### IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS FOR THE FIFTH CIRCUIT

No. 19

- 30665

VINCENT FUSILIER, SR., Reverend; LIONEL MYERS; WENDELL DESMOND SHELBY, JR.; DANIEL TURNER, JR.; TERREBONNE PARISH BRANCH NAACP,

Plaintiffs

- Appellees

v. JEFFREY MARTIN LANDRY, Esq., Attorney General for the State of Louisiana, in his official capacity,

Defendant

- Appellant

Appeal from the United States District Court for the Middle District of Louisiana

Before HIGGINBOTHAM, JONES, and DUNCAN, Circuit Judges

. EDITH H. JONES, Circuit Judge : African

- American voters and the Terrebonne Parish NAACP filed suit in
2014 to challeng e the electoral method for Louisiana’s 32nd Judicial District Court (“32nd JDC ”) . They asserted that at

- large elections for the judges produce discriminatory results , vi olating Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, and have been maintained for a discriminatory purpose in violation of th at statute and the Fourteenth and Fifteenth Amendments

. After trial, t he district court upheld both claims . Eventually, it ordered a remed ial plan breaking the 32nd JDC into five single

- member electoral subdistricts

. Louisiana’s Attorney Genera l appealed. United States Court of Appeals Fifth Circuit 

### FILED June 29, 2020 Lyle W. Cayce Clerk Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 1 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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2 Careful review persuades us that the district court erred legally and factually

. Specifically, the court erred in holding that weak evidence of vote dilution could overcome the state’s substantial interest in linking judicial positions to the judges’ parish

- wide jurisdiction , and it erroneously equated failed legislative attempts to create subdistricts for the 32nd JDC with a racially discriminatory intent. We REVERSE. 1 BACKGROUND The 32nd JDC encompasses Terrebonne Parish. Terrebonne Parish begins south of New Orleans and covers territory extending well into the bayous and ultimately to the Gulf of Mexico. Formerly the site of sugar plantations, the parish became a hub for the offshore oil and gas industry seventy years ago . The Parish seat is located in Houma, population over 30,000, with a few smaller towns and Cajun residents still living among the bayous. Of the parish’s population, about ten percent of the residents still spoke French at home according to the 2010 Cen sus; slightly less than 19% of the residents were black. Since its creation in 1968, elections for the five judicial seats in the 32nd JDC have been conducted on an at

- large basis. The p laintiffs ’ lawsuit took issue with this electoral method , asserting c laims under Section 2 of the V oting Rights Act (“VRA”) and unconstitutional racial discrimination

. The y initially named as defendants then

- Louisiana Governor Piyush “ Bobby ” Jindal, Attorney General James “Buddy” Caldwell, and Secretary of State Tom Schedler. During discovery, the plaintiff s, without explanation , moved to dismiss the Secretary of State with prejudice

. The district court granted that motion.

1 The issuance of this opinion renders moot the state’s motion to stay the district court’s final judgment and injunctio n pending appeal. Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 2 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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3 After an eight

- day bench trial, the district court hel d in 2017 that Louisiana’s use of an at

- large voting system for the 32nd JDC “deprives black voters of the equal opportunity to elect candidates of their choice in violation of Section 2” of the VRA, and that the voting system “ ha [d] been maintained for th at [discriminatory] purpose, in violation of Section 2 and the United States Constitution.” The court reached th ese conclusion s after rejecting the defendants ’ standing argument and their claim of Eleventh Amendment immunity

. The district court invited the parties to submit proposals “regarding the appropriate remedy for the court and legislature to take.” Neither the defendants nor the Louisiana legislature , for two legislative sessions , offered a plan conforming to the judgment . A new judge was substituted after the trial judge passed away, and in early 2019 the court determined that it “would be aided by the technical expertise of a Special Master” in reviewing the plaintiffs’

propose d districting plans

. The Special Master endorsed , and the district court adopted, a plan t o divide the 32nd JDC into five s ingle

- member subdistricts,

one of which was created as a likely majority

- black district

. The district court then enjoined the Gover nor and Attorney General “from administering, implementing, or conducting any future elections for the 32nd JDC in which [judges] are elected on an at

- large basis ; ” commanded them to “ensure that all elections for the 32nd JDC . . . be conducted using the remedial redistricting [p]lan ; ” and ordered them to “take all steps necessary to implement the five single

- member district plan . . . in order to allow district

- based elections to proceed.” Only the Attorney General has appealed from this adverse judgment

. STANDARD OF REVIEW This court reviews questions of subject matter jurisdiction, including standing, de novo

. C t r

. for Individual Freedom v. Carmouche , 449 F.3d 655, Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 3 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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4 659 (5th Cir. 2006). We likewise review de novo “ the legal standards the district court applied to determine whether Section 2 has been violated , ” but

“ w e review the district court’s findings on the Gingles threshold requirements and its ultimate findings on vote dilution for clear error.” Sensley v. Albritton,
385 F. 3 d 591, 5 95 ( 5th Cir. 2004). A fact finding of intentional discrimination in a vot ing rights case is also reviewed for clear error. United States v. Brown , 561 F.3d 420, 432 (5th Cir. 2009). “The clear error standard precludes reversal of a district court’s findings unless we are ‘left with the definite and firm conviction that a mistake has been committed.’” Rodriguez v. Bexar C ounty , 385 F.3d 853, 860 (5th Cir. 2004) (quoting Anderson v. Ci ty of Bessemer City , 470 U.S. 564, 573, 105 S. Ct. 1504, 1511 (1985)). DISCUSSION
T he Attorney General challenges the plaintiffs’ standing to assert their claims and raises an Eleventh Amendment sovereign immunity defense

. He contends that the plaintiffs ’ vote dilution claim fails the preconditions established in Thornburg v. Gingles , 478 U.S. 30 , 106 S. Ct. 2752 (198 6 )

. In particular , he asserts that the court discounted this court’s en banc decision in League of United Latin Am. Citizens, Council No. 4434 v. Clements, 999 F.2d
831 , 868 ( 5th Cir. 1993) (“ L ULAC ”) , which holds, as a matter of law, that a state’s “substantial” “linkage interest” in at

- large judicial elections “ may be overcome only by evidence that amounts to substantial proof of racial dilution. Otherwise, the at

- large election of district court judges does not violate Section 2.” Finally, he argues that the district court erred in finding intentional discrimination. We are persuaded by the last two of these contentions and reverse on that basis.
I
T aking a novel position in voting rights litigation, t he Attorney General

argues that the plaintiffs lack Articl e III standing to sue after the y dismiss ed Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 4 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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5 the Secretary of State and, alternatively, the Eleventh Amendment bars this suit

. Neither argument works. I n order to have constitutional standing, a plaintiff must establish (1) an injury in fact that is (2) fa irly traceable to the challenged action of the defendant and (3) redressable by a favorable ruling

. Lujan v. Defs

. of Wildlife , 504 U.S. 555, 560

– 61, 112 S. Ct. 2130, 2136 (1992). A lthough the Governor has not appealed, the district court must have had jurisdiction to find liability and fashion a remedial order against the Governor. Further, standing must exist at all stages of the litigation. Fontenot v

. McCraw , 777 F.3d 741, 747 (5th Cir. 2015). T he plaintiffs plainly had standing to maintain suit against Louisiana’s Governor. Without raising any complaint in the past about his standing, the Governor has been a party defendant in nearly all of Louisiana’s voting rights cases cha llenging judicial districts 2 , and as chief executive, he plays a pivotal role in the enactment of legislation that could address any adverse federal judgment. Cf. Allstate Ins. Co. v. Abbott , 495 F.3d 151, 159 (5th Cir. 2007) (“A case brought against a st ate officer in his official capacity is essentially a suit against the state. . . . Because the state itself is a party, causation and redressability are easily satisfied in this

case.

