TABLE OF CONTENTS 

CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION 

1.1 PURPOSE OF THE DOCUMENT ...........................................................................1-1 

1.2 OVERVIEW OF THE APPLIANCES AND COMMERCIAL EQUIPMENT 

STANDARDS PROGRAM.................................................................................1-1 

1.3 OVERVIEW OF THE SUBCATEGORIES OF LAMPS COVERED .....................1-2 

1.4 PROCESS FOR SETTING ENERGY CONERVATION STANDARDS................1-4 

1.5 STRUCTURE OF THE DOCUMENT......................................................................1-7 

CHAPTER 2. ANALYTICAL FRAMEWORK 

2.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................2-1 

2.2 BACKGROUND .......................................................................................................2-4 

2.3 MARKET AND TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT ..................................................2-4 

2.3.1 Market Assessment ..........................................................................................2-4 

2.3.2 Technology Assessment...................................................................................2-5 

2.3.3 Product Classes ................................................................................................2-5 

2.4 SCREENING ANALYSIS ........................................................................................2-5 

2.5 ENGINEERING ANALYSIS....................................................................................2-5 

2.5.1 Representative Product Classes .......................................................................2-6 

2.5.2 Selected Baseline Lamps .................................................................................2-6 

2.5.3 Identified Lamps and Ballast Designs .............................................................2-6 

2.5.4 Developed Efficacy Levels..............................................................................2-6 

2.6 ENERGY USE CHARACTERIZATION .................................................................2-7 

2.7 PRODUCT PRICE DETERMINATION ..................................................................2-7 

2.8 LIFE-CYCLE COST AND PAYBACK PERIOD ANALYSIS ...............................2-7 

2.9 SHIPMENTS ANALYSIS.........................................................................................2-8 

2.9.1 Shipment Scenarios..........................................................................................2-8 

2.10 NATIONAL IMPACT ANALYSIS..........................................................................2-9 

2.10.1 National Energy Savings Analysis.................................................................2-10 

2.10.2 Net Present Value Analysis ...........................................................................2-10 

2.11 LIFE-CYCLE COST SUB-GROUP ANALYSIS.....................................................2-11 

2.12 MANUFACTURER IMPACT ANALYSIS..............................................................2-11 

2.13 UTILITY IMPACT ANALYSIS...............................................................................2-11 

2.14 ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT ......................................................................2-12 

2.15 EMPLOYMENT IMPACT ANALYSIS...................................................................2-13 

2.16 REGULATORY IMPACT ANALYSIS....................................................................2-13 

2.17 DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE REVIEW .................................................................2-13 

CHAPTER 3. MARKET AND TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT 

EE-2006-STD-0131 COMMENT 37.2
3.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................3-1 

3.1.1 Definitions........................................................................................................3-1 

3.1.1.1 Fluorescent Lamps............................................................................3-1 

3.1.1.2 General Service Fluorescent Lamps .................................................3-2 

3.1.1.3 Incandescent Reflector Lamps..........................................................3-3 

3.2 MARKET ASSESSMENT ........................................................................................3-4 

3.2.1 Trade Association ............................................................................................3-4 

3.2.2 Manufacturers and Market Share.....................................................................3-5 

3.2.2.1 Small Businesses...............................................................................3-5 

3.2.3 Regulatory Programs .......................................................................................3-6 

3.2.3.1 Federal Energy Conservation Standards...........................................3-6 

3.2.3.2 Canadian Energy Efficiency Standards ............................................3-9 

3.2.4 Non-Regulatory Initiatives...............................................................................3-11 

3.2.4.1 Federal Energy Management Program .............................................3-11 

3.2.4.2 Consortium for Energy Efficiency....................................................3-11 

3.2.4.3 Energy Efficient Commercial Building Deduction...........................3-12 

3.2.4.4 Northeast Energy Efficiency Partnerships........................................3-12 

3.2.5 Historical Shipments........................................................................................3-12 

3.3 TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT..............................................................................3-15 

3.3.1 General Service Fluorescent Lamps ................................................................3-15 

3.3.1.1 Highly Emissive Electrode Coatings ................................................3-17 

3.3.1.2 Higher Efficiency Lamp Fill Gas Composition................................3-17 

3.3.1.3 Higher Efficiency Phosphors ............................................................3-19 

3.3.1.4 Glass Coatings ..................................................................................3-24 

3.3.1.5 Higher Efficiency Lamp Diameter....................................................3-24 

3.3.1.6 Multi-Photon Phosphors ...................................................................3-25 

3.3.2 Incandescent Reflector Lamps.........................................................................3-25 

3.3.2.1 Higher Temperature Operation.........................................................3-26 

3.3.2.2 Microcavity Filaments ......................................................................3-27 

3.3.2.3 Novel Filament Materials .................................................................3-28 

3.3.2.4 Thinner Filaments .............................................................................3-28 

3.3.2.5 Efficient Filament Coiling ................................................................3-28 

3.3.2.6 Crystallite Filament Coatings ...........................................................3-28 

3.3.2.7 Efficient Filament Orientation ..........................................................3-28 

3.3.2.8 Higher Efficiency Inert Fill Gas .......................................................3-29 

3.3.2.9 Luminescent Gas...............................................................................3-29 

3.3.2.10 Tungsten-Halogen Lamps...............................................................3-29 

3.3.2.11 Higher Pressure Tungsten-Halogen Lamps ....................................3-29 

3.3.2.12 Non-Tungsten-Halogen Regenerative Cycles.................................3-30 

3.3.2.13 Infrared Glass Coatings...................................................................3-30 

3.3.2.14 Infrared Phosphor Glass Coating....................................................3-30 

3.3.2.15 Integrally Ballasted Low-Voltage Lamps.......................................3-30 

3.3.2.16 Higher Efficiency Reflector Coatings.............................................3-31 

3.3.2.17 Trihedral Corner Reflectors ............................................................3-31 

3.3.2.18 Efficient Filament Placement..........................................................3-31 

3.4 PRODUCT CLASSES...............................................................................................3-31 

EE-2006-STD-0131 COMMENT 37.2
3.4.1 General Service Fluorescent Lamps ................................................................3-32 

