The Impacts of an Renewable Fuel Standards (RFS) waiver on the 

Livestock, Dairy, and total Poultry production Sectors for the United 

States, Arkansas, Delaware, Georgia, Florida, Maryland, New Mexico, 

North Carolina, Texas, Utah, Virginia, and Wyoming

The following assumptions are made in estimating the impacts of an RFS 

waiver on feed cost per unit of livestock, poultry, and dairy product as well 

and total feed costs with and without a mandate at the national level and 

for those states that have petitioned the EPA for a waiver:

Assumptions for the analyses:

The livestock sector is segmented into Fed Cattle, Cow-Calf, and 

Hogs. 

The poultry sector is segmented into Young Chickens (broilers), 

Turkeys and Eggs.

Dairy is the other animal agriculture included in the analysis.

Feed is equal to the sum of feed and residual use of corn, sorghum, 

barley, oats and the domestic use of soybean meal.

Three corn price deltas, defined as the difference in corn price with 

the mandate and without the mandate, formed the basis for the 

2012/13 corn marketing year waiver analysis:

o ALT 1 - Average (100 percent of the Iowa State Model Runs),

$0.07 per bushel price reduction without mandate, a 0.8 percent

percent decline.

o ALT 2 - Binding Mandate (11 percent of the Iowa State Model 

Runs), $0.58 per bushel price reduction without mandate, a 7.4 

percent decline.

o ALT 3 - Worst case (1 percent of the Iowa State Model Runs), 

$1.86 per bushel price reduction without mandate, a 23.8 

percent decline.

Projected prices for sorghum, barley, and oats in 2012/13 also decline 

by same percentages as the corn price without the mandate for the 

three alternatives assessed.

The price of the soybean complex (beans, meal, and oil) did not 

change with or without the mandate in the three alternatives assessed

(based on Iowa State Model Runs).
Feed grain prices in each of the 11 states that petitioned EPA are 

equal to national average feed grain prices.

Livestock production, poultry production, and dairy (milk) production

in each of the 11 states that petitioned EPA are projected to increase 

from 2011/12 to 2012/13 similar to US projections of livestock, 

poultry, and dairy reported in the October 11, 2012 World Agriculture 

Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE), USDA.

The cattle feeding simulator for High Plains used to estimate feed 

costs for cattle on feed for the US and Texas, the only state petitioning 

EPA with reported cattle on feed.

Per unit feed costs for cow-calf, dairy (milk), and hogs (feeder pigs to 

finish) by state are based on USDA Economic Research Service

(ERS) commodity costs and returns.

An ERS poultry analyst provided the following corn and soybean 

meal feed ration estimates for young chicken, turkey and egg 

production: 1.9 and 2.9 pounds of feed (69 percent corn and 26 

percent soybean meal) is require per pound of live weight gain for 

young chickens and turkeys, respectively. Four pounds of feed (80 

percent corn and 20 percent soybean meal) is required per dozen eggs 

produced.

Methodology:

The following methodologies are used to estimate feed costs per unit of 

livestock, dairy and poultry production with and without an RFS waiver for 

the United States, Arkansas, Delaware, Georgia, Florida, Maryland, New 

Mexico, North Carolina, Texas, Utah, Virginia, and Wyoming, as well as 

total feed costs at the national level and for the same states, again with and 

without an RFS waiver. 

USDA’s Economic Research Service 2011 commodity costs and returns for 

hog, milk, and cow-calf production for the United States and select regions 

(the 11 states of interest are assigned to the appropriate farm resource 

production regions defined by ERS), and cattle feeding simulator for High 

Plains (Texas and US average) are used as the basis to project the feed costs

per livestock, dairy and poultry production unit. The cattle fed and cow-calf 

are measured in head (commercial slaughter), hogs in pounds, milk in 

pounds, young chickens (broilers) and turkeys in pounds (live weight), and 

eggs in dozens. The 2011 feed cost (net of any grazing) per unit of 
production is estimated for 2012 and 2013 by multiplying the 2011 estimate 

by the appropriate percentage change in corn prices, with the mandate and 

without the RFS mandate.

The URL for the ERS commodity costs and returns is:

http://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/commodity-costs-and-returns.aspx

U.S. Farm Resource Regions

Source: Economic Research Service: 

http://webarchives.cdlib.org/sw1wp9v27r/http://www.ers.usda.gov/Briefing/ARMS/resourceregions/r

esourceregions.htm#older

ERS does not have costs and returns estimates for poultry production at the 

national or regional level. Personal contact and conversation with an ERS 
poultry specialist yielded the conversion ratios of a corn-soybean meal feed 

ration to live weight gain and eggs produced: 1.9 and 2.9 pounds of feed (69

ERS FARM RESOURCE REGIONS 

STATE TO REGION CORRESPONDENCE

Northern Northern Basin and Fruited Prarie Mississippi Southern Eastern

State Cresent Heartland Great Plains Range Rim Gateway Portal Seaboard Uplands

Arkansas X

Delaware X

Florida X

Georgia X

Maryland X

New Mexico X

North Carolina X

Texas X

Utah X

Virginia X

Wyoming X

percent corn and 26 percent soybean meal) is require per pound of live 

weight gain for young chickens and turkeys, respectively; four pounds of 

feed (80 percent corn and 20 percent soybean meal) is required per dozen 

eggs produced. The cost per feed per unit of production for poultry segments 

is based on these feed ration conversions and the corn and soybean meal 

price changes for the average, binding mandate and worst case scenarios.

Total feed costs with and without the RFS mandate and the change in feed 

costs, with and without the mandate, are estimate for each of the livestock 

(fed cattle and cow-calf) and poultry (young chickens, turkeys, and eggs) 

production segments, dairy and hogs at the national and for the states of 

interest for which data is available. Feed costs by livestock, dairy and 

poultry are derived by multiplying the per unit production feed cost, with 

and without the RFS mandate, by total production for the nation and each 

state. The difference, with and without mandate is computed. Totals are 

summed across livestock, dairy, and poultry.

Poultry

The majority of chicken slaughter in the United States is young chickens 

(broilers) and the remainder, less than 2 percent of the total over the 2009-

2011 calendar years, is mature chickens. Historical United States and state 

level young total chicken, turkeys and egg production are reported by 

USDA. Projections at the national (US) level for broilers, turkeys, and eggs 

are found in USDA’s World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimate

(WASDE). Monthly data was used to develop marketing year production by 

state through 2011/12. 
Total chicken and turkey live weight slaughter and total eggs produced for 

each state are increased or decreased by the same percentage change in 

broiler, turkey, and eggs produced and reported in the October 2012 issue of 

the WASDE for the 2012/13 marketing year.

Total feed costs are derived by multiplying the per-unit feed cost with and 

without the mandate by poultry and egg production. 

Hogs and pigs

Monthly data was used to develop marketing year production by state 

through 2011/12. Total live weight commercial hog slaughter for each state 

is increased or decreased by the same percentage change in total US pork 

production as reported in the October 2012 issue of the WASDE for the 

2012/13 marketing year. Monthly data was used to develop marketing year 

production by state through 2011/12.

Total feed costs are derived by multiplying the per-unit feed cost with and 

without the mandate bypork production. 

Dairy

Calendar year data was used to develop marketing year production by state 

through 2011/12. Total milk production for each state is increased or 

decreased by the same percentage change in total US milk production as 

reported in the October 2012 issue of the WASDE for the 2012/13 

marketing year (2012q4-2013q3).

Total feed costs are derived by multiplying the per-unit feed cost with and 

without the mandate by milk production. 

Cattle

Percentage changes in total US beef production are used to project the 

number of fed cattle marketed and cow-calf slaughter in US and the 11 states 

of interest.

Fed cattle and cow-calf production are based on total commercial cattle 

slaughter. Historical monthly data are used to develop marketing year 

estimates of commercial cattle slaughter and commercial calf slaughter for 

the United States and for the 11 states of interest (Delaware and Maryland 

report collectively) through 2011/12 marketing year (Oct.-Sept.). Texas is 
the only state of those petitioning the EPA for which cattle on feed data are 

reported. Subtracting fed cattle marketed from total cattle slaughter for the 

United States and Texas results in an estimate of other cows slaughtered. 

This figure is then added to calves slaughtered. 

The above steps lead to an estimate of 2011/12 fed cattle and cow-calf 

production. Cattle fed and cow-calf production is projections for the 2012/13 

year for each state are increased or decreased by the same percentage change 

in total US beef production as reported in the October 2012 issue of the 

WASDE for the 2012/13 marketing year (2012 Q4-2013 Q3).

Total feed costs are derived by multiplying the respective per-unit feed cost 

with and without the mandate by fed cattle and cow-calf production. 

RESULTS

Three scenarios were examined, relative to a 2012/13 base year. These are 

identified as the “$0.07 Scenario”, “$0.58 Scenario”, and the “$1.86 

Scenario”. Production levels under all three scenarios remain constant at the 

national level and for each state. Tables 2 through 6 reflect historical and 

projected production at the national and state level for the livestock, dairy 

and poultry segments evaluated. Table 2 presents the information for 

production of beef (-3.3 percent), pork (-0.2 percent), broilers (-1.3 percent), 

turkey (-2.0 percent), eggs (-1.4 percent), and milk (-0.5 percent) at the 

national level and projections for the 2012/13 year, which drive the detailed 

livestock, dairy and poultry segment projections at the state level.

Tables 1, 7, and 8 depend on the corn price difference identified and will 

differ by scenario.

The October 11, 2012 WASDE was used to estimate total feed use and 

prices for 2012/13. For this analysis feed use is equal to the sums of feed 

and residual use of corn, sorghum, barley, and oats as well as domestic use 

of soybean meal. Total feed grains and soybean meal demand declined from 

185.7 million tons (mmt) in 2008/09 to 163.8 mmt 2011/128 and is expected 

to decline to 150.3 mmt in 2012/13. The weighted value of the feed 

fluctuated over that time from a low of a $159/st in 2009/10 to a high of 

$255/st in 2011/12. Based on the midpoint of the price ranges reported in the 

WASDE, feed will rise to $318/st without a waiver. Under the three 
scenarios, without the RFS mandate corn and other feed grain prices will 

decline by an estimated $0.07/bu for the “$0.07 Scenario”, by $0.58/bu for 

the “$0.58 Scenario”, and by $1.86/bu for the “$1.86 Scenario”, and 

respective declines in the weighted feed costs to $317/st ( 0.5 percent), 

$302/st (5.2 percent), and $265/st (16.7 percent) relative to the 2012/13 base 

of $318/st. See Table 1 for each of the scenarios.

