# Goals for Existing Power Plants in Territories and on Tribal Lands

09000064818e6625.xlsx 

## Description This workbook lists details for fossil EGUs in Puerto Rico (PR), USVI (US Virgin Islands), and Guam Details include combustion type (steam boiler (ST), simple cycle turbine (CT), or combined cycle turbine (CC)), 2012 fuel type, 2012 CO2 emissions (metric tons), and 2012 gross load (MWh gross electrictity output) 

## Inputs and constants Name Value UOM Reference Hours/year **8784**hours cHours Fc coal **1800**scf CO2/mmBtu cFcCoal Fc oil **1420**scf CO2/mmBtu cFcOil Fc gas **1040**scf CO2/mmBtu cFcGas CO2 per mole **0.002590674**scf CO2/lb-mole cCO2SCFMole CO2 mole wt **44**CO2 lb/lb-mole cCO2MW Electricity **3.412**mmBtu/MWh cElecMMBtu Net:gross coal ST **0.9360** cN2GCoal Net:gross oil ST **0.9352** cN2GOil Net:gross NGCC **0.9728** cN2GNGCC Heat rate coal ST **10.107**mmBtu/gross MWh cHRCoal Heat rate oil ST **10.359**mmBtu/gross MWh cHROil Heat rate NGCC **7.615**mmBtu/gross MWh cHRNGCC No. 6 EF **0.01127**metric ton CO2/gallon No. 6cGallon2CO2 Metric conversion **2205**lb/metric ton cMT2LB Option 1 NGCC capacity factor **70%** cOpt1NGCC Option 2 NGCC capacity factor **65%** cOpt2NGCC Puerto Rico electricity sales **18150330**net MWh cPRSales Guam electricity sales **1563475**net MWh cGuamSales Navajo electricity sales **676014**net MWh cNavajoSales Ute electricity sales **470000**net MWh cUteSales Fort Mojave electricity sales **48000**net MWh cFtMojaveSales T&D losses **7.51%** cTDLoss 

## Worksheet descriptions Name Description Info Data Goals - option 1 Calculated 2030 and interim targets for territories and tribes w/ existing 2012 RE, lowest non-zero RE, and tech potential RE Goals - option 2 Calculated 2025 and interim targets for territories and tribes w/ existing 2012 RE, lowest non-zero RE, and tech potential RE 

## Data sources not previously listed A. 2012 Unit-level Data Using the eGRID Methodology - EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602 at http://www.regulations.gov/#!documentDetail;D=EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602-0254 B. US EPA Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program - http://www.epa.gov/ghgreporting C. US EPA Clean Air Markets Database - http://ampd.epa.gov/ampd Info about the workbook, methodology, assumptions, etc... Unfiltered data used for analysis

### C. Guam Power Authority 2013 Integrated Resource Plan - http://guampowerauthority.com/gpa_authority/strategicplanning/documents/2013IRPReportFINAL.pdf

D. Puerto Rico 

## Legend **Input**A user-defined input value (e.g., constants) **Output**A calculated output value **Interim step**A calculated value that is an interim step in a more complex calculation (e.g., helper cell) **QA test**A test to check the quality and accuracy of outputs Explanation A note or description of data, formula, assumptions, or other information

### Details include combustion type (steam boiler (ST), simple cycle turbine (CT), or combined cycle turbine (CC)), 2012 fuel type, 2012 CO2 emissions (metric tons), and 2012 gross load (MWh gross electrictity output)

Notes & sources
40CFR Part 75 Appendix F§3.3.5 40CFR Part 75 Appendix F§3.3.5 40CFR Part 75 Appendix F§3.3.5 40CFR Part 75 Appendix G§2.3

Calculated from 2012 continental US fleet Calculated from 2012 continental US fleet Calculated from 2012 continental US fleet EIA, Electric Power Annual 2012 EIA, Electric Power Annual 2012 EIA, Electric Power Annual 2012 EPA, Climate Registry’s 2013 Default Emission Factors

EIA form 861, 2012 retail sales EIA form 861, 2012 retail sales EIA form 861, 2012 retail sales "Navajo Tribal Utility Authority"

Calculated 2030 and interim targets for territories and tribes w/ existing 2012 RE, lowest non-zero RE, and tech potential RE Calculated 2025 and interim targets for territories and tribes w/ existing 2012 RE, lowest non-zero RE, and tech potential RE

A. 2012 Unit-level Data Using the eGRID Methodology - EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602 at http://www.regulations.gov/#!documentDetail;D=EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602-0254

### C. Guam Power Authority 2013 Integrated Resource Plan - http://guampowerauthority.com/gpa_authority/strategicplanning/documents/2013IRPReportFINAL.pdf

A calculated value that is an interim step in a more complex calculation (e.g., helper cell)
A note or description of data, formula, assumptions, or other information**Include? Plant**  **Unit Fuel**  **Prime**
**mover Capacity** 