3.4.1.1 Physical Constraints of Fluorescent Lamps......................................3-33 

3.4.1.2 Lumen Package.................................................................................3-33 

3.4.1.3 Correlated Color Temperature ..........................................................3-34 

3.4.1.4 Ballast Interoperability......................................................................3-34 

3.4.1.5 Lamp Wattage...................................................................................3-34 

3.4.1.6 Lamp Diameter .................................................................................3-35 

3.4.1.7 Color Rendering Index......................................................................3-35 

3.4.1.8 Product Classes and Standard Form for GSFL.................................3-36 

3.4.2 Incandescent Reflector Lamps.........................................................................3-36 

3.4.2.1 Wattage .............................................................................................3-36 

3.4.2.2 Modified Spectrum ...........................................................................3-37 

3.4.2.3 Lamp Diameter .................................................................................3-38 

3.4.2.4 Rated Voltage....................................................................................3-38 

3.4.2.5 Spot Versus Flood Incandescent Reflector Lamps ...........................3-39 

3.4.2.6 Product Classes and Standard Form for IRL ....................................3-39 

REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................3-40 

CHAPTER 4. SCREENING ANALYSIS 

4.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................4-1 

4.2 SCREENED-OUT TECHNOLGIES.........................................................................4-2 

4.2.1 General Service Fluorescent Lamp Screened-Out Technologies ....................4-2 

4.2.1.1 Multi-Photon Phosphors ...................................................................4-2 

4.2.2 Incandescent Reflector Lamp Screened-Out Technologies.............................4-2 

4.2.2.1 Microcavity Filaments ......................................................................4-2 

4.2.2.2 Novel Filament Materials .................................................................4-3 

4.2.2.3 Crystallite Filament Coatings ...........................................................4-3 

4.2.2.4 Luminescent Gas...............................................................................4-4 

4.2.2.5 Non-Tungsten-Halogen Regenerative Cycles...................................4-4 

4.2.2.6 Infrared Phosphor Glass Coating......................................................4-4 

4.2.2.7 Integrally Ballasted Low Voltage Lamps .........................................4-5 

4.2.2.8 Trihedral Corner Reflectors ..............................................................4-5 

4.3 SUMMARY OF TECHNOLOGY OPTIONS SCREENED OUT............................4-6 

4.4 REMAINING TECHNOLOGIES .............................................................................4-6 

4.4.1 General Service Fluorescent Lamps Design Options ......................................4-6 

4.4.2 Incandescent Reflector Lamps Design Options...............................................4-6 

REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................4-8 

CHAPTER 5. ENGINEERING ANALYSIS 

5.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................5-1 

5.2 ENGINEERING ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK.........................................................5-1 

5.3 GENERAL SERVICE FLUORESCENT LAMPS....................................................5-3 

EE-2006-STD-0131 COMMENT 37.2
5.3.1 Four-Foot MBP GSFL With CCTs ≤ 4,500K..................................................5-6 

5.3.1.1 Baseline Models................................................................................5-6 

5.3.1.2 Efficacy Levels .................................................................................5-8 

5.3.1.3 System Power Rating........................................................................5-12 

5.3.1.4 Results...............................................................................................5-22 

5.3.2 Eight-foot SP Slimline GSFL With CCTs ≤ 4,500K.......................................5-31 

5.3.2.1 Baseline Models................................................................................5-31 

5.3.2.2 Efficacy Levels .................................................................................5-32 

5.3.2.3 System Power Rating........................................................................5-36 

5.3.2.4 Results...............................................................................................5-41 

5.3.3 Eight-Foot RDC HO GSFL With CCTs ≤ 4,500K..........................................5-45 

5.3.3.1 Baseline Models................................................................................5-45 

5.3.3.2 Efficacy Levels .................................................................................5-45 

5.3.3.3 System Power Rating........................................................................5-48 

5.3.3.4 Results...............................................................................................5-50 

5.3.4 Four-foot T5 MiniBP SO GSFL With CCTs ≤ 4,500K...................................5-54 

5.3.4.1 Baseline Models................................................................................5-54 

5.3.4.2 Efficacy Levels .................................................................................5-54 

5.3.4.3 System Power Rating........................................................................5-57 

5.3.4.4 Results...............................................................................................5-58 

5.3.5 Four-foot T5 MiniBP HO GSFL With CCTs ≤ 4,500K ..................................5-61 

5.3.5.1 Baseline Models................................................................................5-61 

5.3.5.2 Efficacy Levels .................................................................................5-61 

5.3.5.3 System Power Rating........................................................................5-64 

5.3.5.4 Results...............................................................................................5-64 

5.4 INCANDESCENT REFLECTOR LAMPS...............................................................5-66 

5.4.1 Baseline Models for IRL With Diameters Greater Than 2.5 Inches and Operating 

Voltages Less Than or Equal to 125V .......................................................................5-67 

5.4.2 Efficacy Levels ................................................................................................5-67 

5.4.3 Results..............................................................................................................5-70 

5.5 SCALING TO PRODUCT CLASSES NOT ANALYZED ......................................5-73 

5.5.1 General Service Fluorescent Lamps ................................................................5-73 

5.5.1.1 2-foot U-Shaped GSFL With CCTs ≤ 4,500K..................................5-73 

5.5.1.2 Lamps With CCTs Above 4,500K....................................................5-74 

5.5.2 Incandescent Reflector Lamps.........................................................................5-76 

5.5.2.1 Modified-Spectrum IRL....................................................................5-76 

5.5.2.2 IRL With Diameters Less Than or Equal To 2.5 Inches...................5-76 

5.5.2.3 IRL With Operating Voltages Greater Than or Equal to 125 Volts .5-77 

5.6 SUMMARY OF ALL EFFICACY LEVELS FOR COVERED PRODUCTS .........5-78 

5.6.1 Summary of All Efficacy Levels for Covered GSFL ......................................5-78 

5.6.2 Summary of All Efficacy Levels for Covered IRL..........................................5-79 

REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................5-80 

CHAPTER 6. ENERGY USE CHARACTERIZATION 

EE-2006-STD-0131 COMMENT 37.2
6.1 PURPOSE OF THE DOCUMENT ...........................................................................6-1 

6.2 OPERATING HOURS ..............................................................................................6-1 

6.3 RESULTS OF THE ENERGY USE CHARACTERIZATION ................................6-9 

6.3.1 General Service Fluorescent Lamps ................................................................6-9 

6.3.2 Incandescent Reflector Lamps.........................................................................6-13 

REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................6-16 

CHAPTER 7. PRODUCT PRICE DETERMINATION 

7.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................7-1 

7.2 METHODOLOGY ....................................................................................................7-1 

7.2.1 End-User Product Price....................................................................................7-1 

7.2.2 Sales Tax..........................................................................................................7-5 

