15.2 17.9 0.212 1,157

LOUDOUN COUNTY 10.1 10.4 29.7 10.1 15.1 0.095 485

STAFFORD COUNTY 4.9 4.8 9.2 4.9 5.9 0.088 434

SPOTSYLVANIA COUNTY 6.6 4.7 9.4 6.6 6.8 0.081 284

ARLINGTON COUNTY 6.8 8.1 2.7 6.8 6.1 1.283 7,561

ALE XANDRIA CITY 5.6 5.6 2.7 5.6 4.9 1.816 8,906

FREDERICKSBURG CITY 3.1 0.9 0.7 3.1 1.9 1.428 2,015

Recommended Attainment Jurisdictions

FAUQUIER COUNTY 4.5 2.6 4.0 4.5 3.9 0.034 97

WARREN COUNTY 2.2 1.4 1.7 2.2 1.9 0.051 161

KING GEORGE COUNTY 1.4 0.8 1.6 1.4 1.3 0.039 111

CLARKE COUNTY 1.1 0.6 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.031 79

100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.152 755



## Contribution of Recommended Areas to Selected Ozone Criteria



# Nonattainment

Fauquier

Warren

King George

Clarke

### 5

For the individual jurisdictions recommended for attainment status, the rationale used was that all

these jurisdictions do not significantly contribute to the overall levels of the major ozone related

criteria of emissions, population, growth, and vehicle traffic. Also in the specific case of Fauquier

County, there is a ozone monitor locat ed in this County that has a current design value of 0.071

part s per million and is in compliance with the new standard.

With regard to the Fredericksburg nonattainment area, a separate analysis was performed for the

current ozone maintenance area and Ca roline County. As can be seen by the figures below, the

proposed nonattainment area again account s for the majority of ozone related criteria.



## Ranking of Selected Ozone Criteria for the Fredericksburg Area



# Fredericksburg Area Statistics

Emission

Density Population

Density Area

Emissions Area

Population Population

Growth for

Area Vehicle

Miles

traveled Combined

Average County / city

Percent ton/perday/sq

mile No

/sq mile

Recommended Nonattainment Jurisdictions

STAFFORD CO UNTY 27.9 42.4 43.7 28.5 38.0 0.088 434

SPOTSYLVANIA COUNTY 38.1 41.2 44.7 38.4 41.3 0.081 284

FREDERICKSBURG CITY 17.7 7.7 3.2 20.1 9.5 1.428 2,015

Recommended Attainment Jurisdictions

CAROLINE COUNTY 16.4 8.8 8.3 13.0 11.2 0.026 46

100.0 100.0 100 .0 100.0 0.066 213



## Contribution of Recommended Areas to Selected Ozone Criteria

In addition to th e analysis provided above , and at the specific request of Caroline County, the

Commonwealth recommends that only a part of Caroline County be designated nonattainment

based on the following profile. In summary, t his is a very rural area with no official designated

urbanized areas within its boundaries. The vast majority of emissions in the County are the result

of traffic passing through the area on both Interstate 95 and Route 301

, which is a commercial

traffic route to and from the Maryland eastern shore. Furthermore, the location of the monitor in 

## Nonattainment

Caroline

### 6

the northern tip of the County was specifically selected for its rural nature as an upwind

assessment mon itor for the Washington, D.C. area. In addition, about a third of the County is

within the Fort A.P. Hill Military Reservation and is not available for private development

. Additional details are provided below:



## C aroline County

An alysis of Ozone Related Criteria

Emissions (

2005 ) 2,241 tons/year VOC and 2,849 t ons/year NO X



### ( 16.4 % of ozone

precursor emissions in the Fredericksburg area )

Emissions Density 0.02 6 t py per square mile

Population (

2005 ) 24,300

- 46 per square mile ( 8.3 % of the total population in the

Fredericksburg area )

Population Growth Population expected to grow to 36,058 by 20 2 0 which represents only

8.3 % of the total population growth expected in the Fredericksburg

area

Air Quality Nonc ompliance

- Design Value (2 00 6 to 200 8 ): 0.0 8 1 pp m

Commuting Patterns The County workforce commutes almost equally to the

Fredericksburg and Richmond areas.

