Statistical evaluation of the May 15 - September 29, 2002 BaseB1 CMAQ simulation across the OTR (including all of VA) Daily maximum 8-hour O3 at SLAMS/NAMS (208 sites) and other special sites (28) Daily averages computed from hourly data, require at least 16 valid hours per day (unless the daily

max concentration was at least 85 ppb) July 6-9 data were excluded because of the influence of the Quebec forest fires Only those predictions from hours with valid observed concentrations were included here Statistics were generated using two minimum thresholds of observed daily max O3 - 40 & 60 ppb A majority

of the sites are SLAMS/NAMS, but special sites are included as well (e.g. CASTNet, AIRMAP sites in NH, Pinnacle State Park in NY, and Harvard Forest in MA) Site names: AQS name + parameter occurrence code (or descriptive CASNet name)

Statistics: observed average predicted average coefficient of determination, R2

normalized mean error root mean square error fractional gross error

mean absolute gross error

mean normalized gross error

mean bias

mean normalized bias

mean fractionalized bias normalized mean bias

Statistics are organized two ways - "by date" (consider all valid observed/predicted data pairs at all sites on a given day) and "by site" (consider all valid days at a given site) Note that for statistics generated on relatively low-O3 days, there may only be a handful of sites that exceed the assumed threshold; consider the number of data points when examining the statistics on such daysobs avg, ppbCMAQ avg, ppbR^2 NME, %RMSE, ppbFE, %MAGE, ppbMNGE, % MB, ppbMNB, %MFB, % NMB, %N

20020515 50.43 41.31 0.57 18.14 9.85 20.04 9.15 17.98 -9.12 -17.91 -19.97 -18.08191 20020516 62.97 52.260.303 17.59 12.94 19.82 11.08 17.46 -10.71 -16.8 -19.18 -17.01197 20020517 54.41 48.250.352 12.97 9.54 13.6 7.06 12.25 -6.16 -10.33 -11.76 -11.32177 20020518 41.47 36.230.125 14.82 6.91 16.05 6.14 14.71 -5.23 -12.43 -13.93 -12.62 25 20020519 44.79 42.570.209 7.68 4.28 8.06 3.44 7.69 -2.22 -4.88 -5.37 -4.95161 20020520 45.02 44.91 0.26 5.65 3.31 5.63 2.55 5.61 -0.1 0.03 -0.23 -0.23148 20020521 43.51 43.360.386 12.03 6.16 12.79 5.23 12.3 -0.14 -0.59 -1.73 -0.32 61 20020522 48.01 42.970.007 12.68 7.65 13.48 6.09 12.29 -5.04 -9.98 -11.26 -10.51171 20020523 60.84 55.150.149 11.51 8.33 12.13 7 11.33 -5.69 -8.84 -9.8 -9.35198 20020524 72.6 60.74 0.52 17.5 14.54 19.89 12.71 17.66 -11.86 -16.24 -18.61 -16.34202 20020525 53.92 47.340.465 14.78 9.74 15.95 7.97 14.48 -6.57 -11.55 -13.19 -12.19170 20020526 53.3 59.31 0.394 18.35 13.69 16.09 9.78 18.32 6 11.51 8.73 11.26146 20020527 56.16 56.32 0.152 11.76 8.13 11.91 6.61 12.1 0.16 1.71 0.59 0.28183 20020528 50.36 52.160.018 12.46 7.9 12.12 6.27 12.8 1.81 5.05 3.8 3.59140 20020529 50.23 51.730.337 9.78 6.23 9.64 4.91 10.01 1.49 3.67 2.88 2.97132 20020530 51.67 57.270.238 13.89 9.18 13.09 7.17 14.58 5.6 11.99 10.37 10.84123 20020531 56.75 58.940.325 10.52 7.63 10.45 5.97 10.91 2.2 4.72 3.79 3.87178 20020601 66.32 57.30.595 15.29 11.86 17.5 10.14 15.64 -9.02 -13.98 -15.94 -13.6195 20020602 53.54 45.480.587 15.69 10.54 18.03 8.4 15.78 -8.06 -15.17 -17.43 -15.05188 20020603 49.27 39.690.461 19.89 11.18 22.54 9.8 19.66 -9.58 -19.2 -22.1 -19.45173 20020604 57.96 53.270.317 15.65 11.44 16.54 9.07 15.71 -4.69 -7.23 -9.29 -8.08190 20020605 62.7 66.52 0.473 13.98 11.02 14.15 8.76 15.18 3.83 7.66 5.85 6.1192 20020606 56.66 56.32 0.355 12 9.43 11.84 6.8 12.14 -0.34 0.75 -0.59 -0.6 83 20020607 49.17 46.880.271 9.48 5.94 9.95 4.66 9.5 -2.28 -4.22 -4.99 -4.64120 20020608 55.49 54.960.573 8.8 6.25 8.81 4.88 8.73 -0.53 -0.68 -1.29 -0.95176 20020609 67.73 67.060.443 10.08 8.86 10.38 6.83 10.46 -0.67 -0.31 -1.26 -0.99199 20020610 70.07 68.030.728 13.67 11.32 14.95 9.58 14.67 -2.04 -2.53 -4.11 -2.91176 20020611 85.5 81.060.444 12 12.89 12.9 10.26 12.38 -4.43 -4.34 -5.68 -5.18178 20020612 65.5 60.51 0.397 13.33 11.29 13.77 8.73 13.44 -4.99 -5.54 -7.13 -7.62145 20020613 50.45 49.71 0.176 14.67 9.18 14.55 7.4 14.58 -0.74 1 -0.52 -1.47 36 20020614 49.83 50.960.406 8.92 5.87 8.92 4.45 9.01 1.13 3.13 2.5 2.26 42 20020615 45.67 49.660.287 13.1 7.46 12.23 5.98 13.22 3.99 8.82 7.57 8.74 69 20020616 51.34 51.780.466 8.62 5.81 8.92 4.43 9 0.45 1.16 0.44 0.88122 20020617 51.82 48.50.409 12.19 8.25 13.34 6.32 12.46 -3.31 -6.22 -7.67 -6.4154 20020618 56.53 53.51 0.344 12.17 8.65 12.61 6.88 12.05 -3.02 -4.65 -5.84 -5.34164 20020619 60.84 59.360.184 13.89 10.71 14.03 8.45 14.05 -1.48 -0.91 -2.44 -2.4417220020620 69.04 66.490.147 14.92 12.48 15.51 10.3 15.44 -2.55 -2.07 -3.87 -3.7205

20020621 76.77 72.01 0.428 12.37 11.35 13.05 9.5 12.67 -4.76 -5.16 -6.37 -6.2203 20020622 76.49 72.370.526 13.31 12.62 14.43 10.18 14.18 -4.11 -3.56 -5.17 -5.38195 20020623 74.65 75.350.576 10.9 10.77 11.27 8.14 11.68 0.7 2.43 1.21 0.94194 20020624 70.52 68.40.831 9.87 9.18 10.22 6.96 10.05 -2.12 -2.11 -2.99 -3.01185 20020625 77.51 69.230.592 17.1 16.15 19.42 13.26 18.09 -8.28 -9.37 -12.09 -10.68195 20020626 72.25 77.750.255 17.23 16.69 16.32 12.45 18.11 5.5 9.52 6.86 7.62190 20020627 62.96 64.41 0.572 9.92 7.82 10.05 6.25 10.44 1.45 3.37 2.52 2.3192 20020628 49.58 53.250.355 13.4 8.21 12.91 6.64 13.56 3.66 7.6 6.26 7.39154 20020629 54.11 50.380.483 13 9.26 13.8 7.04 12.82 -3.73 -6.56 -8.02 -6.9158 20020630 66.31 62.180.497 12.45 10.66 13.2 8.25 12.49 -4.13 -5.66 -7.04 -6.23195 20020701 77.94 70.670.466 13.69 12.96 14.91 10.67 13.9 -7.27 -8.81 -10.37 -9.33198 20020702 81.75 78.580.571 12.88 13.49 13.18 10.53 13.2 -3.17 -1.79 -3.29 -3.87200 20020703 70.61 73.890.624 10.57 9.92 10.32 7.47 10.95 3.28 5.88 4.92 4.65199 20020704 68.75 68.490.428 12.39 11.28 12.23 8.52 12.54 -0.26 0.96 -0.34 -0.38198 20020705 53.68 53.52 0.773 10.04 6.98 10.81 5.39 10.6 -0.15 -0.77 -1.77 -0.28118 20020706 20020707 20020708 20020709 20020710 54.4 53.30.468 14.05 9.63 14.49 7.64 13.93 -1.11 -2.06 -3.63 -2.04122 20020711 47.91 39.330.298 19.61 10.62 22.38 9.39 19.68 -8.57 -17.91 -20.78 -17.89122 20020712 61.85 50.660.583 18.62 13.37 20.89 11.52 18.37 -11.18 -17.77 -20.32 -18.08189 20020713 67.19 60.690.351 14.87 12.22 16.12 9.99 14.82 -6.5 -8.88 -10.65 -9.67203 20020714 64.48 61.960.456 15.38 13.16 15.91 9.92 15.66 -2.53 -3.23 -5.36 -3.92163 20020715 68.66 66.2 0.307 15.37 12.66 15.65 10.55 15.7 -2.46 -1.02 -2.8 -3.58197 20020716 60.93 49.540.769 19.54 13.3 23.05 11.91 20.07 -11.38 -19.13 -22.17 -18.68151 20020717 76.72 65.21 0.595 17.22 16.13 18.65 13.21 16.7 -11.51 -13.94 -16.14 -15.01187 20020718 81.15 71.52 0.655 15.04 14.55 16.71 12.21 15.27 -9.64 -11.14 -12.96 -11.87197 20020719 71.05 64.840.506 15.23 13.53 16.32 10.82 15.42 -6.22 -6.86 -8.82 -8.75165 20020720 62.74 56.02 0.555 14.06 10.46 15.37 8.82 14.23 -6.72 -9.89 -11.42 -10.7152 20020721 65.82 61.690.325 14.8 11.27 15.31 9.74 14.85 -4.13 -4.33 -5.83 -6.28184 20020722 72.23 67.360.247 14.83 13.14 15.54 10.72 15.11 -4.88 -4.45 -6.22 -6.75203 20020723 63.82 63.280.501 11.91 9.84 12.21 7.6 12.29 -0.55 0.11 -1.15 -0.86195 20020724 48.43 47.73 0.15 14.37 8.89 15.15 6.96 14.74 -0.7 -0.9 -2.81 -1.44 98 20020725 48.8 48.60.143 19.29 11.42 19.72 9.41 19.49 -0.2 0.28 -2.5 -0.41115 20020726 50.81 50.740.453 15.82 10.5 16.04 8.04 16.48 -0.08 0.3 -1.95 -0.15 4720020727 50.24 56.72 0.048 20.62 12.39 19.24 10.36 21.68 6.48 15.29 12.28 12.9103

20020728 55.66 63.960.329 18.08 12.98 16.87 10.06 19.54 8.3 16.65 13.78 14.91176 20020729 60.87 62.880.518 11.88 8.82 11.68 7.23 12.12 2.02 4.27 3.22 3.31196 20020730 57.98 57.740.497 8.57 6.72 8.51 4.97 8.55 -0.23 -0.09 -0.73 -0.4201 20020731 65.98 570.621 15.8 12.3 17.57 10.43 15.81 -8.98 -13.42 -15.35 -13.61180 20020801 72.97 62.91 0.495 16.78 15.09 17.96 12.25 16.3 -10.06 -12.84 -14.96 -13.79187 20020802 78.54 73.740.503 13.64 13.66 14.5 10.71 14.03 -4.8 -4.52 -6.2 -6.11180 20020803 69.35 68.80.573 12.56 11.39 12.65 8.71 12.86 -0.54 0.12 -1.21 -0.78198 20020804 75.89 74.170.552 12.41 11.73 12.88 9.42 12.78 -1.72 -1.67 -2.96 -2.26199 20020805 66.56 67.590.471 14.85 12.97 14.57 9.88 14.9 1.03 1.7 -0.06 1.55203 20020806 48.1 49.11 0.643 6.98 4.54 7.27 3.36 7.22 1.02 2.3 1.78 2.11 26 20020807 43.94 38.42 0.273 13.48 7.17 14.86 5.92 13.41 -5.53 -12.48 -13.96 -12.57 42 20020808 48.37 41.130.167 19.16 10.85 20.99 9.27 19.06 -7.25 -14.65 -17.3 -14.98103 20020809 56.96 48.950.395 17.89 12.57 20.02 10.19 17.77 -8.01 -13.71 -16.32 -14.06164 20020810 78.1 63.080.419 20.55 18.57 23.57 16.05 20.5 -15.02 -19 -22.23 -19.24202 20020811 89.54 72.31 0.13 22.06 22.56 24.64 19.75 21.53 -17.23 -18.18 -21.57 -19.24205 20020812 91.77 78.55 0.16 21.16 22.92 23.57 19.42 21.37 -13.22 -12.86 -16.41 -14.41208 20020813 96.53 76.030.436 23 24.86 26.96 22.2 23.26 -20.49 -21.25 -25.21 -21.23207 20020814 92.95 76.750.408 19.45 20.66 21.85 18.08 19.34 -16.2 -16.81 -19.55 -17.43205 20020815 66.69 60.160.387 16.79 13.35 17.76 11.2 16.89 -6.53 -7.84 -9.94 -9.79188 20020816 60.2 60.650.182 14.74 12.22 14.3 8.87 15.28 0.45 2.45 0.35 0.75196 20020817 61.1 56.430.317 12.57 11.53 13.03 7.68 11.88 -4.68 -5.97 -7.54 -7.66199 20020818 63.97 63.380.508 10.21 8.43 10.33 6.53 10.29 -0.59 -0.03 -0.9 -0.92203 20020819 66.25 63.150.512 12.78 11.05 12.95 8.46 12.59 -3.1 -2.94 -4.25 -4.68183 20020820 57.68 52.91 0.67 11.6 8.32 12.37 6.69 11.59 -4.77 -7.7 -8.81 -8.26159 20020821 63.57 55.150.583 14.58 11.53 15.86 9.27 14.3 -8.42 -12.62 -14.37 -13.24175 20020822 68.79 59.840.428 17.2 13.79 19.28 11.83 17.47 -8.95 -12.49 -14.85 -13.01198 20020823 54.58 55.60.466 14.09 9.64 13.62 7.69 14.09 1.02 3.92 2.51 1.87144 20020824 54.58 60.42 0.286 17.17 11.95 16.54 9.37 18.23 5.84 12.15 9.64 10.71102 20020825 50.66 51.360.583 8.79 5.67 8.84 4.45 8.92 0.7 1.56 0.92 1.38158 20020826 50.98 46.62 0.309 14.38 9.22 15.48 7.33 14.44 -4.36 -8.29 -10.06 -8.56144 20020827 56.11 47.160.281 19.72 13.27 22.14 11.07 19.63 -8.95 -15.24 -18.43 -15.96138 20020828 46.96 44.650.114 12.81 7.61 13.61 6.01 13.04 -2.3 -4.28 -5.74 -4.91 46 20020829 47 36.11 0.239 23.68 12.58 28.09 11.13 23.79 -10.89 -23.28 -27.6 -23.18 25 20020830 47.28 39.860.494 16.18 8.65 17.58 7.65 15.83 -7.42 -15.26 -17.03 -15.69 42 20020831 49.84 41.290.194 18.38 11.69 21.67 9.16 18.38 -8.55 -17.01 -20.35 -17.15 63 20020901 45.12 37.760.047 16.69 10.21 17.68 7.53 15.46 -7.36 -15.03 -17.26 -16.3 2420020902 50.19 44.530.676 12.99 8 14.64 6.52 13.15 -5.67 -11.25 -12.83 -11.29 48