7.3 PRODUCT PRICE DETERMINATION RESULTS ................................................7-5 

7.3.1 End-User Prices for General Service Fluorescent Lamps................................7-5 

7.3.2 End-User Prices for Incandescent Reflector Lamps ........................................7-8 

7.3.3 Sales Tax Results .............................................................................................7-9 

REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................7-10 

CHAPTER 8. LIFE-CYCLE COST AND PAYBACK PERIOD ANALYSES 

8.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................8-1 

8.1.1 General Approach for Life-Cycle Cost and Payback Period Analyses ...........8-1 

8.1.2 Overview of LCC and PBP Inputs...................................................................8-3 

8.2 LIFE-CYCLE COST INPUTS ..................................................................................8-6 

8.2.1 Definition .........................................................................................................8-6 

8.2.2 Total Installed Cost Inputs...............................................................................8-7 

8.2.2.1 Installation Costs...............................................................................8-8 

8.2.3 Operating Cost Inputs ......................................................................................8-10 

8.2.3.1 Operating Hours................................................................................8-10 

8.2.3.2 Power Rating.....................................................................................8-11 

8.2.3.3 Electricity Prices ...............................................................................8-12 

8.2.3.4 Electricity Price Trend ......................................................................8-13 

8.2.4 Lifetime............................................................................................................8-15 

8.2.5 Replacement Cost ............................................................................................8-16 

8.2.6 Disposal Cost ...................................................................................................8-17 

8.2.7 Analysis Period ................................................................................................8-17 

8.2.8 Discount Rate...................................................................................................8-18 

8.2.8.1 Residential Discount Rate.................................................................8-18 

8.2.8.2 Commercial Discount Rate...............................................................8-22 

8.2.9 Effective Date of Standard...............................................................................8-25 

8.2.10 Residual Value...............................................................................................8-26 

8.3 PAYBACK PERIOD INPUTS..................................................................................8-26 

8.3.1 Definition .........................................................................................................8-26 

EE-2006-STD-0131 COMMENT 37.2
8.3.2 Rebuttable Presumption Payback Period.........................................................8-27 

8.3.3 Inputs................................................................................................................8-28 

8.4 LAMP PURCHASING EVENTS .............................................................................8-28 

8.5 LIFE-CYCLE COST AND PAYBACK PERIOD RESULTS..................................8-32 

8.5.1 Results for General Service Fluorescent Lamps..............................................8-33 

8.5.1.1 Product Class: Four-foot medium bipin ≤4,500K.............................8-34 

8.5.1.2 Product Class: 4-foot T5 miniature bipin high output ≤4,500K .......8-51 

8.5.1.3 Product Class: 4-foot T5 miniature bipin standard output ≤4,500K.8-53 

8.5.1.4 Product Class: 8-Foot single pin slimline ≤4,500K..........................8-55 

8.5.1.5 Product Class: 8-foot recessed double contact HO ≤4,500K............8-64 

8.5.2 Life-Cycle Cost Results for Incandescent Reflector Lamps............................8-73 

8.6 DETAILED RESULTS AND SENSITIVITY RUNS...............................................8-80 

REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................8-81 

CHAPTER 9. TRIAL STANDARD LEVELS 

9.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................9-1 

9.2 GENERAL SERVICE FLUORESCENT LAMPS....................................................9-1 

9.2.1 Representative Product Classes .......................................................................9-1 

9.2.2 Trial Standard Levels.......................................................................................9-2 

9.3 INCANDESCENT REFLECTOR LAMPS...............................................................9-4 

9.3.1 Representative Product Classes .......................................................................9-4 

9.3.2 Trial Standard Levels.......................................................................................9-4 

CHAPTER 10. SHIPMENTS ANALYSIS 

10.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................10-1 

10.2 SHIPMENTS MODEL METHODOLOGY..............................................................10-1 

10.2.1 General Service Fluorescent Lamps ..............................................................10-2 

10.2.1.1 Analyzed Product Classes, Market Sectors, and Market Segments10-2 

10.2.1.2 Lamp Replacement .........................................................................10-3 

10.2.1.3 Lamp-and-Ballast System Replacement (Ballast Failure and System 

Retrofit)..........................................................................................................10-3 

10.2.1.4 Lamp-and-Ballast System New Purchase (Fixture Replacement, 

Renovation, and New Construction)..............................................................10-5 

10.2.2 Incandescent Reflector Lamps.......................................................................10-7 

10.3 BASE CASE INPUTS AND FORECASTS..............................................................10-8 

10.3.1 Base Case Scenarios Analyzed ......................................................................10-8 

10.3.2 General Service Fluorescent Lamps ..............................................................10-10 

10.3.2.1 Base Case Scenarios .......................................................................10-10 

10.3.2.2 Historical Shipments.......................................................................10-11 

10.3.2.3 Calculation of Installed Stock in 2005............................................10-12 

10.3.2.4 Base Case Market-Share Matrices..................................................10-13 

10.3.2.5 Base Case Forecast Results.............................................................10-23 

EE-2006-STD-0131 COMMENT 37.2
10.3.2.6 Base Case Forecast by Market Segment.........................................10-29 

10.3.3 Incandescent Reflector Lamps.......................................................................10-32 

10.3.3.1 Base Case Scenarios Analyzed .......................................................10-32 

10.3.3.2 Historical Shipments.......................................................................10-33 

10.3.3.3 Calculation of Installed Stock in 2005............................................10-34 

10.3.3.4 Base Case Market-Share Matrices..................................................10-35 

10.3.3.5 Base Case Forecast Results.............................................................10-36 

10.3.3.6 Base Case Forecast by Market Segment.........................................10-37 

10.4 STANDARDS CASE INPUTS .................................................................................10-38 

10.4.1 General Service Fluorescent Lamps ..............................................................10-38 

10.4.1.1 Shipments Scenarios .......................................................................10-38 

10.4.1.2 Standards-Case Market-Share Matrices..........................................10-41 

10.4.1.3 Early Retirement of Ballasts in the Standards-Cases......................10-75 

10.4.2 Incandescent Reflector Lamps.......................................................................10-78 

10.4.2.1 Shipments Scenarios .......................................................................10-78 

10.4.2.2 Standards-Case Market-Share Matrices..........................................10-80 

10.5 RESULTS ..................................................................................................................10-86 

