DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-i

APPENDIX 8A: LCC & PAYBACK RESULTS

TABLE OF CONTENTS

8A.1 LCC & PAYBACK RESULTS FOR LIQUID-IMMERSED TRANSFORMERS, 

DESIGN LINES 1 - 5 ................................................ 8A-1

8A.1.1 Design Line 1 Results .......................................... 8A-1

8A.1.2 Design Line 2 Results .......................................... 8A-8

8A.1.3 Design Line 3 Results ......................................... 8A-15

8A.1.4 Design Line 4 Results ......................................... 8A-22

8A.1.5 Design Line 5 Results ......................................... 8A-29

8A.2 LCC & PAYBACK RESULTS FOR DRY TYPE TRANSFORMERS, 

DESIGN LINES 6 - 13 .............................................. 8A-36

8A.2.1 Design Line 6 Results ......................................... 8A-36

8A.2.2 Design Line 7 Results ......................................... 8A-43

8A.2.3 Design Line 8 Results ......................................... 8A-50

8A.2.4 Design Line 9 Results ......................................... 8A-57

8A.2.5 Design Line 10 Results ........................................ 8A-64

8A.2.6 Design Line 11 Results ........................................ 8A-71

8A.2.7 Design Line 12 Results ........................................ 8A-78

8A.2.8 Design Line 13 Results ........................................ 8A-85

LIST OF TABLES

Table 8A.1.1 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 1 

Representative Unit ............................................ 8A-1

Table 8A.1.2 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 1 

Representative Unit ............................................ 8A-1

Table 8A.1.3 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 2 

Representative Unit ............................................ 8A-8

Table 8A.1.4 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 2 

Representative Unit ............................................ 8A-8

Table 8A.1.5 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 3 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-15

Table 8A.1.6 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 3 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-15

Table 8A.1.7 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 4 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-22

Table 8A.1.8 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 4 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-22
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-ii

Table 8A.1.9 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 5 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-29

Table 8A.1.10 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 5 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-29

Table 8A.2.1 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 6 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-36

Table 8A.2.2 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 6 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-36

Table 8A.2.3 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 7 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-43

Table 8A.2.4 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 7 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-43

Table 8A.2.5 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 8 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-50

Table 8A.2.6 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 8 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-50

Table 8A.2.7 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 9 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-57

Table 8A.2.8 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 9 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-57

Table 8A.2.9 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 10 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-64

Table 8A.2.10 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 10 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-64

Table 8A.2.11 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 11 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-71

Table 8A.2.12 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 11 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-71

Table 8A.2.13 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 12 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-78

Table 8A.2.14 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 12 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-78

Table 8A.2.15 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 13 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-85

Table 8A.2.16 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 13 

Representative Unit ........................................... 8A-85

LIST OF FIGURES
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-iii

Figure 8A.1.1 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 1:

 Frequency Chart .............................................. 8A-2

Figure 8A.1.2 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 1:

 Cumulative Chart ............................................. 8A-2

Figure 8A.1.3 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 1:

 Frequency Chart .............................................. 8A-2

Figure 8A.1.4 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 1:

 Frequency Chart .............................................. 8A-3

Figure 8A.1.5 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 1:

 Cumulative Chart ............................................. 8A-3

Figure 8A.1.6 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 1:

 Frequency Chart .............................................. 8A-3

Figure 8A.1.7 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 1:

 Frequency Chart .............................................. 8A-4

Figure 8A.1.8 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 1:

 Cumulative Chart ............................................. 8A-4

Figure 8A.1.9 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 1:

 Frequency Chart .............................................. 8A-4

Figure 8A.1.10 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 1:

 Frequency Chart ........................................... 8A-5

Figure 8A.1.11 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 1:

 Cumulative Chart .......................................... 8A-5

Figure 8A.1.12 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 1:

 Frequency Chart ........................................... 8A-5

Figure 8A.1.13 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 1:

 Frequency Chart ........................................... 8A-6

Figure 8A.1.14 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 1:

 Cumulative Chart .......................................... 8A-6

Figure 8A.1.15 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 1:

 Frequency Chart ........................................... 8A-6

Figure 8A.1.16 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 1:

 Frequency Chart ........................................... 8A-7

Figure 8A.1.17 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 1:

 Cumulative Chart .......................................... 8A-7

Figure 8A.1.18 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 1:

 Frequency Chart ........................................... 8A-7

Figure 8A.1.19 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 2:

 Frequency Chart ........................................... 8A-9

Figure 8A.1.20 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 2:

 Cumulative Chart .......................................... 8A-9
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-iv

Figure 8A.1.21 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 2:

 Frequency Chart ........................................... 8A-9

Figure 8A.1.22 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 2:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-10

Figure 8A.1.23 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 2:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-10

Figure 8A.1.24 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 2:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-10

Figure 8A.1.25 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 2:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-11

Figure 8A.1.26 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 2:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-11

Figure 8A.1.27 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 2:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-11

Figure 8A.1.28 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 2:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-12

Figure 8A.1.29 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 2:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-12

Figure 8A.1.30 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 2:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-12

Figure 8A.1.31 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 2:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-13

Figure 8A.1.32 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 2:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-13

Figure 8A.1.33 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 2:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-13

Figure 8A.1.34 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 2:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-14

Figure 8A.1.35 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 2:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-14

Figure 8A.1.36 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 2:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-14

Figure 8A.1.37 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 3:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-16

Figure 8A.1.38 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 3:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-16

Figure 8A.1.39 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 3:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-16

Figure 8A.1.40 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 3:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-17
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-v

Figure 8A.1.41 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 3:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-17

Figure 8A.1.42 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 3:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-17

Figure 8A.1.43 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 3:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-18

Figure 8A.1.44 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 3:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-18

Figure 8A.1.45 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 3:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-18

Figure 8A.1.46 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 3:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-19

Figure 8A.1.47 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 3:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-19

Figure 8A.1.48 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 3:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-19

Figure 8A.1.49 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 3:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-20

Figure 8A.1.50 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 3:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-20

Figure 8A.1.51 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 3:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-20

Figure 8A.1.52 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 3:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-21

Figure 8A.1.53 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 3:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-21

Figure 8A.1.54 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 3:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-21

Figure 8A.1.55 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 4:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-23

Figure 8A.1.56 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 4:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-23

Figure 8A.1.57 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 4:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-23

Figure 8A.1.58 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 4:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-24

Figure 8A.1.59 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 4:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-24

Figure 8A.1.60 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 4:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-24
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-vi

Figure 8A.1.61 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 4:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-25

Figure 8A.1.62 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 4:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-25

Figure 8A.1.63 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 4:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-25

Figure 8A.1.64 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 4:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-26

Figure 8A.1.65 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 4:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-26

Figure 8A.1.66 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 4:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-26

Figure 8A.1.67 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 4:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-27

Figure 8A.1.68 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 4:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-27

Figure 8A.1.69 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 4:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-27

Figure 8A.1.70 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 4:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-28

Figure 8A.1.71 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 4:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-28

Figure 8A.1.72 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 4:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-28

Figure 8A.1.73 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 5:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-30

Figure 8A.1.74 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 5:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-30

Figure 8A.1.75 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 5:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-30

Figure 8A.1.76 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 5:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-31

Figure 8A.1.77 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 5:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-31

Figure 8A.1.78 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 5:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-31

Figure 8A.1.79 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 5:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-32

Figure 8A.1.80 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 5:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-32
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-vii

Figure 8A.1.81 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 5:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-32

Figure 8A.1.82 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 5:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-33

Figure 8A.1.83 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 5:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-33

Figure 8A.1.84 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 5:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-33

Figure 8A.1.85 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 5:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-34

Figure 8A.1.86 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 5:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-34

Figure 8A.1.87 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 5:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-34

Figure 8A.1.88 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 5:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-35

Figure 8A.1.89 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 5:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-35

Figure 8A.1.90 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 5:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-35

Figure 8A.2.1 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 6:

 Frequency Chart ............................................. 8A-37

Figure 8A.2.2 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 6:

 Cumulative Chart ............................................ 8A-37

Figure 8A.2.3 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 6:

 Frequency Chart ............................................. 8A-37

Figure 8A.2.4 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 6:

 Frequency Chart ............................................. 8A-38

Figure 8A.2.5 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 6:

 Cumulative Chart ............................................ 8A-38

Figure 8A.2.6 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 6:

 Frequency Chart ............................................. 8A-38

Figure 8A.2.7 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 6:

 Frequency Chart ............................................. 8A-39

Figure 8A.2.8 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 6:

 Cumulative Chart ............................................ 8A-39

Figure 8A.2.9 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 6:

 Frequency Chart ............................................. 8A-39

Figure 8A.2.10 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 6:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-40
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-viii

Figure 8A.2.11 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 6:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-40

Figure 8A.2.12 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 6:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-40

Figure 8A.2.13 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 6:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-41

Figure 8A.2.14 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 6:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-41

