Base Case with 316(b) & Proposed 111(d) regulations

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

U.S. Natural Gas Supply, Disposition, and Prices

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

 Production

 Dry Gas Production 25.38 25.83 27.72 29.85 31.69 36.89 40.68

 Conventional 7.35 6.86 7.16 7.02 6.87 8.02 7.64

 Unconventional 18.03 18.97 20.55 22.82 24.82 28.87 33.04

 Supplemental Natural Gas 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

 Net Imports

 Pipeline 0.87 0.48 (0.05) (0.76) (1.18) (0.50) 0.93

 Liquefied Natural Gas 0.05 (0.16) (0.12) (0.98) (1.43) (1.51) (1.48)

 Total Supply 26.30 26.15 27.56 28.10 29.08 34.88 40.12

Demand

 Firm 8.67 8.75 8.82 9.05 9.44 10.78 11.30

 Interruptible 6.81 6.88 6.92 7.14 7.55 8.61 9.32

 Electric Power 8.75 8.45 9.55 9.51 9.61 12.71 16.55

 Pipeline and Storage Fuel 0.73 0.71 0.74 0.78 0.80 0.90 0.93

 Lease and Plant Fuel 1.31 1.34 1.51 1.59 1.66 1.86 2.00

 Net Storage Injection 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03

 Total Demand 26.30 26.15 27.56 28.10 29.08 34.88 40.12

Natural Gas Prices

 (2011 dollars per million Btu)

 Henry Hub Spot Price 4.55 4.89 5.62 5.56 6.07 6.29 8.36

 Lower-48 Average Wellhead Price 4.34 4.63 5.36 5.20 5.68 5.80 7.69

 Lower-48 Average Citygate Price 4.93 5.24 5.96 5.87 6.37 6.55 8.48

U.S. Natural Gas Production by Supply Region

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Dry Production (trillion cubic feet) 

 Lower-48 25.25 25.70 27.49 29.62 31.47 36.69 40.50

 Conventional 7.22 6.73 6.93 6.80 6.65 7.82 7.46

 Unconventional 18.03 18.97 20.55 22.82 24.82 28.87 33.04

 Alaska 0.13 0.13 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.20 0.18

 Conventional 0.13 0.13 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.20 0.18

 Unconventional - - - - - - -

 U.S. Total 25.38 25.83 27.72 29.85 31.69 36.89 40.68

 Conventional 7.35 6.86 7.16 7.02 6.87 8.02 7.64

 Unconventional 18.03 18.97 20.55 22.82 24.82 28.87 33.04

 Lower-48 Onshore

 Northeast 4.12 4.35 4.78 5.46 6.26 8.21 10.91

 Conventional 0.45 0.47 0.47 0.44 0.39 0.30 0.22

 Unconventional 3.67 3.89 4.31 5.02 5.88 7.91 10.69

 Gulf Coast 8.28 8.89 9.76 10.77 11.25 12.14 12.73

 Conventional 1.53 1.63 1.69 1.66 1.51 1.40 1.44

 Unconventional 6.75 7.26 8.07 9.10 9.74 10.74 11.28

 Midcontinent 3.13 3.25 3.42 3.58 3.70 4.01 4.24

 Conventional 1.19 1.23 1.25 1.21 1.09 0.89 0.74

 Unconventional 1.94 2.02 2.17 2.38 2.61 3.13 3.50

 Southwest 2.70 2.80 2.86 2.87 2.72 2.29 1.85

 Conventional 0.94 0.94 0.91 0.84 0.73 0.55 0.40

 Unconventional 1.76 1.86 1.96 2.04 1.99 1.74 1.45

 Rocky Mountain 4.95 5.04 5.16 5.41 5.66 6.36 6.97

 Conventional 1.05 1.10 1.12 1.13 1.07 1.02 0.95

 Unconventional 3.91 3.94 4.04 4.27 4.58 5.34 6.03

 West Coast 0.22 0.23 0.25 0.26 0.25 0.22 0.26

 Conventional 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.24 0.21 0.17

 Unconventional 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.08

 Lower-48 Offshore (Conventional)

