Crop Production

Agricultural Statistics Board Briefing

Chris Hawthorn, Acting Chief

Crops Branch

December 8, 2023
Data Sources

December 8, 2023

Objective Yield

Cotton

Objective Measurement

Florida Citrus

Operator Reported

Survey

Field Surveys

Cotton Ginnings 526 Gins November 29 - December 4

1,764 Groves November 6-22

Sample Size = 840 Prior to Harvest
United States Cotton Progress

Percent Harvested

December 8, 2023

83%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

9/10 9/17 9/24 10/01 10/08 10/15 10/22 10/29 11/05 11/12 11/19 11/26

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
December 2023 Cotton

Acreage, Yield, and Production

December 8, 2023

United States

% Change from

Previous Estimate

% Change from

Previous Season

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Pounds/Acre) (1,000 Bales)

Texas 5,579 ↓ 29.2 3,575 ↑ 76.2 421.0 ↓ 42.6 3,135 ↑ 1.0

Georgia 1,110 ↓ 14.0 1,100 ↓ 13.4 1,025.0 ↑ 2.3 2,350 ↓ 11.3

Arkansas 510 ↓ 20.3 505 ↓ 19.8 1,340.0 ↑ 13.7 1,410 ↓ 8.9

Missouri 335 ↓ 6.9 330 ↓ 2.9 1,324.0 ↑ 6.8 910 ↑ 3.6

Mississippi 400 ↓ 24.5 395 ↓ 24.8 1,033.0 ↓ 4.7 850 ↓ 28.3

Top 5 States - By Production

Planted Harvested Yield Production

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Pounds/Acre) (1,000 Bales)

10,233 8,021 765 12,776

9.8 ↓ 19.5 ↓ 11.7

NC NC ↓ 2.3

↑

↓ 2.4

↓ 25.6

Planted Harvested Yield Production

% ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY
708

537

705

673

625

607

632

705

665

730

855

831

814

879

813

776

812

790

892

822

838

766

867

905

882

831

853

819

950

765

480

530

580

630

680

730

780

830

880

930

980

1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022

December 2023 Cotton Yield

United States

December 8, 2023

Pounds per Acre
December 2023 Cotton Yield

Pounds and Percent Change from Previous Month

December 8, 2023
December 2023 Cotton Yield

Pounds and Percent Change from Previous Year

December 8, 2023
December 2023 Cotton Production

United States

December 8, 2023

Million Bales

16.3

12.9

17.2

20.9

18.4

19.9

14.6

17.5

14.5

12.8

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
2023 U.S. Cotton Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

December 8, 2023

12.0

12.5

13.0

13.5

14.0

14.5

15.0

15.5

16.0

16.5

August September October November December Final

Million Bales

Individual Industry Expectation NASS Estimate
December 8, 2023

December 2023 Field Crops

Acreage, Yield, and Production

Unit Unit

Sugarcane Ton Ton

% Change from Previous Estimate N/A ↑ 0.1 NC ↑ 0.3

% Change from Previous Season N/A ↓ 0.7 ↓ 4.6 ↓ 5.0

Production

(1,000 Units)

N/A 924 35.6 32,927

Yield

(Units per Acre)

Harvested

(1,000 Acres)

Planted

(1,000 Acres)

30.4

32.1 32.1 33.2

34.5

31.9

36.1

32.8

34.7

32.9

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Million Tons

Sugarcane Production

United States
December 8, 2023

December 2023 Fruit and Nuts

Production

Unit

Pecans Lb

% Change from Previous Estimate ↑ 1.4

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 9.4

Production

(1,000 Units)

251,500

264

254

269

305

241 256

304

256

278

252

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Million Pounds

Pecan Production

United States
December 8, 2023

December 2023 Citrus

Utilized Production

All Oranges

% Change from Previous Estimate NC

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 10.1

Non-Valencia Oranges

% Change from Previous Estimate NC

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 4.3

Valencia Oranges

% Change from Previous Estimate NC

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 24.0

Grapefruit

% Change from Previous Estimate ↑ 6.8

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 0.9

Lemons

% Change from Previous Estimate NC

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 12.2

Tangerines

% Change from Previous Estimate ↑ 0.2

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 2.6

946

2,737

1,837

900

330

980

Production

(1,000 Tons)

9.03 8.73

7.70

6.08

8.14 7.85

6.91

5.59

4.90 4.99

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Million Tons

All Citrus Production

United States

6.35 6.09

5.09

3.88

5.43 5.25

4.39

3.43

2.49 2.74

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Million Tons

All Orange Production

United States
Selected Upcoming Reports

December 8, 2023

https://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/index.php

December 15 Small Grain County Estimates - Quick Stats

Cotton Ginnings

Cattle on Feed

Hogs and Pigs

December 29 Agricultural Prices

Cotton System

Fats & Oils

Grain Crushings

Citrus Fruits Final Estimates - Quick Stats

Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts Final Estimates - Quick Stats

Vegetables Final Estimates - Quick Stats

Field Crops Final Estimates - Quick Stats

Stocks of Grain, Oilseeds & Hay Final Estimates - Quick Stats

January 11 Hogs and Pigs Final Estimates - Quick Stats

Cotton Ginnings

Crop Production

Crop Production Annual Summary

Grain Stocks

Rice Stocks

Winter Wheat and Canola Seedings

January 2

December 22

January 9

January 12

January 3
USDA AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK FORUM

December 8, 2023

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December 8, 2023
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