**(MW) Fuel** 

**consumption (gallons)**  **CO2 (MT) Net**  **Generation (MWh)**  **Notes** Y Cabras (PITI) - GPA #1 No. 6 ST 66 22397241 **252417** 304141 Y Cabras (PITI) - GPA #2 No. 6 ST 66 22520088 **253801** 296894 Y Tanguisson (Dededo) #1 No. 6 ST 26.5 4717193.91 **53163** 47951 Y Tanguisson (Dededo) #2 No. 6 ST 26.5 6284021.25 **70821** 64090 N PITI #7 No. 2 CT 39 **0 Include?**  **Plant Unit**  **Fuel Prime** 
**mover Capacity** 

**(MW) CO2 (MT)**  **Net Generation (MWh)**  Y AES PR Co-generation (Guayama) #1 Coal ST - CFB 227 1623381 **1615641** Y AES PR Co-generation (Guayama) #2 Coal ST - CFB 227 1810311 **1801679** Y Aguirre AG1 No. 6 ST 450 1414296 **1739329** Y Aguirre AG2 No. 6 ST 450 1675722 **2060836** N Aguirre AGGT1-1No. 2 CT 30 238 **293** N Aguirre AGGT1-2No. 2 CT 30 0 **0** N Aguirre CC1 No. 2 CC 296 105211 **129391** N Aguirre CC2 No. 2 CC 296 125182 **153951** N Cambalache (Arecibo) Camb1 No. 2 CT 83 0 **0** N Cambalache (Arecibo) Camb2 No. 2 CT 83 27810 **34201** N Cambalache (Arecibo) Camb3 No. 2 CT 83 18937 **23289** N Daguao (Ceiba) DAGT1-1No. 2 CT 30 241 **296** N Daguao (Ceiba) DAGT1-2No. 2 CT 30 0 **0** Y Ecoelectrica (Penuelas) CT1 NG CC 540 788617 **1873828** Y Ecoelectrica (Penuelas) CT2 NG CC 540 811822 **1928965** N Jobos (Guayama) JOGT1-1 No. 2 CT 227 0 **0** N Jobos (Guayama) JOGT1-2 No. 2 CT 227 0 **0** N Mayaquez MAYGT5No. 2 CT 27.5 882 **1085** N Mayaquez MAYGT6No. 2 CT 27.5 6247 **7683** N Mayaquez MAYGT7No. 2 CT 27.5 8214 **10102** N Mayaquez MAYGT8No. 2 CT 27.5 4067 **5002** Y Palo Seco (Toa Baja) PS1 No. 6 ST 85 393896 **484421** Y Palo Seco (Toa Baja) PS2 No. 6 ST 85 324081 **398561** Y Palo Seco (Toa Baja) PS3 No. 6 ST 216 846678 **1041262** Y Palo Seco (Toa Baja) PS4 No. 6 ST 216 883408 **1086433** N Palo Seco (Toa Baja) PSGT1-1 No. 2 CT 30 1726 **2123** N Palo Seco (Toa Baja) PSGT1-2 No. 2 CT 30 1727 **2124** N Palo Seco (Toa Baja) PSGT2-1 No. 2 CT 30 1779 **2188** N Palo Seco (Toa Baja) PSGT2-2 No. 2 CT 30 1690 **2078** N Palo Seco (Toa Baja) PSGT3-1 No. 2 CT 30 1505 **1851** N Palo Seco (Toa Baja) PSGT3-2 No. 2 CT 30 1408 **1732** Y San Juan SJ7 No. 6 ST 100 521767 **641679** Y San Juan SJ8 No. 6 ST 100 458943 **564417** Y San Juan SJ9 No. 6 ST 100 198840 **244537** Y San Juan SJ10 No. 6 ST 100 452806 **556870** N San Juan SJCC5 No. 2 CC 232 584236 **718505** N San Juan SJCC6 No. 2 CC 232 118492 **145724** Y South Coast (Guayanilla) SC3 No. 6 ST 85 140392 **172657** Y South Coast (Guayanilla) SC4 No. 6 ST 85 134482 **165389** Y South Coast (Guayanilla) SC5 No. 6 ST 410 1565403 **1925164** Y South Coast (Guayanilla) SC6 No. 6 ST 410 1367546 **1681835** N South Coast (Guayanilla) SCGT1-1 No. 2 CT 45 192 **236** N South Coast (Guayanilla) SCGT1-2 No. 2 CT 45 220 **271** N Vega Baja VBGT1-1No. 2 CT 30 330 **406** N Vega Baja VBGT1-2No. 2 CT 30 502 **617** N Yabucoa (Humacao) YAGT1-1 No. 2 CT 30 77 **95** N Yabucoa (Humacao) YAGT1-2 No. 2 CT 30 152 **187**

1700.618764 0.830699558**Notes net**  **State Plant Name**  **ORIS code Generator**  **ID Fuel type**  **Prime**
**mover type**  **Nameplate**

**Capacity (MW)**  **Capacity**

**Input** COALST Navajo Four Corners 24421 SUB ST 190 2047 COALST Navajo Four Corners 24422 SUB ST 190 2047 COALST Navajo Four Corners 24423 SUB ST 253.4 2047 COALST Navajo Four Corners 24424 SUB ST 818.1 2047 COALST Navajo Four Corners 24425 SUB ST 818.1 2047 COALST Navajo Navajo 4941NAV1 BIT ST 803.1 16700 COALST Navajo Navajo 4941NAV2 BIT ST 803.1 16700 COALST Navajo Navajo 4941NAV3 BIT ST 803.1 16700 COALST Ute Bonanza 77901 BIT ST 499.5 5500 COALST Ute Bonanza 77902 WC ST 110 0 NGCC Fort MojaveSouth Point Energy Center 55177A NG CC 236 2150 NGCC Fort MojaveSouth Point Energy Center 55177B NG CC 236 2150 NGCC Fort MojaveSouth Point Energy Center 55177ST1 NG CC 236 2150**Electric**

