1 |EnergyEfficiencyandRenewableEnergyeere.energy.govEnergyConservationStandardsFrameworkDocument forFluorescentLampBallastsJuly17,2015LucydeButtsDepartmentofEnergyBuildingTechnologiesOfficeEERE‐2015‐BT‐STD‐0006FluorLampBallast2015STD0006@ee.doe.gov2Welcome•Introductions(aroundtheroom)•RoleoftheFacilitator•GroundRules–Speakoneatatime.–Sayyournamefortherecord—therewillbeacompletetranscriptofthismeeting.–Beconcise—sharethe“air‐time.”–Keepthefocushere—cellphonesonsilent;limitsidebarconversations.–Webinarparticipantsturnphoneonmute;“raiseyourhand”toberecognizedtospeak.•HousekeepingItems•AgendaReview•OpeningRemarks3Agenda9:00– 9:30AM Welcome,Introductions,Opening Statements9:30– 10:00AM Overview,ScopeofCoverage10:00– 10:30AM MarketandTechnologyAssessment,ScreeningAnalysis10:30– 10:45AM Break10:45– 11:30AM EngineeringAnalysis11:30– 12:00PM EnergyUse,Markups,Life‐CycleCostAnalysis12:00– 12:45PM Lunch12:45– 1:15PM Shipments,NationalImpactAnalysis1:15– 1:30PM NOPRAnalyses1:30– 1:45PM Questions,ClosingRemarks4ListeningViatheWebcast•DOEisbroadcastingthismeetingliveovertheInternet.•DOEisprovidingthewebcasttoaccommodatestakeholdersthatareunabletoattendthepublicmeetinginperson.•Thewebbroadcastallowsinterestedpartiestolisteninandviewtheslides.•Allstakeholdersareencouragedtosubmitwrittencommentsafterthepublicmeeting.5PurposeofthePublicMeeting•Presenttheproceduralandanalyticalapproachestoevaluateenergyconservationstandardsforfluorescentlampballasts.•Invitecommentontheenergyconservationstandardsframeworkdocument.•Discussnextstepsintherulemaking.•Inviteparticipantstoprovidesummarycommentsorstatementsandraiseadditionalissuesfordiscussion.6IssuesforDiscussionIssueboxnumberingcorrespondstothelistofissuespublishedattheendoftheFrameworkdocument,availableat:http://www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/appliance_standards/rulemaking.aspx?ruleid=110IssueBox:DOEwelcomescomments,data,andinformationconcerningstandardsforfluorescentlampballasts.IssuesthatcorrespondtothoseraisedinDOE’spublishedmaterialwillbenumberedinaccordancewiththatmaterial.Whetherinvitedbyanissueboxornot,commentsarewelcomeonanypartofDOE’sanalysis.7Inallcorrespondence,pleaserefertotheFluorescentLampBallastsrulemakingby:– FrameworkDocumentforFluorescentLampBallasts– DocketNumberEERE‐2015‐BT‐STD‐0006– RegulationIdentificationNumber(RIN)1904‐AD51Email:FluorLampBallasts2015STD0006@ee.doe.govWeb:www.regulations.govPostal:Courier:Ms.BrendaEdwardsMs.BrendaEdwardsU.S.DepartmentofEnergyU.S.DepartmentofEnergyBuildingTechnologiesProgram,BuildingTechnologiesProgramMailstopEE‐5B950L’EnfantPlazaSW,Suite6001000IndependenceAvenue,SWWashington,DC20024Washington,DC20585‐0121Tel:202586‐2945CommentperiodclosesAugust7,2015HowtoSubmitWrittenComments8OpeningRemarksMeetingparticipantsareinvitedtoprovideopeningremarksorstatementsatthistime.9PresentationOverview1Overview; Scope of Coverage2Market and Technology; Screening Analysis3Engineering Analysis4Energy Use; Markups Analysis5Life-Cycle Cost Analysis; Payback Period Analysis6Shipments; National Impact AnalysisNOPR Analyses710Overview:RegulatoryHistory•AmendmentstotheEnergyPolicyandConservationActof1975(EPCA)directedDOEtoconducttworulemakingcyclestoevaluatestandardsforfluorescentlampballasts.–FinalrulepublishedSeptember19,2000(“2000ballastrule”).65FR56740.–FinalrulepublishedNovember14,2011(“2011ballastrule”).76FR70548.•TheEnergyIndependenceandSecurityActof2007(EISA)directsDOEtoreviewallofitsstandards.Within6yearsofthepublicationofthepreviousfinalrule,DOEmusteither:–Publishanoticeofdeterminationthatstandardsdonotneedtobeamended,or–Publishanoticeofproposedrulemakingincludingnewproposedstandards.11Overview:BallastRulemakingScheduleMilestone DateNoticeofPublicMeetingandAvailabilityofFrameworkDocument June2015NoticeofPublicMeetingandAvailabilityofPreliminaryTechnicalSupportDocument(projected)September2016NoticeofProposedRulemaking(projected)October2017FinalRule(projected)October2019201520182016 20172019202012Overview:EPCAFactors42U.S.C.6295(o)(2)(B)(i)directsDOEtoconsidersevenfactorswhensettingenergyconservationstandards.EPCAFactors