Statistical evaluation of the May 14 - September 30, 2002 BaseB1 CMAQ simulation across the OTR (plus all of VA and WV) Integrated wet SO4, NO4, and NH4 deposition (mg/m2) over the entire period 43 NADP-NTN, 29 NYSDEC, and 7 AIRMoN sites (total of 69)

Statistics: observed average predicted average coefficient of determination, R2

normalized mean error root mean square error fractional gross error

me an absolute gross error

me an normalized gross error

me an bias

me an normalized bias

me an fractionalized bias normalized mean biasobs avg, mg/m2 CMAQ avg, mg/m2 R^2 NME, % RMSE, m g/m2 FE, % MAGE, mg/m2 MNGE, % MB, m g/m2 MNB, %

SO4 1063 946 0.17 34.4 490 36.4 365 36.2 -118 -2.6 NO3 704 367 0.22 48.8 417 62.3 344 45.0 -337 -43.5 NH4 185 117 0.12 48.0 109 56.8 89 46.1 -68 -28.0MFB, % NMB, % N

-13.2 -11.1 69 -60.9 -47.8 69 -43.9 -36.6 69observed, mg/m2 CMAQ, mg/m2

NADP-NTN CT15 616.537 600.498 NADP-NTN MA01 1371.51 485.97 NADP-NTN MA08 744.948 416.414 NADP-NTN MA13 860.218 788.84 NADP-NTN MD13 1310.63 487.921 NADP-NTN MD18 1221.85 482.835 NADP-NTN ME00 455.64 395.836 NADP-NTN ME02 327.096 528.773 NADP-NTN ME04 383.944 737.508 NADP-NTN ME08 416.575 555.575 NADP-NTN ME09 478.802 365.339 NADP-NTN ME95 496.139 313.929 NADP-NTN ME96 377.523 426.076 NADP-NTN ME98 293.512 293.362 NADP-NTN NH02 597.637 478.438 NADP-NTN NJ00 1588.02 825.58 NADP-NTN NJ99 1144.38 904.536 NADP-NTN NY08 1096.16 972.812 NADP-NTN NY10 1405.71 1203.76 NADP-NTN NY20 675.31 644.102 NADP-NTN NY22 1023.6 946.659 NADP-NTN NY52 1274.08 1655.26 NADP-NTN NY65 1101.68 892.612 NADP-NTN NY68 1714.47 1119.08 NADP-NTN NY98 939.937 658.557 NADP-NTN NY99 1075.38 1162.11 NADP-NTN PA00 1147.46 1953.7 NADP-NTN PA15 1157.96 1380.3 NADP-NTN PA18 1184.98 800.887 NADP-NTN PA29 1252.9 1420.09 NADP-NTN PA42 1337.18 772.348 NADP-NTN PA72 982.937 836.062 NADP-NTN VA00 1165.69 577.451 NADP-NTN VA13 936.538 1803.95 NADP-NTN VA24 764.019 1318.3 NADP-NTN VA27 543.47 601.514 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500