. . . A declaration of unconstitutionality directed against the state w ould redress [the plaintiff’s] injury . . . .”). 3 In contrast, the Secretary of State, although an elected official 4 , is responsible for conducting elections only after the districts have been changed, whether by law or by court order. The

2 See, e.g. , Chisom v. Ro e mer , 501 U.S. 380, 384, 111 S. Ct. 2354, 2358 (1991); Prejean v. Foster , 83 Fed. App’x 5 (5th Cir. 2003); Hall v. Louisiana , 983 F. Supp. 2d 820, 824 (M.D. La. 2013).

3 The plaintiffs sought, among other remedie s, a declaration that the challenged electoral scheme was unconstitutional. Such a declaration would be sufficient to redress the plaintiffs’ injuries insofar as it would force the state

— who the Governor, in his official capacity, represents

— to prescribe another plan before proceeding with elections.

4 In Texas, by contrast, the Secretary of State holds a gubernatorial appointment. Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 5 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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6 Attorney Gener al’s implicit argument that only the Secretary of State should have been sued is wrong. 5 The Attorney General’s other jurisdictional argument is that the Eleventh Amendment shields him and the Governor from suit. The p artie s
spar over the prerequisites of Ex parte Young ’s exception to Eleventh Amendment immunity. See Ex parte Young , 209 U.S. 123, 28 S. Ct. 441 (1908) ; Okpalobi v. Foster , 244 F.3d 405, 414

– 15 (5th Cir. 2001) (en banc). Both parties miss the mark. “The VRA, which Congress passed pursuant to its Fifteenth Amendment enforcement power, validly abrogated state sovereign immunity.” OCA

- Greater Houston v. Texas , 867 F.3d 604, 614 (5th Cir. 2017). Thus, the immunity from suit the se officials might otherw ise enjoy offers no protection from VRA suits , whether premised on dilution or intentional discrimination.
II Addressing the merits of the appeal, the Attorney General initially challenge s the district court’s finding of vote dilution , followed by its fin ding of intentional racial discrimination in the legislature’s failure to voluntarily adopt single

- member districts for judicial elections in the 32nd JDC. A Section 2 of the VRA prohibits states from imposing or applying any “standard, practice, or procedure . . . which results in a denial or abridgement

5 This conclusion is a unique product of the VRA, enacted under the Fifteenth Amendment to protect the voting rights of Afric an
- Americans from state interference. See United States v. Mississippi, 380 U.S. 128, 136

– 38, 85 S. Ct. 808, 812

– 13 (1965) (state can be directly sued pursuant to VRA implementing the Fifteenth Amendment). This decision, accordingly, does not authorize p arties to sue the Governor (or other state officer) whenever a party challenges duly enacted laws. See, e.g., Okpalobi v. Foster , 244 F.3d 405 (5th Cir. 2001) (en banc). Further, w e take no position on whether, had the court’s remedial order here been upheld, standing would exist and the court could have enforced its remedy without the continued presence of the Secretary of State, who is Louisiana’s chief elections officer. Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 6 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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7 of the right of any citizen of the United States to vote on account of race or color.” 52 U.S.C. § 10301(a). A violation of Section 2 is established if, based on the totali ty of circumstances, it is shown that the political processes leading to nomination or election in the State or political subdivision are not equally open to participation by members of a [racial] class of citizens . . . in that its members have less oppor tunity than other members of the electorate to participate in the political process and to elect representatives of their choice. Id. § 10301(b). Section 2 claims brought against multimember elect oral districts are governed by the framework established in Thornburg v. Gingles . “ Under Gingles , plaintiffs challenging an at

- large system on behalf of a protected class of citizens must demonstrate that (1) the group is sufficiently large and geographically compact t o constitute a majority in a single

- member district; (2) it is politically cohesive; and (3) the white majority votes sufficiently as a bloc to enable it usually to defeat the minority ’ s preferred candidate. ” L ULAC , 999 F.2d at 849

. Satisfaction of these three “preconditions” is necessary, but not sufficient , to establish liability. Id. “ Plaintiffs must also show that, under the ‘ totality of circumstances, ’ they do not possess the same opportunities to participate in the political process and elect representatives of their choice enjoyed by other voters. ” Id. The so

- called “ Zimmer factors” guide this second inquiry. Id. 6

6 These factors include: 1. the extent of any history of official discrimination in the state or political subdivision that touched the right of the members of the minority group to register, to vote, or otherwise to participate in the democratic process; 2 . the extent to which voting in the elections of the state or political subdivision is racially polarized; 3. the extent to which the state or political subdivision has used unusually large election districts, majority vote requirements, anti

- single shot p rovisions, or other voting Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 7 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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8 The Attorney General maintains tha t the plaintiffs’ claim of vote dilution fails each of the Gingles preconditions as well as the ultimate totality of circumstances standard

. A searching and practical review of the electoral conditions in Terrebonne Parish is required to evaluate the dist rict court’s determinations. Gingles, 478 U.S. at 45, 106 S. Ct. at 2 76 4.
1 T he Attorney General avers that the plaintiffs ’ claim fails the first Gingles precondition because the parish’s African

- American community is neither sufficiently large n or geographically compa ct to make up a single member district that complies with traditional districting principles. To support this argument, he postulates that the 50.4% of non

- Hispanic black voting age population in the plaintiffs’ proposed majority

- minority distric t, District 1, fa l ls short of the bare majority needed to satisfy Gingle s ’s numerosity requirement. 7 See Bartlett v. Strickland , 556 U.S. 1, 18, 129 S. Ct.

practices or procedures that may enhance the opportunity for discrimination against the minority group; 4. if there is a candidate slating process, whether the members of the minority group have been denied access to that process ; 5. the extent to which members of the minority group in the state or political subdivision bear the effects of discrimination in such areas as education, employment and health, which hinder their ability to participate effectively in the political proces s; 6. whether political campaigns have been characterized by overt or subtle racial appeals; 7. the extent to which members of the minority group have been elected to public office in the jurisdiction; 8. whether there is a significant lack of responsivene ss on the part of elected officials to the particularized needs of the members of the minority group; and 9. whether the policy underlying the state or political subdivision’s use of such voting qualification, prerequisite to voting, or standard, practice or procedure is tenuous. See LULAC , 999 F.2d at 849 n.22; S. R EP

. No. 97

- 417, at 28

– 29 (1982)

.