**Generation (MWh)**  **Net Energy**

**Output (MWh) 2**  **Carbon Dioxide**

**Emissions (Unadjusted)**  **(tons) Unit Status**  1062438 1062438 1230899.1Operating 1071679 1071679 1234120.602Operating 1423980 1423980 1911875.148Operating 5043596 5043596 5012380.934Operating 5139692 5139692 5102038.347Operating 5295416 5295416 6184134.278Operating 5329026 5329026 5306560.461Operating 5263626 5263626 5434863.721Operating 3090433 3090433 3314096.525Operating 0 0 0Retired 453364.3333453364.3333 194510.063Operating 453364.3333453364.3333 194510.063Operating 453364.3333453364.3333 194510.063Operating

# Option 1A - 2030 goal (6% HRI, 70% NGCC utilization) w/ 2012 non-hydro renewable generation

State Coal Rate

(lb/MWh)NGCC Rate

(lb/MWh)O/G rate

(lb/MWh)Other

Emissions (lbs) Hist Coal

Gen (MWh)Hist NGCC

Gen. (MWh) Historic OG

steam Gen. (MWh) Puerto Rico 2,216 928 1,793 03,417,3203,802,79312,763,391 Guam 0 0 1,949 0 0 0 713,075
Navajo 2,121 0 0 029,629,453 0 0 Ute 2,145 0 0 03,090,433 0 0 Fort Mojave 0 858 0 0 01,360,093 0 

# Option 1B - 2030 goal (6% HRI, 70% NGCC utilization) w/ 2012 US lowest non-zero renewable generation

State Coal Rate

(lb/MWh)NGCC Rate

(lb/MWh)O/G rate

(lb/MWh)Other

Emissions (lbs) Hist Coal

Gen (MWh)Hist NGCC

Gen. (MWh) Historic OG

steam Gen. (MWh) Puerto Rico 2,216 928 1,793 03,417,3203,802,79312,763,391 Guam 0 0 1,949 0 0 0 713,075
Navajo 2,121 0 0 029,629,453 0 0 Ute 2,145 0 0 03,090,433 0 0 Fort Mojave 0 858 0 0 01,360,093 0 

# Option 1 Alternative - 2030 goal (6% HRI, 70% NGCC utilization) w/ 2012 technical potential renewable generation

State Coal Rate

(lb/MWh)NGCC Rate

(lb/MWh)O/G rate

(lb/MWh)Other

Emissions (lbs) Hist Coal

Gen (MWh)Hist NGCC

Gen. (MWh) Historic OG

steam Gen. (MWh) Puerto Rico 2,216 928 1,793 03,417,3203,802,79312,763,391 Guam 0 0 1,949 0 0 0 713,075
Navajo 2,121 0 0 029,629,453 0 0 Ute 2,145 0 0 03,090,433 0 0Fort Mojave 0 858 0 0 01,360,093 0

# Option 1A - 2030 goal (6% HRI, 70% NGCC utilization) w/ 2012 non-hydro renewable generation

**Step 2 (HRI)**

Other Gen. (MWh) NGCC

Capacity (MW ) Under

Construction NGCC Capacity (MW) Adj. Coal

Rate (lbs/MWh)Redispatched

Coal Gen. (MWh) Redispatched

O/G steam Gen. (MWh) Redispatched

NGCC Gen. (MWh) Other

Emissions (lbs) 0 1,080 0 2,083 2,817,961 10,524,839 6,640,704 0 0 0 0 0 0 713,075 0 0

0 0 0 1,993 29,629,453 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,016 3,090,433 0 0 0 0 708 0 0 0 0 1,360,093 0 

# Option 1B - 2030 goal (6% HRI, 70% NGCC utilization) w/ 2012 US lowest non-zero renewable generation

**Step 2 (HRI)**

Other Gen. (MWh) NGCC

Capacity (MW ) Under

Construction NGCC Capacity (MW) Adj. Coal

Rate (lbs/MWh)Redispatched

Coal Gen. (MWh) Redispatched

O/G steam Gen. (MWh) Redispatched

NGCC Gen. (MWh) Other

Emissions (lbs) 0 1,080 0 2,083 2,817,961 10,524,839 6,640,704 0 0 0 0 0 0 713,075 0 0

0 0 0 1,993 29,629,453 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,016 3,090,433 0 0 0 0 708 0 0 0 0 1,360,093 0 

# Option 1 Alternative - 2030 goal (6% HRI, 70% NGCC utilization) w/ 2012 technical potential renewable generation

**Step 2 (HRI)**

Other Gen. (MWh) NGCC

Capacity (MW ) Under

Construction NGCC Capacity (MW) Adj. Coal

Rate (lbs/MWh)Redispatched

Coal Gen. (MWh) Redispatched

O/G steam Gen. (MWh) Redispatched

NGCC Gen. (MWh) Other

Emissions (lbs) 0 1,080 0 2,083 2,817,961 10,524,839 6,640,704 0 0 0 0 0 0 713,075 0 0