Figure 8A.2.15 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 6:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-41

Figure 8A.2.16 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 6:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-42

Figure 8A.2.17 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 6:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-42

Figure 8A.2.18 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 6:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-42

Figure 8A.2.19 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 7:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-44

Figure 8A.2.20 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 7:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-44

Figure 8A.2.21 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 7:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-44

Figure 8A.2.22 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 7:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-45

Figure 8A.2.23 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 7:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-45

Figure 8A.2.24 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 7:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-45

Figure 8A.2.25 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 7:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-46

Figure 8A.2.26 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 7:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-46

Figure 8A.2.27 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 7:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-46

Figure 8A.2.28 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 7:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-47

Figure 8A.2.29 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 7:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-47

Figure 8A.2.30 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 7:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-47
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-ix

Figure 8A.2.31 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 7:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-48

Figure 8A.2.32 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 7:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-48

Figure 8A.2.33 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 7:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-48

Figure 8A.2.34 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 7:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-49

Figure 8A.2.35 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 7:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-49

Figure 8A.2.36 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 7:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-49

Figure 8A.2.37 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 8:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-51

Figure 8A.2.38 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 8:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-51

Figure 8A.2.39 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 8:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-51

Figure 8A.2.40 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 8:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-52

Figure 8A.2.41 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 8:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-52

Figure 8A.2.42 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 8:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-52

Figure 8A.2.43 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 8:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-53

Figure 8A.2.44 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 8:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-53

Figure 8A.2.45 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 8:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-53

Figure 8A.2.46 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 8:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-54

Figure 8A.2.47 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 8:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-54

Figure 8A.2.48 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 8:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-54

Figure 8A.2.49 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 8:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-55

Figure 8A.2.50 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 8:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-55
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-x

Figure 8A.2.51 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 8:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-55

Figure 8A.2.52 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 8:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-56

Figure 8A.2.53 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 8:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-56

Figure 8A.2.54 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 8:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-56

Figure 8A.2.55 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 9:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-58

Figure 8A.2.56 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 9:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-58

Figure 8A.2.57 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 9:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-58

Figure 8A.2.58 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 9:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-59

Figure 8A.2.59 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 9:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-59

Figure 8A.2.60 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 9:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-59

Figure 8A.2.61 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 9:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-60

Figure 8A.2.62 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 9:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-60

Figure 8A.2.63 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 9:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-60

Figure 8A.2.64 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 9:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-61

Figure 8A.2.65 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 9:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-61

Figure 8A.2.66 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 9:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-61

Figure 8A.2.67 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 9:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-62

Figure 8A.2.68 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 9:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-62

Figure 8A.2.69 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 9:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-62

Figure 8A.2.70 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 9:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-63
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-xi

Figure 8A.2.71 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 9:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-63

Figure 8A.2.72 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 9:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-63

Figure 8A.2.73 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 10:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-65

Figure 8A.2.74 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 10:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-65

Figure 8A.2.75 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 10:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-65

Figure 8A.2.76 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 10:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-66

Figure 8A.2.77 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 10:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-66

Figure 8A.2.78 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 10:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-66

Figure 8A.2.79 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 10:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-67

Figure 8A.2.80 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 10:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-67

Figure 8A.2.81 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 10:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-67

Figure 8A.2.82 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 10:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-68

Figure 8A.2.83 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 10:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-68

Figure 8A.2.84 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 10:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-68

Figure 8A.2.85 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 10:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-69

Figure 8A.2.86 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 10:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-69

Figure 8A.2.87 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 10:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-69

Figure 8A.2.88 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 10:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-70

Figure 8A.2.89 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 10:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-70

Figure 8A.2.90 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 10:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-70
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-xii

Figure 8A.2.91 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 11:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-72

Figure 8A.2.92 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 11:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-72

Figure 8A.2.93 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 11:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-72

Figure 8A.2.94 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 11:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-73

Figure 8A.2.95 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 11:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-73

Figure 8A.2.96 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 11:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-73

Figure 8A.2.97 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 11:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-74

Figure 8A.2.98 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 11:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-74

Figure 8A.2.99 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 11:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-74

Figure 8A.2.100 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 11:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-75

Figure 8A.2.101 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 11:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-75

Figure 8A.2.102 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 11:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-75

Figure 8A.2.103 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 11:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-76

Figure 8A.2.104 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 11:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-76

Figure 8A.2.105 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 11:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-76

Figure 8A.2.106 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 11:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-77

Figure 8A.2.107 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 11:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-77

Figure 8A.2.108 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 11:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-77

Figure 8A.2.109 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 12:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-79

Figure 8A.2.110 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 12:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-79
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-xiii

Figure 8A.2.111 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 12:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-79

Figure 8A.2.112 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 12:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-80

Figure 8A.2.113 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 12:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-80

Figure 8A.2.114 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 12:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-80

Figure 8A.2.115 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 12:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-81

Figure 8A.2.116 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 12:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-81

Figure 8A.2.117 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 12:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-81

Figure 8A.2.118 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 12:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-82

Figure 8A.2.119 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 12:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-82

Figure 8A.2.120 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 12:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-82

Figure 8A.2.121 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 12:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-83

Figure 8A.2.122 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 12:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-83

Figure 8A.2.123 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 12:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-83

Figure 8A.2.124 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 12:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-84

Figure 8A.2.125 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 12:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-84

Figure 8A.2.126 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 12:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-84

Figure 8A.2.127 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 13:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-86

Figure 8A.2.128 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 13:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-86

Figure 8A.2.129 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design Line 13:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-86

Figure 8A.2.130 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 13:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-87
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-xiv

Figure 8A.2.131 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 13:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-87

Figure 8A.2.132 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design Line 13:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-87

Figure 8A.2.133 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 13:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-88

Figure 8A.2.134 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 13:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-88

Figure 8A.2.135 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design Line 13:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-88

Figure 8A.2.136 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 13:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-89

Figure 8A.2.137 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 13:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-89

Figure 8A.2.138 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 4, Design Line 13:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-89

Figure 8A.2.139 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 13:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-90

Figure 8A.2.140 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 13:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-90

Figure 8A.2.141 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 5, Design Line 13:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-90

Figure 8A.2.142 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 13:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-91

Figure 8A.2.143 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 13:

 Cumulative Chart ......................................... 8A-91

Figure 8A.2.144 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 6, Design Line 13:

 Frequency Chart .......................................... 8A-91
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-1

APPENDIX 8A:

 LCC & PAYBACK RESULTS

8A.1 LCC & PAYBACK RESULTS FOR LIQUID-IMMERSED TRANSFORMERS, 

DESIGN LINES 1 - 5

8A.1.1 Design Line 1 Results

Table 8A.1.1 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 1 Representative Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Efficiency (%) 98.90 99.04 99.19 99.33 99.49 99.59

Transformers having LCC Savings $ $0 (%) 95.1 83.38 47.24 72.33 42.06 9.46

Mean LCC Savings ($) 93 98 5 180 3 -688

Table 8A.1.2 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 1 Representative Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Mean Payback (Years) 11.4 21.9 36.0 15.5 24.4 45.0

Transformers having Well Defined Payback (%) 65.2 50.9 14.7 4.6 2.1 0.0

Transformers having No Impact on Payback (%) 34.0 47.6 81.8 95.1 97.7 99.3

Transformers having Undefined Payback (%) 0.8 1.5 3.5 0.3 0.2 0.7

Mean Incremental First Cost ($) 166 312 494 509 878 1679

Mean Operating Cost Savings ($) 22 24 23 36 43 46
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-2

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $93

.000

.165

.330

.494

.659

0

6591

($1,000) ($375) $250 $875 $1,500

10,000 Trials 9 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.1 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design

Line 1: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $93

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1,000) ($375) $250 $875 $1,500

10,000 Trials 9 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.2 LCC Savings for

Candidate

Standard Level 1,

Design Line 1:

Cumulative Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 11.4

.000

.016

.032

.049

.065

0

55

110

165

220

0.0 12.5 25.0 37.5 50.0

3,399 Trials 88 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.3 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level 1,

Design Line 1:

Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-3

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $98

.000

.130

.260

.390

.520

0

5203

($1000) ($375) $250 $875 $1500

10,000 Trials 57 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.4 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design

Line 1: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $98

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1000) ($375) $250 $875 $1500

10,000 Trials 57 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.5 LCC Savings for

Candidate

Standard Level 2,

Design Line 1:

Cumulative Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 21.9

.000

.014

.029

.043

.057

0

68.25

136.5

204.7

273

0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0

4,758 Trials 227 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.6 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level 2,

Design Line 1:

Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-4

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $5

.000

.042

.084

.126

.168

0

419.2

838.5

1677

($1000) ($375) $250 $875 $1500

10,000 Trials 96 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.7 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design

Line 1: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $5

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1000) ($375) $250 $875 $1500

10,000 Trials 96 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.8 LCC Savings for

Candidate

Standard Level 3,

Design Line 1:

