ISSN: 1554-9089

World Agricultural Supply 

and Demand Estimates

Office of the

Chief Economist

Agricultural Marketing Service

Farm Service Agency

Economic Research Service

Foreign Agricultural Service

WASDE - 541 Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board May 12, 2015

Note: This report presents USDA’s initial assessment of U.S. and world crop supply and demand prospects and 

U.S. prices for 2015/16. Also presented are the first calendar-year 2016 projections of U.S. livestock, poultry, and 

dairy products. Because spring planting is still underway in the Northern Hemisphere and remains several months 

away in the Southern Hemisphere, these projections are highly tentative. Forecasts for U.S. winter wheat area, 

yield, and production are from the May 12 Crop Production report. For other U.S. crops, the March 31 Prospective 

Plantings report is used for planted acreage. Methods used to project 2015/16 harvested acreage and yield are 

noted in each table.

WHEAT: U.S. wheat supplies for 2015/16 are projected up 6 percent from 2014/15 on higher 

beginning stocks and production. All wheat production is projected at 2,087 million bushels, up 3 

percent. The all wheat yield is projected at 43.5 bushels per acre, down slightly from the previous year. 

 The survey-based forecast for 2015/16 all winter wheat production is up 7 percent with both higher 

yields and harvested area. A decline in Soft Red Winter wheat harvested area is more than offset by 

increased Hard Red Winter (HRW) wheat harvested area. This year’s HRW yield is above last year’s 

low level, but drought and winterkill have adversely affected the crop again. White Winter wheat 

production is projected up 10 percent from last year mainly on higher yields. Spring wheat production 

for 2015/16 is projected to decline 5 percent on an assumed return to trend yields from last year’s nearrecord level, more than offsetting a slight increase in harvested area. 

Total U.S. wheat use for 2015/16 is projected up 4 percent from the previous year on higher exports, 

feed and residual use, and food use. The 2015/16 exports are projected at 925 million bushels, up 65 

million bushels from the previous year’s low level but still below the 5 year-average. Large supplies in 

several major competing countries will continue to limit U.S. exports. Feed and residual use is 

projected up 20 million bushels on increased supplies. U.S. ending stocks are projected to rise 84 

million bushels to 793 million, the highest since the 2010/11 crop year. The all wheat season-average 

farm price is projected at $4.50 to $5.50 per bushel. 

Global wheat supplies are projected to rise fractionally from 2014/15 as increased beginning stocks 

more than offset a slight decline in production from the previous year’s record. Total wheat production 

is projected at 718.9 million tons, the second highest total on record. Foreign production is down 9.2 

million tons with reductions for EU, India, Russia, and Ukraine more than offsetting increases for China, 

Turkey, Morocco, Australia, Iran, and Syria. Global wheat consumption for 2015/16 is projected slightly 

higher than in 2014/15 with higher food use more than offsetting a reduction in world wheat feeding. 

Global import demand for 2015/16 is lower with the largest reductions coming from Turkey, Iran, 

Morocco, and Syria all on greatly improved crop prospects. Exports are lower for Canada, India, EU, 

Russia, and Ukraine, but higher for Argentina and Australia. Global ending stocks for 2014/15 are 

projected at 203.3 million tons, up 2.4 million from 2014/15. 

COARSE GRAINS: U.S. feed grain supplies for 2015/16 are projected to slightly exceed the record 

level of 2014/15 as larger beginning stocks more than offset lower expected production. Corn 

production is projected at 13.6 billion bushels, down 586 million from the record 2014/15 crop with a 

lower forecast area and yield. The U.S. corn yield is projected at 166.8 bushels per acre, down 4.2 

bushels from the 2014/15 record based on a weather adjusted yield trend that assumes normal 

summer weather. The 2015 yield outlook is not raised, despite the rapid pace of late-April and early-
WASDE-541-2 

May planting, as more than 90 percent of the variability in the corn yield is determined by July 

precipitation and temperatures in the Midwest, which are unknowable at this time. Corn supplies for 

2015/16 are projected at a record 15.5 billion bushels, up just slightly from 2014/15. 

U.S. corn use for 2015/16 is projected at a record 13.8 billion bushels, 1 percent higher than this 

month’s revised projection for 2014/15. Feed and residual use for 2015/16 is projected 50 million 

bushels higher with animal numbers up from 2014/15. Corn used to produce ethanol in 2015/16 is 

expected to be unchanged as projected gasoline consumption during the 2015/16 marketing year is 

nearly identical to 2014/15. Corn use in other food, seed, and industrial categories in 2015/16 is 

projected slightly higher than this month’s lower forecast for 2014/15. Exports for 2015/16 are 

projected 75 million bushels higher on the year with the 2014/15 projection raised 25 million bushels 

this month. More competitive prices and growth in world demand support gains in U.S. exports for 

2015/16, but large foreign supplies limit growth in the U.S. share of global trade. Corn ending stocks 

for 2015/16 are projected at 1.7 billion bushels, down 105 million from the 2014/15 projection. The 

season-average 2015/16 farm price is projected at $3.20 to $3.80 per bushel, down 15 cents at the 

midpoint from this month’s lowered outlook for 2014/15. Available opportunities for forward pricing the 

2015 crop have been at substantially lower levels than the pre-planting bids offered for the 2014 crop. 

Global coarse grain supplies for 2015/16 are projected at a record 1,505.1 million tons, up 9.6 million 

tons from 2014/15 with the increase mainly reflecting larger corn beginning stocks and production for 

China. Global corn production for 2015/16 is projected at 989.8 million tons, down from the 2014/15 

record, largely reflecting the smaller projected U.S. crop. Declines in 2015/16 corn production are also 

expected for EU, Brazil, Ukraine, and Mexico. In addition to China, where corn production is projected 

up 12.3 million tons, corn production is expected higher for South Africa, India, Canada, Russia, and 

Argentina. 

Global corn consumption for 2015/16 is projected at a record 990.4 million tons, 13.0 million tons higher 

than in 2014/15, with notable increases for China, Brazil, Saudi Arabia, Argentina, Egypt, Canada, 

India, Indonesia, Iran, and Mexico. Corn imports for 2015/16 are projected higher year-to-year for EU, 

Saudi Arabia, Egypt, South Korea, and Mexico. Corn exports are lowered for Ukraine, Brazil, and EU, 

but raised for South Africa, Argentina, and India compared with 2014/15. Global corn ending stocks for 

2015/16 are projected at 191.9 million tons, down 0.6 million from 2014/15.

RICE: U.S. 2015/16 all rice supplies are forecast up 3 percent from 2014/15 and total use is up 2 

percent. This will lead to an 11 percent increase in 2015/16 ending stocks projected at 47.4 million cwt. 

Beginning stocks for 2015/16 are forecast at 42.9 million cwt. Projected 2015/16 imports at a record 

24.5 million cwt. U.S. rice production for 2015/16 is projected at 219.0 million cwt. Long-grain 

production is projected at 162.0 million cwt, and combined medium- and short-grain production at 57.0 

million. All rice harvested area is estimated at 2.90 million acres. Long-grain harvested area is 2.19 

million acres. Combined medium- and short-grain harvested area is 0.71 million acres. The droughtinduced drop in California medium- and short-grain area has attracted more acres of medium-grain rice 

in the Delta where plantings in 2015 are projected up 3 percent. U.S. all rice average yield is projected 

at 7,562 pounds per acre, nearly the same as last year. 

U.S. 2015/16 all rice total use is projected at 239.0 million cwt with domestic and residual use at 131.0 

million and exports at 108.0 million. Long-grain rice exports are projected at 76.0 million cwt, and 

medium- and short-grain rice exports at 32.0 million. U.S. all rice ending stocks for 2015/16 are 

projected at 47.4 million cwt with long-grain ending stocks at 34.1 million cwt, and medium- and shortgrain rice stocks at 11.0 million. 

The U.S. 2015/16 long-grain rice season-average farm price is projected at $10.00 to $11.00 per cwt, 

compared to a revised $11.80 to $12.20 for the previous year. The medium- and short-grain price is 

projected at $17.80 to $18.80 per cwt, compared to a revised $17.80 to $18.20 for the year earlier. The 

2015/16 all rice price is projected at $12.30 to $13.30 per cwt, compared to a revised $13.20 to $13.60 
WASDE-541-3 

per cwt for 2014/15. The California medium- and short-grain price is expected to strengthen slightly, 

and the Other States price is unchanged from 2014/15. 

Global 2015/16 total rice ending stocks are expected to drop 6.9 million tons to 91.5 million tons with a 

stocks-to-use ratio of 18.7 percent, the lowest since 2006/07. World rice production is projected at a 

record 482.1 million tons. Global consumption is projected at a record 489.0 million tons. Global 

exports in 2015/16 are projected at 42.4 million tons. Exports in 2015/16 will be down from the 

previous year for India and Pakistan, but up for Burma, Cambodia, and the United States. Thailand’s 

exports are unchanged at 11.0 million tons. Larger 2015/16 imports are projected for China and the 

Middle East. Global 2015/16 ending stocks are projected at 91.5 million tons, the lowest stocks since 

2007/08. The global stocks-to-use ratio at 18.7 percent is the lowest since 2006/07. The largest yearto-year stocks reductions occur in India, Thailand, Indonesia, and China. 

OILSEEDS: U.S. oilseed production for 2015/16 is projected at 114.1 million tons, down 2.6 percent 

from 2014/15 mainly on lower soybean production. Soybean production is projected at 3,850 million 

bushels, down 119 million from the 2014 crop with record harvested area more than offset by lower 

yields. Harvested area is projected at 83.7 million acres based on a 5-year average harvested-toplanted ratio and planted area of 84.6 million acres. The soybean yield is projected at a trend level of 

46.0 bushels per acre, down 1.8 bushels from last year’s record. Supplies are projected at 4,230 

million bushels, up 3.4 percent from 2014/15 with increased beginning stocks more than offsetting 

lower production. 

The U.S. soybean crush for 2015/16 is projected at 1,825 billion bushels, up 20 million from 2014/15. 

U.S. soybean meal use is projected to increase 3.2 percent in line with expected gains in U.S. meat 

production. Despite lower prices, soybean meal exports are projected to decline with increased exports 

from South America and India accounting for most of the gains in global soybean meal trade. Soybean 

exports are projected at 1,775 million bushels, down 25 million from 2014/15 despite record supplies. 

Competition from record supplies in South America is expected to limit U.S. exports during the first half 

of the 2015/16 marketing year. With larger supplies and lower use, U.S. ending stocks for 2015/16 are 

projected at 500 million bushels, up 150 million from 2014/15. The U.S. season-average soybean price 

for 2015/16 will decline to $8.25 to $9.75 per bushel compared with $10.05 in 2014/15. Soybean meal 

prices are forecast at $305 to $345 per short ton compared with $365 in 2014/15. Soybean oil prices 

are forecast at 29.5 to 32.5 cents per pound compared with 32.0 cents in 2014/15. 

Global oilseed production for 2015/16 is projected at 531.2 million tons, slightly below 2014/15. Global 

soybean production is projected at 317.3 million tons, almost unchanged from 2014/15 with gains for 

Brazil, India, Paraguay, and Ukraine offset by reductions for the United States, Argentina, and China. 

The Argentina soybean crop is projected at 57.0 million tons, down 1.5 million from 2014/15 with higher 

area but lower yields. The Brazil soybean crop is projected at a record 97.0 million tons, up 2.5 million 

on higher area. China soybean production is projected at 11.5 million tons, down 0.85 million as 

producers shift to more profitable crops. Total oilseed supplies are up 2.8 percent from 2014/15. With 

crush projected to increase 2.3 percent, global oilseed ending stocks are projected at 107.4 million 

tons, up 8.3 million from the revised 2014/15 stock estimate. 

Global protein meal consumption is projected to increase 3.4 percent in 2015/16. Protein meal 

consumption is projected to increase 3.0 percent in China, accounting for 24 percent of global protein 

consumption gains. Global soybean exports are projected at 122 million tons, up 3.8 percent from 

2014/15. China soybean imports are projected at 77.5 million tons, up 4 million from the revised 

2014/15 projection. Global vegetable oil consumption is projected to increase 3.6 percent in 2015/16 

led by increases for China, India, and Indonesia. 

SUGAR: Total production for 2015/16 is forecast at 8.450 million short tons, raw value (STRV), a 

decrease of 76,000 from 2014/15. Beet sugar production for the 2015/16 August-July period will total 

about 4.900 million STRV, but fiscal year 2015/16 production is forecast at 4.770 million as 11 percent 
WASDE-541-4 

of the 2015/16 sugarbeet crop will be harvested in August-September and thus will be accounted for in 

the estimate of the fiscal year 2014/15 crop. Cane sugar production is forecast at 3.680 million STRV, 

down 85,000 as production yields return to trend and area remains about the same as 2014/15. 

U.S. 2015/16 imports are forecast at 3.810 million STRV. Tariff-rate quota imports are forecast at 

statutory levels consistent with international agreements. Shortfall is forecast at 99,208 STRV, the 

same as estimated for 2014/15. The additional specialty sugar TRQ has not been established and is 

set at zero. Imports from Mexico are forecast at 2.116 million STRV. Deliveries for human 

consumption are forecast at 11.985 million STRV, 126,000 higher than 2014/15. Ending stocks are 

forecast at 1.547 million STRV, implying an ending stocks-to-use ratio of 12.6 percent. 

Mexico 2015/16 sugar production is forecast at 6.000 million metric tons (MT), the same as 2014/15 but 

assuming about 20,000 fewer hectares to be harvested and a greater sugar yield per harvested 

hectare. Exports to the United States for 2015/16 are forecast at 1.811 million MT, based on the terms 

of the Agreement Suspending the Countervailing Duty Investigations on Sugar from Mexico (“Target 

Quantity of U.S. Needs”). Although the U.S. additional specialty sugar TRQ has not been established, 

for purposes of the U.S. Needs calculation, it is assumed at the same level as in 2014/15. Deliveries 

for human consumption for 2015/16 are forecast at 4.250 million MT, the same as in 2014/15. Ending 

stocks are forecast residually at 667,604 MT, implying a lower than historical average stocks-toconsumption ratio of 15.7 percent. 

LIVESTOCK, POULTRY, AND DAIRY: Total U.S. red meat and poultry production in 2016 is 

projected to be above 2015. Beef production is forecast higher as gains in the 2014 and 2015 calf 

crops support year-over-year increases in cattle placements in late 2015 and early 2016. Marketings of 

fed cattle are forecast to increase during 2016, while carcass weights are expected to reflect incentives 

to keep cattle weights high. Pork production is expected to increase as pig crops expand; reflecting 

moderate increases in farrowings during late 2015 and early 2016 and a continued recovery in growth 

in pigs per litter. Broiler and turkey production are forecast higher as the more rapid expansion in 

production which began in late 2014 continues. Egg production for 2016 is forecast to expand as 

producers respond to favorable egg prices and moderate feed costs. 