7 Some of the Attorney General’s complaints are mistakenly lodged against the Special Master’s remedial plan. At Gingles step one, our evaluation is limited to whether the plaintiffs offered sufficient evidence of numerosity and compactness. To do this, we consider the plaintiffs’ proposed districting map ruled on by the trial court, not the remedial plan eventually accepted. Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 8 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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9 1231, 1245 (2009) (“[T]he majority

- minority rule relies on an objective, numerical test: Do minorities make up more than 50 percent of the voting

- age population in the relevant geographic area?”). He also points to the odd shape of the plaintiffs’ proposed remedial map , arguing that it undermines the court’s finding of compactness and is at odds with traditional districting principles

. Turning first to the Attorney General’s numerosity argument , the district court noted that both plaintiffs’ and defendants’ experts “agreed that the blac k population in Terrebonne is sufficiently numerous such that [proposed] District 1 has a greater than 50% voting

- age black population.” The Attorney General’s current position is thus inconsistent with the view expressed by his own expert. Perhaps recog nizing as much, the Attorney General argues that the percentages cited by the district court fail to account for voter turnout. Because black voter turnout is substantially lower than white voter turnout, the Attorney General argues there is no reasonable opportunity for the threadbare majority of black voters in District 1 to elect a candidate of their choice. The first Gingles precondition , however, does not require a showing that a majority of the voters in a future election w ill be black. All the plaintiffs ha ve to show is that the black minority is numerous enough to “constitute a majority in a single

- member district.” LULAC , 999 F.2d at
849. That is not to say that the probability of blacks electing their preferred candidate s in future elections is irrelevant. To the contrary, this bears on the totality of the circumstances, which we discuss later. See Abbott v. Perez , 138 S. Ct. 2305, 2332 (2018) (“Under Gingles , the ultimate question is whether a districting decision dilutes the votes of minority voters, . . . and it is hard to see how this standard could be met if the alternative to the districting decision at issue would not enhance the ability of minority vot ers to elect the candidates of their choice.”); Harding v. County of Dallas , 948 F.3d 302, 310

– 11 (5th Cir. Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 9 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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10 2020). T he Attorney General’s argument is misplaced at this stage of the analysis.
Even so , the trial record casts doubt not only on the effectiveness of the proposed voting age majority, but also on the compactness of the proposed
d istrict

. The plaintiffs’ plan constructed a horseshoe shape district around
Houma in order to pick up minority residential areas in that town and in Gray and S chriever. 8 T he p laintiffs’ plan split fourteen of the twenty

- one voting precincts affected by the proposed majority

- minority district

. Cf. Bush v. Vera , 517 U.S. 952, 974, 116 S. Ct. 1941, 1959 (1996) (criticizing redistricting plan for split ting “local election precincts”). The majority

- minority district also suffered from very low compactness scores on both mathematical matrices cited by the parties

. And it s odd shape suggests that race served as the sine

qua non for selecting which blocks to include in the proposed district , all in an effort to achieve the necessary demographic of 50% plus one black voting age population

. See Sensley v. Albritton , 385 F.3d 591, 596 (5th Cir. 2 004) (“As the geographical shape of any proposed district necessarily directly relates to the geographical compactness and population dispersal of the minority community in question, it is clear that shape is a significant factor that courts can and
must c onsider in a Gingles compactness inquiry.”). Appellees respond that neither the district’s contorted horseshoe shape nor its compactness scores count against a finding of vote dilution because other political districts in this area, e.g. for the state legislature and the parish council and school board, “resemble” its shape. See Houston v. Lafayette C

ou nty , 56 F.3d 606, 611 ( 5th Cir. 1995). Nonetheless, this comparison with

8 Compactness may often be in the e ye of the judicial beholder, but plaintiffs’ proposed district is not far off from those condemned by the courts in Bush v. Vera, 517 U.S. 952, 116 S. Ct. 1 941 (1996) ; Shaw v. Reno, 509 U.S. 630, 113 S. Ct. 2816 (1993); and Gomillion v. Lightfoot, 364 U.S. 339, 81 S. Ct. 125 (1960). Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 10 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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11 other misshapen districts does not make a strong case for the first Gingles factor. Moreover, g iven several facts noted by the district court, satisfying this factor was inherently challenging for plaintiffs . African

- Americans comprised barely 19% of the 112,000 residents of Terrebonne Parish according to the 2010 Census (or 20% if counted by Any

- Part Black)

. Nearly all of their numbers had to be joined to give them an “opportunity district” within a five

- member judicial body

. Additionally, the location s of small towns, interconnecting roads , and many bayous formed natural barriers to traditional districting. But we owe deference to the district court on this highly factual issue and are unable to conclude that the court clearly erred. In addition to analyzing compactness scores and the number of split precincts, the court observed that the plaintiffs’ remedial p lan maintained communities of interest , contained contiguous districts, protected incumbents , and respected the principle of one person, one
vote

. In sum, w hile the district court’s compactness analysis is far from ironclad, it is not so erroneous as to a lone warrant reversal.
2 The second and third Gingles preconditions pose the same question, but for different demographic groups: Is there significant racial bloc voting (or racially polarized voting)? See Gingles , 478 U.S. at 56 , 106 S. Ct. at 2769 ; Teague v. Attala C ounty , 92 F.3d 283, 2 87

– 88 (5th Cir. 1996). The district court answered t hese question s in the affirmativ e, as it found that “a significant number of minority group members usually vote for the same candidates” and whites typically vote in such a way that they “normally will defeat the combined strength of minority support plus white ‘crossover’ votes.” Gingles , 478 U.S. at 56, 106 S. Ct. at 2769

. The Attorney General has nothing t o say about the proven political cohesiveness of the parish’s black voters. Instead, he contends that the Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 11 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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12 unopposed 2014 election of African

- American Juan Pickett to the 32nd JDC constituted powerful evidence that white Terrebonne parish voters do not typically vote in such a way as to defeat the minority’s supported candidate. The relevant standard for evaluating this signal victory is whether “the white majority votes sufficiently as a bloc to enable it

— in the absence of special circumstances, such as the minority candidate running unopposed

. . . — usually to defeat the minority’s preferred candidate.” Id. at 51 (emphasis added) ; see also Rollins v. Fort Bend Indep. Sch. Dist. , 89 F.3d 1205, 1213 (5th Cir. 1996) (perm itting consideration of special circumstances to “explain a single minority candidate’s victory ” (emphasis added))

. The district court makes much of the facts that Juan Pickett ran unopposed and his election occurred during the pendency of this litigation . The former consideration suggests Pickett’s election was a fluke, while the latter consideration has been held relevant to the “special circumstances” assessment

. Clark v. Calhoun C ounty , 21 F.3d 92, 96 (5th Cir. 1994)

. Yet the district court, and the plaintiffs for that matter, go
on to imply that Judge Pickett “was not clearly the Black community’s candidate of choice.” That the judge had been a member of the local community for many years, that he had served as an A ssistant District Attorney for seventeen years and been the Terrebonne Parish bar president , and that he had been seeking political support long before 2014, are unmentioned in the district court’s findings. Judge Pickett’s admirable record would seem to have been a noteworthy “special circumstance” suggesting why he cleared the field of opponents before the election. Significant as Judge Pickett’s election should be, c ontrasting with this single election is testimony from the plaintiffs’ expert , Dr. Engstrom, that “the magnitude of polarization ” in this case was significant

. Dr. Engstrom analyzed seven elections , spanning over twenty years, in which at least one black candidate competed against one white candidate. T he candidates preferred by Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 12 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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13 black voters lost every time , and in each case, he found a high degree of racially polarized voting

. Because most of the election results Dr. Engstrom analyzed were

exogenous and decades

- old , the Attorney General contends that they are not probative of contempo rary voting patterns for the 32nd JDC. This argument has some force , b ut it is insufficient to establish clear error for two reasons

. First, Dr. Engstrom was forced to analyze exogenous election results because all recent elections for the 32nd JDC have been uncontested. R eliance on exogenous election results in this circumstance has received this court’s sanction

. S ee Westwego Citizens for Bette r Gov ’ t v. City of Westwego , 872 F.2d 1202, 1209 (5th Cir. 1989) (approving reliance on exogenous election results where no statistics were available for endogenous elections involving a minority candidate). That being said, the lack of contested judicial elections

can also be explaine d by the dearth of minority candidates qualified to run for the 32nd JDC. ( We consider this fact among the totality of the circumstances. ) Second , the defendants ’ expert , Dr. Weber, also found racially polarized vot ing in five of the seven elections Dr. Engstrom analyzed. Dr. Weber criticized reliance on stale, exogenous election s and discounted election results for non
parish

- wide positions

. Such concerns are far from trivia l, particularly in light of Judge Pickett’s success, but they do not withstand the deferential standard of review