Cumulative Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 36.0

.000

.023

.046

.069

.091

0

187

374

561

748

0.0 25.0 50.0 75.0 100.0

8,175 Trials 0 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.9 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level 3,

Design Line 1:

Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-5

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $180

.000

.019

.038

.057

.076

0

189

378

567

756

($1000) ($375) $250 $875 $1500

10,000 Trials 110 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.10 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4,

Design Line 1: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $180

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1000) ($375) $250 $875 $1500

10,000 Trials 110 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.11 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

4, Design Line

1: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 15.5

.000

.007

.015

.022

.030

0

71.25

142.5

213.7

285

0.0 8.8 17.5 26.3 35.0

9,508 Trials 50 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.12 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 4,

Design Line 1: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-6

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $3

.000

.010

.020

.029

.039

0

97.5

195

292.5

390

($1000) ($375) $250 $875 $1500

10,000 Trials 213 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.13 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5,

Design Line 1: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $3

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1000) ($375) $250 $875 $1500

10,000 Trials 213 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.14 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

5, Design Line

1: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 24.4

.000

.009

.019

.028

.037

0

90.5

181

271.5

362

0.0 15.0 30.0 45.0 60.0

9,765 Trials 204 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.15 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 5,

Design Line 1: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-7

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = ($688)

.000

.005

.009

.014

.019

0

46.5

93

139.5

186

($1000) ($375) $250 $875 $1500

10,000 Trials 2,944 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.16 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6,

Design Line 1: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = ($688)

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1000) ($375) $250 $875 $1500

10,000 Trials 2,944 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.17 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

6, Design Line

1: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 45.0

.000

.011

.022

.033

.044

0

108.5

217

325.5

434

0.0 25.0 50.0 75.0 100.0

9,934 Trials 0 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.18 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 6,

Design Line 1: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-8

8A.1.2 Design Line 2 Results

Table 8A.1.3 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 2 Representative Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Efficiency (%) 98.70 98.73 98.76 98.79 98.96 99.46

Transformers having LCC Savings $ $0 (%) 98.6 97.0 94.8 91.4 56.1 1.1

Mean LCC Savings ($) 69 70 72 71 7 -953

Table 8A.1.4 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 2 Representative Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Mean Payback (Years) 4.8 6.8 8.8 12.0 31.7 66.6

Transformers having Well Defined Payback (%) 66.6 64.3 60.8 56.3 25.4 0.0

Transformers having No Impact on Payback (%) 28.3 34.4 37.2 40.9 71.3 100.0

Transformers having Undefined Payback (%) 5.1 1.3 2.0 2.8 3.3 0.0

Mean Incremental First Cost ($) 32 49 59 76 239 1,475

Mean Operating Cost Savings ($) 13 13 12 12 12 25
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-9

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $69

.000

.168

.335

.503

.671

0

6705

($1,000) ($625) ($250) $125 $500

10,000 Trials 71 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.19 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1,

Design Line 2: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $69

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1,000) ($625) ($250) $125 $500

10,000 Trials 71 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.20 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

1, Design Line

2: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 4.8

.000

.016

.032

.048

.064

0

45

90

135

180

0.0 7.5 15.0 22.5 30.0

2,828 Trials 41 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.21 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 1,

Design Line 2: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-10

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $70

.000

.163

.325

.488

.651

0

6506

($1000) ($625) ($250) $125 $500

10,000 Trials 123 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.22 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2,

Design Line 2: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $70

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1000) ($625) ($250) $125 $500

10,000 Trials 123 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.23 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

2, Design Line

2: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 6.8

.000

.025

.050

.076

.101

0

86.75

173.5

260.2

347

0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0

3,438 Trials 84 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.24 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 2,

Design Line 2: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-11

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $72

.000

.154

.308

.462

.617

0

6166

($1000) ($625) ($250) $125 $500

10,000 Trials 141 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.25 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3,

Design Line 2: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $72

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1000) ($625) ($250) $125 $500

10,000 Trials 141 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.26 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

3, Design Line

2: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 8.8

.000

.023

.046

.070

.093

0

86.25

172.5

258.7

345

0.0 11.3 22.5 33.8 45.0

3,722 Trials 99 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.27 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 3,

Design Line 2: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-12

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $71

.000

.144

.288

.432

.576

0

5756

($1000) ($625) ($250) $125 $500

10,000 Trials 151 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.28 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4,

Design Line 2: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $71

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1000) ($625) ($250) $125 $500

10,000 Trials 151 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.29 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

4, Design Line

2: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 12.0

.000

.019

.039

.058

.077

0

79

158

237

316

0.0 15.0 30.0 45.0 60.0

4,089 Trials 122 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.30 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 4,

Design Line 2: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-13

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $7

.000

.068

.136

.203

.271

0

677.5

2710

($1000) ($625) ($250) $125 $500

10,000 Trials 152 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.31 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5,

Design Line 2: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $7

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1000) ($625) ($250) $125 $500

10,000 Trials 152 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.32 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

5, Design Line

2: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 31.7

.000

.012

.024

.036

.048

0

84.75

169.5

254.2

339

0.0 25.0 50.0 75.0 100.0

7,130 Trials 0 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.33 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 5,

Design Line 2: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-14

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = ($953)

.000

.004

.009

.013

.017

0

42.5

85

127.5

170

($1000) ($625) ($250) $125 $500

10,000 Trials 4,714 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.34 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6,

Design Line 2: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = ($953)

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1000) ($625) ($250) $125 $500

10,000 Trials 4,714 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.35 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

6, Design Line

2: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 66.6

.000

.035

.070

.104

.139

0

348

696

1392

10.0 32.5 55.0 77.5 100.0

10,000 Trials 0 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.36 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 6,

Design Line 2: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-15

8A.1.3 Design Line 3 Results

Table 8A.1.5 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 3 Representative Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Efficiency (%) 99.30 99.38 99.46 99.54 99.74 99.75

Transformers having LCC Savings $ $0 (%) 99.8 98.6 93.9 60.1 33.7 29.2

Mean LCC Savings ($) 1,746 2,267 2,775 2,876 627 -410

Table 8A.1.6 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 3 Representative Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Mean Payback (Years) 1.4 4.3 10.4 19.8 29.3 32.3

Transformers having Well Defined Payback (%) 73.7 65.2 49.5 4.0 0.1 0.0

Transformers having No Impact on Payback (%) 16.8 34.4 50.1 93.5 99.8 100.0

Transformers having Undefined Payback (%) 9.6 0.4 0.5 2.6 0.0 0.0

Mean Incremental First Cost ($) 131 628 1,302 1,871 8,287 9,332

Mean Operating Cost Savings ($) 292 303 290 212 397 398
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-16

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $1,746

.000

.184

.369

.553

.737

0

7372

($6,000) ($1,500) $3,000 $7,500 $12,000

10,000 Trials 318 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.37 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1,

Design Line 3: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $1,746

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($6,000) ($1,500) $3,000 $7,500 $12,000

10,000 Trials 318 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.38 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

1, Design Line

3: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 1.4

.000

.018

.035

.053

.070

0

29.5

59

88.5

118

0.0 2.5 5.0 7.5 10.0

1,676 Trials 14 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.39 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 1,

Design Line 3: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-17

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $2267

.000

.164

.328

.492

.657

0

6565

($6000) ($1500) $3000 $7500 $12000

10,000 Trials 527 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.40 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2,

Design Line 3: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $2267

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($6000) ($1500) $3000 $7500 $12000

10,000 Trials 527 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.41 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

2, Design Line

3: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 4.3

.000

.021

.042

.063

.084

0

72

144

216

288

0.0 6.3 12.5 18.8 25.0

3,441 Trials 56 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.42 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 2,

Design Line 3: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-18

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $2775

.000

.127

.254

.381

.508

0

5084

($6000) ($1500) $3000 $7500 $12000

10,000 Trials 710 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.43 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3,

Design Line 3: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $2775

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($6000) ($1500) $3000 $7500 $12000

10,000 Trials 710 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.44 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

3, Design Line

3: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 10.4

.000

.014

.029

.043

.058

0

72

144

216

288

0.0 11.3 22.5 33.8 45.0

5,008 Trials 125 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.45 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 3,

Design Line 3: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-19

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $2876

.000

.020

.039

.059

.078

0

195

390

585

780

($6000) ($1500) $3000 $7500 $12000

10,000 Trials 779 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.46 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4,

Design Line 3: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $2876

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($6000) ($1500) $3000 $7500 $12000

10,000 Trials 779 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.47 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

4, Design Line

3: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 19.8

.000

.007

.013

.020

.026

0

61.75

123.5

185.2

247

0.0 15.0 30.0 45.0 60.0

9,345 Trials 228 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.48 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 4,

Design Line 3: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-20

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $627

.000

.005

.010

.015

.020

0

49.5

99

148.5

198

($6000) ($1500) $3000 $7500 $12000

10,000 Trials 1,148 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.49 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5,