 Gulf 1.84 1.13 1.26 1.27 1.63 3.45 3.53

 Pacific 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

 Atlantic - - - - - - -

Gas End-of-Year Reserves and Annual Reserve Additions

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050
Base Case with 316(b) & Proposed 111(d) regulations

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

U.S. Natural Gas Supply, Disposition, and Prices

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

U.S. Reserves

Dry Natural Gas (trillion cubic feet)

 Lower-48 Onshore 369.3 381.6 422.4 457.1 486.6 586.7 653.3

 Conventional 51.1 51.3 49.8 45.9 39.6 33.7 30.1

 Unconventional 318.3 330.3 372.6 411.2 447.0 552.9 623.1

 Lower-48 Offshore (Conventional) 6.0 5.9 6.1 7.6 9.5 23.0 17.9

 Alaska (Conventional) 9.7 9.6 8.9 8.1 7.9 7.1 6.3

 Total 385.0 397.2 437.3 472.7 504.0 616.7 677.4

 Conventional 66.8 66.8 64.7 61.6 57.0 63.8 54.3

 Unconventional 318.3 330.3 372.6 411.2 447.0 552.9 623.1

U.S. Reserve Additions

Dry Natural Gas (trillion cubic feet)

 Lower-48 Onshore 34.9 36.6 36.1 34.9 34.3 41.3 44.1

 Conventional 5.9 5.6 5.0 4.4 3.6 3.6 3.3

 Unconventional 29.0 31.0 31.1 30.5 30.8 37.7 40.8

 Lower-48 Offshore (Conventional) 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 4.1 2.6

 Alaska (Conventional) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

 Total 35.9 37.7 37.3 36.3 36.2 45.5 46.8

 Conventional 6.9 6.6 6.2 5.8 5.4 7.8 6.0

 Unconventional 29.0 31.0 31.1 30.5 30.8 37.7 40.8

Natural Gas Imports and Exports

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Volumes (trillion cubic feet)

 Total Net Imports 0.92 0.32 (0.16) (1.74) (2.61) (2.01) (0.55)

 Total Imports 2.46 2.18 1.90 1.64 1.57 2.70 3.95

 Pipeline Imports from Canada 2.12 1.84 1.56 1.35 1.32 2.55 3.78

 Pipeline Imports from Mexico 0.09 0.10 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.05

 Liquefied Natural Gas Imports 0.25 0.24 0.29 0.22 0.17 0.09 0.12

 Total Exports 1.54 1.86 2.06 3.38 4.17 4.72 4.50

 Pipeline Exports to Canada 0.42 0.45 0.59 0.81 0.92 0.86 0.65

 Pipeline Exports to Mexico 0.92 1.01 1.07 1.37 1.66 2.26 2.25

 Liquefied Natural Gas Exports 0.20 0.40 0.40 1.20 1.60 1.60 1.60

Border Prices

(2011 dollars per thousand cubic feet)

 Average Import Price 5.02 5.37 6.18 6.16 6.68 6.61 7.86

 Pipeline Import Prices

 From Canada 4.94 5.25 6.11 6.10 6.63 6.56 7.80

 From Mexico 5.65 6.56 6.67 6.58 7.11 7.52 9.54

 From Bahamas N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

 LNG Price (including regasification) 5.48 5.75 6.48 6.34 6.86 7.12 9.20

Natural Gas Consumption by End-Use Sector and Census Division

(trillion cubic feet)

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

 FIRM

 New England 0.39 0.38 0.39 0.40 0.41 0.44 0.45

 Middle Atlantic 1.55 1.53 1.53 1.56 1.60 1.67 1.72

 East North Central 2.20 2.16 2.17 2.19 2.23 2.33 2.39

 West North Central 0.77 0.75 0.76 0.77 0.78 0.81 0.84

 South Atlantic 0.85 0.83 0.83 0.84 0.85 0.88 0.90

 East South Central 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.39 0.41 0.42

 West South Central 0.88 1.09 1.13 1.25 1.49 2.48 2.80

 Mountain 0.60 0.59 0.60 0.60 0.61 0.63 0.65

 Pacific 1.05 1.03 1.04 1.06 1.08 1.12 1.14

 Total 8.67 8.75 8.82 9.05 9.44 10.78 11.30

 INTERRUPTIBLE

 New England 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13

 Middle Atlantic 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.46 0.52 0.57

