The Clean Water Act authorizes collection of this information. All responses will be kept confidential to the extent permitted by law.

Response to this survey is voluntary and no action will be taken against you if you choose not to take part. The public reportin g burden

for this form is estimated to average 18 minutes per response. Send comments regarding the burden estimate or any other aspec t o f this

form to the Director, Collection Strategies Division, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (2822T), 1200 Pennsylvania Ave., N W,

Washington, D.C. 20460. Include the OMB control number in any correspondence. Do not send the survey materials to this address. OMB Control Number 2090

- 0028

Expires 6/30/2015



# The Future of the Chesapeake Bay

Your opinions are needed to inform policy decisions that

affect water quality. Please return your completed survey in

the postage

- paid envelope provided.



## Thank you for your help! 

# DRAFT

# DRAFT The Chesapeake Bay Watershed

The Watershed

Is shaded in light grey on

this map.

It includes about 4,200

freshwater lakes

.

Water draining from lands

in the Watershed enters

rivers and streams and

eventually the Chesapeake

Bay. This survey asks you about two types of water bodies in the Chesapeake Bay Watershed

— the

Chesapeake Bay itself and Lakes in the Watershed. Each has different characteristics and

potential water quality concerns.



## The Chesapeake Bay

Is an estuary where freshwater mixes with

saltwater from the ocean. It is the largest

estuary in North America and the third

largest in the world.

As shown in dark grey on this map, the Bay

includes portions of the 50 rivers that flow

into it, for example:

The James River up to Richmond, VA

The Potomac River up to

Washington, DC

Please use this definition of the

Chesapeake Bay when answering questions

on this survey.2 

# DRAFT DRAFT 2. On average, how often do you see the following water bodies?

(Please check ONLY ONE box in each row .)

3. In the last five years , have you participated in recreational activities

(including swimming, boating, fishing, or viewing nature) at the...

(Please check ONLY ONE box in each row .)



## Did you know?

Pollutants in the Chesapeake Bay Watershed degrade the quality of the water and can

affect aquatic habitat and recreational activities. Two key pollutants are nutrients and

sediment.

Nutrients are essential for healthy aquatic habitats, but too much can lead to algae

that deprives fish of oxygen and plants of sunlight. Sources of nutrients include

fertilizers, livestock manure, and household wastewater.

Sediment is loose soil that settles to the bottom of water bodies. Too much sediment

makes the water murky and harms aquatic plants and fish. Paved surfaces and some

farming practices increase soil erosion, causing too much sediment to enter the

Chesapeake Bay and Watershed Lakes.

4. Before taking this survey, were you aware that too much nutrients or sediment

can degrade water quality?



# □ Yes 

# □ No 

# □ Don’t know Chesapeake Bay: 

# □ Yes 

# □ No 

# □ Don’t know

Watershed Lakes: 

# □ Yes 

# □ No 

# □ Don’t know Never Less than

once a month More than

once a month Don’t Know

Chesapeake Bay: 

# □ □ □ □

Watershed Lakes: 

# □ □ □ □ 1. Before receiving this survey, had you heard of the Chesapeake Bay?



# □ Yes 

# □ No 

# □ Don’t know3 

# DRAFT Conditions in the Chesapeake Bay

Bay Water Clarity

— measures how far one can see into the water

Average visibility was about 4.5 to 6 feet in the early 1990’s and is about 3 feet today.

Striped Bass (or Rockfish)

— the most popular fish for recreational fishing in the Bay

After historic lows, the population was about 6 million fish in 1990 and is about 24

million today.

Blue Crab

— symbol of the Chesapeake Bay and a popular shellfish for recreational fishing

The adult population was between 100 to 200 million in the early 1990’s and has been

about 250 million in recent years.

Oysters

— “filter feeders” that clean Bay waters, their shells also form reefs that provide

habitat for other aquatic life.

Historically much larger, the population was only about 3,300 tons by 1990 and remains

at this low level today. Nutrient and sediment pollution affects environmental outcomes in the Chesapeake Bay.

These conditions have been consistently measured by scientists since the early 1990’s.

