p. 1



# OAR Box 1828

Prepped byOllie Stewart



# Document

Number: 

# 141 ) ll-K-(B)-14 0

Docket Number: 

# A-83-2 7

Printed 11/12/200811:12:53 AM Sheet 141 of 325P. 2



# DE P A-83-27

II-K-CB)-1*4 0

I C F INCORPORATE D Internationa l Square
, 1850 KStreet
, Northwest, Washington , D.C

. 20006 (202) 862-110 0



### Ma y31 , 198 4

MEMORANDU

M

TO : Jud i Greenwald

, EPA

FROM : Crai g D

. Ebert

, ICF ^ * >

SUBJECT : Revise d Industria l Coa l Price s fo r Industria l NSP S Analyse s

Thi s memorandu

mrevise s th e coa l price s t o b e use d i n th e industria l NSP S analyses

. Th e coa l price s originall yprovide d t o EPAwer e develope d in an earlie r memorandu

mfro mKe n Schweer s an

d Crai g Eber t o f IC F t o Jud i Greenwal d

a t EPAentitle d "Industria l Coa l Price s fo r NSP S Analyse s b yFedera l Regions " (Apri l 22
, 1983)

. A s before

, th e price s ar e presente d o n a delivere d basi s fo r industria l consumer s i n eac ho f th e te n Federa l region s fo r th e forecas t
year s o f 1985
, 1990
, 1995
, an d 2000

.
Adjustment s t

o Previou s Price s

Th e coa l price s initiall ysubmitte d t o EPAfo r eac ho f te n Federa l region s wer e an aggregatio n o f mor e detaile d coa l price s forecas t b yICF' s Coa l an d Electri c Utilitie s Mode l (CEUM)

. Th e CEU Mcoa l price s wer e base d o n th e assumption s an

d macroeconomi c specification s develope d fo r the EPAAci d Rai n Bas e Cas e an

d wer e identifie d fo r eac ho f 4 6 deman d region s i n CEUM

. Sinc e th e IFCA

Mmode l being use d b yEPAfo r th e industria l NSP S analyse s coul d

no t utiliz e price s a t thi s leve l o f detail

, a metho d wa s develope d t o aggregat e th e CEU

Mprice s t o th e Federa l regiona l leve l (i.e.

, th e smalles t deman d regio n employe d i n IFCAM)

. Th e exac t procedure s use d t o accomplis h thi s aggregatio n ar e discusse d in-dept hi n ou r Apri l 22
, 198 3 memorandu mcite d earlier

.

Fo r th e revise d coa l price s presente d i n thi s memorandum

, two basi c change s wer e mad e t o th e origina l aggregatio n procedure :

1

. Originally

, th e pric e fo r eac hcoal-typ e i n eac hFedera l regio n wa s determine d b ya weighte d averag e o f th e pric e

an d amoun t o f tha t coal-typ e consume d i n the individua l
CEU Mregio n a s a proportio n o f tota l deman d fo r tha t coal-typ e throughou t th e Federa l region. 1



### - 1 

### Th e

^Th e ter

m"coal-type " refer s t o th e 1 2 representativ e coa l classification s develope d fo r thi s analysi s fro mth e 5 0 differen t coa l categorie s specifie d i n CEUM

. Th e qualit ycharacteristic s o f th e differen t coal s wer e discusse d i n th e Apri l 22
, 198 3 memorandu mcite d above

. Th e 1 2 coa l classification s ar e listed i n Attachment s Aan d B o f thi s memorandum

.P. 3 

# f

-2

-

revise daggregate

dprice s b

y coal-typ e presente d herei n

. ver e calculate

db y weightin

g eac hCEU Mcoa l pric e according t o th e amount o f al l industria l coa l require d b yeac ho f th e individua l CEU Mregion s a s a proportio n

o f th e tota l industria l coa l demand throughou t th e Federa l region

. Tha t is

, th e ne wweighting fo r eac h
CEU Mcoa l pric e i s no t th e amoun t o f deman d fo r a specifi c coal-type

, bu t th e amoun t o f al l industria l deman d (regardles s o f coal-type ) a s a proportio n o f
tota l industria l demand throughou t th e Federa l region

.