10.5.1 General Service Fluorescent Lamps ..............................................................10-86 

10.5.1.1 Shipments Forecasts: Base and Standards-Cases ...........................10-86 

10.5.1.2 Cumulative Shipments Impacts (2012 – 2042)...............................10-93 

10.5.2 Incandescent Reflector Lamps.......................................................................10-96 

10.5.2.1 Shipments Forecasts: Base and Standards-Cases ..........................10-97 

10.5.2.2 Cumulative Shipments Impacts (2012–2042).................................10-98 

REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................10-100 

CHAPTER 11. NATIONAL IMPACTS ANALYSIS 

11.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................11-1 

11.2 BASE-CASE AND STANDARDS-CASE FORECASTED EFFICACY 

DISTRIBUTIONS, LAMP STOCKS, AND AVERAGE EFFICACY.................................11-2 

11.2.1 General Service Fluorescent Lamps ..............................................................11-2 

11.2.1.1 Base and Standards Case Efficacy Distributions............................11-2 

11.2.1.2 Installed Lamp Stock ......................................................................11-11 

11.2.1.3 Average Lamp Efficacy in the Stock..............................................11-21 

11.2.2 Incandescent Reflector Lamps.......................................................................11-30 

11.2.2.1 Base and Standards Case Efficacy Distributions............................11-30 

11.2.2.2 Installed Lamp Stock ......................................................................11-32 

11.2.2.3 Average Lamp Efficacy of the Stock..............................................11-36 

11.3 NATIONAL ENERGY SAVINGS ...........................................................................11-38 

11.3.1 National Energy Savings Definition ..............................................................11-38 

11.3.2 National Energy Savings Inputs.....................................................................11-39 

11.3.2.1 Unit Energy Consumption (UEC)...................................................11-40 

11.3.2.2 Lamp Stock .....................................................................................11-40 

11.3.2.3 Site-to-Source Conversion Factors .................................................11-40 

EE-2006-STD-0131 COMMENT 37.2
11.3.2.4 Interactions with Heating, Ventilation, and Air-Conditioning (HVAC) 

Systems ..........................................................................................................11-41 

11.3.2.5 Rebound Rate..................................................................................11-42 

11.4 NET PRESENT VALUE...........................................................................................11-42 

11.4.1 Net Present Value Definition.........................................................................11-42 

11.4.2 Net Present Value Inputs ...............................................................................11-43 

11.4.2.1 Total Annual Installed Cost Increases ............................................11-43 

11.4.2.2 Total Annual Operating Cost Savings ............................................11-44 

11.4.2.3 Discount Factor...............................................................................11-44 

11.5 NATIONAL ENERGY SAVINGS AND NET PRESENT VALUE RESULTS......11-45 

11.5.1 National Energy Savings and Net Present Value Input Summary.................11-45 

11.5.2 Base Case Energy Consumption....................................................................11-46 

11.5.3 National Energy Savings Results...................................................................11-50 

11.5.3.1 General Service Fluorescent Lamps ...............................................11-51 

11.5.3.2 Incandescent Reflector Lamps........................................................11-54 

11.5.4 Annual Costs and Savings .............................................................................11-55 

11.5.5 Net Present Value Results..............................................................................11-59 

11.5.5.1 General Service Fluorescent Lamps ...............................................11-60 

11.5.5.2 Incandescent Reflector Lamps........................................................11-64 

CHAPTER 12. LIFE-CYCLE COST SUB-GROUP ANALYSIS 

12.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................12-1 

12.2 SUB-GROUP DEFINITIONS AND INPUTS TO THE SUB-GROUP ANALYSIS12-1 

12.2.1 Low-Income Consumers................................................................................12-1 

12.2.2 Institutions of Religious Worship ..................................................................12-2 

12.2.3 Institutions That Serve Low-Income Populations..........................................12-3 

12.2.4 Consumers of T12 Electronic Ballasts...........................................................12-4 

12.3 LCC SUB-GROUP RESULTS..................................................................................12-5 

12.3.1 Low-Income Consumers................................................................................12-5 

12.3.2 Institutions of Religious Worship ..................................................................12-13 

12.3.2.1 Product class: 4-foot MBP ≤4,500K...............................................12-13 

12.3.2.2 Product class: 4-foot T5 miniature bipin standard output ≤4,500K12-20 

12.3.2.3 Product class: 8-foot single pin slimline ≤4,500K..........................12-22 

12.3.2.4 Incandescent reflector lamps...........................................................12-27 

12.3.3 Institutions That Serve Low-Income Populations..........................................12-31 

12.3.3.1 Product class: 4-foot MBP ≤4,500K...............................................12-31 

12.3.3.2 Product class: 4-foot T5 MiniBP SO ≤4,500K ...............................12-38 

12.3.3.3 Product class: 8-foot SP slimline ≤4,500K.....................................12-40 

12.3.3.4 Incandescent reflector lamps...........................................................12-45 

12.3.4 Consumers of T12 Electronic Ballasts...........................................................12-49 

12.3.4.1 Product class: 4-foot MBP ≤4,500K...............................................12-49 

12.3.4.2 Product class: 8-foot SP slimline ≤4,500K.....................................12-54 

12.3.4.3 Product class: 8-foot recessed double-contact high 

output ≤4,500K ..............................................................................................12-57 

EE-2006-STD-0131 COMMENT 37.2
REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................12-60 

CHAPTER 13. MANUFACTURER IMPACT ANALYSIS 

13.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................13-1 

13.2 METHODOLOGY ....................................................................................................13-1 

13.2.1 Phase I: Industry Profile.................................................................................13-1 

13.2.2 Phase II: Industry Cash-Flow Analysis and Interview Guide........................13-2 

13.2.2.1 Industry Cash-Flow Analysis...........................................................13-2 

13.2.2.2 Interview Guide ...............................................................................13-2 

13.2.3 Phase III: Sub-Group Analysis ......................................................................13-3 

13.2.3.1 Manufacturer Interviews..................................................................13-3 

13.2.3.2 Revised Industry Cash-Flow Analysis.............................................13-4 

13.2.3.3 Manufacturer Sub-Group Analysis..................................................13-4 

13.2.3.4 Small-Business Manufacturer Subgroup .........................................13-4 

13.2.3.5 Manufacturing Capacity Impact ......................................................13-5 

13.2.3.6 Employment Impact.........................................................................13-5 

13.2.3.7 Cumulative Regulatory Burden .......................................................13-5 

13.3 MANUFACTURER IMPACT ANALYSIS KEY ISSUES......................................13-5 

13.3.1 General Service Fluorescent Lamps ..............................................................13-6 

13.3.1.1 Rare Earth Phosphor Availability and Price ....................................13-6 

13.3.1.2 Reduction in Product Portfolio ........................................................13-6 

13.3.1.3 Profit Margin Impact........................................................................13-6 

13.3.2 Incandescent Reflector Lamps.......................................................................13-6 

13.3.2.1 Product Performance Issues.............................................................13-6 

13.3.2.2 Xenon Gas Availability and Price....................................................13-7 

13.3.2.3 Elimination of Product Types in the Manufacturers’ Product 

Portfolio .........................................................................................................13-7 