 East North Central 1.18 1.19 1.21 1.23 1.28 1.54 1.66

 West North Central 0.87 0.89 0.89 0.90 0.93 1.07 1.15

 South Atlantic 0.53 0.54 0.56 0.56 0.59 0.70 0.75

 East South Central 0.43 0.43 0.42 0.44 0.49 0.58 0.63

 West South Central 2.03 2.05 2.05 2.17 2.35 2.58 2.81

 Mountain 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.36 0.37 0.42 0.46

 Pacific 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.91 0.96 1.08 1.17
Base Case with 316(b) & Proposed 111(d) regulations

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

U.S. Natural Gas Supply, Disposition, and Prices

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

 Total 6.81 6.88 6.92 7.14 7.55 8.61 9.32

 ELECTRIC POWER

 New England 0.51 0.44 0.42 0.36 0.35 0.46 0.54

 Middle Atlantic 0.86 0.80 0.82 0.80 0.83 1.27 1.77

 East North Central 0.47 0.37 0.57 0.51 0.53 0.87 1.56

 West North Central 0.09 0.08 0.15 0.13 0.13 0.31 0.32

 South Atlantic 2.21 2.16 2.48 2.54 2.72 4.03 5.17

 East South Central 0.77 0.70 0.78 0.79 0.77 0.86 1.01

 West South Central 2.24 2.23 2.58 2.61 2.54 2.80 3.41

 Mountain 0.55 0.58 0.62 0.60 0.60 0.87 1.26

 Pacific 1.05 1.07 1.15 1.16 1.14 1.23 1.51

 Total 8.75 8.45 9.55 9.51 9.61 12.71 16.55

 TOTAL

 New England 1.02 0.96 0.93 0.89 0.88 1.02 1.12

 Middle Atlantic 2.85 2.77 2.80 2.81 2.89 3.47 4.05

 East North Central 3.85 3.72 3.94 3.93 4.03 4.74 5.61

 West North Central 1.73 1.72 1.80 1.80 1.84 2.19 2.31

 South Atlantic 3.60 3.54 3.87 3.94 4.17 5.61 6.82

 East South Central 1.59 1.51 1.57 1.61 1.64 1.85 2.05

 West South Central 5.15 5.37 5.75 6.03 6.38 7.86 9.02

 Mountain 1.49 1.52 1.56 1.56 1.58 1.92 2.37

 Pacific 2.97 2.98 3.06 3.13 3.18 3.43 3.82

 Total 24.24 24.08 25.29 25.71 26.60 32.09 37.17

Production Area Prices

(2011 dollars per thousand cubic feet)

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

 Lower-48 4.47 4.77 5.52 5.36 5.85 5.98 7.93

 Lower-48 Onshore

 Northeast 4.89 5.19 5.93 5.73 6.20 6.28 8.07

 Gulf Coast 4.42 4.71 5.44 5.25 5.74 5.93 7.99

 Midcontinent 4.28 4.56 5.37 5.20 5.70 5.85 7.86

 Southwest 4.36 4.64 5.38 5.17 5.68 5.89 7.96

 Rocky Mountain 4.37 4.67 5.42 5.27 5.70 5.72 7.41

 West Coast 4.58 4.94 5.73 5.64 6.19 6.45 8.05

 Lower-48 Offshore

 Gulf 4.44 4.82 5.60 5.54 6.01 5.97 8.19

 Pacific 5.34 6.23 6.31 6.25 6.77 7.17 9.10

Natural Gas Prices by Census Division

(2011 dollars per thousand cubic feet)

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

 Average Citygate Price

 New England 5.49 5.79 6.54 6.40 6.88 7.06 8.98

 Middle Atlantic 5.33 5.63 6.38 6.23 6.72 6.83 8.67

 East North Central 5.10 5.42 6.30 6.24 6.80 6.89 8.85

 West North Central 4.93 5.26 6.09 6.02 6.57 6.71 8.73

 South Atlantic 5.47 5.61 6.36 6.28 6.78 7.01 9.11

 East South Central 4.90 5.22 6.01 5.93 6.43 6.67 8.79

 West South Central 4.60 4.92 5.67 5.55 6.08 6.33 8.45

 Mountain 4.76 5.07 5.86 5.73 6.20 6.29 8.21

 Pacific 5.20 5.78 6.31 6.23 6.72 7.00 8.81

 U.S. Average 5.06 5.38 6.12 6.02 6.54 6.72 8.73

Regional Supply and Demand Balance (BCF per year)