Design Line 3: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $627

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($6000) ($1500) $3000 $7500 $12000

10,000 Trials 1,148 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.50 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

5, Design Line

3: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 29.3

.000

.005

.011

.016

.021

0

53.25

106.5

159.7

213

0.0 17.5 35.0 52.5 70.0

9,984 Trials 90 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.51 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 5,

Design Line 3: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-21

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = ($410)

.000

.005

.010

.015

.020

0

49

98

147

196

($6000) ($1500) $3000 $7500 $12000

10,000 Trials 1,596 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.52 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6,

Design Line 3: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = ($410)

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($6000) ($1500) $3000 $7500 $12000

10,000 Trials 1,596 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.53 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

6, Design Line

3: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 32.3

.000

.006

.012

.018

.024

0

60.75

121.5

182.2

243

0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0

10,000 Trials 86 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.54 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 6,

Design Line 3: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-22

8A.1.4 Design Line 4 Results

Table 8A.1.7 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 4 Representative Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Efficiency (%) 98.90 99.08 99.26 99.45 99.58 99.61

Transformers having LCC Savings $ $0 (%) 96.7 83.2 59.0 68.8 35.6 25.5

Mean LCC Savings ($) 556 629 450 767 56 -572

Table 8A.1.8 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 4 Representative Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Mean Payback (Years) 8.5 18.1 21.5 17.0 29.2 34.9

Transformers having Well Defined Payback (%) 63.7 40.8 11.3 9.7 0.8 0.0

Transformers having No Impact on Payback (%) 35.4 58.3 88.4 90.3 99.0 99.9

Transformers having Undefined Payback (%) 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.1

Mean Incremental First Cost ($) 484 898 1,543 1,948 3,336 4,195

Mean Operating Cost Savings ($) 93 88 102 136 158 166
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-23

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $556

.000

.161

.321

.482

.642

0

6422

($3,500) ($1,750) $0 $1,750 $3,500

10,000 Trials 288 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.55 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1,

Design Line 4: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $556

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($3,500) ($1,750) $0 $1,750 $3,500

10,000 Trials 288 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.56 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

1, Design Line

4: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 8.5

.000

.016

.032

.048

.064

0

56.25

112.5

168.7

225

0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0

3,535 Trials 78 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.57 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 1,

Design Line 4: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-24

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $629

.000

.106

.212

.318

.424

0

4242

($3500) ($1750) $0 $1750 $3500

10,000 Trials 459 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.58 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2,

Design Line 4: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $629

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($3500) ($1750) $0 $1750 $3500

10,000 Trials 459 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.59 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

2, Design Line

4: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 18.1

.000

.013

.025

.038

.051

0

74

148

222

296

0.0 17.5 35.0 52.5 70.0

5,830 Trials 166 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.60 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 2,

Design Line 4: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-25

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $450

.000

.034

.067

.101

.135

0

336.5

673

1346

($3500) ($1750) $0 $1750 $3500

10,000 Trials 404 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.61 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3,

Design Line 4: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $450

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($3500) ($1750) $0 $1750 $3500

10,000 Trials 404 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.62 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

3, Design Line

4: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 21.5

.000

.008

.016

.025

.033

0

72.5

145

217.5

290

0.0 15.0 30.0 45.0 60.0

8,842 Trials 224 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.63 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 3,

Design Line 4: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-26

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $767

.000

.030

.060

.089

.119

0

298

596

894

1192

($3500) ($1750) $0 $1750 $3500

10,000 Trials 695 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.64 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4,

Design Line 4: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $767

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($3500) ($1750) $0 $1750 $3500

10,000 Trials 695 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.65 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

4, Design Line

4: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 17.0

.000

.008

.016

.023

.031

0

70

140

210

280

0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0

9,028 Trials 69 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.66 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 4,

Design Line 4: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-27

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $56

.000

.005

.010

.014

.019

0

47.5

95

142.5

190

($3500) ($1750) $0 $1750 $3500

10,000 Trials 703 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.67 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5,

Design Line 4: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $56

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($3500) ($1750) $0 $1750 $3500

10,000 Trials 703 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.68 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

5, Design Line

4: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 29.2

.000

.008

.017

.025

.034

0

84

168

252

336

0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0

9,897 Trials 464 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.69 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 5,

Design Line 4: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-28

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = ($572)

.000

.004

.008

.012

.016

0

39.25

78.5

117.7

157

($3500) ($1750) $0 $1750 $3500

10,000 Trials 852 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.70 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6,

Design Line 4: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = ($572)

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($3500) ($1750) $0 $1750 $3500

10,000 Trials 852 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.71 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

6, Design Line

4: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 34.9

.000

.008

.016

.024

.032

0

79.75

159.5

239.2

319

0.0 22.5 45.0 67.5 90.0

9,989 Trials 532 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.72 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 6,

Design Line 4: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-29

8A.1.5 Design Line 5 Results

Table 8A.1.9 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 5 Representative Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Efficiency (%) 99.30 99.36 99.42 99.47 99.71 99.71

Transformers having LCC Savings $ $0 (%) 99.7 98.5 89.8 84.1 42.9 42.8

Mean LCC Savings ($) 3,957 5,463 6,504 7,089 4,431 3,902

Table 8A.1.10 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 5 Representative

Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Mean Payback (Years) 3.4 6.1 12.7 14.1 25.6 26.1

Transformers having Well Defined Payback (%) 71.7 62.8 40.0 24.2 0.0 0.1

Transformers having No Impact on Payback (%) 28.3 37.1 59.1 75.0 99.9 99.9

Transformers having Undefined Payback (%) 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.8 0.1 0.1

Mean Incremental First Cost ($) 1,489 2,581 3,066 4,439 19,736 19,728

Mean Operating Cost Savings ($) 638 707 569 574 1,064 1,037
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-30

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $3,957

.000

.180

.360

.539

.719

0

7190

($15,000) ($2,500) $10,000 $22,500 $35,000

10,000 Trials 149 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.73 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1,

Design Line 5: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $3,957

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($15,000) ($2,500) $10,000 $22,500 $35,000

10,000 Trials 149 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.74 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

1, Design Line

5: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 3.4

.000

.012

.024

.036

.048

0

34.25

68.5

102.7

137

0.0 3.8 7.5 11.3 15.0

2,825 Trials 32 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.75 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 1,

Design Line 5: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-31

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $5463

.000

.158

.316

.474

.632

0

6324

($15000) ($2500) $10000 $22500 $35000

10,000 Trials 338 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.76 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2,

Design Line 5: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $5463

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($15000) ($2500) $10000 $22500 $35000

10,000 Trials 338 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.77 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

2, Design Line

5: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 6.1

.000

.012

.024

.036

.048

0

44.5

89

133.5

178

0.0 6.3 12.5 18.8 25.0

3,710 Trials 49 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.78 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 2,

Design Line 5: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-32

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $6504

.000

.105

.211

.316

.422

0

4217

($15000) ($2500) $10000 $22500 $35000

10,000 Trials 450 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.79 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3,

Design Line 5: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $6504

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($15000) ($2500) $10000 $22500 $35000

10,000 Trials 450 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.80 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

3, Design Line

5: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 12.7

.000

.013

.027

.040

.054

0

79.5

159

238.5

318

0.0 13.8 27.5 41.3 55.0

5,910 Trials 145 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.81 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 3,

Design Line 5: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-33

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $7089

.000

.069

.138

.206

.275

0

688

2752

($15000) ($2500) $10000 $22500 $35000

10,000 Trials 479 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.82 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4,

Design Line 5: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $7089

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($15000) ($2500) $10000 $22500 $35000

10,000 Trials 479 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.83 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

4, Design Line

5: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 14.1

.000

.008

.016

.024

.031

0

59

118

177

236

0.0 11.3 22.5 33.8 45.0

7,502 Trials 152 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.84 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 4,

Design Line 5: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-34

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $4431

.000

.005

.010

.014

.019

0

47.5

95

142.5

190

($15000) ($2500) $10000 $22500 $35000

10,000 Trials 870 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.85 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5,

Design Line 5: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $4431

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($15000) ($2500) $10000 $22500 $35000

10,000 Trials 870 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.86 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

5, Design Line

5: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 25.6

.000

.007

.015

.022

.029

0

72.5

145

217.5

290

0.0 17.5 35.0 52.5 70.0

9,989 Trials 145 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.87 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 5,

Design Line 5: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-35

Frequency Chart

 $

Mean = $3902

.000

.005

.010

.014

.019

0

47.75

95.5

143.2

191

($15000) ($2500) $10000 $22500 $35000

10,000 Trials 820 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.88 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6,

Design Line 5: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

 $

Mean = $3902

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($15000) ($2500) $10000 $22500 $35000

