July Crop Production

Agricultural Statistics Board Briefing

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

July 12, 2022
Data Sources

July 12, 2022

Operator Reported

Survey

Field

Survey

Objective Yield Sample Size = 1,155 June 24 - July 1

Ag Yield Sample Size = 5,127 June 29 - July 7

Barley, Oats, Wheat

Florida Citrus

Utilization Florida Citrus Administrative Committee

Data Quantity of Fruit Packed or Processed
July 2022 Ag Yield Survey

Sample Sizes

July 12, 2022
United States Winter Wheat Condition

Percent Rated Good to Excellent

July 12, 2022

25

35

45

55

65

75

10/24 10/31 11/7 11/14 11/21 11/28 4/3 4/1 0 4/1 7 4/2 4 5/1 5/8 5/1 5 5/2 2 5/2 9 6/5 6/1 2 6/1 9 6/2 6 7/3

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Percent
United States Winter Wheat Progress

Percent Harvested

July 12, 2022

Percent

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

5/2 9 6/5 6/1 2 6/1 9 6/2 6 7/3 7/1 0 7/1 7 7/2 4 7/3 1 8/7 8/1 4 8/2 1

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
July 2022 Winter Wheat

Acreage, Yield, and Production

July 12, 2022

United States

% Change from

Previous Estimate

% Change from

Previous Season

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

Kansas 7,400 ↑ 1.4 6,850 ↓ 2.1 39.0 ↓ 25.0 267,150 ↓ 26.6

Washington 1,850 ↑ 5.7 1,790 ↑ 5.9 73.0 ↑ 73.8 130,670 ↑ 84.1

Oklahoma 4,400 N C 2,700 ↓ 8.5 27.0 ↓ 30.8 72,900 ↓ 36.6

Idaho 780 ↑ 9.9 720 ↑ 12.5 91.0 ↑ 28.2 65,520 ↑ 44.2

Montana 2,050 ↑ 5.1 1,900 ↑ 9.8 34.0 ↑ 9.7 64,600 ↑ 20.5

Top 5 States - By Production

Planted Harvested Yield Production

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

↓ 1.8

% ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY

34,006 25,002 48.0 1,200,691

N C N C ↓ 0.4 ↑ 1.6

↓ 4.4 ↓ 6.0

Planted Harvested Yield Production

↑ 1.1
Winter Wheat Yield

United States

July 12, 2022 40.2 40.2

37.7

37.1

44.6

46.9

47.8

44.6

43.4

38.2

46.7

43.5

44.3

41.6 41.7

47.1

44.0

46.5 46.1

47.1 47.3

42.6 42.5

55.3

50.2

47.9

53.6

50.9

50.2

48.0

31.0

36.0

41.0

46.0

51.0

56.0

61.0

1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021

Bushels per Acre
July 2022 Winter Wheat Yield

Bushels and Percent Change from Previous Month

July 12, 2022
July 2022 Winter Wheat Yield

Bushels and Percent Change from Previous Year

July 12, 2022
Winter Wheat Production

United States

July 12, 2022

1.54

1.38 1.37

1.67

1.27

1.18

1.32

1.17

1.28

1.20

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Billion Bushels
28

69

93

18

69

93

8

50

89

14

64

92

7

64

97

14

64

0

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100 June July

August June JulyAugust June JulyAugust June JulyAugust June JulyAugust June JulyAugust

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Mature

July 2022 Winter Wheat Objective Yield

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab

July 12, 2022

Percent
35

37

39

41

43

45

47

49

51

53

36

37

38

39

40

41

42

43

44

45

46 June July

August Final June JulyAugust Final June JulyAugust Final June JulyAugust Final June JulyAugust Final June JulyAugust Final

