NOVEMBER CROP PRODUCTION

Executive Summary

NOVEMBER 9, 2011 8:30 AM

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

Contents

Field Crops Small Grains Update

Corn Sugarbeets Other Spring Wheat

Soybeans Sugarcane Durum Wheat

Cotton Dry Edible Beans Barley

Sorghum Lentils Oats

Rice Austrian Winter Peas

Peanuts Fall Potatoes
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

Survey Overview

Ag Yield Objective Yield

Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

Crops Included Field Crops Corn, Soybeans, 

Cotton

Sample Size ~ 10,800 Corn = 1,920

Soybeans = 1,835

Cotton = 1,217

Collection Period Oct 28 – Nov 4 Oct 25 – Nov 1
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

Crop Unit

November

2011

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Forecast

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Corn

 Harvested Mil Ac 83.9 NC + 3.1

 Yield Bu/Ac 146.7 - 0.9 - 4.0

 Production Bil Bu 12.3 - 1.0 - 1.1

November 2011 Crop Production
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

9.5

9.0

10.1

11.8

11.1

10.5

13.0

12.1

13.1

12.4 12.3

8.00

9.00

10.00

11.00

12.00

13.00

14.00

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Billion bushels

U.S. Corn Production
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

146.7

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Bushels/Acre

U.S. Corn Yield
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

04

05

06 07

08

09

10

Sept 11

Oct 11

Nov 11

0.290

0.300

0.310

0.320

0.330

0.340

0.350

0.360

0.370

Lbs/Ear

Ears Per Acre

Corn Objective Yield Region

Derived Grain Weight vs Ears per Acre 
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

Corn Objective Yield - November

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab

Year Dent Stage Mature

---Percent---

2007 -- 96

2008 < 0.5 94

2009 3 91

2010 < 0.5 96

2011 < 0.5 94
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

Corn for Grain Yields, November 1, 2011

Bushels and Change From Previous Month

107 NC

140-2

1905 120

-7

1272

152# NC

156-3

145 NC

1712

100-5 139 NC

135 NC

105 NC

148 NC

160-5

118 NC

115 NC

160 NC

125-5

127-3

82-2

110 -11

1595

80-5

109 NC

55-2

U.S. 146.7

-1.4

# Record High

NC = No Change

135-4

136-1

105

-7

119 NC

210 NC

160 NC
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

2011 Corn Percent Harvested

Current Year and Change from 5-Year Average

Week Ending October 30, 2011

57-6

8918

57-8

8731

9314 921

32-13

9333

9620

7322

98 NC

8844

18-37

39-19

8538

97 NC

975

18 Sts 78

16

5510
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

12.3

12.2

12.4

12.5

NASS Low Average High

NASS Estimates vs. Expectations

Corn Production (Billion Bushels)
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

Crop Unit

November

2011

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Forecast

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Soybeans

 Harvested Mil Ac 73.7 NC - 3.8

 Yield Bu/Ac 41.3 - 0.5 - 5.1

 Production Bil Bu 3.05 - 0.5 - 8.5

November 2011 Crop Production
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

2.89

2.76

2.45

3.12

3.07

3.20

2.68

2.97

3.36

3.33

3.05

2.40

2.60

2.80

3.00

3.20

3.40

3.60

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Billion bushels

U.S. Soybean Production
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

41.3

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Bushels/Acre

U.S. Soybean Yield
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

05

06

07

08

09

10

Oct 11 Sep 11

Nov 11

0.26

0.27

0.28

0.29

0.30

Grams/Pod

Pods Per 18 Square Feet

Soybean Objective Yield Region

Derived Pod Weight vs Pod Count
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