10,000 Trials 820 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Savings

Figure 8A.1.89 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

6, Design Line

5: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

 years

Mean = 26.1

.000

.007

.013

.020

.027

0

66.25

132.5

198.7

265

0.0 17.5 35.0 52.5 70.0

9,985 Trials 185 Outliers

Forecast: Payback Period

Figure 8A.1.90 Payback Period for Candidate Standard Level 6,

Design Line 5: Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-36

8A.2 LCC & PAYBACK RESULTS FOR DRY TYPE TRANSFORMERS, 

DESIGN LINES 6 - 13

8A.2.1 Design Line 6 Results

Table 8A.2.1 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 6 Representative Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Efficiency (%) 98.00 98.22 98.44 98.66 98.90 98.90

Transformers having LCC Savings $ $0 (%) 99.3 98.9 97.0 95.4 88.5 89.1

Mean LCC Savings ($) 1,758 2,026 2,148 2,168 1,987 2,030

Table 8A.2.2 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 6 Representative Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Mean Payback (Years) 1.8 2.0 3.2 4.5 7.9 7.8

Transformers having Well Defined Payback (%) 8.8 7.0 3.6 0.5 0.0 0.0

Transformers having No Impact on Payback (%) 91.0 92.4 95.8 98.8 99.9 99.9

Transformers having Undefined Payback (%) 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.1

Mean Incremental First Cost ($) 176 213 342 474 883 884

Mean Operating Cost Savings ($) 136 155 168 174 186 188
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-37

Frequency Chart

Mean = $1,758

.000

.024

.047

.071

.095

0

236.7

473.5

710.2

947

($1,000) $1,000 $3,000 $5,000 $7,000

10,000 Trials 35 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.1 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1, Design

Line 6: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $1,758

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1,000) $1,000 $3,000 $5,000 $7,000

10,000 Trials 35 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.2 LCC Savings for

Candidate

Standard Level 1,

Design Line 6:

Cumulative Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 1.8

.000

.020

.040

.060

.079

0

180.7

361.5

542.2

723

0.4 3.0 5.7 8.4 11.1

9,096 Trials 79 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.3 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level 1,

Design Line 6:

Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-38

Frequency Chart

Mean = $2026

.000

.020

.041

.061

.081

0

203.2

406.5

609.7

813

($1000) $1000 $3000 $5000 $7000

10,000 Trials 103 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.4 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2, Design

Line 6: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $2026

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1000) $1000 $3000 $5000 $7000

10,000 Trials 103 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.5 LCC Savings for

Candidate

Standard Level 2,

Design Line 6:

Cumulative Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 2.0

.000

.020

.040

.060

.080

0

183.7

367.5

551.2

735

0.0 3.1 6.3 9.4 12.5

9,240 Trials 76 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.6 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level 2,

Design Line 6:

Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-39

Frequency Chart

Mean = $2148

.000

.014

.028

.042

.056

0

138.7

277.5

416.2

555

($1000) $1000 $3000 $5000 $7000

10,000 Trials 174 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.7 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3, Design

Line 6: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $2148

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1000) $1000 $3000 $5000 $7000

10,000 Trials 174 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.8 LCC Savings for

Candidate

Standard Level 3,

Design Line 6:

Cumulative Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 3.2

.000

.017

.035

.052

.069

0

165.2

330.5

495.7

661

0.0 4.1 8.2 12.3 16.4

9,575 Trials 178 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.9 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level 3,

Design Line 6:

Frequency Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-40

Frequency Chart

Mean = $2168

.000

.007

.013

.020

.027

0

66.75

133.5

200.2

267

($1000) $1000 $3000 $5000 $7000

10,000 Trials 181 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.10 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4,

Design Line 6: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $2168

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1000) $1000 $3000 $5000 $7000

10,000 Trials 181 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.11 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

4, Design Line

6: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 4.5

.000

.016

.032

.049

.065

0

160

320

480

640

0.1 5.4 10.6 15.9 21.1

9,877 Trials 194 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.12 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

4, Design Line

6: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-41

Frequency Chart

Mean = $1987

.000

.006

.012

.018

.024

0

59.5

119

178.5

238

($1000) $1000 $3000 $5000 $7000

10,000 Trials 243 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.13 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5,

Design Line 6: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $1987

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1000) $1000 $3000 $5000 $7000

10,000 Trials 243 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.14 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

5, Design Line

6: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 7.9

.000

.015

.029

.044

.058

0

145.5

291

436.5

582

1.3 9.6 17.8 26.1 34.4

9,991 Trials 271 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.15 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

5, Design Line

6: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-42

Frequency Chart

Mean = $2030

.000

.006

.012

.017

.023

0

57.5

115

172.5

230

($1000) $1000 $3000 $5000 $7000

10,000 Trials 296 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.16 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6,

Design Line 6: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $2030

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1000) $1000 $3000 $5000 $7000

10,000 Trials 296 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.17 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

6, Design Line

6: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 7.8

.000

.014

.028

.043

.057

0

142.2

284.5

426.7

569

1.1 9.2 17.2 25.2 33.2

9,989 Trials 265 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.18 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

6, Design Line

6: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-43

8A.2.2 Design Line 7 Results

Table 8A.2.3 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 7 Representative Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Efficiency (%) 98.00 98.32 98.64 98.95 99.13 99.13

Transformers having LCC Savings $ $0 (%) 99.6 99.2 98.6 96.0 90.7 90.5

Mean LCC Savings ($) 3,799 4,080 4,714 5,039 4,802 4,862

Table 8A.2.4 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 7 Representative Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Mean Payback (Years) 0.8 1.6 2.3 3.9 7.0 7.0

Transformers having Well Defined Payback (%) 10.1 7.6 6.8 0.7 0.0 0.0

Transformers having No Impact on Payback (%) 89.8 92.2 93.1 98.8 99.9 99.8

Transformers having Undefined Payback (%) 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.2

Mean Incremental First Cost ($) 151 302 545 904 1,794 1,796

Mean Operating Cost Savings ($) 280 308 363 390 429 432
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-44

Frequency Chart

Mean = $3,799

.000

.026

.052

.078

.104

0

261

522

783

1044

($1,000) $3,750 $8,500 $13,250 $18,000

10,000 Trials 10 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.19 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1,

Design Line 7: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $3,799

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1,000) $3,750 $8,500 $13,250 $18,000

10,000 Trials 10 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.20 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

1, Design Line

7: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 0.8

.000

.024

.047

.071

.095

0

213

426

639

852

0.0 1.6 3.2 4.8 6.4

8,984 Trials 72 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.21 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

1, Design Line

7: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-45

Frequency Chart

Mean = $4080

.000

.022

.044

.066

.088

0

218.7

437.5

656.2

875

($1000) $3750 $8500 $13250 $18000

10,000 Trials 19 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.22 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2,

Design Line 7: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $4080

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1000) $3750 $8500 $13250 $18000

10,000 Trials 19 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.23 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

2, Design Line

7: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 1.6

.000

.028

.056

.084

.113

0

259.5

519

778.5

1038

0.0 2.9 5.8 8.7 11.7

9,222 Trials 82 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.24 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

2, Design Line

7: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-46

Frequency Chart

Mean = $4714

.000

.019

.038

.058

.077

0

192.2

384.5

576.7

769

($1000) $3750 $8500 $13250 $18000

10,000 Trials 57 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.25 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3,

Design Line 7: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $4714

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1000) $3750 $8500 $13250 $18000

10,000 Trials 57 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.26 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

3, Design Line

7: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 2.3

.000

.022

.044

.066

.088

0

205.7

411.5

617.2

823

0.1 3.8 7.5 11.3 15.0

9,310 Trials 110 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.27 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

3, Design Line

7: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-47

Frequency Chart

Mean = $5039

.000

.009

.017

.026

.034

0

85

170

255

340

($1000) $3750 $8500 $13250 $18000

10,000 Trials 131 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.28 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4,

Design Line 7: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $5039

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1000) $3750 $8500 $13250 $18000

10,000 Trials 131 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.29 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

4, Design Line

7: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 3.9

.000

.018

.036

.054

.072

0

178.5

357

535.5

714

0.2 5.3 10.5 15.7 20.9

9,884 Trials 167 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.30 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

4, Design Line

7: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-48

Frequency Chart

Mean = $4802

.000

.006

.012

.019

.025

0

62.25

124.5

186.7

249

($1000) $3750 $8500 $13250 $18000

10,000 Trials 300 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.31 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5,

Design Line 7: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $4802

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1000) $3750 $8500 $13250 $18000

10,000 Trials 300 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.32 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

5, Design Line

7: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 7.0

.000

.015

.031

.046

.061

0

153

306

459

612

1.3 8.9 16.5 24.2 31.8

9,989 Trials 261 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.33 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

5, Design Line

7: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-49

Frequency Chart

Mean = $4862

.000

.006

.013

.019

.026

0

64.5

129

193.5

258

($1000) $3750 $8500 $13250 $18000

10,000 Trials 328 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.34 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6,

Design Line 7: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $4862

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($1000) $3750 $8500 $13250 $18000

10,000 Trials 328 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.35 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

