chapter 10 tables_09_17_10.xls

Author: Abt Associates Inc.

Created: 9/24/10

Updated: 3/24/11

Worksheet Description

A1E Options Presents reductions in national I&E mortality losses

Total I&E

Current Total Annual I&E and Annual IM&EM

Reductions, by Option

I&E Distribution Distribution of IM&E, by Option

National I&E Benefits

Summary of national benefits under regulatory

option

Total Benefits Summary

Summary of Total Benefits of the Regulatory

Options at In-scope Facilities

Imp Nonuse Val

Table presenting th e Implicit Nonuse

Value—Break-Even Analysis, 3 Percent and 7

Percent Discount Rates

Purpose: Tables which organize and summarize national results for I&E mortality reductions

and monetized benefits under regulatory options 1 through 3

File Info 1 of 11
Region Impingement Mortality Entrainment Mortality I&E Mortality

California 0.8 36.0 36.8

North Atlantic 0.6 59.4 60.0

Mid-Atlantic 50.7 939.4 990.1

South Atlantic 22.5 10.9 33.4

Gulf of Mexico 45.1 90.6 135.6

Great Lakes 44.1 9.4 53.5

Inland 583.6 295.9 879.5

National Total 747.4 1,441.5 2,188.9

Region Impingement Mortality Entrainment Mortality I&E Mortality

California 0.7 0.0 0.7

North Atlantic 0.4 0.0 0.4

Mid-Atlantic 38.7 0.0 38.7

South Atlantic 14.2 0.0 14.2

Gulf of Mexico 34.5 0.0 34.5

Great Lakes 38.2 0.0 38.2

Inland 488.2 0.0 488.2

National Total 615.0 0.0 615.0

Region Impingement Mortality Entrainment Mortality I&E Mortality

California 0.8 30.7 31.5

North Atlantic 0.6 48.4 49.0

Mid-Atlantic 49.5 860.3 909.7

South Atlantic 19.2 9.1 28.3

Gulf of Mexico 44.7 61.3 106.0

Great Lakes 43.7 7.5 51.1

Inland 564.1 241.8 805.9

National Total 722.5 1,259.0 1,981.6

Region Impingement Mortality Entrainment Mortality I&E Mortality

California 0.8 32.1 32.9

North Atlantic 0.6 50.8 51.4

Table 10-1: Baseline National I&E Losses at In-scope Facilities (millions of A1Es)

Table 10-2: Reductions in National I&E Losses Under Option 1 (IM Everywhere) at InTable 10-3: Reductions in National I&E Losses Under Option 2 (Cooling Towers for

Table 10-4: Reductions in National I&E Losses Under Option 3 (Cooling Towers

A1E Options 2 of 11
Mid-Atlantic 49.6 871.3 920.9

South Atlantic 19.2 9.1 28.3

Gulf of Mexico 44.8 61.4 106.2

Great Lakes 43.8 7.6 51.3

Inland 569.6 252.9 822.5

National Total 728.3 1,285.2 2,013.5

A1E Options 3 of 11
Table 10-5: Current Total Annual I&E and Annual IM&EM Reductions, by Option

Regulatory Option Millions of A1Es Forgone Fishery Yield

(million lbs)

Biomass Production Forgone

(million lbs)

Baseline 2,188.9 71.5 637.8

Option 1 615.0 13.3 137.6

Option 2 1,981.6 58.6 542.2

Option 3 2,013.5 59.2 556.2

Scenarios: Baseline = Baseline I&E Mortality Losses; Option 1 = I Everywhere; Option 2 = I Everywhere and E

for Facilities > 125 MGD; Option 3 = I&E Mortality Everywhere

Total I&E 4 of 11
Baseline 2,188.9 1,654.8 534.1 59.4 2.7%

Option 1 615.0 525.7 89.3 15.7 2.5%

Option 2 1,981.6 1,512.6 468.9 53.3 2.7%

Option 3 2,013.5 1,535.4 478.1 54.0 2.7%

Table 10-6: Distribution of IM&E, by Option

Regulatory Option

a Harvestable fish are adult fish of the age at which they can legally be harvested.