Soybean Objective Yield - November 

Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab

Year Mature

---Percent---

2007 91

2008 91

2009 87

2010 94

2011 95
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

Soybean Yields, November 1, 2011

Bushels and Change From Previous Month

333

37 NC

391

232

46 NC

42 NC

50.5 NC

27 NC 39 NC

371

39 NC

44 NC

40-1

41#1

37 NC

53-1

351

431

31 NC

28-1

46 NC

17 NC

40-2

26 NC

U.S. 41.3

-0.2

# Record High

NC = No Change

38-1

34-1

15 NC

39# NC

472
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

2011 Soybeans Percent Harvested

Current Year and Change from 5-Year Average

Week Ending October 30, 2011

71 NC

9414

81-1

9813

8615 68-1

995

77 NC

10012

955 18 Sts 87

8

8218

9813

253

9816

51-35

10016

67-2

9218
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

3.05

2.98

3.06

3.11

NASS Low Average High

NASS Estimates vs. Expectations

Soybean Production (Billion Bushels)
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

Crop Unit

November

2011

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Forecast

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

All Cotton

 Harvested Mil Ac 9.85 NC - 7.9

 Yield Lbs/Ac 794 - 1.9 - 2.2

 Production Mil Bales 16.3 - 1.9 - 10.0

November 2011 Crop Production
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

20.3

17.2

18.3

23.3

23.9

21.6

19.2

12.8

12.2

18.1

16.3

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

20.0

22.0

24.0

26.0

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

U.S. All Cotton Production

Million bales
794

400

500

600

700

800

900

Pounds/Acre

U.S. All Cotton Yield

USDA-NASS 

11-9-11
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

Upland Cotton Yield, November 1, 2011

Pounds and Change From Previous Month

731 NC

1510 NC 996 NC

1432 -53

700 -12

837 -16

595 NC

893 NC

952-8

1131# NC

952 NC

660 -42 504 NC 7848

U.S. 781

-16

# Record High Yield

823 NC

578 -22

793 -42
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

16.3

16.1

16.4

16.6

NASS Low Average High

NASS Estimates vs. Expectations

Cotton Production (Million Bales)
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

Crop Unit

November

2011

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Forecast

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Sorghum Mil Bu 246 + 0.9 - 28.8

Rice Mil Cwt 188 + 0.6 - 22.6

Peanuts Bil Lbs 3.65 + 0.6 - 12.2

November 2011 Crop Production
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

Crop Unit

November

2011

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Forecast

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Sugarbeets Mil Tons 28.9 - 1.1 - 9.6

Sugarcane Mil Tons 28.6 - <0.1 + 4.6

November 2011 Crop Production
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

Crop Unit

November

2011

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Forecast

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Dry Edible Peas Mil Cwt 5.39 --- - 62.1

Lentils Mil Cwt 4.72 --- - 45.5

Austrian Winter Peas Thou Cwt 199 --- - 16.0

Fall Potatoes Mil Cwt 385 --- + 5.1

November 2011 Crop Production
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

Crop Unit 2011

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Estimate

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Other Spring Wheat

 Harvested Mil Ac 12.1 NC - 9.6

 Yield Bu/Ac 37.7 - 1.6 - 18.2

 Production Mil Bu 455 - 1.6 - 26.1

Durum Wheat

 Harvested Mil Ac 1.31 - 0.8 - 47.9

 Yield Bu/Ac 38.5 - 2.0 - 8.6

 Production Mil Bu 50.5 - 2.7 - 52.4

All Wheat

 Production Bil Bu 2.00 - 0.4 - 9.4

 Stocks Bil Bu 2.14 - 0.4 - 12.6

Small Grains Annual Summary
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

Crop Unit 2011

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Estimate

% Change 

from 

Previous 

Season

Barley

 Harvested Mil Ac 2.24 NC - 9.2

 Yield Bu/Ac 69.6 + 0.6 - 4.8

 Production Mil Bu 156 + 0.5 - 13.6

 Stocks Mil Bu 175 + 0.4 - 21.8

Oats

 Harvested Thou Ac 939 - 0.1 - 25.7

 Yield Bu/Ac 57.1 - 0.7 - 11.2

 Production Mil Bu 53.6 - 0.7 - 33.9

 Stocks Mil Bu 78.0 - 0.5 - 33.3

Small Grains Annual Summary
USDA-NASS 

11-9-11

Upcoming Reports 

Nov 18 Cattle on Feed

Nov 30 Agricultural Prices

Dec 9 Crop Production

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service