DOEAnalysis1.EconomicimpactonconsumersandmanufacturersLife‐CycleCostAnalysisManufacturerImpactAnalysis2.LifetimeoperatingcostsavingscomparedtoincreasedcostfortheproductLife‐CycleCostAnalysis3.Totalprojectedenergysavings NationalImpactAnalysis4.ImpactonutilityorperformanceEngineeringAnalysisScreeningAnalysis5.Impactofanylesseningofcompetition ManufacturerImpactAnalysis6.Needfornationalenergyconservation NationalImpactAnalysis7.OtherfactorstheSecretaryconsidersrelevantEmissionsAnalysisUtilityImpactAnalysisEmploymentImpactAnalysis13Overview:StandbyModeandOffModeStandbymodeisdefinedastheconditioninwhichanenergy‐usingpieceofequipmentisconnectedtoamainpowersourceandoffersoneormoreofthefollowinguser‐orientedorprotectivefunctions:facilitatingtheactivationordeactivationofotherfunctions(includingactivemode)byremoteswitch(includingremotecontrol),internalsensor,ortimer;orprovidingcontinuousfunctions,includinginformationorstatusdisplays(includingclocks)orsensor‐basedfunctions.•EPCArequiresDOEtoincludestandardsforstandbymodeandoffmodeenergyconsumption,ifrelevant.(42U.S.C.6295(gg)(3))•Someballastsoperateinstandbymode,butnoneoperateinoffmode.Offmodeisdefinedastheconditioninwhichanenergy‐usingpieceofequipmentisconnectedtoamainpowersource,andisnotprovidinganystandbyoractivemodefunction.14IssuesforCommentIssue2‐2:StandbyModeDOEwelcomescommentonwhichballastsarecapableofoperatinginstandbymodeandanyotherinformationrelatingtostandbymodeenergyuse.15Overview:Metric•Currentenergyconservationstandardsforfluorescentlampballastsareapplicabletoactivemodeenergyuseandarebasedonballastluminousefficiency(BLE).•DOEplanstocontinueusingtheBLEmetricinthisenergyconservationstandardrulemakingtoregulateactivemodeenergyuse.•DOEplanstoconsideranintegratedmetrictoregulateballaststhatcanoperateinstandbymode.Issue2‐3:MetricDOEwelcomescommentonthemetricsusedforestablishingenergyconservationstandardsforactivemodeandstandbymodeenergyuse.Issue2‐1:TestProcedureDOEwelcomescommentonthecurrenttestprocedureandwhetherornotamendmentsareneeded.16ScopeofCoverageFluorescentlampballastmeansadevicewhichisusedtostartandoperatefluorescentlampsbyprovidingastartingvoltageandcurrentandlimitingthecurrentduringnormaloperation.10CFR430.2•Thescopeofcoverageincludesanydevicethatmeetsthedefinitionoffluorescentlampballast.Fluorescentlampmeansalowpressuremercuryelectric‐dischargesourceinwhichafluorescingcoatingtransformssomeoftheultravioletenergygeneratedbythemercurydischargeintolight,includingonlythefollowing:1. Straight‐shaped4‐footmediumbipin lampswithratedwattageof25ormore,2. 2‐footU‐shapedlampswithratedwattageof25ormore,3. Rapidstart8‐foothighoutputlampswithrecesseddoublecontactbases,4. Instantstart8‐footslimline lampswithsinglepinbasesandratedwattageof49ormore,5. Straight‐shaped4‐footminiaturebipin standardoutputlampswithratedwattageof25ormore,and6. Straight‐shaped4‐footminiaturebipin highoutputlampswithratedwattageof44ormore.10CFR430.217Scope:CurrentStandards•Ballastscurrentlyrequiredtocomplywithstandards includethose:–Thatoperateatorbetween120volts(V)and277Vwithaninputfrequencyof60hertzand–Thatoperatelampsthatmeetthedefinitionoffluorescentlamp.•Ballastscurrentlyexemptfromstandardsinclude:–Ballaststhatdimto50percentorlessofthemaximumoutput(exceptballaststhatoperateoneortwoF34T12lamps,twoF96T12ESlamps,ortwoF96T12HOESlamps),–Low‐frequencyballastsdesignedtooperateT8lampsinEMI‐sensitiveenvironmentsandshippedinpackagescontaining10orfewerballasts,and–Verylowballastfactorprogrammedstart(PS)ballaststhatoperateT8MBPlampsthatdeliverlessthan140milliamperes toeachlamp.18Scope:AdditionalBallastsunderConsideration•DOEconsidersstandardsforballaststhatwouldresultinsignificantconservationofenergyandalsoaretechnologicallyfeasibleandeconomicallyjustified.(42U.S.C.6295(n)(2))•DOEplanstoconsider analyzingstandardsforthefollowingballasts:–Dimmingballasts,–LowBF4‐footMBPT8PSballastswithanaveragecurrentlessthan140milliamperes,and–Ballastsoperatingat480V.•DOEdoesnotplantoconsider standardsformagneticballaststhatoperateT8lampsinEMI‐sensitiveenvironments.19Scope:DimmingBallasts•DOEfindstheincreasedsalesofdimmingballastswarrantsananalysisofthetechnologicalfeasibility,economicjustification,andpotentialforsignificantenergysavingsofenergyconservationstandardsfordimmingballasts.