. 3
E ven if all three Gingles pre conditions are sustainable , Section 2 is not violated unless the totality the circumstances also “weigh[s] in favor of a finding that at

- large voting for the 32nd JDC interacts with social and historical factors to cause an inequality in the political process for black voters.” At this level, contrasted with the relatively weak support for the Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 13 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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14 plaintiffs’ position on the Gingles factors, the Attorney General’s arguments become decisive.
T he district court found that seven of the nine Zimmer factors weighed in the plaintiffs’ favor. The Attorney General ho m es in on one of those factors

— the State’s policy justification for selecting trial court judges in at

large election s

. 9 Louisiana asserts a linkage interest in the use of at

- large judicial election s, that is , an “ interest in maintaining the link between a district judge ’ s jurisdiction and the area of residency of his or her voters .” Houston Lawyers’ Ass’n v. Attorney Gen. of Tex. , 501 U.S. 419, 426, 111 S. Ct. 2376, 2381 (1991)

. Following Houston Lawyers’ Ass ociation , t his court examined the substantiality of this interest at length in the en banc L ULAC

case

. As Judge Higginbotham explained there, “by making coterminous the electoral and jurisdictional bases of trial courts,” the S tate “advances the effectiveness of its courts by balancing the virtues of accountability with the need for independence. . . . A broad base diminishes the semblance of bias and favoritism towards the parochial interests of a narrow constituency.” L ULAC , 999 F.2d at 869. In contrast, subdistricting introduces the appearance of ward politics, detracting from the appearance of judicial independ ence. Id. Moreover, the “inescapable truth” is that destroying linkage diminishes minority influence. Id. at 873. By creating a majority

- minority district, many minority voters are “marginalized, having virtually no impact on most district court electi ons.” Id.

9 The Attorney General also correctly notes that among the Zimmer factors is the state’s “history” of official electoral discrimination. Two points are relevant. First, as the Chief Justice has observed, “our country has chang ed” in its treatment of minorities. Shelby C

ounty v. Holder, 570 U.S. 529, 557, 133 S. Ct. 2612, 2631 (2013). Second, that the state failed to receive preclearance from DOJ under the now

- void Section 4 of the VRA does not prove this “historical” point, b ecause the Section 4 test did not deal with actual discrimination in election practices but with the lesser charge of “backsliding.” Reno v. Bossier Parish School Bd. , 528 U.S. 320, 335, 120 S. Ct. 866, 875 (2000). Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 14 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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15 The district court in this case acknowledged the s tate’s potential linkage interest , but it declared the interest in substantial for five reasons. “First, the Louisiana Constitution does not require that trial court judges be elected at

large.” “Second, in the late 1980s Louisiana ‘stifled its policy arguments’ regarding linkage by agreeing to create judicial subdistricts to end the Clark litigation .” “ Third, outside of litigation, Louisiana has continued to show that it no longer has a linkage interest as it has created subdistricts for trial courts.” “Fourth, subdistricts are now common in Louisiana, and a majority of the [judicial district court ( ‘ JDC ’ ) ] judges in Louisiana are elected by subdistrict.” And fifth, “Louisiana has recognized that subdistricts are an important way of providing black voters an equal opportunity to elect their preferred candidates to trial courts.” Each of these stat ed reasons, however, is either legally infirm or factually wrong

. Before explaining why, we emphasize that the substantiality of Louisiana’s linkage interest is a legal question , not a factual one. LULAC , 999 F.2d at 871. T he district court ’s holding consequently receives no deference. In addition, a state’s linkage interest, while not controlling in a vote dilution case , lies at the heart of representative government and thus must be treated with great respect

. The people of Louisiana hav e a significant interest in defining the structure and qualifications of their judiciary. See Gregory v. Ashcroft , 501 U.S. 452, 463, 111 S. Ct. 2395, 2402 (1991). This interest could be gainsaid by evidence establishing that the S tate abandoned any interest in linkage . But such evidence would itself have to be substantial since our scrutiny is less “demanding where we deal with matters resting firmly within a State’s constitutional prerogatives,” in cluding “the establish ment and operation of . . . government, as well as the qualifications of an appropriately designated class of public office holders.” Sugarman v. Dougall , 413 U.S. 634, 648, 93 S. Ct. 2842, 2850, 2851 (1973). T hese principles frame the analysis of Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 15 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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16 the district court’s tendered reasons for dismissing Louisiana’s linkage interest. First, t hat Louisiana’s C onstitution does not require the election of district court judges on an at

- large basis is of no import. This court considered a similar argument in L ULAC . There, the plaintiffs argued that “Texas abandoned its linkage interest by allowing the residents of counties to ‘opt out’ of the linkage structure by selecti ng judges from regions smaller than a county. ” LULAC , 999 F.2d at 875. This court concluded that such an option was irrelevant since the people of Texas had , despite the option, chosen to elect judges at the county level. Id. Similarly, the fact that Louisiana’s C onstitution perhaps permits different election schemes is immaterial unless Louisiana has actually adopted such schemes. 10 Louisiana’s purported adoption of subdistricting for some judicial elections leads to the second, third, and fourth reasons cited by the district
court for questioning the s tate’s linkage interest. The district court stated that Louisiana’s decision to settle the Clark litigation in the 1 980s , by creating some judicial subdistricts for parishes covered by that litigation, evidences an abandonment of its current policy arguments. Not so. Importantly , the Clark settlement predated L ULAC , in which this court first confirm ed the significance of a state’s linkage interest. More to the point, the settlement was unrelated to the 32nd JDC

— or any other district not specifically mentioned in

10 Additionally

— and contrary to the distr ict court’s conclusion

— this court has read Louisiana’s Constitution to support the State’s asserted linkage interest. See Prejean v. Foster , 227 F.3d 504, 517 & n.23 (5th Cir. 2000)

. Further, in Rule 28(j) letters, the parties have debated the significanc e of the 2020 legislature’s approval of certain judicial subdistricts, “including a redistricting plan that contains a Black voter opportunity sub

- district, for the 1 4th JDC,” as evidence that the state no longer maintains its linkage interests. But no ne w sub

- districts were created; the legislature simply redistricted those already in existence, and the preexisting 1 4th JDC sub

districts were the result of the Clark litigation. Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 16 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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17 the consent decree

. 11 It represented nothing more than the resolution of a long

running and costly legal dispute over a few judicial district courts and in no way represented an abandonment of Louisiana’s more general interest in conducting at

- large judicial elections

. 12 The district court next found that Louisiana “continue[s] to show that i t no longer has a linkage interest as it has created subdistricts for trial courts.” The district court provided no further analysis on this point, 13 but it seems related to the court’s fourth basis for labeling the S tate’s interest as insubstantial : “subdistricts are now common in Louisiana, and a majority of the JDC judges in Louisiana are elected by subdistrict.” This finding, charitably , was the product of statistical gymnastics. First, the district court excluded Orleans Parish f rom its count , despite that paris h both electing judges parish

- wide and having a large number of judges

. Next , the court measured the number of judges elected by subdistricts rather than considering
th at the majority of JDCs still us e at

- large elections. And even then, only by excluding Orleans Parish was the district court able to conclude that a majority of judges are elected from subdistricts. With the Orleans Parish judges included, the number of judges elected from subdistricts falls to fewer than
h alf. The district court also failed to account for the reality that all but one of

11 In fact, the plaintiffs excluded the 3 2nd JDC from the Clark litigation because the minority population in Terrebonne Parish was too small to accommodate a “minority opportunity” subdistrict there.

