Record for the Final Section 316(b) Existing Facilities Rule

Author:

Date Created:

Date Modified:

Purpose:

Worksheet

AEO2013ER-Electricity_Supply-Di

EPA-HQ-OW-2008-0667-DRAFT-3947 FileInfo 1
Record for the Final Section 316(b) Existing Facilities Rule

United States Department of Energy

2/5/2013

Not modified.

Contains emissions data used in the Social Cost of Carbon analysis for Manufacturers.

Contents

Contains Electricity Supply, Disposition, Prices, and Emissions, Reference case from the 

EIA's National Energy Modeling system.

EPA-HQ-OW-2008-0667-DRAFT-3947 FileInfo 2
Record for the Final Section 316(b) Existing Facilities Rule

Supply, Disposition, Prices, and Emissions 2010 2011 2012 2013

Net Generation by Fuel Type

Electric Power Sector 1/

 Power Only 2/

 Coal 1796.671997 1687.937988 1503.213989 1565.713867

 Petroleum 32.367001 24.08 17.303053 17.19346

 Natural Gas 3/ 778.797974 809.166077 1012.470398 887.510681

 Nuclear Power 806.968994 790.224976 769.996948 775.18158

 Pumped Storage/Other 4/ 1.764999 1.352999 2.476138 2.467784

 Renewable Sources 5/ 392.363983 484.078979 455.992798 476.389801

 Distributed Generation (Natural Gas) 0 0 0 0

 Total 3808.934814 3796.841309 3761.453125 3724.457275

 Combined Heat and Power 6/

 Coal 31.064796 26.847858 27.918701 28.668921

 Petroleum 2.311924 2.14251 0.66282 0.665028

 Natural Gas 122.591736 120.816185 130.349442 128.847748

 Renewable Sources 4.570631 4.487894 3.575722 3.628398

 Total 163.439774 157.401093 162.506699 161.810104

 Total Electric Power Sector Generation 3972.374512 3954.242432 3923.959717 3886.267334

 Less Direct Use 16.754797 12.464993 13.1991 13.158128

 Net Available to the Grid 3955.619629 3941.777344 3910.760498 3873.109131

 End-Use Sector 7/

 Coal 19.552734 15.489598 15.549565 15.549565

 Petroleum 2.383996 1.975477 2.414142 2.414142

 Natural Gas 68.837242 70.422203 74.924599 77.719048

 Other Gaseous Fuels 8/ 10.263549 10.777761 10.787063 10.787063

 Renewable Sources 9/ 33.024242 37.251308 42.768135 48.004204

 Other 10/ 4.298178 4.454875 3.59304 3.629747

 Total End-Use Sector Generation 138.35994 140.371231 150.03653 158.103775

 Less Direct Use 99.740166 103.356865 112.153297 119.830681

 Total Sales to the Grid 38.61977 37.014347 37.883247 38.273113

 Total Electricity Generation by Fuel

 Coal 1847.289551 1730.275513 1546.682251 1609.932373

 Petroleum 37.06292 28.197987 20.380016 20.272631

Electricity Supply, Disposition, Prices, and Emissions, Reference case

(billion kilowatthours, unless otherwise noted)

EPA-HQ-OW-2008-0667-DRAFT-3947 AEO2013ER-Electricity_Supply-Di 1
Record for the Final Section 316(b) Existing Facilities Rule

 Natural Gas 970.226929 1000.404419 1217.744385 1094.077393

 Nuclear Power 806.968994 790.224976 769.996948 775.18158

 Renewable Sources 5,9/ 429.958832 525.818176 502.336639 528.0224

 Other 11/ 19.227409 19.692272 16.856241 16.884594

Total Electricity Generation 4110.734375 4094.61377 4073.996338 4044.371094

Net Generation to the Grid 3994.239502 3978.791748 3948.643799 3911.382324

Net Imports 25.680008 36.97607 44.992203 31.502954

Electricity Sales by Sector

 Residential 1445.71228 1423.699951 1384.3302 1359.092896

 Commercial 1330.202271 1319.287842 1328.836426 1309.05542

 Industrial 970.867615 975.500305 992.16449 989.935425

 Transportation 6.405448 6.486489 6.586908 6.668394

 Total 3753.1875 3724.974854 3711.918213 3664.752197

Direct Use 116.494965 115.821854 125.352402 132.988815

Total Electricity Use 3869.682373 3840.796631 3837.270508 3797.740967

End-Use Prices

(2011 cents per kilowatthour)