20020903 57.21 62.440.411 13.39 9.96 12.92 7.66 14.07 5.23 9.93 8.38 9.14150 20020904 59.94 67.950.444 15.14 11.83 14.66 9.08 16.71 8.01 15.16 13 13.36175 20020905 50.17 49.870.662 8.42 5.36 8.56 4.22 8.46 -0.31 -0.71 -1.3 -0.61117 20020906 48.91 47.01 0.161 13.33 7.99 13.49 6.52 13.16 -1.9 -3.11 -4.39 -3.88163 20020907 63.37 57.81 0.503 12.35 10.09 13.58 7.83 12.5 -5.56 -8.37 -9.86 -8.77201 20020908 71.79 63.230.459 14.96 14.37 15.97 10.74 14.24 -8.56 -10.83 -12.76 -11.93203 20020909 78.37 69.350.314 16.54 15.95 18.11 12.96 16.52 -9.02 -10.83 -13.08 -11.5201 20020910 79.16 67.31 0.305 21.52 19.94 23.4 17.03 21.79 -11.85 -12.14 -15.65 -14.97168 20020911 51.3 51.890.327 12.86 8.75 12.6 6.6 12.67 0.59 3.37 2.11 1.15107 20020912 45.24 48.280.207 11.3 6.23 10.93 5.11 11.47 3.04 7.43 6.51 6.72 91 20020913 62.72 55.60.416 13.78 10.38 14.98 8.64 13.73 -7.12 -10.73 -12.23 -11.35200 20020914 60.15 60.540.063 22.56 15.63 22.85 13.57 23.43 0.38 5.24 1.76 0.64182 20020915 46.75 52.32 0.094 17.55 10.16 16.1 8.2 17.87 5.57 13.69 11.53 11.91 50 20020916 48.88 47.240.306 10.63 6.72 11.33 5.19 10.76 -1.64 -2.88 -3.95 -3.36 91 20020917 54.07 55.670.311 11.63 8.15 11.48 6.29 12.13 1.6 4.56 3.36 2.96145 20020918 57.22 54.840.339 15.12 11.2 15.13 8.65 14.87 -2.38 -1.23 -2.95 -4.16142 20020919 57.26 54.92 0.145 13.19 9.66 13.53 7.55 13.27 -2.34 -2.45 -3.92 -4.09191 20020920 53.69 53.390.183 11.08 7.72 11.2 5.95 11.29 -0.3 0.39 -0.71 -0.56189 20020921 47.62 51.28 0.17 13.31 7.94 13.01 6.34 13.8 3.66 8.12 6.67 7.68143 20020922 44.42 46.71 0.219 10.86 6 10.46 4.82 10.97 2.3 5.5 4.62 5.17 90 20020923 43.39 53.360.016 24.46 11.77 21.75 10.61 24.86 9.97 23.68 20.38 22.98 52 20020924 47.7 55.02 0.041 20.07 10.94 18.58 9.57 20.61 7.33 16.42 13.92 15.36112 20020925 46.66 52.60.001 16.07 9.1 15.1 7.5 16.82 5.94 13.91 12 12.73 84 20020926 44.23 52.080.012 18.85 9.72 17.28 8.34 19.53 7.85 18.45 16.17 17.74 12 20020927 44.23 44.460.157 8.34 5.07 7.84 3.69 7.74 0.23 1.53 1.03 0.53 8 20020928 44.09 48.960.165 11.8 6.32 11.04 5.2 11.98 4.86 11.24 10.28 11.03118 20020929 47.7 47.01 0.071 12.25 7.57 12.19 5.85 11.9 -0.69 -0.55 -1.67 -1.44102obs avg, ppbCMAQ avg, ppbR^2 NME, %RMSE, ppbFE, %MAGE, ppbMNGE, % MB, ppbMNB, %MFB, % NMB, %

0900100171 63.36 64.80.655 13.49 11.56 13.33 8.55 13.94 1.44 3.75 2.12 2.28 0900111231 65.16 62.01 0.655 14.87 12.4 15.43 9.69 15.35 -3.15 -2.77 -4.7 -4.83 0900130071 63.59 63.160.588 15.88 14.07 15.5 10.1 15.8 -0.42 -0.03 -2.18 -0.67 0900190031 65.56 65.88 0.63 13.42 12.61 13.81 8.8 14.67 0.31 2.28 0.17 0.48 0900310031 60.78 61.840.694 13.14 10.66 12.89 7.98 13.36 1.06 2.59 1.15 1.75 0900500051 63.23 54.240.606 18.4 14.64 19.93 11.64 17.75 -8.99 -12.6 -15.16 -14.22 0900700071 62.35 63.040.701 12.41 10.81 12.62 7.74 13.31 0.69 2.28 0.63 1.1 0900930021 65.77 68.170.623 15.03 13.38 14.36 9.89 15.37 2.4 5.25 3.3 3.64 0900990051 62.77 61.840.595 15.26 13.3 15.44 9.58 15.99 -0.93 -0.67 -2.98 -1.47 0901100081 58.11 74.3 0.53 30.48 22.7 25.9 17.71 31.94 16.19 29.51 23.28 27.87 0901310011 64.66 60.70.734 12.51 10.09 13.11 8.09 12.53 -3.96 -4.67 -5.92 -6.12 1000100021 63.47 60.940.581 11.55 9.57 11.93 7.33 11.58 -2.53 -2.12 -3.25 -3.99 1000310031 62.88 62.71 0.672 11.02 8.77 11.5 6.93 11.69 -0.17 0.78 -0.35 -0.27 1000310071 61.13 65.650.584 13.74 10.39 13.38 8.4 14.6 4.52 9.4 7.84 7.39 1000310101 67.05 63.340.683 11.54 9.9 11.89 7.74 11.57 -3.71 -4.06 -5.15 -5.53 1000310131 62.46 64.560.628 11.62 9.45 11.66 7.26 12.27 2.1 4.47 3.21 3.37 1000510021 63.07 58.540.573 12.99 10.4 13.41 8.19 12.77 -4.53 -5.21 -6.52 -7.18 1000510031 62.25 61.160.641 11.39 8.73 11.55 7.09 11.61 -1.08 -0.09 -1.13 -1.74 1100100251 62.9 66.440.701 11.94 9.8 11.86 7.51 12.77 3.54 6.85 5.54 5.63 1100100411 64.2 61.50.707 11.93 9.69 12.52 7.66 12.08 -2.7 -3.13 -4.35 -4.2 1100100431 68.04 59.39 0.75 15.07 12.6 16.57 10.26 14.85 -8.65 -12.04 -13.94 -12.72 2300520031 58.36 56.630.618 14.66 11.05 14.89 8.55 14.79 -1.73 -2.13 -3.85 -2.96 2300901021 60.38 57.11 0.695 14.25 10.58 15.04 8.61 14.5 -3.27 -3.88 -5.45 -5.41 2300901031 59.85 58.44 0.54 14.19 11.14 14.63 8.49 14.71 -1.41 -0.35 -2.18 -2.36 2300903011 55.37 61.370.451 17.39 12.35 16.77 9.63 19.02 6 13.25 10.52 10.83 2301120051 56.34 52.2 0.599 13.92 10.09 13.98 7.84 13.22 -4.14 -5.91 -7.28 -7.34 2301300042 56.23 62.470.534 20.75 14.21 19.66 11.67 21.71 6.24 11.92 8.78 11.1 2301730011 51.01 46.530.374 15.18 9.03 15.74 7.74 14.85 -4.47 -7.94 -9.46 -8.77 2301940081 56.27 49.930.424 17.34 12.66 17.89 9.76 16.55 -6.34 -9.32 -11.58 -11.27 2302300041 57.5 66.590.692 19.79 13.53 19.24 11.38 21.97 9.09 17.69 14.56 15.8 2303100381 56.81 51.92 0.451 16.22 11.64 16.67 9.21 15.69 -4.88 -6.53 -8.45 -8.6 2303120021 60.62 55.760.658 15.67 12.22 15.97 9.5 15.22 -4.87 -6.31 -8.09 -8.03 2303130021 59.24 54.860.707 13.91 10.81 14.47 8.24 13.93 -4.38 -5.71 -7.4 -7.39 2390100011 57.13 53.50.437 19.05 13.74 20.49 10.88 19.28 -3.64 -5.77 -8.88 -6.37 2400300141 69.63 64.880.715 12.52 11.09 13.07 8.72 12.49 -4.75 -5.11 -6.37 -6.82 2400300191 69.03 66.18 0.73 11.59 9.96 12.15 8 11.81 -2.85 -3.28 -4.41 -4.132400510071 66.81 650.651 11.33 10.43 11.8 7.57 11.6 -1.81 -1.34 -2.63 -2.71

2400530011 66.38 68.270.576 14.86 13.59 13.88 9.87 14.6 1.89 3.62 1.89 2.84 2401300011 63.61 63.460.563 12.01 9.55 12.25 7.64 12.31 -0.14 1.33 0.15 -0.23 2401500031 65.42 63.740.677 12.27 10.5 12.46 8.03 12.57 -1.67 0.13 -1.18 -2.56 2401700101 65.95 64.990.629 11.83 9.7 12.15 7.8 12.3 -0.96 0.55 -0.64 -1.46 2402100371 64.41 63.40.613 11.93 9.49 12.36 7.68 12.29 -1.01 -0.22 -1.41 -1.57 2402510011 70.39 67.80.642 13.79 12.14 13.99 9.71 13.63 -2.59 -2.5 -3.9 -3.68 2402590011 68.38 64.540.701 12.51 10.93 12.85 8.56 12.35 -3.84 -4.29 -5.57 -5.62 2402900021 66.24 62.880.617 13.12 10.85 13.24 8.69 12.86 -3.36 -2.87 -4.11 -5.07 2403130011 62.78 66.81 0.651 12.94 10.25 12.66 8.12 13.57 4.03 7.6 6.25 6.42 2403300021 65.53 65.740.666 12.41 10.06 12.61 8.13 12.82 0.21 1.54 0.29 0.31 2403380031 66.11 66.70.649 12.91 10.37 13.14 8.54 13.48 0.6 3.38 2.1 0.9 2404300091 65.53 61.62 0.698 10.96 9.19 11.56 7.18 11 -3.91 -4.8 -5.86 -5.96 2451000531 63.76 67.22 0.521 15.07 13.67 14.47 9.61 15.63 3.45 6.43 4.33 5.42 2500100021 60.8 66.430.733 14.91 11.98 13.93 9.06 15.33 5.63 9.5 7.71 9.26 2500340021 58.38 53.660.447 14.51 11.35 14.84 8.47 13.86 -4.73 -6.07 -7.65 -8.09 2500510021 58.37 61.540.617 13.19 10.05 12.52 7.7 13.47 3.17 6.79 5.37 5.44 2500900051 58.89 58.890.468 16.71 12.37 16.42 9.84 17.18 -0.01 2.68 0.45 -0.01 2500920061 64.54 61.260.576 15.04 13.32 15.15 9.71 15.23 -3.27 -2.39 -4.5 -5.07 2500940041 60.66 69.270.715 18.5 14.6 17.4 11.22 19.97 8.6 15.38 12.41 14.18 2501300031 61.09 56.560.586 15.41 11.8 16.08 9.41 15.34 -4.53 -5.87 -7.68 -7.42 2501300081 62.78 55.690.674 15.35 12.36 16.07 9.64 14.79 -7.09 -9.86 -11.61 -11.29 2501501031 56.6 55.150.531 13.41 9.9 13.65 7.59 13.67 -1.45 -0.85 -2.38 -2.57 2501540021 61.09 56.90.624 13.96 10.88 14.13 8.53 13.4 -4.19 -5.2 -6.63 -6.85 2501711021 60.51 57.540.633 13.98 10.94 13.96 8.46 13.67 -2.97 -2.52 -3.95 -4.9 2502130031 66.32 57.960.733 15.52 12.98 16.79 10.29 15.29 -8.36 -11.78 -13.61 -12.61 2502500411 62.9 62.160.624 16.67 13.18 16.87 10.49 17.04 -0.74 -0.71 -2.87 -1.17 2502500421 53.16 55.41 0.397 16.29 11.18 15.9 8.66 16.86 2.26 6.27 4.11 4.25 2502700151 62.02 55.030.706 17.2 13.06 17.38 10.67 16.26 -6.99 -8.25 -10.14 -11.27 3300120041 54.28 46.030.423 18.43 12.63 19.5 10 17.32 -8.24 -13.3 -15.74 -15.19 3300310021 52.91 46.54 0.35 16.48 10.83 17.34 8.72 15.75 -6.37 -10.54 -12.51 -12.04 3300500071 54.18 52.52 0.441 14.2 10.19 14.04 7.69 14.05 -1.67 -1.03 -2.63 -3.08 3300740011 58.81 44.230.438 26.65 18.01 30.61 15.67 25.86 -14.57 -23.5 -28.42 -24.78 3300740021 50.96 48.18 0.31 15.34 9.56 15.77 7.82 15.32 -2.78 -3.97 -5.72 -5.45 3300740031 52.59 46.51 0.538 14.51 9.64 14.99 7.63 13.71 -6.08 -10.2 -11.7 -11.57 3300900081 54.35 47.1 0.441 17 11.11 17.75 9.24 16.17 -7.26 -11.59 -13.49 -13.35 3301100201 55.35 51.450.487 14.39 10.4 14.76 7.97 13.97 -3.9 -5.37 -6.97 -7.043301110101 59.34 55.840.616 13.65 10.58 13.61 8.1 13.05 -3.5 -3.95 -5.26 -5.89

3301150011 59.63 49.96 0.63 19.8 15.47 20.34 11.81 18.16 -9.67 -13.4 -15.97 -16.22 3301300071 56.98 50.91 0.464 15.37 11.44 15.54 8.76 14.25 -6.07 -8.69 -10.34 -10.65 3301500121 60.96 57.05 0.63 14.5 11.2 15.73 8.84 15.18 -3.91 -4.92 -6.87 -6.41 3301500131 58.27 52.650.556 15.96 11.94 16.24 9.3 15.25 -5.62 -7.64 -9.52 -9.65 3301500151 59.55 58.71 0.617 13.48 10.46 14.21 8.02 14.62 -0.84 0.81 -1.07 -1.41 3301730021 57.55 52.590.569 15.39 11.02 16.32 8.86 15.32 -4.96 -7.28 -9.12 -8.62 3301900031 54.42 48.41 0.513 15.03 10.46 15.34 8.18 14.15 -6 -9.23 -10.77 -11.03 3400100051 61.61 63.740.676 11.03 8.97 11.16 6.79 11.78 2.13 5.14 3.94 3.46 3400300051 65.18 58.770.552 16.65 14.45 18.03 10.85 16.64 -6.41 -8.51 -11 -9.84 3400700031 67.02 63.270.736 11.99 10.41 12.82 8.03 12.2 -3.75 -4.57 -5.92 -5.6 3400710011 68.04 64.29 0.77 11.36 9.93 11.6 7.73 11.32 -3.75 -3.6 -4.62 -5.51 3401100071 65.6 63.30.673 11.72 9.68 12.02 7.69 11.98 -2.3 -1.41 -2.54 -3.51 3401300161 61.41 62.470.437 15.68 13.24 15.64 9.63 15.91 1.06 3.25 0.95 1.73 3401500021 69.11 64.790.763 12.14 10.24 12.72 8.39 12.27 -4.32 -4.86 -5.99 -6.25 3401700061 60.92 59.770.597 14.76 11.38 15.61 8.99 15.19 -1.14 -1.9 -3.77 -1.87 3401900011 65.96 61.330.727 11.73 10.23 12.18 7.74 11.58 -4.64 -5.51 -6.57 -7.03 3402100051 67.45 64.770.726 12.41 10.8 12.78 8.37 12.79 -2.68 -1.8 -3.15 -3.97 3402300111 68.8 65.860.762 10.61 9.64 10.76 7.3 10.46 -2.94 -2.73 -3.61 -4.27 3402500051 64.77 74.450.692 17.43 14.87 16.05 11.29 18.57 9.68 16.36 13.72 14.94 3402730011 68.02 60.12 0.675 15.61 13.9 16.08 10.62 14.91 -7.9 -9.26 -10.97 -11.62 3402900061 68.51 64.180.685 13.87 12.79 13.66 9.5 13.31 -4.33 -3.23 -4.66 -6.32 3403150011 62.54 59.770.549 15.2 11.84 15.74 9.51 15.29 -2.77 -2.76 -4.54 -4.42 3600100121 59.7 46.760.498 22.73 16.79 25.03 13.57 21.44 -12.95 -20.06 -23.75 -21.68 3600500831 60.99 51.2 0.356 22.08 17.19 24.61 13.46 21.58 -9.8 -14.37 -18.46 -16.06 3600501101 60.98 47.060.423 27.03 19.26 32.48 16.48 27.52 -13.91 -22.27 -28.17 -22.82 3601300061 65.62 56.640.738 16.25 13.12 16.99 10.67 15.53 -8.98 -11.83 -13.63 -13.69 3601300111 62.22 55.270.623 15.85 12.49 16.2 9.86 14.98 -6.95 -8.78 -10.49 -11.17 3601500031 59.02 50.33 0.55 16.5 12.35 17.31 9.74 15.54 -8.69 -13.25 -15.19 -14.72 3602700071 59.66 56.030.617 14.41 12 14.03 8.6 13.52 -3.63 -3.65 -5.07 -6.08 3602900021 65.06 52.47 0.71 20.29 16.05 22.16 13.2 19.39 -12.59 -18.04 -20.92 -19.35 3603100021 61.99 45.880.452 27.04 20.33 30.34 16.76 25.37 -16.12 -23.95 -28.99 -26 3603100031 60.23 47.89 0.35 23.35 17.7 25 14.07 21.58 -12.35 -17.87 -21.6 -20.5 3604100051 56.92 49.760.431 16.92 12.21 17.28 9.63 15.92 -7.16 -10.31 -12.25 -12.58 3604300051 53.03 51.82 0.324 15.02 10.02 14.79 7.96 14.82 -1.21 -0.49 -2.11 -2.29 3604500021 61.5 50.560.595 20.13 15.64 22.55 12.38 19.62 -10.95 -16.88 -20.03 -17.8 3605300061 58.01 49.660.506 17.22 12.23 18.02 9.99 16.33 -8.35 -12.74 -14.72 -14.43605510041 62.16 54.32 0.663 15.74 12.77 16.37 9.78 14.84 -7.84 -11.05 -12.84 -12.62

