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## Information Resources

Notices & Rules 

# Commercial Clothes Washers The Department held an informal public meeting on April 27, 2006, to discuss and receive comments on issues to be addressed in the Framework Document for establishing energy conservation standards for residential electric and gas ranges and ovens and microwave ovens, dishwashers, dehumidifiers, and commercial clothes washers. The Department is also initiating the data collection. Written comments on these subjects are encouraged and should be received by May 11, 2006.
Priority Setting For information related to the April 27, 2006, meeting, visit the Home 2006 Schedule Setting Appliances Public Meeting webpage.

Public Workshops& Some of the following documents are available as Adobe Acrobat PDF5. Hearings Download Acrobat Reader. 

# State Petitions Life-Cycle Costand Payback Period Useful Links Commercial Equipment ASHP.AE Products Clothes Washers Distribution Transformers Electric Motors Furnaces& Boilers High Intensity Discharge Lamps Refrigerated Beverage 

## • Draft Commercial Clothes Washer LCC Spreadsheet (MS Excel 486 KB) 

# National Energy Savings and Shipments • Draft Commercial Clothes Washer NES Spreadsheet (MS Excel 712 KB)



# Framework Document Rulemaking Framework for Commercial Clothes Washers and Residential Dishwashers, Dehumidifiers, and Cooking Products, March 15, 2006 (PDF 402 KB)
Vending Machines Energy Conservation Standard Rulemaking Refrigeration Equipment • Notice of public workshop and availability of Framework Document, Small Electric Motors Federal Register, March 27, 2006 (PDF 70 KB) Unitary Air Conditioners & Heat Pumps WaterHeaters 

## Residential Products 

# Contact Information Bryan Berringer Project Manager (202)586-0371

Printable Version

Webmaster I Security & Privacy I Building Technologies Program Home I EERE Home U.S. Department of Energy Content Last Updated: 12/04/2006

# NU Sample Calc

Energy Price Trend

Start Year
Cycles f day

Lifetime

Level 

### r_ CB Simulation

AEO2006 Reference

Avg Values (MF=3.4, Lndmt=6.0)

Multi-Family 11.25 Laundromat 7.125 

### rears

Efficiency Level MEF cu.ft./kWh/cyc 0 DOE Standard(effective 2007) 1.26 1 CEE Tier1 1.42

Level Efficiency Level Water Factor gal /cuff 9.50 9.50 Installed

Price

$924 $1,047

Water Installed MEF Factor Price cu. ft./kWh/cyc gat / cu. ft $ 0 DOE Standard (effective 2007) 1.26 9.50 $924 1 CEE Tier 1 1.42 9.50 $1,047

Multi-Fatuity Appticalfon:SampleCale account

Level EfficiencyLevel MEF 1 CEE Tier 1 1.42 $38 2 CEE Tier 2 1.60 $156 3 2007 ENERGY STAR 1.72 $199 4 CEE Tier 3A 1.80 $238 5 Added based on Stakeholder 2.00 $391 6 Max Available 2.20 $373 0 $38 $156 $199 $238 $391 $373from Usage or User Input

cycles / day
Engineering Data from Energy & Water Use : from Equipment Price :

from Discount Rate :
from EnergvlWater Prices and Energy/Water Price Trends : 2012 Electricity Price 2012 Gas Price 2012 Water Price

Annual Energy Use (incl WH) Annual Elec kWh 1010 917 838 795 768 695 656 Gas Water

MMBtu 1000 gal. 7.29 33.1 6.37 33.1 5.48 29.7 5.01 27.9 4.74 26.2 4.27 19.2 3.74 17.8

Annual EnergyUse (incl WH )Annual Elec Gas Water kWh MMBtu 1000gal. 291 18.74 58.3 291 16.45 58.3 250 14.46 52.1 250 13.32 49.1 250 12.65 46.0 250 11.33 33.7 250 10.10 31.3

1 2 3

$118 $161 $43 $200 $82 $39 $353 $236 $192 $335 $217 $174 Multi-Family

3.4 Laundromat

6.0

Energy and Water Use Installed Prices

Discount rate 51%

Multi-Family Laundromat ( in 2006$) $0.075 $0.075 $/kWh $9.42 $9.42 $/MMBtu $2.80 $2.76 $ /1000 gal

$4,225 $4,125 $3,912 $3,818 $3,742 $3,472 $3,443 Energy Water Annual Cumulative Life LCC Price Oper. Cost Payback Cost Cost Oper. Cost Cash Flow Cycle Cost Savings Increase Saving Period $l year ; ' ye- S V. year $ $ $ $ $ year $180 $93 $273 $161 $93 $2253 $143 $63 $226 $133 $78 $211 $127 $73 $201 ,4,115 $54 $169 $105 $50 $155

Energy Cost / year $198 $177 $155 $144 $138 $125 $115 Water Annual

Cost Oper. Cost S; year $161 $i61 £14' $ 535 $127 $93....'. $86

$153 $135 -$18 S /Dear 339 $337 $299 

# $280 $265 $218 $200 Cumulative Multi-Family Laundromat Cycles /year 1246 2190

Water Heating Fuel Shares Electric 203 056 Gas 80'- 100".
Clothes Dryer Fuel Shares Electric 40', 0°6 Gas 60', 100`.6 Seeree for WF! & Drier Fue! Shares: Commercial, Family-Sized 0Nash.rs An Initiative Desrripiicn of the Co' ,s $um fcr Enorm Effvencv. 1990 GCE.

$3,288 $3,250 $3,132 $3,089 $3,050 $2.897 $2,915

Life LCC Cash Flow Cycle Cost Savings $ $3,598 $3,569 $3,404 $3,343 $3,287 $3.065 $3,068 $

$3,063 $

9ation 530.3 $124.1 $1368 $189.8 $312.0 $293.7 $122 $245 $327 $382 $518 $656

Price $20

$47 $62 $73 $105 $118 5?C

5.17 5.28 5.25 u.`9f5 5-54

Oper. Cost Payback Increase Saving Period $ $ year

$3.064 -51 $122 $22 5- Al, $2,956 $107 $245 $60 Cos $2.924 5139 $327 $80 All { $2,890 6173 $382 $94 405 $2,741 5322 $518 $141 3.59 $2,770 62 $656 $159 413

Affec,00 Population $38.1 $155.8 $199.2 $236.22 $391.4 5293.7Increme

1ntal Equipment Prices GEE Tier 1 1.42 $122 $122 $97.6 $122.5 2 CEE Tier 2 1.60 $245 $245 $123 5195.6 1;245.4 3 2007 ENERGY STAR 1.72 $327 $327 $205 $82 $260.9 $327.3 4 GEE Tier 3A 1.80 $382 $382 $259 $137 $55 $304.4 5381.9 5 Added based on Stakeholder 2.00 $518 $518 $396 $273 $191 $137 $413.2 $518.5 6 OeratnMax Available

CostSan 2.20 $656 $656 $533 $410 $328 $274 $137 6550.3 3550._3 pi 1g vigs CEE Tier 1 1.42 $20 $20 315.7

- 9.8 2 GEE Tier 2 1.60 $47 $47 $28 $37.9 $47.5 3 2007 ENERGY STAR 1.72 $62 $62 $42 $14 $49.4,, 4 GEE Tier 3A 1.80 $73 $73 $53 $25 $11 $57.8 5 Added based on Stakeholder 2.00 $105 $105 $85 $57 $43 $32 $63.3 ,510..5 6 PbkMax Available

Pid 2.20 $118 $118 $99 $71 $56 $46 $14 $97.2 7117.2 ayac 1 eros GEE Tier 1 1.42 6.2 6.23w is6.2 2 GEE Tier 2 1.60 5.2 4.4 5.2 6.2 3 2007 ENERGY STAR 1.72 5.3 4.8 5.7 5.3 5.3 4 GEE Tier 3A 1.80 5.3 4.9 5.4 5.2 5.3 5.3 5 Added based on Stakeholder 2.00 5.0 4.7 4

.8 4.5 4.3 5.0 5.0 f6 Max Available 2.20 5.5 5.4 5.8 5.8 6.0 9.9....-. 5.7 6.4

La 010! _- cal Ropncanon:aampie uaic accounurn 'r or ..c- r= rC.; ,r- j _, .ati_ 4r

LevelEfficiency Level NEF 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 polafl rPr pul<on '.. 1 GEE Tier 1 1.42 -$1 -$1 -$0,8 -$1.,0 2 CEE Tier 2 1.60 $107 $107 $10B 885.1 .3106.8 3 2007 ENERGY STAR 1.72 $139 $139 $140 $32 $ i 10.5 $138.7 4 GEE Tier 3A 1.80 $173 $173 $174 $66 $34 8138.0 8173.1 5 Added based on Stakeholder 2.00 $322 $322 $323 $215 $183 $149 $286.6 $321.9 6 Max Available 2.20 $292 $292 $293 $186 $154 $119 -$30 5227.0 8,227,0

1 GEE Tier 1 1.42 $122 $122 $97.6 4122.5 2 GEE Tier 2 1.60 $245 $245 $123 $195.0 $245.4 3 2007 ENERGY STAR 1.72 $327 $327 $205 $82 5260.9 $327.3 4 GEE Tier 3A 1.80 $382 $382 $259 $137 $55 $304.4 $381,9 ''. 5 Added based on Stakeholder 2.00 $518 $518 $396 $273 $191 $137 $413.2 $518.5 ', 6 OeratinMax Available

Cost SaVins 2.20 $656 $656 $533 $410 $328 $274 $137 $580.3 . 8550.3 p1g g

GEE Tier 1 1.42 $22 $22 $77.2 $21:6 2 GEE Tier 2 1.60 $60 $60 $39 848.1 $60A 3 2007 ENERGY STAR 1.72 $80 $80 $58 $19 $63.4 $79.6 '.. 4 GEE Tier 3A 1.80 $94 $94 $73 $34 $15 $75.2 894.3 5 Added based on Stakeholder 2.00 $141 $141 $119 $80 $61 $46 $112.1 $140.6 6 PbkMaxAvailable 2.20 $159 $159 $137 $98 $79 $65 $18 6130.3 $130.3 ay ac 1 CEE Tier 1 1.42 5.7 5.7 5.7 2 CEE Tier 2 1.60 4.1 3.2 4.1 4.1 3 2007 ENERGY STAR 1.72 4.1 3.5 4.3 4.1 ., 4 GEE Tier 3A 1.80 L

4.1 3.6 4.0 3.7 4.1 4.1 5 Added based on Stakeholder 2.00 3.7 3.3 3.4 3.1 2.9 ., 3.7 6 Max Available 2.20 4.1 3.9 4.2 4.1 4.2 7.5 4 2 4.8Res. Energy PriceRes. WaterComm

.Energy Price Comm. Water

Age Year Elec $/kWh Gas

$/MMBtu Price

$/l000gal Elec

$/kWh Gas

$/MMBtu Price

$/1000galDiscount

Factor 0 2006 $0.103 $14.26 $2.25 $0.087 $11.25 $2.21 0 1.00 ;924 21.047 1 2012 $0.091 $12.19 $2.80 $0.075 $9.42 $2.76 0.95 5273 $253 2 2013 $0.091 $12.29 $2.91 $0.076 $9.48 $2.86 0.89 $278 $256 3 2014 $0.091 $12.18 $3.01 $0.076 $9.34 $2.97 0.85 5280. 5261 4 2015 $0.090 $11.90 $3.13 $0.075 $9.07 $3.08 0.80 5281 5262 5 2016 $0.090 $11.85 $3.24 $0.075 $9.02 $3.19 0.76 s255 5265 6 2017 $0.090 $11.92 $3.36 $0.075 $9.05 $3.31 0.72 $289 5270 7 2018 $0.090 $12.13 $3.49 $0.076 $9.21 $3.43 0.68 4295 5276 8 2019 50.091 $12.33 $3.62 $0.076 $9.36 $3.56 0.64 $302 5282 9 2020 $0.091 $12.33 $3.75 $0.076 $9.35 $3.70 0.61 $306 S?86 10 2021 $0.091 $12.50 $3.89 $0.077 $9.47 $3.83 0.57 $312 5292 11 2022 $0.091 $12.61 $4.04 $0.077 $9.54 $3.98 0.54 5318 $298 12 2023 $0.091 $12.71 $4.19 $0.077 $9.61 $4.12 0.51 5323 .6303 13 2024 $0.091 $12.87 $4.35 $0.077 $9.73 $4.28 0.49 $330 5310 14 2025 $0.092 $13.06 $4.51 $0.078 $9.87 $4.44 0.46 8337 „317 15 2026 $0.092 $13.18 $4.68 $0.078 $9.95 $4.60 0.43 5344 5323 16 2027 $0.092 $13.32 $4.85 $0.078 $10.05 $4.78 0.41 351 5330 17 2028 $0.092 $13.41 $5.03 $0.079 $10.11 $4.95 0.39 5357 S336 18 2029 $0.092 $13.53 $5.22 $0.079 $10.19 $5.14 0.37 $365 $343 19 2030 $0.093 $13.73 $5.41 $0.079 $10.38 $5.33 0.35 $373 5352 20 2031 $0.093 $13.86 $5.62 $0.080 $10.47 $5.53 0.33 5381 $360 51.173 4.252 ;.305 51,443 51.580$924 S1,047 $1.170 :11.252 31.306 $1,443 $ 4226 21 X 01 3169 51551 $359 7337 $299 5280 0263 -213 00 5230 52.5 $204 $172 St 58, 5366 $345 ,'305 5286 .5270 5223 $204 5232 2217 .206 +,173 4159p1p $370 $349 $309 3289 $274 5 $206 $233 .218 .:207 3173 ,$159p $371 $350 5310 449' $245 5225 5207 $236 322', '.1210 $175 $1611 $377 1355 $316 3296 5280 $229 $210 $240 0225 5214 Si 78 S162 $385 4374 3322 S S 0 2 5286 1233 5714 8246 4235 5218 5181 $1671 '.395 5'74 $-.31 5310 $93 4239 $2,9 5251 5235 $223 5185 $1701 $4405 084 4140 0319 5301 $245 42225 5255 $239 1226 5188 $1721 $413 5391 3347 1,325 3307 5230 5229 $260 4244 $231 8;191 $176 $423 0401 „356 3333 S31S $56 .1235 5255 $248 5235 $195 $179 $433 S411 4364. $341 $323 5261 S240 $270 $253 5240 $198 $182 5443 $421 S373 $350 5331 $267 4245 3276 S258 $245 5202 $185 `4454 .5432 ;.;383 1359 x339 5274 2251 52882 426-4 $250 5206 $189 $466 $12 $394 $369 $348 $261 5258 $288 $2600 $255 $210 5193'. 5477 5455 5403 $378 .1357 $287 0263 $294 5 0261 .5214 :.;196 $489 91566 5414 $355 $366 $294 270 :$300 '2811 $266 1218 $205 5501 4472 4424 .5397 8301 S271 7 $306 5227 8271 „222 $20'' '490 11435 540; $385 2308 5283 $114 5229.1 8278 $227 $279 562E 5504 5448 $420 $336 $317 5291 $320 ,6300 '28k 0232 $2"3 $542 3518 5459 ::5431 :407 $325' $299

