## APPENDIX F. DETAILED LIFE­CYCLE COST OUTPUT

TABLE OF CONTENTS

F.1 INTRODUCTION

........................................................................................................... F­1

F.2 LCC RESULTS

............................................................................................................... F­1

F.2.1 Equipment Class: Fully­Cooled, Large Size, Indoor Only (A­L­IN)

................ F­1

F.2.2 Equipment Class: Fully­Cooled, Medium Size, Indoor Only (A­M­IN)

........... F­6

F.2.3 Equipment Class: Fully­Cooled, Small, Indoor Only (A­S­IN)

...................... F­11

F.2.4 Equipment Class: Zone Cooled, Large Size, Indoor­Outdoor (B­L­IO)

......... F­16

F.2.5 Equipment Class: Zone Cooled, Medium Size, Indoor­Outdoor (B­M­IO)

.... F­21

F.2.6 Equipment Class: Zone Cooled, Small Size, Indoor­Outdoor (B­S­IO).......... F­26

F.3 LCC SENSITIVITY TO FUEL PRICE ESCALATION ­ RESULTS.......................... F­31

LIST OF TABLES

Table F.2.1 Distribution of Life­Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1)

by Efficiency Level for A­L­IN........................................................................ F­2

Table F.2.2 Summary of PBP Results for All Efficiency Levels: A­L­IN

.......................... F­4

Table F.2.3 Distribution of Life­Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1)

by Efficiency Level for A­M­IN....................................................................... F­7

Table F.2.4 Summary of PBP Results for All Efficiency Levels: A­M­IN......................... F­9

Table F.2.5 Distribution of Life­Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1)

by Efficiency Level for A­S­IN...................................................................... F­12

Table F.2.6 Summary of PBP Results for All Efficiency Levels: A­S­IN

........................ F­14

Table F.2.7 Distribution of Life­Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1)

by Efficiency Level for B­L­IO...................................................................... F­17

Table F.2.8 Summary of PBP Results for All Efficiency Levels: B­L­IO

........................ F­19

Table F.2.9 Distribution of Life­Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1)

by Efficiency Level for B­M­IO..................................................................... F­22

Table F.2.10 Summary of PBP Results for All Efficiency Levels: B­M­IO

....................... F­24

Table F.2.11 Distribution of Life­Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1)

by Efficiency Level for B­S­IO

...................................................................... F­27

Table F.2.12 Summary of PBP Results for All Efficiency Levels: B­S­IO......................... F­29

Table F.3.1 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 Low Growth

Scenario: A­L­IN

............................................................................................ F­32

Table F.3.2 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 Low Growth

Scenario: A­M­IN........................................................................................... F­33

Table F.3.3 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 Low Growth

Scenario: A­S­IN

............................................................................................ F­34

Table F.3.4 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 Low Growth

Scenario: B­L­IO

............................................................................................ F­35

Table F.3.5 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 Low Growth

Scenario: B­M­IO

........................................................................................... F­36

## Table F.3.6 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 Low Growth

Scenario: B­S­IO

............................................................................................ F­37

Table F.3.7 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 High Growth

Scenario: A­L­IN

............................................................................................ F­38

Table F.3.8 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 High Growth

Scenario: A­M­IN........................................................................................... F­39

Table F.3.9 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 High Growth

Scenario: A­S­IN

............................................................................................ F­40

Table F.3.10 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 High Growth

Scenario: B­L­IO

............................................................................................ F­41

Table F.3.11 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 High Growth

Scenario: B­M­IO

........................................................................................... F­42

Table F.3.12 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 High Growth

Scenario: B­S­IO

............................................................................................ F­43

F­ii

## 5

10

15

20

25

30 LIST OF FIGURES

Figure F.2.1 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life­Cycle Cost

for A­L­IN (Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

..................................................... F­2

Figure F.2.2 Cumulative Chart of LCC Savings for All Efficiency Levels: A­L­IN............ F­3

Figure F.2.3 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for

A­L­IN (Level 1 is the Baseline Level)............................................................ F­4

Figure F.2.4 Cumulative Chart of PBP for All Efficiency Levels: A­L­IN......................... FFigure F.2.5 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life­Cycle Cost

for A­M­IN (Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

.................................................... F­7

Figure F.2.6 Cumulative Chart of LCC Savings for All Efficiency Levels: A­M­IN

.......... F­8

Figure F.2.7 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for

A­M­IN (Level 1 is the Baseline Level)........................................................... F­9

Figure F.2.8 Cumulative Chart of PBP for All Efficiency Levels: A­M­IN...................... FFigure F.2.9 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life­Cycle Cost

for A­S­IN (Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

................................................... F­12

Figure F.2.10 Cumulative Chart of LCC Savings for All Efficiency Levels: A­S­IN.......... F­13

Figure F.2.11 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for

A­S­IN (Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

......................................................... F­14

Figure F.2.12 Cumulative Chart of PBP for All Efficiency Levels: A­S­IN

....................... FFigure F.2.13 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life­Cycle Cost

for B­L­IO (Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

................................................... F­17

Figure F.2.14 Cumulative Chart of LCC Savings for All Efficiency Levels: B­L­IO.......... F­18

Figure F.2.15 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for

B­L­IO (Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

......................................................... F­19

Figure F.2.16 Cumulative Chart of PBP for All Efficiency Levels: B­L­IO

....................... FFigure F.2.17 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life­Cycle Cost

for B­M­IO (Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

.................................................. F­22

Figure F.2.18 Cumulative Chart of LCC Savings for All Efficiency Levels: B­M­IO......... F­23

Figure F.2.19 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for

B­M­IO (Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

........................................................ F­24

Figure F.2.20 Cumulative Chart of PBP for All Efficiency Levels: B­M­IO

...................... FFigure F.2.21 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life­Cycle Cost

for B­S­IO (Level 1 is the Baseline Level)..................................................... F­27

Figure F.2.22 Cumulative Chart of LCC Savings for All Efficiency Levels: B­S­IO

.......... F­28

Figure F.2.23 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for

B­S­IO (Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

......................................................... F­29

Figure F.2.24 Cumulative Chart of PBP for All Efficiency Levels: B­S­IO

....................... FF­iii

## F­iv

## APPENDIX F. DETAILED LIFE­CYCLE COST OUTPUT

F.1 INTRODUCTION

Appendix F contains detailed output from the Life­Cycle Cost (LCC) Analysis for beverage

vending machines as developed using the LCC spreadsheet. LCC and payback periods are presented

in terms of national average LCC, national average LCC savings from the baseline (Level 1) and

national average payback period results for each of the 15 equipment classes at each efficiency level.

See Chapter 8 of the TSD for an explanation of the tables and figures in this appendix.

F.2 LCC RESULTS

F.2.1 Equipment Class: Fully­Cooled, Large Size, Indoor Only (A­L­IN)

Figure F.2.1 shows the variation of the life­cycle cost with the installed cost for each of the

efficiency levels considered for the analysis. The installed cost is the sum of the equipment price and

the installation cost of the equipment and the former is the largest contributor to the increasing total

installed cost as the efficiency level rises from Level 1 to Level 8 (with reduced energy consumption).