0 500 1000**p r** **e d** **i c** **t e** **d (** **m g** **/ m** **2 )** 

**observed (mg/m2)** 

### Wet SO4 DepositionNADP-NTN VA28 839.706 2294.33

NADP-NTN VA99 127.912 377.974 NADP-NTN VT01 1500.18 674.216 NADP-NTN VT99 1131.24 1169.72 NADP-NTN W V04 881.041 688.246 NADP-NTN W V05 1369.37 2085.26 NADP-NTN W V18 1302.72 1257.01 NYSDEC LOUD 1114.93 874.474 NYSDEC W EST 2350.43 944.941 NYSDEC ELMI 1311.06 638.655 NYSDEC BUFF 1426.8 1156 NYSDEC W FMT 1010.11 658.557 NYSDEC PISE 834.061 837.969 NYSDEC NICK 982.786 1124.49 NYSDEC CAMP 1260.17 974.302 NYSDEC ROCH 926.214 1594.5 NYSDEC EISE 1009.62 533.442 NYSDEC NIAG 1123.69 1121.32 NYSDEC ESYR 1432.52 1583.02 NYSDEC ALTM 1676.78 1655.26 NYSDEC MTNI 1452.97 954.05 NYSDEC GRAF 1007.9 788.972 NYSDEC WANA 955.298 862.689 NYSDEC BELL 1067.75 633.878 NYSDEC W HPL 1482.08 687.986 NYSDEC NYBG 1982.67 1114.83 AIRMoN DE02 1192.48 508.043 AIRMoN DE99 1064.24 1778.88 AIRMoN MD15 709.491 378.415 AIRMoN NY67 989.109 1466.83 AIRMoN PA15 1724.69 1380.3 AIRMoN VT99 1230.85 1169.72 AIRMoN WV99 1427.23 1479.71500 2000 2500

**observed (mg/m2)** 

### Wet SO4 Depositionobserved, mg/m2 CMAQ, mg/m2

NADP-NTN CT15 616.41 329.643 NADP-NTN MA01 1034.04 247.301 NADP-NTN MA08 647.145 196.926 NADP-NTN MA13 672.407 345.46 NADP-NTN MD13 879.473 203.447 NADP-NTN MD18 833.021 161.289 NADP-NTN ME00 293.558 143.5 NADP-NTN ME02 255.467 229.957 NADP-NTN ME04 287.427 277.246 NADP-NTN ME08 269.06 228.938 NADP-NTN ME09 331.095 147.961 NADP-NTN ME95 278.667 116.316 NADP-NTN ME96 306.667 212.327 NADP-NTN ME98 221.625 171.037 NADP-NTN NH02 406.38 236.927 NADP-NTN NJ00 901.207 331.524 NADP-NTN NJ99 761.904 478.144 NADP-NTN NY08 679.94 380.212 NADP-NTN NY10 1014.82 467.539 NADP-NTN NY20 480.492 290.951 NADP-NTN NY22 745.395 399.97 NADP-NTN NY52 865.968 691.227 NADP-NTN NY65 724.217 324.917 NADP-NTN NY68 928.88 407.007 NADP-NTN NY98 576.865 248.344 NADP-NTN NY99 843.685 484.867 NADP-NTN PA00 725.522 666.886 NADP-NTN PA15 678.711 413.129 NADP-NTN PA18 725.523 259.834 NADP-NTN PA29 834.629 486.534 NADP-NTN PA42 743.831 268.423 NADP-NTN PA72 677.403 364.366 NADP-NTN VA00 742.267 177.957 NADP-NTN VA13 498.501 538.797 NADP-NTN VA24 492.923 411.829 NADP-NTN VA27 375.138 197.391 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200**p r** **e d** **i c** **t e** **d (** **m g** **/ m** **2 )** 

**observed (mg/m2)** 

### Wet NO3 DepositionNADP-NTN VA28 540.954 690.901

NADP-NTN VA99 128.077 144.48 NADP-NTN VT01 908.339 286.698 NADP-NTN VT99 771.609 565.688 NADP-NTN W V04 606.015 241.322 NADP-NTN W V05 684.412 598.316 NADP-NTN W V18 697.032 416.471 NYSDEC LOUD 674.565 343.852 NYSDEC W EST 1540.41 394.448 NYSDEC ELMI 849.871 250.962 NYSDEC BUFF 907.623 474.012 NYSDEC W FMT 658.916 248.344 NYSDEC PISE 572.561 365.353 NYSDEC NICK 658.04 474.436 NYSDEC CAMP 813.765 409.293 NYSDEC ROCH 640.185 552.972 NYSDEC EISE 830.627 268.277 NYSDEC NIAG 837.132 488.347 NYSDEC ESYR 964.121 604.027 NYSDEC ALTM 1271.56 691.227 NYSDEC MTNI 1318.05 482.627 NYSDEC GRAF 655.938 348.092 NYSDEC WANA 673.53 369.254 NYSDEC BELL 617.464 246.002 NYSDEC W HPL 1201.05 411.104 NYSDEC NYBG 1495.26 544.791 AIRMoN DE02 535.437 175.629 AIRMoN DE99 548.952 568.644 AIRMoN MD15 454.495 151.874 AIRMoN NY67 632.813 557.536 AIRMoN PA15 978.893 413.128 AIRMoN VT99 796.391 565.688 AIRMoN WV99 777.342 468.4041200 1400 1600observed, mg/m2 CMAQ, mg/m2