 Residential 11.779187 11.715401 11.350603 11.105858

 Commercial 10.404068 10.229398 9.711736 9.475292

 Industrial 6.912863 6.815722 6.290369 6.19038

 Transportation 11.569487 11.18235 10.618129 10.436811

 All Sectors Average 10.03265 9.905035 9.410042 9.194413

(nominal cents per kilowatthour)

 Residential 11.533201 11.715401 11.552114 11.495303

 Commercial 10.186799 10.229398 9.884151 9.80756

 Industrial 6.768501 6.815722 6.402043 6.407456

 Transportation 11.32788 11.18235 10.806636 10.802795

 All Sectors Average 9.823137 9.905035 9.577102 9.516831

Prices by Service Category

(2011 cents per kilowatthour)

 Generation 6.026699 5.765432 5.382906 5.251001

 Transmission 1.036694 1.06046 1.049677 1.045151

 Distribution 2.96738 3.063709 3.019267 2.980911

(nominal cents per kilowatthour)

 Generation 5.900843 5.765432 5.47847 5.435136

 Transmission 1.015045 1.06046 1.068312 1.081802

 Distribution 2.905412 3.063709 3.072869 3.085442

Electric Power Sector Emissions 1/

 Sulfur Dioxide (million short tons) 4.998616 4.423977 3.986388 4.031871

EPA-HQ-OW-2008-0667-DRAFT-3947 AEO2013ER-Electricity_Supply-Di 2
Record for the Final Section 316(b) Existing Facilities Rule

 Nitrogen Oxide (million short tons) 2.066 1.939 1.981802 2.093732

 Mercury (short tons) 33.138973 31.489607 29.230154 29.825132

category: EIA, AEO2013 National Energy Modeling System run ref2013.d102312a. Projections: EIA, AEO2013 National Ener

System run ref2013.d102312a.

 Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2010 and 2011

are model results and may differ slightly from official EIA data reports.

 Sources: 2010 and 2011 electric power sector generation; sales to the grid;

net imports; electricity sales; and electricity end-use prices: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA),

Annual Energy Review 2011, DOE/EIA-0384(2011) (Washington, DC, September 2012) and supporting databases. 2010 and 

Environmental Protection Agency, Clean Air Markets Database. 2010 and 2011 prices by service

 - - = Not applicable.

 6/ Includes combined heat and power plants whose primary business is to sell electricity and heat to the public

(i.e., those that report North American Industry Classification System code 22 or that have a regulatory status).

 7/ Includes combined heat and power plants and electricity-only plants in the commercial and industrial sectors that have 

status; and small on-site generating systems in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors used primarily for own-use 

but which may also sell some power to the grid.

 8/ Includes refinery gas and still gas.

 9/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, all municipal waste, landfill gas,

other biomass, solar, and wind power.

 10/ Includes batteries, chemicals, hydrogen, pitch, purchased steam, sulfur, and miscellaneous technologies.

 11/ Includes pumped storage, non-biogenic municipal waste, refinery gas, still gas, batteries,

chemicals, hydrogen, pitch, purchased steam, sulfur, and miscellaneous technologies.

other biomass, solar, and wind power.

 1/ Includes electricity-only and combined heat and power plants that have a regulatory status.

 2/ Includes plants that only produce electricity and that have a regulatory status.

 3/ Includes electricity generation from fuel cells.

 4/ Includes non-biogenic municipal waste. The U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates that in

2011 approximately 6 billion kilowatthours of electricity were generated from a municipal waste stream containing

petroleum-derived plastics and other non-renewable sources. See U.S. Energy Information Administration, Methodology

for Allocating Municipal Solid Waste to Biogenic and Non-Biogenic Energy (Washington, DC, May 2007).