Table 7, $0.07 Scenario — shows the feed cost per unit of production for 

chickens, turkeys, eggs, hogs, fed cattle, cow-calf, and milk production for 

United States and for select states. State information is reported for hog 

production (feeder pig to finish), cow-calf production, and milk. The ERS 

reports commodity costs and returns for select regions for which states have 

been assigned. 

Feed costs per unit of production decline in general by about 0.6 percent

with a waiver relative to the without waiver cost. This is approximately the 

same percentage decline in corn prices. The exception is for the poultry 

segments which are based on a feed ration that includes corn and soybean 

meal. Meal prices are not affected by the relaxing the mandate and 

approving a waiver. So only a portion of the feed costs adjust with a drop in 

corn prices. Poultry per unit feed prices do not decline as much as per unit 

feed costs for cattle on feed, cow calf, milk, and hog production on a 

percentage basis.

Broiler, turkey, egg and fed cattle marketed per unit production costs are 

estimated only at the national level and applied to the states where 

production is observed. Poultry segments per unit costs are based on a corn 

and soybean meal ration: for young chicken, turkey and egg production: 1.9

and 2.9 pounds of feed (69 percent corn and 26 percent soybean meal) is 

require per pound of live weight gain for young chickens and turkeys, 

respectively. Four pounds of feed (80 percent corn and 20 percent soybean 

meal) is required per dozen eggs produced. The cost to produce 100 pounds 

of live weight chicken and turkey is $30.24 and $46.16, respectively, 

without the waiver and $30.09 and $45.92, respectively with the waiver. 

There is a $0.37/dz in the cost to produce eggs with and without the waiver.

Texas is the only state to petition the EPA that is assumed to produce fed 

cattle. The cattle feeding simulator for High Plains used to estimate feed 

costs for cattle on feed for the US and Texas. The feed cost differential per 

head to produce is less than $4.00 per head produced.
Table 8, $0.07 Scenario — presents the estimated total feed costs by animal 

product by state, with and without a waiver of the RFS mandate, and the 

difference in between feed costs with and without the mandate. At the 

national level the decline in corn prices of $0.07/bu results in an estimated 

$452 million drop in total feed costs. In absolute terms, milk producers 

would be expected to see a $189 million reduction in feed costs, about 40

percent of the total. Cattle (fed and cow calf) producers would expect about 

a $104 million reduction in feed costs, nearly 23 percent of the total.

Looking across states, Georgia and North Carolina poultry and egg 

producers could be expected to reduce feed costs by $6.7 million and $5.9

million. Across the United States, chicken producers are estimated to save 

approximately $74 million. Cattle producers in Texas, the only state 

assumed to produce fed cattle, account for $30 million of the national saving 

attributable to a waiver being granted.

The impacts of RFS waiver on CPI for food, $0.07 Scenario, would decline 

by 0.04 percent and the CPI for all items would decline by 0.006 percent. It 

would take 1-3 years for the above price change to be fully reflected at the 

retail level, since it would take that long of a period for dairy, beef and hog 

producers to fully adjust to the changes in feed costs. For the $1.86

Scenario, the CPI for food would decline by 1.13 percent and the total CPI 

by 0.158 percent. The change in annual household expenditures on food are 

estimated to be less than $75 per household, under the $1.86 Scenario,

Comparable tables are attached for all scenarios.
TABLES FOR $0.07 Scenario
Table 1: U.S. Feed Demand and Prices with and without RFS Waiver

Assumptions: Corn Price Change 0.07 $ Per Bushel

With Without

Mandate Mandate

Units 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12* 20012/13** 20012/13***

Feed use Mil. ST 185.7 181.1 170.8 163.8 150.3 150.3

Value/Price $/st 175.91 158.17 212.93 255.38 318.45 316.57

Source: USDA

* Estimate, USDA, WASDE, OCT 2012

** Projection, USDA, WASDE, OCT 2012

***Estimates based on EPA Provided corn price change

$0.07 Scenario

Table 2 -- United States Animal Products Production

Units 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13* PCT Change

Beef Mil. Lbs. 26447 25823 24960 -3.3%

Pork Mil. Lbs. 22700 23198 23155 -0.2%

Broilers Mil. Lbs. 37825 36602 36115 -1.3%

Turkey Mil. Lbs. 5802 5921 5800 -2.0%

Eggs Mil. Doz. 44148 43049 42445 -1.4%

Milk Production Bil. Lbs. 195.1 199.9 198.9 -0.5%

Source: USDA, WASDE, October 11, 2012 and select historical issues

Marketing year basis (QIV-QIII)

* Projections
Table 3 -- US and Select State Milk Production

Million Pounds

State 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012* 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/2012 2012/13*

Arkansas 258 220 186 165 153 142 144 230 195 170 156 145 144 144

Delaware 114 113 110 102 90 91.5 93 113 111 104 93 91 93 93

Florida 2171 2104 2060 2078 2127 2269 2308 2121 2071 2074 2115 2234 2298 2297

Georgia 1404 1399 1355 1400 1396 1450 1475 1400 1366 1389 1397 1437 1469 1468

Maryland 1106 1051 1029 1004 1001 970 987 1065 1035 1010 1002 978 982 982

New Mexico 7630 7290 7865 7904 7881 8177 8317 7375 7721 7894 7887 8103 8282 8276

North Carolina 944 921 892 884 864 902 917 927 899 886 869 893 914 913

Texas 7145 7384 8416 8840 8828 9582 9746 7324 8158 8734 8831 9394 9705 9698

Utah 1747 1732 1776 1767 1819 1854 1886 1736 1765 1769 1806 1845 1878 1876

Virginia 1771 1753 1726 1736 1719 1719 1748 1758 1733 1734 1723 1719 1741 1740

Wyoming 118 133.7 135.7 104.7 120.4 123.1 125 130 135 112 116 122 125 125

United States 181796 185654 189982 189334 192848 196245 199600 184690 188900 189496 191970 195396 198761 198625

Source: Milk Production, Disposition, and Income 2011 Summary: Released April 25, 2012, Marketing year derived. 25% of XX calendar year and 75% of YY

by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, calendar year to estimate 20XX/YY

 United States Department of Agriculture (USDA).

* US total based on October 11, 2012 WASDE estimates. States change by same percentage as the national level
Table 4 -- United States All Eggs Production 

Eggs produced

State 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012* 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million

Arkansas 3267.0 3236.0 3139.0 2935.0 2957.0 2951.0 2968.5 3163.3 2986.0 2951.5 2952.5 2964.1 2922.5

Florida 2938.0 2885.0 2749.0 2670.0 2592.0 2666.0 2681.8 2783.0 2689.8 2611.5 2647.5 2677.9 2640.3

Georgia 4811.0 4792.0 4576.0 4463.0 4485.0 4289.0 4314.4 4630.0 4491.3 4479.5 4338.0 4308.1 4247.6

Maryland 733.0 702.0 666.0 554.0 616.0 569.0 572.4 675.0 582.0 600.5 580.8 571.5 563.5

North Carolina 2636.0 2960.0 3063.0 3148.0 3251.0 3220.0 3239.1 3037.3 3126.8 3225.3 3227.8 3234.3 3188.9

Texas 5053.0 4995.0 4954.0 4985.0 4811.0 4909.0 4938.1 4964.3 4977.3 4854.5 4884.5 4930.8 4861.7

Utah 937.0 954.0 914.0 925.0 929.0 975.0 980.8 924.0 922.3 928.0 963.5 979.3 965.6

Virginia 806.0 794.0 726.0 721.0 735.0 716.0 720.2 743.0 722.3 731.5 720.8 719.2 709.1

Wyoming 3.6 3.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.7 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4

United States 91328 91101 90040 90484 91482 91855 92400 90305.3 90373.0 91232.5 91761.8 92263.8 90969.2

Source: Poultry - Production and Value 2011 Summary: Released April 26, 2012, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, USDA

* Projection US total - USDA, WASDE, October 11, 2012. States estimates based on percentage change of US.

Marketing year derived. 25% of XX calendar year and 75% of YY

calendar year to estimate 20XX/YY
Table 5 -- Total US Chicken and Turkey Production and Select States

Chicken Young Chicken Young

Live Weight (1000 lbs) Live Weight (1000 lbs)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Arkansas 6128875 6072505 6034393 6120513 5424248 5551543 5282548 5213820 Arkansas 6098983 5598314 5519719 5349797 5231002 5161402

Delaware 1946515 2009190 2060893 2074374 2043961 2117720 2119087 2091517 Delaware 2071004 2051564 2099280 2118745 2098409 2070489

Florida 344289 234677 310457 379217 374283.2 Florida 258216.8 262080 291512 362027 375516.7 370520.3

Georgia 6412327 6705446 6967130 6949927 6424329 6322022 6725996 6638488 Georgia 6954228 6555729 6347599 6625003 6660365 6571747

Maryland 697974 671326 682858 686859 645386 667669 678762 669931 Maryland 685858.8 655754.3 662098.3 675988.8 672138.8 663195.8

North Carolina 4496453 4751322 4926309 5099790 4924582 5014295 5181680 5114264 North Carolina 5056420 4968384 4991867 5139834 5131118 5062847

Texas 3458088 3511293 3413240 3619793 3695642 3841567 3794378 3745012 Texas 3568155 3676680 3805086 3806175 3757353 3707361

Virginia 1660849 1660597 1612749 1570874 1581777 1650008 1650100 1628632 Virginia 1581343 1579051 1632950 1650077 1633999 1612258

United States 47578696 48332516 49089999 49780767 47613466 49314757 49552670 48907970 United States 49608075 48155291 48889434 49493192 49069145 48416266

US Mature Chicken 835142 803144 795192 891117 795510 803689 835452 824582.4

US Total Chicken 48413838 49135660 49885191 50671884 48408976 50118446 50388122 49732552

Inflate State Young ChickenLive Weight Slaughter to reflect Total ChickenLive Weight Slaughter

Total Chicken ** Total Chicken **

Live Weight (1000 lbs) Live Weight (1000 lbs)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Arkansas 6236454.3 6173412 6132142 6230075 5514875 5642017 5371611 5301724 Arkansas 6205592 5693675 5610232 5439213 5319196 1325431

Delaware 1980681.9 2042577 2094277 2111507 2078111 2152233 2154815 2126780 Delaware 2107199 2086460 2133702 2154169 2133788 2105398

Florida 0 0 0 350452.1 238597.9 315516.6 385610.6 380593.6 Florida 262839 266561.4 296286.9 368087.1 381847.8 376767.2

Georgia 6524881.7 6816871 7079988 7074336 6531665 6425053 6839395 6750412 Georgia 7075749 6667333 6451706 6735810 6772658 6682546

