12:00 P.M.

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

September Crop Production

Executive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

September 12, 2018
USDA-NASS

9-12-18

Field Crops Fruit & Nuts Specialty Crops

Corn Navel Oranges (CA) Tobacco

Soybeans Hazelnuts Sugarbeets

Cotton Walnuts Sugarcane

Rice Dry Edible Peas

Peanuts Lentils

Sorghum Austrian Winter Peas

Contents
USDA-NASS

9-12-18

Ag Yield Objective Yield

Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

Crops Included Field Crops Corn, Cotton, and 

Soybeans

Sample Size 9,820 4,952

Collection Period Aug 30 – Sept 7 Aug 25 – Sept 1

Survey Overview
USDA-NASS

9-12-18

September 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit September Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

Corn

Planted Mil Ac 89.1 NC -1.2

Harvested Mil Ac 81.8 NC -1.1

Yield Bu/Ac 181.3 +1.6 +2.7

Production Bil Bu 14.8 +1.6 +1.5
9.76 9.43 9.92 9.50

8.97

10.1

11.8

11.1

10.5

13.0

12.0

13.1

12.4 12.3

10.8

13.8

14.2 13.6

15.1

14.6 14.8

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Billion Bushels

Corn for Grain Production

United States

USDA-NASS

9-12-18
USDA-NASS

9-12-18
2004

2005 2006 2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017 Aug-18

Sept-18

0.260

0.270

0.280

0.290

0.300

0.310

0.320

0.330

0.340

0.350

0.360

0.370

25,000 25,500 26,000 26,500 27,000 27,500 28,000 28,500 29,000 29,500

Lbs/Ear

Ears Per Acre

Corn Objective Yield Region

Ears Per Acre vs. Implied Ear Weight

Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears

USDA-NASS

9-12-18
USDA-NASS

9-12-18
USDA-NASS

9-12-18

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

14.1

14.2

14.3

14.4

14.5

14.6

14.7

14.8

14.9

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels

2018 United States Corn Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

9-12-18

September 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit September Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

Soybeans

Planted Mil Ac 89.6 NC -0.6

Harvested Mil Ac 88.9 NC -0.7

Yield Bu/Ac 52.8 +2.3 +7.5

Production Bil Bu 4.69 +2.3 +6.9
2.74 2.65

2.76

2.89

2.76

2.45

3.12 3.07

3.20

2.68

2.97

3.36 3.33

3.10 3.04

3.36

3.93 3.93

4.30

4.39

4.69

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Billion Bushels

Soybean Production

United States

USDA-NASS

9-12-18
USDA-NASS

9-12-18
2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013 2014 2015

2017 2016

Sept-18

0.260

0.265

0.270

0.275

0.280

0.285

0.290

0.295

0.300

0.305

0.310

0.315

0.320

0.325

0.330

0.335

0.340

0.345

0.350

1,400 1,450 1,500 1,550 1,600 1,650 1,700 1,750 1,800 1,850 1,900

Grams/Pod

Pods Per 18 Square Feet

Soybean Objective Yield Region

Pods Per 18 Square Feet vs. Implied Pod Weight

Implied Pod Weight = (Published Yield / Pods) /0.0889

USDA-NASS

9-12-18
USDA-NASS

9-12-18
USDA-NASS

9-12-18

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

4.20

4.30

4.40

4.50

4.60

4.70

4.80

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels

2018 United States Soybean Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

9-12-18

September 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit September Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

All Cotton

Planted Mil Ac 14.0 +3.9 +11.3

Harvested Mil Ac 10.6 +4.1 -4.9

Yield Lb/Ac 895 -1.8 -1.1

Production Mil Bls 19.7 +2.3 -5.9
14.0

10.6

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Million Acres

All Cotton Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

9-12-18
13.9

17.0 17.2

20.3

17.2

18.3

23.3 23.9

21.6

19.2

12.8

12.2

18.1

15.6

17.3

12.9

16.3

12.9

17.2

20.9

19.7

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Million Bales

All Cotton Production

United States

USDA-NASS

9-12-18
USDA-NASS

9-12-18
USDA-NASS

9-12-18

September 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit September Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

Rice

Planted Mil Ac 2.94 +3.6 +19.5

Harvested Mil Ac 2.90 +3.5 +22.2

Yield Lbs/Ac 7,563 +0.5 +0.7

Production Mil Cwt 219 +4.1 +23.1
USDA-NASS

9-12-18

September 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit September Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

Peanuts

Planted Mil Ac 1.43 -5.0 -23.7

Harvested Mil Ac 1.39 -5.0 -21.9

Yield Lbs/Ac 4,151 -0.4 +1.9

Production Bil Lbs 5.76 -5.4 -20.4
USDA-NASS

9-12-18

September 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit September Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

Sorghum Mil Bu 376 +0.3 +3.5

All Tobacco Mil Lbs 637 -1.5 -10.3

Sugarbeets Mil Tons 36.0 +2.1 +1.9

Sugarcane Mil Tons 32.7 +0.5 -1.5
September 2018 Crop Production

USDA-NASS

9-12-18

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit September Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

A. Winter Peas Thou Cwt 146 NA +16.8

Dry Edible Peas Mil Cwt 13.9 NA -2.1

Lentils Mil Cwt 8.79 NA +17.4
USDA-NASS

9-12-18

September 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit September Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

Navel Oranges (CA) Mil Tons 1.60 NA +11.4

Hazelnuts (OR) Thou Tons 52.0 NA +62.5

Walnuts (CA) Thou Tons 690 NA +9.5
USDA-NASS

9-12-18

Release Date Report Title

September 13 Potatoes

September 21 Cattle on Feed

September 27 Ag Prices

Hogs and Pigs

September 28 Grain Stocks

Small Grains Summary

October 1 CAIR: Cotton, Fats & Oils, and Grain Crushings

October 11 Crop Production

Cotton Ginnings

Upcoming Reports
USDA-NASS

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