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

New England

Supply:

Dry Gas Production - - - - - - -

 Conventional - - - - - - -

 Unconventional - - - - - - -

Supplemental Natural Gas - - - - - - -

Pipeline Imports:

Middle Atlantic 738 722 692 741 776 1,027 1,101
Base Case with 316(b) & Proposed 111(d) regulations

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

U.S. Natural Gas Supply, Disposition, and Prices

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

Canada 115 75 34 5 9 8 25

Liquefied Natural Gas Imports:

Everett - 164 26 145 99 37 43

Neptune 24 - 85 - - - -

Northeast Gateway 150 - 99 - - - -

Storage Extraction - - - - 0 9 9

Total Supply 1,026 961 936 892 884 1,081 1,178

Demand:

Consumption 1,019 956 933 887 883 1,023 1,121

Pipeline Exports:

Middle Atlantic 7 5 3 5 1 48 46

Canada - - - - - - -

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Lease and Plant Fuel - - - - - - -

Storage Injection - - - - 0 10 10

Total Demand 1,026 961 936 892 884 1,081 1,178

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Middle Atlantic

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 3,089 3,242 3,544 3,985 4,467 5,462 6,673

 Conventional 136 144 153 140 121 88 61

 Unconventional 2,952 3,098 3,390 3,846 4,346 5,374 6,612

Supplemental Natural Gas - - - - - - -

Pipeline Imports:

New England 7 5 3 5 1 48 46

East North Central 225 163 149 69 8 - -

South Atlantic 496 404 343 260 196 156 127

Canada 42 24 19 10 7 10 3

Storage Extraction 295 324 313 313 340 307 329

Total Supply 4,154 4,161 4,370 4,642 5,018 5,983 7,178

Demand:

Consumption 2,850 2,770 2,804 2,812 2,891 3,470 4,052

Pipeline Exports:

New England 738 722 692 741 776 1,027 1,101

East North Central - - - - - 168 423

South Atlantic 109 150 180 183 200 220 377

Canada 16 43 213 402 599 537 605

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 36 37 41 50 54 60 56

Lease and Plant Fuel 108 113 123 139 155 190 232

Storage Injection 298 327 316 316 343 310 333

Total Demand 4,154 4,161 4,370 4,642 5,018 5,983 7,178

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

East North Central

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 240 277 325 381 407 583 805

 Conventional 159 164 166 158 139 105 77

 Unconventional 82 113 160 223 268 478 727

Supplemental Natural Gas - - - - - - -

Pipeline Imports:

Middle Atlantic - - - - - 168 423

West North Central 2,196 2,085 2,167 2,137 2,074 2,569 2,952

South Atlantic 1 0 - 26 233 295 295

East South Central 1,891 1,778 1,829 1,708 1,474 1,335 1,042

West South Central 230 230 230 230 230 230 230

Canada - - - - - - 37

Storage Extraction 648 627 742 739 694 808 812

Total Supply 5,207 4,998 5,294 5,221 5,111 5,988 6,597

Demand:

Consumption 3,850 3,725 3,944 3,933 4,031 4,743 5,610

Pipeline Exports:

Middle Atlantic 225 163 149 69 8 - -

West North Central 30 29 29 14 10 61 78

South Atlantic - - - - - - -

East South Central - - - - - - -

Canada 406 406 376 411 316 320 42

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 35 34 37 37 35 35 31

Lease and Plant Fuel 7 8 9 11 12 14 17
Base Case with 316(b) & Proposed 111(d) regulations

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

U.S. Natural Gas Supply, Disposition, and Prices

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

Storage Injection 654 632 749 746 700 815 820

Total Demand 5,207 4,998 5,294 5,221 5,111 5,988 6,597

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

West North Central

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 445 433 407 364 317 255 220

