# APPENDI X F. DETAILED LIFE-CYCLE COST OUTPUT

TABLE OF CONTENTS

F.1 INTRODUCTION

............................................................................................................... ........ F-1 F.2 LCC RESULTS ................................................................................................................ ........... F-1 F.2.1 Equipment Category: Fully-Cooled, La rge Size, Indoor Only (A-L-IN)........................ F-1 F.2.2 Equipment Category: Fully-Cooled, Me dium Size, Indoor Only (A-M-IN)................... F-6 F.2.3 Equipment Category: Fully Cooled, Small, Indoor Only (A-S-IN) .............................. F-11 F.2.4 Equipment Category: Zone Cooled, La rge Size, Indoor-Outdoor (B-L-IO)................. F-16 F.2.5 Equipment Category: Zone Cooled, Medium Size, Indoor-Outdoor (B-M-IO)............ F-21 F.2.6 Equipment Category: Zone Cooled, Sm all Size, Indoor-Outdoor (B-S-IO) ................. F-26 F.3 LCC SENSITIVITY TO FUEL PRICE ESCALATION - RESULTS...................................... F-31

LIST OF TABLES

Table F.2.1 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by Efficiency Level for A-L-IN ...................................................................................... F-2

Table F.2.2 Summary of Payback Period Results for All Efficiency Levels: A-L-IN ................. F-4

Table F.2.3 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by Efficiency Level for A-M-IN .................................................................................... F-7

Table F.2.4 Summary of Payback Period Results for All Efficiency Levels: A-M-IN ................ F-9

Table F.2.5 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by Efficiency Level for A-S-IN .................................................................................... F-12

Table F.2.6 Summary of Payback Period Results for All Efficiency Levels: A-S-IN ............... F-14

Table F.2.7 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by Efficiency Level for B-L-IO .................................................................................... F-17

Table F.2.8 Summary of Payback Period Results for All Efficiency Levels: B-L-IO ............... F-19

Table F.2.9 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by Efficiency Level for B-M-IO ................................................................................... F-22

Table F.2.10 Summary of Payback Period Results for All Efficiency Levels: B-M-IO .............. F-24

Table F.2.11 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by Efficiency Level for B-S-IO .................................................................................... F-27

Table F.2.12 Summary of Payback Period Results for All Efficiency Levels: B-S-IO ................ F-29

F-i

# Table F.3.1 Summary of Life-Cycle Cost and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 Low-Price Scenario: A-L-IN .......................................................................... F-32

Table F.3.2 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs a nd Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 Low-Price Scenario: A-M-IN ......................................................................... F-33

Table F.3.3 Summary of Lif-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 Low-Price Scenario: A-S-IN .......................................................................... F-34

Table F.3.4 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs a nd Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 Low-Price Scenario: B-L-IO .......................................................................... F-35

Table F.3.5 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs a nd Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 Low-Price Scenario: B-M-IO ......................................................................... F-36

Table F.3.6 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs a nd Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 Low-Price Scenario: B-S-IO .......................................................................... F-37

Table F.3.7 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs a nd Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 High-Price Scenario: A-L-IN ......................................................................... F-38

Table F.3.8 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs a nd Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 High-Price Scenario: A-M-IN ........................................................................ F-39

Table F.3.9 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs a nd Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 High-Price Scenario: A-S-IN .......................................................................... F-40

Table F.3.10 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs a nd Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 High-Price Scenario: B-L-IO .......................................................................... F-41

Table F.3.11 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs a nd Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 High-Price Scenario: B-M-IO ........................................................................ F-42

Table F.3.12 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs a nd Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 High-Price Scenario: B-S-IO .......................................................................... F-43

F-ii

# LIST OF FI GURES

Figure F.2.1 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost for A-L-IN (Level 1 is the Baseline Level). .................................................................... F-2

Figure F.2.2 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: A-L-IN ....................................................................................................................... F-3

Figure F.2.3 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for A-L-IN (Level 1 is the Baseline Level). .................................................................... F-4

Figure F.2.4 Cumulative Chart of Payback Periods for All Efficiency Levels: A-L-IN .............. F-5

Figure F.2.5 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost for A-M-IN (Level 1 is the Baseline Level). ................................................................... F-7

Figure F.2.6 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: A-M-IN ...................................................................................................................... F-8

Figure F.2.7 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for A-M-IN (Level 1 is the Baseline Level). ................................................................... F-9

Figure F.2.8 Cumulative Chart of Payback Periods for All Efficiency Levels: A-M-IN ........... F-10

Figure F.2.9 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost for A-S-IN (Level 1 is the Baseline Level). .................................................................. F-12

Figure F.2.10 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: A-S-IN ..................................................................................................................... F-13

Figure F.2.11 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for A-S-IN (Level 1 is the Baseline Level). .................................................................. F-14

Figure F.2.12 Cumulative Chart of Payback Period for All Efficiency Levels: A-S-IN .............. F-15

Figure F.2.13 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost for B-L-IO (Level 1 is the Baseline Level). .................................................................. F-17

Figure F.2.14 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: B-L-IO ..................................................................................................................... F-18

Figure F.2.15 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for B-L-IO (Level 1 is the Baseline Level). .................................................................. F-19

Figure F.2.16 Cumulative Chart of Payback Period for All Efficiency Levels: B-L-IO .............. F-20

Figure F.2.17 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost for B-M-IO (Level 1 is the Baseline Level). ................................................................. F-22

F-iii

## F-iv 

# Figure F.2.18 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: B-M-IO .................................................................................................................... F-23

Figure F.2.19 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for B-M-IO (Level 1 is the Baseline Level). ................................................................. F-24

Figure F.2.20 Cumulative Chart of Payback Period for All Efficiency Levels: B-M-IO ............. F-25

Figure F.2.21 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost for B-S-IO (Level 1 is the Baseline Level). .................................................................. F-27

Figure F.2.22 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: B-S-IO ..................................................................................................................... F-28

Figure F.2.23 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for B-S-IO (Level 1 is the Baseline Level). .................................................................. F-29

Figure F.2.24 Cumulative Chart of Payback Period fo r All Efficiency Levels: B-S-IO .............. F-30

# APPENDI X F. DETAILED LIFE-CYCLE COST OUTPUT

F.1 INTRODUCTION

Appendix F contains detailed out put from the Life-Cycle Cost (LCC) Analysis for Beverage Vending Machines (BVMs) as developed using the LCC spreadsheet. LCC and payback periods are presented in terms of national average LCC, national average LCC savings from the baseline (Level 1) and national average payback period results for each of the six equipment size categories in two equipment classes (A and B) at each effi ciency level. In the LCC figures ( e.g ., F.2.1) market baseline (Level 0) is also shown for comparison. See Chap ter 8 of the technical su pport document (TSD) for an explanation of the tables a nd figures in this appendix.

