Overview

Below are the Table of Contents, List of Tables

and a sample table from the World Pulp &

Recovered Paper Forecast.

While the emphasis of this report is on the

international pulp market, the World Pulp &

Recovered Paper Forecast also includes an

analysis of downstream products. The report

contains detailed forecasts through 2014 of the

major world economies and the international

paper and board markets in addition to

worldwide coverage of wood pulp and

international recovered paper. Considerable

emphasis is placed on analyzing the cost

structures of the major pulp producing regions

including: US South, US Pacific Northwest,

British Columbia, Eastern Canada, Sweden,

Finland, Portugal, Spain, Brazil, Chile and

Indonesia. This cost analysis supports the

dynamic forecasts of volatile pulp prices on a

delivered basis into North America and Western

Europe. 

For additional information, please e-mail us at

sales@risi.com.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary 1

Economic Outlook 11

International Paper and Paperboard 25

International Pulp 85

International Recovered Paper 181

List of Tables

Executive Summary

Table 1 International Economic Summary

Table 2 International Total Paper and Board

Summary

Table 3 International Paper Grade Market 

Pulp Summary

Table 4 International Recovered Paper 

Summary

Economic Outlook

Table 1 US Economic Outlook

Table 2 Canadian Economic Outlook

Table 3 Euro Area Economic Outlook

Table 4 Real GDP Growth: Selected Asian 

Countries

Table 5 Japanese Economic Outlook

Table 6 Real GDP Growth: Latin America

International Paper and Paperboard

Table 1 World Demand for Paper and 

Paperboard

Table 2 Regional Paper and Board Demand

and Share of World Total

Table 3 Announced Printing and Writing 

Paper Capacity Expansion by 

Major Region of the World 

(2009-2011)

Table 4 Announced Newsprint Capacity

Expansion by Major Region of the

World (2009-2011)

Table 5 Average Annual Growth Rate of 

Regional Economies and Paper 

Demand

Table 6 Announced Tissue Capacity 

Expansion by Major Region of the 

World (2009-2011)

Table 7 Announced Containerboard 

Capacity Expansion by Major 

Region of the World (2009-2011)

Table 8 Announced Boxboard Capacity 

Expansion by Major Region of the

World (2009-2011)

Table 9 Announced Specialty and 

Packaging Papers Capacity

Expansion by Major World 

Region (2009-2011)

Table A1 World Total Paper and Paperboard 

Summary

Table A2 World Printing and Writing Papers

Summary

Table A3 World Newsprint Summary

Table A4 World Tissue Papers Summary

Table A5 World Containerboard Summary

Table A6 World Other Paper and Paperboard

Summary

International Pulp

Table 1 Paper Grade Wood Pulp Demand 

by Major World Region and Share 

of the World Total

Table 2 Net Imports (Exports) of Paper 

Grade Wood Pulp

Table 3 Assumed Market Pulp Capacity 

Changes (2008-2014)

Table 4 World Market Pulp Capacity

Table 5 Average Bleached Softwood Kraft 

Market Pulp Delivered Variable 

Costs to Northern Europe

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report or other RISI products 

and services, email 

info@risi.com, call 866.271.8525

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World Pulp & Recovered

Paper Forecast - Excerpt April 2010
Excerpt - World Pulp & Recovered Paper Forecast, April 2010