Maryland 710225.44 682481.5 693919.4 699154.3 656168.9 678550.1 690205.8 681226 Maryland 697845.6 666915.3 672954.8 687291.9 683471 674377.2

North Carolina 4575378.6 4830275 5006109 5191080 5006860 5096014 5269042 5200490 North Carolina 5144837 5052915 5073725 5225785 5217628 5148206

Texas 3518787.3 3569640 3468530 3684590 3757388 3904174 3858351 3808152 Texas 3630575 3739188 3867477 3869806 3820702 3769866

Virginia 1690001.6 1688191 1638873 1598994 1608205 1676898 1677920 1656090 Virginia 1608964 1605902 1659725 1677665 1661548 1639440

United States Young Chichen 47578696 48332516 49089999 49780767 47613466 49314757 49552670 48907970 United States 50475211 48974703 49691079 50320703 49896445 49232558

US Mature Chicken 835142 803144 795192 891117 795510 803689 835452 824582.4

US Total Chicken 48413838 49135660 49885191 50671884 48408976 50118446 50388122 49732552

Turkey Young Turkey Young

Live Weight (1000 lbs) Live Weight (1000 lbs)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Arkansas 622996 627547 689239 712768 620837 645762 668433 689786.8 Arkansas 706885.8 643819.8 639530.8 662765.3 684448.4 670461.2

North Carolina 1111052 969965 840981 915396 944639.4 North Carolina 873227 896792.3 937328.5 918173.5

Texas 104438 97680 100924 104148.1 Texas 99369.5 100113 103342.1 101230.2

Virginia 779313 721064 733946 725512 748689.3 Virginia 730725.5 727620.5 742895 727713.4

United States 6883300 7112586 7452773 7803131 7056680 7024225 7227486 7458376 United States 7715542 7243293 7032339 7176671 7400654 7249416

US Total Old Turkeys 64163 62237 57092 55886 47920 38317 36967 38147.95

US Total All Turkeys 6947463 7174823 7509865 7859017 7104600 7062542 7264453 7496524

Inflate State Young Turkey Live Weight Slaughter to reflect Total Turkey Live Weight Slaughter

Total Turkey ** Total Turkey **

Live Weight (1000 lbs) Live Weight (1000 lbs)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Arkansas 628803.29 633038.2 694518.9 717872.8 625052.9 649284.6 671851.9 693315 Arkansas 712034.4 648257.9 643226.7 666210.1 687949.2 673890.4

North Carolina 1119009 976551.8 845568.5 920078 949471 North Carolina 878314.3 901450.7 942122.7 922869.8

Texas 105147.2 98212.84 101440.2 104680.8 Texas 99946.43 100633.4 103870.7 101748

Virginia 784894.4 725960.6 737949.7 729222.8 752518.7 Virginia 734952.4 731404.5 746694.7 731435.5

United States 6883300 7112586 7452773 7803131 7056680 7024225 7227486 7458376 United States 7771729 7293204 7073057 7213975 7438506 7286495

US Total Old Turkeys 64163 62237 57092 55886 47920 38317 36967 38147.95

US Total All Turkeys 6947463 7174823 7509865 7859017 7104600 7062542 7264453 7496524

Source: QuickStat, NASS, USDA

U.S. & All States Data - Poultry Slaughter

Annual Number Slaughtered, Live and Average Weights 

** Estimated - multiply state US total young chicken Annual Number by Total Chicken Annual Number

* WASDE, October 11, 2012
Table 6 -- Livestock Production 

State Commercial Cattle Slaughter: Marketing Year (Oct-Sept) Commercial Cattle Slaughter: Marketing Year (Oct-Sept)

Commercial Cattle Slaughter: Number of Head (1000) Commercial Cattle Slaughter: Total Live Weight (1000 Lbs)

2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13* 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Arkansas 10.3 10.0 8.9 7.8 7.5 7.2 10504 9706 8724 7522 7344 7099

Delaware-Maryland 40.4 42.5 42.3 39.6 35.1 33.9 52520 55158 54909 51292 45480 43960

Florida N A N A N A N A N A 0.0 N A N A N A N A N A N A

Georgia 72.4 176.0 222.5 245.0 253.4 244.9 68044 173964 222086 239226 252909 244457

New Mexico 5.1 6.4 6.1 5.8 4.5 4.3 5257 6818 6453 6657 5024 4856

North Carolina 226.0 218.2 222.4 221.5 199.9 193.2 260191 252428 259340 251838 231808 224061

Texas 6740.7 6611.1 6574.6 6876.4 6587.4 6367.3 8277512 8201116 8061783 8405454 8119461 7848110

Utah 650.8 154.0 426.7 551.4 571.4 552.3 838222 199684 555216 726010 781182 755075

Virginia 12.5 11.2 11.5 14.1 12.3 11.9 12521 11456 12011 15564 13207 12766

Wyoming 7.1 7.8 7.5 7.4 7.3 7.1 8438 9205 8615 8744 8529 8244

United States 34768.5 33274.2 33835.8 34345.8 33062.2 31957.3 44408969 42886228 43143495 43793622 42726096 41298198

Commercial Calf Slaughter: Marketing Year (Oct-Sept) Commercial Calf Slaughter: Marketing Year (Oct-Sept)

Commercial Calf Slaughter: Number of Head (1000) Commercial Calf Slaughter: Total Live Weight (1000 Lbs)

2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13* 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Arkansas 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 22 0 0

Delaware-Maryland 2.5 2.5 3.1 3.5 3.7 3.6 619 691 816 883 912 882

Florida 0.7 0.3 1.0 0.0 0.9 0.9 210 65 91 0 269 260

Georgia 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.4 1.2 1.2 449 479 219 117 647 625

New Mexico 12.2 7.9 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 1111 699 0 55 0 0

North Carolina 1.7 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.1 1.1 838 792 812 847 417 403

Texas 16.0 36.5 36.4 19.5 12.6 12.2 7935 7137 9303 7893 5619 5431

Utah 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Virginia 0.3 0.0 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 82 0 254 143 19 18

Wyoming 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0

United States 870.9 958.3 913.2 855.8 782.2 756.1 230857 236107 230825 222605 202952 196169

Commercial Hog Slaughter: Marketing Year (Oct-Sept) Commercial Hog Slaughter: Marketing Year (Oct-Sept)

Commercial Hog Slaughter: Number of Head (1000) Commercial Hog Slaughter: Total Live Weight (1000 lbs)

2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13* 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Arkansas 201.3 183.6 158.5 135.4 130.3 130.1 91942 83790 72768 62258 59446 59336

Delaware-Maryland 17.8 18.0 18.1 19.0 17.5 17.5 4445 4477 4412 4721 4263.851 4207

Florida 88.6 75.5 80.1 93.1 73.2 73.1 11730 11083 10957 11558 9428 9235

Georgia 126.2 73.1 73.5 72.7 82.8 82.6 28811 18771 18469 17964 20232 19948

New Mexico 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.8 433 433 369 362 437 435

North Carolina 12153.4 12257.3 11990.5 11378.2 11138.3 11117.7 3141262 3188152 3119886 3042871 3008069 3008069

Texas 450.6 429.5 427.1 446.6 368.0 367.3 111972 107058 99132 123193 111554 111554

Utah 66.7 58.4 47.0 64.6 65.1 65.0 12670 11537 7582 8998 8936 8936

Virginia 2555.9 2236.9 2370.3 2334.7 2476.5 2471.9 672845 595068 631324 624569 669220 669220

Wyoming 4.7 4.2 3.9 4.0 4.2 4.2 1295 1104 1038 1078 1113 1113

United States 116633.6 114217.6 110249.1 110597.7 112613.7 112405.0 31280891 30852056 29828413 30342289 31002661 31002661

* Projection based on National Percent Change

Market year derived by adding monthly data Oct - Sept
Table 7 -- Feed Cost Per Unit of livestock Produced

New North 

United States Arkansas Delaware Florida Georgia Maryland Mexico Carolina Texas Utah Virginia Wyoming

Young Chicken (Broiler) Production ($/per hundred weight)

Feed Cost 1/

2012/13 without waiver 30.24

2012/13 with waiver $0.07 Scenario 30.09

Turkey Production ($ per hundred weight)

Feed Cost 1/

2012/13 without waiver 46.16

2012/13 with waiver $0.07 Scenario 45.92

Egg Production ($ per dozen eggs)

Feed Cost 1/

2012/13 without waiver 63.97

2012/13 with waiver $0.07 Scenario 63.60

Feeder Pig To Finish ($ per cwt gain)

Feed Cost 2/ 37.35 36.77 36.77 37.35 36.77 36.77 37.35 36.77 37.35 37.35 36.77 37.35

2012/13 without waiver 46.57 45.85 45.85 46.57 45.85 45.85 46.57 45.85 46.57 46.57 45.85 46.57

2012/13 with waiver $0.07 Scenario 46.30 45.58 45.58 46.30 45.58 45.58 46.30 45.58 46.30 46.30 45.58 46.30

Fed Cattle Marketed ($ per head)

Feed Cost 3/ 510.87 510.87

2012/13 without waiver 637.04 637.04

2012/13 with waiver $0.07 Scenario 633.27 633.27

Cow Calf ($ per cow)

Feed Cost 4/ 280.03 274.68 274.68 162.61 274.68 274.68 162.61 274.68 266.38 262.46 274.68 262.46

2012/13 without waiver 349.19 342.51 342.51 202.77 342.51 342.51 202.77 342.51 332.16 327.28 342.51 327.28

2012/13 with waiver $0.07 Scenario 347.12 340.49 340.49 201.57 340.49 340.49 201.57 340.49 330.20 325.34 340.49 325.34

Milk Production ($ per hundred weight)

Feed Cost 5/ 12.90 12.91 12.91 12.48 12.91 12.91 12.48 12.91 11.39 12.90 12.91 12.90

2012/13 without waiver 16.09 16.10 16.10 15.56 16.10 16.10 15.56 16.10 14.20 16.09 16.10 16.09

2012/13 with waiver $0.07 Scenario 15.99 16.00 16.00 15.47 16.00 16.00 15.47 16.00 14.12 15.99 16.00 15.99

1/ Based on conversation with David Harvey, USDA, ERS Poultry analyst: Broilers consume 1.9 lbs feed per pound of live weight gain; turkeys 2.9 lbs feed per pound of gain; eggs 4 lbs feed per dozen eggs produced

Also, broiler and turkey feed rations assumed to be 69% corn and 26% soymeal, layer rations are assumed to be 80-81% corn and 19-20% soymeal