F.2 LCC RESULTS

F.2.1 Equipment Category: Fully-Cooled, La rge Size, Indoor Only (A-L-IN)

Figure F.2.1 shows the variation of the LCC with the in st alled cost for each of the efficiency levels considered for the analysis. The installed cost is the sum of the equipment price and the installation cost of the e quipment (which remains relatively flat) and so the increasing equipment price contributes to the increasing total installed cost as the efficiency level rises from Level 2 to Level 8 (with reduced energy consumption). The LCC results show that at most of the higher efficiency levels (Level 2 - Level 7), the lifetime operating cost ha s more of an impact on the LCC than the total installed cost. In other words, the decrease in life time operating costs (because of reduced electricity costs) offsets the increase in total installed cost. As a result, the LCC at most efficiency levels is lower than that for the baseline efficiency le vel (Level 1) for th is product category. Table F.2.1 shows the national distribution of LCC savings above the baselin e (Level 1) calculated for this product for most higher efficiency levels (2-7). For efficiency Lev el 8, the LCC was higher than the baseline level (Level 1). Figure F.2.2 show this distribution of LCC savings graphically fo r each efficiency level analyzed.

Figure F.2.3 shows the effect on payback period (PBP) as the efficiency level change s from Level 1 (baseline) to Level 8, on a national averaged basis weighted over all building types, energy prices, sales taxes, a nd installation costs. Table F.2.2 shows the national distribution of PBPs calculated f or most efficiency levels as well as th e average payback and the percent of units with a payback of less than 3 years. Figure F.2.4 show this distribution of payback results graphically for each efficiency level analyzed.

F-1

## Owner's Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff

$6,594 $6,083 $6,030 $6,007 $5,983 $5,965 $5,960 $5,974 $7,701

$0 $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000 $8,000 $9,000



### $2,785 $2,852 $2,881 $2,923 $2,969 $3,002 $3,035 $3,070 $4,415

Level 0 (Market Baseline) Level 1 (Energy Star Tier 1) Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max Tech)



### Installed Cost and Efficiency LevelLife Cycle Cost

Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff Equipment= A-L-Indoor-Only, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012



# Figure F.2.1 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost for A-L-IN (Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.1 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost S avings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by Efficiency Level for A-L-IN

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) Shown by Percentiles of the Distri bution of Results (2008$) Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Savings Level 2 $26 $29 $50 $52 $68 $80 $97 $106 $121 $138 $177 $91 Level 3 $24 $32 $70 $74 $103 $124 $155 $175 $201 $233 $304 $145 Level 4 $23 $35 $91 $99 $142 $171 $219 $250 $288 $337 $442 $204 Level 5 $22 $37 $106 $116 $170 $206 $265 $304 $351 $412 $542 $246 Level 6 $13 $31 $110 $122 $184 $224 $293 $340 $393 $463 $613 $272 Level 7 -$11 $9 $94 $109 $177 $218 $293 $344 $402 $481 $642 $271 Level 8 -$1,759 -$1,759 -$1,663 -$1,557 -$1,521 -$1,447 -$1,415 -$1,361 -$1,269 -$1,147 -$992 -$1,419



## F-2A-L-IN Level 2 A-L-IN Level 3

A-L-IN Level 4 A-L-IN Level 5

A-L-IN Level 6 A-L-IN Level 7

A-L-IN Level 8 

# Figure F.2.2 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: A-L-IN

F-3

### Owner's Installed Cost-Payback Tradeoff

2.7 4.1 4.3 4.6 5.1 100.0

3.7 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0



### $2,881 $2,923 $2,969 $3,002 $3,035 $3,070 $4,415
Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max Tech) 

### Installed Cost and Efficiency LevelPayback Period (Years) Installed Cost-Payback Period Tradeoff Equipment= A-L-Indoor-Only, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012



# Figure F.2.3 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payb ack Period for A-L-IN (Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.2 Summary of Payback Period Resu lts for All Efficiency Levels: A-L-IN

Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Percent Less than 3 Years Energy Payback Level 2 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.4 3.3 4.0 2.1 85% Level 3 1.4 1.5 1.6 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.2 4.5 5.6 2.9 67% Level 4 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.5 5.0 6.2 3.2 53% Level 5 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.7 5.2 6.5 3.3 51% Level 6 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.8 3.9 5.6 7.0 3.5 45% Level 7 1.8 1.9 2.2 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.8 4.2 4.4 6.3 7.9 3.9 29% Level 8 18.6 20.8 26.3 54.4 65.9 85.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 74.0 0%



## F-4A-L-IN, Level 2 A-L-IN, Level 3

A-L-IN, Level 4 A-L-IN, Level 5

A-L-IN, Level 6 A-L-IN, Level 7

A-L-IN, Level 8 

# Figure F.2.4 Cumulative Chart of Payback Peri ods for All Efficiency Levels: A-L-IN

F-5

# F.2.2 Equipment Category: Fully-Cooled, Mediu m Siz e, Indoor Only (A-M-IN)

Figure F.2.5 shows the variation of the LCC with the in st alled cost for each of the efficiency levels considered for the analysis. The installed cost is the sum of the equipment price and the installation cost of the equipment (which remains relatively fl at) and the increasing equipment price contributes to the increasing total installed cost as the efficiency level rises from Level 2 to Level 8 (with reduced energy consumption). The LCC results show that at most of the higher efficiency levels (Level 2 - Level 7), the lifetime operating cost ha s more of an impact on the LCC than the total installed cost. In other words, the decrease in life time operating costs (because of reduced electricity costs) offsets the increase in total installed cost. As a result, the LCC at efficiency levels 1-7 are lower than that for the baseline efficiency level (Level 1) for this product category. For efficiency Level 8, the LCC was higher than the baseline level (Level 1). Table F.2.3 shows the national distribution of LCC savings above the baseline (Lev el 1) calculated for this product for the higher efficiency levels (2-8). Figure F.2.6 shows this distribution of LCC savings graphically for each efficien cy level analyzed.

Figure F.2.7 shows the effect on payback period as th e efficiency level changes from Level 1 (baseline) to Level 8, on a nationa l av eraged basis weighted over all building types, energy prices, sales taxes and in stallation costs. Table F.2.4 shows the national distribution of PBPs calcul ated for all efficiency levels as well as the average payback a nd the percent of units with a payback of less than 3 years. Figure F.2.8 show this distribution of payback resu lts graphically for each efficiency leve l analyzed.

