September Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

Agricultural Statistics Board Briefing

Travis Averill, Chief

Livestock Branch

September 29, 2022
September 2022 Hogs and Pigs Survey

Sample Sizes

September 29, 2022
U.S. Hogs and Pigs Revisions

Survey Item

Initial

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Current

Revision

(1,000 head)

Net 

Revision

(1,000 head)

Current 

Estimate

(1,000 head)

March 1, 2022 All Hogs and Pigs 72,209 70 480 72,689

Pig Crop 31,750 74 197 31,947

June 1, 2022 Pig Crop 32,905 -42 -42 32,863

September 29, 2022
U.S. Hogs and Pigs September 1

2021 2022 % Change from 

(1,000 head) Previous Year

All Hogs and Pigs 74,867 73,800 ↓ 1.4

Breeding Hogs 6,190 6,152 ↓ 0.6

Market Hogs 68,677 67,648 ↓ 1.5

72.5

61

63

65

67

69

71

73

75

77

79

81

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Million head U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

September June

74.9

73.8

Top 5 States

Inventory

(1,000 head)

Iowa 23,400

Minnesota 8,800

North Carolina 8,300

Illinois 5,200

Indiana 4,400

September 29, 2022
September 2022 Hogs and Pigs Inventory

(1,000) Head and Percent Change from Previous Year

September 29, 2022
U.S. Hogs and Pigs September 1

2021 2022 % Change from 

(1,000 head) Previous Year

Market Hogs 68,677 67,648 ↓ 1.5

Less than 50 lbs 21,690 21,343 ↓ 1.6

50 – 119 lbs 20,211 19,887 ↓ 1.6

120 – 179 lbs 14,246 14,073 ↓ 1.2

180 lbs or more 12,529 12,345 ↓ 1.5

11

14

17

20

23

26

Sep 2019 Dec 2019 Mar 2020 Jun 2020 Sep 2020 Dec 2020 Mar 2021 Jun 2021 Sep 2021 Dec 2021 Mar 2022 Jun 2022 Sep 2022

Million head Market Hogs by Weight Class

LT 50 LBS 50 TO 119 LBS 120 TO 179 LBS GE 180 LBS

September 29, 2022
U.S. Hogs and Pigs September 1

2021 2022 % Change from 

(1,000 head) Previous Year

Sows Farrowed 3,050 3,018 ↓ 1.0

Intentions

Sep – Nov 3,049 2,973 ↓ 2.5

Dec – Feb 2,919 2,902 ↓ 0.6

2.97

3.02

2.90

2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.2

3.3

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Million head U.S. Quarterly Sows Farrowed

Jun-Aug Estimate Sep-Nov Intentions Dec-Feb Intentions

September 29, 2022
U.S. Hogs and Pigs September 1

2021 2022 % Change from

(1,000 head) Previous Year

Pig Crop 33,944 33,581 ↓ 1.1

(Number)

Pigs per Litter 11.13 11.13 NC

11.00

11.13 11.13

9.50

9.80

10.10

10.40

10.70

11.00

11.30

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Pigs per Litter U.S. Quarterly Pigs per Litter

June-August March-May

September 29, 2022
Trade Expectations Compared to NASS 

Estimates Percent of Previous Year

100.6

99.0

99.5

99.1

99.6

99.2

99.4

97.5

98.9

98.5

99.4

98.6

97.0 99.5 102.0

Dec-Feb Farrowings

Sep-Nov Farrowings

Jun-Aug Pig Crop

Market Hogs

Breeding Hogs

All Hogs and Pigs

Min Trade Range Trade Average NASS

September 29, 2022
All Hogs and Pigs 

First Estimate vs Final Estimate

59

64

69

74

79

84

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Million head

Lower Trade Range Trade Range ASB First Estimate ASB Final Estimate

September 29, 2022
Breeding Herd Inventory

Disposition and Utilization

September 29, 2022

Year

Jun 1

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Slaughter

(1,000 head)

Additions

(1,000 head)

Sep 1

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Sow

Utilization

(Percent)

2013 5,884 796 728 5,816 49

2014 5,855 751 816 5,920 51

2015 5,926 798 858 5,986 51

2016 5,979 802 839 6,016 51

2017 6,109 828 836 6,117 51

2018 6,320 850 860 6,330 50

2019 6,410 823 844 6,431 51

2020 6,426 921 828 6,333 51

2021 6,220 852 822 6,190 49

2022 6,168 858 842 6,152 49
Canadian Imports by Quarter

Feeder Pigs and Slaughter Hogs (1,000 head)

September 29, 2022

85% 84%

84% 84%

84%

85%

83%

83% 82% 83% 85%

84%

79% 73% 73%

81%

80%

76%

75%

15% 16%

16% 16%

16%

15%

17%

17% 18%

17% 15%

16%

21%

27% 27%

19%

20%

24%

25% 1,326 1,320 

1,257 1,222 

1,398 

1,262 

1,124 

1,267 1,275 

1,221 1,209 

1,352 

1,533 

1,640 1,664 1,654 

1,561 

1,692 

1,543

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Feeder Slaughter
U.S. Prices Received by Farmers

for Hogs and Corn

$1.50

$2.50

$3.50

$4.50

$5.50

$6.50

$7.50

$8.50

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

$100

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Hogs $/cwt Corn $/bu

Hogs Corn

Hogs Corn

Month $/cwt $/bu

February 68.60 6.10

March 75.10 6.56

April 76.20 7.08

May 75.90 7.26

June 78.70 7.37

July 83.00 7.25

Hog to Corn

Month Ratio

February 11.25

March 11.45

April 10.76

May 10.45

June 10.68

July 11.45

September 29, 2022
Selected Upcoming Reports

September 30

Small Grain Summary

Grain Stocks

Agricultural Prices

October 3 Cotton Systems, Fats & Oils, Grain 

Crushing

October 4 Dairy Products

October 12 Cotton Ginnings

Crop Production

October 20 Milk Production

October 21 Cattle on Feed

https://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/index.php

September 29, 2022
September 29, 2022
All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

(202) 720-3570

(800) 727-9540

nass@usda.gov