•Therecentgeneralservicefluorescentlamp(GSFL)andincandescentreflectorlampenergyconservationstandardsrulemakingdeterminedthatabout8percentofGSFLsarenowoperatedbydimmingballasts.80FR4042(Jan.26,2015).Issue3‐1:DimmingBallastsDOEwelcomescommentonthefeasibilityandjustificationforsettingstandardsforadditionaldimmingfluorescentlampballasts.Inparticular,DOErequestsmarketandshipmentinformationaswellasinformationregardingthepotentialforefficiencyimprovementsandenergysavings.20Scope:LowBF4‐FootMBPT8PSBallasts•DOEplanstoreevaluatethejustificationforexcludingfromstandards4‐footT8MBPPSfluorescentlampballastswithanoutputlessthan140mAperlamp.•SomelowBFPSballastsoperateatcurrentsbelowminimumANSIC78.81‐2010levels,requiringcathodeheatingtomaintainlamplife.•NoneofthePSballaststestedwithanaveragecurrentoflessthan140mAwereabletomeetthemaxtechELsanalyzedinthePSproductclassforthe2011ballastrule.•Inthe2011ballastrule,DOEexemptedtheselowBFPSballastsfromstandards.Issue3‐2:LowBF4‐footMBPT8PSBallastExemptionDOEwelcomescommentonthecurrentexclusionfromstandardsforT8MBPPSfluorescentlampballastswithanoutputlessthan140 mAperlampandwelcomesanyrelevantshipmentinformationfortheseproducts.21Scope:BallastsOperatingat480Volts•DOEmayevaluateenergyconservationstandardsforballaststhatoperateat480Vinthisrulemaking.•480Vballastsareusedintheindustrialsector.•4‐footMBPT8and4‐footSOandHOT5lampsareoperatedby480Vballasts.Issue3‐3:480VoltBallastsDOEwelcomescommentonwhetherstandardsforfluorescentlampballaststhatoperateatinputvoltagesotherthanatorbetween120and277Vwouldsavesignificantenergyandbetechnologicallyfeasibleandeconomicallyjustified.Inparticular,DOErequestsmarketandshipmentinformationaswellasinformationregardingthepotentialforefficiencyimprovementsandenergysavings.22Scope:T8MagneticBallastsforEMI‐sensitiveLocations•Inthe2011ballastrule,DOEexemptedT8magneticballastsdesigned,labeled,andmarketedforuseinEMI‐sensitivelocationsandshippedbythemanufacturerinpackagescontaining10orfewerballasts.•Insomeenvironments,EMIcouldposeaserioussafetyconcernthatisbestmitigatedwithmagneticballasttechnology.•BecausetheseEMI‐relatedsafetyconcernsstillexist,DOEplanstocontinueexcludingthesemagneticT8fluorescentlampballastsfromconsiderationforstandardsinthisrulemaking.Issue3‐5:BallastsforEMI‐sensitiveenvironmentsDOEwelcomescomment,includingshipmentinformation,ontheplantonotamendthecurrentexclusionfromstandardsforlowfrequencyT8fluorescentlampballastsforEMI‐sensitiveenvironments.23IssuesforCommentIssue3‐4:AdditionalBallastsforConsiderationforStandardsDOEwelcomescommentonanyadditionalfluorescentlampballaststhatshouldbeconsideredforstandards.Inparticular,DOErequestsmarketandshipmentinformationaswellasinformationregardingthepotentialforefficiencyimprovementsandenergysavings.24PresentationOverview1Overview; Scope of Coverage2Market and Technology; Screening Analysis3Engineering Analysis4Energy Use; Markups Analysis5Life-Cycle Cost Analysis; Payback Period Analysis6Shipments; National Impact AnalysisNOPR Analyses725ProductClasses•DOEdividescoveredproductsintoclassesby–Thetypeofenergyused,–Capacityoftheproduct,or–Otherperformance‐relatedfeaturesthatjustifydifferentstandardlevels,suchasfeaturesaffectingconsumerutility.•DOEestablishesseparateenergyconservationstandardsforeachproductclass.26CurrentProductClassesProductClass LampsOperatedISandRSballasts(notclassifiedasresidential)4‐footMBPlamps2‐footU‐shapedlamps8‐footslimline lampsPSballasts(notclassifiedasresidential)4‐footMBPlamps2‐footU‐shapedlamps4‐footMiniBP SOlamps4‐footMiniBP HOlampsISandRSballasts(notclassifiedassignballasts) 8‐footHOlampsPSballasts(notclassifiedassignballasts) 8‐footHOlampsSignballasts 8‐footHOlampsISandRSresidentialballasts4‐footMBPlamps2‐footU‐shapedlamps8‐footslimline lampsPSresidentialballasts4‐footMBPlamps2‐footU‐shapedlamps27ProductClasses•AdditionalproductclassesmaybeneededifDOEconsidersstandardsforadditionalcategoriesofballasts.