State and local governments currently have pollution reduction programs in place to limit

nutrients and sediment flowing into the Chesapeake Bay.

These programs will keep future conditions about the same as they are today.

Based on measurements by scientists studying the Chesapeake Bay, this table shows both

the conditions today and predicted conditions in 2040 under current programs

.

Conditions Today Conditions in 2040 under

current programs*

Bay Water Clarity

Average visibility 3 feet 3 feet

(no change)

Striped Bass

Adult Population 24 million fish 24 million fish

(no change)

Blue Crab

Adult Population 250 million crabs 250 million crabs

(no change)

Oysters

Population 3,300 tons 3,300 tons

(no change)

*Predictions for the year 2040 are based on monitoring data from the Chesapeake Bay Watershed and Estuary

Models developed by the EPA and state and federal partners.4 

# DRAFT DRAFT Conditions in the Watershed Lakes

Nutrient pollution in lakes leads to excess algae growth which changes the appearance of the

water and the types of fish that live in it. Watershed Lakes fall into one of these categories:

Pollution reduction programs already in place to limit nutrients and sediment flowing into the

Chesapeake Bay also help limit algae growth in Watershed Lakes.

Under pollution reduction programs already in place, these algae levels are not

expected to change.

The table below shows the number of Watershed Lakes that have low algae levels today

and the predicted number in 2040 under current programs

.

Number Today Number in 2040 under current

programs*

Watershed Lakes with

low algae levels 2,900 lakes

out of 4,200 total 2,900 lakes

out of 4,200 total

(no change)

*Predictions for the year 2040 are based on measures from the Northeast Lakes Model developed by EPA’s Office

of Research and Development.

5



### . How do the predicted conditions for the Chesapeake Bay and the Watershed Lakes

in 2040 compare with what you had expected?



# □ I had expected conditions in 2040 to be better than what is predicted.



# □ I had expected conditions in 2040 to be worse than what is predicted.



# □ I had expected conditions in 2040 to be about the same as what is predicted.



# □ Don’t know Watershed Lakes with low algae

Have clear blue or brown water with 3 to 6 feet of visibility

Conditions favor game fish like bass and trout

Watershed Lakes with high algae

Have green water with 2 feet of visibility or less

Conditions favor bottom

- feeding fish like carp and catfish

Can have an unpleasant odor on warm days5 

# DRAFT Additional Pollution Reduction Programs for the Chesapeake

Bay Watershed

What additional programs would do :

Improve some of the conditions in the Chesapeake Bay and Watershed Lakes. The

specific types of improvements will depend on the design of the program.

For example:

A pollution reduction program close to the Bay would improve water quality in the

Chesapeake Bay itself, but would not have much affect on the Watershed Lakes.

A program restoring oyster reefs would increase the number of oysters, but would have a

smaller effect on crab populations compared to programs focused on reducing nutrients

and sediment.

What additional programs would not do :

Affect lakes outside of the Watershed

Affect river and stream conditions in a noticeable way because the water is constantly

moving

Affect any other parts of the environment such as forests, plants, birds, and wildlife

Have a noticeable effect on the quality or price of the seafood you buy Additional pollution programs being considered by federal and state agencies would further limit

nutrients and sediment in the Chesapeake Bay Watershed.

These programs would be phased in over time and would be fully implemented by the year

2025. Environmental conditions would begin to improve shortly after the new programs are

implemented and reach long term levels by 2040. There is always some uncertainty in

predicting future environmental conditions, but the outcomes shown in this survey are based on

the best scientific predictions available.

Examples of programs include changing the way farmers dispose of livestock manure and farm

land to reduce runoff, paving fewer surfaces to slow stormwater runoff, and changing

equipment at wastewater treatment facilities to reduce spills and pollution releases.6 

# DRAFT DRAFT Paying for Additional Pollution Reduction Programs

Additional pollution reduction programs would result in higher costs for your household.

Some of the basic things people spend money on would become more expensive.

For example:

Higher water bills or increased maintenance costs for home septic systems in the
Watershed. For renters, rent or utility bills would increase.

