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                                    Years of Predicting Dangerously

      

                    
          
    Years of Predicting Dangerously
The author looks at recent empirical evidence for clinical adjustments to actuarial-based risk prediction for sexually violent predators (SVPs). Based upon “five research studies directly comparing pure-actuarial to adjusted-actuarial risk assessment for sexual recidivism ... the evidence does not show that adjusting or overriding the results of an actuarial instrument increases the accuracy of risk assessment. On the contrary, there is evidence that adjustments or overrides often decrease accuracy ... [Therefore] because extant research shows that clinical adjustments do not increase, and often reduce, accuracy of risk assessments, SVP evaluators should generally refrain from using clinical adjustments or overrides in our risk assessments” (p. 23-24).Accession Number
              027077

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  Publication Year
              2013

  Length
              13 pages

  Authors
          Gregory DeClue

  Series
          Open Access Journal of Forensic Psychology
Tags
    individuals who commit sexual offenses
          individuals who commit sexual offenses risk assessment
          Incarcerated Individual assessment
          Needs assessment Return to top

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