2/ 2011 value from USDA/ERS, Commodity Costs and Returns, Feeder pig to Finish Production Costs. Any state in a region not reported in cost and return is assigned to US 

3/ 2011/12 Value from High Plains Cattle Feeding Simulator, Ken Mathews, livestock specialist, USDA, ERS

4/ 2011 value from USDA/ERS, Commodity Costs and Returns, Cow-Calf operation Costs. Any state in a region not reportedin cost and return is assigned to US 

5/ 2011 value from USDA/ERS, Commodity Costs and Returns, Milk production costs and returns per hundredweight sold. Any state in a region not reportedin cost and return is assigned to US. Any state in a region not reported in cost and return is assigned to U
Table 8 -- Total Feed Costs With and Without Waiver

$0.07 Scenario New North 

Units United States Arkansas Delaware Florida Georgia Maryland Mexico Carolina Texas Utah Virginia Wyoming

Young Chicken (Broiler) Production

Tons of Feed Required 1/ mil lbs 25911.9 697.6 1108.1 198.3 3517.1 354.9 N A 2709.6 1984.1 N A 862.9 N A

Feed cost 2012/13 without waiver mil $ 7835.71 210.95 335.09 59.97 1063.57 107.33 N A 819.37 600.00 N A 260.93 N A

Feed Cost 2012/13 with waiver mil $ 7795.86 209.88 333.38 59.66 1058.17 106.79 N A 815.21 596.95 N A 259.60 N A

Change mil $ 39.85 1.07 1.70 0.30 5.41 0.55 N A 4.17 3.05 N A 1.33 N A

Turkey Production

Tons of Feed Required mil lbs 2512.6 232.4 N A N A N A N A N A 318.2 35.1 N A 252.2 N A

Feed cost 2012/13 without waiver mil $ 1159.7 107.3 N A N A N A N A N A 146.9 16.2 N A 116.4 N A

Feed Cost 2012/13 with waiver mil $ 1153.8 106.7 N A N A N A N A N A 146.1 16.1 N A 115.8 N A

Change mil $ 5.9 0.5 N A N A N A N A N A 0.7 0.1 N A 0.6 N A

Egg Production

Tons of Feed Required mil doz 7580.8 243.5 N A 220.0 354.0 47.0 N A 265.7 405.1 80.5 59.1 0.2

Feed cost 2012/13 without waiver mil $ 4849.53 155.80 N A 140.75 226.44 30.04 N A 170.00 259.17 51.48 37.80 0.13

Feed Cost 2012/13 with waiver mil $ 4821.07 154.89 N A 139.93 225.11 29.86 N A 169.00 257.65 51.17 37.58 0.13

Change mil $ 28.5 0.9 N A 0.8 1.3 0.2 N A 1.0 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.0

Feeder Pig To Finish 

Hog Slaughter 4/ mil lbs 31002.7 59.3 4.2 9.2 19.9 0.4 3008.1 111.6 8.9 669.2 1.1

2012/13 without waiver mil $ 14439.12 27.21 1.93 4.30 9.15 0.00 0.20 1379.22 51.95 4.16 306.84 0.52

2012/13 with waiver mil $ 14353.84 27.05 1.92 4.28 9.09 0.00 0.20 1371.07 51.65 4.14 305.03 0.52

Change mil $ 85.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.1 0.3 0.0 1.8 0.0

Fed Cattle Marketed

Fed cattle 1000 head 21347.9 N A N A N A N A N A N A N A 5306.5 N A N A N A

2012/13 without waiver mil $ 13599.4 N A N A N A N A N A N A N A 3380.5 N A N A N A

2012/13 with waiver mil $ 13519.1 N A N A N A N A N A N A N A 3360.5 N A N A N A

Change mil $ 80.3 N A N A N A N A N A N A N A 20.0 N A N A N A

Cow Calf 4/

Cow Calf 1000 head 11365.4 7.2 37.5 0.9 246.1 N A 4.3 194.3 1072.9 552.3 12.0 7.1

2012/13 without waiver mil $ 3968.6 2.5 12.8 176.4 84.3 N A 0.9 66.5 356.4 180.8 4.1 2.3

2012/13 with waiver mil $ 3945.2 2.5 12.8 175.4 83.8 N A 0.9 66.2 354.3 179.7 4.1 2.3

Change mil $ 23.4 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.5 N A 0.0 0.4 2.1 1.1 0.0 0.0

Milk Production

Production mil lbs 198625.0 143.7 92.6 2296.5 1467.6 981.8 8276.2 912.9 9698.2 1876.5 1739.8 124.6

2012/13 without waiver mil $ 31950.3 23.1 14.9 357.4 236.3 158.0 1287.9 147.0 1377.4 301.8 280.1 20.0

2012/13 with waiver mil $ 31761.6 23.0 14.8 355.3 234.9 157.1 1280.3 146.1 1369.3 300.1 278.4 19.9

Change mil $ 188.7 0.1 0.1 2.1 1.4 0.9 7.6 0.9 8.1 1.8 1.7 0.1

Total

2012/13 without waiver mil $ 77802.4 526.8 364.8 738.8 1619.7 295.4 1289.0 2729.0 6041.6 538.2 1006.2 23.0

2012/13 with waiver mil $ 77350.4 524.0 362.9 734.5 1611.0 293.8 1281.4 2713.7 6006.4 535.1 1000.5 22.9

Change mil $ 451.9 2.8 1.9 4.3 8.7 1.7 7.6 15.3 35.2 3.2 5.6 0.1

1/ 1.9 pounds of feed required per live weight gain

2/ 2.9 pounds of feed required per live weight gain

3/ 4 pounds of feed required per dozen eggs produced

4/ Hog slaughter, cow calf combined for delaware and Maryland
TABLES FOR $0.58 Scenario
Table 1: U.S. Feed Demand and Prices with and without RFS Waiver

Assumptions: Corn Price Change 0.58 $ Per Bushel

With Without

Mandate Mandate

Units 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12* 20012/13** 20012/13***

Feed use Mil. ST 185.7 181.1 170.8 163.8 150.3 150.3

Value/Price $/st 175.91 158.17 212.93 255.38 318.45 301.95

Source: USDA

* Estimate, USDA, WASDE, OCT 2012

** Projection, USDA, WASDE, OCT 2012

***Estimates based on EPA Provided corn price change

$0.58 Scenario

Table 2 -- United States Animal Products Production

Units 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13* PCT Change

Beef Mil. Lbs. 26447 25823 24960 -3.3%

Pork Mil. Lbs. 22700 23198 23155 -0.2%

Broilers Mil. Lbs. 37825 36602 36115 -1.3%

Turkey Mil. Lbs. 5802 5921 5800 -2.0%

Eggs Mil. Doz. 44148 43049 42445 -1.4%

Milk Production Bil. Lbs. 195.1 199.9 198.9 -0.5%

Source: USDA, WASDE, October 11, 2012 and select historical issues

Marketing year basis (QIV-QIII)

* Projections
Table 3 -- US and Select State Milk Production

Million Pounds

State 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012* 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/2012 2012/13*

Arkansas 258 220 186 165 153 142 144 230 195 170 156 145 144 144

Delaware 114 113 110 102 90 91.5 93 113 111 104 93 91 93 93

Florida 2171 2104 2060 2078 2127 2269 2308 2121 2071 2074 2115 2234 2298 2297

Georgia 1404 1399 1355 1400 1396 1450 1475 1400 1366 1389 1397 1437 1469 1468

Maryland 1106 1051 1029 1004 1001 970 987 1065 1035 1010 1002 978 982 982

New Mexico 7630 7290 7865 7904 7881 8177 8317 7375 7721 7894 7887 8103 8282 8276

North Carolina 944 921 892 884 864 902 917 927 899 886 869 893 914 913

Texas 7145 7384 8416 8840 8828 9582 9746 7324 8158 8734 8831 9394 9705 9698

Utah 1747 1732 1776 1767 1819 1854 1886 1736 1765 1769 1806 1845 1878 1876

Virginia 1771 1753 1726 1736 1719 1719 1748 1758 1733 1734 1723 1719 1741 1740

Wyoming 118 133.7 135.7 104.7 120.4 123.1 125 130 135 112 116 122 125 125

United States 181796 185654 189982 189334 192848 196245 199600 184690 188900 189496 191970 195396 198761 198625

Source: Milk Production, Disposition, and Income 2011 Summary: Released April 25, 2012, Marketing year derived. 25% of XX calendar year and 75% of YY

by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, calendar year to estimate 20XX/YY

 United States Department of Agriculture (USDA).

* US total based on October 11, 2012 WASDE estimates. States change by same percentage as the national level
Table 4 -- United States All Eggs Production 

Eggs produced

State 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012* 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million

Arkansas 3267.0 3236.0 3139.0 2935.0 2957.0 2951.0 2968.5 3163.3 2986.0 2951.5 2952.5 2964.1 2922.5

Florida 2938.0 2885.0 2749.0 2670.0 2592.0 2666.0 2681.8 2783.0 2689.8 2611.5 2647.5 2677.9 2640.3

Georgia 4811.0 4792.0 4576.0 4463.0 4485.0 4289.0 4314.4 4630.0 4491.3 4479.5 4338.0 4308.1 4247.6

Maryland 733.0 702.0 666.0 554.0 616.0 569.0 572.4 675.0 582.0 600.5 580.8 571.5 563.5

North Carolina 2636.0 2960.0 3063.0 3148.0 3251.0 3220.0 3239.1 3037.3 3126.8 3225.3 3227.8 3234.3 3188.9

Texas 5053.0 4995.0 4954.0 4985.0 4811.0 4909.0 4938.1 4964.3 4977.3 4854.5 4884.5 4930.8 4861.7

Utah 937.0 954.0 914.0 925.0 929.0 975.0 980.8 924.0 922.3 928.0 963.5 979.3 965.6

Virginia 806.0 794.0 726.0 721.0 735.0 716.0 720.2 743.0 722.3 731.5 720.8 719.2 709.1

Wyoming 3.6 3.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.7 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4

United States 91328 91101 90040 90484 91482 91855 92400 90305.3 90373.0 91232.5 91761.8 92263.8 90969.2

Source: Poultry - Production and Value 2011 Summary: Released April 26, 2012, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, USDA

* Projection US total - USDA, WASDE, October 11, 2012. States estimates based on percentage change of US.

