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# Summary of omm nts Ballast Energy Standards

## Ballast Energy Standards

General Comments

•Analysis is badly flawed and overestimates the benefits -
•Burdens of standards are overstated because sales of less magnetic ballasts may increase, for example, new firms may enter magnetic ballast market - ACEEE
•Heat rates are overestimated - EEI
•Publish a proposed rule as soon as possible - ACEEE 

## Ballast Energy 

## tandards General Comments •Analysis is badly flawed and overestimates the benefits - NEMA •

Burdens of standards are overstated because sales of less magnetic ballasts may increase, for example, new firms may enter magnetic ballast market - ACEEE •

Heat rates are overestimated - EEl •

Publish a proposed rule as soon as possible - ACEEE

## Ballast Energy ,standards

general Comments

• Changes to the standard are not justified - NE
•Electronic standards are economically justified C and ACEEE
• Standards aren't necessary since the market is shifting to electronic ballasts - NEMA
• Standards are necessary because of the large energy savings - ACEEE 

## Ballast Energy tandards 

## General Comments -Changes to the standard are notjustified -- MA -Electronic standards are economically justified - NRDC 

### and ACEEE -Standards aren't necessary since the market is shifting to electronic ballasts ... NEMA ·Standards are necessary because ofthe large energy savings - ACEEE

## Ballast Energy Standards

Comparison of T12 to T8

• DOE improperly compares T12 and T8 ballasts -

• DOE should examine T12 and T8 consumer choice - ACEEE, NRDC and Oregon • DOE should examine T12 and T8 separately - Motorola and Osram Sylvania • LCC analysis accommodates concerns by having separate analyses - ACEEE 

## Ballast Energy Standards Comparison ofT12 to T8 • DOE improperly compares TI2 and T8 ballasts -- NEMA • DOE should examine TI2 and T8 consumer choice - ACEEE, NRDC and Oregon • DOE should examine TI2 and T8 separatelyMotorola and Osram Sylvania • LCC analysis accommodates concerns by having separate analyses - ACEEE

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L'r3rice-Efficiency

• Ballast prices are too high due to use of fixture data that cannot be sustained if standard is set - 

### C • Ballast price methodology is badly flawed and not credible - NEMA • ?^0E should use prices NEMA derived from 1997 analysis - NEMA 

## Ballast Energy Standards Price-Efficiency • Ballast prices are too high due to use offixture data that cannot be sustained if standard is set - NRDC 

### • Ballast price methodology is badly flawed and not credible - NEMA • DOE 

### should use prices NEMA 

### derived from 1997 analysis - NEMA

## Ballast Energy Standards

Ballast Prices MIN B allast Magnetic Cathode Cutout 1F40T12 (NEMA) $11.69 $17.60 1F40T12 (DOE) $13.41 $20.25 2F40T12 (NEMA) $11.43 $16.32 2F40T12 (DOE) $13.17 $22.21 El ectron ic R ap i d S tart $2 7. 4 1 $26.27 $27.57 $24.57 

## Ballast Energy tandards 

## Ballast Prices Ballast Magnetic Cathode Cutout IF40Tl2 $11.69 $17.60 (NEMA) 1F40T12 $13.41 $20.25 (DOE) 2F40T12 $11.43 $16.32 (NEMA) 2F40T12 $13.17 $22.21 (DOE) Electronic Rapid Start $27.41 $26.27 $27.57 $24.57

## allast Energy:tandards

2- allast f"^,xes

WIMPININ Ball ast Electronic

Ra pid S tart 1F32T8 (NEMA) $24.72 1F32T8 (DOE) $20.10 2F32T8 (NEMA) $24.62 2F32T8 (DOE) $21.54 

## Ballast Energy tandards 

## Ballast Prices Ballast 1F32T8 (NEMA) 1F32T8 (DOE) 2F32T8 (NEMA) 2F32T8 (DOE) Electronic Rapid Start $24.72 $20.10 $24.62 $21.54

## Ballast Energy Stan6ards

Electricity Prices

• DOE didn't use marginal electricity prices -

• Electricity prices for magnetic ballast purchasers are lower than the national average - NEMA • DOE should calculate marginal energy prices and marginal demand price - EEI 

### Ballast Energy Standards Electricity Prices • DOE didn't use marginal electricity prices - NEMA • Electricity prices for magnetic ballast purchasers are lower than the national average .... NEMA • DOE should calculate marginal energy prices and marginal demand price .. EEl

## Ballast Energy Standards

Life-Cycle-Cost

• The analysis is complete and thorough - ACEEE • DOE introduces impermissible definition of new classes - NEMA • Coefficients of utilization and normalization of fixture watts are flawed - NE • DOE should use discount rates of 4, 8, 12, 16 and 28 percent - NE • No magnetic ballast purchasers can be "winners" - 

## Ballast Energy Standards Life-Cycle-Cost • The analysis is complete and thorough ... ACEEE • DOE 

### introduces impermissible definition ofnew classes - NEMA • Coefficients ofutilization and normalization of fixture watts are flawed -- NEMA • DOE 

