January Cattle

and 

Sheep and Goats

Agricultural Statistics Board Briefing

Travis Averill, Chief

Livestock Branch

January 31, 2022
January 2022 Cattle Survey

Sample Sizes

January 31, 2022
January 2022 Cattle Survey

Drought Maps

January 31, 2022
U.S. Cattle and Calves Revisions

Survey Item

Initial

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Current

Revision

(1,000 head)

Net 

Revision

(1,000 head)

Current 

Estimate

(1,000 head)

July 1, 2020 All cattle and calves 103,000.0 +100.0 -700.0 102,300.0

Calf crop 35,800.0 +360.0 -304.5 35,495.5

January 1, 2021 All cattle and calves 93,594.5 +195.0 +195.0 93,789.5

Calf crop 35,135.5 +360.0 +360.0 35,495.5

July 1, 2021 All cattle and calves 100,900.0 -100.0 -100.0 100,800.0

Calf crop 35,100.0 -14.6 -14.6 35,085.4

January 31, 2022
January 1 Cattle and Calves

United States 2021 2022 % Change from

(1,000 head) Previous Year

All cattle and calves 93,789.5 91,901.6 ↓ 2.0

88

92

96

100

2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022

Million head

January 1 All Cattle and Calves

United States 

January 31, 2022

Top 5 States

Inventory

(1,000 head)