12 In L ULAC
, this court noted that Louisiana “abandoned t he link between jurisdiction and electoral base” for judicial elections “to settle prolonged litigation.” L ULAC
, 999 F.2d at 872, n.33; and in Prejean, the court noted “the state stifled its policy arguments to obtain final preclearance.” Prejean, 227 F. 3d at 510

– 12. These statements are descriptive, however, not prescriptive, as the district court seemed to suggest.

13 The court may have been referring to the voluntary creation of majority

- minority subdistricts for city and juvenile courts. These court s, however, are distinct from district courts, which operate at the parish level. Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 17 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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18 the subdistricted JDCs are a result of the Clark litigation and ensuing consent decree

. Once these considerations are taken into account, it is clear that Louisiana maintains an interest in conducting at

- large elections for district court judgeships. Finally, the district court relied on the findings of a 1996 task force created by the Lou isiana Supreme Court , which found that the creation of “sub

districts, where appropriate, [is] the only feasible means of ensuring diversity and ethnic heterogeneity in our judicial system.” The task force, however, never represented the will of the s tate , n or was it authorized to bind the s tate to its posit ions. Its findings, moreover, are over two decades old. In short, the district court’s stated reasons for rejecting Louisiana’s linkage interest are less than compelling

. Our review of the record con firms that Louisiana has a substantial interest in retaining at

- large elections

. To be sure, this conclusion does not put an end to the plaintiffs’ claim of vote dilution

. See Houston Lawyers’ Ass’n , 501 U.S. at 426, 111 S. Ct. at 2381. Louisiana’s substantial linkage interest must be balanced against the evidence of vote dilution. Id. At this stage , the plaintiffs bear the burden of offering substantial proof of dilution to overcome the s tate’s interest in linkage

. LULAC , 999 F.2d
at 876

. T he plaintiffs fail to carry that burden. At best, the y have demonstrated a marginal case of vote dilution. The plaintiffs have presented no evidence of overt or subtle racial appeals in elections for the 32nd JDC. Furthermore ,

m uch of the evidence reflect ing polarized voting deriv es from exogenous, decades

- old elections. Most elections for the 32nd JDC have been uncontested. This is likely due to the fact that only a few members of the minority class are eligible to be elected to the 32nd JDC

. Although this court has not preclude d vote dilution claims where few minority candidates have run for office, see Clark v. Calhoun C ounty , 88 F.3d 1393, 1398 (5th Cir. 1996), the number of Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 18 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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19 minority candidates eligible for office certainly is rel evant, LULAC , 999 F

. 2d at 865. Indeed, “we are instructed to evaluate the totality of the circumstances with a ‘functional view of the political process.’” Id. (quoting Gingles , 478 U.S. at 45, 106 S. Ct. at 2764). And a “functional analysis of the electoral system
must re cognize the impact of limited pools of eligible candidates on the number of minority judges that has resulted.” Id. Unlike many public offices, judgeships are foreclosed to most of the population , not because the majority defines who is qualified at the ballot box, but because those qualifications are set by law. The Louisiana Constitution sets the qualifications for district court judges, requiring domicile in the district for one year and admittance to the state bar for at least eight years. L A

. C ONST . art. V, § 24. In Terrebonne Parish, just a handful of minority citizens

— about ten, according to the district
court

— meet th ese qualifications (to say nothing of the number of qualified minority lawyers in the plaintiffs’ proposed remedial district). We also must consider voter turnout , an issue mentioned previously in passing . As this court recently explained, plaintiffs need not demonstrate guaranteed success under a hypothetical redistricting plan to prevail on a claim of vote dilution. Harding , 9 48 F.3d at 309. Yet, at the same time, “an alternative map containing an additional majority

- minority district does not necessarily establish an increased opportunity.” Id. And as Perez and Harding remind, plaintiffs must meet the overarching demand tha t their new districtin g scheme enhances their ability to elect candidates of their choosing.
Perez , 138 S. Ct. at 2332. The plaintiffs’ experts acknowledged that black voter
turnout in Terrebonne Parish lags behind white voter turnout. Relatedly, t he defendants’ expert attested that a 56% black voting age population was required to ensure blacks ha ve the opportunity to elect their preferred candidates. At best, the plaintiffs ’ proposed remedial distric t had a black voting age population of 53.33%. That the plaintiffs’ proposed majority

- Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 19 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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20 minority district sufficiently enhances minority voters’ ability to elect the candidates of their choice is not a well

- supported proposition on this record

. Coupl ing th ese problems with the compactness concerns discussed above and the district court’s mischaracterization of Louisiana’s linkage interest , we are left with the firm conviction that the district court erred in finding a violation of the VRA

. B
T he district court’s finding of discriminatory intent formed an independent basis for liability

. McMillan v. Escambia C ounty , 748 F.2d 1037, 1046 (Former 5th Cir. 1984). An election practice violates Section 2 and the Fourteenth and Fifteenth Amendments i f it is undertaken and maintained for a discriminatory purpose. United States v. Brown , 561 F.3d 420, 432 (5th Cir. 2009). Under th is intent

- based approach, “ [r]acial discrimination need only be

one purpose , and not even a primary purpose , of an official act ” for a violation
to occur. See Velasquez v. City of Abilene
, 725 F.2d 1017, 1022 (5th Cir. 1984)

. But discriminatory intent “implies more than intent as volition or intent as awareness of consequences. . . . It implies that the decisionmaker . . . selected or reaffirmed a particular cou r se of action at least in part ‘because of,’ not merely ‘in spite of,’ its adverse effects upon an identifiable group.” Pers

. Adm’r of Mass. v. Feeney , 442 U.S. 256, 279, 99 S. Ct. 2282, 2297 (197 9). “ To find discriminatory intent, ‘ direct or indirect circumstantial evidence, including the normal inferences to be drawn from the foreseeability of defendant ’ s actions ’ may be considered. ” Brown , 561 F.3d at 433 (quoting McMillan, 748 F.2d at 1037). Five non

- exhaustive factors guide courts in determining whether a particular decision was made with a discriminatory intent : (1) the discriminatory impact of the official action; (2) the historical background of the decision; (3) the specific sequence of events leading up to the challenged action; Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 20 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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21 (4) substantive and procedural departures from the normal

- decision making process; and (5) contemporaneous viewpoints expressed by the decision

makers. Vill. of Arlington Heights v. Metr o. Hous. Dev. Corp. , 429 U.S. 252,
266

– 68, 97 S. Ct. 555, 564

– 65 (1977) ; see also Veasey v. Abbott , 830 F.3d 216, 231 (5th Cir. 2016) (en banc)

. Applying these factors, the district court found that a discriminatory

purpose motivated maintenance of the at

- large election system for the 32nd JDC. This conclusion was based primarily on the discriminatory impact of at

large voting, the sequence of eve nts leading to the rejection of efforts to create

a majority

- minority subdistrict, and the supposed ly pretextual arguments made by the opponents of subdistricting. 14 We have already determined that , by inadequately substantiating plaintiffs’ vote dilution claim, the district court erred in its assessment of discriminatory impact. The district court’s decision thus stands on two findings. Black residents in Terrebonne Parish began advocating judicial subdistricting in the 19 80s

. Over the years, multiple bills proposing the creation of a majority

- minority subdistrict were introduced in the Louisiana legislature , but none passed both houses . The district court was convinced that