 5/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, biogenic municipal waste, landfill gas,

EPA-HQ-OW-2008-0667-DRAFT-3947 AEO2013ER-Electricity_Supply-Di 3
Record for the Final Section 316(b) Existing Facilities Rule

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

1570.812866 1567.868286 1476.635742 1523.854614 1557.074463 1593.212158 1613.293335

17.29775 17.381329 16.543032 14.439687 14.641241 14.524823 14.661907

891.141663 907.475342 998.844666 972.337036 956.068359 953.139221 948.19104

788.709106 819.966797 839.925537 859.283813 875.858154 885.088867 884.801636

2.474093 2.475473 2.478292 2.478993 2.478994 2.479488 2.479487

487.57666 496.995361 513.37738 521.533447 529.472534 540.773438 554.571777

0 0.3202 0.651779 1.078899 1.505323 1.96348 2.569602

3758.012207 3812.483154 3848.456543 3895.006348 3937.099121 3991.181396 4020.568604

29.64822 30.228724 28.001884 27.15399 26.955803 26.882698 26.776161

0.669951 0.671818 0.640249 0.637527 0.636812 0.636899 0.635927

128.81102 128.87088 129.554169 129.837585 129.745682 129.517029 129.528885

4.010154 3.907197 3.983999 4.018905 4.042433 4.144152 4.007054

163.139343 163.678619 162.180298 161.64801 161.380737 161.180771 160.948029

3921.151611 3976.161865 4010.636719 4056.654297 4098.47998 4152.362305 4181.516602

13.440594 13.529589 13.267999 12.633146 12.630435 12.630435 12.630435

3907.710938 3962.632324 3997.368652 4044.02124 4085.849609 4139.731934 4168.88623

15.549565 15.549565 15.549565 15.549565 15.549565 15.549565 15.549565

2.084682 2.084682 2.084682 2.084682 2.084682 2.084682 2.084682

93.081375 95.162704 97.184174 98.638496 100.276276 102.129715 104.209557

13.827128 13.827128 13.827128 13.827128 13.827128 13.827128 13.827128

52.269341 57.995686 62.201965 64.388535 65.79435 66.977966 68.086571

4.138528 4.138528 4.138528 4.138528 4.138528 4.138528 4.138528

180.950623 188.758301 194.986053 198.626938 201.670532 204.707596 207.896042

143.719559 151.024948 156.94519 160.270157 163.055771 165.838181 168.760117

37.231052 37.73333 38.040829 38.356747 38.614754 38.869392 39.135929

1616.01062 1613.646606 1520.187134 1566.558105 1599.579834 1635.644409 1655.619019

20.052383 20.137829 19.267963 17.161896 17.362736 17.246405 17.382517

EPA-HQ-OW-2008-0667-DRAFT-3947 AEO2013ER-Electricity_Supply-Di 4
Record for the Final Section 316(b) Existing Facilities Rule

1113.034058 1131.829102 1226.234863 1201.89209 1187.595581 1186.749512 1184.499146

788.709106 819.966797 839.925537 859.283813 875.858154 885.088867 884.801636

543.85614 558.898254 579.563354 589.940918 599.309326 611.895569 626.665405

20.439751 20.44113 20.443949 20.444651 20.444651 20.445147 20.445145

4102.102051 4164.919922 4205.622559 4255.28125 4300.150391 4357.069824 4389.412598

3944.941895 4000.365723 4035.409424 4082.37793 4124.464355 4178.601562 4208.021973

32.448006 27.685553 29.50432 28.378649 26.487471 24.359766 24.083071

1364.077271 1366.878906 1373.081543 1383.507568 1397.048828 1414.293335 1418.99292

1321.283081 1324.476685 1332.986694 1343.021118 1355.065552 1370.27771 1383.5896

1011.946167 1058.036377 1083.597046 1111.194092 1128.084473 1146.700439 1157.918213

6.917739 7.203384 7.534868 7.860848 8.237711 8.517036 8.86875

3704.224365 3756.595703 3797.200195 3845.58374 3888.436523 3939.78833 3969.369385

157.160156 164.554535 170.213196 172.903305 175.686203 178.468613 181.390549

3861.384521 3921.150146 3967.41333 4018.487061 4064.122803 4118.256836 4150.759766