3606310061 62.54 56.71 0.613 14.96 11.99 15.34 9.36 14.36 -5.83 -7.35 -8.91 -9.33 3606500042 57.59 49.91 0.651 15.37 11.51 15.73 8.85 14.25 -7.68 -11.8 -13.39 -13.33 3606710151 60.13 49.81 0.645 18.35 13.87 19.43 11.03 17.11 -10.32 -15.64 -18.01 -17.16 3607150011 55.58 55.21 0.373 15.42 11.48 15.04 8.57 15.34 -0.37 1.92 0.01 -0.66 3607900051 64.4 58.21 0.701 14.52 12.29 15.63 9.35 14.27 -6.19 -8.19 -10.05 -9.62 3608100981 57.3 46.72 0.463 23.26 15.75 27.76 13.33 23.92 -10.57 -18.54 -23.15 -18.45 3608101241 61.67 57.61 0.436 17.23 12.98 18.38 10.62 17.59 -4.06 -5.63 -7.98 -6.58 3608300041 63.24 51.130.577 20.5 17.06 21.28 12.97 18.6 -12.11 -16.76 -19.56 -19.15 3608500671 66.41 66.280.728 11.35 9.83 11.55 7.54 11.57 -0.13 0.29 -0.82 -0.2 3609100041 56.88 49.590.534 17.54 12.48 18.09 9.98 16.57 -7.29 -10.49 -12.6 -12.82 3609300031 56.83 50.92 0.495 15.57 11.41 15.91 8.85 14.68 -5.91 -8.3 -10.02 -10.39 3610300021 61.19 62.970.394 18.51 14.84 17.41 11.33 18.28 1.78 5.42 2.98 2.92 3610300041 61.31 71.82 0.582 20.42 15.49 18.73 12.52 21.59 10.5 18.67 15.59 17.13 3610300092 63.61 59.080.722 13.58 10.84 14.34 8.64 13.52 -4.54 -6.6 -8.03 -7.13 3611110051 58.81 52.470.476 15.38 11.06 15.89 9.04 14.73 -6.34 -9.28 -10.9 -10.78 3611730011 60.08 58.760.568 14.97 11.02 14.81 8.99 14.93 -1.32 0.15 -1.38 -2.21 3611920041 63.58 55.830.567 18.73 15.4 20.34 11.91 18.36 -7.75 -10.54 -13.37 -12.19 4200100021 63.51 59.30.557 12.69 10.42 12.89 8.06 12.24 -4.2 -4.77 -6.02 -6.62 4200300081 62.53 58.270.644 15.02 11.74 16.31 9.39 15.5 -4.26 -5.98 -7.97 -6.81 4200300101 65.67 58.02 0.655 16.6 13.41 18.43 10.9 16.82 -7.65 -10.79 -13.04 -11.65 4200300671 65 56.58 0.6 16.87 13.4 18.87 10.97 16.86 -8.42 -12.25 -14.6 -12.96 4200310051 62.54 60.75 0.68 12.73 10.33 13.23 7.96 13.16 -1.79 -1.08 -2.57 -2.86 4200500011 63.06 59.770.654 12.57 10.5 12.88 7.93 12.45 -3.29 -3.49 -4.77 -5.22 4200700021 65.38 57.30.609 15.35 13.12 16.32 10.04 14.64 -8.09 -11.24 -13.07 -12.37 4200700051 64.5 58.92 0.559 15.3 12.98 15.72 9.87 14.79 -5.58 -6.5 -8.28 -8.65 4200700141 61.09 60.90.547 13.58 10.66 13.62 8.29 13.98 -0.19 1.94 0.46 -0.32 4201100011 61.49 59.730.689 11.31 8.83 11.76 6.96 11.63 -1.75 -1.52 -2.68 -2.85 4201100091 64.91 64.71 0.701 11.28 8.67 11.42 7.32 11.64 -0.2 1.24 0.26 -0.31 4201308011 62.24 57.2 0.586 12.64 10.88 13.37 7.87 12.3 -5.03 -6.82 -8.29 -8.09 4201700121 67.18 65.690.665 12.45 11.63 12.45 8.37 12.65 -1.49 -0.06 -1.57 -2.21 4202100111 60.89 58.61 0.598 13.18 9.95 13.85 8.02 13.43 -2.28 -2.63 -4.04 -3.74 4202701001 62.17 56.64 0.61 12.01 10.36 12.22 7.47 11.24 -5.53 -7.69 -8.84 -8.9 4202740001 65.04 56.530.605 15.36 12.64 16.04 9.99 14.65 -8.51 -11.44 -13.13 -13.08 4202900501 66.22 60.650.705 12.57 10.53 13.16 8.32 12.36 -5.57 -6.87 -8.12 -8.41 4202901001 69.59 61.830.716 14.74 12.54 15.21 10.26 14.15 -7.76 -9.27 -10.75 -11.15 4203340001 62.83 55.550.597 15.63 12.67 16.17 9.82 14.77 -7.28 -9.58 -11.39 -11.584204304011 63.48 64.340.657 11.63 9.64 11.63 7.38 12.09 0.86 3.07 1.84 1.36

4204311001 64.37 61.050.697 11.42 9.65 11.69 7.35 11.2 -3.32 -3.89 -4.9 -5.16 4204500021 67.07 62.770.674 13.21 11.17 13.93 8.86 13.31 -4.29 -4.83 -6.24 -6.4 4204900031 61.48 59.18 0.67 13.18 10.14 13.57 8.11 13.29 -2.3 -2.1 -3.42 -3.75 4205500011 71.34 58.250.607 18.96 16.52 20.39 13.53 17.91 -13.09 -17.08 -19.64 -18.35 4205900021 62.35 58.960.487 13.62 10.69 13.77 8.49 13.27 -3.39 -3.88 -5.27 -5.43 4206901011 63.57 51.940.633 19.64 15.26 21.25 12.49 18.66 -11.64 -16.9 -19.6 -18.3 4206920061 61.08 52.790.607 16.62 12.5 17.73 10.15 16.02 -8.29 -12.24 -14.22 -13.57 4207100071 65.49 62.250.718 11.12 9.24 11.51 7.28 11.14 -3.24 -3.79 -4.8 -4.95 4207300151 59.84 61.160.632 11.97 9.54 12.19 7.16 12.86 1.32 4.21 2.77 2.21 4207700041 63.86 58.650.751 11.76 9.81 12.6 7.51 11.64 -5.21 -7.42 -8.62 -8.16 4207911001 60.36 57.22 0.623 12.02 9.82 12.15 7.25 11.72 -3.14 -3.56 -4.77 -5.2 4207911011 61.81 54.550.653 15.24 11.73 16.19 9.42 14.8 -7.26 -10.6 -12.3 -11.75 4208101001 61.42 53.84 0.61 15.72 12.41 16.47 9.65 14.97 -7.57 -10.63 -12.46 -12.33 4208140001 59.1 52.30.501 14.68 11.53 15.29 8.68 13.94 -6.8 -9.96 -11.64 -11.5 4208501001 64.38 57.25 0.71 14.39 11.89 14.98 9.26 13.73 -7.13 -9.43 -10.95 -11.08 4209100131 64.38 64.170.689 11.17 9.16 11.64 7.19 11.98 -0.21 1.36 0.16 -0.33 4209500251 63.59 61.12 0.761 9.61 8.03 10.14 6.11 9.8 -2.47 -2.89 -3.72 -3.88 4209580001 64.14 59.370.716 12.12 9.74 13.12 7.77 12.23 -4.77 -7.01 -8.27 -7.44 4209903011 62.53 57.390.467 14.67 11.96 14.78 9.17 13.93 -5.14 -5.86 -7.41 -8.22 4210100041 57.7 70.490.629 24.4 15.95 21.66 14.08 25 12.79 22.89 19.42 22.17 4210100141 63.9 61.02 0.598 13.55 11.08 14.4 8.66 13.91 -2.88 -3.48 -5.14 -4.5 4210100241 68.52 61.70.731 14.41 12.39 15.27 9.88 14.2 -6.82 -8.42 -10.03 -9.95 4210101361 61.31 65.72 0.655 13.11 10.47 12.85 8.04 13.93 4.41 8.49 6.92 7.19 4211740001 61.77 50.90.541 19.16 14.8 20.22 11.83 17.89 -10.86 -15.76 -18.22 -17.59 4212500051 63.14 59.450.582 13.76 11.02 14.65 8.69 13.89 -3.68 -4.9 -6.51 -5.84 4212502001 60.32 58.31 0.543 14.57 10.97 15.37 8.79 14.84 -2.01 -2.26 -4.03 -3.33 4212550011 63.33 59.530.625 12.84 10.41 13.45 8.13 12.79 -3.8 -4.78 -6.1 -6 4212900061 60.28 62.170.528 14.96 12.09 14.99 9.02 15.84 1.89 4.26 2.02 3.13 4212900081 60.62 61.24 0.57 14.45 11.25 14.58 8.76 15.06 0.61 2.3 0.49 1.01 4213300081 65.49 62.340.736 10.19 8.63 10.68 6.68 10.17 -3.15 -4 -4.87 -4.81 4400300021 63.95 64.260.753 10.69 8.89 10.61 6.83 10.87 0.31 2.21 1.26 0.49 4400710101 64.89 63.330.708 11.87 9.35 12.42 7.7 12.26 -1.56 -1.57 -2.66 -2.4 4400900071 61.33 69.780.565 18.88 14.54 17.62 11.58 20.05 8.45 15.38 12.57 13.77 5000300041 57.27 52.21 0.451 14.3 11.01 14.71 8.19 13.74 -5.06 -6.93 -8.53 -8.83 5000700071 54.25 46.31 0.492 17.06 12.04 17.79 9.26 15.88 -7.95 -12.98 -15.06 -14.65 5101300201 68.71 63.41 0.728 12.95 11.03 13.48 8.89 12.73 -5.3 -6.33 -7.59 -7.725103300011 60.03 61.070.498 11.88 8.99 11.63 7.13 11.9 1.04 3.1 2.06 1.73

5103600021 67.27 61.440.638 13.6 11.94 13.66 9.15 12.85 -5.83 -6.5 -7.85 -8.67 5104100041 64.36 58.91 0.475 14.55 11.69 14.91 9.36 14.05 -5.45 -6.9 -8.41 -8.47 5105900051 64.73 58.61 0.599 13.42 11.15 14.42 8.68 13.23 -6.12 -8.31 -9.8 -9.46 5105900181 66.19 67.670.592 13.67 11.7 13.74 9.05 14.63 1.49 4.93 3.22 2.24 5105900301 68.32 64.580.704 12.69 10.96 13.01 8.67 12.57 -3.75 -3.57 -4.76 -5.48 5105910051 68.62 65.41 0.698 12.09 10.34 12.36 8.29 12.01 -3.22 -2.94 -4.03 -4.69 5105950011 62.12 68.240.505 16.49 13.2 15.95 10.24 17.87 6.12 11.99 9.61 9.86 5106100021 60.1 59.01 0.431 12.56 9.35 12.59 7.55 12.68 -1.09 0.5 -0.71 -1.82 5106900101 62.88 60.350.536 11.69 9.71 11.84 7.35 11.48 -2.52 -2.17 -3.31 -4.01 5108500031 67.54 61.570.464 14.3 12.73 14.56 9.66 13.58 -5.97 -6.73 -8.27 -8.84 5108700141 66.28 60.240.617 13.19 11.42 14.19 8.74 13.15 -6.05 -7.79 -9.32 -9.13 5110710051 69.62 62.61 0.67 13.57 11.83 14.11 9.44 13.18 -7 -8.54 -9.89 -10.06 5111300031 63.23 54.61 0.449 15.87 12.85 16.51 10.03 14.88 -8.61 -11.81 -13.68 -13.62 5113900041 58.56 55.650.312 13.36 10.29 13.47 7.82 13.08 -2.91 -2.93 -4.35 -4.96 5115300091 63.83 59.72 0.573 12.69 10.29 13 8.1 12.55 -4.12 -4.23 -5.43 -6.45 5116110041 62.84 57.570.539 12.56 10.51 12.85 7.89 12.03 -5.27 -6.72 -7.97 -8.39 5116300031 57.84 53.82 0.367 12.59 9.67 12.78 7.28 11.98 -4.02 -5.09 -6.35 -6.95 5117900011 63.75 63.780.693 11.01 8.87 11.15 7.02 11.33 0.02 1.73 0.76 0.03 5119700021 60.63 53.930.362 14.1 11.64 14.23 8.55 13.01 -6.7 -9.12 -10.64 -11.05 5151000091 64.61 69.040.638 12.77 10.92 12.77 8.25 14.14 4.43 9.2 7.5 6.85 5165000042 63.21 51.90.453 24.26 18.66 27.71 15.33 23.77 -11.31 -17.51 -22.07 -17.89 5180000041 62.62 62.30.656 11.88 9.13 11.83 7.44 11.99 -0.31 1.19 0.17 -0.5 5180000051 62.45 57.11 0.453 15.31 12.13 15.54 9.56 14.54 -5.35 -6.42 -8.04 -8.56N

102 90 102 86 85 95 97 95 92 82 90 113 103 94 100 93 112 109 109 106 117 69 89 64 60 62 73 34 64 60 57 82 79 83 120 120114

107 118 111 111 115 120 119 117 111 109 107 114 83 86 84 91 69 78 84 84 93 76 89 72 97 77 48 51 87 62 71 97 60 50 55 7781

59 65 68 81 65 71 66 105 96 106 114 109 66 109 85 110 111 107 98 112 113 95 91 72 65 113 115 111 96 116 90 95 80 81 105 10888

102 87 97 88 95 69 77 99 95 89 83 86 70 103 96 77 84 106 111 117 121 117 113 121 116 107 116 99 108 103 108 108 113 117 116 106111

107 111 109 119 120 110 100 113 96 113 99 106 108 100 112 109 104 97 101 64 104 109 87 115 116 120 121 101 114 111 80 73 93 85 81 111110

101 114 117 107 117 106 106 112 112 118 112 123 125 115 119 121 113 117 120 101 109 109 99obs avg, ppbCMAQ avg, ppbR^2 NME, %RMSE, ppbFE, %MAGE, ppbMNGE, % MB, ppbMNB, %MFB, % NMB, %N