•DOEmayusethefollowingfactorstoestablishanynewclasses:–Residentialversuscommercial,–Lamptypeoperatedbytheballast,–Methodofdimming,or–Standardizedcontrolinterfacessuchasdigitallyaddressablelightinginterface(DALI).28IssuesforCommentIssue4‐2:ProductClassDivisionsDOEwelcomescommentontheproductclassdivisionsitisconsideringforfluorescentlampballasts.Inparticular,DOEwelcomescommentonappropriateclass‐settingfactorsfordimmingballasts,lowballastfactorPSballasts,and480Vfluorescentlampballasts.Issue4‐3:OtherClass‐SettingFactorsDOEwelcomescommentonanyotherclass‐settingfactorsthatshouldbeconsideredintheanalysis.Issue4‐1:MarketAssessmentDOEwelcomesinformationonshipments,product‐featureandefficiencytrends,distributionchannels,andestimatesofmarketsharesforballastsconsideredinthisrulemaking.Forthedatatobeusedtoconductenergysavingscalculations,pleaseprovideappropriategroupings(e.g.,byexistingproductclass,technology,and/orotherrelevantperformancecharacteristics).29TechnologyOptionsTechnologyOption DescriptionImprovedCircuitDesignCathodeCutoutRemovefilamentheatingafterlamphasstarted.IntegratedCircuitsSubstitutediscretecomponentswithanintegratedcircuit.ImprovedComponentsTransformers&InductorsUseoptimized‐gaugecopperorincreasetheconductorcrosssection.Usemultiplesmallercoilsinsteadofonelargercoil.Useshape‐optimizedwindings.Uselitz wiretoreducewindinglosses.Uselaminated sheetsofgrain orientedoramorphoussteeltocreatethecoreoftheinductor.DOEhasidentifiedthefollowingpreliminarylistoftechnologyoptionstoimproveBLE:30TechnologyOption DescriptionImprovedComponentsDiodes Usediodeswithlowerlosses.CapacitorsUsecapacitorswithalowereffectiveseriesresistance.TransistorsUsetransistorswithlowdrain‐to‐sourceresistance.DOEhasidentifiedthefollowingpreliminarylistoftechnologyoptionstoimproveBLE:TechnologyOptionsIssue4‐4:TechnologyOptionsDOEwelcomescommentonthepreliminarytechnologyoptionsidentifiedinthissection.DOEwelcomescommentonwhetherthereareadditionaltechnologyoptionsthatitshouldconsider.31ScreeningAnalysis•ThescreeninganalysisremovestechnologyoptionsthatDOEwillnotconsiderintheengineeringanalysisbasedon–Technologicalfeasibility,–Practicabilitytomanufacture,install,andservice,–Adverseimpactsonutilitytoconsumersoravailability,and–Adverseimpactsonhealthorsafety.•DOEwillconsiderscreeningoutlaminatedsheetsofamorphoussteeltocreatethecoreoftheinductor,consistentwiththescreeninganalysisinthe2011ballastrule.32IssuesforCommentIssue5‐1:ScreeningFactorsDOEwelcomescommentontheapplicabilityofthefourscreeningcriteriatothetechnologyoptionsdescribedinthissection,includingwhetheritisstillappropriatetoscreenouttheuseoflaminatedsheetsofamorphoussteeltocreatethecoreoftheinductor.Issue5‐2:ScreeningCriteria’sApplicabilitytoTechnologyOptionsDOEwelcomescommentonhowthefourscreeningcriteriawouldapplytoanyadditionaltechnologyoption(s)thataninterestedpartyrecommendstoDOE.33PresentationOverview1Overview; Scope of Coverage2Market and Technology; Screening Analysis3Engineering Analysis4Energy Use; Markups Analysis5Life-Cycle Cost Analysis; Payback Period Analysis6Shipments; National Impact AnalysisNOPR Analyses734Chooserepresentativeproductclassestobeanalyzeddirectly.EngineeringAnalysis:MethodologyIdentifybaselineballastsandtheircharacteristicsforeachrepresentativeproductclass.Identifymoreefficientballastsforeachbaselineballastbasedondesignoptions.Developefficiencylevels(ELs)thatrangefromthebaselinetothemaximumtechnologicallyfeasible.ChooseRepresentativeProductClassesIdentifyBaselineModelsScaletoProductClassesNotAnalyzedDevelopEfficiencyLevelsIdentifyMoreEfficientReplacementsPricingEstablisharelationshipbetweenBLEandend‐userprice.Scaleresultstoproduceclassesnotanalyzed.35RepresentativeProductClasses•DOEchoosesrepresentative productclassestoconcentrateitsanalyticaleffort.•DOEselectsrepresentativeproductclassesprimarilybecauseoftheirhighmarketvolumes.ChooseRepresentativeProductClassesIdentifyBaselineModelsScaletoProductClassesNotAnalyzedDevelopEfficiencyLevelsIdentifyMoreEfficientReplacementsPricing36BaselineBallasts•DOEselectsbaselineballastsineachrepresentativeproductclass.•Forproductsthatdonothaveexistingstandards,DOEselectsthemostcommon,leastefficientballastsold.