Annual VMT (

2005 ) 678 million Vehicle Miles of Travel ( 13% of total VMT in the area ).

Mostly through traffic on Interstate 95 and Route s 301 and 17

. Major Sources There is only one major source in the County

, a natural gas fired

electric generating station

. However, this is a new facility that is

highly controlled and subject to the CAIR utility control progra m.

Total County point source emission of both VOC and NO X 

### are less

than 100 tons/year.

Meteorology Prevailing ground level winds are from the Southwest in the summer

. Geography County is located to the East and Southwest of the proposed

nonattainment a rea

. Boundaries County is part of the Richmond MSA but p art of the Fredericksburg

Regional Planning Commission.

Level of Controls Currently subject to attainment permit and control requirements.

Emissions should be significantly reduced by regional and national

controls.

### 7 

## Richmond Metropolitan Statistical Area

The Commonwealth’s recommendation for the Richmond MSA is that the nonattainment area be

the same as the previous 8

- hour nonattainment area and current maintenance area. This

recommendation is based on the fact that the recommended nonattainment area accounts for the

majority (~80%) of ozone precursor pollutants, population, expected growth, and vehicle miles of

travel for the area. The counties and cities involved are provid ed below :

In general, t he Richmond MSA covers a very large area of Virginia and includes a number of

jurisdictions that are rural in nature and have no designated urbanized areas within their

boundaries (similar to Caroline County as described in the Fredericksburg section). As such, the

use of the EPA presumptive MSA boundary for the nonattainment area is not appropriate in this

case. To illustrate this point, a series of relative density maps have been developed and are o n

the next page. As can be seen from these maps, the concentration of most of the ozone related

factors and activities of ozone precursor emissions, population, growth, and vehicle travel are

concentrated with in the recommended nonattainment area boundary

In evaluating the remaining Richmond MSA jurisdictions, nothing distinguishes any of these

jurisdictions as being significant contributors to the ozone formation in the area. Therefore, the

Commonwealth recommends that all the remaining jurisdictions be designated as attainment

areas. 

## Richmond Nonattainment Area

Charles City County

Chesterfield County

Hanover County

Henrico County

Prince George County

City of Colonial Heights

City of Hopewell

City of Petersburg

Cit y of Richmond

### 8

Mass Emissions Emissions Density

Population Population Density

V ehicle Miles of Travel Growth

### 9



## Ranking of Selected Ozone Criteria for Jurisdicti ons in the Richmond MSA



# Richmond MSA Statistics

Emission

Density Population

Density Area

Emissions Area

Population Population

Growth for

Area Vehicle

Miles

traveled Combined

Average County / city

Percent ton/perday/sq

mile No

/sq mile

Recommended Nonattainment Jurisdictions

CHESTERFIELD COUNTY 23.6 24.5 33.5 23.6 26.3 0.233 673

HENRICO COUNTY 13.8 24.3 22.3 13.8 18.6 0.244 1,190

HANOVER COUNTY 7.0 8.1 11.4 7.0 8.4 0.062 201

RICHMOND CITY 15.5 16.6

- 1.5 15.5 11.5 1.089 3,2 18

HOPEWELL CITY 11.0 1.9 0.3 11.0 6.1 4.524 2,197

COLONIAL HEIGHTS CITY 1.0 1.5 0.7 1.0 1.1 0.558 2,313

PRINCE GEORGE COUNTY 2.9 3.2 6.2 2.9 3.8 0.046 139

PETERSBURG CITY 2.5 2.7

- 0.1 2.5 1.9 0.464 1,368

CHARLES CITY COUNTY 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.018 37

Recommended Attainment Jurisdictions

DINWIDDIE COUNTY 2.8 2.2 2.7 2.8 2.6 0.023 51

POWHATAN COUNTY 1.4 2.2 4.5 1.4 2.4 0.023 99

GOOCHLAND COUNTY 2.2 1.7 3.1 2.2 2.3 0.032 68

NEW KENT COUNTY 2.0 1.3 3.2 2.0 2.1 0.039 75

CAROLINE COUNTY 3.3 2.1 4.5 3.3 3.3 0.026 46

AMELIA COUNTY 0.9 1.0 1.2 0.9 1.0 0.011 34

CUMBERLAND COUNTY 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.008 32

KING AND QUEEN COUNTY 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.010 22