20020515 62.02 50.34 0 18.83 12.13 20.92 11.68 18.79 -11.68 -18.79 -20.92 -18.83 8 20020516 66.15 54.1 0.234 18.37 13.95 21 12.15 18.4 -12.05 -18.24 -20.85 -18.21143 20020517 66.33 52.76 0.19 20.58 15.57 23.9 13.65 20.6 -13.56 -20.47 -23.77 -20.45 46 20020518 20020519 20020520 20020521 20020522 20020523 64.48 56.460.038 13.28 9.74 14.34 8.56 13.15 -8.01 -12.29 -13.51 -12.43118 20020524 75.18 62.670.454 17.49 14.95 20.07 13.15 17.74 -12.51 -16.77 -19.17 -16.64178 20020525 67.26 58.41 0.198 14.41 12.16 16.15 9.69 14.38 -8.86 -13.11 -14.93 -13.17 41 20020526 68.37 75.11 0.003 18.13 15.22 17.1 12.39 18.64 6.74 10.69 8.31 9.86 34 20020527 65.59 60.070.004 10.32 8.51 10.9 6.77 10.11 -5.51 -8.13 -9 -8.41 58 20020528 63.99 54.190.669 15.31 10.04 16.69 9.8 15.34 -9.8 -15.34 -16.69 -15.31 9 20020529 64.97 58.560.578 10.08 7.54 10.91 6.55 10.17 -6.41 -9.97 -10.71 -9.87 10 20020530 65.36 62.90.024 8.94 6.76 9.19 5.84 8.91 -2.46 -3.53 -4.08 -3.76 15 20020531 64.95 64.070.096 8.69 7.65 8.92 5.64 8.77 -0.88 -1.2 -1.92 -1.35 65 20020601 69.92 61.41 0.436 14 11.62 15.78 9.79 14.2 -8.51 -12.37 -14.03 -12.17147 20020602 65.92 58.41 0.291 12.29 10.75 14.05 8.1 12.4 -7.52 -11.52 -13.19 -11.4 44 20020603 64.68 48.830.387 24.5 16.44 28.38 15.85 24.56 -15.85 -24.56 -28.38 -24.5 19 20020604 67.13 58.75 0.4 16.15 12.69 18.43 10.84 16.52 -8.38 -12.75 -14.91 -12.49 81 20020605 72.11 73.580.347 10.12 8.99 10.26 7.3 10.46 1.47 2.39 1.54 2.04106 20020606 67.21 61.530.176 11.22 9.44 12.14 7.54 11.18 -5.67 -8.31 -9.42 -8.44 34 20020607 69.38 51.79NaN 25.35 17.59 29.03 17.59 25.35 -17.59 -25.35 -29.03 -25.35 1 20020608 65.2 62.41 0.058 9.1 7.4 9.41 5.94 8.96 -2.79 -4 -4.66 -4.28 54 20020609 72.9 71.170.216 9.28 8.56 9.63 6.77 9.46 -1.72 -2.03 -2.76 -2.37143 20020610 83.92 81.33 0.35 11.73 11.6 12.18 9.85 11.95 -2.59 -2.33 -3.35 -3.09107 20020611 87.08 82.14 0.37 11.79 12.92 12.64 10.27 12 -4.93 -5.19 -6.47 -5.67171 20020612 72.67 63.560.422 13.47 11.87 14.35 9.79 13.11 -9.11 -12.08 -13.44 -12.54 95 20020613 67.05 54.71 0.291 18.79 14.41 21.46 12.6 18.83 -12.34 -18.48 -21.11 -18.4 7 20020614 69.04 59.950.025 13.18 13.01 15.1 9.1 13.04 -9.1 -13.04 -15.1 -13.18 3 20020615 20020616 63.25 61.90.078 4.61 3.23 4.67 2.92 4.61 -1.35 -2.08 -2.21 -2.14 12 20020617 65.37 59.12 0.162 11.85 9.41 12.87 7.75 11.83 -6.26 -9.4 -10.54 -9.57 18 20020618 65.67 59.640.046 12.15 9.59 13 7.98 12.02 -6.03 -8.97 -10.1 -9.18 58 20020619 67.93 62.540.009 13.02 10.77 13.61 8.84 12.8 -5.39 -7.61 -8.88 -7.9310220020620 72.8 67.150.222 13.53 11.89 14.44 9.85 13.6 -5.65 -7.29 -8.71 -7.76163

20020621 79.61 73.22 0.438 12.02 11.35 12.8 9.57 12.11 -6.39 -7.79 -8.87 -8.02180 20020622 82.85 76.32 0.399 12.61 12.97 13.77 10.44 12.98 -6.53 -7.6 -8.99 -7.89157 20020623 80.34 79.590.412 9.85 10.22 10.13 7.91 10.04 -0.75 -0.49 -1.35 -0.94158 20020624 85.09 81.430.639 9.7 10.45 10.12 8.25 9.81 -3.65 -4.01 -4.82 -4.29111 20020625 87 75.850.503 16.23 16.93 18.69 14.12 16.8 -11.14 -12.6 -15.03 -12.81143 20020626 77.59 81.760.068 16.1 16.75 15.34 12.5 16.57 4.17 6.58 4.31 5.37151 20020627 70.97 70.050.495 8.67 7.64 8.83 6.15 8.74 -0.92 -1.17 -1.76 -1.3104 20020628 62.96 62.80.027 13.01 9.95 13.52 8.19 12.94 -0.16 -0.21 -1.55 -0.25 8 20020629 66.9 61.160.038 14.33 12.75 15.65 9.59 14.18 -5.74 -8.12 -10.16 -8.58 46 20020630 72.31 67.22 0.252 12.14 11.03 12.88 8.78 12.05 -5.09 -6.66 -7.88 -7.05139 20020701 80.34 72.280.416 13.57 13.05 14.91 10.9 13.76 -8.06 -9.84 -11.32 -10.03180 20020702 85.93 81.26 0.51 12.34 13.42 12.63 10.61 12.23 -4.68 -4.3 -5.52 -5.44176 20020703 76.47 78.560.436 9.69 10.03 9.36 7.41 9.74 2.1 3.41 2.62 2.74152 20020704 75.18 72.80.226 11.68 11.25 11.65 8.78 11.49 -2.38 -2.71 -3.74 -3.16145 20020705 69.54 70.60.645 7.11 6.72 6.8 4.95 6.99 1.07 1.31 0.89 1.54 32 20020706 20020707 20020708 20020709 20020710 67.03 65.430.063 14.93 12.11 15.31 10.01 14.68 -1.6 -1.59 -3.22 -2.39 35 20020711 62.19 46.91 1 24.56 15.28 28 15.27 24.56 -15.27 -24.56 -28 -24.56 2 20020712 69.52 56.370.369 19.01 14.91 21.34 13.22 18.82 -13.15 -18.71 -21.23 -18.91105 20020713 72.62 640.223 14.97 13.11 16.41 10.87 14.83 -8.62 -11.58 -13.35 -11.86144 20020714 74.93 70.40.209 14.17 13.52 15.21 10.62 14.31 -4.53 -5.86 -7.62 -6.05 93 20020715 75.56 69.380.189 14.19 12.69 14.74 10.73 13.9 -6.18 -7.14 -8.53 -8.18140 20020716 72.32 59.980.564 17.79 13.98 19.96 12.87 17.88 -12.33 -17.08 -19.21 -17.06 77 20020717 82.18 68.850.432 17.32 17.07 18.93 14.23 16.78 -13.33 -15.68 -17.9 -16.22157 20020718 86.41 75.970.476 14.64 15.07 16.12 12.65 14.62 -10.44 -11.53 -13.24 -12.08168 20020719 80.16 70.530.308 14.42 14.36 15.52 11.56 14.09 -9.63 -11.43 -13.08 -12.01114 20020720 71.22 61.930.389 13.48 11.44 14.73 9.6 13.36 -9.29 -12.87 -14.26 -13.05 86 20020721 73.65 64.6 0.26 14.65 12.15 15.92 10.79 14.6 -9.06 -12.11 -13.6 -12.29119 20020722 76.85 68.760.204 13.71 13 14.61 10.54 13.43 -8.09 -9.68 -11.14 -10.52166 20020723 72.23 69.66 0.31 10.68 9.8 11.07 7.71 10.7 -2.57 -3.31 -4.25 -3.55115 20020724 62.92 57.01 0.84 9.4 6.27 10.01 5.92 9.46 -5.92 -9.46 -10.01 -9.4 5 20020725 63.39 62.31 0.002 10.62 9.34 11.24 6.73 10.48 -1.08 -1.53 -2.7 -1.7 11 20020726 69.9 65.57 0.14 8.04 7.04 8.47 5.62 7.98 -4.33 -5.98 -6.52 -6.2 920020727 68.32 63.780.002 14.65 12.82 14.72 10.01 13.97 -4.54 -5.29 -6.86 -6.64 11

20020728 67.8 72.78 0.21 11.92 10.67 11.24 8.08 12.05 4.98 7.74 6.59 7.34 53 20020729 70.77 69.91 0.281 10.31 8.94 10.42 7.3 10.34 -0.86 -0.84 -1.66 -1.21 91 20020730 65.6 63.72 0.252 8.07 7.46 8.17 5.29 7.96 -1.88 -2.79 -3.42 -2.86 80 20020731 73.33 63.28 0.29 15.62 13.37 17.32 11.46 15.57 -10.05 -13.55 -15.42 -13.71121 20020801 78.53 66.41 0.359 17.63 16.37 19.54 13.84 17.47 -12.13 -15.12 -17.46 -15.44148 20020802 83.73 76.970.418 12.97 13.54 13.97 10.86 12.99 -6.76 -7.61 -9.03 -8.07152 20020803 77.71 76.050.272 12.37 12.49 12.69 9.61 12.73 -1.66 -1.76 -3.11 -2.13138 20020804 79.55 76.740.511 11.93 11.71 12.49 9.49 12.12 -2.81 -3.49 -4.66 -3.53172 20020805 73.55 74.670.338 15.35 14.48 15.31 11.29 15.48 1.12 1.38 -0.5 1.53130 20020806 61.19 64.17 1.001 4.87 3.73 4.72 2.98 4.9 2.98 4.9 4.72 4.87 2 20020807 20020808 62.27 45.540.074 26.86 17.25 31.26 16.72 26.79 -16.72 -26.79 -31.26 -26.86 7 20020809 66.94 56.11 0.039 17.7 14.94 20.05 11.85 17.4 -10.83 -15.81 -18.55 -16.18 69 20020810 80.75 65.11 0.267 20.73 19.17 23.9 16.74 20.78 -15.64 -19.19 -22.49 -19.37183 20020811 90.04 72.530.113 22.14 22.7 24.81 19.94 21.65 -17.51 -18.49 -21.92 -19.44202 20020812 92.84 78.72 0.173 20.98 22.94 23.51 19.48 21.04 -14.12 -14.21 -17.66 -15.21202 20020813 96.7 75.970.462 22.92 24.84 26.9 22.16 23.14 -20.73 -21.59 -25.52 -21.44206 20020814 94.02 77.61 0.331 19.36 20.78 21.64 18.2 19.18 -16.41 -16.83 -19.5 -17.46200 20020815 75.42 65.040.249 15.97 14.1 17.21 12.05 15.64 -10.38 -13.17 -14.95 -13.76120 20020816 70.13 66.230.094 12.64 10.77 12.97 8.87 12.48 -3.9 -4.89 -6.05 -5.57 86 20020817 71.08 61.670.064 15.18 15.32 17.05 10.79 14.65 -9.41 -12.57 -15.06 -13.24 98 20020818 70.8 68.330.346 9.43 8.66 9.63 6.68 9.23 -2.47 -3.17 -3.91 -3.49124 20020819 74.94 68.560.261 12.67 12.24 13.18 9.5 12.3 -6.38 -7.87 -9.18 -8.52119 20020820 70.02 61.960.366 12.39 10.11 13.42 8.67 12.35 -8.06 -11.45 -12.56 -11.51 64 20020821 70.98 60.580.335 15.1 12.83 16.82 10.72 14.98 -10.4 -14.47 -16.33 -14.65111 20020822 74.35 63.82 0.251 17.01 14.52 19.14 12.64 17.21 -10.52 -13.98 -16.23 -14.15148 20020823 75.62 66.930.368 14.36 12.88 14.97 10.86 13.78 -8.68 -10.37 -11.74 -11.48 29 20020824 66.63 68.060.217 9.1 7.73 8.98 6.06 9.14 1.43 2.25 1.59 2.15 31 20020825 66.18 63.370.626 7.32 5.69 7.71 4.84 7.38 -2.81 -4.37 -4.78 -4.24 11 20020826 63.67 58.290.003 13.34 11.03 14.58 8.49 13.23 -5.38 -8.19 -9.83 -8.44 15 20020827 66.63 53.470.219 19.8 14.78 22.54 13.19 19.74 -13.16 -19.7 -22.5 -19.75 47 20020828 61.75 49.230.995 20.28 12.67 22.52 12.52 20.2 -12.52 -20.2 -22.52 -20.28 2 20020829 20020830 62.94 53.3 1 15.32 10.11 16.79 9.64 15.36 -9.64 -15.36 -16.79 -15.32 2 20020831 2002090120020902 63.86 54.940.082 13.96 9.63 15.13 8.92 13.9 -8.92 -13.9 -15.13 -13.96 11

20020903 66.96 68.82 0.095 8.03 7.59 8.06 5.37 8.14 1.86 3.07 2.39 2.78 55 20020904 69.11 73.480.212 9.21 8.71 8.85 6.36 9.42 4.38 6.61 5.85 6.33 89 20020905 65.34 66.42 0.175 7.77 6.12 7.63 5.08 7.81 1.07 1.82 1.38 1.64 12 20020906 65.07 51.870.274 20.28 14.21 22.93 13.19 20.22 -13.19 -20.22 -22.93 -20.28 12 20020907 70.13 63.360.286 11.46 9.96 12.42 8.04 11.4 -6.78 -9.55 -10.64 -9.66126 20020908 77.54 66.81 0.284 16.27 16 18.19 12.62 16.02 -10.73 -13.38 -15.69 -13.83158 20020909 80.83 71.31 0.187 16.18 16.03 17.69 13.08 16.01 -9.52 -11.18 -13.28 -11.78183 20020910 85.83 69.570.335 21.35 20.48 24.32 18.33 21.39 -16.26 -18.63 -21.85 -18.94137 20020911 67.91 57.68 0.14 16.66 13.97 18.9 11.31 16.56 -10.23 -14.84 -17.25 -15.06 24 20020912 20020913 68.3 59.260.236 13.78 11.15 15.16 9.41 13.7 -9.04 -13.14 -14.62 -13.23127 20020914 74.51 62.1 0.135 19.83 17.44 22.33 14.78 19.59 -12.41 -16.01 -19.02 -16.65 76 20020915 66.34 54.91 0.204 17.24 13.81 18.13 11.44 16.2 -11.44 -16.2 -18.13 -17.24 4 20020916 62.22 54.730.762 12.04 8.89 13.02 7.49 11.93 -7.49 -11.93 -13.02 -12.04 5 20020917 64.96 60.790.003 10.08 7.87 10.35 6.55 9.89 -4.16 -6.02 -6.74 -6.41 43 20020918 71.19 61.050.015 15.86 14.25 17.29 11.29 15.32 -10.14 -13.57 -15.64 -14.25 59 20020919 67.39 57.680.072 14.62 11.77 16.09 9.85 14.38 -9.71 -14.15 -15.86 -14.41 69 20020920 64.11 57.370.182 12.56 9.65 13.81 8.05 12.61 -6.74 -10.56 -11.84 -10.52 36 20020921 20020922 20020923 20020924 63.25 52.350.068 20.96 14.74 24.3 13.26 21.12 -10.9 -17.2 -20.53 -17.24 4 20020925 20020926 20020927 20020928 20020929 65.38 46.960.688 28.17 21.71 33.48 18.41 27.21 -18.41 -27.21 -33.48 -28.17 3obs avg, ppbCMAQ avg, ppbR^2 NME, %RMSE, ppbFE, %MAGE, ppbMNGE, % MB, ppbMNB, %MFB, % NMB, %N