The total red meat and poultry production forecast for 2015 is raised from last month on higher beef, 

pork, and broiler production. Beef production is raised on heavier dressed weights. Pork production is 

forecast higher as the pace of slaughter in the second quarter remains heavy and supplies of slaughter 

hogs in the second part of the year are expected to remain ample. Broiler production is raised from last 

month as producers continue to expand egg sets and chicks placed. Turkey production is lowered from 

last month as previously forecast production growth is expected to be limited. Egg production for 2015 

is lowered as recent discoveries of HPAI will constrain production growth. 

Red meat and poultry exports are expected to increase in 2016 with expanding production. Imports of 

beef and pork are expected to decline. For 2015, export forecasts for beef, pork, and broiler meat are 

raised from last month on March export data and larger production forecasts. Beef imports are forecast 

higher on strong processing-grade beef demand and tight supplies of domestic processing beef. Pork 

imports are lowered with expected increases in production. 

For 2016, fed cattle prices are forecast near 2015 levels as supplies increase but demand for fed cattle 

remains robust. Hog prices are forecast to be lower than 2015 as hog supplies increase. However, 

broiler and turkey prices are forecast higher despite increased production as demand improves and 

beef supplies remain tight. Egg prices are forecast higher on firm demand. The fed cattle price 

forecast for 2015 is lowered from last month. Hog prices are reduced slightly. Broiler prices are 

forecast higher as demand remains strong. Turkey prices are raised based on current strength in 

prices and reduced production. Egg prices are unchanged. 
WASDE-541-5 

Milk production for 2016 is forecast higher as improved forage availability and moderate feed costs are 

expected to support gains in milk per cow. Cow numbers are forecast slightly higher. Commercial 

exports on both a fat and skim-solids basis are forecast higher with a resumption of normal trade 

patterns. Imports are forecast lower as domestic production increases and demand from competing 

importers is higher. With stronger domestic demand and export, cheese, nonfat dry milk (NDM) and 

whey prices are forecast higher, but butter prices are forecast lower as strong NDM demand is 

expected to support relatively high levels of butter production. Both Class III and Class IV prices are 

forecast higher. The all milk price is forecast at $17.45 to $18.45 per cwt for 2016. 

Forecast milk production in 2015 is forecast lower than last month as drought in the West impacts milk 

per cow and growth in the cow herd is expected to be slower. Fat and skim-solids imports are raised 

on strong demand for imported cheeses. Fat basis exports are raised on better-than-expected March 

exports. Skim-solids exports are higher based on higher NDM and lactose shipments. Cheese, NDM, 

and whey prices are forecast lower on weaker demand, but the butter price forecast is raised on strong 

demand. The Class III price is lowered on weaker cheese and whey prices. The Class IV price is 

lower as the stronger butter price is more than offset by the reduced prices for NDM. The milk price is 

forecast to average $17.10 to $17.60 per cwt. 

COTTON: The U.S. cotton 2015/16 projections include marginally higher supply and disappearance 

compared with 2014/15, resulting in ending stocks and prices on par with the preceding year. The 

increase in beginning stocks of nearly 2.0 million bales is mostly offset by an 11-percent decrease in 

production, due mainly to reduced planted area. Harvested acres and yields are based on historical 

averages by region, with adjustments to the Southwest to reflect favorable moisture conditions. 

Domestic mill use is projected higher while exports are at the prior year’s 10.7 million bales. The 

marketing year average price received by producers is projected to range from 50 to 70 cents per 

pound, with the midpoint of 60 cents, unchanged from the current season. 

World 2015/16 cotton projections show a decline in global stocks for the first time since 2009/10. As 

with the U.S. estimates, higher beginning stocks compared with last season are about offset by sharply 

lower world production, as most of the world’s cotton-producing countries respond to lower prices. 

World consumption is raised 3.5 percent due mainly to positive world economic growth and the lagged 

effect of falling cotton prices during 2014/15. World trade is reduced marginally, as a sharp drop of 1.7 

million bales in China’s imports is mostly offset by increases in other countries. China’s lower 

production and imports, combined with a consumption increase of nearly 3 percent, are projected to 

reduce ending stocks by about 3.0 million bales, accounting for more than three-fourths of the decline 

in world stocks. Despite this reduction, world stocks of 106.3 million bales would still be the second 

highest on record. 

For 2014/15, U.S. production is raised marginally, based on lower harvested area and higher yields, 

reflecting the season final report. Slightly higher world ending stocks incorporate a number of current 

and historical data adjustments, resulting in increases for Argentina, China, and Benin, partially offset 

by decreases for India, Malaysia, and Brazil. 

Approved by the Secretary of Agriculture and the Acting Chairperson of the World Agricultural 

Outlook Board, David Stallings, (202) 720-6030. This report was prepared by the Interagency 

Commodity Estimates Committees. 

APPROVED BY: 

 MICHAEL T. SCUSE 

SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE DESIGNATE 
WASDE-541-6 

INTERAGENCY COMMODITY ESTIMATES COMMITTEES

Note: The World Agricultural Outlook Board reviews and approves the World Agricultural Supply and 

Demand Estimates (WASDE) report. The Board’s analysts chair the Interagency Commodity 

Estimates Committees (ICECs) that prepare the monthly report. 

Wheat: Jerry Norton, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: jnorton@oce.usda.gov 

Gary Vocke, ERS; Teresa McKeivier, FAS; Tom Tice, FSA. 

Rice: Andrew C. Aaronson, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: aaaronson@oce.usda.gov 

Nathan Childs, ERS; Yoonhee Macke, FAS; Mark Simone, FSA. 

Feed Grains: Jerry Norton, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: jnorton@oce.usda.gov 

Thomas Capehart, ERS; Richard O’Meara, FAS; Pete Riley, FSA. 

Oilseeds: Keith Menzie, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: kmenzie@oce.usda.gov 

Mark Ash, ERS; Bill George, FAS; Phil Sronce, FSA. 

Cotton: Carol Skelly, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: cskelly@oce.usda.gov 

Darryl Earnest, AMS; Leslie Meyer, ERS; James Johnson, FAS; Scott Sanford, FSA. 

Sugar: Stephen Haley, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: shaley@oce.usda.gov 

Michael McConnell, ERS; Ron Lord, FAS; Barbara Fecso, FSA. 

Meat Animals: Shayle Shagam, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: sshagam@oce.usda.gov 

Sherry Wise, AMS; Kenneth Mathews, ERS; Claire Mezoughem, FAS; Dale Leuck, FSA. 

Poultry: Shayle Shagam, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: sshagam@oce.usda.gov 

Larry Haller, AMS; David Harvey, ERS; Claire Mezoughem, FAS; Milton Madison, FSA. 

Dairy: Shayle Shagam, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: sshagam@oce.usda.gov 

Uthra Raghunathan, AMS; Jerry Cessna, ERS; Paul Kiendl, FAS; Milton Madison, FSA. 

In 2015, the WASDE report will be released on Jan. 12, Feb. 10, Mar. 10, 

Apr. 9, May 12, Jun. 10, Jul. 10, Aug. 12, Sep. 11, Oct. 9, Nov. 10, Dec. 9.
WASDE-541-7 

T A B L E OF C O N T E N T S

Page

Highlights ............................................................................................................... 1 

Interagency Commodity Estimates Committees ..................................................... 6 

World & U.S. Supply & Use for Grains ................................................................... 8 

World & U.S. Supply & Use for Cotton ................................................................... 9 

World & U.S. Supply & Use for Oilseeds ............................................................. 10 

U.S. Wheat Supply & Use .................................................................................... 11 

U.S. Wheat Supply & Use by Class ..................................................................... 11 

U.S. Feed Grain & Corn Supply & Use ................................................................ 12 

U.S. Sorghum, Barley & Oats Supply & Use ........................................................ 13 

U.S. Rice Supply & Use ....................................................................................... 14 

U.S. Soybeans & Products Supply & Use ............................................................ 15 

U.S. Sugar Supply & Use ..................................................................................... 16 

Mexico Sugar Supply and Use ............................................................................. 16 

U.S. Cotton Supply & Use .................................................................................... 17 

World Wheat Supply & Use ................................................................................. 18 

World Coarse Grains Supply & Use ..................................................................... 20 

World Corn Supply & Use .................................................................................... 22 

World Rice Supply & Use..................................................................................... 24 

World Cotton Supply & Use ................................................................................. 26 

World Soybean Supply & Use .............................................................................. 28 

World Soybean Meal Supply & Use ..................................................................... 29 

World Soybean Oil Supply & Use ........................................................................ 30 

U.S. Quarterly Animal Product Production ........................................................... 31 

U.S. Quarterly Prices for Animal Products ........................................................... 31 

U.S. Meats Supply and Use ................................................................................. 32 

U.S. Egg Supply & Use ........................................................................................ 33 

U.S. Milk Supply and Use .................................................................................... 33 

U.S. Dairy Prices ................................................................................................. 34 

Reliability Tables ................................................................................................. 35 

Related USDA Reports ........................................................................................ 38 

Metric Conversion Factors ................................................................................... 38 

Electronic Access and Subscriptions ....................................................................... 40 
 

 

 

 

May 2015 

 

 

WASDE - 541 - 8 

 

 

World and U.S Supply and Use for Grains 1/ 

 

 

Million Metric Tons 

World Output

Total

Supply Trade 2/

Total

Use 3/

Ending

Stocks

 

Total Grains 4/ 2013/14 2476.07 2931.35 372.08 2423.27 508.08

2014/15 (Est.) 2486.92 2995.00 370.66 2467.80 527.20 filler filler filler filler filler

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 2478.35 3005.54 357.78 2486.28 519.26 filler filler filler filler filler

Wheat 2013/14 716.82 893.73 165.92 703.76 189.98

2014/15 (Est.) 726.45 916.43 163.70 715.46 200.97 filler filler filler filler filler

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 718.93 919.90 156.95 716.59 203.32 filler filler filler filler filler

Coarse Grains 5/ 2013/14 1281.36 1449.09 164.43 1238.30 210.78

2014/15 (Est.) 1284.78 1495.57 163.28 1267.76 227.81 filler filler filler filler filler

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 1277.31 1505.12 158.44 1280.71 224.41 filler filler filler filler filler

Rice, milled 2013/14 477.89 588.53 41.73 481.21 107.32

2014/15 (Est.) 475.69 583.01 43.68 484.59 98.41 filler filler filler filler filler

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 482.10 580.52 42.40 488.98 91.54 filler filler filler filler filler

 

United States Output Total

Supply Trade 2/ TotalUse 3/

Ending

Stocks

 

Total Grains 4/ 2013/14 431.31 484.09 89.42 343.27 51.40

2014/15 (Est.) 439.32 498.81 82.34 346.10 70.37 filler filler filler filler filler

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 426.58 504.67 85.63 348.96 70.08 filler filler filler filler filler

Wheat 2013/14 58.11 82.23 32.01 34.15 16.07

2014/15 (Est.) 55.13 75.28 23.41 32.57 19.31 filler filler filler filler filler

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 56.81 79.93 25.17 33.18 21.58 filler filler filler filler filler

Coarse Grains 5/ 2013/14 367.09 393.85 54.42 305.11 34.31

2014/15 (Est.) 377.12 414.68 55.58 309.41 49.69 filler filler filler filler filler

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 362.81 415.64 57.03 311.61 47.00 filler filler filler filler filler

Rice, milled 2013/14 6.12 8.01 2.99 4.00 1.03

2014/15 (Est.) 7.07 8.86 3.36 4.13 1.37 filler filler filler filler filler

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 6.95 9.10 3.43 4.17 1.50 filler filler filler filler filler

 

 

 

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Based on export estimate. See individual commodity tables for treatment of 

export/import imbalances. 3/ Total use for the United States is equal to domestic consumption only (excludes exports). 

 4/ Wheat, coarse grains, and milled rice. 5/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes 

millet and mixed grains). 

 

 

 
 

 

May 2015 

WASDE - 541 - 9 

 

World and U.S. Supply and Use for Grains, Continued 1/ 

 

Million Metric Tons 

 

Foreign 3/ Output

Total

Supply Trade 2/

Total

Use

Ending

Stocks

 

Total Grains 4/ 2013/14 2,044.76 2,447.26 282.66 2,080.00 456.68

2014/15 (Est.) 2,047.60 2,496.19 288.33 2,121.71 456.83 filler filler filler filler filler

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 2,051.77 2,500.88 272.15 2,137.32 449.18 filler filler filler filler filler

Wheat 2013/14 658.72 811.50 133.90 669.60 173.91

2014/15 (Est.) 671.32 841.15 140.30 682.89 181.67 filler filler filler filler filler

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 662.12 839.97 131.77 683.41 181.74 filler filler filler filler filler

Coarse Grains 5/ 2013/14 914.27 1,055.24 110.01 933.19 176.47

2014/15 (Est.) 907.66 1,080.89 107.70 958.35 178.12 filler filler filler filler filler

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 914.50 1,089.49 101.41 969.10 177.41 filler filler filler filler filler

Rice, milled 2013/14 471.77 580.52 38.74 477.21 106.30

2014/15 (Est.) 468.62 574.15 40.32 480.47 97.04 filler filler filler filler filler

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 475.15 571.42 38.97 484.81 90.03 filler filler filler filler filler

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Based on export estimate. See individual commodity tables for treatment of 

export/import imbalances. 3/ Total foreign is equal to world minus United States. 4/ Wheat, coarse grains, and milled rice. 

5/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains. 

World and U.S. Supply and Use for Cotton 1/ 

 

Million 480-lb. Bales 

 

Output

Total

Supply Trade 2/

Total

Use 3/

Ending

Stocks

 

World 2013/14 120.43 210.91 40.02 109.05 102.43

2014/15 (Est.) 119.28 221.71 33.81 111.45 110.25

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 111.25 221.51 33.66 115.29 106.29

United States 2013/14 12.91 16.72 10.53 3.55 2.45

2014/15 (Est.) 16.32 18.78 10.70 3.65 4.40

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 14.50 18.91 10.70 3.80 4.40

Foreign 4/ 2013/14 107.52 194.19 29.49 105.50 99.98

2014/15 (Est.) 102.96 202.93 23.11 107.80 105.85

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 96.75 202.60 22.96 111.49 101.89 

1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. 2/ Based on export estimate. 3/ Includes mill use only. 4/ Total Foreign is equal to 

world minus United States. See global cotton tables for treatment of export/import imbalances. * Planted area based on March 

31 Prospective Plantings. Harvested area based on the previous 10-year average abandonment by region, with the Southwest 

estimated at 15 percent due to favorable moisture. Yield per harvested acre based on the previous 3-year average by region, 

with the Southwest adjusted to the 10-year average.

