24-Hour 2019 Design Value Estimation

4-km CMAQ simulation for the SJV domain

2005 2006 2007 2007 DV 2017 2018 2019 2019 DV

66.4 64.7 72.2 67.8 34.6 26.4 37.6 32.9

3 2 3 3 3 3

RRF Q1 Q4

NH4 0.57 0.56

NO3 0.54 0.53

SO4 0.90 0.97

OC 0.32 0.34

EC 0.20 0.23

Salt 0.70 0.74

Geologic 0.67 0.88

Split Q1 Q4

NH4 0.13 0.15

NO3 0.40 0.45

SO4 0.04 0.04

OC 0.28 0.21

EC 0.04 0.03

Salt 0.01 0.00

Geologic 0.03 0.02

PB Water 0.08 0.09

Total 1.00 1.00

2005 → 2017

2005 Q1

3/11/2005 2/6/2005 2/12/2005 2/9/2005 1/13/2005 1/25/2005 1/16/2005 2/3/2005

51.6 41.8 40.2 33.4 29.5 27.3 26.6 26.0

NH4 6.61 5.34 5.13 4.25 3.75 3.46 3.37 3.30

NO3 20.40 16.48 15.85 13.13 11.58 10.70 10.42 10.18

SO4 1.83 1.48 1.42 1.18 1.04 0.96 0.93 0.91

OC 14.56 11.77 11.31 9.37 8.26 7.64 7.44 7.26

EC 1.84 1.49 1.43 1.19 1.05 0.97 0.94 0.92

Salt 0.32 0.26 0.25 0.21 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.16

Geologic 1.62 1.31 1.26 1.04 0.92 0.85 0.83 0.81

PB Water 3.92 3.17 3.05 2.53 2.23 2.06 2.00 1.96

Total 51.1 41.3 39.7 32.9 29.0 26.8 26.1 25.5

2017 Q1

NH4 3.84 3.11 2.99 2.47 2.18 2.02 1.96 1.92

NO3 11.11 8.98 8.63 7.15 6.31 5.83 5.68 5.55

SO4 1.64 1.33 1.28 1.06 0.93 0.86 0.84 0.82

OC 4.68 3.78 3.64 3.01 2.66 2.45 2.39 2.33

EC 0.38 0.31 0.29 0.24 0.21 0.20 0.19 0.19

Salt 0.22 0.18 0.17 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.11

Geologic 1.08 0.87 0.84 0.69 0.61 0.57 0.55 0.54

PB Water 2.18 1.76 1.69 1.40 1.24 1.14 1.11 1.09

Blank 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5

Total 25.6 20.8 20.0 16.7 14.8 13.7 13.3 13.0

98th Percentile

Rank

Bakersfield - East Planz Street

Current Mass

Future Mass
2005 Q4

12/15/2005 11/21/2005 12/17/2005 12/16/2005 12/6/2005 11/18/2005 11/15/2005 11/12/2005

77.5 71.7 66.4 63.0 47.6 42.9 41.3 40.2

NH4 11.41 10.55 9.76 9.26 6.98 6.28 6.04 5.88

NO3 35.00 32.37 29.96 28.41 21.41 19.27 18.55 18.05

SO4 3.32 3.07 2.84 2.70 2.03 1.83 1.76 1.71

OC 16.22 14.99 13.88 13.16 9.92 8.93 8.59 8.36

EC 2.45 2.27 2.10 1.99 1.50 1.35 1.30 1.26

Salt 0.28 0.26 0.24 0.23 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.15

Geologic 1.57 1.45 1.34 1.27 0.96 0.86 0.83 0.81

PB Water 6.75 6.24 5.78 5.48 4.13 3.72 3.58 3.48

Total 77.0 71.2 65.9 62.5 47.1 42.4 40.8 39.7

2017 Q4

NH4 6.62 6.12 5.67 5.37 4.05 3.65 3.51 3.41

NO3 18.65 17.24 15.96 15.14 11.41 10.27 9.88 9.62

SO4 3.21 2.97 2.75 2.61 1.97 1.77 1.70 1.66

OC 5.50 5.09 4.71 4.46 3.36 3.03 2.91 2.84

EC 0.56 0.51 0.48 0.45 0.34 0.31 0.29 0.29

Salt 0.21 0.19 0.18 0.17 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.11

