p.1 

OAR Box 1828 

Prepped by Ollie Stewart 

Document Number: 

158) ll-K- (B) -157 

Docket Number: 

A-83-27 

Printed 11/12/200811:12:53 AM Sheet 158 of 325 
P.2 

EVERGYAND ENVTOONMENTAL ANALYSIS, INC. 

1655 NORTH FORT MYER DRIVE ARLINGTON, VIRGINIA 22209 703/528-1900 A-83-27 

November 7, 1984 II-K-(B)-157 

Mr. Robert Short 

Economic Analysis Branch 

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 

Mail Drop-12 

Research Triangle Park, NC 27711 

Subject: EPA Contract No. 68-02-3564, Work Assignment #19 

Data for the Draft Level I Options Briefing Package 

for Industrial Boiler S02 NSPS 

Dear Robert: 

Enclosed are combinations of IFCAM projections from the November 5-

6, 1984 IFCAM briefing packages. The footnotes listed in Tables 1 and 3 

refer to scenarios defined in my letter to you dated October 19, 1984. 

Sincerely, 

Tim Hogan 

TH/ce 

Enclosures 

cc: Dr. A. Wehe 

MANAGEMENT / ECONOMICS / ENGINEERING 
P.3 

TABLE 1. ALTERNATIVE CONTROL LEVELS: 

REFERENCE CASE FUEL PRICES 

Alternative 

Baseline 

1 

¥ 

4 

5. 

6

C 

7 

8 

* 

11 

12 

1 3 P 14e 

15f 

16T 

17 

18 

1 9 n 209 

100-150 

SIP 

SIP 

SIP 

1.6 

1.6 

1.6 

0.8 

0.8 

0.8 

0.8 

0.6 

0.8 

0.8 

0.8 

Utilit y 

0.8 . 

90 % Red. 

0.8 

0.8 

0.8 

90 % Red. 

Boiler size 

150-200 

SIP 

SIP 

1.6 

1.6 

1.6 

0.8 

0.8 

0.8-

0.8 

0.6 

0.6 

0.8 

0.8 

Utilit y 

Utilit y 

0.8 . 

90 % Red. 

0.8 

0.8 

90 % Red. 

90 % Red. 

(MMBtu/hr) 

200-250 

SIP 

1.6 

1.6 

1.6 

0.8 

0.8 

0.8 

0.8 

0.6 

0.6 

0.6 

0.8 

Utilit y 

Utilit y 

Utility , 

0.8 

90 % Red. 

0.8 

90 % Red. 

90 % Red. 

90 % Red. 

>250 

0.8 

0.8 

0.8 

0.8 

0.8 

0.8 

0.8 

0.6 

0.6 

0.6 

0.6 

Utilit y 

Utilit y 

Utilit y 

Utilit y , 

90 % Red., 

90 % Red. 

90 % Red. 

90 % Red. 

90 % Red. 

90 % Red. 

aLow CU (<30%) boilers are exempt from mandatory scrubbing and are subject 

to 0.8 lb S02/MMBtu ceiling. 

Option Case 1. 

c0ption Case 2. 

Option Case 4. 

e0ption Case 5. 

Reference letter from T. Hogan to R. Short dated November 1, 1984. 

^Option Case 6. 
P.4 

TABLE 2. NATIONAL IMPACTS OF REGULATORY ALTERNATIVES: 

REFERENCE CASE FUEL PRICES3 

Regulatory, 

alternative 

Baseline 

1 

2 

3 

4 

5 

6 

7 

8 

9 

10 

11 

12 

13 

14 

15 

16 

17 

18 

19 

20 

1990 S02 

emissions 

(IO"3 short tons) 

279 

262 

240 

205 

183 

147 

106 

82 

78 

70 

57 

79 

73 

62 

47 

78 

29 

72 

61 

40 

16 

Annualized 

ficosts 

(10° $ 1982) 

3,349 

3,347 

3,351 

3,357 

3,369 

3,386 

3,406 

3,438 

3,442 

3,453 

3,469 

3,442 

3,446 

3,458 

3,474 

3,439 

3,470 

3,445 

3,450 

3,464 

3,482 

Coal 

23 

17 

17 

17 

17 

17 

17 

19 

19 

18 

15 

30 

30 

29 

26 

30 

26 

30 

30 

29 

26 

1990 Fuel use 

(10" Btu) 

Oil 

323 

328 

328 

328 

311 

285 

257 

235 

234 

231 

216 

223 

222 

219 

205 

228 

208 

217 

215 

204 

178 

Gas 

152 

153 

153 

153 

170 

196 

224 

244 

245 

249 

267 

245 

246 

250 

267 

240 

264 

251 

253 

265 

294 

aNew industrial fossil fuel-fired boilers larger than 100 MMBtu/hr and installed 

after 1985. 