KING WILLIAM COUNTY 3.6 1.2 1.8 3.6 2.6 0.055 52

LOUISA COUNTY 2.4 2.5 5.1 2.4 3.1 0.020 58

SUSSEX COUNTY 1.9 1.0

- 0.2 1.9 1.2 0.017 24

100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.074 204



## Contribution of Recommended Areas to Selected Ozone Criteria

Nonattainment

Caroline

Dinnwiddie King William

Powhatan

Louisa

Goochland

New Kent

Amelia

Cumberland

King&Queen

Sussex

### 10 

## Hampton Roads Metropolitan Statistical Area

The Commonwealth’s recommendation for the Hampton Roads MSA is that the nonattainment

area be the same as the previous 8

- hour nonattainment area and current maintenance area.

This recommendation is based on the fact that the recommended nonattainment area accounts

for 98% of ozone precursor pollutants, population, expected growth, and vehicle miles of travel for

the area.

The remaining two counties in the MSA are very rural and remote jurisdictions that

, through the

analysis of ozone contribution factor s , do no t significantly contribute to the recommended

nonattainment area. It should also be noted that Currituck County in North Carolina is also part of

this MSA. The Commonwealth is making no recommendation for this jurisdiction as part of this

process. Howev

er, we understand that the State of North Carolina will recommend that this

County not be included in the Hampton Roads nonattainment area and the Commonwealth

supports this recommendation. 

## Hampton Roads Nonattainment Area

Gloucester County

Isle of Wight County

James City County

York County

City of Chesapeake

City of Hampton

City of Newport News

City of Norfolk

City of Poquoson

City of Portsmouth

City of Suffolk

City of Virgi nia Beach

City of Williamsburg

### 11



## Ranking of Selected Ozone Criteria for the Jurisdictions in the Hampton

Roads MSA



# Hampton Roads MSA

Emission

Density Population

Density Area

Emissions Area

Population Population

Growth for

Area Vehicle

Miles

traveled Combined

Average County / city

Percent ton/perday/sq

mile No

/sq mile

Recommended Nonattainment Jurisdictions

VIRGINIA BEACH CITY 13.5 27.0 16.9 13.5 17.7 0.239 1,754

CHESAPEAKE CITY 14.2 13.2 28.1 14.2 17.4 0.183 626

YORK COUNTY 9.7 3.8 7.3 9.7 7.6 0.403 588

NEWPORT NEWS CITY 12.1 11.3 0.3 12.1 8.9 0.777 2,668

NORFOLK CITY 19.2 14.6 1.0 19.2 13.5 1.573 4,383

SUFFOLK CITY 4.7 4.8 21.9 4.7 9.0 0.052 193

HAMPTON CITY 6.8 9.0

- 0.3 6.8 5.6 0.580 2,810

JAMES CITY COUNTY 4.2 3.5 12.9 4.2 6.2 0.130 396

PORTSMOUTH CITY 5.4 6.1 0.7 5.4 4.4 0.712 2,979

ISLE OF WIGHT COUNTY 5. 5 2.0 5.7 5.5 4.7 0.076 102

GLOUCESTER COUNTY 2.3 2.2 4.7 2.3 2.9 0.047 165

WILLIAMSBURG CITY 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.266 1,569