F-6

## Owner's Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff

$4,208 $5,811 $5,707 $5,676 $5,676 $5,646 $5,650 $5,669 $7,148

$0 $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000 $8,000



### $1,105 $2,617 $2,669 $2,679 $2,741 $2,790 $2,823 $2,857 $3,977

Level 0 (Market Baseline) Level 1 (Energy Star Tier 1) Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max Tech)



### Installed Cost and Efficiency LevelLife Cycle Cost

Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff Equipment= A-M-Indoor-Only, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012



# Figure F.2.5 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost for A-M-IN (Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.3 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost S avings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by Efficiency Level for A-M-IN

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) Shown by Percentiles of the Distri bution of Results (2008$) Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Savings Level 2 $52 $59 $98 $102 $131 $154 $186 $204 $232 $263 $337 $175 Level 3 $69 $78 $127 $132 $168 $197 $237 $260 $296 $334 $427 $223 Level 4 $44 $58 $125 $133 $184 $220 $277 $313 $359 $416 $541 $258 Level 5 $44 $63 $151 $163 $230 $276 $350 $399 $458 $534 $698 $327 Level 6 $28 $49 $145 $159 $233 $282 $365 $421 $484 $569 $748 $339 Level 7 $1 $25 $124 $142 $221 $269 $358 $417 $485 $578 $765 $331 Level 8 -$1,495 -$1,483 -$1,392 -$1,263 -$1,240 -$1,147 -$1,114 -$1,051 -$942 -$824 -$646 -$1,119



## F-7A-M-IN Level 2 A -M-IN Level 3

A-M-IN Level 4 A -M-IN Level 5

A-M-IN Level 6 A -M-IN Level 7

A-M-IN Level 8 

# Figure F.2.6 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: A-M-IN

F-8

### Owner's Installed Cost-Payback Tradeoff

2.5 3.6 3.9 4.3 4.8 100.0

2.4 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0



### $2,669 $2,679 $2,741 $2,790 $2,823 $2,857 $3,977
Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max Tech) 

### Installed Cost and Efficiency LevelPayback Period (Years) Installed Cost-Payback Period Tradeoff Equipment= A-M-Indoor-Only, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012



# Figure F.2.7 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for A-M-IN (Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.4 Summary of Payback Period Resu lts for All Efficiency Levels: A-M-IN

Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Percent Less than 3 Years Energy Payback Level 2 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.2 3.1 3.7 2.0 87% Level 3 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.9 3.5 1.9 89% Level 4 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.1 4.5 5.5 2.8 67% Level 5 1.4 1.5 1.7 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.4 4.8 5.9 3.0 65% Level 6 1.6 1.6 1.9 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.7 5.3 6.6 3.3 51% Level 7 1.7 1.8 2.1 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.6 3.9 4.1 5.9 7.4 3.7 39% Level 8 13.1 14.5 17.7 31.9 36.7 43.7 64.3 94.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 59.2 0%



## F-9A-M-IN, Level 2 A-M-IN, Level 3

A-M-IN, Level 4 A-M-IN, Level 5

A-M-IN, Level 6 A-M-IN, Level 7

A-M-IN, Level 8 

# Figure F.2.8 Cumulative Chart of Payback Peri ods for All Efficiency Levels: A-M-IN

F-10

# F.2.3 Equipment Category: Fully Cooled, Small, Indoor Only (A-S-IN)

Figure F.2.9 shows the variation of the LCC with the in st alled cost for each of the efficiency levels considered for the analysis. The installed cost is the sum of the equipment price and the installation cost of the equipment and the former is the largest contributor to the increasing total installed cost as the efficiency level rises from Le vel 1 to Level 8 (with reduced energy consumption). The LCC results show that at most of the higher e fficiency levels (Level 1 - Level 7), the lifetime operating cost has more of an impact on the LCC th an the total installed cost. In other words, the decrease in lifetime operating costs (because of reduced electricity costs) offsets the increase in total installed cost. As a result, the LCC at efficiency Levels 1-7 are lower than that for the baseline efficiency level (Level 1) for this product categor y. For efficiency Level 8, the LCC was higher than the baseline level (Level 1). Table F.2.5 shows the national distribution of LCC savings above the baseline (Level 1) calculated for this product for the higher efficiency levels (2-8). Figure F.2.10 shows this di stribution of LCC savings graphically for each efficiency level analyzed.

Figure F.2.11 shows the effect on PBP as the efficiency level changes from Level 1 (baseline) to Level 8, on a national averaged basis weighted ove r all building types, ener gy prices, sales taxes and installa tion costs. Table F.2.6 shows the national distribution of PBPs calculated for all efficiency levels as well as the average payback and the percent of units with a payback of less than 3 years. Figure F.2.12 show this distribution of pa yback results gr aphically for each efficiency level analyzed.

F-11

## Owner's Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff

$4,251 $5,319 $5,235 $5,215 $5,195 $5,184 $5,185 $5,203 $6,610

$0 $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000



### $1,105 $2,199 $2,240 $2,287 $2,333 $2,361 $2,388 $2,418 $3,428

Level 0 (Market Baseline) Level 1 (Energy Star Tier 1) Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max Tech)



### Installed Cost and Efficiency LevelLife Cycle Cost

Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff Equipment= A-S-Indoor-Only, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012



# Figure F.2.9 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost for A-S-IN (Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.5 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost S avings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by Efficiency Level for A-S-IN

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) Shown by Percentiles of the Distri bution of Results (2008$) Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Savings Level 2 $40 $47 $78 $82 $105 $123 $150 $165 $188 $213 $272 $141 Level 3 $34 $45 $95 $103 $141 $167 $211 $240 $273 $318 $411 $197 Level 4 $28 $44 $111 $123 $175 $210 $269 $309 $355 $418 $544 $251 Level 5 $24 $43 $121 $135 $196 $235 $304 $351 $405 $478 $624 $284 Level 6 $11 $32 $117 $134 $201 $243 $320 $371 $430 $512 $672 $297 Level 7 -$15 $9 $98 $118 $189 $231 $313 $367 $431 $520 $688 $290 Level 8 -$1,439 -$1,438 -$1,340 -$1,228 -$1,192 -$1,119 -$1,086 -$1,028 -$937 -$812 -$662 -$1,090



## F-12A-S-IN Level 2 A-S-IN Level 3

A-S-IN Level 4 A-S-IN Level 5

A-S-IN Level 6 A-S-IN Level 7

A-S-IN Level 8


# Figure F.2.10 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: A-S-IN

F-13

### Owner's Installed Cost-Payback Tradeoff

2.5 4.0 4.2 4.5 5.0 100.0

3.5 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0



### $2,240 $2,287 $2,333 $2,361 $2,388 $2,418 $3,428
Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max Tech) 

### Installed Cost and Efficiency LevelPayback Period (Years) Installed Cost-Payback Period Tradeoff Equipment= A-S-Indoor-Only, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012



# Figure F.2.11 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for A-S-IN (Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.6 Summary of Payback Period Resu lts for All Efficiency Levels: A-S-IN

Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Percent Less than 3 Years Energy Payback Level 2 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.2 3.0 3.7 2.0 87% Level 3 1.3 1.4 1.5 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.0 4.3 5.4 2.7 71% Level 4 1.4 1.5 1.7 2.3 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.4 4.9 6.2 3.1 65% Level 5 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.6 5.1 6.5 3.2 53% Level 6 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.7 3.8 5.5 7.0 3.5 49% Level 7 1.7 1.8 2.1 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.7 4.1 4.3 6.2 8.0 3.9 37% Level 8 14.6 16.3 20.7 43.6 53.2 69.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 69.7 0%



