HOGS & PIGS INVENTORY

Executive Briefing

June 1, 2012

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

June 29, 2012
June Hogs and Pigs

Data Collection Period: May 31 - June 19

Sample Size 8,026

Collection Methods

Phone, mail, internet, personal interview

Quarterly Data Items

Total Inventory, by class, and weight group

Sows farrowing, pig crop, and pigs per litter

June 29, 2012
U.S. Hogs & Pigs Revisions

Quarter Item

(000) Hd % 

Revision

Change Estimate

December 1, 2011

All Hogs & Pigs 0 66,361 0.0%

Pig Crop +351 29,365 +1.2%

March 1, 2012 All Hogs & Pigs +210 65,082 +0.3%

June 29, 2012
U.S. Hogs & Pigs Inventory

June 1, 2012

Inventory Items (000) Hd % PY

All Hogs & Pigs 65,829 101%

Breeding Hogs 5,862 101%

Market Hogs 59,967 101%

Mar – May Pig Crop 29,441 101%

Sows Farrowing 2,919 100%

Litter Rate Number % PY

Mar – May 2012 10.09 101%

Farrowing Intentions (000) Hd % PY

Jun – Aug 2012 2,901 99%

Sep – Nov 2012 2,890 99%

June 29, 2012
5 6

5 8

6 0

6 2

6 4

6 6

6 8

7 0

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Year

U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory

June 1, 2012

65.8 

June 29, 2012
NASS Estimates Compared to Trade Expectations

Percent of Previous Year

Inventory Items NASS

Estimate

Trade

Average

Trade

Range

All Hogs & Pigs 100.8% 101.3% 100.7% – 102.2%

Breeding Hogs 101.0% 100.7% 100.0% – 101.3%

Market Hogs 100.8% 101.4% 100.6% – 102.3%

Mar – May Pig Crop 100.6% 100.9% 100.5% – 101.3%

Farrowing Intentions

Jun – Aug 2012 99.1% 99.2% 98.2% – 100.8%

Sep – Nov 2012 98.7% 99.7% 98.7% – 101.2%

June 29, 2012
58 

59 

60 

61 

62 

63 

64 

65 

66 

67 

68 

69 

70 

Dec 

0 5

Jun 

0 6

Dec 

0 6

Jun 

0 7

Dec 

0 7

Jun 

0 8

Dec 

0 8

Jun 

0 9

Dec 

0 9

Jun 

1 0

Dec 

1 0

Jun 

11

Dec 

11

Jun 

1 2

Million Head

All Hogs and Pigs

Board vs Trade Expectations

ASB Final Est Trade ASB First Est

June 29, 2012
0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

M-M 

0 8

J-A 

0 8

S-N 

0 8

D-F 

0 9

M-M 

0 9

J-A 

0 9

S-N 

0 9

D-F 

1 0

M-M 

1 0

J-A 

1 0

S-N 

1 0

D-F 

11

M-M 

11

J-A 

11

S-N 

11

D-F 

1 2

M-M 

1 2

Feeder Pigs Slaughter

Canadian Imports by Quarter

Feeder Pigs and Slaughter Hogs

June 29, 2012
2.6

2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.2

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

U.S. Quarterly Sows Farrowed 

March - May

ASB Estimate Jun-Aug Intentions Sep-Nov Intentions Million Head

June 29, 2012
Breeding Herd Inventory

Disposition & Utilization

Year

Mar. 1

Estimate Slaughter Additions Jun. 1Estimate

Sow

Utilization

(000) Hd (000) Hd (000) Hd (000) Hd Percent

2003 6,037 864 863 6,036 48%

2004 5,971 906 882 5,947 48%

2005 5,952 854 890 5,988 48%

2006 6,045 889 924 6,080 48%

2007 6,149 955 975 6,169 49%

2008 6,200 1,023 954 6,131 49%

2009 5,992 875 851 5,968 50%

2010 5,760 847 875 5,788 51%

2011 5,788 827 842 5,803 50%

2012 5,820 813 855 5,862 50%

June 29, 2012
8.60

8.80

9.00

9.20

9.40

9.60

9.80

10.00

10.20

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Year

U.S. Quarterly Pigs per Litter 

March - May

10.09

June 29, 2012
10.09

7.50

8.40

9.00

9.40

10.00

10.20

7.00

7.50

8.00

8.50

9.00

9.50

10.00

10.50

All 1-99 100-499 500-999 1000-1999 2000-4999 5000+

Size of Operation

U.S. Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation

March-May 2012

Pigs Per Litter

June 29, 2012
$1.00

$2.00

$3.00

$4.00

$5.00

$6.00

$7.00

$8.00

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 6 0 7 0 8 0 9 1 0 11 1 2

Year

U.S. Prices Received by Farmers 

for Hogs & Corn 

Hogs Corn Hogs $/cwt

Corn $/bu

June 29, 2012
Upcoming Reports

July 11 Crop Production

July 19 Milk Production

July 20 Cattle, Cattle on Feed

Cold Storage

July 31 Agricultural Prices

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

June 29, 2012
All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions Call or Email

202-720-3570

800-727-9540

nass@nass.usda.gov

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

June 29, 2012