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Annual Energy Outlook 2009 

Updated Annual Energy Outlook 2009 Reference Case Service Report, 

April 2009 

The Annual Energy Outlook 2009 (AEO2009) reference case was updated 

to reflect the provisions of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act 

(ARRA) that were enacted in mid-February 2009. The reference case in the 

recently published AEO2009, which reflected laws and regulations in effect 

as of November 2008, does not include ARRA. The need to develop an 

updated reference case following the passage of ARRA also provided the 

Energy Information Administration (EIA) with an opportunity to update the 

macroeconomic outlook for the United States and global economies, which 

has been changing at an unusually rapid rate in recent months. Therefore, 

the difference between the recently published AEO2009 reference case and 

the updated reference case incorporating both ARRA and the updated 

economic forecast reflects more than the energy-related provisions in ARRA 

alone. Although future analyses will focus on the difference between the 

updated reference case and cases using that as a baseline and 

incorporating proposed changes in laws and regulations, users of EIA’s 

projections may want to understand the relative roles of ARRA and the 

change in the macroeconomic outlook in driving the difference between the 

updated reference case and the one presented in AEO2009. 

Updated AEO2009 Reference Case Service Report

 

Annual Energy Outlook 2009, March 2009 

The Annual Energy Outlook 2009 (AEO2009) presents projections and 

analysis of US energy supply, demand, and prices through 2030. The 

projections are based on results from the Energy Information 

Administration's National Energy Modeling System. The AEO2009 includes 

the reference case, additional cases examining energy markets, and 

complete documentation.

 Report #:DOE/EIA-0383(2009) 

 Release date full report: March 2009 

 Next release date full report: February 2010 

The Early Release 

for next year's 

Annual Energy 

Outlook will be 

presented at the 

John Hopkins 

Kenney 

Auditorium on 

December 14th 

Executive Summary

Market Trends in Economic Activity

Energy Demand Projections

Electricity Projections

Oil and Natural Gas Projections

Coal Projections

Emissions Projections

Issues in Focus

Download the Report 

Complete report [3,062 KB] 

Report by Chapters 

Chapter Tables 

Appendixes [2,086 KB] 

Preface 

List of Acronyms 

Notes & Sources 

Contact authors 

Related Materials 

Assumptions to the AEO2009 

NEMS Documentation 

The National Modeling System: 

An Overview 2009

Graphic Data - AEO2009

AEO Retrospective [8,219 

KB] 

AEO2008 

Other Past AEO Editions

AEO2009 Early Release 

Overview

Contacts 

EIA - Annual Energy Outlook 2009 Page 1 of 2

http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/archive/aeo09/index.html 3/15/2010
Legislation and Regulations

Comparisons with Other Projections

Projection Tables (results from the National Energy Modeling System for 

AEO2009) 

Yearly Tables Regional and Other Detailed 

Tables

Updated Reference Case

(April 2009)

Updated Reference Case (April 

2009)

Published Reference Case 

 (March 2009)

Published Reference Case

(March 2009)

High Economic Growth Case High Economic Growth Case

Low Economic Growth Case Low Economic Growth Case

High Price Case High Price Case 

Low Price Case Low Price Case

 

2009 EIA Conference

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The 2009 Annual Energy 

Outlook is also available in print. 

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EIA - Annual Energy Outlook 2009 Page 2 of 2

http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/archive/aeo09/index.html 3/15/2010