11.262155 11.280878 11.456917 11.541519 11.544376 11.478851 11.469589

9.500459 9.462838 9.63217 9.730261 9.773673 9.750408 9.74691

6.157333 6.102188 6.2672 6.358698 6.408795 6.389698 6.387363

10.281062 10.179749 10.240829 10.217548 10.224382 10.153691 10.099875

9.237361 9.179208 9.332959 9.40866 9.434618 9.393596 9.383507

11.821002 12.022135 12.400766 12.681928 12.889622 13.01922 13.225231

9.971888 10.084633 10.425693 10.6917 10.91258 11.058835 11.238863

6.462871 6.503158 6.783508 6.986996 7.1556 7.247143 7.365073

10.791226 10.848653 11.084496 11.227136 11.415811 11.516235 11.645857

9.695735 9.782366 10.101832 10.338322 10.534017 10.65414 10.819834

5.28707 5.233454 5.393578 5.512089 5.574563 5.570681 5.592065

1.061715 1.07635 1.08405 1.078805 1.076456 1.078229 1.081726

2.972128 2.950673 2.932207 2.894649 2.858124 2.816563 2.780078

5.549423 5.57734 5.837914 6.056734 6.224156 6.318221 6.448039

1.1144 1.147076 1.173357 1.185401 1.201893 1.222919 1.247305

3.11961 3.144559 3.17377 3.180667 3.191176 3.194523 3.205623

3.941396 3.618529 1.178878 1.202659 1.265267 1.33043 1.345312

EPA-HQ-OW-2008-0667-DRAFT-3947 AEO2013ER-Electricity_Supply-Di 5
Record for the Final Section 316(b) Existing Facilities Rule

2.089612 1.798745 1.619847 1.658333 1.653631 1.709991 1.721988

30.812658 29.85055 6.188142 6.370198 6.556572 6.733572 6.836016

s: EIA, AEO2013 National Energy Modeling

pporting databases. 2010 and 2011 emissions: U.S.

d heat to the public

egulatory status).

nd industrial sectors that have a non-regulatory

tors used primarily for own-use generation,

ous technologies.

ste stream containing

dministration, Methodology

waste, landfill gas,

EPA-HQ-OW-2008-0667-DRAFT-3947 AEO2013ER-Electricity_Supply-Di 6
Record for the Final Section 316(b) Existing Facilities Rule

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

1621.33667 1649.961426 1665.424072 1673.775024 1679.70105 1690.142944 1693.44397

14.74902 14.871799 14.970084 15.064514 14.964256 14.981346 14.94262

948.869202 951.91626 962.105042 978.974487 996.01416 1012.690002 1039.225464

888.739746 894.646606 900.553467 906.459961 912.367798 912.36731 912.366821

2.479983 2.481552 2.482951 2.484457 2.485925 2.4898 2.493958

567.461548 569.037048 572.786865 575.087524 581.647644 584.302124 586.512695

3.170927 3.762595 4.540421 5.304982 6.337409 7.172873 8.453805

4046.807129 4086.677246 4122.862793 4157.150879 4193.518066 4224.146484 4257.438965

26.128309 26.608454 26.655249 26.615606 26.881411 26.907986 27.25149

0.635926 0.637082 0.636937 0.637019 0.638155 0.637778 0.639105

130.199539 130.256165 130.592407 130.835846 130.51445 130.430862 129.54631

4.652307 4.402657 4.357877 4.397522 4.421359 4.385772 4.372545

161.616089 161.904358 162.242477 162.485992 162.455368 162.362396 161.809448

4208.42334 4248.581543 4285.105469 4319.636719 4355.973633 4386.508789 4419.248535

12.630435 12.630435 12.630435 12.554428 12.507924 12.507924 12.507924

4195.792969 4235.951172 4272.475098 4307.08252 4343.46582 4374.000977 4406.740723

15.549565 15.549565 19.707319 19.915209 20.133492 20.362686 20.603342

2.084682 2.084682 2.084682 2.084813 2.084923 2.085075 2.085228

106.61145 109.295799 112.337997 115.764992 119.624321 123.948044 128.895218

13.827127 13.827127 13.827127 13.827127 13.827127 13.827128 13.827127

69.336929 70.870865 71.785767 73.333389 74.720818 76.100739 77.336197

4.138528 4.138528 4.138528 4.138528 4.138528 4.138528 4.138528

211.548294 215.766571 223.881439 229.064087 234.529221 240.462219 246.885651

171.914398 175.761658 182.046997 186.697235 191.589279 192.693665 202.605698

39.633873 40.004921 41.834423 42.366806 42.939957 47.768539 44.279922

1663.014526 1692.119385 1711.786621 1720.305786 1726.716064 1737.413574 1741.298828

