12:00 P.M.

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

July Crop Production

Executive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

July 12, 2017
USDA-NASS

7-12-17

Field Crops Fruit and Nuts Specialty Crops

Winter Wheat Citrus Tobacco

Other Spring Wheat Apricots

Durum Wheat Almonds

Barley

Oats

Contents
USDA-NASS

7-12-17

Ag Yield Objective Yield

Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

Crops Included

Winter, Other Spring, & 

Durum Wheat, Oats, 

Barley, Tobacco

Winter Wheat

States 34 10

Sample Size 6,651 1,470

Collection Period June 29 – July 7 June 24 – July 1

Survey Overview
25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

Percent

U.S. Winter Wheat Condition

Percent Rated Good to Excellent

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

USDA-NASS

7-12-17
0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Percent

U.S. Winter Wheat Progress

Percent Harvested

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 USDA-NASS

7-12-17
USDA-NASS

7-12-17

July 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit July Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season 

Wheat, Winter

Harvested Mil Ac 25.8 NC -14.8

Yield Bu/Ac 49.7 +1.6 -10.1

Production Bil Bu 1.28 +2.3 -23.5

Production by Class

Hard Red Mil Bu 758 +1.9 -30.0

Soft Red Mil Bu 306 +2.5 -11.5

White Mil Bu 216 +3.5 -11.6
49.7

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

55.0

60.0

1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Bushels per Acre Winter Wheat Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

7-12-17
USDA-NASS

7-12-17
USDA-NASS

7-12-17

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

Winter Wheat Objective Yield - July

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab

Year Mature

---Percent---

2011 60

2012 77

2013 55

2014 58

2015 64

2016 68

2017 69
2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014 2015

2016 Jun-17

Jul-17

0.530

0.540

0.550

0.560

0.570

0.580

0.590

0.600

0.610

0.620

0.630

0.640

0.650

0.660

0.670

0.680

0.690

38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49

Grams/Head

Heads Per Square Foot

Wheat Objective Yield Region

Heads Per Square Foot vs. Implied Head Weight

Implied Head Weight = Published Yield / (Heads*1.6006)

USDA-NASS

7-12-17

High

Of Expectations
USDA-NASS

7-12-17

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Percent

U.S. Other Spring Wheat Condition

Percent Rated Good to Excellent

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
USDA-NASS

7-12-17

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit July Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season 

Wheat, Other Spring

Harvested Mil Ac 10.5 NC -7.1

Yield Bu/Ac 40.3 NA -14.6

Production Mil Bu 423 NA -20.8

July 2017 Crop Production
USDA-NASS

7-12-17
USDA-NASS

7-12-17

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit July Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season 

Wheat, Durum

Harvested Mil Ac 1.86 NC -21.4

Yield Bu/Ac 30.9 NA -29.8

Production Mil Bu 57.5 NA -44.8

July 2017 Crop Production
USDA-NASS

7-12-17

July 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit July Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season 

All Wheat

Harvested Mil Ac 38.1 NC -13.2

Yield Bu/Ac 46.2 NA -12.2

Production Bil Bu 1.76 NA -23.8
USDA-NASS

7-12-17

July 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit July Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season 

Oats

Harvested Mil Ac 0.880 NC -10.3

Yield Bu/Ac 61.0 NA -7.6

Production Mil Bu 53.7 NA -17.1

Barley

Harvested Mil Ac 1.95 NC -23.9

Yield Bu/Ac 73.5 NA -5.6

Production Mil Bu 143 NA -28.3
USDA-NASS

7-12-17

July 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit July Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season 

Production

Oranges Mil Tons 5.07 -2.2 -16.7

Grapefruit Thou Tons 684 +1.8 -14.8

Lemons Thou Tons 826 -0.2 -8.8

Tangerines & 

Mandarins Mil Tons 1.04 +8.4 +9.3
USDA-NASS

7-12-17

July 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit July Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season 

Tobacco, Flue-Cured

Harvested Thou Ac 206 NC -3.7

Yield Lbs/Ac 2,232 NA +10.4

Production Mil Lbs 459 NA +6.3
USDA-NASS

7-12-17

July 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit July Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season 

Production 

Almonds (CA) Bil Lbs 2.25 +2.3 +5.1

Apricots Thou Tons 55.5 NA -13.3
USDA-NASS

7-12-17

Release Date Report Title

July 21 Cattle

Cattle on Feed

July 31 Agricultural Prices

August 1

CAIR: Cotton

CAIR: Flour Millings

CAIR: Grain Crushings

CAIR: Fats & Oils

Honey Bee Colonies

August 3

Cash Rents

Farm Production Expenditures

Land Values

August 10 Crop Production

Cotton Ginnings

Upcoming Reports
USDA-NASS

7-12-17
United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

202-720-2127

800-727-9540

nass@nass.usda.gov