 

 
 

 

May 2015 

WASDE - 541 - 10 

 

World and U.S. Supply and Use for Oilseeds 1/ 

 

(Million Metric Tons) 

 

World Output

Total

Supply Trade

Total

Use 2/

Ending

Stocks

 

Oilseeds 2013/14 505.71 574.01 133.72 418.85 78.16

2014/15 (Est.) 534.67 612.83 137.24 432.60 99.10

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 531.16 630.26 140.67 442.65 107.43

Oilmeals 2013/14 282.09 293.33 82.01 276.83 12.88

2014/15 (Est.) 294.40 307.27 85.90 288.64 13.50

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 302.25 315.76 88.91 298.57 12.99

Vegetable Oils 2013/14 171.31 189.09 70.02 166.88 18.69

2014/15 (Est.) 175.09 193.78 70.41 173.53 17.14

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 181.12 198.26 73.22 179.72 15.79

United States Output

 Total

Supply Trade

 Total

/Use 2

 Ending

Stocks

 

Oilseeds 2013/14 99.02 107.95 45.79 51.47 3.95

2014/15 (Est.) 117.17 122.97 50.03 53.38 10.95

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 114.08 126.88 49.31 54.10 15.11

Oilmeals 2013/14 39.41 43.48 10.78 32.41 0.29

2014/15 (Est.) 41.88 45.95 11.90 33.72 0.34

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 41.89 45.98 10.96 34.69 0.34

Vegetable Oils 2013/14 10.44 15.62 1.12 13.53 0.98

2014/15 (Est.) 10.68 15.66 1.12 13.56 0.98

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 10.96 16.03 1.22 13.78 1.03 filler filler filler filler filler

Foreign 3/ Output

 Total

plySup Trade

 Total

/Use 2

 Ending

Stocks

 

Oilseeds 2013/14 406.69 466.06 87.93 367.38 74.21

2014/15 (Est.) 417.50 489.86 87.21 379.23 88.15

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 417.08 503.38 91.36 388.55 92.32

Oilmeals 2013/14 242.68 249.86 71.23 244.43 12.58

2014/15 (Est.) 252.51 261.32 74.00 254.93 13.17

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 260.37 269.78 77.95 263.88 12.65

Vegetable Oils 2013/14 160.87 173.47 68.90 153.35 17.72

2014/15 (Est.) 164.41 178.13 69.29 159.97 16.16

2015/16 (Proj.) Apr NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 (Proj.) May 170.16 182.23 72.00 165.94 14.76 

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years with Brazil and Argentina on an Oct.-Sept. year. 2/ Crush only for oilseeds. 3/ Total 

Foreign is equal to World minus United States.

 

 

 

 
 

 

 

May 2015

WASDE - 541 - 11 

 

U.S. Wheat Supply and Use 1/ 

 

2013/14 2014/15 Est. 2015/16 Proj. 2015/16 Proj. 

 Apr May

 Million Acres

Area Planted 56.2 56.8 NA 55.4 *

Area Harvested 45.3 46.4 NA 48.0 *

 Bushels

Yield per Harvested Acre 47.1 43.7 NA 43.5 *

 Million Bushels

Beginning Stocks 718 590 NA 709

Production 2,135 2,026 NA 2,087

Imports 169 150 NA 140

 Supply, Total 3,021 2,766 NA 2,937

Food 955 960 NA 967

Seed 77 77 NA 72

Feed and Residual 223 160 NA 180

 Domestic, Total 1,255 1,197 NA 1,219

Exports 1,176 860 NA 925

 Use, Total 2,431 2,057 NA 2,144

Ending Stocks 590 709 NA 793

Avg. Farm Price ($/bu) 2/ 6.87 6.00 NA 4.50 - 5.50

 

 

 

U.S. Wheat by Class: Supply and Use

 

 

Year beginning June 1 Hard Red

Winter

Hard Red

Spring

Soft Red

Winter White Durum Total

 Million Bushels 

2014/15 (Est.) Beginning Stocks 237 169 113 50 22 590

Production 738 556 455 224 53 2,026

 Supply, Total 3/ 985 795 583 284 120 2,766

 Domestic Use 435 313 275 100 74 1,197

Exports 270 280 135 145 30 860

 Use, Total 705 593 410 245 104 2,057

Ending Stocks, Total May 280 202 174 38 16 709

Ending Stocks, Total Apr 272 190 169 38 16 684

 

 

 

Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning June 1. 2/ Marketing-year weighted average price 

received by farmers. 3/ Includes imports. * Planted acres reported in the March 31, 2015, "Prospective Plantings." Harvested

acres and yield for other spring wheat and Durum are projected using 10-year harvested-to-planted ratios by state and 1985-

2014 yield trends by state (except for Arizona, California, and Idaho Durum). Winter wheat harvested acres and yield 

reported in the May 12, 2015,"Crop Production." 

 ****************************************************************************** 

 

 Wheat-by-class projections for 2015/16 will first be published in the July 10, 2015, WASDE. 

 ****************************************************************************** 
 

 

May 2015

WASDE - 541 - 12

U.S. Feed Grain and Corn Supply and Use 1/

FEED GRAINS 2013/14 2014/15 Est. 2015/16 Proj. 2015/16 Proj.

 Apr May

 Million Acres

Area Planted 109.9 103.4 NA 103.3 *

Area Harvested 98.1 93.0 NA 92.3 *

 Metric Tons

Yield per Harvested Acre 3.74 4.05 NA 3.93

 Million Metric Tons

Beginning Stocks 23.5 34.3 NA 49.7

Production 366.9 376.9 NA 362.6

Imports 3.0 3.0 NA 2.9

 Supply, Total 393.4 414.3 NA 415.2

Feed and Residual 133.3 137.9 NA 139.7

Food, Seed & Industrial 171.4 171.1 NA 171.5

 Domestic, Total 304.7 309.0 NA 311.2

Exports 54.4 55.6 NA 57.0

 Use, Total 359.1 364.6 NA 368.2

Ending Stocks 34.3 49.7 NA 47.0

 

CORN

14/2013 .Est 15/2014 .Proj 16/2015 .Proj 16/2015

 April May

 Million Acres

Area Planted 95.4 90.6 NA 89.2 *

Area Harvested 87.5 83.1 NA 81.7 *

 Bushels

Yield per Harvested Acre 158.1 171.0 NA 166.8 *

 Million Bushels

Beginning Stocks 821 1,232 NA 1,851

Production 13,829 14,216 NA 13,630

Imports 36 25 NA 25

 Supply, Total 14,686 15,472 NA 15,506

Feed and Residual 5,034 5,250 NA 5,300

Food, Seed & Industrial 2/ 6,503 6,547 NA 6,560

 Ethanol & by-products 3/ 5,134 5,200 NA 5,200

 Domestic, Total 11,537 11,797 NA 11,860

Exports 1,917 1,825 NA 1,900

 Use, Total 13,454 13,622 NA 13,760

Ending Stocks 1,232 1,851 NA 1,746

Avg. Farm Price ($/bu) 4/ 4.46 3.55 - 3.75 NA 3.20 - 3.80

 

Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for corn and sorghum; June 1 for 

barley and oats. 2/ For a breakout of FSI corn uses, see Feed Outlook table 5 or access the data on the Web through the Feed

Grains Database at www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/feed-grains-database.aspx. 3/ Corn processed in ethanol plants to 

produce ethanol and by-products including distillers' grains, corn gluten feed, corn gluten meal, and corn oil. 4/ Marketingyear weighted average price received by farmers. * Planted acres reported in the March 31, 2015, "Prospective Plantings." 

For corn, harvested acres projected based on historical abandonment and use for silage. Projected yield based on a weather 

adjusted trend model that assumes normal mid-May planting progress and summer weather. The trend yield is not adjusted 

for this year's rapid planting pace as more than 90 percent of yield variability is determined by July weather. (For an 

explanation of the yield trend model see Westcott and Jewison, Weather Effects on Expected Corn and Soybean Yields, 

USDA-ERS, Feed Outlook No. (FDS-13G-01), July 2013, www.ers.usda.gov/publications/fds-feed-outlook/fds-13g01.aspx.)

 

 
 

 

May 2015

WASDE - 541 - 13

U.S. Sorghum, Barley, and Oats Supply and Use 1/

SORGHUM 2013/14 2014/15 Est. 2015/16 Proj. 2015/16 Proj.

 Apr May

 Million Bushels Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler

Area Planted (mil. acres) 8.1 7.1 NA 7.9 *

Area Harvested (mil. acres) 6.6 6.4 NA 6.7 *

Yield (bushels/acre) 59.6 67.6 NA 64.9 *

Beginning Stocks 15 34 NA 17

Production 392 433 NA 435

Imports 0 0 NA 0

 Supply, Total 408 467 NA 452

Feed and Residual 92 85 NA 85

Food, Seed & Industrial 70 15 NA 15

 Total Domestic 162 100 NA 100

Exports 212 350 NA 335

 Use, Total 374 450 NA 435

Ending Stocks 34 17 NA 17

Avg. Farm Price ($/bu) 2/ 4.28 3.90 - 4.10 NA 3.40 - 4.20 Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler

BARLEY 14/2013 .Est 15/2014 .Proj 16/2015 .Proj 16/2015

 April May

Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler

Area Planted (mil. acres) 3.5 3.0 NA 3.3 *

Area Harvested (mil. acres) 3.0 2.4 NA 2.8 *

Yield (bushels/acre) 71.3 72.4 NA 70.7 *

Beginning Stocks 80 82 NA 78

Production 217 177 NA 198

Imports 19 24 NA 25

 Supply, Total 316 283 NA 301

Feed and Residual 65 40 NA 60

Food, Seed & Industrial 155 152 NA 153

 Total Domestic 219 192 NA 213

Exports 14 14 NA 10

 Use, Total 234 205 NA 223

Ending Stocks 82 78 NA 78

Avg. Farm Price ($/bu) 2/ 6.06 5.30 NA 4.10 - 4.90 Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler

OATS 14/2013 .Est 15/2014 .Proj 16/2015 .Proj 16/2015

 April May

Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler

Area Planted (mil. acres) 3.0 2.7 NA 2.9 *

Area Harvested (mil. acres) 1.0 1.0 NA 1.1 *

Yield (bushels/acre) 64.1 67.7 NA 65.5 *

Beginning Stocks 36 25 NA 38

Production 65 70 NA 72

Imports 97 107 NA 100

 Supply, Total 198 201 NA 210

Feed and Residual 97 85 NA 95

Food, Seed & Industrial 75 77 NA 77

 Total Domestic 172 162 NA 172

Exports 2 2 NA 2

 Use, Total 173 164 NA 174

Ending Stocks 25 38 NA 36

Avg. Farm Price ($/bu) 2/ 3.75 3.20 NA 2.00 - 2.60 Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler

Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for sorghum; June 1 for barley and 

oats. 2/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. * Planted acres reported in the March 31, 2015, 

"Prospective Plantings." Harvested area - For sorghum, harvested acres are based on the 10-year Olympic average 

harvested-to-planted ratio, 2005-2014. For barley and oats, harvested acres are based on the 5-year average harvested-toplanted ratios, 2010-2014. Yield - For sorghum the projected yield is based on the average for 1990-2014 excluding years 

that are more than 1 standard deviation from the mean for the period. For barley and oats, projected yields are based on the 

1990-2014 trends. Yields shown reflect production rounding. 

 
 

 

 

May 2015 

 

 

WASDE - 541 - 14 

 

 

U.S. Rice Supply and Use 1/ 

 

 

 (Rough Equivalent of Rough and Milled Rice) 

 

 

TOTAL RICE 2013/14 2014/15 Est. 2015/16 Proj. 2015/16 Proj.

 Apr May

 Million Acres

Area Planted 2.49 2.94 NA 2.92 *

Area Harvested 2.47 2.92 NA 2.90 * Filler

 Pounds

Yield per Harvested Acre 7,694 7,572 NA 7,562 *

 Million Hundredweight

 Beginning Stocks 2/ 36.4 31.8 NA 42.9

 Production 190.0 221.0 NA 219.0

 Imports 23.1 24.0 NA 24.5

 Supply, Total 249.5 276.9 NA 286.4

 Domestic & Residual 3/ 124.9 129.0 NA 131.0

 Exports, Total 4/ 92.7 105.0 NA 108.0

 Rough 28.6 36.0 NA 36.0

 Milled (rough equiv.) 64.1 69.0 NA 72.0

 Use, Total 217.6 234.0 NA 239.0

 Ending Stocks 31.8 42.9 NA 47.4

Avg. Milling Yield (%) 5/ 71.00 70.50 NA 70.00

Avg. Farm Price ($/cwt) 6/ 16.30 13.20 - 13.60 NA 12.30 - 13.30 Total

 

LONG-GRAIN RICE

14/2013 .Est 15/2014 .Proj 16/2015 .Proj 16/2015

 April May

 Harvested Acres (mil.) 1.77 2.19 

 Yield (pounds/acre) 7,464 7,408 

 Beginning Stocks 21.9 16.2 NA 28.1

 Production 131.9 162.4 NA 162.0

 Supply, Total 7/ 173.3 199.1 NA 211.1

 Domestic & Residual 3/ 95.3 98.0 NA 101.0

 Exports 8/ 61.8 73.0 NA 76.0

 Use, Total 157.1 171.0 NA 177.0

 Ending Stocks 16.2 28.1 NA 34.1

 Avg. Farm Price ($/cwt) 6/ 15.40 11.80 - 12.20 NA 10.00 - 11.00 Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler

 

 

MEDIUM & SHORT-GRAIN RICE

14/2013 .Est 15/2014 .Proj 16/2015 .Proj 16/2015

 April May

 Harvested Acres (mil.) 0.70 0.73 

 Yield (pounds/acre) 8,270 8,068 

 Beginning Stocks 12.2 13.3 NA 12.5

 Production 58.1 58.7 NA 57.0

 Supply, Total 7/ 73.8 75.5 NA 73.0

 Domestic & Residual 3/ 29.6 31.0 NA 30.0

 Exports 8/ 30.9 32.0 NA 32.0

 Use, Total 60.5 63.0 NA 62.0

 Ending Stocks 13.3 12.5 NA 11.0

 Avg. Farm Price ($/cwt) 1/ 6/ 9/ 19.20 17.80 - 18.20 NA 17.80 - 18.80

 California 10/ 20.70 19.80 - 20.20 NA 20.00 - 21.00

 Other States 1/ 15.70 14.80 - 15.20 NA 14.50 - 15.50 Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler

 

Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. 2/ Includes the following quantities of broken kernel rice (type undetermined) not included in estimates of beginning stocks by type (in 

mil. cwt): 2013/14-2.3; 2014/15-2.3; 2015/16-2.3. 3/ Residual includes unreported use, processing losses, and estimating errors. Use by type may not add to total rice use because of the difference in brokens between 

beginning and ending stocks. 4/ Includes rough rice and milled rice exports. Milled rice exports are converted to an equivalent rough basis. 5/ Expressed as a percent, i.e., the total quantity of whole kernel and broken rice 

produced divided by the quantity of rough rice milled. The 2013/14 and 2014/15 milling yield is based on the Farm Service Agency (FSA) warehouse stored loan data for long, medium, and short grain rice. The 2015/16 

milling yield is calculated using the previous five-year Olympic average-- 2010/11-2014/15. 6/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. 7/ Includes imports. 8/ Exports by type of rice are estimated. 9/ 

The medium/short-grain season-average- farm price (SAFP) largely reflects rice that is marketed through price pools in California. The pool price is not final until all the rice in the pool is marketed for the crop year. 

