Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

June 28, 2018

Executive Briefing

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service
Survey Overview

June Hogs and Pigs

Data Collection Period May 31 – June 16

Sample Size 6,513

Collection Methods Mail, Telephone, Internet, Face-to-Face Interview

Primary Data Items Total Inventory: by class, weight group;

Sows Farrowing; Pig Crop; and Pigs per Litter

June 28, 2018
U.S. Hogs and Pigs Revisions

Survey Item

Initial

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Previous 

Revision

(1,000 head)

Current

Revision

(1,000 head)

Net 

Revision

(1,000 head)

Current 

Estimate

(1,000 head)

December 1, 2017 All Hogs 

and Pigs 73,230 +185+0.3%

+280

+0.4%

+465

+0.6% 73,695

Pig Crop 33,399 No revision +225

+0.7%

+225

+0.7% 33,624

March 1, 2018 All Hogs 

and Pigs 72,908 No revision +30+0.04%

+30

+0.04% 72,938

June 28, 2018
U.S. Hogs and Pigs June 1

Item 2017 2018 % PY

1,000 head

All Hogs and Pigs 71,010 73,451 103

Breeding Hogs 6,109 6,320 103

Market Hogs 64,901 67,131 103

less than 50 lbs 20,647 21,387 104

50-119 lbs 18,741 19,388 103

120-179 lbs 13,646 14,198 104

180 lbs & over 11,867 12,157 102

Sows Farrowed 3,014 3,121 104

Pig Crop 31,790 33,167 104

number

Pigs per Litter 10.55 10.63 101

1,000 head

Jun-Aug Farrowings 3,121 3,170 102

Sep-Nov Farrowings 3,130 3,180 102

June 28, 2018
U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

2009 - 2018

June 28, 2018

72.9

61

63

65

67

69

71

73

75

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Million head

June 1 March 1

71.0

73.5
June 1, 2018 

Hogs and Pigs Inventory

Head (1,000) and Percent of Previous Year

June 28, 2018

Inventory Down Up No Change

Non-published States

3,131

101
Trade Expectations Compared

to NASS Estimates 

Percent of Previous Year

Inventory Items

NASS

Estimate

Trade

Average

Trade

Range

All Hogs and Pigs 103.4% 103.0% 102.6% – 103.4%

Breeding Hogs 103.4% 101.7% 101.0% – 102.1%

Market Hogs 103.4% 103.1% 102.8% – 103.5%

Mar – May Pig Crop 104.3% 103.4% 103.0% – 104.3%

Farrowing Intentions

Jun – Aug 101.6% 101.3% 100.3% – 101.8%

Sep – Nov 101.6% 101.0% 100.3% – 101.8%

June 28, 2018
59

61

63

65

67

69

71

73

75

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Million head

ASB First Estimate ASB Final Estimate Lower Trade Range Upper Trade Range

All Hogs and Pigs

First Estimate Versus Final Estimate

2009 - 2018

June 28, 2018
U.S. Quarterly Sows Farrowed

2009-2018

3.18

3.17

3.12

2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.2

3.3

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Million head

Mar-May Estimate Jun-Aug Intentions Sep-Nov Intentions

June 28, 2018
Breeding Herd Inventory

Disposition and Utilization

Year

Mar 1

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Slaughter

(1,000 head)

Additions

(1,000 head)

Jun 1

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Sow

Utilization

(Percent)

2009 5,992 876 852 5,968 50

2010 5,760 847 875 5,788 50

2011 5,788 826 841 5,803 50

2012 5,820 813 855 5,862 51

2013 5,834 848 898 5,884 48

2014 5,851 775 779 5,855 48

2015 5,982 781 725 5,926 48

2016 5,980 794 793 5,979 50

2017 6,098 851 862 6,109 49

2018 6,210 855 965 6,320 50

June 28, 2018
U.S. Quarterly Pigs per Litter

2009-2018

June 28, 2018

10.58

10.55

10.63

9.30

9.60

9.90

10.20

10.50

10.80

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Pigs per Litter

Mar-May Dec-Feb
Canadian Imports by Quarter

Feeder Pigs and Slaughter Hogs

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Thousand head

Feeder Slaughter

June 28, 2018
U.S. Prices Received by Farmers

for Hogs and Corn

June 28, 2018

$1.50

$2.50

$3.50

$4.50

$5.50

$6.50

$7.50

$8.50

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

$100

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Corn $/bu

Hogs $/cwt

Hogs Corn
Upcoming NASS Reports

Release Date Report Title

June 29 Acreage, Grain Stocks, Rice Stocks

July 2 Cotton System, Fats & Oils, Grain Crushings

July 12 Crop Production

July 20 Cattle

Cattle on Feed

Milk Production

Catfish Production

Mink

July 30 Agricultural Prices

June 28, 2018
All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

(202) 720-3570

(800) 727-9540

nass@nass.usda.gov

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

June 28, 2018