OCTOBER CROP PRODUCTION

Executive Summary

OCTOBER 11, 2012 8:30 AM

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

Contents

Field Crops Fruits/Nuts Specialty Crops

Corn Citrus Dry Beans

Soybeans Pecans Tobacco

Cotton

Sorghum

Alfalfa Hay

Other Hay

Rice

Peanuts

Sunflower

Canola

Sugarbeets

Sugarcane
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

Survey Overview

Ag Yield Objective Yield

Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

Crops Included Field Crops Corn, Soybeans, 

Cotton

States All except AK, HI,

New England

Corn: 10

Soybeans: 11

Cotton: 6

Sample Size ~14,400 Corn = 1,920

Soybeans = 1,835

Cotton = 1,217

Collection Period Sep 26 – Oct 5 Sep 24 – Oct 1
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

October 2012 Crop Production

Crop Unit

October 

2012

% Change

from 

Previous

Forecast

% Change

from 

Previous

Season

Oranges Mil Tons 9.37 --- + 3.9

Grapefruit Mil Tons 1.23 --- + 5.5

Lemons Thou Tons 888 --- + 4.5

Tangelos Thou Tons 54.0 --- + 3.8

Tangerines and 

 Mandarins Thou Tons 689 --- + 6.3
11.5

12.9

9.3 9.0

7.6

10.1

9.1

8.2

8.9 9.0

9.4

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

U.S. Orange Production

Million tons

USDA-NASS 

10-11-12
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

Crop Unit

October

2012

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Forecast

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Corn Mil Ac 96.9 + 0.6 + 5.5

Soybeans Mil Ac 77.2 + 1.5 + 2.9

Sorghum Mil Ac 6.24 + 0.5 + 13.8

Sunflower Mil Ac 1.92 + 6.3 + 24.3

Canola Mil Ac 1.77 + 8.7 + 65.5

Dry Edible Beans Mil Ac 1.73 + 1.1 + 43.8

October 2012 Crop Production

Planted Area Updates
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

Crop Unit

October

2012

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Forecast

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Corn

 Harvested Mil Ac 87.7 + 0.4 + 4.5

 Yield Bu/Ac 122.0 - 0.7 - 17.1

 Production Bil Bu 10.7 - 0.2 - 13.4

October 2012 Crop Production
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

8.97

10.1

11.8

11.1

10.5

13.0

12.1

13.1

12.4 12.4

10.7

8.0

9.0

10.0

11.0

12.0

13.0

14.0

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Billion bushels

U.S. Corn Production
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

04

05 06 07 08

09

10

11

Aug 12

Sept 12 Oct 12

0.240

0.250

0.260

0.270

0.280

0.290

0.300

0.310

0.320

0.330

0.340

0.350

0.360

Pounds/ear

Ears per acre

Corn Objective Yield Region

Derived Grain Weight vs Ears per Acre 
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

Corn Objective Yield - October

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab

Year Dent Stage Mature

---Percent---

2008 34 42

2009 40 31

2010 7 82

2011 24 57

2012 3 90
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

Corn for Grain Yields, October 1, 2012

Bushels and Change From Previous Month

100

NC

177#

2

190

NC

138

3

115

NC

190#

5

9 8

-12

100

NC

140

NC

9 1

NC 6 8

-2

170#

NC

115

NC

118

4

168

1 2

156#

6

7 5

NC

142

-3

132

5

130

1 0

120

NC

115

1 0

123

-3

115

5

127

2

122#

NC

U.S. 122.0

-0.8

# Record High

NC = No Change

9 4

-2

8 9

2

145

-7

9 5

NC

210

-5

127

-3
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

2 0 1 2 C o r n P e r c e n t H a r v e s te d

C u r r e n t Y e a r a n d C h a n g e fr o m 5 -Y e a r A v e r a g e W e e k E n d in g S e p te m b e r 3 0 , 2 0 1 2

2 6

1 3

7 1

3 8

3 5

1 3

5 6

4 8

7 4

3 1 8 0

2 2

1 7

8

5 3

4 8

8 8

4 3

5 3

4 3

8 5

3

3 6

3 5

1 4

3

1 8

- 2

5 5

4 9

9 2

1 9

7 5

2

1 8 S ta te s 5 4

3 4

2 3

1 6
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

Crop Unit

October

2012

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Forecast

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Soybeans

 Harvested Mil Ac 75.7 + 1.4 + 2.6

 Yield Bu/Ac 37.8 + 7.1 - 9.8

 Production Bil Bu 2.86 + 8.6 - 7.5

October 2012 Crop Production
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