2

. Th e origina l coa l price s b yCEU Mregio n use d t o calculat e th e Federa l regiona l price s wer e themselve s a weighte d averag e o f th e lowes t coa l price s fo r eac h coal-typ e i n eac hCEU Mdemand regio n (usuall yth e lowes t four price s wer e use d t o calculat e th e composit e price). i J 

### Fo r th e revise d price s containe d i n thi s memorandum

, thi s earlie r weighting procedur e i s n o longe r used

. Onl yth e lowes t delivere d CEU Mpric e fo r

eac hcoal-typ e i s use d t o calculat e the Federa l regiona l prices

.

Rational e fo

r th e Price Adjustment s

Th e origina l aggregatio n procedur e attempte d t o preserv e some o f the fine r distinction s represente d b yth e delivere d price s an d type s o f coa l demande d i n th e CEU Mregions

. Fo r example

, i n a particula r Federa l region

, th e cos t o f lo

wsulfur subbituminou s coa l woul d approximat e th e delivere d cos t
t o thos e area s i n the regio n likel yt o us e lo wsulfur subbituminou s coals

. Implici t i n thi s approac hi s th e assumptio n tha t consumer s woul d restric t thei r option s t o th e type s o f coa l likel yt o b e consume d an d delivere d a t a reasonabl e cos t (e.g.
, Ohi o facilitie s woul d no t choos e subbituminou s coals

, no r woul d facilitie s i n Colorad o impor t hig hsulfur bituminou s coals)

.

Fromth e initia l IFCA Mdeman d forecast s receive d fro mEPA
, i t appeare d tha t i n mos t case s th e origina l aggregatio n procedur e worke d quit e well

. However
, i n severa l instances

, fue l selection s wer e mad e cha t di d no t appea r reasonable

. Fo r example

, muc ho f th e forecaste d ne wdemand i n Regio n 6 wa s choosing lo

wsulfu r subbituminou s coals

, ye t ou r analysi s woul d sugges t tha t

mos t industria l facilitie s woul d choos e bituminous

, no t subbituminous

, coals

. Thi s differenc e turn s ou t t o b e a problemo f aggregation

. Th e likel y

consumer s o f lo

wsulfur subbituminou s coal s i n Regio n 6 ar e industria l facilitie s i n Ne wMexico

, sinc e thes e coal s ca n b e obtaine d fro mth e nearb

y Sa n Jua n Basin

. However
, mos t o f th e industria l deman d i n Regio n 6 wil l b e du e t o facilitie s in eastern Texa s an d Louisiana

, whic hd o no t hav e a read y

acces s t o lo

wsulfu r subbituminou s coal s an d woul d paya significantl yhighe r delivere d pric e fo r thes e coal s tha n industria l consumer s i n Ne wMexico

.



## T T Fo r a mor e in-dept hdiscussio n o f thi s weighting procedure

, se e "Industria l Coa l Price s Fo r Industria l NSP S Analyses, " memorandu mfro m ICF t o EPA
, Apri l 13
, 1983
, p

. 11

.



# IC F INCORPORATE DP. 4



## -3

-

A s th e previou s exampl e demonstrates

, i t i s impossibl e t o selec t a singl e pric e fo r one typ e o f coa l t o represen t th e cos t fo r al l industria l consumer s i n a Federa l region

. Th e initia l aggregatio n procedur e sough t t o preserv e

some o f th e distinction s withi n th e Federa l region s b yth e wayi n whic hth e price s fo r th e differen t coal-type s wer e aggregated

. However
, becaus e th e decisio n mode l use d b yEPAwa s no t structure d t o distinguis hlikel yconsumer s

o f a particula r coa l typ e fro munlikel yconsumers , some distortions

, wer e create d i n th e us e o f th e aggregate d prices

. T o minimiz e some o f thes e distortions

, anothe r metho d o f aggregating delivere d coa l price s wa s develope d
t o provid e a composit e pric e fo r eac hcoa l typ e i n eac hFedera l region

.

