Table 4. VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS’ INVENTORIES FOR IN|
(Millions of dollars)

USTRY GROUPS

Seasonally adjusted Not seasonally adjusted
Industry Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent
change
Oct. Sept. Aug. Sept-]  Aug-] — July- Oct Sept. Aug. Oct Oct
199° 1999" 1999] Oct.]Sept.| Aug 1999? 1999" 1999 1998] 99/98
All manufacturing industries 467,044] 465,669] 464,351 +03 +03 -O.1} 468,566] 465.082] 467,794] 471,645 “0.7
Manufacturing industries
with unfilled orders... . +++. | 308,960] 308,999] 308,152 0.0} +03 -0.3| 309,288} 308,986} 312,270] 316,425 23
without defense capital goods... 448,472 | 446,803] 445,755] +04] +02 -0.2} 449,827] 445,929] 448,795 | 452,403 -0.6
Durable goods industries ......... | 293,181] 292,901] 292,461] +01] +02 0.4] 293,419] 292.311] 293,746 298,510 “17
With unfilled orders. ee 268,311 | 268,386] 267,761 00} +02 -03| 268,803} 268,212] 271,238] 275,050 23
Stone, clay, and glass products... 9,811 9,724 9,726 +0.9 0.0 42.7 9,473 9,549 9,692 8,894 +65
Primary metals... 2... --. | 23,819] 23,652} 23,660] +0.7 0.0 -0.1) 23,778) 23,677] 23,786] 24,694 37
Blast furnaces, steel mills 11,294} = 11,250] 11,317 +04 -0.6 0.7) 11,366) 11,319] 11,411 12,350 -8.0
Iron and steel foundries ........ 1579 1376 1595] +0.2 “12 0.6 1,534 1541 1,568 15539 03
Nonferrous and other primary
metals . . . 10,946 | 10,826] 10,748) +11} +07] 40.5] 10,878] 10,817] 10,807] 10,805] +0.7
Fabricated metal products : 31,338] 31,182] 31,028] 40.5] +05] +0.1) 31.077] 30991] 311049] 30,767] +110
Industrial machinery and equipment 59,871} 60,139] 59,990] -0.4] 40.2] = 40.3] 59,768] 59.763] 60.718] 60.710 “1.6
Engines and turbines... . : 4,533] 4,445] 4.468] +20 -05 05 35 4,460 4.684 4,067] +145
Farm and garden machinery . . 3,663 3614] 3,560} +14} +15] 408 3,363 3.298 3,620 39
Construction, mining and
material handling equipment .. . . 8,854 8,852 8,840 0.0 40.1 0.4 8,709 8,740 8.832 0.7
Metalworking machinery ....... 8162| 8101 8,006] +08] +12 0.0 8.261 8,353 7,920) +4.0
Computer and office equipment . 8,579] 9,183] 9,169 66} +02] +46 8,581 9170] 9,715 9,230 -1.0

Electronic and other
electrical equipment
Electrical transmission and
distribution equipment and

41,955 41,518 41,204 +11 +0.8 0.0 42,172 41,195 42,028 40,656 +3.7

industrial apparatus sees 5,318 5,293 5,253 40.5 40.8 +0.2 5,349 5,219 5,264 5,353 -0.1
Household appliances 2,406 2,393 2,336 40.5 +24 -2.0 2,355 2,281 2,283 2,375 -0.8
Electric lighting and

wiring equipment . . . 3,771 3,694} 3,604) 421] 42.5] +10] 3,843] 3,663 3.680} 3,570] +76
Household audio and

video equipment .. . . : 1,069 1,066 1,023) +03) +42] -99 1,107 1,140 1,122 1,085] +2.0
Communications equipment 11,020) 10,921) 10,818] +09) +10] +06) inisa] 10,950] 11112] 10469] +65
Electronic components ......... | 14.724] 14554] 14561] +12 00] +06) 14,728) 14354] 14814} i477] 43.9

Transportation equipment .. -
Motor vehicles and parts . -
Aircraft, missiles,

70,430 70,749 70,868 0.5 0.2 -2.1 70,992 71,147 71,927 77,643 8.6
17,584 17,420 17,569 +0.9 0.8 -0.6 17,559 17,492 17,955 16,765 +47