The LCC results show that at most of the higher efficiency levels (Level 2 ­ Level 7), the lifetime

operating cost has more of an impact on the LCC than the total installed cost. In other words, the

decrease in lifetime operating costs (due to reduced electricity costs) offsets the increase in total

installed cost. As a result, the LCC at all efficiency levels is lower than that for the baseline efficiency

level (Level 1) for this product category. Table F.2.1 shows the national distribution of LCC savings

above the baseline (Level 1) calculated for this product for the higher efficiency levels [2­8].

Figure F.2.2 show this distribution of LCC savings graphically for each efficiency level analyzed.

Figure F.2.3 shows the effect on payback period as the efficiency level changes from Level 1

(baseline) to Level 7, on a national averaged basis weighted over all building types, energy prices,

sales taxes and installation costs. Table F.2.2 shows the national distribution of payback periods

calculated for all efficiency levels as well as the average payback and the percent of units with a

payback of less than 3 Years. Figure F.2.4 show this distribution of payback results graphically for

each efficiency level analyzed.

F­17980

7045 7044 7007 6935 6849 6825 6830LifeCycleCost



### Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8

(Energy (Energy (Max Tech)

Star Tier 1) Star Tier 2)



## Efficiency Level



## Figure F.2.1 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life­Cycle Cost for A­L­IN

(Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.1 Distribution of Life­Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by

Efficiency Level for A­L­IN

Efficiency Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results (2007$) Mean

Savings

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 $14 $69 $89 $103 $119 $133 $150 $168 $189 $244 $515 $145

Level 3 $16 $115 $152 $178 $206 $232 $263 $295 $333 $435 $929 $254

Level 4 $11 $146 $197 $233 $273 $309 $352 $397 $450 $593 $1,282 $339

Level 5 ­$12 $140 $199 $240 $286 $327 $378 $430 $491 $657 $1,454 $363

Level 6 ­$23 $130 $190 $232 $280 $323 $374 $427 $490 $659 $1,478 $359

Level 7 ­$214 ­$79 ­$16 $36 $94 $141 $192 $257 $329 $526 $1,471 $181

Level 8 ­$1,217 ­$1,059 ­$981 ­$925 ­$873 ­$841 ­$783 ­$727 ­$647 ­$448 $511 ­$792 8500

8000

7500

7000

6500

6000

5500

5000 

## LCC as a function of Efficiency Level

Equipment=A­L­Indoor­Only, Fuel Price=AEO 2007 ­ Reference Case, Start Year=



### 2012

Life Cycle Cost



## F­2A­L­IN Level 2 A­L­IN Level 3

A­L­IN Level 4 A­L­IN Level 5

A­L­IN Level 6 A­L­IN Level 7

A­L­IN Level 8



## Figure F.2.2 Cumulative Chart of LCC Savings for All Efficiency Levels: A­L­IN

F­3

## Payback Period as a function of Efficiency Level

Equipment=A­L­Indoor­Only, Fuel Price=AEO 2007 ­ Reference Case, Start

Year= 2012

1.2 1.6 1.9 2.4 2.7 7.4 64.0

0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0PaybackPeriod(Years) Payback



### Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max

(Energy Star Tech)

Tier 2)



## Efficiency Level



## Figure F.2.3 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for A­L­IN

(Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.2 Summary of PBP Results for All Efficiency Levels: A­L­IN

Efficiency Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Mean Percent

Less than

3 Years

Energy

Payback

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.8 1.2 100%

Level 3 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.4 3.5 1.6 99%

Level 4 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.8 4.2 1.9 91%

Level 5 0.8 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.7 3.1 3.7 5.7 2.4 79%

Level 6 0.9 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.6 3.0 3.5 4.1 6.3 2.7 71%

Level 7 2.1 3.7 4.6 5.4 6.0 6.7 7.1 8.1 9.8 12.4 23.5 7.4 1%

Level 8 8.1 18.7 27.6 37.5 49.5 70.4 82.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 64.0 0%



## F­4A­L­IN, Level 2 A­L­IN, Level 3

A­L­IN, Level 4 A­L­IN, Level 5

A­L­IN, Level 6 A­L­IN, Level 7

A­L­IN, Level 8



## Figure F.2.4 Cumulative Chart of PBP for All Efficiency Levels: A­L­IN

F­5

## F.2.2 Equipment Class: Fully­Cooled, Medium Size, Indoor Only (A­M­IN)

Figure F.2.5 shows the variation of the life­cycle cost with the installed cost for each of the

efficiency levels considered for the analysis. The installed cost is the sum of the equipment price and

the installation cost of the equipment and the former is the largest contributor to the increasing total

installed cost as the efficiency level rises from Level 1 to Level 8 (with reduced energy consumption).

The LCC results show that at most of the higher efficiency levels (Level 2 ­ Level 7), the lifetime

operating cost has more of an impact on the LCC than the total installed cost. In other words, the

decrease in lifetime operating costs (due to reduced electricity costs) offsets the increase in total

installed cost. As a result, the LCC at all efficiency levels is lower than that for the baseline efficiency

level (Level 1) for this product category. Table F.2.3 shows the national distribution of LCC savings

above the baseline (Level 1) calculated for this product for the higher efficiency levels [2­8].

Figure F.2.6 show this distribution of LCC savings graphically for each efficiency level analyzed.

Figure F.2.7 shows the effect on payback period as the efficiency level changes from Level 1

(baseline) to Level 8, on a national averaged basis weighted over all building types, energy prices,

sales taxes and installation costs. Table F.2.4 shows the national distribution of payback periods

calculated for all efficiency levels as well as the average payback and the percent of units with a

payback of less than 3 Years. Figure F.2.8 show this distribution of payback results graphically for

each efficiency level analyzed.

F­6

## LCC as a function of Efficiency Level

6763 6762

6667 6586 6570 6575 6729 7643

5000 5500 6000 6500 7000 7500 8000LifeCycleCost Life Cycle Cost 

### Equipment=A­M­Indoor­Only, Fuel Price=AEO 2007 ­ Reference Case, Start

Year= 2012

Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8

(Energy (Energy (Max Tech)

Star Tier 1) Star Tier 2)



## Efficiency Level



## Figure F.2.5 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life­Cycle Cost for A­M­IN

(Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.3 Distribution of Life­Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by

Efficiency Level for A­M­IN

Efficiency Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results (2007$) Mean

Savings

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 $13 $67 $87 $100 $116 $130 $146 $164 $184 $239 $505 $141

Level 3 $13 $105 $140 $164 $192 $216 $246 $276 $312 $410 $879 $237

Level 4 $6 $134 $183 $216 $255 $288 $330 $373 $423 $561 $1,219 $318

Level 5 ­$18 $122 $178 $216 $261 $301 $348 $397 $455 $611 $1,369 $334

Level 6 ­$30 $112 $168 $208 $254 $295 $342 $392 $453 $611 $1,389 $328

Level 7 ­$191 ­$68 ­$9 $40 $94 $137 $184 $245 $313 $496 $1,376 $175

Level 8 ­$1,143 ­$988 ­$916 ­$861 ­$814 ­$785 ­$730 ­$678 ­$604 ­$416 $472 ­$739



## F­7A­M­IN Level 2 A­M­IN Level 3

A­M­IN Level 4 A­M­IN Level 5

A­M­IN Level 6 A­M­IN Level 7

A­M­IN Level 8



## Figure F.2.6 Cumulative Chart of LCC Savings for All Efficiency Levels: A­M­IN

F­8

## Payback Period as a function of Efficiency Level

Equipment=A­M­Indoor­Only, Fuel Price=AEO 2007 ­ Reference Case, Start

Year= 2012

1.3 1.6 2.0 2.6 2.9 7.2 67.5

0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0PaybackPeriod(Years) Payback



### Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max

(Energy Star Tech)

Tier 2)



## Efficiency Level



## Figure F.2.7 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for A­M­IN

(Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.4 Summary of PBP Results for All Efficiency Levels: A­M­IN

Efficiency Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Mean Percent

Less than

3 Years

Energy

Payback

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.8 1.3 100%

Level 3 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.5 3.7 1.6 99%

Level 4 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.5 3.0 4.5 2.0 89%

Level 5 0.8 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.4 4.0 6.2 2.6 73%

Level 6 0.9 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.8 3.2 3.7 4.5 7.0 2.9 65%

Level 7 2.0 3.6 4.4 5.2 5.8 6.6 6.9 7.9 9.6 12.2 23.6 7.2 1%

Level 8 8.1 19.1 29.0 40.3 55.2 83.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 67.5 0%



## F­9A­M­IN, Level 2 A­M­IN, Level 3

A­M­IN, Level 4 A­M­IN, Level 5

A­M­IN, Level 6 A­M­IN, Level 7

A­M­IN, Level 8



## Figure F.2.8 Cumulative Chart of PBP for All Efficiency Levels: A­M­IN

F­10

## F.2.3 Equipment Class: Fully­Cooled, Small, Indoor Only (A­S­IN)

Figure F.2.9 shows the variation of the life­cycle cost with the installed cost for each of the

efficiency levels considered for the analysis. The installed cost is the sum of the equipment price and

the installation cost of the equipment and the former is the largest contributor to the increasing total

installed cost as the efficiency level rises from Level 1 to Level 8 (with reduced energy consumption).

The LCC results show that at most of the higher efficiency levels (Level 2 ­ Level 7), the lifetime

operating cost has more of an impact on the LCC than the total installed cost. In other words, the

decrease in lifetime operating costs (due to reduced electricity costs) offsets the increase in total

installed cost. As a result, the LCC at all efficiency levels is lower than that for the baseline efficiency

level (Level 1) for this product category. Table F.2.5 shows the national distribution of LCC savings

above the baseline (Level 1) calculated for this product for the higher efficiency levels [2­8].

Figure F.2.10 show this distribution of LCC savings graphically for each efficiency level analyzed.

Figure F.2.11 shows the effect on payback period as the efficiency level changes from Level 1

(baseline) to Level 8, on a national averaged basis weighted over all building types, energy prices,

sales taxes and installation costs. Table F.2.6 shows the national distribution of payback periods

calculated for all efficiency levels as well as the average payback and the percent of units with a

payback of less than 3 Years. Figure F.2.12 show this distribution of payback results graphically for

each efficiency level analyzed.

F­116955

6229 6228 6205

6132

6056 6047 6054LifeCycleCost 7500

7000

6500

6000

5500

5000 

## LCC as a function of Efficiency Level

Equipment=A­S­Indoor­Only, Fuel Price=AEO 2007 ­ Reference Case, Start

Year= 2012

Life Cycle Cost



### Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8

(Energy (Energy (Max Tech)

Star Tier 1) Star Tier 2)



## Efficiency Level



## Figure F.2.9 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life­Cycle Cost for A­S­IN

(Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.5 Distribution of Life­Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by

Efficiency Level for A­S­IN

Efficiency Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results (2007$) Mean

Savings

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 $11 $63 $83 $96 $111 $125 $141 $158 $178 $232 $493 $136

Level 3 $14 $104 $138 $162 $189 $212 $241 $271 $306 $402 $860 $233

Level 4 $7 $129 $176 $209 $247 $280 $321 $362 $411 $545 $1,186 $309

Level 5 ­$14 $117 $169 $205 $249 $287 $330 $376 $431 $579 $1,300 $317

Level 6 ­$26 $104 $158 $195 $240 $279 $322 $370 $426 $578 $1,317 $310

Level 7 ­$174 ­$68 ­$11 $33 $83 $124 $167 $222 $288 $461 $1,282 $159

Level 8 ­$972 ­$823 ­$757 ­$704 ­$660 ­$633 ­$582 ­$533 ­$464 ­$289 $539 ­$590



## F­12A­S­IN Level 2 A­S­IN Level 3

A­S­IN Level 4 A­S­IN Level 5

A­S­IN Level 6 A­S­IN Level 7

A­S­IN Level 8



## Figure F.2.10 Cumulative Chart of LCC Savings for All Efficiency Levels: A­S­IN

F­13

## Payback Period as a function of Efficiency Level

Equipment=A­S­Indoor­Only, Fuel Price=AEO 2007 ­ Reference Case, Start

Year= 2012

1.3 1.5 1.9 2.5 2.8 7.4 66.3

0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0PaybackPeriod(Years) Payback



### Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max

(Energy Star Tech)

Tier 2)



## Efficiency Level



## Figure F.2.11 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for A­S­IN

(Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.6 Summary of PBP Results for All Efficiency Levels: A­S­IN

Efficiency Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Mean Percent

Less than

3 Years

Energy

Payback

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.0 3.0 1.3 100%

Level 3 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.4 3.5 1.5 99%

Level 4 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.5 2.9 4.5 1.9 91%

Level 5 0.8 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.8 3.2 3.9 6.1 2.5 77%

Level 6 0.9 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.6 4.4 7.0 2.8 67%

Level 7 1.9 3.5 4.4 5.1 5.8 6.5 6.9 7.9 9.8 12.7 27.2 7.4 3%

Level 8 7.1 16.9 26.2 37.2 52.3 83.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 66.3 0%



## F­14A­S­IN, Level 2 A­S­IN, Level 3

A­S­IN, Level 4 A­S­IN, Level 5

A­S­IN, Level 6 A­S­IN, Level 7

A­S­IN, Level 8



## Figure F.2.12 Cumulative Chart of PBP for All Efficiency Levels: A­S­IN

F­15

## F.2.4 Equipment Class: Zone Cooled, Large Size, Indoor­Outdoor (B­L­IO)

Figure F.2.13 shows the variation of the life­cycle cost with the installed cost for each of the

efficiency levels considered for the analysis. The installed cost is the sum of the equipment price and

the installation cost of the equipment and the former is the largest contributor to the increasing total

installed cost as the efficiency level rises from Level 1 to Level 8 (with reduced energy consumption).