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Heads per Square Foot Yield

July 2022 Winter Wheat Objective Yield

Heads per Square Foot and Yield for 10 State Region

July 12, 2022

Heads per Square Foot Bushels per Acre
July 2022 Winter Wheat Production

United States by Class

July 12, 2022

Unit

Hard Red Winter Wheat Bu

% Change from Previous Estimate ↑ 0.6

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 21.9

Soft Red Winter Wheat Bu

% Change from Previous Estimate ↑ 4.9

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 4.1

White Winter Wheat Bu

% Change from Previous Estimate ↓ 0.8

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 43.5

Production

(1,000 Units)

585,123

375,626

239,942

747 739

830

1,082

750

662

845

659

749

585

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Million Bushels

Hard Red Winter Wheat Production

United States

568

455

359 345

293 286

240

266

361 376

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Million Bushels

Soft Red Winter Wheat Production

United States

227

184 185

245

227 236 232

246

167

240

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Million Bushels

White Winter Wheat Production

United States
2022 U.S. Winter Wheat Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

July 12, 2022

1.10

1.15

1.20

1.25

1.30

1.35

May June July August Final

Billion Bushels

Individual Industry Expectation NASS Estimate
July 2022 Other Spring Wheat

Acreage, Yield, and Production

July 12, 2022

United States

% Change from

Previous Estimate

% Change from

Previous Season

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

North Dakota 5,400 ↓ 1.8 5,250 ↑ 0.8 51.0 ↑ 52.2 267,750 ↑ 53.4

Montana 2,750 ↓ 5.2 2,650 ↑ 21.6 28.0 ↑ 64.7 74,200 ↑ 100.2

Minnesota 1,250 ↑ 3.3 1,160 N C 53.0 ↑ 10.4 61,480 ↑ 10.4

Idaho 470 ↓ 7.8 450 ↓ 7.2 92.0 ↑ 46.0 41,400 ↑ 35.5

South Dakota 770 ↑ 6.9 730 ↑ 23.7 49.0 ↑ 69.0 35,770 ↑ 109.1

Top 5 States - By Production

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

11,110 10,705 47.0 502,920

N/A

↓ 2.7 ↑

Planted Harvested Yield Production

5.3 ↑ 44.2 ↑ 51.9

N C N/A

Planted Harvested Yield Production

% ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY

N C
33.7

31.8 32.2

35.1

29.9

34.9

34.1

38.4

35.2

29.1

39.5

43.2

37.1

33.2

37.1

40.5

45.2

46.1

37.7

44.9

47.1 46.7

46.2

47.3

41.0

48.3 48.3 48.6

32.6

47.0

26.0

31.0

36.0

41.0

46.0

51.0

1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021

Other Spring Wheat Yield

United States

July 12, 2022

Bushels per Acre
July 2022 Other Spring Wheat Yield

Bushels and Percent Change from Previous Year

July 12, 2022
0.534

0.595 0.603

0.532

0.416

0.623

0.561

0.588

0.331

0.503

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Other Spring Wheat Production

United States

July 12, 2022

Billion Bushels
2022 U.S. Other Spring Wheat Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

July 12, 2022

0.300

0.350

0.400

0.450

0.500

0.550

July August Final

Billion Bushels

Individual Industry Expectation NASS Estimate
July 2022 Durum Wheat

Acreage, Yield, and Production

July 12, 2022

United States

% Change from

Previous Estimate

% Change from

Previous Season

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

North Dakota 1,050 ↑ 19.3 1,015 ↑ 23.8 40.0 ↑ 66.7 40,600 ↑ 106.3

Montana 790 ↑ 17.9 770 ↑ 21.3 30.0 ↑ 87.5 23,100 ↑ 127.4

Arizona 9 0 ↑ 69.8 8 9 ↑ 71.2 102.0 ↑ 13.3 9,078 ↑ 94.0

California 4 0 ↑ 60.0 3 5 ↑ 75.0 112.0 ↑ 1.8 3,920 ↑ 78.2

Idaho 6 ↓ 14.3 6 ↓ 14.3 85.0 ↑ 10.4 510 ↓ 5.4

Top 5 States - By Production

Planted Harvested Yield Production

(1,000 Acres) (1,000 Acres) (Bushels/Acre) (1,000 Bushels)