17.469627 17.593563 17.691704 17.786346 17.687334 17.704201 17.666954

EPA-HQ-OW-2008-0667-DRAFT-3947 AEO2013ER-Electricity_Supply-Di 7
Record for the Final Section 316(b) Existing Facilities Rule

1188.851074 1195.230835 1209.575806 1230.880371 1252.490234 1274.241699 1306.12085

888.739746 894.646606 900.553467 906.459961 912.367798 912.36731 912.366821

641.450745 644.310547 648.930481 652.81842 660.789856 664.788574 668.221436

20.445639 20.447208 20.448606 20.450113 20.451582 20.455458 20.459616

4419.97168 4464.348145 4508.986816 4548.700684 4590.50293 4626.971191 4666.134277

4235.426758 4275.956055 4314.30957 4349.449219 4386.405762 4421.769531 4451.020508

29.658516 27.789957 24.976051 24.136948 21.568264 21.460188 17.514164

1429.161255 1441.731689 1456.189209 1471.384033 1487.633301 1503.521118 1520.609985

1396.818604 1409.701294 1423.945068 1438.768555 1455.371948 1472.042725 1488.357666

1167.717407 1180.857544 1185.115234 1187.157227 1185.999512 1186.047485 1175.582764

9.259559 9.640265 10.008117 10.380424 10.862436 11.323892 11.739789

4002.957031 4041.930908 4075.257568 4107.69043 4139.866699 4172.935547 4196.290527

184.54483 188.39209 194.677429 199.251663 204.097198 205.201584 215.113617

4187.501953 4230.323242 4269.935059 4306.941895 4343.963867 4378.137207 4411.404297

11.484387 11.495454 11.49963 11.546198 11.586939 11.643817 11.691459

9.784164 9.780365 9.768024 9.769497 9.719369 9.682802 9.679738

6.433135 6.469696 6.513458 6.536971 6.544885 6.576406 6.606475

10.048022 10.037123 10.119769 10.25032 10.371437 10.478142 10.553159

9.414257 9.425521 9.441182 9.472904 9.482746 9.508608 9.550199

13.472017 13.72981 13.983614 14.292755 14.601708 14.94038 15.273585

11.477533 11.681361 11.877972 12.093421 12.248221 12.424169 12.645496

7.546533 7.727202 7.920401 8.091955 8.247778 8.438299 8.630623

11.787057 11.988025 12.305696 12.688621 13.069949 13.444682 13.786523

11.043605 11.257547 11.48053 11.726275 11.950032 12.200657 12.476268

5.652726 5.690066 5.748163 5.796637 5.820769 5.862024 5.913411

1.08488 1.086079 1.086361 1.087675 1.089027 1.090796 1.092479

2.74514 2.71533 2.67177 2.651627 2.634313 2.615127 2.601995

6.631057 6.796036 6.989798 7.175515 7.335257 7.521663 7.725212

1.272643 1.297178 1.321021 1.346407 1.372377 1.399618 1.427201

3.220248 3.243105 3.248887 3.282384 3.319726 3.355514 3.399216

1.377733 1.436671 1.441826 1.46057 1.430725 1.465251 1.454368

EPA-HQ-OW-2008-0667-DRAFT-3947 AEO2013ER-Electricity_Supply-Di 8
Record for the Final Section 316(b) Existing Facilities Rule

1.737078 1.757408 1.774251 1.789055 1.797701 1.80437 1.803162

6.876823 6.945518 7.152602 7.188903 7.194547 7.211467 7.169969

EPA-HQ-OW-2008-0667-DRAFT-3947 AEO2013ER-Electricity_Supply-Di 9
Record for the Final Section 316(b) Existing Facilities Rule

2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034

1696.948486 1707.539307 1717.772949 1723.819336 1728.884766 1735.091431 1746.425537