0 0 0 1,993 29,629,453 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,016 3,090,433 0 0 0 **Step 3a & 3b (Redispatch) Step 3a & 3b (Redispatch)** 

**Step 3a & 3b (Redispatch)**0 708 0 0 0 0 1,360,093 0**Step 4a Nuclear**

Other Gen. (MWh) 2012 NGCC

Capacity Factor* Post

Redispatched Assumed NGCC Capacity Factor for Existing FleetNuclear

Generation Under Construction and "At Risk" (MWh)2020 Existing

and Incremental RE 2021 Existing

and Incremental RE 2022 Existing

and Incremental RE 2023 Existing

and Incremental RE 0 40% 70% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0 0 0 0 0

0 0% 0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 22% 22% 0 0 0 0 0

**Step 4a Nuclear**

Other Gen. (MWh) 2012 NGCC

Capacity Factor* Post

Redispatched Assumed NGCC Capacity Factor for Existing FleetNuclear

Generation Under Construction and "At Risk" (MWh)2020 Existing

and Incremental RE 2021 Existing

and Incremental RE 2022 Existing

and Incremental RE 2023 Existing

and Incremental RE 0 40% 70% 0 101,092 109,847 119,360 129,697 0 0% 0% 0 7,992 8,685 9,437 10,254

0 0% 0% 0 130,570 138,404 146,708 155,511 0 0% 0% 0 13,619 14,436 15,302 16,220 0 22% 22% 0 5,994 6,353 6,734 7,138

**Step 4a Nuclear**

Other Gen. (MWh) 2012 NGCC

Capacity Factor* Post

Redispatched Assumed NGCC Capacity Factor for Existing FleetNuclear

Generation Under Construction and "At Risk" (MWh)2020 Existing

and Incremental RE 2021 Existing

and Incremental RE 2022 Existing

and Incremental RE 2023 Existing

and Incremental RE 0 40% 70% 0 249,220 249,220 249,220 249,220 0 0% 0% 0 0 0 0 0

0 0% 0% 0 3,128,946 3,128,946 3,128,946 3,128,962 0 0% 0% 0 402,406 402,406 402,406 402,428 **Step 3a & 3b (Redispatch) Step 3a & 3b (Redispatch)** 

**Step 3a & 3b (Redispatch)**0 22% 22% 0 143,629 143,629 143,629 143,6302024 Existing

and Incremental RE 2025 Existing

and Incremental RE 2026 Existing

and Incremental RE 2027 Existing

and Incremental RE 2028 Existing

and Incremental RE 2029 Existing

and Incremental RE 2020 EE

Potential2021 EE

Potential 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.15% 1.88% 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.15% 1.88%

0 0 0 0 0 0 1.13% 1.84% 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.14% 1.85% 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.13% 1.84%

2024 Existing and Incremental RE 2025 Existing

and Incremental RE 2026 Existing

and Incremental RE 2027 Existing

and Incremental RE 2028 Existing

and Incremental RE 2029 Existing

and Incremental RE 2020 EE

Potential2021 EE

Potential 140,929 153,134 166,396 180,806 196,464 213,478 1.15% 1.88% 11,142 12,107 13,155 14,295 15,532 16,878 1.15% 1.88%
164,841 174,732 185,216 196,329 208,109 220,595 1.13% 1.84% 17,193 18,225 19,319 20,478 21,706 23,009 1.14% 1.85% 7,567 8,021 8,502 9,012 9,553 10,126 1.13% 1.84%

2024 Existing and Incremental RE 2025 Existing

and Incremental RE 2026 Existing

and Incremental RE 2027 Existing

and Incremental RE 2028 Existing

and Incremental RE 2029 Existing

and Incremental RE 2020 EE

Potential2021 EE

Potential 249,220 249,220 249,220 249,220 249,220 249,220 1.15% 1.88% 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.15% 1.88%
3,128,962 3,128,962 3,128,962 3,128,962 3,129,253 3,129,253 1.13% 1.84% 402,428 402,428 402,428 402,428 402,635 402,635 1.14% 1.85% **Step 4b Renewable (MWh) Step 4b Renewable (MWh)** 

**Step 4b Renewable (MWh)**143,630 143,630 143,630 143,630 143,643 143,643 1.13% 1.84%2022 EE

Potential2023 EE

Potential2024 EE

Potential2025 EE

Potential2026 EE

Potential 2027 EE

Potential 2028 EE

Potential2029 EE

Potential (%) State

Generation as % of sales 2.76% 3.77% 4.90% 6.04% 7.08% 8.04% 8.91% 9.69% 100% 2.76% 3.77% 4.90% 6.04% 7.08% 8.04% 8.91% 9.69% 100%

2.68% 3.65% 4.73% 5.80% 6.78% 7.66% 8.45% 9.15% 4077% 2.70% 3.68% 4.77% 5.86% 6.85% 7.75% 8.56% 9.28% 612% 2.68% 3.65% 4.73% 5.80% 6.78% 7.66% 8.45% 9.15% 2636%

