12:00 P.M.

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

November Crop Production

Executive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

November 10, 2014
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

Field Crops Fruit & Nuts Specialty Crops

Corn Citrus Sugarbeets

Soybeans Sugarcane

Cotton Dry Edible Peas

Rice Lentils

Peanuts Austrian Winter Peas

Sorghum Fall Potatoes

Cottonseed

Wheat

Barley

Oats

Contents
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

Objective Surveys (Size 

and Drop) Fruit Maturity

Survey Type Field Observations Laboratory Tests

Crops Included All Oranges, Grapefruit

Sample Size 1,811 groves 425 samples

Collection Period Oct 13 – 28 Oct 27 – 28

Survey Overview

Florida Citrus
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

November 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

November Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

Production

Oranges Mil Tons 6.96 NC +2.7

Grapefruit Mil Tons 1.03 NC -2.4

Tangelos Thou Tons 41.0 NC +2.5

Tangerines & 

Mandarins Thou Tons 773 -1.2 +6.5

Crop Unit 
11.4 11.4

12.7

13.7

9.8

13.0

12.2 12.4

11.5

12.9

9.3 9.0

7.6

10.1

9.1

8.2

8.9 9.0

8.3

6.8 7.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

Million Tons

Orange Production

United States

USDA-NASS

11-10-14
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

Ag Yield Objective Yield

Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

Crops Included Field Crops Corn, Cotton, Soybeans

Sample Size 10,343 4,972

Collection Period Oct 28 – Nov 5 Oct 25 – Nov 1

Survey Overview
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

November 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

November Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

Corn

Harvested Mil Ac 83.1 NC -5.2

Yield Bu/Ac 173.4 -0.5 +9.2

Production Bil Bu 14.4 -0.5 +3.5

Crop Unit 
10.1

7.4

9.2 9.2

9.8

9.4

9.9

9.5

9.0

10.1

11.8

11.1

10.5

13.0

12.0

13.1

12.4 12.3

10.8

13.9

14.4

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Billion Bushels

Corn for Grain Production

United States

USDA-NASS

11-10-14
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

N o v e m b e r 1 , 2 0 1 4 C o r n Y ie ld

B u s h e ls a n d C h a n g e F r o m P r e v io u s M o n th

156#

1

190#

2

165

5

146

2

190#

1 5

170

1

200# N C

186# N C

183#

- 2

157#

- 3 153 N C

180# N C

170# N C

166#

- 1

165

- 5

186#

2

181#

1

181# N C

150#

2

155#

1

136 N C

128 N C

177#

- 1

160#

- 5

152# N C

118 N C

U .S .1 7 3 .4 #

-0 .8

# R e c o r d H ig h N C = N o C h a n g e

151# N C

165#

5

148# N C

142 N C

215 N C

162# N C
2004

2005

2006 2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Aug 14

Sep 14

Nov 14 Oct 14

0.260

0.270

0.280

0.290

0.300

0.310

0.320

0.330

0.340

0.350

0.360

25,000 25,500 26,000 26,500 27,000 27,500 28,000 28,500 29,000 29,500

Lbs/Ear

Ears Per Acre

Corn Objective Yield Region

Ears Per Acre vs. Implied Ear Weight

USDA-NASS

11-10-14

Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

Year Dent Stage Mature

Percent

2010 < 0.5 96

2011 < 0.5 94

2012 < 0.5 95

2013 < 0.5 86

2014 < 0.5 96

Corn Objective Yield - November

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

November 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

November Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

Soybeans

Harvested Mil Ac 83.4 NC +9.4

Yield Bu/Ac 47.5 +0.8 +8.0

Production Bil Bu 3.96 +0.8 +17.9

Crop Unit 
2.51

2.17

2.38

2.69 2.74

2.65

2.76

2.89

2.76

2.45

3.12 3.07

3.20

2.68

2.97

3.36 3.33

3.10 3.04

3.36

3.96

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Billion Bushels

Soybean Production

United States

USDA-NASS

11-10-14
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

N o v e m b e r 1 , 2 0 1 4 S o y b e a n Y ie ld

B u s h e ls a n d C h a n g e F r o m P r e v io u s M o n th

4 2 N C

48#

1

48#

2

41#

1

56# N C

54# N C

5 2

1

3 7 N C 4 8

1

54#

1

4 4

- 2

4 5

- 1

4 2 N C

52#

1

45#

- 1

5 4

1

42#

1

4 5

- 2

40#

1

3 4

1

50# N C

3 1 N C

50# N C

34#

4 U .S .4 7 .5 #

0 .4

# R e c o r d H ig h N C = N o C h a n g e

45#

2

48#

- 1

3 5

1

4 1 N C

4 4

- 1
2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Sep 14

Oct 14

Nov 14

0.260

0.265

0.270

0.275

0.280

0.285

0.290

0.295

0.300

0.305

0.310

0.315

0.320

0.325

1,400 1,450 1,500 1,550 1,600 1,650 1,700 1,750 1,800 1,850 1,900

Grams/Pod

Pods Per 18 Square Feet

Soybean Objective Yield Region

Pods Per 18 Square Feet vs. Implied Pod Weight

USDA-NASS

11-10-14

Implied Pod Weight = (Published Yield /Pods) / 0.0889
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

