12:00 P.M.

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

August Crop Production

Executive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

August 12, 2019
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

Field Crops Fruit and Nuts Specialty Crops

Corn Peaches Dry Beans

Soybeans Apples Tobacco

Cotton Pears Sugarbeets

Wheat Grapes Sugarcane

Oats Cranberries Hops

Barley

Sorghum

Alfalfa & Other Hay

Rice

Peanuts

Contents
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

June Re-Interview Ag Yield Objective Yield

Survey Type Farmer Reported Farmer Reported Field 

Measurement

Crops Included Corn, Cotton, Sorghum, 

and Soybeans Field Crops Winter Wheat

Sample Size 7,683 20,837 1,040

Collection Period July 8 – July 24 July 30 – Aug 6 July 25 – Aug 1

Survey Overview
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

https://www.nass.usda.gov/Education_and_Outreach/Understanding_Statistics/index.php
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

August 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

Corn

Planted Mil Ac 90.0 -1.8 +1.0

Harvested Mil Ac 82.0 -1.9 +0.3

Yield Bu/Ac 169.5 NA -3.9

Production Bil Bu 13.9 NA -3.6
90.0

82.0

60.0

65.0

70.0

75.0

80.0

85.0

90.0

95.0

100.0

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million Acres

Corn Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

8-12-19
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

80.0

82.0

84.0

86.0

88.0

90.0

92.0

94.0

96.0

98.0

2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million Acres

United States Corn Planted Acres

FSA and NASS

Aug FSA Final FSA NASS
USDA-NASS

8-12-19
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

81.0

83.0

85.0

87.0

89.0

91.0

93.0

March June August October Final

Million Acres

2019 United States Corn Acres

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation
9.43 9.92 9.50

8.97

10.09

11.8

11.1

10.5

13.0

12.0

13.1

12.4 12.3

10.8

13.8

14.2 13.6

15.1

14.6 14.4

13.9

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Billion Bushels

Corn for Grain Production

United States

USDA-NASS

8-12-19
169.5

80.0

90.0

100.0

110.0

120.0

130.0

140.0

150.0

160.0

170.0

180.0

190.0

1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Bushels per Acre

Corn for Grain Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

8-12-19
USDA-NASS

8-12-19
USDA-NASS

8-12-19
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

12.7

12.9

13.1

13.3

13.5

13.7

13.9

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels

2019 United States Corn Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

August 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

Soybeans

Planted Mil Ac 76.7 -4.2 -14.0

Harvested Mil Ac 75.9 -4.3 -13.9

Yield Bu/Ac 48.5 NA -6.0

Production Bil Bu 3.68 NA -19.0
76.7

75.9

55.0

60.0

65.0

70.0

75.0

80.0

85.0

90.0

95.0

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million Acres

Soybean Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

8-12-19
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

60.0

65.0

70.0

75.0

80.0

85.0

90.0

95.0

2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million Acres

United States Soybeans Planted Acres

FSA and NASS

Aug FSA Final FSA NASS
USDA-NASS

8-12-19
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

76.0

78.0

80.0

82.0

84.0

86.0

88.0

90.0

March June August October Final

Million Acres

2019 United States Soybean Acres

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Estimate Individual Industry Expectation
2.65

