12:00 P.M.

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

Small Grains Summary

Grain Stocks

Executive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

September 30, 2019
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

Field Crops Grain Stocks Oilseed Stocks

Wheat Corn Soybeans

Barley Wheat Sunflower

Oats Barley Safflower

Rye Oats Mustard Seed

Sorghum

Contents
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

September Ag Survey Off- Farm Grain Stocks Survey

Survey Type Farmer Reported Off-Farm Grain Stock Facilities

Collection 

Method

Mail, Phone, Internet, 

Personal Interview

Mail, Phone, Internet, Personal 

Interview

Crops Included

Barley, Canola, Corn, Mustard 

Seed, Oats, Rye, Soybean,

Safflower, Sorghum, 

Sunflower, Wheat

Barley, Corn, Mustard Seed, 

Oats, Soybean, Safflower, 

Sorghum, Sunflower, Wheat

States All States Except CT, HI, MA, 

NH, RI, and VT All States Except AK, HI, and NV

Sample Size 63,106 ~ 8,500 Facilities

Collection Period August 30 – September 16 August 30 – September 17

Survey Overview
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

Small Grains Annual Summary

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit September Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

Wheat, Winter

Planted Mil Ac 31.2 -1.9 -4.2

Harvested Mil Ac 24.3 -2.4 -1.7

Yield Bu/Ac 53.6 +0.8 +11.9

Production Bil Bu 1.30 -1.7 +10.1
31.2

24.3

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million Acres Winter Wheat Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

9-30-19
53.6

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

55.0

60.0

1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Bushels per Acre Winter Wheat Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

9-30-19
USDA-NASS

9-30-19
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

Small Grains Annual Summary

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit September Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

Wheat, Spring

Planted Mil Ac 12.7 +1.9 -4.1

Harvested Mil Ac 12.4 +2.6 -3.6

Yield Bu/Ac 48.3 -1.8 NC

Production Mil Bu 600 +0.6 -3.7
12.7

12.4

9.0

10.0

11.0

12.0

13.0

14.0

15.0

16.0

17.0

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million Acres

Other Spring Wheat Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

9-30-19
48.3

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

55.0

1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Bushels per Acre

Other Spring Wheat Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

9-30-19
USDA-NASS

9-30-19
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

Small Grains Annual Summary

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit September Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

Wheat, Durum

Planted Mil Ac 1.34 -4.4 -35.4

Harvested Mil Ac 1.29 -4.9 -34.7

Yield Bu/Ac 44.8 +5.9 +13.4

Production Mil Bu 57.7 +0.7 -26.0
1.34

1.29

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million Acres

Durum Wheat Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

9-30-19
44.8

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Bushels per Acre

Durum Wheat Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

9-30-19
USDA-NASS

9-30-19
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

Small Grains Annual Summary

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit September Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

Wheat, All

Planted Mil Ac 45.2 -1.0 -5.6

Harvested Mil Ac 38.1 -0.9 -3.9

Yield Bu/Ac 51.6 NC +8.4

Production Bil Bu 1.96 -0.9 +4.1
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

1.86

1.88

1.90

1.92

1.94

1.96

1.98

2.00

2.02

July August Final

Billion Bushels

2019 United States All Wheat Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

1.20

1.25

1.30

1.35

1.40

1.45

May June July August Final

Billion Bushels

2019 United States Winter Wheat Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

510

525

540

555

570

585

600

615

630

July August Final

Million Bushels

2019 United States Other Spring Wheat Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

40.0

45.0

50.0

55.0

60.0

65.0

70.0

75.0

80.0

July August Final

Million Bushels

2019 United States Durum Wheat Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

Small Grains Annual Summary

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit September Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

Barley

Planted Mil Ac 2.72 -4.8 +6.8

Harvested Mil Ac 2.21 -5.0 +11.7

Yield Bu/Ac 77.4 +4.7 -0.1

Production Mil Bu 171 -0.5 +11.6
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