space vehicles, and parts. . 46,556] 47,276} 47,082 1s] +04 3.2] 47,207} 47,687] 47,669] 55,267| 14.6
Shipbuilding and tanks ....... . 2,226] 2211 2,266] +0.7 24] +19} 21169 2,207 2,278 1,786} +214
Instruments and related products . . . . 27,082] 27,098] — 27,060 01] +01] +05] 27,207} 27,106} 27,591] 26.750] +1.7
Search and navigation equipment 6,988 6,971 6789] 40.2) 42.7 0.0 6,960 6,960 6,974 6,708] +38
Measuring and controlling devices . 8,220 8,230 8,267 “0.1 04) +18 8,201 8,209 8,402 7,982} +2.7
Medical instruments and supplies 8,772 8,810 8,842 -0.4 “0.4 0.0 8,873 8,791 9,008 8585] 43.4
Photographic goods . 2,351 2,331 2,406 +0.9 “3.1 “Ll 2,422 2,401 2,454 2,751 12.0
Alll other durable goods ......... 28,875] 28,839] 28,925] —+0.1 -0.3 0.2] 28,952] 28,883] 28.955] 28,387] +2.0
Nondurable goods industries... . . 173,863 | 172,768] 171,890) +06} +05} +0.2] 175,147] 172,771] 172,048] 173,135] +12
With unfilled orders 40,649| 40,613] 40.391 +0.1 +05 0.2] 40,485] 40,774] 41,032] 41,375 22
Food and kindred products... .. 38,674} 38,139) 38,018] +14] +03 0.0} 40,815} 38,860] 37,693] 39,453] 43.5
Meat products .. . tenes 4,438] 4,380] 4340] +13] +09] +13 4,430 4315 4251 4,038] +9.7
Dairy products : : 3,937 3,892 3,909} +12 04] +09 3,937 3,855 3.979 3,803] +3.
Beverages 8,663 8,600 8,726] +0.7 14} 404 8,879 8,694 8,540 8450] +51
Al other foods, except fats and oils 19,951} 19,651] 19,466] +15] +1.0 04] 21,765] 20,524] 19,505] 21,052] +34
Tobacco products... . . fees 5,180 5.177 5149] 401] 40.5 -0.2 5,366 5,014 4,805 6.154] -128
Textile mill products»... 2.2... 10,067} 10,112} 10,030 04] 40.8 00} 9,905 9.975] 10,086} — 10,095 +19
Broadwoven fabrics and
other textiles .. . vee : 6,084 6,113 6,126 -05 02} +02 5,993 5,991 6,139 6,307 “5.0
Paper and allied products»... ; 16,125] 16,133] 15,928 oo} 413 05] 15,892] 16,003] 15,887] 16,260 23
Pulp, paper, and
Paperboard mill products... . . 6,307 6,324 6,326 03 0.0 “13 6,215 6,260 6,300 6,667 68
Paperboard containers and boxes 4,245 4,179 4,053 +16 43.1 +2.0 4,168 4,170 4,041 4,108 +15
Miscellaneous converted
Paper products . . . fee 5,873 5,630 5,549 “10, +15 “14 5,509 5,573 5,546 5.485] +04
Chemicals and allied products 46,764 46,546 46,619 40.5 0.2 0.5 46,275 45,926 46,588 45,792 +L
Industrial chemicals... 19.203} 19,176} 19.214] 40,1 -0.2 10] 18,957] 19147] 19.218] 19,632 34
Drugs, soaps, and toiletries... . 21,758] 21,527] 21512] +11 +01 OL} 21,723} 21,215] 21,787] 20,566] -+3.6
Petroleum and coal products ..... . . 12,012 11,887 11,588 +11 42.6 +4.0 12,253 12,106 11,728 10,939} +12.0
Rubber and plastics products 17,714 17,492 17,261 413 +13 +12 17,379 17,159 17,085 16,278 $6.8
All other nondurable goods ..... 27,327) 27,282] 27,297 40.2 -0.1 +01 27,262] 27,728] 28,176] 28,164 32

* Preliminary. ‘ Revised.
See note at end of table 2 relating to survey error and revision,


10

Total Manufacturing
New Orders and Shipments
Three Month Moving Averages

Billions of Dollars

380 380
New Orders
360 F| Shipments | 2 2 2 2 2 ee - - - - -- - - 4 360
340 340
320 320
300 - ------------- +e - eee eee eee eee eee eee eee 4 300
280 L 1 1 1 . 1 1 L 1 1 L i 1. 280
Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct
Oct. 1997 - Oct. 1999
Total Manufacturing
Ratio of Unfilled Orders and
Inventories to Shipments

/S Ratios UO/S Ratios
2.5 3.7
2.4 3.6
2.3 3.5
2.2 3.4
2.1 3.3

2 3.2
1.9 3.1
1.8 3
1.7 2.9
1.6 2.8
1.5 2.7
1.4 2.6
1.3 TR a ee 428
1.2 1 1 1 1 1 L n it 1 L 1 L L 2.4

Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct
Oct. 1997 - Oct. 1999

Note: All Charts based on seasonally
adjusted current dollars.


Table 6. VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS’ UNFILLED ORDERS AND TOTAL INVENTORIES
FOR TOPICAL SERIES!

