Crop Production

Executive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

November 9, 2022
Data Sources

November 9, 2022

Operator Reported

Survey

Field Objective Yield

Survey Corn, Cotton, Soybeans

Remotely Sensed Time Series 250 Meter Focus Area Imagery Through

(Satellite) MODIS Satellite Data Corn Belt September 21

Sample Size = 3,930 October 25 - November 1

Ag Yield Sample Size = 6,147 October 29 - November 4
November 2022 Ag Yield Survey

Sample Sizes

November 9, 2022
United States Corn Progress

Percent Harvested

November 9, 2022

Percent

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30 11/6 11/13 11/20 11/27

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
November 2022 Corn

Acreage, Yield, and Production

November 9, 2022

United States

% Change from

Previous Estimate

% Change from

Previous Season

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

Iowa 12,900 N C 12,450 N C 202 ↓ 1.0 2,514,900 ↓ 1.0

Illinois 10,800 ↓ 1.8 10,550 ↓ 2.8 215 ↑ 6.4 2,268,250 ↑ 3.5

Nebraska 9,600 ↓ 3.0 9,300 ↓ 2.7 168 ↓ 13.4 1,562,400 ↓ 15.8

Minnesota 8,050 ↓ 4.2 7,550 ↓ 3.7 191 ↑ 7.9 1,442,050 ↑ 3.9

Indiana 5,200 ↓ 3.7 5,050 ↓ 4.2 191 ↓ 2.1 964,550 ↓ 6.1

Top 5 States - By Production

5.0

Planted Harvested Yield Production

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

N C

5.2 ↓ 2.5 ↓ 7.6

N C ↑ 0.2 ↑ 0.3

Planted Harvested Yield Production

88,608 80,844 172.3 13,929,921

↓ ↓

% ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY
100.7

138.6

113.5

127.1126.7

134.4133.8

136.9138.2

129.3

142.2

160.3

147.9149.1150.7

153.3

164.4

152.6

146.8

123.1

158.1

171.0

168.4

174.6

176.6176.4

167.5

171.4

176.7

172.3

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021

November 2022 Corn Yield

United States

November 9, 2022

Bushels per Acre
November 2022 Corn Yield

Bushels and Percent Change from Previous Month

November 9, 2022
November 2022 Corn Yield

Bushels and Percent Change from Previous Year

November 9, 2022
November 2022 Corn

NASA Terra MODIS Modeled Yield

November 9, 2022
November 2022 Corn Objective Yield

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab

November 9, 2022

Percent

5 1

9 6

8 0

9 6

2 9

9 4

6 8

9 6

6 9

9 4

5 0

9 4

4 1

1 3

4 9

1

2 5 2 2

3 8

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

October

November

October

November

October

November

October

November

October

November

October

November

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Mature Dent
November 2022 Corn Objective Yield

Ears per Acre and Yield for 10 State Region

November 9, 2022

Ears per Acre Bushels per Acre

155

160

165

170

175

180

185

190

195

27,000

27,500

28,000

28,500

29,000

29,500

September

October

November

Final

September

October

November

Final

September

October

November

Final

September

October

November

Final

September

October

November

Final

September

October

November

Final

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Ears per Acre Yield
13.8 14.2

13.6

15.1

14.6 14.3

13.6

14.1

15.1

13.9

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

November 2022 Corn Production

United States

November 9, 2022

Billion Bushels
2022 U.S. Corn Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

November 9, 2022

13.7

13.8

13.9

14.0

14.1

14.2

14.3

14.4

14.5

14.6

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels

Individual Industry Expectation NASS Estimate
United States Soybean Progress

Percent Harvested

November 9, 2022

Percent

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30 11/6 11/13 11/20 11/27

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
November 2022 Soybeans

Acreage, Yield, and Production

November 9, 2022

United States

% Change from

Previous Estimate

% Change from

Previous Season

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

Illinois 10,800 ↑ 1.9 10,700 ↑ 1.8 64.0 ↓ 1.5 684,800 ↑ 0.2

Iowa 10,100 N C 10,020 ↓ 0.1 59.0 ↓ 6.3 591,180 ↓ 6.4

Minnesota 7,450 ↓ 2.6 7,380 ↓ 2.6 50.0 ↑ 6.4 369,000 ↑ 3.6

Indiana 5,850 ↑ 3.5 5,830 ↑ 3.4 59.0 ↓ 1.7 343,970 ↑ 1.6

Missouri 6,100 ↑ 7.0 6,050 ↑ 7.1 48.0 ↓ 2.0 290,400 ↑ 4.9

Top 5 States - By Production

N C

↓ 2.9 ↓ 2.7

Planted Harvested Yield Production

↑ 0.3

% ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY

50.2 4,345,524

N C ↑ 0.8 ↑ 0.8

Planted Harvested Yield Production

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

↑ 0.4

87,455 86,631
32.6

41.4

35.3

37.6

38.9 38.9

36.6

38.1

39.6

38.0

33.9

42.2

43.1 42.9

41.7

39.7

44.0 43.5

42.0

40.0

44.0

47.5 48.0

51.9

49.3

50.6

47.4

51.0

51.7

50.2

29

34

39

44

49

54

1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021

November 2022 Soybean Yield

United States

November 9, 2022

Bushels per Acre
November 2022 Soybean Yield

Bushels and Percent Change from Previous Month

November 9, 2022
November 2022 Soybean Yield

Bushels and Percent Change from Previous Year

November 9, 2022
November 2022 Soybeans

NASA Terra MODIS Modeled Yield

November 9, 2022
November 2022 Soybean Objective Yield

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab

November 9, 2022

Percent

4 9

9 3

5 7

9 3

2 5

9 1

6 4

9 4

6 1

9 2

4 2

9 0

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

October

November

October

November

October

November

October

November

October

November

October

November

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Mature
November 2022 Soybean Objective Yield

