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The 43

rd Global Monitoring Conference was held May 19­20, 2015 in Boulder.

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Trends in Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide
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Mauna Loa, Hawaii

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Recent Monthly CO2 at Mauna Loa

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Annual Mean CO2 Growth Rate at Mauna Loa

Mauna Loa CO2 Data

Recent Monthly Average Mauna Loa CO2

June 2015: 402.80 ppm

June 2014: 401.15 ppm

Last updated: July 8, 2015

PNG Version

PDF Version
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The graph shows recent monthly mean carbon dioxide measured at Mauna Loa Observatory, Hawaii.

The last four complete years of the Mauna Loa CO2record plus the current year are shown. Data are reported as a dry air

mole fraction defined as the number of molecules of carbon dioxide divided by the number of all molecules in air,

including CO2itself, after water vapor has been removed. The mole fraction is expressed as parts per million (ppm).

Example: 0.000400 is expressed as 400 ppm.

In the above figure, the dashed red line with diamond symbols represents the monthly mean values, centered on the

middle of each month. The black line with the square symbols represents the same, after correction for the average

seasonal cycle. The latter is determined as a moving average of SEVEN adjacent seasonal cycles centered on the month to

be corrected, except for the first and last THREE and one­half years of the record, where the seasonal cycle has been

averaged over the first and last SEVEN years, respectively.

The last year of data are still preliminary, pending recalibrations of reference gases and other quality control checks. The

Mauna Loa data are being obtained at an altitude of 3400 m in the northern subtropics, and may not be the same as the

globally averaged CO2 concentration at the surface.

Full Mauna Loa CO2 record

PNG Version

PDF Version

Monthly mean atmospheric carbon dioxide at Mauna Loa Observatory, Hawaii
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The carbon dioxide data (red curve), measured as the mole fraction in dry air, on Mauna Loa constitute the longest record

of direct measurements of CO2in the atmosphere. They were started by C. David Keeling of the Scripps Institution of

Oceanography in March of 1958 at a facility of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration [Keeling, 1976].

NOAA started its own CO2 measurements in May of 1974, and they have run in parallel with those made by Scripps since

then [Thoning, 1989]. The black curve represents the seasonally corrected data.

Data are reported as a dry mole fraction defined as the number of molecules of carbon dioxide divided by the number of

molecules of dry air multiplied by one million (ppm).

Annual Mean Growth Rate for Mauna Loa, Hawaii

PNG Version

PDF Version

The table and the graph show annual mean carbon dioxide growth rates for Mauna Loa. In the graph, also

decadal averages of the growth rate are plotted, as horizontal lines for 1960 through 1969, 1970 through 1979, and

so on.

The annual mean rate of growth of CO2in a given year is the difference in concentration between the end of December

and the start of January of that year. If used as an average for the globe, it would represent the sum of all CO2 added to,

and removed from, the atmosphere during the year by human activities and by natural processes. There is a small amount

of month­to­month variability in the CO2 concentration that may be caused by anomalies of the winds or weather systems

arriving at Mauna Loa. This variability would not be representative of the underlying trend for the northern hemisphere

which Mauna Loa is intended to represent. Therefore, we finalize our estimate for the annual mean
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year ppm/yr

1959 0.94

1960 0.54

1961 0.95

1962 0.64

1963 0.71

1964 0.28

1965 1.02

1966 1.24

1967 0.74

1968 1.03

1969 1.31

1970 1.06

1971 0.85

1972 1.69

1973 1.22

1974 0.78

1975 1.13

1976 0.84

1977 2.10

1978 1.30

1979 1.75

1980 1.73

1981 1.43

growth rate of the previous year in March, by using the average of the most recent NovemberFebruary months, corrected for the average seasonal cycle, as the trend value for January 1. Our

estimate for the annual mean growth rate (based on the Mauna Loa data) is obtained by subtracting

the same four­month average centered on the previous January 1. Preliminary values for the

previous year are calculated in January and in February.

The estimated uncertainty in the Mauna Loa annual mean growth rate is 0.11 ppm/yr. This

estimate is based on the standard deviation of the differences between monthly mean values

measured independently by the Scripps Institution of Oceanography and by NOAA/ESRL. The

annual growth rate measured at Mauna is not the same as the global growth rate, but it is quite

similar. One standard deviation of the annual differences MLO minus global is 0.26 ppm/year.

Data

The complete Mauna Loa CO2records described on this page are available.

Mauna Loa CO2 monthly mean data

Mauna Loa CO2 annual mean data

Mauna Loa CO2 annual mean growth rates

Additional CO2 data from Mauna Loa and other worldwide sampling sites can be found using the ESRL/GMD Data

Navigator of public data sets.

These values are subject to change depending on quality control checks of the measured data, but any revisions are

expected to be small.

See change log and notes

A description of how we make measurements at Mauna Loa.

How to reference content from this page

Dr. Pieter Tans, NOAA/ESRL (www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/) and Dr. Ralph Keeling, Scripps Institution of

Oceanography (scrippsco2.ucsd.edu/).

Contact

Pieter Tans, NOAA/ESRL, ph. 303 497 6678, Pieter.Tans@noaa.gov

Further Reading

C.D. Keeling, R.B. Bacastow, A.E. Bainbridge, C.A. Ekdahl, P.R. Guenther, and L.S. Waterman, (1976),

Atmospheric carbon dioxide variations at Mauna Loa Observatory, Hawaii, Tellus, vol. 28, 538­551

K.W. Thoning, P.P. Tans, and W.D. Komhyr, (1989), Atmospheric carbon dioxide at Mauna Loa Observatory 2.

Analysis of the NOAA GMCC data, 1974­1985, J. Geophys. Research, vol. 94, 8549­8565

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