(Millions of dollars)

Seasonally adjusted

Not seasonally adjusted

Industry Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent
change
Oct. Sept Aug. | Sept- | Aug | July- Oct. Sept. Aug. Oct. | Oct
1999" 1999" 1999 | Oct. | Sept. | Aug 1999" 1999" 1999 1998 | 99/98
UNFILLED ORDERS
All manufacturing industries 525,188 | 525,439 | 523,262 0.0 +04 +0.5 | 525,099 | 521,233 | 525,024 | 522,765 +0.4
Market categories :
Automotive equipment . 2,553 | 2,505 | 2529] +19] 09} +14] 2,511 2,464 | 2,553 | 2,358 +65
Home goods and apparel 9282 | 9,089 | 8946} 421] +16] -01 9300 | 9122 | 91tS | 8,643 +76
Consumer staples . . 2,984 | 2,860 | 2897 | +43] -13 | +74} 3,002 | 3.045 | 3,382 | 2,100 | +43.0
Machinery and equipment 234,903 | 235,476 | 233,990 02} +06} -06 | 234,537 | 234.774 | 234,054 | 246,688 49
Business supplies . 7326 | 7.248 | 7373 | #1 7] 432] 7,224 | 7344 | 7,813 | 6,584 49.7
Construction materials
and supplies - 17,642 | 17,572 | 17,926 | +04] -20 | -06 | 17,416 | 17,532 | 18,004 | 17,408 0.0
Defense products... . . 88,069 | 86,740 | 87,562 | +15] -09 | -16] 86509 | 84,769 | 86.367 | 89,571 34
Other materials, supplies and
and intermediate products . 162,429 | 163,949 | 162,039 09} +12 | +32 | 164,600 | 162,183 | 163,736 | 149,413 | +102
Durable goods industries :
Nondefense capital goods * 251,760 | 251,830 | 250,671 0.0 +0.5 -0.3 | 251,626 | 251,170 | 250,165 | 262,941 43
Excluding aircraft and parts . 111,802 | 111,349 | 109,751 | +04] 415 |  -0.1 | 111,668 | 110,689 | 109.245 | 106,035 +53
Defense capital goods * .. . 92,690 | 91408 | 92378] +14] -11 “1.5 | 90,985 | 89,380 | 91,158 | 94,174 34
Durables excluding capital goods 155,190 | 157,105 | 154,840 12] 415 | +27 | 157,431 | 155,399 | 157,212 | 142,405 | +106
Miscellaneous series :
Producers’ durable equipment 273,220 | 274,266 | 272,573 04} +06] -05 | 273,004 | 273,439 | 272,815 | 286,521 “47
Household durable goods .. . . 5,747 5,556 5,511 43.4 +08 “17 5,946 5,606 5,628 5,628 45.7
Information technology industries 41,265 | 41,114 | 40,382 | +04] +18] -13 | 41,304 | 4tt6s | 40,594 | 39,967 433
Health care equipment
and products... 9,689 | 9,738 | 9,891 05} -nS | +11 9,878 | 9,669 | 10,004 | 10,089 2A
TOTAL INVENTORIES
All manufacturing industries ©... . 467,044 | 465,669 | 464,351 +03 403 -0.1 { 468,566 | 465,082 | 467,794 | 471,645 -0.7
Market categories :
Automotive equipment 8,894 | 8,740 | 8,786 | +18] -05 | -1.0 | 8837 | 8667 | 9,023 | 8,319 +62
Home goods and apparel 31,606 | 31,591} 31,452 00} +404] -02 | 31.215 | 31,622 | 32,030 | 31.774 “18
Consumer staples : 75,639 | 74,899 | 74649 | 41.0] +403 | +03 | 77,803 | 75,269 | 74,512 | 75,293 +33
Machinery and equipment . 115,981 | 116,051 | 115,663 -0.1 403 Ll | 116,448 | 115,681 | 117,242 | 122,161 4.7
Business supplies . . . 28,304 | 28,390 | 28,227 03 | +06 0.0 | 28,469 | 28,727 | 28,515 ] 28,445 +01
Construction materials
and supplies 30,050 | 29,746 | 29,592 | +10] +05 | +05 | 29,843 | 29,539 | 29,662 | 28,663 +41
Defense products... . . . 18,252 | 18,474 | 18,238 12} +13 | -05 | 18397 | 18,715 | 18,589 | 18,898 27
Other materials, supplies and
and intermediate products 158,318 } 157,778 | 157,744 | +03 0.0 | +03 | 157,554 | 156,862 } 158,221 | 158,092 03
Durable goods industries :
Nondefense capital goods * 107,015 | 107,465 | 107,353 04] +01 -1.0 | 107,651 | 107,358 | 109,022 | 114,349 39
Excluding aircraft and parts 72,483 | 72,476 | 72,409 00} +01 | +06} 72,669 | 72.214 | 73,773 | 71.880 +11
Defense capital goods‘. 18,572 | 18,866 | 18,596 16 | +15 0.1 | 18,739 | 19,153 | 18,999 | 19,242 26
Durables excluding capital goods, 167,594 | 166,570 | 166,512 | +06 0.0 0.0 | 167,029 | 165,800 | 167,725 | 164,919 +13
Miscellaneous series :
Producers’ durable equipment 189,879 | 189,913 | 189,001 0.0 40.5 -0.6 | 190,153 | 189,491 | 191,376 | 194,599 23
Household durable goods 16,294 | 16,289 | 16,248 00 | +03 -0.4 | 16236 | 16,288 | 16.511 | 16,429 “12
Information technology industries 33,073 | 33,523 | 33,484 3] +01] +19 | 33.219 | 33,537 | 34,575 | 32,841 12
Health care equipment :
and products... 20,554 | 20,467 | 20,489 | +04]  -0.1 0.0 | 20,634 | 20,280 | 20,800 | 19,723 +4.6

See footnotes at end of table 5

See note at end of table 2 relating to survey error and revision.