POQUOSON CITY 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.116 767

Recommended Attainment Jurisdictions

MATHEWS COUNTY 0.8 0.6

- 0.1 0.8 0.5 0.043 11 0

SURRY COUNTY 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.011 25

100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.186 683



## Contribution of Recommended Areas to Selected Ozone Criteria

Nonattainment

Mathews

Surry

### 12 

## Appendix

– Data Table for Virginia Nonattainment Designation Ozone Factors Analysis

L and

Area Growth

Rate Annual Emissions Emission

Density Population

Density Vehicle

miles

Traveled Vehicle

miles

Traveled Population

VOC NOX Total Area

Emissions Area

Population Population

Growth for

Area Combined

Average County / city

Sq Miles 2005 2010 2020 2030 Percent tons/year Percent ton/perday/sq

mile No

/sq mile Million

miles Percent

FAIRFAX COUNTY** 403.34 1,055,600 1,072,727 1,136,854 1,203,186 0.52 36,160 32,489 68,649 38.4 43.5 13.3 31.8 0.466 2,617 12,802 44.1

PRINCE WILLI AM COUNTY*** 350.20 405,100 453,646 574,060 675,841 2.07 13,497 13,560 27,057 15.2 16.7 24.5 18.8 0.212 1,157 3,708 12.8

LOUDOUN COUNTY 519.85 252,300 324,189 468,979 580,629 3.39 9,676 8,370 18,046 10.1 10.4 29.7 16.7 0.095 485 2,775 9.5

STAFFORD COUNTY 270.35 117,300 135,806 176,710 218,772 2.52 4,256 4,405 8,661 4.9 4.8 9.2 6.3 0.088 434 1,487 5.1

SPOTSYLVANIA COUNTY 400.86 114,000 134,163 175,402 217,797 2.62 6,037 5,780 11,817 6.6 4.7 9.4 6.9 0.081 284 2,005 6.9

ARLINGTON COUNTY 25.87 195,600 200,8 56 212,816 225,163 0.56 5,576 6,543 12,119 6.8 8.1 2.7 5.8 1.283 7,561 1,963 6.8

ALEXANDRIA CITY 15.18 135,200 141,115 153,174 165,572 0.81 3,973 6,088 10,061 5.6 5.6 2.7 4.6 1.816 8,906 1,210 4.2

FAUQUIER COUNTY 649.70 62,900 72,685 89,318 107,168 2.15 4,012 4,101 8,113 4.5 2.6 4.0 3.7 0.034 97 1,143 3.9

WARREN COUNTY 213.70 34,300 38,791 45,722 53,092 1.76 2,467 1,489 3,956 2.2 1.4 1.7 1.8 0.051 161 385 1.3

FREDERICKSBURG CITY 10.52 21,200 22,239 25,116 28,518 1.19 2,695 2,790 5,485 3.1 0.9 0.7 1.5 1. 428 2,015 1,049 3.6

KING GEORGE COUNTY 180.00 20,000 23,613 30,126 37,365 2.53 1,120 1,458 2,578 1.4 0.8 1.6 1.3 0.039 111 277 1.0

CLARKE COUNTY 176.62 13,900 15,542 18,320 21,230 1.71 1,073 943 2,016 1.1 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.031 79 254 0.9

3,216 2,427,400 2 ,635,372 3,106,597 3,534,333 1.51 90,542 88,016 178,558 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.152 755 29,058 100

CHESTERFIELD COUNTY 425.75 286,500 318,810 372,532 430,266 1.64 14,384 21,868 36,252 23.6 24.5 33.5 27.2 0.233 673 3,250 22.3

HENRICO COUNTY 238.06 283,300 3 01,658 339,703 379,041 1.17 11,141 10,101 21,242 13.8 24.3 22.3 20.1 0.244 1,190 3,038 20.8