6, Design Line

7: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 7.0

.000

.015

.030

.045

.060

0

148.7

297.5

446.2

595

1.2 8.8 16.5 24.1 31.7

9,979 Trials 257 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.36 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

6, Design Line

7: Frequency

Chart

8A.2.3 Design Line 8 Results

Table 8A.2.5 Summary Life-Cycle Cost

Results for

Design Line 8

Representative

Unit

Candidate

Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Efficiency (%) 98.60 98.82 99.04 99.26 99.33 99.33

Transformers having LCC

Savings $ $0 (%)

99.1 98.5 98.1 91.9 88.1 88.7

Mean LCC Savings ($) 7,617 9,152 10,603 11,323 11,057 11,052

Table 8A.2.6 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 8 Representative Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Mean Payback (Years) 1.0 2.0 2.4 5.8 8.2 7.9

Transformers having Well Defined Payback (%) 8.6 8.6 6.4 0.1 0.0 0.0

Transformers having No Impact on Payback (%) 90.9 91.4 93.4 99.5 99.9 99.8

Transformers having Undefined Payback (%) 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2

Mean Incremental First Cost ($) 248 799 1,132 2,684 4,349 4,345

Mean Operating Cost Savings ($) 555 700 809 918 1,001 1,002
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-50

Frequency Chart

Mean = $7,617

.000

.030

.059

.089

.119

0

296.2

592.5

888.7

1185

($5,000) $8,750 $22,500 $36,250 $50,000

10,000 Trials 2 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.37 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1,

Design Line 8: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $7,617

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($5,000) $8,750 $22,500 $36,250 $50,000

10,000 Trials 2 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.38 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

1, Design Line

8: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 1.0

.000

.039

.078

.118

.157

0

356.2

712.5

1425

0.0 2.3 4.6 6.9 9.2

9,092 Trials 86 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.39 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

1, Design Line

8: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-51

Frequency Chart

Mean = $9152

.000

.025

.049

.074

.099

0

247.2

494.5

741.7

989

($5000) $8750 $22500 $36250 $50000

10,000 Trials 9 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.40 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2,

Design Line 8: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $9152

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($5000) $8750 $22500 $36250 $50000

10,000 Trials 9 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.41 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

2, Design Line

8: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 2.0

.000

.025

.050

.075

.100

0

228.2

456.5

684.7

913

0.4 3.9 7.4 10.9 14.4

9,135 Trials 101 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.42 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

2, Design Line

8: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-52

Frequency Chart

Mean = $10603

.000

.020

.041

.061

.082

0

204.2

408.5

612.7

817

($5000) $8750 $22500 $36250 $50000

10,000 Trials 22 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.43 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3,

Design Line 8: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $10603

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($5000) $8750 $22500 $36250 $50000

10,000 Trials 22 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.44 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

3, Design Line

8: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 2.4

.000

.026

.052

.078

.104

0

242

484

726

968

0.0 4.3 8.6 12.9 17.2

9,335 Trials 95 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.45 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

3, Design Line

8: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-53

Frequency Chart

Mean = $11323

.000

.008

.015

.023

.031

0

76.25

152.5

228.7

305

($5000) $8750 $22500 $36250 $50000

10,000 Trials 48 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.46 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4,

Design Line 8: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $11323

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($5000) $8750 $22500 $36250 $50000

10,000 Trials 48 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.47 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

4, Design Line

8: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 5.8

.000

.019

.039

.058

.078

0

193.2

386.5

579.7

773

0.9 8.5 16.2 23.8 31.4

9,947 Trials 257 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.48 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

4, Design Line

8: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-54

Frequency Chart

Mean = $11057

.000

.007

.014

.022

.029

0

72.25

144.5

216.7

289

($5000) $8750 $22500 $36250 $50000

10,000 Trials 78 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.49 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5,

Design Line 8: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $11057

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($5000) $8750 $22500 $36250 $50000

10,000 Trials 78 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.50 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

5, Design Line

8: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 8.2

.000

.017

.034

.051

.067

0

168.2

336.5

504.7

673

0.8 10.3 19.9 29.4 38.9

9,985 Trials 330 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.51 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

5, Design Line

8: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-55

Frequency Chart

Mean = $11052

.000

.008

.015

.023

.031

0

76.75

153.5

230.2

307

($5000) $8750 $22500 $36250 $50000

10,000 Trials 84 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.52 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6,

Design Line 8: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $11052

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($5000) $8750 $22500 $36250 $50000

10,000 Trials 84 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.53 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

6, Design Line

8: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 7.9

.000

.015

.031

.046

.062

0

154.5

309

463.5

618

1.2 10.2 19.3 28.4 37.4

9,980 Trials 318 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.54 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

6, Design Line

8: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-56

8A.2.4 Design Line 9 Results

Table 8A.2.7 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 9 Representative Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Efficiency (%) 98.60 98.82 99.04 99.26 99.41 99.41

Transformers having LCC Savings $ $0 (%) 99.4 98.9 94.7 74.3 43.7 45.0

Mean LCC Savings ($) 988 1,968 3,103 3,532 1,181 1,274

Table 8A.2.8 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 9 Representative Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Mean Payback (Years) 1.5 2.4 5.4 12.4 21.7 21.5

Transformers having Well Defined Payback (%) 57.8 46.3 29.7 0.5 0.0 0.0

Transformers having No Impact on Payback (%) 33.0 53.4 69.6 98.6 99.7 99.7

Transformers having Undefined Payback (%) 9.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.3

Mean Incremental First Cost ($) 169 396 996 2,528 6,528 6,510

Mean Operating Cost Savings ($) 174 263 350 397 503 508
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-57

Frequency Chart

Mean = $988

.000

.150

.301

.451

.602

0

6015

($5,000) $6,250 $17,500 $28,750 $40,000

10,000 Trials 0 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.55 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1,

Design Line 9: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $988

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($5,000) $6,250 $17,500 $28,750 $40,000

10,000 Trials 0 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.56 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

1, Design Line

9: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 1.5

.000

.017

.034

.051

.068

0

56

112

168

224

0.0 2.4 4.7 7.1 9.5

3,303 Trials 43 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.57 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

1, Design Line

9: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-58

Frequency Chart

Mean = $1968

.000

.120

.240

.360

.480

0

4799

($5000) $6250 $17500 $28750 $40000

10,000 Trials 0 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.58 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2,

Design Line 9: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $1968

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($5000) $6250 $17500 $28750 $40000

10,000 Trials 0 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.59 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

2, Design Line

9: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 2.4

.000

.019

.038

.057

.075

0

100.5

201

301.5

402

0.1 3.8 7.6 11.4 15.2

5,335 Trials 65 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.60 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

2, Design Line

9: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-59

Frequency Chart

Mean = $3103

.000

.088

.176

.264

.352

0

879

3516

($5000) $6250 $17500 $28750 $40000

10,000 Trials 0 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.61 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3,

Design Line 9: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $3103

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($5000) $6250 $17500 $28750 $40000

10,000 Trials 0 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.62 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

3, Design Line

9: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 5.4

.000

.017

.034

.051

.068

0

118.5

237

355.5

474

0.7 7.2 13.7 20.3 26.8

6,963 Trials 139 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.63 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

3, Design Line

9: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-60

Frequency Chart

Mean = $3532

.000

.023

.045

.068

.090

0

225.2

450.5

675.7

901

($5000) $6250 $17500 $28750 $40000

10,000 Trials 9 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.64 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4,

Design Line 9: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $3532

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($5000) $6250 $17500 $28750 $40000

10,000 Trials 9 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.65 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

4, Design Line

9: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 12.4

.000

.013

.025

.038

.050

0

123.5

247

370.5

494

0.1 12.4 24.7 37.0 49.3

9,862 Trials 286 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.66 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

4, Design Line

9: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-61

Frequency Chart

Mean = $1181

.000

.016

.031

.047

.063

0

156.2

312.5

468.7

625

($5000) $6250 $17500 $28750 $40000

10,000 Trials 454 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.67 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5,

Design Line 9: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $1181

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($5000) $6250 $17500 $28750 $40000

10,000 Trials 454 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.68 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

5, Design Line

9: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 21.7

.000

.008

.016

.025

.033

0

82

164

246

328

2.3 18.8 35.3 51.8 68.3

9,973 Trials 338 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.69 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

5, Design Line

9: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-62

Frequency Chart

Mean = $1274

.000

.015

.029

.044

.058

0

145

290

435

580

($5000) $6250 $17500 $28750 $40000

10,000 Trials 468 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.70 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6,

Design Line 9: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $1274

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($5000) $6250 $17500 $28750 $40000

10,000 Trials 468 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.71 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

6, Design Line

9: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 21.5

.000

.008

.017

.025

.034

0

83.75

167.5

251.2

335

2.1 18.6 35.1 51.6 68.1

9,973 Trials 338 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.72 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

6, Design Line

9: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-63

8A.2.5 Design Line 10 Results

Table 8A.2.9 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 10 Representative Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Efficiency (%) 99.10 99.22 99.33 99.45 99.51 99.51