The LCC results show that at most of the higher efficiency levels (Level 2 ­ Level 7), the lifetime

operating cost has more of an impact on the LCC than the total installed cost. In other words, the

decrease in lifetime operating costs (due to reduced electricity costs) offsets the increase in total

installed cost. As a result, the LCC at all efficiency levels is lower than that for the baseline efficiency

level (Level 1) for this product category. Table F.2.7 shows the national distribution of LCC savings

above the baseline (Level 1) calculated for this product for the higher efficiency levels [2­8].

Figure F.2.14 show this distribution of LCC savings graphically for each efficiency level analyzed.

Figure F.2.15 shows the effect on payback period as the efficiency level changes from Level 1

(baseline) to Level 8, on a national averaged basis weighted over all building types, energy prices,

sales taxes and installation costs. Table F.2.8 shows the national distribution of payback periods

calculated for all efficiency levels as well as the average payback and the percent of units with a

payback of less than 3 Years. Figure F.2.16 show this distribution of payback results graphically for

each efficiency level analyzed.

F­166 

## LCC as a function of Efficiency Level

6125 6124

6036 5975 5996 6020 031 7228

5000 5500 6000 6500 7000 7500LifeCycleCost

Life Cycle Cost 

### Equipment=B­L­Indoor­Outdoor, Fuel Price=AEO 2007 ­ Reference Case, Start

Year= 2012

Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8

(Energy (Energy (Max Tech)

Star Tier 1) Star Tier 2)



## Efficiency Level



## Figure F.2.13 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life­Cycle Cost for B­L­IO

(Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.7 Distribution of Life­Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by

Efficiency Level for B­L­IO

Efficiency Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results (2007$) Mean

Savings

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 $31 $117 $148 $170 $194 $216 $242 $269 $302 $387 $803 $234

Level 3 $30 $150 $195 $229 $263 $296 $333 $372 $423 $541 $1,196 $322

Level 4 $16 $163 $221 $263 $308 $351 $396 $445 $513 $663 $1,513 $383

Level 5 ­$66 $93 $161 $214 $270 $323 $373 $442 $520 $710 $1,744 $362

Level 6 ­$120 $45 $115 $177 $235 $295 $354 $424 $510 $717 $1,895 $338

Level 7 ­$133 $31 $101 $163 $224 $284 $345 $415 $501 $711 $1,905 $327

Level 8 ­$1,359 ­$1,149 ­$1,076 ­$1,008 ­$947 ­$915 ­$864 ­$792 ­$709 ­$513 $598 ­$870



## F­17B­L­IO Level 2 B­L­IO Level 3

B­L­IO Level 4 B­L­IO Level 5

B­L­IO Level 6 B­L­IO Level 7

B­L­IO Level 8



## Figure F.2.14 Cumulative Chart of LCC Savings for All Efficiency Levels: B­L­IO

F­18.0 

## Payback Period as a function of Efficiency Level

Equipment=B­L­Indoor­Outdoor, Fuel Price=AEO 2007 ­ Reference Case, Start

Year= 2012

0.8 1.2 1.7 3.5 4.6 4.8 76.6

0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80 90.0PaybackPeriod(Years) Payback



### Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max

(Energy Star Tech)

Tier 2)



## Efficiency Level



## Figure F.2.15 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for B­L­IO

(Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.8 Summary of PBP Results for All Efficiency Levels: B­L­IO

Efficiency Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Mean Percent

Less than

3 Years

Energy

Payback

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.8 0.8 100%

Level 3 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.8 1.2 100%

Level 4 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.3 2.7 4.1 1.7 95%

Level 5 1.0 1.9 2.3 2.6 2.9 3.3 3.4 3.9 4.7 5.7 9.6 3.5 43%

Level 6 1.2 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.8 4.1 4.4 5.0 6.1 7.6 13.9 4.6 23%

Level 7 1.3 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.4 4.6 5.3 6.5 8.1 15.1 4.8 21%

Level 8 7.6 21.6 36.0 58.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 76.6 0%



## F­19B­L­IO, Level 2 B­L­IO, Level 3

B­L­IO, Level 4 B­L­IO, Level 5

B­L­IO, Level 6 B­L­IO, Level 7

B­L­IO, Level 8



## Figure F.2.16 Cumulative Chart of PBP for All Efficiency Levels: B­L­IO

F­20

## F.2.5 Equipment Class: Zone Cooled, Medium Size, Indoor­Outdoor (B­M­IO)

Figure F.2.17 shows the variation of the life­cycle cost with the installed cost for each of the

efficiency levels considered for the analysis. The installed cost is the sum of the equipment price and

the installation cost of the equipment and the former is the largest contributor to the increasing total

installed cost as the efficiency level rises from Level 1 to Level 8 (with reduced energy consumption).

The LCC results show that at the higher efficiency levels (Level 2 ­ Level 7), the lifetime operating

cost has more of an impact on the LCC than the total installed cost. In other words, the decrease in

lifetime operating costs (due to reduced electricity costs) offsets the increase in total installed cost. As

a result, the LCC at all efficiency levels is lower than that for the baseline efficiency level (Level 1) for

this product category. Table F.2.9 shows the national distribution of LCC savings above the baseline

(Level 1) calculated for this product for the higher efficiency levels [2­7]. Figure F.2.18 show this

distribution of LCC savings graphically for each efficiency level analyzed.

Figure F.2.19 shows the effect on payback period as the efficiency level changes from Level 1

(baseline) to Level 7, on a national averaged basis weighted over all building types, energy prices,

sales taxes and installation costs. Table F.2.10 shows the national distribution of payback periods

calculated for all efficiency levels as well as the average payback and the percent of units with a

payback of less than 3 Years. Figure F.2.20 show this distribution of payback results graphically for

each efficiency level analyzed.

F­216 5899 

# LCC as a function of Efficiency Level

Equipment=B­M­Indoor­Outdoor, Fuel Price=AEO 2007 ­ Reference Case, Start

Year= 2012

5958 5957 5886 5831 5854 588 6991

5000 5500 6000 6500 7000 7500LifeCycleCost



### Life Cycle Cost

Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8

(Energy (Energy (Max Tech)

Star Tier 1) Star Tier 2)



## Efficiency Level



## Figure F.2.17 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life­Cycle Cost for B­M­IO

(Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.9 Distribution of Life­Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by

Efficiency Level for B­M­IO

Efficiency Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results (2007$) Mean

Savings

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 $31 $118 $149 $171 $194 $217 $243 $270 $303 $389 $808 $235

Level 3 $26 $142 $184 $217 $250 $282 $316 $354 $403 $518 $1,141 $306

Level 4 $11 $152 $206 $247 $289 $329 $373 $421 $484 $631 $1,437 $361

Level 5 ­$72 $79 $143 $196 $250 $300 $350 $415 $489 $673 $1,665 $338

Level 6 ­$126 $26 $92 $152 $210 $265 $321 $389 $470 $669 $1,782 $306

Level 7 ­$140 $10 $77 $137 $196 $252 $309 $377 $459 $660 $1,787 $294

Level 8 ­$1,265 ­$1,065 ­$995 ­$931 ­$872 ­$843 ­$793 ­$725 ­$647 ­$458 $590 ­$798