Scenarios: Baseline = Baseline I&E Mortality Losses; Option 1 = I Everywhere; Option 2 = I Everywhere and E for

Facilities > 125 MGD; Option 3 = I&E Mortality Everywhere

(a)

All Species

(millions of

A1Es)

(b)

Forage Species

(millions of

A1Es)

(c)

Commercial and

Recreational

Species

(millions of A1Es)

(d)

Harvested

Commercial and

Recreational

Species

(millions of fish

harvested)a

A1E Fish Assigned

a Direct Use Value

as Percentage of

Total

(column d /

column a)

I&E Distribution 5 of 11
Low Mean High Low Mean High

California $1.7 $2.9 $4.9 $1.2 - - $3.0 $4.2 $6.2

North Atlantic $1.8 $2.8 $4.6 $0.4 - $26.3 $28.5 $29.6 $31.3

Mid-Atlantic $15.2 $25.6 $44.5 $2.8 - $102.3 $120.4 $130.7 $149.6

South Atlantic $0.3 $0.3 $0.5 $0.0 - - $0.3 $0.4 $0.5

Gulf of Mexico $6.0 $8.9 $13.5 $3.5 - - $9.5 $12.3 $17.0

Great Lakes $1.1 $2.0 $3.5 $0.1 - - $1.2 $2.1 $3.6

Inland $16.6 $34.4 $71.7 - $1.1 - $17.7 $35.5 $72.8

Total $42.7 $76.9 $143.2 $8.0 $1.1 $128.6 $180.5 $214.7 $281.0

California $1.7 $2.8 $4.8 $1.2 - - $2.9 $4.0 $5.9

North Atlantic $1.7 $2.7 $4.4 $0.4 - $26.8 $28.9 $29.9 $31.6

Mid-Atlantic $14.7 $24.7 $43.0 $2.7 - $104.0 $121.5 $131.5 $149.7

South Atlantic $0.2 $0.3 $0.5 $0.0 - - $0.3 $0.4 $0.5

Gulf of Mexico $6.0 $8.8 $13.5 $3.4 - - $9.4 $12.3 $16.9

Great Lakes $1.1 $2.0 $3.5 $0.1 - - $1.2 $2.1 $3.6

Inland $16.5 $34.2 $71.4 - $1.1 - $17.6 $35.4 $72.5

Total $42.0 $75.6 $141.0 $7.9 $1.1 $130.8 $181.8 $215.5 $280.8

Table 10-7: Summary of National Benefits from Eliminating Baseline I&E Losses at In-scope Facilities

Region

Annualized Benefitsa(2009$, millions)

Recreational Fishing Benefits

Commercial

Fishing

Benefitsc

Annualized Benefitsa(2009$, millions)

Recreational Fishing Benefits

T&E Species

Benefitsd,e

Total Benefitsb

Nonuse

Benefits

Table 10-8: Summary of National Benefits of Option 1 (IM Everywhere) at In-scope Facilities

a All benefits presented in this table are annualized, i.e., equal to the value of all benefits generated over the time frame of the analysis, discounted to 2012, and then annualized over the entire period

of this analysis (2012 to 2062). See Appendix D for detail.

b A range of recreational fishing benefits is provided, based on the Krinsky and Robb technique, to estimate the 5th and 95th percentile limits on the marginal value per fish predicted by the metaanalysis. Commercial fishing benefits are computed based on a region-and species-specific range of gross revenue, as explained in Chapter 6 of this report. EPA estimated recreational use benefits

for some T&E species, as explained in Chapter 5. To calculate the total monetizable value columns (low, mean, high), the values for commercial fishing benefits and T&E species benefits are added

to the respective low, mean, and high values for recreational fishing benefits.c No significant commercial fishing takes place in the Inland region. Thus, this region is excluded from the commercial

fishing analysis.

d Recreational use benefits from increased abundance of T&E species with potentially high recreational use values (e.g., paddlefish and sturgeon). See Chapter 5 of this report

for more detail on EPA’s analysis of T&E benefits.

e

Zeros represent values less than 1,000.

Source: U.S. EPA analysis for this report.

3% Discount Rate

7% Discount Rate

Commercial Total Benefitsb

National I&E Benefits 6 of 11
Low Mean High Low Mean High

California $0.1 $0.1 $0.1 $0.0 - - $0.1 $0.1 $0.1

North Atlantic $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 - $0.1 $0.1 $0.1 $0.1

Mid-Atlantic $0.8 $1.6 $3.1 $0.3 - $0.4 $1.6 $2.3 $3.9

South Atlantic $0.0 $0.0 $0.1 $0.0 - - $0.0 $0.0 $0.1

Gulf of Mexico $1.4 $2.4 $4.3 $0.6 - - $2.0 $3.0 $4.9

Great Lakes $0.6 $1.0 $1.6 $0.0 - - $0.6 $1.0 $1.7

Inland $5.1 $10.5 $22.0 - $0.5 - $5.6 $11.0 $22.5

Total $8.0 $15.6 $31.4 $1.0 $0.5 $0.5 $10.0 $17.6 $33.4

California $0.0 $0.1 $0.1 $0.0 - - $0.0 $0.1 $0.1

North Atlantic $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 - $0.1 $0.1 $0.1 $0.1