# ExportParameters

To LCC Summary: Multi-Family Application Daily Usage (cycles / day) 1 City of Toronto 4.3 Multi-Family 3.4 2 FEMP (2000) 6.4 Laundromat 6.0 3 SCE/PNNL (2000) 2.2 4 MLA (2002) 2.9 5 Wisconsin / PNNL (2004) 1.5 6 Lightwash / Equipoise (2004) < 10 units 3.0 I t P t mpor arameer 7 Lightwash i Equipoise (2004) >= 10 units 4.0 from LCC Summary(user input): 8 Consortium for Energy Efficiency 3.0 Daily Usage (cycles / day) Equally Weighted (Average 3.4 cycles) 3.4 3.4 Multi-Famil 00

y Laundromat . 0.0 Laundromat Application (if 0, then use average values) Lightwash / Equipoise (2004) 6.0 2 Consortium for Energy Efficiency 6.0 3 Coin Laundry Association 3 to 8 Assumed Average (6 cycles) 6.0 6.0

### To LCC Summary:

Comm. CW MachineEnergy and Water Use Level Machine

kWh/cycle Water

gal / cycle 0 0.13 26.60 1 0.13 26.60 2 0.11 23.80 3 0.11 22.40 4 0.11 21.00 5 0.11 15.40 6 0.11 14.28 LevelEfficiency Level Source MEF Water FactorContainer Volume RMC Machine Energy Dryer

Energy* Water

Heating Hot

Water Use Total

Water Use cu.ft./kWh/cycgal/cu.ft cu.ff. 

## % kWh (Elec) kWh (Elec) kWh 

## gal gal 0DOE Standard (effective 2007) 1.26 9.50 2.80 55% 0.133 1.30 0.790 4.4 26.6 1CEE Tier 1 1.42 9.50 2.80 50% 0.133 1.18 0.663 3.7 26.6 2CEE Tier 2 1.60 8.50 2.80 49% 0.114 1.16 0.480 2.7 23.8 32007 ENERGY STAR 1.72 8.00 2.80 47% 0.114 1.11 0.409 2.3 22.4 4CEE Tier 3A 1.80 7.50 2.80 46% 0.114 1.07 0.370 2.1 21.0 5Added based on Stakeholder 2.00 5.50 2.80 41% 0.114 0.93 0.353 2.0 15.4 6Max Available 2.20 5.10 2.80 39% 0.114 0.90 0.256 1.4 14.3

Dryer Energy Use

Elec DryerGas Dryer LevelkWh

/ cycleMMBtu/cycle RecoveryEfficiency ofWater Heaters 0 1.30 0.005 Electric Water Heater 1 1.18 0.004 Gas Water Heater 2 1.16 0.004 3 1.11 0.004 Temp. Differencefor Water Heating 4 1.07 0.004 Energy(kWh)to heat water 5 0.93 0.004 6 0.90 0.003 Water Heating Energy Use per Cycle Level(Elec) kWh(Gas) MMBtu 0 0.79 0.0036 1 0.66 0.0030 2 0.48 0.0022 3 0.41 0.0019 4 0.37 0.0017 5 0.35 0.0016 6 0.26 0.0012 Contair. from tlt



### cuff cu.ft. CJ[ 

### Load Weight .-cycle 2.20 2.30 9.2 75deg F 2.30 2.40 9.6 0.0024kWh gal deg F 2.40 2.50 10.0 2.50 2.60 10.5 2.60 2.70 10.9 2.70 2.80 11.3 2.80 2.90 11.7 2.90 3.00 '12,1 3.00 3.10 12.5 3.10 3.20 12.9 3.20 3.30 13.3 3.30 3.40 13.7 3.40 3.50 14.1 3.50 3.60 14.6 3.60 3.70 15.0 3.70 

## 2 ^n 15.4 "'iRE'dtC- ' D9F' DUF

'-AF 0.52 .

0.50

## mm' r Clothes Was P/l w.- ::hire E3ire e c,r € , .: F? Iues r= a^acehoidersi



# Export Parameters To LCC Summary: Level 2005 Base Case Design Level for Comm. Washers 0 0DOE Standard (effective 2007)79.7% 1 CEE Tier 1 0.0% 2CEE Tier 2 0.0% 32007 ENERGY STAR 0.0% 

# 4CEE Tier 3A 0.0% 5Added based on Stakeholder 20.3% 6Max Available 0.0% 100%

## Export Parameters

To LCC Summary: Total Installed Price(in 2006$)

Level 0 $924.28 1 $1,046.76 2 $1,169.66 3 $1,251.59 4 $1,306.21 5 $1,442.76 6 $1,579.86 Commercial Clothes Washer(all prices in 2006$)

Level 0 1

MarkupsEfficiency Level

DOE Standard (effective 2007) CEE Tier 1 CEE Tier 2 ** 2007 ENERGY STAR CEE Tier 3A **

Max Available ** PrlceNO +;p

Manufacturer Markup

Retail Markup Sales Tax Total Markup incl. Sales Tax MEF 1.26 1.42 

## 1.60 1.72 1.80

130%

Baseline 143% 6.8% 153% $194.63

$259.62 $302.94
$520.00

Incremental 118% 6.8% 126%

Price inflator; GDP PriceIndex used to convert2005$to 2006$ Year 2005 2006

$74.73 $149.72 $199.71 $233.03 $316.35 $400.00 GDP Price Index 1.1193 1.1475 Avers e

Delta Mnfr Pricefrom Base $97.15 Retail

Price Installation

Cost Total Installed

Price $750.00 $174.28 $924.28 $872.48 $174.28 $1,046.76 $995.37 $174.28 $1,169.66 $1,077.31 $174.28 $1,251.59 $1,131.93 $174.28 $1,306.21 $1,268.48 $174.28 $1,442.76 $1,405.57 $174.28 $1,579.86 r by AHAM 

# Sales Tax by Divison and Large States Sales Tax Weight 1 New England 5.0% 4.8% 2 Mid Atlantic 6.1% 7.1% 3 East North Centn 6.6% 15.6% 4 West North Centi 6.6% 6.7% 5 South Atlantic 5.9% 13.0% 6 East South Centr 7.8% 5.9% 7 West South Cent 8.3% 3.7% 8 Mountain 6.5% 6.8% 9 Pacific 5.0% 4.0% 10 New York State 8.3% 6.5% 11 California 8.0% 12.2% 12 Texas 8.0% 7.7% 13 Florida 6.7% 6.0%

U.S. Average 6.8% 100.0%

### To LCC Summary: Res. Comm.

Elec Price $0.103 $0.087$/kWh Gas Price $14.26 $11.25$/MMBtu

Water Price $2.25 $2.21 $/1000gal 2006 Energy Pricesfin 2006$ 2004 Price 2004 Price Div. & Res. Elec Comm. Elec Res. Gas Comm. Gas Div. & Res. Elec Comm

.Elec Lrg State $ /kWh $/ kP/r $ / A.1MBfu $ l MMBtu Lrg State2004$/ kWh2004$/kWh 1 $0.129 SO. x04 $15.75 $12.90 1 $0.114 $0.093 2 80.114 $0.092 $14.07 $12.36 2 $0.100 $0.081 3 $0.093 50.077 $12.48 $10.63 3 $0.082 $0

.068 4 50.087 $0.074 513.03 $10.63 4 $0.077 $0.065 5 $0.091 $0.077 $16.66 $12.45 5 50.080 $0

.068 6 $0.081 $0080 $14.69 $174 6 $0.071 $0.071 7 50.088 $0.079 4,14.08 $10.78 7 $0.078 $0.070 8 $0.094 $0082 $11.91 $9.03 8 $0.083 $0

.073 9 $0.091 50.089 $13.66 $11.09 9 $0.081 $0.079 10 $0.170 M0.107 $15.76 $12.57 10 $0.150 $0.095 11 $0.116 $0.106 $11.59 $10.11 11 $0.102 $0.094 12 $0.111 

## $0,103 $14.15 $10.18 12 $0.097 $0

.091 13 $0.102 $0.087 $21.08 $12.86 13 $0.090 $0.077 U.S. Avg $01 33 $0.087 $14.26 $11.25 U.S. Avg $0.091 $0.077

2006 Water Prices(i

n 2006$; in 2003$ Res. Water Comm. Water Can. Reg $/1000 gai $ /1000 gal Cen. Reg 1 $3.14 $2.71 1 2 $1.76 $1.55 2 3 $2.18 $2.36 3 4 $2.07 52:23 4 U.S. Avg $2.25 $2.21 U.S. Avg CPI and GDP Price Index used to wale to 2008$, 2004$, year CPI GDP Price Index 2003 183.96 1.0638 2004 188.88 1.0893 2005 195.29 1.1193 2006 201.56 1.1475

2004 2005 2006 Residential Commercial Residential Commercial

$26.19 $23.52 51

.0.40 5920 $28.74 $25.49 $12.30 $10.65 $27.87 $25.20 7

268.10 283.43 295.77 Gas 2006 CP? 2006 C-DP 2004 Price 2004 Price

Res. Water Comm. Water $/1000 gal $/1000 gal $2.60 $2.28 $1.46 $1.30 $1.80 $1.98 $1.71 $1.87 $1.86 $1.86

vo <I, 2005 Price 2005 Pricet>c r e: EIA Res. Gas 2005$/tcf Comm. Gas

2005$/tcf $16.44 $13.71 $14.69 $13.13 $13.03 $11.30 $13.60 $11.30 $17.39 $13.23 $15.34 $12.47 $14.70 $11.45 $12.43 $9.59 $14.27 $11.78 $16.46 $13.36 $12.10 $10.74 $14.78 $10.82 $22.01 $13.66 $14.89 $11.95 '.ass=i.03tt Bl

tcrru

rgy

price

### Import Parameters AFO 2006 Ccmmerci from:LCC Summary (GUI) Fuel Price Projection Index 1

i.e.AEO 2006 Reference



### to: LCC Summary Trend relative to 2006 AEO 2006 Reference Commercial Residential Elec Can Elec Gas 2006 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 2007 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.95 2008 0.92 0.92 0.90 0.93 2009 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.90 2010 0.89 0.87 0.89 0.88 2011 0.87 0.85 0.88 0.86 2012 0.86 0.84 0.88 0.85 2013 0.87 0.84 0.88 0.86 2014 0.87 0.83 0.88 0.85 2015 0.86 0.81 0.87 0.83 2016 0.86 

### 0.80 0.87 0.83 2017 0.86 0.80 0.87 0.84 2018 0.87 0.82 0.87 0.85 2019 0.87 0.83 0.88 0.86 2020 0.87 0.83 0.88 0.86 2021 0.88 0.84 0.88 0.88 2022 0.88 0.85 0.88 0.88 2023 0.88 0.85 0.88 0.89 2024 0.89 0.87 0.88 0.90 2025 0.89 0.88 0.89 0.92 2026 0.89 0.88 0.89 0.92 2027 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.93 2028 0.90 0.90 0.89 0.94 2029 0.90 0.91 0.89 0.95 2030 0.91 0.92 0.90 0.96 2031 0.91 0.93 0.90 0.97 2032 0.92 0.94 0.90 0.98 2033 0.92 0.95 0.90 0.99 

