12:00 P.M.

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

October Crop Production

Executive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

October 10, 2014
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

Field Crops Fruit & Nuts Specialty Crops

Corn Citrus Dry Beans

Soybeans Pecans Tobacco

Cotton Sugarbeets

Rice Sugarcane

Peanuts

Sorghum

Alfalfa Hay

Other Hay

Canola

Sunflowers

Contents
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

Tree Inventory Limb Count

Objective

Surveys 

(Size and 

Drop)

Fruit 

Maturity

Survey Type Field

Observations

Field

Observations

Field

Observations

Laboratory 

Tests

Crops Included All All All Oranges,

Grapefruit

Sample Size 261,344 acres 3,288 groves 1,811 groves 425 samples

Collection 

Period

July 1, 2013 -

July 11, 2014

July 13 –

September 19

August 1 -

September 26 October 1-3

Survey Overview

Florida Citrus
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

October 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

October Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

Production

Oranges Mil Tons 6.96 NA +2.7

Grapefruit Mil Tons 1.03 NA -2.4

Lemons Thou Tons 840 NA +1.0

Tangelos Thou Tons 41.0 NA +2.5

Tangerines 

& Mandarins Thou Tons 782 NA +7.7

Crop Unit 
11.4 11.4

12.7

13.7

9.8

13.0

12.2 12.4

11.5

12.9

9.3 9.0

7.6

10.1

9.1

8.2

8.9 9.0

8.3

6.8 7.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

Million Tons

Orange Production

United States

USDA-NASS

10-10-14
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

Ag Yield Objective Yield

Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

Crops Included Field Crops Corn, Cotton, Soybeans

Sample Size 13,328 4,972

Collection Period Sept 26 – Oct 6 Sept 24 – Oct 1

Survey Overview
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

October 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

October Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

Planted

Corn Mil Ac 90.9 -0.8 -4.7

Soybeans Mil Ac 84.2 -0.8 +9.6

Sorghum Mil Ac 7.21 -3.5 -10.5

Sunflowers Mil Ac 1.57 -7.7 -0.1

Canola Mil Ac 1.71 -2.4 +27.0

Dry Edible Beans Mil Ac 1.69 +1.0 +24.7

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

October 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

October Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

Corn

Harvested Mil Ac 83.1 -0.9 -5.2

Yield Bu/Ac 174.2 +1.5 +9.7

Production Bil Bu 14.5 +0.6 +4.0

Crop Unit 
10.1

7.4

9.2 9.2

9.8

9.4

9.9

9.5

9.0

10.1

11.8

11.1

10.5

13.0

12.1

13.1

12.4 12.4

10.8

13.9

14.5

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Billion Bushels

Corn for Grain Production

United States

USDA-NASS

10-10-14
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

October 1, 2014 Corn Yield

Bushels and Change From Previous Month

155#6

188#4

160 -15 144 NC

175#5

1692

200#6

186#2

185# NC

160#6 1535

180# NC

170#4

167#5

170 NC

184#4

180# 11

181#2 148#2

154#4

136-2

128-4

178#-1

165# 15

152#4

1181

U.S.174.2 #

2.5

# Record High

NC = No Change

151#3

160#8

148#1

142-1

2155

162# NC
2004

2005

2006 2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Aug 14

Sep 14

Oct 14

0.260

0.270

0.280

0.290

0.300

0.310

0.320

0.330

0.340

0.350

0.360

25,000 25,500 26,000 26,500 27,000 27,500 28,000 28,500 29,000 29,500

Lbs/Ear

Ears Per Acre

Corn Objective Yield Region

Ears Per Acre vs. Implied Ear Weight

USDA-NASS

10-10-14

Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

Year Dent Stage Mature

Percent

2010 7 82

2011 24 57

2012 3 90

2013 NA NA

2014 39 53

Corn Objective Yield - October

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

October 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

October Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

Soybeans

Harvested Mil Ac 83.4 -0.8 +9.4

Yield Bu/Ac 47.1 +1.1 +7.0

Production Bil Bu 3.93 +0.4 +16.9

Crop Unit 
2.51

2.17

2.38

2.69 2.74

2.65

2.76

2.89

2.76

2.45

3.12 3.07

3.20

2.68

2.97

3.36 3.33

3.09 3.03

3.36

3.93

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Billion Bushels Soybean Production

