AUGUST CROP PRODUCTION

Executive Summary

August 11, 2011 8:30 AM

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

Contents

Field Crops Fruit Specialty Crops

Corn Apples Dry Beans

Soybeans Peaches Tobacco

Cotton Pears Sugarbeets

Wheat Grapes Sugarcane

Oats Prunes & Plums Hops

Barley Olives Coffee

Sorghum

Alfalfa & Other Hay

Rice

Peanuts
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

Survey Overview

Re-Interview Ag Yield Objective Yield

Survey Type Farmer Reported Farmer Reported Field 

Measurement

Crops Included Corn, Soybeans, 

Barley, Canola, 

Durum & Other 

Spring Wheat, 

Sunflowers

Field Crops Corn, Soybeans, 

Cotton, and 

Winter Wheat

States MN, MT, ND, SD

Sample Size 647 26,905 4,504

Collection Period Jul 8 – Jul 25 Jul 28 – Aug 5 Jul 25 – Aug 1
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

Crop Unit

August

2011

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Estimate

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Corn

 Planted Mil Ac 92.3 NC + 4.6

Soybeans

 Planted Mil Ac 75.0 - 0.3 - 3.2

2011 Re-Interview Results
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

Crop Unit

August

2011

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Estimate

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Other Spring Wheat

 Planted Mil Ac 12.7 - 7.0 - 7.5

Durum Wheat

 Planted Mil Ac 1.40 - 17.7 - 45.6

Barley

 Planted Mil Ac 2.73 - 3.2 - 5.1

2011 Re-Interview Results
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

Crop Unit

August

2011

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Estimate

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Canola

 Planted Mil Ac 1.09 - 4.3 - 24.6

Sunflowers, Non-Oil

 Planted Thou Ac 306 - 3.2 - 37.4

Sunflowers, Oil

 Planted Mil Ac 1.45 - 5.8 - 0.9

2011 Re-Interview Results
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

Crop Unit

August

2011

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Forecast

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Corn

 Planted Mil Ac 92.3 NC + 4.6

 Harvested Mil Ac 84.4 - 0.6 + 3.6

 Yield Bu/Ac 153.0 --- + 0.1

 Production Bil Bu 12.9 --- + 3.8

August 2011 Crop Production
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

9.5

9.0

10.1

11.8

11.1

10.5

13.0

12.1

13.1

12.4

12.9

8.00

9.00

10.00

11.00

12.00

13.00

14.00

Billion Bushels

U.S. Corn Production
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

153.0

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

Bushels/Acre

U.S. Corn Yield
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

Corn for Grain Yields, August 1, 2011

Bushels and Change From Previous Year

100

-16

150

NC

190

-5

130

-21

125

1 0

148#

3

170

1 3

150

-7

177

1 2

110

-15 145

2 1

130

-10

104

-2

142

-8

166

-11

116

-20

126

3

166

NC

135

2 1

130

-20

8 1

-10

125

-7

158

-5

8 5

-45

112

-16

6 0

-31

U.S. 153.0

0.2

# Record High

NC = No Change

141

6

136

1 9

112

-33

116

4 9

210

5

159

-3
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

12.9

12.8

13.1

13.4

NASS Low Average High

NASS Estimates vs. Expectations

Corn Production (Billion Bushels)
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

Crop Unit

August

2011

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Forecast

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Soybeans

 Planted Mil Ac 75.0 - 0.3 - 3.2

 Harvested Mil Ac 73.8 - 0.6 - 3.6

 Yield Bu/Ac 41.4 --- - 4.8

 Production Bil Bu 3.06 --- - 8.2

August 2011 Crop Production
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

2.89

2.76

2.45

3.12

3.07 3.20

2.68

2.97

3.36

3.33

3.06

2.00

2.20

2.40

2.60

2.80

3.00

3.20

3.40

3.60

Billion Bushels

U.S. Soybean Production
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

41.4

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Bushels/Acre

U.S. Soybean Yield
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

Soybean Yields, August 1, 2011

Bushels and Change From Previous Year

3 0

4

3 6

1

3 2

NC

2 6

NC

4 8

-3.5

4 3

-5.5

5 2

1

2 6

-6.5 4 0

6

3 5

-6

3 0

-4

4 1

-2.5

4 0

-5

4 0

1.5

3 9

-2.5

5 2

-0.5

3 3

9

4 2

-6

2 7

1

3 0

-4

4 4

-4

2 0

-5

3 7

-5

2 4

1

U.S. 41.4

-2.1

NC = No Change

3 8

NC

3 6

5

2 0

-10

3 5

9

4 5

-5.5
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

3.06

3.12

3.17

3.23

NASS Low Average High

NASS Estimates vs. Expectations

Soybean Production (Billion Bushels)
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