## F-14A-S-IN, Level 2 A-S-IN, Level 3

A-S-IN, Level 4 A-S-IN, Level 5

A-S-IN, Level 6 A-S-IN, Level 7

A-S-IN, Level 8 

# Figure F.2.12 Cumulative Chart of Payback Period for All Efficiency Levels: A-S-IN

F-15

# F.2.4 Equipment Category: Zone Cooled, La rge Size, Indoor-Outdoor (B-L-IO)

Figure F.2.13 shows the varia tion of the LCC with the in st alled cost for each of the efficiency levels considered for the analysis. The installed cost is the sum of the equipment price and the installation cost of the e quipment (which remains relatively flat) and so the increasing equipment price contributes to the increasing total installed cost as the efficiency level rises from Level 2 to Level 7 (with reduced energy consumption). The LCC results show that at most of the higher efficiency levels (Level 2 - Level 4), the lifetime operating cost ha s more of an impact on the LCC than the total installed cost. In other words, the decrease in life time operating costs (because of reduced electricity costs) offsets the increase in total installed cost. As a result, the LCC at effici ency Levels 1-4 are lower than that for the baseline efficiency level (Level 1) for this product category. For efficiency Levels 5-7, with all inputs at national average values, the LCC was higher than the baseline level (Level 1). Table F.2.7 shows the national distribution of LCC savings above the baseline (Level 1) calculated for this product for the higher efficiency levels [2-7] and show s a slightly different pict ure of relative LCCs. The weighted average of the distribution indicates a slight net LCC savings at Levels 4 and 5, m eaning that the weighted average of LCCs at Levels 4 and 5 is slightly less than the baseline (Level 1). Either way, Level 4 and 5 are very close to having zero net LCC savings. Figure F.2.14 show this distribution of LCC savings graphically for each efficiency level analyzed.

Figure F.2.15 shows the effect on payback period as th e efficiency level changes from Level 2 to Level 7, on a national averaged basis weighted ove r all building types, ener gy prices, sales taxes and installation costs. Table F.2.8 shows the national distribution of payback periods calculated for all efficiency levels as well as the average payback a nd the percent of units with a payback of less than 3 years. Figure F.2.16 show this distribution of payback resu lts graphi cally for each efficiency level analyzed.

F-16

## Owner's Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff

$4,847 $5,133 $5,110 $5,115 $5,133 $5,145 $5,738 $7,586

$0 $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000 $8,000



### $1,105 $2,111 $2,137 $2,155 $2,194 $2,207 $2,670 $3,941 #N/A

Level 0 (Market Baseline) Level 1 (Energy Star Tier 1) Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max Tech)



### Installed Cost and Efficiency LevelLife Cycle Cost

Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff Equipment= B-L-Indoor-Outdoor, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012



# Figure F.2.13 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-C ycle Cost for B-L-IO (Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.7 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost S avings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by Efficiency Level for B-L-IO

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) Shown by Percentiles of the Distri bution of Results (2008$) Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Savings Level 2 $5 $9 $22 $27 $32 $43 $54 $59 $70 $78 $101 $48 Level 3 -$7 -$2 $17 $25 $31 $46 $61 $68 $83 $94 $124 $53 Level 4 -$37 -$29 -$3 $14 $17 $41 $61 $73 $94 $111 $151 $51 Level 5 -$51 -$42 -$15 $3 $7 $30 $52 $66 $87 $106 $147 $42 Level 6 -$676 -$671 -$620 -$570 -$553 -$529 -$509 -$477 -$445 -$397 -$340 -$515 Level 7 -$2,614 -$2,590 -$2,494 -$2,470 -$2,416 -$2,366 -$2,330 -$2,307 -$2,242 -$2,180 -$2,086 -$2,352



## F-17

# Figure F.2.14 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: B-L-IO

F-18

### Owner's Installed Cost-Payback Tradeoff

3.9 7.6 8.7 100.0 100.0

5.3 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0



### $2,137 $2,155 $2,194 $2,207 $2,670 $3,941 #N/A
Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max Tech) 

### Installed Cost and Efficiency LevelPayback Period (Years) Installed Cost-Payback Period Tradeoff Equipment= B-L-Indoor-Outdoor, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012



# Figure F.2.15 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payb ack Period for B-L-IO (Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.8 Summary of Payback Period Resu lts for All Efficiency Levels: B-L-IO

Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Percent Less than 3 Years Energy Payback Level 2 1.4 1.5 1.7 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.9 3.0 3.5 4.7 6.2 3.0 61% Level 3 1.9 2.0 2.3 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.8 4.1 4.7 6.5 8.9 4.1 35% Level 4 2.5 2.7 3.1 3.9 4.3 4.7 5.2 5.8 6.7 9.4 13.7 5.8 11% Level 5 2.8 3.0 3.4 4.4 4.8 5.3 5.8 6.6 7.6 10.8 16.3 6.6 9% Level 6 16.7 19.0 24.8 50.4 69.7 87.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 74.0 0% Level 7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0%



## F-19

# Figure F.2.16 Cumulative Chart of Payback Peri od for All Efficiency Levels: B-L-IO

F-20

# F.2.5 Equipment Category: Zone Cooled, Med ium Siz e, Indoor-Outdoor (B-M-IO)

Figure F.2.17 shows the variation of the LCC with the in st alled cost for each of the efficiency levels considered for the analysis. The installed cost is the sum of the equipment price and the installation cost of the e quipment (which remains relatively flat) and so the increasing equipment price contributes to the increasing total installed cost as the efficiency level rises from Level 2 to Level 7 (with reduced energy consumption). The LCC results show that at most of the higher efficiency levels (Level 2 - Level 6), the lifetime operating cost ha s more of an impact on the LCC than the total installed cost. In other words, the decrease in life time operating costs (because of reduced electricity costs) offsets the increase in total installed cost. As a result, the LCC at effici ency Levels 2-3 are lower than that for the baseline efficiency level (Level 1) for this product category. For efficiency Levels 4-7, with all inputs at national average values, the LC C was higher than the base line level (Level 1). Table F.2.9 shows the national distribution of LCC savings above the baseline (Level 1) calculated for this product for the higher efficiency leve ls (2-7) and shows a slightly diffe rent picture of relative LCCs. The weighted average of the distribution indicates a slight net LCC savings at Levels 4 and 5, m eaning that the weighted average of LCCs at Levels 4 and 5 is slightly less than the ba seline (Level 1). Either way, Level 4 and 5 are very close to having zero net LCC savings. Figure F.2.18 shows this distribution of LCC savings graphically for each efficiency level analyzed.

Figure F.2.19 shows the effect on payback period as th e efficiency level changes from Level 2 to Level 7, on a national averaged basis weighted over all building types, en ergy prices, sales taxes, and installation costs. Table F.2.10 shows the national distribution of payback periods calculated for all efficiency levels as well as the av erage payback a nd the percent of units with a payback of less than 3 years. Figure F.2.20 show this distribution of payback resu lts graphi cally for each efficiency level analyzed.