Therefore, SAFP forecasts based on the average of NASS monthly prices and the final price may differ. For example, the average difference between the August WASDE SAFP forecast and the final price has averaged 

$1.65 per cwt from 2008/09-2013/14, with a high of $3.50 per cwt in 2008/09 and a low of $0.60 per cwt in 2009/10. 10/ Marketing year beginning October 1. * Planted acres reported in March 31, 2015, "Prospective 

Plantings." Harvested acres are estimated using the average harvested-to-planted ratios by rice class, 2010-2014. Projected yield is based on linear trend analysis by rice class for the period 1990/91 to 2014/15. 

 
 

 

May 2015 

 

WASDE - 541 - 15 

 

U.S. Soybeans and Products Supply and Use (Domestic Measure) 1/ 

SOYBEANS 2013/14 2014/15 Est. 2015/16 Proj. 2015/16 Proj.

 Apr May Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler

 Million Acres

Area Planted 76.8 83.7 NA 84.6 *

Area Harvested 76.3 83.1 NA 83.7 * Filler

 Bushels

Yield per Harvested Acre 44.0 47.8 NA 46.0 *

 Million Bushels

Beginning Stocks 141 92 NA 350

Production 3,358 3,969 NA 3,850

Imports 72 30 NA 30

 Supply, Total 3,570 4,091 NA 4,230

Crushings 1,734 1,805 NA 1,825

Exports 1,647 1,800 NA 1,775

Seed 97 98 NA 92

Residual 0 38 NA 38

 Use, Total 3,478 3,741 NA 3,729

Ending Stocks 92 350 NA 500

Avg. Farm Price ($/bu) 2/ 13.00 10.05 NA 8.25 - 9.75 Total

 

 

 

SOYBEAN OIL

14/2013 .Est 15/2014 .Proj 16/2015 .Proj 16/2015

 April May

Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler

 Million Pounds

Beginning Stocks 1,705 1,165 NA 1,240

Production 4/ 20,130 20,625 NA 21,095

Imports 165 200 NA 175

 Supply, Total 22,000 21,990 NA 22,510

Domestic Disappearance 18,958 18,850 NA 19,100

 Biodiesel 3/ 5,010 4,800 NA 5,000

 Food, Feed & other Industrial 13,949 14,050 NA 14,100

Exports 1,877 1,900 NA 2,000

 Use, Total 20,835 20,750 NA 21,100

Ending stocks 1,165 1,240 NA 1,410

Avg. Price (c/lb) 2/ 38.23 32.00 NA 29.50 - 32.50 Total

 

 

 

SOYBEAN MEAL

14/2013 .Est 15/2014 .Proj 16/2015 .Proj 16/2015

 April May

Filler 1 2 3 4

 Thousand Short Tons

Beginning Stocks 275 250 NA 300

Production 4/ 40,685 43,400 NA 43,325

Imports 336 350 NA 325

 Supply, Total 41,296 44,000 NA 43,950

Domestic Disappearance 29,496 30,900 NA 31,900

Exports 11,550 12,800 NA 11,750

 Use, Total 41,046 43,700 NA 43,650

Ending Stocks 250 300 NA 300

Avg. Price ($/s.t.) 2/ 489.94 365.00 NA 305.00 - 345.00 Total

 

 

 

Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. Reliability calculations at end of report. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for soybeans; October 1 for soybean 

oil and soybean meal. 2/ Prices: soybeans, marketing year weighted average price received by farmers; oil, simple average of crude soybean oil, Decatur; meal, 

simple average of 48 percent protein, Decatur. 3/ Reflects only biodiesel made from methyl ester as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration. 4/ 

Based on an October year crush of 1,825 million bushels for 2014/15 and 1,825 million bushels for 2015/16. *Planted acres are reported in the March 31, 2015, 

“Prospective Plantings.” Harvested acres are based on the 5-year average harvested-to-planted ratio. The projected yield is based on a weather adjusted trend 

model and assumes normal summer weather. (See Westcott and Jewison, Weather Effects on Expected Corn and Soybean Yields, USDA-ERS, Feed Outlook No. 

(FDS-13G-01), July 2013, www.ers.usda.gov/publications/fds-feed-outlook/fds-13g-01.aspx.) 
 

 

 

May 2015 

WASDE - 541 - 16 

 

 

U.S. Sugar Supply and Use 1/ 

 

2013/14 2014/15 Est. 2014/15 Est. 2015/16 Proj.

Apr May May Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler

 1,000 Short Tons, Raw Value

Beginning Stocks 2,158 1,810 1,810 1,607

Production 2/ 8,462 8,645 8,527 8,450

 Beet Sugar 4,794 4,870 4,762 4,770

 Cane Sugar 3,667 3,775 3,765 3,680

 Florida 1,763 1,950 1,975 1,825

 Hawaii 168 180 180 190

 Louisiana 1,591 1,520 1,520 1,535

 Texas 145 125 90 130

Imports 3,742 3,464 3,464 3,810

 TRQ 3/ 1,302 1,528 1,528 1,369

 Other Program 4/ 305 400 400 315

 Other 5/ 2,135 1,536 1,536 2,126

 Mexico 2,130 1,526 1,526 2,116

 Total Supply 14,361 13,919 13,801 13,867

 

Exports 306 225 200 200

Deliveries 12,246 11,994 11,994 12,120

 Food 6/ 11,819 11,859 11,859 11,985

 Other 7/ 427 135 135 135

Miscellaneous 0000

 Total Use 12,552 12,219 12,194 12,320

Ending Stocks 1,810 1,700 1,607 1,547

Stocks to Use Ratio 14.4 13.9 13.2 12.6 Total

 

1/ Fiscal years beginning Oct 1. Historical data are from FSA "Sweetener Market Data" (SMD). 2/ Production projections for 

2013/14 and 2014/15 are based on Crop Production and processor projections where appropriate. 3/ For 2015/16, WTO raw sugar 

TRQ shortfall (99). For 2014/15, WTO raw sugar TRQ shortfall (99). 4/ Includes sugar under the re-export and polyhydric 

alcohol programs. 5/ For 2013/14, other high-tier (5) and other (0). For 2014/15, other high-tier (10) and other (0). For 2015/16, 

other high-tier (10) and other (0). 6/Combines SMD deliveries for domestic human food use and SMD miscellaneous uses. 7/ 

Transfers to sugar-containing products for reexport, and for nonedible alcohol, feed, and ethanol. 

Mexico Sugar Supply and Use and High Fructose Corn Syrup Imports 1/

 

 

Beginning 

Stocks Production Imports Domestic 2/ Exports

Ending

Stocks

Sugar 1,000 Metric Tons, Actual Weight 

2014/15 Est. Apr 831 6,050 174 4,574 1,506 975

2014/15 Est. May 831 6,000 155 4,574 1,506 907

 

2015/16 Proj. Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

2015/16 Proj. May 907 6,000 155 4,574 1,821 668

 

 

1/ HFCS imports by Mexico (1,000 metric tons, dry basis): Oct-Sep 2013/14 = 913, Oct-Mar 2013/14 = 428, Oct-Mar 2014/15 = 

444 . Footnote source: Comite Nacional para el Desarollo Sustentable de la Cana de Azucar. 2/Includes domestic consumption, 

Mexico's products export program (IMMEX), and any residual statistical discrepancies. IMMEX: 2014/15 (324 est), 2015/16 

(324 proj). Statistical Adjustment: 2014/15 (0), 2015/16 (0). 
 

 

May 2015 

 

WASDE - 541 - 17 

U.S. Cotton Supply and Use 1/ 

 

2013/14 2014/15 Est. 2015/16 Proj. 2015/16 Proj.

 Apr May Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler

Area Million Acres

 Planted 10.41 11.04 NA 9.55 *

 Harvested 7.54 9.35 NA 8.60 * Filler

 Pounds

Yield per Harvested Acre 821 838 NA 809 *

 Million 480 Pound Bales

Beginning Stocks 3.80 2.45 NA 4.40

Production 12.91 16.32 NA 14.50

Imports 0.01 0.01 NA 0.01

 Supply, Total 16.72 18.78 NA 18.91

Domestic Use 3.55 3.65 NA 3.80

Exports, Total 10.53 10.70 NA 10.70

 Use, Total 14.08 14.35 NA 14.50

Unaccounted 2/ 0.19 0.03 NA 0.01

Ending Stocks 2.45 4.40 NA 4.40

Avg. Farm Price 3/ 77.9 60.0 NA 50.0 - 70.0 Total

 

 

 

Note: Reliability calculations at end of report. 1/ Upland and extra-long staple; marketing year beginning August 1. 

Totals may not add due to rounding. 2/ Reflects the difference between the previous season's supply less total use and 

ending stocks. 3/ Cents per pound for upland cotton. *Planted area from March 31 Prospective Plantings. Harvested 

area based on the previous 10-year average abandonment by region, with the Southwest estimated at 15 percent due to 

favorable moisture. Yield per harvested acre based on the previous 3-year average yields by region, with the 

Southwest adjusted to the 10-year average.

 

 
 

 

May 2015 

WASDE - 541 - 18 

 

World Wheat Supply and Use 1/ 

 

(Million Metric Tons) 

2013/14 Beginning

Stocks Production Imports

Domestic

Feed

Domestic

Total 2/ Exports

Ending

Stocks

World 3/ 176.91 716.82 158.21 132.22 703.76 165.92 189.98

United States 19.54 58.11 4.59 6.06 34.15 32.01 16.07

Total Foreign 157.37 658.72 153.62 126.16 669.60 133.90 173.91

 Major Exporters 4/ 20.83 219.37 4.58 57.40 139.51 76.17 29.10

 Argentina 0.29 10.50 0.00 0.10 6.05 2.25 2.49

 Australia 4.67 26.93 0.15 3.60 6.95 18.62 6.19

 Canada 5.05 37.53 0.45 4.20 9.41 23.27 10.35

 European Union 5/ 10.82 144.42 3.97 49.50 117.10 32.03 10.07

 Major Importers 6/ 83.60 194.10 87.36 33.30 264.91 5.19 94.97

 Brazil 1.00 5.30 7.07 0.60 11.40 0.08 1.89

 China 53.96 121.93 6.77 21.00 121.50 0.89 60.27

 Sel. Mideast 7/ 8.93 18.96 20.69 4.92 36.10 0.49 11.99

 N. Africa 8/ 11.49 19.72 25.27 2.68 42.42 0.50 13.55

 Pakistan 2.62 24.00 0.40 0.60 24.10 0.75 2.17

 Southeast Asia 9/ 3.78 0.00 16.41 2.46 15.86 0.89 3.45

 Selected Other 0.00

 India 24.20 93.51 0.03 4.80 93.85 6.05 17.83

 FSU-12 13.92 103.87 7.41 22.75 72.98 37.15 15.08

 Russia 4.95 52.09 0.80 12.50 34.10 18.57 5.18

 Kazakhstan 2.94 13.94 0.01 2.00 6.80 8.10 1.99

 Ukraine 2.58 22.28 0.07 3.40 11.50 9.76 3.67

2014/15 Est. Beginning

Stocks ctionProdu Imports

 Domestic

Feed

 Domestic

/Total 2 Exports

 Ending

Stocks

World 3/ 189.98 726.45 159.97 141.37 715.46 163.70 200.97

United States 16.07 55.13 4.08 4.35 32.57 23.41 19.31

Total Foreign 173.91 671.32 155.89 137.02 682.89 140.30 181.67

 Major Exporters 4/ 29.10 222.25 6.47 64.60 147.98 80.50 29.34

 Argentina 2.49 12.50 0.04 0.30 6.35 5.50 3.18

 Australia 6.19 24.00 0.15 3.80 7.20 17.00 6.14

 Canada 10.35 29.30 0.48 6.00 11.33 23.50 5.30

 European Union 5/ 10.07 156.45 5.80 54.50 123.10 34.50 14.72

 Major Importers 6/ 94.97 196.51 85.24 36.13 269.88 8.24 98.60

 Brazil 1.89 6.00 6.40 0.30 11.30 1.80 1.19

 China 60.27 126.17 1.50 23.00 124.00 1.00 62.94

 Sel. Mideast 7/ 11.99 17.42 22.84 5.05 36.56 1.53 14.15

 N. Africa 8/ 13.55 16.90 24.65 2.28 42.70 0.55 11.85

 Pakistan 2.17 25.50 0.75 1.00 24.50 0.70 3.22

 Southeast Asia 9/ 3.45 0.00 18.70 3.81 17.77 0.89 3.49

 Selected Other 0.00

 India 17.83 95.85 0.05 4.50 93.83 3.40 16.50

 FSU-12 15.08 112.73 7.71 24.63 75.93 39.56 20.04

 Russia 5.18 59.08 0.35 13.00 35.50 21.50 7.61

 Kazakhstan 1.99 13.00 0.60 2.00 6.80 6.00 2.78

 Ukraine 3.67 24.75 0.05 4.00 12.00 11.50 4.97

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and

exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting 

discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and the European Union. 5/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 6/ 

Brazil, China, Japan, Mexico, N. Africa, Pakistan, selected Middle East, and Southeast Asia. 7/ Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, Israel, 

Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, United Arab Emirates, and Oman. 8/ Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, and Tunisia. 9/ 

Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. 

 

 
 

 

May 2015 

WASDE - 541 - 19 

World Wheat Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.)

