12:00 P.M.

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

May Crop Production

Executive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

May 10, 2019
USDA-NASS

5-10-19

Field Crops Fruit & Nuts

Winter Wheat Citrus

Hay Stocks Peaches (CA)

Cotton Almonds (CA)

Contents
USDA-NASS

5-10-19

Ag Yield Objective Yield

Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

Crops Included Winter and Durum Wheat 

Hay Stocks

Winter Wheat

States All except AK and HI KS, OK, TX

Sample Size 10,493 244

Collection Period Apr 29 - May 7 Apr 24 - May 1

Survey Overview
25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

Percent

U.S. Winter Wheat Condition

Percent Rated Good to Excellent

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

USDA-NASS

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USDA-NASS

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May 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit May Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

Wheat, Winter

Harvested Mil Ac 25.2 NA +1.9

Yield Bu/Ac 50.3 NA +5.0

Production Bil Bu 1.27 NA +7.1
31.5

25.2

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million Acres Winter Wheat Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

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USDA-NASS

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50.3

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

55.0

60.0

1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Bushels per Acre Winter Wheat Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

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USDA-NASS

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1.69

1.56

1.35

1.14

1.72

1.50 1.50

1.29

1.50

1.89

1.52

1.45

1.49

1.63 1.54

1.38 1.37

1.67

1.27

1.18

1.27

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

1.80

2.00

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Billion Bushels Winter Wheat Production

United States

USDA-NASS

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USDA-NASS

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Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

1.20

1.25

1.30

1.35

1.40

1.45

May June July August Final

Billion Bushels

2019 United States Winter Wheat Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

5-10-19

May 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit May Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

All Hay

Stocks Mil Tons 14.9 NA -2.9
USDA-NASS

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USDA-NASS

5-10-19

Survey Overview

Objective

Measurement Row Count Processor’s Inquiry

Survey Type Field

Measurement

Field

Observation

Mailed

Survey

Crops Included Oranges Oranges, 

Grapefruit, Late 

Tangerines and 

Tangelos

Valencia 

Oranges, 

Grapefruit

Sample Size 623 Groves 59,482 Rows 6 Processors

Collection Period April 22-26 April 29-30 April 12-30
USDA-NASS

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May 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit May Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

Production

Oranges Mil Tons 5.30 -3.4 +35.0

Grapefruit Thou Tons 607 -2.1 +17.4

Tangerines 

& Mandarins Thou Tons 928 +0.3 +15.4
USDA-NASS

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May 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit May Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

Production 

Almonds (CA) Bil Lbs 2.50 NA +9.6

Peaches (CA) Thou Tons 480 NA -5.9
USDA-NASS

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May 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit Final Previous Previous

2018 Estimate Season 

All Cotton

Planted Mil Ac 14.1 +<0.1 +10.9

Harvested Mil Ac 10.2 -3.1 -8.1

Yield Lb/Ac 864 +3.1 -4.5

Production Mil Bls 18.4 -0.1 -12.2

Cottonseed

Production Mil Tons 5.63 -2.8 -12.3
USDA-NASS

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Release Date Report Title

May 10 Cotton County Estimates

May 24 Cattle on Feed

May 31 Agricultural Prices

June 3 CAIR: Cotton System, Fats & Oil, and Grain Crushings

June 11 Crop Production

June 21 Cattle on Feed

June 26 Census: Congressional District Rankings

June 27 Agricultural Prices

Hogs and Pigs

June 28 Acreage, Grain Stocks, Rice Stocks

Upcoming Reports
USDA-NASS

5-10-19
United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

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www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

202-720-2127

800-727-9540

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