 Conventional 345 349 341 309 259 192 139

 Unconventional 100 83 66 55 58 63 81

Supplemental Natural Gas - - - - - - -

Pipeline Imports:

East North Central 30 29 29 14 10 61 78

West South Central 706 804 1,000 1,011 984 873 834

Mountain 1,892 1,818 1,603 1,682 1,820 2,500 2,645

Canada 1,102 960 1,016 949 864 1,168 1,605

Storage Extraction 185 185 186 189 152 184 194

Total Supply 4,360 4,229 4,241 4,209 4,147 5,039 5,576

Demand:

Consumption 1,729 1,720 1,800 1,797 1,839 2,190 2,308

Pipeline Exports:

East North Central 2,196 2,085 2,167 2,137 2,074 2,569 2,952

West South Central 156 148 - - - - 21

Mountain - - - - - - -

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 71 68 68 68 66 84 90

Lease and Plant Fuel 21 20 19 16 14 11 9

Storage Injection 187 187 187 191 154 185 196

Total Demand 4,360 4,229 4,241 4,209 4,147 5,039 5,576

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

South Atlantic

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 714 750 827 1,006 1,292 2,024 3,233

 Conventional 85 84 80 72 61 45 33

 Unconventional 628 666 747 933 1,231 1,979 3,199

Supplemental Natural Gas 1 0 0 0 0 - 0

Pipeline Imports:

Middle Atlantic 109 150 180 183 200 220 377

East North Central - - - - - - -

East South Central 3,270 3,037 3,066 2,902 2,981 3,743 3,674

Offshore - - 135 148 169 277 294

Liquefied Natural Gas Imports:

Cove Point - - - - - - -

Elba Island 77 77 77 77 72 52 74

Storage Extraction 168 83 141 113 130 165 146

Total Supply 4,339 4,096 4,425 4,428 4,845 6,482 7,798

Demand:

Consumption 3,595 3,538 3,868 3,941 4,166 5,611 6,821

Pipeline Exports:

Middle Atlantic 496 404 343 260 196 156 127

East North Central 1 0 - 26 233 295 295

East South Central - - - 5 20 116 188

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 44 36 36 36 40 46 73

Lease and Plant Fuel 31 33 37 45 58 91 145

Storage Injection 170 84 143 114 131 167 148

Total Demand 4,339 4,096 4,425 4,428 4,845 6,482 7,798

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

East South Central

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 278 283 285 284 276 303 370

 Conventional 217 222 223 216 199 170 149

 Unconventional 61 61 62 67 77 133 221

Supplemental Natural Gas - - - - - - -

Pipeline Imports:

East North Central - - - - - - -

South Atlantic - - - 5 20 116 188

West South Central 5,980 5,691 5,819 5,527 5,276 5,675 5,131

Offshore 584 439 451 486 607 922 1,164

Liquefied Natural Gas Imports:
Base Case with 316(b) & Proposed 111(d) regulations

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

U.S. Natural Gas Supply, Disposition, and Prices

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

Gulf LNG Energy LLC - - - - - - -

Storage Extraction 247 302 244 274 285 338 363

Total Supply 7,089 6,716 6,799 6,576 6,464 7,354 7,217

Demand:

Consumption 1,585 1,509 1,571 1,607 1,643 1,848 2,049

Pipeline Exports:

East North Central 1,891 1,778 1,829 1,708 1,474 1,335 1,042

South Atlantic 3,270 3,037 3,066 2,902 2,981 3,743 3,674

West South Central - - - - - - -

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 86 79 80 75 70 78 72

Lease and Plant Fuel 8 9 9 9 9 10 12

Storage Injection 249 305 246 276 287 341 367

Total Demand 7,089 6,716 6,799 6,576 6,464 7,354 7,217

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

West South Central

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 12,984 13,819 14,940 16,191 16,738 17,671 18,153

 Conventional 2,893 3,026 3,080 2,999 2,711 2,367 2,227

 Unconventional 10,092 10,793 11,860 13,191 14,027 15,304 15,925

Supplemental Natural Gas - - - - - - -

Pipeline Imports:

West North Central 156 148 - - - - 21

East South Central - - - - - - -

Mountain 64 91 45 120 119 80 45

Offshore 1,167 639 614 578 777 2,082 1,903

Mexico - - - - - - -

Liquefied Natural Gas Imports:

Cameron - - - - - - -

Freeport - - - - - - -

Golden Pass - - - - - - -

Lake Charles - - - - - - -

Sabine Pass - - - - - - -

Storage Extraction 332 380 384 423 512 697 887

Total Supply 14,704 15,078 15,983 17,311 18,145 20,530 21,008

Demand:

Consumption 5,151 5,371 5,753 6,031 6,384 7,858 9,017

Pipeline Exports:

East North Central 230 230 230 230 230 230 230

West North Central 706 804 1,000 1,011 984 873 834

East South Central 5,980 5,691 5,819 5,527 5,276 5,675 5,131

Mountain 517 483 554 673 678 533 242

Pacific - - - - - - -

Mexico 695 778 832 1,110 1,338 1,870 1,870

Liquefied Natural Gas Exports 201 402 402 1,202 1,601 1,601 1,601

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 264 271 285 319 329 337 317

Lease and Plant Fuel 624 665 720 781 807 850 871

Storage Injection 335 384 388 427 516 704 895

Total Demand 14,704 15,078 15,983 17,311 18,145 20,530 21,008

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Mountain

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 5,434 5,528 5,652 5,880 6,090 6,716 7,255

 Conventional 1,326 1,375 1,390 1,385 1,292 1,192 1,067

 Unconventional 4,107 4,153 4,262 4,495 4,798 5,525 6,188

Supplemental Natural Gas - - - - - - -

Pipeline Imports:

West North Central - - - - - - -

West South Central 517 483 554 673 678 533 242

Pacific - - - - - 5 27

Canada 354 293 94 4 3 607 791

Mexico - - - - - - -

Storage Extraction 111 135 96 120 155 148 191

Total Supply 6,416 6,439 6,397 6,676 6,927 8,010 8,506

Demand:

Consumption 1,492 1,516 1,556 1,563 1,584 1,923 2,368

Pipeline Exports:

West North Central 1,892 1,818 1,603 1,682 1,820 2,500 2,645
Base Case with 316(b) & Proposed 111(d) regulations

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

U.S. Natural Gas Supply, Disposition, and Prices

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

West South Central 64 91 45 120 119 80 45

Pacific 2,269 2,278 2,484 2,541 2,566 2,568 2,405

Mexico 69 76 81 104 119 164 164

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 143 145 149 153 158 178 196

Lease and Plant Fuel 375 378 382 392 406 448 490

Storage Injection 112 136 97 121 156 149 193

Total Demand 6,416 6,439 6,397 6,676 6,927 8,010 8,506

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Pacific (Lower 48)

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 221 234 248 258 252 223 258

 Conventional 219 230 241 247 237 205 174

 Unconventional 3 5 7 11 15 17 84

Supplemental Natural Gas - - - - - - -

Pipeline Imports:

West South Central - - - - - - -

Mountain 2,269 2,278 2,484 2,541 2,566 2,568 2,405

Offshore 3 3 2 2 1 1 0

Canada 507 487 393 379 438 753 1,323

Mexico 89 98 57 70 75 67 46

Storage Extraction 175 169 139 165 188 189 176

Total Supply 3,264 3,268 3,324 3,415 3,521 3,801 4,208

Demand:

Consumption 2,874 2,883 2,968 3,034 3,071 3,318 3,713

Pipeline Exports:

Mountain - - - - - 5 27

Canada - - - - - - -

Mexico 157 157 156 155 200 223 219

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 29 28 28 28 29 35 46

Lease and Plant Fuel 28 30 32 33 32 28 25

Storage Injection 176 171 141 167 190 191 177

Total Demand 3,264 3,268 3,324 3,415 3,521 3,801 4,208

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Lower 48 Offshore

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 1,840 1,136 1,261 1,274 1,633 3,453 3,535

 Conventional 1,840 1,136 1,261 1,274 1,633 3,453 3,535

 Unconventional - - - - - - -

Supplemental Natural Gas - - - - - - -

Total Supply 1,840 1,136 1,261 1,274 1,633 3,453 3,535

Demand:

Pipeline Exports:

South Atlantic - - 135 148 169 277 294

East South Central 584 439 451 486 607 922 1,164

West South Central 1,167 639 614 578 777 2,082 1,903

Pacific L-48 3 3 2 2 1 1 0

Pipeline Fuel 19 14 13 15 19 44 44

Lease and Plant Fuel 68 41 46 46 59 127 130

Total Demand 1,840 1,136 1,261 1,274 1,633 3,453 3,535

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Alaska

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 132 133 229 223 214 201 176

 Conventional 132 133 229 223 214 201 176

 Unconventional - - - - - - -

Supplemental Natural Gas 0 0 0 0 0 0 2

Total Supply 132 133 230 223 214 201 177

Demand:

Consumption 94 95 96 101 105 110 112

Pipeline Exports:

Canada - - - - - - -

Pipeline Fuel - - - - - - -

Lease and Plant Fuel 38 38 133 123 109 92 66

Total Demand 132 133 230 223 214 201 177

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050
Base Case with 316(b) & Proposed 111(d) regulations

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

U.S. Natural Gas Supply, Disposition, and Prices

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

Florida (subset of South Atlantic)

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 4 4 4 4 4 4 3

 Conventional 4 4 4 4 4 4 3

 Unconventional - - - - - - -

Supplemental Natural Gas 1 0 0 0 0 - 0

Pipeline Imports:

East South Central 1,136 1,185 1,323 1,320 1,317 1,458 1,672

Offshore - - 135 148 169 277 294

South Atlantic 77 76 76 76 71 52 73

Storage Extraction 3 3 1 1 1 3 5

Total Supply 1,221 1,268 1,538 1,549 1,562 1,794 2,048

Demand:

Consumption 1,213 1,261 1,534 1,545 1,559 1,788 2,040

Pipeline Exports:

East South Central - - - - - - -

South Atlantic - - - - - 0 -

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 3 3 2 2 2 2 2

Lease and Plant Fuel 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Storage Injection 4 4 1 1 1 3 5

Total Demand 1,221 1,268 1,538 1,549 1,562 1,794 2,048

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Arizona/New Mexico (subset of Mountain)

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 1,003 990 964 944 941 982 1,054

 Conventional 400 399 385 352 301 223 159

 Unconventional 603 592 579 592 640 760 896

Supplemental Natural Gas - - - - - - -

Pipeline Imports:

West South Central 517 483 554 673 678 533 242

Mexico - - - - - - -

Mountain North 532 582 636 631 645 840 1,103

California - - - - - 5 5

Storage Extraction 5 10 5 16 16 15 24

Total Supply 2,057 2,065 2,160 2,264 2,281 2,375 2,427

Demand:

Consumption 511 486 496 473 459 542 765

Pipeline Exports:

West South Central 64 91 45 120 119 80 45

Mountain North - - - - - - -

California 1,265 1,260 1,392 1,410 1,424 1,416 1,254

Mexico 69 76 81 104 119 164 164

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 53 53 56 58 58 60 63

Lease and Plant Fuel 90 88 85 83 86 97 112

Storage Injection 5 10 5 16 16 15 25

Total Demand 2,057 2,065 2,160 2,264 2,281 2,375 2,427

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

California (subset of Pacific)

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 218 229 241 249 242 212 180

 Conventional 218 229 240 246 237 205 174

 Unconventional 0 1 1 3 5 6 7

Supplemental Natural Gas - - - - - - -

Pipeline Imports:

West South Central - - - - - - -

Offshore 3 3 2 2 1 1 0

Mexico 89 98 57 70 75 67 46

Arizona/New Mexico 1,265 1,260 1,392 1,410 1,424 1,416 1,254

Mountain North 575 576 592 593 681 936 1,141

Pacific Northwest 464 458 441 456 422 436 585

Storage Extraction 146 140 110 136 159 160 147

Total Supply 2,759 2,764 2,835 2,917 3,005 3,227 3,353

Demand:

Consumption 2,411 2,420 2,519 2,574 2,595 2,792 2,941

Pipeline Exports:

Mexico 157 157 156 155 200 223 219

Arizona/New Mexico - - - - - 5 5
Base Case with 316(b) & Proposed 111(d) regulations

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

U.S. Natural Gas Supply, Disposition, and Prices

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

Mountain North - - - - - - -

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 16 16 18 18 18 17 17

Lease and Plant Fuel 28 30 31 32 31 28 23

Storage Injection 147 141 111 138 161 162 148

Total Demand 2,759 2,764 2,835 2,917 3,005 3,227 3,353
Base Case with 316(b) & Proposed 111(d) regulations

Pipeline capacity additions (BCF per year) 2016 2018 2020 2025

New England

Pipeline capacity additions into region: - - - -

New England - - - -

Middle Atlantic - - - -

Canada - - - -

Middle Atlantic

Pipeline capacity additions into region: - 730 27 75

Middle Atlantic - 475 - 72

New England - - - -

East North Central - - - -

South Atlantic - 256 - -

Canada - - 27 3

East North Central

Pipeline capacity additions into region: 548 548 26 -

East North Central 365 365 26 -

Middle Atlantic - - - -

West North Central - - - -

South Atlantic - - - -

East South Central - - - -

Canada 183 183 - -

West North Central

Pipeline capacity additions into region: - 365 - -

West North Central - 183 - -

East North Central - 183 - -

West South Central - - - -

Mountain - - - -

South Atlantic

Pipeline capacity additions into region: 256 310 - -

South Atlantic 256 310 - -

Middle Atlantic - - - -

East North Central - - - -

East South Central - - - -

East South Central

Pipeline capacity additions into region: - 256 386 39

East South Central - - - -

East North Central - - - -

South Atlantic - 256 386 39

West South Central - - - -

West South Central

Pipeline capacity additions into region: - 548 927 526

West South Central - - 293 36

East North Central - - - -

West North Central - 183 200 -

East South Central - - 275 255

Mountain - - - -

Mexico - 365 159 235

Mountain

Pipeline capacity additions into region: 365 73 75 177

Mountain 183 - 75 177
West North Central 183 73 

- -

West South Central - - - -

Pacific (Lower 48) - - - -

Mexico - - - -

Pacific (Lower 48)

Pipeline capacity additions into region: - - 191 14

Pacific (Lower 48) - - 191 14

Mountain - - - -

Canada - - - -

Mexico - - - -

Alaska

Pipeline capacity additions into region: - - - -

Alaska - - - -

Canada - - - -

Canada

Pipeline capacity additions into region: 183 - - -

Canada 183 - - -

East North Central - - - -

Middle Atlantic - - - -

Mountain - - - -

New England - - - -

West North Central - - - -

Pacific (Lower 48) - - - -

Lower-48 Offshore

Pipeline capacity additions into region: - - 135 13

Lower-48 Offshore - - - -

East South Central - - - -

South Atlantic - - 135 13

West South Central - - - -

Pacific (Lower 48) - - - -

Mexico

Pipeline capacity additions into region: - - - -

Mexico - - - -

Mountain - - - -

West South Central - - - -

Pacific (Lower 48) - - - -
11(d) regulations

2030 2040 2050

 - - -

 - - -

 - - -

 - - -

 373 634 1,217

 212 575 680

 - - -

 - - -

 - 23 169

 162 36 368

 11 0 94

 11 0 94

 - - -

 - - -

 - - -

 - - -

 - - -

 - - 49

 - - -

 - - 49

 - - -

 - - -

 - 73 2,343

 - 73 2,343

 - - -

 - - -

 - - -

 147 655 224

 - - -

 - - -

 147 655 224

 - - -

 663 1,637 1,028

 339 1,121 999

 - - -

 - - 29

 122 68 -

 - - -

 202 448 -

 196 586 738

 124 350 596
 - - -

 - - -

 73 218 143

 - 19 -

 42 156 12

 - 134 12

 - - -

 - - -

 42 22 -

 - - -

 - - -

 - - -

 64 1,529 2,443

 64 1,529 2,443

 - - -

 - - -

 - - -

 - - -

 - - -

 - - -

 21 619 293

 - 511 31

 - - 245

 21 108 16

 - - -

 - - -

 - - -

 - - -

 - - -

 - - -

 - - -