Mid-Atlantic $0.7 $1.4 $2.8 $0.3 - $0.4 $1.4 $2.1 $3.5

South Atlantic $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 - - $0.0 $0.0 $0.1

Gulf of Mexico $1.3 $2.2 $4.0 $0.5 - - $1.8 $2.7 $4.5

Great Lakes $0.5 $0.9 $1.5 $0.0 - - $0.6 $0.9 $1.5

Inland $4.6 $9.6 $20.1 - $0.5 - $5.1 $10.1 $20.6

Total $7.2 $14.2 $28.5 $0.9 $0.5 $0.5 $9.1 $16.0 $30.3

Low Mean High Low Mean High

a All benefits presented in this table are annualized, i.e., equal to the value of all benefits generated over the time frame of the analysis, discounted to 2012, and then annualized over the entire period

of this analysis (2012 to 2062). See Appendix D for detail.

b A range of recreational fishing benefits is provided, based on the Krinsky and Robb technique, to estimate the 5th and 95th percentile limits on the marginal value per fish predicted by the metaanalysis. Commercial fishing benefits are computed based on a region-and species-specific range of gross revenue, as explained in Chapter 6 of this report. EPA estimated recreational use benefits

for some T&E species, as explained in Chapter 5. To calculate the total monetizable value columns (low, mean, high), the values for commercial fishing benefits and T&E species benefits are added

to the respective low, mean, and high values for recreational fishing benefits.c No significant commercial fishing takes place in the Inland region. Thus, this region is excluded from the commercial

fishing analysis.

d Recreational use benefits from increased abundance of T&E species with potentially high recreational use values (e.g., paddlefish and sturgeon). See Chapter 5 of this report

for more detail on EPA’s analysis of T&E benefits.

e

Zeros represent values less than 1,000.

Source: U.S. EPA analysis for this report.

3% Discount Rate

7% Discount Rate

Region

Nonuse

Benefits

Commercial

Fishing

Benefitsc

T&E Species

Benefitsd,e

Table 10-9: Summary of National Benefits of Option 2 (Cooling Towers for Facilities with DIF > 125 MGD, Else IM Only) at In-scope

Region

Annualized Benefits a(2009$, millions)

Total Benefitsb Recreational Fishing Benefits

Nonuse

Benefits

Commercial

Fishing

Benefitsc

T&E Species

Benefitsd,e

National I&E Benefits 7 of 11
California $1.0 $1.7 $2.9 $0.8 - - $1.8 $2.5 $3.7

North Atlantic $0.9 $1.5 $2.4 $0.2 - $14.8 $15.9 $16.5 $17.4

Mid-Atlantic $8.4 $14.1 $24.5 $1.6 - $57.3 $67.3 $73.0 $83.5

South Atlantic $0.1 $0.2 $0.3 $0.0 - - $0.2 $0.2 $0.3

Gulf of Mexico $3.2 $4.9 $7.6 $1.8 - - $5.0 $6.7 $9.4

Great Lakes $0.7 $1.3 $2.2 $0.1 - - $0.8 $1.3 $2.3

Inland $9.6 $19.9 $41.4 - $0.7 - $10.3 $20.6 $42.2

Total $24.0 $43.5 $81.5 $4.5 $0.7 $72.1 $101.3 $120.8 $158.7

California $0.8 $1.3 $2.2 $0.6 - - $1.4 $1.9 $2.8

North Atlantic $0.7 $1.1 $1.8 $0.2 - $11.5 $12.3 $12.7 $13.4

Mid-Atlantic $5.8 $9.8 $17.0 $1.1 - $44.5 $51.4 $55.4 $62.7

South Atlantic $0.1 $0.1 $0.2 $0.0 - - $0.1 $0.1 $0.2

Gulf of Mexico $2.5 $3.8 $5.9 $1.4 - - $3.9 $5.2 $7.3

Great Lakes $0.6 $1.0 $1.7 $0.0 - - $0.6 $1.0 $1.8

Inland $7.4 $15.3 $31.9 - $0.6 - $7.9 $15.8 $32.4

Total $17.8 $32.4 $60.8 $3.3 $0.6 $55.9 $77.6 $92.2 $120.6

Low Mean High Low Mean High

Table 10-10: Summary of National Benefits of Option 3 (Cooling Towers Everywhere) at In-scope Facilities

a All benefits presented in this table are annualized, i.e., equal to the value of all benefits generated over the time frame of the analysis, discounted to 2012, and then annualized over the entire period

of this analysis (2012 to 2062). See Appendix D for detail.

