**File 'Estimated Emissions from Imported Products_111810.xls'** 

**Created** 18-Nov-10 **Purpose** Estimate the formaldehyde emissions from imported products (PB, MDF, HWPW) using available data. **Data Sources** US Import Volumes ITC, 2009 Emission Levels Presentation "The TPC Perspective" by Professional Service Industries (PSI) Inc, Eugene, OR Formaldehyde emission levels are presented on charts (not tables) for each product. Data were converted to excel tables for this analysis. **Data Limitations** 1)The data are assumed to represent the state of the world after CARB 1 went into effect (before CARB 2).

2)Because emission levels are presented on charts (not tables), there is uncertainty about the values. **As sumptions**  1)The data collected by PSI are representative of overall imports to the U.S., by product. It assumes the level of emissions found in imports from all countries except Canada. 2) Emissions are uniform across different countries that export their product to the U.S. All countries except Canada are assumed to have the same level of emissions. 3)Canada is assumed to have the same emission levels as these in the U.S., i.e. come into full compliance with CARB 2. 4) Facilities that met CARB 1 level at the time when CARB 1 was in effect are assumed to get to CARB 2 level when the CARB 2 requirements are in effect. **Estimation Method Adjustment of Emission Levels** 

1)Converted the data from charts to excel tables by approximating the number of tests (axis Y). The values for emission levels are read from the charts. 3) Estimated the fraction of observations that meet CARB 1 and CARB 2 requirements using midpoint of intervals to make CARB status determinations. 4)Made the following adjustment to the data in order to account for the changes in emission levels when CARB 2 goes into effect. Adjusted the number of observations to account for those facilities that made changes to meet CARB 2 requirements. Only those facilities that met CARB 1 are brought up to the highest emission level under CARB 2. This assumes that those facilities that made an effort to meet CARB 1 (when CARB 1 went in effect) will meet CARB 2.Estimate the formaldehyde emissions from imported products (PB, MDF, HWPW) using available data.

Presentation "The TPC Perspective" by Professional Service Industries (PSI) Inc, Eugene, OR

The data are assumed to represent the state of the world after CARB 1 went into effect (before CARB 2). Because emission levels are presented on charts (not tables), there is uncertainty about the values.

Canada is assumed to have the same emission levels as these in the U.S., i.e. come into full compliance with CARB 2. Facilities that met CARB 1 level at the time when CARB 1 was in effect are assumed to get to CARB 2 level when the CARB 2 requirements are in effect.

Converted the data from charts to excel tables by approximating the number of tests (axis Y). Estimated the fraction of observations that meet CARB 1 and CARB 2 requirements using midpoint of intervals to make CARB status determinations. Made the following adjustment to the data in order to account for the changes in emission levels when CARB 2 goes into effect. Adjusted the number of observations to account for those facilities that made changes to meet CARB 2 requirements. Only those facilities that met CARB 1 are brought up to the highest emission level under CARB 2. This assumes that those facilities that made an effort to meet CARB 1 (when CARB 1 went in effect) will meet CARB 2.**HCHO Emissions (ppm) and frequency for HWPW**

**HCHO midpoint**  **Emissions (ppm)**  **Frequency**

**from PSI data: CC**  **Frequency**

**from PSI data: VC**  **Frequency**

**from PSI data: Al** **l Predicted Baseline** 

**Emissions** 0 37 99 136 136 0.01 13 36 49 49 0.025 7 32 39 39 0.05 12 42 54 54 0.1 8 46 54 54 0.15 4 20 24 24 0.2 2 7 9 9 0.25 0 1 1 1 0.3 0 1 1 1 0.35 0 2 2 2 0.4 0 0 0 0 0.45 0 2 2 2 0.5 0 1 1 1 0.55 0 0 0 0 0.6 0 1 1 1 0.65 0 0 0 0 0.7 0 0 0 0 0.75 0 0 0 0 0.8 0 0 0 0 0.85 1 0 1 1 0.9 0 1 1 1 0.95 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 3 0 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 0

**85 293**  **375 375**  Average Emissions 0.05 0.05**Color**

**Key/Standard Av** **erage**

**Emissions Share** 
CARB 2 0.015 74% CARB 1 Above CARB 1 0.163 26% check TRUE Midpoint is used for CARB status determination.**HCHO Emissions (ppm) and frequency for MDF**

**HCHO Emissions**  **(ppm) Frequency** 

**from PSI data**  **Predicted**

**Baseline Emission**  **s Color** 

**Key/Standard Av** **erage**

**Emissions Share** 

0 14 14 CARB 2 0.047 89% 0.01 13 13 CARB 1 0.03 17 17 Above CARB 1 0.502 11% 0.05 33 33 0.06 61 100 check TRUE 0.15 31 N/A Midpoint is used for CARB status determination. 0.2 8 N/A 0.25 6 6 0.3 4 4 0.35 1 1 0.4 1 1 0.45 0 0 0.5 0 0 0.55 1 1 0.6 0 0 0.65 1 1 0.7 4 4 0.75 0 0 0.8 0 0 0.85 0 0 0.9 1 1 0.95 0 0 1 1 1 1.19 1 1 3 0 0 4 0 0 Total **198 198**  Avg Emiss. 0.11 0.10**HCHO Emissions (ppm) and frequency for PB**

