12:00 P.M.

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

July Crop Production

Executive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

July 10, 2015
USDA-NASS

7-10-15

Field Crops Fruit and Nuts Specialty Crops

Winter Wheat Citrus Tobacco

Other Spring Wheat Apricots A. Winter Peas

Durum Wheat Almonds Dry Peas

Barley Lentils

Oats

Contents
USDA-NASS

7-10-15

Ag Yield Objective Yield

Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

Crops Included

Winter, Spring & Durum 

Wheat, Oats, Barley, 

Tobacco

Winter Wheat

States 35 10

Sample Size 7,899 1,470

Collection Period June 26– July 7 June 24– July 1

Survey Overview
25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

Percent

U.S. Winter Wheat Condition

Percent Rated Good to Excellent

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

USDA-NASS

7-10-15
U.S. Winter Wheat Progress

Percent Harvested

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 USDA-NASS 

7-10-15

Percent
USDA-NASS

7-10-15

July 2015 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

July Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season 

Wheat, Winter

Harvested Mil Ac 33.3 NC +3.2

Yield Bu/Ac 43.7 -1.8 +2.6

Production Bil Bu 1.46 -3.3 +5.7

Production by Class

Hard Red Mil Bu 866 -2.4 +17.4

Soft Red Mil Bu 393 -4.9 -13.6

White Mil Bu 196 -4.0 +6.2

Crop Unit 
43.7

30.0

32.0

34.0

36.0

38.0

40.0

42.0

44.0

46.0

48.0

50.0

1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

Bushels per Acre Winter Wheat Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

7-10-15
USDA-NASS

7-10-15
USDA-NASS

7-10-15

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

Winter Wheat Objective Yield - July

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab

Year Mature

---Percent---

2010 58

2011 60

2012 77

2013 55

2014 58

2015 64
USDA-NASS

7-10-15

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Jun-15

Jul-15

0.530

0.540

0.550

0.560

0.570

0.580

0.590

0.600

0.610

0.620

0.630

0.640

39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47

Grams/Head

Heads Per Square Foot

Wheat Objective Yield Region

Heads Per Square Foot vs. Implied Head Weight

Implied Head Weight = (Published Yield * 60) / Heads
USDA-NASS

7-10-15

NASS

Estimate

Low

Of Expectations

Average

Of Expectations

High

Of Expectations

% Change % Change

From From

July Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season 

Wheat, Spring

Harvested Mil Ac 13.2 NC +3.7

Yield Bu/Ac 46.7 NA NC

Production Mil Bu 617 NA +3.7

Crop Unit 

July 2015 Crop Production
USDA-NASS

7-10-15
USDA-NASS

7-10-15

% Change % Change

From From

July Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season 

Wheat, Durum

Harvested Mil Ac 1.91 NC +42.7

Yield Bu/Ac 39.6 NA -0.3

Production Mil Bu 75.5 NA +42.3

Crop Unit 

July 2015 Crop Production
USDA-NASS

7-10-15

July 2015 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

July Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season 

Wheat, All

Harvested Mil Ac 48.5 NC +4.5

Yield Bu/Ac 44.3 NA +1.4

Production Bil Bu 2.15 NA +6.0

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

7-10-15

July 2015 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

July Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season 

Oats

Harvested Mil Ac 1.22 NC +18.6

Yield Bu/Ac 68.6 NA +1.3

Production Mil Bu 83.6 NA +20.0

Barley

Harvested Mil Ac 2.92 NC +19.5

Yield Bu/Ac 71.3 NA -1.5

Production Mil Bu 208 NA +17.7

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

7-10-15

July 2015 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit July Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season 

Production

Oranges Mil Tons 6.38 -0.7 -5.6

Grapefruit Thou Tons 926 -5.7 -11.6

Lemons Thou Tons 880 -0.7 +6.8

Tangelos Thou Tons 31.0 -3.1 -22.5

Tangerines & 

Mandarins Thou Tons 758 NC +3.3
USDA-NASS

7-10-15

July 2015 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

July Previous Previous

2015 Estimate Season 

Tobacco, Flue-Cured

Harvested Thou Ac 207 NC -15.7

Yield Lbs/Ac 2202 NA -5.7

Production Mil Lbs 455 NA -20.5

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

7-10-15

July 2015 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

July Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season 

Production 

Almonds (CA) Bil Lbs 1.80 -2.7 -3.7

Apricots Thou Tons 53.0 NA -17.3

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

7-10-15

July 2015 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

July Previous Previous

2015 Estimate Season 

A. Winter Peas

Planted Thou Ac 28.0 +40.0 +16.7

Harvested Thou Ac 21.0 NA +25.0

Dry Peas

Planted Thou Ac 980 -2.5 +4.8

Harvested Thou Ac 927 NA +3.1

Lentils

Planted Thou Ac 485 +26.0 +72.6

Harvested Thou Ac 468 NA +80.7

Crop Unit 
USDA-NASS

7-10-15

Release Date Report Title

July 17 Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts Annual

July 24 Cattle

Cattle on Feed

July 30 Agricultural Prices

August 3

CAIR: Cotton

CAIR: Flour Millings

CAIR: Grain Crushings

CAIR: Fats & Oils

August 12 Crop Production

Cotton Ginnings

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