September Crop Production

Agricultural Statistics Board Briefing

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

September 12, 2023
Data Sources

September 12, 2023

Operator Reported

Survey

Field Objective Yield

Survey Corn, Cotton, Soybeans

Remotely Sensed Time Series 250 Meter Focus Area Imagery Through

(Satellite) MODIS Satellite Data Corn Belt August 28

FSA

Certified Acres

Sample Size = 3,930 August 25 - September 1

Farm Service Agency policy requires that producers participating in several programs 

submit an annual report regarding all cropland use on their farms.

Ag Yield Sample Size = 7,003 August 30 - September 7
September 2023 Ag Yield Survey

Sample Sizes

September 12, 2023
Special Note

September 12, 2023

Each September, NASS has the opportunity to revise planted and harvested acreage 

estimates for chickpeas, corn, cotton, dry edible peas, lentils, peanuts, rice, 

sorghum, soybeans, and sugarbeets. Revisions are based on all available data, 

including the latest certified acreage data from the Farm Service Agency (FSA). All 

States in the estimating program for these crops were subject to review and 

updating.
United States Corn Condition

Percent Rated Good to Excellent

September 12, 2023

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

5/28 6/04 6/11 6/18 6/25 7/02 7/09 7/16 7/23 7/30 8/06 8/13 8/20 8/27 9/03 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/01 10/08 10/15 10/22 10/29 11/05

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Percent
United States Corn Progress

Percent Dented

September 12, 2023

Percent

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

7/3 0 8/0 6 8/1 3 8/2 0 8/2 7 9/0 3 9/1 0 9/1 7 9/2 4 10/01

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
September 2023 Corn

Acreage, Yield, and Production

September 12, 2023

United States

% Change from

Previous Estimate

% Change from

Previous Season

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

Iowa 13,100 ↑ 1.6 12,600 ↑ 1.6 200 N C 2,520,000 ↑ 1.6

Illinois 11,200 ↑ 3.7 11,000 ↑ 3.8 198 ↓ 7.5 2,178,000 ↓ 4.0

Nebraska 9,950 ↑ 3.6 9,590 ↑ 8.7 177 ↑ 7.3 1,697,430 ↑ 16.6

Minnesota 8,600 ↑ 7.5 8,200 ↑ 9.5 180 ↓ 7.7 1,476,000 ↑ 1.1

Indiana 5,500 ↑ 4.8 5,380 ↑ 4.9 194 ↑ 2.1 1,043,720 ↑ 7.1

0.2

↑ 7.1 ↑

Planted Harvested Yield Production

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

0.8

10.0 ↑ 0.3 ↑ 10.2

0.9 ↓ 0.7 ↑

Planted Harvested Yield Production

94,868 87,096 173.8 15,133,911

↑ ↑

Top 5 States - By Production

% ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY
90.6

88.0

94.0

90.2

88.9

89.7

90.7

93.3

88.6

94.9

83.1

80.8

86.7

82.7

81.3 81.3

82.3

85.3

79.2

87.1

75.0

80.0

85.0

90.0

95.0

100.0

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Planted Harvested

Corn Acres

United States

September 12, 2023

Million Acres
138.6

113.5

127.1126.7

134.4133.8

136.9138.2

129.3

142.2

160.3

147.9149.1150.7

153.3

164.4

152.6

146.8

123.1

158.1

171.0

168.4

174.6

176.6176.4

167.5

171.4

176.7

173.3173.8

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022

Corn Yield

United States

September 12, 2023

Bushels per Acre
September 2023 Corn Yield

Bushels and Percent Change from Previous Month

September 12, 2023
September 2023 Corn Yield

Bushels and Percent Change from Previous Year

September 12, 2023
September 2023 Corn

NASA Terra MODIS Modeled Yield

September 12, 2023
September 2023 Corn Objective Yield

Ears per Acre and Yield for 10 State Region

September 12, 2023

Ears per Acre Bushels per Acre

155

160

165

170

175

180

185

190

195

27,000

27,500

28,000

28,500

29,000

29,500

30,000

September October November Final September October November Final September October November Final September October November Final September October November Final September October November Final

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Ears per Acre Yield
14.2

13.6

15.1

14.6 14.3

13.6

14.1

15.1

13.7

15.1

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Corn Production

United States

September 12, 2023

Billion Bushels
2023 U.S. Corn Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

September 12, 2023

14.8

14.9

15.0

15.1

15.2

15.3

15.4

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels

Individual Industry Expectation NASS Estimate
United States Soybean Condition

Percent Rated Good to Excellent

September 12, 2023

Percent

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

6/0 4 6/1 1 6/1 8 6/2 5 7/0 2 7/0 9 7/1 6 7/2 3 7/3 0 8/0 6 8/1 3 8/2 0 8/2 7 9/0 3 9/1 0 9/1 7 9/2 4 10/01 10/08 10/15 10/22

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
United States Soybean Progress

