Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

Agricultural Statistics Board Briefing

Travis Averill, Chief

Livestock Branch

June 24, 2021
2021 June Hogs & Pigs Survey

Number of Samples

June 24, 2021
U.S. Hogs and Pigs Revisions

Survey Item

Initial

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Current

Revision

(1,000 head)

Net 

Revision

(1,000 head)

Current 

Estimate

(1,000 head)

December 1, 2020 All Hogs and Pigs 77,502 -300 -490 77,012

Pig Crop 34,973 -250 -260 34,713

March 1, 2021 All Hogs and Pigs 74,773 140 140 74,913

June 24, 2021
U.S. Hogs and Pigs June 1

2020 2021 % Change from 

(1,000 head) Previous Year

All Hogs and Pigs 77,364 75,653 ↓ 2.2

Breeding Hogs 6,326 6,230 ↓ 1.5

Market Hogs 71,038 69,423 ↓ 2.3

75.7

61

63

65

67

69

71

73

75

77

79

81

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Million head U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

June March

77.4

74.9

Top 5 States

Inventory

(1,000 head)

Iowa 24,200

Minnesota 9,300

North Carolina 8,300

Illinois 5,500

Indiana 4,400

June 24, 2021
June 1, 2021 Hogs and Pigs Inventory

(1,000) Head and Percent Change from Previous Year

June 24, 2021
U.S. Hogs and Pigs June 1

2020 2021 % Change from 

(1,000 head) Previous Year

Market Hogs 71,038 69,423 ↓ 2.3

Less than 50 lbs 22,110 21,474 ↓ 2.9

50 – 119 lbs 19,890 19,349 ↓ 2.7

120 – 179 lbs 15,240 15,010 ↓ 1.5

180 lbs or more 13,797 13,589 ↓ 1.5

11

14

17

20

23

26

Jun 2018 Sep 2018 Dec 2018 Mar 2019 Jun 2019 Sep 2019 Dec 2019 Mar 2020 Jun 2020 Sep 2020 Dec 2020 Mar 2021 Jun 2021

Million head Market Hogs by Weight Class

LT 50 LBS 50 TO 119 LBS 120 TO 179 LBS GE 180 LBS

June 24, 2021
U.S. Hogs and Pigs June 1

2020 2021 % Change from 

(1,000 head) Previous Year

Sows Farrowed 3,149 3,067 ↓ 2.6

Farrowing Intentions

Jun – Aug 3,260 3,115 ↓ 4.4

Sep – Nov 3,142 3,084 ↓ 1.8

3.08 3.07

3.11

2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.2

3.3

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Million head U.S. Quarterly Sows Farrowed

Mar-May Estimates Jun-Aug Intentions Sep-Nov Intentions

June 24, 2021
U.S. Hogs and Pigs June 1

2020 2021 % Change from

(1,000 head) Previous Year

Pig Crop 34,644 33,584 ↓ 3.1

(Number)

Pigs per Litter 11.00 10.95 ↓ 0.5

10.94

11.00 10.95

9.50

9.80

10.10

10.40

10.70

11.00

11.30

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Pigs per Litter U.S. Quarterly Pigs per Litter

March-May December-February

June 24, 2021
Trade Expectations Compared to NASS 

Estimates Percent of Previous Year

June 24, 2021

98.8

96.7

98.2

97.4

98.6

97.5

98.2

95.6

96.9

97.7

98.5

97.8

95.0 97.0 99.0 101.0

Sep-Nov Farrowings

Jun-Aug Farrowings

Mar-May Pig Crop

Market Hogs

Breeding Hogs

All Hogs and Pigs

Min Trade Range Trade Average NASS
All Hogs and Pigs 

First Estimate vs Final Estimate

59

64

69

74

79

84

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Million head

Lower Trade Range Trade Range ASB First Estimate ASB Final Estimate

June 24, 2021
Breeding Herd Inventory

Disposition and Utilization

June 24, 2021

December of preceding year. Rows may not add due to rounding. 

Year

Mar 1

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Slaughter

(1,000 head)

Additions

(1,000 head)

Jun 1

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Sow

Utilization

(Percent)

2012 5,820 813 855 5,862 51

2013 5,836 848 896 5,884 48

2014 5,851 775 779 5,855 48

2015 5,982 781 725 5,926 48

2016 5,980 794 793 5,979 50

2017 6,098 851 862 6,109 49

2018 6,210 855 965 6,320 49

2019 6,349 856 917 6,410 49

2020 6,375 932 883 6,326 49

2021 6,215 772 787 6,230 49
Canadian Imports by Quarter

Feeder Pigs and Slaughter Hogs

(1,000 head)

June 24, 2021

84% 85%

84% 85% 85% 84%

84% 84%

84%

85%

83%

83% 82% 83% 85%

84%

79% 73%

16% 15%

16% 15% 15% 16%

16% 16%

16%

15%

17%

17% 18%

17% 15%

16%

21%

27%

1,409 1,412 

1,327 1,326 1,326 1,320 

1,257 1,222 

1,398 

1,262 

1,124 

1,267 1,275 

1,221 1,209 

1,352 

1,533 

1,640 

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Feeder Slaughter
U.S. Prices Received by Farmers

for Hogs and Corn

$1.50

$2.50

$3.50

$4.50

$5.50

$6.50

$7.50

$8.50

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

$100

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Hogs $/cwt Corn $/bu

Hogs Corn

Hogs Corn

Month $/cwt $/bu

November 51.90 3.79

December 49.10 3.97

January 50.20 4.24

February 56.40 4.75

March 67.20 4.89

April 75.60 5.31

Hog to Corn

Month Ratio

November 13.69

December 12.37

January 11.84

February 11.87

March 13.74

April 14.24

June 24, 2021
Upcoming Reports

June 30

Acreage

Grain Stocks

Rice Stocks

Agricultural Prices

July 1 Cotton System, Fats & Oils, 

Grain Crushings

July 2 Dairy Products

July 12 Crop Production

July 22 Cold Storage

Livestock Slaughter

July 23 Cattle

Cattle on Feed

https://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/index.php

June 24, 2021
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