HOGS & PIGS INVENTORY

Executive Briefing

March 1, 2014

March 28, 2014

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service
March Hogs and Pigs

Data Collection Period

 February 28 – March 18

Sample Size 

 7,792

Collection Methods

Phone, mail, internet, personal interview

Primary Data Items

• Total inventory: by class, weight group, and quarter 

• Sows farrowing, pig crop, and pigs per litter

March 28, 2014 
FL

MI

ME

NY

PA

VA WV

OH

IL IN

WI

NC TN

AK

MO

GA

SC

KY

AL

LA

MS

IA

MN

OK

TX

NM

KS

NE

SD

ND

WY

MT

CO

ID

UT

AZ

NV

OR

WA

CA

Source: American Association of Swine Veterinarians and 

National Animal Health Laboratory Network (NAHLN)

 MD

March 28, 2014
U.S. Hogs & Pigs Revisions

March 28, 2014

Initial

Estimate

Previous 

Revision

Current

Revision

Net 

Revision

Current 

Estimate

Sep

2013

All 

Hogs 

and 

Pigs

68.4 million -1,134,000

-1.7%

-320,000

-0.5%

-1,454,000

-2.1%

66.9 million

Pig 

Crop 30.2 million +6,000

+0.02%

-229,000

-0.8%

-223,000

-0.8%

30.0 million

Dec

2013

All 

Hogs 

and 

Pigs

65.9 million +85,000

+0.1%

66.0 million
U.S. Hogs & Pigs Inventory

March 1, 2014

Inventory Items (000) Hd % PY

All Hogs & Pigs 62,899 97%

Breeding Hogs 5,851 100%

Market Hogs 57,048 96%

Dec – Feb Pig Crop 27,316 97%

Sows Farrowing 2,867 103%

Litter Rate Number % PY

Dec 2013 – Feb 2014 9.53 95%

Farrowing Intentions (000) Hd % PY

Mar – May 2014 2,884 102%

Jun – Aug 2014 2,960 102%

March 28, 2014
5 6

5 8

6 0

6 2

6 4

6 6

6 8

7 0

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Year

U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory

March 1, 2014

62.9 

March 28, 2014
NASS Estimates Compared to Trade Expectations

Percent of Previous Year

Inventory Items NASS

Estimate

Trade

Average

Trade

Range

All Hogs & Pigs 96.7% 94.6% 92.0% – 97.1%

Breeding Hogs 100.3% 99.4% 98.9% – 100.7%

Market Hogs 96.3% 94.1% 91.2% – 96.9%

Dec – Feb Pig Crop 97.2% 96.4% 90.8% – 101.4%

Farrowing Intentions

Mar – May 2014 102.4% 100.5% 98.6% – 102.0%

Jun – Aug 2014 102.0% 100.9% 99.0% – 102.0%

March 28, 2014
5 9

6 0

6 1

6 2

6 3

6 4

6 5

6 6

6 7

6 8

6 9

7 0

7 1

Sep 

0 7

Mar 

0 8

Sep 

0 8

Mar 

0 9

Sep 

0 9

Mar 

1 0

Sep 

1 0

Mar 

11

Sep 

11

Mar 

1 2

Sep 

1 2

Mar 

1 3

Sep 

1 3

Mar 

1 4 Million Head

All Hogs and Pigs

Board vs Trade Expectations

ASB Final Est Trade ASB First Est

March 28, 2014
0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

D-F 

1 0

M-M 

1 0

J-A 

1 0

S-N 

1 0

D-F 

11

M-M 

11

J-A 

11

S-N 

11

D-F 

1 2

M-M 

1 2

J-A 

1 2

S-N 

1 2

D-F 

1 3

M-M 

1 3

J-A 

1 3

S-N 

1 3

D-F 

1 4

Feeder Pigs Slaughter

Canadian Imports by Quarter

Feeder Pigs and Slaughter Hogs

March 28, 2014
2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.2

3.3

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

U.S. Quarterly Sows Farrowed 

December - February

ASB Estimate Mar-May Intentions Jun-Aug Intentions Million Head

March 28, 2014
Breeding Herd Inventory

Disposition & Utilization

Year

Dec. 1

Estimate Slaughter Additions Mar. 1Estimate

Sow

Utilization

(000) Hd (000) Hd (000) Hd (000) Hd Percent

2005 5,980 840 812 5,952 47%

2006 6,031 830 844 6,045 47%

2007 6,116 913 946 6,149 47%

2008 6,233 953 920 6,200 49%

2009 6,062 880 810 5,992 50%

2010 5,850 846 756 5,760 49%

2011 5,778 792 802 5,788 49%

2012 5,803 823 840 5,820 48%

2013 5,819 805 822 5,836 48%

2014 5,757 779 873 5,851 50%

March 28, 2014
8.80

9.00

9.20

9.40

9.60

9.80

10.00

10.20

10.40

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Year

U.S. Quarterly Pigs per Litter 

December - February

9.53

March 28, 2014
9.53

7.70

8.30

8.50

8.90

9.50 9.60

7.00

7.50

8.00

8.50

9.00

9.50

10.00

10.50

All 1-99 100-499 500-999 1000-1999 2000-4999 5000+

Size of Operation

U.S. Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation

December 2013 – February 2014

Pigs Per Litter

March 28, 2014
$1.50

$2.00

$2.50

$3.00

$3.50

$4.00

$4.50

$5.00

$5.50

$6.00

$6.50

$7.00

$7.50

$8.00

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

0 4 0 5 0 6 0 7 0 8 0 9 1 0 11 1 2 1 3 1 4

Year

U.S. Prices Received by Farmers 

for Hogs & Corn 

Hogs Corn Hogs $/cwt

Corn $/bu

March 28, 2014
Upcoming Reports

April 9 Crop Production

April 21 Milk Production

April 25 Cattle on Feed

April 29 Meat Animals – PDI

Poultry – Production and Value

Milk – PDI

May 2 2012 Census of Agriculture

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

March 28, 2014
All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions Call or Email

202-720-3570

800-727-9540

nass@nass.usda.gov

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

March 28, 2014