12:00 P.M.

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

November Crop Production

Executive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

November 9, 2017
USDA-NASS

11-9-17

Field Crops Fruit & Nuts Specialty Crops

Corn Citrus Sugarbeets

Soybeans Sugarcane

Cotton Fall Potatoes

Rice

Peanuts

Sorghum

Cottonseed

Contents
USDA-NASS

11-9-17

Objective Measurement

Survey Type Field Measurement

Crops Included Oranges, Grapefruit, Tangerines

Sample Size 1,959 groves

Collection Period October 11 – 27

Survey Overview

Florida Citrus
USDA-NASS

11-9-17

November 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season 

Production

Oranges Mil Tons 4.16 -4.1 -19.4

Grapefruit Thou Tons 578 -1.7 -15.2

Tangerines & 

Mandarins Thou Tons 965 -0.3 -6.6
13.7

9.82

13.0

12.2 12.4

11.5

12.9

9.25 9.02

7.63

10.1

9.13

8.24

8.91 8.98

8.27

6.77

6.35 6.09

5.16

4.16

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Million Tons

Orange Production

United States

USDA-NASS

11-9-17
USDA-NASS

11-9-17

Ag Yield Objective Yield

Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

Crops Included Field Crops Corn, Cotton, Soybeans

Sample Size 8,727 4,952

Collection Period Oct 30 – Nov 6 Oct 25 – Nov 1

Survey Overview
USDA-NASS

11-9-17

November 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season 

Corn

Harvested Mil Ac 83.1 NC -4.2

Yield Bu/Ac 175.4 +2.1 +0.5

Production Bil Bu 14.6 +2.1 -3.8
9.21

9.76 9.43 9.92 9.50

8.97

10.1

11.8

11.1

10.5

13.0

12.0

13.1

12.4 12.3

10.8

13.8

14.2 13.6

15.1

14.6

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Billion Bushels

Corn for Grain Production

United States

USDA-NASS

11-9-17
USDA-NASS

11-9-17
2004

2005 2006 2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Aug-17

Sept-17 OctNov-17

0.260

0.270

0.280

0.290

0.300

0.310

0.320

0.330

0.340

0.350

0.360

0.370

25,000 25,500 26,000 26,500 27,000 27,500 28,000 28,500 29,000 29,500

Lbs/Ear

Ears Per Acre

Corn Objective Yield Region

Ears Per Acre vs. Implied Ear Weight

Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears

USDA-NASS

11-9-17
USDA-NASS

11-9-17

Year Dent Stage Mature

Percent

2013 < 0.5 86

2014 < 0.5 96

2015 < 0.5 96

2016 < 0.5 96

2017 < 0.5 96

Corn Objective Yield - November

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab
13.5

13.7

13.9

14.1

14.3

14.5

14.7

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels

2017 United States Corn Production

Trade Analyst Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Trade Analyst Expectation

USDA-NASS

11-9-17

Low
USDA-NASS

11-9-17

November 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season 

Soybeans

Harvested Mil Ac 89.5 NC +8.2

Yield Bu/Ac 49.5 NC -4.8

Production Bil Bu 4.43 -0.1 +3.0
2.69 2.74 2.65

2.76

2.89

2.76

2.45

3.12 3.07

3.20

2.68

2.97

3.36

3.33

3.10 3.04

3.36

3.93 3.93

4.30

4.43

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Billion Bushels

Soybean Production

United States

USDA-NASS

11-9-17
USDA-NASS

11-9-17
2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013 2014 2015

2016

Sept -17

Oct-17

Nov-17

0.260

0.265

0.270

0.275

0.280

0.285

0.290

0.295

0.300

0.305

0.310

0.315

0.320

0.325

0.330

0.335

0.340

0.345

0.350

1,400 1,450 1,500 1,550 1,600 1,650 1,700 1,750 1,800 1,850 1,900

Grams/Pod

Pods Per 18 Square Feet

Soybean Objective Yield Region

Pods Per 18 Square Feet vs. Implied Pod Weight

Implied Pod Weight = (Published Yield / Pods) /0.0889

USDA-NASS

11-9-17
USDA-NASS

11-9-17

Year Mature

Percent

2013 73

2014 92

2015 95

2016 93

2017 93

Soybean Objective Yield - November

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab
4.15

4.20

4.25

4.30

4.35

4.40

4.45

4.50

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels

2017 United States Soybean Production

Trade Analyst Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Trade Analyst Expectation USDA-NASS

11-9-17
USDA-NASS

11-9-17

November 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season 

All Cotton

Harvested Mil Ac 11.4 NC +20.0

Yield Lb/Ac 900 +1.2 +3.8

Production Mil Bls 21.4 +1.2 +24.5
18.8

13.9

17.0 17.2

20.3

17.2

18.3

23.3 23.9

21.6

19.2

12.8

12.2

18.1

15.6

17.3

12.9

16.3

12.9

17.2

21.4

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

Million Bales

All Cotton Production

United States

USDA-NASS

11-9-17
USDA-NASS

11-9-17
USDA-NASS

11-9-17

November 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season 

Rice

Harvested Mil Ac 2.39 NC -22.8

Yield Lbs/Ac 7,461 -0.1 +3.1

Production Mil Cwt 178 -0.1 -20.4
USDA-NASS

11-9-17

November 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season 

Peanuts

Harvested Mil Ac 1.83 NC +19.1

Yield Lbs/Ac 4,176 -1.9 +14.9

Production Bil Lbs 7.64 -1.9 +36.9
USDA-NASS

11-9-17

November 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season 

Sorghum

Harvested Mil Ac 5.05 NC -18.1

Yield Bu/Ac 70.4 -2.5 -9.6

Production Mil Bu 356 -2.4 -26.0
USDA-NASS

11-9-17

November 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Season 

Production 

Sugarcane Mil Tons 32.2 -0.9 +0.3

Sugarbeets Mil Tons 36.0 +0.9 -2.3
USDA-NASS

11-9-17

November 2017 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit November Previous Previous

2017 Forecast Year

Production

Cottonseed Mil Tons 6.76 +1.2 +25.9

Fall Potatoes Mil Cwt 399 NA -1.9
USDA-NASS

11-9-17

Release Date Report Title

November 16 Farm Labor

November 17 Cattle on Feed

November 30 Agricultural Prices

December 1

CAIR: Cotton

CAIR: Oilseed Crushing

CAIR: Fats & Oils

December 12 Crop Production

Upcoming Reports
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