Transformers having LCC Savings $ $0 (%) 95.6 94.9 91.1 79.0 33.7 33.8

Mean LCC Savings ($) 4,041 5,227 6,818 7,699 1,279 1,124

Table 8A.2.10 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 10 Representative

Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Mean Payback (Years) 7.7 8.3 10.0 13.4 28.7 29.4

Transformers having Well Defined Payback (%) 63.3 56.9 44.4 23.2 0.0 0.0

Transformers having No Impact on Payback (%) 35.9 41.8 55.3 75.7 99.7 99.7

Transformers having Undefined Payback (%) 0.8 1.2 0.3 1.1 0.3 0.3

Mean Incremental First Cost ($) 4,085 5,161 6,858 8,382 18,989 19,021

Mean Operating Cost Savings ($) 1,000 1,141 1,236 1,199 1,316 1,315
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-64

Frequency Chart

Mean = $4,041

.000

.163

.326

.489

.652

0

6518

($2,000) $23,500 $49,000 $74,500 $100,000

10,000 Trials 168 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.73 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1,

Design Line 10: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $4,041

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($2,000) $23,500 $49,000 $74,500 $100,000

10,000 Trials 168 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.74 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

1, Design Line

10: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 7.7

.000

.016

.031

.047

.063

0

56.25

112.5

168.7

225

0.4 9.4 18.4 27.4 36.4

3,587 Trials 91 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.75 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

1, Design Line

10: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-65

Frequency Chart

Mean = $5227

.000

.147

.293

.440

.586

0

5864

($2000) $23500 $49000 $74500 $100000

10,000 Trials 247 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.76 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2,

Design Line 10: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $5227

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($2000) $23500 $49000 $74500 $100000

10,000 Trials 247 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.77 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

2, Design Line

10: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 8.3

.000

.016

.033

.049

.065

0

68.5

137

205.5

274

0.2 10.1 20.0 29.9 39.8

4,184 Trials 118 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.78 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

2, Design Line

10: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-66

Frequency Chart

Mean = $6818

.000

.119

.238

.357

.476

0

4756

($2000) $23500 $49000 $74500 $100000

10,000 Trials 428 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.79 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3,

Design Line 10: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $6818

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($2000) $23500 $49000 $74500 $100000

10,000 Trials 428 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.80 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

3, Design Line

10: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 10.0

.000

.013

.026

.040

.053

0

73.25

146.5

219.7

293

0.4 11.2 22.0 32.8 43.6

5,532 Trials 155 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.81 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

3, Design Line

10: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-67

Frequency Chart

Mean = $7699

.000

.075

.149

.224

.298

0

745

2980

($2000) $23500 $49000 $74500 $100000

10,000 Trials 994 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.82 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4,

Design Line 10: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $7699

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($2000) $23500 $49000 $74500 $100000

10,000 Trials 994 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.83 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

4, Design Line

10: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 13.4

.000

.011

.023

.034

.045

0

86

172

258

344

1.0 14.5 27.9 41.3 54.8

7,566 Trials 245 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.84 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

4, Design Line

10: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-68

Frequency Chart

Mean = $1279

.000

.007

.015

.022

.030

0

74.5

149

223.5

298

($2000) $23500 $49000 $74500 $100000

10,000 Trials 6,140 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.85 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5,

Design Line 10: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $1279

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($2000) $23500 $49000 $74500 $100000

10,000 Trials 6,140 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.86 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

5, Design Line

10: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 28.7

.000

.008

.016

.025

.033

0

81.5

163

244.5

326

2.5 24.5 46.5 68.6 90.6

9,965 Trials 556 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.87 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

5, Design Line

10: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-69

Frequency Chart

Mean = $1124

.000

.007

.014

.021

.029

0

71.5

143

214.5

286

($2000) $23500 $49000 $74500 $100000

10,000 Trials 6,129 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.88 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6,

Design Line 10: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $1124

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($2000) $23500 $49000 $74500 $100000

10,000 Trials 6,129 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.89 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

6, Design Line

10: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 29.4

.000

.009

.018

.027

.036

0

89.25

178.5

267.7

357

2.1 24.8 47.6 70.3 93.0

9,970 Trials 576 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.90 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

6, Design Line

10: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-70

8A.2.6 Design Line 11 Results

Table 8A.2.11 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 11 Representative

Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Efficiency (%) 98.50 98.67 98.84 99.01 99.09 99.09

Transformers having LCC Savings $ $0 (%) 97.6 96.1 90.2 78.0 65.8 66.8

Mean LCC Savings ($) 2,491 3,621 4,313 4,845 4,186 4,289

Table 8A.2.12 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 11 Representative

Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Mean Payback (Years) 3.8 4.9 7.9 11.8 15.1 14.8

Transformers having Well Defined Payback (%) 42.5 34.6 18.7 2.3 0.0 0.0

Transformers having No Impact on Payback (%) 57.2 64.5 80.1 96.3 99.6 99.6

Transformers having Undefined Payback (%) 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.4 0.4 0.4

Mean Incremental First Cost ($) 733 1,263 1,991 3,058 4,399 4,412

Mean Operating Cost Savings ($) 332 445 484 525 556 567
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-71

Frequency Chart

Mean = $2,491

.000

.110

.220

.330

.441

0

4405

($6,000) $4,500 $15,000 $25,500 $36,000

10,000 Trials 1 Outlier 

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.91 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1,

Design Line 11: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $2,491

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($6,000) $4,500 $15,000 $25,500 $36,000

10,000 Trials 1 Outlier 

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.92 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

1, Design Line

11: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 3.8

.000

.018

.036

.054

.072

0

103.5

207

310.5

414

0.1 5.6 11.1 16.6 22.1

5,717 Trials 108 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.93 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

1, Design Line

11: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-72

Frequency Chart

Mean = $3621

.000

.092

.184

.276

.368

0

919.7

3679

($6000) $4500 $15000 $25500 $36000

10,000 Trials 9 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.94 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2,

Design Line 11: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $3621

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($6000) $4500 $15000 $25500 $36000

10,000 Trials 9 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.95 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

2, Design Line

11: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 4.9

.000

.015

.031

.046

.061

0

98.75

197.5

296.2

395

0.1 6.2 12.3 18.4 24.5

6,452 Trials 127 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.96 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

2, Design Line

11: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-73

Frequency Chart

Mean = $4313

.000

.060

.120

.179

.239

0

598

2392

($6000) $4500 $15000 $25500 $36000

10,000 Trials 31 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.97 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3,

Design Line 11: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $4313

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($6000) $4500 $15000 $25500 $36000

10,000 Trials 31 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.98 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

3, Design Line

11: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 7.9

.000

.016

.031

.047

.062

0

124.7

249.5

374.2

499

0.8 9.9 18.9 27.9 37.0

8,014 Trials 187 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.99 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

3, Design Line

11: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-74

Frequency Chart

Mean = $4845

.000

.024

.047

.071

.095

0

237

474

711

948

($6000) $4500 $15000 $25500 $36000

10,000 Trials 73 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.100 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4,

Design Line 11: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $4845

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($6000) $4500 $15000 $25500 $36000

10,000 Trials 73 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.101 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

4, Design Line

11: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 11.8

.000

.013

.027

.040

.053

0

128.5

257

385.5

514

0.4 12.8 25.1 37.5 49.9

9,634 Trials 281 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.102 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

4, Design Line

11: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-75

Frequency Chart

Mean = $4186

.000

.015

.030

.045

.060

0

149.7

299.5

449.2

599

($6000) $4500 $15000 $25500 $36000

10,000 Trials 71 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.103 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5,

Design Line 11: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $4186

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($6000) $4500 $15000 $25500 $36000

10,000 Trials 71 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.104 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

5, Design Line

11: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 15.1

.000

.011

.023

.034

.045

0

112.5

225

337.5

450

1.3 14.9 28.5 42.1 55.7

9,962 Trials 309 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.105 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

5, Design Line

11: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-76

Frequency Chart

Mean = $4289

.000

.015

.029

.044

.058

0

145.5

291

436.5

582

($6000) $4500 $15000 $25500 $36000

10,000 Trials 72 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.106 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6,

Design Line 11: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $4289

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($6000) $4500 $15000 $25500 $36000

10,000 Trials 72 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.107 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

6, Design Line

11: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 14.8

.000

.011

.022

.033

.044

0

110.2

220.5

330.7

441

1.3 14.6 27.9 41.2 54.5

9,958 Trials 293 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.108 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

6, Design Line

11: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-77

8A.2.7 Design Line 12 Results

Table 8A.2.13 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 12 Representative

Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Efficiency (%) 99.00 99.12 99.23 99.35 99.40 99.40

Transformers having LCC Savings $ $0 (%) 98.6 98.5 94.2 81.8 29.4 29.9

Mean LCC Savings ($) 2,600 3,973 5,485 6,812 -650 -655

Table 8A.2.14 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 12 Representative

Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Mean Payback (Years) 4.6 4.7 8.3 12.7 29.3 29.3

Transformers having Well Defined Payback (%) 75.1 71.9 56.9 28.2 0.0 0.0

Transformers having No Impact on Payback (%) 24.7 27.9 42.3 69.9 99.7 99.9

Transformers having Undefined Payback (%) 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.8 0.3 0.2

Mean Incremental First Cost ($) 2,125 3,204 4,500 6,356 20,409 20,440

Mean Operating Cost Savings ($) 827 1,127 1,129 1,051 1,290 1,286
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-78

Frequency Chart

Mean = $2,600

.000

.190

.380

.570

.760

0

7602

($15,000) $13,750 $42,500 $71,250 $100,000

10,000 Trials 0 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.109 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1,

Design Line 12: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $2,600

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($15,000) $13,750 $42,500 $71,250 $100,000

10,000 Trials 0 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.110 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

1, Design Line

12: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 4.6

.000

.021

.042

.063

.084

0

51.75

103.5

155.2

207

0.2 6.9 13.5 20.2 26.8

2,467 Trials 62 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.111 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

1, Design Line

12: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-79

Frequency Chart

Mean = $3973

.000

.181

.363

.544

.726

0

7259

($15000) $13750 $42500 $71250 $100000

10,000 Trials 3 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.112 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2,

Design Line 12: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $3973

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($15000) $13750 $42500 $71250 $100000

10,000 Trials 3 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.113 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

2, Design Line

12: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 4.7

.000

.018

.036

.054

.072

0

50.5

101

151.5

202

0.3 6.5 12.7 18.9 25.1

2,794 Trials 63 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.114 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

2, Design Line

12: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-80

Frequency Chart

Mean = $5485

.000

.150

.301

.451

.601

0

6010

($15000) $13750 $42500 $71250 $100000

10,000 Trials 10 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.115 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3,

Design Line 12: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $5485

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($15000) $13750 $42500 $71250 $100000

10,000 Trials 10 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.116 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

3, Design Line

12: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 8.3

.000

.017

.035

.052

.069

0

73

146

219

292

0.4 10.4 20.4 30.4 40.4

4,228 Trials 116 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.117 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

3, Design Line

12: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-81

Frequency Chart

Mean = $6812

.000

.091

.182

.273

.364

0

909.2

3637

($15000) $13750 $42500 $71250 $100000

10,000 Trials 24 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.118 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4,

Design Line 12: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $6812

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($15000) $13750 $42500 $71250 $100000

10,000 Trials 24 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.119 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

4, Design Line

12: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 12.7

.000

.014

.027

.041

.054

0

94.75

189.5

284.2

379

0.0 13.2 26.3 39.5 52.6

6,994 Trials 231 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.120 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

4, Design Line

12: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-82

Frequency Chart

Mean = ($650)

.000

.017

.034

.051

.068

0

169.5

339

508.5

678

($15000) $13750 $42500 $71250 $100000

10,000 Trials 944 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.121 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5,

Design Line 12: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = ($650)

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($15000) $13750 $42500 $71250 $100000

10,000 Trials 944 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.122 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

5, Design Line

12: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 29.3

.000

.007

.014

.021

.028

0

70.5

141

211.5

282

2.9 24.3 45.6 67.0 88.3

9,968 Trials 493 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.123 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

5, Design Line

12: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-83

Frequency Chart

Mean = ($655)

.000

.017

.033

.050

.067

0

166.2

332.5

498.7

665

($15000) $13750 $42500 $71250 $100000

10,000 Trials 919 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.124 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6,

Design Line 12: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = ($655)

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($15000) $13750 $42500 $71250 $100000

10,000 Trials 919 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.125 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

6, Design Line

12: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 29.4

.000

.007

.015

.022

.030

0

74.75

149.5

224.2

299

2.2 23.8 45.4 67.0 88.6

9,985 Trials 497 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.126 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

6, Design Line

12: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-84

8A.2.8 Design Line 13 Results

Table 8A.2.15 Summary Life-Cycle Cost Results for Design Line 13 Representative

Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Efficiency (%) 99.00 99.15 99.30 99.45 99.55 99.55

Transformers having LCC Savings $ $0 (%) 96.2 98.5 95.6 57.4 24.2 24.3

Mean LCC Savings ($) 662 3,125 5,430 6,435 -5,303 -5,218

Table 8A.2.16 Summary of Payback Period Results for Design Line 13 Representative

Unit

Candidate Standard Level

1 (TP1) 2 3 4 5 6

Mean Payback (Years) 9.7 5.8 8.0 19.5 32.5 32.4

Transformers having Well Defined Payback (%) 76.0 72.9 58.9 5.4 0.0 0.0

Transformers having No Impact on Payback (%) 23.6 27.0 40.2 93.6 99.8 99.8

Transformers having Undefined Payback (%) 0.4 0.1 1.0 1.1 0.2 0.2

Mean Incremental First Cost ($) 1,230 3,614 5,668 10087 29292 29,128

Mean Operating Cost Savings ($) 265 987 1,240 1,107 1562 1,556
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-85

Frequency Chart

Mean = $662

.000

.206

.413

.619

.826

0

8259

($20,000) $15,000 $50,000 $85,000 $120,000

10,000 Trials 0 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.127 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 1,

Design Line 13: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $662

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($20,000) $15,000 $50,000 $85,000 $120,000

10,000 Trials 0 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.128 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

1, Design Line

13: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 9.7

.000

.016

.033

.049

.066

0

38.75

77.5

116.2

155

0.1 12.4 24.7 37.0 49.3

2,359 Trials 76 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.129 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

1, Design Line

13: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-86

Frequency Chart

Mean = $3125

.000

.184

.369

.553

.737

0

7371

($20000) $15000 $50000 $85000 $120000

10,000 Trials 0 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.130 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 2,

Design Line 13: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $3125

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($20000) $15000 $50000 $85000 $120000

10,000 Trials 0 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.131 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

2, Design Line

13: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 5.8

.000

.018

.036

.054

.072

0

48.5

97

145.5

194

0.1 7.5 15.0 22.4 29.9

2,704 Trials 81 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.132 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

2, Design Line

13: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-87

Frequency Chart

Mean = $5430

.000

.154

.309

.463

.618

0

6175

($20000) $15000 $50000 $85000 $120000

10,000 Trials 1 Outlier 

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.133 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 3,

Design Line 13: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $5430

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($20000) $15000 $50000 $85000 $120000

10,000 Trials 1 Outlier 

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.134 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

3, Design Line

13: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 8.0

.000

.016

.031

.047

.063

0

62.75

125.5

188.2

251

0.1 9.4 18.7 28.1 37.4

4,015 Trials 131 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.135 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

3, Design Line

13: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-88

Frequency Chart

Mean = $6435

.000

.034

.069

.103

.138

0

344.5

689

1378

($20000) $15000 $50000 $85000 $120000

10,000 Trials 13 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.136 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 4,

Design Line 13: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = $6435

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($20000) $15000 $50000 $85000 $120000

10,000 Trials 13 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.137 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

4, Design Line

13: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 19.5

.000

.011

.022

.033

.043

0

101.7

203.5

305.2

407

0.8 18.5 36.1 53.8 71.5

9,358 Trials 415 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.138 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

4, Design Line

13: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-89

Frequency Chart

Mean = ($5303)

.000

.015

.030

.046

.061

0

152

304

456

608

($20000) $15000 $50000 $85000 $120000

10,000 Trials 1,546 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.139 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 5,

Design Line 13: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = ($5303)

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($20000) $15000 $50000 $85000 $120000

10,000 Trials 1,546 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.140 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

5, Design Line

13: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 32.5

.000

.007

.014

.021

.029

0

71.25

142.5

213.7

285

3.7 26.4 49.1 71.8 94.4

9,982 Trials 554 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.141 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

5, Design Line

13: Frequency

Chart
DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix8A_version8-1-05_DOE

8A-90

Frequency Chart

Mean = ($5218)

.000

.015

.030

.045

.060

0

149.2

298.5

447.7

597

($20000) $15000 $50000 $85000 $120000

10,000 Trials 1,554 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.142 LCC Savings for Candidate Standard Level 6,

Design Line 13: Frequency Chart

Cumulative Chart

Mean = ($5218)

.000

.250

.500

.750

1.000

0

10000

($20000) $15000 $50000 $85000 $120000

10,000 Trials 1,554 Outliers

Forecast: LCC Saving

Figure 8A.2.143 LCC Savings

for Candidate

Standard Level

6, Design Line

13: Cumulative

Chart

Frequency Chart

Mean = 32.4

.000

.008

.015

.023

.031

0

76.5

153

229.5

306

3.3 26.1 48.9 71.8 94.6

9,977 Trials 553 Outliers

Forecast: payback

Figure 8A.2.144 Payback Period

for Candidate

Standard Level

6, Design Line

13: Frequency

Chart