Marketing year derived. 25% of XX calendar year and 75% of YY

calendar year to estimate 20XX/YY
Table 5 -- Total US Chicken and Turkey Production and Select States

Chicken Young Chicken Young

Live Weight (1000 lbs) Live Weight (1000 lbs)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Arkansas 6128875 6072505 6034393 6120513 5424248 5551543 5282548 5213820 Arkansas 6098983 5598314 5519719 5349797 5231002 5161402

Delaware 1946515 2009190 2060893 2074374 2043961 2117720 2119087 2091517 Delaware 2071004 2051564 2099280 2118745 2098409 2070489

Florida 344289 234677 310457 379217 374283.2 Florida 258216.8 262080 291512 362027 375516.7 370520.3

Georgia 6412327 6705446 6967130 6949927 6424329 6322022 6725996 6638488 Georgia 6954228 6555729 6347599 6625003 6660365 6571747 Maryland 697974 671326 682858 686859 645386 667669 678762 669931 Maryland 685858.8 655754.3 662098.3 675988.8 672138.8 663195.8

North Carolina 4496453 4751322 4926309 5099790 4924582 5014295 5181680 5114264 North Carolina 5056420 4968384 4991867 5139834 5131118 5062847

Texas 3458088 3511293 3413240 3619793 3695642 3841567 3794378 3745012 Texas 3568155 3676680 3805086 3806175 3757353 3707361

Virginia 1660849 1660597 1612749 1570874 1581777 1650008 1650100 1628632 Virginia 1581343 1579051 1632950 1650077 1633999 1612258

United States 47578696 48332516 49089999 49780767 47613466 49314757 49552670 48907970 United States 49608075 48155291 48889434 49493192 49069145 48416266

US Mature Chicken 835142 803144 795192 891117 795510 803689 835452 824582.4

US Total Chicken 48413838 49135660 49885191 50671884 48408976 50118446 50388122 49732552

Inflate State Young ChickenLive Weight Slaughter to reflect Total ChickenLive Weight Slaughter

Total Chicken ** Total Chicken **

Live Weight (1000 lbs) Live Weight (1000 lbs)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Arkansas 6236454.3 6173412 6132142 6230075 5514875 5642017 5371611 5301724 Arkansas 6205592 5693675 5610232 5439213 5319196 1325431

Delaware 1980681.9 2042577 2094277 2111507 2078111 2152233 2154815 2126780 Delaware 2107199 2086460 2133702 2154169 2133788 2105398

Florida 0 0 0 350452.1 238597.9 315516.6 385610.6 380593.6 Florida 262839 266561.4 296286.9 368087.1 381847.8 376767.2

Georgia 6524881.7 6816871 7079988 7074336 6531665 6425053 6839395 6750412 Georgia 7075749 6667333 6451706 6735810 6772658 6682546 Maryland 710225.44 682481.5 693919.4 699154.3 656168.9 678550.1 690205.8 681226 Maryland 697845.6 666915.3 672954.8 687291.9 683471 674377.2

North Carolina 4575378.6 4830275 5006109 5191080 5006860 5096014 5269042 5200490 North Carolina 5144837 5052915 5073725 5225785 5217628 5148206

Texas 3518787.3 3569640 3468530 3684590 3757388 3904174 3858351 3808152 Texas 3630575 3739188 3867477 3869806 3820702 3769866

Virginia 1690001.6 1688191 1638873 1598994 1608205 1676898 1677920 1656090 Virginia 1608964 1605902 1659725 1677665 1661548 1639440

United States Young Chichen 47578696 48332516 49089999 49780767 47613466 49314757 49552670 48907970 United States 50475211 48974703 49691079 50320703 49896445 49232558

US Mature Chicken 835142 803144 795192 891117 795510 803689 835452 824582.4

US Total Chicken 48413838 49135660 49885191 50671884 48408976 50118446 50388122 49732552

Turkey Young Turkey Young

Live Weight (1000 lbs) Live Weight (1000 lbs)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Arkansas 622996 627547 689239 712768 620837 645762 668433 689786.8 Arkansas 706885.8 643819.8 639530.8 662765.3 684448.4 670461.2

North Carolina 1111052 969965 840981 915396 944639.4 North Carolina 873227 896792.3 937328.5 918173.5

Texas 104438 97680 100924 104148.1 Texas 99369.5 100113 103342.1 101230.2

Virginia 779313 721064 733946 725512 748689.3 Virginia 730725.5 727620.5 742895 727713.4

United States 6883300 7112586 7452773 7803131 7056680 7024225 7227486 7458376 United States 7715542 7243293 7032339 7176671 7400654 7249416

US Total Old Turkeys 64163 62237 57092 55886 47920 38317 36967 38147.95

US Total All Turkeys 6947463 7174823 7509865 7859017 7104600 7062542 7264453 7496524

Inflate State Young Turkey Live Weight Slaughter to reflect Total Turkey Live Weight Slaughter

Total Turkey ** Total Turkey **

Live Weight (1000 lbs) Live Weight (1000 lbs)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Arkansas 628803.29 633038.2 694518.9 717872.8 625052.9 649284.6 671851.9 693315 Arkansas 712034.4 648257.9 643226.7 666210.1 687949.2 673890.4

North Carolina 1119009 976551.8 845568.5 920078 949471 North Carolina 878314.3 901450.7 942122.7 922869.8

Texas 105147.2 98212.84 101440.2 104680.8 Texas 99946.43 100633.4 103870.7 101748

Virginia 784894.4 725960.6 737949.7 729222.8 752518.7 Virginia 734952.4 731404.5 746694.7 731435.5

United States 6883300 7112586 7452773 7803131 7056680 7024225 7227486 7458376 United States 7771729 7293204 7073057 7213975 7438506 7286495

US Total Old Turkeys 64163 62237 57092 55886 47920 38317 36967 38147.95

US Total All Turkeys 6947463 7174823 7509865 7859017 7104600 7062542 7264453 7496524

Source: QuickStat, NASS, USDA

U.S. & All States Data - Poultry Slaughter

Annual Number Slaughtered, Live and Average Weights 

** Estimated - multiply state US total young chicken Annual Number by Total Chicken Annual Number

* WASDE, October 11, 2012
Table 6 -- Livestock Production 

State Commercial Cattle Slaughter: Marketing Year (Oct-Sept) Commercial Cattle Slaughter: Marketing Year (Oct-Sept)

Commercial Cattle Slaughter: Number of Head (1000) Commercial Cattle Slaughter: Total Live Weight (1000 Lbs)

2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13* 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Arkansas 10.3 10.0 8.9 7.8 7.5 7.2 10504 9706 8724 7522 7344 7099

Delaware-Maryland 40.4 42.5 42.3 39.6 35.1 33.9 52520 55158 54909 51292 45480 43960

Florida N A N A N A N A N A 0.0 N A N A N A N A N A N A

Georgia 72.4 176.0 222.5 245.0 253.4 244.9 68044 173964 222086 239226 252909 244457

New Mexico 5.1 6.4 6.1 5.8 4.5 4.3 5257 6818 6453 6657 5024 4856

North Carolina 226.0 218.2 222.4 221.5 199.9 193.2 260191 252428 259340 251838 231808 224061

Texas 6740.7 6611.1 6574.6 6876.4 6587.4 6367.3 8277512 8201116 8061783 8405454 8119461 7848110

Utah 650.8 154.0 426.7 551.4 571.4 552.3 838222 199684 555216 726010 781182 755075

Virginia 12.5 11.2 11.5 14.1 12.3 11.9 12521 11456 12011 15564 13207 12766

Wyoming 7.1 7.8 7.5 7.4 7.3 7.1 8438 9205 8615 8744 8529 8244

United States 34768.5 33274.2 33835.8 34345.8 33062.2 31957.3 44408969 42886228 43143495 43793622 42726096 41298198

Commercial Calf Slaughter: Marketing Year (Oct-Sept) Commercial Calf Slaughter: Marketing Year (Oct-Sept)

Commercial Calf Slaughter: Number of Head (1000) Commercial Calf Slaughter: Total Live Weight (1000 Lbs)

2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13* 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Arkansas 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 22 0 0

Delaware-Maryland 2.5 2.5 3.1 3.5 3.7 3.6 619 691 816 883 912 882

Florida 0.7 0.3 1.0 0.0 0.9 0.9 210 65 91 0 269 260

Georgia 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.4 1.2 1.2 449 479 219 117 647 625

New Mexico 12.2 7.9 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 1111 699 0 55 0 0

North Carolina 1.7 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.1 1.1 838 792 812 847 417 403

Texas 16.0 36.5 36.4 19.5 12.6 12.2 7935 7137 9303 7893 5619 5431

Utah 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Virginia 0.3 0.0 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 82 0 254 143 19 18

Wyoming 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0

United States 870.9 958.3 913.2 855.8 782.2 756.1 230857 236107 230825 222605 202952 196169

Commercial Hog Slaughter: Marketing Year (Oct-Sept) Commercial Hog Slaughter: Marketing Year (Oct-Sept)

Commercial Hog Slaughter: Number of Head (1000) Commercial Hog Slaughter: Total Live Weight (1000 lbs)

2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13* 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Arkansas 201.3 183.6 158.5 135.4 130.3 130.1 91942 83790 72768 62258 59446 59336

Delaware-Maryland 17.8 18.0 18.1 19.0 17.5 17.5 4445 4477 4412 4721 4263.851 4207

Florida 88.6 75.5 80.1 93.1 73.2 73.1 11730 11083 10957 11558 9428 9235

Georgia 126.2 73.1 73.5 72.7 82.8 82.6 28811 18771 18469 17964 20232 19948

New Mexico 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.8 433 433 369 362 437 435

North Carolina 12153.4 12257.3 11990.5 11378.2 11138.3 11117.7 3141262 3188152 3119886 3042871 3008069 3008069

Texas 450.6 429.5 427.1 446.6 368.0 367.3 111972 107058 99132 123193 111554 111554

Utah 66.7 58.4 47.0 64.6 65.1 65.0 12670 11537 7582 8998 8936 8936

Virginia 2555.9 2236.9 2370.3 2334.7 2476.5 2471.9 672845 595068 631324 624569 669220 669220

Wyoming 4.7 4.2 3.9 4.0 4.2 4.2 1295 1104 1038 1078 1113 1113

United States 116633.6 114217.6 110249.1 110597.7 112613.7 112405.0 31280891 30852056 29828413 30342289 31002661 31002661

* Projection based on National Percent Change

Market year derived by adding monthly data Oct - Sept
Table 7 -- Feed Cost Per Unit of livestock Produced

New North 

United States Arkansas Delaware Florida Georgia Maryland Mexico Carolina Texas Utah Virginia Wyoming

Young Chicken (Broiler) Production ($/per hundred weight)

Feed Cost 1/

2012/13 without waiver 30.24

2012/13 with waiver $0.58 Scenario 28.89

Turkey Production ($ per hundred weight)

