13C-i 

APPENDIX 13C. INPV RESULTS UNDER THE ADVANCED TECHNOLOGY 

SCENARIO

TABLE OF CONTENTS

13C.1 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................ 1

13C.2 IMPACTS ON INDUSTRY NET PRESENT VALUE ................................................... 1

LIST OF TABLES

Table 13C.2.1 Advanced Technology Scenario Manufacturer Impact Analysis for Fluorescent 

Lamp Ballasts—Two-Tier Markup, Existing Technologies, and Roll-up Shipment 

Scenario............................................................................................................................... 1

Table 13C.2.2 Advanced Technology Scenario Manufacturer Impact Analysis for Fluorescent 

Lamp Ballasts—Two-Tier Markup, Existing Technologies, and Shift Shipment Scenario 2

Table 13C.2.3 Advanced Technology Scenario Manufacturer Impact Analysis for Fluorescent 

Lamp Ballasts—Two-Tier Markup, Emerging Technologies, and Roll-up Shipment 

Scenario............................................................................................................................... 2

Table 13C.2.4 Advanced Technology Scenario Manufacturer Impact Analysis for Fluorescent 

Lamp Ballasts—Two-Tier Markup, Emerging Technologies, and Shift Shipment 

Scenario............................................................................................................................... 2

Table 13C.2.5 Advanced Technology Scenario Manufacturer Impact Analysis for Fluorescent 

Lamp Ballasts—Preservation of Operating Profit Markup, Existing Technologies, and 

Roll-up Shipment Scenario ................................................................................................. 3

Table 13C.2.6 Advanced Technology Scenario Manufacturer Impact Analysis for Fluorescent 

Lamp Ballasts— Preservation of Operating Profit Markup, Existing Technologies, and 

Shift Shipment Scenario ..................................................................................................... 3

Table 13C.2.7 Advanced Technology Scenario Manufacturer Impact Analysis for Fluorescent 

Lamp Ballasts— Preservation of Operating Profit Markup, Emerging Technologies, and 

Roll-up Shipment Scenario ................................................................................................. 3

Table 13C.2.8 Advanced Technology Scenario Manufacturer Impact Analysis for Fluorescent 

Lamp Ballasts— Preservation of Operating Profit Markup, Emerging Technologies, and 

Shift Shipment Scenario ..................................................................................................... 4
13C-1 

APPENDIX 13C INPV RESULTS UNDER THE ADVANCED TECHNOLOGY

SCENARIO

13C.1 INTRODUCTION

The purpose of this appendix is to demonstrate the impacts on industry net present value 

(INPV) for fluorescent lamp ballasts under the advanced technology scenario. As described in 

appendix 5F, the advanced technology scenario assumes that manufacturers have the capability 

to redesign certain representative ballast types to be more efficient than the ballasts currently 

available in the market. Under the advanced technology scenario, shipments exist at higher 

efficiency levels with higher manufacturer production costs (MPCs) for the instant start (IS) and 

rapid start (RS) product class, thereby yielding different INPV impacts. DOE analyzes four TSLs 

under this scenario rather than the three TSLs analyzed in the notice of proposed rulemaking 

(NOPR) that was published in the Federal Register. The assumptions and methodology for the 

advanced technology scenario are described in appendix 5F. 

13C.2 IMPACTS ON INDUSTRY NET PRESENT VALUE

DOE used the same methodology described in chapter 13 to develop INPV results under 

the advanced technology scenario as under the scenarios presented in the NOPR. As in chapter 

13, DOE presents results for all eight combinations of technology scenarios, markup scenarios, 

and shipment scenarios. These INPV results for the advanced technology scenario are presented 

in Table 13C.2.1 through Table 13C.2.8 below. 

Table 13C.2.1 Advanced Technology Scenario Manufacturer Impact Analysis for 

Fluorescent Lamp Ballasts—Two-Tier Markup, Existing Technologies, and Roll-up 

Shipment Scenario

Units Base Case Trial Standard Level

1 2 3 4

INPV 2009$ Millions 1,244 1,095 960 868 899 

Change in INPV 2009$ Millions - (149.0) (284.0) (375.9) (344.7)

 (%) - -12.0% -22.8% -30.2% -27.7%

Product Conversion Costs 2009$ Millions - 5 24 57 68 

Capital Conversion Costs 2009$ Millions - 11 25 34 37 

Total Investment Required 2009$ Millions - 17 49 91 105 
13C-2 

Table 13C.2.2 Advanced Technology Scenario Manufacturer Impact Analysis for 

Fluorescent Lamp Ballasts—Two-Tier Markup, Existing Technologies, and Shift Shipment 