↑ 24.8

% ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY % ∆ PY

1,976 1,915 40.3 77,208

N C N C N/A N/A

↑ 65.8 ↑ 107.2

Planted Harvested Yield Production

↑ 20.9
33.6

35.6

30.5

32.6

27.6

37.0

27.8

30.7

30.0

29.5

33.7

38.0

37.2

29.5

34.1

31.3

44.0

41.2

36.8

38.4

43.3

40.2

44.0 44.0

26.0

39.5

45.8

41.5

24.3

40.3

23.0

28.0

33.0

38.0

43.0

48.0

1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021

Durum Wheat Yield

United States

July 12, 2022

Bushels per Acre
July 2022 Durum Wheat Yield

Bushels and Percent Change from Previous Year

July 12, 2022
0.058 0.054

0.084

0.104

0.055

0.078

0.054

0.069

0.037

0.077

0.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.10

0.12

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Durum Wheat Production

United States

July 12, 2022

Billion Bushels
2022 U.S. Durum Wheat Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

July 12, 2022

0.035

0.045

0.055

0.065

0.075

0.085

0.095

July August Final

Billion Bushels

Individual Industry Expectation NASS Estimate
July 2022 Field Crops

Acreage, Yield, and Production

July 12, 2022

Unit Unit

Barley Bu Bu

% Change from Previous Estimate N C N C N/A N/A

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 14.5 ↑ 22.9 ↑ 20.9 ↑ 48.6

Oats Bu Bu

% Change from Previous Estimate N C N C N/A N/A

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 6.2 ↑ 22.5 ↑ 7.8 ↑ 32.1

Tobacco, Flue-Cured Lb Lb

% Change from Previous Estimate N/A N C N/A N/A

% Change from Previous Season N/A ↑ 1.3 ↓ 12.2 ↓ 11.1

Production

(1,000 Units)

174,852

52,613

278,600

3,046 2,395 73.0

Yield

(Units per Acre)

2,392 796

N/A 152

Harvested

(1,000 Acres)

Planted

(1,000 Acres)

66.1

1,833
July 2022 Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts

Production

July 12, 2022

Unit

Almonds Lb

% Change from Previous Estimate ↓ 7.1

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 10.8

Apricots Ton

% Change from Previous Estimate N/A

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 13.3

Production

(1,000 Units)

2,600,000

36.2

2.01

1.87 1.90

2.14

2.27 2.28

2.56

3.12

2.92

2.60

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Billion Pounds

Almond Production

United States

61.0

64.9

45.7

64.1

45.7

39.6

48.0

31.2

41.7

36.2

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Thousand Tons

Apricot Production

United States
July 12, 2022

July 2022 Citrus

Utilized Production

All Oranges

% Change from Previous Estimate ↓ 2.3

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 13.1

Non-Valencia Oranges

% Change from Previous Estimate ↓ 4.8

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 10.6

Valencia Oranges

% Change from Previous Estimate ↑ 2.5

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 17.2

Grapefruit

% Change from Previous Estimate ↓ 3.6

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 15.5

Lemons

% Change from Previous Estimate ↓ 0.8

% Change from Previous Season ↑ 16.5

Tangerines

% Change from Previous Estimate ↓ 4.6

% Change from Previous Season ↓ 30.0

836

3,811

2,428

1,383

370

972

Production

(1,000 Tons)

11.07

9.37 9.03 8.73

7.70

6.08

8.14 7.85

6.85

5.99

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Million Tons

All Citrus Production

United States

8.27

6.77

6.35 6.09

5.09

3.88

5.43 5.25

4.39

3.81

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Million Tons

All Orange Production

United States
Selected Upcoming Reports

July 12, 2022

https://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/index.php

Cattle

Cattle on Feed

Agricultural Prices

Farm Production Expenditures

Cotton System

Fats & Oils

Flour Milling

Grain Crushings

Cash Rents - State

Land Values

Cotton Ginnings

Crop Production

July 22

August 5

July 29

August 1

August 12
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July 12, 2022
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