### 2034 0.92 0.96 0.91 1.00 2035 0.93 0.96 0.91 1.01 2036 0.93 0.97 0.91 1.02 2037 0.93 0.98 0.91 1.03 2038 0.94 0.99 0.91 1.04 2039 0.94 1.00 0.92 1.05 2040 0.95 1.01 0.92 1.06 1 Rr feee;n ,c



### wtn Scerario 1e.= and LPG



### (in2004$/MMBtu) (incent/kWh) (in20045/MMBtu) (in $1 Therm) Ref. High Low Ref. High Low Ref

. High Low Ref

. High Low

2006 25.20 25.27 25.12 8.60 8.62 8.57 10.07 10.21 9.93 1.01 1.02 0.99 2007 24.09 24.33 23.77 8.22 8.31 6.11 9.52 9.68 9.38 0.95 0.97 0.94 2008 23.24 23.61 22.82 7.93 8.06 7.79 9.30 9.48 9.13 0.93 0.95 0.91 2009 22.73 23.1422.20 7.76 7.90 7.58 8.99 9.17 8.81 0.90 0.92 0.88 2010 22.31 22.7821.74 7.62 7.78 7.42 8.76 8.93 8.61 0.88 0.89 0.86 2011 21.87 22.55 21.38 7.46 7.70 7.30 8.54 8.78 8.39 0.85 0.88 0.84 2012 21.70 22.38 21.09 7.41 7.64 7.20 8.43 8.58 8.28 0.84 0.86 0.83 2013 21.93 22.65 21.10 7.48 7.73 7.20 8.48 8.62 8.28 0.85 0.86 0.83 2014 21.85 22.8321.18 7.46 7.79 7.23 8.36 8.55 8.27 0.84 0.85 0.83 2015 21.66 22.40 20.96 7.39 7.64 7.16 8.12 8.21 8.00 0.81 0.82 0.80 2016 21.67 22.43 20.96 7.40 7.65 7.15 8.08 8.16 7.97 0.81 0.82 0.80 2017 21.70 22.4321.10 7.41 7,66 7.20 8.10 8.23 8.06 0.81 

### 0.82 0.81 2018 21.83 22.60 21.19 7.45 7.71 7.23 8.25 8.38 8.13 0.82 0.84 0.81 2019 22.03 22.80 21.28 7.52 7.78 7.26 8.38 8.51 8.23 0,84 0.85 0.82 2020 22.00 22.90 21.22 7.51 7.82 7.24 8.37 8.58 8.22 0.84 0.86 0.82 2021 22.16 22.98 21.27 7.56 7.84 7.26 8.47 8.67 8.27 0.85 0.67 0.83 2022 22.22 23.17 21.29 7.58 7.91 7.27 8.54 8.75 8.32 0.85 0.88 0.83 2023 22.16 23.18 21.26 7.56 7.91 7.26 8.60 8.84 8.41 0.86 0.88 0.84 2024 22.32 23.4421.38 7.62 8.00 7.30 8.71 8.98 8.52 0.87 0.90 0.85 2025 22.52 23.51 21.51 7.69 6.02 7.34 8.83 9.07 8.59 0.88 0.91 0.86 2026 22.54 23.6821.59 7.69 8.08 7.37 8.91 9.19 8.66 0.89 0.92 0.87 2027 22.63 23.72 21.59 7.72 8.10 7.37 8.99 9.23 8.73 0.90 0.92 0.87 2028 22.65 23.81 21.63 7.73 8.13 7.38 9.05 9.32 6.80 0.90 0,93 0.88 2029 22.69 24.04 21.63 7.74 8.20 7.38 9.12 9.46 8.84 0.91 0.95 0.88 2030 22.90 24.06 21.80 7.82 8.21 7.44 9.29 9.57 9.01 0.93 0.96 0.90

3m, on: 2015 to2030 isuse d 

### ercial Electricity Price(AE02006)

20 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030



### Commercial Electricity Price Trend CommercialGas Price(AE02006)

reefere High e

040 - a-.. Low



### CommercialGas Price Trend

-.w--AE02006 ReferenceAEO 2006 Residential EeerU I Reference Case 2 "High Growth Scene

(in 2004$/MMBtu) (in cent 1kWh) (in 2004$ /MMBtu) (in S / Therm) Rat. High Low Ref. High Low Ref

. High Low Ref

. High Low

2006 27.8727.93 27.80 9.51 9.53 9.49 11.75 11.89 11.61 1.18 1.19 116 2007 26.16 26.36 25.87 8.93 9.00 8.83 11.21 11.36 11.06 1.12 1.14 1.11 2008 25.18 25.49 24.82 8.60 3.70 8.47 10.94 11.13 10.77 1.09 1.11 1.08 2009 24.93 25.25 24.50 8.51 8.62 8.36 10.60 10.78 10.42 1.06 1.08 1.04 2010 24.78 25.15 24.36 8:46 8.58 8:31 10.33 10.51 10.17 1.03 1.05 1.02 2011 24.54 25.05 24.15 8.37 8.55 8.24 10.14 10.39 9.96 1.01 1-04 1.00 2012 24.42 24.95 23.95 8.33 8.51 8.17 10.05 10.22 9.88 1.00 1.02 0.99 2013 24.61 25.19 23.96 8.40 6.60 8.18 10.13 1028 9.90 1.01 1.03 0.99 2014 24.49 25.28 23.97 8.36 8.63 8.18 10.04 10.24 9.92 1.00 1.02 0.99 2015 24.2424.86 23.68 8.27 8.48 8.08 9.80 9.92 9.66 0.98 0.99 0.97 2016 24.20 24.85 23.60 8.26 8.48 8.06 9.77 9.88 9.64 0.98 0.99 0.96 

### 201724.2324.88 23.698.27 8,49 8.08 9.83 9.98 9.75 0.98 1.00 0.98 2018 24.34 25.03 23.74 8.31 8.54 8.10 9.99 10.15 9.84 1.00 1.02 0.98 2019 24.50 25.19 23.80 8,36 8.60 8.12 10.16 10.33 9.98 1.02 1.03 1.00 2020 24.44 25.26 23.69 8.34 8.62 8.09 10.16 10.41 9.98 1.02 1.04 1.00 2021 24.55 25.31 23.77 8.38 8.64 8.11 10.30 10.53 10.06 1.03 1.05 

### 1.01 2022 24.5725.4423.77 8.39 8.68 8.11 10.39 10.65 10.13 1.04 1.06 1.01 2023 24.51 25.43 23.74 8.37 8.68 8.10 10.48 10.77 10.24 1.05 1.08 1.02 2024 24.61 25.59 23.81 8.40 8.73 8.13 10.61 10.93 10.37 1.06 1.09 1l14 2025 24.76 25.57 23.90 8.45 8.73 8.16 10.76 11.06 10.47 1.08 1.11 1.05 2026 24.75 25.71 23.95 8.45 8.77 8.17 10.86 11.20 10.56 1.09 1.12 1.06 2027 24.80 25.70 23.93 8.46 8.77 8.17 10.97 11.28 10.65 1.10 1.13 1.06 2028 24.76 25.73 23.96 8.45 8.78 8.18 11.05 11.39 10.73 1.10 1.14 1.07 2029 24.80 25.92 23.94 8.47 8.85 8.17 11.15 11.56 10.80 1.12 1.16 1.08 2030 25.02 25.92 24.12 8.54 8.85 8.23 11.32 11.68 10.95 1.13 1.17 1.10

ResidentialElectricity Price (AE02006)

Residential ElectricityPrice Trend

0.8 ! 1 2000 2010 ---o--AEO 2006 Reference

2020 2030 2040 

### Gas Price(4602006)

2010



### Residential Gas Price Trend

### •til Water CPI Trend 

### o: LCC Summary 1970 34.3 relative to 2006 Water Price Trend relative to 2006 1971 38.0 1972 39.4 2006 1.00 1973 41.6 2007 1.04 1974 44.1 2008 1.08 

### 1975 48.4 2009 1.12 1976 53.7 2010 1.16 1977 59.5 2011 1.20 1978 66.2 2012 1.25 1979 69.3 2013 1.29 1980 74.0 2014 1.34 1981 82.8 2015 1.39 '1982 92.7 2016 1.44 1983 100.4 2017 1.50 1984 107.0 2018 1.55 1985 113.4 2019 1.61 1986 119.4 2020 1.67 '1987 125.8 2021 1.73 1988 132.7 2022 1.80 1989 140.8 2023 1.86 1990 150.2 2024 1.93 1991 161.1 2025 2.01 1992 172.1 2026 2.08 1993 181.4 2027 2.16 1994 190.6 2028 2.24 1995 196.5 2029 2.32 1996 204.5 2030 2.41 1997 210.0 2031 2.50 1998 217.3 2032 2.59 1999 222.0 2033 2.69 2000 227.5 2034 2.79 2001 234.6 2035 2.89 2002 242.5 

### 2036 3.00 2003 251.7 2037 3.11 2004 268.1 2038 3.23 2005 283.4 2039 3.35 2006 294.0 1.00 2040 3.47 2007 304.9 1.04 2008 316.3 1.08 2009 328.1 1.12 2010 340.3 1.16 2011 353.0 1.20 

### 2012 366.2 1.25 2013 379.9 1.29 2014 394.0 1.34 2015 408.7 1.39 2016 424.0 1.44 2017 439.8 1.50 2018 456.2 1.55 2019 473.2 1.61 2020 490.9 1.67 2021 509.2 1.73 2022 528.2 1.80 2023 547.9 1.86 2024 568.3 1.93 2025 589.5 2.01 2026 611.5 2.08 2027 634.3 2.16 2028 657.9 2.24 2029 682.5 2.32 2030 707.9 2.41 

### 2031 734.3 2.50 2032 761.7 2.59 2033 790.1 2.69 2034 819.6 2.79 2035 850.2 2.89 2036 881.9 3.00 2037 914.8 3.11 2038 948.9 3.23 2039 984.3 3.35 2040 1021.0 t

3.47 

### Source: BLS. Series Id: CUUR0000SEH(301 i ttp: /v.ww.bls.gcvlop7home.htm#data Area: U.S. city average 'not seasonally adjusted) Item: Water and sewerage maintenance Base Period: 1982-84=100

1000

900

800

700

600

500

400

300 - 

# Water Price CPI (1982

-1984=100)

- • -. - • Water Price CPI

-ExtrapolatedWater Price CPI

200 ..•^^^^N^e

100^s®NHS^NS•®e 0 1970 1975 19801985 1990 19952000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 20352040

# ExportParameters

to: LCC Summary Discount Rate 5.7% 

# DISCOUNT RATE (Real Interest Rate) Industry Sector Share Mean Min Max Std.Dev

.sampled 1 Personal Services 14.00% 4.3% 0.3% 13.6% 1.8% 4.3% 2 Educational Services 9.67% 7.9% 0.0% 37.4% 5.7% 7.9% 3 Hotels 9.67% 5.8% 2.0% 5.8% 4 R.E.I.T. (building and apartment complex owners) 66.67% 5.7% 0.0% 11.4% 2.2% 5.7% Total 100% wt.avg. 5.7%

Finanace Method # Sampled Real Interest Rate for that method 

# 7.9%

# M

ti Assumpons: Export Parameters to: LCC Summary Lifetime of Comm. Clothes Washers Multi-Family Laundromat Lifetime (years) 11.25 7.125 Average Min Max Multi-Family

11.250 7.0 15.500 Laundromat

7.125 5.0 9.250 

# dirt. uniformctist,7.0 to 15.5 5.0to 9.3

Age Multi-Family

% retiring Laundromat

% retiring 1 0.0% 0.0% 2 0.0% 0.0% 3 0.0% 0.0% 4 0.0% 0.0% 5 0.0% 20.3% 6 0.0% 18.6% 7 10.5% 18.6% 8 10.5% 18.6% 9 10.5% 18.6% 10 10.5% 5.1% 11 10.5% 0.0% 12 10.5% 0.0% 13 10.5% 0.0% 14 11.4% 0.0% 15 10.5% 0.0% 16 4.8% 0.0% 17 0.0% 0.0% 18 0.0% 0.0% 19 0.0% 0.0% 

# 20 0.0% 0.0% 21 0.0% 0.0% 22 0.0% 0.0% 23 0.0% 0.0% 24 0.0% 0.0% 25 0.0% 0.0% 26 0.0% 0.0% 27 0.0% 0.0% Sum 100.0% 100.0%

wt. avg

.Lifetime= 11.3 7.1

# Multi-Family

% survivingLaundromat

% surviving 100% 1000% 1000%

. . 90% 

# 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 80% - 100.0% 100.0% 70% 100.0% 79.7% 60% 

# 100.0% 61.0% 89.5% 42.4% 50% 

# 790% 237%

. . 40% 

# 68.6% 5.1% 58.1% 0.0% 30% 

# 47.6% 0.0% 20% 

# 37.1% 0.0% 10% 

# 26.7% 0.0% 152% 00% 0%

. . 

