HOGS & PIGS INVENTORY

Executive Briefing

June 1, 2013

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

June 28, 2013
June Hogs and Pigs

Data Collection Period: 

 May 31 - June 17

Sample Size: 

 7,515

Collection Methods

Phone, mail, internet, personal interview

Quarterly Data Items

Total Inventory, by class, weight group, and quarter

Sows farrowing, pig crop, and pigs per litter

June 28, 2013
U.S. Hogs & Pigs Revisions

June 28, 2013

Initial

Estimate

Previous 

Revision

Current

Revision

Net 

Revision

Current 

Estimate

Dec

2012

All 

Hogs 

and 

Pigs

66.3 million +65,000

+0.1%

-40,000

-0.06%

+25,000

+0.04%

66.4 million

Pig 

Crop 29.4 million -123,000

-0.4%

-123,000

-0.4%

29.3 million

Mar

2013

All 

Hogs 

and 

Pigs

65.9 million -260,000

-0.4%

65.7 million
U.S. Hogs & Pigs Inventory

June 1, 2013

Inventory Items (000) Hd % PY

All Hogs & Pigs 66,647 100%

Breeding Hogs 5,882 100%

Market Hogs 60,765 100%

Mar – May Pig Crop 30,111 100%

Sows Farrowing 2,921 98%

Litter Rate Number % PY

Mar – May 2013 10.31 102%

Farrowing Intentions (000) Hd % PY

Jun – Aug 2013 2,925 100%

Sep – Nov 2013 2,917 101%

June 28, 2013
5 6

5 8

6 0

6 2

6 4

6 6

6 8

7 0

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Year

U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory

June 1, 2013

66.6 

June 28, 2013
NASS Estimates Compared to Trade Expectations

Percent of Previous Year

Inventory Items NASS

Estimate

Trade

Average

Trade

Range

All Hogs & Pigs 100.0% 100.6% 100.0% – 101.2%

Breeding Hogs 100.3% 99.9% 99.6% – 100.3%

Market Hogs 99.9% 100.7% 100.0% – 101.3%

Mar – May Pig Crop 100.1% 100.1% 99.2% – 100.7%

Farrowing Intentions

Jun – Aug 2013 99.9% 99.9% 99.2% – 101.2%

Sep – Nov 2013 101.0% 100.5% 100.2% – 101.6%

June 28, 2013
June 28, 2013 5 9

6 0

6 1

6 2

6 3

6 4

6 5

6 6

6 7

6 8

6 9

7 0

7 1

Dec 

0 6

Jun 

0 7

Dec 

0 7

Jun 

0 8

Dec 

0 8

Jun 

0 9

Dec 

0 9

Jun 

1 0

Dec 

1 0

Jun 

11

Dec 

11

Jun 

1 2

Dec 

1 2

Jun 

1 3 Million Head

All Hogs and Pigs

Board vs Trade Expectations

ASB Final Est Trade ASB First Est
0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

D-F 

0 9

M-M 

0 9

J-A 

0 9

S-N 

0 9

D-F 

1 0

M-M 

1 0

J-A 

1 0

S-N 

1 0

D-F 

11

M-M 

11

J-A 

11

S-N 

11

D-F 

1 2

M-M 

1 2

J-A 

1 2

S-N 

1 2

D-F 

1 3

M-M 

1 3

Feeder Pigs Slaughter

Canadian Imports by Quarter

Feeder Pigs and Slaughter Hogs

June 28, 2013
2.6

2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.2

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

U.S. Quarterly Sows Farrowed 

March - May

ASB Estimate Jun-Aug Intentions Sep-Nov Intentions Million Head

June 28, 2013
Breeding Herd Inventory

Disposition & Utilization

Year

Mar. 1

Estimate Slaughter Additions Jun. 1Estimate

Sow

Utilization

(000) Hd (000) Hd (000) Hd (000) Hd Percent

2004 5,971 906 882 5,947 48%

2005 5,952 854 890 5,988 48%

2006 6,045 889 924 6,080 48%

2007 6,149 955 975 6,169 49%

2008 6,200 1,023 954 6,131 49%

2009 5,992 876 852 5,968 50%

2010 5,760 847 875 5,788 51%

2011 5,788 826 841 5,803 50%

2012 5,820 813 855 5,862 51%

2013 5,834 848 896 5,882 50%

June 28, 2013
8.80

9.00

9.20

9.40

9.60

9.80

10.00

10.20

10.40

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Year

U.S. Quarterly Pigs per Litter 

March - May

10.31

June 28, 2013
10.31

7.70

8.60

9.20

9.70

10.20 10.40

7.00

7.50

8.00

8.50

9.00

9.50

10.00

10.50

11.00

All 1-99 100-499 500-999 1000-1999 2000-4999 5000+

Size of Operation

U.S. Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation

March-May 2013

Pigs Per Litter

June 28, 2013
$1.00

$2.00

$3.00

$4.00

$5.00

$6.00

$7.00

$8.00

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

0 3 0 4 0 5 0 6 0 7 0 8 0 9 1 0 11 1 2 1 3

Year

U.S. Prices Received by Farmers 

for Hogs & Corn 

Hogs Corn Hogs $/cwt

Corn $/bu

June 28, 2013
Upcoming Reports

July 11 Crop Production

July 19 Milk Production

 Cattle on Feed

July 22 Cold Storage

July 31 Agricultural Prices

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

June 28, 2013
All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions Call or Email

202-720-3570

800-727-9540

nass@nass.usda.gov

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

June 28, 2013