12:00 P.M.

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

November Crop Production

Executive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

November 8, 2019
USDA-NASS

11-8-19

Field Crops Specialty Crops

Corn Sugarbeets

Soybeans Sugarcane

Cotton Potatoes

Rice

Peanuts

Sorghum

Cottonseed

Wheat

Oats

Barley

Contents
USDA-NASS

11-8-19

Ag Yield Objective Yield

Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

Crops Included Field Crops Corn, Cotton, Soybeans

Sample Size 8,346 2,905

Collection Period Oct 30 – Nov 5 Oct 25 – Nov 1

Survey Overview
USDA-NASS

11-8-19

November 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

Corn

Harvested Mil Ac 81.8 NC +0.1

Yield Bu/Ac 167.0 -0.8 -5.3

Production Bil Bu 13.7 -0.9 -5.3
9.43 9.92 9.50

8.97

10.1

11.8

11.1

10.5

13.0

12.0

13.1

12.4 12.3

10.8

13.8

14.2 13.6

15.1

14.6 14.4

13.7

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Billion Bushels

Corn for Grain Production

United States

USDA-NASS

11-8-19
USDA-NASS

11-8-19
Sept

Oct

Nov

Final

Sept

Oct

Nov

Final

Sept

Oct

Nov

Final

Sept

Oct

Nov

Final

Sept

Oct

Nov

Final

Oct Sept

Nov

0.325

0.330

0.335

0.340

0.345

0.350

0.355

0.360

0.365

27,800 28,000 28,200 28,400 28,600 28,800 29,000 29,200 29,400 29,600

Pounds/Ear

Ears Per Acre

Corn Objective Yield Region

Ears per Acre vs. Implied Ear Weight

Note: Implied Ear Weight is only calculated for display purposes. Ears per Acre are from survey.

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Implied Ear Weight = Published Yield * 56 / Ears per Acre

USDA-NASS

11-8-19
USDA-NASS

11-8-19

Year Dent Stage Mature

Percent

2015 < 0.5 96

2016 < 0.5 96

2017 < 0.5 96

2018 < 0.5 96

2019 1 94

Corn Objective Yield - November

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab
USDA-NASS

11-8-19

Low

12.7

12.9

13.1

13.3

13.5

13.7

13.9

14.1

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels

2019 United States Corn Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

11-8-19

November 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

Soybeans

Harvested Mil Ac 75.6 NC -13.7

Yield Bu/Ac 46.9 NC -7.3

Production Bil Bu 3.55 -<0.1 -19.8
2.65

2.76

2.89

2.76

2.45

3.12 3.07

3.20

2.68

2.97

3.36 3.33

3.10

3.04

3.36

3.93 3.93

4.30

4.41 4.43

3.55

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Billion Bushels

Soybean Production

United States

USDA-NASS

11-8-19
USDA-NASS

11-8-19
Sept

Oct

Nov

Final

Sept

Oct Nov

Final

Sept

Oct

Nov

Final

Sept

Oct

Nov

Final

Sept

Oct

Nov

Final

Sept

Oct

Nov

0.290

0.300

0.310

0.320

0.330

0.340

0.350

0.360

1,500 1,550 1,600 1,650 1,700 1,750 1,800 1,850 1,900 1,950 2,000

Grams/Pod

Pods Per 18 Square Feet

Soybean Objective Yield Region

Pods per 18 Square Feet vs. Implied Pod Weight

Note: Implied Pod Weight is only calculated for display purposes. Pods per 18 Square Feet are from survey.

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Implied Pod Weight = Published Yield / Pods per 18 Square Feet / 0.0889

USDA-NASS

11-8-19
USDA-NASS

11-8-19

Year Mature

Percent

2015 95

2016 93

2017 93

2018 93

2019 91

Soybean Objective Yield - November

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab
USDA-NASS

11-8-19

3.30

3.40

3.50

3.60

3.70

3.80

3.90

4.00

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels

2019 United States Soybean Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

11-8-19

November 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

All Cotton

Harvested Mil Ac 12.5 NC +22.6

Yield Lb/Ac 799 -4.1 -7.5

Production Mil Bls 20.8 -4.1 +13.3
17.0 17.2

20.3

17.2

18.3

23.3 23.9

21.6

19.2

12.8

12.2

18.1

15.6

17.3

12.9

16.3

12.9

17.2

20.9

18.4

20.8

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million Bales

All Cotton Production

United States

USDA-NASS

11-8-19
USDA-NASS

11-8-19
USDA-NASS

11-8-19

November 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

Rice

Harvested Mil Ac 2.48 NC -15.0

Yield Lbs/Ac 7,587 -0.4 -1.4

Production Mil Cwt 188 -0.4 -16.2
USDA-NASS

11-8-19

November 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

Peanuts

Harvested Mil Ac 1.38 NC +0.7

Yield Lbs/Ac 4,080 +2.9 +2.0

Production Bil Lbs 5.64 +2.9 +2.7
USDA-NASS

11-8-19

November 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

Sorghum

Harvested Mil Ac 4.72 NC -6.8

Yield Bu/Ac 75.9 +2.7 +5.3

Production Mil Bu 358 +2.6 -2.0
USDA-NASS

11-8-19

November 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

Production 

Sugarcane Mil Tons 34.0 -2.2 -1.5

Sugarbeets Mil Tons 29.5 -12.2 -11.0
USDA-NASS

11-8-19

November 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Year

Production

Cottonseed Mil Tons 6.45 -4.0 +14.6

Potatoes Mil Cwt 422 NA -6.1
USDA-NASS

11-8-19

Small Grain Annual Summary 2019

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Season 

Wheat, Spring

Harvested Mil Ac 11.7 -6.2 -9.6

Yield Bu/Ac 48.2 -0.2 -0.2

Production Mil Bu 562 -6.3 -9.8
USDA-NASS

11-8-19

Small Grain Annual Summary 2019

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Season 

Wheat, Durum

Harvested Mil Ac 1.18 -8.9 -40.5

Yield Bu/Ac 45.7 +2.0 +15.7

Production Mil Bu 53.8 -6.9 -31.1

Stocks Mil Bu 88.4 -4.8 -1.8
USDA-NASS

11-8-19

Small Grain Annual Summary 2019

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Season 

Wheat, All

Harvested Mil Ac 37.2 -2.3 -6.2

Yield Bu/Ac 51.7 +0.2 +8.6

Production Bil Bu 1.92 -2.1 +1.9

Stocks Bil Bu 2.34 -1.7 -1.9
USDA-NASS

11-8-19

Small Grain Annual Summary 2019

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Season 

Barley

Harvested Mil Ac 2.18 -1.4 +10.1

Yield Bu/Ac 77.7 +0.4 +0.3

Production Mil Bu 170 -1.0 +10.4

Stocks Mil Bu 190 -0.9 +8.6
USDA-NASS

11-8-19

Small Grain Annual Summary 2019

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Season 

Oats

Harvested Mil Ac 0.826 -1.9 -4.5

Yield Bu/Ac 64.3 -0.2 -0.9

Production Mil Bu 53.1 -1.9 -5.3

Stocks Mil Bu 60.1 -1.8 -19.6
USDA-NASS

11-8-19

Release Date Report Title

November 13 Census: Irrigation and Water Management

November 21 Farm Labor

November 22 Cattle on Feed

November 25 Cotton Ginnings

November 27 Agricultural Prices

December 2 CAIR: Cotton System, Fats & Oils, and Grain Crushings

December 10 Crop Production

Cotton Ginnings

Upcoming Reports
USDA-NASS

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