13.3.2.4 Elimination of Small Diameter Lamps ............................................13-7 

13.3.2.5 Competition......................................................................................13-7 

13.3.2.6 Market Erosion.................................................................................13-8 

13.4 GRIM INPUTS AND ASSUMPTIONS....................................................................13-8 

13.4.1 Overview of the GRIM ..................................................................................13-8 

13.4.2 Sources GRIM Inputs ....................................................................................13-9 

13.4.2.1 Corporate Annual Reports ...............................................................13-9 

13.4.2.2 Standard and Poor Credit Ratings....................................................13-10 

13.4.2.3 Shipment Model...............................................................................13-10 

13.4.2.4 Product Price Determination............................................................13-10 

13.4.2.5 Manufacturer Interviews..................................................................13-10 

13.4.3 Financial Parameters......................................................................................13-11 

13.4.4 Corporate Discount Rate................................................................................13-11 

13.4.5 Trial Standard Levels.....................................................................................13-14 

13.4.6 NIA Shipments Forecast................................................................................13-14 

13.4.6.1 GSFL Base-Case Shipment Scenarios.............................................13-15 

13.4.6.2 IRL Base-Case Shipment Scenarios ................................................13-15 

EE-2006-STD-0131 COMMENT 37.2
13.4.6.3 GSFL Standards Shipment Scenarios ..............................................13-16 

13.4.6.4 IRL Standards Shipment Scenarios .................................................13-16 

13.4.7 Production Costs ............................................................................................13-16 

13.4.8 Conversion Costs ...........................................................................................13-19 

13.4.8.1 Capital Conversion Expenses ..........................................................13-20 

13.4.8.2 Product Conversion Expenses..........................................................13-22 

13.4.9 Markups .........................................................................................................13-23 

13.4.9.1 Flat Markup......................................................................................13-23 

13.4.9.2 Four-Tier Markup ............................................................................13-24 

13.5 GSFL INDUSTRY FINANCIAL IMPACTS............................................................13-28 

13.5.1 Impacts on Industry Net Present Value .........................................................13-28 

13.5.2 Impacts on GSFL Annual Cash Flow ............................................................13-33 

13.6 IRL INDUSTRY FINANCIAL IMPACTS...............................................................13-42 

13.6.1 Impacts on Industry Net Present Value .........................................................13-43 

13.6.2 Impacts on Annual Cash Flow.......................................................................13-45 

13.7 OTHER IMPACTS....................................................................................................13-51 

13.7.1 Employment...................................................................................................13-51 

13.7.1.1 GSFL Employment ..........................................................................13-51 

13.7.1.2 IRL Employment .............................................................................13-52 

13.7.2 Manufacturing Capacity.................................................................................13-61 

13.7.3 Cumulative Regulatory Burden .....................................................................13-62 

13.7.3.1 Federal DOE Regulations on Other Products Produced by the 

GSFL and IRL Manufacturers .......................................................................13-62 

13.7.3.2 EISA 2007 Requirements ................................................................13-64 

13.7.3.3 Restriction of Hazardous Substances Directive...............................13-65 

13.7.3.4 Reporting Requirements ..................................................................13-65 

13.7.4 Impacts on Small-Business Subgroup ...........................................................13-66 

13.8 CONCLUSIONS........................................................................................................13-66 

13.8.1 GSFL..............................................................................................................13-66 

13.8.2 IRL .................................................................................................................13-69 

REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................13-72 

CHAPTER 14. UTILITY IMPACT ANALYSIS 

14.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................14-1 

14.2 ASSUMPTIONS........................................................................................................14-1 

14.3 METHOD ..................................................................................................................14-2 

14.4 RESULTS ..................................................................................................................14-3 

REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................14-21 

CHAPTER 15. NET NATIONAL EMPLOYMENT IMPACT ANALYSIS 

15.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................15-1 

15.2 METHOD ..................................................................................................................15-1 

EE-2006-STD-0131 COMMENT 37.2
15.3 RESULTS ..................................................................................................................15-2 

REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................15-6 

CHAPTER 16. ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT 

16.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................16-1 

16.2 AIR EMISSIONS ANALYSIS..................................................................................16-1 

 16.2.1 Air Emissions Descriptions............................................................................16-1 

 16.2.2 Air Quality Regulation...................................................................................16-3 

 16.2.3 Global Climate Change..................................................................................16-4 

 16.2.4 Analytical Methods for Air Emissions ..........................................................16-8 

 16.2.5 Effects on Power Plant Emissions .................................................................16-9 

 16.2.6 Effects on Upstream Fuel-Cycle Emissions ..................................................16-15 

 16.2.7 Economic Value of Emission Reductions......................................................16-15 

16.3 WETLAND, ENDANGERED AND THREATENED SPECIES, AND 

 CULTURAL RESOURCES ......................................................................................16-22 

16.4 SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACTS................................................................................16-22 

16.5 ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE IMPACTS..............................................................16-22 

16.6 NOISE AND AESTHETICS .....................................................................................16-23 

16.7 SUMMARY OF ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS...................................................16-23 

REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................16-25 

CHAPTER 17. REGULATORY IMPACT ANALYSIS 

17.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................17-1 

17.2 METHODOLOGY ....................................................................................................17-1 

