12:00 P.M.

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

August Crop Production

Executive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

August 10, 2018
USDA-NASS

8-10-18

Field Crops Fruit and Nuts Specialty Crops

Corn Peaches Dry Beans

Soybeans Apples Tobacco

Cotton Pears Sugarbeets

Wheat Grapes Sugarcane

Oats Cranberries Hops

Barley Summer Potatoes

Sorghum

Alfalfa & Other Hay

Rice

Peanuts

Contents
USDA-NASS

8-10-18

Ag Yield Objective Yield

Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

Crops Included Field Crops Corn, Soybeans, Cotton, 

and Winter Wheat

Sample Size 21,646 4,544

Collection Period July 30 – Aug 6 July 25 – Aug 1

Survey Overview
USDA-NASS

8-10-18

August 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

Corn

Planted Mil Ac 89.1 NC -1.2

Harvested Mil Ac 81.8 NC -1.1

Yield Bu/Ac 178.4 NA +1.0

Production Bil Bu 14.6 NA -0.1
9.76 9.43 9.92 9.50

8.97

10.1

11.8

11.1

10.5

13.0

12.0

13.1

12.4 12.3

10.8

13.8

14.2 13.6

15.1

14.6 14.6

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Billion Bushels

Corn for Grain Production

United States

USDA-NASS

8-10-18
178.4

80.0

90.0

100.0

110.0

120.0

130.0

140.0

150.0

160.0

170.0

180.0

190.0

1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Bushels per Acre

Corn for Grain Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

8-10-18
USDA-NASS

8-10-18
2004

2005 2006 2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017 Aug-18

0.260

0.270

0.280

0.290

0.300

0.310

0.320

0.330

0.340

0.350

0.360

0.370

25,000 25,500 26,000 26,500 27,000 27,500 28,000 28,500 29,000 29,500

Lbs/Ear

Ears Per Acre

Corn Objective Yield Region

Ears Per Acre vs. Implied Ear Weight

Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears

USDA-NASS

8-10-18
USDA-NASS

8-10-18
USDA-NASS

8-10-18

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

14.0

14.1

14.2

14.3

14.4

14.5

14.6

14.7

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels

2018 United States Corn Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

8-10-18

August 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

Soybeans

Planted Mil Ac 89.6 NC -0.6

Harvested Mil Ac 88.9 NC -0.7

Yield Bu/Ac 51.6 NA +5.1

Production Bil Bu 4.59 NA +4.4
2.74 2.65

2.76

2.89

2.76

2.45

3.12 3.07

3.20

2.68

2.97

3.36 3.33

3.10 3.04

3.36

3.93 3.93

4.30

4.39

4.59

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Billion Bushels

Soybean Production

United States

USDA-NASS

8-10-18
51.6

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

55.0

1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Bushels per Acre

Soybean Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

8-10-18
USDA-NASS

8-10-18
USDA-NASS

8-10-18

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

4.25

4.30

4.35

4.40

4.45

4.50

4.55

4.60

4.65

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels

2018 United States Soybean Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

8-10-18

August 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

All Cotton

Planted Mil Ac 13.5 NC +7.2

Harvested Mil Ac 10.1 NA -8.7

Yield Lb/Ac 911 NA +0.7

Production Mil Bls 19.2 NA -8.1
13.5

10.1

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Million Acres

All Cotton Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

8-10-18
13.9

17.0 17.2

20.3

17.2

18.3

23.3 23.9

21.6

19.2

12.8

12.2

18.1

15.6

17.3

12.9

16.3

12.9

17.2

20.9

19.2

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Million Bales

All Cotton Production

United States

USDA-NASS

8-10-18
911

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

850

900

950

1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Pounds per Acre

All Cotton Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

8-10-18
USDA-NASS

8-10-18
USDA-NASS

8-10-18

August 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

Winter Wheat

Harvested Mil Ac 24.8 -0.1 -1.9

Yield Bu/Ac 47.9 -0.2 -4.6

Production Bil Bu 1.19 -0.3 -6.3

Other Spring Wheat

Harvested Mil Ac 12.9 NC +27.0

Yield Bu/Ac 47.6 NC +16.1

Production Mil Bu 614 +<0.1 +47.5

Durum Wheat

Harvested Mil Ac 1.84 NC -13.8

Yield Bu/Ac 39.9 -2.0 +55.3

Production Mil Bu 73.4 -1.9 +33.7

All Wheat

Production Bil Bu 1.88 -0.2 +7.8
USDA-NASS

8-10-18
2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014 2015

2016

2017

Jun-18

Aug-18 Jul-18

0.530

0.540

0.550

0.560

0.570

0.580

0.590

0.600

0.610

0.620

0.630

0.640

0.650

0.660

0.670

0.680

0.690

0.700

38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49

Grams/Head

Heads Per Square Foot

Wheat Objective Yield Region

Heads Per Square Foot vs. Implied Head Weight

Implied Head Weight = Published Yield / (Heads*1.6006) USDA-NASS

8-10-18
USDA-NASS

8-10-18
USDA-NASS

8-10-18

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

1.83

1.84

1.85

1.86

1.87

1.88

1.89

1.90

1.91

1.92

1.93

July August Final

Billion Bushels

2018 United States All Wheat Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

8-10-18

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

1.17

1.19

1.21

1.23

1.25

1.27

1.29

1.31

1.33

1.35

May June July August Final

Billion Bushels

2018 United States Winter Wheat Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

8-10-18

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

560

570

580

590

600

610

620

630

640

650

July August Final

Million Bushels

2018 United States Other Spring Wheat Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

8-10-18

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

60.0

65.0

70.0

75.0

80.0

85.0

July August Final

Million Bushels 2018 United States Durum Wheat Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

8-10-18

August 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

Oats Mil Bu 65.7 -1.1 +33.0

Barley Mil Bu 156 +1.0 +10.0

Sorghum Mil Bu 375 NA +3.2

Alfalfa Hay Mil Tons 57.8 NA +4.9

Other Hay Mil Tons 70.7 NA -7.4

Rice Mil Cwt 211 NA +18.3

Peanuts Bil Lbs 6.09 NA -15.8
USDA-NASS

8-10-18

August 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

All Tobacco Mil Lbs 647 NA -8.9

Dry Beans Mil Cwt 35.9 NA +0.3

Sugarbeets Mil Tons 35.3 NA -0.2

Sugarcane Mil Tons 32.6 NA -2.0

Summer Potatoes Mil Cwt 19.8 NA -8.9
USDA-NASS

8-10-18

August 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season 

Peaches Thou Tons 732 NA +5.1

Apples Bil Lbs 11.5 NA +0.4

Pears Thou Tons 739 NA +0.2

Grapes Mil Tons 7.66 NA +4.0

Hops Mil Lbs 106 NA +1.3

Cranberries Mil Bbls 8.63 NA +3.1
USDA-NASS

8-10-18

Release Date Report Title

August 24 Cattle on Feed

Rice Stocks

August 28 Citrus Fruits

August 29 Agricultural Prices

September 4 CAIR: Cotton, Fats & Oils, and Grain Crushings

September 12 Cotton Ginnings

Crop Production

Upcoming Reports
USDA-NASS

8-10-18
United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

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