Percent Dropping Leaves

September 12, 2023

Percent

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

8/2 0 8/2 7 9/0 3 9/1 0 9/1 7 9/2 4 10/01 10/08 10/15 10/22

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
September 2023 Soybeans

Acreage, Yield, and Production

September 12, 2023

United States

% Change from

Previous Estimate

% Change from

Previous Season

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

Illinois 10,350 ↓ 4.2 10,300 ↓ 4.2 61.0 ↓ 3.2 628,300 ↓ 7.2

Iowa 9,950 ↓ 1.5 9,870 ↓ 1.6 58.0 ↓ 0.9 572,460 ↓ 2.4

Minnesota 7,350 ↓ 1.3 7,280 ↓ 1.5 48.0 ↓ 4.0 349,440 ↓ 5.4

Indiana 5,500 ↓ 6.0 5,480 ↓ 6.0 60.0 ↑ 4.3 328,800 ↓ 1.9

Nebraska 5,250 ↓ 8.7 5,200 ↓ 8.5 55.0 ↑ 12.2 286,000 ↑ 2.8

↑ 1.2 ↓ 3.0

Planted Harvested Yield Production

↓ 4.4

% ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY

↑ 0.1 1.4

82,791 50.1 4,146,036

↑ 0.1 ↓ 1.6 ↓

Planted Harvested Yield Production

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

↓ 4.1

83,600

Top 5 States - By Production
Soybean Acres

United States

September 12, 2023

Million Acres

83.3 82.7 83.5

90.2

89.2

76.1

83.4

87.2 87.5

83.6

82.6

81.7

82.7

89.5

87.6

74.9

82.6

86.3 86.3

82.8

70.0

75.0

80.0

85.0

90.0

95.0

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Planted Harvested
41.4

35.3

37.6

38.9 38.9

36.6

38.1

39.6

38.0

33.9

42.2

43.1 42.9

41.7

39.7

44.0 43.5

42.0

40.0

44.0

47.5 48.0

51.9

49.3

50.6

47.4

51.0

51.7

49.5

50.1

29

34

39

44

49

54

1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022

Soybean Yield

United States

September 12, 2023

Bushels per Acre
September 2023 Soybean Yield

Bushels and Percent Change from Previous Month

September 12, 2023
September 2023 Soybean Yield

Bushels and Percent Change from Previous Year

September 12, 2023
September 2023 Soybeans

NASA Terra MODIS Modeled Yield

September 12, 2023
September 2023 Soybean Objective Yield

Pods per 18 Square Feet and Yield for 11 State Region

September 12, 2023

Pods per 18 Square Feet Bushels per Acre

35

40

45

50

55

60

1,300

1,400

1,500

1,600

1,700

1,800

1,900

2,000

September October November Final September October November Final September October November Final September October November Final September October November Final September October November Final

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Pods per 18 Square Feet Yield
3.93 3.93

4.30 4.41 4.43

3.55

4.22

4.47

4.28 4.15

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Soybean Production

United States

September 12, 2023

Billion Bushels
2023 U.S. Soybean Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

September 12, 2023

4.05

4.10

4.15

4.20

4.25

4.30

4.35

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels

Individual Industry Expectation NASS Estimate
United States Cotton Condition

Percent Rated Good to Excellent

September 12, 2023

Percent

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

5/2 8 6/0 4 6/1 1 6/1 8 6/2 5 7/0 2 7/0 9 7/1 6 7/2 3 7/3 0 8/0 6 8/1 3 8/2 0 8/2 7 9/0 3 9/1 0 9/1 7 9/2 4 10/01 10/08 10/15 10/22 10/29

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
United States Cotton Progress

Percent Bolls Opening

September 12, 2023

Percent

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

8/0 6 8/1 3 8/2 0 8/2 7 9/0 3 9/1 0 9/1 7 9/2 4 10/01 10/08 10/15 10/22 10/29

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
September 2023 Cotton

Acreage, Yield, and Production

September 12, 2023

United States

% Change from

Previous Estimate

% Change from

Previous Season

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Pounds/Acre) (1,000 Bales)

Texas 5,579 ↓ 29.2 3,575 ↑ 76.2 570.0 ↓ 22.3 4,242 ↑ 36.7

Georgia 1,110 ↓ 14.0 1,100 ↓ 13.4 1,004.0 ↑ 0.2 2,300 ↓ 13.2

Arkansas 510 ↓ 20.3 505 ↓ 19.8 1,141.0 ↓ 3.2 1,200 ↓ 22.5

Mississippi 400 ↓ 24.5 395 ↓ 24.8 1,082.0 ↓ 0.2 890 ↓ 25.0

Missouri 335 ↓ 6.9 330 ↓ 2.9 1,120.0 ↓ 9.7 770 ↓ 12.3

Planted Harvested Yield Production

% ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY

9.8 ↓ 17.3 ↓ 9.2

↓ 7.7 ↓ 7.0 ↑ 0.9

↑

↓ 6.1

↓ 25.6

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Pounds/Acre) (1,000 Bales)

