June Crop Production

Agricultural Statistics Board Briefing

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

June 10, 2021
Data Sources

June 10, 2021

Operator Reported

Survey

Field

Survey

Objective Yield Sample Size = 975 May 25 - June 1

Ag Yield Sample Size = 3,605 May 29- June 7

Winter Wheat

Florida Citrus

Field

Survey

1

 Valencia Oranges, Grapefruit

Utilization Florida Citrus Administrative Committee

Data Quantity of Fruit Packed or Processed

Row Count 1

Sample Size = 12,177 Rows June 1
June 2021 Ag Yield Survey

Sample Sizes

June 10, 2021
United States Winter Wheat Condition

Percent Rated Good to Excellent

June 10, 2021

25

35

45

55

65

75

10/25 11/1 11/8 11/15 11/22 11/29 4/4 4/1 1 4/1 8 4/2 5 5/2 5/9 5/1 6 5/2 3 5/3 0 6/6 6/1 3 6/2 0 6/2 7 7/4

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Percent
United States Winter Wheat Progress

Percent Headed

June 10, 2021

Percent

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

4/1 1 4/1 8 4/2 5 5/2 5/9 5/1 6 5/2 3 5/3 0 6/6 6/1 3 6/2 0 6/2 7

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
June 2021 Winter Wheat

Acreage, Yield, and Production

June 10, 2021

United States

% Change from

Previous Estimate

% Change from

Previous Season

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

Kansas 7,300 ↑ 10.6 6,900 ↑ 10.4 52.0 ↑ 15.6 358,800 ↑ 27.6

Oklahoma 4,300 ↑ 1.2 2,700 ↑ 3.8 39.0 ↓ 2.5 105,300 ↑ 1.3

Washington 1,750 ↓ 2.8 1,690 ↓ 3.4 57.0 ↓ 25.0 96,330 ↓ 27.6

Montana 1,750 ↑ 12.9 1,650 ↑ 10.7 51.0 N C 84,150 ↑ 10.7

Colorado 2,050 ↑ 7.9 1,700 ↑ 11.8 39.0 ↑ 44.4 66,300 ↑ 61.5

Top 5 States - By Production

↑ 4.5 ↑ 11.8

Planted Harvested Yield Production

↑ 8.8

33,078 24,612 53.2 1,309,000

N C N C ↑ 2.1 ↑ 2.0

Planted Harvested Yield Production

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

↑ 6.9

% ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY
Winter Wheat Yield

United States

June 10, 2021 38.2

40.2 40.2

37.7

37.1

44.6

46.9

47.8

44.6

43.4

38.2

46.7

43.5

44.3

41.6 41.7

47.1

44.0

46.5 46.1

47.1 47.3

42.6 42.5

55.3

50.2

47.9

53.6

50.9

53.2

31.0

36.0

41.0

46.0

51.0

56.0

61.0

1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020

Bushels per Acre
June 2021 Winter Wheat Yield

Bushels and Percent Change from Previous Year

June 10, 2021
Winter Wheat Production

United States

June 10, 2021

1.63

1.54

1.38 1.37

1.67

1.27

1.18

1.32

1.17

1.31

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Billion Bushels
21

68

94

28

69

93

18

69

93

8

50

89

14

64

92

7 0 0

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100 June July

August June JulyAugust June JulyAugust June JulyAugust June JulyAugust June JulyAugust

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Mature

June 2021 Winter Wheat Objective Yield

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab

June 10, 2021

Percent
35

37

39

41

43

45

47

49

51

53

55

36

38

40

42

44

46

48

50 June July

August Final June JulyAugust Final June JulyAugust Final June JulyAugust Final June JulyAugust Final June JulyAugust Final

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Heads per Square Foot Yield

June 2021 Winter Wheat Objective Yield

Heads per Square Foot and Yield for 10 State Region

June 10, 2021

Heads per Square Foot Bushels per Acre
June 2021 Winter Wheat Production

United States by Class

June 10, 2021

Unit

Hard Red Winter Wheat Bu

% Change from Previous Estimate ↑ 5.6

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 17.1

Soft Red Winter Wheat Bu

% Change from Previous Estimate ↑ 1.2

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 26.0

White Winter Wheat Bu

% Change from Previous Estimate ↓ 8.4

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 17.9

Production

(1,000 Units)

771,467

335,451

202,082

998

747 739

830

1,082

750

662

845

659

771

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Million Bushels

Hard Red Winter Wheat Production

United States

413

568

455

359 345

293 286

240

266

335

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Million Bushels

Soft Red Winter Wheat Production

United States

220 227

184 185

245

227 236 232

246

202

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Million Bushels

White Winter Wheat Production

United States
2021 U.S. Winter Wheat Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

June 10, 2021

1.05

1.10

1.15

1.20

1.25

1.30

1.35

1.40

May June July August Final

Billion Bushels

Individual Industry Expectation NASS Estimate
June 2021 Hops

Acres

June 10, 2021

Hops

% Change from Previous Estimate N/A N/A

% Change from Previous Season N/A ↑ 3.6

N/A

Harvested

(1,000 Acres)

Planted

(1,000 Acres)

60.7

29.7

35.3

38.0

43.6

50.9

54.0 55.0 56.5

58.6

60.7

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

55.0

60.0

65.0

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Thousand Acres

Hop Acres

United States

Harvested
June 2021 Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts

Production

June 10, 2021

Unit

Sweet Cherries Ton

% Change from Previous Estimate N/A

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 13.5

Tart Cherries Lb

% Change from Previous Estimate N/A

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 1.8

Production

(1,000 Units)

369

142,000

424

332

364

335

350

438

344 353

325

369

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

350.0

400.0

450.0

500.0

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Thousand Tons

Sweet Cherry Production

United States

8 5

294 304

253

329

260

298

261

140 142

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Million Pounds

Tart Cherry Production

United States

2021 Cherry Production

Sweet Cherries Tart Cherries
June 2021 Maple Syrup

Production

June 10, 2021

Unit

Maple Syrup Gal

% Change from Previous Estimate N/A

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 16.7

Production

(1,000 Units)

3,424 2.28

3.54

3.25

3.46

4.18

4.39

4.20 4.18 4.11

3.42

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Million Gallons

Maple Syrup Production

United States
June 10, 2021

June 2021 Citrus

Utilized Production

All Oranges

% Change from Previous Estimate ↑ 1.0

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 14.4

Non-Valencia Oranges

% Change from Previous Estimate NC

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 11.9

Valencia Oranges

% Change from Previous Estimate ↑ 2.6

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 18.1

Grapefruit

% Change from Previous Estimate ↓ 1.1

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 23.3

Lemons

% Change from Previous Estimate NC

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 12.2

Tangerines

% Change from Previous Estimate ↓ 0.1

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 1.9

Production

(1,000 Tons)

962

4,497

2,745

1,752

438

952

11.63

11.07

9.37 9.03 8.73

7.70

6.08

8.14 7.85

6.85

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Million Tons

All Citrus Production

United States

8.98

8.27

6.77

6.35 6.09

5.09

3.88

5.43 5.25

4.50

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Million Tons

All Orange Production

United States
Selected Upcoming Reports

June 10, 2021

https://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/index.php

June 24 Hogs and Pigs

June 25 Cattle on Feed

Acreage

Grain Stocks

Rice Stocks

Agricultural Prices

Cotton System

Fats and Oils

Grain Crushings

July 12 Crop Production

July 1

June 30
#StatChat

June 10, 2021
All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

(202) 720-2127

(800) 727-9540

nass@usda.gov