September Crop Production

Agricultural Statistics Board Briefing

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

September 12, 2022
Data Sources

September 12, 2022

Operator Reported

Survey

Field Objective Yield

Survey Corn, Cotton, Soybeans

Remotely Sensed Time Series 250 Meter Focus Area Imagery Through

(Satellite) MODIS Satellite Data Corn Belt August 29

FSA

Certified Acres

Farm Service Agency policy requires that producers participating in several programs 

submit an annual report regarding all cropland use on their farms.

Ag Yield Sample Size = 7,405 August 30 - September 7

Sample Size = 3,930 August 25 - September 1
September 2022 Ag Yield Survey

Sample Sizes

September 12, 2022
Special Note

September 12, 2022

Each September, NASS has the opportunity to revise planted and harvested acreage 

estimates for chickpeas, cotton, dry edible peas, lentils, peanuts, and rice. This year 

NASS also included corn, sorghum, soybeans, and sugarbeets in this review due to 

the completeness of this season’s data for these crops. Revisions are based on all 

available data, including the latest certified acreage data from the Farm Service 

Agency (FSA). All States in the estimating program for these crops were subject to 

review and updating.
United States Corn Condition

Percent Rated Good to Excellent

September 12, 2022

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

5/22 5/29 6/5 6/12 6/19 6/26 7/3 7/10 7/17 7/24 7/31 8/7 8/14 8/21 8/28 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Percent
United States Corn Progress

Percent Dented

September 12, 2022

Percent

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

7/31 8/7 8/14 8/21 8/28 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
September 2022 Corn

Acreage, Yield, and Production

September 12, 2022

United States

% Change from

Previous Estimate

% Change from

Previous Season

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

Iowa 12,900 N C 12,450 N C 200 ↓ 2.4 2,490,000 ↓ 2.4

Illinois 10,800 ↓ 1.8 10,550 ↓ 2.8 204 ↑ 1.0 2,152,200 ↓ 1.8

Nebraska 9,600 ↓ 3.0 9,300 ↓ 2.7 176 ↓ 9.3 1,636,800 ↓ 11.7

Minnesota 8,050 ↓ 4.2 7,550 ↓ 3.7 190 ↑ 6.7 1,434,500 ↑ 2.8

Indiana 5,200 ↓ 3.7 5,050 ↓ 4.2 186 ↓ 4.6 939,300 ↓ 8.6

% ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY

Planted Harvested Yield Production

88,608 80,844 172.5 13,943,913

↓ ↓

↓ 5.1 ↓

Planted Harvested Yield Production

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

1.4

5.3 ↓ 2.5 ↓ 7.7

1.2 ↓ 1.7 ↓ 2.9

Top 5 States - By Production
95.4

90.6

88.0

94.0

90.2

88.9

89.7

90.7

93.4

88.6

87.5

83.1

80.8

86.7

82.7

81.3 81.3

82.3

85.4

80.8

75.0

80.0

85.0

90.0

95.0

100.0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Planted Harvested

Corn Acres

United States

September 12, 2022

Million Acres
100.7

138.6

113.5

127.1126.7

134.4133.8

136.9138.2

129.3

142.2

160.3

147.9149.1150.7

153.3

164.4

152.6

146.8

123.1

158.1

171.0

168.4

174.6

176.6176.4

167.5

171.4

177.0

172.5

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021

Corn Yield

United States

September 12, 2022

Bushels per Acre
September 2022 Corn Yield

Bushels and Percent Change from Previous Month

September 12, 2022
September 2022 Corn Yield

Bushels and Percent Change from Previous Year

September 12, 2022
September 2022 Corn

NASA Terra MODIS Modeled Yield

September 12, 2022
September 2022 Corn Objective Yield

Ears per Acre and Yield for 10 State Region

September 12, 2022

Ears per Acre Bushels per Acre

155

160

165

170

175

180

185

190

195

27,000

27,500

28,000

28,500

29,000

29,500

September October November Final September October November Final September October November Final September October November Final September October November Final September October November Final

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Ears per Acre Yield
13.8 14.2

13.6

15.1

14.6 14.3

13.6

14.1

15.1

13.9

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Corn Production

United States

September 12, 2022

Billion Bushels
2022 U.S. Corn Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

September 12, 2022

13.9

14.0

14.1

14.2

14.3

14.4

14.5

14.6

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels

Individual Industry Expectation NASS Estimate
United States Soybean Condition

Percent Rated Good to Excellent

September 12, 2022

Percent

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

5/22 5/29 6/5 6/12 6/19 6/26 7/3 7/10 7/17 7/24 7/31 8/7 8/14 8/21 8/28 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
United States Soybean Progress

Percent Dropping Leaves

September 12, 2022

Percent

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

8/21 8/28 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
September 2022 Soybeans

