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                            Funding & Awards
 Determining an Optimal Police Search Area for a Serial Criminal
Note:
              This awardee has received supplemental funding. This award detail page includes information about both the original award and supplemental awards.
Award Information
Awardee
              Towson University
Award #
              2005-IJ-CX-K036
Funding Category
              Continuation
Location
                    Towson, MD
Awardee County
              Baltimore
Congressional District
              2
Status
              Closed
Funding First Awarded
              2005
Total funding (to date)
              $49,961
Original Solicitation
              NIJ/Office of Science & Technology Continuations
Description of original award (Fiscal Year 2005, $24,995)
The Applied Mathematics Laboratory of Towson University will conduct a research project for the National Institute of Justice. The purpose of this research is to develop a method that can look at a series of crimes committed by the same offender, and then estimate the likely location of the offender's 'base of operation.' The main idea is to create new techniques manifested in new software, which primarily uses center of minimum distance including impedance effects on center of minimum distance and the expression of this center in an area.
nca/ncf
Supplemental Award 1 (Fiscal Year 2006, $24,966)
The Applied Mathematics Laboratory of Towson University will conduct a research project for the National Institute of Justice. During the previous award period (2005-IJ-CX-K036), a general method for estimating the anchor point of a serial criminal was developed.  The method assumes that there is a probability density function (pdf) that describes the probability of a serial criminal with a particular anchor point committing a crime at a particular location.  The goal for 2006-2007 is to examine other distance decay models that research by criminologists suggests might be more appropriate for use in the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) approach.  The second goal is to examine empirical data, including data provided by the Baltimore County Police Department, to determine the "proper" form for the pdf in the model; this includes finding the "correct" distance decay function which may depend on the characteristics of the crime series, including crime type.
nca/ncf


  
Grant-Funded Publications
        
                      A new mathematical technique for geographic profiling
                  Implementing a Bayesian approach to criminal geographic profiling
                  Multimodel inference and geographic profiling
                  The mathematics of geographic profiling

  
Date Created: September 15, 2005
    
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