NADP-NTN CT15 91.1159 99.292 NADP-NTN MA01 210.565 58.3235 NADP-NTN MA08 176.283 56.6608 NADP-NTN MA13 130.223 144.486 NADP-NTN MD13 166.538 69.4428 NADP-NTN MD18 172.133 54.8724 NADP-NTN ME00 105.0481 69.3528 NADP-NTN ME02 68.3317 70.4042 NADP-NTN ME04 90.1099 118.029 NADP-NTN ME08 80.7819 68.7683 NADP-NTN ME09 99.6705 51.5566 NADP-NTN ME95 76.7322 54.6962 NADP-NTN ME96 86.3981 61.1492 NADP-NTN ME98 58.6486 44.0704 NADP-NTN NH02 107.043 57.2125 NADP-NTN NJ00 272.224 88.5312 NADP-NTN NJ99 174.206 120.168 NADP-NTN NY08 194.874 124.85 NADP-NTN NY10 244.926 127.639 NADP-NTN NY20 113.525 77.6276 NADP-NTN NY22 198.28 144.448 NADP-NTN NY52 229.686 203.107 NADP-NTN NY65 150.769 114.149 NADP-NTN NY68 242.524 118.139 NADP-NTN NY98 186.215 75.627 NADP-NTN NY99 161.746 141.135 NADP-NTN PA00 184.346 264.907 NADP-NTN PA15 142.491 110.784 NADP-NTN PA18 131.613 57.7593 NADP-NTN PA29 179.541 136.667 NADP-NTN PA42 162.735 65.7015 NADP-NTN PA72 123.292 82.9668 NADP-NTN VA00 166.065 62.341 NADP-NTN VA13 97.5768 161.466 NADP-NTN VA24 109.126 124.926 NADP-NTN VA27 85.4723 126.778 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500

0 100 200 300**p r** **e d** **i c** **t e** **d (** **m g** **/ m** **2 )** 

**observed (mg/m2)** 

### Wet NH4 DepositionNADP-NTN VA28 148.636 429.05

NADP-NTN VA99 20.8229 42.7268 NADP-NTN VT01 242.045 88.2636 NADP-NTN VT99 244.622 179.911 NADP-NTN W V04 139.201 69.1774 NADP-NTN W V05 97.2369 137.402 NADP-NTN W V18 156.044 97.595 NYSDEC LOUD 208.681 113.594 NYSDEC W EST 427.05 107.404 NYSDEC ELMI 270.792 77.4336 NYSDEC BUFF 339.838 154.273 NYSDEC W FMT 224.478 75.627 NYSDEC PISE 179.817 103.1908 NYSDEC NICK 244.994 144.378 NYSDEC CAMP 264.762 133.806 NYSDEC ROCH 223.276 156.13 NYSDEC EISE 199.408 84.6933 NYSDEC NIAG 267.427 139.156 NYSDEC ESYR 356.593 207.939 NYSDEC ALTM 416.675 203.107 NYSDEC MTNI 245.641 131.521 NYSDEC GRAF 160.93 112.96 NYSDEC WANA 211.085 109.91 NYSDEC BELL 173.892 71.4779 NYSDEC W HPL 253.13 97.1396 NYSDEC NYBG 367.784 186.299 AIRMoN DE02 188.938 61.9566 AIRMoN DE99 232.319 305.686 AIRMoN MD15 112.413 41.5789 AIRMoN NY67 150.983 203.3 AIRMoN PA15 226.411 110.783 AIRMoN VT99 289.272 179.911 AIRMoN WV99 201.346 119.217400 500