# 4.8% 0.0% 0 

# 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1 

# % Surviving by Age

# Lifetime Distribution Lifetime Distribution 0.0 0.00 0.0 0.00 0.1 0.00 0.1 0.00 0.2 0.00 0.2 0.00 0.3 0.00 0.3 0.00 0.4 0.00 0.4 0.00 0.5 0.00 0.5 0.00 0.5 0.00 0.5 0.00 0.6 0.00 0.6 0.00 0,7 0.00 0.7 0.00 

# 0.8 0.00 0.8 0.00 0.9 

# 0.00 0.9 0.00 1.0 0.00 1.0 0.00 1.1 0.00 

# 1.1 0.00 1.2 0.00 1.2 0.00 1.3 0.00 1.3 0.00 1.4 0.00 

# 1.4 0.00llii^ 1II 

# 1.4 0.00 1.4 I 0.00 

# 1.5 0.00 1.5 0.00 1.6 0.00 1.6 0.00 1.7 0.00 1.7 0.00 1.8 0.00 1.8 0.00 1.9 0.00 1.9 0.00 2.0 0.00 2.0 0.00 2.1 0.00 2.1 0.00 2.2 0.00 2.2 0.00 2.3 0.00 

# 2.3 0.00 2.3 0.00 2.3 0.00 

# 2.4 0.00 

# 2.4 0.00 2.5 0.00 2.5 0.00 2.6 0.00 

# 2.6 0.00 2.7 

# 0.00 2.7 0.00 2.8 0.00 2.8 0.00 2.9 0.00 2.9 0.00 3.0 0.00 3.0 0.00 

# 3.1 0.00 3.1 0.00 3.2 0.00 3.2 0.00 3.2 0.00 3.2 0.00 lj^ 3.3 0.00 3.3 0.00 3.4 0.00 3.4 0.00 3.5 0.00 3.5 0.00 3.6 0.00 3.6 0.00 3.7 0.00 3.7 0.00 3.8 0.00 3.8 0.00 3.9 0.00 

# 3.9 0.00 4.0 0.00 4.0 0.00 4.1 0.00, 4.1 0.00 4.1 0.00 4.1 0.00 

# 4.2 0.00 4.2 0.00 4.3 0.00 4.3 0.00 

# 4.4 0.00 4.4 0.00 4.5 0.00 4.5 1.00 4.6 0.00 4.6 1.00 

# 0

# Lifetime Distribution 'Lifetime Distribution 4.7 0.00 4.7 1.00 4.8 0.00 4.8 1.00 4.9 0.00 4.9 1.00 5.0 0.00 5.0 1.00 5.0 0.00 5.0 1.00 5.1 0.00 5.1 1.00 5.2 0.00 5.2 1.00 5.3 0.00 5.3 1.00 5.4 0.00 5.4 1.00 5.5 0.00 5.5 1.00 5.6 0.00 5.6 1.00 5.7 0.00 5.7 1.00 5.8 0.00 5.8 1.00 5.9 0.00 5.9 1.00 5.9 0.00 5.9 1.00 6.0 0.00 6.0 1.00 6.1 0.00 6.1 1.00 6.2 0.00 6.2 1.00 6.3 0.00 6.3 1.00 6.4 0.00 6.4 1.00 6.5 0.00 6.5 1.00 6.6 1.00 6.6 1.00 6.7 1.00 6.7 1.00 6.7 1.00 6.7 1.00 6.8 1.00 6.8 1.00 6.9 1.00 6.9 1.00 7.0 1.00 7.0 1.00 7.1 1.00 7.1 1.00 T.2 1.00 7.2 1.00 

# 7.3 1.00 7.3 1.00 7.4 1.00 7.4 1.00 7.5 1.00 7.5 1.00 7.6 1.00 7.6 1.00 7.6 1.00 7.6 1.00 

# 7.7 1.00 7.7 1.00 7.8 1.00 7.8 1.00 7.9 1.00 7.9 1.00 8.0 1.00 8.0 1.00 8.1 1.00 8.1 1.00 8.2 1.00 8.2 1.00 8.3 1.00 8.3 1.00 8.4 1.00 8.4 1.00 8.5 1.00 8.5 1.00 8.5 1.00 8.5 1.00 8.6 1 00 1 8.6 1.00 8.7 1.00 8.7 1.00 8.8 1.00 

# 8.8 1.00 8.9 1.00 

# 8.9 1.00 9.0 9.1 1.00

1.00 9.0

9.1 1M:::

1.00 9.2 1.00 l^ 9.2 1.00 

# 9.3 1.00 jj 

# 9.3 1.00 9.4 1.00 9.4 1.00 

# 9.4 1.00 

# 9.4 1.00

# Lifetime Distribution Lifetime Distribution 9.5 1.00 9.5 1.00 9.6 1.00 9.6 1.001 

# 9.7 1.00 9.7 1.00 9.8 1.00 

# 9.8 0.00 9.9 1.00 

# 9.9 0.00 

# 10.0 1.00 10.0 0.00 10.1 1.00 10.1 0.00 10.2 1.00 10.2 0.00 

# 10.3 1.00 10,3 0.00 10.4 1.00 10.4 0.00 10.4 1,00 10.4 0.00 

# 10.5 1.00 10.5 0.00 10.6 1.00 10.6 0.00 10.7 1.00 10.7 0.00 10.8 1.00 10.8 0.00 

# 10.9 1.00 10.9 0.00 

# 11.0 1.00 11.0 0.00 

# 11.1 1,00 11.1 0.00 11.2 1.00 

# 11.2 0.00 11.3 1.00 11.3 0.00 

# 11.3 1.00 11.3 0,00 11.4 1,00 11.4 0.00 11.5 1.00 11.5 0.00 

# 11.6 1.00 11.6 0.00111, 11.7 1.00 11.7 0.00 11.8 1.00 11.8 0.00 

# 11.9 1.00 11.9 0.00 

# 12.0 1.00 12.0 0.00 12.1 1.00 12.1 0.00 12.2 1.00 122 0.00 12.2 1.00 12.2 0,00 12.3 1.00 12.3 0.00 12.4 1.00 12.4 0.00 

# 12.5 1.00 12.5 0.00 

# 12.6 1.00 12.6 0.00 12.7 1.00 '12.7 0.00 12.8 

# 1.00 12.8 0.00 12.9 1.00 12.9 0.00 

# 13.0 1.00 13.0 

# 0,00 13.1 1.00 13.1 0.00 

# 13.1 1.00 13.1 0.00 13.2 1,00 13.2 0.00 13.3 1.00 13.3 0.00 13.4 1.00 13.4 0.00 13.5 1.00'1 13.5 0.00 

# 13.6 1.00 13.6 0.00 13.7 1.00 13.7 0.00 

# 13.8 1.00 13.8 0.00 13.9 1.00 13.9 0.00 14.0 1.00 14.0 0.00 Pi 14.0 1.00 14.0 0.00

# Lifetime Distribution Lifetime Distribution 14.1 1.00 14.1 0.00,j 

# 14.2 1.00 14.2 0.00 14.3 1.00 14.3 0.00 14.4 14.5 1.00 14.4

1.00 14.5 0.00 0.00 1 14.6 1.00 14.6 0.00 14.7 1.00 14.7 0.00 14.8 1.00 14.8 0.00 14.9 1.00 14.9 0.00 14.9 1.00 14.9 0.00 

# 15.0 1.00 15.0 0.00 15.1 1.00 15.1 0.00 15.2 1.00 15.2 0.00 15.3 1.00 15.3 0.00' 

# 15.4 1.00 15.4 0.00 15.5 1.00 15.5 0.00 15.6 1.00 15.6 0.00 

# 15.7 1.00 15.7 0.00 15.8 1.00 15.8 0.00 15.8 1.00 15.8 0.00 

# 15.9 1.00 15.9 0.00 

# 16.0 0.00 16.0 0.00 16.1 0.00 16.1 0.00 16.2 0.00 16.2 0.00 

# 16.3 0.00 16.3 0.00 16.4 

# 0.00 16.4 0.00 

# 16.5 0.00 16.5 0.00 16.6 0.00 16.6 0.00 

# 16.7 0.00 16.7 0 00 16.7 0.00 16.7 0.00 16.8 

# 0.00 16.8 0.00 

# 16.9 

# 0.00 16.9 0.00 17.0 0.00 17.0 0.00 17.1 0.00 17.1 0.00 17.2 0.00 17.2 0.00 17.3 0.00 17.3 0.00 17.4 0.00 17.4 0.00 

# 17.5 0.00 17.5 0.00 17.6 0.00 17.6 0.00 17.6 0.00 17.6 0.00 17.7 0.00 17.7 0.00 

# 17.8 0.00 17.8 0.00 

# 17.9 0.00 17.9 0.00 

# 18..0 0.00 18.0 0.00 18.1 0.00 18.1 0.00 

# 18.2 0.00 18.2 0.00 18.3 0.00 18.3 0,00 18.4 0.00 '18.4 0.00 

# 18.5 0.00 18.5 0.00 18.5 0.00 18.5 0.00 

# 18.6 0.00 18.6 0.00

# Lifetime Distribution Lifetime Distribution 18.7 0.00 18.7 0.00 

# 18.8 0.00 18.8 0.00 18.9 0.00 18.9 0.00 19.0 0.00 19.0 0.00 

# 19.1 0.00 19.1 0.00 19.2 0.00 19.2 0.00 19.3 0.00 19.3 0.00 19.4 0.00 19.4 0.00 19.4 0.00 19.4 0.00 19.5 0.00 19.5 0.00 19.6 0.00 19.6 0.00 19.7 0.00 19.7 0.00 

# 19.8 0.00 19.8 0.00 

# 19.9 0.00 19.9 0.00 20.0 0.00 20.0 0.00 20.1 0.00 20.1 

# 0,00 20.2 0.00 20.2 0.00 20.3 0.00 20.3 0.00 20.3 0.00 20.3 0.00 20.4. 0.00 20.4 l 0.00 

# 20.5 0.00 20.5 " 0.00 20.6 0.00 20,6 0,00 

# 20.7 0.00 20.7 0.00 20.8 0.00 20.8 0.00 20.9 0.00 20.9 0.00 

# 21.0 0.00 

# 21.0 0.00 

# 21.1 0.00 21.1 0.00 21.2 0.00 21.2 0.00 

# 21.2 O.oa 

# 21.2 0,00 21.3 0.00 

# 21.3 &00, 21.4 0.00 21.4 0.00 21.5 0.00 21.5 0.00 

# 21.6 0.00 21.6 0.00 21.7 0.00 

# 21.7 0.00 

# 21.8 0.00 21.8 0.00 21.9 0.00 21.9 0 .,00 

# 22.0 0,00 22.0 0.00 

# 22.1 0.00 22.1 0.00 22.1 0.00 22.1 0.00 

# 22.2 0.00 22.2 0.00 22.3 0.00 22.3 0.00 22.4 0.00 22.4 0.00 22.5 0.00 22.5 0.00 22.6 0.00 22.6 0.00 

# 22.7 0.00 22.7 OM i4 

# 22.8 0.00 22.8 0.00 22.9 0.00 22.9 0.00 

# 23.0 0.00 23.0 0.00 23.0 0.00 23.0 0.00 23.1 0.00 23.1 0.00 23.2 0.00 23.2 0.00

# Lifetime Distribution Lifetime Distribution 

# 23.3 0.00 23.3 0.00 23.4 0.00 23.4 0.00 

# 23.5 0.00 23.5 0.00 23.6 0.00 23.6 0.00 23.7 0.00 23.7 0.00 23.8 0.00 23.8 0.00 23.9 0.00 23.9 0.00 23.9 0.00 23.9 0.00 24.0 0.00 24.0 

# 0.00 24.1 0.00 24.1 0.00 24.2 0.00 24.2 0.00 

# 24.3 0.00 24.3 0.00 24.4 0.00 24.4 0.00 24.5 0.00 24.5 0.00 24.6 0.00 24.6 0.00: 24.7 0.00 24.7 0.00 

# 24.8 0.00 24.8 0.00 24.8 0.00 24.8 0.00 24.9 0.00 24.9 0.00 

# 25.0 0.00 25.0 0.00 25.1 0.00 25.1 0.00 

# 252 0.00 25.2 OM 25.3 0.00 25.3 0.00 

# 25.4 0.00 25.4 0.00 

# 25.5 0.00 25.5 0.00 25.6 0.00 25.6 0.00 25.7 0.00 25.7 0.00 25.7 0.00 25.7 0.00 25.8 0,00 25.8 0.00 25.9 0.00 25.9 0.00 

# 26.0 0.00 26.0 0,00 26.1 0.00 26.1 0.00 

# 26.2 0.00. 26.2 0.00 26.3 0.00 26.3 0.00 26.4 0.00 26.4 0.00 26.5 0.00 26.5 0.00 26.6 0.00 26.6 0,00 26.6 0.00 26.6 0.00 26.7 0.00 26.7 0.00 

# 26.8 0.00' 26.8 0.00 26.9 0.00 

# 26.9 0.00 27.0 0.00 

# 27.0 0.00Lifetime Multi-Family 11.25 years Laundromat 7.125 years
Discounting future values: Discount Rate 7.0% Year to discount to 2007

Market Impact PP elasficity- 1 % -



### Economic Growth

Energy Savings Water Savings Discounted Incr. Equipment Cost DiscountedOper. Cost Savings NPV Reference

0.114 0.054 0.303 0.381 0.078 quad

trillion gat billion $ billion $ billion S 

### Assumptions Multi-Family Laundromat Cycles / yr 1246 2190
Water Heating Fuel Shares Electric 20% 0% Gas 80% 100%
Clothes Dryer Fuel Shares Electric 40% 0% Gas 60% 100% Source for WH & Dryer Fuel Shares: Commercial, Family-Sized Washers: An Initiative Description of the Consortium'.. '... for Energy Efficiency, 1998 CEE.