•Forproductsthathaveexistingstandards,DOEtypicallyselectsthemostcommon,leastefficientballaststhatjustmeetexistingenergyconservationstandards.ChooseRepresentativeProductClassesIdentifyBaselineModelsScaletoProductClassesNotAnalyzedDevelopEfficiencyLevelsIdentifyMoreEfficientReplacementsPricing37IssuesforCommentIssue6‐1:BaselineBallastsDOEwelcomescommentontheappropriatebaselineforballastsalreadysubjecttoenergyconservationstandards.Issue6‐2:NewCategoryBaselineBallastsIfDOEanalyzesstandardsfornewcategoriesofballasts,includingadditionaldimming,lowballastfactorPS,or480Vfluorescentlampballasts,DOEwelcomescommentontheappropriatebaselineballasttypesandefficiencyvalueinthosecategories.38Higher‐EfficiencyReplacements•DOEselectsmoreefficientballastsforeachbaselineballastbyconsideringtechnologiesnoteliminatedinthescreeninganalysis.•DOEanalyzesalamp‐and‐ballastsystemtoaccountfortotalsystemenergyconsumptionandsystemlightoutput.•Toidentifyreplacements,DOEplanstoutilizeadatabaseofcommerciallyavailableballastsandBLEcompliancedataintheComplianceCertificationManagementSystem(CCMS).ChooseRepresentativeProductClassesIdentifyBaselineModelsScaletoProductClassesNotAnalyzedDevelopEfficiencyLevelsIdentifyMoreEfficientReplacementsPricing39EfficiencyLevels•DOEplanstodevelopELsbasedonthreefactors:–Thedesignoptionsassociatedwithspecificballastsbeingstudied,–TheabilityofballastsofmultiplewattagestocomplywiththeELofagivenproductclass,and–Themaximumtechnologically(MaxTech)feasiblelevel.•DOEanticipatesdevelopingELsusinganequationthatrelatesthetotallamparcpoweroperatedbyaballasttoBLE.ChooseRepresentativeProductClassesIdentifyBaselineModelsScaletoProductClassesNotAnalyzedDevelopEfficiencyLevelsIdentifyMoreEfficientReplacementsPricing40IssuesforCommentIssue6‐3:Higher‐EfficiencyReplacementsDOEwelcomescommentonthemethodologyitisconsideringtoselecthigher‐efficiencyballastdesigns.Issue6‐4:EfficiencyLevelMethodologyDOEwelcomescommentonitsproposedmethodologyofestablishingefficiencylevels,includingtheformofanequationthatrelatesaveragetotallamparcpowertoBLE.Issue6‐5:BLEDataSourceDOEwelcomescommentontheuseofcompliancedataandverificationtestingdatawhenestablishingefficiencylevels.41ScalingtoProduct ClassesNotAnalyzed•Standardsfornon‐representativeproductclassesaredeterminedbyscalingstandardsfromproductclassesthatweredirectlyanalyzed.•DOEplanstodevelopscalingfactorsbycomparingtheBLEofballastsinrepresentativeproductclassestotheBLEofballastsinnon‐representativeproductclasses.Issue6‐7:ScalingDOEwelcomescommentsonthemethodologytoscaleenergyconservationstandardstoproductclassesnotdirectlyanalyzed.ChooseRepresentativeProductClassesIdentifyBaselineModelsScaletoProductClassesNotAnalyzedDevelopEfficiencyLevelsIdentifyMoreEfficientReplacementsPricing42Pricing•DOE’sanalysisestablishesarelationshipbetweenBLEandend‐userprice.•DOEmayconductaproductteardowncost‐assessmenttoidentifythemanufacturerproductioncost(MPC).–TheMPCwouldbemarkeduptoamanufacturersellingprice(MSP).TheMSPwouldbemarkeduptoaretailpriceinthemarkupsanalysis.•DOEmayalsousebluebooksandretaildatatodevelopend‐userretailpricingdirectly.Issue6‐6:PricingMethodologyDOEwelcomescommentonthepricingmethodology,andinparticularthefeasibilityofusingproductteardownstodeveloppricing.ChooseRepresentativeProductClassesIdentifyBaselineModelsScaletoProductClassesNotAnalyzedDevelopEfficiencyLevelsIdentifyMoreEfficientReplacementsPricing43IssuesforCommentIssue6‐8:ProprietaryDesignsDOEwelcomescommentsonproprietarydesignsitshouldbeawareofforthefluorescentlampballaststhatarethesubjectofthisrulemaking.Issue6‐9:RegulatoryBurdensDOEwelcomescommentsonregulatoryburdensorchangesthatshouldbeconsideredintheengineeringanalysis.Issue6‐10:OtherEngineeringIssuesDOEwelcomescommentsonotherissuesthatcouldaffecttheengineeringanalysis.44PresentationOverview1Overview; Scope of Coverage2Market and Technology; Screening Analysis3Engineering Analysis4Energy Use; Markups Analysis5Life-Cycle Cost Analysis; Payback Period Analysis6Shipments; National Impact AnalysisNOPR