Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

June 27, 2019

Executive Briefing

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service
Survey Overview

June Hogs and Pigs

Data Collection Period May 31 – June 15

Sample Size 5,164

Collection Methods Mail, Telephone, Internet, Face-to-Face Interview

Primary Data Items Total Inventory: by class, weight group;

Sows Farrowing; Pig Crop; and Pigs per Litter

June 27, 2019
U.S. Hogs and Pigs Revisions

Survey Item

Initial

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Previous 

Revisions

(1,000 head)

Current

Revision

(1,000 head)

Net 

Revision

(1,000 head)

Current 

Estimate

(1,000 head)

December 1, 2018 All Hogs 

and Pigs 74,550 No revision +365+0.5%

+365

+0.5% 74,915

Pig Crop 33,978 +177

+0.5%

+177

+0.5% 34,155

March 1, 2019 All Hogs 

and Pigs 74,296 No revision +730+1.0%

+730

+1.0% 75,026

Pig Crop 32,999 +428

+1.3%

+428

+1.3% 33,427

June 27, 2019
U.S. Hogs and Pigs June 1

June 27, 2019

Item 2018 2019 % PY

1,000 head

All Hogs and Pigs 72,866 75,520 104

Breeding Hogs 6,320 6,410 101

Market Hogs 66,546 69,111 104

less than 50 lbs 21,327 22,019 103

50-119 lbs 19,083 19,606 103

120-179 lbs 13,988 14,427 103

180 lbs & over 12,147 13,059 108

Sows Farrowed 3,100 3,108 100

Pig Crop 32,942 34,177 104

number

Pigs per Litter 10.63 11.00 103

1,000 head

Jun-Aug Farrowings 3,200 3,185 100

Sep-Nov Farrowings 3,174 3,175 100
U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

2010 - 2019

June 27, 2019

75.5

61

63

65

67

69

71

73

75

77

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Million head

June 1 March 1

72.9

75.0
June 1, 2019 

Hogs and Pigs Inventory

Head (1,000) and Percent of Previous Year

June 27, 2019

Inventory Up Down No Change

Other States

3,180

101.7

Top Five States Inv.

State Head (1,000)

Iowa 23,700

North Carolina 9,200

Minnesota 8,700

Illinois 5,300

Indiana 4,250
Trade Expectations Compared

to NASS Estimates 

Percent of Previous Year

June 27, 2019

102.1

101.3

102.6

103.1

102.1

103.0

100.0

99.5

103.8

103.9

101.4

103.6

99.0 100.0 101.0 102.0 103.0 104.0 105.0 106.0

Sep-Nov Farrowings

Jun-Aug Farrowings

Mar-May Pig Crop

Market Hogs

Breeding Hogs

All Hogs and Pigs

Min Trade Range Trade Average NASS
59

61

63

65

67

69

71

73

75

77

79

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Million head

ASB First Estimate ASB Final Estimate Lower Trade Range Upper Trade Range

All Hogs and Pigs

First Estimate Versus Final Estimate

2010 - 2019

June 27, 2019
U.S. Quarterly Sows Farrowed

2010 - 2019

3.108

3.175

3.185

2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.2

3.3

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Million head

Mar-May Estimates Jun-Aug Intentions Sep-Nov Intentions

June 27, 2019
Breeding Herd Inventory

Disposition and Utilization

June 27, 2019

Year

Mar 1

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Slaughter

(1,000 head)

Additions

(1,000 head)

Jun 1

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Sow

Utilization

(Percent)

2010 5,760 847 875 5,788 50

2011 5,788 826 841 5,803 50

2012 5,820 813 855 5,862 51

2013 5,836 848 896 5,884 48

2014 5,851 775 779 5,855 48

2015 5,982 781 725 5,926 48

2016 5,980 794 793 5,979 50

2017 6,098 851 862 6,109 49

2018 6,210 855 965 6,320 50

2019 6,349 856 917 6,410 49
U.S. Quarterly Pigs per Litter

2010 - 2019

June 27, 2019

10.70

10.63

11.00

9.40

9.70

10.00

10.30

10.60

10.90

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Pigs per Litter

Mar-May Dec-Feb
Canadian Imports by Quarter

Feeder Pigs and Slaughter Hogs

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Thousand head

Feeder Slaughter

June 27, 2019
U.S. Prices Received by Farmers

for Hogs and Corn

June 27, 2019

$1.50

$2.50

$3.50

$4.50

$5.50

$6.50

$7.50

$8.50

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

$100

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Corn $/bu

Hogs $/cwt

Hogs Corn
Upcoming NASS Reports

Release Date Report Title

June 28 Acreage

Grain Stocks

July 11 Crop Production

July 19 Cattle

Cattle on Feed

July 22 Cold Storage

Milk Production

July 23 Catfish Production

Mink

July 25 Livestock Slaughter

July 31 Agricultural Prices

June 27, 2019
All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

(202) 720-3570

(800) 727-9540

nass@usda.gov

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

June 27, 2019