## F­22B­M­IO Level 2 B­M­IO Level 3

B­M­IO Level 4 B­M­IO Level 5

B­M­IO Level 6 B­M­IO Level 7

B­M­IO Level 8



## Figure F.2.18 Cumulative Chart of LCC Savings for All Efficiency Levels: B­M­IO

F­23

## Payback Period as a function of Efficiency Level

Equipment=B­M­Indoor­Outdoor, Fuel Price=AEO 2007 ­ Reference Case, Start

Year= 2012PaybackPeriod(Years) 80.0

70.0

60.0

50.0

40.0

30.0

20.0

10.0

0.0 0.8 1.3 1.8 3.7 4.9 5.2 76.0 Payback



### Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max

(Energy Star Tech)

Tier 2)



## Efficiency Level



## Figure F.2.19 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for B­M­IO

(Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.10 Summary of PBP Results for All Efficiency Levels: B­M­IO

Efficiency Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Mean Percent

Less than

3 Years

Energy

Payback

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.8 0.8 100%

Level 3 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.7 2.0 3.0 1.3 100%

Level 4 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.4 2.8 4.4 1.8 91%

Level 5 1.1 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.6 4.1 4.9 6.0 10.4 3.7 39%

Level 6 1.3 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.4 4.6 5.3 6.5 8.2 15.4 4.9 21%

Level 7 1.4 2.6 3.1 3.7 4.2 4.7 4.9 5.7 7.0 8.8 16.9 5.2 19%

Level 8 7.4 20.8 34.8 56.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 76.0 0%



## F­24B­M­IO, Level 2 B­M­IO, Level 3

B­M­IO, Level 4 B­M­IO, Level 5

B­M­IO, Level 6 B­M­IO, Level 7

B­M­IO, Level 8



## Figure F.2.20 Cumulative Chart of PBP for All Efficiency Levels: B­M­IO

F­25

## F.2.6 Equipment Class: Zone Cooled, Small Size, Indoor­Outdoor (B­S­IO)

Figure F.2.21 shows the variation of the life­cycle cost with the installed cost for each of the

efficiency levels considered for the analysis. The installed cost is the sum of the equipment price and

the installation cost of the equipment and the former is the largest contributor to the increasing total

installed cost as the efficiency level rises from Level 1 to Level 8 (with reduced energy consumption).

The LCC results show that at the higher efficiency levels (Level 2 ­ Level 8), the lifetime operating

cost has more of an impact on the LCC than the total installed cost. In other words, the decrease in

lifetime operating costs (due to reduced electricity costs) offsets the increase in total installed cost. As

a result, the LCC at all efficiency levels is lower than that for the baseline efficiency level (Level 1) for

this product category. Table F.2.11 shows the national distribution of LCC savings above the baseline

(Level 1) calculated for this product for the higher efficiency levels [2­8]. Figure F.2.22 show this

distribution of LCC savings graphically for each efficiency level analyzed.

Figure F.2.23 shows the effect on payback period as the efficiency level changes from Level 1

(baseline) to Level 8, on a national averaged basis weighted over all building types, energy prices,

sales taxes and installation costs. Table F.2.12 shows the national distribution of payback periods

calculated for all efficiency levels as well as the average payback and the percent of units with a

payback of less than 3 Years. Figure F.2.24 show this distribution of payback results graphically for

each efficiency level analyzed.

F­26

## LCC as a function of Efficiency Level

Equipment=B­S­Indoor­Outdoor, Fuel Price=AEO 2007 ­ Reference Case, Start

Year= 2012

5622 5621 5564 5544 5575 5613 5628 6556

5000 5200 5400 5600 5800 6000 6200 6400 6600 6800LifeCycleCost

Life Cycle Cost



### Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8

(Energy (Energy (Max

Star Tier Star Tier Tech)

1) 2)



## Efficiency Level



## Figure F.2.21 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life­Cycle Cost for B­S­IO

(Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.11 Distribution of Life­Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by

Efficiency Level for B­S­IO

Efficiency Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results (2007$) Mean

Savings

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 $31 $116 $147 $169 $193 $215 $241 $268 $301 $386 $804 $233

Level 3 $20 $130 $171 $202 $235 $265 $300 $336 $382 $498 $1,085 $290

Level 4 $1 $122 $170 $206 $245 $280 $319 $363 $419 $554 $1,265 $310

Level 5 ­$85 $44 $100 $152 $197 $244 $289 $345 $413 $584 $1,483 $279

Level 6 ­$138 ­$16 $48 $100 $153 $202 $250 $314 $385 $572 $1,565 $240

Level 7 ­$152 ­$31 $31 $84 $138 $186 $234 $298 $371 $561 $1,564 $225

Level 8 ­$1,134 ­$945 ­$879 ­$822 ­$767 ­$749 ­$696 ­$636 ­$562 ­$391 $535 ­$702



## F­27B­S­IO Level 2 B­S­IO Level 3

B­S­IO Level 4 B­S­IO Level 5

B­S­IO Level 6 B­S­IO Level 7

B­S­IO Level 8



## Figure F.2.22 Cumulative Chart of LCC Savings for All Efficiency Levels: B­S­IO

F­28

## Payback Period as a function of Efficiency Level

Equipment=B­S­Indoor­Outdoor, Fuel Price=AEO 2007 ­ Reference Case, Start

Year= 2012PaybackPeriod(Years) 90.0

80.0

70.0

60.0

50.0

40.0

30.0

20.0

10.0

0.0 0.8 1.4 2.0 4.3 5.7 6.1 78.1 Payback



### Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max

(Energy Star Tech)

Tier 2)



## Efficiency Level



## Figure F.2.23 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for B­S­IO

(Level 1 is the Baseline Level).

Table F.2.12 Summary of PBP Results for All Efficiency Levels: B­S­IO

Efficiency Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Mean Percent

Less than

3 Years

Energy

Payback

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.8 0.8 100%

Level 3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.2 3.4 1.4 99%

Level 4 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.3 2.7 3.2 5.1 2.0 85%

Level 5 1.2 2.2 2.7 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.0 4.7 5.7 7.1 13.3 4.3 25%

Level 6 1.4 2.7 3.4 4.0 4.5 5.1 5.3 6.1 7.7 9.9 21.1 5.7 17%

Level 7 1.5 2.9 3.6 4.2 4.8 5.4 5.6 6.6 8.3 10.8 24.1 6.1 13%

Level 8 7.2 21.0 36.9 66.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 78.1 0%



## F­29B­S­IO, Level 2 B­S­IO, Level 3

B­S­IO, Level 4 B­S­IO, Level 5

B­S­IO, Level 6 B­S­IO, Level 7

B­S­IO, Level 8



## Figure F.2.24 Cumulative Chart of PBP for All Efficiency Levels: B­S­IO

F­30

## F.3 LCC SENSITIVITY TO FUEL PRICE ESCALATION ­ RESULTS

This section contains detailed output from the Life­Cycle Cost (LCC) sensitivity analysis to the

fuel price escalation rates reported in chapter 8. These analyses were carried out using the LCC

spreadsheet with the aggregated results reported in terms of national average LCC savings or national

average PBP for each of the six equipment classes at each efficiency level. See Chapter 8 for a further

explanation of the sensitivity analysis and results.