14.930943 14.988976 15.049183 15.010701 15.062837 15.118737 15.194381

1056.058472 1072.988281 1092.810791 1118.631714 1141.799072 1161.687256 1176.985962

912.366821 912.366821 908.429199 900.553589 893.67926 887.045715 880.714233

2.500833 2.508402 2.517485 2.528384 2.537979 2.544378 2.552568

591.442871 593.940491 598.073364 601.827087 608.283325 619.161133 631.109741

9.248062 9.933258 10.429918 10.927742 11.388846 11.81647 12.249986

4283.496094 4314.265137 4345.08252 4373.298828 4401.635742 4432.464844 4465.232422

27.280607 27.317589 27.309334 27.379536 27.429859 27.480509 27.610132

0.639003 0.639072 0.638934 0.638966 0.639084 0.638669 0.638898

129.58577 128.883072 128.496552 128.386475 128.620178 128.620178 128.620651

4.343434 4.32093 4.320406 4.281896 4.277801 4.137235 4.128694

161.848816 161.16066 160.765228 160.686859 160.966919 160.876587 160.998367

4445.344727 4475.425781 4505.847656 4533.98584 4562.602539 4593.341309 4626.230957

12.507924 12.507924 12.507924 12.507924 12.507924 12.507924 12.507924

4432.836914 4462.917969 4493.339844 4521.478027 4550.094727 4580.833496 4613.723145

20.856031 21.121355 21.399942 21.692463 21.999607 22.322111 22.660736

2.085424 2.085665 2.085992 2.085992 2.085992 2.085992 2.085992

134.495834 140.689407 147.649307 154.873276 162.383896 170.193649 178.312302

13.827128 13.827128 13.827128 13.827128 13.827128 13.827128 13.827128

79.00441 80.696289 82.326859 84.077072 85.831985 87.675323 89.577454

4.138528 4.138528 4.138528 4.138528 4.138528 4.138528 4.138528

254.407364 262.55838 271.427765 280.694489 290.267151 300.242737 310.602112

209.490128 216.725906 224.579971 232.783249 241.247299 250.054489 259.172363

44.917225 45.832481 46.847794 47.911201 49.019863 50.188217 51.42976

1745.085205 1755.978271 1766.482178 1772.891357 1778.314209 1784.894043 1796.696411

17.655371 17.713715 17.774109 17.735659 17.787914 17.843399 17.91927

EPA-HQ-OW-2008-0667-DRAFT-3947 AEO2013ER-Electricity_Supply-Di 10
Record for the Final Section 316(b) Existing Facilities Rule

1329.388184 1352.494019 1379.386597 1412.819214 1444.192017 1472.317627 1496.168823

912.366821 912.366821 908.429199 900.553589 893.67926 887.045715 880.714233

674.79071 678.957703 684.720642 690.186096 698.393066 710.973633 724.815918

20.46649 20.47406 20.483143 20.494041 20.503635 20.510035 20.518225

4699.751953 4737.984375 4777.275391 4814.680176 4852.869629 4893.583984 4936.833008

4477.753906 4508.750488 4540.1875 4569.38916 4599.114746 4631.021484 4665.152832

18.85099 16.803518 13.715879 13.773485 13.585555 12.403186 11.274117

1537.306641 1554.150269 1571.634888 1589.447144 1607.114502 1625.091431 1643.356689

1503.30188 1518.542114 1530.904297 1543.734375 1557.490234 1572.172974 1587.182617

1169.747681 1164.50293 1160.647705 1156.938354 1152.632446 1148.310547 1145.37439

12.188873 12.665303 13.182973 13.757964 14.332324 14.940421 15.560162

4222.54541 4249.860352 4276.370117 4303.87793 4331.569824 4360.515137 4391.473633

221.998047 229.233826 237.087891 245.291168 253.755219 262.562408 271.680298

4444.543457 4479.094238 4513.458008 4549.168945 4585.325195 4623.077637 4663.153809