F-21

## Owner's Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff

$4,796 $5,017 $4,995 $4,998 $5,021 $5,034 $5,636 $7,288

$0 $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000 $8,000



### $1,105 $2,039 $2,065 $2,088 $2,127 $2,139 $2,603 $3,726 #N/A

Level 0 (Market Baseline) Level 1 (Energy Star Tier 1) Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max Tech)



### Installed Cost and Efficiency LevelLife Cycle Cost

Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff Equipment= B-M-Indoor-Outdoor, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012



# Figure F.2.17 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost for B-M-IO (Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.9 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost S avings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by Efficiency Level for B-M-IO

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) Shown by Percentiles of the Distri bution of Results (2008$) Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Savings Level 2 $4 $7 $20 $25 $31 $41 $51 $57 $67 $76 $98 $46 Level 3 -$8 -$3 $17 $27 $33 $49 $66 $74 $90 $103 $135 $57 Level 4 -$43 -$34 -$7 $10 $14 $37 $58 $72 $92 $111 $151 $48 Level 5 -$57 -$47 -$19 -$2 $3 $26 $49 $64 $85 $105 $147 $38 Level 6 -$692 -$686 -$634 -$584 -$565 -$542 -$522 -$489 -$458 -$408 -$350 -$528 Level 7 -$2,427 -$2,401 -$2,302 -$2,285 -$2,229 -$2,179 -$2,150 -$2,133 -$2,065 -$2,001 -$1,912 -$2,170



## F-22

# Figure F.2.18 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: B-M-IO

F-23

### Owner's Installed Cost-Payback Tradeoff

4.1 8.0 9.1 100.0 100.0

5.4 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0



### $2,065 $2,088 $2,127 $2,139 $2,603 $3,726 #N/A
Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max Tech) 

### Installed Cost and Efficiency LevelPayback Period (Years) Installed Cost-Payback Period Tradeoff Equipment= B-M-Indoor-Outdoor, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012



# Figure F.2.19 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payb ack Period for B-M-IO (Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.10 Summary of Payback Period Resu lts for All Efficiency Levels: B-M-IO

Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Percent Less than 3 Years Energy Payback Level 2 1.5 1.5 1.8 2.3 2.5 2.6 3.0 3.2 3.6 4.9 6.5 3.1 59% Level 3 1.9 2.0 2.3 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.9 4.2 4.8 6.6 9.1 4.1 33% Level 4 2.6 2.8 3.2 4.1 4.5 4.9 5.4 6.1 7.0 9.9 14.7 6.1 11% Level 5 2.9 3.1 3.5 4.5 5.0 5.4 6.1 6.8 7.9 11.5 17.6 6.9 7% Level 6 17.2 19.8 26.0 56.4 81.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 76.9 0% Level 7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0%



## F-24

# Figure F.2.20 Cumulative Chart of Payback Peri od for All Efficiency Levels: B-M-IO

F-25

# F.2.6 Equipment Category: Zone Cooled, Sm all Size, Indoor-Outdoor (B-S-IO)

Figure F.2.21 shows the variation of the LCC with the in st alled cost for each of the efficiency levels considered for the analysis. The installed cost is the sum of the equipment price and the installation cost of the equipment (which remains relatively fl at) and the increasing equipment price contributes to the increasing total installed cost as the efficiency level rises from Level 2 to Level 7 (with reduced energy consumption). The LCC results show that at most of one higher efficiency levels (Level 2), the lifetime operating cost has more of an impact on the LCC than the total installed cost. In other words, the decrease in lifetime operating costs (due to reduced electricity costs) offsets the increase in total installed cost. As a result, the L CC at efficiency Level 2 is lower than that for the baseline efficiency level (Level 1) for this product category. For efficiency Level 3-7, the LCC was higher than the baseline level (Level 1). Table F.2.11 shows the national dist ribution of LCC savings above the baseline (Level 1) calculated for this product for the highe r efficiency levels (2-7). The weighted average of the distributi on indicates a slight net LCC savings at Levels 3-5, m eaning that the weighted average of LCCs at Levels 3-5 is slightly less than the base line (Level 1). Either way, Level 3-5 are very close to ha ving zero net LCC savings. Figure F.2.22 shows this distribution of LCC savings graphically for each efficien cy level analyzed.

Figure F.2.23 shows the effect on payback period as th e efficiency level changes from Level 2 to Level 7, on a national averaged basis weighted ove r all building types, ener gy prices, sales taxes and installation costs. Table F.2.12 shows the national dist ribution of payback peri ods calculated for all efficiency levels as well as the average payback a nd the percent of units with a payback of less than 3 years. Figure F.2.24 shows this distribution of payback results graphically for each efficiency level analyzed.

F-26

## Owner's Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff

$4,723 $4,699 $4,683 $4,716 $4,716 $4,731 $5,362 $6,859

$0 $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000 $8,000



### $1,105 $1,816 $1,841 $1,893 $1,893 $1,906 $2,369 $3,346 #N/A

Level 0 (Market Baseline) Level 1 (Energy Star Tier 1) Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max Tech)



### Installed Cost and Efficiency LevelLife Cycle Cost

Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff Equipment= B-S-Indoor-Outdoor, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012



# Figure F.2.21 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost for B-S-IO (Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.11 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost S avings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by Efficiency Level for B-S-IO

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) Shown by Percentiles of the Distri bution of Results (2008$) Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Savings Level 2 $0 $3 $15 $20 $25 $34 $44 $50 $59 $68 $88 $39 Level 3 -$49 -$41 -$20 -$5 -$1 $14 $33 $47 $62 $79 $111 $26 Level 4 -$49 -$41 -$20 -$5 -$1 $14 $33 $47 $62 $79 $111 $26 Level 5 -$65 -$56 -$34 -$20 -$14 $1 $21 $36 $51 $70 $102 $13 Level 6 -$737 -$723 -$676 -$643 -$608 -$599 -$582 -$556 -$521 -$470 -$418 -$582 Level 7 -$2,316 -$2,291 -$2,214 -$2,177 -$2,130 -$2,093 -$2,044 -$2,020 -$1,976 -$1,909 -$1,814 -$2,070



## F-27

# Figure F.2.22 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: B-S-IO

F-28

### Owner's Installed Cost-Payback Tradeoff

4.6 9.8 11.8 100.0 100.0

9.8
0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0



### $1,841 $1,893 $1,893 $1,906 $2,369 $3,346 #N/A
Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max Tech) 

### Installed Cost and Efficiency LevelPayback Period (Years) Installed Cost-Payback Period Tradeoff Equipment= B-S-Indoor-Outdoor, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012



# Figure F.2.23 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payb ack Period for B-S-IO (Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.12 Summary of Payback Period Resu lts for All Efficiency Levels: B-S-IO

Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Percent Less than 3 Years Energy Payback
Level 2 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.3 3.5 4.0 5.6 7.6 3.5 49% Level 3 2.9 3.1 3.6 4.7 5.2 5.6 6.5 7.1 8.4 12.6 20.3 7.5 5% Level 4 2.9 3.1 3.6 4.7 5.2 5.6 6.5 7.1 8.4 12.6 20.3 7.5 5% Level 5 3.3 3.5 4.1 5.4 6.0 6.5 7.6 8.4 10.0 15.6 27.0 9.1 0% Level 6 26.1 31.8 49.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 86.9 0% Level 7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0%



## F-29

# Figure F.2.24 Cumulative Chart of Payback Peri od for All Efficiency Levels: B-S-IO

F-30

# F.3 LCC SENSITIVITY TO FUEL PR ICE ESCALATION - RESULTS

This section contain s detailed output from th e LCC sensitivity analysis to the fuel price escalation rates reported in chapte r 8. These analyses were carried out using the LCC spreadsheet with the aggregated results reported in terms of national average LCC savings or national average PBP for each of the six equipment categories at each efficiency level. See chapter 8 for a further explanation of the sensitivity analysis and results.