0900100171 78.19 77.790.376 13.22 13.74 13.58 10.34 13.78 -0.4 0.31 -1.36 -0.5251 0900111231 80.93 73.430.592 13.46 13.21 14.46 10.89 13.44 -7.5 -8.74 -10.15 -9.2746 0900130071 80.82 79.960.231 16.82 17.41 17.1 13.59 17.09 -0.86 -0.05 -2.36 -1.0746 0900190031 80.69 78.860.455 11.61 13.12 12.14 9.37 12.18 -1.84 -1.76 -3.19 -2.2745 0900310031 77.76 78.56 0.38 13.07 13.17 13.26 10.16 13.83 0.8 2.25 0.68 1.0336 0900500051 78.78 64.540.447 20.07 18.6 23.09 15.81 20.17 -14.24 -17.77 -20.95 -18.0745 0900700071 80.5 77.870.724 10.03 10.06 11.14 8.07 10.66 -2.63 -3.71 -4.69 -3.2740 0900930021 83.13 83.760.325 14.45 15.07 14.22 12.01 14.54 0.63 1.67 0.14 0.7645 0900990051 79.43 77.950.394 12.87 13.38 12.91 10.22 12.95 -1.48 -0.99 -2.4 -1.8641 0901100081 75.45 94.350.176 27.63 26.64 24.4 20.85 30.34 18.9 28.1 22.05 25.0532 0901310011 78.17 71.050.639 12.29 11.78 13.27 9.61 12.18 -7.12 -8.71 -9.95 -9.1146 1000100021 73.53 66.390.461 11.89 11.24 13.01 8.74 11.84 -7.14 -9.47 -10.75 -9.7164 1000310031 74.45 71.860.565 9.3 8.46 9.71 6.93 9.42 -2.59 -3.28 -3.98 -3.4753 1000310071 74.24 74.82 0.358 11.06 10.01 10.82 8.21 11.04 0.58 1.66 0.78 0.7841 1000310101 76.72 69.50.648 11.14 10.57 11.79 8.54 10.91 -7.22 -9.07 -10.01 -9.4162 1000310131 74.17 73.750.468 9.53 8.48 9.73 7.07 9.67 -0.41 -0.21 -0.89 -0.5647 1000510021 73.32 64.01 0.48 14.04 12.41 15.33 10.3 13.88 -9.31 -12.41 -13.92 -12.762 1000510031 73.91 68.350.599 10.77 9.2 11.59 7.96 10.92 -5.56 -7.26 -8.12 -7.5254 1100100251 74.38 76.28 0.65 9.39 8.84 9.06 6.99 9.37 1.9 2.8 2.15 2.5557 1100100411 75.67 69.81 0.698 11.36 10.41 12.02 8.6 11.28 -5.86 -7.57 -8.56 -7.7457 1100100431 77.98 67.160.676 15.62 14.08 17.33 12.18 15.61 -10.82 -13.66 -15.5 -13.8875 2300520031 75.99 72.440.293 13.5 12.89 13.68 10.26 13.61 -3.54 -3.14 -4.58 -4.6626 2300901021 79.04 70.30.585 12.99 12.6 13.93 10.27 12.77 -8.74 -10.68 -11.98 -11.0636 2300901031 76.42 69.40.313 12.1 12.27 12.74 9.24 11.63 -7.02 -8.45 -9.7 -9.1826 2300903011 72.28 73.650.194 9.96 9.16 9.96 7.2 10.24 1.38 2.83 1.98 1.9120 2301120051 77.28 65.440.248 17.55 15.45 19.13 13.56 17.17 -11.84 -14.78 -16.85 -15.3217 2301300042 73.06 77.130.441 15.6 13.31 15.09 11.4 15.6 4.07 5.56 3.99 5.5725 2301730011 67.59 51.770.918 23.4 16.14 27.49 15.82 23.95 -15.82 -23.95 -27.49 -23.4 4 2301940081 74.13 58.740.324 21.42 18.25 24.34 15.88 21.05 -15.39 -20.32 -23.63 -20.7620 2302300041 75.64 83.40.724 11.96 10.55 11.5 9.04 12.48 7.76 10.99 9.97 10.2522 2303100381 76.78 62.070.452 19.21 17.02 21.69 14.75 19.02 -14.71 -18.97 -21.63 -19.1615 2303120021 82.3 71.60.379 16.62 16.65 17.39 13.68 15.92 -10.69 -11.84 -13.78 -12.9929 2303130021 80.26 70.090.657 13.96 13.56 15.36 11.21 13.8 -10.17 -12.26 -13.89 -12.6727 2390100011 73.01 64.72 0.431 17.13 15.16 20.15 12.51 17.78 -8.3 -11.63 -14.51 -11.3629 2400300141 79.84 72.08 0.6 12.5 12.32 13.37 9.98 12.31 -7.75 -9.14 -10.38 -9.7179 2400300191 79.22 74.260.655 11.21 10.39 11.96 8.88 11.32 -4.96 -6.2 -7.14 -6.26772400510071 77.92 73.41 0.538 10.3 11.23 10.72 8.03 10.11 -4.51 -5.38 -6.42 -5.7966

2400530011 76.67 77.570.398 15.78 15.83 15.23 12.09 15.8 0.9 1.39 -0.52 1.1865 2401300011 73.46 70.970.338 10.36 9.66 10.33 7.61 10.02 -2.48 -2.5 -3.25 -3.3866 2401500031 77.17 71.290.522 11.55 11.48 11.75 8.91 11.08 -5.88 -6.58 -7.57 -7.6265 2401700101 74.38 69.92 0.57 11.13 9.98 11.8 8.28 11.22 -4.46 -5.62 -6.57 -5.9974 2402100371 74.48 70.91 0.392 10.98 9.97 11.39 8.18 10.9 -3.57 -4.27 -5.19 -4.867 2402510011 79.55 74.91 0.492 14.19 13.5 14.75 11.29 14.06 -4.64 -5.35 -6.77 -5.8383 2402590011 79.11 72.940.568 12.63 12.12 13.18 9.99 12.36 -6.16 -7.12 -8.28 -7.7974 2402900021 76.37 68.990.442 13.47 12.41 14.16 10.29 13.11 -7.39 -8.97 -10.25 -9.6773 2403130011 73.19 75.51 0.462 11.19 10.57 10.87 8.19 11.3 2.32 3.24 2.24 3.1763 2403300021 75.83 73.730.564 11.45 10.39 11.67 8.69 11.42 -2.11 -2.6 -3.54 -2.7866 2403380031 77.54 73.980.452 11.51 11.01 11.92 8.92 11.46 -3.56 -3.87 -4.9 -4.5964 2404300091 75.71 69.22 0.568 10.54 9.88 11.07 7.98 10.32 -6.48 -8.17 -9.03 -8.5667 2451000531 74.97 76.890.329 13.88 14.67 13.49 10.41 14.39 1.92 3.38 1.49 2.5745 2500100021 76.32 82.80.463 13.66 13.45 12.84 10.43 14 6.49 9.09 7.63 8.539 2500340021 73.57 61.21 0.149 17.12 16 18.63 12.59 16.36 -12.36 -16.03 -18.31 -16.831 2500510021 74.25 74.570.257 11.48 9.9 11.34 8.53 11.46 0.32 1.58 0.72 0.4334 2500900051 79.98 72.32 0.218 15.01 14.13 15.46 12 14.63 -7.66 -7.98 -9.45 -9.5721 2500920061 80.84 71.550.494 14.26 14.79 15.11 11.53 13.69 -9.29 -10.72 -12.29 -11.4938 2500940041 79.36 87.550.711 14.19 13.8 13.61 11.26 14.68 8.19 10.27 8.82 10.3233 2501300031 76.58 67.11 0.466 15.31 14.29 16.7 11.72 15.08 -9.48 -11.71 -13.53 -12.3736 2501300081 76.44 65.2 0.549 15.96 15.28 17.24 12.2 15.33 -11.24 -14 -15.96 -14.746 2501501031 73.81 65.62 0.522 13.03 12.3 14.36 9.62 12.9 -8.19 -10.91 -12.41 -11.123 2501540021 76.02 66.680.511 15.27 13.65 16.34 11.61 14.88 -9.34 -11.7 -13.32 -12.2938 2501711021 76.34 66.15 0.61 14.19 13.51 15.22 10.83 13.71 -10.19 -12.81 -14.34 -13.3532 2502130031 79.61 68.250.549 15.75 15.47 17.24 12.54 15.43 -11.36 -13.69 -15.59 -14.2754 2502500411 76.68 76.12 0.394 16.79 15.65 16.92 12.87 17.13 -0.56 0.19 -1.92 -0.7339 2502500421 72.38 65.750.182 13.41 12.67 14.22 9.7 12.9 -6.63 -8.41 -9.94 -9.1612 2502700151 82.7 65.870.731 20.34 18.23 22.3 16.82 19.83 -16.82 -19.83 -22.3 -20.3420 3300120041 70.13 52.680.274 24.89 19.23 28.79 17.45 24.55 -17.45 -24.55 -28.79 -24.8927 3300310021 67.45 52.840.239 22.07 16.28 24.95 14.89 21.79 -14.61 -21.32 -24.49 -21.6517 3300500071 75.91 64.450.156 16.39 15.18 17.95 12.45 15.92 -11.47 -14.45 -16.52 -15.1115 3300740011 72.3 50.51 0.515 30.13 23.27 36.07 21.79 29.97 -21.79 -29.97 -36.07 -30.1339 3300740021 66.68 56.960.196 17.54 13.41 19.49 11.69 17.42 -9.72 -14.47 -16.68 -14.5812 3300740031 68.73 54.650.432 20.49 15.35 23.29 14.08 20.48 -14.08 -20.48 -23.29 -20.4913 3300900081 67.97 52.830.612 22.27 16.23 25.19 15.14 22.07 -15.14 -22.07 -25.19 -22.2716 3301100201 74.46 62.85 0.22 16.16 14.98 17.53 12.03 15.54 -11.61 -14.99 -16.99 -15.59203301110101 76.09 66.040.452 14.6 14.02 15.37 11.11 13.87 -10.05 -12.26 -13.81 -13.2131

3301150011 80.91 60.280.474 25.49 23.26 28.85 20.63 24.66 -20.63 -24.66 -28.85 -25.4922 3301300071 74.2 58.470.373 21.37 17.83 23.86 15.85 20.85 -15.73 -20.67 -23.69 -21.219 3301500121 78.2 69.62 0.589 13.09 12.64 14.93 10.23 13.4 -8.58 -11.08 -12.72 -10.9728 3301500131 73.91 61.860.507 17.53 15.25 18.68 12.96 16.73 -12.06 -15.26 -17.28 -16.3132 3301500151 79.05 72.440.752 9.59 9.49 10.49 7.58 9.7 -6.61 -8.45 -9.27 -8.3622 3301730021 74.73 63.960.529 15.89 14.25 17.38 11.88 15.49 -10.77 -14.04 -15.98 -14.4123 3301900031 72.11 55.880.585 22.51 17.46 25.29 16.23 22.17 -16.23 -22.17 -25.29 -22.5116 3400100051 74.62 73.32 0.515 8.22 8.13 8.53 6.13 8.28 -1.3 -1.42 -2.06 -1.7451 3400300051 81.23 70.890.242 16.36 17.24 18.17 13.29 16.14 -10.34 -12.08 -14.53 -12.7347 3400700031 78.25 72.52 0.602 11.62 11.43 12.41 9.09 11.68 -5.72 -6.82 -7.96 -7.3265 3400710011 80.24 72.630.678 10.93 11.16 11.43 8.77 10.55 -7.61 -9.06 -10.01 -9.4969 3401100071 75.81 69.60.559 10.89 10.34 11.42 8.26 10.66 -6.21 -7.58 -8.51 -8.1967 3401300161 73.17 72.80.048 15.52 15.19 15.87 11.36 15.63 -0.37 0.9 -1.38 -0.535 3401500021 79.95 72.72 0.686 11.87 11.25 12.77 9.49 11.9 -7.23 -8.84 -9.91 -9.0570 3401700061 72.83 72.1 0.184 13.82 12.82 14.22 10.06 13.93 -0.74 -0.34 -1.96 -1.0143 3401900011 78.95 70.950.445 11.32 12.11 11.82 8.94 10.78 -8 -9.49 -10.58 -10.1361 3402100051 81.67 74.60.623 11.64 11.79 12.46 9.51 11.58 -7.08 -8.37 -9.45 -8.6663 3402300111 80.95 75.21 0.538 10.56 11.2 10.91 8.55 10.23 -5.75 -6.64 -7.57 -7.166 3402500051 78.3 86.960.535 14 14.31 12.68 10.97 13.98 8.66 11.33 9.86 11.0653 3402730011 81.13 68.430.454 16.56 16.85 17.67 13.44 15.76 -12.7 -14.74 -16.7 -15.6666 3402900061 82.81 72.44 0.52 14.41 15.41 15.06 11.93 13.77 -10.37 -11.57 -13.16 -12.5265 3403150011 76.24 69.61 0.331 15.37 14.18 16.47 11.72 15.34 -6.63 -8.32 -10.15 -8.747 3600100121 74.76 53.71 0.41 28.15 23.28 33.43 21.04 27.91 -21.04 -27.91 -33.43 -28.1536 3600500831 74.53 60.3 0.07 21.45 19.84 24.36 15.99 20.79 -14.23 -18.01 -21.82 -19.0936 3600501101 74.81 56.490.177 24.48 21.66 28.84 18.31 24.04 -18.31 -24.04 -28.84 -24.4832 3601300061 78.39 64.590.645 17.71 16.09 19.26 13.88 17.14 -13.8 -17.02 -19.14 -17.6163 3601300111 76.37 62.84 0.43 18.64 16.51 20.38 14.23 18.03 -13.53 -16.93 -19.31 -17.7255 3601500031 72.1 57.62 0.237 20.15 16.73 22.45 14.53 19.65 -14.48 -19.58 -22.38 -20.0846 3602700071 77.28 66.870.496 16.49 16.89 16.78 12.74 15.11 -10.41 -11.62 -13.47 -13.4836 3602900021 78.26 61.390.551 21.59 19.57 24.19 16.9 20.97 -16.88 -20.94 -24.17 -21.5662 3603100021 78.51 52.330.303 33.35 28.3 39.88 26.18 32.59 -26.18 -32.59 -39.88 -33.3537 3603100031 75.29 53.380.209 29.1 24.58 33.81 21.91 28.09 -21.91 -28.09 -33.81 -29.140 3604100051 72.88 56.380.345 22.64 18.5 25.17 16.5 21.87 -16.5 -21.87 -25.17 -22.6425 3604300051 73.02 61.42 0.04 17.99 14.9 19.46 13.13 17.54 -11.6 -15.15 -17.25 -15.8815 3604500021 76.66 61.340.335 21.2 19.85 23.56 16.25 20.45 -15.32 -19.01 -22.28 -19.9847 3605300061 71.32 56.140.337 21.28 16.8 23.42 15.18 20.62 -15.18 -20.62 -23.42 -21.28423605510041 78.31 65.730.362 17.33 16.79 18.49 13.57 16.4 -12.58 -14.85 -17 -16.0638

3606310061 76.74 66.470.301 15.73 15.12 16.71 12.07 14.99 -10.27 -12.28 -14.11 -13.3849 3606500042 73.48 57.930.422 21.16 17.33 23.67 15.55 20.77 -15.55 -20.77 -23.67 -21.1632 3606710151 75.97 59.370.286 22.05 19.03 24.5 16.75 21.28 -16.6 -21.03 -24.26 -21.8539 3607150011 72.48 64.360.156 15.89 14.73 16.67 11.52 15.07 -8.12 -9.91 -11.81 -11.228 3607900051 79.92 69.660.544 15.15 14.99 17.15 12.1 15.27 -10.26 -12.52 -14.59 -12.8448 3608100981 70.15 56.11 0.275 20.29 17.23 23.95 14.23 20.33 -14.05 -20.04 -23.67 -20.0230 3608101241 73.4 66.42 0.21 16.13 14.49 17.75 11.84 16.31 -6.97 -9.27 -11.51 -9.539 3608300041 77.83 58.360.301 25.02 22.86 28.16 19.48 23.95 -19.48 -23.95 -28.16 -25.0249 3608500671 77.98 77.040.512 10.2 10.14 10.26 7.96 10.16 -0.94 -0.94 -1.76 -1.2157 3609100041 75.6 58.62 0.533 22.46 18.59 25.62 16.98 22.23 -16.98 -22.23 -25.62 -22.4628 3609300031 72.69 58.040.413 20.73 16.98 23.46 15.07 20.51 -14.66 -19.84 -22.81 -20.1628 3610300021 75.86 72.870.104 18.87 18.17 19.07 14.32 19 -2.98 -2.11 -4.9 -3.9340 3610300041 75.18 84.150.353 16.27 14.85 15.29 12.23 16.85 8.97 12.67 10.81 11.9431 3610300092 78.98 71.70.527 13.54 13.07 14.79 10.69 13.58 -7.28 -8.97 -10.48 -9.2250 3611110051 71.92 59.760.184 18.24 14.67 19.79 13.12 17.74 -12.16 -16.42 -18.55 -16.9138 3611730011 81.32 70.830.444 14.47 14.11 15.19 11.77 13.82 -10.48 -12.03 -13.47 -12.8924 3611920041 80.67 68.250.287 19.8 19.54 22.44 15.97 19.86 -12.41 -14.57 -17.79 -15.3940 4200100021 74.52 65.72 0.334 13.8 12.41 14.54 10.28 13.33 -8.79 -11.02 -12.35 -11.856 4200300081 77.93 71.82 0.377 13.97 13.39 15.11 10.89 14.11 -6.11 -7.33 -8.98 -7.8452 4200300101 80.34 69.4 0.45 16.36 16.02 18.4 13.15 16.43 -10.94 -13.43 -15.71 -13.6260 4200300671 76.75 65.270.411 17.14 15.71 19.52 13.16 17.19 -11.47 -14.75 -17.22 -14.9566 4200310051 77.84 72.440.524 11.33 11.23 11.95 8.82 11.06 -5.4 -6.4 -7.49 -6.9356 4200500011 77.46 69.630.435 12.48 12.8 13.28 9.66 12.04 -7.83 -9.41 -10.76 -10.1154 4200700021 77.72 65.880.315 17.32 16.53 19.04 13.46 16.86 -11.85 -14.51 -16.81 -15.2464 4200700051 79.51 68.8 0.29 15.64 16.12 16.75 12.43 14.88 -10.71 -12.39 -14.38 -13.4756 4200700141 76.77 72.1 0.082 12.87 12.73 13.17 9.88 12.63 -4.66 -4.83 -6.15 -6.0845 4201100011 75.38 70.480.475 10.73 9.66 11.28 8.09 10.64 -4.9 -6.14 -7 -6.554 4201100091 75.79 73.540.456 10.54 8.95 10.73 7.99 10.57 -2.25 -2.3 -3.01 -2.9658 4201308011 75.46 66.060.294 14.04 14 15.71 10.6 13.86 -9.4 -12.18 -14.1 -12.4551 4201700121 80.26 74.74 0.57 12.04 12.55 12.66 9.66 11.85 -5.51 -6.29 -7.52 -6.8759 4202100111 73.76 68.680.348 12.94 11.67 14.04 9.54 13.02 -5.08 -6.72 -8.11 -6.8951 4202701001 72.98 64.290.227 13.94 13.36 14.96 10.18 13.39 -8.69 -11.26 -12.91 -11.9157 4202740001 74.63 62.360.369 16.8 15.05 18.24 12.53 16.26 -12.28 -15.86 -17.86 -16.4568 4202900501 76.84 67.790.556 12.92 12.11 14.03 9.93 12.72 -9.05 -11.53 -12.87 -11.7772 4202901001 79.82 68.050.612 15.78 14.62 17.01 12.6 15.38 -11.77 -14.26 -15.94 -14.7575 4203340001 76.07 62.81 0.377 18.29 16.36 20.28 13.91 17.91 -13.26 -16.91 -19.34 -17.43544204304011 74.8 73.150.444 10.36 9.82 10.31 7.75 10.17 -1.65 -1.37 -2.17 -2.2162