Table F.3.1 through Table F.3.6 show the impacts of AEO 2007 low growth scenario for fuel price

escalation rates on LCC and PBP results, while Table F.3.7 through Table F.3.12 show the impacts of

AEO 2007 high growth scenario for fuel price escalation rates on LCC and PBP results. As expected,

high growth fuel price escalation rates increases the benefits of efficiency levels beyond the baseline

(increases LCC savings).

F­31

## Table F.3.1 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 Low Growth Scenario:

A­L­IN

A­L­IN LCC Savings

Efficiency Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results (2007$) Mean

Savings Percent

of Units

with

LCC

Savings

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 $12 $63 $82 $95 $110 $123 $139 $156 $176 $228 $483 $135 100%

Level 3 $12 $104 $139 $163 $190 $215 $243 $274 $310 $405 $870 $235 100%

Level 4 $5 $132 $179 $213 $250 $284 $324 $367 $417 $551 $1,201 $313 100%

Level 5 ­$18 $123 $178 $217 $260 $299 $346 $395 $452 $608 $1,360 $333 99%

Level 6 ­$29 $112 $168 $208 $253 $293 $342 $391 $450 $609 $1,381 $328 99%

Level 7 ­$221 ­$101 ­$41 $9 $62 $106 $154 $215 $283 $467 $1,357 $144 71%

Level 8 ­$1,238 ­$1,083 ­$1,009 ­$954 ­$908 ­$877 ­$822 ­$769 ­$696 ­$505 $387 ­$832 1%

A­L­IN Payback Period

Efficiency Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Mean Percent

Less than

3 Years

Energy

Payback

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.9 1.3 100%

Level 3 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.5 3.7 1.6 99%

Level 4 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.5 3.0 4.5 2.0 89%

Level 5 0.8 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.8 3.3 4.0 6.1 2.6 73%

Level 6 0.9 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.8 3.1 3.7 4.4 6.8 2.8 67%

Level 7 2.2 3.9 4.9 5.8 6.4 7.2 7.6 8.7 10.6 13.6 26.5 8.0 1%

Level 8 8.8 20.8 31.7 44.1 60.7 92.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 69.9 0%



## F­32

## Table F.3.2 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 Low Growth Scenario:

A­M­IN

A­M­IN LCC Savings

Efficiency Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results (2007$) Mean

Savings Percent

of Units

with

LCC

Savings

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 $11 $61 $80 $93 $107 $120 $136 $152 $172 $223 $474 $131 100%

Level 3 $9 $96 $128 $151 $176 $199 $227 $256 $290 $381 $823 $219 100%

Level 4 $1 $120 $165 $197 $233 $265 $304 $344 $392 $521 $1,141 $293 100%

Level 5 ­$24 $106 $158 $194 $236 $274 $318 $364 $418 $565 $1,279 $305 99%

Level 6 ­$36 $95 $148 $185 $229 $267 $312 $359 $415 $564 $1,297 $299 99%

Level 7 ­$198 ­$88 ­$32 $14 $64 $105 $149 $206 $270 $442 $1,270 $140 73%

Level 8 ­$1,162 ­$1,008 ­$941 ­$891 ­$846 ­$820 ­$770 ­$720 ­$650 ­$470 $356 ­$776 1%

A­M­IN Payback Period

Efficiency Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Mean Percent

Less than

3 Years

Energy

Payback

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.7 2.1 3.0 1.4 99%

Level 3 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.9 2.3 2.7 4.0 1.7 95%

Level 4 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.7 3.2 4.9 2.1 85%

Level 5 0.9 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.7 3.1 3.6 4.3 6.7 2.8 69%

Level 6 1.0 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.0 3.4 4.0 4.8 7.5 3.1 57%

Level 7 2.1 3.8 4.8 5.6 6.3 7.1 7.4 8.5 10.4 13.4 26.8 7.8 1%

Level 8 8.8 21.3 33.6 48.3 69.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 72.1 0%



## F­33

## Table F.3.3 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 Low Growth Scenario:

A­S­IN

A­S­IN LCC Savings

Efficiency Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results (2007$) Mean

Savings Percent

of Units

with

LCC

Savings

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 $9 $58 $76 $89 $103 $116 $131 $147 $166 $216 $462 $126 100%

Level 3 $11 $94 $126 $148 $174 $196 $223 $251 $284 $374 $806 $215 100%

Level 4 $2 $115 $159 $191 $226 $257 $295 $334 $380 $506 $1,110 $284 100%

Level 5 ­$20 $101 $151 $184 $225 $261 $301 $345 $397 $536 $1,215 $290 99%

Level 6 ­$32 $88 $139 $174 $216 $252 $293 $338 $390 $534 $1,230 $282 99%

Level 7 ­$181 ­$85 ­$34 $9 $55 $94 $133 $186 $247 $410 $1,182 $127 73%

Level 8 ­$990 ­$842 ­$781 ­$734 ­$690 ­$666 ­$619 ­$572 ­$507 ­$339 $431 ­$625 1%

A­S­IN Payback Period

Efficiency Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Mean Percent

Less than

3 Years

Energy

Payback

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 3.2 1.4 99%

Level 3 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.5 3.8 1.6 97%

Level 4 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.6 3.1 4.8 2.0 87%

Level 5 0.8 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.4 4.2 6.6 2.7 71%

Level 6 0.9 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.8 2.9 3.3 3.9 4.7 7.6 3.0 63%

Level 7 2.0 3.7 4.7 5.5 6.2 7.1 7.4 8.6 10.7 14.0 31.9 8.0 1%

Level 8 7.7 19.0 30.6 45.2 68.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 71.0 0%



## F­34

## Table F.3.4 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 Low Growth Scenario:

B­L­IO

B­L­IO LCC Savings

Efficiency Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results (2007$) Mean

Savings Percent

of Units

with

LCC

Savings

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 $28 $108 $138 $158 $180 $201 $226 $251 $281 $362 $754 $218 100%

Level 3 $25 $137 $180 $212 $243 $275 $308 $346 $395 $504 $1,122 $299 100%

Level 4 $10 $147 $201 $240 $282 $322 $365 $411 $475 $616 $1,417 $353 100%

Level 5 ­$74 $72 $135 $185 $238 $287 $335 $400 $473 $651 $1,625 $325 99%

Level 6 ­$129 $22 $87 $145 $200 $256 $314 $377 $457 $652 $1,761 $297 93%

Level 7 ­$142 $7 $72 $132 $188 $244 $302 $366 $448 $645 $1,769 $285 91%

Level 8 ­$1,380 ­$1,175 ­$1,105 ­$1,042 ­$984 ­$956 ­$909 ­$841 ­$760 ­$580 $459 ­$913 1%

B­L­IO Payback Period

Efficiency Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Mean Percent

Less than

3 Years

Energy

Payback

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.9 0.9 100%

Level 3 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.7 2.0 3.0 1.3 100%

Level 4 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.4 2.9 4.4 1.8 91%

Level 5 1.1 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.5 3.6 4.1 5.0 6.1 10.5 3.8 37%