Table 5. VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS’ SHIPMENTS AND NEW ORDERS
FOR TOPICAL SERIES'
(Millions of dollars)

Seasonally adjusted Not seasonally adjusted ?
Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent Year to date
Industry change
Oct. | Sept} Aug. | Sept- | Aug-] July-] Oct. | Sept} Aug. | Oct. | Oct
1999°} 1999} 1999} Oct. | Sept.] Aug} 1999"] 1999'} 1999] 1998 | 99/98 | 1999" | 1998
SHIPMENTS
All manufacturing industries. . 360,255] 358,709] 361,844) 40.4] -0.9]- +1.3] 370,154] 384,195] 363,407] 350,525] +5.6] 3,529,290 ]3,368,786
Market categories =
Automotive equipment... .. 16,102| 16,584] 16,909] -2.9]  -1.9 +0.6 17,935] 17,914] 17,352) 17,281] +3.8] 163,807] 145,378
Home goods and apparel. ‘| 20011] 19,711] 20,051] +15] -1.7| +0.1] 21,944] 22,023] 21,249] 20,595] +6.6} 200,243] 190,251
Consumer staples... ... ..| 76.033] 757589] 75.085) +06] +0.7]  +1.5| 78.353] 79,898] 76,810} 71,153] +10.1] 732,396] 689,727
Machinery and equipment... . . 69,104] 67,932] 70348] +17] -3.4] 41.9] 68.278| 75,318] 66,796] 66,124] +3.3) 672,985] 636,024

Business supplies . .
Construction materi:

. oe 26,988} 26,898) 26,885] +03 0.0] +0.7] 27,853} 28,057] 27,108) 26,308) $5.9] 264,081] 254,569

and supplies. .............-.{ 23,314] 23,372) 23,594] 0.2} -0.9] +0.9] 24,299] 24,912] 24,830] 22,944} +5.9] 232,162] 218,107
Defense products. eri} 6.719} 6678} -0.1] 40.6 -1.6] 6.692] 7,134] 6.454] 7,184] -6.8} 66,578] 68,162
Other materials, supplies and

and intermediate products 121,992} 121,904] 122,294] 40.1] -0.3] +1.4) 124,800} 128,939} 122,808] 118,936] +4.9] 1,197,038 1,166,568

Durable goods industries

Nondefense capital goods’ ......| 56,514] 54,891] 57,287] +3.0]  -4.2) 42.1) 53,946] 61,867} 53,421] 51,412) +4.9] 540,263] 508,221
Excluding aircraft and parts 48,448] 47,392] 47,915] +22] -1.1] —-1.8) 46.403] 53,933] 44,621] 43,008] +7.9] 459,178] 432,924
Defense capital goods * ....... 6472| 6.455] 6,468) +03} -0.2]  -1.8] 6482/6851] 6,213] 7,003] 7.4) 64,089] 64,934
Durables excluding capital goods . | 139,584] 140,549] 141.954] -0.7|_ -1.0} +1.0] 146,601] 150,588] 143,589) 140,710] +4.2} 1,390,193 |1,309,880
Miscellaneous series :
Producers’ durable equipment . . 131,949] 130,948] 134,795] 40.8] -2.9]  +1.2| 134,676) 143,098] 131,678] 129,912] — +3.7] 1,301,226 }1,218,169
Household durable goods... . 10537 10.277) 10,642) +25] -3.4| +0.5] 11,219] 11,518| 10,707] 10,080] +11.3] 103,527] 92,935
Information technology industries 28.740] 27.163] 27,719] +58] -2.0] 4.2} 26,639] 32,303] 25,409] 23,285] +14.4] 262,913] 240,548
Health care equipment
EO ee 13,369] 13,366] 13,285] 0.0] +0.6] +17] 13,196] 14,854] 13,009] 11,836] +11.5] 129,579] 118,193
NEW ORDERS
All manufacturing industries 360,004] 360,886] 364,440} -0.2] -1.0]_ +1.3] 374,020} 380,404] 365,069] 347,900} +7.5]3,541,352 3,359,993
Market categories :
Automotive equipment .. . ..} 16,150} 16,559} 16,945] -2.5|  -2.3} +09] 17,982] 17,825] 17,422] 17,276] +4.1] | 163,913] 145,250
Home goods and apparel... . - 20.204] 19,854] 20,041] +18} -0.9] 0.2] 22,122] 22,029] 21,071] 20,725] +6.7) 201,231] 190,337
Consumer staples ..........-.-| 76,157] 73,552) 73,285] +08] +04) +1.7| 78,311] 79,561] 77,047] 70,795} +10.6] 733,136] 689,778
Machinery and equipment ....... | 68,532| 69,418] 69,020] -1.3]  +0.6] +1.5] 68,041} 76,037] 65,412] 63,425} +73) 666,943} 639,970
Business supplies .............| 27,066] 26,773] 27,116| +11] -1.3) +1.4] 27,733] 27,588] 27,393] 25,897] +7.1) 264,785} 254,720