Crop Unit

August

2011

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Forecast

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Cotton

 Planted Mil Ac 13.7 NC + 25.1

 Harvested Mil Ac 9.67 --- - 9.6

 Yield Lbs/Ac 822 --- + 1.2

 Production Mil Bales 16.6 --- - 8.6

August 2011 Crop Production
13.7

9.67

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

U.S. All Cotton Acres

Planted Harvested

Million Acres

USDA-NASS 

8-11-11
17.6

16.2 16.1

19.7

17.9

18.9 18.8

13.9

17.0 17.2

20.3

17.2

18.3

23.3

23.9

21.6

19.2

12.8

12.2

18.1

16.6

10

13

16

19

22

25

1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

U.S. All Cotton Production

Million Bales

USDA-NASS 

8-11-11
822

400

500

600

700

800

900

Pounds/Acre

U.S. All Cotton Yield

USDA-NASS 

8-11-11
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

U p la n d C o t t o n Y ie ld , A u g u s t 1 , 2 0 1 1

P o u n d s a n d C h a n g e F r o m P r e v io u s Y e a r

726

4 4

1432

- 8 5 975

- 7 0

1587

104

725

- 4 1

870

4 9

521

- 2 6 6

800

- 4 2

936

- 5 7

1035

- 3 3

977

- 1 9 7

826

- 1 2 408

- 3 4 2 788

- 1 1 0 U .S . 8 0 9

4

849

4

635

- 6 8

989

257
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

Crop Unit

August

2011

% Change from 

Previous 

Forecast

% Change from 

Previous 

Season

Winter Wheat

 Harvested Mil Ac 32.3 NC + 1.8

 Yield Bu/Ac 46.3 + 0.2 - 1.1

 Production Bil Bu 1.50 + 0.4 + 0.8

Other Spring

 Harvested Mil Ac 12.3 - 7.2 - 8.2

 Yield Bu/Ac 42.5 + 1.9 - 7.8

 Production Mil Bu 522 - 5.2 - 15.3

Durum

 Harvested Mil Ac 1.35 - 18.2 - 46.7

 Yield Bu/Ac 42.4 + 9.6 NC 

 Production Mil Bu 57.1 - 10.3 - 46.7

All Wheat

 Production Bil Bu 2.08 - 1.4 - 6.0

August 2011 Crop Production
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

Winter Wheat Yield - August 1, 2011 

Bushels and Change From Previous Month

55

-5

60

-4

50

-3

46

-3

55

-2

44

-1 49

-1

61#

NC

80

NC

55

NC

61

NC

63

NC

35

NC 70

NC

66

NC

73#

NC

64#

NC

68#

NC 22

NC 59#

NC U.S. 46.3

0.1

# Record High

NC = No Change

70#

NC

26

NC

68

NC

80

1

45

1

72#

2

72

3

40

4

77#

4
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

Spring Wheat Yield - August 1, 2011 

Bushels and Change From Previous Month

31

-2

40

-2

51

-1

76

NC

40

2

U.S. 42.5

0.8

65

2

53

3
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

2.077

2.015

2.085

2.134

NASS Low Average High

NASS Estimates vs. Expectations

All Wheat Production (Billion Bushels)
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

1.497

1.400

1.483

1.505

NASS Low Average High

NASS Estimates vs. Expectations

Winter Wheat Production (Billion Bushels)
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

522

515

550

577

NASS Low Average High

NASS Estimates vs. Expectations

Other Spring Wheat Production (Million Bushels)
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

57

58

62

65

NASS Low Average High

NASS Estimates vs. Expectations

Durum Wheat Production (Million Bushels)
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

Crop Unit

August

2011

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Forecast

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Oats Mil Bu 57.5 + 1.7 - 29.2

Barley Mil Bu 168 - 2.6 - 6.7

Sorghum Mil Bu 241 --- - 30.3

Alfalfa Hay Mil Tons 65.0 --- - 4.3

Other Hay Mil Tons 67.0 --- - 13.7

Rice Mil Cwt 188 --- - 22.6

August 2011 Crop Production
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

Crop Unit

August

2011

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Forecast

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Peanuts Bil Lbs 3.61 --- - 13.1

Dry Beans Mil Cwt 20.5 --- - 35.7

All Tobacco Mil Lbs 726 --- + 1.0

Sugarbeets Mil Tons 30.4 --- - 4.7

Sugarcane Mil Tons 28.7 --- + 4.9

August 2011 Crop Production
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

Crop Unit

August

2011

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Forecast

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Apples Bil Lbs 9.51 --- + 2.3

Peaches Mil Tons 1.13 + 0.2 - 1.8

Pears Thou Tons 888 --- + 9.2

Grapes Mil Tons 7.19 --- - 3.0

Prunes & Plums

 (4-State Total)

Thou Tons 13.1 --- + 7.9

August 2011 Crop Production
USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

Crop Unit

August

2011

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Forecast

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Olives (CA) Thou Tons 65.0 --- - 66.7

Hops Mil Lbs 64.2 --- - 1.9

Coffee (HI) Mil Lbs 8.80 + 11.4 + 1.1

August 2011 Crop Production
Upcoming Reports 

 

August 19 Cattle on Feed

August 26 Rice Stocks

August 31 Ag Prices

September 12 Crop Production

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

USDA-NASS 

8-11-11
United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

USDA-NASS 

8-11-11

All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

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