4204311001 75.96 69.750.467 11.89 11.54 12.48 9.03 11.63 -6.21 -7.51 -8.62 -8.1859 4204500021 78.06 70.650.514 13.03 12.56 14.13 10.17 13 -7.41 -9.07 -10.47 -9.569 4204900031 79.26 72.270.423 12.22 12.46 12.85 9.68 11.88 -6.99 -7.85 -9.12 -8.8243 4205500011 78.18 62.40.419 20.42 18.58 22.74 15.96 19.77 -15.78 -19.51 -22.49 -20.1888 4205900021 73.04 65.09 0.3 14.99 12.86 16.2 10.95 14.92 -7.95 -10.38 -12.03 -10.8862 4206901011 75.9 59.70.421 21.68 18.79 24.36 16.46 21.17 -16.2 -20.83 -24.03 -21.3458 4206920061 74.19 61.62 0.35 17.93 15.65 19.78 13.3 17.51 -12.57 -16.48 -18.8 -16.9447 4207100071 76.6 70.750.569 10.85 10.27 11.38 8.31 10.71 -5.85 -7.28 -8.19 -7.6465 4207300151 75.4 72.3 0.38 8.47 8.49 8.65 6.38 8.31 -3.1 -3.59 -4.17 -4.1141 4207700041 76.05 69.060.501 11.52 11.31 12.15 8.76 11.14 -6.99 -8.71 -9.83 -9.1962 4207911001 74.29 66.660.378 12.65 12.13 13.28 9.39 12.16 -7.63 -9.75 -11.01 -10.2744 4207911011 75.64 64.140.414 16.68 14.88 18.16 12.62 16.34 -11.51 -14.74 -16.67 -15.2149 4208101001 75.29 62.480.345 17.64 15.88 19.43 13.28 17.21 -12.81 -16.43 -18.69 -17.0151 4208140001 72.7 60.380.058 17.25 15.58 19.14 12.54 16.76 -12.32 -16.44 -18.82 -16.9542 4208501001 77.85 66.22 0.508 15.69 14.91 17.09 12.21 15.21 -11.63 -14.34 -16.23 -14.9459 4209100131 76.56 74.080.454 9.28 9.13 9.45 7.11 9.26 -2.48 -2.73 -3.45 -3.2461 4209500251 75.35 70.950.538 8.81 8.8 9.1 6.64 8.59 -4.4 -5.36 -6 -5.8456 4209580001 75.83 69.57 0.49 11.73 10.9 12.28 8.89 11.51 -6.26 -7.77 -8.79 -8.2651 4209903011 73.57 63.850.068 16.31 14.67 17.24 12 15.56 -9.72 -12.07 -13.93 -13.2155 4210100041 72.15 85.090.409 20.97 16.36 18.96 15.13 21.07 12.94 18.03 15.77 17.9422 4210100141 75.83 71.140.372 12.33 11.84 13.12 9.35 12.21 -4.69 -5.86 -7.14 -6.1856 4210100241 82.31 71.530.608 14.88 14.75 16.49 12.25 14.85 -10.79 -12.77 -14.56 -13.162 4210101361 76.11 78.790.367 10.75 10.31 10.72 8.19 10.98 2.68 4.34 3.4 3.5237 4211740001 74.08 57.260.222 22.7 19.31 25.26 16.82 21.88 -16.82 -21.88 -25.26 -22.756 4212500051 75.73 69.990.257 13.81 12.96 14.85 10.46 13.96 -5.73 -6.79 -8.34 -7.5757 4212502001 75.14 70.530.249 12.82 11.99 13.59 9.64 12.82 -4.61 -5.37 -6.67 -6.1449 4212550011 76.11 68.960.392 12.91 12.46 13.97 9.83 12.83 -7.15 -8.9 -10.31 -9.3960 4212900061 75.33 75.72 0.349 11.38 10.45 11.52 8.57 11.62 0.39 1.22 0.22 0.5241 4212900081 76.36 74.530.266 12.47 11.94 12.82 9.52 12.76 -1.83 -1.44 -2.74 -2.447 4213300081 74.26 69.70.565 10.05 9.54 10.46 7.46 9.9 -4.56 -5.63 -6.45 -6.1571 4400300021 77.9 75.670.484 10.62 10.31 10.71 8.27 10.53 -2.23 -1.82 -2.67 -2.8641 4400710101 77.59 74.040.502 10.7 10.23 11.3 8.3 10.82 -3.55 -4.25 -5.2 -4.5839 4400900071 76.9 83.330.247 14.39 13.95 13.68 11.07 14.89 6.42 9.41 7.78 8.3539 5000300041 70.88 59.230.163 17.19 15.16 18.71 12.18 16.5 -11.65 -15.67 -17.92 -16.4433 5000700071 74.79 56.1 0.217 24.99 20.7 28.16 18.69 24.15 -18.69 -24.15 -28.16 -24.9917 5101300201 78.52 70.480.636 13.42 12.6 14.45 10.54 13.36 -8.03 -9.79 -11.16 -10.23725103300011 70.82 68.380.193 12.14 10.42 12.44 8.6 12.07 -2.44 -2.94 -4.01 -3.4550

5103600021 77 67.40.488 14.95 14.15 15.75 11.51 14.33 -9.6 -11.37 -12.99 -12.4762 5104100041 74.22 65.480.227 15.81 14.04 16.83 11.74 15.41 -8.74 -10.99 -12.78 -11.7863 5105900051 73.99 64.550.471 13.88 12.94 15.32 10.27 13.71 -9.44 -12.57 -14.22 -12.7571 5105900181 77.35 74.560.535 11.13 10.82 11.15 8.61 11.02 -2.79 -2.63 -3.58 -3.6163 5105900301 78.01 71.560.582 12.34 12.02 12.74 9.62 11.99 -6.45 -7.42 -8.51 -8.2778 5105910051 77.95 71.61 0.593 12.1 11.53 12.69 9.43 11.88 -6.33 -7.5 -8.59 -8.1270 5105950011 74.21 77.690.305 13.05 13.08 12.66 9.68 13.54 3.49 5.59 4.06 4.753 5106100021 71.16 63.890.163 12.51 10.7 13.16 8.9 12.15 -7.27 -9.67 -10.8 -10.2253 5106900101 73.77 66.560.303 12.29 11.5 13.09 9.07 11.99 -7.21 -9.12 -10.37 -9.7758 5108500031 75.51 65.650.313 15.49 14.7 16.5 11.7 14.83 -9.86 -12.16 -13.96 -13.0678 5108700141 74.76 65.490.572 13.74 13.14 15.44 10.27 13.74 -9.28 -12.33 -14.09 -12.4171 5110710051 78.15 67.82 0.54 14.43 13.46 15.6 11.28 14.18 -10.33 -12.84 -14.34 -13.2285 5111300031 72.29 58.2 0.289 19.59 16.21 21.97 14.16 19.23 -14.09 -19.12 -21.86 -19.4972 5113900041 70.87 61.470.027 15.25 13.45 16.5 10.81 14.8 -9.4 -12.61 -14.44 -13.2644 5115300091 74.05 65.040.344 13.01 12.05 13.87 9.63 12.6 -9.01 -11.7 -12.99 -12.1669 5116110041 73.4 63.630.277 13.72 12.77 14.75 10.07 13.26 -9.78 -12.84 -14.34 -13.3264 5116300031 68.56 58.22 0.047 15.93 13.02 17.35 10.92 15.51 -10.34 -14.6 -16.48 -15.0949 5117900011 75.24 72.52 0.505 10 9.75 10.07 7.52 9.75 -2.73 -3.15 -3.92 -3.6264 5119700021 70.68 57.890.051 18.74 15.8 20.63 13.25 18.11 -12.79 -17.38 -19.92 -18.0959 5151000091 75.04 75.630.611 8.84 9.24 8.52 6.64 8.74 0.58 1.31 0.6 0.7858 5165000042 75.89 60.260.451 26.44 23.29 31.65 20.07 26.64 -15.63 -21.53 -27.12 -20.5954 5180000041 74.91 70.12 0.539 11.49 10.45 11.76 8.61 11.22 -4.8 -6.04 -6.95 -6.454 5180000051 75.11 63.02 0.224 17.72 15.85 19.34 13.31 17.12 -12.09 -15.25 -17.54 -16.147obs avg, ppbCMAQ avg, ppbR^2 NME, %RMSE, ppbFE, %MAGE, ppbMNGE, % MB, ppbMNB, %MFB, % NMB, %N

20020515 53.07 43.160.824 18.68 10.32 20.95 9.91 18.82 -9.91 -18.82 -20.95 -18.6821 20020516 64.09 52.060.594 18.77 13.17 21.2 12.03 18.75 -12.03 -18.75 -21.2 -18.7723 20020517 55.37 47.740.526 14.76 10.36 15.36 8.17 13.83 -7.63 -12.52 -14.1 -13.7921 20020518 44.18 41 0.433 17.55 10.94 17.37 7.75 15.64 -3.18 -4.32 -6.65 -7.2 5 20020519 45.11 43.430.326 5.22 3.26 5.36 2.36 5.14 -1.68 -3.56 -3.83 -3.7317 20020520 46.17 45.60.295 5.88 2.97 5.89 2.72 5.84 -0.56 -0.98 -1.18 -1.2217 20020521 44.23 45.350.401 6.73 4.15 6.81 2.98 6.75 1.12 2.46 2 2.5210 20020522 50.52 42.890.002 15.64 9.65 17.1 7.9 15.2 -7.63 -14.61 -16.52 -15.1123 20020523 64.56 55.650.083 14.64 10.37 15.84 9.45 14.49 -8.91 -13.62 -15 -13.8125 20020524 73.24 58.080.589 20.79 16.71 23.85 15.23 20.8 -15.16 -20.69 -23.74 -20.723 20020525 56.36 470.683 17.54 11.35 19.18 9.88 17.1 -9.37 -15.91 -18.03 -16.6221 20020526 54.65 54.450.331 13.76 11.57 12.9 7.52 13.8 -0.2 1.41 -0.6 -0.3619 20020527 56.34 52.140.304 10.03 7.56 10.58 5.65 9.75 -4.2 -6.98 -7.9 -7.4522 20020528 52.68 50.37 0.07 9.26 6.35 9.8 4.88 9.48 -2.31 -3.64 -4.44 -4.3919 20020529 52.95 51.42 0.288 10.02 6.42 10.11 5.31 9.89 -1.53 -1.95 -2.69 -2.921 20020530 52.06 53.490.257 10.83 6.77 10.6 5.64 11.17 1.43 4.04 3.14 2.7416 20020531 60.49 57.29 0.17 11.4 8.33 11.9 6.89 11.45 -3.2 -4.32 -5.31 -5.2922 20020601 64.03 52.16 0.75 18.54 13.23 21.45 11.87 18.9 -11.87 -18.9 -21.45 -18.5424 20020602 56.98 47.21 0.657 17.68 12.02 20.87 10.07 18.11 -9.77 -17.69 -20.46 -17.1521 20020603 51.78 41.090.724 20.64 12.21 22.54 10.69 19.86 -10.69 -19.86 -22.54 -20.6422 20020604 62.34 54.290.642 15.21 11.41 16.09 9.48 14.63 -8.05 -11.9 -13.47 -12.9223 20020605 64.12 60.51 0.628 11.92 9.26 12.49 7.64 12.11 -3.62 -4.41 -5.52 -5.6420 20020606 52.31 48.930.578 11.72 8.62 12.96 6.13 11.94 -3.38 -6.21 -7.67 -6.4515 20020607 51.03 46.11 0.158 10.69 8.59 11.68 5.45 10.32 -4.92 -9.19 -10.57 -9.6417 20020608 55.69 51.990.811 7.97 5.34 8.7 4.44 8.2 -3.7 -6.85 -7.42 -6.6522 20020609 67.64 60.290.705 12.21 9.77 12.73 8.26 11.82 -7.35 -10.17 -11.17 -10.8623 20020610 72.22 62.260.707 17.09 14.82 21.14 12.34 18.51 -9.96 -14.67 -17.66 -13.7919 20020611 85.56 72.82 0.694 14.98 15.28 17.69 12.81 15.45 -12.74 -15.35 -17.59 -14.8920 20020612 65.18 55.70.358 17.08 13.21 18.24 11.13 16.51 -9.48 -12.96 -15.01 -14.5517 20020613 49.55 49.030.007 17.91 10.29 18.25 8.87 18.5 -0.52 1.43 -0.85 -1.05 9 20020614 47.86 49.92 0.217 11.91 6.3 12.15 5.7 12.32 2.06 4.55 3.58 4.3110 20020615 47.71 48.930.281 7.55 4.49 7.26 3.6 7.48 1.22 2.74 2.33 2.5510 20020616 52.26 50.350.321 9.79 6.33 10.38 5.11 9.83 -1.91 -3.56 -4.4 -3.6512 20020617 52.36 45.93 0.84 12.29 7.23 13.37 6.43 12.3 -6.43 -12.3 -13.37 -12.2916 20020618 60.82 51.50.542 15.94 11.01 17.32 9.7 15.67 -9.32 -15.15 -16.81 -15.3217 20020619 61.2 54.030.152 17.43 12.26 18.84 10.67 17.49 -7.17 -9.74 -11.95 -11.722120020620 67.58 60.040.407 14.91 11.93 16.21 10.07 14.99 -7.54 -10.27 -11.94 -11.1626