### should use discount rates of4, 8, 12, 16 and 28 percent - NEMA 

### • No magnetic ballast purchasers can be "winners" "" NEMA

## Ballast Energy Standards

Life-Cycle-Cost

0 M etr ic Range f or Electronic Range for Electronic Std. Consi dering only Std . Considering only T12 DOE Life Cycle Cost Savings ($/ballast) 0®27 16®77 NEMA Life Cycle Cost Savings ($/ballast) (11)-30 10-24 DOE Life Cycle Cost Winners (%) 45- 98 98 -1 00 NEMA Life Cycle Cost Winners (%) 3.2- 90 .6 60 .1- 99 .5 

### . Ballast Energy Standards Life-Cycle-Cost Metric DOE Life Cycle Cost Savings ($/ballast) NEMA Life Cycle Cost Savings ($/ballast) DOE Life Cycle Cost Winners (%)

. NEMA Life Cycle

Cost Winners (%) Range for Electronic Range for Electronic Std. Considering only Std. Considering only T12 T8 0-27 16-77 (11)-30 10 - 24

45 - 98 98 - 100 3.2 - 90.6 60.1 - 99.5

### allast Energy 'Aandards

I 

### 'nerav Sav'-.. I s' 

### & E &IMINNOM • Spreadsheet does not function in four scenarios -

• Inappropriate to include indirect HVAC impacts - NE • Electricity prices, ballast prices and coefficient of utilization are flawed - NE 

## Ballast Energy Standards Energy Savin s PV • Spreadsheet does not function in four scenarios - NEMA 

### • Inappropriate to include indirect 

### HVAC impacts - NEMA 

### • Electricity prices, ballast prices and coefficient of utilization are flawed - NEMA

## Ballast Energy Standar ds

Energy Savings & NPV

• Base case forecast of increasing share of electronic ballasts is optimistic - ACEEE • Electronic ballasts represent 55% of ballast shipments and 63% of new construction, renovations and retrofits - NE • DOE should not consider shift to T8's - NE • Energy savings are significant - ACEEE 

## Ballast Energy Standards

Energy Savings & 

## NPV
• Base case forecast ofincreasing share of electronic ballasts is optimistic - ACEEE • Electronic ballasts represent 55% ofballast shipments and 63% ofnew construction, renovations and retrofits ... NEMA • DOE should not consider shift to T8' s ... NEMA • Energy savings are significant - ACEEE

## Ballast Energy "a

Energy Savings 

## dards

I'L 

### & I ITJ`^Iv Metric Range f or E lectron ic Range fo r S td. Con si der i ng on ly C o n s i T12 d Electronic ering only DOE Energy Savings (quads) 1. 04 -1. 84 2 . 04 -3. 6 1 NEMA Energy Savings (quads) 1. 04 -1. 8 4 1. 59 -2. 8 1 DOE Net Present Value ($billion) 1. 0 1- 1.60 3.1 8 -5. 0 5 NEMA Net Present Value ($billion) 0.46-0.71 1.44-2.27 

### Ballast Energy Energy avings 

## tandards PV Metric DOE Energy Savings (quads) NEMAEnergy Savings (quads) DOE Net Present Value ($billion) NEMA Net Present Value ($billion) Range for Electronic Range for Electronic Std. Considering only Std. Considering only T12 T8 1.04 - 1.84 2.04 - 3.61 1.04 - 1.84 1.59 - 2.81 1.01 - 1.60 3.18-5.05 0.46 - 0.71 1.44 - 2.27

## Ballast Energy Standards

Manufacturer u rn pacts

• Manufacturer impact analysis shows substantial and decisive adverse impacts - NEMA • Manufacturers will sustain steep cash flow drops - NEMA • Loss of $100 million of manufacturer net present value a few percent of national benefits NRDC • Manufacturer impacts are overestimated because a new entrant would lower the industry's profitability - ACEEE • Adverse impacts limited to manufacturers that currently produce magnetic ballasts - NRDC • DOE should analyze impacts on lamp and luminaire manufacturers - NEMA 

## Ballast Energy Standards Manufacturer Impacts • Manufacturer impact analysis shows substantial and decisive adverse impacts - NEMA • Manufacturers will sustain steep cash flow drops - NEMA • Loss of $1 00 million ofmanufacturer net**_P£e~ent** value a few percent of national benefits ... NRDC • Manufacturer impacts are overestimated because a new entrant wouId lower the industry's profitability .. ACEEE • Adverse impacts limited to manufacturers that currently produce magnetic ballasts - NRDC • DOE should analyze impacts on lamp and luminaire manufacturers - NEMA

## Ballast Energy 3tandards

Manufacturer Impa.

• Five, possibly six, plants would be closed - NE • Only one U.S. ballast plant adversely affected - ACEEE • Impact of specific plant closures cannot be made up by expected expansion at others - NEMADirect job loss should be balanced against indirect job gains - NRDC and ACEEE • Direct job loss is not balanced by new, indirect, employment elsewhere - NEMA 

## Ballast Energy Standards Manufacturer Impacts
• Five, possibly six, plants would be closed - MA • Only one U.S. ballast plant adversely affected .. ACEEE • Impact of specific plant closures cannot be made up by expected expansion at others ... NEMADirect job loss should be balanced against indirectjob

gains ... NRDC and ACEEE • Directjob loss is not balanced by new, indirect, employment elsewhere .. NEMA