Th e revise d metho d chose n wa s t o weigh t eac hcoa l pric e fro meac hCEU

M regio n b

ytha t CEU

Mregion' s proportio n o f tota l industria l demand withi n the broade r Federa l region

, rathe r than jus t th e deman d fo r th e specifi c coal-typ e (i n bot hcases , th e amoun t o f demand i n th e CEU Mregio n a s a proportio n o f deman d i n th e Federa l regio n i s th e weighting factor)

. Thi s aggregatio n procedur e weight s mos t heavil yth e pric e structur e face d b ythos e CEU

Mregion s wit hth e mos t industria l facilities

. A s a result

, th e composit e price s develope d fo r an entir e Federa l regio n no wplac e mor e weigh t o n th e area s wit h th e highes t concentratio n o f industria l activity

. Thi s approac hmayno t adequatel yrepresen t th e likel ycost s face d b ysome consumer s i n th e Federa l region

, bu t some los s o f detai l i s unavoidabl e whe n aggregating t o thi s level

. Thi s revise d approac hrepresent s a reasonabl e compromis e betwee n th e simplificatio n necessaryt o develop a singl e se t o f price s a t th e Federa l regiona l leve l an

d th e detai l possibl e wit ha mor e disaggregate d analysis

.

Th e secon

d chang e mad e i n the aggregatio n procedur e fro mth e earlie r pric e analysi s wa s t o us e the lowes t delivere d coa l pric e fo r eac hCEU M region

, rathe r than a composit e pric e develope d fro msevera l o*

f th e lowes t price s i n eac hregion

. Originally

, a composit e pric e wa s develope d fo r eac h
CEU Mregio n t o avoi d selecting a singl e lo wpric e tha t represente d atypica l

coa l supplie s i n th e region

. Sinc e th e ne waggregatio n procedur e select s a delivere d pric e fro mal l CEU

Mregion s throughou t th e Federa l regio n t o determin e a composit e price

, ther e i s les s concer n tha t the composit e pric e wil l b e atypical

. Therefore

, th e lowes t delivere d pric e fro meac hCEU

Mregio n

wa s use d t o determin e th e revise d aggregate d Federa l regiona l prices

.

Revise d Industria l Coa l Price s

Attachmen t Alist s th e revise d industria l coa l price s fo r th e NSP S analyses

. I n compariso n t o th e origina l prices

, not e that :

• Th e price s fo r lo wsulfur bituminou s coal s hav e change d ver

ylittl e i n mos t cases

. Thi s i s becaus e th e price s fo r thes e coal s t o mos t region s wer e alread y adequatel yrepresente d i n th e composit e price s initiall y submitte d (i.e.

, mos t CEU Mregion s alread

yconsume d some

o f thes e coals

, s o th e cos t o f coa l t o mos t region s tende d t o b e represente d i n th e origina l composit e price)

.



# IC F INCORPORATE DP. 5

• 4

-



### * The price s fo

r highe r sulfu

r bituminou s coal s hav e increase

dsomewhat , particularl y inth e West
. Thi s

occur s becaus e thos e CEU M regions that di dnot consum e thes e coal s (du

e to thei r higher costs ) wer e not originally

include

dinth e composit e prices

. B y includin

g the m inth e weightin

g procedure , th

e average pric e fo r thes e coal s increases

.

• Fo r simila r reasons , th e price s fo

r subbituminou s coal s hav

e increase

dsignificantly

. Th e origina l price s fo r thes e coal s wer e influence d too muc hb ythos e region s tha t had comparativel yeas yacces s t o thes e coals

. Th e averag e pric e fo r thes e coal s increase s whe n othe r region s ar e include d whic hfac e substantiall y highe r delivere d subbituminou s coa l prices

.

As mentione d before

, ther e i s n o perfec t wayt o selec t a singl e pric e for

a particula r coal-typ e t o represen t th e ful l rang e o f price s facing industria l

consumer s throughou t a Federa l region

. I n Attachmen t Aw e hav e develope d a

se t o f composit e price s tha t reasonabl yreflect s th e cos t option s availabl e t o

mos t consumers

. However
, some los s o f precisio n i s unavoidabl e sinc e price s t o some consumer s wil l eithe r b e overstate d o r understated

.

T o emphasiz e ho wmuc hdetai l might b e lost

, Attachmen t B show s th e rang e



### o f coa l price s tha t wer e use d t o develop the singl e composit e price s i n Attachmen t A

. Fo r thos e coal-type s wit ha substantia l rang e i n prices

, i t i s importan t t o understand tha t some industria l consumer s mayno t mak e th e same investmen t decision s tha t a consume r facing th e price s fro mAttachmen t Awoul d make

. A s a result

, the price s listed i n Attachmen t Ashoul d b e interprete d wit hgrea t caution

. I f certai n analytica l result s ar e bein g strongl ydrive n b ya particula r pric e i n Attachmen t A
, w e sugges t tha t state-specifi c price s b e use d t o provid e perspectiv e o n th e complianc e strategie s mos t likel yt o b e pursue d b

yindustria l facilities

.