### CCW (horizontal and vertical axis) WH Energy Dryer Energy Annual Energy UseAnnual Installed % Energy forWaterContainer Elec per Gas per Elec per Gas per Machine LevelEfficiencyLevel MEF WH FactorVolume RMC cycle Elec cycleGas cycleElec cycleGas EnergyElec Gas WaterPrice cu.f.1kWh/cyc % gal / cult cu.ft. % kWh/cyclekWh/yrMMBtu/cycle MMBtu/yrkWh/cyclekWh/yr MMBtu/cycle MMBtWyrkWh/yr kWh MMBtu1000 gal $ 

### 0 DOE Standard (effective 2007) 1.26 36% 9.5 2.8 55% 0.790186.4 0.0036 4.14 1.30 612.794 0.0054.55 184.6 984 8.69 36.91 9924 1 CEE Tiier1 1.42 34% 9.5 2.8 50% 0.663156.5 0.0030 3.48 1.18 554.555 0.0044.11 184.6 896 7.59 36.9" //1.047 2 1.60 27% 8.5 2.8 49% 0.480113.3 0.0022 2.52 1.16 545.263 0.0044.04 158.2 817 6.56 33.0.3 1 3 

### 2007 ENERGY STAR 1.72 25% 8 2.8 47% 0.409 96.4 0.0019 2.14 1.11 521.428 0.004 3.87 158.2 776 6.01 31.0/ 4 

### CEE Tier SA 1.80 24% 7.5 2.8 46% 0.370 87.3 0.0017 1.94 1.07 505.538 0.0043.75 158,2 751 5.69 29.1 a 5 Added based on stakeholder 2.00 25% 5.5 2.8 41% 0.353 83.3 0.0016 1.85 0.93 440.027 0.0043.26 158.2 682 5.12 21.3; s^.-!43 6 f i '• iil; 2.20 20% 5.1 28 39% 0.256 60.3 0.0012 1.34 0.90 426.090 0.0033.16 158.2 645 4.50 19.9'_



### Base Case Efflclenoy Ti Standard Dishwashers Design ff 0 1 2 3 4 5 6



### 2005 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 

### 2006 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2007 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2008 

### 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2009 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2010 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2011 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2012 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2013 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2014 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2015 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2016 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2017 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2018 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2019 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2020 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2021 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2022 

### 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2023 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2024 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2025 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2%

### Standard CaseEt1f e :_ ° Tre14

2005 60% 10% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2006 51% 19% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2007 42% 28% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2008 33% 37% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2009 23% 47% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2010 13% 57% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2011 4% 66% 10% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2012 0% 51% 29% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2013 0% 51% 29% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2014 0% 51% 29% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2015 0% 51% 29% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2016 0% 51% 29% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2017 0% 51% 29% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2018 0% 51% 29% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2019 0% 51% 29% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2020 0% 51% 29% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2021 0% 51% 29% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2022 0% 51% 29% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2023 0% 51% 29% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2024 0% 51% 29% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2025 0% 51% 29% 10% 5% 3% 2%
Base Case WeightedAverage Energy7Water06isn d Price MEF

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 cu. h./kWh/cyc 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 2005 Annual Energy Use Electricity Gas kWh/yr MMSTU/yr 910 7.76 2006 910 7.76 2007 910 7.76 2008 910 7.76 2009 910 7.76 2010 910 7.76 2011 910 7.76 2012 910 7.76 2013 910 7.76 2014 910 7.76 2015 910 7.76 2016 910 7.76 2017 910 7.76 2018 910 7.76 2019 910 7.76 2020 910 7.76 2021 910 7.76 2022 910 7.76 2023 910 7.76 2024 910 7.76 2025 910 7.76 

### StandardsCase %%e' %d Ascrspe Energy hater U are' r _ ^e
MEF cu.lt/kWh/cyc 2005 1.42 2006 1.44 2007 1.45 2008 1.47 2009 1.48 2010 1.50 2011 1.51 2012 1.55 2013 1.55 2014 1.55 2015 1.55 2016 1.55 2017 1.55 2018 1.55 2019 1.55 2020 1.55 2021 1.55 2022 1.55 2023 1.55 2024 1.55 2025 1.55 

### Annual Energy Use Electricity Gas kWh/yr MMSTU/yr 2005 910 7.76 2006 902 7.66 2007 894 7.56 2008 886 7.46 2009 877 7.35 2010 869 7.25 2011 860 7.14 2012 842 6.90 2013 842 6.90 2014 842 6.90 2015 842 6.90 2016 842 6.90 2017 842 6.90 2018 842 6.90 2019 842 6.90 2020 842 6.90 2021 842 6.90 2022 842 6.90 2023 842 6.90 2024 842 6.90 2025 842 6.90 Annual Water Use Price Standard Standard 1000 gal/yr $ 2005 34.743 2005 $1,042 2006 34.743 2006 $1,042 2007 34.743 2007 $1,042 2008 34.743 2008 $1,042 2009 34.743 2009 $1,042 2010 34.743 2010 $1,042 2011 34.743 2011 $1,042 2012 34.743 2012 $1,042 2013 34.743 2013 $1,042 2014 34.743 2014 $1,042 2015 34.743 2015 $1,042 2016 34.743 2016 $1,042 2017 34.743 2017 $1,042 2018 34.743 2018 $1,042 2019 34.743 2019 $1,042 2020 34.743 2020 $1,042 2021 34.743 2021 $1,042 2022 34.743 2022 $1,042 2023 34.743 2023 $1,042 2024 34.743 2024 $1,042 2025 34.743 2025 $1.042

Annual Water Use Price Standard Standard 1000 gal/yr $ 2005 34.743 2005 $1,042 2006 34.743 2006 $1,053 2007 34.743 2007 $1,064 2008 34.743 2008 $1,075 2009 34.743 2009 $1,087 2010 34.743 2010 $1,099 2011 34.743 2011 $1,111 2012 34.004 2012 $1,138 2013 34.004 2013 $1,138 2014 34.004 2014 $1,138 2015 34.004 2015 $1,138 2016 34.004 2016 $1,138 2017 34.004 2017 $1,138 2018 34.004 2018 $1,138 2019 34.004 2019 $1,138 2020 34.004 2020 $1,138 2021 34.004 2021 $1,138 2022 34.004 2022 $1,138 2023 34.004 2023 $1,138 2024 34.004 2024 $1,138 2025 34.004 2025 $1,138

### „,-11 li VIII IPi.U I14



# filfftrical

l Shipment of Commercial Clotheswashers(includes both horizontal and vertical axis) millions 1972 0.167 1973 0.167 1974 0.166 

# 1975 0.167 „II 1976 0.167 1977 0.167 Assumptions: 

# 1978 0.166 Growth in New Housing saturation 0.0% 1979 0.164 1980 0.170 1981 0.171 1982 0.163 

# 1983 0.163 1984 0.167 1985 0.176 1986 0.186 1987 0.194 

# 1988 0.213 1989 0.215 1990 0.225 1991 0.193 1992 0.188 1993 0.190 1994 0.205 1995 0.209 1996 0.232 1997 0.241 1998 0.265 1999 0.239 2000 0.215 2001 0.194 2002 0.175 2003 0.191 2004 0.178 2005 0.177orical and ForecastedShipments of Dlshwast' Race Case - Standard Dishwasher 

### Annual Shipments %ofReplacementsShip due to Saturation inActual Year NewTotal Stockretirementsfor Retiring new new MFRetirementRepl.New ConsTotal Efficiency Elec Gas Water Elec Gas Water per Unit Total Fuel Water Total

Shipment not i i i Units UnitsShipment Re laced Un ts constructon constructon s million million million million million million millioncycles/kWhkWh/yrMMBtu/yr1000ga1/yr quad quad trillion gal $ billion $ billion $billion $billion $

1985 0.176 1.768 0.136 0.040 6.0% 0.136 910.0 7.76 34.7 1966 0.186 1.798 0.156 0.030 4.7% 0.156 0.156 0.030 0.186 910.0 7.76 34.7 1987 0.194 1.825 0.167 0.027 5.8% 0.167 0.167 0.027 0.194 910.0 7.76 34.7 1988 0.213 1.871 0% 0.167 0.046 11.3% 0.167 0.167 0.046 0.213 910.0 7.76 34.7 1989 0.215 1.919 0% 0.167 0.048 13.0% 0.167 0.167 0.048 0.215 910.0 7.76 34.7 Shipmems - Historical and Projected i 1990 0.225 1.978 0% 0.166 0.059 19.7% 0.166 0.166 0.059 0.225 910.0 7.76 34.7 _
1991 0.193 2.004 0% 0.167 0.026 14.9% 0.167 0.167 0.026 0.193 910.0 7.76 34.7 00l

----------------- 1992 0.188 2.023 0% 0.168 0.019 11.4% 0.168 0.168 0.019 0.188 910.0 7.76 34.7 L--

---------------- -- 1993 0.190 2.043 0% 0.171 0.019 11.9% 0.171 0.171 0.019 0.190 910.0 7.76 34.7 s _ _- _ - _ _ _

_ _ _ _ _ __ _ 1994 0.205 2.073 0% 0.175 0.030 11.7% 0.175 0.175 0.030 0.205 910.0 7.76 34.7 1995 0.209 2.102 0% 0.180 0.029 10.5% 0.180 0.180 0.029 0.209 910.0 7.76 34.7 -- '' - -- - ' - - - - - - - -- - 1996 0.232 2.148 0% 0.185 0.046 14.7% 0.185 0.185 0.046 0.232 910.0 7.76 34.7 - - -- - - - - - - - -- - - - - -- - 1997 0.241 2.199 0% 0.190 0.050 14.8% 0.190 0.190 0.050 0.241 910.0 7.76 34.7 1998 0.265 2.270 0% 0.193 0.072 20.7% 0.193 0.193 0.072 0.265 910.0 7.76 34.7 1999 0.239 2.307 3% 0.196 0.049 14.5% 0.196 0.190 0.049 0.239 910.0 7.76 34.7 0 05 z,, r- - - - - -- - - - - -- - 2000 0215 2303 14% 0193 0049 145% 193 0 167

0 0049 0215 9100 776 347

-- 2001 .

0.194 .

2.293 17% . 0.176 .

0.048 .

14.5% .

0.176 .

0.147 .

0.048 .

0.194 . 910.0 .

7.76 .

34.7 --

2002 0.175 2.241 29% 0.176 0.050 14.5% 0.176 0.125 0.050 0.175 910.0 7.76 34.7 2003 0.191 2.256 11% 0.158 0.050 14.5% 0.158 0.140 0.050 0.191 910.0 7.76 34.7 2004 0.178 2.173 34% 0.195 0.050 14.5% 0.195 0129 0.050 0.178 910.0 7.76 34.7 2005 0.177 2.178 15% 0.150 0.050 14.5% 0.150 0.128 0.050 0.177 910.0 7.76 34.7 2006 0.214 2.172 14% 0.168 0.047 14.5% 0.191 0.168 0.047 0.214 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0068 0.0170 0.0763 $1,042 0.223 0.366 0.169 0.535 2007 0.219 2.174 12% 0.170 0.050 14.5% 0.190 0.170 0.050 0.219 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0068 0.0170 0.0762 $1,042 0.228 0.348 0.175 0.523 2008 0.226 2.182 10% 0.176 0.050 14.5% 0.194 0.176 0.050 0.226 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0068 0.0171 0.0764 $1,042 0.235 0.339 0.182 0.521 2009 0.229 2.195 8% 0.181 0.048 14.5% 0.196 0.181 0.048 0.229 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0069 0.0171 0.0768 $1,042 0.239 0.331 0.190 0.520 2010 0.233 2.215 6% 0.186 0.047 14.5% 0.197 0.186 0.047 0.233 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0069 0.0173 0.0773 $1,042 0.243 0.326 0.198 0.524 2011 0.234 2.240 4% 0.189 0.045 14.5% 0.197 0.189 0.045 0.234 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0070 0.0174 0.0781 $1,042 0.244 0.321 0.208 0.529 2012 0.237 2.273 2% 0.192 0.045 14.5% 0.196 0.192 0.045 0.237 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0071 0.0177 0.0791 $1,042 0.247 0.322 0.218 0.540 2013 0.240 2.314 0% 0.196 0.044 14.5% 0.196 0.196 0.044 0.240 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0072 0.0179 0.0804 $1,042 0.250 0.330 0.230 0.560 2014 0.244 2.358 0% 0.200 0.044 14.5% 0.200 0.200 0.044 0.244 1_42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0073 0.0183 0.0819 $1,042 0.254 0.333 0.243 0.576 2015 0.244 2.403 0% 0.199 0.045 14.5% 0.199 0.199 0.045 0.244 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0075 0.0186 0.0835 $1,042 0.254 0.333 0.257 0.590 2016 0.248 2.449 0% 0.202 0.046 14.5% 0.202 0.202 0.046 0.248 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0076 0.0190 0.0851 $1,042 0.258 0.339 0.272 0.610 2017 0.255 2.497 0% 0.207 0.048 14.5% 0.207 0.207 0.048 0.255 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0078 0.0194 0.0868 $1,042 0.266 0.346 0.287 0.634 2018 0.262 2.546 0% 0.213 0.049 14.5% 0.213 0.213 0.049 0.262 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0079 0.0197 0.0885 $1,042 0.273 0.357 0.304 0.661 2019 0.267 2.594 0% 0.219 0.048 14.5% 0.219 0.219 0.048 0.267 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0081 0.0201 0.0901 $1,042 0.278 0.369 0.321 0.690 2020 0.273 2.641 0% 0.226 0.047 14.5% 0.226 0.226 0.047 0.273 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0082 0.0205 0.0918 $1,042 0.285 0.375 0.339 0.714 2021 0.277 2.687 0% 0.232 0.045 14.5% 0.232 0.232 0.045 0.277 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0083 0.0208 0.0933 $1,042 0.289 0.385 0.358 0.743 2022 0280 2.731 0% 0.235 0.045 14.5% 0.235 0.235 0.045 0.280 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0085 0.0212 0.0949 $1,042 0.292 0.394 0.377 0.771 2023 0.283 2.776 0% 0.238 0.045 14.5% 0.238 0.238 0.045 0.283 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0086 0.0215 0.0964 $1,042 0.295 0.401 0.398 0.799 2024 0.287 2.821 0% 0.242 0.045 14.5% 0.242 0.242 0.045 0.287 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0088 0.0219 0.0980 $1,042 0.299 0.412 0.419 0.831 2025 0.291 2.867 0% 0.246 0.046 14.5% 0.246 0.246 0.046 0.291 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0089 0.0222 0.0996 $1,042 0.303 0.423 0.442 0.865 2026 0.297 2.914 0% 0.250 0.047 14.5% 0.250 0.250 0.047 0.297 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0090 0.0226 0.1012 $1,042 0.309 0.432 0.466 0.898 

