12:00 P.M.

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

Crop Production - Annual

Grain Stocks

Rice Stocks

Cotton Ginnings

Winter Wheat and Canola Seedings

January Crop Production

Executive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

January 10, 2020
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

Field Crops Stocks Fruit & Nuts Specialty Crops

Corn Corn Citrus Potatoes

Soybeans Soybeans Peppermint Oil

All Cotton Sorghum Spearmint Oil

Sorghum Rice Hops

Rice Hay

Hay & Forage All Wheat

Peanuts Barley

Proso Millet Oats

Minor Oilseeds

Sugarcane

Sugarbeets

Tobacco

Pulse Crops

Winter Wheat

Contents
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

December Ag Survey Off-Farm Grain Stocks

Survey Type Farmer Reported Off-Farm Grain Stock Facilities

Collection Method Mail, Phone, Internet, 

Personal Interview 

Mail, Phone, Internet, Personal 

Interview

Crops Included Field Crops

Corn, Soybeans, All Wheat, 

Durum Wheat, Barley, Oats,

Sorghum, Pulse Crops

States All except HI All except AK, HI, and NV

Sample Size 78,637 ~8,400

Collection Period Nov 29 – Dec 17 Nov 29 – Dec 18

Survey Overview
Principal Crops Planted Acreage

United States

USDA-NASS

1-10-20

Year Principal Crops Change From

Previous Year

Million Acres

2010 315.4 -3.6

2011 314.3 -1.1

2012 324.3 +10.0

2013 324.9 +0.6

2014 326.7 +1.7

2015 319.1 -7.6

2016 319.0 -0.1

2017 318.3 -0.6

2018 319.3 +1.0

2019 302.6 -16.7
303

285

280

290

300

310

320

330

340

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million Acres

Principal Crops

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

1-10-20
USDA-NASS

1-10-20
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

Percent of Acres Remaining 

To Be Harvested

Crop 2009 2016 2017 2018 2019

Corn 9.9 0.5 1.1 2.5 8.0

Soybeans 3.0 0.2 0.5 3.4 2.0

Sorghum 7.0 0.4 0.3 4.0 0.9
State Crop(s)

Michigan Corn, Soybeans

Minnesota Corn

North Dakota Corn, Soybeans

South Dakota Corn

Wisconsin Corn, Soybeans

2019 December APS Reinterview States

USDA-NASS

1-10-20
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

2019 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit January Previous Previous

2020 Forecast Season 

Corn

Planted Mil Ac 89.7 -0.3 +0.9

Harvested Mil Ac 81.5 -0.4 +0.3

Yield Bu/Ac 168.0 +0.6 -4.8

Production Bil Bu 13.7 +0.2 -4.5

Stocks Bil Bu 11.4 NA -4.6
168.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

110.0

120.0

130.0

140.0

150.0

160.0

170.0

180.0

190.0

1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Bushels per Acre

Corn for Grain Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

1-10-20
USDA-NASS

1-10-20
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

12.7

12.9

13.1

13.3

13.5

13.7

13.9

14.1

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels

2019 United States Corn Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
14.7

14.1

13.4

11.7

14.7

15.4 15.3

16.9 16.9

16.5

15.9

11.4

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20

Billion Bushels

Corn Stocks

United States

Supply Dec Mar Jun Sep

USDA-NASS

1-10-20
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

11.20

11.30

11.40

11.50

11.60

11.70

December

Billion Bushels

2019 United States Corn Stocks

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Estimates Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

Previous

Estimates

Jan 10

Estimates Change

Million Bushels

Sept 1, 2018 Stocks 2,140 2,140 NC

2018 Production 14,420 14,340 -80

Imports *28 *28 NC

Total Supply 16,588 16,508 -80

Exports *2,065 *2,065 NC

Food, Seed, and Industrial *6,791 *6,791 NC

Measured Disappearance 8,856 8,856 NC

Ending Stocks 2,114 2,221 +107

Feed and Residual *5,618 *5,432 -186

2018 Corn Crop

*From WASDE Report
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

2019 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit January Previous Previous

2020 Forecast Season 

Soybeans

Planted Mil Ac 76.1 -0.5 -14.7

Harvested Mil Ac 75.0 -0.8 -14.4

Yield Bu/Ac 47.4 +1.1 -6.3

Production Bil Bu 3.56 +0.2 -19.6

Stocks Bil Bu 3.25 NA -13.2
47.4

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

55.0

1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Bushels per Acre

Soybean Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

1-10-20
USDA-NASS

1-10-20
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

3.30

3.40

3.50

3.60

3.70

3.80

3.90

4.00

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels

2019 United States Soybean Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
3.50 3.48

3.31 3.21

3.50

4.02 4.12

4.49

4.71

4.87

4.47

3.25

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20

Billion Bushels

Soybean Stocks

United States

Supply Dec Mar Jun Sep

USDA-NASS

1-10-20
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

3.00

3.05

3.10

3.15

3.20

3.25

3.30

3.35

3.40

December

Billion Bushels

2019 United States Soybean Stocks

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Estimates Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

2019 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit January Previous Previous

2020 Estimate Season 

All Cotton

Planted Mil Ac 13.7 -0.2 -2.6

Harvested Mil Ac 11.8 -5.6 +15.7

Yield Lb/Ac 817 +5.4 -5.4

Production Mil Bls 20.1 -0.5 +9.4

Cottonseed

Production Mil Tons 6.23 -0.5 +10.7
817

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

850

900

950

1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Pounds per Acre

All Cotton Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

1-10-20
USDA-NASS

1-10-20
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

2019 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit January Previous Previous