0888 C



# IC F INCORPORATE DP. 6



### Attachmen t A

Composit e Delivere d Coa l Price s B y Coa l Typ e Fo rTh e Te n Federa l Region s



# IC F INCORPORATE DP. 7

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# IC F INCORPORATE DREGION INDUSTRIA L COAL PRICE S FO

RNSP S ANALYSE S ( JANUARY198 3 S/MMBTU)

COAL TYP E 198 5 199 0 199 5 200 0

X BITUMINOU S 10 W SULFUR BITUMINOU S LOW-MIL ) IU M SULFU R BITUMINOU S MEDIU

M SUIFU R BIIUMINOU S IIICII-MEDIU M SUIFUR BIIUMINOU S HIGHSULFUR BITUMINOU S VERYHIG HSULFU R SUBB I IUM

I NOU S LO

W SUIFUR SUBBITUMINOU S LOW-MEDIU M SULFU R SUBBIIUM I NOU S MEDIUM SUIIU R SUBBITUMINOU S HIGH-MEDIU M SULFU R SUBBIIUMINOU S HIG HSULFUR SUBBITUMINOU S VERYHIGHSULFU R

BlTUM I NOU S LO

W SU I FU R BIIUMINOU S LOW-MEDIU M SULFUR BITUMINOU S MEDIU

M SULFUR BIIUMINOU S HIGH-MEDIU M SULFUR BIIUMINOU S HIG HSULFUR BIIUMINOU S VERYHIG HSULFU R SUBBIIUMINOU S LO

W SULFUR SUBBIIUM I NOU S LOW-MEDIU M SULFU R SUBBIIUMINOU S MEOIU M SUIFU R SUBBITUMINOU S HIGH-MEDIUM SULFU R SUBBITUMINOU S HIG HSULFUR SUBBITUMINOU S VERYHIC HSULFU R

BIIUMINOU S LO

W SULFUR BIIUMINOU S LOW-MEDIU M SULFU R BITUMINOU S MEDIU

M SUIFU R BIIUMINOU S HIGH-MEDIU M SULFU R BITUMINOU S HIC HSULFUR BIIUMINOU S VERYHIGHSULFU R SUBBITUMINOU S LO

W SULFUR SUBBITUMINOU S LOW-MEDIU M SULFU R SUBBITUMINOU S MEDIUM SULFUR SUBBITUMINOU S HIGH-MEDIUM SULFU R SUBBIIUMINOU S HIGHSULFU R SUBBITUMINOU S VERYHIGHSULFU R 2.7 0 2.5 1 2.4 9 2

. -i' l 2.H 8 2.3 6 999.(1 0 999.UO 999.U O 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

2.9 5 2.7 3 2.7 1 2.5 7 2.3 4 2.2 2 3.2 U 3.2 0 3

. 1 8 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

2.8 9 2.7 9 2.7 9 2.8 9 2.8 1 2.7 2 3.2 6 3

. 1* * 3.0 9 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3

. 1 2 2.8 7 2.8 6 2.7 8 2.7 1 2.5 2 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.2 3 3

. (1 9 3.0 2 2.8 6 2.6 0 2.4 3 3.3 1 3.2 7 3.2 4 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.2 3 3

. 1 0 3

. 1 0 3

. 1 0 3.0 0 2.8 8 3.4 0 3.3 1 3.2 5 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3.2 8 3

. 1 0 3.0 8 2.9 7 2.8 5 2.6 6 999.O O 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.3 8 3.2 6 3

. 1 3 2.9 8 2.7 3 2.5 1 3.3 7 3.3 2 3.3 1 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.1 3 3.3 1 3.3 0 3.2 4 3.1 5 2.9 8 3.5 1 3.3 9 3.3 4 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3.4 1 3.2 6 3.2 2 3.1 3 2.9 7 2.8 3 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.4 9 3.4 2 3.2 3 3.0 9 2.8 4 2.6 7 3.4 3 3.3 7 3.3 2 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.6 1 3.4 7 3.4 0 3.3 8 3.2 3 3