 17.2.1 Modeling Method...........................................................................................17-1 

17.2.1.1 General Service Fluorescent Lamps ...............................................17-2 

17.2.1.1.1 Scenarios Analyzed..........................................................17-2 

17.2.1.1.2 Market Share Matrices.....................................................17-3 

17.2.1.2 Incandescent Reflector Lamps........................................................17-3 

17.2.1.2.1 Scenario............................................................................17-3 

17.2.1.2.2 Market Share Matrices.....................................................17-3 

17.2.2 Policy Assumptions .......................................................................................17-4 

17.2.3 Interaction of Non-Regulatory Alternatives ..................................................17-4 

17.3 NON-REGULATORY ALTERNATIVES ...............................................................17-5 

17.3.1 No New Regulatory Action ...........................................................................17-5 

17.3.2 Consumer Rebates .........................................................................................17-5 

17.3.3 Consumer Tax Credits ...................................................................................17-8 

17.3.4 Manufacturer Tax Credits..............................................................................17-9 

17.3.5 Voluntary Energy-Efficiency Programs ........................................................17-9 

17.3.6 Early Replacement.........................................................................................17-10 

17.3.7 Bulk Government Purchases..........................................................................17-10 

17.4 RESULTS SUMMARY FOR NON-REGULATORY ALTERNATIVES...............17-11 

EE-2006-STD-0131 COMMENT 37.2
17.4.1 No New Regulatory Action ...........................................................................17-12 

17.4.2 Consumer Rebates .........................................................................................17-12 

17.4.3 Consumer Tax Credits ...................................................................................17-12 

17.4.4 Manufacturer Tax Credits..............................................................................17-12 

17.4.5 Voluntary Energy-Efficiency Programs ........................................................17-13 

17.4.6 Bulk Government Purchases..........................................................................17-13 

17.4.7 Energy Conservation Standards.....................................................................17-13 

REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................17-14 

APPENDIX AA. ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS 

APPENDIX 3A. LIGHTING DEFINITIONS IN THE UNITED STATES CODE AND 

CODE OF FEDERAL REGULATIONS 

3A.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................3A-1 

3A.1.1 General Service Fluorescent Lamps .............................................................3A-1 

3A.1.1.1 United States Code Definitions......................................................3A-1 

3A.1.1.2 Code of Federal Regulations Definitions in 10 CFR 430.2 ...........3A-2 

3A.1.2 Incandescent Reflector Lamps......................................................................3A-4 

3A.1.2.1 United States Code Definitions......................................................3A-4 

3A.1.2.2 Code of Federal Regulations Definitions in 10 CFR 430.2 ...........3A-7 

3A.1.3 All Covered Lamps .......................................................................................3A-8 

APPENDIX 3B. XENON AVAILABILITY AND PRICING 

3B.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................3B-1 

3B.2 SUPPLY.....................................................................................................................3B-1 

3B.2.1 Production Process ........................................................................................3B-1 

3B.2.2 Key Players ...................................................................................................3B-1 

3B.2.2.1 Praxair ............................................................................................3B-1 

3B.2.2.2 Air Liquide .....................................................................................3B-2 

3B.2.2.3 Linde...............................................................................................3B-2 

3B.2.2.4 Iceblick...........................................................................................3B-2 

3B.3 APPLICATIONS .......................................................................................................3B-2 

3B.3.1 Lighting Industry...........................................................................................3B-2 

3B.3.2 Medical Applications ....................................................................................3B-2 

3B.3.3 Space Industry...............................................................................................3B-3 

3B.3.4 Semiconductor Industry ................................................................................3B-3 

3B.4 PRICE ........................................................................................................................3B-3 

3B.4.5 LCC Analysis ................................................................................................3B-4 

3B.5 CONCLUSION..........................................................................................................3B-5 

3B.5.6 Supply ...........................................................................................................3B-5 

3B.5.7 Demand .........................................................................................................3B-5 

EE-2006-STD-0131 COMMENT 37.2
3B.5.8 Price...............................................................................................................3B-5 

REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................3B-7 

APPENDIX 3C. RARE EARTH PHOSPHOR AVAILABILITY AND PRICING 

3C.1 INTRODUCTION AND PURPOSE .........................................................................3C-1 

3C.2 APPLICATIONS .......................................................................................................3C-1 

3C.3 RARE EARTH MARKET.........................................................................................3C-2 

3C.3.1 Market Size ...................................................................................................3C-2 

3C.3.2 Supply ...........................................................................................................3C-3 

3C.3.3 Long-Term Supply ........................................................................................3C-3 

3C.3.4 Demand .........................................................................................................3C-4 

3C.3.5 Pricing ...........................................................................................................3C-5 

3C.4 PHOSPHOR SUPPLY IMPACTS ............................................................................3C-5 

3C.5 PHOSPHOR PRICE IMPACTS................................................................................3C-6 

3C.6 CONCLUSIONS........................................................................................................3C-7 

REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................3C-9 

APPENDIX 5A. ENGINEERING RESULTS USED IN THE SHIPMENTS, NATIONAL 

IMPACTS, AND LIFE-CYCLE COST SUBGROUP ANALYSES 

5A.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................5A-1 

5A.2 GENERAL SERVICE FLUORESCENT LAMPS....................................................5A-1 

5A.2.1 Systems Used in the Shipments Analysis and NIA ......................................5A-1 

5A.2.1.1 4-foot Medium Bipin General Service Fluorescent Lamps ...........5A-2 

5A.2.1.2 8-foot Single Pin Slimline General Service Fluorescent Lamps....5A-6 

5A.2.1.3 8-foot Recessed Double Contact High Output General Service 

Fluorescent Lamps.........................................................................................5A-8 

5A.2.1.4 4-foot T5 Miniature Bipin Standard Output General Service 

Fluorescent Lamps.........................................................................................5A-10 

5A.2.1.5 4-foot T5 Miniature Bipin High Output General Service 

Fluorescent Lamps.........................................................................................5A-11 

5A.2.2 Systems Used by Consumers of T12 Electronic Ballasts .............................5A-12 

5A.2.2.1 4-foot Medium Bipin General Service Fluorescent Lamps ...........5A-12 

5A.2.2.2 8-foot Single Pin Slimline General Service Fluorescent Lamps....5A-14 

5A.2.2.3 8-foot Recessed Double Contact High Output General Service 

Fluorescent Lamps.........................................................................................5A-15 

5A.3 INCANDESCENT REFLECTOR LAMPS...............................................................5A-16 

APPENDIX 5B. T5 HALOPHOSPHOR MINIATURE BIPIN BASELINE LAMPS 

5B.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................5B-1 

5B.2 HALOPHOSPHOR T5 MARKET ............................................................................5B-1 

EE-2006-STD-0131 COMMENT 37.2
5B.3 LINEAR GENERAL SERVICE FLUORESCENT LAMP OVERVIEW................5B-2 

5B.4 MODEL FORMULATION, INPUTS, AND ANALYTICAL RESULTS ...............5B-3 

5B.4.1 28W 4-foot T5 Miniature Bipin (MiniBP) SO Halophosphor Baseline .......5B-3 