Higher prices for some agricultural products and other goods for households both inside

and outside the Watershed, including the area where you live . This is because of higher

costs for businesses inside the Watershed.

Any additional pollution reduction program, if implemented, would permanently increase the

cost of living for your household beginning at the start of next year.

Paying the costs means you would have less money to spend on other things such as food,

clothes, going on trips, education, and even towards resolving other environmental problems

you care about.

6. Does your household currently pay any environmentally

- related taxes or fees as

part of your water, electric or other utility bills?



# □ Yes 

# □ No 

# □ Don’t know7 

# DRAFT Deciding Future Actions

Imagine that you were given the opportunity to vote on additional pollution reduction

programs. State and federal policy makers will use your votes and those from others to choose

the best program to improve water quality.



## Important instructions

In the questions that follow, we ask your opinion about programs that have different impacts on

the Chesapeake Bay and Watershed Lakes. These programs will cost your household different

amounts.

You will be asked three questions. In each question you will vote for the option you like best from

three different alternatives:

OPTION A keeps all current actions but does not add new programs

OPTION B and OPTION C include additional programs to reduce pollution

Choosing OPTION A in each question would result in no new pollution reductions or costs to your

household.

OPTION B and OPTION C are different in each question, with different environmental outcomes

and costs to your household.

An Example Question is on the next page to show you what the questions will look like.

Other households are also being surveyed, so please only think of the costs to your own

household when deciding which program you would prefer.

Similar studies have shown that people sometimes respond differently in a survey than they

would in real life, often saying they would pay more than they really would. When voting we

urge you to respond as though costs to your household would really go up if the

program were implemented.8 

# DRAFT DRAFT

To vote for Option A

mark this box To vote for Option B

mark this box To vote for Option C

mark this box In each question, you will be asked to vote on three options. ( Mark one box at

the bottom of each question to indicate which option you prefer.)



## Conditions in 2040

(% change compared to today)

Environmental

Outcomes Option A Option B Option C

Bay Water Clarity

Average visibility 3 feet (no change) 4 feet ( 33% increase) 5 feet ( 67% increase)

Striped Bass

Adult Population 24 million fish (no change) 28 million fish

(17% increase) 24 million fish

(no change)

Blue Crab

Adult Population 250 million crabs 280 million crabs (12% increase) 312 million crabs (25% increase)

Oysters

Population 3,300 tons

(no change) 5,250 tons

( 59% increase) 4,300 tons

( 30% increase)

Watershed Lakes

Lakes with low algae

levels 2,900 lakes

(no change) 2,900 lakes

(no change) 3,300 lakes

(32% increase)

Your Cost of Living

Permanent cost increase for your household starting
next year $0 every year $120 every year

or $10 every month $60 every year

or $5 every month

Your Vote

Please mark one of

the boxes to the right Option A Option B Option C



# X X X Environmental Outcomes

from each option are listed

here. The percent changes

compared to today are also

shown in parentheses.

Annual Cost to your

household is listed here.

Notice that higher costs do not

necessarily mean that all

environmental outcomes will

improve more

. 

## An Example Question

When you vote on the next questions, please remember...

There will be three sets of voting questions. Consider each question separately. Imagine

that the options in that question are the only ones available to choose from.

Options in different questions should not be compared to each other.

Do not add up effects or costs across different questions.

The environmental outcomes in each question are based on the best scientific predictions

available. Please vote as if these outcomes would actually occur in the year 2040.9 

# DRAFT 7. Please vote for one of the three options below. ( Mark one box at the

bottom to indicate which option you would prefer.)