Acreage, Yield, and Production

September 12, 2022

United States

% Change from

Previous Estimate

% Change from

Previous Season

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

Illinois 10,800 ↑ 1.9 10,700 ↑ 1.8 64.0 N C 684,800 ↑ 1.8

Iowa 10,100 N C 10,020 ↓ 0.1 59.0 ↓ 4.8 591,180 ↓ 4.9

Minnesota 7,450 ↓ 2.6 7,380 ↓ 2.6 50.0 ↑ 6.4 369,000 ↑ 3.6

Indiana 5,850 ↑ 3.5 5,830 ↑ 3.4 60.0 ↑ 0.8 349,800 ↑ 4.2

Nebraska 5,750 ↑ 2.7 5,700 ↑ 2.3 52.0 ↓ 17.5 296,400 ↓ 15.5

Planted Harvested Yield Production

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

↑ 0.3

87,455 86,631 50.5 4,378,194

↓ 0.7 ↓ 2.7 ↓ 3.4

% ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY

↓ 0.6

↓ 1.8 ↓ 1.3

Planted Harvested Yield Production

↑ 0.3

Top 5 States - By Production
Soybean Acres

United States

September 12, 2022

Million Acres

76.8

83.3 82.7 83.5

90.2

89.2

76.1

83.4

87.2 87.5

76.2

82.6

81.7

82.7

89.5

87.6

74.9

82.6

86.3 86.6

70.0

75.0

80.0

85.0

90.0

95.0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Planted Harvested
32.6

41.4

35.3

37.6

38.9 38.9

36.6

38.1

39.6

38.0

33.9

42.2

43.1 42.9

41.7

39.7

44.0 43.5

42.0

40.0

44.0

47.5 48.0

51.9

49.3

50.6

47.4

51.0 51.4

50.5

29

34

39

44

49

54

1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021

Soybean Yield

United States

September 12, 2022

Bushels per Acre
September 2022 Soybean Yield

Bushels and Percent Change from Previous Month

September 12, 2022
September 2022 Soybean Yield

Bushels and Percent Change from Previous Year

September 12, 2022
September 2022 Soybeans

NASA Terra MODIS Modeled Yield

September 12, 2022
September 2022 Soybean Objective Yield

Pods per 18 Square Feet and Yield for 11 State Region

September 12, 2022

Pods per 18 Square Feet Bushels per Acre

35

40

45

50

55

60

1,300

1,400

1,500

1,600

1,700

1,800

1,900

2,000

September October November Final September October November Final September October November Final September October November Final September October November Final September October November Final

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Pods per 18 Square Feet Yield
3.36

3.93 3.93

4.30 4.41 4.43

3.55

4.22

4.44 4.38

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Soybean Production

United States

September 12, 2022

Billion Bushels
2022 U.S. Soybean Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

September 12, 2022

4.35

4.40

4.45

4.50

4.55

4.60

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels

Individual Industry Expectation NASS Estimate
United States Cotton Condition

Percent Rated Good to Excellent

September 12, 2022

Percent

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

5/29 6/5 6/12 6/19 6/26 7/3 7/10 7/17 7/24 7/31 8/7 8/14 8/21 8/28 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
United States Cotton Progress

Percent Bolls Opening

September 12, 2022

Percent

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

7/31 8/7 8/14 8/21 8/28 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
September 2022 Cotton

Acreage, Yield, and Production

September 12, 2022

United States

% Change from

Previous Estimate

% Change from

Previous Season

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Pounds/Acre) (1,000 Bales)

Texas 7,933 ↑ 24.6 2,530 ↓ 54.5 616.0 ↓ 7.5 3,245 ↓ 58.0

Georgia 1,290 ↑ 10.3 1,280 ↑ 10.3 900.0 ↓ 1.5 2,400 ↑ 8.6

Arkansas 640 ↑ 33.3 630 ↑ 32.6 1,219.0 ↓ 2.3 1,600 ↑ 29.6

Mississippi 530 ↑ 19.1 525 ↑ 22.1 1,006.0 ↑ 0.9 1,100 ↑ 23.2

North Carolina 470 ↑ 25.3 455 ↑ 24.7 918.0 ↓ 9.7 870 ↑ 12.5

Planted Harvested Yield Production

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Pounds/Acre) (1,000 Bales)