5B.4.2 54W 4-foot T5 MiniBP HO Halophosphor Baseline....................................5B-5 

REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................5B-6 

APPENDIX 5C. MODIFIED-SPECTRUM INCANDESCENT REFLECTOR LAMPS 

5C.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................5C-1 

5C.2 BACKGROUND .......................................................................................................5C-1 

5C.2.1 Spectral Power Distribution and Commonly Used Color Properties............5C-1 

5C.2.2 Methods of Modifying Spectral Power Distributions ...................................5C-4 

5C.3 APPLICATION OF “MODIFIED-SPECTRUM” DEFINITION TO IRL ...............5C-4 

5C.3.1 Color Requirements.......................................................................................5C-5 

5C.3.2 Black Body Locus Requirements..................................................................5C-5 

5C.3.3 MacAdam Step Requirements.......................................................................5C-6 

5C.4 METHODOLOGY ....................................................................................................5C-7 

5C.5 ANALYTICAL RESULTS .......................................................................................5C-10 

5C.6 SELECTION OF FINAL SCALING FACTOR........................................................5C-12 

REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................5C-13 

APPENDIX 5D. ADVANCED IR COATINGS 

5D.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................5D-1 

5D.2 BACKGROUND .......................................................................................................5D-1 

5D.2.1 HIR Technology............................................................................................5D-1 

5D.2.2 Silverized reflector coating ...........................................................................5D-2 

5D.2.3 Alternative method........................................................................................5D-2 

5D.3 METHOD ..................................................................................................................5D-2 

5D.3.1 Capsules ........................................................................................................5D-2 

5D.3.2 Modifying voltage.........................................................................................5D-3 

5D.3.3 Reflector........................................................................................................5D-3 

5D.4 RESULTS ..................................................................................................................5D-3 

5D.4.1 ADLT Burners ..............................................................................................5D-3 

5D.4.2 Reflector Losses............................................................................................5D-4 

5D.4.2.1 Commercially Available Lamps ....................................................5D-4 

5D.4.2.2 ADLT Burners ...............................................................................5D-5 

5D.5 LONG LIFE...............................................................................................................5D-5 

5D.6 PRICE ........................................................................................................................5D-6 

5D.7 CONCLUSION..........................................................................................................5D-7 

EE-2006-STD-0131 COMMENT 37.2
APPENDIX 6A. ENERGY USE CHARACTERIZATION RESULTS USED IN THE 

SHIPMENTS, NATIONAL IMPACTS, AND LIFE-CYCLE COST SUBGROUP 

ANALYSES 

6A.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................6A-1 

6A.2 GENERAL SERVICE FLUORESCENT LAMPS....................................................6A-2 

6A.2.1 Systems Used in the Shipments Analysis and NIA ......................................6A-2 

6A.2.1.1 4-foot Medium Bipin General Service Fluorescent Lamps ...........6A-2 

6A.2.1.2 8-foot Single Pin Slimline General Service Fluorescent Lamps....6A-5 

6A.2.1.3 8-foot Recessed Double Contact High Output General Service 

Fluorescent Lamps.........................................................................................6A-6 

6A.2.1.4 4-foot T5 Miniature Bipin Standard Output General Service 

Fluorescent Lamps.........................................................................................6A-6 

6A.2.1.5 4-foot T5 Miniature Bipin High Output General Service 

Fluorescent Lamps.........................................................................................6A-7 

6A.2.2 Systems Used by Consumers of T12 Electronic Ballasts .............................6A-8 

6A.2.2.1 4-foot Medium Bipin General Service Fluorescent Lamps ...........6A-8 

6A.2.2.2 8-foot Single Pin Slimline General Service Fluorescent Lamps....6A-9 

6A.2.2.3 8-foot Recessed Double Contact High Output General Service 

Fluorescent Lamps.........................................................................................6A-10 

6A.3 INCANDESCENT REFLECTOR LAMPS...............................................................6A-11 

APPENDIX 7A. ADDITIONAL END-USER PRICE RESULTS 

7A.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................7A-1 

7A.2 FLUORESCENT LAMP BALLASTS......................................................................7A-1 

7A.3 INCANDESCENT REFLECTOR LAMPS...............................................................7A-2 

APPENDIX 8A. USER INSTRUCTIONS FOR LCC AND PBP SPREADSHEETS 

8A.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................8A-1 

8A.2 LCC AND PBP WORKBOOK .................................................................................8A-1 

8A.3 BASIC INSTRUCTIONS..........................................................................................8A-2 

APPENDIX 8B. SUPPLEMENTARY LIFE-CYCLE COST AND PAYBACK PERIOD 

RESULTS 

8B.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................8B-1 

8B.2 INTRODUCTION TO UNCERTAINTY AND VARIABILITY .............................8B-1 

8B.3 UNCERTAINTY .......................................................................................................8B-2 

8B.4 VARIABILITY..........................................................................................................8B-2 

8B.5 APPROACHES TO UNCERTAINTY AND VARIABILITY .................................8B-2 

8B.6 PROBABILITY ANALYSIS AND THE USE OF CRYSTAL BALL.....................8B-3 

EE-2006-STD-0131 COMMENT 37.2
8B.7 GENERAL SERVICE FLUORESCENT RESULTS................................................8B-4 

8B.7.1 Monte Carlo Results......................................................................................8B-4 

8B.7.1.1 Product Class: 4-foot medium bipin ≤ 4,500K ..............................8B-4 

8B.7.1.2 Product Class: 4-foot T5 miniature bipin high output ≤ 4,500K ...8B-13 

8B.7.1.3 Product Class: 4-foot T5 miniature bipin standard 

output ≤ 4,500K .............................................................................................8B-14 

8B.7.1.4 Product Class: 8-foot single pin slimline ≤ 4,500K .......................8B-15 

8B.7.1.5 Product Class: 8-foot recessed double contact high 

output ≤ 4,500K .............................................................................................8B-19 

8B.7.2 Lamp and Ballast Price Scenario Results......................................................8B-24 

8B.7.2.1 Product Class: 4-foot medium bipin ≤ 4,500K ..............................8B-24 

8B.7.2.2 Product Class: 4-foot T5 miniature bipin high output ≤ 4,500K ...8B-48 

8B.7.2.3 Product Class: 4-foot T5 miniature bipin standard 

output ≤ 4,500K .............................................................................................8B-51 

