Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

Agricultural Statistics Board Briefing

Travis Averill, Chief

Livestock Branch

September 24, 2021
2021 September Hogs & Pigs Survey

Number of Samples

September 24, 2021
U.S. Hogs and Pigs Revisions

Survey Item

Initial

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Current

Revision

(1,000 head)

Net 

Revision

(1,000 head)

Current 

Estimate

(1,000 head)

December 1, 2020 All Hogs and Pigs 77,502 -190 -680 76,822

Pig Crop 34,973 -99 -359 34,614

March 1, 2021 All Hogs and Pigs 74,773 -1,090 -950 73,823

Pig Crop 33,270 -1,292 -1,292 31,978

June 1, 2021 All Hogs and Pigs 75,653 -1,250 -1,250 74,403

Pig Crop 33,584 0 0 33,584

September 24, 2021
U.S. Hogs and Pigs September 1

2020 2021 % Change from 

(1,000 head) Previous Year

All Hogs and Pigs 78,434 75,352 ↓ 3.9

Breeding Hogs 6,333 6,190 ↓ 2.3

Market Hogs 72,101 69,162 ↓ 4.1

75.4

61

63

65

67

69

71

73

75

77

79

81

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Million head U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

September June

78.4

74.4

Top 5 States

Inventory

(1,000 head)

Iowa 24,400

Minnesota 9,000

North Carolina 8,300

Illinois 5,450

Indiana 4,300

September 24, 2021
September 1, 2021 Hogs and Pigs Inventory

(1,000) Head and Percent Change from Previous Year

September 24, 2021
U.S. Hogs and Pigs September 1

2020 2021 % Change from 

(1,000 head) Previous Year

Market Hogs 72,101 69,162 ↓ 4.1

Less than 50 lbs 23,144 21,855 ↓ 5.6

50 – 119 lbs 21,020 19,751 ↓ 6.0

120 – 179 lbs 14,867 14,656 ↓ 1.4

180 lbs or more 13,069 12,899 ↓ 1.3

11

14

17

20

23

26

Sep 2018 Dec 2018 Mar 2019 Jun 2019 Sep 2019 Dec 2019 Mar 2020 Jun 2020 Sep 2020 Dec 2020 Mar 2021 Jun 2021 Sep 2021

Million head Market Hogs by Weight Class

LT 50 LBS 50 TO 119 LBS 120 TO 179 LBS GE 180 LBS

September 24, 2021
U.S. Hogs and Pigs September 1

2020 2021 % Change from 

(1,000 head) Previous Year

Sows Farrowed 3,260 3,046 ↓ 6.6

Intentions

Sep – Nov 3,132 3,000 ↓ 4.2

Dec – Feb 2,922 2,962 ↑ 1.4

3.00

2.96

3.05

2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.2

3.3

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Million head U.S. Quarterly Sows Farrowed

Jun-Aug Estimates Sep-Nov Intentions Dec-Feb Intentions

September 24, 2021
U.S. Hogs and Pigs September 1

2020 2021 % Change from

(1,000 head) Previous Year

Pig Crop 36,056 33,900 ↓ 6.0

(Number)

Pigs per Litter 11.06 11.13 ↑ 0.6

10.95

11.06

11.13

9.50

9.80

10.10

10.40

10.70

11.00

11.30

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Pigs per Litter U.S. Quarterly Pigs per Litter

June-August March-May

September 24, 2021
Trade Expectations Compared to NASS 

Estimates Percent of Previous Year

September 24, 2021

99.9

98.6

96.6

98.2

98.9

98.3

101.4

95.8

94.0

95.9

97.7

96.1

93.0 95.0 97.0 99.0 101.0 103.0

Dec-Feb Farrowings

Sep-Nov Farrowings

Jun-Aug Pig Crop

Market Hogs

Breeding Hogs

All Hogs and Pigs

Min Trade Range Trade Average NASS
All Hogs and Pigs 

First Estimate vs Final Estimate

59

64

69

74

79

84

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Million head

Lower Trade Range Trade Range ASB First Estimate ASB Final Estimate

September 24, 2021
Breeding Herd Inventory

Disposition and Utilization

September 24, 2021

Year

Jun 1

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Slaughter

(1,000 head)

Additions

(1,000 head)

Sep 1

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Sow

Utilization

(Percent)

2012 5,862 859 785 5,788 50

2013 5,884 796 728 5,816 49

2014 5,855 751 816 5,920 51

2015 5,926 798 858 5,986 51

2016 5,979 802 839 6,016 51

2017 6,109 828 836 6,117 51

2018 6,320 850 860 6,330 50

2019 6,410 823 844 6,431 51

2020 6,326 921 928 6,333 52

2021 6,220 862 832 6,190 49
Canadian Imports by Quarter

Feeder Pigs and Slaughter Hogs

(1,000 head)

September 24, 2021

84% 85%

84% 85% 85% 84%

84% 84%

84%

85%

83%

83% 82% 83% 85%

84%

79% 73% 73%

16% 15%

16% 15% 15% 16%

16% 16%

16%

15%

17%

17% 18%

17% 15%

16%

21%

27% 27% 1,409 1,412 

1,327 1,326 1,326 1,320 

1,257 1,222 

1,398 

1,262 

1,124 

1,267 1,275 

1,221 1,209 

1,352 

1,533 

1,640 1,664

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Feeder Slaughter
U.S. Prices Received by Farmers

for Hogs and Corn

$1.50

$2.50

$3.50

$4.50

$5.50

$6.50

$7.50

$8.50

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

$100

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Hogs $/cwt Corn $/bu

Hogs Corn

Hogs Corn

Month $/cwt $/bu

February 56.40 4.75

March 67.20 4.89

April 75.60 5.31

May 79.30 5.91

June 82.70 6.00

July 80.00 6.12

Hog to Corn

Month Ratio

February 11.87

March 13.74

April 14.24

May 13.42

June 13.78

July 13.07

September 24, 2021
Upcoming Reports

September 30

Small Grain Summary

Grain Stocks

Agricultural Prices

October 1 Cotton Systems, Fats & Oils, Grain 

Crushing

October 4 Dairy Products

October 12 Cotton Ginnings

Crop Production

October 20 Milk Production

October 22 Cold Storage

https://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/index.php

September 24, 2021

USDA Fall Data Users’ Meeting

October 13 & 14, 2021

12:00 – 3:00 p.m. ET

For more information and to register please go to

www.nass.usda.gov/Education_and_Outreach/Meeting/index.php
All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

(202) 720-3570

(800) 727-9540

nass@usda.gov