p. 1



# OAR Box 

# 1828

Prepped byOllie Stewart



### Document

Number: 

# 158 ) ll-K

- (B ) -15 7

Docket Number: 

# A-83-2 7

Printed 11/12/200811:12:53 AM Sheet 158of 325P. 2



### EVERGYAND ENVTOONMENTA L ANALYSIS , INC

. 165 5 NORT

HFOR T MYE RDRIV E ARLINGTON

, VIRGINI

A 2220 9 703/528-190 0 

# A-83-2 7

Novembe r 7 , 198 4 II-K-(B)-15 7

Mr . Rober t Shor t Economi c Analysi s Branc h U.S . Environmenta l Protectio nAgenc y Mai l Drop-1 2 Researc hTriangl e Park , NC 2771 1
Subject : EPA

Contrac t No . 68-02-3564 , Wor kAssignmen t #1 9 Dat a fo r th e Draf t Leve l I Option s Briefin gPackag e fo r Industria l Boile r S0 2 NSP S

Dea r Robert :

Enclose dar e combination s o f IFCA M projection s fro

m the Novembe r 5
- 6 , 198 4 IFCA

M briefin gpackages . Th e footnote s liste di nTable s 1 and3 refe r t o scenario s define dinm y lette r t o yo udate dOctobe r 19 , 1984 . Sincerely ,

Tim Hoga n
TH/c e
Enclosure s

cc : Dr . A . Weh e

MANAGEMENT / ECONOMIC S /

ENGINEERINGP. 3

TABL E 1 . ALTERNATIVE CONTRO L LEVELS : REFERENC E CAS E FUE L PRICE S

Alternativ e

Baselin e 1 

# ¥
4 5

. 6 C 7 8

* 1 1 1 2

1 3 P 14 e 15 f 16T 1 7 1 8

1 9 n 20 9 100-15 0

SI P SI P SI P 1. 6 1. 6 1. 6 0. 8 0. 8 0. 8 0. 8 0. 6 0. 8 0. 8 0. 8 Utilit y 0. 8

. 9 0 %Red

. 0. 8 0. 8 0. 8 9 0 %Red

. Boile rsiz e

150-20 0

SI P SI P 1. 6 1. 6 1. 6 0. 8 0. 8 0.8

- 0. 8 0. 6 0. 6 0. 8 0. 8 Utilit y Utilit y 0. 8

. 9 0 %Red

. 0. 8 0. 8 90 %Red

. 90 %Red

. (MMBtu/hr)

200-25 0

SI P 1. 6 1. 6 1. 6 0. 8 0. 8 0. 8 0. 8 0. 6 0. 6 0. 6 0. 8 Utilit y Utilit y Utility , 0. 8 90 %Red

. 0. 8 90 % Red

. 90 %Red

. 90 % Red

. >250

0. 8 0. 8 0. 8 0. 8 0. 8 0. 8 0. 8 0. 6 0. 6 0. 6 0. 6 Utilit y Utilit y Utilit y Utilit y, 90 %Red. , 9 0 %Red

. 90 % Red

. 90 %Red

. 90 % Red

. 9 0 %Red

.

a Lo w CU(<30% ) boiler s ar e exemp t fro m mandator y

scrubbingan

dar e subjec t t o0. 8 l bS0 2 /MMBt uceiling
.
Optio nCas e 1 .

c 0ptio nCas e 2 .
Optio nCas e 4 .

e 0ptio nCas e 5 .

Referenc e lette r fro

m T . Hoga nt o R . Shor t date dNovembe r 1 , 1984 .
^Optio nCas e 6 .P. 4



### TABL E 2 . NATIONALIMPACT S OF REGULATORYALTERNATIVES :

REFERENC E CAS EFUE LPRICES 3

Regulatory , alternativ e

Baselin e 

### 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 0 199 0 S0 2

emission s (IO" 3 shor t tons )



### 27 9 26 2 24 0 20 5 18 3 14 7 10 6 8 2 7 8 7 0 5 7 7 9 7 3 6 2 4 7 7 8 2 9 7 2 6 1 4 0 1 6 Annualize d

fi costs (10 ° $ 1982 )

3,34 9 3,34 7 3,35 1 3,35 7 3,36 9 3,38 6 3,40 6 3,43 8 3,44 2 3,45 3 3,46 9 3,44 2 3,44 6 3,45 8 3,47 4 3,43 9 3,47 0 3,44 5 3,45 0 3,46 4 3,48 2 Coa l



### 2 3 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 7 1 9 1 9 1 8 1 5 3 0 3 0 2 9 2 6 3 0 2 6 3 0 3 0 2 9 2 6 199 0 Fue l us e (10 " Btu ) 