Construction materials
and supplies

Defense products. vee

Other materials, supplies and

23,384] 23,017] 23,479) +1.6} -2.0| -0.1] 24,183] 24,440] 24,637) 22,690 +6.6| 232,339) 217,888
8,040 5,898] 5,254] +36.3) +123) -21.7] 8,432 5,536 3,950] 6,119) +37.8 62,172] 60,188

and intermediate products ...... | 120,471] 123,815] 127,300] -2.7] -2.7] +2.6| 127,216] 127,388] 128,137] 120,973] +5.2] 1,216,833 }1, 161,862
Durable goods industries :
Nondefense capital goods’ ......] 56,444] 56,050] 56,423] +0.7]  -0.7] +25) $4,402] 62,872} 52,455] 48,453] +123] 534,799) 509,946
Excluding aircraft and parts ....| 48,901] 48,990] 47,770] -0.2] +2.6] -2.0] 47,382) 55,377] 44,374] 41,826] +133) 464,261} 435,787
Defense capital goods * . : 7754] 5,485] 5,048) 441.4] +87] -22.1] 8.087] 5,073] 3,667] 5,735] +41.0] 59,361] 56,892

Durables excluding capital goods . | 137,669] 142,814] 145,975] -3.6] 2.2} +1.4] 148,633] 148,775] 148,040] 143,345] +3.7/ 1,410,336 |1,309,383

Miscellaneous series :

Producers’ durable equipment .... | 130,903] 132,641] 133,345] -1.3] -0.5] +1.1] 134,241] 143,722) 130,412] 127,504] +5.3) 1,294,675 [1,221,576
Household durable goods .......{ 10,728) 10,322/ 10.545] +39] -2.1] -1.0] 11,559] 11,496] 10,575] 10,266] +126) 104,312) 92,780
Information technology industries 28.891] 27895] 27202] +36] +25] -6.1] 26,778] 32,874] 24,857) 23,198] +15.4] 265,101] 242,545
Health care equipment

and produdts ....... 5. 13,320] 13,213] 13,393] +08] -1.3) +14] 13,405] 14,519| 13,354] 12,228] +9.6) 129,832] 119,818

* Preliminary. ‘ Revised

' Topical series are regroupings of the separate industry categories.

2 Shipments and new orders are the totals for the period and are adjusted for trading-day and calendar-month variations.

* Nondefense capital goods industries include : ordnance and accessories; steam, gas and hydraulic turbines; internal combustion engines; construction, mining, and materi
handling equipment; metalworking machinery; special industry machinery; general industrial machinery; computer and office equipment; refrigeration, heating and servi

industry machinery; electrical transmission and distribution equipment; electrical industrial apparatus; communications equipment; aircraft, missiles, space vehicles, and engin:
and parts; ships and tank components; railroad equipment; and search and navigation equipment.

* Defense capital goods industries include ; ordnance and accessories; communications equipment; aircraft, missiles, space vehicles, and engines and parts; ships, tan
and tank components; and search and navigation equipment.

See note at end of table 2 relating to survey error and revision.


Table 8. RATIOS OF MANUFACTURERS’ INVENTORIES TO SHIPMENTS AND
UNFILLED ORDERS TO SHIPMENTS, BY INDUSTRY GROUP
(Based on seasonally adjusted data)

Inventory / Shipments ratio Unfilled Orders / Shipments ratio’
Industry Oct. Sept. Aug. July Oct. Sept. Aug. July
199° 1999" 1995 1999 1999 1999" 1995 1999
All manufacturing industries... . 130 130 1.28 130 2.56 258 2.53 2.55
Durable goods industries . . . . 145 1.45 1.42 144 2.99 3.02 2.95 2.98
Stone, clay, and glass products : ind) 1.10 1.10 110 0.72 071 0.70 0.73
Primary metals... . : . 157 135 1:56 139 2.13 2.10 2.10 pall
Fabricated metal products. . 134 153 149 152 129 130 129 131
Industrial machinery and equipment U3i 139 1.55 132 2.13 224 25 2.10

Electronic and other

electrical equipment 1.20 118 117 117 2.16 2.14 2.04 1.94
‘Transportation equipment : 1.48 1.46 139 1.48 8.77 8.77 8.23 8.96
Instruments and related products . . . 182 1:83 187 188 3.09 3.13 32 3.28
Nondurable goods industries : 1.10 1.10 1.10 Lu 0.68 0.67 0.67 0.65
Food and kindred products |... 091 091 091 0.92 (X) (X) (X) (X)
Tobacco products. _ : 17 121 121 121 (%) () x) (x)
Textile mill products . - 152 136 134 133 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
Paper and allied products 117 17 V4 118 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
Chemicals and allied prod : 132 133 133 136 (xX) (%) (%) (X)
Petroleum and coal products Le 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.77 (X) (X) (X) (X)
Rubber and plastics products... . 129 128 1.25 127 &) & (00) (X)

* Preliminary. ‘Revised. (X) Not applicable. (NA) Not available.

