Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

Executive Summary

Travis Averill, Chief

Livestock Branch

March 26, 2020
2020 March Hogs & Pigs Survey

Number of Samples
U.S. Hogs and Pigs Revisions

Survey Item

Initial

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Current

Revision

(1,000 head)

Net 

Revision

(1,000 head

September 1, 2019 All Hogs and Pigs 77,678 +1,020 +90

Pig Crop 35,306 +1,055 +1,06

December 1, 2019 All Hogs and Pigs 77,338 +1,320 +1,32

Pig Crop 35,101 +906 +90
U.S. Hogs and Pigs March 1

2019 2020 % Change from 

(1,000 head) Previous Year

All Hogs and Pigs 74,661 77,629 4.0

↑

Breeding Hogs 6,349 6,375 0.4

↑

Market Hogs 68,313 71,254 4.3

↑

61636567697173757779

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 

Million head U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pig

March December

Top 5 States

Inventory

(1,000 head)

Iowa 24,600

↑

Minnesota 9,300

↑

North Carolina 9,200

↑

Illinois 5,400

↑

Indiana 4,150

↓
March 1, 2020 Hogs and Pigs Invent

(000) Head and Percent Change from Previous Year
U.S. Hogs and Pigs March 1

2019 2020 % Change from 

(1,000 head) Previous Year

Market Hogs 68,313 71,254 4.3

↑

Less than 50 lbs 21,373 22,221 4.0

↑

50 – 119 lbs 19,168 19,853 3.6

↑

120 – 179 lbs 15,001 15,581 3.9

↑

180 lbs or more 12,771 13,598 6.5

↑

11151923

Mar 2017 Jun 2017 Sep 2017 Dec 2017 Mar 2018 Jun 2018 Sep 2018 Dec 2018 Mar 2019 Jun 2019 Sep 2019 Dec 2

Million head Market Hogs by Weight Class

LT 50 LBS 50 TO 119 LBS 120 TO 179 LBS GE 180 LBS
U.S. Hogs and Pigs March 1

2019 2020 % Change from 

(1,000 head) Previous Year

Sows Farrowed 3,099 3,158 1.9

↑

Intentions

Mar– May 3,133 3,119 0.4

↓

Jun – Aug 3,275 3,134 4.3

↓

3.16

3.12

3.13

2.72.82.93.03.13.23.3

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Million head U.S. Quarterly Sows Farrowed

Dec-Feb Estimates Mar-May Intentions Jun-Aug Intentions
U.S. Hogs and Pigs March 1

2019 2020 % Change from

(1,000 head) Previous Year

Pig Crop 33,163 34,734 4.7 ↑

(Number)

Pigs per Litter 10.70 11.00 2.8 ↑

11.09

10.70

11.00

9.509.80

10.1010.4010.7011.0011.30

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Pigs per Litter U.S. Quarterly Pigs per Litter

December - February September - November
Trade Expectations Compared to NA

Estimates Percent of Previous Yea

100.5

100.3

103.2

103.5

101.4 

103.4

95.7

99.5

100.4

95.5 96.5 97.5 98.5 99.5 100.5 101.5 102.5 103

Jun-Aug Farrowings

Mar-May Farrowings

Dec-Feb Pig Crop

Market Hogs

Breeding Hogs

All Hogs and Pigs

Min Trade Range Trade Average NASS
All Hogs and Pigs 

First Estimate vs Final Estimate

596469747984

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 20

Million head

Lower Trade Range Trade Range ASB First Estimate ASB Final Esti
Breeding Herd Inventory

Disposition and Utilization

Year

Dec 1

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Slaughter

(1,000 head)

Additions

(1,000 head)

Mar 1

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Ut

2011 5,778 792 802 5,788 2012 5,803 823 840 5,820 2013 5,819 805 822 5,836 2014 5,757 779 873 5,851 2015 5,939 792 835 5,982 2016 6,002 782 760 5,980 2017 6,110 802 790 6,098 2018 6,179 834 865 6,210 2019 6,326 829 852 6,349 

2020 6,471 873 777 6,375 
Canadian Imports by Quarter

Feeder Pigs and Slaughter Hogs

(1,000 head)

79% 83% 83% 83% 84% 85% 84% 85% 85% 84%

84% 84%

84%

85%

83%

21% 17% 17% 17% 16% 15% 16% 15% 15% 16%

16% 16%

16%

15%

17%

1,453 

1,401 1,366 1,375 1,409 1,412 1,327 1,326 1,326 1,320 

1,257 1,222 

1,398 

1,262 

1,12

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 

2016 2017 2018 2019 

Feeder Slaughter
U.S. Prices Received by Farmers

for Hogs and Corn

$1.50$2.50$3.50$4.50$5.50$6.50$7.50$8.50

$30$40$50$60$70$80$90

$100

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Hogs $/cwt Corn $/bu

Hogs Corn

Month 

August 

September 

October 

November 

December 

January 

Month 

August 

September 

October 

November 

December 

January 
Upcoming Reports

March 31

Agricultural Prices

Grain Stocks

Prospective Plantings

Rice Stocks

April 1 Cotton System, Fats & Oils, Grain CrushingsApril 2 Dairy ProductsApril 9 Crop Production

April 24 Cattle on Feed
USDA NASS Data Users’ Meeting

Tuesday, April 21, 2020

1:00 p.m. – 3:30 p.m. EDT

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www.nass.usda.gov/Education_and_Outreach/Meeting/index.p

USDA NASS Data Users’ Meeting
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