2022 EE Potential2023 EE

Potential2024 EE

Potential2025 EE

Potential2026 EE

Potential 2027 EE

Potential 2028 EE

Potential2029 EE

Potential (%) State

Generation as % of sales 2.76% 3.77% 4.90% 6.04% 7.08% 8.04% 8.91% 9.69% 100% 2.76% 3.77% 4.90% 6.04% 7.08% 8.04% 8.91% 9.69% 100%

2.68% 3.65% 4.73% 5.80% 6.78% 7.66% 8.45% 9.15% 4077% 2.70% 3.68% 4.77% 5.86% 6.85% 7.75% 8.56% 9.28% 612% 2.68% 3.65% 4.73% 5.80% 6.78% 7.66% 8.45% 9.15% 2636%

2022 EE Potential2023 EE

Potential2024 EE

Potential2025 EE

Potential2026 EE

Potential 2027 EE

Potential 2028 EE

Potential2029 EE

Potential (%) State

Generation as % of sales 2.76% 3.77% 4.90% 6.04% 7.08% 8.04% 8.91% 9.69% 100% 2.76% 3.77% 4.90% 6.04% 7.08% 8.04% 8.91% 9.69% 100%

2.68% 3.65% 4.73% 5.80% 6.78% 7.66% 8.45% 9.15% 4077% 2.70% 3.68% 4.77% 5.86% 6.85% 7.75% 8.56% 9.28% 612% **Step 5 (Demand Side EE - % of avoided MWh) Step 5 (Demand Side EE - % of avoided MWh)** 

**Step 5 (Demand Side EE - % of avoided MWh)**2.68% 3.65% 4.73% 5.80% 6.78% 7.66% 8.45% 9.15% 2636%2012 Total

MWh (+7.51% T&D losses) 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 19,513,420 1,529 1,518 1,506 1,491 1,476 1,460 1,446 1,434 1,680,892 1,897 1,866 1,830 1,790 1,747 1,706 1,670 1,638
726,783 1,993 1,993 1,992 1,992 1,991 1,991 1,990 1,990 505,297 2,012 2,010 2,007 2,004 2,000 1,997 1,994 1,991 51,605 858 857 857 857 857 856 856 856

2012 Total MWh (+7.51% T&D losses) 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 19,513,420 1,522 1,510 1,497 1,482 1,466 1,450 1,435 1,422 1,680,892 1,877 1,844 1,807 1,766 1,723 1,681 1,644 1,611
726,783 1,984 1,983 1,982 1,981 1,980 1,979 1,978 1,977 505,297 2,004 2,001 1,997 1,994 1,989 1,985 1,981 1,978 51,605 854 853 853 852 852 851 851 850

2012 Total MWh (+7.51% T&D losses) 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 19,513,420 1,511 1,500 1,488 1,474 1,458 1,443 1,430 1,417 1,680,892 1,897 1,866 1,830 1,790 1,747 1,706 1,670 1,638
726,783 1,803 1,802 1,802 1,802 1,801 1,801 1,800 1,800 505,297 1,781 1,779 1,777 1,774 1,772 1,769 1,766 1,764 **Step 6&7 (State Goal Phase I & II (lbs/MWh)) Step 6&7 (State Goal Phase I & II (lbs/MWh))** 

**Step 6&7 (State Goal Phase I & II (lbs/MWh))**51,605 776 776 775 775 775 775 774 7742028 2029**Interim Goal (2020 -**  **2029 average)**  **Final Goal**

**(2030)** 1,423 1,413 **1,470 1,413**  1,611 1,586 **1,734 1,586** 
1,989 1,989 **1,991 1,989**  1,988 1,986 **1,999 1,986**  855 855 **856 855** 

2028 2029**Interim**

**Goal (2020 - 2029**  **average) Final Goal** 

**(2030)** 1,410 1,399 **1,459 1,399**  1,582 1,556 **1,709 1,556** 
1,975 1,974 **1,979 1,974**  1,975 1,971 **1,988 1,971**  849 849 **851 849** 

2028 2029**Interim**

**Goal (2020 - 2029**  **average) Final Goal** 

**(2030)** 1,406 1,397 **1,452 1,397**  1,611 1,586 **1,734 1,586** 
1,800 1,799 **1,801 1,799**  1,762 1,760 **1,770 1,760** 774 774 **775 774** 

# Option 2A - 2025 goal (4% HRI, 65% NGCC utilization) w/ 2012 non-hydro renewable generation

State Coal Rate

(lb/MWh)NGCC Rate

(lb/MWh)O/G rate

(lb/MWh)Other

Emissions (lbs) Hist Coal

Gen (MWh)Hist NGCC

Gen. (MWh) Historic OG

steam Gen. (MWh) Other Gen.