10,233 8,021 786 13,132

Planted Harvested Yield Production

Top 5 States - By Production
11.1

8.58

10.1

12.7

14.1

13.7

12.1

11.2

13.8

10.2

9.35

8.07

9.51

11.1

9.99

11.5

8.22

10.3

7.31

8.02

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

11.0

12.0

13.0

14.0

15.0

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Planted Harvested

Cotton Acres

United States

September 12, 2023

Million Acres
708

537

705

673

625

607

632

705

665

730

855

831

814

879

813

776

812

790

892

822

838

766

867

905

882

831

853

819

950

786

480

530

580

630

680

730

780

830

880

930

980

1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022

Cotton Yield

United States

September 12, 2023

Pounds per Acre
September 2023 Cotton Yield

Pounds and Percent Change from Previous Month

September 12, 2023
September 2023 Cotton Yield

Pounds and Percent Change from Previous Year

September 12, 2023
16.3

12.9

17.2

20.9

18.4

19.9

14.6

17.5

14.5

13.1

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Cotton Production

United States

September 12, 2023

Million Bales
2023 U.S. Cotton Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

September 12, 2023

12.5

13.0

13.5

14.0

14.5

15.0

15.5

16.0

16.5

August September October November December Final

Million Bales

Individual Industry Expectation NASS Estimate
September 2023 Field Crops

Acreage, Yield, and Production

September 12, 2023

Unit Unit

Chickpeas Lb Cwt

% Change from Previous Estimate ↓ 1.7 ↓ 0.4 N/A N/A

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 7.7 ↑ 9.2 ↑ 24.2 ↑ 35.5

Dry Edible Peas Lb Cwt

% Change from Previous Estimate ↓ 5.4 ↓ 3.6 N/A N/A

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 2.8 ↑ 4.4 ↑ 9.0 ↑ 13.8

Lentils Lb Cwt

% Change from Previous Estimate ↑ 2.3 ↑ 4.3 N/A N/A

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 17.4 ↓ 15.6 ↑ 23.2 ↑ 4.0

Peanuts Lb Lb

% Change from Previous Estimate ↑ 4.6 ↑ 4.1 ↓ 2.3 ↑ 1.7

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 13.8 ↑ 15.5 ↓ 1.6 ↑ 13.6

Rice Lb Cwt

% Change from Previous Estimate ↑ 7.8 ↑ 7.8 ↑ 0.7 ↑ 8.5

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 30.4 ↑ 31.2 ↑ 5.0 ↑ 37.8

2,897 2,850

380

Yield

(Units per Acre)

220,907

945 900

545 508

1,650 1,600

Harvested

(1,000 Acres)

Planted

(1,000 Acres)

1,909

1,124

3,953

7,751

6,323,710

Production

(1,000 Units)

4,958

17,178

5,710

373 1,329
September 2023 Field Crops

Acreage, Yield, and Production

September 12, 2023

Unit Unit

Sorghum Bu Bu

% Change from Previous Estimate ↑ 5.5 ↑ 5.4 ↓ 8.0 ↓ 3.1

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 13.5 ↑ 37.0 ↑ 48.2 ↑ 103.0

Sugarbeets Ton Ton

% Change from Previous Estimate ↑ 0.3 ↑ 0.7 ↑ 1.9 ↑ 2.6

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 2.3 ↓ 1.6 ↑ 10.1 ↑ 8.2

Sugarcane Ton Ton

% Change from Previous Estimate N/A N C ↓ 7.4 ↓ 7.3

% Change from Previous Season N/A ↓ 0.3 ↓ 6.4 ↓ 6.6

Tobacco Lb Lb

% Change from Previous Estimate N/A ↓ 2.6 ↓ 4.6 ↓ 7.1

% Change from Previous Season N/A ↓ 5.0 ↓ 2.9 ↓ 7.7

N/A 192 2,153 412,712

31.5 35,259

N/A 927 34.9 32,386

Planted Harvested Yield Production

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Units per Acre) (1,000 Units)

7,180 6,260 60.9 381,220

1,132 1,119
September 2023 Fruits and Nuts

Production

September 12, 2023

571

606

689

630

679 655

790

733 752

790

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Thousand Tons

Walnut Production

United States Unit

Navel Oranges (CA) Ton

% Change from Previous Estimate N/A

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 1.4

Walnuts (CA) Ton

% Change from Previous Estimate N/A

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 5.1

Production

(1,000 Units)

1,480

790

1.56

1.89

1.57

1.44

1.68 1.73

1.65

1.26

1.46 1.48

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Million Tons

Navel Orange Production

California
Selected Upcoming Reports

September 12, 2023

https://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/index.php

Cattle on Feed

Cotton Ginnings

September 28 Hogs and Pigs

Agricultural Prices

Grain Stocks

Small Grains Summary

Cotton System

Fats & Oils

Grain Crushings

Cotton Ginnings

Crop Production

September 22

September 29

October 2

October 12
Data Users’ Meeting

September 12, 2023

USDA Fall Data Users’ Meeting

October 17 & 18, 2023

12:00 – 3:00 p.m. ET

For more information and to register please go to

www.nass.usda.gov/go/data_users
#StatChat

September 12, 2023
All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

(202) 720-2127

(800) 727-9540

nass@usda.gov