12:00 P.M.

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

November Crop Production

Executive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

November 8, 2018
USDA-NASS

11-8-18

Field Crops Fruit & Nuts Specialty Crops

Corn Citrus Sugarbeets

Soybeans Sugarcane

Cotton Fall Potatoes

Rice

Peanuts

Sorghum

Cottonseed

Contents
USDA-NASS

11-8-18

November 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

Production

Oranges Mil Tons 5.53 -1.6 +41.1

Grapefruit Thou Tons 676 -1.9 +30.8

Tangerines & 

Mandarins Thou Tons 977 NC +21.5
9.82

13.0

12.2 12.4

11.5

12.9

9.25 9.02

7.63

10.1

9.13

8.24

8.91 8.98

8.27

6.77

6.35

6.09

5.09

3.92

5.53

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million Tons

Orange Production

United States

USDA-NASS

11-8-18
USDA-NASS

11-8-18

Ag Yield Objective Yield

Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

Crops Included Field Crops Corn, Cotton, Soybeans

Sample Size 8,524 4,952

Collection Period Oct 30 – Nov 5 Oct 25 – Nov 1

Survey Overview
USDA-NASS

11-8-18

November 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

Corn

Harvested Mil Ac 81.8 NC -1.1

Yield Bu/Ac 178.9 -1.0 +1.3

Production Bil Bu 14.6 -1.0 +0.2
9.76 9.43 9.92 9.50

8.97

10.1

11.8

11.1

10.5

13.0

12.0

13.1

12.4 12.3

10.8

13.8

14.2 13.6

15.1

14.6 14.6

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Billion Bushels

Corn for Grain Production

United States

USDA-NASS

11-8-18
USDA-NASS

11-8-18
2004

2005 2006 2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017 Aug-18

Sept-18

Oct-18

Nov -18

0.260

0.270

0.280

0.290

0.300

0.310

0.320

0.330

0.340

0.350

0.360

0.370

25,000 25,500 26,000 26,500 27,000 27,500 28,000 28,500 29,000 29,500

Lbs/Ear

Ears Per Acre

Corn Objective Yield Region

Ears Per Acre vs. Implied Ear Weight

Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears

USDA-NASS

11-8-18
USDA-NASS

11-8-18

Year Dent Stage Mature

Percent

2014 < 0.5 96

2015 < 0.5 96

2016 < 0.5 96

2017 < 0.5 96

2018 < 0.5 96

Corn Objective Yield - November

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab
USDA-NASS

11-8-18

Low

14.1

14.3

14.5

14.7

14.9

15.1

15.3

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels

2018 United States Corn Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

11-8-18

November 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

Soybeans

Harvested Mil Ac 88.3 -<0.1 -1.3

Yield Bu/Ac 52.1 -1.9 +5.7

Production Bil Bu 4.60 -1.9 +4.3
2.74 2.65

2.76

2.89

2.76

2.45

3.12 3.07

3.20

2.68

2.97

3.36 3.33

3.10 3.04

3.36

3.93 3.93

4.30

4.41

4.60

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Billion Bushels

Soybean Production

United States

USDA-NASS

11-8-18
USDA-NASS

11-8-18
2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013 2014 2015

2017 2016

Sept-18

Oct-18

Nov-18

0.260

0.265

0.270

0.275

0.280

0.285

0.290

0.295

0.300

0.305

0.310

0.315

0.320

0.325

0.330

0.335

0.340

0.345

0.350

1,400 1,450 1,500 1,550 1,600 1,650 1,700 1,750 1,800 1,850 1,900 1,950

Grams/Pod

Pods Per 18 Square Feet

Soybean Objective Yield Region

Pods Per 18 Square Feet vs. Implied Pod Weight

Implied Pod Weight = (Published Yield / Pods) /0.0889

USDA-NASS

11-8-18
USDA-NASS

11-8-18

Year Mature

Percent

2014 92

2015 95

2016 93

2017 93

2018 93

Soybean Objective Yield - November

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab
USDA-NASS

11-8-18

4.25

4.35

4.45

4.55

4.65

4.75

4.85

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels 2018 United States Soybean Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

11-8-18

November 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

All Cotton

Harvested Mil Ac 10.4 -1.4 -6.5

Yield Lb/Ac 852 -5.4 -5.9

Production Mil Bls 18.4 -6.9 -12.0
13.9

17.0 17.2

20.3

17.2

18.3

23.3 23.9

21.6

19.2

12.8

12.2

18.1

15.6

17.3

12.9

16.3

12.9

17.2

20.9

18.4

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Million Bales

All Cotton Production

United States

USDA-NASS

11-8-18
USDA-NASS

11-8-18
USDA-NASS

11-8-18

November 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

Rice

Harvested Mil Ac 2.90 NC +22.2

Yield Lbs/Ac 7,522 -0.2 +0.2

Production Mil Cwt 218 -0.2 +22.5
USDA-NASS

11-8-18

November 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

Peanuts

Harvested Mil Ac 1.35 -2.8 -24.2

Yield Lbs/Ac 4,066 -2.4 +1.5

Production Bil Lbs 5.47 -5.2 -23.1
USDA-NASS

11-8-18

November 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

Sorghum

Harvested Mil Ac 5.09 NC +1.0

Yield Bu/Ac 71.4 -4.8 -1.0

Production Mil Bu 364 -4.8 -<0.1
USDA-NASS

11-8-18

November 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

Production 

Sugarcane Mil Tons 33.6 +1.6 +1.2

Sugarbeets Mil Tons 33.5 -4.9 -5.2
USDA-NASS

11-8-18

November 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Year

Production

Cottonseed Mil Tons 5.80 -6.2 -9.7

Fall Potatoes Mil Cwt 417 NA +4.2
USDA-NASS

11-8-18

Release Date Report Title

November 15 Farm Labor

November 21 Cattle on Feed

November 29 Agricultural Prices

December 3 CAIR: Cotton, Fats & Oils, and Grain Crushings

December 11 Crop Production

Cotton Ginnings

Upcoming Reports
USDA-NASS

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