Geologic 1.38 1.28 1.18 1.12 0.85 0.76 0.73 0.71

PB Water 3.69 3.41 3.16 2.99 2.26 2.03 1.95 1.90

Blank 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5

Total 40.3 37.3 34.6 32.8 24.9 22.4 21.6 21.0

2006 → 2018

2006 Q1

2/7/2006 2/24/2006 1/11/2006 2/4/2006 2/10/2006 1/23/2006 1/7/2006 1/17/2006

43.8 37.5 36.3 36.2 33.0 32.5 30.7 26.4

NH4 5.60 4.78 4.63 4.62 4.20 4.14 3.90 3.35

NO3 17.28 14.77 14.29 14.25 12.97 12.77 12.05 10.34

SO4 1.55 1.32 1.28 1.28 1.16 1.14 1.08 0.93

OC 12.34 10.54 10.20 10.17 9.26 9.12 8.60 7.38

EC 1.56 1.34 1.29 1.29 1.17 1.15 1.09 0.93

Salt 0.27 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.16

Geologic 1.37 1.17 1.14 1.13 1.03 1.01 0.96 0.82

PB Water 3.33 2.84 2.75 2.74 2.50 2.46 2.32 1.99

Total 43.3 37.0 35.8 35.7 32.5 32.0 30.2 25.9

2018 Q1

NH4 3.26 2.78 2.69 2.68 2.44 2.41 2.27 1.95

NO3 9.42 8.05 7.78 7.76 7.07 6.96 6.57 5.63

SO4 1.39 1.19 1.15 1.15 1.05 1.03 0.97 0.83

OC 3.96 3.39 3.28 3.27 2.98 2.93 2.77 2.37

EC 0.32 0.27 0.26 0.26 0.24 0.24 0.22 0.19

Salt 0.19 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.11

Geologic 0.91 0.78 0.76 0.75 0.69 0.68 0.64 0.55

PB Water 1.85 1.58 1.53 1.52 1.39 1.36 1.29 1.10

Blank 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5

Total 21.8 18.7 18.1 18.1 16.5 16.2 15.4 13.2

Current Mass

Future Mass

Current Mass

Future Mass
2006 Q4

12/7/2006 11/19/2006 11/9/2006 11/22/2006 11/16/2006 12/1/2006 12/29/2006 11/15/2006

78.6 64.7 50.6 50.2 41.0 33.9 33.0 29.0

NH4 11.57 9.51 7.42 7.36 6.00 4.95 4.81 4.22

NO3 35.50 29.18 22.77 22.59 18.41 15.18 14.77 12.96

SO4 3.37 2.77 2.16 2.14 1.75 1.44 1.40 1.23

OC 16.45 13.52 10.55 10.47 8.53 7.03 6.84 6.00

EC 2.49 2.04 1.59 1.58 1.29 1.06 1.03 0.91

Salt 0.29 0.24 0.18 0.18 0.15 0.12 0.12 0.10

Geologic 1.59 1.31 1.02 1.01 0.83 0.68 0.66 0.58

PB Water 6.85 5.63 4.39 4.36 3.55 2.93 2.85 2.50

Total 78.1 64.2 50.1 49.7 40.5 33.4 32.5 28.5

2018 Q4

NH4 6.71 5.52 4.31 4.27 3.48 2.87 2.79 2.45

NO3 18.92 15.55 12.13 12.04 9.81 8.09 7.87 6.90

SO4 3.26 2.68 2.09 2.07 1.69 1.39 1.36 1.19

OC 5.58 4.59 3.58 3.55 2.89 2.39 2.32 2.04

EC 0.56 0.46 0.36 0.36 0.29 0.24 0.23 0.21

Salt 0.21 0.17 0.14 0.13 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.08