Small Grains Annual Summary

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit September Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

Oats

Planted Mil Ac 2.81 +10.2 +2.3

Harvested Mil Ac 0.842 -7.4 -2.7

Yield Bu/Ac 64.4 -3.0 -0.8

Production Mil Bu 54.2 -10.3 -3.4
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

Small Grains Annual Summary

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit September Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

Rye

Planted Mil Ac 1.87 -0.5 -7.3

Harvested Mil Ac 0.310 +4.0 +13.6

Yield Bu/Ac 34.3 NA +11.0

Production Mil Bu 10.6 NA +26.0
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

Crop 2017 2018 2019

Percent

Other Spring Wheat 8.1 10.3 35.2

Durum Wheat 8.5 28.5 56.7

Barley 7.0 10.7 17.7

Oats 13.4 10.1 16.2

Percent of Acres Left to be Harvested

United States
USDA-NASS

9-30-19
2.87

3.14

2.86

2.99

2.85

2.62

2.81

3.28

2.92 2.98

3.04

2.38

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20

Billion Bushels

All Wheat Stocks

United States

Supply Sep Dec Mar Jun

USDA-NASS

9-30-19
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

2.24

2.28

2.32

2.36

2.40

2.44

2.48

September

Billion Bushels

2019 United States All Wheat Stocks

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
13.7

14.7

14.1 13.4

11.7

14.7

15.4 15.3

16.9 16.9

16.6

2.11

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19

Billion Bushels

Corn Stocks

United States

Supply Dec Mar Jun Sep

USDA-NASS

9-30-19
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

2.10

2.15

2.20

2.25

2.30

2.35

2.40

2.45

2.50

2.55

September

Billion Bushels

2019 United States Corn Stocks

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
3.17

3.50 3.48 3.31

3.21

3.50

4.02

4.12

4.49

4.71

4.87

0.913

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19

Billion Bushels

Soybean Stocks

United States

Supply Dec Mar Jun Sep

USDA-NASS

9-30-19
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

0.90

0.92

0.94

0.96

0.98

1.00

1.02

1.04

September

Billion Bushels

2019 United States Soybean Stocks

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

Previous

Estimates

Sept 30

Estimates Change

Million Bushels

Sept 1, 2018 Beginning Stocks 438 438 NC

2018 Production 4,544 4,428 -116

Imports *17 *17 NC

Total Supply 4,999 4,883 -116

Crushings *2,085 *2,085 NC

Exports *1,745 *1,745 NC

Seed *89 *89 NC

Measured Disappearance *3,919 *3,919 NC

Ending Stocks *1,005 913 -92

Residual 75 51 -24

2018 Soybean Crop

*WAOB Forecast – September WASDE Report
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

September 1, 2019 Grain Stocks

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit September Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Year

Stocks

Barley Mil Bu 192 NA +9.6

Oats Mil Bu 61.2 NA -18.1

Sorghum Mil Bu 63.7 NA +82.7
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

September 1, 2019 Oilseed Stocks

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit September Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Year

Stocks

All Sunflower Mil Lbs 286 NA -25.9

Safflower Mil Lbs 9.23 NA -13.9
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

Release Date Report Title

October 1

CAIR: Cotton, Fats & Oils, and Grain Crushings

Census: Race, Ethnicity, & Gender Profiles

October 10 Crop Production

Cotton Ginnings

October 23 Cotton Ginnings

October 25 Cattle on Feed

Rice Stocks

October 31 Ag Prices

Upcoming Reports
USDA-NASS

9-30-19

USDA 

Data Users’ Meeting

USDA NASS Data Users’ Meeting

Tuesday, October 15, 2019

American Farm Bureau Federation

600 Maryland Ave SW #1000w

Washington, DC 20024
USDA-NASS

9-30-19
United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

202-720-2127

800-727-9540

nass@nass.usda.gov