### Oil

32 3 32 8 32 8 32 8 31 1 28 5 25 7 23 5 23 4 23 1 21 6 22 3 22 2 21 9 20 5 22 8 20 8 21 7 21 5 20 4 17 8 Gas

15 2 15 3 15 3 15 3 17 0 19 6 22 4 24 4 24 5 24 9 26 7 24 5 24 6 25 0 26 7 24 0 26 4 25 1 25 3 26 5 29 4

a 

### Ne w industria l fossi l fuel-fire dboiler s large r than10 0 MMBtu/h r andinstalle d afte r 1985 .
Referenc e Tabl e 1 .

### TABL E3 . ALTERNATIVECONTRO LLEVELS : HIGHEROI L ANDGA S PRICE S P. 5

Alternativ e

Baselin e 

### 1 2 , 3 a 

### 4

6 b 

### 7 8 9 C 

### 10 C 

### 1 1 12
14 d 

### 1 5 16

1 7 P 

### 18 e 

### 1 9 2 0

2 1 f 22 T

a Optio n

Optio n

c Optio n

Optio n

e Optio n

f Optio n >

Cas e

Cas e

Cas e

Cas e

Cas e

Cas e 

### 1 .

2 .
3 .

4 .

5 .

6 . 100-15 0



### SI P SI P SI P 1. 7 1. 7 1. 7 1. 2 1. 2 1. 2 1. 2 5 0 % Red . 

### 1. 2 1. 2 1. 2 0. 6 1. 2 1. 2 1. 2 Utilit y 

### 1. 2 1. 2 1. 2 9 0 % Red . Boile r siz e

150-20 0



### SI P SI P 1. 7 1. 7 1. 7 1. 2 1. 2 1. 2 1. 2 5 0 % Red . 5 0 % Red . 

### 1. 2 1. 2 0. 6 0. 6 1. 2 1. 2 Utilit y Utilit y 

### 1. 2 1. 2 9 0 % Red . 9 0 % Red . 

### (MMBtu/hr )

200-25 0



### SI P 1. 7 1. 7 1. 7 1. 2 1. 2 1. 2 1. 2 5 0 % Red . 5 0 % Red . 5 0 % Red . 

### 1. 2 0. 6 0. 6 0. 6 1. 2 Utilit y Utilit y Utilit y 

### 1. 2 9 0 % Red . 9 0 % Red . 9 0 % Red . >25 0



### 1. 2 1. 2 1. 2 1. 2 1. 2 1. 2 1. 2 5 0 % Red . 5 0 % Red . 5 0 % Red . 5 0 % Red . 

### 0. 6 0. 6 0. 6 0. 6 Utilit y Uti1 i ty Utilit y Utilit y 9 0 % Red . 9 0 % Red . 9 0 % Red . 9 0 % Red .P. 6

* *



### TABL E 4 . NATIONALIMPACT S OF REGULATORY,ALTERNATIVES : HIGHE ROI LANDGA S PRICES 3



### Regulatory , alternativ e 199 0 S0 2



### emission s (1 0 shor t tons ) Annualize d

fi 

### costs (10 ° $ 1982 ) 199 0 Fue l us e (10 ^ Btu ) Coa l Oi l Ga s

Baselin e 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 1 8 1 9 2 0 2 1 2 2 32 6

26 9 19 8 14 8 14 0 12 7 11 4 8 6 7 1 5 3 4 6 7 8 6 1 4 1 3 4 7 5 5 8 3 8 3 0 6 6 4 9 2 6 1 6 3,72 5

3,73 2 3,73 0 3,73 5 3,74 0 3,74 8 3,74 3 3,76 8 3,76 4 3,75 2 3,75 4 3,76 9 3,76 5 3,75 4 3,75 7 3,77 0 3,76 6 3,75 5 3,75 8 3,77 1 3,76 8 3,75 4 3,75 7 

### 28 4

27 9 26 4 26 1 26 1 26 1 24 8 22 3 19 7 16 5 15 3 22 3 19 7 16 5 15 3 22 3 19 7 16 5 15 3 22 3 19 7 15 9 14 7 7

7 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 7 21 2 22 7 23 7 23 7 23 7 25 0 27 5 30 1 33 3 34 5 27 5 30 1 33 3 34 5 27 5 30 1 33 3 34 5 27 5 30 1 33 9 35 1

a 

### Ne w industria l fossi l fuel-fire dboiler s large r than10 0 MMBtu/h r an dinstalle d afte r 1985 .

Referenc e Tabl e 3 .