(Million Metric Tons) 

2015/16 Proj. Beginning

Stocks Production Imports

Domestic

Feed

Domestic

Total 2/ Exports

Ending

Stocks

 

World 3/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 200.97 718.93 153.61 136.06 716.59 156.95 203.32

United States Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 19.31 56.81 3.81 4.90 33.18 25.17 21.58

Total Foreign Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 181.67 662.12 149.80 131.16 683.41 131.77 181.74

 Major Exporters 4/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 29.34 217.29 5.64 63.00 146.68 78.70 26.89

 Argentina Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 3.18 12.00 0.03 0.10 6.15 7.20 1.86

 Australia Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 6.14 26.00 0.15 3.90 7.33 18.50 6.46

 Canada Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 5.30 29.00 0.46 4.50 9.70 20.50 4.56

 European Union 5/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 14.72 150.29 5.00 54.50 123.50 32.50 14.01

 Major Importers 6/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 98.60 203.80 81.75 32.82 269.40 6.84 107.91

 Brazil Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1.19 6.50 6.50 0.60 11.60 1.00 1.59

 China Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 62.94 130.00 1.20 20.00 121.50 1.00 71.64

 Sel. Mideast 7/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 14.15 17.89 21.05 4.55 37.00 0.83 15.26

 N. Africa 8/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 11.85 19.91 24.10 2.68 43.93 0.55 11.39

 Pakistan Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 3.22 25.00 0.10 1.00 24.60 1.00 2.72

 Southeast Asia 9/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 3.49 0.00 18.60 3.34 17.63 0.89 3.58

 Selected Other 

 India Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 16.50 90.00 0.50 4.80 94.60 0.50 11.90

 FSU-12 Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 20.04 103.38 7.27 23.13 75.44 36.91 18.34

 Russia Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 7.61 53.50 0.35 12.50 35.50 20.00 5.96

 Kazakhstan Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 2.78 12.50 0.40 2.00 6.80 6.00 2.88

 Ukraine Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 4.97 22.00 0.05 3.50 11.70 10.50 4.82

 

 

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and

exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting 

discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and the European Union. 5/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 6/ 

Brazil, China, Japan, Mexico, N. Africa, Pakistan, selected Middle East, and Southeast Asia. 7/ Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, Israel, 

Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, United Arab Emirates, and Oman. 8/ Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, and Tunisia. 9/ 

Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. 

 

 

 
 

 

May 2015 

WASDE - 541 - 20 

 

 

World Coarse Grain Supply and Use 1/ 

 

 

(Million Metric Tons) 

 

 

2013/14 Beginning

Stocks Production Imports

Domestic

Feed

Domestic

Total 2/ Exports

Ending

Stocks

 

World 3/ 167.72 1,281.36 155.94 736.20 1,238.30 164.43 210.78

United States 23.53 367.09 3.23 133.47 305.11 54.42 34.31

Total Foreign 144.19 914.27 152.71 602.73 933.19 110.01 176.47

 Major Exporters 4/ 21.81 175.04 1.76 81.41 111.55 56.49 30.56

 Argentina 2.47 35.67 0.00 8.74 13.60 21.27 3.27

 Australia 0.85 12.45 0.00 3.69 5.36 6.92 1.02

 Brazil 14.56 82.60 1.11 48.28 58.03 20.98 19.26

 Canada 3.08 28.75 0.54 15.19 22.45 5.29 4.63

 Major Importers 5/ 33.82 250.19 112.99 258.47 341.03 10.97 45.00

 European Union 6/ 13.08 159.02 16.24 122.36 164.11 8.63 15.61

 Japan 0.98 0.19 17.50 12.78 17.64 0.00 1.03

 Mexico 1.63 32.02 11.32 23.62 40.89 0.50 3.58

 N. Afr & Mideast 7/ 10.24 31.49 30.66 50.43 57.99 0.30 14.10

 Saudi Arabia 3.39 0.36 11.69 10.53 10.95 0.00 4.49

 Southeast Asia 8/ 2.83 26.84 10.73 26.86 34.96 1.54 3.90

 South Korea 1.29 0.20 10.50 7.80 10.11 0.00 1.88

 Selected Other 0.00

 China 68.38 225.07 12.45 161.78 227.60 0.03 78.26

 FSU-12 5.04 87.63 0.80 40.07 55.93 30.85 6.67

 Russia 1.38 35.74 0.26 18.90 28.62 6.95 1.80

 Ukraine 2.33 39.92 0.08 12.32 16.23 22.77 3.34 

2014/15 Est. Beginning

Stocks Production Imports

 Domestic

Feed

 Domestic

/Total 2 Exports

 Ending

Stocks

 

World 3/ 210.78 1,284.78 156.07 762.51 1,267.76 163.28 227.81

United States 34.31 377.12 3.24 138.07 309.41 55.58 49.69

Total Foreign 176.47 907.66 152.83 624.44 958.35 107.70 178.12

 Major Exporters 4/ 30.56 157.88 2.80 81.90 112.39 52.62 26.23

 Argentina 3.27 32.02 0.01 9.17 14.43 18.01 2.85

 Australia 1.02 11.54 0.00 3.41 5.09 6.63 0.84

 Brazil 19.26 80.60 1.13 50.20 59.93 23.54 17.52

 Canada 4.63 21.92 1.56 13.80 21.15 3.70 3.25

 Major Importers 5/ 45.00 255.92 104.56 261.67 345.36 13.30 46.82

 European Union 6/ 15.61 168.28 8.28 120.78 163.07 11.90 17.20

 Japan 1.03 0.17 17.79 13.08 17.94 0.00 1.05

 Mexico 3.58 31.94 10.30 24.42 41.94 0.51 3.38

 N. Afr & Mideast 7/ 14.10 26.88 32.51 51.48 59.44 0.11 13.93

 Saudi Arabia 4.49 0.36 11.65 11.45 11.93 0.00 4.57

 Southeast Asia 8/ 3.90 27.97 10.04 28.29 36.29 0.80 4.82

 South Korea 1.88 0.21 9.69 8.05 10.32 0.00 1.46

 Selected Other 0.00

 China 78.26 222.17 19.65 173.10 239.15 0.05 80.88

 FSU-12 6.67 91.45 0.84 43.73 59.99 31.07 7.90

 Russia 1.80 40.39 0.16 21.78 32.14 7.61 2.59

 Ukraine 3.34 39.35 0.06 12.65 16.39 22.69 3.66 

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. Coarse grains include corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes 

millet and mixed grains). 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World 

imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 

4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, Brazil, and South Africa. 5/ The European Union, Mexico, Japan, selected North Africa and Middle East,

South Korea, Southeast Asia, and Taiwan. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Syria, 

Tunisia, and Turkey. 8/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam.

 

 

 
 

 

 

May 2015 

 

WASDE - 541 - 21 

 

 

World Coarse Grain Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.) 

 

 

(Million Metric Tons) 

2015/16 Proj. Beginning

Stocks Production Imports

Domestic

Feed

Domestic

Total 2/ Exports

Ending

Stocks

 

World 3/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 227.81 1,277.31 155.20 774.93 1,280.71 158.44 224.41

United States Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 49.69 362.81 3.13 139.91 311.61 57.03 47.00

Total Foreign Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 178.12 914.50 152.07 635.02 969.10 101.41 177.41

 Major Exporters 4/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 26.23 161.52 2.85 85.76 116.35 53.37 20.88

 Argentina Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 2.85 33.75 0.01 9.58 15.04 19.31 2.26

 Australia Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.84 12.28 0.00 3.89 5.57 6.73 0.83

 Brazil Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 17.52 77.58 1.20 52.09 61.84 22.02 12.44

 Canada Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 3.25 23.85 1.54 14.58 21.91 3.80 2.93

 Major Importers 5/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 46.82 254.16 104.17 266.79 350.65 11.62 42.87

 European Union 6/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 17.20 159.82 12.26 120.73 163.13 10.31 15.85

 Japan Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1.05 0.17 17.59 12.88 17.74 0.00 1.07

 Mexico Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 3.38 31.98 10.63 24.97 42.54 0.50 2.94

 N. Afr & Mideast 7/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 13.93 32.49 28.87 54.33 62.29 0.17 12.84

 Saudi Arabia Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 4.57 0.25 11.03 11.75 12.15 0.00 3.69

 Southeast Asia 8/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 4.82 29.11 9.32 29.76 37.87 0.64 4.74

 South Korea Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1.46 0.20 10.09 8.14 10.42 0.00 1.33

 Selected Other China Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 80.88 234.50 19.15 174.03 242.38 0.08 92.08

 FSU-12 Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 7.90 82.16 0.82 43.33 59.61 24.99 6.27

 Russia Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 2.59 37.30 0.16 21.35 31.80 6.11 2.14

 Ukraine Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 3.66 33.33 0.06 12.40 16.01 18.18 2.86

 

 

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. Coarse grains include corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes 

millet and mixed grains). 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and 

exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, 

Australia, Canada, Brazil, and South Africa. 5/ The European Union, Mexico, Japan, selected North Africa and Middle East, South Korea, 

Southeast Asia, and Taiwan. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Syria, Tunisia, and Turkey. 

8/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. 

 
 

 

May 2015 

WASDE - 541 - 22 

 

World Corn Supply and Use 1/ 

 

(Million Metric Tons) 

2013/14 Beginning

Stocks Production Imports

Domestic

Feed

Domestic

Total 2/ Exports

Ending

Stocks

 

World 3/ 136.51 990.64 123.76 573.72 953.35 131.07 173.80

United States 20.86 351.27 0.91 127.87 293.05 48.70 31.29

Total Foreign 115.66 639.36 122.85 445.85 660.30 82.36 142.51

 Major Exporters 4/ 16.12 120.98 0.80 57.20 75.30 40.07 22.53

 Argentina 1.31 26.00 0.00 5.80 8.80 17.10 1.41

 Brazil 14.15 80.00 0.79 46.00 55.00 20.97 18.97

 South Africa 0.66 14.98 0.01 5.40 11.50 2.00 2.15

 Major Importers 5/ 12.27 120.27 76.03 133.36 185.52 4.44 18.62

 Egypt 1.08 5.80 8.73 11.00 13.20 0.00 2.40

 European Union 6/ 5.15 64.66 15.92 58.00 76.50 2.40 6.82

 Japan 0.52 0.00 15.12 10.60 15.10 0.00 0.55

 Mexico 1.06 22.88 10.95 15.20 31.70 0.50 2.69

 Southeast Asia 7/ 2.82 26.78 10.72 26.80 34.90 1.53 3.89

 South Korea 1.27 0.08 10.41 7.76 9.89 0.00 1.86

 Selected Other 0.00

 Canada 1.55 14.19 0.51 7.52 12.70 1.95 1.60

 China 67.57 218.49 3.28 154.00 212.00 0.02 77.32

 FSU-12 2.00 46.90 0.46 18.57 21.34 24.81 3.22

 Ukraine 1.19 30.90 0.07 8.50 9.90 20.00 2.25

 

 

 

2014/15 Est. ngBeginni

Stocks Production Imports

 Domestic

Feed

 Domestic

/Total 2 Exports

 Ending

Stocks

 

World 3/ 173.80 996.12 115.45 597.22 977.42 121.03 192.50

United States 31.29 361.09 0.64 133.36 299.65 46.36 47.02

Total Foreign 142.51 635.03 114.81 463.87 677.77 74.67 145.49

 Major Exporters 4/ 22.53 113.80 0.83 59.30 77.60 39.20 20.36

 Argentina 1.41 24.50 0.01 6.10 9.40 15.00 1.51

 Brazil 18.97 78.00 0.80 48.00 57.00 23.50 17.27

 South Africa 2.15 11.30 0.03 5.20 11.20 0.70 1.58

 Major Importers 5/ 18.62 131.73 64.70 138.00 190.98 4.30 19.78

 Egypt 2.40 5.96 7.50 11.50 13.90 0.01 1.95

 European Union 6/ 6.82 73.67 8.00 58.50 77.50 3.00 7.99

 Japan 0.55 0.00 15.40 10.90 15.40 0.00 0.55

 Mexico 2.69 24.00 10.00 16.80 33.55 0.50 2.64

 Southeast Asia 7/ 3.89 27.91 10.00 28.20 36.20 0.79 4.81

 South Korea 1.86 0.08 9.60 8.00 10.10 0.00 1.44

 Selected Other 0.00

 Canada 1.60 11.50 1.50 7.50 12.80 0.50 1.30

 China 77.32 215.67 3.00 158.00 216.00 0.03 79.96

 FSU-12 3.22 43.47 0.47 20.22 23.04 20.72 3.40

 Ukraine 2.25 28.45 0.05 9.00 10.40 18.00 2.35

 

 

 

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in 

world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing 

years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Brazil, and South 

Africa. 5/ Egypt, the European Union, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Southeast Asia. 6/ Trade 

excludes intra-trade. 7/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. 
 

 

May 2015 

 

 

WASDE - 541 - 23 

 

World Corn Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.) 

(Million Metric Tons) 

 

2015/16 Proj. Beginning

Stocks Production Imports

Domestic

Feed

Domestic

Total 2/ Exports

Ending

Stocks

 

World 3/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 192.50 989.83 118.76 610.32 990.40 120.90 191.94

United States Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 47.02 346.22 0.64 134.63 301.26 48.26 44.35

Total Foreign Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 145.49 643.61 118.12 475.70 689.14 72.64 147.59

 Major Exporters 4/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 20.36 113.50 0.83 62.00 80.40 39.00 15.29

 Argentina Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1.51 25.00 0.01 6.50 10.00 15.50 1.02

 Brazil Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 17.27 75.00 0.80 50.00 59.00 22.00 12.07

 South Africa Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1.58 13.50 0.03 5.50 11.40 1.50 2.20

 Major Importers 5/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 19.78 127.11 69.10 141.45 194.58 3.65 17.77 filler filler filler filler filler filler filler

 Egypt Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1.95 6.00 8.00 12.10 14.50 0.01 1.44

 European Union 

6/

Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 7.99 68.34 12.00 59.50 78.50 2.50 7.33

 Japan Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.55 0.00 15.20 10.70 15.20 0.00 0.55

 Mexico Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 2.64 23.50 10.30 17.15 33.95 0.50 1.99

 Southeast Asia 7/Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 4.81 29.06 9.30 29.70 37.80 0.64 4.74

 South Korea Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1.44 0.08 10.00 8.10 10.20 0.00 1.32

 Selected Other Canada Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1.30 12.30 1.50 8.00 13.35 0.50 1.25

 China Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 79.96 228.00 3.00 160.00 220.00 0.05 90.91

 FSU-12 Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 3.40 41.66 0.49 20.54 23.41 18.68 3.46

 Ukraine Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 2.35 26.00 0.05 9.00 10.40 16.00 2.00

 

 

 

 

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world 

imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in 

transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Brazil, and South Africa. 5/ Egypt, the European 

Union, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Southeast Asia. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Indonesia, Malaysia, 

Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam.