b A range of recreational fishing benefits is provided, based on the Krinsky and Robb technique, to estimate the 5th and 95th percentile limits on the marginal value per fish predicted by the metaanalysis. Commercial fishing benefits are computed based on a region-and species-specific range of gross revenue, as explained in Chapter 6 of this report. EPA estimated recreational use benefits

for some T&E species, as explained in Chapter 5. To calculate the total monetizable value columns (low, mean, high), the values for commercial fishing benefits and T&E species benefits are added

to the respective low, mean, and high values for recreational fishing benefits.c No significant commercial fishing takes place in the Inland region. Thus, this region is excluded from the commercial

fishing analysis.

d Recreational use benefits from increased abundance of T&E species with potentially high recreational use values (e.g., paddlefish and sturgeon). See Chapter 5 of this report

for more detail on EPA’s analysis of T&E benefits.

e

Zeros represent values less than 1,000.

Source: U.S. EPA analysis for this report.

3% Discount Rate

7% Discount Rate

Nonuse

BenefitsRegion

Annualized Benefitsa(2009$, millions)

Recreational Fishing Benefits Commercial

Fishing

Benefitsc

T&E Species

Benefitsd,e

Total Benefitsb

National I&E Benefits 8 of 11
California $1.1 $1.8 $3.1 $0.8 - - $1.9 $2.6 $3.9

North Atlantic $1.0 $1.6 $2.7 $0.2 - $15.5 $16.7 $17.3 $18.3

Mid-Atlantic $8.6 $14.4 $25.1 $1.6 - $60.0 $70.2 $76.1 $86.7

South Atlantic $0.1 $0.2 $0.3 $0.0 - - $0.2 $0.2 $0.3

Gulf of Mexico $3.3 $4.9 $7.7 $1.8 - - $5.1 $6.7 $9.5

Great Lakes $0.7 $1.3 $2.3 $0.1 - - $0.8 $1.3 $2.3

Inland $10.0 $20.7 $43.1 - $0.7 - $10.7 $21.4 $43.8

Total $24.8 $44.9 $84.2 $4.5 $0.7 $75.5 $105.5 $125.6 $164.9

California $0.8 $1.4 $2.3 $0.6 - - $1.4 $2.0 $2.9

North Atlantic $0.8 $1.2 $2.0 $0.2 - $12.0 $12.9 $13.4 $14.1

Mid-Atlantic $6.0 $10.0 $17.5 $1.1 - $46.5 $53.6 $57.7 $65.1

South Atlantic $0.1 $0.1 $0.2 $0.0 - - $0.1 $0.1 $0.2

Gulf of Mexico $2.5 $3.8 $5.9 $1.4 - - $3.9 $5.2 $7.3

Great Lakes $0.6 $1.0 $1.8 $0.0 - - $0.6 $1.0 $1.8

Inland $7.6 $15.8 $32.8 - $0.5 - $8.1 $16.3 $33.4

Total $18.3 $33.3 $62.5 $3.3 $0.5 $58.5 $80.7 $95.7 $124.9

a All benefits presented in this table are annualized, i.e., equal to the value of all benefits generated over the time frame of the analysis, discounted to 2012, and then annualized over the entire period

of this analysis (2012 to 2062). See Appendix D for detail.

b A range of recreational fishing benefits is provided, based on the Krinsky and Robb technique, to estimate the 5th and 95th percentile limits on the marginal value per fish predicted by the metaanalysis. Commercial fishing benefits are computed based on a region-and species-specific range of gross revenue, as explained in Chapter 6 of this report. EPA estimated recreational use benefits

for some T&E species, as explained in Chapter 5. To calculate the total monetizable value columns (low, mean, high), the values for commercial fishing benefits and T&E species benefits are added

to the respective low, mean, and high values for recreational fishing benefits.c No significant commercial fishing takes place in the Inland region. Thus, this region is excluded from the commercial

fishing analysis.

d Recreational use benefits from increased abundance of T&E species with potentially high recreational use values (e.g., paddlefish and sturgeon). See Chapter 5 of this report

for more detail on EPA’s analysis of T&E benefits.

e

Zeros represent values less than 1,000.

Source: U.S. EPA analysis for this report.