Reference Table 1. 
TABLE 3. ALTERNATIVE CONTROL LEVELS: 

HIGHER OIL AND GAS PRICES 

P.5 

Alternative 

Baseline 

1 

2, 

3

a 

4 

6

b 

7 

8 

9C 

10C 

11 

12 

14d 

15 

16 

1 7P 18e 

19 

20 

2 1 f 22T 

aOption 

Option 

cOption 

Option 

eOption 

f 

Option 

> 

Case 

Case 

Case 

Case 

Case 

Case 

1. 

2. 

3. 

4. 

5. 

6. 

100-150 

SIP 

SIP 

SIP 

1.7 

1.7 

1.7 

1.2 

1.2 

1.2 

1.2 

50 % Red. 

1.2 

1.2 

1.2 

0.6 

1.2 

1.2 

1.2 

Utility 

1.2 

1.2 

1.2 

90 % Red. 

Boiler size 

150-200 

SIP 

SIP 

1.7 

1.7 

1.7 

1.2 

1.2 

1.2 

1.2 

50 % Red. 

50 % Red. 

1.2 

1.2 

0.6 

0.6 

1.2 

1.2 

Utility 

Utility 

1.2 

1.2 

90 % Red. 

90 % Red. 

(MMBtu/hr) 

200-250 

SIP 

1.7 

1.7 

1.7 

1.2 

1.2 

1.2 

1.2 

50 % Red. 

50 % Red. 

50 % Red. 

1.2 

0.6 

0.6 

0.6 

1.2 

Utility 

Utility 

Utility 

1.2 

90 % Red. 

90 % Red. 

90 % Red. 

>250 

1.2 

1.2 

1.2 

1.2 

1.2 

1.2 

1.2 

50 % Red. 

50 % Red. 

50 % Red. 

50 % Red. 

0.6 

0.6 

0.6 

0.6 

Utility 

Uti1i ty 

Utility 

Utility 

90 % Red. 

90 % Red. 

90 % Red. 

90 % Red. 
P.6 

** 

TABLE 4. NATIONAL IMPACTS OF REGULATORY,ALTERNATIVES: 

HIGHER OIL AND GAS PRICES3 

Regulatory, 

alternative 

1990 S02 

emissions 

(10 short tons) 

Annualized 

ficosts 

(10° $ 1982) 

1990 Fuel use 

(10^ Btu) 

Coal Oil Gas 

Baseline 

1 

2 

3 

4 

5 

6 

7 

8 

9 

10 

11 

12 

13 

14 

15 

16 

17 

18 

19 

20 

21 

22 

326 

269 

198 

148 

140 

127 

114 

86 

71 

53 

46 

78 

61 

41 

34 

75 

58 

38 

30 

66 

49 

26 

16 

3,725 

3,732 

3,730 

3,735 

3,740 

3,748 

3,743 

3,768 

3,764 

3,752 

3,754 

3,769 

3,765 

3,754 

3,757 

3,770 

3,766 

3,755 

3,758 

3,771 

3,768 

3,754 

3,757 

284 

279 

264 

261 

261 

261 

248 

223 

197 

165 

153 

223 

197 

165 

153 

223 

197 

165 

153 

223 

197 

159 

147 

7 

7 

7 

0 

0 

0 

0 

0 

0 

0 

0 

0 

0 

0 

0 

0 

0 

0 

0 

0 

0 

0 

0 

207 

212 

227 

237 

237 

237 

250 

275 

301 

333 

345 

275 

301 

333 

345 

275 

301 

333 

345 

275 

301 

339 

351 

aNew industrial fossil fuel-fired boilers larger than 100 MMBtu/hr and installed 

after 1985. 

Reference Table 3.