20020621 76.99 64.08 0.44 17.6 15.06 19.44 13.55 17.42 -12.91 -16.6 -18.66 -16.7725 20020622 71.51 60.53 0.57 17.85 14.69 20.28 12.76 18.19 -10.99 -14.37 -16.82 -15.3623 20020623 68.95 63.780.763 12.11 9.75 13.69 8.35 13.08 -5.18 -6.52 -7.84 -7.5121 20020624 67.68 61.5 0.81 12.04 10.08 13.26 8.15 12.24 -6.17 -9.23 -10.42 -9.1220 20020625 72.32 63.79 0.64 16.49 14.6 17.57 11.93 16.21 -8.53 -9.95 -11.95 -11.822 20020626 68.06 64.02 0.48 14.55 12.72 14.46 9.9 13.69 -4.04 -4.83 -6.28 -5.9425 20020627 59.01 57.680.614 9.46 7.54 9.2 5.58 8.98 -1.33 -1.67 -2.34 -2.2524 20020628 48.37 50.730.652 9.47 5.61 9.19 4.58 9.59 2.35 4.88 4.23 4.8720 20020629 52.32 46.870.262 12.1 8.52 12.82 6.33 11.59 -5.44 -9.85 -11.13 -10.4115 20020630 64.32 57.160.648 13.72 10.33 14.81 8.83 13.6 -7.17 -10.69 -12.05 -11.1419 20020701 73.22 63.450.172 18.06 16.16 19.29 13.22 17.7 -9.77 -10.76 -13.28 -13.3519 20020702 73.41 69.230.656 11.47 10.43 12.36 8.42 11.73 -4.18 -4.78 -5.94 -5.6920 20020703 63.62 65.240.637 11.51 9.49 11.95 7.32 12.61 1.62 3.58 2.17 2.5523 20020704 66.32 62.550.484 13.71 13.04 13.15 9.09 12.43 -3.77 -5.33 -6.83 -5.6922 20020705 55.17 50.670.718 12.19 8.57 14.34 6.72 12.99 -4.51 -8.26 -9.9 -8.1715 20020706 20020707 20020708 20020709 20020710 56.83 53.950.515 12.7 9.31 14.15 7.21 13.07 -2.88 -5.29 -7.07 -5.0611 20020711 46.89 39.830.468 15.29 9 17.79 7.17 15.51 -7.05 -15.23 -17.51 -15.0415 20020712 59.18 47.070.579 20.47 14.09 23.34 12.12 20.13 -12.11 -20.12 -23.33 -20.4622 20020713 65.79 55.840.632 15.12 12.48 17.09 9.95 15.08 -9.95 -15.08 -17.09 -15.1222 20020714 61.86 56.840.632 12.59 9.68 13.3 7.79 12.52 -5.02 -7.61 -8.83 -8.1121 20020715 71.23 65.060.155 16.99 13.88 18.12 12.1 17.77 -6.17 -6.22 -8.46 -8.6720 20020716 66.71 56.21 0.632 19.65 14.81 23.62 13.11 20.81 -10.5 -15.83 -19.19 -15.7415 20020717 71.87 60.040.421 20.16 16.97 22.25 14.49 19.72 -11.83 -15.72 -18.72 -16.4622 20020718 74.07 64.470.635 17.98 15.04 19.5 13.32 18.28 -9.6 -11.22 -13.48 -12.9720 20020719 60.85 57.350.513 12.84 11.03 13.58 7.81 12.71 -3.49 -3.39 -5.15 -5.7419 20020720 58.2 51.92 0.52 16.64 10.52 18.5 9.68 17.14 -6.28 -10.19 -12.12 -10.7817 20020721 63.38 57.69 0.33 14.74 11.36 15.52 9.34 14.62 -5.69 -7.13 -8.72 -8.9723 20020722 70.43 62.90.289 15.04 14.26 15.34 10.6 14.04 -7.53 -8.81 -10.5 -10.6927 20020723 65.19 61.980.711 9.44 7.8 10.13 6.16 9.8 -3.22 -4.1 -4.91 -4.9321 20020724 48.2 44.51 0.153 17.96 10.52 20.32 8.65 18.46 -3.69 -6.98 -9.89 -7.6513 20020725 48.65 49.490.208 13.78 7.98 14.23 6.7 14.41 0.84 2.72 1.19 1.7314 20020726 51.08 50.580.087 16.72 11.32 17.95 8.54 17.79 -0.5 0.83 -1.97 -0.98 620020727 53.36 54.450.028 9.53 7.11 9.29 5.09 9.8 1.1 2.78 1.9 2.0512

20020728 52.42 55.41 0.488 11.87 7.64 11.42 6.22 12.25 2.99 6.8 5.72 5.721 20020729 56.31 57.830.414 12.73 9.8 11.99 7.17 12.56 1.52 4 2.67 2.720 20020730 56.58 56.52 0.477 9.24 7.91 8.78 5.23 9.1 -0.06 0.75 -0.12 -0.120 20020731 60.77 52.470.581 17.43 12.48 19.91 10.59 17.76 -8.3 -13.35 -15.87 -13.6620 20020801 63.98 55.86 0.71 14.46 10.84 15.89 9.25 14.48 -8.12 -12.58 -14.08 -12.6920 20020802 68.78 61.260.555 16.42 14.49 17.09 11.3 15.58 -7.52 -8.55 -10.72 -10.9320 20020803 64.88 60.39 0.43 13.89 11.08 14.46 9.01 13.61 -4.5 -5.9 -7.34 -6.9320 20020804 69.21 61.660.792 14.17 10.89 15.21 9.81 14.19 -7.55 -9.93 -11.26 -10.9122 20020805 60.4 59.1 0.504 13.88 10.54 14.85 8.39 14.99 -1.3 -1.47 -3.37 -2.1524 20020806 47.09 46.850.125 11 6.53 10.55 5.18 10.56 -0.25 0.51 -0.37 -0.52 7 20020807 42.47 35.42 0.019 16.6 8.1 18.45 7.05 16.45 -7.05 -16.45 -18.45 -16.6 9 20020808 47.06 38.02 0.448 20.11 10.69 23.69 9.46 20.46 -9.04 -19.57 -22.81 -19.2214 20020809 55.24 39.780.649 27.98 16.76 33.98 15.46 28.45 -15.46 -28.45 -33.98 -27.9818 20020810 71.85 53.640.709 25.44 19.84 30.43 18.28 25.81 -18.21 -25.72 -30.34 -25.3424 20020811 85.99 61.830.386 28.29 26.87 33.08 24.32 27.69 -24.16 -27.47 -32.86 -28.0927 20020812 85.46 61.980.462 27.55 26.39 33.18 23.54 27.6 -23.48 -27.54 -33.12 -27.4727 20020813 86.53 62.60.671 27.77 26.96 33.17 24.03 27.54 -23.93 -27.41 -33.04 -27.6527 20020814 89.73 69.540.554 23.52 23.21 26.77 21.1 23.3 -20.18 -21.91 -25.5 -22.528 20020815 71.74 58.230.526 19.95 17.46 21.25 14.31 18.57 -13.51 -17.13 -19.86 -18.8327 20020816 61.54 54.570.476 14.21 12.09 14.85 8.74 13.44 -6.97 -10.14 -11.78 -11.3224 20020817 55.83 52.260.748 9.29 6.18 9.42 5.19 9 -3.58 -5.54 -6.1 -6.4121 20020818 60.12 56.390.571 11.99 9.26 12.73 7.21 12.28 -3.74 -4.88 -6.22 -6.2123 20020819 59.32 57.70.575 11.76 8.5 12.17 6.98 12 -1.62 -0.96 -2.05 -2.7420 20020820 56.02 53.280.262 13.68 9.77 13.35 7.66 13.31 -2.74 -2.99 -4.39 -4.8917 20020821 68.04 54.570.434 20.05 15.81 22.25 13.64 19.47 -13.47 -19.14 -21.92 -19.818 20020822 68.31 60.81 0.224 17.92 14.6 18.64 12.24 17.47 -7.51 -8.2 -10.38 -10.9924 20020823 61.71 56.71 0.47 14.95 11.29 14.52 9.23 13.87 -5 -5.56 -6.93 -8.114 20020824 53.98 54.160.088 16.55 12.83 16.87 8.94 17.09 0.17 3.04 -0.04 0.3215 20020825 48.61 48.5 0.1 9.49 8.45 9.6 4.61 9.1 -0.11 1.07 -0.24 -0.2218 20020826 48.86 45.630.237 15.3 9.79 16.59 7.48 15.72 -3.22 -6.18 -8.56 -6.619 20020827 56.22 49.030.475 14.76 9.58 15.54 8.3 14.24 -7.19 -11.53 -13.01 -12.7912 20020828 47.61 43.380.165 12.18 7 12.41 5.8 11.55 -4.23 -7.88 -8.85 -8.89 9 20020829 45.35 34.790.496 23.29 13.78 27.06 10.56 22.1 -10.56 -22.1 -27.06 -23.29 3 20020830 46.42 40.59 0 14.98 10.1 16.01 6.95 13.82 -5.83 -11.36 -13.6 -12.5610 20020831 49.69 41 0.309 21.51 14.48 24.16 10.69 20.11 -8.68 -15.45 -19.78 -17.4810 20020901 54.16 37.28 1 31.17 22.92 34.55 16.88 26.37 -16.88 -26.37 -34.55 -31.17 220020902 48.96 46.340.035 17.38 11.67 17.61 8.51 16.46 -2.62 -3.26 -5.64 -5.36 7

20020903 58.16 59.480.615 10.76 8.5 11.06 6.26 10.95 1.32 1.81 0.7 2.2719 20020904 61.03 66.430.495 14.35 10.6 14.6 8.76 16.03 5.4 11.18 9.33 8.8518 20020905 51.9 49.130.721 8.78 5.81 8.87 4.56 8.51 -2.78 -4.87 -5.4 -5.3515 20020906 50.87 46.41 0.375 12.81 8.82 13.29 6.52 12.21 -4.46 -8.13 -9.39 -8.7724 20020907 61.43 56.160.363 14.79 11.79 15.18 9.08 14.27 -5.27 -7.84 -9.58 -8.5826 20020908 67.35 59.31 0.429 15.75 13.4 16.6 10.61 15.01 -8.04 -10.32 -12.21 -11.9425 20020909 73.63 63.12 0.462 17.39 15.58 19.5 12.8 17.6 -10.51 -13.45 -15.89 -14.2725 20020910 79.52 64.830.461 20.61 19.54 23.64 16.39 20.47 -14.69 -17.74 -21.09 -18.4825 20020911 55.99 55.160.213 18.26 12.42 18.5 10.22 18.54 -0.83 2.47 0.17 -1.4820 20020912 46.43 49.50.696 10.14 5.17 9.85 4.71 10.36 3.07 7.57 6.95 6.6214 20020913 64.24 56.82 0.697 12.59 9.03 13.21 8.09 12.28 -7.42 -11.12 -12.1 -11.5525 20020914 64.43 60.80.063 19.82 15.15 20.37 12.77 19.74 -3.63 -1.99 -4.81 -5.6322 20020915 48.85 53.250.255 20.23 12.65 17.98 9.88 19.81 4.4 13.21 10.43 9 8 20020916 53.57 50.640.045 11.39 7.96 11.89 6.1 11.15 -2.92 -4.6 -5.73 -5.4613 20020917 56.09 55.740.605 7.42 5.29 7.4 4.16 7.37 -0.36 0.34 -0.09 -0.6318 20020918 58.45 52.460.232 15.64 12.2 15.96 9.14 14.8 -5.99 -7.65 -9.49 -10.2418 20020919 56.38 55.570.498 9.08 6.4 9.08 5.12 9.08 -0.81 -0.43 -1.05 -1.4325 20020920 54.3 55.750.127 12.92 8.12 12.88 7.02 13.38 1.45 4.55 3.36 2.6724 20020921 49.06 52.270.371 8.72 5.52 8.61 4.28 9.26 3.21 7.2 6.51 6.5516 20020922 44.48 45.630.174 9.05 5.02 8.97 4.02 9.23 1.15 2.79 2.13 2.59 9 20020923 43.82 56.440.031 29.7 14.62 25.88 13.02 30.93 12.61 30.21 25.14 28.7811 20020924 50.81 57.430.085 13.03 8.3 12.33 6.62 13.7 6.62 13.7 12.33 13.0316 20020925 49.33 53.22 0.179 9.39 5.71 9.3 4.63 10.01 3.89 8.57 7.83 7.8917 20020926 46.98 51.1 0.098 13.62 7.71 12.65 6.4 13.81 4.13 9.47 8.18 8.78 4 20020927 20020928 44.97 48.19 0.13 7.6 4.72 7.23 3.42 7.76 3.22 7.35 6.81 7.1611 20020929 49.04 47.09 0 11.59 6.62 12.01 5.68 11.8 -1.95 -3.32 -4.29 -3.9812obs avg, ppbCMAQ avg, ppbR^2 NME, %RMSE, ppbFE, %MAGE, ppbMNGE, % MB, ppbMNB, %MFB, % NMB, %

castABT147 63.78 60.11 0.759 11.79 9.22 12.3 7.52 11.84 -3.67 -4.53 -5.58 -5.75 castACA416 59.85 58.44 0.54 14.19 11.14 14.63 8.49 14.71 -1.41 -0.35 -2.18 -2.36 castARE128 70.62 59.240.608 17.62 15.6 18.36 12.44 16.42 -11.38 -14.27 -16.42 -16.12 castASH135 51.14 39.440.509 23.6 14.26 26.19 12.07 22.56 -11.7 -21.69 -25.38 -22.88 castBEL116 67.66 66.080.734 11.57 9.81 12.09 7.83 11.99 -1.58 -1.1 -2.2 -2.34 castBWR139 66.64 61.530.629 12.48 10.69 12.86 8.32 12.11 -5.1 -6 -7.2 -7.65 castCDR119 54.48 54.930.251 14.2 9.82 13.87 7.74 14.2 0.45 2.92 1.35 0.82 castCAT175 60.12 49.660.969 17.39 12.04 17.99 10.45 16.39 -10.45 -16.39 -17.99 -17.39 castCTH110 60.24 49.980.422 18.63 14.88 19.29 11.22 16.97 -10.26 -14.86 -17.29 -17.03 castHOW132 52.43 44.440.365 20.64 12.56 22.17 10.82 20.05 -7.99 -13.59 -16.42 -15.24 castHWF187 54.47 50.41 0.311 15.11 10.31 15.06 8.23 14.53 -4.06 -5.25 -6.84 -7.45 castKEF112 57.8 52.390.543 14.33 10.81 14.61 8.29 13.76 -5.42 -7.47 -9.01 -9.37 castLRL117 59.58 58.970.564 11.86 8.79 12.07 7.06 12.01 -0.61 0.04 -1.08 -1.02 castLYE145 70.87 52.370.538 26.1 21.81 29.33 18.5 24.79 -18.5 -24.79 -29.33 -26.1 castMKG113 60.9 56.650.764 11.61 8.91 12.04 7.07 11.47 -4.25 -5.41 -6.42 -6.99 castPAR107 56.75 55.63 0.38 12.49 9.28 12.51 7.09 12.55 -1.12 -0.36 -1.7 -1.98 castPED108 59.93 54.750.413 13.04 10.38 13.15 7.81 12.32 -5.19 -6.69 -7.99 -8.66 castPSU106 63.94 55.440.551 16.04 13.35 16.51 10.26 15.01 -8.51 -11.27 -13.12 -13.3 castSHN418 63.23 54.61 0.449 15.87 12.85 16.51 10.03 14.88 -8.61 -11.81 -13.68 -13.62 castVPI120 62.58 54.180.428 15.81 12.83 16.08 9.9 14.5 -8.4 -11.3 -13.07 -13.42 castWSP144 66.28 62.51 0.71 12.56 11.11 12.81 8.33 12.62 -3.77 -3.21 -4.58 -5.69 castWST109 53.24 48.60.267 16.32 10.28 16.87 8.69 15.81 -4.64 -7.36 -9.13 -8.72 airmap_cs1 52.92 48.41 0.38 13.55 9.24 14.03 7.17 13.07 -4.51 -7.29 -8.74 -8.52 airmap_is1 67.82 66.060.576 17.19 14.7 17.41 11.66 17.55 -1.77 -0.18 -2.56 -2.6 airmap_mw1 61.12 43.8 0.48 28.85 19.9 34.28 17.63 28.33 -17.32 -27.6 -33.61 -28.34 airmap_tf1 56.9 57.560.707 12.24 8.32 12.68 6.96 12.95 0.66 2.22 1.02 1.16 harvard_f1 62.01 50.59 0.69 19.61 16.08 20.99 12.16 18.19 -11.42 -16.59 -19.5 -18.42 pinnacle01 57.98 50.270.499 14.68 11.29 15.35 8.51 13.78 -7.71 -12.03 -13.71 -13.29N94

64 120 44 120 120 101 7 99 49 49 110 111 45 100 110 113 117 125 123 115 46 59 56 111 69 57 110obs avg, ppbCMAQ avg, ppbR^2 NME, %RMSE, ppbFE, %MAGE, ppbMNGE, % MB, ppbMNB, %MFB, % NMB, %N