2 RISI

Table 6 Average Bleached Hardwood Kraft 

Market Pulp Delivered Variable Costs to

Northern Europe

Table A1 Market Pulp Price and Cost Summary 

Table A2 World Paper Grade Wood Pulp Apparent

Consumption

Table A3 Paper Grade Wood Pulp Summary

Table A4 World Paper Grade Market Pulp

Table A5 US South Bleached Softwood Kraft Pulp

Production Costs

Table A6 US South Bleached Hardwood Kraft 

Pulp Production Costs

Table A7 US Pacific Northwest Bleached 

Softwood Kraft Pulp Production Costs

Table A8 B.C. Coast Bleached Softwood Kraft 

Pulp Production Costs

Table A9 B.C. Interior Bleached Softwood Kraft 

Pulp Production Costs

Table A10 Eastern Canada Bleached Softwood 

Kraft Pulp Production Costs

Table A11 Eastern Canada Bleached Hardwood 

Kraft Pulp Production Costs

Table A12 Eastern Canada Bleached Hardwood 

Chemithermomechanical Pulp 

Production Costs

Table A13 Sweden Bleached Softwood Kraft Pulp

Production Costs

Table A14 Sweden Bleached Hardwood Kraft Pulp 

Production Costs

Table A15 Finland Bleached Softwood Kraft Pulp 

Production Costs

Table A16 Finland Bleached Hardwood Kraft Pulp 

Production Costs

Table A17 Brazilian Bleached Hardwood Kraft 

Pulp Production Costs

Table A18 Portuguese Bleached Hardwood Kraft 

Pulp Production Costs

Table A19 Spanish Bleached Hardwood Kraft Pulp

Production Costs

Table A20 Chilean Bleached Softwood Kraft Pulp 

Production Costs

Table A21 Indonesian Bleached Hardwood Kraft

Pulp Production Costs

International Recovered Paper

Table 1 International Recovered Paper Summary

Table A1 World Recovered Paper Demand 

Summary

Table A2 US Recovered Paper Usage Rates for All

Major Grades of Paper and Paperboard

Table A3 US Recovered Paper Consumption by 

All Major Grades of Paper and 

Paperboard

Table A4 US Recovered Paper Demand and 

Supply Summary

Table A5 US Recovered Paper Exports by 

Destination

Table A6 US Recovered Paper Prices by Region - 

Grades 1-10

Table A7 US Recovered Paper Prices by Region - 

Grades 11-31

Table A8 US Recovered Paper Prices by Region - 

Grades 37-42

Table A9 US Recovered Paper Prices by Region - 

Grades 43-47

Table A10 Canadian Recovered Paper Usage Rates 

for All Major Grades of Paper and 

Paperboard

Table A11 Canadian Recovered Paper Consumption

by All Major Grades of Paper and 

Paperboard

Table A12 Canadian Recovered Paper Demand 

Summary

Table A13 Western Europe Recovered Paper Usage

Rates for All Major Grades of Paper and 

Paperboard

Table A14 Western Europe Recovered Paper 

Consumption by All Major Grades of 

Paper and Paperboard

Table A15 Western Europe Recovered Paper 

Demand Summary

Table A16 Western Europe Recovered Paper Prices

Table A17 Far East Recovered Paper Demand 

Summary

Table A18 Japan Recovered Paper Usage Rates for 

All Major Grades of Paper and 

Paperboard

Table A19 Japan Recovered Paper Consumption by

All Major Grades of Paper and 

Paperboard

Table A20 Japan Recovered Paper Demand and 

Price Summary

Table A21 China Recovered Paper Demand 

Summary

Table A22 Other Far East Recovered Paper Demand

Summary

Table A23 China and Southeast Asia Recovered 

Paper Price Forecast

Table A24 Middle East Recovered Paper Demand 

Summary

Table A25 Latin America Recovered Paper Demand

Summary

Table A26 Africa Recovered Paper Demand 

Summary

Table A27 Oceania Recovered Paper Demand 

Summary

Table A28 Eastern Europe Recovered Paper 

Demand Summary
Excerpt - World Pulp & Recovered Paper Forecast, April 2010

RISI 3

Table A4

World Paper Grade Market Pulp

Thousand Tonnes

Sample Table

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

APPARENT CONSUMPTION

 Total Paper Grade 54,555 52,528 54,346 56,366 58,464 57,235 60,711

 %Ch 1.1 -3.7 3.5 3.7 3.7 -2.1 6.1

 Bl. Softwood Kraft 22,753 21,343 21,915 22,359 23,120 22,405 23,754

 %Ch -0.7 -6.2 2.7 2.0 3.4 -3.1 6.0

 Bl. Hardwood Kraft 24,400 24,259 24,954 26,199 27,183 26,715 28,773

 %Ch 5.6 -0.6 2.9 5.0 3.8 -1.7 7.7

 Sulfite 1,247 1,143 1,162 1,153 1,138 1,107 1,122

 %Ch -9.1 -8.3 1.7 -0.8 -1.3 -2.7 1.4

 Unbl. Kraft 2,172 1,947 2,149 2,235 2,324 2,351 2,515

 %Ch -11.8 -10.4 10.4 4.0 4.0 1.2 7.0

 Semichemical 28 0 0 0 0 0 0

 %Ch 7.7 -- -- -- -- -- --

 Mechanical 3,955 3,837 4,167 4,420 4,698 4,656 4,547

 %Ch -3.3 -3.0 8.6 6.1 6.3 -0.9 -2.3

SHIPMENTS

 Total Paper Grade 53,673 52,528 54,346 56,366 58,464 57,235 60,711

 %Ch -0.3 -2.1 3.5 3.7 3.7 -2.1 6.1

 Bl. Softwood Kraft 22,352 21,343 21,915 22,359 23,120 22,405 23,754

 %Ch -1.9 -4.5 2.7 2.0 3.4 -3.1 6.0

 Bl. Hardwood Kraft 24,526 24,259 24,954 26,199 27,183 26,715 28,773

 %Ch 5.7 -1.1 2.9 5.0 3.8 -1.7 7.7

 Sulfite 1,142 1,143 1,162 1,153 1,138 1,107 1,122

 %Ch -13.5 0.1 1.7 -0.8 -1.3 -2.7 1.4

 Unbl. Kraft 1,988 1,947 2,149 2,235 2,324 2,351 2,515

 %Ch -14.3 -2.1 10.4 4.0 4.0 1.2 7.0

 Semichemical 5000000

 %Ch -81.5 -- -- -- -- -- --

 Mechanical 3,660 3,837 4,167 4,420 4,698 4,656 4,547

 %Ch -12.5 4.8 8.6 6.1 6.3 -0.9 -2.3

CAPACITY AND OPERATING RATES

 Total Paper Grade 61,345 60,320 60,985 60,175 61,695 61,890 64,300

 Utilization Rate 0.875 0.871 0.891 0.937 0.948 0.925 0.944

 Bl. Softwood Kraft 24,910 23,772 24,250 23,985 24,610 24,060 24,590

 Utilization Rate 0.897 0.898 0.904 0.932 0.939 0.931 0.966

 Bl. Hardwood Kraft 28,050 28,328 28,595 27,750 28,370 29,015 30,690

 Utilization Rate 0.874 0.856 0.873 0.944 0.958 0.921 0.938

 Sulfite 1,395 1,260 1,260 1,255 1,330 1,330 1,330

 Utilization Rate 0.819 0.907 0.922 0.919 0.856 0.832 0.844

 Unbl. Kraft 2,415 2,415 2,235 2,300 2,400 2,500 2,605

 Utilization Rate 0.823 0.806 0.961 0.972 0.969 0.941 0.965

 Semichemical 5000000

 Utilization Rate 1 -- -- -- -- -- --

 Mechanical 4,570 4,545 4,645 4,885 4,985 4,985 5,085

 Utilization Rate 0.801 0.844 0.897 0.905 0.942 0.934 0.894

WORLD TOTALS