Pods per 18 Square Feet and Yield for 11 State Region

November 9, 2022

Pods per 18 Square Feet Bushels per Acre

35

40

45

50

55

60

1,300

1,400

1,500

1,600

1,700

1,800

1,900

2,000

September

October

November

Final

September

October

November

Final

September

October

November

Final

September

October

November

Final

September

October

November

Final

September

October

November

Final

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Pods per 18 Square Feet Yield
November 2022 Soybean Production

United States

November 9, 2022

Billion Bushels

3.36

3.93 3.93

4.30 4.41 4.43

3.55

4.22

4.47 4.35

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
2022 U.S. Soybean Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

November 9, 2022

4.20

4.25

4.30

4.35

4.40

4.45

4.50

4.55

4.60

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels

Individual Industry Expectation NASS Estimate
United States Cotton Progress

Percent Harvested

November 9, 2022

Percent

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30 11/6 11/13 11/20 11/27 12/4 12/11

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
November 2022 Cotton

Acreage, Yield, and Production

November 9, 2022

United States

% Change from

Previous Estimate

% Change from

Previous Season

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Pounds/Acre) (1,000 Bales)

Texas 7,933 ↑ 24.6 2,530 ↓ 54.5 635.0 ↓ 4.7 3,345 ↓ 56.7

Georgia 1,290 ↑ 10.3 1,280 ↑ 10.3 938.0 ↑ 2.6 2,500 ↑ 13.1

Arkansas 640 ↑ 33.3 630 ↑ 32.6 1,166.0 ↓ 6.6 1,530 ↑ 23.9

Mississippi 530 ↑ 19.1 525 ↑ 22.1 1,006.0 ↑ 0.9 1,100 ↑ 23.2

North Carolina 470 ↑ 25.3 455 ↑ 24.7 935.0 ↓ 8.1 886 ↑ 14.6

Top 5 States - By Production

Planted Harvested Yield Production

% ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY

23.3 ↑ 4.4 ↓ 19.9

N C N C ↑ 1.5

↓

↑ 1.6

↑ 23.0

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Pounds/Acre) (1,000 Bales)

13,791 7,876 855 14,031

Planted Harvested Yield Production
606

708

537

705

673

625

607

632

705

665

730

855

831

814

879

813

776

812

790

892

822

838

766

867

905

882

831

853

819

855

480

530

580

630

680

730

780

830

880

930

980

1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021

November 2022 Cotton Yield

United States

November 9, 2022

Pounds per Acre
November 2022 Cotton Yield

Pounds and Percent Change from Previous Month

November 9, 2022
November 2022 Cotton Yield

Pounds and Percent Change from Previous Year

November 9, 2022
November 2022 Cotton Production

United States

November 9, 2022

Million Bales

12.9

16.3

12.9

17.2

20.9

18.4

19.9

14.6

17.5

14.0

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
2022 U.S. Cotton Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

November 9, 2022

12.0

12.5

13.0

13.5

14.0

14.5

15.0

15.5

August September October November December Final

Million Bales

Individual Industry Expectation NASS Estimate
November 9, 2022

November 2022 Field Crops

Acreage, Yield, and Production

Unit Unit

Peanuts Lb Lb

% Change from Previous Estimate N C N C N C N C

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 7.7 ↓ 8.4 ↓ 1.0 ↓ 9.3

Potatoes Cwt Cwt

% Change from Previous Estimate ↑ 0.2 ↑ 0.4 N/A N/A

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 2.3 ↓ 1.9 ↓ 1.4 ↓ 3.2

Rice Lb Cwt

% Change from Previous Estimate N C N C ↓ 0.7 ↓ 0.7

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 12.2 ↓ 12.5 ↓ 2.1 ↓ 14.3

Sorghum Bu Bu

% Change from Previous Estimate N C N C ↓ 3.6 ↓ 3.6

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 12.9 ↓ 15.6 ↓ 37.7 ↓ 47.4

Sugarbeets Ton Ton

% Change from Previous Estimate N C N C ↑ 1.0 ↑ 1.2

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 1.1 ↑ 3.7 ↓ 12.3 ↓ 8.9

1,173 1,149

1,459

Yield

(Units per Acre)

33,462

912 906

2,223 2,177

6,365 5,480

Harvested

(1,000 Acres)

Planted

(1,000 Acres)

438

7,549

43.0

29.1

235,770

Production

(1,000 Units)

5,771,000

396,889

164,349

1,411 4,090
November 9, 2022

November 2022 Field Crops

Acreage, Yield, and Production

Unit Unit

Sugarcane Ton Ton

% Change from Previous Estimate N/A ↑ 0.3 N C ↑ 0.4

% Change from Previous Season N/A ↓ 1.3 ↑ 5.7 ↑ 4.4

Planted Harvested Yield Production

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Units per Acre) (1,000 Units)

N/A 924 37.1 34,284
Selected Upcoming Reports

November 9, 2022

https://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/index.php

November 18 Cattle on Feed

Cotton Ginnings

Farm Labor

November 30 Agricultural Prices

Cotton System

Fats & Oils

Grain Crushings

Cotton Ginnings

Crop Production December 9

December 1

November 23
USDA Data Users’ Meeting

November 9, 2022

USDA Fall Virtual Data Users’ Meeting

November 15, 2022

12:00 p.m. – 3:30 p.m. ET

Click Here to Register
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November 9, 2022
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