## 2027 0.303 2.962 0% 0.254 0.049 14.5% 0.254 0.254 0.049 0.303 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0092 0.0230 0.1029 $1,042 0.315 0.442 0.492 0.934 2028 0.306 3.012 0% 0.259 0.050 14.5% 0.259 0.259 0.050 0.308 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0094 0.0234 0.1046 $1,042 0.321 0.451 0.518 0.970 2029 0,314 3.063 0% 0.263 0.051 14.5% 0.263 0.263 0.051 0.314 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0095 0.0238 0.1064 $1,042 0.327 0.461 0.547 1.008 2030 0.319 3.115 0% 0.267 0.052 14.5% 0.267 0.267 0.052 0.319 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0097 0.0242 0.1082 $1,042 0.332 0.476 0.577 1.053 2031 0.324 3.167 0% 0.272 0.052 14.5% 0.272 0.272 0.062 0.324 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0098 0.0246 0.1100 $1,042 0.338 0.487 0.608 1.095 2032 0.329 3.219 0% 0.277 0.052 14.5% 0.277 0.277 0.052 0.329 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0100 0.0250 0.1118 $1,042 0.343 0.498 0.641 1.140 2033 0-334 3.272 0% 0.281 0.053 14.5% 0.281 0.281 0.053 0.334 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0102 0.0254 0.1137 $1,042 0.348 0.510 0.676 1.186 2034 0.339 3.324 0% 0.286 0.053 14.5% 0.286 0.286 0.053 0.339 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0103 0.0258 0.1155 $1,042 0.353 0.522 0.713 1.234 2035 0.344 3.377 0% 0.291 0.053 14.5% 0.291 0.291 0.053 0.344 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0105 0.0262 0.1173 $1,042 0.358 0.533 0.751 1.285.o' ica! and Fere..a_ .ter 0h't,:,. ^, _ OiS. hwast1ers Bas_ Case S ands

.C< h.+rc e,•

ear New Shipmentotal Stock % of Replacements Ship due to Saturation in retirements not for Retiring new new MF Re laced Units construction construction Annual Shipments Actual Repl. New Cons Total Retirement Units Units Shipment a fficiency c as . .

Water lec 

### ff

Gas

### AK.T.Mm. -, n in

Water . m

per Unit Total .

Fuel. .

Water otal

; J . nose million million million million million million millioncycles/kWhkWh/yrMMBtu/yr1000gal/yr quad quad trillion gal $ billion $billion $ billion $billion $

. ';... 2036 0 3.082 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0096 0.0239 0.1071 0.490 0.711 1.201 '';.. 2037 0 2.782 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0086 0.0216 0.0967 0.445 0.666 1.111 ';. 2038 0 2.478 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0077 0.0192 0.0861 0.399 0.615 1.014 2039 0 2.168 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0067 0.0168 0.0753 0.352 0.558 0.910 2040 0 1.852 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0058 0.0144 0.0644 0.302 0.495 0.797 2041 0 1.532 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0048 0.0119 0.0532 0.252 0.424 0.676 2042 0 1.220 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0036 0.0095 0.0424 0.202 0.351 0.553 2043 0 0.943 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0029 0.0073 0.0327 0.157 0.281 0.438 ',. 2044 0 0.699 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0022 0.0054 0.0243 0.117 0.216 0.334 2045 0 0.491 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0015 0.0038 0.0171 0.083 0.158 0.241 ',. 2046 0 0.319 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0010 0.0025 0.0111 0.054 0.106 0.160 2047 0 0.182 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0006 0.0014 0.0063 0.031 0.063 0.094 2048 0 0.083 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0003 0.0006 0.0029 0.014 0.030 0.044 2049 0 0.021 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0001 0.0002 0.0007 0.004 0.008 0.011 ;.. 2050 0 0.000 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ';... 2051 0 0.000 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.000 0.000 0.000 '';... 2052 0 0.000 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.000 0.000 0.000 '';.. 2053 0 0.000 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.000 0.000 0.000 '';... 2054 0 0.000 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.000 0.000 0.000 2055 0 0.000 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.000 0.000 0.000Historical and Forecasted Shipments o. CCW Standards Case 

### Annual Shipments 3MM

, 

### Cumulative

4 of New RemovedretirementReplacement ti Ri Ship due to Saturation in MF MS I t Repl.NeUnitsTotal Elec Gas WaterShipmentShipment YearShipmentTotal StockUnits a nota forerng new new mpac Units w Shipment Impact Impact Replaced Units construction construction /.ve'-L f•ti. million million million million million million kWh/yrWMBtu/y, 1000gal/yrmillion million post-:'0-^, 1985 0.176 1.768 0.136 0.040 6.0% 902.1 7.7 34.7 1986 0.186 1.798 0.156 0.030 4.7% 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000 1987 0.194 1.825 0.167 0.027 5.8% 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000 1988 0.213 1.871 0.000 0% 0.167 0.046 11.3% 0.000 0.000 1989 0.215 1.919 0.000 0% 0.167 0.048 13.0% Shipment- Historical and Projected 0.000 0.000 1990 0.225 1.978 0.000 0% 0.166 0.059 19.7% 031 0.000 0.000 1991 0.193 2.004 0.000 0% 0.167 0.026 14.9% 030

.- - _ _±- 0.000 0.000 1992 0.188 2.023 0.000 0% 0.168 0.019 11.4% 0.000 0.000 1993 0.190 2.043 0.000 0% 0.171 0.019 11.9% 0.21

- ^_ - - - - -- - 0.000 0.000 1994 0.205 2.073 0.000 0% 0.175 0.030 11.7% 0.000 0.000 1995 0.209 2.102 0.000 0% 0.180 0.029 10.5% '4020^^

- -- - - _ 0.000 0.000 1996 1997 0.232

0.241 2.148

2.199 0.000

0.000 0%

0% 0.185

0.190 0.046

0.050 14.7%

14.8% m0»L -- - - - -- - - -- - - - - --_ - - - -- - 0.000 0.000 0.000

0.000 1998 0.265 2.270 0.000 0% 0.193 0.072 20.7% 0.000 0.000 1999 0.239 2.313 0.006 3% 0.196 0.049 14.5% 0.000 0.000 2000 0.215 2.330 0.026 14% 0.193 0.049 14.5% 001

__ _ _ _ __ _ _ __ _ _ _ --o-Ba5e Case 0.000 0.000 2001 0.194 2.322 0.029 17% 0.176 0.048 14.5% Startda`ds Case 0.000 0.000 2002 0.175 2.292 0.051 29% 0.176 0.050 14.5% 0.00 0.000 0.000 2003 0.191 2.274 0.018 11% 0.158 0.050 14.5% 10011000 00002000 0000 2000 20150000 sots2030 0.000 0.000 2004 0.178 2.239 0.067 34% 0.195 0.050 14.5% 0--0.245-99U21 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000 2005 0.177 2.200 0.022 15% 0.150 0.050 14.5% 0.150 0.050 0.199 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000 2006 0.214 2.196 0.023 14% 0.168 0.047 14.5% -0.1% 0.168 0.047 0.214 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000 2007 0.219 2.194 0.020 12% 0.170 0.050 14.5% -0.2% 0.169 0.050 0.219 894.1 7.6 34.7 0.000 0.001 2008 0.225 2.198 0.018 10% 0.176 0.050 14.5% -0.3% 0.176 0.050 0.225 885.9 7.5 34.7 0.001 0.001 2009 0.228 2.207 0.014 8% 0.181 0.048 14.5% -0.4% 0.180 0.048 0.228 877.5 7.4 34.7 0.001 0.002 2010 0.232 2.222 0.011 6% 0.186 0.047 14.5% -0.5% 0.185 0.046 0.232 869.0 7.2 34.7 0.001 0.004 2011 0.233 2.243 0.008 4% 0.189 0.045 14.5% -0.7% 0.186 0.045 0.233 860.3 7.1 34.7 0.002 0.005 2012 0.234 2.270 0.004 2% 0.192 0.045 14.5% -0.9% 0.190 0.044 0.234 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.002 0.007 2013 0.238 2.304 0.000 0% 0.196 0.044 14.5% -0.9% 0.194 0.044 0.238 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.002 0.010 2014 0.242 2.346 0.000 0% 0.200 0.044 14.5% -0.9% 0.198 0.044 0.242 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.002 0.012 2015 0.242 2.389 0.000 0% 0.199 0.045 14.5% -0.9% 0.197 0.044 0.242 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.002 0.014 2016 0.246 2.433 0.000 0% 0.202 0.046 14.5% -0.9% 0.200 0.046 0.246 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.002 0.016 2017 0.253 2.479 0.000 0% 0.207 0.048 14.5% -0.9% 0.205 0.048 0.253 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.002 0.018 2018 0.260 2.527 0.000 0% 0.213 0.049 14.5% -0.9% 0.211 0.049 0.260 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.002 0.020 2019 0.265 2.573 0.000 0% 0.219 0.048 14.5% -0.9% 0.217 0.048 0.265 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.002 0.021 2020 0.271 2.619 0.000 0% 0.226 0.047 14.5% -0.9% 0.224 0.046 0.271 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.022 2021 0.275 2.663 0.000 0% 0.232 0.045 14.5% -0.9% 0.230 0.045 0.275 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.024 2022 0.277 2.707 0.000 

### 0% 0.235 0.045 14.5% 

### -0.9% 0.233 0.044 0.277 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.025 '... 2023 0.281 2.751 0.000 

### 0% 0.238 0.045 14.5% -0.9% 0.236 0.044 0.281 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.025 2024 0.284 2.795 0.000 0% 0.242 0.045 14.5% -0.9% 0.240 0.045 0.284 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.002 0.026 2025 0.289 2.840 0.000 0% 0.246 0.046 14.5% -0.9% 0.243 0.045 0.289 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.027 2026 0.294 2.887 0.000 0% 0.250 0.047 14.5% -0.9% 0.247 0.047 0.294 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.027 2027 0.300 2.935 0.000 0% 0.254 0.049 14.5% -0.9% 0.252 0.048 0.300 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.028 2028 0.305 2.984 0.000 0% 0.259 0.050 14.5% -0.9% 0.256 0.049 0.305 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.028 2029 0.311 3.035 0.000 0% 0.263 0.051 14.5% -0.9% 0.260 0.051 0.311 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.028 2030 0.316 3.086 0.000 0% 0.267 0.052 14.5% -0.9% 0.265 0.051 0.316 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.029 2031 0.321 3.137 0.000 0% 0.272 0.052 14.5% -0.9% 0.270 0.052 0.321 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.029 2032 0.326 3.189 0.000 0% 0.277 0.052 14.5% -0.9% 0.274 0.052 0.326 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.030 2033 0.331 3.241 0.000 0% 0.281 0.053 14.5% -0.9% 0.279 0.052 0.331 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.030 2034 0.336 3.293 0.000 0% 0.286 0.053 14.5% -0.9% 0.283 0.052 0.336 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.031 2035 0.340 3.346 0.000 0% 0.291 0.053 14.5% -0.9% 0.288 0.053 0.340 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.031 '.. 2036 0 3.054 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.029 '., 2037 0 2.757 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.026 2038 0 2.455 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.023 2039 0 2.148 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.020 2040 0 1.835 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.017 2041 0 1.518 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.014 2042 0 1.209 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.011 2043 0 0.934 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.009 2044 0 0.693 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.007 2045 0 0.487 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.005 2046 0 0.316 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.003 2047 0 0.181 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.001 0.002 2048 0 0.082 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.001 2049 0 0.021 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.000 2050 0 0.000 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.000 2051 0 0.000 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.000 2052 0 0.000 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.000 2053 0 0.000 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.000 2054 0 0.000 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.000 2055 0 0.000 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.000 

### 0Elec Gas Waterper UnitTotal Fuel Water Total Total Water Discount

. Incr. EquipOper.

