STRAWMAN TIMELINE OF A RULEMAKING

Phase 1: Screening and Industry Profile

Issues identification consultation/

workshop

• Identification of issues

• Identification of experts for

review

• Definition of contractor

expertise - engineering/

economic

• Preliminary selection of

analytical approaches for future

analysis (engineering and

economic analysis)

Issues identification consultation/

workshop

• Identification of

characterization data sources

• Characterization data collection

methodology (ies)

• Characterization information

requirements

• Preliminary selection of

analytical approaches for future

analysis (costs, prices,

shipments)

Identification of design classes and options Initial industry review

•

•

•

Define product classes

Define baseline models

Define design options

•

•

•

Identify firms

Identify product characteristics

Define markets

Screening design options Quantitative Analysis

• Technical feasibility • Census data

• Practicality to manufacture, • Historical market structure

install and service • Market trends

• Product utility and availability

• Impacts on health and safety Qualitative Analysis

• Prepare surveys/interview guide

• Identify interview participants

• Stakeholder review

• Conduct interviews

Stakeholder review

• Review screening analysis

Stakeholder review

• Review industry databook

DRAFT 3/10/97 1

 EE-PI-96-001 COMMENT 85

STRA WMAN TIMELINE OF A RULEMAKING 

Phase 1: Screening and Industry Profile 

Issues identification consultation! 

workshop 

• Identification of issues 

• Identification of experts for 

review 

• Definition of contractor 

expertise - engineering/ 

economIC 

• Preliminary selection of 

analytical approaches for future 

analysis (engineering and 

economic analysis) 

Identification of design classes and options 

• Define product classes 

• Define baseline models 

• Define design options 

Screening design options 

• Technical feasibility 

• Practicality to manufacture, 

install and service 

• Product utility and availability 

It Impacts on health and safety 

Stakeholder review 

• Review screening analysis 

DRAFT 3/10/97 1 

Issues identification consultation/ 

workshop 

• Identification of 

characterization data sources 

• Characterization data collection 

methodology (ies) 

• Characterization information 

requirements 

• Preliminary selection of 

analytical approaches for future 

analysis (costs, prices, 

shipments) 

Initial industry review 

• Identify firms 

• Identify product characteristics 

• Define markets 

Quantitative Analysis 

• Census data 

• Historical market structure 

• Market trends 

Qualitative Analysis 

• Prepare surveys/interview guide 

• Identify interview participants 

• Stakeholder review 

• Conduct interviews 

Stakeholder review 

• Review industry databook 
Phase 2 a) Engineering analysis and Manufacturer costs

Engineering analysis

consultation/workshop

• Establish base case design

• Order design options

• Validate test procedure

• Identify engineering

performance models

Develop cost/efficiency curves

• uncertainties

Manufacturing costs

consultation/workshop

• Establish costing

methodology (ies)

• Establish data collection

methodologies

• Phase 2: Uncertainty

• Phase 3: Variability

Collect/generate manufacturing cost data

Stakeholder review Stakeholder review

Phase 2 b) Life-cycle cost analysis and Price forecasts

Develop consumer prices

• Alternative approaches

Develop life-cycle-costs

• Average values and uncertainty

Develop manufacturer prices for GRIM

• Alternative approaches

• Industry average with

uncertainty

Select candidate standards levels

Stakeholder review Stakeholder review

Phase 2 c) National Benefits and Shipment Forecasts

Preliminary National Benefits

• Consumer NPV

• National energy savings

Develop Shipment forecasts for GRIM

• Alternative approaches

• Scenario analysis

Stakeholder review

Phase 2 d) Industry cash flow

Stakeholder review

Conduct industry cashflow

Stakeholder review

DRAFT 3/10/97 2

 EE-PI-96-001 COMMENT 85

Phase 2 a) Engineering analysis and Manufacturer costs 

Engineering analysis 

consultation/workshop 

• Establish base case design 

• Order design options 

• Validate test procedure 

• Identify engineering 

performance models 

Develop cost/efficiency curves 

• uncertainties 

Stakeholder review 

Manufacturing costs 

consultation/workshop 

• Establish costing 

methodology (ies) 

• Establish data collection 

methodologies 

• Phase 2: Uncertainty 

• Phase 3: Variability 

Collect/generate manufacturing cost data 

Stakeholder review 

Phase 2 b) Life-cycle cost analysis and Price forecasts 

Develop consumer prices 

• Alternative approaches 

Develop life-cycle-costs 

• Average values and uncertainty 

Select candidate standards levels 

Stakeholder review 

Develop manufacturer prices for GRIM 

• Alternative approaches 

• Industry average with 

uncertainty 

Stakeholder review 

Phase 2 c) National Benefits and Shipment Forecasts 

Preliminary National Benefits Develop Shipment forecasts for GRIM 

• Consumer NPV • Alternative approaches 

• National energy savings • Scenario analysis 

Stakeholder review Stakeholder review 

Phase 2 d) Industry cash flow 

Conduct industry cashflow 

Stakeholder review 

DRAFT 3110/97 2 
ANOPR

Phase 3: Economic Impact Analysis and Manufacturer sub-group analysis

Economic impact consultation/workshop

• Validate analysis, data and

modeling needs

Phase 3: Subgroup impact

consultation/workshop

• Validate analysis, data and

modeling needs

• Survey development/interview

participants

Evaluate consumer impacts Evaluate manufacturer impacts

• National average energy price • Conduct interviews

and usage • Cashflow analysis

• Regional variations • Competitive impacts

• Performance and installation • Direct employment impacts

cost variations • Capacity impacts, assets

• Variations in energy prices • Cumulative burden

• Variations in discount rates

• Consider changes in consumer

utility

• Changes in first cost and

payback

• Consider fuel switching

Utility impacts

Environment and energy security

National employment

Impacts of non-regulatory approaches

Impacts on Competition (DOJ)

Stakeholder review

Stakeholder review

NOPR

Comment Period

FR

DRAFT 3/10/97 3

 EE-PI-96-001 COMMENT 85

ANOPR 

Phase 3: Economic Impact Analysis and Manufacturer sub-group analysis 

Economic impact consultation/workshop 

• Validate analysis, data and 

modeling needs 

Evaluate consumer impacts 

• National average energy price 

and usage 

• Regional variations 

• Performance and installation 

cost variations 

• Variations in energy prices 

• Variations in discount rates 

• Consider changes in consumer 

utility 

• Changes in first cost and 

payback 

• Consider fuel switching 

Utility impacts 

Environment and energy security 

National employment 

Impacts of non-regulatory approaches 

Impacts on Competition (DOJ) 

Stakeholder review 

NOPR 

Comment Period 

FR 

DRAFT 3/10/97 3 

Phase 3: Subgroup impact 

consultation/workshop 

• Validate analysis, data and 

modeling needs 

• Survey development/interview 

participants 

Evaluate manufacturer impacts 

• Conduct interviews 

• Cashflow analysis 

• Competitive impacts 

• Direct employment impacts 

• Capacity impacts, assets 

• Cumulative burden 

Stakeholder review