Year Mature

Percent

2010 94

2011 95

2012 94

2013 73

2014 92

Soybean Objective Yield - November

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

November 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

November Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

All Cotton

Harvested Mil Ac 9.88 NC +31.0

Yield Lb/Ac 797 +0.9 -2.9

Production Mil Bls 16.4 +0.9 +27.0

Crop Unit 
19.7

17.9

18.9 18.8

13.9

17.0 17.2

20.3

17.2

18.3

23.3

23.9

21.6

19.2

12.8

12.2

18.1

15.6

17.3

12.9

16.4

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Million Bales

All Cotton Production

United States

USDA-NASS

11-10-14
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

N o v e m b e r 1 , 2 0 1 4 A ll C o tto n Y ie ld

P o u n d s a n d C h a n g e F r o m P r e v io u s M o n th

829

-2 8

1579#

3 1 1137#

1 5

1645 N C

979#

117

911 N C

861#

-4 9

1193

-2 9

1143

-1 1

1029

-5 8

962 N C

1012

6 2

583

-1 2 6 932

8 U .S . 7 9 7

7

# R e c o r d H ig h N C = N o C h a n g e

906

- 9

597

1 4

1200#

8 4
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

November 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

November Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

Rice

Harvested Mil Ac 2.91 NC +17.9

Yield Lbs/Ac 7,597 +0.2 -1.3

Production Mil Cwt 221 +0.2 +16.4

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

November 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

November Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

Peanuts

Harvested Mil Ac 1.31 NC +25.3

Yield Lbs/Ac 3,860 +1.3 -3.5

Production Bil Lbs 5.04 +1.3 +20.9

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

November 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

November Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

Sorghum

Harvested Mil Ac 6.17 NC -5.5

Yield Bu/Ac 66.1 +1.1 +10.9

Production Mil Bu 408 +1.1 +4.9

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

November 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

November Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

Production 

Sugarcane Mil Tons 29.8 +1.6 -3.1

Sugarbeets Mil Tons 31.4 -2.1 -4.3

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

November 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

November Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

Production

Cottonseed Mil Tons 5.41 +0.8 +28.8

Fall Potatoes Mil Cwt 406 NA +2.8

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

November 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

November Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

Production

A. Winter Peas Thou Cwt 253 NA +11.0

Dry Edible Peas Mil Cwt 16.7 NA +6.8

Lentils Mil Cwt 3.26 NA -35.1

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

Small Grain Annual Summary 2014

% Change % Change

From From

November Previous Previous

2014 Estimate Season 

Wheat, Spring

Harvested Mil Ac 12.7 -0.5 +12.3

Yield Bu/Ac 46.7 -0.4 -0.8

Production Mil Bu 595 -1.0 +11.4

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

Small Grain Annual Summary 2014

% Change % Change

From From

November Previous Previous

2014 Estimate Season 

Wheat, Durum

Harvested Mil Ac 1.34 -2.6 -0.1

Yield Bu/Ac 39.7 -4.6 -8.3

Production Mil Bu 53.1 -7.0 -8.4

Stocks Mil Bu 57.2 -5.0 -13.8

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

Small Grain Annual Summary 2014

% Change % Change

From From

November Previous Previous

2014 Estimate Season 

Wheat, All

Harvested Mil Ac 46.4 -0.2 +2.3

Yield Bu/Ac 43.7 -0.2 -7.2

Production Bil Bu 2.03 -0.5 -5.1

Stocks Bil Bu 1.91 -0.5 +1.9

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

Small Grain Annual Summary 2014

% Change % Change

From From

November Previous Previous

2014 Estimate Season 

Barley

Harvested Mil Ac 2.44 -0.6 -19.6

Yield Bu/Ac 72.4 -1.4 +1.5

Production Mil Bu 177 -2.0 -18.4

Stocks Mil Bu 175 -2.1 -10.7

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

Small Grain Annual Summary 2014

% Change % Change

From From

November Previous Previous

2014 Estimate Season 

Oats

Harvested Mil Ac 1.03 -1.0 +2.0

Yield Bu/Ac 67.7 -0.1 +5.6

Production Mil Bu 69.7 -1.1 +7.8

Stocks Mil Bu 72.4 -1.0 +14.1

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

11-10-14

Release Date Report Title

November 13 Farm and Ranch Irrigation Survey

November 21 Cattle on Feed

November 26 Agricultural Prices

December 10 Crop Production

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