HOGS & PIGS INVENTORY

Executive Briefing

March 1, 2012

March 30, 2012

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service
March Hogs and Pigs

Data Collection Period: 

February 29 - March 20

Sample Size 8,000

Collection Methods

Phone, mail, internet, personal interview

Main Data Items

Total Inventory, by class, weight group, and quarter

Sows Farrowing, pig crop, and pigs per litter

March 30, 2012 
U.S. Hogs & Pigs Revisions

Quarter Item

(000) Hd % 

Revision

Change Estimate

September 1, 2011

All Hogs & Pigs +490 67,234 +0.7%

Pig Crop +271 29,355 +0.9%

December 1, 2011 All Hogs & Pigs +430 66,361 +0.7%

March 30, 2012
U.S. Hogs & Pigs Inventory

March 1, 2012

Inventory Items (000) Hd % PY

All Hogs & Pigs 64,872 102%

Breeding Hogs 5,820 101%

Market Hogs 59,052 102%

Dec – Feb Pig Crop 28,681 103%

Sows Farrowing 2,877 101%

Litter Rate Number % PY

Dec 2011 – Feb 2012 9.97 102%

Farrowing Intentions (000) Hd % PY

Mar – May 2012 2,890 99%

Jun – Aug 2012 2,880 98%

March 30, 2012
5 6

5 8

6 0

6 2

6 4

6 6

6 8

7 0

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Year

U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory

March 1, 2012

64.9 

March 30, 2012
NASS Estimates Compared to Trade Expectations

Percent of Previous Year

Inventory Items NASS

Estimate

Trade

Average

Trade

Range

All Hogs & Pigs 101.9% 101.7% 101.4% – 102.3%

Breeding Hogs 100.6% 100.3% 99.9% – 100.7%

Market Hogs 102.0% 101.8% 101.5% – 102.5%

Dec – Feb Pig Crop 102.9% 102.4% 102.0% – 103.0%

Farrowing Intentions

Mar – May 2012 99.1% 100.2% 99.4% – 101.0%

Jun – Aug 2012 98.4% 100.3% 99.5% – 101.0%

March 30, 2012
58 

59 

60 

61 

62 

63 

64 

65 

66 

67 

68 

69 

70 

Sep 

0 5

Mar 

0 6

Sep 

0 6

Mar 

0 7

Sep 

0 7

Mar 

0 8

Sep 

0 8

Mar 

0 9

Sep 

0 9

Mar 

1 0

Sep 

1 0

Mar 

11

Sep 

11

Mar 

1 2 Million Head

All Hogs and Pigs

Board vs Trade Expectations

ASB Final Est Trade ASB First Est

March 30, 2012
0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

D-F 

0 8

M-M 

0 8

J-A 

0 8

S-N 

0 8

D-F 

0 9

M-M 

0 9

J-A 

0 9

S-N 

0 9

D-F 

1 0

M-M 

1 0

J-A 

1 0

S-N 

1 0

D-F 

11

M-M 

11

J-A 

11

S-N 

11

D-F 

1 2

Feeder Pigs Slaughter

Canadian Imports by Quarter

Feeder Pigs and Slaughter Hogs

March 30, 2012
2.6

2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.2

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

U.S. Quarterly Sows Farrowed 

December - February

ASB Estimate Mar-May Intentions Jun-Aug Intentions Million Head

March 30, 2012
Breeding Herd Inventory

Disposition & Utilization

Year

Dec. 1

Estimate Slaughter Additions Mar. 1Estimate

Sow

Utilization

(000) Hd (000) Hd (000) Hd (000) Hd Percent

2003 6,058 818 797 6,037 46%

2004 6,019 858 810 5,971 47%

2005 5,980 840 812 5,952 47%

2006 6,031 830 844 6,045 47%

2007 6,116 913 946 6,149 48%

2008 6,233 952 919 6,200 49%

2009 6,062 877 807 5,992 50%

2010 5,850 846 756 5,760 49%

2011 5,778 792 802 5,788 49%

2012 5,803 823 840 5,820 50%

March 30, 2012
8.60

8.80

9.00

9.20

9.40

9.60

9.80

10.00

10.20

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Year

U.S. Quarterly Pigs per Litter 

December - February

9.97

March 30, 2012
9.97

7.30

8.20

8.80

9.20

9.80

10.00

7.00

7.50

8.00

8.50

9.00

9.50

10.00

10.50

All 1-99 100-499 500-999 1000-1999 2000-4999 5000+

Size of Operation

U.S. Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation

December 2011 – February 2012

Pigs Per Litter

March 30, 2012
3.5 4.9

8.0

4.8

0.8

71.5

7.4

62.1

24.9

7.5

2.0 2.7

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

1-99 100-499 500-999 1000-1999 2000-4999 5000+

Size Groups

Operations Inventory

U.S. Hogs by Size Group

Percent of Operations & Inventory, 2011

Percent

March 30, 2012
7.3

2.9 3.1 3.7

0.9 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.2 2.0 1.9 3.8

9.8 7.2 7.5 8.8

58.1

80.8

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

1-99 100-499 500-999 1,000-

1,999

2,000-

4,999

5,000-

9,999

10,000-

19,999

20,000-

49,999

50,000+

Size Groups

Operations Inventory

U.S. Hogs by Size Group 

Based on Ownership

United States, 2011

Percent

March 30, 2012
$1.50

$2.00

$2.50

$3.00

$3.50

$4.00

$4.50

$5.00

$5.50

$6.00

$6.50

$7.00

$7.50

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 6 0 7 0 8 0 9 1 0 11 1 2

Year

U.S. Prices Received by Farmers 

for Hogs & Corn 

Hogs Corn Hogs $/cwt

Corn $/bu

March 30, 2012
Upcoming Reports

April 10 Crop Production

April 20 Cattle on Feed

April 25 Milk - PDI

April 26 United States & Canadian Hogs

Meat Animals - PDI

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

March 30, 2012
All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions Call or Email

202-720-3570

800-727-9540

nass@nass.usda.gov

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

March 30, 2012