Feed Cost 1/

2012/13 without waiver 46.16

2012/13 with waiver $0.58 Scenario 44.10

Egg Production ($ per dozen eggs)

Feed Cost 1/

2012/13 without waiver 63.97

2012/13 with waiver $0.58 Scenario 60.68

Feeder Pig To Finish ($ per cwt gain)

Feed Cost 2/ 37.35 36.77 36.77 37.35 36.77 36.77 37.35 36.77 37.35 37.35 36.77 37.35

2012/13 without waiver 46.57 45.85 45.85 46.57 45.85 45.85 46.57 45.85 46.57 46.57 45.85 46.57

2012/13 with waiver $0.58 Scenario 44.16 43.48 43.48 44.16 43.48 43.48 44.16 43.48 44.16 44.16 43.48 44.16

Fed Cattle Marketed ($ per head)

Feed Cost 3/ 510.87 510.87

2012/13 without waiver 637.04 637.04

2012/13 with waiver $0.58 Scenario 604.04 604.04

Cow Calf ($ per cow)

Feed Cost 4/ 280.03 274.68 274.68 162.61 274.68 274.68 162.61 274.68 266.38 262.46 274.68 262.46

2012/13 without waiver 349.19 342.51 342.51 202.77 342.51 342.51 202.77 342.51 332.16 327.28 342.51 327.28

2012/13 with waiver $0.58 Scenario 331.10 324.77 324.77 192.26 324.77 324.77 192.26 324.77 314.96 310.32 324.77 310.32

Milk Production ($ per hundred weight)

Feed Cost 5/ 12.90 12.91 12.91 12.48 12.91 12.91 12.48 12.91 11.39 12.90 12.91 12.90

2012/13 without waiver 16.09 16.10 16.10 15.56 16.10 16.10 15.56 16.10 14.20 16.09 16.10 16.09

2012/13 with waiver $0.58 Scenario 15.25 15.26 15.26 14.76 15.26 15.26 14.76 15.26 13.47 15.25 15.26 15.25

1/ Based on conversation with David Harvey, USDA, ERS Poultry analyst: Broilers consume 1.9 lbs feed per pound of live weight gain; turkeys 2.9 lbs feed per pound of gain; eggs 4 lbs feed per dozen eggs produced

Also, broiler and turkey feed rations assumed to be 69% corn and 26% soymeal, layer rations are assumed to be 80-81% corn and 19-20% soymeal

2/ 2011 value from USDA/ERS, Commodity Costs and Returns, Feeder pig to Finish Production Costs. Any state in a region not reported in cost and return is assigned to US 

3/ 2011/12 Value from High Plains Cattle Feeding Simulator, Ken Mathews, livestock specialist, USDA, ERS

4/ 2011 value from USDA/ERS, Commodity Costs and Returns, Cow-Calf operation Costs. Any state in a region not reportedin cost and return is assigned to US 

5/ 2011 value from USDA/ERS, Commodity Costs and Returns, Milk production costs and returns per hundredweight sold. Any state in a region not reportedin cost and return is assigned to US. Any state in a region not reported in cost and return is assigned to US 
Table 8 -- Total Feed Costs With and Without Waiver

$0.58 Scenario New North 

Units United States Arkansas Delaware Florida Georgia Maryland Mexico Carolina Texas Utah Virginia Wyoming

Young Chicken (Broiler) Production

Tons of Feed Required 1/ mil lbs 25911.9 697.6 1108.1 198.3 3517.1 354.9 N A 2709.6 1984.1 N A 862.9 N A

Feed cost 2012/13 without waiver mil $ 7835.71 210.95 335.09 59.97 1063.57 107.33 N A 819.37 600.00 N A 260.93 N A

Feed Cost 2012/13 with waiver mil $ 7486.12 201.54 320.14 57.29 1016.12 102.54 N A 782.82 573.23 N A 249.29 N A

Change mil $ 349.60 9.41 14.95 2.68 47.45 4.79 N A 36.56 26.77 N A 11.64 N A

Turkey Production

Tons of Feed Required mil lbs 2512.6 232.4 N A N A N A N A N A 318.2 35.1 N A 252.2 N A

Feed cost 2012/13 without waiver mil $ 1159.7 107.3 N A N A N A N A N A 146.9 16.2 N A 116.4 N A

Feed Cost 2012/13 with waiver mil $ 1108.0 102.5 N A N A N A N A N A 140.3 15.5 N A 111.2 N A

Change mil $ 51.7 4.8 N A N A N A N A N A 6.6 0.7 N A 5.2 N A

Egg Production

Tons of Feed Required mil doz 7580.8 243.5 N A 220.0 354.0 47.0 N A 265.7 405.1 80.5 59.1 0.2

Feed cost 2012/13 without waiver mil $ 4849.53 155.80 N A 140.75 226.44 30.04 N A 170.00 259.17 51.48 37.80 0.13

Feed Cost 2012/13 with waiver mil $ 4599.88 147.78 N A 133.51 214.78 28.49 N A 161.25 245.83 48.83 35.86 0.12

Change mil $ 249.6 8.0 N A 7.2 11.7 1.5 N A 8.8 13.3 2.6 1.9 0.0

Feeder Pig To Finish 

Hog Slaughter 4/ mil lbs 31002.7 59.3 4.2 9.2 19.9 0.4 3008.1 111.6 8.9 669.2 1.1

2012/13 without waiver mil $ 14439.12 27.21 1.93 4.30 9.15 0.00 0.20 1379.22 51.95 4.16 306.84 0.52

2012/13 with waiver mil $ 13691.10 25.80 1.83 4.08 8.67 0.00 0.19 1307.77 49.26 3.95 290.95 0.49

Change mil $ 748.0 1.4 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 71.5 2.7 0.2 15.9 0.0

Fed Cattle Marketed

Fed cattle 1000 head 21347.9 N A N A N A N A N A N A N A 5306.5 N A N A N A

2012/13 without waiver mil $ 13599.4 N A N A N A N A N A N A N A 3380.5 N A N A N A

2012/13 with waiver mil $ 12894.9 N A N A N A N A N A N A N A 3205.3 N A N A N A

Change mil $ 704.5 N A N A N A N A N A N A N A 175.1 N A N A N A

Cow Calf 4/

Cow Calf 1000 head 11365.4 7.2 37.5 0.9 246.1 N A 4.3 194.3 1072.9 552.3 12.0 7.1

2012/13 without waiver mil $ 3968.6 2.5 12.8 176.4 84.3 N A 0.9 66.5 356.4 180.8 4.1 2.3

2012/13 with waiver mil $ 3763.0 2.4 12.2 167.3 79.9 N A 0.8 63.1 337.9 171.4 3.9 2.2

Change mil $ 205.6 0.1 0.7 9.1 4.4 N A 0.0 3.4 18.5 9.4 0.2 0.1

Milk Production

Production mil lbs 198625.0 143.7 92.6 2296.5 1467.6 981.8 8276.2 912.9 9698.2 1876.5 1739.8 124.6

2012/13 without waiver mil $ 31950.3 23.1 14.9 357.4 236.3 158.0 1287.9 147.0 1377.4 301.8 280.1 20.0

2012/13 with waiver mil $ 30295.1 21.9 14.1 338.9 224.0 149.9 1221.2 139.4 1306.1 286.2 265.6 19.0

Change mil $ 1655.2 1.2 0.8 18.5 12.2 8.2 66.7 7.6 71.4 15.6 14.5 1.0

Total

2012/13 without waiver mil $ 77802.4 526.8 364.8 738.8 1619.7 295.4 1289.0 2729.0 6041.6 538.2 1006.2 23.0

2012/13 with waiver mil $ 73838.1 501.9 348.3 701.0 1543.5 280.9 1222.2 2594.6 5733.1 510.4 956.8 21.8

Change mil $ 3964.3 25.0 16.5 37.8 76.2 14.5 66.8 134.4 308.5 27.9 49.4 1.2

1/ 1.9 pounds of feed required per live weight gain

2/ 2.9 pounds of feed required per live weight gain

3/ 4 pounds of feed required per dozen eggs produced

4/ Hog slaughter, cow calf combined for delaware and Maryland
TABLES FOR $1.86 Scenario
Table 1: U.S. Feed Demand and Prices with and without RFS Waiver

Assumptions: Corn Price Change 1.86 $ Per Bushel

With Without

Mandate Mandate

Units 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12* 20012/13** 20012/13***

Feed use Mil. ST 185.7 181.1 170.8 163.8 150.3 150.3

Value/Price $/st 175.91 158.17 212.93 255.38 318.45 265.28

Source: USDA

* Estimate, USDA, WASDE, OCT 2012

** Projection, USDA, WASDE, OCT 2012

***Estimates based on EPA Provided corn price change

$1.86 Scenario

Table 2 -- United States Animal Products Production

Units 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13* PCT Change

Beef Mil. Lbs. 26447 25823 24960 -3.3%

Pork Mil. Lbs. 22700 23198 23155 -0.2%

Broilers Mil. Lbs. 37825 36602 36115 -1.3%

Turkey Mil. Lbs. 5802 5921 5800 -2.0%

Eggs Mil. Doz. 44148 43049 42445 -1.4%

Milk Production Bil. Lbs. 195.1 199.9 198.9 -0.5%

Source: USDA, WASDE, October 11, 2012 and select historical issues

Marketing year basis (QIV-QIII)

* Projections
Table 3 -- US and Select State Milk Production

Million Pounds

State 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012* 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/2012 2012/13*

Arkansas 258 220 186 165 153 142 144 230 195 170 156 145 144 144

Delaware 114 113 110 102 90 91.5 93 113 111 104 93 91 93 93

Florida 2171 2104 2060 2078 2127 2269 2308 2121 2071 2074 2115 2234 2298 2297

Georgia 1404 1399 1355 1400 1396 1450 1475 1400 1366 1389 1397 1437 1469 1468

Maryland 1106 1051 1029 1004 1001 970 987 1065 1035 1010 1002 978 982 982

New Mexico 7630 7290 7865 7904 7881 8177 8317 7375 7721 7894 7887 8103 8282 8276

North Carolina 944 921 892 884 864 902 917 927 899 886 869 893 914 913

Texas 7145 7384 8416 8840 8828 9582 9746 7324 8158 8734 8831 9394 9705 9698

Utah 1747 1732 1776 1767 1819 1854 1886 1736 1765 1769 1806 1845 1878 1876

Virginia 1771 1753 1726 1736 1719 1719 1748 1758 1733 1734 1723 1719 1741 1740

Wyoming 118 133.7 135.7 104.7 120.4 123.1 125 130 135 112 116 122 125 125

United States 181796 185654 189982 189334 192848 196245 199600 184690 188900 189496 191970 195396 198761 198625

Source: Milk Production, Disposition, and Income 2011 Summary: Released April 25, 2012, Marketing year derived. 25% of XX calendar year and 75% of YY

by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, calendar year to estimate 20XX/YY

 United States Department of Agriculture (USDA).