**HCHO Emissions (ppm)**  **Frequency**

**from PSI data**  **Predicted**

**Baseline Emissions**  **Color Key/Standard**  **Av erage** 

**Emissions** 0 26 26 CARB 2 0.036 0.01 7 7 CARB 1 0.03 10 10 Above CARB 1 0.384 0.05 20 86 0.1 37 N/A check 0.15 29 N/A Midpoint is used for CARB status determination. 0.2 25 25 0.25 12 12 0.3 7 7 0.35 6 6 0.4 4 4 0.45 2 2 0.5 3 3 0.55 5 5 0.6 4 4 0.65 5 5 0.7 0 0 0.75 2 2 0.8 2 2 0.85 1 1 0.9 0 0 0.95 1 1 1 0 0 1.22 1 1 3 0 0 4 0 0

**209 209**  Avg Emiss. 0.19 0.17**Share**

62% 38% TRUE Midpoint is used for CARB status determination.**Estimate the share of U.S. imports for different emission standards**



### % Consumption **Avg. Emissions (ppm)**  **% Consumption Avg.**  **Emission s (ppm)**  **%**

**Consump tion**  **Avg. Emission**  **s (ppm)**
None 26% 0.163 11% 0.502 38% 0.384 CARB 2 74% 0.015 89% 0.047 62% 0.036

**Certification Standard**  **HWPW MDF**  **PB**

None 0.058

- 0.058 CARB 1a

- - 0.090 CARB 2 0.032 0.082 0.057 CARB ULEF 0.024 0.042 CARB NAF 0.013 0.035 0.013

None 0.4%

- 0.2% CARB 1a

- - 1.8% CARB 2 60.2% 86.1% 88.5% CARB ULEF 4.6% 2.8% CARB NAF 39.4% 9.3% 6.7%

HWPW MDF % Imports: 64% 8%

**U.S./Can. Non** 

**U.S./Can. U.S./Can.**  **Non**

**U.S./Can.**

None 0.058 0.163

- 0.502 CARB 1

- - - - CARB 2 0.032 0.015 0.082 0.047 **Table x**

‐**x: Baseline Emissions Levels For Imported Composite Wood Products (excluding Canada), by Product Type and Emissions Standard**  

### Certification **Standard Emissions Level**  **HWPW MDF**  **PB**

**Table 1**

‐**1: Baseline Emissions Levels (2013) For Domestically Produced Composite Wood Products, by Product Type and**  **Emissions Standard**

**Weighted Average Em issions (ppm** **)**

**Share of Production**

aSome mills producing product currently certified under CARB Phase 1 reported that they would continue this product line after the CARB Phase 2 effective date.

**Average Em issions (ppm** **) Table 12** 

‐**5: Baseline Emissions Levels For Composite Wood Products by Product Type, Country of Origin, and Emissions Standard**

**Emission Standard Hardwood Plywood**  **MDF**CARB ULEF 0.024 CARB NAF 0.013 0.035
None 0.1% 16.6%

- 0.8% CARB 1

- - - CARB 2 21.7% 47.4% 79.2% 7.2% CARB ULEF 4.2% CARB NAF 14.2% 8.6% **CHECK** None 0.1% 16.6% 0.8% CARB 1 0.0% CARB 2 21.7% 47.4% 79.2% 7.2% CARB ULEF 0.0% 0.0% 4.2% 0.0% CARB NAF 14.2% 0.0% 8.6% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% **Share of U.S. Consum ption** **Certification Standard Hardwood Plywood**  **MDF Particleboard** 

None 0.163 0.502 0.384 CARB 2 0.015 0.047 0.036

None 26% 11% 38%
CARB 2 74% 89% 62%

PB LP 3% 64%

**U.S./Can. Non-U.S./Can.**  **U.S./Can. Non-U.S./Can.** 
0.058 0.384 0.080 0.163 0.090

- 0.057 0.036 **Particleboard Lam** **inated Products** Table 12

‐3: Baseline Emissions Levels For Non-Canadian Imported Composite Wood Products, by Product Type and Certification Standard

**Average Em issions (ppm** **)**

**Share of Im ports** 

**Average Em issions (ppm** **) 5: Baseline Emissions Levels For Composite Wood Products by Product Type, Country of Origin, and Emissions Standard** 0.042

0.013
0.2% 1.1% 36% 64% 1.7%

- 85.8% 1.9% 2.7% 6.5%

0.2% 1.1% 36.0% 64.0% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 85.8% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 99.9% 100.0% **Share of U.S. Consum ption**