HANOVER COUNTY 472.68 95,100 105,762 124,097 143,959 1.67 5,731 5,002 10,733 7.0 8.1 11.4 8.8 0.062 201 1,260 8.6

RICHMOND CITY 60.07 193,300 190,039 187,066 187, 066

- 0.13 12,639 11,238 23,877 15.5 16.6

- 1.5 10.2 1.089 3,218 2,281 15.6

HOPEWELL CITY 10.24 22,500 22,767 23,298 23,993 0.26 3,511 13,399 16,910 11.0 1.9 0.3 4.4 4.524 2,197 140 1.0

POWHATAN COUNTY 261.28 25,800 29,966 37,135 45,216 2.27 1,361 810 2,17 1 1.4 2.2 4.5 2.7 0.023 99 237 1.6

GOOCHLAND COUNTY 284.43 19,300 22,078 27,091 32,641 2.12 1,564 1,810 3,374 2.2 1.7 3.1 2.3 0.032 68 435 3.0

PRINCE GEORGE COUNTY 265.62 36,900 43,258 53,061 63,420 2.19 2,237 2,207 4,444 2.9 3.2 6.2 4.1 0.046 139 505 3. 5

DINWIDDIE COUNTY 503.67 25,800 28,874 33,075 37,563 1.51 1,957 2,314 4,271 2.8 2.2 2.7 2.6 0.023 51 447 3.1

NEW KENT COUNTY 209.55 15,700 18,681 23,671 29,496 2.55 1,474 1,540 3,014 2.0 1.3 3.2 2.2 0.039 75 435 3.0

PETERSBURG CITY 22.88 31,300 31,594 30,734 30,730

- 0.07 2,148 1,729 3,877 2.5 2.7

- 0.1 1.7 0.464 1,368 383 2.6

COLONIAL HEIGHTS CITY 7.48 17,300 18,035 19,204 20,454 0.67 874 650 1,524 1.0 1.5 0.7 1.1 0.558 2,313 234 1.6

CHARLES CITY COUNTY 182.76 6,800 7,431 7,932 8,749 1.01 715 483 1,198 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.018 37 54 0.4

CAROLINE COUNTY 532.52 24,300 29,201 36,058 43,662 2.37 2,241 2,849 5,090 3.3 2.1 4.5 3.3 0.026 46 678 4.6

AMELIA COUNTY 356.80 12,100 13,255 15,123 17,104 1.39 853 591 1,444 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.0 0.011 34 163 1.1

CUMBERLAND C OUNTY 298.45 9,500 9,847 10,690 11,793 0.87 548 289 837 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.008 32 73 0.5

KING AND QUEEN COUNTY 316.26 6,900 6,891 7,187 7,564 0.37 737 423 1,160 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.010 22 109 0.7

### 13 L and

Area Growth

Rate Annual Emissions Emission

Density Population

Density Vehicle

miles

Traveled Vehicle

miles

Traveled Population

VOC NOX Total Area

Emissions Area

Population Population

Growth for

Area Combined

Average County / city

Sq Miles 2005 2010 2020 2030 Percent tons/year Percent ton/perday/sq

mile No

/sq mile Million

miles Percent

KING WILLIAM COUNTY 275.43 14,400 16,187 19,119 22,227 1.75 2 ,236 3,309 5,545 3.6 1.2 1.8 2.2 0.055 52 124 0.8

LOUISA COUNTY 497.14 28,700 33,923 41,889 50,739 2.31 1,941 1,698 3,639 2.4 2.5 5.1 3.3 0.020 58 416 2.9

SUSSEX COUNTY 490.73 12,000 11,543 11,119 11,113

- 0.31 1,374 1,599 2,973 1.9 1.0

- 0.2 0.9 0.017 24 316 2.2

5711.80 1167500.00 1259800.00 1419784.00 1596796.00 1.26 69666.00 83909.00 153575.00 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.074 204 14,579 100

VIRGINIA BEACH CITY 248.29 435,600 447,836 470,288 493,095 0.50 13,043 8,636 21,679 13.5 27.0 16.9 19.1 0.239 1,754 2, 851 20.5