2.76

2.89

2.76

2.45

3.12 3.07

3.20

2.68

2.97

3.36 3.33

3.10

3.04

3.36

3.93 3.93

4.30

4.41 4.54

3.68

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Billion Bushels

Soybean Production

United States

USDA-NASS

8-12-19
48.5

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

55.0

1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Bushels per Acre

Soybean Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

8-12-19
USDA-NASS

8-12-19
USDA-NASS

8-12-19
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

3.60

3.65

3.70

3.75

3.80

3.85

3.90

3.95

4.00

August September October November Final

Billion Bushels

2019 United States Soybean Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

August 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

All Cotton

Planted Mil Ac 13.9 +1.3 -1.4

Harvested Mil Ac 12.6 NA +23.8

Yield Lb/Ac 855 NA -1.0

Production Mil Bls 22.5 NA +22.6
13.9

12.6

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million Acres

All Cotton Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

8-12-19
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

8.0

9.0

10.0

11.0

12.0

13.0

14.0

15.0

2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million Acres

United States Upland Cotton Planted Acres

FSA vs NASS

Aug FSA Final FSA NASS
USDA-NASS

8-12-19
17.0 17.2

20.3

17.2

18.3

23.3 23.9

21.6

19.2

12.8

12.2

18.1

15.6

17.3

12.9

16.3

12.9

17.2

20.9

18.4

22.5

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Million Bales

All Cotton Production

United States

USDA-NASS

8-12-19
855

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

850

900

950

1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Pounds per Acre

All Cotton Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

8-12-19
USDA-NASS

8-12-19
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

August 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

Winter Wheat

Harvested Mil Ac 24.9 NC +0.7

Yield Bu/Ac 53.2 +2.7 +11.1

Production Bil Bu 1.33 +2.8 +12.0

Other Spring Wheat

Harvested Mil Ac 12.1 NC -6.0

Yield Bu/Ac 49.2 +4.2 +1.9

Production Mil Bu 597 +4.3 -4.3

Durum Wheat

Harvested Mil Ac 1.36 NC -31.1

Yield Bu/Ac 42.3 -1.4 +7.6

Production Mil Bu 57.3 -1.4 -25.8

All Wheat

Production Bil Bu 1.98 +3.1 +5.1
USDA-NASS

8-12-19
2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014 2015

2016

2017

2018 Jun - 19

Jul - 19

Aug-19

0.530

0.540

0.550

0.560

0.570

0.580

0.590

0.600

0.610

0.620

0.630

0.640

0.650

0.660

0.670

0.680

0.690

0.700

0.710

0.720

38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49

Grams/Head

Heads Per Square Foot

Wheat Objective Yield Region

Heads Per Square Foot vs. Implied Head Weight

Implied Head Weight = Published Yield / (Heads*1.6006) USDA-NASS

8-12-19
USDA-NASS

8-12-19
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

1.86

1.88

1.90

1.92

1.94

1.96

1.98

2.00

July August Final

Billion Bushels

2019 United States All Wheat Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

1.20

1.25

1.30

1.35

1.40

1.45

May June July August Final

Billion Bushels

2019 United States Winter Wheat Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

510

525

540

555

570

585

600

615

630

July August Final

Million Bushels

2019 United States Other Spring Wheat Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

40.0

45.0

50.0

55.0

60.0

65.0

70.0

75.0

80.0

July August Final

Million Bushels

2019 United States Durum Wheat Production

Industry Expectations vs NASS

NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

August 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

Oats Mil Bu 60.4 -2.0 +7.6

Barley Mil Bu 172 +0.8 +12.5

Sorghum Mil Bu 354 NA -3.1

Alfalfa Hay Mil Tons 55.4 NA +5.2

Other Hay Mil Tons 75.7 NA +6.6

Rice Mil Cwt 205 NA -8.4

Peanuts Bil Lbs 5.30 NA -2.9
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

August 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

All Tobacco Mil Lbs 504 NA -5.5

Dry Beans Mil Cwt 24.6 NA NA

Sugarbeets Mil Tons 34.8 NA +4.8

Sugarcane Mil Tons 34.4 NA -0.4
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

August 2019 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2019 Forecast Season 

Peaches Thou Tons 734 NA +12.6

Apples Bil Lbs 10.6 NA +3.6

Pears Thou Tons 805 NA -0.1

Grapes Mil Tons 7.50 NA -1.3

Hops Mil Lbs 106 NA -0.5

Cranberries Mil Bbls 9.04 NA +1.3
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

Release Date Report Title

August 16 Farm Computer Usage and Ownership

August 23 Cattle on Feed

Rice Stocks

August 28 Citrus Fruits

August 30 Agricultural Prices

September 3 CAIR: Cotton, Fats & Oils, and Grain Crushings

September 12 Cotton Ginnings

Crop Production

Upcoming Reports
USDA-NASS

8-12-19

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8-12-19
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