20020515 62.68 52.92 0.999 15.57 10.64 17.03 9.76 15.46 -9.76 -15.46 -17.03 -15.57 3 20020516 66.5 53.75 0.71 19.18 13.76 22.09 12.75 19.5 -12.75 -19.5 -22.09 -19.1819 20020517 66.52 52.58 0.33 20.96 15.44 24.13 13.94 20.94 -13.94 -20.94 -24.13 -20.96 8 20020518 20020519 20020520 20020521 20020522 20020523 65.78 56.140.052 15.38 10.93 16.79 10.12 15.31 -9.63 -14.56 -16.07 -14.6421 20020524 75.73 59.080.703 21.99 17.73 25.78 16.65 22.39 -16.65 -22.39 -25.78 -21.9920 20020525 68.49 54.730.435 20.09 14.57 22.73 13.76 20.13 -13.76 -20.13 -22.73 -20.09 9 20020526 69.22 62.62 0.25 10.54 10.14 11.5 7.29 10.41 -6.59 -9.24 -10.36 -9.53 6 20020527 63.87 57.150.027 11.78 9.32 12.7 7.52 11.58 -6.72 -10.31 -11.46 -10.52 7 20020528 20020529 63 55.31 0.759 12.22 8.12 13.25 7.7 12.32 -7.7 -12.32 -13.25 -12.22 5 20020530 67.38 60.35 1 10.42 7.08 10.95 7.02 10.38 -7.02 -10.38 -10.95 -10.42 2 20020531 65.58 59.180.111 11.62 9.1 12.63 7.62 11.62 -6.4 -9.69 -10.74 -9.7613 20020601 69.93 57.550.666 17.7 13.91 20.56 12.38 18.09 -12.38 -18.09 -20.56 -17.716 20020602 67.62 57.960.705 15.41 12.55 18.07 10.42 15.84 -9.66 -14.85 -17.1 -14.29 7 20020603 69.98 51.990.921 25.72 18.37 29.5 18 25.65 -18 -25.65 -29.5 -25.72 4 20020604 70.32 59.440.378 16.68 13.42 18.18 11.73 16.34 -10.88 -15.07 -16.96 -15.4815 20020605 71.23 64.390.651 12.01 9.97 13.19 8.55 12.18 -6.84 -9.84 -10.93 -9.614 20020606 67.46 62.21 0.436 11.8 12.72 14.26 7.96 12.08 -5.25 -8.21 -10.54 -7.79 4 20020607 20020608 64.68 59.72 0.896 7.66 5.36 7.92 4.95 7.57 -4.95 -7.57 -7.92 -7.66 5 20020609 74.24 64.290.658 13.4 11.09 14.7 9.95 13.48 -9.95 -13.48 -14.7 -13.416 20020610 82.1 73 0.33 14.05 14.57 15.19 11.53 13.96 -9.1 -10.14 -11.79 -11.0813 20020611 85.56 72.82 0.694 14.98 15.28 17.69 12.81 15.45 -12.74 -15.35 -17.59 -14.8920 20020612 73.14 57.9 0.54 20.84 16.47 23.93 15.24 20.95 -15.24 -20.95 -23.93 -20.8410 20020613 20020614 20020615 20020616 20020617 62.75 54.42 0.545 13.27 8.87 14.46 8.33 13.34 -8.33 -13.34 -14.46 -13.27 5 20020618 67.1 56.260.167 17.22 13.22 19.22 11.55 17.1 -10.84 -16.11 -18.26 -16.16 9 20020619 67.12 55.350.267 17.53 12.87 19.43 11.76 17.41 -11.76 -17.41 -19.43 -17.531420020620 72.61 62.190.385 14.45 12.5 16.06 10.49 14.41 -10.42 -14.3 -15.96 -14.3520

20020621 76.99 64.08 0.44 17.6 15.06 19.44 13.55 17.42 -12.91 -16.6 -18.66 -16.7725 20020622 75.45 62.840.575 16.98 14.85 19.04 12.81 16.91 -12.61 -16.62 -18.76 -16.7120 20020623 80.14 72.57 0.84 10.01 9.42 11.36 8.02 10.48 -7.57 -9.95 -10.84 -9.4513 20020624 77.39 70.870.654 11.56 10.86 12.33 8.95 11.59 -6.52 -8 -8.97 -8.4313 20020625 80.39 69.12 0.52 17.33 16.48 19.2 13.93 17.21 -11.27 -13.15 -15.44 -14.0216 20020626 77.35 70.830.196 15.39 14.69 16.07 11.9 14.76 -6.52 -7.73 -9.42 -8.4216 20020627 72.6 68.62 0.166 12.48 10.96 13.25 9.06 12.47 -3.98 -4.96 -6.15 -5.48 8 20020628 20020629 64.78 47.91 1 26.04 17.16 30.4 16.87 26.2 -16.87 -26.2 -30.4 -26.04 2 20020630 71.99 62.090.443 14.42 12.09 16.09 10.38 14.43 -9.89 -13.72 -15.4 -13.7412 20020701 77.5 64.240.186 18.13 16.81 19.91 14.05 17.5 -13.26 -16.3 -18.76 -17.1116 20020702 77.58 71.730.646 10.58 10.53 11.36 8.21 10.44 -5.85 -7.36 -8.41 -7.5417 20020703 72.43 71.780.776 8.18 7.24 8.37 5.92 8.2 -0.65 -1.37 -1.9 -0.914 20020704 75.07 70.32 0.146 15.78 15.52 15.68 11.84 14.95 -4.75 -6.1 -7.96 -6.3314 20020705 68.4 64.80.687 6.76 6.28 6.55 4.63 6.25 -3.6 -4.68 -5 -5.26 6 20020706 20020707 20020708 20020709 20020710 69.84 68.590.632 14.24 10.59 14.48 9.95 14.55 -1.25 -0.81 -2.02 -1.79 3 20020711 20020712 67.55 53.32 0.335 21.06 15.58 24.26 14.23 21.08 -14.23 -21.08 -24.26 -21.0612 20020713 71.37 59.930.501 16.03 13.92 18.64 11.44 16.31 -11.44 -16.31 -18.64 -16.0316 20020714 72.4 65.31 0.388 12.7 11.12 13.77 9.19 12.61 -7.09 -9.78 -11.01 -9.7911 20020715 76.77 66.240.324 16 13.65 17.57 12.28 15.98 -10.52 -13.37 -15.09 -13.7115 20020716 77.44 64.52 0.617 16.69 14.89 18.95 12.92 16.8 -12.92 -16.8 -18.95 -16.69 9 20020717 77.56 64.660.061 20.83 18.09 23.53 16.16 20.99 -12.9 -16.11 -19.22 -16.6318 20020718 83.16 69.660.632 16.84 15.48 18.58 14.01 16.68 -13.51 -15.86 -17.79 -16.2415 20020719 75.68 66.280.454 12.42 12.57 12.95 9.4 11.66 -9.4 -11.66 -12.95 -12.42 8 20020720 68.73 58.61 0.763 15.55 11.52 17.41 10.69 15.8 -10.12 -15.09 -16.7 -14.72 8 20020721 70.81 60.670.176 14.91 12.72 16.25 10.56 14.57 -10.15 -13.96 -15.65 -14.3315 20020722 75.95 65.02 0.197 16.01 15.95 16.9 12.16 15.04 -10.93 -13.23 -15.19 -14.3920 20020723 73.45 68.090.729 8.65 8.43 9.2 6.35 8.54 -5.36 -7.39 -8.09 -7.312 20020724 20020725 2002072620020727 61.19 58.83 1 4.64 3.69 4.78 2.84 4.6 -2.35 -3.79 -3.98 -3.85 2

20020728 66.75 67.48 0 9.82 7.8 9.75 6.55 10.11 0.73 1.51 0.81 1.09 5 20020729 71.66 66.2 0.393 12.08 10.2 13.1 8.66 12.25 -5.46 -7.69 -8.83 -7.62 6 20020730 69.29 62.660.703 9.57 8.21 10.43 6.63 9.64 -6.63 -9.64 -10.43 -9.57 5 20020731 71.27 60.74 0.16 15.87 13.58 17.26 11.31 15.4 -10.53 -14.16 -16.05 -14.7811 20020801 72.02 61.70.718 15.68 12.94 17.91 11.29 16.02 -10.32 -14.87 -16.79 -14.3312 20020802 76.9 65.170.511 17.35 16.1 19.45 13.35 17.03 -11.74 -15.15 -17.64 -15.2615 20020803 73.58 66.540.309 14.4 12.82 15.42 10.6 14.08 -7.04 -9.34 -10.95 -9.5611 20020804 76.15 66.65 0.79 14.07 11.64 15.41 10.72 14.25 -9.51 -12.25 -13.56 -12.4916 20020805 69.29 65.280.811 10.65 9.26 11.46 7.38 10.66 -4 -6.59 -7.6 -5.7813 20020806 20020807 20020808 20020809 67.63 50.440.206 25.42 19.89 31.02 17.19 25.62 -17.19 -25.62 -31.02 -25.42 6 20020810 77.86 58.39 0.47 25.13 21.11 29.71 19.56 25.27 -19.47 -25.16 -29.59 -25.0119 20020811 87.11 62.53 0.33 28.41 27.26 33.34 24.75 27.87 -24.58 -27.64 -33.12 -28.2226 20020812 85.46 61.980.462 27.55 26.39 33.18 23.54 27.6 -23.48 -27.54 -33.12 -27.4727 20020813 90.77 64.840.673 28.66 28.39 35.23 26.01 29.13 -25.93 -29.04 -35.14 -28.5724 20020814 89.73 69.540.554 23.52 23.21 26.77 21.1 23.3 -20.18 -21.91 -25.5 -22.528 20020815 80.35 62.070.422 23.37 20.69 26.48 18.78 22.94 -18.27 -22.26 -25.83 -22.7418 20020816 75.48 65.02 0.004 15.44 16.08 16.75 11.65 14.6 -10.46 -12.81 -15.02 -13.8610 20020817 66.9 60.260.231 10.63 8.03 11.25 7.11 10.51 -6.64 -9.79 -10.54 -9.93 8 20020818 71.44 63.750.555 12.68 10.76 14.3 9.06 13.01 -7.69 -10.91 -12.31 -10.7711 20020819 71.32 65.090.631 9.54 8.3 9.89 6.81 9.27 -6.23 -8.49 -9.13 -8.73 9 20020820 70.05 57.390.864 18.07 12.8 19.88 12.66 18.06 -12.66 -18.06 -19.88 -18.07 5 20020821 73.08 58.080.147 20.53 17.2 22.89 15 19.97 -15 -19.97 -22.89 -20.5313 20020822 75.95 63.040.072 18.5 16.22 20.29 14.05 18 -12.91 -16.42 -18.81 -1717 20020823 76.53 62.090.294 18.87 15.23 20.66 14.44 18.57 -14.44 -18.57 -20.66 -18.87 6 20020824 65.13 56.30.647 17.42 14.87 21.14 11.35 17.73 -8.83 -14.27 -17.86 -13.55 6 20020825 62.38 47.09 1 24.87 21.78 32.49 15.51 24.6 -15.29 -24.23 -32.12 -24.51 2 20020826 66.06 57.64 1 12.75 8.55 13.66 8.42 12.76 -8.42 -12.76 -13.66 -12.75 2 20020827 64.58 54.440.253 15.69 10.47 16.99 10.13 15.59 -10.13 -15.59 -16.99 -15.69 5 20020828 20020829 20020830 20020831 2002090120020902

20020903 64.63 67.860.014 8.52 7.68 8.13 5.51 8.72 3.23 5.33 4.65 510 20020904 69.79 69.22 0.67 7.86 7.52 7.83 5.49 7.64 -0.57 -1.1 -1.65 -0.8110 20020905 72.44 61.11 1 15.64 11.84 16.82 11.33 15.43 -11.33 -15.43 -16.82 -15.64 2 20020906 72.52 55.46 1.002 23.52 20.57 25.3 17.06 21.58 -17.06 -21.58 -25.3 -23.52 2 20020907 68.94 60.080.063 15.77 12.99 17.62 10.87 15.77 -8.86 -12.67 -14.71 -12.8516 20020908 75.39 64.550.127 17.85 15.83 19.62 13.46 17.42 -10.84 -13.34 -15.71 -14.3816 20020909 77.31 65.340.478 16.63 15.92 18.78 12.85 16.51 -11.97 -15.31 -17.61 -15.4821 20020910 83.64 67.350.387 21.01 20.54 24.75 17.57 21.24 -16.3 -19.65 -23.25 -19.4822 20020911 70.82 59.850.072 15.78 14.8 17.27 11.17 15.06 -10.97 -14.71 -16.92 -15.48 8 20020912 20020913 68.56 59.50.536 13.53 10.02 14.65 9.28 13.49 -9.06 -13.15 -14.31 -13.2219 20020914 74.45 61.05 0.21 22.18 18.05 25.12 16.52 22.17 -13.4 -17.4 -20.77 -1812 20020915 20020916 61.32 49.870.189 18.68 12.06 20.81 11.45 18.65 -11.45 -18.65 -20.81 -18.68 3 20020917 66.85 61.460.126 9.52 7.57 10.03 6.36 9.4 -5.39 -7.99 -8.65 -8.06 5 20020918 69.81 57.32 0.004 18.31 16.19 19.97 12.78 17.37 -12.49 -16.95 -19.56 -17.9 8 20020919 65.94 59.290.453 10.07 7.7 10.53 6.64 9.85 -6.64 -9.85 -10.53 -10.07 9 20020920 65.47 58.58 0 13.47 9.41 14.31 8.82 13.36 -6.89 -10.43 -11.51 -10.52 6 20020921 20020922 20020923 20020924 20020925 20020926 20020927 20020928 20020929obs avg, ppbCMAQ avg, ppbR^2 NME, %RMSE, ppbFE, %MAGE, ppbMNGE, % MB, ppbMNB, %MFB, % NMB, %N

castABT147 77.25 70.11 0.686 11.97 10.95 12.96 9.24 12 -7.14 -9.29 -10.38 -9.2448 castACA416 76.42 69.40.313 12.1 12.27 12.74 9.24 11.63 -7.02 -8.45 -9.7 -9.1826 castARE128 79.1 63.870.434 19.66 18.06 21.38 15.55 18.87 -15.23 -18.38 -20.91 -19.2582 castASH135 69.63 47.55 0.38 31.71 23.35 37.24 22.08 31.09 -22.08 -31.09 -37.24 -31.71 9 castBEL116 78.52 74.740.631 10.69 10.25 11.25 8.39 10.8 -3.78 -4.38 -5.27 -4.8275 castBWR139 75.67 66.970.508 13.29 12.43 14.29 10.06 12.98 -8.7 -11.13 -12.51 -11.576 castCDR119 68.84 60.450.074 15.37 12.16 16.67 10.58 15.31 -8.39 -11.85 -13.56 -12.1929 castCAT175 70 56.430.974 19.39 14.95 20.62 13.57 18.57 -13.57 -18.57 -20.62 -19.39 4 castCTH110 72.63 55.15 0.12 24.06 20.53 26.89 17.48 22.97 -17.48 -22.97 -26.89 -24.0645 castHOW132 69.66 51.360.694 26.27 19.01 30.44 18.3 26.18 -18.3 -26.18 -30.44 -26.2712 castHWF187 69.5 56.670.153 18.46 14.42 20.25 12.83 18.04 -12.83 -18.04 -20.25 -18.4615 castKEF112 72.39 60.560.221 16.64 14.44 17.99 12.05 16.03 -11.83 -15.7 -17.67 -16.3444 castLRL117 71.87 68.280.255 11.24 9.83 11.9 8.08 11.34 -3.59 -4.6 -5.61 -548 castLYE145 78.74 56.880.281 27.76 24.7 32.1 21.86 26.93 -21.86 -26.93 -32.1 -27.7632 castMKG113 75.99 67.270.594 12.05 11.26 12.86 9.15 11.74 -8.73 -11.12 -12.25 -11.4844 castPAR107 68.5 62.650.156 12.23 10.25 13.01 8.38 12.07 -5.84 -8.26 -9.42 -8.5343 castPED108 69.89 58.630.207 16.35 13.7 17.76 11.43 15.82 -11.26 -15.55 -17.5 -16.1154 castPSU106 75.14 61.830.259 18.39 16.72 20.03 13.82 17.65 -13.31 -16.89 -19.31 -17.7264 castSHN418 72.29 58.2 0.289 19.59 16.21 21.97 14.16 19.23 -14.09 -19.12 -21.86 -19.4972 castVPI120 71.91 57.65 0.15 19.83 16.44 21.89 14.26 19.18 -14.26 -19.18 -21.89 -19.8369 castWSP144 80.32 71.740.555 12.31 12.73 12.92 9.88 11.86 -8.58 -10.05 -11.23 -10.6864 castWST109 67.11 54.940.197 21.61 15.18 24.27 14.5 21.66 -12.17 -18.12 -21.04 -18.1411 airmap_cs1 66.33 54.88 0.35 17.4 13.12 19.62 11.54 17.4 -11.46 -17.27 -19.49 -17.2716 airmap_is1 84.46 76.780.419 15.1 15.56 15.73 12.75 14.63 -7.68 -8.13 -9.81 -9.0930 airmap_mw1 71.98 49.280.488 31.54 24.3 38.32 22.7 31.42 -22.7 -31.42 -38.32 -31.5451 airmap_tf1 76.18 72.950.717 8.32 7.5 8.76 6.34 8.48 -3.23 -4 -4.53 -4.2420 harvard_f1 78.72 60.980.489 22.71 21.28 25.29 17.88 21.66 -17.74 -21.44 -25.08 -22.5327 pinnacle01 69.67 56.580.091 18.79 15.44 20.8 13.09 18.29 -13.09 -18.29 -20.8 -18.7946