* US total based on October 11, 2012 WASDE estimates. States change by same percentage as the national level
Table 4 -- United States All Eggs Production 

Eggs produced

State 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012* 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million Million

Arkansas 3267.0 3236.0 3139.0 2935.0 2957.0 2951.0 2968.5 3163.3 2986.0 2951.5 2952.5 2964.1 2922.5

Florida 2938.0 2885.0 2749.0 2670.0 2592.0 2666.0 2681.8 2783.0 2689.8 2611.5 2647.5 2677.9 2640.3

Georgia 4811.0 4792.0 4576.0 4463.0 4485.0 4289.0 4314.4 4630.0 4491.3 4479.5 4338.0 4308.1 4247.6

Maryland 733.0 702.0 666.0 554.0 616.0 569.0 572.4 675.0 582.0 600.5 580.8 571.5 563.5

North Carolina 2636.0 2960.0 3063.0 3148.0 3251.0 3220.0 3239.1 3037.3 3126.8 3225.3 3227.8 3234.3 3188.9

Texas 5053.0 4995.0 4954.0 4985.0 4811.0 4909.0 4938.1 4964.3 4977.3 4854.5 4884.5 4930.8 4861.7

Utah 937.0 954.0 914.0 925.0 929.0 975.0 980.8 924.0 922.3 928.0 963.5 979.3 965.6

Virginia 806.0 794.0 726.0 721.0 735.0 716.0 720.2 743.0 722.3 731.5 720.8 719.2 709.1

Wyoming 3.6 3.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.7 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4

United States 91328 91101 90040 90484 91482 91855 92400 90305.3 90373.0 91232.5 91761.8 92263.8 90969.2

Source: Poultry - Production and Value 2011 Summary: Released April 26, 2012, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, USDA

* Projection US total - USDA, WASDE, October 11, 2012. States estimates based on percentage change of US.

Marketing year derived. 25% of XX calendar year and 75% of YY

calendar year to estimate 20XX/YY
Table 5 -- Total US Chicken and Turkey Production and Select States

Chicken Young Chicken Young

Live Weight (1000 lbs) Live Weight (1000 lbs)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Arkansas 6128875 6072505 6034393 6120513 5424248 5551543 5282548 5213820 Arkansas 6098983 5598314 5519719 5349797 5231002 5161402

Delaware 1946515 2009190 2060893 2074374 2043961 2117720 2119087 2091517 Delaware 2071004 2051564 2099280 2118745 2098409 2070489

Florida 344289 234677 310457 379217 374283.2 Florida 258216.8 262080 291512 362027 375516.7 370520.3

Georgia 6412327 6705446 6967130 6949927 6424329 6322022 6725996 6638488 Georgia 6954228 6555729 6347599 6625003 6660365 6571747 Maryland 697974 671326 682858 686859 645386 667669 678762 669931 Maryland 685858.8 655754.3 662098.3 675988.8 672138.8 663195.8

North Carolina 4496453 4751322 4926309 5099790 4924582 5014295 5181680 5114264 North Carolina 5056420 4968384 4991867 5139834 5131118 5062847

Texas 3458088 3511293 3413240 3619793 3695642 3841567 3794378 3745012 Texas 3568155 3676680 3805086 3806175 3757353 3707361

Virginia 1660849 1660597 1612749 1570874 1581777 1650008 1650100 1628632 Virginia 1581343 1579051 1632950 1650077 1633999 1612258

United States 47578696 48332516 49089999 49780767 47613466 49314757 49552670 48907970 United States 49608075 48155291 48889434 49493192 49069145 48416266

US Mature Chicken 835142 803144 795192 891117 795510 803689 835452 824582.4

US Total Chicken 48413838 49135660 49885191 50671884 48408976 50118446 50388122 49732552

Inflate State Young ChickenLive Weight Slaughter to reflect Total ChickenLive Weight Slaughter

Total Chicken ** Total Chicken **

Live Weight (1000 lbs) Live Weight (1000 lbs)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Arkansas 6236454.3 6173412 6132142 6230075 5514875 5642017 5371611 5301724 Arkansas 6205592 5693675 5610232 5439213 5319196 1325431

Delaware 1980681.9 2042577 2094277 2111507 2078111 2152233 2154815 2126780 Delaware 2107199 2086460 2133702 2154169 2133788 2105398

Florida 0 0 0 350452.1 238597.9 315516.6 385610.6 380593.6 Florida 262839 266561.4 296286.9 368087.1 381847.8 376767.2

Georgia 6524881.7 6816871 7079988 7074336 6531665 6425053 6839395 6750412 Georgia 7075749 6667333 6451706 6735810 6772658 6682546 Maryland 710225.44 682481.5 693919.4 699154.3 656168.9 678550.1 690205.8 681226 Maryland 697845.6 666915.3 672954.8 687291.9 683471 674377.2

North Carolina 4575378.6 4830275 5006109 5191080 5006860 5096014 5269042 5200490 North Carolina 5144837 5052915 5073725 5225785 5217628 5148206

Texas 3518787.3 3569640 3468530 3684590 3757388 3904174 3858351 3808152 Texas 3630575 3739188 3867477 3869806 3820702 3769866

Virginia 1690001.6 1688191 1638873 1598994 1608205 1676898 1677920 1656090 Virginia 1608964 1605902 1659725 1677665 1661548 1639440

United States Young Chichen 47578696 48332516 49089999 49780767 47613466 49314757 49552670 48907970 United States 50475211 48974703 49691079 50320703 49896445 49232558

US Mature Chicken 835142 803144 795192 891117 795510 803689 835452 824582.4

US Total Chicken 48413838 49135660 49885191 50671884 48408976 50118446 50388122 49732552

Turkey Young Turkey Young

Live Weight (1000 lbs) Live Weight (1000 lbs)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Arkansas 622996 627547 689239 712768 620837 645762 668433 689786.8 Arkansas 706885.8 643819.8 639530.8 662765.3 684448.4 670461.2

North Carolina 1111052 969965 840981 915396 944639.4 North Carolina 873227 896792.3 937328.5 918173.5

Texas 104438 97680 100924 104148.1 Texas 99369.5 100113 103342.1 101230.2

Virginia 779313 721064 733946 725512 748689.3 Virginia 730725.5 727620.5 742895 727713.4

United States 6883300 7112586 7452773 7803131 7056680 7024225 7227486 7458376 United States 7715542 7243293 7032339 7176671 7400654 7249416

US Total Old Turkeys 64163 62237 57092 55886 47920 38317 36967 38147.95

US Total All Turkeys 6947463 7174823 7509865 7859017 7104600 7062542 7264453 7496524

Inflate State Young Turkey Live Weight Slaughter to reflect Total Turkey Live Weight Slaughter

Total Turkey ** Total Turkey **

Live Weight (1000 lbs) Live Weight (1000 lbs)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Arkansas 628803.29 633038.2 694518.9 717872.8 625052.9 649284.6 671851.9 693315 Arkansas 712034.4 648257.9 643226.7 666210.1 687949.2 673890.4

North Carolina 1119009 976551.8 845568.5 920078 949471 North Carolina 878314.3 901450.7 942122.7 922869.8

Texas 105147.2 98212.84 101440.2 104680.8 Texas 99946.43 100633.4 103870.7 101748

Virginia 784894.4 725960.6 737949.7 729222.8 752518.7 Virginia 734952.4 731404.5 746694.7 731435.5

United States 6883300 7112586 7452773 7803131 7056680 7024225 7227486 7458376 United States 7771729 7293204 7073057 7213975 7438506 7286495

US Total Old Turkeys 64163 62237 57092 55886 47920 38317 36967 38147.95

US Total All Turkeys 6947463 7174823 7509865 7859017 7104600 7062542 7264453 7496524

Source: QuickStat, NASS, USDA

U.S. & All States Data - Poultry Slaughter

Annual Number Slaughtered, Live and Average Weights 

** Estimated - multiply state US total young chicken Annual Number by Total Chicken Annual Number

* WASDE, October 11, 2012
Table 6 -- Livestock Production 

State Commercial Cattle Slaughter: Marketing Year (Oct-Sept) Commercial Cattle Slaughter: Marketing Year (Oct-Sept)

Commercial Cattle Slaughter: Number of Head (1000) Commercial Cattle Slaughter: Total Live Weight (1000 Lbs)

2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13* 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Arkansas 10.3 10.0 8.9 7.8 7.5 7.2 10504 9706 8724 7522 7344 7099

Delaware-Maryland 40.4 42.5 42.3 39.6 35.1 33.9 52520 55158 54909 51292 45480 43960

Florida N A N A N A N A N A 0.0 N A N A N A N A N A N A

Georgia 72.4 176.0 222.5 245.0 253.4 244.9 68044 173964 222086 239226 252909 244457

New Mexico 5.1 6.4 6.1 5.8 4.5 4.3 5257 6818 6453 6657 5024 4856

North Carolina 226.0 218.2 222.4 221.5 199.9 193.2 260191 252428 259340 251838 231808 224061

Texas 6740.7 6611.1 6574.6 6876.4 6587.4 6367.3 8277512 8201116 8061783 8405454 8119461 7848110

Utah 650.8 154.0 426.7 551.4 571.4 552.3 838222 199684 555216 726010 781182 755075

Virginia 12.5 11.2 11.5 14.1 12.3 11.9 12521 11456 12011 15564 13207 12766

Wyoming 7.1 7.8 7.5 7.4 7.3 7.1 8438 9205 8615 8744 8529 8244

United States 34768.5 33274.2 33835.8 34345.8 33062.2 31957.3 44408969 42886228 43143495 43793622 42726096 41298198

Commercial Calf Slaughter: Marketing Year (Oct-Sept) Commercial Calf Slaughter: Marketing Year (Oct-Sept)

Commercial Calf Slaughter: Number of Head (1000) Commercial Calf Slaughter: Total Live Weight (1000 Lbs)

2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13* 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Arkansas 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 22 0 0

Delaware-Maryland 2.5 2.5 3.1 3.5 3.7 3.6 619 691 816 883 912 882

Florida 0.7 0.3 1.0 0.0 0.9 0.9 210 65 91 0 269 260

Georgia 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.4 1.2 1.2 449 479 219 117 647 625

New Mexico 12.2 7.9 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 1111 699 0 55 0 0

North Carolina 1.7 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.1 1.1 838 792 812 847 417 403