(MWh) Puerto Rico 2,216 928 1,793 03,417,3203,802,79312,763,391 0 Guam 0 0 1,949 0 0 0 713,075 0
Navajo 2,121 0 0 029,629,453 0 0 0 Ute 2,145 0 0 03,090,433 0 0 0 Fort Mojave 0 858 0 0 01,360,093 0 0 

# Option 2B - 2025 goal (4% HRI, 65% NGCC utilization) w/ 2012 US lowest non-zero renewable generation

State Coal Rate

(lb/MWh)NGCC Rate

(lb/MWh)O/G rate

(lb/MWh)Other

Emissions (lbs) Hist Coal

Gen (MWh)Hist NGCC

Gen. (MWh) Historic OG

steam Gen. (MWh) Other Gen.

(MWh) Puerto Rico 2,216 928 1,793 03,417,3203,802,79312,763,391 0 Guam 0 0 1,949 0 0 0 713,075 0
Navajo 2,121 0 0 029,629,453 0 0 0 Ute 2,145 0 0 03,090,433 0 0 0 Fort Mojave 0 858 0 0 01,360,093 0 0

# Option 2A - 2025 goal (4% HRI, 65% NGCC utilization) w/ 2012 non-hydro renewable generation

**Step 2 (HRI)**

NGCC Capacity (MW ) Under

Construction NGCC Capacity (MW) Adj. Coal

Rate (lbs/MWh)Redispatched

Coal Gen. (MWh) Redispatched

O/G steam Gen. (MWh) Redispatched

NGCC Gen. (MWh) Other

Emissions (lbs) Other Gen.

(MWh) 1,080 0 2,127 2,918,140 10,898,997 6,166,368 0 0 0 0 0 0 713,075 0 0 0

0 0 2,036 29,629,453 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,059 3,090,433 0 0 0 0 708 0 0 0 0 1,360,093 0 0 

# Option 2B - 2025 goal (4% HRI, 65% NGCC utilization) w/ 2012 US lowest non-zero renewable generation

**Step 2 (HRI)**

NGCC Capacity (MW ) Under

Construction NGCC Capacity (MW) Adj. Coal

Rate (lbs/MWh)Redispatched

Coal Gen. (MWh) Redispatched

O/G steam Gen. (MWh) Redispatched

NGCC Gen. (MWh) Other

Emissions (lbs) Other Gen.

(MWh) 1,080 0 2,127 2,918,140 10,898,997 6,166,368 0 0 0 0 0 0 713,075 0 0 0

0 0 2,036 29,629,453 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,059 3,090,433 0 0 0 0 708 0 0 0 0 1,360,093 0 0 **Step 3a & 3b (Redispatch) Step 3a & 3b (Redispatch)** **Step 4a Nuclear**

2012 NGCC Capacity Factor* Post

Redispatched Assumed NGCC Capacity Factor for Existing FleetNuclear

Generation Under Construction and "At Risk" (MWh)2020 Existing

and Incremental RE 2021 Existing

and Incremental RE 2022 Existing

and Incremental RE 2023 Existing

and Incremental RE 2024 Existing

and Incremental RE 40% 65% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0 0 0 0 0 0

0% 0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 22% 22% 0 0 0 0 0 0

**Step 4a Nuclear**

2012 NGCC Capacity Factor* Post

Redispatched Assumed NGCC Capacity Factor for Existing FleetNuclear

Generation Under Construction and "At Risk" (MWh)2020 Existing

and Incremental RE 2021 Existing

and Incremental RE 2022 Existing

and Incremental RE 2023 Existing

and Incremental RE 2024 Existing

and Incremental RE 40% 65% 0 101,092 109,847 119,360 129,697 140,929 0% 0% 0 7,992 8,685 9,437 10,254 11,142

0% 0% 0 130,570 138,404 146,708 155,511 164,841 0% 0% 0 13,619 14,436 15,302 16,220 17,193 22% 22% 0 5,994 6,353 6,734 7,138 7,567 **Step 4b Renewable (MWh) Step 4b Renewable (MWh)** 2020 EE

Potential2021 EE

Potential2022 EE

Potential2023 EE

Potential2024 EE

PotentialState

Generation as % of sales 2012 Total

MWh (+7.51% T&D losses) 2020 2021 0.87% 1.41% 2.07% 2.84% 3.65% 100%19,513,420 1,562 1,553 0.87% 1.41% 2.07% 2.84% 3.65% 100%1,680,892 1,910 1,886

0.85% 1.38% 2.02% 2.75% 3.52% 4077% 726,783 2,035 2,035 0.85% 1.39% 2.03% 2.77% 3.55% 612% 505,297 2,056 2,054 0.85% 1.38% 2.02% 2.75% 3.52% 2636% 51,605 858 858

2020 EE Potential2021 EE

Potential2022 EE

Potential2023 EE

Potential2024 EE

PotentialState

Generation as % of sales 2012 Total

MWh (+7.51% T&D losses) 2020 2021 0.87% 1.41% 2.07% 2.84% 3.65% 100%19,513,420 1,554 1,545 0.87% 1.41% 2.07% 2.84% 3.65% 100%1,680,892 1,889 1,864

0.85% 1.38% 2.02% 2.75% 3.52% 4077% 726,783 2,026 2,026 0.85% 1.39% 2.03% 2.77% 3.55% 612% 505,297 2,047 2,045 0.85% 1.38% 2.02% 2.75% 3.52% 2636% 51,605 854 854