Cost Energy Factor Cost Saving quad quad trillion gal $ billion $billion $ billion $billion $quad trillion gal billion $billion $

0.0068 0.0168 0.0763 $11 0.003 0.362 0.169 0.531 0.000 0.000 1.070 0.003 0.004 0.0067 0.0168 0.0762 $22 0.005 0.344 0.175 0.519 0.000 0.000 1.000 0.005 0.004 0.0068 0.0168 0.0764 $340.008 0.334 0.182 0.516 0.001 0.000 0.935 0.008 0.004 0.0068 0.0168 0.0768 $450.011 0.325 0.190 0.515 0.001 0.000 0.873 0.010 0.005 0.0068 0.0168 0.0773 $570.015 0.318 0.198 0.517 0.001 0.000 0.816 0.012 0.006 0.0068 0.0169 0.0781 $69 0.018 0.312 0.208 0.520 0.001 0.000 0.763 0.014 0.007 0.0069 0.0169 0.0789 $970.025 0.311 0.218 0.528 0.001 0.000 0.713 0.018 0.009 0.0069 0.0170 0.0800 $970.025 0.316 0.229 0.544 0.002 0.000 0.666 0.017 0.010 0.0070 0.0172 0.0814 $970.026 0.316 0.241 0.558 0.002 0.001 0.623 0.016 0.012 0.0071 0.0173 0.0828 $970.026 0.314 0.255 0.568 0.002 0.001 0.582 0.015 0.013 0.0072 0.0175 0.0842 $970.026 0.317 0.269 0.586 0.002 0.001 0.544 0.014 0.014 0.0073 0.0177 0.0857 $970.027 0.322 0.284 0.605 0.003 0.001 0.508 0.014 0.014 0.0074 0.0180 0.0872 $970.028 0.330 0.300 0.630 0.003 0.001 0.475 0.013 0.015 0.0075 0.0182 0.0887 $970.028 0.339 0.316 0.655 0.003 0.001 0.444 0.013 0.015 0.0076 0.0184 0.0902 $970.029 0.343 0.333 0.677 0.003 0.002 0.415 0.012 0.016 0.0078 0.0187 0.0916 $970.029 0.352 0.351 0.703 0.004 0.002 0.388 0.011 0.016 0.0079 0.0189 0.0931 $970.030 0.359 0.370 0.729 0.004 0.002 0.362 0.011 0.015 0.0080 0.0192 0.0945 $970.030 0.365 0.390 0.755 0.004 0.002 0.339 0.010 0.015 0.0081 0.0195 0.0960 $970.030 0.374 0.411 0.785 0.004 0.002 0.317 0.010 0.015 0.0082 0.0198 0.0975 $970.031 0.384 0.433 0.817 0.004 0.002 0.296 0.009 0.014 0.0084 0.0201 0.0991 $970.031 0.392 0.456 0.849 0.004 0.002 0.277 0.009 0.014 0.0085 0.0205 0.1008 $970.032 0.402 0.481 0.883 0.004 0.002 0.258 0.008 0.013 0.0087 0.0208 0.1024 $970.033 0.410 0.507 0.917 0.004 0.002 0.242 0.008 0.013 0.0088 0.0212 0.1042 $970.033 0.419 0.535 0.954 0.004 0.002 0.226 0.007 0.012 0.0090 0.0215 0.1059 $970.034 0.432 0.565 0.997 0.004 0.002 0.211 0.007 0.012 0.0091 0.0219 0.1077 $970.034 0.442 0.596 1.037 0.004 0.002 0.197 0.007 0.011 0.0093 0.0222 0.1095 $970.035 0.452 0.628 1.080 0.005 0.002 0.184 0.006 0.011 0.0094 0.0226 0.1113 $970.035 0.463 0.662 1.125 0.005 0.002 0.172 0.006 0.011 0.0096 0.0230 0.1131 $970.036 0.473 0.698 1.171 0.005 0.002 0.161 0.006 0.010 0.0097 0.0233 0.1149 $970.036 0.484 0.735 1.219 0.005 0.002 0.150 0.005 0.010 0.0089 0.0213 0.1048 0.445 0.696 1.141 0.004 0.002 0.141 0.000 0.008 0.0080 0.0192 0.0946 0.404 0.652 1.056 0.004 0.002 0.131 0.000 0.007 0.0071 0.0171 0.0843 0.362 0.602 0.964 0.003 0.002 0.123 0.000 0.006 0.0062 0.0150 0.0737 0.319 0.546 0.865 0.003 0.002 0.115 0.000 0.005 0.0053 0.0128 0.0630 0.274 0.484 0.759 0.003 0.001 0.107 0.000 0.004 0.0044 0.0106 0.0521 0.228 0.415 0.644 0.002 0.001 0.100 0.000 0.003 0.0035 0.0084 0.0415 0.183 0.343 0.527 0.002 0.001 0.094 0.000 0.002 0.0027 0.0065 0.0321 0.142 0.275 0.418 0.001 0.001 0.088 0.000 0.002 0.0020 0.0048 0.0238 0.106 0.212 0.318 0.001 0.001 0.082 0.000 0.001 0.0014 0.0034 0.0167 0.075 0.154 0.229 0.001 0.000 0.076 0.000 0.001 0.0009 0.0022 0.0108 0.049 0.104 0.153 0.000 0.000 0.071 0.000 0.001 0.0005 0.0013 0.0062 0.028 0.062 0.090 0.000 0.000 0.067 0.000 0.000 0.0002 0.0006 0.0028 0.013 0.029 0.042 0.000 0.000 0.062 0.000 0.000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0007 0.003 0.008 0.011 0.000 0.000 0.058 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.055 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.051 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.048 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.044 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.042 0.000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.039 0.000 0.000t1ectedTbta4 Ha41_ght tllons) Reference High Low

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

0 1271 I<7.7

976 1977 974, 1979 

# 950 98` _ Pr0!001e9 Housing StaOu4 s88Fons) Reference High Low

93.99 93.99 93.99 1990 1.38 1.38 1.38 94.87 94.87 94.87 1991 1.18 1.18 1.18 95.75 96 63 95.75

9663 95.75

9663 1992 1993 1.41

154 1.41

154 1.41

154

. 97.88 .

97.88 .

97.88 1994 . 1.76 .

1.76 .

1.76 Multi-Family Housing Starts 99.06 99.06 99.06 1995 1.69 1.69 1.69 100.10 100.10 100.10 1996 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.20 _ _ __ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ - - - _ __ _ _

- -_ _ 101.31 101.31 101.31 1997 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.00 sQ'____

_ _ 102.61 102.61 102.61 1998 1.54 1.54 1.54 103.83 103.83 103.83 1999 1.64 1.64 1.64 0.80 105.01 105.01 105.01 2000 1.70 1.70 1.70 0.60 4- "_t--m_°-

____ __ _ _____- 106.27 106.27 106.27 2001 1.72 1.72 1.72 107.35 107.35 107.35 2002 1.75 1.75 1.75 0.40 108.53 108.53 108.53 2003 1.79 1.79 1.79 0.20

_ _ _ __ _W _ __ _ -- __ _ __ _ -_ __ _ 109.73 109.73 109.73 2004 1.80 1.80 1.80 115.36 115.36 115.36 2005 2.14 2.14 0. 2.14 00 4 4 4 116.90 116.90 116.90 2006 1.96 2.16 1.76 1965 1973 19811989 1997200520132021202920372045 118.42 118

.42 118.42 2007 1.93 2.20 1.66 119.94 119.94 119.94 2008 1.94 2.24 1.64 121.44 121.44 121.44 2009 1.90 2.22 1.58 122.93 122

.93 122.93 2010 1.89 2.22 1.58 124.41 124.41 124.41 2011 1,88 2.21 1.55 125.83 125.83 125.83 2012 1.82 2.16 1.49 127.25 127.25 127.25 2013 1.80 2.17 1.44 128.67 128

.67 128.67 2014 1.81 2.18 1.44 130.11 130.11 130.11 2015 1.83 2.20 1.46 131.56 131.56 131.56 2016 1.83 2.21 1.45 133.00 133

.00 133.00 2017 1

.82 2.20 1.44 134.43 134.43 134.43 2018 1.81 2.21 1.41 135.83 135

.83 135.83 2019 1.77 2.19 1.36 137.19 137.19 137.19 2020 1.73 2.16 1.30 138.50 138.50 138.50 2021 1.67 2.11 1.24 139.78 139.78 139.78 2022 1.64 2.09 1.19 141.03 141.03 141.03 2023 1.61 2.07 1.15 142.28 142.28 142.28 2024 1.60 2.10 1.11 143.55 143.55 143.55 2025 1.62 2.15 1.10 144.83 144.83 144.83 2026 1.63 2.18 1.08 146.10 146.10 146.10 2027 1.62 2.18 1.06 147.34 147.34 147.34 2028 1.58 2.12 1.04 148.57 148.57 148.57 2029 1.57 2.14 0.99 149.81 149.81 149.81 2030 1.58 2.15 1.00 151.09 1511.09 151.09 2031 1.57 2.15 

## 0.96 152.39 152.39 152.39 2032 1.56 2.15 0.96 153.70 15370 153.70 2033 1.55 2,15 0.94 155.01 155.01 155.01 2034 1.54 2.15 0.93 156.34 156.34 156.34 2035 1 63 2.16

REF Total 

# I LO

# I HI Manufactured Home Placements New HousingUnits(million)Mufti-Family Starts Sin9Ie Famiy Starts REF LO HI REF LO HI REF LO HI 1.52 1.52 1.52 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.25 1.25 1.25 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.31 1.31 1.31 0.97 0.97 0.97 1.46 1.46 1.46 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.53 1.53 1.53 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.56 0.56 0.56 1.47 1.47 1.47 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.51 0.51 0.51 1.16 1.16 1.16 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.39 0.39 0.39 1.29 1.29 1.29 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.45 0.45 0.45 1.51 1.51 1.51 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.61 0.61 0.61 1.47 1.47 1.47 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.66 0.66 0.66 1.43 1.43 1.43 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.62 0.62 0.62 2.05 2.05 2.05 1.15 1.15 1.15 0.90 0.90 0.90 2.36 2.36 2.36 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.05 1.05 1.05 2.05 2.05 2.05 1.13 1.13 1.13 0.91 0.91 0.91 1.34 1.34 1.34 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.45 0.45 0.45 1.16 1.16 1.16 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.27 027 0.27 1.54 1.54 1.54 1.16 1.16 1.16 0.38 0.38 0.38 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.45 1.45 1.45 0.54 0.54 0.54 2.02 2.02 2.02 1.43 1.43 1.43 0.59 0.59 0.59 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.19 119 1.19 0.55 0.55 0.55 1.29 1.29 1.29 

## 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.44 0.44 0.44 1.08 1.08 1.08 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.38 0.38 0.3819.94 199.4 REF

1.06 170 1 75 1.74 1.81 1.62 1.49 1-38 1.19 101 1.20 1.29 1.46 1.35 1.48 1.47 1.62 1.64 1.57 1.60 1.70 1.85 2.06 2-14 1.96 193 1.94 1.90 1.89 1.88 1.82 1.80 201.4 1 1.81 2015 1.83 2016 1.83 7017 1.82 '22'10 1.81 =1)14 1.77

1.73 1.67 1.64 1.61 7024 1.60 2025 1.62 2026 1.63 2027 1.62 2028, 1.58 '2479 1.57 p035 1.58

1.58 1.59 1.60 20'.Z4 1.61 2035 1.61 2036 1.62 2037 1.63 2038 1.63 2039 1.64 20000 1.65 204 1.66 2012 1.67 Total



# I

16 LO 1.70 1.75 1.74 1.81 1.62 1.49 1.38 1.19 1.01 1.20 1.29 1.46 1.35 1.48 1.47 1.62 1.64 1.57 1.60 1.70 1.85 2.06 2.14 1.76 1.66 1.64 1.58 1.58 1.55 1.49 1.44 1.44 1.46 1.45 1.44 1.41 1.36 1.30 1.24 1.19 1.15 1.11 0 1.08 1.06 1.04 0.99 1.00 00 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.03 9.03 1.04 1.04 1.04 1 05 105

# I HI

1.06 1.70 1.75 1.74 1.81 1.62 1.49 1.38 1.19 1.01 1.20 1.29 1.46 1.35 1.48 1.47 1.62 1.64 1.57 1.60 1.70 1.85 2.06 2.14 2.16 2.20 2.24 2.22 2.22 2.21 2.16 2.17 2.18 2.20 2.21 2.20 2.21 2.19 2.16 2.11 2.09 2.07 2.10 2.15 2.18 2.18 2.12 2.14 2.15 2.16 2.17 2.18 2.19 220 2.21 2.22 2.23 2.24 2.25 226 2.27 REF New Housing Units(million)Multi-Family Starts

Single Family Starts 

# I LO

# I HI 

## 0.66 0.66 0.66
1.07 1.07 1.07 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.89 O.B9 0.89 0.84 0.84 0.84 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.13 1.13 1.13 120 1.20 1.20 1.08 1