Level 6 1.3 2.5 3.0 3.6 4.0 4.4 4.7 5.4 6.6 8.3 15.5 4.9 19%

Level 7 1.4 2.6 3.2 3.8 4.2 4.7 4.9 5.7 7.0 8.9 16.9 5.2 17%

Level 8 8.2 24.8 44.0 79.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 80.7 0%



## F­35

## Table F.3.5 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 Low Growth Scenario:

B­M­IO

B­M­IO LCC Savings

Efficiency Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results (2007$) Mean

Savings Percent

of Units

with

LCC

Savings

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 $28 $109 $138 $158 $181 $201 $227 $252 $283 $364 $758 $219 100%

Level 3 $22 $129 $169 $200 $231 $261 $293 $329 $375 $483 $1,070 $284 100%

Level 4 $5 $136 $187 $225 $265 $303 $344 $388 $448 $586 $1,345 $333 100%

Level 5 ­$79 $58 $119 $169 $219 $265 $313 $376 $443 $616 $1,550 $302 97%

Level 6 ­$134 $4 $66 $121 $175 $228 $281 $344 $420 $606 $1,654 $266 91%

Level 7 ­$148 ­$12 $51 $107 $161 $214 $267 $332 $408 $595 $1,658 $253 87%

Level 8 ­$1,286 ­$1,091 ­$1,023 ­$963 ­$907 ­$883 ­$834 ­$772 ­$694 ­$520 $458 ­$839 1%

B­M­IO Payback Period

Efficiency Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Mean Percent

Less than

3 Years

Energy

Payback

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.9 0.8 100%

Level 3 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.8 2.1 3.2 1.4 99%

Level 4 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.5 3.0 4.7 1.9 89%

Level 5 1.1 2.1 2.5 2.9 3.3 3.7 3.8 4.4 5.3 6.5 11.4 4.0 35%

Level 6 1.4 2.6 3.2 3.8 4.3 4.7 5.0 5.7 7.1 8.9 17.3 5.3 17%

Level 7 1.5 2.8 3.4 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.3 6.1 7.6 9.6 19.2 5.6 17%

Level 8 8.0 23.9 42.5 76.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 80.1 0%



## F­36

## Table F.3.6 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 Low Growth Scenario:

B­S­IO

B­S­IO LCC Savings

Efficiency Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results (2007$) Mean

Savings Percent

of Units

with

LCC

Savings

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 $27 $107 $136 $157 $179 $200 $224 $250 $281 $361 $755 $217 100%

Level 3 $16 $118 $156 $186 $216 $245 $277 $312 $354 $464 $1,017 $268 100%

Level 4 ­$4 $107 $153 $187 $223 $256 $292 $334 $386 $514 $1,183 $284 99%

Level 5 ­$92 $25 $78 $126 $168 $212 $256 $309 $370 $532 $1,378 $246 93%

Level 6 ­$146 ­$34 $23 $72 $123 $168 $213 $271 $339 $514 $1,449 $204 85%

Level 7 ­$161 ­$51 $7 $56 $107 $152 $198 $255 $326 $502 $1,447 $189 81%

Level 8 ­$1,153 ­$968 ­$904 ­$849 ­$800 ­$777 ­$735 ­$678 ­$603 ­$451 $416 ­$740 1%

B­S­IO Payback Period

Efficiency Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Mean Percent

Less than

3 Years

Energy

Payback

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.9 0.9 100%

Level 3 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.4 3.6 1.5 99%

Level 4 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.4 2.9 3.5 5.5 2.2 83%

Level 5 1.2 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.7 4.2 4.3 5.0 6.2 7.8 14.9 4.6 23%

Level 6 1.5 2.9 3.6 4.3 4.8 5.5 5.7 6.7 8.4 10.9 24.6 6.2 13%

Level 7 1.6 3.1 3.8 4.5 5.2 5.8 6.1 7.2 9.1 11.9 28.6 6.7 7%

Level 8 7.8 24.4 46.6 99.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 83.0 0%



## F­37

## Table F.3.7 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 High Growth Scenario:

A­L­IN

A­L­IN LCC Savings

Efficiency Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results (2007$) Mean

Savings Percent

of Units

with

LCC

Savings

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 $15 $73 $94 $109 $125 $141 $158 $176 $199 $257 $539 $153 100%

Level 3 $19 $123 $161 $188 $218 $245 $277 $310 $351 $457 $973 $268 100%

Level 4 $15 $157 $211 $248 $290 $328 $373 $418 $476 $625 $1,345 $359 100%

Level 5 ­$6 $153 $214 $257 $306 $349 $401 $455 $520 $694 $1,527 $386 99%

Level 6 ­$17 $143 $207 $249 $300 $345 $398 $454 $519 $697 $1,553 $383 99%

Level 7 ­$208 ­$64 $2 $58 $117 $167 $221 $288 $364 $569 $1,558 $209 81%

Level 8 ­$1,203 ­$1,041 ­$961 ­$902 ­$848 ­$812 ­$755 ­$694 ­$611 ­$402 $606 ­$762 1%

A­L­IN Payback Period

Efficiency Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Mean Percent

Less tha n

3 Years

Energy

Payback

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.6 1.2 100%

Level 3 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.9 2.2 3.3 1.5 99%

Level 4 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.7 4.0 1.8 95%

Level 5 0.8 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.5 3.0 3.5 5.3 2.3 81%

Level 6 0.8 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.8 3.3 3.9 5.9 2.5 77%

Level 7 1.9 3.5 4.3 5.0 5.6 6.3 6.6 7.6 9.1 11.4 21.1 6.9 1%

Level 8 7.6 17.0 24.6 32.8 42.0 57.4 65.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 59.0 0%



## F­38

## Table F.3.8 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 High Growth Scenario:

A­M­IN

A­M­IN LCC Savings

Efficiency Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results (2007$) Mean

Savings Percent

of Units

with

LCC

Savings

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 $15 $71 $91 $106 $122 $137 $154 $172 $194 $251 $529 $149 100%

Level 3 $16 $113 $149 $175 $203 $229 $259 $291 $330 $431 $921 $250 100%

Level 4 $10 $144 $194 $230 $271 $306 $350 $393 $447 $591 $1,279 $337 100%

Level 5 ­$13 $134 $193 $232 $280 $322 $370 $421 $482 $646 $1,438 $356 99%

Level 6 ­$25 $124 $184 $224 $273 $317 $366 $417 $479 $647 $1,460 $351 99%

Level 7 ­$185 ­$54 $8 $60 $115 $160 $211 $274 $345 $537 $1,458 $200 81%

Level 8 ­$1,130 ­$973 ­$898 ­$839 ­$791 ­$759 ­$702 ­$649 ­$571 ­$375 $561 ­$711 1%

A­M­IN Payback Period

Efficiency Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Mean Percent

Less than

3 Years

Energy

Payback

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.7 1.2 100%

Level 3 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.4 3.5 1.6 99%

Level 4 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.9 4.3 1.9 91%

Level 5 0.8 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.7 3.2 3.8 5.8 2.4 77%

Level 6 0.9 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.7 3.0 3.5 4.2 6.5 2.7 69%