Analyses745•Purpose:-Assesstheannualenergyuseforallefficiencylevels,forallproductclasses•Method:-Inputpowertoballast×operatinghours=energyusage-Developoperatinghoursbysector-Drawingondatasources:LightingMarketCharacterization,RECS,CBECS,&MECSRulemakingAnalyses:EnergyUseAnalysisSectorAverageAnnualOperatingHours(hr/yr)2000BallastRule 2011BallastRuleResidential N.R. 789Commercial 3,300– 3,700 3,886Industrial 4,600 4,74746IssuesforCommentIssue7‐1:EnergyUseOperatingProfilesDOEwelcomescommentontheapproachDOEistakingtodeterminetheoperatinghoursprofileforfluorescentlampballastsinthisrule.Furthermore,DOEwelcomescommentonwhethertheend‐useoperatingprofilesaredifferentforthevarioustypesoffluorescentlampballastsunderconsiderationforstandardsinthisrulemaking,andifso,how.Issue7‐2:ReducedWattageLampsDOEwelcomescommentonthewattageofreduced‐wattagefluorescentlampstypicallyinstalledaswellaswhatproportionofreduced‐wattagelampsareinstalled.DOEalsowelcomescommentsontheprevalenceoftubularLEDsoperatingonfluorescentlampballasts.47RulemakingAnalyses:EnergyUseAnalysisIssue7‐3:OccupancySensorsDOEwelcomescommentonthetypicalspacetypesoperatedbyoccupancysensors.DOEalsowelcomesanydataontheenergysavingsrelatedtotheuseofoccupancysensors.DOEwelcomesdataontheportionoffluorescentballastsusedwithoccupancysensors.DOEwelcomesanydataontheeffectsofoccupancysensoruseontheoperatinghoursprofileforfluorescentlampballastsinthisrule.SectorAverageAnnualOperatingHours(hr/yr)Commercial 2,721•OccupancySensors:-2011ballastruleaccountedforoccupancysensorsatitrelatestooperatinghours48IssuesforCommentIssue7‐4:DimmingBallastsDOEwelcomescommentontheuseofthedimmingballasts:typesofballastsandlampstypicallydimmed;applicationsinwhichdimmingoccurs;outputsettingofthedimmedballastswheninuse;typicalenergysavingsfordimmingballasts;andmarketshareofdimmingballastsinuse.Issue7‐6:DataSourcesforDimmingBallastsDOEwelcomescommentonanydatasourcestousetocalculatetheoperatinghoursoffluorescentballastsandenergysavingsrelatedtotheuseofdimmingfluorescentballasts.49IssuesforCommentIssue7‐5:End‐UseProfilesDOEwelcomescommentontheuseoftheoperatinghoursprofileforfluorescentlampballastsinthisrule.Furthermore,DOEwelcomescommentonwhethertheend‐useoperatingprofilesaredifferentforthevarioustypesoffluorescentlampballastsunderconsiderationforstandardsinthisrulemaking,andifso,how.50•Purpose:-Estimateactualuserpurchasepricesfrommanufacturersellingpricesofbaselineandhigher‐efficiencyproductdesigns•Method:-Identifydistributionchannelsandestimateshareofeachchannelintheaggregatesalesvolume-EstimatemarkupvaluesforeachlevelintheidentifieddistributionchannelsRulemakingAnalyses:MarkupsAnalysis51RulemakingAnalyses:MarkupsAnalysisIssue8‐1:DistributionChannelsDOEseekscommentonthedistributionchannelsandtheshareforeachdistributionchanneldescribedinthisdocumentasitappliestothefluorescentlampballastsunderconsiderationforstandardsinthisrulemaking.•IdentifiedDistributionChannels:-2000/2011Ballastrules-63%fixtureballasts-37%replacementballasts•Markupsappliedateacharrow52PresentationOverview1Overview; Scope of Coverage2Market and Technology; Screening Analysis3Engineering Analysis4Energy Use; Markups Analysis5Life-Cycle Cost Analysis; Payback Period Analysis6Shipments; National Impact AnalysisNOPR Analyses753•Purpose:-Assesseconomicimpactsofdifferentefficiencylevelsontheconsumersoffluorescentlampballasts•Method:RulemakingAnalyses:LCCandPBPAnalysis-ResultsareexpressedintermsofLCCsavings(LCCatbaselineefficiencylevelcomparedtoLCCathigherefficiencylevel)-PBP,expressedinnumberofyears,iscalculatedbydividingtheincrementalproductfirstcostatahigher‐efficiencylevelbythecorrespondingannualizedoperatingcostsavings࡯࡯ࡸࡸࡱࡸࡱ࢚࢙࢕࡯	ࢍ࢔࢏࢚ࢇ࢘ࢋ࢖ࡻ ൅ ࡸࡱ࢚࢙࢕࡯	ࢊࢋ࢒࢒ࢇ࢚࢙࢔ࡵ ൌ54RulemakingAnalyses:LCCandPBPAnalysisLCCComponent CalculationMethodologyProductPurchasePriceMarkupMSPbytheappropriatedistributionchannelsandmarkupvaluesInstallationCostIncludeslaborandmaterialcoststoplacetheproductsintoserviceMaintenanceCostIncurredbytheconsumerforpreventativemaintenanceoftheproductsRepairCostRepairorreplacedamagedormalfunctioningcomponentsoftheproductsEnergyCostEnergyInformationAdministration’sAnnualEnergyOutlookusedtoestimateenergypricesDiscountRateThecostofcapitalandistheweighted