Texas 12,700

Nebraska 6,800

Kansas 6,500

California 5,200

Oklahoma 5,200
January 1, 2022 Cattle and Calves

(1,000) Head and Percent Change from Previous Year

January 31, 2022
January 1 Cows

United States 2021 2022 % Change from 

(1,000 head) Previous Year

All cows and heifers that have calved 40,286.0 39,500.1 ↓ 2.0

Beef cows 30,843.6 30,125.1 ↓ 2.3

Milk cows 9,442.4 9,375.0 ↓ 0.7

28

30

32

34

2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022

Million head

January 1 Beef Cows

United States

8.9

9.1

9.3

9.5

2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022

Million head

January 1 Milk Cows

United States

January 31, 2022
January 1 Heifers

United States 2021 2022 % Change from 

(1,000 head) Previous Year

All heifers 500 pounds and over 20,200.1 19,776.0 ↓ 2.1

Beef cow replacement 5,803.1 5,611.5 ↓ 3.3

Milk cow replacement 4,608.5 4,450.6 ↓ 3.4

Other heifers 9,788.5 9,713.9 ↓ 0.8

18.0

18.6

19.2

19.8

20.4

21.0

2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022

Million head

January 1 All Heifers

United States

January 31, 2022
January 1 Steers, Bulls, and Calves

United States 2021 2022 % Change from

(1,000 head) Previous Year

Steers 500 pounds and over 16,787.8 16,579.7 ↓ 1.2

Bulls 500 pounds and over 2,210.5 2,109.6 ↓ 4.6

Calves under 500 pounds 14,305.1 13,936.2 ↓ 2.6

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022

Million head

January 1 Steers, Bulls, and Calves

United States

Steers Bulls Calves

January 31, 2022
Calf Crop

United States 2020 2021 % Change from

(1,000 head) Previous Year

January 1 – June 30 25,850.0 25,630.0 ↓ 0.9

July 1 – December 31 9,645.5 9,455.4 ↓ 2.0

Total 35,495.5 35,085.4 ↓ 1.2

33.00

34.50

36.00

37.50

39.00

2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021

Million head

Calf Crop

United States

January 31, 2022
Trade Expectations Compared to NASS 

Estimates Percent of Previous Year

January 31, 2022

99.8

99.1

99.6

98.2

98.6

98.8

100.6

98.8

99.3

97.7

98.0

98.0

97 98 99 100 101 102

Cattle on feed

Calf crop

Milk cows

Beef cows

All cows and heifers that have calved

All cattle and calves

Trade Range Trade Average NASS
All Cattle and Calves

First Estimate vs Final Estimate

January 31, 2022

86

88

90

92

94

96

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Million head

Lower Trade Range Trade Range ASB First Estimate ASB Final Estimate
14%

18%

22%

26%

30%

34%

2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021

All Cow Heifer

January 31, 2022

Percent of Slaughter

All Cow and Heifer Slaughter

as a Percent of Total Slaughter
85

90

95

100

40%

45%

50%

55%

2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021

Cow and Heifer % of Slaughter Cattle Inventory of Following Year

Million head

January 31, 2022

Percent of Slaughter

Cattle Inventory vs Cow and Heifer Slaughter 

as a Percent of Slaughter
January 1 Cattle on Feed

United States 2021 2022

(1,000 head) Percent of Total (1,000 head) Percent of Total

Capacity of 1,000 head or more 11,967.0 81.6 12,037.0 81.9

Capacity of less than 1,000 head 2,700.4 18.4 2,655.6 18.1

All cattle on feed 14,667.4 14,692.6

12.5

13.0

13.5

14.0

14.5

15.0

2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022

Million head

January 1 All Cattle on Feed

United States

January 31, 2022
January 1 Feeder Cattle Supply

United States 2021 2022 % Change from 

(1,000 head) Previous Year

Calves under 500 pounds 14,305.1 13,936.2 ↓ 2.6

Steers and other heifers 500 pounds and over 26,576.3 26,293.6 ↓ 1.1

Total supply 40,881.4 40,229.8 ↓ 1.6

All cattle on feed 14,667.4 14,692.6 ↑ 0.2

Feeder cattle supply 26,214.0 25,537.2 ↓ 2.6

24.0000

26.0000

28.0000

30.0000

2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022

Million head

January 1 Feeder Cattle Supply

United States

January 31, 2022
January 2022 Sheep and Goat Survey

Sample Sizes

January 31, 2022
U.S. Sheep and Lambs Revisions

Survey Item

Initial

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Current

Revision

(1,000 head)

Net 

Revision

(1,000 head)

Current 

Estimate

(1,000 head)

January 1, 2021 All sheep and lambs 5,170.0 0 0 5,170.0

Lamb crop 3,210.0 0 0 3,210.0

January 31, 2022
January 1 Sheep and Lambs

United States 2021 2022 % Change from

(1,000 head) Previous Year

All sheep and lambs 5,170.0 5,065.0 ↓ 2.0

Market 1,390.0 1,355.0 ↓ 2.5

Breeding 3,780.0 3,710.0 ↓ 1.9

5

6

7

2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022

Million head

January 1 All Sheep and Lambs

United States 

January 31, 2022

Top 5 States

Inventory

(1,000 head)

Texas 700

California 575

Colorado 430

Wyoming 330

Utah 270
January 1, 2022 Sheep and Lambs

(1,000) Head and Percent Change from Previous Year

January 31, 2022
January 1 Breeding Sheep and Lambs

United States 2021 2022 % Change from

(1,000 head) Previous Year

Breeding sheep and lambs 3,780.0 3,710.0 ↓ 1.9

Replacement lambs under one year old 650.0 640.0 ↓ 1.5

Ewes one year and older 2,960.0 2,910.0 ↓ 1.7

Rams one year old and older 170.0 160.0 ↓ 5.9

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022

Million head

January 1 Lambs, Ewes, and Rams

United States

Lambs Ewes Rams

January 31, 2022
Lamb Crop

United States 2020 2021 % Change from

(1,000 head) Previous Year

Lamb crop 3,210.0 3,160.0 ↓ 1.6

3.00

4.00

5.00

2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021

Million head

Lamb Crop

United States

January 31, 2022
U.S. Goats and Kids Revisions

Survey Item

Initial

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Current

Revision

(1,000 head)

Net 

Revision

(1,000 head)

Current 

Estimate

(1,000 head)

January 1, 2021 All goats and kids 2,582 +4 +4 2,586

Kid crop 1,655 0 0 1,655

January 31, 2022
January 1 Goats and Kids

United States 2022 2021 % Change from

(1,000 head) Previous Year

All goats and kids 2,586 2,550 ↓ 1.4

Market 466 457 ↓ 1.9

Breeding 2,120 2,093 ↓ 1.3

2.5

2.7

2.9

3.1

3.3

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021

Million head

January 1 All Goats and Kids

United States 

January 31, 2022
January 1 Breeding Goats and Kids

United States 2021 2022 % Change from

(1,000 head) Previous Year

Breeding goats and kids 2,120 2,093 ↓ 1.3

Replacement kids under one year old 389 385 ↓ 1.0

Does one year old and older 1,572 1,551 ↓ 1.3

Bucks one year old and older 159 157 ↓ 1.3

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021

Million head

January 1 Kids, Does, and Bucks

United States

Kids Does Bucks

January 31, 2022
Kid Crop

United States 2020 2021 % Change from

(1,000 head) Previous Year

Kid crop 1,655 1,601 ↓ 3.3

1.50

1.70

1.90

2.10

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020

Million head

Kid Crop

United States

January 31, 2022
Highlight of Upcoming Reports

February 11 Catfish Production

February 16 Vegetables Annual Summary

February 18 Farms and Land in Farms

February 24 Crop Values Annual Summary

March 3 U.S. and Canadian Cattle and 

Sheep; U.S. and Canadian Hogs

https://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/index.php

January 31, 2022
January 31, 2022
January 31, 2022

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