12:00 P.M.

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

Prospective Plantings

Grain Stocks

Rice Stocks

Executive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

March 29, 2019
Program Review

• Completed following each Census of Agriculture

Ensure that the NASS annual estimatingprogram targets 

commodities and states most relevant based on the latest 

available information

• Changes were announced March 12 and posted to website 

https://www.nass.usda.gov/Surveys/Program_Review/index.php
USDA-NASS

3-29-19

Field Crops Stocks

Principal Crops Planted Acres Corn

Feed Grain Acres Soybeans

Food Grain Acres Sorghum

Oilseed Acres Sunflower

Other Crop Acres All Wheat

Barley

Oats

Rice

Contents
USDA-NASS

3-29-19

March Ag Survey Off-Farm Grain

Stock Survey

Survey Type Farmer Reported Reported

Collection Method Mail, Phone, Internet, 

Personal Interview 

Mail, Phone, Internet, 

Personal Interview

Crops Included Acreage Intentions,

On-Farm Stocks

Grains and Oilseed 

On Hand

States All Except AK & HI All Except AK, HI, & NV

Sample Size 82,352 ~ 8,500 Facilities

Collection Period Feb 27 – Mar 19 Feb 28 – Mar 18

Survey Overview
0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Percent

Acreage Intentions vs. Actual Planted Acres

Usual Planting Progress

Corn Soybeans

March 

Survey

June 

Survey

4 weeks

USDA-NASS

3-29-19
USDA-NASS

3-29-19
USDA-NASS

3-29-19
Year Principal Crops Change From

Previous Year

Million Acres

2010 315.4 -3.6

2011 314.3 -1.1

2012 324.3 +10.0

2013 324.9 +0.6

2014 326.7 +1.7

2015 319.1 -7.6

2016 319.0 -0.1

2017 318.3 -0.6

2018 319.6 +1.2

2019 315.4 -4.2

Principal Crops Planted Acreage

United States

USDA-NASS

3-29-19
315

290

295

300

305

310

315

320

325

330

335

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million Acres

Principal Crops

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

3-29-19
USDA-NASS

3-29-19
92.8

60.0

65.0

70.0

75.0

80.0

85.0

90.0

95.0

100.0

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million Acres

Corn Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

3-29-19
USDA-NASS

3-29-19
USDA-NASS

3-29-19

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

89.0

89.5

90.0

90.5

91.0

91.5

92.0

92.5

93.0

March June October Final

Million Acres

2019 United States Corn Acres

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation
84.6

55.0

60.0

65.0

70.0

75.0

80.0

85.0

90.0

95.0

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million Acres

Soybean Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

3-29-19
USDA-NASS

3-29-19
USDA-NASS

3-29-19

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

84.0

84.5

85.0

85.5

86.0

86.5

87.0

87.5

88.0

88.5

March June October Final

Million Acres

2019 United States Soybean Acres

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

3-29-19
13.8

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million Acres

All Cotton Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

3-29-19
USDA-NASS

3-29-19
13.7

13.9

14.1

14.3

14.5

14.7

14.9

15.1

15.3

15.5

March June September Final

Million Acres

2019 United States Cotton Acres

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation
31.5

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million Acres Winter Wheat Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

3-29-19
USDA-NASS

3-29-19
USDA-NASS

2-8-19

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

30.5

31.0

31.5

32.0

32.5

33.0

33.5

December March June Final

Million Acres

2019 United States Winter Wheat Acres

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation
12.8

9.0

10.0

11.0

12.0

13.0

14.0

15.0

16.0

17.0

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million Acres

Other Spring Wheat Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

3-29-19
USDA-NASS

3-29-19
USDA-NASS

3-29-19

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

12.5

12.8

13.1

13.4

13.7

14.0

March June Final

Million Acres

2019 United States Other Spring Wheat Acres

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation
1.42

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million Acres

Durum Wheat Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

3-29-19
USDA-NASS

3-29-19
USDA-NASS

3-29-19

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

1.35

1.55

1.75

1.95

2.15

2.35

2.55

2.75

2.95

3.15

March June Final

Million Acres

2019 United States Durum Wheat Acres

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

3-29-19

March 2019 Prospective Plantings

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit March Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Season 

Feed Grains

Corn Mil Ac 92.8 NA +4.1

Sorghum Mil Ac 5.14 NA -9.8

Oats Mil Ac 2.56 NA -7.0

Barley Mil Ac 2.55 NA +0.3
USDA-NASS

3-29-19

March 2019 Prospective Plantings

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit March Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Season 