3% Discount Rate

7% Discount Rate

National I&E Benefits 9 of 11
Low Mean High Low Mean High

total use

Baseline $42.7 $76.89 $143.2 $8.05 $1.14 $128.64 $180.5 $214.72 $281.0 $86.08

Option 1 $8.0 $15.62 $31.4 $0.99 $0.50 $0.52 $10.0 $17.63 $33.4 $17.11

Option 2 $24.0 $43.52 $81.5 $4.47 $0.72 $72.10 $101.3 $120.80 $158.7 $48.71

Option 3 $24.8 $44.94 $84.2 $4.52 $0.72 $75.48 $105.5 $125.65 $164.9 $50.17

Baseline $42.0 $75.64 $141.0 $7.89 $1.14 $130.78 $181.8 $215.45 $280.8 $84.67

Option 1 $7.2 $14.21 $28.5 $0.89 $0.45 $0.48 $9.1 $16.04 $30.3 $15.55

Option 2 $17.8 $32.40 $60.8 $3.31 $0.56 $55.94 $77.6 $92.21 $120.6 $36.27

Option 3 $18.3 $33.30 $62.5 $3.34 $0.55 $58.52 $80.7 $95.71 $124.9 $37.19

Table 10-11: Summary of Total Benefits of the Regulatory Options at In-scope Facilities

Regulatory Option

Annualized Benefitsa(2009$, millions)

Recreational Fishing Benefits Commercial Fishing

Benefitsc

T&E Species

Benefitsd,e

Nonuse Total Benefits

Benefits

Scenarios: Baseline = Eliminating Baseline I&E Mortality Losses; Option 1 = I Everywhere; Option 2 = I Everywhere and E for Facilities >125 MGD; Option 3 = I&E Mortality

Everywhere

a All benefits presented in this table are annualized, i.e., equal to the value of all benefits generated over the time frame of the analysis, discounted to 2012, and then annualized over the

entire period of this analysis (2012 through 2062). See Appendix D for detail.

b A range of recreational fishing benefits is provided, based on the Krinsky and Robb technique, to estimate the 5th and 95th percentile limits on the marginal value per fish predicted by the

meta-analysis. Commercial fishing benefits are computed based on a region- and species-specific range of gross revenue, as explained in Chapter 6 of this report. EPA estimated

recreational use benefits for some T&E species, as explained in Chapter 5. To calculate the total monetizable value columns (low, mean, high), the values for commercial fishing benefits

and T&E species benefits are added to the respective low, mean, and high values for recreational fishing benefits.

c No significant commercial fishing takes place in the Inland region. Thus, this region is excluded from the commercial fishing analysis.

d Recreational use benefits from increased abundance of T&E species with potentially high recreational use values (e.g., paddlefish and sturgeon).

See Chapter 5 of this report for more detail on EPA’s analysis of T&E benefits.

Source: U.S. EPA analysis for this report.

3% Discount Rate

7% Discount Rate

Total Benefits Summary 10 of 11
Regulatory Optiona

Use Benefits

(2009$,

millions)a

Annual Social

Cost (2009$,

millions)b

Annual Nonuse

Benefits Necessary to

Break Even (2009$) c, d

Number of Households

in States with In-scope

316(b) Facilities

(millions)e

Annual BreakEven Nonuse WTP

per Household

(2009$)f

Option 1 $17.11 $383.80 $366.69 114.5 $3.20

Option 2 $48.71 $4,462.90 $4,414.19 114.5 $38.54

Option 3 $50.17 $4,631.62 $4,581.45 114.5 $40.00

Option 1 $15.55 $458.81 $443.26 114.5 $3.87

Option 2 $36.27 $4,699.35 $4,663.08 114.5 $40.71

Option 3 $37.19 $4,862.05 $4,824.86 114.5 $42.12

Scenarios: Option 1 = I Everywhere; Option 2 = I Everywhere and E for Facilities >125 MGD; Option 3 = I&E Mortality Everywhere

a Benefits are discounted using a 3% or 7% discount rate, respectively. Use benefits include estimated commercial fishing benefits, recreational

fishing benefits, and use benefits for T&E species.

b

The total social cost of the final rule includes facility compliance costs and administrative costs.

c Annualized compliance costs minus annualized use benefits.

d Nonuse benefits may also include unmonetized use benefits, i.e., improvements in bird watching.

e

From U.S. Census 2000 (BLS): http://factfinder.census.gov.

f Dollars per household per year that, when added to use benefits, would yield a total annualized benefit (use plus nonuse) equal to the

annualized costs.

Table 10-12: Implicit Nonuse Value—Break-Even Analysis, 3 Percent and 7 Percent Discount Rates

3% Discount Rate

7% Discount Rate

Imp Nonuse Val 11 of 11