December Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

Agricultural Statistics Board Briefing

Travis Averill, Chief

Livestock Branch

December 23, 2022
2022 December Hogs and Pigs Survey

Number of Samples

December 23, 2022
U.S. Hogs and Pigs Revisions

Survey Item

Initial

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Current

Revision

(1,000 head)

Net 

Revision

(1,000 head)

Current 

Estimate

(1,000 head)

June 1, 2022 All Hogs and Pigs 72,524 -210 -210 72,314

Pig Crop 32,905 -228 -270 32,635

September 1, 2022 All Hogs and Pigs 73,800 -115 -115 73,685

Pig Crop 33,581 -65 -65 33,516

December 23, 2022
U.S. Hogs and Pigs December 1

2021 2022 % Change from 

(1,000 head) Previous Year

All Hogs and Pigs 74,446 73,119 ↓ 1.8

Breeding Hogs 6,125 6,154 ↑ 0.5

Market Hogs 68,321 66,966 ↓ 2.0

73.7

61

63

65

67

69

71

73

75

77

79

81

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Million head U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

December September

74.4

73.1

Top 5 States

Inventory

(1,000 head)

Iowa 23,600

Minnesota 8,600

North Carolina 8,200

Illinois 5,300

Indiana 4,350

December 23, 2022
December 1, 2022 Hogs and Pigs Inventory

(1,000) Head and Percent Change from Previous Year

December 23, 2022
U.S. Hogs and Pigs December 1

2021 2022 % Change from 

(1,000 head) Previous Year

Market Hogs 68,321 66,966 ↓ 2.0

Less than 50 lbs 21,594 21,153 ↓ 2.0

50 – 119 lbs 19,005 18,620 ↓ 2.0

120 – 179 lbs 14,374 14,095 ↓ 1.9

180 lbs or more 13,348 13,098 ↓ 1.9

11

14

17

20

23

26

Dec 2019 Mar 2020 Jun 2020 Sep 2020 Dec 2020 Mar 2021 Jun 2021 Sep 2021 Dec 2021 Mar 2022 Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022

Million head Market Hogs by Weight Class

LT 50 LBS 50 TO 119 LBS 120 TO 179 LBS GE 180 LBS

December 23, 2022
U.S. Hogs and Pigs December 1

2021 2022 % Change from 

(1,000 head) Previous Year

Sows Farrowed 3,049 3,004 ↓ 1.5

Intentions

Dec – Feb 2,919 2,947 ↑ 1.0

Mar – May 2,967 2,981 ↑ 0.5

2.98

3.00

2.95

2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.2

3.3

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Million head U.S. Quarterly Sows Farrowed

Sep-Nov Estimate Dec-Feb Intentions Mar-May Intentions

December 23, 2022
U.S. Hogs and Pigs December 1

2021 2022 % Change from

(1,000 head) Previous Year

Pig Crop 34,123 33,691 ↓ 1.3

(Number)

Pigs per Litter 11.19 11.22 ↑ 0.3

11.13

11.19

11.22

9.50

9.80

10.10

10.40

10.70

11.00

11.30

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Pigs per Litter U.S. Quarterly Pigs per Litter

September-November June-August

December 23, 2022
Trade Expectations Compared to NASS 

Estimates Percent of Previous Year

99.9

99.8

98.2

98.4

99.7

98.5

100.5

101.0

98.7

98.0

100.5

98.2

97.5 100.0 102.5

Mar-May Farrowings

Dec-Feb Farrowings

Sep-Nov Pig Crop

Market Hogs

Breeding Hogs

All Hogs and Pigs

Min Trade Range Trade Average NASS

December 23, 2022
All Hogs and Pigs 

First Estimate vs Final Estimate

59

64

69

74

79

84

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Million head

Lower Trade Range Trade Range ASB First Estimate ASB Final Estimate

December 23, 2022
Breeding Herd Inventory

Disposition and Utilization

December 23, 2022

Year

Sep 1

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Slaughter

(1,000 head)

Additions

(1,000 head)

Dec 1

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Sow

Utilization

(Percent)

2013 5,816 826 767 5,757 48

2014 5,920 802 822 5,939 50

2015 5,986 772 789 6,002 49

2016 6,016 825 919 6,110 51

2017 6,117 839 900 6,179 51

2018 6,330 859 855 6,326 51

2019 6,431 843 964 6,551 47

2020 6,333 880 723 6,176 50

2021 6,190 831 766 6,125 49

2022 6,152 868 869 6,154 49
Canadian Imports by Quarter

Feeder Pigs and Slaughter Hogs

(1,000 head)

December 23, 2022

85% 84%

84% 84%

84%

85%

83%

83% 82% 83% 85%

84%

79% 73% 73%

81%

80%

76%

75% 75%

15% 16%

16% 16%

16%

15%

17%

17% 18%

17% 15%

16%

21%

27% 27%

19%

20%

24%

1,326 1,320 25% 25%

1,257 1,222 

1,398 

1,262 

1,124 

1,267 1,275 

1,221 1,209 

1,352 

1,533 

1,640 1,664 1,654 

1,561 

1,693 

1,572 1,577

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Feeder Slaughter
U.S. Prices Received by Farmers

for Hogs and Corn

$1.50

$2.50

$3.50

$4.50

$5.50

$6.50

$7.50

$8.50

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

$100

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Hogs $/cwt Corn $/bu

Hogs Corn

Hogs Corn

Month $/cwt $/bu

May 75.90 7.26

June 78.70 7.38

July 83.00 7.25

August 85.80 7.24

September 73.80 7.09

October 70.50 6.50

Hog to Corn

Month Ratio

May 10.45

June 10.66

July 11.45

August 11.85

September 10.41

October 10.85

December 23, 2022
Upcoming Reports

December 30 Agricultural Prices

January 3 Cotton Systems, Fats & Oils, Grain 

Crushing

January 6 Dairy Products

January 12

Cotton Ginnings

Crop Production

Crop Production – Annual

Grain and Rice Stocks

January 20 Cattle on Feed

January 31 Cattle

Sheep and Goats

https://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/index.php

December 23, 2022
December 23, 2022
All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

(202) 720-3570

(800) 727-9540

nass@usda.gov