. 1 0 3.6 2 3.5 2 3.4 4 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0



# o

o o 3 0

" O 

## oREGIO N COAL TYP E INDUSTRIAL COAL PRICE S FO RNSP S ANALYSE S ( JANUARY198 3 S/MMBT U)

198 5 199 0 199 5 200 0



# o

• n

z o o 3 D

- O 

## o 

# 2 BITUMINOU S LO W SULFU R BITUMINOU S LOW-MEDIU M SUIIUR BITUMINOU S MEDIU

M SUIFU R BITUMINOU S HIGH-MEDIU M SULFU R BITUMINOU S HIG HSULFUR BIIUMINOU S VER YHIGHSULFU R SUBBIIUMINOU S LO

W SULFU R SUBBITUMINOU S LOW-MEDIU M SULFU R SUBBIIUMINOU S MEDIU M SUIIU R SUBBITUMINOU S HIGH-MEDIU M SULFU R SUBBITUMINOU S HIGHSUIFU R SUBBITUMINOU S VERYHIGHSULFUR

BlLUMINOU S LO

W SULFU R BIIUMINOU S LOW-MEDIU M SULFU R BITUMINOU S MEDIU

M SULFU R BIIUMINOU S HIGH-MEOIU M SULFUR BITUMINOU S HIG HSULFU R BIIUMINOU S VERYHIC HSULFUR SUBBIIUMINOU S LO

W SULFU R SUBBIIUMINOU S LOW-MEDIU M SULFU R SUBBITUMINOU S MEDIU M SULIU R SUBBITUMINOU S HIGH-MEDIU M SULFU R SUBBITUMINOU S HIG HSULFU R SUBBITUMINOU S VERYHIC HSULFU R

BIIUMINOU S BlIUMINOU S BlIUMINOU S BITUMINOU S BITUMINOU S BIIUMINOU S SUBBITUM I NOU S SUBBIIUMINOU S SUBBIIUM I NOU S SUBBITUMINOU S SUBBITUMINOU S SUBBITUMINOU S

LO W SULFU R LOW-MEDIU

M SULFU R MEDIU M SULFU R HIGH-MEDIUM

SULFUR HIC HSULFU

R VERYHIGHSULFU

R LO W SULFUR LOW-MEDIU

M SULFU R MEDIU M SULFU R HIGH-MEDIU

M SULFU R HIGHSULFU

R VERYHIGHSULFU

R 2.8 5 2.8 1 2.8 2 2.5 9 2.4 8 2.2 8 2.6 3 2.5 7 2.6 7 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

1.7 9 1.6 3 1.7 3 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 1.2 4 1.1 9 1.2 1 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

2.5 8 2.4 3 2.4 4 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 2.6 6 2.5 6 2.5 2 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3.0 6 2.9 9 2.9 8 2.8 2 2.5 6 2.3 9 2.6 6 2.6 2 2.6 6 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

1.9 3 1.7 7 1.8 4 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 1.3 4 1.3 4 1.2 3 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

2.7 3 2.6 8 2.6 8 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 2.7 5 2.6 5 2.6 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3

. 1 9 3.1 3 3.0 6 2.9 7 2.6 2 2.4 8 2.7 5 2.7 0 2.7 2 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

2.0 1 1.9 3 1.9 1 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 1.4 3 1.4 4 1.3 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

2.7 9 2.9 4 2.8 5 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 2.8 7 2.7 6 2.6 4 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3.2 7 3.2 0 3.1 0 3

. 1 2 2.6 7 2.6 1 2.8 2 2.7 6 2.7 1 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

2

. 1 0 2.0 4 1.8 9 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 1.5 4 1.4 7 1.3 5 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

2.9 5 3.1 0 2.9 6 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 2.9 6 2.8 8 2.7 3 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0REGION COAL TYP E INDUSIRIAL COAL PRICE S FO RNSP S ANALYSE S ( JANUARY198 3 S/MMBTU)