 

 

 
 

 

May 2015 

 

WASDE - 541 - 24 

 

 

World Rice Supply and Use (Milled Basis) 1/ 

 

 

(Million Metric Tons) 

 

2013/14 Beginning

Stocks

Production Imports Total /2

Domestic

Exports Ending

Stocks

 

World 3/ 110.64 477.89 38.36 481.21 41.73 107.32

United States 1.16 6.12 0.73 4.00 2.99 1.03

Total Foreign 109.48 471.77 37.63 477.21 38.74 106.30

 Major Exporters 4/ 39.61 161.86 0.63 134.66 30.64 36.81

 India 25.44 106.54 0.00 99.18 10.15 22.65

 Pakistan 0.50 6.70 0.03 2.60 3.20 1.43

 Thailand 12.81 20.46 0.30 10.88 10.97 11.72

 Vietnam 0.86 28.16 0.30 22.00 6.33 1.00

 Major Importers 5/ 12.51 64.30 12.43 76.99 1.10 11.15

 Brazil 0.53 8.30 0.55 7.90 0.82 0.66

 European Union 6/ 1.19 1.92 1.53 3.25 0.24 1.15

 Indonesia 6.48 36.30 1.23 38.50 0.00 5.50

 Nigeria 0.89 2.77 2.80 5.80 0.00 0.66

 Philippines 1.49 11.86 1.20 12.85 0.00 1.70

 Sel. Mideast 7/ 1.50 1.95 3.96 6.12 0.00 1.29

 Selected Other 0.00

 Burma 0.55 11.96 0.00 10.45 1.69 0.37

 C. Amer & Carib 8/ 0.52 1.72 1.42 3.17 0.01 0.48

 China 46.83 142.53 4.02 146.30 0.26 46.81

 Egypt 0.43 4.75 0.03 4.00 0.60 0.60

 Japan 2.86 7.94 0.66 8.29 0.06 3.11

 Mexico 0.19 0.13 0.69 0.86 0.00 0.15

 South Korea 0.78 4.23 0.31 4.42 0.00 0.90

 

 

 

2014/15 Est. Beginning

Stocks Production Imports

Total /2

Domestic Exports

Ending

Stocks

 

World 3/ 107.32 475.69 41.00 484.59 43.68 98.41

United States 1.03 7.07 0.76 4.13 3.36 1.37

Total Foreign 106.30 468.62 40.24 480.47 40.32 97.04

 Major Exporters 4/ 36.81 156.20 0.73 135.15 31.70 26.88

 India 22.65 102.50 0.00 99.35 10.20 15.60

 Pakistan 1.43 6.90 0.03 2.80 3.80 1.76

 Thailand 11.72 18.75 0.30 11.10 11.00 8.67

 Vietnam 1.00 28.05 0.40 21.90 6.70 0.85

 Major Importers 5/ 11.15 64.81 14.64 78.39 1.28 10.93

 Brazil 0.66 8.30 0.60 7.90 1.00 0.66

 European Union 6/ 1.15 1.88 1.55 3.27 0.25 1.07

 Indonesia 5.50 36.30 1.25 38.60 0.00 4.45

 Nigeria 0.66 2.84 4.00 6.40 0.00 1.09

 Philippines 1.70 12.20 1.60 13.20 0.00 2.30

 Sel. Mideast 7/ 1.29 1.95 4.21 6.26 0.00 1.19

 Selected Other 0.00

 Burma 0.37 12.60 0.00 10.70 1.85 0.42

 C. Amer & Carib 8/ 0.48 1.75 1.54 3.29 0.01 0.46

 China 46.81 144.50 4.40 148.40 0.40 46.91

 Egypt 0.60 4.53 0.03 4.00 0.25 0.91

 Japan 3.11 7.84 0.70 8.31 0.08 3.26

 Mexico 0.15 0.16 0.78 0.89 0.00 0.19

 South Korea 0.90 4.24 0.47 4.45 0.00 1.16

 

 

 

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. Total 

domestic includes both domestic use and unreported disappearance. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in 

some countries. 4/ India, Pakistan, Thailand, and Vietnam. 5/ Brazil, Indonesia, Hong Kong, Cote d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Philippines, selected 

Middle East, and the EU-28. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Selected Middle East includes Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. 8/ Central 

American and Caribbean countries.

 

 

 
 

 

 

May 2015 

 

WASDE - 541 - 25 

 

World Rice Supply and Use (Milled Basis) 1/ (Cont'd.) 

 

(Million Metric Tons) 

2015/16 Proj. Beginning

Stocks

Production Imports Total /2

Domestic

Exports Ending

Stocks

 

World 3/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 98.41 482.10 39.55 488.98 42.40 91.54

United States Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA filler filler filler filler filler filler

May 1.37 6.95 0.78 4.17 3.43 1.50

Total Foreign Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA filler filler filler filler filler filler

May 97.04 475.15 38.77 484.81 38.97 90.03

 Major Exporters 4/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 26.88 158.90 0.82 135.85 30.00 20.75

 India Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 15.60 104.00 0.00 99.50 8.50 11.60 filler filler filler filler filler filler

 Pakistan Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1.76 6.90 0.02 2.95 3.80 1.93

 Thailand Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 8.67 19.80 0.30 11.40 11.00 6.37

 Vietnam Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.85 28.20 0.50 22.00 6.70 0.85

 Major Importers 5/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 10.93 65.34 13.47 78.20 1.18 10.35

 Brazil Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA filler filler filler filler filler filler

May 0.66 8.30 0.70 7.95 0.90 0.81

 European Union 6/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1.07 1.90 1.55 3.28 0.23 1.00

 Indonesia Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 4.45 36.65 1.10 38.65 0.00 3.55

 Nigeria Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1.09 2.71 3.00 6.00 0.00 0.80

 Philippines Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 2.30 12.40 1.30 13.25 0.00 2.75

 Sel. Mideast 7/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1.19 1.98 4.45 6.35 0.00 1.27

 Selected Other Burma Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.42 12.80 0.00 10.80 2.00 0.42

 C. Amer & Carib 8/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.46 1.74 1.56 3.31 0.01 0.44

 China Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 46.91 146.00 4.70 151.00 0.40 46.21

 Egypt Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.91 4.60 0.03 4.00 0.40 1.13

 Japan Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 3.26 7.90 0.70 8.38 0.08 3.41

 Mexico Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.19 0.17 0.79 0.91 0.00 0.23

 South Korea Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1.16 4.10 0.41 4.36 0.00 1.31

 

 

 

1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports 

and exports. Total domestic includes both domestic use and unreported disappearance. 3/ World imports and exports may 

not balance due to differences in some countries. 4/ India, Pakistan, Thailand, and Vietnam. 5/ Brazil, Indonesia, Hong 

Kong, Cote d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Philippines, selected Middle East, and the EU-28. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Selected 

Middle East includes Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. 8/ Central American and Caribbean countries. 

 
 

 

May 2015 

 

WASDE - 541 - 26 

 

 

World Cotton Supply and Use 1/ 

 

(Million 480-Pound Bales) 

 

2013/14 Beginning

Stocks

Production Imports Domestic

Use

Exports Loss

 /2 

Ending

Stocks

 

World 90.48 120.43 40.08 109.05 40.02 -0.51 102.43

United States 3.80 12.91 0.01 3.55 10.53 0.19 2.45

Total Foreign 86.68 107.52 40.07 105.50 29.49 -0.71 99.98

 Major Exporters 4/ 26.16 57.00 1.36 32.16 25.79 -0.83 27.40

 Central Asia 5/ 2.75 6.55 3/ 2.36 4.26 0.00 2.69

 Afr. Fr. Zone 6/ 1.30 4.36 3/ 0.15 4.13 0.00 1.38

 S. Hemis 7/ 9.73 14.06 0.29 5.30 7.76 -0.34 11.35

 Australia 2.40 4.10 3/ 0.04 4.85 -0.20 1.81

 Brazil 5.80 8.00 0.15 4.20 2.23 -0.15 7.67

 India 12.05 31.00 0.68 23.35 9.26 -0.50 11.62

 Major Importers 8/ 58.70 47.23 36.38 68.83 2.64 0.12 70.72

 Mexico 0.65 0.93 1.04 1.85 0.16 0.03 0.58

 China 50.36 32.75 14.12 34.50 0.03 0.00 62.71

 European Union 9/ 0.55 1.60 0.87 0.85 1.60 0.03 0.53

 Turkey 1.32 2.30 4.25 6.30 0.20 0.00 1.36

 Pakistan 2.71 9.50 1.20 10.40 0.51 0.03 2.48

 Indonesia 0.64 0.03 2.99 3.05 0.01 0.00 0.60

 Thailand 0.24 3/ 1.55 1.55 0.00 0.03 0.22

 Bangladesh 0.97 0.12 4.10 4.15 0.00 0.01 1.02

 Vietnam 0.49 0.01 3.20 3.20 0.00 0.00 0.50

 

 

 

 

2014/15 Est. Beginning

Stocks Production Imports

Domestic

Use Exports

Loss

 /2 

Ending

Stocks

 

World 102.43 119.28 33.74 111.45 33.81 -0.08 110.25

United States 2.45 16.32 0.01 3.65 10.70 0.03 4.40

Total Foreign 99.98 102.96 33.73 107.80 23.11 -0.11 105.85

 Major Exporters 4/ 27.40 52.89 1.63 32.88 19.56 -0.23 29.70

 Central Asia 5/ 2.69 6.16 3/ 2.41 3.59 0.00 2.85

 Afr. Fr. Zone 6/ 1.38 4.82 3/ 0.14 4.12 0.00 1.94

 S. Hemis 7/ 11.35 11.08 0.18 4.98 7.62 -0.24 10.25

 Australia 1.81 2.20 3/ 0.04 2.80 -0.10 1.27

 Brazil 7.67 7.00 0.05 3.90 4.00 -0.15 6.97

 India 11.62 30.00 1.10 24.50 3.90 0.00 14.32

 Major Importers 8/ 70.72 46.94 29.84 70.43 2.63 0.12 74.33

 Mexico 0.58 1.37 0.83 1.85 0.16 0.03 0.74

 China 62.71 30.00 7.70 35.00 0.08 0.00 65.33

 European Union 9/ 0.53 1.63 0.87 0.87 1.45 0.03 0.67

 Turkey 1.36 3.20 3.55 6.20 0.28 0.00 1.63

 Pakistan 2.48 10.60 0.80 10.75 0.55 0.03 2.55

 Indonesia 0.60 0.02 3.35 3.30 0.01 0.00 0.66

 Thailand 0.22 3/ 1.48 1.45 0.01 0.03 0.21

 Bangladesh 1.02 0.12 4.50 4.45 0.00 0.01 1.18

 Vietnam 0.50 0.01 4.10 3.85 0.00 0.00 0.75

 

 

 

 

1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add exactly and trade may not balance due to rounding and other factors. 

 2/ Generally reflects cotton lost or destroyed in the marketing channel; for Australia, Brazil, China, and the United States, reflects 

the difference between implicit stocks based on supply less total use and indicated ending stocks. 3/ Less than 5,000 bales. 4/ 

Includes Egypt and Syria in addition to the countries and regions listed. 5/ Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, 

Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan. 6/ Benin, Burkino Faso, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Cote d'Ivoire, Mali, Niger, 

Senegal, and Togo. 7/ Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Lesotho, Paraguay, South Africa, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe. 8/ In addition to

the countries and regions listed, includes Hong Kong, Japan, Russia, South Korea, and Taiwan. 9/ Includes intra-EU trade. 

 
 

 

May 2015 

 

WASDE - 541 - 27 

 

 

World Cotton Supply and Use 1/ 

 

 

(Million 480-Pound Bales) 

 

2015/16 Proj. Beginning

Stocks

Production Imports Domestic

Use

Exports Loss

 /2 

Ending

Stocks

 

World Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 110.25 111.25 33.65 115.29 33.66 -0.10 106.29

United States Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 4.40 14.50 0.01 3.80 10.70 0.01 4.40

Total Foreign Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 105.85 96.75 33.64 111.49 22.96 -0.11 101.89 filler filler filler filler filler filler filler

 Major Exporters 4/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 29.70 51.22 1.64 34.35 19.72 -0.23 28.71

 Central Asia 5/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 2.85 6.11 3/ 2.56 3.60 0.00 2.81

 Afr. Fr. Zone 6/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1.94 4.47 3/ 0.14 4.42 0.00 1.85

 S. Hemis 7/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 10.25 10.53 0.29 5.09 6.41 -0.24 9.79

 Australia Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1.27 2.00 3/ 0.04 2.00 -0.10 1.34

 Brazil Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 6.97 6.75 0.15 4.00 3.60 -0.15 6.42

 India Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 14.32 29.50 0.90 25.75 5.00 0.00 13.97 filler filler filler filler filler filler filler

 Major Importers 8/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 74.33 42.46 29.66 72.56 2.38 0.12 71.39

 Mexico Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.74 1.05 1.00 1.90 0.15 0.03 0.72

 China Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 65.33 27.00 6.00 36.00 0.05 0.00 62.28

 European Union 

9/

Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.67 1.46 0.85 0.88 1.43 0.03 0.64

 Turkey Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1.63 2.80 3.60 6.30 0.23 0.00 1.50

 Pakistan Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 2.55 10.00 1.70 11.10 0.50 0.03 2.63

 Indonesia Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.66 0.02 3.50 3.40 0.01 0.00 0.78

 Thailand Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.21 3/ 1.53 1.50 0.00 0.03 0.21

 Bangladesh Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1.18 0.13 4.60 4.70 0.00 0.01 1.20

 Vietnam Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.75 3/ 4.20 4.10 0.00 0.00 0.86

 

 

1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add exactly and trade may not balance due to rounding and other factors. 2/ 

Generally reflects cotton lost or destroyed in the marketing channel; for Australia, Brazil, China, and the United States, reflects the 

difference between implicit stocks based on supply less total use and indicated ending stocks. 3/ Less than 5,000 bales. 4/ Includes 

Egypt and Syria in addition to the countries and regions listed. 5/ Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and 

Uzbekistan. 6/ Benin, Burkino Faso, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Cote d'Ivoire, Mali, Niger, Senegal, and Togo. 7/ 

Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Lesotho, Paraguay, South Africa, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe. 8/ In addition to the countries and regions 

listed, includes Hong Kong, Japan, Russia, South Korea, and Taiwan. 9/ Includes intra-EU trade. 