**Step 5 (Demand Side EE - % of avoided MWh) Step 6&7 (State Goal Phase I & II (lbs/MWh))**  **Step 5 (Demand Side EE - % of avoided MWh) Step 6&7 (State Goal Phase I & II (lbs/MWh))** 2022 2023 2024**Interim Goal (2020 -**  **2024 average)**  **Final Goal**

**(2025)** 1,544 1,532 1,521 **1,548 1,521**  1,858 1,827 1,795 **1,870 1,795** 
2,035 2,034 2,034 **2,035 2,034**  2,052 2,050 2,047 **2,053 2,047**  857 857 857 **858 857** 

2022 2023 2024**Interim Goal (2020 -**  **2024 average)**  **Final Goal**

**(2025)** 1,535 1,523 1,510 **1,539 1,510**  1,835 1,802 1,769 **1,847 1,769** 
2,025 2,024 2,023 **2,025 2,023**  2,042 2,039 2,036 **2,043 2,036**  853 853 852 **853 852**  **Step 6&7 (State Goal Phase I & II (lbs/MWh)) Step 6&7 (State Goal Phase I & II (lbs/MWh))** 

## Inputs and constants

Name Value UOM Reference 2012$:2011$ **0.9824** cTDLoss LNG adder **3.50**$/mmBtu cLNGAdder 2020 coal cost **3.33**$/mmBtu cCoalCost20PR 2025 coal cost **3.47**$/mmBtu cCoalCost25PR 2030 coal cost **3.63**$/mmBtu cCoalCost30PR 2020 LNG cost **9.40**$/mmBtu cLNGCost20PR 2025 LNG cost **10.06**$/mmBtu cLNGCost25PR 2030 LNG cost **10.71**$/mmBtu cLNGCost30PR 2020 No. 2 cost (PR) **20.02**$/mmBtu cNo2Cost20PR 2025 No. 2 cost (PR) **22.26**$/mmBtu cNo2Cost25PR 2030 No. 2 cost (PR) **23.89**$/mmBtu cNo2Cost30PR 2020 No. 6 cost (PR) **13.19**$/mmBtu cNo6Cost20PR 2025 No. 6 cost (PR) **14.87**$/mmBtu cNo6Cost25PR 2030 No. 6 cost (PR) **16.62**$/mmBtu cNo6Cost30PR 2020 No. 6 cost (Guam) **13.65**$/mmBtu cNo6Cost20GM 2025 No. 6 cost (Guam) **15.33**$/mmBtu cNo6Cost25GM 2030 No. 6 cost (Guam) **16.84**$/mmBtu cNo6Cost30GM 2012 PR coal/(coal + oil) **21.12%** cPRCoalShare 2012 PR oil/(coal + oil) **78.88%** cPROilShare Annualized cost of HRI tech upgrades **14300**$/MW cHRIEquipCost 

## Assumptions 1. Demand-side EE & RE offset the most expensive generation in the territory (No. 2 or No. 6) from affected EGUs 2. LNG is available to PR at regional NG prices with a $3.50 adder for liquefaction and transportation (from Galway & PREPA study - http://www.gdb-pur.com/investors_resources/documents/GNRoundtable-v2FINAL-GS.pdf 

## Data sources not previously listed A. EIA, AEO 2014 (Energy Prices by Sector and Source, United States - reference case) - http://www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo/tablebrowser/#release=AEO2014&subject=0-AEO2014&table=3-AEO2014®ion=1-0&cases=ref2014-d102413a 

## Legend **Input**A user-defined input value (e.g., constants) **Output**A calculated output value **Interim step**A calculated value that is an interim step in a more complex calculation (e.g., helper cell) **QA test**A test to check the quality and accuracy of outputs Explanation A note or description of data, formula, assumptions, or other information

### Notes & sources

http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/browse/collection.action?collectionCode=ECONI Adder for liquefaction and transportation (Galway & PREPA) South Atlantic region fuel cost projections (EIA, AEO 2014) South Atlantic region fuel cost projections (EIA, AEO 2014) South Atlantic region fuel cost projections (EIA, AEO 2014) South Atlantic region fuel cost projections (EIA, AEO 2014) + LNG adder South Atlantic region fuel cost projections (EIA, AEO 2014) + LNG adder South Atlantic region fuel cost projections (EIA, AEO 2014) + LNG adder South Atlantic region fuel cost projections (EIA, AEO 2014) South Atlantic region fuel cost projections (EIA, AEO 2014) South Atlantic region fuel cost projections (EIA, AEO 2014) South Atlantic region fuel cost projections (EIA, AEO 2014) South Atlantic region fuel cost projections (EIA, AEO 2014) South Atlantic region fuel cost projections (EIA, AEO 2014) Pacific region fuel cost projectsion (EIA, AEO 2014) Pacific region fuel cost projectsion (EIA, AEO 2014) Pacific region fuel cost projectsion (EIA, AEO 2014)

1. Demand-side EE & RE offset the most expensive generation in the territory (No. 2 or No. 6) from affected EGUs 2. LNG is available to PR at regional NG prices with a $3.50 adder for liquefaction and transportation (from Galway & PREPA study - http://www.gdb-pur.com/investors_resources/documents/GNRoundtable-v2FINAL-GS.pdf