.08 1.08 1.16 1.16 1.16 1.13 1

.13 1.13 1.27 1.27 1.27 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.27 1.27 1.27 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.51 1.40 1.62 1.42 1

.26 1.59 1.40 1

.20 1.59 1.36 1.14 1.57 1.36 1.14 1.59 1.36 1.12 1.60 1.32 1.07 1.57 1.30 1.02 1.59 1.31 1.01 1.61 1.33 1.03 1.63 1.32 1.00 1.64 1.30 0.98 1.63 1.29 0.95 1.63 1.27 0.91 1,63 1.24 0

.87 1.61 1.20 0

.83 1.59 1.16 0.80 1.57 1.15 0.76 1.55 1.15 0.73 1.57 1.17 072 1.61 1.17 0.71 1,63 1.14 0.67 1.61 1.10 0.65 1.54 1.08 0.61 1.55 1.08 0.61 1.55 1.09 061 1.66 1.09 0.61 1.57 110 0,62 1.58 1.10 0.62 1.59 1.11 0.62 1.59 1,'i 1 0.63 1,60 1,12 0.63 1-61 1.13 0.63 1.62 1.13 0.64 1.63 1.14 0.64 1.63 1.14 0.64 1.64 1.15 0.64 1.65 REF 0.40 0.64 0.67 0.67 0.63 0.47 0.41 0.37 0.30 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.26 0.28 0.32 0.34 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.32 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.32 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.32 0-33 0.34 0.33 0.32 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.34 0.34 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.38 0.38 0.38 LO

0.40 0.64 0.67 0.67 0.63 0.47 041 0.37 030 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.26 0.28 0.32 0.34 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.25 0.27 0.27 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.28 0.29 0.28 0.27 0.26 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.28 0,28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 029 0.29 0.30 HI

0.40 0.64 0.67 0.67 0.63 0.47 0.41 0.37 0.30 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.26 0.28 0.32 0.34 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.39 0.42 0.42 0.41 0.40 0.39 0.38 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.38 0.38 Of 0.41 0.42 0.43 0.43 0:44 0,44 0.44 0,44 045 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.46 046 0.46 

# I Manufactured Home Placements

REF LO ni

0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.11 0.15 0.16 0.14 0.19 0.20 0.17 0.23 0.21 0.19 0.24 0.21 0.19 0.23 0.21 0.19 0.22 0.20 0.19 0.21 0.20 0.18 0.21 0.19 0.18 020 0.19 0

.18 0.20 0.19 0

-18 0.20 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.18 0.17 0.18 0.17 016 0.18 0.16 0.15 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.15 0.14 0.16 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.15 0.14 0.12 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.16 0,14 0.11 0-16 014 0.11 0.16 014 0.11 0.16 0.14 0.11 0.16 0.14 0.11 0.16 0.14 0.;1 0.16 0.14 0.11 0.16 0.14 0111 0.16 0,14 0.11 0.16 0.14 0,11 0.16 0.14 0.11 0.16 0.14 0.11 0-i6 0.14 0.11 0.16 0.14 0.11 0.16

# ^III^IIIIIIINIIOD DODII IN^R

Average Et-ei, j r Prices(2006 S/ lMVOBtu)5'C^u.cce. CIAplusA&U2OO6pnce rr'eernd5WateR#(2006 $ / 1000 gal) `i

Electricity($/MMBtu site energy Gas ($/MMBtu site energy) Water Price 2005 25.90 25.83 25.99 11.90 11.73 12.07 2005 2.13 2.13 2.13 2006 25.62 25.62 25.62 11.25 11.25 11.25 2006 2.21 2.21 2.21 2007 24.48 24.67 24.24 10.64 10.66 10.63 2007 2.30 2.30 2.30 2008 23.62 23.93 23.26 10.39 10.44 10.35 2008 2.38 2.38 2.38 2009 23.10 23.46 22.64 10.04 10.10 9.99 2009 2.47 2.47 2.47 2010 22.68 23.10 22.17 9.79 9.84 9.76 2010 2.56 2.56 2.56 2011 22.23 22.86 21.79 9.54 9.67 9.51 2011 2.66 2.66 2.66 2012 22.06 22.69 21.50 9.42 9.45 9.38 2012 2.76 2.76 2.76 2013 22.29 22.96 21.51 9.48 9.49 9.38 2013 2.86 2.86 2.86 2014 22.21 23.14 21.59 9.34 9.42 9.38 2014 2.97 2.97 2.97 2015 22.01 22.71 21.37 9.07 9.05 9.07 2015 3.08 3.08 3.08 2016 22.03 22.74 21.37 9.02 8.99 9.04 2016 3.19 3.19 3.19 2017 22.06 22.74 21.51 9.05 9.06 9.14 2017 3.31 3.31 3.31 2018 22.19 22.91 21.61 9.21 9.23 9.21 2018 3.43 3.43 3.43 2019 22.39 23.11 21.70 9.36 9.38 9.33 2019 3.56 3.56 3.56 2020 22.36 23.21 21.63 9.35 9.45 9.32 2020 3.70 3.70 3.70 2021 22.53 23.30 21.68 9.47 9.55 9.38 2021 3.83 3.83 3.83 2022 22.58 23.49 21.71 9.54 9.64 9.43 2022 3.98 3.98 3.98 2023 22.52 23.50 21.67 9.61 9.74 9.53 2023 4.12 4.12 4.12 2024 22.68 23.76 21.80 9.73 9.89 9.66 2024 4.28 4.28 4.28 2025 22.89 23.83 21.93 9.87 9.99 9.74 2025 4.44 4.44 4.44 2026 22.91 24.01 22.01 9.95 10.12 9.82 2026 4.60 4.60 4.60 2027 23.00 24.05 22.01 10.05 10.17 9.90 2027 4.78 4.78 4.78 2028 23.02 24.14 22.06 10.11 10.27 9.98 2028 4.95 4.95 4.95 2029 23.07 24.37 22.05 10.19 10.42 10.02 2029 5.14 5.14 5.14 2030 23.28 24.39 22.22 10.38 10.54 10.21 2030 5.33 5.33 5.33 2031 23.37 24.51 22.28 10.47 10.65 10.29 2031 5.53 5.53 5.53 2032 23.47 24.63 22.34 10.56 10.76 10.37 2032 5.74 5.74 5.74 2033 23.56 24.75 22.40 10.66 10.87 10.46 2033 5.95 5.95 5.95 2034 23.66 24.88 22.46 10.76 10.98 10.54 2034 6.17 6.17 6.17 2035 23.75 25.00 22.52 10.85 11.10 10.62 2035 6.40 6.40 6.40 2036 23.85 25.12 22.59 10.95 11.21 10.71 2036 6.64 6.64 6.64 2037 23.94 25.25 22.65 11.05 11.32 10.79 2037 6.89 6.89 6.89 2038 24.04 25.37 22.71 11.15 11.44 10.88 2038 7.14 7.14 7.14 2039 24.14 25.50 22.77 11.25 11.56 10.96 2039 7.41 7.41 7.41 2040 24.23 25.63 22.83 11.35 11.68 11.05 2040 7.69 7.69 7.69 2041 24.33 25.75 22.89 11.45 11.80 11.14 2041 7.97 7.97 7.97 2042 24.43 25.88 22.95 11.56 11.92 11.23 2042 8.27 8.27 8.27 2043 24.53 26.01 23.02 11.66 12.04 11.32 2043 8.58 8.58 8.58 2044 24.63 26.14 23.08 11.77 12.16 11.41 2044 8.90 8.90 8.90 2045 24.73 26.27 23.14 11.87 12.29 11.50 2045 9.23 9.23 9.23 2046 24.83 26.40 23.20 11.98 12.41 11.59 2046 9.58 9.58 9.58 2047 24.93 26.53 23.26 12.09 12.54 11.68 2047 9.93 9.93 9.93 2048 25.03 26.66 23.33 12.20 12.67 11.77 2048 10.30 10.30 10.30 2049 25.13 26.79 23.39 12.31 12.80 11.87 2049 10.69 10.69 10.69 2050 25.23 26.92 23.45 12.42 12.93 11.96 2050 11.09 11.09 11.09 2051 25.33 27.06 23.52 12.53 13.06 12.05 2051 11.50 11.50 11.50 2052 25.43 27.19 23.58 12.64 13.20 12.15 2052 11.93 11.93 11.93 2053 25.54 27.33 23.64 12.76 13.33 12.25 2053 12.37 12.37 12.37 2054 25.64 27.46 23.71 12.87 13.47 12.34 2054 12.84 12.84 12.84 2055 25.74 27.60 23.77 12.99 13.61 12.44 2055 13.31 13.31 13.31

# Marginal Siteto Source Conversion Factor Elec (Btu/kWh) Gas

2005 11500 1.083 2006 11500 1.083 2007 11200 1.083 2008 10000 1.087 2009 9737 1.090 2010 9737 1.093 2011 9737 1.096 2012 9649 1.095 2013 9499 1.095 2014 8649 1.095 2015 7324 1.096 2016 7024 1.098 2017 7024 1.099 2018 7024 1.100 2019 7024 1.099 2020 7024 1.099 2021 7024 1.099 2022 7024 1.099 2023 7024 1.098 2024 7024 1.097 2025 7024 1.097 2026 7024 1.097 2027 7024 1.097 2028 7024 1.097 2029 7024 1.097 2030 7024 1.097 2031 7024 1.097 2032 7024 1.097 2033 7024 1.097 2034 7024 1.097 2035 7024 1.097 2036 7024 1.097 2037 7024 1.097 2038 7024 1.097 2039 7024 1.097 2040 7024 1.097 2041 7024 1.097 2042 7024 1.097 2043 7024 1.097 2044 7024 1.097 2045 7024 1.097 2046 7024 1.097 2047 7024 1.097 2048 7024 1.097 2049 7024 1.097 2050 7024 1.097 2051 7024 1.097 2052 7024 1.097 2053 7024 1.097 2054 7024 1.097 2055 7024 1.097

### Lifetime of Comm. Clothes Washers (before 2010) From Ia Lifetime after 2009: Multi-Family Laundromat Combined Multi-Family Laundromat Combined Average 11.250 7.125 10.63 Average 11.250 7.125 10.63 Min 7.0 5.0 6.70 Min 7.0 5.0 6.70 Max 15.50 9.25 14.56 Max 15.50 9.25 14.56

Age Combo % retiringCombined

% surviving Age Combo % retiringCombined

% surviving 1 0.0% 100.0% 1 0.0% 100.0% 2 0.0% 

### 100.0% 2 0.0% 100.0% 3 0.0% 100.0% 3 0.0% 100.0% 4 0.0% 100.0% 4 0.0% 100.0% 5 0.0% 100.0% 5 0.0% 100.0% 6 4.0% 96.0% 6 4.0% 96.0% 7 11.1% 84.8% 7 11.1% 84.8% 8 11.1% 73.7% 8 11.1% 73.7% 

### 9 11.1% 62.6% 9 11.1% 62.6% 10 11.1% 51.5% 10 11.1% 51.5% 11 11.1% 40.4% 11 11.1% 40.4% 12 11.1% 29.3% 12 11.1% 29.3% 13 11.1% 18.2% 13 11.1% 18.2% 14 12.1% 6.1% 14 12.1% 6.1% 15 6.1% 0.0% 15 6.1% 0.0% 16 0.0% 0.0% 16 0.0% 0.0% 17 0.0% 0.0% 17 0.0% 0.0% 18 0.0% 0.0% 18 0.0% 0.0% 19 0.0% 0.0% 19 0.0% 0.0% 20 0.0% 0.0% 20 0.0% 0.0% 21 0.0% 0.0% 21 0.0% 0.0% 22 0.0% 0.0% 22 0.0% 0.0% 23 0.0% 0,0% 23 0.0% 0.0% 24 0.0% 0.0% 24 0.0% 0.0% 25 0.0% 0.0% 25 0.0% 0.0% 26 0.0% 0.0% 26 0.0% 0.0% 27 0.0% 0.0% 27 0.0% 0.0% 28 0.0% 0.0% 28 0.0% 0,0% 29 0.0% 0.0% 29 0.0% 0.0% 30 0.0% 0.0% 30 0.0% 0.0% 31 0.0% 0.0% 31 0.0% 0.0% Sum Sum 100.0% sill 

# a

% Surviving by Age

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### Lifetime pre

-2010 Lifetime post-2010

25.1 0.00 25.1 0.00 25.2 0.00 25.2 0.00 25.3 0.00 25.3 0.00 25.4 0.00 25.4 0.00 25.5 0.00 25.5 0.00 25.6 0,00 25.6 0,00 25.7 0.00 25.7 0.00 25.7 0.00 25.7 0.00 25.8 0.00 25.8 0.00 25.9 0.00 25.9 0.00 26.0 0.00 26.0 0.00 26.1 0.00 26.1 0.00 26.2 0.00 26.2 0.00 26.3 0.00 26.3 0.00 26.4 0.00 26.4 0.00 26.5 0.00 26.5 OM 26.6 000 26.6 0,00 26.6 0.00''... 26.6 0.00 26.7 0.00 26.7 0.00 26.8 0.00 26.8 0.00 26.9 0.00 26.9 0,00 27.0 0.00 27.0 0.00 ":.