Crop Production

Executive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

November 9, 2023
Data Sources

November 9, 2023

Operator Reported

Survey

Field Objective Yield

Survey Corn, Cotton, Soybeans

Remotely Sensed Time Series 250 Meter Focus Area Imagery Through

(Satellite) MODIS Satellite Data Corn Belt September 29

Sample Size = 3,930 October 25 - November 1

Ag Yield Sample Size = 5,830 October 30 - November 6
November 2023 Ag Yield Survey

Sample Sizes

November 9, 2023
United States Corn Progress

Percent Harvested

November 9, 2023

Percent

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

9/17 9/24 10/01 10/08 10/15 10/22 10/29 11/05 11/12 11/19 11/26

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
November 2023 Corn

Acreage, Yield, and Production

November 9, 2023

United States

% Change from

Previous Estimate

% Change from

Previous Season

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

Iowa 13,100 ↑ 1.6 12,600 ↑ 2.0 200 N C 2,520,000 ↑ 2.0

Illinois 11,200 ↑ 3.7 11,000 ↑ 3.8 203 ↓ 5.1 2,233,000 ↓ 1.6

Nebraska 9,950 ↑ 3.6 9,590 ↑ 8.7 173 ↑ 4.8 1,659,070 ↑ 14.0

Minnesota 8,600 ↑ 7.5 8,200 ↑ 9.5 181 ↓ 7.2 1,484,200 ↑ 1.6

Indiana 5,500 ↑ 4.8 5,380 ↑ 4.9 200 ↑ 5.3 1,076,000 ↑ 10.4

1.1

↑ 7.1 ↑

Planted Harvested Yield Production

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

N C

10.1 ↑ 0.9 ↑ 11.1

N C ↑ 1.1 ↑

Planted Harvested Yield Production

94,868 87,096 174.9 15,234,285

Top 5 States - By Production

% ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY
138.6

113.5

127.1126.7

134.4133.8

136.9138.2

129.3

142.2

160.3

147.9149.1150.7

153.3

164.4

152.6

146.8

123.1

158.1

171.0

168.4

174.6

176.6176.4

167.5

171.4

176.7

173.4174.9

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022

November 2023 Corn Yield

United States

November 9, 2023

Bushels per Acre
November 2023 Corn Yield

Bushels and Percent Change from Previous Month

November 9, 2023
November 2023 Corn Yield

Bushels and Percent Change from Previous Year

November 9, 2023
November 2023 Corn

NASA Terra MODIS Modeled Yield

November 9, 2023
November 2023 Corn Objective Yield

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab

November 9, 2023

Percent

8 0

9 6

2 9

9 4

6 8

9 6

6 9

9 4

5 0

9 4

6 0

9 5

1 3

4 9

1

2 5 2 2

3 8

2 6

1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

October

November

October

November

October

November

October

November

October

November

October

November

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Mature Dent
November 2023 Corn Objective Yield

Ears per Acre and Yield for 10 State Region

November 9, 2023

Ears per Acre Bushels per Acre

155

160

165

170

175

180

185

190

195

27,000

27,500

28,000

28,500

29,000

29,500

30,000

September

October

November

Final

September

October

November

Final

September

October

November

Final

September

October

November

Final

September

October

November

Final

September

October

November

Final

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Ears per Acre Yield
14.2

13.6

15.1

14.6 14.3

13.6

14.1

15.1

13.7

15.2

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

November 2023 Corn Production

United States

November 9, 2023

Billion Bushels
2023 U.S. Corn Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

November 9, 2023

14.8

14.9

15.0

15.1

15.2

15.3

15.4

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels

Individual Industry Expectation NASS Estimate
United States Soybean Progress

Percent Harvested

November 9, 2023

Percent

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

9/17 9/24 10/01 10/08 10/15 10/22 10/29 11/05 11/12 11/19 11/26

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
November 2023 Soybeans

Acreage, Yield, and Production

November 9, 2023

United States

% Change from

Previous Estimate

% Change from

Previous Season

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

Illinois 10,350 ↓ 4.2 10,300 ↓ 4.2 61.0 ↓ 3.2 628,300 ↓ 7.2

Iowa 9,950 ↓ 1.5 9,870 ↓ 1.6 58.0 ↓ 0.9 572,460 ↓ 2.4

Minnesota 7,350 ↓ 1.3 7,280 ↓ 1.5 48.0 ↓ 4.0 349,440 ↓ 5.4

Indiana 5,500 ↓ 6.0 5,480 ↓ 6.0 61.0 ↑ 6.1 334,280 ↓ 0.3

Ohio 4,750 ↓ 6.9 4,730 ↓ 6.9 58.0 ↑ 4.5 274,340 ↓ 2.7

↑ 0.6 ↓ 3.3

Planted Harvested Yield Production

↓ 4.4

% ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY

N C 0.6

82,791 49.9 4,129,449

N C ↑ 0.6 ↑

Planted Harvested Yield Production

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

↓ 3.9

83,600

Top 5 States - By Production
41.4

35.3

37.6

38.9 38.9

36.6

38.1

39.6

38.0

33.9

42.2

43.1 42.9

41.7

39.7

44.0 43.5

42.0

40.0

44.0

47.5 48.0

51.9

49.3

50.6

47.4

51.0

51.7

49.6 49.9

29

34

39

44

49

54

1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022

November 2023 Soybean Yield

United States

November 9, 2023

Bushels per Acre
November 2023 Soybean Yield

Bushels and Percent Change from Previous Month

November 9, 2023
November 2023 Soybean Yield

Bushels and Percent Change from Previous Year

November 9, 2023
November 2023 Soybeans

NASA Terra MODIS Modeled Yield

November 9, 2023
November 2023 Soybean Objective Yield

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab

November 9, 2023

Percent

5 7

9 3

2 5

9 1

6 4

9 4

6 1

9 2

4 2

9 0

5 1

9 1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

October

November

October

November

October

November

October

November

October

November

October

November

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Mature
November 2023 Soybean Objective Yield