14 The district court also suggested that its holding was based on Louisiana’s well

documented history of de jure discrimination. But Arlington Heights calls for a n examinati on of the historical background of the challenged decision, not a probing investigation into an alleged pattern of statewide discrimination. See Vill. of Arlington Heights , 429 U.S. at 267, 97 S. Ct. at 564. The plaintiffs recognize as much and suggest that the adoption of an at

large election method for the 32nd JDC was prompted by a desire to dilute the strength of the black vote. Louisiana d istrict court judges , however, have long been elected on an at

large basis

— before creation of the 32nd JDC and before passage of the V RA

. Clark v. Roemer , 751 F. Supp. 586, 588 (M.D. La. 1990), rev ’ d , 500 U.S. 646, 111 S. Ct. 2096 (1991). Louisiana’s linkage interest explains this choice. Were we to conclude otherwise

— with no direct evidence that racial prejudice spurred the adoption of at

- large elections for Louisiana’s JDCs

— every at

- large election scheme for judicial districts would be subject to judicial scrutiny as being formed and maintained for a discriminatory purpose. In other words, the State’s long

- standing linkage interest would be subordinated to a pretext for discrimination. Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 21 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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22 the failure of this legislation was driven, in part, by racial discrimination. The evidence , taken in context, does not support the district court’s findings

. Fundamental to this inquiry is the sensitive nature of questioning the intent of lawmakers. See Vill. of Arlington Heights , 429 U.S. at 266, 97 S. Ct. at 564. “Proving the motivation behind official action ” has been described as

“ a problematic undertaking ,” Hunter v. Underwood , 471 U.S. 222, 228,
105 S. Ct. 1916, 1920 (1985) , and “a hazardous matter,” United States v

. O’Brien , 391 U.S. 367, 383, 88 S. Ct. 1673, 1682 (1968 ). Accordingly, direct evidence of discriminatory intent must be prioritized over circumstantial evidence ( though such evidence remains relevant )

. See Feeney , 442 U.S. at 279,
99 S. Ct. at 2296 ; see also Veasey v. Abbott , 796 F.3d 487, 50 3 n.16 (5th Cir. 2015), reh ’ g en banc granted , 830 F.3d 216 (5th Cir. 2016) (“While it is true that it is unlikely for a legislator to stand in the well of the state house or senate and articulate a racial motive, it is also unlikely that such a motive would permeate a legislative body and not yield any private memos or emails.”)

. Similarl y , state legislatures are afforded a presumption of good faith. Perez , 138 S. Ct. at 2324. Legislative decisions are, of course, not immune from review . But the Supreme Court has long cautioned against the quick attribution of improper motives, which would interfere with the legisla ture ’s rightful independence and ability to function. See F l e mming v. Nestor , 363 U.S. 603, 6 17, 80 S. Ct. 1367, 1376 (1960) (“[O]nly the clearest proof could suffice to establish the unconstitutionality of a statute on [the] ground [of improper legislative motive]

. ”).
T he district court relied exclusively on circumstantial evidenc e surrounding the Louisiana legislature ’s re jection of several proposals to create a new judgeship for the 32nd JDC

. The first piece of legislation proposing the creation of an additional judgeship was introduced in 19 97. As originally conceived, the judgeship would be elected at

- large. Minority residents of Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 22 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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23 Terrebonne Parish proposed an alternative: the creation of a majority

minority sub district. Legislative staff responded that the proposed minority subdistrict w ould not be contiguous and would violate reapportionment jurisprudence. Upon the request of subdistricting proponents, the legislative staff drafted contiguous subdistrict boundaries but found that they exposed the district to attack as racially gerrymand ered. Because it was not possible to draw a majority

- minority district that complied with law, the bill was tabled

. The district court viewed this action as pretext for racial discrimination because the U.S. Department of Justice had never objected to a majority

- black subdistrict although it had objected to the creation of additional at

- large judgeships. However, applying the presumption of good faith, it seems perfectly reasonable for legislators to be concerned about traditional districting principles and the prejudicial effects of racial gerrymandering. This is especially so given tha t the parties to the Clark litigation agreed that crea ting a majority

- minority subdistrict for the 32nd JDC was not fe asible because of Terrebonne Parish’s demographics. The choice to evade claims of racial gerrymandering by tabling a controversial piece of legislation does not reveal discriminatory intent. I f anything , these events suggest that the s tate legislature was cognizant o f federal preclearance practices as well as the concerns of the subdistricting proponents

. The next bill to propose the creation of a sixth at

- large judgeship was introduced in 1998. It passed the Senate but did not come up for a vote in the House. The district court made much of the bill’s success in the Senate despite opposition from black residents. But legislation succeeds or fails standing alone. It is no evidence of discriminatory intent. Furthermore, the fact that a

p roposal to create a sixth at

- large judgeship failed

— that is to say, the same election method criticized as producing discriminatory result s

— blunts the Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 23 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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24 plaintiffs’ argument that racial discrimination infected the legislature’s decision making. The district court next points to a request from Judge Ellender, a judge

on the 32nd JDC acting on behalf of the court , asking the Judicial Council in
mid

- 1998 to recommend an additional judgeship. Th e judges of the court revoked that request a few months later because juvenile matters , a significant portion of their caseload, had been transferred to the Houma City Court. The district court questioned the authenticity of this about

- face and appeared incredulous that the judges would ever rescind a judgeship requ est . It found that , at the time the request was initially sent, the 32nd JDC judges were likely aware of advocacy from black residents calling for subdistricting. That may be
true (though the district court cite s little evidence to prove this) . But it i n no way evinces racial prejudice. The asserted basis for withdrawing the request for an additional judgeship was a reduced workload. The Judicial Council confirmed the 32nd JDC judges’ acknowledgement of a smaller docket, concluding in a supplemental re port that an additional judgeship was not warranted since Houma City Court was handling juvenile matters. The plaintiffs provide no evidence to support the assertion that the Judicial Council’s otherwise laudable effort to conserve taxpayer resources was a coverup for racial prejudice. The fourth piece of legislation scrutinized by the district court was proposed in 1999 and called for the creation of a sixth judge to be elected from a majority

- minority subdistrict. Judge Ellender wrote to the chair of the Senate Judiciary Committee, recommending that the chairman vote against the bill because the judges had withdrawn the request for an additional judgeship and it would be a waste of taxpayer money to create a new judgeship where it was not needed. The bill died in committee. The district court ascribe d bad motive to Judge Ellender’s letter, suggesting it was against the Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 24 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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25 32nd JDC’s interests since they had previously requested a new judgeship. But Judge Ellender adequately explained why the judgeship was no longer needed. Without evidence provi ng that racial animus played some part in the Senate Judiciary Committee’s decision, the district court had no basis for including the rejection of this bill in its calculus. In 2001, two separate bills were introduced calling for an additional judgeship in the 32nd JDC and the creation of a majority

- minority subdistrict. Both bills were defeated after judges for the 32nd JDC and the Judicial Council opposed the legislation on the basis that an additional judgeship was not needed at the time

. As with the other bills, the sole fact that minority advocates of a judicial subdistrict were defeated is alone insufficient to support an inference of discriminatory intent behind the legislature’s refusal to pass
th ese pieces of proposed legislation. The same goes for the other actions scrutinized by the district court

— from advocacy to expand the Houma City Court to a proposal to reorganize the method for the election of all five 32nd JDC judges . Each of these actions failed
not because of an y demonst rated intent to suppress black voters’ choices , but because new judgeship s were un necessary and therefore a waste of taxpayer funds . Indeed, at one point there was no courthouse space even available for an additional Houma City Court judge. The district court ignored obvious practical , non
- racial concerns about the creation of new judgeships: if the judges haven’t enough to do, the legislature becomes reluctant to support their needs; and for every newly created judgeship, the available but limited publi c resources threaten to be reduced per capita. T he district court also failed t o mention Louisiana’s substantial linkage interest in its analysis

. The district court’s contrary findings did not afford Louisiana’s legislature its entitled presumption of good faith , overemphasized speculative, circumstantial evidence , and minimized the testimony of those public officials Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 25 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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26 directly involved in opposing changes to the 32nd JDC