2020 Forecast Season 

Sorghum

Planted Mil Ac 5.27 +0.1 -7.5

Harvested Mil Ac 4.68 -0.8 -7.6

Yield Bu/Ac 73.0 -3.8 +1.2

Production Mil Bu 341 -4.5 -6.4

Stocks Mil Bu 249 NA -3.8
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

2019 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit January Previous Previous

2020 Forecast Season 

Rice

Planted Mil Ac 2.54 NC -13.8

Harvested Mil Ac 2.47 -0.2 -15.1

Yield Lbs/Ac 7,471 -1.5 -2.9

Production Mil Cwt 185 -1.7 -17.5

Stocks Mil Cwt 124 NA -10.8
245

273

227

236

220

249

236

263

217

248

223

124

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20

Million Hundredweight

Rough Rice Stocks

United States

Supply Dec Mar Jun Aug

USDA-NASS

1-10-20
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

2019 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit January Previous Previous

2020 Forecast Season 

All Hay

Harvested Mil Ac 52.4 -0.7 -0.8

Yield Tons/Ac 2.46 -0.8 +5.1

Production Mil Tons 129 -1.6 +4.3

Stocks Mil Tons 84.5 NA +6.9
USDA-NASS

1-10-20
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

2019 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit January Previous Previous

2020 Forecast Season 

Production 

All Other Hay Mil Tons 74.0 -3.6 +4.3

Alfalfa Hay Mil Tons 54.9 +1.2 +4.3

Proso Millet Mil Bu 16.6 NA +43.2

Peanuts Bil Lbs 5.50 -2.6 +<0.1
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

2019 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit January Previous Previous

2020 Forecast Season 

Production

Canola Bil Lbs 3.40 -8.3 -5.9

Flaxseed Mil Bu 6.40 NA +43.2

Mustard Seed Mil Lbs 63.6 NA -13.3

Rapeseed Mil Lbs 22.5 NA +173.0

Safflower Mil Lbs 194 NA -17.8

Sunflowers Bil Lbs 1.94 -13.7 -7.8
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

2019 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit January Previous Previous

2020 Forecast Season 

All Tobacco Mil Lbs 468 +4.4 -12.2

Sugarbeets Mil Tons 28.6 -3.0 -14.1

Sugarcane Mil Tons 31.8 -2.7 -7.9
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

2019 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit January Previous Previous

2020 Forecast Season 

Production

Chickpeas Mil Cwt 6.24 -13.1 -52.2

Dry Peas Mil Cwt 22.3 +0.3 +37.0

Dry Beans Mil Cwt 20.8 -12.6 -44.9

Lentils Mil Cwt 5.39 -17.8 -35.9
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

2019 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit January Previous Previous

2020 Forecast Season 

Production 

Potatoes Mil Cwt 423 +0.1 -6.0

Peppermint Oil Mil Lbs 5.45 NA +1.4

Spearmint Oil Mil Lbs 2.41 NA -6.1

Hops Mil Lbs 112 NC +4.8
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

2019 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit January Previous Previous

2020 Estimate Year

Stocks

All Wheat Bil Bu 1.83 NA -8.7

Barley Mil Bu 151 NA -0.9

Oats Mil Bu 54.0 NA -19.8
2.87

3.14

2.86

2.99

2.85

2.62

2.81

3.28

2.92 2.98

3.04

1.83

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20

Billion Bushels

All Wheat Stocks

United States

Supply Sep Dec Mar Jun

USDA-NASS

1-10-20
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

1.80

1.85

1.90

1.95

2.00

2.05

December

Billion Bushels

2019 United States All Wheat Stocks

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Estimates Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

Winter Wheat Seedings

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit January Previous Previous

2020 Forecast Season 

Wheat, Winter

Planted Mil Ac 30.8 NA -1.1
30.8

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020

Million Acres Winter Wheat Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

1-10-20
USDA-NASS

1-10-20
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

29.5

30.0

30.5

31.0

31.5

32.0

32.5

December March June Final

Million Acres

2020 United States Winter Wheat Acres

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

Objective Measurement Row Count

Survey Type Field Measurement Field Observation

Crops Included Oranges, Grapefruit, 

Tangerines

Non-Valencia Oranges,

Tangerines, and 

Tangelos

Sample Size 1,838 groves 151,980 rows

Collection Period December 10 - 27 December 30 - 31

Survey Overview

Florida Citrus
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

January 2020 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit January Previous Previous

2020 Forecast Season 

Production

Oranges Mil Tons 5.40 +1.4 +1.4

Grapefruit Thou Tons 641 +6.1 +13.7

Tangerines & 

Mandarins Thou Tons 930 -4.1 -14.4

Lemons Thou Tons 816 -4.7 -15.5
USDA-NASS

1-10-20

Upcoming Reports

Release Date Report Title

January 23 Cotton Ginnings

January 24 Cattle on Feed

January 31

Cattle 

Sheep and Goats

Agricultural Prices

February 3 CAIR: Cotton System, Fats & Oils, and Grain Crushings

February 11 Cotton Ginnings

Crop Production
USDA-NASS

1-10-20
USDA-NASS

1-10-20
United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

202-720-2127

800-727-9540

nass@usda.gov