Food Grains

Wheat, All Mil Ac 45.8 NA -4.3

Wheat, Winter Mil Ac 31.5 +0.7 -3.2

Wheat, Spring Mil Ac 12.8 NA -2.8

Wheat, Durum Mil Ac 1.42 NA -31.2

Rice Mil Ac 2.87 NA -2.6
USDA-NASS

3-29-19

March 2019 Prospective Plantings

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit March Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Season 

Oilseeds

Soybeans Mil Ac 84.6 NA -5.1

Peanuts Mil Ac 1.45 NA +1.6

Sunflower Mil Ac 1.35 NA +3.7

Canola Mil Ac 1.90 NA -4.4

Flaxseed Thou Ac 345 NA +65.9
USDA-NASS

3-29-19

March 2019 Prospective Plantings

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit March Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Season 

Other Crops

All Cotton Mil Ac 13.8 NA -2.3

All Hay Mil Ac 53.1 NA +0.5

Sugarbeets Mil Ac 1.12 NA +0.6

Tobacco Thou Ac 244 NA -16.3

Dry Edible Beans Mil Ac 1.24 NA +1.3

Chickpeas Thou Ac 519 NA -39.6

Lentils Thou Ac 555 NA -28.8

Dry Edible Peas Thou Ac 881 NA +2.9
USDA-NASS

3-29-19

Soybeans, -4,579

W Wheat, -1,031

D Wheat, -645

Sorghum, -555

S Wheat, -370

Chickpeas, -341

Cotton, -319

Oats, -191

Canola, -87

Rice , -76

Tobacco, -47

Barley, 7

Sugarbeets, 7

Dry Beans (Exc. Chickpeas), 16

Peanuts, 24

Sunflowers, 48

Hay, 251

Corn, 3,663

Principal Crop Planted Acres (000)

2019 Change From 2018

Harvested Acres for Hay & Tobacco

2019 Estimates Not Available for Proso Millet, Rye, 

& Sugarcane. 
USDA-NASS

3-29-19

March 2019 Grain Stocks

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit March Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Year

Stocks

Corn Bil Bu 8.60 NA -3.2

Soybeans Bil Bu 2.72 NA +28.7

Sorghum Mil Bu 193 NA +37.4

Sunflower Mil Lbs 828 NA -33.1

Rice Mil Cwt 104 NA +24.5
USDA-NASS

3-29-19

March 2019 Grain Stocks

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit March Previous Previous

2019 Estimate Year

Stocks

All Wheat Bil Bu 1.59 NA +6.4

Barley Mil Bu 121 NA -6.7

Oats Mil Bu 50.2 NA -8.6
13.7

14.7

14.1 13.4

11.7

14.7

15.4 15.3

16.9 16.9

16.6

8.60

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19

Billion Bushels

Corn Stocks

United States

Supply Dec Mar Jun Sep

USDA-NASS

3-29-19
USDA-NASS

3-29-19

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

7.60

7.80

8.00

8.20

8.40

8.60

8.80

9.00

March

Billion Bushels

2019 United States Corn Stocks

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation
3.17

3.50 3.48 3.31

3.21

3.50

4.02 4.12

4.49

4.71

4.98

2.72

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19

Billion Bushels

Soybean Stocks

United States

Supply Dec Mar Jun Sep

USDA-NASS

3-29-19
USDA-NASS

3-29-19

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

2.05

2.15

2.25

2.35

2.45

2.55

2.65

2.75

2.85

March

Billion Bushels 2019 United States Soybean Stocks

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation
2.82

2.87

3.14

2.86

2.99

2.85

2.62

2.81

3.28

2.92 2.98

1.59

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19

Billion Bushels

All Wheat Stocks

United States

Supply Sep Dec Mar Jun

USDA-NASS

3-29-19
USDA-NASS

3-29-19

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

1.45

1.47

1.49

1.51

1.53

1.55

1.57

1.59

1.61

1.63

1.65

March

Billion Bushels

2019 United States All Wheat Stocks

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation
228

245

273

227

236

220

249

236

263

217

248

104

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19

Million Hundredweight

Rough Rice Stocks

United States

Supply Dec Mar Jun Aug

USDA-NASS

3-29-19
USDA-NASS

3-29-19

Release Date Report Title

April 1 CAIR: Grain Crushings, Fats & Oils, and Cotton System

Crop Progress

April 9 Crop Production

April 11 2017 Census of Agriculture

April 18 Cattle on Feed

April 30 Agricultural Prices

Upcoming Reports
USDA-NASS

3-29-19

USDA NASS Data Users’ Meeting

Tuesday, April 23, 2019

University of Chicago – Gleacher Center

450 North Cityfront Plaza Drive

Chicago, IL 60611

312-464-8787
USDA-NASS

3-29-19
United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

202-720-2127

800-727-9540

nass@nass.usda.gov