' Excludes the following industries with no unfilled orders : Wood and lumber products, glass containers; metal cans, barrels and drums; farm and garden machinery;
motor vehicle assembly operations; other transportation equipment; foods and related products; tobacco; knitting mill products; apparel and related products; chemicais:
petroleum and coal products; and rubber and plastics products.

Table 9. REVISIONS TO PREVIOUSLY PUBLISHED MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES
(Based on seasonally adjusted data)

Shipments New orders Unfilled orders Inventories
Industry
Oct. Oct. Oct. Oct.
Oct? 1998- Oct? 1998- Oct? 1998- Oct? 1998-
Oct.! 1994- Sept. Oct.! 1994- Sept. Oct. 1994- Sept. Oct.' 1994- Sept.
1999 1998 1999 1999 1998 1999 1999 1998 1999 1999 1998 1999
All manufacturing industries... . . (x) 02 0.1 (x) 01 02 (~~ 01 0.1 (x) 0.1 0.0
Durable goods industries ......... 04 02 01 1 02 04 04 ol 01 (x) 0.1 0.0
Stone, clay, and glass products fol, ) 04 04 oa) 03 04 () 08 05 () 02 02
Primary metals see 0.1 04 0.2 0.1 08 08 03 03 04 (xX) 0.0 0.0
Fabricated metal pr . (X) On 02 (xX) 05 05 (X) 04 03 (X) Ol O01
Industrial machinery and equipment . 69 04 04 ld 04 03 0.0 02 Ol () Ol 0.1
Electronic and other

electrical equipment... sf 03 03 04 49 09 14 34 04 07 (X) 01 02
Transportation equipment . | 06 04 0.5 21 09 09 -03 Ol 01 (x) 05 02
Instruments and related products . : (X) 02 0.5 9) Md Ld (xX) 03 03 (X) 0.2 0.1
Nondurable goods industries . (xX) 02 01 (X) 02 01 (X) 0.2 02 (xX) 01 0.1
Food and kindred products . (xX) 05 02 (X) (X) (X) (X) (xX) (X) (X) 02 02
Tobacco products . (x) 01 01 (X) (X) (X) (xX). (X) (X) (Xx) 0.0 01
Textile mill product . . (X) 02 03 (xX) (NA) (NA) (X) (NA) (NA) (Xx) 0.1 0.1
Paper and allied products «2. ): &) 01 02 (x) | eva) | (NA) (x) | (NA) | (NA) & 0.0 Ol
Chemicals and allied products ..... (X) 02 02 (xX) (xX) (xX) (X) (X) (X) (xX) 01 01
Petroleum and coal products (xX) 02 0.5 (X) (X) (xX) (X) (X) (X) (X) 02 0.5
Rubber and plastics products |. &) 02 02 (X) (X) (&) (Xx) (xX) (X) (x) 02 02

Capital goods industries :
Nondefense .. see 07 03 02 16 05 0s 05 01 0.1 (x) 03 0.1
Defense ..... - tee 33 08 06) -127 42 44 03 02 03 (X) 04 02

(X) Not applicable. (NA) Not available.

Note : The five year and the twelve month revisions are the differences between the month-to-month percent changes of the preliminary and final estimates. The
monthly averages are the simple averages of the absolute values of the differences for the months specified. The advance to final percent change revisions for the
durable goods industries are shown in the advance report for the month.

' The current month revisions are the difference between the advance percent change and the percent change as shown in this publication
? Average for this month for the last five years.
See note at end of table 2 relating to survey error and revision.


CURRENT INDUSTRIAL REPORTS

ie
\E/

U. S. Department of Commerce
Economics and Statistics Administration
BUREAU OF THE CENSUS

Manufacturers’ Shipments,
Inventories, and Orders

October 1999
M3-1-(99)-10
For Wire Transmissions 10:00 a.m, E.S.T. December 3, 1999

For Data - (301) 457-4673
For Questions - Frances Porter or Lee Wentela
(301) 457-4804 or (301) 457-4832

All figures in text are in seasonally adjusted current dollars

Summary

New orders for manufactured goods in October decreased
$0.9 billion or 0.2 percent to $360.0 billion, the Department of
Commerce, Bureau of the Census reported today. This follows
a 1.0 percent September decrease. Excluding transportation, new
orders decreased 0.5 percent. Year-to-date, new orders are 5.4
percent above the same period a year ago.

Shipments increased $1.5 billion or 0.4 percent to $360.3
billion, following a 0.9 percent September decrease. This is the
fifth increase in the last six months. Year-to-date, shipments are
4.8 percent above the same period a year ago.

Unfilled orders decreased $0.3 billion to $525.2 billion,
following a 0.4 percent September increase. This is the first
decrease since June. The unfilled orders-to-shipments ratio was
2.56, down from 2.58 in September.