Tables F.3.1 through F.3.6 show the impacts of AEO 2009 low-price scenario for fuel price escalation rates on LCC and PBP results, while Tables F.3.7 through F.3.12 show the impacts of AEO 2009 high-price scenario for fuel price escalation ra tes on LCC and PBP results. As expected, highprice fuel price escalation rates increase the benefits of efficien cy levels beyond the baseline (increase LCC savings).

F-31

# Table F.3.1 Summary of Life-Cycle Cost and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 Low-Price Scenario: A-L-IN

A-L-IN LCC Savings

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) Shown by Percentiles of the Distri bution of Results (2008$) Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Savings Percent of Units

with LCC Savings
Level 2 $23 $26 $46 $48 $63 $74 $91 $101 $114 $131 $167 $85 100% Level 3 $19 $27 $62 $67 $95 $114 $144 $165 $189 $220 $286 $135 100% Level 4 $15 $27 $80 $88 $130 $156 $203 $233 $269 $317 $416 $188 100% Level 5 $12 $27 $92 $103 $155 $187 $245 $282 $327 $387 $509 $227 100% Level 6 $1 $19 $94 $107 $167 $203 $270 $313 $365 $436 $576 $250 100% Level 7 -$24 -$4 $76 $92 $158 $195 $268 $315 $373 $450 $601 $247 91% Level 8 -$1,778 -$1,774 -$1,682 -$1,582 -$1,542 -$1,477 -$1,441 -$1,392 -$1,308 -$1,184 -$1,041 -$1,448 0%

A-L-IN Payback Period

Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Percent Less than 3 Years Energy Payback
Level 2 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.4 3.4 4.1 2.2 85% Level 3 1.4 1.5 1.7 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.3 4.6 5.7 3.0 65% Level 4 1.6 1.6 1.9 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.7 5.2 6.4 3.3 51% Level 5 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.6 3.8 5.4 6.7 3.4 49% Level 6 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.9 4.0 5.8 7.2 3.6 39% Level 7 1.9 2.0 2.3 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.9 4.3 4.5 6.5 8.1 4.1 27% Level 8 19.5 21.8 27.8 59.4 73.3 96.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 76.1 0%



## F-32

# Table F.3.2 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 Low-Price Scenario: A-M-IN

A-M-IN LCC Savings

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) Shown by Percentiles of the Distri bution of Results (2008$) Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Savings Percent of Units

with LCC Savings
Level 2 $46 $53 $91 $94 $123 $144 $175 $193 $219 $250 $319 $164 100% Level 3 $62 $71 $118 $122 $158 $185 $223 $247 $279 $318 $405 $210 100% Level 4 $34 $48 $111 $120 $170 $202 $257 $293 $336 $393 $510 $240 100% Level 5 $32 $51 $133 $146 $211 $252 $325 $372 $429 $504 $657 $303 100% Level 6 $14 $35 $125 $141 $212 $256 $336 $389 $451 $536 $703 $312 100% Level 7 -$14 $10 $103 $122 $198 $242 $328 $383 $450 $542 $718 $303 93% Level 8 -$1,511 -$1,503 -$1,412 -$1,288 -$1,266 -$1,175 -$1,147 -$1,086 -$985 -$866 -$700 -$1,151 0%

A-M-IN Payback Period

Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Percent Less than 3 Years Energy Payback Level 2 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.6 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.3 3.1 3.8 2.0 87% Level 3 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.1 3.0 3.6 1.9 89% Level 4 1.4 1.5 1.7 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.2 4.6 5.7 2.9 67% Level 5 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.4 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.5 4.9 6.1 3.1 55% Level 6 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.6 3.8 5.4 6.8 3.4 49% Level 7 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.7 4.1 4.2 6.1 7.7 3.8 35% Level 8 13.7 15.1 18.6 34.0 39.5 47.4 71.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 61.5 0%



## F-33

# Table F.3.3 Summary of Lif-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 Low-Price Scenario: A-S-IN

A-S-IN LCC Savings

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) Shown by Percentiles of the Distri bution of Results (2008$) Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Savings Percent of Units

with LCC Savings
Level 2 $36 $42 $73 $76 $99 $115 $141 $157 $177 $203 $258 $132 100% Level 3 $27 $38 $85 $93 $130 $154 $196 $223 $256 $300 $387 $183 100% Level 4 $18 $33 $98 $110 $160 $191 $249 $287 $332 $394 $512 $232 100% Level 5 $13 $31 $105 $120 $179 $214 $281 $324 $377 $450 $586 $262 100% Level 6 -$2 $19 $99 $117 $182 $219 $294 $341 $400 $481 $630 $273 95% Level 7 -$28 -$5 $79 $100 $169 $206 $286 $336 $399 $487 $644 $264 91% Level 8 -$1,458 -$1,453 -$1,359 -$1,254 -$1,214 -$1,150 -$1,116 -$1,059 -$976 -$850 -$712 -$1,120 0%

A-S-IN Payback Period

Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Percent Less than 3 Years Energy Payback
Level 2 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.6 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.2 3.1 3.9 2.0 87% Level 3 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.1 4.5 5.6 2.8 69% Level 4 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.4 2.6 2.7 3.1 3.4 3.5 5.1 6.4 3.2 55% Level 5 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.7 5.3 6.7 3.3 51% Level 6 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.7 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.8 3.9 5.7 7.3 3.6 47% Level 7 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.8 4.2 4.4 6.5 8.3 4.0 31% Level 8 15.3 17.1 21.9 47.8 59.4 79.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 71.5 0%



## F-34

# Table F.3.4 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 Low-Price Scenario: B-L-IO

B-L-IO LCC Savings

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) Shown by Percentiles of the Distri bution of Results (2008$) Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Savings Percent of Units

with LCC Savings
Level 2 $3 $7 $19 $24 $30 $39 $50 $55 $65 $74 $95 $45 100% Level 3 -$9 -$4 $13 $21 $27 $41 $55 $63 $77 $88 $116 $48 87% Level 4 -$41 -$33 -$8 $8 $12 $33 $53 $66 $85 $102 $139 $43 77% Level 5 -$55 -$46 -$20 -$4 $1 $22 $43 $58 $77 $96 $134 $34 63% Level 6 -$684 -$678 -$629 -$583 -$563 -$539 -$524 -$491 -$462 -$414 -$359 -$528 0% Level 7 -$2,623 -$2,600 -$2,511 -$2,481 -$2,431 -$2,385 -$2,343 -$2,316 -$2,259 -$2,198 -$2,101 -$2,366 0%

