### Liquid Fuels Supply and Disposition, Reference case

(million barrels per day, unless otherwise noted)

Supply and Disposition 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Crude Oil Domestic Crude Production 1/ 5.474001 5.666 6.335 6.8267 7.173943 7.286415 7.519073 Alaska 0.599 0.57 0.53 0.5217 0.481603 0.458738 0.474167 Lower 48 States 4.875 5.096 5.805 6.305 6.692339 6.827678 7.044907 Net Imports 9.171 8.888 8.508 8.032 7.32803 7.332729 7.075791 Gross Imports 9.213 8.935 8.555 8.079 7.32803 7.332729 7.075791 Exports 0.042 0.047 0.047 0.047 0 0 0 Other Crude Supply 2/ 0.073 0.26 0.116 0.094 0 0 0 Total Crude Supply 14.718001 14.81400114.959001 14.952714.501972 14.61914414.594865

Other Petroleum Supply 3.41 3.018 2.564 2.645 3.360718 3.535699 3.668958 Natural Gas Plant Liquids 2.074 2.216 2.364 2.367 2.776955 2.84403 2.925745 Net Product Imports 0.294 -0.304 -0.878 -0.791 -0.517715 -0.405056 -0.342757 Gross Refined Product Imports 3/ 1.232 1.152 0.736 0.849 1.377169 1.472459 1.507805 Unfinished Oil Imports 0.606 0.687 0.612 0.603 0.597638 0.592206 0.585774 Blending Component Imports 0.741 0.718 0.647 0.63 0.708819 0.682419 0.675269 Exports 2.285 2.861 2.873 2.873 3.201341 3.152139 3.111604 Refinery Processing Gain 4/ 1.068 1.076 1.078 1.069 1.101478 1.096726 1.08597 Product Stock Withdrawal -0.026 0.03 0 0 0 0 0 Other Non-petroleum Supply 1.027659 1.0858861.093547 1.137213 1.278595 1.304519 1.341194 Supply from Renewable Sources 0.862659 0.9038860.910547 0.954213 1.058459 1.075992 1.10182 Ethanol 0.842427 0.8418990.843364 0.865514 0.963535 0.979738 1.003512 Domestic Production 0.8674 0.9086 0.8662 0.8691 0.916642 0.93134 0.946712 Net Imports -0.024973 -0.066701-0.022836 -0.003586 0.046893 0.048397 0.056799 Biodiesel 0.017038 0.0606920.063301 0.081957 0.086994 0.087013 0.083644 Domestic Production 0.0224 0.0631 0.068 0.082255 0.076302 0.076372 0.072992 Net Imports -0.005362 -0.002408-0.004699 -0.000299 0.010691 0.010642 0.010651 Other Biomass-derived Liquids 5/ 0.003194 0.0012950.003881 0.006743 0.00793 0.009241 0.014664 Liquids from Gas 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Liquids from Coal 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other 6/ 0.165 0.182 0.183 0.183 0.220136 0.228527 0.239374

Total Primary Supply 7/ 19.155663 18.91788918.616545 18.734913 19.141285 19.45936419.605019

Liquid Fuels Consumption by Fuel Liquefied Petroleum Gases 2.265 2.304 2.293 2.347 2.456106 2.603635 2.67021 E85 8/ 0.004184 0.03340.006537 0.011477 0.066613 0.080251 0.090541 Motor Gasoline 9/ 8.991912 8.744316 8.7313 8.728016 8.604835 8.555319 8.517118 Jet Fuel 10/ 1.432 1.425 1.413 1.412 1.46827 1.475324 1.483567 Distillate Fuel Oil 11/ 3.8 3.899 3.781 3.851 4.154938 4.290189 4.346787 of which: Diesel 3.316 3.506 3.4 3.463 3.676661 3.809688 3.875721

Diesel (bill gal) 50.87 53.78 52.16 53.12 56.40 58.44 59.46

Residual Fuel Oil 0.535 0.461 0.398 0.397 0.501163 0.504445 0.505727 Other 12/ 2.142013 2.0800262.024002 2.02 1.893972 1.952806 1.996013 by Sector Residential and Commercial 1.064198 1.059186 1.0082 1.051648 1.04155 1.047294 1.040315 Industrial 13/ 4.484999 4.4259454.389205 4.40761 4.473225 4.706417 4.828253 Transportation 13.572014 13.63026713.449291 13.443385 13.538304 13.615271 13.652802 Electric Power 14/ 0.171672 0.1311230.093084 0.09238 0.092848 0.092994 0.0886 Total 19.17010918.94674318.64683918.766493 19.145895 19.46196719.609964

Discrepancy 15/ -0.014446 -0.028854-0.030294 -0.03158 -0.00461 -0.002604 -0.004946

Domestic Refinery Distillation Capacity 16/ 17.596001 17.705 17.507 17.507 17.507177 17.507177 17.507177 Capacity Utilization Rate (percent) 17/ 86 86 87 8792.038261 92.78191492.627815Net Import Share of Product Supplied (perc

ent) 49.252621 45.00973540.83714738.62902535.88003235.90411434.687469 Net Expenditures for Imports of Crude Oi l and Petroleum Products (billion 2011 dollars) 248.258362362.659027323.72403263.633728255.478302253.012451247.410797

1/ Includes lease condensate. 2/ Strategic petroleum reserve stock additions plus unaccounted for crude oil and crude stock withdrawals minus crude product supplied. 3/ Includes other hydrocarbons and alcohols. 4/ The volumetric amount by which total output is greater than input due to the processing of crude oil into products which, in total, have a lower specific gravity than the crude oil processed. 5/ Includes pyrolysis oils, biomass-derived Fischer-Tropsch liquids, and renewable feedstocks used for the on-site production of diesel and gasoline. 6/ Includes domestic sources of other blending components, other hydrocarbons, and ethers. 7/ Total crude supply plus other petroleum supply plus other non-petroleum supply. 8/ E85 refers to a blend of 85 percent ethanol (renewable) and 15 percent motor gasoline (nonrenewable). To address cold starting issues, the percentage of ethanol varies seasonally. The annual average ethanol content of 74 percent is used for this forecast. 9/ Includes ethanol and ethers blended into gasoline. 10/ Includes only kerosene type. 11/ Includes distillate fuel oil and kerosene from petroleum and biomass feedstocks. 12/ Includes aviation gasoline, petrochemical feedstocks, lubricants, waxes, asphalt, road oil, still gas, special naphthas, petroleum coke, crude oil product supplied, methanol, and miscellaneous petroleum products. 13/ Includes energy for combined heat and power plants that have a non-regulatory status, and small on-site generating systems. 14/ Includes consumption of energy by electricity-only and combined heat and power plants that have a regulatory status. 15/ Balancing item. Includes unaccounted for supply, losses and gains. 16/ End-of-year operable capacity. 17/ Rate is calculated by dividing the gross annual input to atmospheric crude oil distillation units by their operable refining capacity in barrels per calendar day. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2010 and 2011 are model results and may differ slightly from official EIA data reports. Sources: 2010 and 2011 product supplied based on: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), Annual Energy Review 2011, DOE/EIA-0384(2011) (Washington, DC, September 2012). Other 2010 data: EIA, Petroleum Supply Annual 2010, DOE/EIA-0340(2010)/1 (Washington, DC, July 2011). Other 2011 data: EIA, Petroleum Supply Annual 2011, DOE/EIA-0340(2011)/1 (Washington, DC, August 2012). Projections: EIA, AEO2013 National Energy Modeling System.