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# OAR Box 1828 Prepped byOllie Stewart



## Document

Number: 

# 146 ) M-K-(B)-14 5 Docket Number: 

# A-83-2 7

Printed 11/12/200811:12:53 AM Sheet 146 of 325P. 2



## TM " L— l ENERG

YAND ENVIRONMENTA

L ANALYSIS, INC . / \

" Q O " _! - I
I II-K-(B)-14 5 Jul y16 , 198 4

Mr . Rober t Shor t Economi c Analysi s Branch U.S . Environmenta l Protectio n Agenc y Mai l Drop-1 2 Researc hTriangl e Park , N C 2771 1 Subject : Contrac t No . 68-02-3564 , Work Assignmen t #1 7

Revise d Annualize d Industria l Natura l Ga s Price s Dea r Robert : Th e attache d table s presen t annualize d industria l fue l prices . Th e attache d table s presen t the same annualize d industria l coa l price s tha t I forwarde d t o yo u o n Jun e 8 , 1984 . Th e attache d table s als o presen t th e same annualize d industria l residua l fue l oi l price s tha t I forwarde d t o yo u o n Jun e 29 , 1984 . However , the attache d table s includ e revision s o f annualize d industria l natura l ga s price s whic hwer e sen t t o yo u o n Jun e 29 , 1984 . Th e attache d table s wer e derive d base d o n the fue l pric e forecast s presente d i n Appendice s Aand B o f "Regiona l Projection s o f Industria l Fue l Prices, " date d Jul y13 , 1984 . Sincerely ,
Ti mHoga n TH/c e Enclosure s cc : Dr . A . Weh e

Economic s / Engineerin gP. 3



### ANNUALIZE DINDUSTRIAL FUE L PRICES :

(198 2 $/MMBtu ) REFERENC E CASE 3



### Fue l typ e New England New

York / New Jerse y Middl e

Atlanti c Sout h

Atlanti c Midwes t Natura l ga s 5.7 1 5.6 7 5.6 2 5.9 0 5.7 6 Residua l fue l oi l 3.0 % S 1.6 % S 0.8 % S 0.3 % S Bituminous coal c (l bS0 2 /MMBtu ) <1.0 8 1.08-1.6 7 1.67-2.5 0 2.50-3.3 3 3.33-5.0 0 >5.0 0 Subbituminous coal c (l bS0 2 /MMBtu ) <1.0 8 1.08-1.6 7 1.67-2.5 0 4.7 1 5.0 2 5.3 9 5.7 5

3.6 9 3.6 4 3.5 8 3.3 9 3.1 0 3.2 0

- - —

— — 4.7 0

5.0 1 5.3 8 5.7 4

3.4 5 3.3 8 3.2 3 3.0 7 2.7 6 2.7 9

- - —

• • • * 4.7 0

5.0 1 5.3 8 5.7 4

3.0 8 2.8 8 2.7 9 2.7 0 2.3 7 2.3 4

- -

- -

—" " 4.6 8

4.9 9 5.3 5 5.7 2

3.1 3 2.9 2 2.9 0 2.8 2 2.7 4 2.5 7

- -

- -

— — 4.8 4

5.1 5 5.5 2 5.8 9

3.2 5 3.1 2 3.0 2 2.8 7 2.6 2 2.4 5

3.3 1 3.2 7 3.2 4 

### Te npercen t discoun t rate . Fiftee nyea r perio dbeginnin gin1987 . ""Energ y andEnvironmenta l Analysis , Inc . Bas e Cas e worl doi l pric e forecast . 'BasedonanICF Incorporate dforecas t o f delivere dindustria l coa l prices ,

### r * P. 4



### ANNUALIZE DINDUSTRIAL FUE L PRICES :

(198 2 $/MMBtu ) (Continuation ) REFERENC E CASE 0



### Fue l typ e Southwes t Centra l Nort h Centra l Wes t Northwes t Natura l ga s 5.3 0 5.3 4 4.8 1 5.3 3 5.4 6 Residua l fue l oi l 3.0 % S 1.6% S 0.8 % S 0.3 % S Bituminou s coal c 

### (l b S02 

### /MMBtu) <1.0 8 1.08-1.6 7 1.67-2.5 0 2.50-3.3 3 3.33-5.0 0 >5.0 0 Subbituminou s coa l (l b S02 

### /MMBtu) <1.0 8 1.08-1.6 7 1.67-2.5 0 4.7 0 5.0 1 5.3 8 5.7 4

3.2 7 3.1 5 3.1 4 3.1 3 3.0 3 2.9 0

3.4 2 3.3 2 3.2 6 4.8 1

5.1 2 5.4 9 5.8 6

3.0 8 3.0 2 2.9 8 2.8 6 2.5 7 2.4 2

2.6 9 2.6 4 2.6 7 4.5 1

4.8 3 5.1 9 5.5 6

1.9 5 1.8 2 1.8 3

1.3 7 1.3 6 1.2 6 4.3 0

4.6 2 5.0 1 5.3 4

2.7 4 2.7 6 2.7 2

2.7 8 2.6 9 2.6 0 4.2 6

4.5 8 4.9 7 5.3 0

3.1 2 2.9 1 2.7 8

2.6 1 2.5 5 2.0 5 Te npercen t discoun t rate . Fiftee nyea r perio dbeginnin gi n1987 . ^Energ y an dEnvironmenta l Analysis , Inc . Bas e Cas e worl doi l pric e forecast . 'Base donanICF Incorporate dforecas t o f delivere dindustria l coa l prices .