Scenario

Units Base Case Trial Standard Level

1 2 3 4

INPV 2009$ Millions 1,244 1,614 1,111 926 899 

Change in INPV 2009$ Millions - 370.4 (132.6) (317.5) (344.7)

 (%) - 29.8% -10.7% -25.5% -27.7%

Product Conversion Costs 2009$ Millions - 5 24 57 68 

Capital Conversion Costs 2009$ Millions - 11 25 34 37 

Total Investment Required 2009$ Millions - 17 49 91 105 

Table 13C.2.3 Advanced Technology Scenario Manufacturer Impact Analysis for 

Fluorescent Lamp Ballasts—Two-Tier Markup, Emerging Technologies, and Roll-up 

Shipment Scenario

Units Base Case Trial Standard Level

1 2 3 4

INPV 2009$ Millions 855 742 637 569 586 

Change in INPV 2009$ Millions - (112.7) (218.1) (285.8) (269.3)

 (%) - -13.2% -25.5% -33.4% -31.5%

Product Conversion Costs 2009$ Millions - 5 24 57 68 

Capital Conversion Costs 2009$ Millions - 11 25 34 37 

Total Investment Required 2009$ Millions - 17 49 91 105 

Table 13C.2.4 Advanced Technology Scenario Manufacturer Impact Analysis for 

Fluorescent Lamp Ballasts—Two-Tier Markup, Emerging Technologies, and Shift 

Shipment Scenario

Units Base Case Trial Standard Level

1 2 3 4

INPV 2009$ Millions 855 1,086 725 602 586 

Change in INPV 2009$ Millions - 230.8 (129.9) (252.7) (269.3)

 (%) - 27.0% -15.2% -29.5% -31.5%

Product Conversion Costs 2009$ Millions - 5 24 57 68 

Capital Conversion Costs 2009$ Millions - 11 25 34 37 

Total Investment Required 2009$ Millions - 17 49 91 105 
13C-3 

Table 13C.2.5 Advanced Technology Scenario Manufacturer Impact Analysis for 

Fluorescent Lamp Ballasts—Preservation of Operating Profit Markup, Existing

Technologies, and Roll-up Shipment Scenario

Units Base Case Trial Standard Level

1 2 3 4

INPV 2009$ Millions 1,244 1,232 1,194 1,148 1,124 

Change in INPV 2009$ Millions - (11.2) (49.7) (95.5) (119.7)

 (%) - -0.9% -4.0% -7.7% -9.6%

Product Conversion Costs 2009$ Millions - 5 24 57 68 

Capital Conversion Costs 2009$ Millions - 11 25 34 37 

Total Investment Required 2009$ Millions - 17 49 91 105 

Table 13C.2.6 Advanced Technology Scenario Manufacturer Impact Analysis for 

Fluorescent Lamp Ballasts— Preservation of Operating Profit Markup, Existing

Technologies, and Shift Shipment Scenario

Units Base Case Trial Standard Level

1 2 3 4

INPV 2009$ Millions 1,244 1,224 1,192 1,147 1,124 

Change in INPV 2009$ Millions - (19.4) (51.5) (96.8) (119.7)

 (%) - -1.6% -4.1% -7.8% -9.6%

Product Conversion Costs 2009$ Millions - 5 24 57 68 

Capital Conversion Costs 2009$ Millions - 11 25 34 37 

Total Investment Required 2009$ Millions - 17 49 91 105 

Table 13C.2.7 Advanced Technology Scenario Manufacturer Impact Analysis for 

Fluorescent Lamp Ballasts— Preservation of Operating Profit Markup, Emerging 

Technologies, and Roll-up Shipment Scenario

Units Base Case Trial Standard Level

1 2 3 4

INPV 2009$ Millions 855 844 810 774 755 

Change in INPV 2009$ Millions - (11.5) (44.6) (81.1) (100.0)

 (%) - -1.3% -5.2% -9.5% -11.7%

Product Conversion Costs 2009$ Millions - 5 24 57 68 

Capital Conversion Costs 2009$ Millions - 11 25 34 37 

Total Investment Required 2009$ Millions - 17 49 91 105 
13C-4 

Table 13C.2.8 Advanced Technology Scenario Manufacturer Impact Analysis for 

Fluorescent Lamp Ballasts— Preservation of Operating Profit Markup, Emerging 

Technologies, and Shift Shipment Scenario

Units Base Case Trial Standard Level

1 2 3 4

INPV 2009$ Millions 855 839 809 773 755 

Change in INPV 2009$ Millions - (16.5) (45.6) (81.6) (100.0)

 (%) - -1.9% -5.3% -9.5% -11.7%

Product Conversion Costs 2009$ Millions - 5 24 57 68 

Capital Conversion Costs 2009$ Millions - 11 25 34 37 

Total Investment Required 2009$ Millions - 17 49 91 105