 
 

May 2015 

WASDE - 541 - 28 

World Soybean Supply and Use 1/ 

(Million Metric Tons) 

2013/14 Beginning

Stocks

Production Imports Domestic

Crush

Domestic

Total

Exports Ending

Stocks

 

World 2/ 56.47 283.25 111.25 240.61 274.64 112.94 63.40

United States 3.83 91.39 1.95 47.19 49.85 44.82 2.50

Total Foreign 52.64 191.86 109.30 193.42 224.79 68.12 60.90

 Major Exporters 3/ 36.45 151.80 0.61 75.95 83.47 62.71 42.68

 Argentina 20.96 53.50 0.00 36.17 40.57 7.84 26.05

 Brazil 15.33 86.70 0.61 36.28 39.28 46.83 16.53

 Paraguay 0.13 8.20 0.01 3.35 3.45 4.80 0.08

 Major Importers 4/ 13.33 14.72 96.22 91.35 108.52 0.30 15.44

 China 12.38 12.20 70.36 68.85 80.30 0.22 14.43

 European Union 0.30 1.21 12.99 13.40 14.16 0.06 0.28

 Japan 0.18 0.20 2.89 1.97 3.05 0.00 0.23

 Mexico 0.10 0.24 3.84 4.03 4.07 0.00 0.12

 

 

 

2014/15 Est. Beginning

Stocks Production Imports

 Domestic

Crush

 Domestic

Total Exports

 Ending

Stocks

 

World 2/ 63.40 317.25 114.15 254.48 291.76 117.50 85.54

United States 2.50 108.01 0.82 49.12 52.83 48.99 9.51

Total Foreign 60.90 209.24 113.33 205.36 238.93 68.51 76.03

 Major Exporters 3/ 42.68 165.00 0.31 81.00 89.27 61.73 56.99

 Argentina 26.05 58.50 0.00 39.60 44.60 8.00 31.95

 Brazil 16.53 94.50 0.30 37.60 40.75 45.65 24.93

 Paraguay 0.08 8.50 0.01 3.60 3.70 4.80 0.09

 Major Importers 4/ 15.44 15.45 99.69 96.97 114.78 0.31 15.48

 China 14.43 12.35 73.50 73.85 85.70 0.20 14.38

 European Union 0.28 1.69 12.75 13.55 14.37 0.08 0.27

 Japan 0.23 0.23 2.85 1.97 3.04 0.00 0.26

 Mexico 0.12 0.36 4.00 4.25 4.29 0.00 0.18

 

 

2015/16 Proj. Beginning

Stocks

Production Imports Domestic

Crush

 Domestic

Total

tsExpor Ending

Stocks

 

World 2/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 85.54 317.30 119.63 266.22 304.28 121.98 96.22

United States Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 9.51 104.78 0.82 49.67 53.19 48.31 13.61

Total Foreign Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 76.03 212.52 118.81 216.56 251.09 73.67 82.61

 Major Exporters 3/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 56.99 166.30 0.56 85.30 93.75 66.13 63.97

 Argentina Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 31.95 57.00 0.00 42.50 47.60 8.50 32.85

 Brazil Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 24.93 97.00 0.55 38.50 41.73 49.75 31.00

 Paraguay Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.09 8.80 0.01 4.10 4.20 4.60 0.10

 Major Importers 4/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 15.48 14.81 104.15 100.66 118.97 0.38 15.08

 China Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 14.38 11.50 77.50 77.10 89.25 0.25 13.88

 European Union Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.27 1.90 12.80 13.70 14.53 0.10 0.34

 Japan Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.26 0.22 2.85 1.97 3.05 0.00 0.28

 Mexico Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.18 0.36 4.05 4.35 4.39 0.00 0.20

 

 

 

1/ Data based on local marketing years except Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World imports and exports may not balance 

due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports. Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, 

Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay. 4/ China, European Union, Japan, Mexico, and Southeast Asia (includes Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Vietnam, and Thailand). 

 
 

May 2015 

WASDE - 541 - 29 

 

World Soybean Meal Supply and Use 1/ 

 

(Million Metric Tons) 

2013/14 Beginning

Stocks

Production Imports Domestic

Total

Exports Ending

Stocks

 

World 2/ 9.72 189.01 57.94 185.90 60.00 10.77

United States 0.25 36.91 0.31 26.76 10.48 0.23

Total Foreign 9.47 152.10 57.64 159.14 49.52 10.54

 Major Exporters 3/ 7.19 62.61 0.03 20.35 41.66 7.82

 Argentina 3.74 27.89 0.00 1.80 24.97 4.86

 Brazil 3.10 28.08 0.03 14.50 13.95 2.76

 India 0.35 6.64 0.01 4.05 2.74 0.20

 Major Importers 4/ 0.90 14.52 33.88 47.67 0.36 1.27

 European Union 0.12 10.59 18.18 28.44 0.30 0.14

 Southeast Asia 5/ 0.69 2.44 13.72 15.85 0.06 0.95

 

 

2014/15 Est. Beginning

Stocks Production Imports

 Domestic

Total Exports

 Ending

Stocks

 

World 2/ 10.77 200.92 60.50 196.68 64.07 11.44

United States 0.23 39.37 0.32 28.03 11.61 0.27

Total Foreign 10.54 161.55 60.18 168.65 52.46 11.16

 Major Exporters 3/ 7.82 65.71 0.03 21.35 44.29 7.93

 Argentina 4.86 30.58 0.00 2.11 28.99 4.35

 Brazil 2.76 29.13 0.03 14.78 13.95 3.18

 India 0.20 6.00 0.01 4.46 1.35 0.40

 Major Importers 4/ 1.27 14.82 36.08 50.09 0.46 1.62

 European Union 0.14 10.70 19.30 29.44 0.39 0.31

 Southeast Asia 5/ 0.95 2.63 14.83 17.25 0.07 1.08

 

 

2015/16 Proj. Beginning

Stocks

ductionPro Imports Domestic

Total

Exports Ending

Stocks

 

World 2/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 11.44 209.80 63.77 207.13 66.81 11.06

United States Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.27 39.30 0.30 28.94 10.66 0.27

Total Foreign Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 11.16 170.49 63.48 178.19 56.15 10.79

 Major Exporters 3/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 7.93 70.12 0.03 22.66 47.88 7.55

 Argentina Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 4.35 32.96 0.00 2.30 31.00 4.01

 Brazil Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 3.18 29.80 0.03 15.25 14.48 3.28

 India Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.40 7.36 0.01 5.11 2.40 0.26

 Major Importers 4/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1.62 15.10 38.15 52.77 0.48 1.62

 European Union Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.31 10.80 20.10 30.49 0.40 0.32

 Southeast Asia 5/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1.08 2.80 16.10 18.87 0.08 1.04

 

 

 

1/ Data based on local marketing years except for Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World 

imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and 

imports. Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil, and India. 4/ European Union, Southeast Asia, and 

Japan. 5/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Vietnam, and Thailand.

 

 

 
 

 

May 2015 

WASDE - 541 - 30 

 

World Soybean Oil Supply and Use 1/

(Million Metric Tons) 

2013/14 Beginning

Stocks

Production Imports Domestic

Total

Exports Ending

Stocks

 

World 2/ 3.75 44.89 9.35 45.33 9.37 3.30

United States 0.77 9.13 0.08 8.60 0.85 0.53

Total Foreign 2.98 35.76 9.28 36.73 8.52 2.77

 Major Exporters 3/ 0.86 16.29 0.33 10.47 6.24 0.77

 Argentina 0.26 6.79 0.01 2.73 4.09 0.24

 Brazil 0.40 6.96 0.00 5.77 1.38 0.22

 European Union 0.20 2.55 0.33 1.98 0.77 0.32

 Major Importers 4/ 1.41 14.22 4.59 18.67 0.22 1.33

 China 1.02 12.34 1.35 13.66 0.09 0.96

 India 0.25 1.48 1.83 3.30 0.00 0.26

 North Africa 5/ 0.14 0.41 1.40 1.71 0.13 0.12

 

 

 

2014/15 Est. Beginning

Stocks Production Imports

 Domestic

Total Exports

 Ending

Stocks

 

World 2/ 3.30 47.39 9.40 47.06 9.77 3.26

United States 0.53 9.36 0.09 8.55 0.86 0.56

Total Foreign 2.77 38.03 9.31 38.51 8.91 2.70

 Major Exporters 3/ 0.77 17.29 0.32 11.01 6.50 0.88

 Argentina 0.24 7.50 0.02 2.90 4.53 0.33

 Brazil 0.22 7.22 0.00 6.04 1.17 0.22

 European Union 0.32 2.58 0.30 2.07 0.80 0.33

 Major Importers 4/ 1.33 15.01 4.44 19.46 0.23 1.08

 China 0.96 13.23 1.00 14.28 0.10 0.80

 India 0.26 1.33 2.00 3.40 0.00 0.19

 North Africa 5/ 0.12 0.45 1.44 1.78 0.13 0.09

 

 

2015/16 Proj. Beginning

Stocks

Production Imports Domestic

Total

Exports Ending

Stocks

 

World 2/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 3.26 49.64 10.19 48.94 10.63 3.53

United States Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.56 9.57 0.08 8.66 0.91 0.64

Total Foreign Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 2.70 40.07 10.11 40.27 9.72 2.89

 Major Exporters 3/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.88 18.04 0.21 11.04 7.15 0.94

 Argentina Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.33 8.05 0.01 2.96 5.10 0.33

 Brazil Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.22 7.39 0.00 6.12 1.25 0.24

 European Union Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.33 2.60 0.20 1.96 0.80 0.37

 Major Importers 4/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1.08 15.92 5.25 20.87 0.22 1.15

 China Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.80 13.81 1.30 15.03 0.08 0.80

 India Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.19 1.63 2.45 4.00 0.00 0.27

 North Africa 5/ Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 0.09 0.48 1.50 1.84 0.14 0.08

 

 

 

1/ Data based on local marketing years except for Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World 

imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports. 

 Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil and European Union. 4/ China, India, and North Africa. 5/ 

Algeria, Egypt, Morocco, and Tunisia.

 

 

 
 

 

May 2015 

 

WASDE - 541 - 31 

 

U.S. Quarterly Animal Product Production 1/ 

 

Year and Quarter Beef Pork Red Meat

2/

Broiler Turkey Total

Poultry 3/

Red Meat

& Poultry

Egg Milk

 Million Pounds Mil doz Bil lbs

2014 II 6,184 5,504 11,754 9,618 1,428 11,180 22,934 2,066 52.9

III 6,179 5,424 11,663 9,835 1,478 11,448 23,111 2,099 51.2

IV 6,021 6,131 12,212 9,814 1,517 11,459 23,671 2,139 51.0

Annual 24,252 22,843 47,345 38,550 5,756 44,827 92,171 8,335 206.0

 

2015 I 5,664 6,161 11,883 9,711 1,429 11,267 23,150 2,058 51.9

II* 6,265 5,825 12,148 10,050 1,450 11,640 23,788 2,030 53.5

III* 6,230 5,905 12,193 10,250 1,525 11,915 24,108 2,090 51.5

IV* 6,115 6,505 12,682 10,150 1,575 11,855 24,537 2,145 51.7

Annual 

Apr Proj. 24,210 24,240 48,684 40,025 6,025 46,600 95,284 8,410 210.0

May Proj. 24,274 24,396 48,906 40,161 5,979 46,677 95,583 8,323 208.6

 

2016 I* 5,780 6,115 11,951 9,975 1,480 11,585 23,536 2,102 53.1

Annual 

Apr Proj. NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May Proj. 24,505 24,700 49,438 40,975 6,210 47,740 97,178 8,525 213.6

 

* Projection. 

1/ Commercial production for red meats; federally inspected for poultry meats. 2/ Beef, pork, veal and lamb & mutton. 3/ Broilers, turkeys 

and mature chicken.

 

 

U.S. Quarterly Prices for Animal Products 

 

Year and Quarter

Steers

2/

Barrows

and gilts

3/

Broilers

4/

Turkeys

5/

Eggs

6/

Milk

7/

 Dol./cwt Dol./cwt Cents/lb. Cents/lb. Cents/doz. Dol./cwt

2014 II 147.82 85.40 113.7 105.6 134.6 24.23

III 158.49 83.30 104.6 110.2 129.3 24.40

IV 165.60 66.74 102.8 113.9 162.7 22.77

Annual 154.56 76.03 104.9 107.6 142.3 23.97

 

2015 I 162.43 48.47 97.0 99.6 146.9 17.00

II* 160-164 49-51 103-107 103-107 123-127 16.40-16.70

III* 157-167 50-54 99-105 104-110 116-124 17.20-17.80

IV* 156-170 43-47 96-104 108-116 133-145 17.90-18.80

Annual 

Apr Proj. 160-167 48-51 97-101 101-107 130-136 17.10-17.60

May Proj. 159-166 48-50 99-103 104-108 130-136 17.10-17.60

 

2016 I* 155-167 45-49 97-105 98-106 138-150 17.25-18.25

Annual 

Apr Proj. NA NA NA NA NA NA

May Proj. 156-169 44-48 99-107 104-113 128-139 17.45-18.45

 

 

 

 *Projection. 1/ Simple average of months. 2/ 5-Area, Direct, Total all grades 3/ National Base, Live equiv 51-52% lean. 4/ Wholesale, 

National Composite Weighted Average. 5/ 8-16 lbs, hens National. 6/ Grade A large, New York, volume buyers. 7/ Prices received by 

farmers for all milk. 

 

 

 
 

 

May 2015

WASDE - 541 - 32 

 

U.S. Meats Supply and Use 

 

Item Beginning

stocks

Production

1/ Imports

Total

Supply Exports

Ending

Stocks

Total

Use

Per Capita

2/ 3/

 Million Pounds /4

Beef 2014 584 24,320 2,947 27,850 2,573 591 24,686 54.2

2015 Proj. Apr 591 24,281 2,910 27,782 2,420 560 24,802 54.1

May 591 24,339 3,116 28,046 2,461 560 25,025 54.6

2016 Proj. Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 560 24,569 2,820 27,949 2,510 560 24,879 53.9 Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler

Pork 2014 618 22,861 1,007 24,486 4,858 559 19,069 46.4

2015 Proj. Apr 559 24,253 1,225 26,037 4,750 610 20,677 50.0

May 559 24,414 1,178 26,151 4,865 610 20,676 50.0

2016 Proj. Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 610 24,718 1,020 26,348 5,125 610 20,613 49.5 Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler

Total Red 

Meat 5/

2014 1,230 47,441 4,149 52,820 7,438 1,190 44,192 101.9

2015 Proj. Apr 1,190 48,779 4,326 54,295 7,180 1,212 45,903 105.2

May 1,190 49,000 4,487 54,676 7,335 1,209 46,132 105.7

2016 Proj. Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1,209 49,531 4,030 54,770 7,646 1,208 45,916 104.5 Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler

Broiler 2014 669 38,137 117 38,923 7,304 680 30,939 83.4

2015 Proj. Apr 680 39,597 116 40,393 6,680 700 33,013 88.3

May 680 39,731 117 40,529 6,804 725 33,000 88.3

2016 Proj. Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 725 40,537 116 41,378 7,215 685 33,478 89.0 Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler

Turkey 2014 237 5,756 29 6,022 804 193 5,024 15.8

2015 Proj. Apr 193 6,025 28 6,246 720 300 5,226 16.3

May 193 5,979 29 6,201 724 300 5,177 16.1

2016 Proj. Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 300 6,210 28 6,538 790 275 5,473 16.9 Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler

Total 

Poultry 6/

2014 912 44,414 148 45,474 8,218 876 36,379 100.5

2015 Proj. Apr 876 46,171 146 47,193 7,525 1,005 38,663 105.9

May 876 46,247 147 47,270 7,657 1,030 38,583 105.7

2016 Proj. Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 1,030 47,301 146 48,477 8,137 965 39,375 107.2 Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler Filler

Red Meat & 

Poultry

2014 2,142 91,855 4,297 98,294 15,656 2,066 80,572 202.3

2015 Proj. Apr 2,066 94,950 4,472 101,488 14,705 2,217 84,566 211.1

May 2,066 95,247 4,634 101,946 14,992 2,239 84,716 211.4

2016 Proj. Apr NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

May 2,239 96,832 4,176 103,247 15,783 2,173 85,291 211.7

 

 

 

1/ Total including farm production for red meats and, for poultry, federally inspected plus non-federally inspected, less 

condemnations. 2/ Pounds, retail-weight basis for red meat and broilers; certified ready-to-cook weight for turkey. 3/ Population 

source: Dept. of Commerce, Census Bureau. 4/ Carcass weight for red meats and certified ready-to-cook weight for poultry. 5/ 

Beef, pork, veal, lamb and mutton. 6/ Broilers, turkeys and mature chicken. 