## Conditions in 2040

(% change compared to today)

Environmental

Outcomes Option A Option B Option C

Bay Water Clarity

Average visibility 

### 3 feet ( no change) 

### 5 feet

( 67% increase) 

### 6 feet ( 100% increase)



### Striped Bass

Adult Population 

### 24 million fish (no change) 

### 30 million fish



### ( 25% increase) 

### 30 million fish



### ( 25% increase)



### Blue Crab

Adult Population 

### 250 million crabs

(no change) 

### 280 million crabs

(12% increase) 

### 312 million crabs

(36% increase)



### Oysters

Population 

### 3,300 tons

(no change) 

### 4,300 tons



### ( 30% increase) 

### 5,250 tons



### ( 59% increase)



### Watershed Lakes

Lakes with low algae

levels 

### 2,900 lakes

(no change) 

### 3,850 lakes

(33% increase) 

### 3,850 lakes

(33% increase)



### Your Cost of Living

Permanent cost increase for your household starting

next year 

### $0 every year $180 every year

or $15 every month 

### $500 every year

or $41.67 every

month



### Your Vote

Please mark one of

the boxes to the right Option A Option B Option C10 

# DRAFT DRAFT 8. Please vote for one of the three options below. ( Mark one box at the

bottom to indicate which option you would prefer.)



## Conditions in 2040

(% change compared to today)

Environmental

Outcomes Option A Option B Option C

Bay Water Clarity

Average visibility 

### 3 feet ( no change) 

### 3 feet ( no change) 

### 5 feet

( 67% increase)



### Striped Bass

Adult Population 

### 24 million fish (no change) 

### 28 million fish



### ( 17% increase) 

### 30 million fish



### ( 25% increase)



### Blue Crab

Adult Population 

### 250 million crabs

(no change) 

### 280 million crabs

(12% increase) 

### 312 million crabs

(36% increase)



### Oysters

Population 

### 3,300 tons

(no change) 

### 5,250 tons



### ( 59% increase) 

### 5,250 tons



### ( 59% increase)



### Watershed Lakes

Lakes with low algae

levels 

### 2,900 lakes

(no change) 

### 3,850 lakes

(33% increase) 

### 3,850 lakes

(33% increase)



### Your Cost of Living

Permanent cost increase for your household starting

next year 

### $0 every year $180 every year

or $15 every month 

### $500 every year

or $41.67 every

month



### Your Vote

Please mark one of

the boxes to the

right Option A Option B Option C11 

# DRAFT 9. Please vote for one of the three options below. ( Mark one box at the

bottom to indicate which option you would prefer.)



## Conditions in 2040

(% change compared to today)

Environmental

Outcomes Option A Option B Option C

Bay Water Clarity

Average visibility 

### 3 feet ( no change) 

### 5 feet

( 67% increase) 

### 6 feet

( 100% increase)



### Striped Bass

Adult Population 

### 24 million fish (no change) 

### 30 million fish

(25% increase) 

### 28 million fish

(17% increase)



### Blue Crab

Adult Population 

### 250 million crabs

(no change) 

### 300 million crabs (20% increase) 

### 300 million crabs (20% increase)



### Oysters

Population 

### 3,300 tons

(no change) 

### 5,250 tons



### ( 59% increase) 

### 4,300 tons



### ( 30% increase)



### Watershed Lakes

Lakes with low algae

levels 

### 2,900 lakes

(no change) 

### 3,300 lakes

(14% increase) 

### 3,850 lakes

(33% increase)



### Your Cost of Living

Permanent cost increase for your household starting

next year 

### $0 every year $40 every year

or $3.33 every

month 

### $250 every year

or $20.83 every

month



### Your Vote

Please mark one of

the boxes to the

right Option A Option B Option C12 

# DRAFT DRAFT Thinking about how you just voted...

10. Please rate how much you agree or disagree with the following statements.

(Please circle one number for each statement .)

Strongly

Disagree Strongly

Agree Don’t

Know

I voted as if my household would actually face the

costs shown in the questions. 1 2 3 4 5 DK

I voted as if the programs would actually achieve

the results shown by 2040. 1 2 3 4 5 DK

If new programs were implemented, I would

expect to see some environmental improvements

before 2040. 1 2 3 4 5 DK

I would vote differently if the programs took longer

to achieve the results shown. 1 2 3 4 5 DK

It is important to improve waters in the

Chesapeake Bay Watershed, no matter how high

the costs. 1 2 3 4 5 DK

I am against any more regulations and government

spending. 1 2 3 4 5 DK

My household should not have to pay any amount

to improve Bay Waters and Watershed Lakes. 1 2 3 4 5 DK

It is difficult for me to find time to take surveys. 1 2 3 4 5 DK

11. How much do you agree or disagree that the following affected your vote ?

(Please circle one number for each statement .)