Inventories increased $1.4 billion or 0.3 percent to $467.0
billion, following a 0.3 percent September increase. The
inventories-to-shipments ratio was 1.30, unchanged from
September.

New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in October

decreased $2.5 billion or 1.2 percent to $201.9 billion, revised
from the previously published 1.3 percent decrease.

Electronic and other electrical equipment had the largest
decrease, $4.0 billion or 10.4 percent to $34.7 billion. This is
the first decrease since May 1999 and the largest since July
1997. Industrial machinery and equipment increased $0.7 billion
or 1.7 percent to $39.7 billion. Transportation equipment, up
five of the last six months, increased $0.6 billion or 1.3 percent
to $47.2 billion.

New orders for nondurable goods, up five of the last six
months, increased $1.6 billion or 1.0 percent to $158.1 billion.
Paper and allied products and chemicals and allied products had
the largest increases.

Shipments

Shipments of durable goods in October increased $0.7
billion or 0.3 percent to $202.6 billion, revised from the
previously published 0.7 percent increase. This is the fifth
increase in the last six months.

Industrial machinery and equipment had the largest
increase, $1.9 billion or 4.9 percent to $39.6 billion.
Transportation equipment decreased $0.8 billion or 1.7 percent
to $47.7 billion. Electronic and other electrical equipment, down
three consecutive months, decreased $0.5 billion or 1.4 percent
to $34.8 billion.

Shipments of nondurable goods increased $0.9 billion or
0.6 percent to $157.7 billion, This is the sixth consecutive
increase. Chemicals and allied products, up six consecutive
months, increased $0.5 billion or 1.3 percent to $35.5 billion.

Unfilled Orders

Unfilled orders for durable goods in October decreased $0.7
billion or 0.1 percent to $499.6 billion, revised from the
previously published 0.5 percent decrease. This is the first
decrease since June. Transportation equipment, down nine
consecutive months, had the largest decrease, $0.5 billion or 0.2
percent to $225.7 billion. Instruments and related products,
down five consecutive months, decreased $0.3 billion or 0.7
percent to $46.0 billion.

Inventories

Inventories of durable goods in October increased $0.3
billion or 0.1 percent to $293.2 billion.

Electronic and other electrical equipment had the largest
increase, $0.4 billion or 1.1 percent to $42.0 billion. This is the
eighth increase in the last nine months and the largest since
February. Transportation equipment, down seven of the last
fi ht months, decreased $0.3 billion or 0.5 percent to $70.4

iflion,

Inventories of nondurable goods, up seven of the last eight
months, increased $1.1 billion or 0.6 percent to $173.9 billion.
Food and kindred products had the largest increase, $0.5 billion
or 1.4 percent to $38.7 billion.

By stage of fabrication, October finished goods increased
0.4 percent in durables and 1.0 percent in nondurables. Work in
process increased 0.2 percent in durables and 1.1 percent in
nondurables. Materials and supplies decreased 0.2 percent in
durables and 0.1 percent in nondurables.

Our internet address is: http://www.census.gov/indicator/www/m3

‘The advance report on durable goods for November is scheduled for December 23, 1999 at 8:30 a.m. and the full report on January 5, 2000 at 10:00a.m. For sale by the Superintendent
of Documents. U.S. Government Printing Office. Washington, DC 20402. This report is available on the day of issue through the Department of Commerce's online Economic Bulletin


Nondefense Capital Goods 1

New Orders and Shipments
Three Month Moving Averages
Billions of Dollars
62 62

New Orders

Shipments

42 1 it 1 it L L J. L 1 il L 1 L 42
Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct

Oct. 1997 - Oct. 1999

Defense Capital Goods

New Orders and Shipments
Three Month Moving Averages

Billions of Dollars
10 10

New Orders
g--------------------------------------

Shipments

alu n L L i Ll i i L L L L Lt 4
Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct

Oct. 1997 - Oct. 1999

Note: All Charts based on seasonally
adjusted current dollars.


Table 7. VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS’ INVENTORIES, BY STAGE OF FABRICATION,

BY INDUSTRY GROUP
(Millions of dollars)