United States

USDA-NASS

10-10-14
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

October 1, 2014 Soybean Yield

Bushels and Change From Previous Month

421

47#1

46#2

40#1

56# NC

54#2

51NC

372 471

53#2

462

46#1

42NC

51#2

46# NC

53NC 41-1

47-2

392

33NC

50# NC

31NC

50# NC

302

U.S.47.1 #

0.5

# Record High

NC = No Change

43#1

49#2

342

41NC

45-1
2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Sep 14

Oct 14

0.260

0.265

0.270

0.275

0.280

0.285

0.290

0.295

0.300

0.305

0.310

0.315

0.320

0.325

1,400 1,450 1,500 1,550 1,600 1,650 1,700 1,750 1,800 1,850 1,900

Grams/Pod

Pods Per 18 Square Feet

Soybean Objective Yield Region

Pods Per 18 Square Feet vs. Implied Pod Weight

USDA-NASS

10-10-14

Implied Pod Weight = (Published Yield /Pods) / 0.0889
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

Year Mature

Percent

2010 59

2011 32

2012 64

2013 NA

2014 35

Soybean Objective Yield - October

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

October 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

October Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

All Cotton

Harvested Mil Ac 9.88 NC +31.0

Yield Lb/Ac 790 -1.6 -3.8

Production Mil Bls 16.3 -1.7 +25.9

Crop Unit 
19.7

17.9

18.9 18.8

13.9

17.0 17.2

20.3

17.2

18.3

23.3

23.9

21.6

19.2

12.8

12.2

18.1

15.6

17.3

12.9

16.3

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Million Bales

All Cotton Production

United States

USDA-NASS

10-10-14
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

October 1, 2014 All Cotton Yield

Pounds and Change From Previous Month

8577

1548# NC 1122 14

1645 11

86223

911 NC

910# 116

1222 58

1154 34

1087 NC

962 -181

950 NC 709 -22 92418

U.S. 790

-13

# Record High

NC = No Change

915 -18

583 -33

1116 56
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

October 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

October Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

Rice

Harvested Mil Ac 2.91 NC +17.9

Yield Lbs/Ac 7,584 +1.1 -1.4

Production Mil Cwt 221 +1.1 +16.2

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

October 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

October Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

Peanuts

Harvested Mil Ac 1.31 NC +25.3

Yield Lbs/Ac 3,812 +0.3 -4.7

Production Bil Lbs 4.98 +0.3 +19.4

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

October 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

October Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

Sorghum

Harvested Mil Ac 6.17 -3.5 -5.5

Yield Bu/Ac 65.4 -2.7 +9.7

Production Mil Bu 404 -6.2 +3.7

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

October 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

October Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

Alfalfa Hay

Harvested Mil Ac 18.2 NC +2.4

Yield Tons/Ac 3.55 +1.4 +9.6

Production Mil Tons 64.5 +1.4 +12.1

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

October 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

October Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

All Other Hay

Harvested Mil Ac 39.5 NC -2.6

Yield Tons/Ac 2.13 +8.7 +9.8

Production Mil Tons 84.1 +9.0 +7.4

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

October 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

October Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

Production 

Sugarcane Mil Tons 29.3 -0.1 -4.6

Sugarbeets Mil Tons 32.1 +1.7 -2.3

All Tobacco Mil Lbs 849 +2.4 +17.3

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

October 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

October Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

Production

Canola Bil Lbs 2.52 NA +14.0

Cottonseed Mil Tons 5.37 -1.7 +27.7

Sunflowers Bil Lbs 2.45 NA +20.7

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

October 2014 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

October Previous Previous

2014 Forecast Season 

Production

Dry Edible Beans Mil Cwt 29.0 +1.1 +18.6

Pecans Mil Lbs 276 NA +3.5

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

10-10-14

Release Date Report Title

October 20 USDA Data Users Meeting

October 24 Cattle on Feed

October 30 Fruit & Nuts Final Estimates 2008-2012

November 3

Field Crops Final Estimates 2008-2012

Stocks of Rice, Grain, Oilseeds, & Hay Final Estimates 2008-2012

Crop Values Final Estimates 2008-2012

Potatoes & Sweet Potatoes Final Estimates 2008-2012

November 10 Crop Production

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