198 5 199 0 199 5 200 0



### 1 0 BlIUMINOU S IO W SULFUR BIIUMINOU S LOW-MEDIU M SULFUR BIIUMINOU S MEDIU

M SU I FU R BITUMINOU S HIGH-MEDIU M SUIFU R BlIUMINOU S HIGHSULFUR BIIUMINOU S VERYHIG HSU I I U K SUBBIIUMINOU S LO

W SUIfUK SUBBIIUMINOU S LOW-M I DIU M SUIFU R SUBBIIUMINOU S MEDIU M SU I I U K SUBB I IUMINOU S IIIGII-M I 1) 1 U M SUI.IU R SUBBITUMINOU S HIC HSULFU R SUBBIIUMINOU S VERYHIG HSULFUR 2.9 6 2.6 7 2.6 3 999.0 0 999.UO 999.UO 2.4 2 2.4 4 1.9 6 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3

. 1 1 2.8 4 2.7 6 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 2.6 3 2.5 2 2.0 2 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3

. 1 8 3.0 4 2.8 7 999.0 0 999.O O 999.0 0 2.6 6 2.6 3 2.1 1 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3.3 2 3.2 3 2.9 2 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 2.7 5 2.7 1 

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Rang e o fDelivere d Coa l Price s Withi n Eac h Federa l Regio n Use d i n Developin g Composit e Price s



# IC F INCORPORATE DREGION RANC E O F INDUSTRIAL COAL PRICE S FO RNSP S ANALYSE S ( JANUARY198 3 S/MMBTU)

COAL TYP E 198 5 199 0 199 5 200 0



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LO W SULTU R 10W-MEDIU

M SU I FU R MEDIUM SULFUR HIGH-MIDIU

M SULFU R HIGHSULFUR VER YHIC HSULFUR LO W SULFU R LOW-MEDIU

M SULFU R MEDIU M SUI. I U R HIGH-MEDIU

M SULFU R HIGHSULFU

R VERYHIG HSULFUR

BIIUMINOU S BlIUMINOU S BIIUMINOU S BlIUMINOU S BlIUMINOU S BlIUMINOU S SUBBITUMINOU S SUBBIIUMINOU S SUBBITUMINOU S SUBBIIUMINOU S SUBBITUMINOU S

LO W SULFU R LOW-MEDIU

M SULFU R MEDIUM SULFUR HIGH-MEDIU

M SULFUR HIG HSULFUR VERYHIG HSULFUR LO W SULFUR LOW-MEDIU

M SULFU R MEDIU M SULIUR HIGH-MEDIU

M SULFU R HIGHSULFUR SUBBITUMINOU S VERYHIG HSULFUR

BITUMINOU S LO

W SULFU R BIIUMINOU S LOW-MEDIOM SULFU R BITUMINOU S MEDIU

M SULFU R BITUMINOU S HIGH-MEDIU M SULFU R' BIIUMINOU S HIC HSULFUR BIIUMINOU S VERYHIG HSULFU R SUBBITUMINOU S LO

W SULFU R SUBBITUMINOU S IOW-MEDIU M SULFU R SUBBITUMINOU S MEDIU M SUIFU R SUBBIIUMINOU S HIGH-MEDIU M SULFU R SUBBITUMINOU S HIG HSULFUR SUBBITUMINOU S VER YHIG HSULFUR 3 3 3 2 2 2 99 9 99 9 99 9 99 9 99 9 99 9

3 2 2 2 2 2 99 9 99 9 99 9 99 9 99 9 99 9

2 2 2 2 1

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3.3 1 3.1 6 2.9 8 2.8 6 2.4 3 2.4 9 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

2.9 6 2.8 0 2.7 5 2.8 1 2.4 6 2.4 8 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3.6 0

3.5 4 3.4 2 3.2 2 2.8 4 3.0 1 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.O U 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.3 1 3.2 3 3.1 6 2.9 7 2.5 8 2.6 9 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

2.5 6 2.4 8 2.4 8 2.4 3 2.0 6 2.0 1 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3

3 3 3 3 3 99 9 99 9 99 9 99 9 99 9 99 9

3 3 3 3 2 2 99 9 99 9 99 9 99 9 99 9 99 9

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. .7 2 .6 7 6 6 .4 8

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5 4 4 6 2 6 1 3 7 5 7 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

1 9 1 0 1 0 1 6 7 8 7 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.7 3 3

. 7 0 3.5 8 3.3 4 3.1 2 3

. 1 6 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.4 1 3.3 8 3.2 9 3.0 8 2.8 7 2.8 9 999.0 0 999.C O 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

2.6 7 2.6 4 2.6 0 2.5 4 2.2 2 2.2 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3.8 5