2.76

2.45

3.12

3.07

3.20

2.68

2.97

3.36 3.33

3.09

2.86

2.4

2.6

2.8

3.0

3.2

3.4

3.6

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Billion bushels

U.S. Soybean Production
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

04

05

06

07

08

09

10

11

Sep 12

Oct 12

0.26

0.27

0.28

0.29

0.30

Grams/pod

Pods per 18 square feet

Soybean Objective Yield Region

Derived Pod Weight vs Pod Count
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

Soybean Objective Yield - October 

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab

Year Mature

---Percent---

2008 40

2009 38

2010 59

2011 32

2012 64
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

Soybean Yields, October 1, 2012

Bushels and Change From Previous Month

3 9

1

39#

NC

3 8

1

3 3

2

3 9

2

4 1

4

4 3

4

2 2

1 3 7

3

44#

2

4 2

NC

3 9

2

4 3

5

41#

NC

3 0

2

4 1

1

3 8

1

4 5

2

35#

1

3 4

6

4 3

3

2 0

4

4 5

NC

3 0

1

U.S. 37.8

2.5

# Record High

NC = No Change

2 8

NC

3 5

4

2 9

NC

39#

3

3 9

3
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

2 0 1 2 S o y b e a n s P e r c e n t H a r v e s te d

C u r r e n t Y e a r a n d C h a n g e fr o m 5 -Y e a r A v e r a g e W e e k E n d in g S e p te m b e r 3 0 , 2 0 1 2

4 2

1 8

2 2

1

1 8

- 4

5 4

3 3

1 2

1 2 6

1 2

7 3

8

2 4

1 3

7 6

5 3

7 7

2 5 1 8 S ta te s 4 1

2 2

9

1

4 8

3 2

3

1

8 0

5 8

1 4

- 3

7 9

6 3

1 7

- 3

4 2

3 4
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

Crop Unit

October

2012

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Forecast

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

All Cotton

 Harvested Mil Ac 10.4 NC + 10.4

 Yield Lbs/Ac 795 + 1.1 + 0.6

 Production Mil Bales 17.3 + 1.0 + 11.0

October 2012 Crop Production
17.2

18.3

23.3

23.9

21.6

19.2

12.8

12.2

18.1

15.6

17.3

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

20.0

22.0

24.0

26.0

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Million bales

U.S. All Cotton Production

USDA-NASS 

10-11-12
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

U p la n d C o tto n Y ie ld , O c to b e r 1 , 2 0 1 2

P o u n d s a n d C h a n g e F r o m P r e v io u s M o n th

764 N C

1624#

4 8 1034

4 1

1617

-6 8

960#

-9 1

934# N C

415

-1 9

960

6 5

1012

2 1

945 N C

970

-1 0 2

910

4 1 466 N C 868

9 U .S . 7 8 2

8

# R e c o r d H ig h Y ie ld

832

7 7

598 N C

960

-2 8
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

Crop Unit

October

2012

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Forecast

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Sorghum

 Harvested Mil Ac 5.02 - 1.6 + 27.7

 Yield Bu/Ac 50.2 + 3.9 - 8.1

 Production Mil Bu 252 + 2.4 + 17.5

Alfalfa Hay Mil Tons 55.6 + 1.2 - 14.9

Other Hay Mil Tons 66.4 + 1.5 + 0.9

October 2012 Crop Production
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

Crop Unit

October

2012

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Forecast

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Rice Mil Cwt 199 + 1.2 + 7.5

Peanuts Bil Lbs 6.11 + 3.2 + 67.0

Dry Edible Beans Mil Cwt 31.0 + 14.9 + 56.5

All Tobacco Mil Lbs 780 + 1.9 + 30.4

October 2012 Crop Production
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

Crop Unit

October

2012

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Forecast

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Sugarbeets Mil Tons 35.6 + <0.1 + 23.5

Sugarcane Mil Tons 31.3 + 0.9 + 6.4

Sunflower Bil Lbs 2.46 --- + 20.6

Canola Bil Lbs 2.48 --- + 61.5

Pecans Mil Lbs 309 --- + 14.4

October 2012 Crop Production
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

Upcoming Reports 

Oct 22 USDA Data Users’ Meeting

Oct 29 Rice Stocks

Oct 31 Agricultural Prices

Nov 9 Crop Production

Cotton Ginnings

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service
USDA-NASS 

10-11-12

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

202-720-2127

800-727-9540

nass@nass.usda.gov