Pods per 18 Square Feet and Yield for 11 State Region

November 9, 2023

Pods per 18 Square Feet Bushels per Acre

35

40

45

50

55

60

1,300

1,400

1,500

1,600

1,700

1,800

1,900

2,000

September

October

November

Final

September

October

November

Final

September

October

November

Final

September

October

November

Final

September

October

November

Final

September

October

November

Final

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Pods per 18 Square Feet Yield
November 2023 Soybean Production

United States

November 9, 2023

Billion Bushels

3.93 3.93

4.30 4.41 4.43

3.55

4.22

4.47

4.27 4.13

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
2023 U.S. Soybean Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

November 9, 2023

4.00

4.05

4.10

4.15

4.20

4.25

4.30

4.35

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels

Individual Industry Expectation NASS Estimate
United States Cotton Progress

Percent Harvested

November 9, 2023

Percent

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

9/10 9/17 9/24 10/01 10/08 10/15 10/22 10/29 11/05 11/12 11/19 11/26

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
November 2023 Cotton

Acreage, Yield, and Production

November 9, 2023

United States

% Change from

Previous Estimate

% Change from

Previous Season

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Pounds/Acre) (1,000 Bales)

Texas 5,579 ↓ 29.2 3,575 ↑ 76.2 489.0 ↓ 33.4 3,639 ↑ 17.2

Georgia 1,110 ↓ 14.0 1,100 ↓ 13.4 1,025.0 ↑ 2.3 2,350 ↓ 11.3

Arkansas 510 ↓ 20.3 505 ↓ 19.8 1,236.0 ↑ 4.8 1,300 ↓ 16.0

Mississippi 400 ↓ 24.5 395 ↓ 24.8 1,033.0 ↓ 4.7 850 ↓ 28.3

Missouri 335 ↓ 6.9 330 ↓ 2.9 1,229.0 ↓ 0.9 845 ↓ 3.8

Planted Harvested Yield Production

% ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY

9.8 ↓ 17.6 ↓ 9.5

N C N C ↑ 2.1

↑

↑ 2.1

↓ 25.6

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Pounds/Acre) (1,000 Bales)

10,233 8,021 783 13,090

Planted Harvested Yield Production

Top 5 States - By Production
708

537

705

673

625

607

632

705

665

730

855

831

814

879

813

776

812

790

892

822

838

766

867

905

882

831

853

819

950

783

480

530

580

630

680

730

780

830

880

930

980

1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022

November 2023 Cotton Yield

United States

November 9, 2023

Pounds per Acre
November 2023 Cotton Yield

Pounds and Percent Change from Previous Month

November 9, 2023
November 2023 Cotton Yield

Pounds and Percent Change from Previous Year

November 9, 2023
November 2023 Cotton Production

United States

November 9, 2023

Million Bales

16.3

12.9

17.2

20.9

18.4

19.9

14.6

17.5

14.5

13.1

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
2023 U.S. Cotton Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

November 9, 2023

12.0

12.5

13.0

13.5

14.0

14.5

15.0

15.5

16.0

16.5

August September October November December Final

Million Bales

Individual Industry Expectation NASS Estimate
November 9, 2023

November 2023 Field Crops

Acreage, Yield, and Production

Unit Unit

Peanuts Lb Lb

% Change from Previous Estimate N C N C ↓ 4.2 ↓ 4.2

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 13.8 ↑ 15.7 ↓ 6.7 ↑ 7.9

Potatoes Cwt Cwt

% Change from Previous Estimate ↑ 1.6 ↑ 1.9 N/A N/A

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 5.2 ↑ 5.3 ↑ 3.2 ↑ 8.9

Rice Lb Cwt

% Change from Previous Estimate N C N C ↓ 0.4 ↓ 0.4

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 30.4 ↑ 31.2 ↑ 4.4 ↑ 37.0

Sorghum Bu Bu

% Change from Previous Estimate N C N C ↓ 10.5 ↓ 10.5

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 13.5 ↑ 37.0 ↑ 25.1 ↑ 71.4

Sugarbeets Ton Ton

% Change from Previous Estimate N C N C ↑ 1.9 ↑ 2.2

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 2.3 ↓ 1.6 ↑ 10.8 ↑ 9.0

1,132 1,119

1,650

Yield

(Units per Acre)

35,508

964 960

2,897 2,850

7,180 6,260

Harvested

(1,000 Acres)

Planted

(1,000 Acres)

452

7,707

51.4

31.7

321,820

Production

(1,000 Units)

5,983,160

434,224

219,663

1,600 3,740
November 9, 2023

November 2023 Field Crops

Acreage, Yield, and Production

Unit Unit

Sugarcane Ton Ton

% Change from Previous Estimate N/A ↓ 0.5 ↑ 1.1 ↑ 0.4

% Change from Previous Season N/A ↓ 0.8 ↓ 4.6 ↓ 5.3

Planted Harvested Yield Production

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Units per Acre) (1,000 Units)

N/A 923 35.6 32,829
Selected Upcoming Reports

November 9, 2023

https://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/index.php

November 17 Cattle on Feed

Cotton Ginnings

Farm Labor

November 30 Agricultural Prices

Cotton System

Fats & Oils

Grain Crushings

Cotton Ginnings

Crop Production

December 1

December 8

November 22
#StatChat

November 9, 2023
All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

(202) 720-2127

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