3.8 2 3.7 9 3.5 9 3.3 8 3.3 9 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.O O 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.6 4 3.6 1 3.3 5 3.2 5 3.0 3 2.9 7 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.3 5 3.2 6 3.2 2 3.2 8 2.9 7 2.9 6 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3.8 5

3.8 3 3.7 0 3.4 4 3.3 6 3.4 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.5 4 3.5 4 3.4 3 3.1 9 3.1 1 3.0 7 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

2.7 9 2.7 9 2.7 1 2.6 5 2.4 5 2.3 9 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3.9 8

3.9 8 3.9 0 3.7 0 3.6 2 3.6 3 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.7 7 3.7 0 3.4 9 3.3 5 3.1 9 3.1 3 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.4 5 3.4 1 3.3 3 3.3 8 3.1 8 3.1 3 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0REGION RANG E O F INDUSTRIAL COAL PRICE S FO RNSP S ANALYSE S ( JANUARY198 3 S/MMBTU)

COAL IYP E 198 5 199 0 199 5 200 0



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M SULIU K NOU S HIGH-MEDIU

M SUIFUR NOU S HIGHSULFU

R NOU S VERYHIC HSULFUR UMINOU S LO

W SU I IU R OMINOU S LOW-MEDIU M SUITUR UMINOU S MTDIU

M SU I I U K UMINOU S HIGH-M I DIU M SUI.TU R UMINOU S HIGHSULIU R UMINOU S VERYHIC HSULFUR

BIIUMINOU S LO

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M SULFU R BITUMINOU S HIGH-MEDIUM SULFUR BIIUMINOU S HIGHSULTU R BITUMINOU S VERYHIC HSUIFUR SUBBITUMINOU S LO

W SULFU R SUBBIIUM I NOU S LOW-MEDIU M SUIFUR SUBBIIUM I NOU S MEDIU M SULIU R SUBBITUMINOU S HIGH-MEDIU M SUITUR SUBBITUMINOU S HIG HSULFU R SUBBITUMINOU S VER YHIGHSULFUR

Bl IUMINOU S LO

W SUI I U K BITUMINOU S LOW-MEDIU M SULFU R BITUMINOU S MEDIU

M SUIFU R BIIUMINOU S HIGH-MEDIU M SULFUR BIIUMINOU S HIGHSUITU R BIIUMINOU S VERYHIGHSUIFUR SUBBIIUMINOU S LO

W SULFU R SUBBIIUMINOU S LOW-MEDIU M SULFUR SUBBITUMINOU S MEDIU M SUIFU R SUBBITUMINOU S HIGH-MEDIU M SULFUR SUBBITUMINOU S HIGHSULTU R SUBBITUMINOU S VERYHIC HSULFUR 2.2 8 2.0 5 2.0 2 2.0 5 2.0 7 1.8 3 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

2.7 7 2.5 5 2.5 2 2.3 3 1.9 7 1.9 8 2.3 9 2.3 9 2.3 9 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

1.5 2 1.0 3 1.0 3 2.3 0 2.2 2 2.1 8 1.3 1 1.1 5 1.1 1 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3.3 2

3.2 1 3

. 1 5 3

. 1 7 3.0 9 2.8 4 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0( 1 999.0 0

3

. 1 8 3.0 5 3.1 0 3.0 1 2.6 3 2.6 3 3.6 3 3.6 3 3.6 3 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.1 3 2.9 9 2.9 9 3.5 6 3.4 7 3.4 3 3.7 0 3.6 4 3.6 1 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 2.5 5

2.4 1 2.4 0 2.4 0 2.2 0 1.9 6 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.O U 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.0 5 2.9 1 2.8 4 2.6 1 2

. 1 7 2

. 1 8 2.6 0 2.4 8 2.3 8 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

1.5 7 1.3 0 1.3 0 2.5 3 2.4 4 2.4 0 1.3 9 1.2 7 1

. 1 9 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3.6 5

3.4 8 3.4 8 3.4 1 3.2 1 2.9 7 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.4 0 3.2 7 3.2 1 3.3 1 2.9 3 2.9 0 3.6 7 3.6 7 3.6 7 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.4 8 3.2 6 3.2 6 3.7 9 3.7 0 3.6 5 3.7 4 3.7 0 3.6 9 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 2.7 0