Geologic 1.40 1.15 0.90 0.89 0.73 0.60 0.58 0.51

PB Water 3.74 3.07 2.40 2.38 1.94 1.60 1.56 1.37

Blank 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5

Total 40.9 33.7 26.4 26.2 21.4 17.8 17.3 15.2

2007 → 2019

2007 Q1

2/5/2007 1/9/2007 2/2/2007 1/11/2007 2/18/2007 1/30/2007 1/27/2007 1/31/2007

90.7 67.0 55.2 39.0 37.6 36.3 33.3 32.5

NH4 11.66 8.60 7.07 4.98 4.80 4.63 4.24 4.14

NO3 36.00 26.54 21.83 15.37 14.81 14.29 13.09 12.77

SO4 3.23 2.38 1.96 1.38 1.33 1.28 1.17 1.14

OC 25.70 18.95 15.58 10.97 10.57 10.20 9.34 9.12

EC 3.26 2.40 1.97 1.39 1.34 1.29 1.18 1.15

Salt 0.57 0.42 0.34 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.21 0.20

Geologic 2.86 2.11 1.73 1.22 1.18 1.14 1.04 1.01

PB Water 6.93 5.11 4.20 2.96 2.85 2.75 2.52 2.46

Total 90.2 66.5 54.7 38.5 37.1 35.8 32.8 32.0

2019 Q1

NH4 6.78 5.00 4.11 2.90 2.79 2.69 2.47 2.41

NO3 19.61 14.46 11.89 8.37 8.07 7.78 7.13 6.96

SO4 2.90 2.14 1.76 1.24 1.19 1.15 1.06 1.03

OC 8.26 6.09 5.01 3.53 3.40 3.28 3.00 2.93

EC 0.67 0.49 0.40 0.28 0.27 0.26 0.24 0.24

Salt 0.40 0.29 0.24 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.14 0.14

Geologic 1.90 1.40 1.15 0.81 0.78 0.76 0.69 0.68

PB Water 3.84 2.83 2.33 1.64 1.58 1.53 1.40 1.36

Blank 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5

Total 44.9 33.2 27.4 19.4 18.8 18.1 16.6 16.2

Current Mass

Future Mass

Current Mass

Future Mass
2007 Q4

11/7/2007 11/2/2007 12/14/2007 11/8/2007 10/26/2007 11/26/2007 11/29/2007 11/14/2007

73.3 72.2 66.0 53.1 49.4 48.7 43.8 43.4

NH4 10.79 10.62 9.70 7.79 7.24 7.14 6.41 6.36

NO3 33.09 32.59 29.77 23.91 22.23 21.91 19.68 19.50

SO4 3.14 3.09 2.83 2.27 2.11 2.08 1.87 1.85

OC 15.33 15.10 13.79 11.08 10.30 10.15 9.12 9.03

EC 2.32 2.28 2.08 1.67 1.56 1.53 1.38 1.37

Salt 0.27 0.26 0.24 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.16 0.16

Geologic 1.49 1.46 1.34 1.07 1.00 0.98 0.88 0.88

PB Water 6.38 6.28 5.74 4.61 4.29 4.22 3.80 3.76

Total 72.8 71.7 65.5 52.6 48.9 48.2 43.3 42.9

2019 Q4

NH4 6.26 6.16 5.63 4.52 4.20 4.14 3.72 3.69

NO3 17.63 17.37 15.86 12.74 11.84 11.67 10.49 10.39

SO4 3.04 2.99 2.73 2.20 2.04 2.01 1.81 1.79

OC 5.20 5.12 4.68 3.76 3.49 3.44 3.09 3.06

EC 0.53 0.52 0.47 0.38 0.35 0.35 0.31 0.31

Salt 0.20 0.19 0.18 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12

Geologic 1.31 1.29 1.18 0.94 0.88 0.87 0.78 0.77

PB Water 3.49 3.43 3.14 2.52 2.34 2.31 2.07 2.05

Blank 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5

Total 38.1 37.6 34.4 27.7 25.8 25.4 22.9 22.7

Future Mass

Current Mass