Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

June 29, 2017

Executive Briefing

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service
Survey Overview

March Hogs and Pigs

Data Collection Period May 31 – June 16

Sample Size 7,547

Collection Methods Mail, Telephone, Internet, Face-to-Face Interview

Primary Data Items Total Inventory: by class, weight group, and quarter;

Sows Farrowing; Pig Crop; and Pigs per Litter

June 29, 2017
U.S. Hogs and Pigs Revisions

Survey Item

Initial

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Previous 

Revision

(1,000 head)

Current

Revision

(1,000 head)

Net 

Revision

(1,000 head)

Current 

Estimate

(1,000 head)

December 1, 2016 All Hogs 

and Pigs 71,500 No revision +25+0.03%

+25

+0.03% 71,525

Pig Crop 32,333 No revision +36

+0.1%

+36

+0.1% 32,369

March 1, 2017 All Hogs 

and Pigs 70,976 -55-0.1%

-55

-0.1% 70,921

June 29, 2017
U.S. Hogs and Pigs June 1

Item 2016 2017 % PY

1,000 head

All Hogs and Pigs 69,281 71,650 103

Breeding Hogs 5,979 6,069 102

Market Hogs 63,302 65,581 104

less than 50 lbs 20,356 21,017 103

50-119 lbs 18,198 18,831 103

120-179 lbs 13,291 13,856 104

180 lbs & over 11,456 11,877 104

Sows Farrowed 2,968 3,060 103

Pig Crop 31,097 32,264 104

number

Pigs per Litter 10.48 10.55 101

1,000 head

Jun-Aug Farrowings 3,057 3,064 100

Sep-Nov Farrowings 3,046 3,055 100

June 29, 2017
U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

2008 - 2017

June 29, 2017

70.9

61

63

65

67

69

71

73

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Million head

June 1 March 1

69.3

71.7
June 1, 2017 

Hogs and Pigs Inventory

Head (1,000) and Percent of Previous Year

June 29, 2017

Inventory Down Up No Change

Non-published States

3,090

100
Trade Expectations Compared

to NASS Estimates 

Percent of Previous Year

Inventory Items

NASS

Estimate

Trade

Average

Trade

Range

All Hogs and Pigs 103.4% 103.3% 102.8% – 104.0%

Breeding Hogs 101.5% 101.4% 101.0% – 102.0%

Market Hogs 103.6% 103.4% 103.0% – 104.0%

Mar – May Pig Crop 103.8% 103.0% 102.5% – 104.0%

Farrowing Intentions

Jun – Aug 100.3% 100.6% 99.6% – 102.0%

Sep – Nov 100.3% 100.4% 99.2% – 102.0%

June 29, 2017
59

61

63

65

67

69

71

73

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Million head

ASB First Estimate ASB Final Estimate Lower Trade Range Upper Trade Range

All Hogs and Pigs

First Estimate Versus Final Estimate

2008 - 2017

June 29, 2017
U.S. Quarterly Sows Farrowed

2008-2017

3.06

3.06

3.06

2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.2

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Million head

Mar-May Estimate Jun-Aug Intentions Sep-Nov Intentions

June 29, 2017
Breeding Herd Inventory

Disposition and Utilization

Year

Mar 1

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Slaughter

(1,000 head)

Additions

(1,000 head)

Jun 1

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Sow

Utilization

(Percent)

2008 6,200 1,023 954 6,131 49

2009 5,992 876 852 5,968 50

2010 5,760 847 875 5,788 50

2011 5,788 826 841 5,803 50

2012 5,820 813 855 5,862 51

2013 5,834 848 898 5,884 48

2014 5,851 775 779 5,855 48

2015 5,982 781 725 5,926 48

2016 5,980 794 793 5,979 50

2017 6,068 851 852 6,069 50

June 29, 2017
U.S. Quarterly Pigs per Litter

2008-2017

June 29, 2017

10.43

10.48 10.55

9.00

9.30

9.60

9.90

10.20

10.50

10.80

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Pigs per Litter

Mar-May Dec-Feb
U.S. Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation

March - May 2017

10.55

7.70

8.40

9.00

9.40

10.30

10.60

7.50

8.00

8.50

9.00

9.50

10.00

10.50

11.00

All 1-99 100-499 500-999 1,000-1,999 2,000-4,999 5,000+

Pigs per Litter

Size of Operation

June 29, 2017
Canadian Imports by Quarter

Feeder Pigs and Slaughter Hogs

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Thousand head

Feeder Slaughter

June 29, 2017
U.S. Prices Received by Farmers

for Hogs and Corn

June 29, 2017

$1.50

$2.50

$3.50

$4.50

$5.50

$6.50

$7.50

$8.50

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

$100

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Corn $/bu

Hogs $/cwt

Hogs Corn
Upcoming NASS Reports

Release Date Report Title

June 30 Acreage, Grain Stocks, Rice Stocks

July 5 Cotton System, Fats & Oils, Grain Crushings

July 12 Crop Production

July 20 Milk Production

July 21 Cattle, Cattle on Feed, Catfish Production

July 31 Agricultural Prices

June 29, 2017
All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

(202) 720-3570

(800) 727-9540

nass@nass.usda.gov

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

June 29, 2017