B-L-IO Payback Period

Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Percent Less than 3 Years Energy Payback
Level 2 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.3 2.5 2.6 3.0 3.1 3.6 4.9 6.5 3.1 59% Level 3 1.9 2.0 2.3 3.0 3.3 3.5 4.0 4.2 4.9 6.7 9.2 4.2 29% Level 4 2.6 2.8 3.2 4.0 4.4 4.8 5.4 6.0 6.9 9.8 14.4 6.0 11% Level 5 2.9 3.1 3.5 4.5 5.0 5.4 6.0 6.8 7.9 11.3 17.2 6.9 7% Level 6 17.6 20.1 26.5 56.1 80.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 76.8 0% Level 7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0%



## F-35

# Table F.3.5 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 Low-Price Scenario: B-M-IO

B-M-IO LCC Savings

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) Shown by Percentiles of the Distri bution of Results (2008$) Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Savings Percent of Units

with LCC Savings Level 2 $2 $5 $18 $22 $28 $37 $48 $53 $63 $72 $92 $43 100% Level 3 -$11 -$6 $14 $23 $29 $44 $60 $68 $83 $96 $126 $52 87% Level 4 -$47 -$38 -$12 $4 $8 $29 $50 $64 $83 $101 $139 $40 75% Level 5 -$61 -$51 -$25 -$8 -$3 $18 $40 $56 $75 $95 $134 $30 59% Level 6 -$700 -$692 -$643 -$598 -$575 -$553 -$537 -$504 -$474 -$424 -$369 -$541 0% Level 7 -$2,436 -$2,411 -$2,320 -$2,296 -$2,245 -$2,198 -$2,163 -$2,142 -$2,082 -$2,018 -$1,928 -$2,184 0%

B-M-IO Payback Period

Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Percent Less than 3 Years Energy Payback Level 2 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.4 2.5 2.7 3.1 3.3 3.7 5.1 6.7 3.2 55% Level 3 1.9 2.1 2.3 3.0 3.3 3.5 4.0 4.3 4.9 6.9 9.5 4.3 27% Level 4 2.7 2.9 3.3 4.2 4.6 5.0 5.6 6.3 7.2 10.4 15.5 6.3 9% Level 5 2.9 3.2 3.6 4.7 5.1 5.6 6.3 7.1 8.2 12.0 18.6 7.2 5% Level 6 18.1 20.9 27.9 63.5 89.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 78.5 0% Level 7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0%



## F-36

# Table F.3.6 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 Low-Price Scenario: B-S-IO

B-S-IO LCC Savings

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) Shown by Percentiles of the Distri bution of Results (2008$) Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Savings Percent of Units

with LCC Savings
Level 2 -$2 $1 $13 $17 $23 $30 $40 $46 $55 $63 $82 $36 93% Level 3 -$52 -$44 -$24 -$10 -$5 $8 $26 $40 $54 $72 $101 $19 57% Level 4 -$52 -$44 -$24 -$10 -$5 $8 $26 $40 $54 $72 $101 $19 57% Level 5 -$68 -$60 -$39 -$25 -$19 -$6 $13 $29 $43 $60 $91 $6 51% Level 6 -$745 -$729 -$684 -$654 -$617 -$611 -$595 -$574 -$536 -$484 -$434 -$594 0% Level 7 -$2,324 -$2,300 -$2,229 -$2,187 -$2,141 -$2,109 -$2,056 -$2,028 -$1,991 -$1,925 -$1,828 -$2,083 0%

B-S-IO Payback Period

Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Percent Less than 3 Years Energy Payback
Level 2 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.4 3.6 4.2 5.8 7.9 3.6 49% Level 3 3.0 3.2 3.7 4.9 5.4 5.8 6.7 7.4 8.7 13.3 21.7 7.8 5% Level 4 3.0 3.2 3.7 4.9 5.4 5.8 6.7 7.4 8.7 13.3 21.7 7.8 5% Level 5 3.4 3.7 4.2 5.6 6.2 6.8 7.9 8.8 10.4 16.5 29.2 9.6 0% Level 6 28.0 34.6 55.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 88.3 0% Level 7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0%



## F-37

# Table F.3.7 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 High-Price Scenario: A-L-IN

A-L-IN LCC Savings

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) Shown by Percentiles of the Distri bution of Results (2008$) Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Savings Percent of Units

with LCC Savings
Level 2 $29 $33 $55 $57 $73 $86 $104 $114 $130 $147 $188 $97 100% Level 3 $30 $38 $79 $83 $113 $135 $169 $189 $217 $250 $324 $157 100% Level 4 $32 $44 $104 $112 $157 $188 $239 $271 $312 $362 $473 $223 100% Level 5 $33 $49 $122 $132 $189 $226 $290 $330 $380 $443 $579 $270 100% Level 6 $26 $44 $128 $141 $206 $248 $322 $369 $426 $500 $657 $299 100% Level 7 $3 $24 $114 $129 $200 $244 $324 $376 $439 $520 $690 $300 100% Level 8 -$1,742 -$1,737 -$1,643 -$1,527 -$1,495 -$1,410 -$1,383 -$1,322 -$1,222 -$1,099 -$935 -$1,384 0%

A-L-IN Payback Period

Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Percent Less than 3 Years Energy Payback
Level 2 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.6 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.3 3.1 3.8 2.0 87% Level 3 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.1 4.3 5.3 2.8 71% Level 4 1.5 1.5 1.7 2.4 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.4 4.8 5.9 3.1 63% Level 5 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.5 5.0 6.2 3.2 53% Level 6 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.6 3.8 5.3 6.6 3.4 49% Level 7 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.9 3.0 3.3 3.7 4.0 4.2 6.0 7.5 3.8 37% Level 8 17.4 19.4 24.3 48.3 57.6 72.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 71.5 0%



## F-38

# Table F.3.8 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 High-Price Scenario: A-M-IN

A-M-IN LCC Savings

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) Shown by Percentiles of the Distri bution of Results (2008$) Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Savings Percent of Units

with LCC Savings
Level 2 $58 $65 $107 $111 $141 $165 $199 $218 $248 $281 $358 $187 100% Level 3 $77 $86 $138 $143 $181 $212 $254 $277 $316 $356 $453 $239 100% Level 4 $54 $69 $140 $149 $202 $240 $300 $337 $386 $446 $577 $280 100% Level 5 $58 $78 $171 $183 $254 $302 $381 $431 $495 $574 $745 $356 100% Level 6 $43 $65 $167 $182 $260 $311 $399 $456 $524 $613 $801 $371 100% Level 7 $17 $42 $147 $166 $248 $300 $394 $454 $528 $624 $821 $365 100% Level 8 -$1,476 -$1,458 -$1,369 -$1,236 -$1,206 -$1,115 -$1,075 -$1,008 -$890 -$772 -$583 -$1,080 0%