11.741938 11.775142 11.792415 11.835 11.876287 11.915974 11.970158

9.718387 9.750586 9.776165 9.820102 9.864967 9.922685 9.987304

6.64214 6.69106 6.730633 6.778582 6.834031 6.893881 6.970266

10.648506 10.689734 10.756951 10.828091 10.891083 10.981806 11.06431

9.605593 9.655415 9.693605 9.749838 9.808076 9.871566 9.946239

15.619926 15.954126 16.272854 16.636768 17.002619 17.371374 17.767262

12.928061 13.211058 13.490546 13.804373 14.123124 14.465512 14.824119

8.835829 9.065709 9.287888 9.52883 9.783902 10.050055 10.345941

14.16537 14.483508 14.843974 15.22133 15.592156 16.009523 16.422716

12.778015 13.08211 13.376618 13.705602 14.041677 14.39099 14.763166

5.958313 6.005962 6.034504 6.072109 6.118582 6.187269 6.258242

1.094811 1.096726 1.098778 1.100518 1.10307 1.106245 1.110464

2.603673 2.608689 2.614135 2.629883 2.637409 2.630728 2.628266

7.926155 8.137471 8.327269 8.535722 8.759633 9.01994 9.289085

1.456392 1.485953 1.516251 1.547026 1.579203 1.612708 1.648257

3.463584 3.53451 3.607355 3.696896 3.775831 3.835135 3.901126

1.440166 1.480149 1.500628 1.539477 1.554815 1.547777 1.575204

EPA-HQ-OW-2008-0667-DRAFT-3947 AEO2013ER-Electricity_Supply-Di 11
Record for the Final Section 316(b) Existing Facilities Rule

1.808443 1.813143 1.822805 1.83275 1.839438 1.845501 1.847865

7.197379 7.230881 7.332098 7.356753 7.360518 7.37725 7.46028

EPA-HQ-OW-2008-0667-DRAFT-3947 AEO2013ER-Electricity_Supply-Di 12
Record for the Final Section 316(b) Existing Facilities Rule

2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040

1755.526489 1764.90625 1766.990234 1771.686279 1771.942139 1775.888916

15.269176 15.355705 15.440184 15.52246 15.599447 15.68173

1192.739014 1205.184204 1211.041626 1220.320557 1225.93457 1223.677002

874.865112 868.298096 871.718689 876.383057 887.454224 902.864014

2.556907 2.561286 2.564849 2.56747 2.569406 2.57204

644.07959 661.018066 681.154663 700.572266 724.138916 750.244019

12.420008 12.590567 12.777241 12.97079 13.065149 13.166666

4497.456055 4529.914062 4561.687988 4600.022461 4640.703613 4684.094238

28.254505 28.480173 28.48386 28.384775 28.383598 28.386618

0.641322 0.642186 0.642154 0.642192 0.642156 0.642115

127.185669 126.386894 126.154022 126.153778 125.924622 124.696083

4.144369 4.143351 4.139662 4.25233 4.250722 4.247695

160.225861 159.652603 159.419693 159.433075 159.201096 157.972519

4657.682129 4689.566895 4721.10791 4759.455566 4799.904785 4842.066895

12.507924 12.507924 12.507924 12.507924 12.507924 12.507924

4645.174316 4677.059082 4708.600098 4746.947754 4787.396973 4829.559082

23.016296 23.389631 23.781635 24.193239 24.625423 25.079214

2.085992 2.085992 2.085992 2.085992 2.085992 2.085992

186.958649 194.846039 201.972214 208.438416 214.759598 220.891693

13.827128 13.827128 13.827127 13.827127 13.827127 13.827127

91.555481 93.650543 96.156799 98.720291 101.282112 103.736603

4.138528 4.138528 4.138528 4.138528 4.138528 4.138528

321.582092 331.937836 341.962311 351.403595 360.718781 369.759155

268.808746 277.857941 286.369415 294.466095 302.327148 309.74762

52.773338 54.079857 55.592915 56.937523 58.391666 60.011559

1806.797363 1816.776123 1819.255737 1824.264282 1824.95105 1829.354736

17.99649 18.083883 18.168331 18.250645 18.327595 18.409836

EPA-HQ-OW-2008-0667-DRAFT-3947 AEO2013ER-Electricity_Supply-Di 13
Record for the Final Section 316(b) Existing Facilities Rule