2.5 9 2.5 8 2.5 4 2.3 4 2.0 9 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3

. 1 9 3.0 8 2.9 4 2.6 5 2.3 4 2.2 9 2.6 1 2.5 7 2.5 2 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

1.7 2 1.6 1 1.5 2 2.6 8 2.6 5 2.5 5 1.4 8 1.3 0 1.2 6 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3.8 0

3.7 7 3.7 5 3.5 6 3.3 5 3

. 1 1 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.5 6 3.4 4 3.3 1 3.4 3 3.0 9 3.0 7 3.7 7 3.7 2 3.7 2 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.6 8 3.4 5 3.4 8 3.9 4 3.9 2 3.8 7 3.8 4 3.7 9 3.7 6 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 2.8 1

2.7 4 2.7 3 2.7 0 2.4 2 2.2 6 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.3 0 3.2 4 3.0 0 2.7 4 2.4 6 2.4 1 2.6 9 2.6 4 2.6 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

1.8 4 1.7 6 1.6 8 2.8 2 2.7 4 2.7 1 1.5 7 1.4 4 1.3 6 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3.9 5

3.9 2 3.9 1 3.7 1 3.4 3 3.2 8 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.6 6 3.6 0 3.3 6 3.5 3 3.1 7 3.1 7 3.8 5 3.7 8 3.7 3 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.8 5 3.6 0 3.5 8 4.0 7 4.0 0 3.9 6 3.9 2 3.8 5 3.8 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0REGIO N RANG E O F INDUSTRIA

L COAL PRICE S FO

RNSP S ANALYSE S ( JANUARY198 3 S/MMBTU)

COAL 1YP E 198 5 199 0 199 5 200 0



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BITUMINOU S LO W

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1

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1.5 2 1.9 5 1.9 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 2.2 9 2.1 4 2.0 9 999.OU 999.0 0 999.0 0 2.9 4

2.9 0 2.8 9 2.8 5 2.7 4 2.5 2 2.8 3 2.7 7 2.9 3 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.3 6 3.2 2 3.2 8 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 1.8 4 1.8 5 1.8 3 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.0 0 2.7 2 2.7 4 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 2.7 6 2.7 1 2.6 8 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 2.7 7

2.7 4 2.8 6 2.5 5 2.3 5 2

. 1 1 2.4 7 2.4 4 2.4 8 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

1.2 7 1.2 4 1.4 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 0.9 5 0.9 2 0.9 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

1.5 6 2.2 2 2.2 2 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 2.3 8 2.2 6 2

. 1 8 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3.2 4

3

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3.5 6 3.3 9 3.3 9 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 1.9 3 1.8 5 1.8 3 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.1 3 2.8 5 2.8 5 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 2.8 4 2.7 2 2.6 8 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 2.9 1

2.8 4 2.9 6 2.6 9 2.4 9 2.2 4 2.5 7 2.5 2 2.5 3 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

1.3 5 1.3 3 1.5 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 1.0 6 1.0 1 1.0 2 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

1.5 6 2.3 6 2.3 2 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 2.4 7 2.2 9 2.2 4 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3.3 8

3.3 3 3.1 5 3.2 2 2.8 2 2.7 1 2.9 6 2.9 1 2.9 3 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.7 0 3.5 8 3.4 9 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 2.0 7 2.0 7 1.8 5 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3

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2.9 3 3.0 1 2.8 5 2.5 7 2.4 1 2.6 5 2.5 9 2.5 3 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

1.3 6 1.3 4 1.3 4 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 1.1 4 1.0 7 1.0 2 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

1.7 3 2.5 0 2.4 4 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 2.5 6 2.4 3 2.3 5 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3.4 9

3.4 2 3.2 0 3.3 6 2.8 2 2.8 1 3.0 4 2.9 8 2.9 3 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.7 8 3.7 2 3.5 3 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 2.1 5 2.1 5 1.9 3 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0

3.3 1 3.2 3 3.0 5 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3.0 3 3.0 0 2.8 1 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0RANG E O F INDUSTRIAL COAL PRICE S FO RNSP S ANALYSE S ( JANUARY198 3 S/HMBTU)

REGIO N COA

L TYP E 198 5 199 0 199 5 200 0

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2.4 6 2.3 7 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 2.2 8 2.2 8 2.0 5 999.0 0 999.0 0 999.0 0 3.2 8

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