A-M-IN Payback Period

Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Percent Less than 3 Years Energy Payback Level 2 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.9 3.6 1.9 89% Level 3 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.8 3.4 1.8 93% Level 4 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.0 4.3 5.3 2.7 77% Level 5 1.4 1.5 1.6 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.2 4.6 5.7 2.9 67% Level 6 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.5 5.0 6.3 3.2 53% Level 7 1.7 1.7 2.0 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.8 3.9 5.6 7.1 3.5 47% Level 8 12.4 13.6 16.6 29.2 33.3 39.3 55.8 77.9 95.2 100.0 100.0 55.1 0%



## F-39

# Table F.3.9 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 High-Price Scenario: A-S-IN

A-S-IN LCC Savings

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) Shown by Percentiles of the Distri bution of Results (2008$) Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Savings Percent of Units

with LCC Savings
Level 2 $45 $52 $86 $89 $114 $133 $161 $177 $200 $227 $289 $151 100% Level 3 $42 $53 $107 $115 $155 $182 $228 $258 $294 $340 $438 $214 100% Level 4 $39 $55 $127 $139 $194 $230 $294 $334 $384 $449 $582 $274 100% Level 5 $37 $56 $139 $154 $218 $259 $333 $380 $438 $514 $668 $310 100% Level 6 $25 $47 $138 $155 $225 $269 $351 $403 $467 $552 $720 $327 100% Level 7 $1 $24 $119 $140 $215 $259 $346 $401 $470 $563 $739 $321 100% Level 8 -$1,421 -$1,416 -$1,319 -$1,196 -$1,165 -$1,084 -$1,050 -$988 -$889 -$764 -$604 -$1,055 0%

A-S-IN Payback Period

Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Percent Less than 3 Years Energy Payback
Level 2 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.9 3.6 1.9 89% Level 3 1.2 1.3 1.5 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.8 2.9 4.1 5.1 2.6 81% Level 4 1.4 1.5 1.6 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.3 4.7 5.9 2.9 65% Level 5 1.4 1.5 1.7 2.3 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.4 4.9 6.2 3.1 65% Level 6 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.5 2.7 2.8 3.2 3.5 3.7 5.3 6.7 3.3 51% Level 7 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.1 5.9 7.6 3.7 45% Level 8 13.7 15.2 19.1 38.6 46.2 58.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 66.9 0%



## F-40

# Table F.3.10 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 High-Price Scenario: B-L-IO

B-L-IO LCC Savings

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) Shown by Percentiles of the Distri bution of Results (2008$) Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Savings Percent of Units

with LCC Savings
Level 2 $7 $11 $25 $30 $36 $47 $59 $64 $75 $84 $108 $53 100% Level 3 -$4 $1 $21 $30 $36 $51 $68 $74 $91 $102 $133 $59 93% Level 4 -$33 -$25 $4 $21 $24 $49 $70 $83 $105 $122 $165 $60 85% Level 5 -$47 -$37 -$8 $10 $14 $39 $62 $76 $99 $118 $162 $51 77% Level 6 -$666 -$664 -$611 -$557 -$541 -$517 -$494 -$458 -$424 -$376 -$315 -$500 0% Level 7 -$2,603 -$2,578 -$2,474 -$2,456 -$2,398 -$2,344 -$2,315 -$2,295 -$2,223 -$2,158 -$2,065 -$2,335 0%

B-L-IO Payback Period

Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Percent Less than 3 Years Energy Payback
Level 2 1.4 1.5 1.6 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.8 2.9 3.3 4.5 5.9 2.9 71% Level 3 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.7 3.9 4.5 6.2 8.4 3.9 37% Level 4 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.7 4.1 4.5 4.9 5.5 6.3 8.9 12.8 5.5 21% Level 5 2.7 2.9 3.3 4.2 4.6 5.0 5.6 6.2 7.2 10.2 15.2 6.2 9% Level 6 15.5 17.6 22.7 43.9 58.3 70.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 70.8 0% Level 7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0%



## F-41

# Table F.3.11 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 High-Price Scenario: B-M-IO

B-M-IO LCC Savings

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) Shown by Percentiles of the Distri bution of Results (2008$) Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Savings Percent of Units

with LCC Savings
Level 2 $6 $9 $23 $28 $34 $44 $56 $62 $73 $82 $105 $51 100% Level 3 -$5 $1 $22 $32 $38 $55 $73 $81 $98 $111 $145 $64 93% Level 4 -$38 -$29 -$1 $18 $21 $46 $68 $82 $104 $123 $166 $57 81% Level 5 -$52 -$43 -$13 $6 $11 $35 $59 $75 $97 $118 $162 $48 75% Level 6 -$682 -$678 -$625 -$570 -$553 -$529 -$506 -$471 -$437 -$386 -$326 -$512 0% Level 7 -$2,416 -$2,389 -$2,288 -$2,265 -$2,211 -$2,157 -$2,135 -$2,118 -$2,046 -$1,978 -$1,892 -$2,153 0%

B-M-IO Payback Period

Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Percent Less than 3 Years Energy Payback
Level 2 1.4 1.5 1.7 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.9 3.0 3.4 4.7 6.2 3.0 65% Level 3 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.7 4.0 4.6 6.3 8.6 3.9 37% Level 4 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.9 4.3 4.6 5.2 5.8 6.6 9.4 13.8 5.8 17% Level 5 2.7 2.9 3.4 4.3 4.7 5.2 5.8 6.5 7.5 10.8 16.3 6.6 9% Level 6 16.0 18.2 23.7 48.3 66.4 82.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 73.0 0% Level 7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0%



## F-42

## F-43 

# Table F.3.12 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO 2009 High-Price Scenario: B-S-IO

B-S-IO LCC Savings

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) Shown by Percentiles of the Distri bution of Results (2008$) Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Savings Percent of Units

with LCC Savings
Level 2 $2 $5 $18 $23 $28 $37 $48 $54 $64 $73 $94 $43 100% Level 3 -$45 -$37 -$14 $0 $5 $21 $41 $56 $72 $89 $123 $33 73% Level 4 -$45 -$37 -$14 $0 $5 $21 $41 $56 $72 $89 $123 $33 73% Level 5 -$61 -$52 -$29 -$13 -$8 $8 $29 $45 $61 $81 $114 $21 57% Level 6 -$729 -$717 -$668 -$630 -$597 -$584 -$567 -$535 -$503 -$451 -$396 -$568 0% Level 7 -$2,307 -$2,280 -$2,196 -$2,164 -$2,117 -$2,073 -$2,030 -$2,009 -$1,959 -$1,889 -$1,796 -$2,055 0%

B-S-IO Payback Period

Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Efficiency 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mean Percent Less than 3 Years Energy Payback
Level 2 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.2 3.3 3.8 5.4 7.2 3.3 51% Level 3 2.8 3.0 3.4 4.5 4.9 5.3 6.1 6.8 7.9 11.8 18.6 7.0 9% Level 4 2.8 3.0 3.4 4.5 4.9 5.3 6.1 6.8 7.9 11.8 18.6 7.0 9% Level 5 3.2 3.4 3.9 5.2 5.7 6.2 7.2 8.0 9.4 14.5 24.3 8.5 0% Level 6 23.6 28.4 42.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 85.3 0% Level 7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0%