 

 
 

 

May 2015 

 

WASDE - 541 - 33 

 

 

U.S. Egg Supply and Use 

 

Commodity 2013 2014 2015 Proj. 2015 Proj. 2016 Proj. 2016 Proj.

 Apr May Apr May

Eggs Million Dozen 

 Supply 

 Beginning Stocks 20.8 23.0 23.3 23.3 NA 24.0

 Production 8,144.6 8,334.8 8,410.0 8,323.0 NA 8,525.0

 Imports 16.9 32.8 32.0 31.4 NA 44.0

 Total Supply 8,182.3 8,390.6 8,465.3 8,377.7 NA 8,593.0

 Use 

 Exports 371.9 395.4 405.0 389.3 NA 396.0

 Hatching Use 964.8 980.7 1,000.0 1,001.4 NA 1,012.0

 Ending Stocks 23.0 23.3 23.0 24.0 NA 25.0

 Disappearance 

 Total 6,822.6 6,991.2 7,037.3 6,963.0 NA 7,160.0

 Per Capita (number) 258.7 263.3 263.0 260.3 NA 265.8 Total

 

 

U.S. Milk Supply and Use

 

 

Commodity 2013 2014 2015 Proj. 2015 Proj. 2016 Proj. 2016 Proj.

 Apr May Apr May

Milk Billion Pounds 

Production 201.2 206.0 210.0 208.6 NA 213.6

 Farm Use 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 NA 1.0

Fat Basis Supply 

Beg. Commercial Stocks 12.2 11.2 11.2 11.2 NA 11.3

Marketings 200.3 205.1 209.0 207.6 NA 212.6

Imports 3.7 4.3 4.4 4.8 NA 4.3

 Total Cml. Supply 216.2 220.6 224.6 223.6 NA 228.3

Fat Basis Use 

Commercial Exports 12.4 12.5 10.7 10.8 NA 11.5

Ending Commercial Stocks 11.2 11.2 11.4 11.3 NA 11.8

CCC Donations 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 NA 0.0

Domestic Commercial Use 192.6 196.9 202.5 201.5 NA 205.0

Skim-solid Basis Supply 

Beg. Commercial Stocks 12.4 11.7 13.1 13.1 NA 12.5

Marketings 200.3 205.1 209.0 207.6 NA 212.6

Imports 5.3 5.6 5.5 5.7 NA 5.6

 Total Cml. Supply 217.9 222.3 227.6 226.4 NA 230.7

Skim-solid Basis Use 

Commercial Exports 38.5 39.2 36.5 37.8 NA 39.1

Ending Commercial Stocks 11.7 13.1 12.9 12.5 NA 12.9

CCC Donations 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 NA 0.0

Domestic Commercial Use 167.7 170.1 178.2 176.2 NA 178.8 Total

 

Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 

 
 

May 2015 

WASDE - 541 - 34 

 

U.S. Dairy Prices 

 

Commodity 2013 2014 2015 Proj. 2015 Proj. 2016 Proj. 2016 Proj.

 Apr May Apr May

Product Prices 1/ Dollars Per Pound 

Cheese 1.7683 2.1551 1.625-

1.675

1.615-

1.665

NA 1.610-

1.710

Butter 1.5451 2.1361 1.705-

1.785

1.810-

1.890

NA 1.725-

1.855

Nonfat Dry Milk 1.7066 1.7682 1.090-

1.130

1.025-

1.065

NA 1.215-

1.285

Dry Whey 0.5902 0.6538 0.490-

0.520

0.475-

0.505

NA 0.515-

0.545 Filler

 Dollars Per Cwt 

Milk Prices 2/ 

Class III 17.99 22.34 16.20-

16.70

16.05-

16.55

NA 16.20-

17.20

Class IV 19.05 22.09 14.45-

15.05

14.35-

14.95

NA 15.60-

16.70

All Milk 3/ 20.05 23.97 17.10-

17.60

17.10-

17.60

NA 17.45-

18.45

 

 1/ Simple average of monthly prices calculated by AMS from weekly average dairy product prices for class price computations. 

2/ Annual Class III and Class IV prices are the simple averages of monthly minimum Federal order milk prices paid by regulated 

plants for milk used in the respective classes. All milk price is the simple average of monthly prices received by farmers for milk 

at average test. 3/ Does not reflect any deductions from producers as authorized by legislation. 

 

 

 

 
 

May 2015

WASDE - 541 - 35

Note: Tables on pages 35-37 present a record of the May projection and the final Estimate. Using world wheat production as an example, the "root mean 

square error" means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 3.2 percent. Chances 

are 9 out of 10 (90% confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 5.4 percent. The average difference between the May projection and the final 

estimate is 16.3 million tons, ranging from 1.7 million to 35.0 million tons. The May projection has been below the estimate 20 times and above 14 

times. 

Reliability of May Projections 1/

 Differences between forecast and final estimate

 90 percent Years

Commodity and 

Region

Root mean 

square error

confidence

interval Average Smallest Largest

Below

Final

Above

Final

WHEAT Percent Million Metric Tons

Production World 3.2 5.4 16.3 1.7 35.0 20 14

U.S. 6.6 11.3 3.0 0.0 9.8 18 16

Foreign 3.4 5.7 15.0 1.6 32.9 19 15

Exports World 6.1 10.3 5.8 0.1 17.6 23 11

U.S. 12.4 21.1 3.1 0.0 10.2 19 14

Foreign 7.0 11.9 5.3 0.4 17.8 24 10

Domestic Use World 2.2 3.7 9.7 0.3 28.0 22 12

U.S. 7.5 12.7 1.9 0.2 6.4 17 17

Foreign 2.2 3.7 9.2 0.2 24.7 23 11

Ending Stocks World 10.4 17.6 12.1 0.3 34.1 21 13

U.S. 21.4 36.3 3.6 0.1 14.1 18 16

Foreign 10.5 17.9 10.2 2.5 28.3 20 14

COARSE GRAINS 2/ Production World 3.9 6.6 26.8 1.1 103.6 16 18

U.S. 14.8 25.1 21.6 0.9 103.8 17 17

Foreign 2.8 4.8 14.1 0.2 42.8 15 19

Exports World 7.8 13.3 7.5 1.3 17.9 23 11

U.S. 28.8 48.8 8.4 0.1 29.5 14 20

Foreign 14.3 24.3 6.5 0.3 20.8 23 11

Domestic Use World 2.1 3.5 14.9 0.4 68.4 17 17

U.S. 6.3 10.7 8.4 0.2 38.4 21 13

Foreign 2.0 3.5 11.2 0.5 32.8 17 17

Ending Stocks World 21.1 35.8 22.9 2.6 71.4 20 14

U.S. 58.5 99.2 18.1 1.3 57.6 15 19

Foreign 17.8 30.2 11.6 0.0 33.8 22 12

RICE, milled Production World 2.5 4.2 7.0 0.0 21.8 20 14

U.S. 7.1 12.0 0.3 0.0 1.0 20 14

Foreign 2.5 4.3 7.0 0.4 22.0 20 14

Exports World 9.9 16.9 1.6 0.1 7.5 26 8

U.S. 12.2 20.7 0.3 0.0 1.0 19 11

Foreign 10.7 18.1 1.5 0.2 7.1 26 8

Domestic Use World 2.0 3.4 5.0 0.0 19.4 24 10

U.S. 9.6 16.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 13 20

Foreign 2.0 3.4 5.0 0.2 20.0 25 9

Ending Stocks World 14.6 24.8 5.2 0.1 17.0 23 11

U.S. 34.3 58.2 0.3 0.0 0.9 19 13

Foreign 16.1 27.3 5.2 0.1 16.7 23 11

1/ Footnotes at end of table. CONTINUED

 

 

 
 

May 2015

WASDE - 541 - 36

Reliability of May Projections (Continued)

 Differences between forecast and final estimate

 90 percent Years

Commodity and 

Region

Root mean 

square error

confidence

interval Average Smallest Largest

Below

Final

Above

Final

SOYBEANS Percent Million Metric Tons

Production 

World NA NA 11.4 1.4 23.1 3 3

U.S. 9.0 15.3 4.4 0.0 12.0 16 18

Foreign NA NA 8.3 1.3 16.9 5 1

Exports World NA NA 5.9 0.6 10.6 5 1

U.S. 16.2 27.4 3.1 0.0 6.8 19 14

Foreign NA NA 2.7 0.7 4.8 4 2

Domestic Use 

World NA NA 6.3 1.2 9.5 3 3

U.S. 6.7 11.3 2.1 0.1 7.5 20 14

Foreign NA NA 5.3 0.2 10.0 3 3

Ending Stocks World NA NA 6.7 4.6 11.1 3 3

U.S. 62.5 106.1 2.9 0.2 8.4 10 24

Foreign NA NA 5.9 1.0 12.2 4 2

COTTON Million 480-Pound Bales

Production 

World 6.2 10.5 4.2 0.1 16.7 21 13

U.S. 11.2 19.0 1.6 0.1 5.5 17 17

Foreign 6.3 10.7 3.3 0.1 12.2 20 14

Exports World 10.7 18.1 2.2 0.1 12.4 18 16

U.S. 31.1 52.8 1.4 0.1 3.8 21 13

Foreign 13.8 23.5 1.7 0.1 10.4 18 16

Domestic Use 

World 4.6 7.8 3.0 0.1 17.2 13 21

U.S. 9.8 16.6 0.6 0.0 1.4 17 16

Foreign 4.6 7.8 2.9 0.0 16.5 15 19

Ending Stocks 

World 18.7 31.7 6.6 1.0 18.1 24 10

U.S. 45.3 76.8 1.6 0.0 4.3 16 18

Foreign 17.7 30.1 5.5 0.1 17.2 24 10

1/ Marketing years 1981/82 through 2014/15 for grains, soybeans (U.S. only), and cotton. Marketing years 2009/10 

through 2013/14 for global and foreign soybeans. Final for grains, soybeans, and cotton is defined as the first November 

estimate following the marketing year for 1981/82 through 2013/14, and for 2014/15 last month’s estimate. 2/ Includes 

corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain.

 

 
 

May 2015

WASDE - 541 - 37

Reliability of United States May Projections 1/

 Differences between forecast and final estimate

 90 percent Years

Root mean 

square error

confidence

interval Average Smallest Largest

Below

Final

Above

Final

CORN Percent Million Bushels

Production 15.7 26.7 767 8 4,010 14 20

Exports 30.0 50.8 299 0 1,100 15 18

Domestic Use 6.7 11.4 334 15 1,538 22 12

Ending Stocks 70.3 119.3 652 41 2,091 15 19

SORGHUM 

Production 20.7 35.1 89 0 228 14 19

Exports 34.0 57.7 47 0 190 16 17

Domestic Use 24.0 40.8 53 0 162 13 20

Ending Stocks 73.4 124.6 52 1 238 12 22

BARLEY 

Production 14.9 25.2 29 1 206 12 22

Exports 74.2 125.9 15 0 92 17 14

Domestic Use 11.9 20.1 31 0 95 16 17

Ending Stocks 21.7 36.8 24 0 78 15 18

OATS 

Production 26.0 44.1 34 1 231 8 26

Exports 118.3 200.7 1 0 8 8 12

Domestic Use 11.3 19.2 22 5 160 13 21

Ending Stocks 33.8 57.3 18 0 77 10 21

SOYBEAN MEAL Thousand Short Tons

Production 6.0 10.1 1,382 0 5,344 20 13

Exports 18.8 32.0 1,042 0 2,750 21 12

Domestic Use 4.7 7.9 872 24 4,950 16 18

Ending Stocks 44.8 76.0 59 0 388 11 15

SOYBEAN OIL Million Pounds

Production 5.6 9.5 655 18 2,500 23 11

Exports 37.3 63.3 513 25 1,700 19 15

Domestic Use 4.1 6.9 444 8 1,800 20 14

Ending Stocks 38.3 65.1 476 25 1,702 20 14

ANIMAL PROD. 3/ Million Pounds 

Beef 4.2 7.2 800 40 2,727 14 7

Pork 3.5 6.1 550 61 1,722 13 7

Broilers 2.6 4.5 732 80 1,640 9 12

Turkeys 4.2 7.2 177 2 500 12 9

 Million Dozen 

Eggs 1.4 2.5 83 2 230 13 8

 Billion Pounds 

Milk 1.7 2.9 2.3 0.0 6.7 11 9

1/ See pages 35 and 36 for record of reliability for U.S. wheat, rice, soybeans, and cotton. Marketing years 1981/82 

through 2014/15 for grains, soybeans, and cotton. Final for grains, soybeans, and cotton is defined as the first November 

estimate following the marketing year for 1981/82 through 2013/14, and for 2014/15 last month’s estimate. Calendar 

years 1982 through 2014 for meats, eggs, and milk. Final for animal products is defined as the latest annual production 

estimate published by NASS for 1982-2014.

 

 
WASDE-541-38 

Related USDA Reports

The WASDE report incorporates information from a number of statistical reports published by USDA and 

other government agencies. In turn, the WASDE report provides a framework for more detailed reports 

issued by USDA’s Economic Research Service and Foreign Agricultural Service. For more information on 

how the WASDE report is prepared, go to: http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde. 

Supply and Demand Database

The Foreign Agricultural Service publishes Production, Supply, and Demand Online, a comprehensive 

database of supply and demand balances by commodity for 190 countries and regions at 

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psd/online. Data for grains, oilseeds, and cotton are updated monthly and data for 

other commodities are updated less frequently. 

Foreign Production Assessments

Preliminary foreign production assessments and satellite imagery analysis used to prepare the WASDE

report are provided by the Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Division (PECAD) of the Foreign 

Agricultural Service. PECAD is located at www.pecad.fas.usda.gov/.

Metric Conversion Factors

1 Hectare = 2.4710 Acres

1 Kilogram = 2.20462 Pounds

Metric-Ton Equivalent = Domestic Unit Factor 

Wheat & Soybeans 

Rice 

Corn, Sorghum, & Rye 

Barley 

Oats 

Sugar 

Cotton 

bushels 

cwt 

bushels 

bushels 

bushels 

short tons 

480-lb bales 

.027216 

.045359 

.025401 

.021772 

.014515 

.907185 

.217720 

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 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20250-3812 

 ___________________ 

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World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates

WASDE-541 – May 12, 2015

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