Hogs & Pigs Inventory

March 30, 2017

Executive Briefing

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service
Survey Overview

March Hogs & Pigs

Data Collection Period February 28 – March 17

Sample Size 7,541

Collection Methods Mail, Telephone, Internet, Face-to-Face Interview

Primary Data Items Total Inventory: by class, weight group, and quarter;

Sows Farrowing; Pig Crop; and Pigs per Litter

March 30, 2017
U.S. Hogs and Pigs Revisions

Survey Item

Initial

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Previous 

Revision

(1,000 head)

Current

Revision

(1,000 head)

Net 

Revision

(1,000 head)

Current 

Estimate

(1,000 head)

September 1, 2016 All Hogs 

and Pigs 70,851 +435+0.6%

+600

+0.8%

+1035

+1.5% 71,886

Pig Crop 31,983 +4

+0.01%

+344

+1.1%

+348

+1.1% 32,331

December 1, 2016 All Hogs 

and Pigs 71,500 71,500

March 30, 2017
U.S. Hogs & Pigs March 1

Item 2016 2017 % PY

1,000 head

All Hogs & Pigs 68,124 70,976 104

Breeding Hogs 5,980 6,068 101

Market Hogs 62,144 64,908 104

less than 50 lbs 19,897 20,617 104

50-119 lbs 17,198 17,902 104

120-179 lbs 13,819 14,570 105

180 lbs & over 11,229 11,819 105

Sows Farrowed 2,927 3,010 103

Pig Crop 30,139 31,400 104

number

Pigs per Litter 10.30 10.43 101

1,000 head

Mar-May Farrowings 2,968 3,010 101

Jun-Aug Farrowings 3,057 3,045 100

March 30, 2017
U.S. Quarterly Hogs & Pigs

2008 - 2017

March 30, 2017

71.0

61

63

65

67

69

71

73

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Million head

March 1 December 1

68.1

71.5
March 1, 2017 

Hogs and Pigs Inventory

(1,000) Head and Percent of Previous Year

March 30, 2017

Inventory Down Up No Change

Non-published States

3,076

98
NASS Estimates Compared

to Trade Expectations

Percent of Previous Year

Inventory Items

NASS

Estimate

Trade

Average

Trade

Range

All Hogs & Pigs 104.2% 103.9% 102.6% – 105.0%

Breeding Hogs 101.5% 101.7% 101.0% – 102.3%

Market Hogs 104.4% 104.1% 102.7% – 105.1%

Dec – Feb Pig Crop 104.2% 103.4% 101.9% – 105.0%

Farrowing Intentions

Mar – May 2017 101.4% 101.4% 100.7% – 103.0%

Jun – Aug 2017 99.6% 101.6% 100.7% – 103.0%

March 30, 2017
59

61

63

65

67

69

71

73

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Million head

ASB First Estimate ASB Final Estimate Lower Trade Range Upper Trade Range

All Hogs and Pigs

First Estimate Versus Final Estimate

2008 - 2017

March 30, 2017
U.S. Quarterly Sows Farrowed

2008-2017

3.01

3.05

3.01

2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.2

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Million head

Dec-Feb Estimate Mar-May Intentions Jun-Aug Intentions

March 30, 2017
Breeding Herd Inventory

Disposition & Utilization

Year

Dec 1

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Slaughter

(1,000 head)

Additions

(1,000 head)

Mar 1

Estimate

(1,000 head)

Sow

Utilization

(Percent)

2008 6,233 953 920 6,200 49

2009 6,062 877 807 5,992 49

2010 5,850 846 756 5,760 49

2011 5,778 792 802 5,788 49

2012 5,803 823 840 5,820 48

2013 5,819 805 819 5,834 48

2014 5,757 779 873 5,851 48

2015 5,939 792 835 5,982 49

2016 6,002 782 760 5,980 49

2017 6,090 802 780 6,068 49

March 30, 2017
U.S. Quarterly Pigs per Litter

2008-2017

March 30, 2017

10.63

10.30

10.43

9.00

9.30

9.60

9.90

10.20

10.50

10.80

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Pigs per Litter

Dec - Feb Sep - Nov
U.S. Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation

December 2016 - February 2017

10.43

8.00

8.70

9.10

9.50

10.20

10.50

7.50

8.00

8.50

9.00

9.50

10.00

10.50

11.00

All 1-99 100-499 500-999 1,000-1,999 2,000-4,999 5,000+

Pigs per Litter

Size of Operation

March 30, 2017
Canadian Imports by Quarter

Feeder Pigs and Slaughter Hogs

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Thousand head

Feeder Slaughter

March 30, 2017
U.S. Prices Received by Farmers

for Hogs & Corn

$1.50

$2.50

$3.50

$4.50

$5.50

$6.50

$7.50

$8.50

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

$100

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Corn $/bu

Hogs $/cwt

Hogs Corn

March 30, 2017
Upcoming NASS Reports

Release Date Report Title

March 31 Grain Stocks, Rice Stocks,

Prospective Plantings

April 3 Cotton System, Fats & Oils, Grain Crushings

April 11 Crop Production

April 20 Milk Production

April 21 Cattle on Feed

April 27 Production, Disposition, & Income:

Meat Animals, Milk

Annual Dairy Products

April 28 Poultry – Production and Value

March 30, 2017
All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

(202) 720-3570

(800) 727-9540

nass@nass.usda.gov

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

March 30, 2017