Texas 16.0 36.5 36.4 19.5 12.6 12.2 7935 7137 9303 7893 5619 5431

Utah 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Virginia 0.3 0.0 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 82 0 254 143 19 18

Wyoming 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0

United States 870.9 958.3 913.2 855.8 782.2 756.1 230857 236107 230825 222605 202952 196169

Commercial Hog Slaughter: Marketing Year (Oct-Sept) Commercial Hog Slaughter: Marketing Year (Oct-Sept)

Commercial Hog Slaughter: Number of Head (1000) Commercial Hog Slaughter: Total Live Weight (1000 lbs)

2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13* 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13*

Arkansas 201.3 183.6 158.5 135.4 130.3 130.1 91942 83790 72768 62258 59446 59336

Delaware-Maryland 17.8 18.0 18.1 19.0 17.5 17.5 4445 4477 4412 4721 4263.851 4207

Florida 88.6 75.5 80.1 93.1 73.2 73.1 11730 11083 10957 11558 9428 9235

Georgia 126.2 73.1 73.5 72.7 82.8 82.6 28811 18771 18469 17964 20232 19948

New Mexico 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.8 433 433 369 362 437 435

North Carolina 12153.4 12257.3 11990.5 11378.2 11138.3 11117.7 3141262 3188152 3119886 3042871 3008069 3008069

Texas 450.6 429.5 427.1 446.6 368.0 367.3 111972 107058 99132 123193 111554 111554

Utah 66.7 58.4 47.0 64.6 65.1 65.0 12670 11537 7582 8998 8936 8936

Virginia 2555.9 2236.9 2370.3 2334.7 2476.5 2471.9 672845 595068 631324 624569 669220 669220

Wyoming 4.7 4.2 3.9 4.0 4.2 4.2 1295 1104 1038 1078 1113 1113

United States 116633.6 114217.6 110249.1 110597.7 112613.7 112405.0 31280891 30852056 29828413 30342289 31002661 31002661

* Projection based on National Percent Change

Need to find or estimate Sept 2012 value

Market year derived by adding monthly data Oct - Sept
Table 7 -- Feed Cost Per Unit of livestock Produced

New North 

United States Arkansas Delaware Florida Georgia Maryland Mexico Carolina Texas Utah Virginia Wyoming

Young Chicken (Broiler) Production ($/per hundred weight)

Feed Cost 1/

2012/13 without waiver 30.24

2012/13 with waiver $1.86 Scenario 25.89

Turkey Production ($ per hundred weight)

Feed Cost 1/

2012/13 without waiver 46.16

2012/13 with waiver $1.86 Scenario 39.52

Egg Production ($ per dozen eggs)

Feed Cost 1/

2012/13 without waiver 63.97

2012/13 with waiver $1.86 Scenario 53.36

Feeder Pig To Finish ($ per cwt gain)

Feed Cost 2/ 37.35 36.77 36.77 37.35 36.77 36.77 37.35 36.77 37.35 37.35 36.77 37.35

2012/13 without waiver 46.57 45.85 45.85 46.57 45.85 45.85 46.57 45.85 46.57 46.57 45.85 46.57

2012/13 with waiver $1.86 Scenario 38.80 38.19 38.19 38.80 38.19 38.19 38.80 38.19 38.80 38.80 38.19 38.80

Fed Cattle Marketed ($ per head)

Feed Cost 3/ 510.87 510.87

2012/13 without waiver 637.04 637.04

2012/13 with waiver $1.86 Scenario 530.67 530.67

Cow Calf ($ per cow)

Feed Cost 4/ 280.03 274.68 274.68 162.61 274.68 274.68 162.61 274.68 266.38 262.46 274.68 262.46

2012/13 without waiver 349.19 342.51 342.51 202.77 342.51 342.51 202.77 342.51 332.16 327.28 342.51 327.28

2012/13 with waiver $1.86 Scenario 290.88 285.32 285.32 168.91 285.32 285.32 168.91 285.32 276.70 272.63 285.32 272.63

Milk Production ($ per hundred weight)

Feed Cost 5/ 12.90 12.91 12.91 12.48 12.91 12.91 12.48 12.91 11.39 12.90 12.91 12.90

2012/13 without waiver 16.09 16.10 16.10 15.56 16.10 16.10 15.56 16.10 14.20 16.09 16.10 16.09

2012/13 with waiver $1.86 Scenario 13.40 13.41 13.41 12.96 13.41 13.41 12.96 13.41 11.83 13.40 13.41 13.40

1/ Based on conversation with David Harvey, USDA, ERS Poultry analyst: Broilers consume 1.9 lbs feed per pound of live weight gain; turkeys 2.9 lbs feed per pound of gain; eggs 4 lbs feed per dozen eggs produced

Also, broiler and turkey feed rations assumed to be 69% corn and 26% soymeal, layer rations are assumed to be 80-81% corn and 19-20% soymeal

2/ 2011 value from USDA/ERS, Commodity Costs and Returns, Feeder pig to Finish Production Costs. Any state in a region not reported in cost and return is assigned to US 

3/ 2011/12 Value from High Plains Cattle Feeding Simulator, Ken Mathews, livestock specialist, USDA, ERS

4/ 2011 value from USDA/ERS, Commodity Costs and Returns, Cow-Calf operation Costs. Any state in a region not reportedin cost and return is assigned to US 

5/ 2011 value from USDA/ERS, Commodity Costs and Returns, Milk production costs and returns per hundredweight sold. Any state in a region not reportedin cost and return is assigned to US. Any state in a region not reported in cost and return is assigned to U
Table 8 -- Total Feed Costs With and Without Waiver

$1.86 Scenario New North 

Units United States Arkansas Delaware Florida Georgia Maryland Mexico Carolina Texas Utah Virginia Wyoming

Young Chicken (Broiler) Production

Tons of Feed Required 1/ mil lbs 25911.9 697.6 1108.1 198.3 3517.1 354.9 N A 2709.6 1984.1 N A 862.9 N A

Feed cost 2012/13 without waiver mil $ 7835.71 210.95 335.09 59.97 1063.57 107.33 N A 819.37 600.00 N A 260.93 N A

Feed Cost 2012/13 with waiver mil $ 6708.93 180.62 286.90 51.34 910.63 91.90 N A 701.55 513.72 N A 223.41 N A

Change mil $ 1126.78 30.34 48.19 8.62 152.94 15.43 N A 117.83 86.28 N A 37.52 N A

Turkey Production

Tons of Feed Required mil lbs 2512.6 232.4 N A N A N A N A N A 318.2 35.1 N A 252.2 N A

Feed cost 2012/13 without waiver mil $ 1159.7 107.3 N A N A N A N A N A 146.9 16.2 N A 116.4 N A

Feed Cost 2012/13 with waiver mil $ 992.9 91.8 N A N A N A N A N A 125.8 13.9 N A 99.7 N A

Change mil $ 166.8 15.4 N A N A N A N A N A 21.1 2.3 N A 16.7 N A

Egg Production

Tons of Feed Required mil doz 7580.8 243.5 N A 220.0 354.0 47.0 N A 265.7 405.1 80.5 59.1 0.2

Feed cost 2012/13 without waiver mil $ 4849.53 155.80 N A 140.75 226.44 30.04 N A 170.00 259.17 51.48 37.80 0.13

Feed Cost 2012/13 with waiver mil $ 4044.89 129.95 N A 117.40 188.87 25.06 N A 141.79 216.17 42.93 31.53 0.11

Change mil $ 804.6 25.9 N A 23.4 37.6 5.0 N A 28.2 43.0 8.5 6.3 0.0

Feeder Pig To Finish 

Hog Slaughter 4/ mil lbs 31002.7 59.3 4.2 9.2 19.9 0.4 3008.1 111.6 8.9 669.2 1.1

2012/13 without waiver mil $ 14439.12 27.21 1.93 4.30 9.15 0.00 0.20 1379.22 51.95 4.16 306.84 0.52

2012/13 with waiver mil $ 12028.18 22.66 1.61 3.58 7.62 0.00 0.17 1148.93 43.28 3.47 255.61 0.43

Change mil $ 2410.9 4.5 0.3 0.7 1.5 0.0 0.0 230.3 8.7 0.7 51.2 0.1

Fed Cattle Marketed

Fed cattle 1000 head 21347.9 N A N A N A N A N A N A N A 5306.5 N A N A N A

2012/13 without waiver mil $ 13599.4 N A N A N A N A N A N A N A 3380.5 N A N A N A

2012/13 with waiver mil $ 11328.7 N A N A N A N A N A N A N A 2816.0 N A N A N A

Change mil $ 2270.7 N A N A N A N A N A N A N A 564.4 N A N A N A

Cow Calf 4/

Cow Calf 1000 head 11365.4 7.2 37.5 0.9 246.1 N A 4.3 194.3 1072.9 552.3 12.0 7.1

2012/13 without waiver mil $ 3968.6 2.5 12.8 176.4 84.3 N A 0.9 66.5 356.4 180.8 4.1 2.3

2012/13 with waiver mil $ 3306.0 2.1 10.7 146.9 70.2 N A 0.7 55.4 296.9 150.6 3.4 1.9

Change mil $ 662.7 0.4 2.1 29.5 14.1 N A 0.1 11.1 59.5 30.2 0.7 0.4

Milk Production

Production mil lbs 198625.0 143.7 92.6 2296.5 1467.6 981.8 8276.2 912.9 9698.2 1876.5 1739.8 124.6

2012/13 without waiver mil $ 31950.3 23.1 14.9 357.4 236.3 158.0 1287.9 147.0 1377.4 301.8 280.1 20.0

2012/13 with waiver mil $ 26615.5 19.3 12.4 297.7 196.8 131.7 1072.9 122.4 1147.4 251.4 233.3 16.7

Change mil $ 5334.8 3.9 2.5 59.7 39.4 26.4 215.1 24.5 230.0 50.4 46.8 3.3

Total

2012/13 without waiver mil $ 77802.4 526.8 364.8 738.8 1619.7 295.4 1289.0 2729.0 6041.6 538.2 1006.2 23.0

2012/13 with waiver mil $ 65025.0 446.4 311.6 617.0 1374.1 248.6 1073.8 2295.9 5047.3 448.4 847.0 19.2

Change mil $ 12777.3 80.4 53.1 121.8 245.6 46.8 215.2 433.1 994.2 89.8 159.2 3.8

1/ 1.9 pounds of feed required per live weight gain

2/ 2.9 pounds of feed required per live weight gain

3/ 4 pounds of feed required per dozen eggs produced

4/ Hog slaughter, cow calf combined for delaware and Maryland