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                            Funding & Awards
 Bargaining in the Shadow of Trial? Exploring the Reach of Evidence Outside the Jury Box
Award Information
Awardee
              The Research Foundation of SUNY, University at Albany
Award #
              2009-IJ-CX-0035
Funding Category
              Competitive
Location
                    Albany, NY
Awardee County
              Albany
Congressional District
              20
Status
              Closed
Funding First Awarded
              2009
Total funding (to date)
              $511,283
Original Solicitation
              NIJ FY 09 ORE Crime and Justice Research
Description of original award (Fiscal Year 2009, $511,283)
This research seeks to operationalize and estimate the impact of strength of evidence in plea bargaining. The leverage value of a plea is the difference between a trial sentence and a pled sentence, and the expected value of trial is the sentence 'multiplied' by the probability of conviction. Phase I entails an online survey of State/local judges, prosecutors and defense attorneys (each n=1,000), recruited with assistance of professional judicial, defense, and prosecutor associations. Subjects are randomly assigned to hypothetical robbery case scenarios varying on eyewitness/confession/DNA/unknown evidence; responses address the relative importance in charging, plea/trial sentences, probability of conviction, and willingness to plea. Phase II entails data extraction from n=523 adult felony casefiles closed between 2004 and 2005 (sampling dismissed and pled, taking all trial) in 3 Upstate NY district attorney offices to examine the relative importance in probability of conviction and trial, also controlling for legal (weapons) and nonlegal (race) factors.
ca/ncf



  
Grant-Funded Publications
        
                      The Influence of Confessions on Guilty Pleas and Plea Discounts

  
Date Created: September 20, 2009
    
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