13,791 7,876 843 13,832

23.3 ↑ 2.9 ↓ 21.1

↑ 10.5 ↑ 10.5 ↓ 0.4

↓

↑ 10.0

↑ 23.0

Planted Harvested Yield Production

% ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY

Top 5 States - By Production
10.4

11.1

8.58

10.1

12.7

14.1

13.7

12.1

11.2

13.8

7.54

9.35

8.07

9.51

11.1

9.99

11.5

8.22

10.3

7.88

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

11.0

12.0

13.0

14.0

15.0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Planted Harvested

Cotton Acres

United States

September 12, 2022

Million Acres
606

708

537

705

673

625

607

632

705

665

730

855

831

814

879

813

776

812

790

892

822

838

766

867

905

882

831

853

819

843

480

530

580

630

680

730

780

830

880

930

980

1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021

Cotton Yield

United States

September 12, 2022

Pounds per Acre
September 2022 Cotton Yield

Pounds and Percent Change from Previous Month

September 12, 2022
September 2022 Cotton Yield

Pounds and Percent Change from Previous Year

September 12, 2022
12.9

16.3

12.9

17.2

20.9

18.4

19.9

14.6

17.5

13.8

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Cotton Production

United States

September 12, 2022

Million Bales
2022 U.S. Cotton Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

September 12, 2022

12.0

12.2

12.4

12.6

12.8

13.0

13.2

13.4

13.6

13.8

14.0

14.2

14.4

14.6

14.8

15.0

August September October November December Final

Million Bales

Individual Industry Expectation NASS Estimate
September 2022 Field Crops

Acreage, Yield, and Production

September 12, 2022

Unit Unit

Chickpeas Lb Cwt

% Change from Previous Estimate ↑ 3.0 ↑ 3.0 N/A N/A

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 2.4 ↓ 0.2 ↑ 37.7 ↑ 37.5

Dry Edible Peas Lb Cwt

% Change from Previous Estimate ↓ 10.2 ↓ 10.9 N/A N/A

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 6.4 ↑ 3.5 ↑ 24.9 ↑ 29.3

Lentils Lb Cwt

% Change from Previous Estimate ↑ 3.4 ↑ 4.5 N/A N/A

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 5.4 ↑ 15.3 ↑ 26.4 ↑ 45.8

Peanuts Lb Lb

% Change from Previous Estimate ↓ 5.4 ↓ 6.1 ↑ 0.4 ↓ 5.7

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 8.0 ↓ 8.7 ↑ 0.2 ↓ 8.4

Rice Lb Cwt

% Change from Previous Estimate ↓ 5.1 ↓ 5.7 ↓ 0.5 ↓ 6.2

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 12.2 ↓ 12.5 ↓ 1.6 ↓ 13.9

5,849,700

Production

(1,000 Units)

3,933

11,050

4,851

360 350 1,122

Yield

(Units per Acre)

165,144

914 863

670 633

1,459 1,411

Harvested

(1,000 Acres)

Planted

(1,000 Acres)

1,280

766

4,145

2,223 2,177 7,586
September 2022 Field Crops

Acreage, Yield, and Production

September 12, 2022

Unit Unit

Sorghum Bu Bu

% Change from Previous Estimate ↑ 1.0 ↑ 2.0 ↓ 13.5 ↓ 11.9

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 12.9 ↓ 15.6 ↓ 33.3 ↓ 43.7

Sugarbeets Ton Ton

% Change from Previous Estimate ↓ 0.5 ↑ 0.3 ↓ 0.7 ↓ 0.4

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 1.1 ↑ 3.7 ↓ 12.7 ↓ 9.3

Sugarcane Ton Ton

% Change from Previous Estimate N/A ↓ 0.2 ↑ 0.8 ↑ 0.6

% Change from Previous Season N/A ↓ 1.9 ↑ 5.1 ↑ 3.1

Tobacco Lb Lb

% Change from Previous Estimate N/A ↓ 4.5 ↑ 2.0 ↓ 2.6

% Change from Previous Season N/A ↓ 3.8 ↓ 3.8 ↓ 7.4

1,173 1,149 29.0 33,351

N/A 918 36.9 33,868

Planted Harvested Yield Production

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Units per Acre) (1,000 Units)

6,365 5,480 46.0 252,115

N/A 211 2,100 442,480
September 2022 Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts

Production

September 12, 2022

1.70

1.55 1.56

1.89

1.57

1.44

1.68 1.73

1.65

1.52

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Million Tons

Navel Orange Production

California

492

571

606

689

630

679 655

790

725 720

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Thousand Tons

Walnut Production

California

Unit

Hazelnuts (OR) Ton

% Change from Previous Estimate N/A

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 12.3

Navel Oranges (CA) Ton

% Change from Previous Estimate N/A

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 19.5

Walnuts (CA) Ton

% Change from Previous Estimate N/A

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 0.7

Production

(1,000 Units)

68.0

1,520

720
Selected Upcoming Reports

September 12, 2022

https://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/index.php

Cattle on Feed

Cotton Ginnings

September 29 Hogs and Pigs

Agricultural Prices

Grain Stocks

Small Grains Summary

Cotton System

Fats & Oils

Grain Crushings

Cotton Ginnings

Crop Production

September 23

October 3

September 30

October 12
#StatChat

September 12, 2022
All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

(202) 720-2127

(800) 727-9540

nass@usda.gov