. Cf. Price v. Austin Indep. Sch. Dist. , 945 F.2d 1307, 1318 (5th Cir. 1991) (upholding a district
court ’ s no
- discriminatory

- intent finding and noting that when decisionmakers testify without invoking the privilege, “the logic of Arlington Heights suggests that” such direct evidence is “stronger than the circumstant ial evidence proffered by the plaintiffs ”). That the court imputed racial motives to the local officials (without substantial basis) and then imputed the local officials’ views to the legislature is also of concern. There is no proof that the locals’ pos itions for or against judicial subdistricting must be imputed to the legislators or the legislative committees. These errors leave us with “the definite and firm conviction that a mistake has been committed.” Anderson v. City of Bessemer City , 470 U.S. 564, 573, 105 S. Ct. 1504, 1511 (1985) (quoting United States v. U.S. Gypsum Co. , 333 U.S. 364, 395, 68 S. Ct. 525, 542 (1948))

. That conviction is only strengthened when we review the district court’s assessment of contemporaneous viewpoints. The district court criticized those legislators who argued against redistricting in a piecemeal fashion . The court rebutted that because Louisiana ha d created subdistricts in piecemeal fashion before, it ha d no basis to oppose redistricting now. For reasons already explained, this logic is fallacious. The redistricting referenced by the district court resulted either from the Clark settlement or from the creation of subdistricts for appellate or lesser courts, none of which decisions eviscerate d the s tate’s continued interest in retaining at

- large JDC elections. The district court also found that certain legislators’ calls to proceed slowly before ena cting subdistricts were pretext s for racial discrimination.
E ven if individual legislators’ statements referenced by the district court were

as suspect as the district court perceived , they are entitled to little probative value

. The Supreme Court has repeatedly cautioned against overemphasizing
statements from individual legislators , which are not necessarily “what Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 26 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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27 motivates scores of others” to act (or, in this case, not act). O’Brien , 391 U.S. at 384, 88 S. Ct. at 1683; see Hunter , 471 U.S. at 228, 105 S. Ct. at 1920

. T he plaintiffs offer no evidence that the pleas to proceed cautiously constituted procedural deviations from the normal legislative process or a cover for discrimination

. One obvious casualty, were Louisiana to abandon linkage either wholesale or piecemeal, would be the creation of 26 judicial subdistricts for each of the JDC judges in Orleans Parish. CONCLUSION We conclude that the district court clearly erred in its fin ding of minority vote dilution in the election of judges for Terrebonne Parish’s 3 2nd JDC , principally, but not solely, because the district court did not adequately credit the s tate’s substantial linkage interest. Likewise , we conclude that the district court clearly erred in its finding of discriminatory intent. Because the s tate is not liable under either Section 2 or the United States Constitution, we REVERS E the district court’s judgment. Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 27 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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28 STUART KYLE DUNCAN, Circuit Judge, dissenting in part and concurring in the judgment in part : Regrettably, I am unable to join Judge Jones’s well

- crafted merits opinion, because I am not persuaded the plaintiffs have Article III standing. The normal standing requirements of injury

- in

- fact, traceability, and redressability apply to claims under the Voting Rights Act (“VRA”). See
, e.g. , Harding v. Cty. of Dallas , 948 F.3d 302, 307 (5th Cir. 2020); OCA

- Greater
Houston v. Texas , 867 F .3d 604, 609

– 14 (5th Cir. 2017); League of United Latin Am. Citizens, Dist. 19 v. City of Boerne , 659 F.3d 421, 430

– 31 (5th Cir. 2011)

. As the majority implicitly concludes, the cognizable injury here is alleged minority vote dilution caused by at

- large ju dicial elections for Louisiana’s 32nd Judicial District Court (“JDC”). Where I part ways with the majority, however, is its conclusion that the plaintiffs have shown traceability and redressability for this injury as to the Governor of Louisiana. 1 The pla intiffs have not shown that the Governor plays any role in administering at

- large judicial elections in the 32nd JDC, or judicial elections anywhere else in Louisiana. Consequently, they cannot demonstrate that any injury stemming from this election practi ce is “fairly traceable” to the Governor, nor that the injury will “likely be redressed” by an order against him. Lujan v. Defs. of Wildlife , 504 U.S. 555, 560, 561 (1992) (cleaned up). 2

1 The Governor and Attorney General are the only two state officials remaining in the lawsuit. The majority does not find traceability or redressability as to the Attorney General, but only the Governor.

2 Plaintiffs point out that the Governor signs the co mmissions of judges elected in the 32nd JDC, see La. Stat. Ann. § 18:513(A)(5), that he must sign legislation before it goes into effect, see La. Const. art. III, § 18(A), and that he is empowered to set dates for special elections needed to fill vacancies , see L A

. C ONST . art. V, § 22(B). That begs both standing questions

— namely, whether the Governor’s exercise of any of these powers caused the plaintiffs’ alleged vote

- dilution injury, and whether an injunction with respect to any of these powers would likely redress that injury. The answer to both questions is no. Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 28 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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29 Other Louisiana officials do have legal duties in judicial elections

— such as parish clerks of court, La. Stat. Ann. § 18:422, boards of election supervisors, id. § 18:243(B), or commissioners

- in

- charge, id. § 18:424(C). These are the kinds of officials typically sued in voting cases like this one. 3 The plaintiffs could have sued them but did not. They did sue the Secretary of State, who is the state’s “chief election officer,” id. § 18:421, and has certain election

- related duties, see id. §§ 18:421(B)

– (D), 18:18. 4 But the plaintiffs dismissed the Secretary, with prejudice, during district court proceedings. I have no idea why the plaintiffs made these litigation choices. But their effect was to dissolve any case or controversy that is the basic premise for federal judicial action. See DaimlerChrysler Corp. v. Cuno , 547 U.S. 332, 342 (2006) (“Article III standing enforces the Constitution’s case

- or
- controversy requirement.” (cleaned up))

. 5

Although the majority does not address whether the plaintiffs have standing to sue the Attorney General, the plaintiffs’ arguments on that point are even worse. For example, they assert that t he Attorney General is the chief legal officer of the state, La. Const. art. IV, § 8, that he must give opinions on legal questions when requested by certain officials, La. Stat. Ann. § 49:251, and he represents state interests in election

- related litigati on, La. Const

. art. IV, § 8. None of those duties comes close to establishing traceability or redressability for injuries stemming from at

- large judicial elections in the 32nd JDC.

3 See, e.g. , Brief of Respondents in Opposition, Chisom v. Roemer , 501 U.S. 380 (1991) , 1990 WL 10022952 ( s ecretary of s tate and c ommissioner of e lections) ; Thornburg v. Gingles , 478 U.S. 30 (1986) (state board of elections, members of the board, secretary of state, and others); United States v. Mississippi , 380 U.S. 128 (1965) ( state, members of state board of elections commissioners, and county registrars of voters); Harding , 948 F.3d 302 (county commissioners and others); League of United Latin American Citizens, Council No. 4434 v. Clements , 999 F.2d 831 (5th Cir. 1993) (en ba nc) (secretary of state, members of the Texas Judicial Districts Board, and others).