Strongly

Disagree Strongly

Agree Don’t

Know

Changes in the quality or price of seafood 1 2 3 4 5 DK

Impacts on the economy and jobs 1 2 3 4 5 DK

Improving the environment for others 1 2 3 4 5 DK

Water quality improvements to lakes outside the

Chesapeake Bay Watershed 1 2 3 4 5 DK

Preserving the environment for future generations 1 2 3 4 5 DK

Trips I may take to the Chesapeake Bay or

Watershed Lakes in the future 1 2 3 4 5 DK13 

# DRAFT

13. If you did visit one or more sites on the Chesapeake Bay in the last 12 months,
which site did you visit most often? ( Fill in as much information as you can)

13a. Name of site _____________________________________________________

13b. How long did it take you to drive there from your home?

_____ hours and _____ minutes

13c. What state is it in? __________________________________________

13d. What is the nearest town? __________________________________________

13e. What did you do on your visit(s) to that site? ( Check all the activities you did on
your visits)



# □ Fishing and/or crabbing 

# □ Swimming



# □ Boating, canoeing or kayaking 

# □ Camping



# □ Hunting 

# □ Hiking



# □ Bird watching or wildlife viewing 

# □ Other

_____________

15. Many people are looking for ways to reduce their utility bills. If you were offered
a device that cost $50 and would reduce your household electricity bill by $2

each month for the next 10 years , would you purchase the device?



# □ Yes 

# □ No 

# □ Don’t know 12. In the last 12 months, how many times did you visit an outdoor recreation site

on the Chesapeake Bay ? (Please circle one number .)

0 2 3 4 If more than 4, write
in number of trips:

__________ Don’t

Know



# □ 1

14. In the last 12 months, how many times did you visit a lake, stream, or river in

the Chesapeake Bay Watershed? (Please circle one number.)

0 2 3 4 If more than 4, write
in number of trips:

__________ Don’t

Know



# □ 114 

# DRAFT DRAFT Questions about you and your household

Finally, we would like to ask a few questions about you and your household.

Your answers will not be saved or stored in a way that can be associated with your

name or address. You will not be contacted about your responses or this survey.

16. What is your sex? 

# □ Male 

# □ Female

17. What is your age? _____ years old

18. How many children under age 18 are living in your home? _____children

19. Have you or any member of your family ever worked in any of the following industries or jobs?



# □ Agriculture 

# □ Tour guide for fishing



# □ Commercial fishing 

# □ Environmental non

- profit group



# □ No one in my family ever worked in these industries

20. In 2012, what was your total pre

- tax household income, including all earners in your household?



# □ Under $25,000 

# □ $100,000

- $149,999



# □ $25,000

- $49,999 

# □ $150,000

- $199,999



# □ $50,000

- $74,999 

# □ $200,000 or more



# □ $75,000

- $99,000

21. Are you of Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin? 

# □ Yes 

# □ No

22. What is your race? (Select one or more.)



# □ American Indian or Alaska Native 

# □ Asian



# □ Black or African American 

# □ White



# □ Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander

23. What is the highest degree or level of school you have completed?



# □ Elementary or high school, but no high school diploma or GED



# □ High school diploma, GED, or other high school completion



# □ Some college credit, no degree



# □ Associate’s Degree (for example: AA, AS)



# □ Bachelor’s Degree (for example: BA, BS)



# □ Master’s degree, professional degree, or doctorate degree

(for example, MA, MSW, MD, DDS, JD, PhD, EdD)

Thank you very much for your help.

Please mail this completed survey back to us in the postage

- paid return envelope provided.

## Thanks again for completing this survey!

If you have any additional thoughts about any of the topics

covered or the survey itself, please share them here.

If you have any questions please call XXX

- XXX

- XXXX

or email chesapeake

- survey@abt.com.