averagecostofequityanddebtfinancingforcommercial/industrialsectorsand“financecosts”forresidentialsectorsProductLifetimeCatalogs,literaturesources,technicalreports,andindustryinputs55•No‐New‐StandardsCaseEfficiencyDistribution‒No‐new‐standardscaseefficiencydistributionisthedistributionofthemarketshareofeachefficiencylevelforallproductclassesintheabsenceofanamendedDOEstandard‒Ifmarketsharedataarenotavailablebyefficiencylevel,DOEmaydevelopno‐new‐standardsefficiencydistributionsbasedonavailablemodelsandinformationfromfluorescentlampballastmanufacturersandexpertsRulemakingAnalyses:LCCandPBPAnalysis56•Approach:MonteCarloSimulations-TheLCCanalysisiscarriedoutusingMonteCarlosimulations.-Foreachofalargenumberofsamples(e.g.,10,000),parametervaluesarechosenbasedontheprobabilityoftheiroccurrence;thesevaluesarethencombinedtocalculatetheLCCandPBPforthatparticularindividualsample.-TheLCC,LCCsavings,andPBPareexpressedintheformofmeanormedianvalues.-TheLCCresultsarealsopresentedintheformofestimatedpercentageofconsumersthatareadverselyaffectedbyamendedstandards.RulemakingAnalyses:LCCandPBPAnalysis57IssuesforCommentIssue9‐1:ElectricityPricesDOEwelcomesinputontheelectricitypricestobeusedinthisanalysis.Issue9‐2:DiscountRatesDOEwelcomesinputontheplannedapproachesforestimatingdiscountratesforconsumersoffluorescentlampballastsunderconsiderationforstandardsinthisrulemaking.58IssuesforCommentIssue9‐3:CostInputsDOEwelcomescommentonhowtodevelopinstallation,maintenance,and(ifapplicable)repaircostsforfluorescentlampballasts.Inparticular,willfluorescentballastenergyconservationstandardsaffecttheusefullifetimeoftheballastsand/orthefluorescentlampsoperatedbythoseballasts?Ifthelampsoperatedbythemore‐efficientballastswouldbeaffected,thenDOEinvitescommentsfrominterestedpartiesonwhetherre‐lampingpractices(i.e.,groupre‐lampingandspotre‐lamping)wouldchangeasaresultofthestandard.Issue9‐4:BallastLifetimesDOEwelcomescommentonappropriatefluorescentlampballastlifetimesfortheballastsunderconsiderationforstandardsinthisrulemaking.59PresentationOverview1Overview; Scope of Coverage2Market and Technology; Screening Analysis3Engineering Analysis4Energy Use; Markups Analysis5Life-Cycle Cost Analysis; Payback Period Analysis6Shipments; National Impact AnalysisNOPR Analyses760•Purpose:-Projectfutureshipmentsbyproductclass•Method:-DOEtypicallyprojectsshipmentsfora30‐yearperiodbeginningwiththeexpectedcompliancedateofthestandard-DOEintendstocollectbuildonthepreviousruleshipmentprojectionsaswellasothershipmentdataforfluorescentlampballasts-Futureshipmentswillbecalculatedbasedonthehistoricalshipmentsdata,retirementratesofpreviouslyinstalledballasts,andotherappropriatedatasources-DOEmayusedifferentshipmentsprojectionsinthestandardscaseandno‐new‐standardscasescenariosdependingontheinformationavailableRulemakingAnalyses:ShipmentsAnalysis61•NewConstruction-Meansthenewballaststhatareinstalledeachyearbecauseofproductgrowthinaparticularsector.DOEplanstodetermineavalueforthisusingAEOgrowthprojectionsforcommercialandindustrialequipmentsectors.30‐yearperiodbeginningwiththeexpectedcompliancedateofthestandard•Replacements-Referstothenewballaststhatareinstalledeachyeartoreplaceballaststhathavefailed.DOEplanstobasethiscalculationonproductsalesandretirementsrates•Retrofits-Meanstheballastsreplacingexistingballastsduringrenovations.ThisretrofitreplacementmayoccurbeforetheoriginalballasthasfailedRulemakingAnalyses:ShipmentsAnalysis62IssuesforCommentIssue10‐1:DataSourcesforShipmentsDOEwelcomesrecommendationsonsourcesofdatathatwouldprovideinformationonshipmentsoffluorescentlampballastsbyproductclass.Inaddition,DOEwelcomescommentorrecommendationsonhowitmightcharacterizelong‐termtrendsinefficiencyoffluorescentlampballastsfortheno‐new‐standardscaseshipmentsprojection.Issue10‐2:AccountingMethodologyDOEwelcomescommentontheaccountingmethodologydescribedintheFrameworkdocumentforeachofthefluorescentlampballastsunderconsiderationforstandardsinthisrulemaking.63IssuesforCommentIssue10‐3:StandardsAffectingShipmentsDOEwelcomescommentonhowanypotentialneworamendedenergyconservationstandardsforfluorescentlampballastsmightaffectshipmentsoftheseballasts.DOEalsoinvitesinformationaboutmarket‐pullprogramsthatcurrentlyexisttopromotetheadoptionofmore‐efficientballasts.64RulemakingAnalyses:NationalImpactAnalysis•Purpose:‒Determinetheprojectednationalimpactsofanamendedstandard,intheformofNESandNPV•Method:‒Developannualseriesofnationalenergyandeconomicimpacts•UseLCCoutputstoprovideinputaboutinstalledcostsandenergyuseperunit•Usetheshipmentsmodeltoestimateannualshipmentsandstock–Aggregatethecostsandenergyuseforallyearsintheanalysisperiod–ReportNESinprimaryandfull‐fuel‐cycle(FFC)savingsandNPVinbillionsofdollars–Accountforthetime‐valueofmoneythoughdefineddiscountrates65RulemakingAnalyses:NationalImpactAnalysis•InputsforcalculatingNPV:-Installedandoperatingcostsofallproductsforeachyearoftheanalysisperiod-Projectedshipments-Electricitypriceprojections-HVACinteractionsavings-Discountrates(3percentand7percent)-Reboundeffect66IssuesforCommentIssue11‐1:DataSourcesforNIADOEwelcomesonthedatasourcesitanticipatesusingtodevelopinputsforthenationalimpactanalysis.Issue11‐2:NIAmodelDOEwelcomescommentsontheNIAspreadsheetmodelsitplanstouseforestimatingnationalimpactsofenergyconservationstandardsforfluorescentlampballasts.67PresentationOverview1Overview; Scope of Coverage2Market and Technology; Screening Analysis3Engineering Analysis4Energy Use; Markups Analysis5Life-Cycle Cost Analysis; Payback Period Analysis6Shipments; National Impact AnalysisNOPR Analyses768ManufacturerImpactAnalysis•Purposeofthemanufacturerimpactanalysis(MIA)isto–Assesstheimpactsofstandardsonmanufacturers;–Identifyandestimateimpactsonmanufacturersubgroupsthatmaybemoreseverelyaffectedthantheindustryasawhole;and–Examinethedirectemploymentimpacts,manufacturingcapacity,andcumulativeregulatoryimpactonthemanufacturingindustry.•ProposedMethodology:–Analyzeindustrycashflowandindustrynetpresentvalue(INPV)throughuseoftheGovernmentRegulatoryImpactModel(GRIM);and–InterviewmanufacturerstorefineinputstotheGRIM,developsub‐groupanalyses,andaddressqualitativeissues.69MIAMethodologyTheMIAconsistsofthreemainphases:IndustryprofileDevelopstrawmanGRIMDevelopinterviewguideInterviews&industry‐wide/subgroupanalysesAssessdirectemployment,competition,cumulativeburdenPhase2Phase3InitialMIAInterviewsPhase1PreliminaryAnalysisNOPR70OtherNOPRAnalyses•ConsumerSubgroupAnalysis–Effectsonvariousnationalconsumersubgroups•UtilityImpactAnalysis–Effectsongenerationcapacityofutilities•EmploymentImpactAnalysis–Indirectimpactsonoverallnationalemployment•EmissionsAnalysis–Effectsonairbornepollutantemissions•MonetizingCarbonDioxideandOtherEmissionsReductions–Monetarybenefitsfromemissionsreductions•RegulatoryImpactAnalysis–Potentialfornon‐regulatoryalternatives71IssuesforCommentIssue12‐1:ConsumerSubgroupAnalysisDOEwelcomescommentonwhat,ifany,consumersubgroupsareappropriateinconsideringstandardsforfluorescentlampballasts.Issue14‐1:UtilityImpactAnalysisDOEwelcomesinputfrominterestedpartiesonitsplanstouseNEMS‐BTtoconducttheutilityimpactanalysis.Issue15‐1:EmploymentImpactAnalysisDOEwelcomesfeedbackonitsplannedapproachforassessingnationalemploymentimpacts,bothdirectandindirect.72IssuesforCommentIssue16‐1:EmissionsAnalysisDOEseekscommentonitsapproachtoconducttheemissionsanalysisfortheproductsthatwouldbeunderconsiderationforstandardsinthisrulemaking.Issue17‐1:MonetizationofEmissionsDOErequestscommentabouttheapproachitplanstouseforestimatingmonetarybenefitsassociatedwithemissionsreductions.73ClosingRemarksMeetingparticipantsareinvitedtoprovideclosingremarksorstatementsatthistime.74Inallcorrespondence,pleaserefertotheFluorescentLampBallastsrulemakingby:– FrameworkDocumentforFluorescentLampBallasts– DocketNumberEERE‐2015‐BT‐STD‐0006– RegulationIdentificationNumber(RIN)1904‐AD51Email:FluorLampBallasts2015STD0006@ee.doe.govWeb:www.regulations.govPostal:Courier:Ms.BrendaEdwardsMs.BrendaEdwardsU.S.DepartmentofEnergyU.S.DepartmentofEnergyBuildingTechnologiesProgram,BuildingTechnologiesProgramMailstopEE‐5B950L’EnfantPlazaSW,Suite6001000IndependenceAvenue,SWWashington,DC20024Washington,DC20585‐0121Tel:202586‐2945CommentperiodclosesAugust7,2015How toSubmitWrittenComments