CHESAPEAKE CITY 340.72 213,400 236,683 272,381 308,736 1.49 9,093 13,720 22,813 14.2 13.2 28.1 18.5 0.183 626 2,047 14.7

YORK COUNTY 105.65 62,100 66,569 76,376 86,823 1.35 4,619 10,916 15,535 9.7 3.8 7.3 6.9 0.403 588 637 4.6

NEWPORT NEWS CITY 68.29 182,200 181,601 182,415 183,372 0.03 7,379 11,993 19,372 12.1 11.3 0.3 7.9 0.777 2,668 1,611 11.6

NORFOLK CITY 53.73 235,500 236,338 237,448 238,927 0.06 9,133 21,712 30,845 19.2 14.6 1.0 11.6 1.573 4,383 2,046 14.7

SUFFOLK CITY 400.02 77,100 93,8 30 122,482 151,427 2.74 4,186 3,354 7,540 4.7 4.8 21.9 10.4 0.052 193 1,087 7.8

HAMPTON CITY 51.78 145,500 144,803 144,655 144,650

- 0.02 6,206 4,747 10,953 6.8 9.0

- 0.3 5.2 0.580 2,810 1,424 10.2

JAMES CITY COUNTY 142.92 56,600 65,890 82,781 100,294 2.31 4,082 2,676 6,758 4.2 3.5 12.9 6.9 0.130 396 535 3.8

PORTSMOUTH CITY 33.16 98,800 99,919 100,429 101,071 0.09 3,385 5,236 8,621 5.4 6.1 0.7 4.0 0.712 2,979 624 4.5

ISLE OF WIGHT COUNTY 315.87 32,200 37,067 44,083 51,629 1.91 3,639 5,151 8,790 5.5 2.0 5. 7 4.4 0.076 102 379 2.7

GLOUCESTER COUNTY 216.61 35,700 40,474 46,013 51,824 1.50 2,418 1,335 3,753 2.3 2.2 4.7 3.1 0.047 165 340 2.4

WILLIAMSBURG CITY 8.54 13,400 13,707 13,866 14,159 0.22 459 369 828 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.266 1,569 95 0.7

MATHEWS COUNTY 8 5.68 9,400 9,097 9,077 9,068

- 0.14 914 422 1,336 0.8 0.6

- 0.1 0.4 0.043 110 140 1.0

POQUOSON CITY 15.52 11,900 11,921 12,281 12,782 0.29 506 150 656 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.116 767 47 0.3

SURRY COUNTY 279.09 6,900 7,210 7,585 8,156 0.67 727 403 1,130 0.7 0.4 0 .4 0.5 0.011 25 60 0.4

2,366 1,616,300 1,692,945 1,822,160 1,956,013 0.77 69,789 90,820 160,609 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.186 683 13,922 100

STAFFORD COUNTY 270.35 117,300 135,806 176,710 218,772 2.52 4,256 4,405 8,661 27.9 42.4 43.7 38.0 0.088 434 1,487 2 8.5

SPOTSYLVANIA COUNTY 400.86 114,000 134,163 175,402 217,797 2.62 6,037 5,780 11,817 38.1 41.2 44.7 41.3 0.081 284 2,005 38.4

CAROLINE COUNTY 532.52 24,300 29,201 36,058 43,662 2.37 2,241 2,849 5,090 16.4 8.8 8.3 11.2 0.026 46 678 13.0

FREDERICKSBURG CITY 10.52 21,200 22,239 25,116 28,518 1.19 2,695 2,790 5,485 17.7 7.7 3.2 9.5 1.428 2,015 1,049 20.1

1214.25 276800.00 321409.00 413286.00 508749.00 2.46 15229.00 15824.00 31053.00 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.070 228 5,218 100



### Main Data Sources:

1) EPA Designation Technical Information Plan @ http://www.epa.gov/ttn/naaqs/pm/pm25_2006_techinfo.html#F

- 1

2) Weldon Cooper Center Population Data @ http://www.coopercenter.org/demographics/POPULATION%20ESTIMATES/



## 3) Virginia Employment Commission Projection Data @ http://www.vawc.virginia.gov/gsipub/index.asp?docid=359