4 None of these state election officials, including the Secretary of State, are subject to the Governor’s control.

5 Compare Jacobson v. Fla. Sec’y of State , 957 F.3d 1193 , 1207

– 10 (11th Cir. 2020) (no traceability and redressability for equal protection claim because plaintiffs failed to sue independent officials who administered challenged ballot

- ordering law), with OCA

- Greater Houston , 867 F.3d at 613

– 14 (finding traceab ility and redressability in VRA suit because plaintiffs sued Texas Secretary of State, the “chief election officer of the state” who is responsible for maintaining uniformity in state election laws (citations omitted) )

. Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 29 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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30 Look at it this way. The district court’s injunction barred the Governor and Attorney General from “administering, implementing, or conducting” the
at

- large judicial elections at issue, and demanded they “ensure” future elections would follow the court’s remedial plan. Had the plaintiffs ultimately won, would that injunction have l ikely redressed their injuries? No, because neither the Governor nor the Attorney General has authority to “administer, implement, or conduct” those elections, or to “ensure” how future elections will take place. The order might as well have enjoined the S ecretary of the Louisiana Department of Wildlife and Fisheries. “For all practical purposes,” that is, the injunction would be “utterly meaningless.” Okpalobi v. Foster , 244 F.3d 405, 426 (5th Cir. 2001) (en banc). Indeed, the majority alludes to this

pro blem. It “takes no position” on whether, had the plaintiffs won, “standing would exist and the [district] court could have enforced its remedy without the continued presence of the Secretary of State, who is Louisiana’s chief elections officer.” Maj. Op at 6 n.5. But that articulates precisely the key redressability question and, without answering it, the majority lacks authority to proceed to the merits. See Singh v. RadioShack Corp. , 882 F.3d 137, 151 (5th Cir. 2018) (“Standing must be decided at the thre shold of every federal case

— before a determination on the merits.”). 6 The majority suggests there is something “unique” about this VRA case when it comes to standing, Maj. Op. at 6 n.5, but cites no authority fleshing

6 The plaintiffs cite Utah v. Evans , 536 U.S. 452 (2002), involving a challenge to the method of conducting the 2000 national census, but it does not help them. Utah held an injunction against the Secretary of Commerce satisfied redressability because “the practical consequence of [a favora ble decision] would amount to a significant increase in the likelihood that the plaintiff would obtain relief that directly redresses the injury suffered”

— namely, a revised census count leading to an additional representative for Utah. Id. at 464 (emphasis added). But the plaintiffs have not even met that mark

— they point to no evidence suggesting that the injunction entered by the district court would “significant[ly] increase .

. . the likelihood” that at

- large elections in the 32nd JDC would be conducted differently. Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 30 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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31 out that proposition. It does point to United States v. Mississippi , 380 U.S. 128 (1965), but that falls short. In that case challenging discriminatory voting tests, the plaintiffs sued not only the State of Mississippi, but also “three members of the Mississippi State Board of Election Commis sioners, and six county Registrars of Voters”

— officials who administered the voting tests at issue. See id. at 130, 132

– 33. As a result, I fail to grasp how Mississippi teaches that the normal standing rules of traceability and redressability apply in a “u nique” way to a VRA vote

- dilution case like this one. To be sure, Mississippi also teaches that the VRA validly abrogates state sovereign immunity as legislation enforcing the 15th Amendment. See id. at 140; see also, e.g. , OCA

- Greater Houston , 867 F.3d at 614 (explaining “[t]he VRA .

. . validly abrogated state sovereign immunity”) (citing Mixon v. State of Ohio , 193 F.3d 389, 398

– 99 (6th Cir. 1999)). For that reason, I have no quarrel with the majority’s conclusion that the Ex parte Young arguments raised by the Attorney General must fail

. See Maj. Op. at 6. But that does not solve the traceability or redressability problems , because Article III standing is distinct from Young

. See OCA

- Greater Houston , 867 F.3d at 609

– 14 (treating standing and Young as sep arate questions in VRA case). In other words, even though Young might pose no independent obstacle , the p laintiffs may still lack Article III standing because they have “sue[d] the wrong defendant.” Jacobson v. Fla. Sec’y of State , 957 F.3d 1193, 120 9 (11th Cir. 2020)

. On this latter question, unfortunately, our precedents do not speak with one voice. On the one hand, we have treated Young separately from the traceability and redressability components of standing, most prominently in

our en banc decisi on in Okpalobi v. Foster , 244 F.3d 405, 426

– 27 (5th Cir. 2001) Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 31 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

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32 (en banc). 7 And we have done so in the VRA context: in OCA

- Greater Houston , we found traceability and redressability as to the Texas Secretary of State given that official’s “enforcement connec tion” to a challenged Texas election law. See 867 F.3d at 613

– 14 (quoting Okpalobi , 244 F.3d at 427). On the other hand, our decision in Allstate Ins urance Co. v. Abbott , 495 F.3d 151 (5th Cir. 2007) , appears to elide Young and standing. In that case, invo lving dormant commerce clause and First Amendment challenges to a Texas law, state officials removed to federal court and thus waived sovereign immunity. S ee i d. at 158 n.12. The Young “fiction” was therefore irrelevant. Id. at 159. But this, we explained, made the suit really “against the state,” not the officials, and rendered causation and redressability “eas[y]

. ” Id . The “state” obviously caused the plaintiffs’ injury by passing the law, and an injunction against the “state” would remedy it. Id. at 159

– 60. No inquiry was made as to the officials’ connection to the challenged law. The majority alludes to Allstate , see Maj. Op. at 5, but does not squarely rely on it. That is wise, in my view, because extending Allstate to the VRA would mean that traceabili ty and redressability would always be found regardless of which officials were sued. It is hard to believe that is the law, especially because we have recently applied traceability and redressability in VRA cases without mentioning Allstate

. See
, e.g. , Har ding , 948 F.3d at 307; OCS

- Greater Houston , 867 F.3d at 609

– 14. Absent any other authority

7 Compare Okpalobi , 244 F.3d at 416

– 19 (plurality op.) (discussing Young ’s requirement that there be “some connection” between defendant and duty to enforce challenged law), with id. at 426

– 27 (majority op.) (addressing redressability separately and concluding “[t]he governor and attorney general have no power to redress the asserted injuries”); see also OCA

- Greater Houston , 867 F.3d at 609

– 14 (treating questions separately). Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 32 Date Filed: 06/29/2020No. 19

- 30665

33 squarely on point, I would rely on the normal standing requirements and find no traceability or redressability as to the Governor. 8 In sum, given the plaintiffs’ lack of Article III standing, I would vacate the injunction and remand with instructions to dismiss the plaintiffs’ lawsuit for lack of jurisdiction. See Hotze v. Burwell , 784 F.3d 984, 1000 (5th Cir. 2015). I therefore respec tfully dissent from the portion of Part I of the majority opinion that concludes the plaintiffs have standing to sue the Governor.

8 The ma jority suggests it is relevant that “the Governor has been a party defendant in nearly all of Louisiana’s voting rights cases challenging judicial districts.” Maj. Op. at 5 (citing Chisom , 501 U.S. at 384 ; Prejean v. Foster , 83 Fed. App’x 5 (5th Cir. 2003) ; Hall v. Louisiana , 983 F. Supp. 2d 820, 824 (M.D. La. 2013)). I disagree. In each of the cited cases, the plaintiffs also sued the Secretary of State or the Commissioner of Elections, or both. See Brief of Respondents in Opposition, Chisom , 501 U.S. 380, 1990 WL 10022952 ( s ecretary of

s tate and c ommissioner of e lections) ; Prejean , 83 Fed. App’x 5 ( c ommissioner of e lections) ; Memorandum in Opposition to Motion for Preliminary Injunction, Hall , 983 F. Supp. 2d 820, 2013 WL 12308255 ( s ecretary of s tate). Non e of these cases stands for the proposition that plaintiffs may sue the Governor alone in VRA cases

. Case: 19-30665 Document: 00515471087 Page: 33 Date Filed: 06/29/2020