Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

March 28, 2019

Executive Briefing

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service
Survey Overview

March Hogs and Pigs

Data Collection Period February 28 – March 15

Sample Size 5,154

Collection Methods Mail, Telephone, Internet, Face-to-Face Interview

Primary Data Items Total Inventory: by class, weight group;

Sows Farrowing; Pig Crop; and Pigs per Litter

March 28, 2019
U.S. Hogs and Pigs Revisions

Survey Item

Initial

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Previous 

Revisions

(1,000 head)

Current

Revision

(1,000 head)

Net 

Revision

(1,000 head)

Current 

Estimate

(1,000 head)

September 1, 2018 All Hogs 

and Pigs 75,486 -545-0.7%

+195

+0.3%

-350

-0.5% 75,136

Pig Crop 34,159 -4

-0.01%

+165

+0.5%

+161

+0.5% 34,320

March 28, 2019
U.S. Hogs and Pigs March 1

March 28, 2019

Item 2018 2019 % PY

1,000 head

All Hogs and Pigs 72,748 74,296 102

Breeding Hogs 6,210 6,349 102

Market Hogs 66,538 67,948 102

less than 50 lbs 20,942 21,456 102

50-119 lbs 18,212 18,639 102

120-179 lbs 14,996 15,268 102

180 lbs & over 12,387 12,585 102

Sows Farrowed 3,034 3,084 102

Pig Crop 32,101 32,999 103

number

Pigs per Litter 10.58 10.70 101

1,000 head

Mar-May Farrowings 3,100 3,119 101

Jun-Aug Farrowings 3,200 3,191 100
U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

2010 - 2019

March 28, 2019

74.6

61

63

65

67

69

71

73

75

77

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Million head

March 1 December 1

72.7

74.3
March 1, 2019 

Hogs and Pigs Inventory

Head (1,000) and Percent of Previous Year

March 28, 2019

Inventory Up Down No Change

Other States

3,086

98

Top Five States Inv.

State Head (1,000)

Iowa 23,500

North Carolina 8,900

Minnesota 8,700

Illinois 5,200

Indiana 4,150
Trade Expectations Compared

to NASS Estimates 

Percent of Previous Year

March 28, 2019

101.1

101.6

102.8

102.1

101.9

102.0

99.7

100.6

102.8

102.1

102.2

102.1

99.0 99.5 100.0 100.5 101.0 101.5 102.0 102.5 103.0 103.5

Jun-Aug Farrowings

Mar-May Farrowings

Dec-Feb Pig Crop

Market Hogs

Breeding Hogs

All Hogs and Pigs

Min Trade Range Trade Average NASS
59

61

63

65

67

69

71

73

75

77

79

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Million head

ASB First Estimate ASB Final Estimate Lower Trade Range Upper Trade Range

All Hogs and Pigs

First Estimate Versus Final Estimate

2010 - 2019

March 28, 2019
U.S. Quarterly Sows Farrowed

2010 - 2019

3.08

3.12

3.19

2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.2

3.3

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Million head

Dec-Feb Estimates Mar-May Intentions Jun-Aug Intentions

March 28, 2019
Breeding Herd Inventory

Disposition and Utilization

March 28, 2019

Year

Dec 1

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Slaughter

(1,000 head)

Additions

(1,000 head)

Mar 1

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Sow

Utilization

(Percent)

2010 5,850 846 756 5,760 49

2011 5,778 792 802 5,788 49

2012 5,803 823 840 5,820 48

2013 5,819 805 822 5,836 48

2014 5,757 779 873 5,851 48

2015 5,939 792 835 5,982 49

2016 6,002 782 760 5,980 49

2017 6,110 802 790 6,098 49

2018 6,179 834 865 6,210 49

2019 6,326 829 852 6,349 49
U.S. Quarterly Pigs per Litter

2010 - 2019

March 28, 2019

10.76

10.58

10.70

9.40

9.70

10.00

10.30

10.60

10.90

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Pigs per Litter

Dec-Feb Sep-Nov
Canadian Imports by Quarter

Feeder Pigs and Slaughter Hogs

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Thousand head

Feeder Slaughter

March 28, 2019
U.S. Prices Received by Farmers

for Hogs and Corn

March 28, 2019

$1.50

$2.50

$3.50

$4.50

$5.50

$6.50

$7.50

$8.50

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

$100

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Corn $/bu

Hogs $/cwt

Hogs Corn
Upcoming NASS Reports

Release Date Report Title

March 29 Prospective Plantings

April 9 Crop Production

April 11 2017 Census of Agriculture

April 18 Cattle on Feed

Farms and Land in Farms

April 22 Cold Storage

Milk Production 

April 24 Livestock Slaughter Annual

April 30 Agricultural Prices

March 28, 2019
March 28, 2019
All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

(202) 720-3570

(800) 727-9540

nass@nass.usda.gov

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

March 28, 2019