8B.7.2.4 Product Class: 8-foot single pin slimline ≤ 4,500K .......................8B-54 

8B.7.2.5 Product Class: 8-foot recessed double contact HO ≤ 4,500K ........8B-67 

8B.7.3 Electricity Price Trend Case Results.............................................................8B-80 

8B.7.3.1 Product Class: 4-foot medium bipin ≤ 4,500K ..............................8B-80 

8B.7.3.2 Product Class: 4-foot T5 miniature bipin high output ≤ 4,500K ...8B-97 

8B.7.3.3 Product Class: 4-foot T5 miniature bipin standard 

output ≤ 4,500K .............................................................................................8B-100 

8B.7.3.4 Product Class: 8-foot single pin slimline ≤ 4,500K .......................8B-103 

8B.7.3.5 Product Class: 8-foot recessed double contact HO ≤ 4,500K ........8B-112 

8B.8 INCANDESCENT REFLECTOR RESULTS...........................................................8B-121 

8B.8.1 Monte Carlo Results......................................................................................8B-121 

8B.8.2 Lamp Price Scenario Results.........................................................................8B-127 

8B.8.3 Operating Hour Scenario Results..................................................................8B-140 

8B.8.4 Electricity Price Trend Case Results.............................................................8B-146 

REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................8B-159 

APPENDIX 8C. RESIDENTIAL DISCOUNT RATE DISTRIBUTIONS 

8C.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................8C-1 

8C.2 DISTRIBUTION OF REAL INTEREST RATES FOR CONSUMER DEBT 

 CLASSES ..................................................................................................................8C-1 

8C.3 DISTRIBUTION OF REAL INTEREST RATES FOR FINANCIAL ASSETS......8C-2 

APPENDIX 10A. SUPPLEMENTARY SCENARIO FOR THE SHIPMENTS ANALYSIS 

10A.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................10A-1 

10A.2 STANDARDS-CASE MARKET-SHARE MATRICES ..........................................10A-1 

APPENDIX 10B. MARKET SEGMENT-BASED LIGHTING EXPERTISE ANALYSIS 

EE-2006-STD-0131 COMMENT 37.2
10B.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................10B-1 

10B.2 METHODOLOGY ....................................................................................................10B-2 

10B.3 MARKET ACTOR TAXONOMY............................................................................10B-2 

10B.3.1 COMMERCIAL VERSUS RESIDENTIAL SECTORS............................10B-3 

10B.3.2 LARGE VERSUS SMALL COMMERCIAL SUBSECTORS ..................10B-3 

10B.4 THE MARKET SEGMENTS – COMMERCIAL SECTOR ....................................10B-3 

10B.4.1 RENOVATION AND REMODELING......................................................10B-4 

10B.4.2 NEW CONSTRUCTION............................................................................10B-6 

10B.4.3 RETROFITS................................................................................................10B-7 

10B.4.4 BALLAST FAILURE.................................................................................10B-9 

10B.4.5 FIXTURE REPLACEMENTS....................................................................10B-10 

10B.4.6 CONCLUSION ...........................................................................................10B-10 

10B.5 THE MARKET SEGMENTS – RESIDENTIAL SECTOR .....................................10B-10 

10B.5.1 RENOVATION AND REMODELING......................................................10B-11 

10B.5.2 NEW CONSTRUCTION............................................................................10B-12 

10B.5.3 RETROFIT, BALLAST FAILURE, AND FIXTURE 

REPLACEMENTS ....................................................................................................10B-13 

10B.5.4 CONCLUSION ...........................................................................................10B-14 

REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................10B-15 

APPENDIX 10C. PENETRATION OF EMERGING AND EXISTING TECHNOLOGIES 

10C.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................10C-1 

10C.2 PRICE AND PERFORMANCE OF EMERGING AND EXISTING 

 TECHNOLOGIES .....................................................................................................10C-1 

10C.2.1 LED .............................................................................................................10C-1 

10C.2.2 CMH............................................................................................................10C-3 

10C.2.3 R-CFL..........................................................................................................10C-3 

APPENDIX 11A. USER INSTRUCTIONS FOR SHIPMENTS AND NIA 

SPREADSHEETS 

11A.1 INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................................11A-1 

11A.1.1 General Service Fluorescent Lamps ........................................................11A-1 

11A.1.2 Incandescent Reflector Lamps.................................................................11A-8 

11A.2 BASIC INSTRUCTIONS.......................................................................................11A-11 

11A.2.1 General Service Fluorescent Lamps ........................................................11A-11 

11A.2.2 Incandescent Reflector Lamps.................................................................11A-12 

APPENDIX 11B. SUPPLEMENTARY SCENARIOS FOR THE NATIONAL IMPACTS 

ANALYSIS 

EE-2006-STD-0131 COMMENT 37.2
11B.1 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................11B-1 

11B.2 RESULTS ..................................................................................................................11B-1 

11B.2.1 NATIONAL ENERGY SAVINGS.............................................................11B-1 

11B.2.1.1 General Service Fluorescent Lamps.............................................11B-1 

11B.2.1.2 Incandescent Reflector Lamps .....................................................11B-10 

11B.2.2 NET PRESENT VALUE ............................................................................11B-13 

11B.2.2.1 General Service Fluorescent Lamps.............................................11B-13 

11B.2.2.2 Incandescent Reflector Lamps .....................................................11B-22 

APPENDIX 13A. MANUFACTURER IMPACT ANALYSIS INTERVIEW GUIDE AND 

GOVERNMENT REGULATORY IMPACT MODEL (GRIM) 

13A.1 MANUFACTURER IMPACT ANALYSIS INTERVIEW GUIDE.......................13A-1 

13A.1.1 Manufacturer impact analysis interview guide .........................................13A-1 

13A.1.2 General Service Fluorescent and Incandescent Reflector Lamps Energy 

Conservation Standards Rulemaking Manufacturer Impact Analysis Interview Guide for 

Small Businesses.....................................................................................................13A-11 

13A.2 GOVERNMENT REGULATORY IMPACT MODEL ..........................................13A-12 

13A.2.1 Introduction and Purpose ..........................................................................13A-12 

13A.2.2 Model Description.....................................................................................13A-12 

13A.2.3 Detailed Cash Flow Example....................................................................13A-15 

APPENDIX 14A. INTERPOLATION OF UTILITY AND ENVIRONMENTAL 

RESULTS FROM NEMS-BT OUTPUT 

EE-2006-STD-0131 COMMENT 37.2