Level 7 1.9 3.4 4.2 4.9 5.5 6.1 6.4 7.4 8.9 11.2 21.1 6.7 3%

Level 8 7.5 17.3 25.6 34.7 45.8 65.3 76.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 61.8 0%



## F­39

## Table F.3.9 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 High Growth Scenario:

A­S­IN

A­S­IN LCC Savings

Efficiency Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results (2007$) Mean

Savings Percent

of Units

with

LCC

Savings

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 $13 $67 $88 $102 $117 $132 $149 $166 $188 $244 $516 $144 100%

Level 3 $17 $112 $147 $172 $200 $225 $255 $285 $323 $423 $902 $246 100%

Level 4 $11 $139 $189 $223 $263 $297 $339 $382 $435 $575 $1,244 $327 100%

Level 5 ­$10 $127 $183 $220 $266 $306 $352 $399 $456 $612 $1,366 $338 99%

Level 6 ­$21 $115 $173 $210 $258 $299 $344 $393 $451 $612 $1,385 $331 99%

Level 7 ­$168 ­$54 $5 $51 $104 $147 $192 $250 $319 $500 $1,359 $183 81%

Level 8 ­$960 ­$809 ­$740 ­$684 ­$637 ­$609 ­$555 ­$505 ­$430 ­$247 $623 ­$564 1%

A­S­IN Payback Period

Efficiency Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Mean Percent

Less than

3 Years

Energy

Payback

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.8 1.3 100%

Level 3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.9 2.2 3.3 1.5 99%

Level 4 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.8 4.2 1.8 93%

Level 5 0.8 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.6 3.0 3.7 5.7 2.3 79%

Level 6 0.8 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.4 4.1 6.5 2.6 73%

Level 7 1.8 3.3 4.1 4.8 5.4 6.1 6.4 7.4 9.1 11.6 23.8 6.8 5%

Level 8 6.6 15.3 23.0 31.7 42.7 63.0 75.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 60.4 0%



## F­40

## Table F.3.10 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 High Growth Scenario:

B­L­IO

B­L­IO LCC Savings

Efficiency Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results (2007$) Mean

Savings Percent

of Units

with

LCC

Savings

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 $34 $123 $156 $179 $204 $227 $254 $282 $317 $406 $840 $246 100%

Level 3 $34 $160 $207 $242 $278 $313 $350 $392 $446 $569 $1,254 $339 100%

Level 4 $21 $176 $236 $280 $326 $371 $418 $470 $542 $698 $1,587 $405 100%

Level 5 ­$60 $108 $178 $236 $295 $350 $402 $470 $555 $755 $1,836 $390 99%

Level 6 ­$113 $61 $135 $200 $262 $325 $386 $460 $549 $766 $1,998 $369 97%

Level 7 ­$126 $47 $122 $187 $250 $314 $375 $448 $541 $761 $2,010 $359 95%

Level 8 ­$1,344 ­$1,131 ­$1,055 ­$981 ­$918 ­$885 ­$830 ­$754 ­$666 ­$462 $705 ­$838 1%

B­L­IO Payback Period

Efficiency Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Mean Percent

Less than

3 Years

Energy

Payback

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.7 0.8 100%

Level 3 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.6 1.2 100%

Level 4 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.5 3.9 1.6 97%

Level 5 1.0 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.6 4.4 5.3 8.9 3.3 49%

Level 6 1.2 2.2 2.7 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.1 4.7 5.7 7.1 12.6 4.3 25%

Level 7 1.2 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.7 4.1 4.3 5.0 6.0 7.5 13.6 4.5 23%

Level 8 7.0 19.2 30.7 46.7 78.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 72.7 0%



## F­41

## Table F.3.11 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 High Growth Scenario:

B­M­IO

B­M­IO LCC Savings

Efficiency Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results (2007$) Mean

Savings Percent

of Units

with

LCC

Savings

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 $34 $124 $157 $179 $205 $228 $255 $283 $318 $408 $845 $247 100%

Level 3 $30 $151 $196 $230 $264 $298 $334 $373 $425 $545 $1,196 $323 100%

Level 4 $16 $163 $221 $262 $308 $350 $395 $445 $512 $666 $1,507 $383 100%

Level 5 ­$65 $93 $161 $217 $273 $327 $378 $444 $523 $717 $1,754 $365 99%

Level 6 ­$120 $42 $113 $176 $234 $292 $350 $421 $507 $716 $1,880 $336 95%

Level 7 ­$133 $27 $98 $161 $221 $279 $340 $409 $496 $708 $1,886 $323 93%

Level 8 ­$1,251 ­$1,047 ­$975 ­$904 ­$845 ­$815 ­$759 ­$690 ­$606 ­$409 $692 ­$768 1%

B­M­IO Payback Period

Efficiency Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Mean Percent

Less than

3 Years

Energy

Payback

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.7 0.8 100%

Level 3 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.8 1.2 100%

Level 4 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.7 4.1 1.7 95%

Level 5 1.0 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.8 4.6 5.6 9.5 3.5 45%

Level 6 1.2 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.7 4.1 4.3 5.0 6.1 7.6 13.9 4.5 23%

Level 7 1.3 2.4 3.0 3.5 3.9 4.4 4.6 5.3 6.5 8.1 15.2 4.8 21%

Level 8 6.8 18.5 29.4 45.0 76.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 71.9 0%



## F­42

## Table F.3.12 Summary of LCC and PBP Results Assuming AEO 2007 High Growth Scenario:

B­S­IO

B­S­IO LCC Savings

Efficiency Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results (2007$) Mean

Savings Percent

of Units

with

LCC

Savings

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 $33 $122 $155 $177 $203 $226 $253 $280 $316 $405 $842 $245 100%

Level 3 $24 $139 $183 $213 $249 $281 $316 $355 $402 $525 $1,138 $306 100%

Level 4 $5 $132 $183 $221 $262 $298 $338 $385 $444 $585 $1,328 $329 100%

Level 5 ­$79 $58 $116 $170 $219 $266 $314 $374 $444 $623 $1,564 $304 97%

Level 6 ­$132 ­$1 $66 $121 $175 $228 $279 $342 $418 $615 $1,654 $267 89%

Level 7 ­$146 ­$16 $50 $104 $161 $213 $264 $328 $404 $604 $1,654 $253 87%

Level 8 ­$1,121 ­$929 ­$861 ­$800 ­$743 ­$720 ­$668 ­$606 ­$530 ­$350 $627 ­$674 1%

B­S­IO Payback Period

Efficiency Payback Period in Years Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Mean Percent

Less than

3 Years

Energy

Payback

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Level 2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.7 0.8 100%

Level 3 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.1 3.1 1.4 99%

Level 4 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.5 3.0 4.8 1.9 89%

Level 5 1.1 2.0 2.5 2.9 3.3 3.7 3.8 4.4 5.3 6.6 12.0 4.0 35%

Level 6 1.4 2.6 3.2 3.7 4.2 4.7 4.9 5.7 7.1 9.1 18.5 5.3 19%

Level 7 1.4 2.7 3.3 3.9 4.5 5.0 5.2 6.1 7.7 9.8 20.9 5.7 17%

Level 8 6.6 18.5 30.7 50.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 74.4 0%



## F­43