A. EIA, AEO 2014 (Energy Prices by Sector and Source, United States - reference case) - http://www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo/tablebrowser/#release=AEO2014&subject=0-AEO2014&table=3-AEO2014®ion=1-0&cases=ref2014-d102413a

A calculated value that is an interim step in a more complex calculation (e.g., helper cell)
A note or description of data, formula, assumptions, or other information

### A. EIA, AEO 2014 (Energy Prices by Sector and Source, United States - reference case) - http://www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo/tablebrowser/#release=AEO2014&subject=0-AEO2014&table=3-AEO2014®ion=1-0&cases=ref2014-d102413a

### Option 1 (0 RE) **Electricity generation** Baseline2012 2020 2025 2030 2020 Puerto Rico 19,983,504 19,983,504 19,983,50419,983,50419,758,396 Guam 713,075 713,075 713,075 713,075 693,685



## Implementation costs & CO2 reductions

2020 2025 2030 Puerto Rico Capital ($) - HRI 6,492,200

$ 6,492,200

$ 6,492,200

$ Capital ($) - DS EE

-

$

-

$

-

$ Fuel savings ($) (159,478,963)

$ (335,901,578)

$ (507,944,425)

$ CO2 (MT) -1,581,027 -2,355,780 -2,935,368 Guam Capital ($) - DS EE

-

$

-

$

-

$ Fuel savings ($) (2,741,065)

$ (16,112,877)

$ (28,413,907)

$ CO2 (MT) -17,137 -89,674 -143,938 

### Option 1 (.37% RE)**Electricity generation** Baseline2012 2020 2025 2030 2020 Puerto Rico 19,983,504 19,983,504 19,983,50419,983,50419,758,396 Guam 713,075 713,075 713,075 713,075 693,685



## Implementation costs & CO2 reductions

2020 2025 2030 Puerto Rico Capital ($) - HRI 6,492,200

$ 6,492,200

$ 6,492,200

$ Capital ($) - DS EE ???? ???? ???? Capital ($) - RE ???? ???? ???? Fuel savings ($) (173,292,940)

$ (359,496,315)

$ (544,708,233)

$ CO2 (MT) -1,663,228 -2,480,297 -3,108,953 Guam Capital ($) - DS EE ???? ???? ???? Capital ($) - RE ???? ???? ???? Fuel savings ($) (3,870,855)

$ (18,035,442)

$ (31,358,409)

$ CO2 (MT) -24,201 -100,373 -158,854 

### Option 2 (0 RE) **Electricity generation** Baseline2012 2020 2025 2020 2025 Puerto Rico 19,983,504 19,983,504 19,983,50419,814,51719,272,033 Guam 713,075 713,075 713,075 698,519 651,789



## Implementation costs & CO2 reductions

2020 2025 Puerto Rico Capital ($) - HRI 6,492,200

$ 6,492,200

$ Capital ($) - DS EE

-

$

-

$ Fuel savings ($) (151,810,313)

$ (264,032,441)

$ CO2 (MT) -1,478,765 -1,919,873 Guam Capital ($) - DS EE

-

$

-

$Base case Step 1 - Demand Side EE

Base case Step 1 - Demand Side EE

Base case Step 1 - Demand Side EEFuel savings ($) (2,057,709) $ (9,732,328)

$ CO2 (MT) -12,865 -54,164



### Option 2 (.37% RE)**Electricity generation** Baseline2012 2020 2025 2020 2025 Puerto Rico 19,983,504 19,983,504 19,983,50419,814,51719,272,033 Guam 713,075 713,075 713,075 698,519 651,789



## Implementation costs & CO2 reductions

2020 2025 Puerto Rico Capital ($) - HRI 6,492,200

$ 6,492,200

$ Capital ($) - DS EE ???? ???? Capital ($) - RE ???? ???? Fuel savings ($) (165,624,291)

$ (285,746,674)

$ CO2 (MT) -1,560,966 -2,034,467 Guam Capital ($) - DS EE ???? ???? Capital ($) - RE ???? ???? Fuel savings ($) (3,187,498)

$ (11,501,664)

$ CO2 (MT) -19,928 -64,011 Base case Step 1 - Demand Side EE2025 2030 2020 2025 2030 2020 2025 2030

18,805,58918,092,80119,758,39618,805,58918,092,80119,758,39618,805,58918,092,801 611,610 550,210 693,685 611,610 550,210 693,685 611,610 550,210

2025 2030 2020 2025 2030 2020 2025 2030 18,805,58918,092,80119,657,30418,652,45517,879,32319,657,30418,652,45517,879,323 611,610 550,210 685,692 599,503 533,332 685,692 599,503 533,332

2020 2025 2020 2025 19,814,51719,272,03319,814,51719,272,033 698,519 651,789 698,519 651,789 Step 2 - Renewables Step 3 - Redispatch Step 1 - Demand Side EE Step 2 - Renewables Step 3 - Redispatch

Step 1 - Demand Side EE Step 2 - Renewables Step 3 - Redispatch2020 2025 2020 2025

19,713,42419,131,10319,713,42419,131,103 690,526 640,647 690,526 640,647 Step 2 - Renewables Step 3 - Redispatch