HOGS & PIGS INVENTORY

Executive Briefing

March 1, 2013

March 28, 2013

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service
March Hogs and Pigs

Data Collection Period: 

 February 28 – March 18

Sample Size: 

 7,500

Collection Methods

Phone, mail, internet, personal interview

Main Data Items

Total Inventory, by class, weight group, and quarter

Sows Farrowing, pig crop, and pigs per litter

March 28, 2013 
U.S. Hogs & Pigs Revisions

March 28, 2013

Initial

Estimate

Previous 

Revision

Current

Revision

Net 

Revision

Current 

Estimate

Sep

2012

All 

Hogs 

and 

Pigs

67.5 million +230,000

+0.3%

+470,000

+0.7%

+700,000

+1.0%

68.2 million

Pig 

Crop 29.3 million +368,000

+1.3%

+368,000

+1.3%

29.7 million

Dec

2012

All 

Hogs 

and 

Pigs

66.3 million +65,000

+0.1%

66.4 million
U.S. Hogs & Pigs Inventory

March 1, 2013

Inventory Items (000) Hd % PY

All Hogs & Pigs 65,911 101%

Breeding Hogs 5,834 100%

Market Hogs 60,077 102%

Dec – Feb Pig Crop 29,019 102%

Sows Farrowing 2,879 101%

Litter Rate Number % PY

Dec 2012 – Feb 2013 10.08 101%

Farrowing Intentions (000) Hd % PY

Mar – May 2013 2,955 99%

Jun – Aug 2013 2,905 99%

March 28, 2013
5 6

5 8

6 0

6 2

6 4

6 6

6 8

7 0

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Year

U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory

March 1, 2013

65.9 

March 28, 2013
NASS Estimates Compared to Trade Expectations

Percent of Previous Year

Inventory Items NASS

Estimate

Trade

Average

Trade

Range

All Hogs & Pigs 101.4% 100.7% 100.3% – 101.6%

Breeding Hogs 100.2% 100.3% 99.7% – 101.2%

Market Hogs 101.6% 100.8% 100.3% – 101.7%

Dec – Feb Pig Crop 101.6% 101.2% 100.6% – 101.7%

Farrowing Intentions

Mar – May 2013 99.1% 98.7% 97.9% – 99.8%

Jun – Aug 2013 99.2% 100.9% 98.9% – 101.6%

March 28, 2013
59 

60 

61 

62 

63 

64 

65 

66 

67 

68 

69 

70 

71 

Sep 

0 6

Mar 

0 7

Sep 

0 7

Mar 

0 8

Sep 

0 8

Mar 

0 9

Sep 

0 9

Mar 

1 0

Sep 

1 0

Mar 

11

Sep 

11

Mar 

1 2

Sep 

1 2

Mar 

1 3 Million Head

All Hogs and Pigs

Board vs Trade Expectations

ASB Final Est Trade ASB First Est

March 28, 2013
0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

D-F 

0 9

M-M 

0 9

J-A 

0 9

S-N 

0 9

D-F 

1 0

M-M 

1 0

J-A 

1 0

S-N 

1 0

D-F 

11

M-M 

11

J-A 

11

S-N 

11

D-F 

1 2

M-M 

1 2

J-A 

1 2

S-N 

1 2

D-F 

1 3

Feeder Pigs Slaughter

Canadian Imports by Quarter

Feeder Pigs and Slaughter Hogs

March 28, 2013
2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.2

3.3

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

U.S. Quarterly Sows Farrowed 

December - February

ASB Estimate Mar-May Intentions Jun-Aug Intentions Million Head

March 28, 2013
Breeding Herd Inventory

Disposition & Utilization

Year

Dec. 1

Estimate Slaughter Additions Mar. 1Estimate

Sow

Utilization

(000) Hd (000) Hd (000) Hd (000) Hd Percent

2004 6,019 858 810 5,971 47%

2005 5,980 840 812 5,952 47%

2006 6,031 830 844 6,045 47%

2007 6,116 937 970 6,149 48%

2008 6,233 833 800 6,200 49%

2009 6,062 811 741 5,992 50%

2010 5,850 803 713 5,760 49%

2011 5,778 826 836 5,788 49%

2012 5,803 836 853 5,820 49%

2013 5,817 805 822 5,834 50%

March 28, 2013
8.70

8.90

9.10

9.30

9.50

9.70

9.90

10.10

10.30

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Year

U.S. Quarterly Pigs per Litter 

December - February

10.08

March 28, 2013
10.08

7.50

8.30

8.90

9.40

9.90

10.10

7.00

7.50

8.00

8.50

9.00

9.50

10.00

10.50

All 1-99 100-499 500-999 1000-1999 2000-4999 5000+

Size of Operation

U.S. Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation

December 2012 – February 2013

Pigs Per Litter

March 28, 2013
$1.50

$2.00

$2.50

$3.00

$3.50

$4.00

$4.50

$5.00

$5.50

$6.00

$6.50

$7.00

$7.50

$8.00

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

0 3 0 4 0 5 0 6 0 7 0 8 0 9 1 0 11 1 2 1 3

Year

U.S. Prices Received by Farmers 

for Hogs & Corn 

Hogs Corn Hogs $/cwt

Corn $/bu

March 28, 2013
Upcoming Reports

April 10 Crop Production

April 19 Cattle on Feed

April 25 Meat Animals - PDI

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

March 28, 2013
All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions Call or Email

202-720-3570

800-727-9540

nass@nass.usda.gov

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

March 28, 2013