1519.303345 1539.00769 1551.945068 1567.883545 1579.68396 1582.431396

874.865112 868.298096 871.718689 876.383057 887.454224 902.864014

739.779419 758.812012 781.451111 803.544861 829.671753 858.228271

20.522564 20.526943 20.530504 20.533125 20.535063 20.537695

4979.26416 5021.504883 5063.070312 5110.859375 5160.623535 5211.826172

4697.947754 4731.13916 4764.192871 4803.885254 4845.788574 4889.570801

10.062503 11.280499 17.320326 18.062122 18.069618 18.070129

1661.317871 1680.669312 1701.246704 1722.188721 1743.861328 1766.623535

1601.863892 1617.54541 1633.059814 1648.343506 1662.879883 1677.242798

1141.765869 1138.337646 1137.983276 1139.030273 1141.428223 1144.686646

16.179605 16.795176 17.421303 18.075432 18.758526 19.476158

4421.126953 4453.347656 4489.711426 4527.637695 4566.927734 4608.029297

281.316681 290.365875 298.87735 306.97403 314.835083 322.255554

4702.443848 4743.713379 4788.588867 4834.611816 4881.762695 4930.284668

12.085743 12.227235 12.343243 12.454755 12.592357 12.65804

10.119472 10.270701 10.407647 10.558116 10.739803 10.832127

7.095261 7.255267 7.394081 7.529416 7.673126 7.760399

11.206683 11.377619 11.518293 11.672333 11.859659 11.965886

10.081303 10.242475 10.38156 10.522056 10.685328 10.773884

18.262295 18.809074 19.32892 19.851515 20.425631 20.891396

15.291139 15.799352 16.297871 16.82848 17.420668 17.877827

10.721372 11.160728 11.578772 12.001063 12.446315 12.808111

16.933983 17.502115 18.037088 18.60442 19.237146 19.749035

15.233464 15.755931 16.257019 16.771004 17.332304 17.7817

6.384639 6.546319 6.683669 6.814193 6.974434 7.054966

1.114153 1.117702 1.121353 1.12684 1.134314 1.140991

2.630568 2.630978 2.629545 2.627036 2.624776 2.624467

9.647579 10.070159 10.466301 10.861077 11.31299 11.643832

1.683554 1.719353 1.755984 1.796059 1.839932 1.883143

3.974948 4.047215 4.117741 4.187207 4.257559 4.331538

1.60196 1.617573 1.637822 1.636548 1.664194 1.663114

EPA-HQ-OW-2008-0667-DRAFT-3947 AEO2013ER-Electricity_Supply-Di 14
Record for the Final Section 316(b) Existing Facilities Rule

1.854119 1.862344 1.865649 1.866522 1.867453 1.870004

7.550561 7.541974 7.649599 7.660553 7.694115 7.752477

EPA-HQ-OW-2008-0667-DRAFT-3947 AEO2013ER-Electricity_Supply-Di 15
Record for the Final Section 316(b) Existing Facilities Rule

Growth Rate (2011-2040)

0.20%

-1.50%

1.40%

0.50%

2.20%

1.50%

- -

0.70%

0.20%

-4.10%

0.10%

-0.20%

0.00%

0.70%

0.00%

0.70%

1.70%

0.20%

4.00%

0.90%

3.60%

-0.30%

3.40%

3.90%

1.70%

0.20%

-1.50%

EPA-HQ-OW-2008-0667-DRAFT-3947 AEO2013ER-Electricity_Supply-Di 16
Record for the Final Section 316(b) Existing Facilities Rule

1.60%

0.50%

1.70%

0.10%

0.80%

0.70%

-2.40%

0.70%

0.80%

0.60%

3.90%

0.70%

3.60%

0.90%

0.30%

0.20%

0.40%

0.20%

0.30%

2.00%

1.90%

2.20%

2.00%

2.00%

0.70%

0.30%

-0.50%

2.50%

2.00%

1.20%

-3.30%

EPA-HQ-OW-2008-0667-DRAFT-3947 AEO2013ER-Electricity_Supply-Di 17
Record for the Final Section 316(b) Existing Facilities Rule

-0.10%

-4.70%

EPA-HQ-OW-2008-0667-DRAFT-3947 AEO2013ER-Electricity_Supply-Di 18