Seasonally adjusted

Not seasonally adjusted

Industry Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent
change
Oct Sept. Aug. | Sept- | Aug- | July- Oct. Sept. Aug. Oct. | Oct.
1999" 1999" 1999 | Oct. | Sept. | Aug. 199° | 1999" 1999 1998 | 99/98
MATERIALS AND SUPPLIES
All manufacturing industries 153,884 | 154,150 ] 153,426] 0.2] +05 | -03 | 154,542 | 154,734 } 153,694 | 156,447 “12
Durable goods industries . 92,769 | 92,990 | 92,531 02] +05] -04 ] 93336 | 93,844 | 93,290 | 93,872 0.6
Stone, clay, and glass products 3.269 | 3:269 | 3246 00] +07} +13 | 3270 | 3299 | 3276 | 3:13 45.0
Primary metals»... : 7413 | 7.428 | 7397 02] +04] +01 7601 | 7575 | 7,468 | 8,102 62
Fabricated metal products 10,646 | 10,684 | 10,583 04] +10] +04] 10632 | 10,787 | 10618 | 10,711 0.7
Industrial machinery and equipment | 19,808 | 20,137 | 19,875 16] +13 | -04 | 19,764 | 20,388 | 20,159 | 19;621 +0.7
Electronic and other
electrical equipment . . 16306 | 16,205 | 16.112 | +06] +06] -19] 16,492] 16,268 | 16367 | 16039 | +28
Transportation equipment 15:66 | 15,259 | 15,209 oo} +03} -13 | 15,132 | 15300 | 15,205 | 15,482 23
Instruments and related products 9193 | 9124 | os2] +08] 03 | +08 | 9196 | 914 9281 257 “0.7
Lumber, furniture and
miscellaneous durable goods 10,868 | 10,884 | 10,957 0.1] 07] +03} 11,249 | 11,082 | 10,916 | 11,547 -2.6
Nondurable goods industries 61,115 | 61,160 | 60,895 0.1 | +04] -02 | 61,206 | 60,890 | 60,404 | 62,575
Food and kindred products - 11213 | 11367 | 11,513 4} -13] -03 | 1500 | 1i70 | rh2ia | 11713
Tobacco products... . 421 | 4588 | 4553 | 407 | 407 | 03 680 3455 | 4333 | 5,184
Textile mill products’: 2916 | 2911 | 2875 | +02] +13 | 41:7 | 2836 | 2/866 | 2873 | 2/863
Paper and allied products 71746 | 7803 | 7.713 0.7} +12 00 | 7.722 | 7/807 | 7.679 | _7'970
Chemicals and allied products 151297 | 15.239 | 15303 | +04} -04 | -22 | 15:97 | 15,212 | 15,261 | 15:481 8
Petroleum and coal products 3561 | 3456 | 3280 | 43.0] +54] +06] 3624] 31430] 3270 | 3°24) 118
Rubber and plastics products 7070 | 7,108 | 7.048 | 05] +09] +19] 7019] 7113 | 6975 | 6798 $33
Apparel. printing and publishing
and leather goods 8,691 8.688 | 8.611 oo] +09] +12] 8628 | 8828] 8,799 | 9,325 18
WORK IN PROCESS
All manufacturing industries 146,124 145,587 145,232 +04 +02 -13 147,837 145,919 147,284 $54,277 42
Durable goods industries . 115,596 | 115,393 | 115,260} +02] +01 -13 | 116361 | 115,611 | 117,387 | 123,982
Stone, clay, and glass products . 569 531 i516 | 425] +10 | +32 1498 | 1/499 13535 1,282
Primary metals 8,181 8094 | 821 | +11 |) 03 | 06 | 8125 | soso | 88s | 8514
Fabricated metal ‘products 9121 | 9042 | 8970 | +09] +08 0.0 | 9195 | 9130 | 94083 | 94159
Industrial machinery and equipment | 21.584 | 21336 | 21582 | 412] -1d -12 | 21,721 | 21.269 | 22,067 | 22'946
Electronic and other
electrical equipment . 14,029 | 13,987 | 14,057 | +03} -05 | -04 ] 14,000 | 13,909 | 14,366 | 14,093
Transportation equipment |... . 45315 | 45,614 | 45.435 | -07} +04 | -30 | 46,069 | 45934 | 46,239 | 52/895
Instruments and related products 10,153 | 10,161 } 10,024 0.1} +14] +10 | 10,108 | 10,079 | 10.276 | ~9:867
Lumber, furniture and
miscellaneous durable goods 5.644 | 5628 | 5,555} 403} 413) +430] 5643] 5711 5,636 | 5,226
Nondurable goods industries . . 30,528 | 30,194 | 29972] +11] +07] -12 | 31,476 | 30,308 | 29,897 | 30,295 $3.9
Food and Kindred products - 246 | 6.116 109 | 421] 401 05 2984 | 6.125 | 5.637 352 +99
Tobacco products. 101 87 7%] +161] +115 | -49 122 86 76 106 | +15.1
Textile mill products: : 2453 | 2448 | 2420] +02] +12 | 21] 2472 | 2,462 | 2429 | 2,650 6.7
Paper and allied products 1.728 1711 1664 | +10] +28) +01 1,647 1,689 1.671 1485 | +109
Chemicals and allied products 8979 | 8918 | 8860 | +07] +407] 29] 8960 | 8.801 8953 | 8719 | 428
Petroleum and coal products 2'871 2901 | 21854 “0 ] +16] +84 2949 | 2975 | 2.903 | 24681 | +100
Rubber and plastics products 2271 2281 | 2260 04] +09] 20] 2286 | 2.282 | 2.258 | 2.216 $3.2
Apparel, printing and publishing
and leather goods : 579 | 5,732 | 3,27 | +26] +01 32 | 6056 | 5,888 | 5,968 | 6,086 “0.5
FINISHED GOODS
All manufacturing industries 167,036 | 165,932 | 165,693 | +0.7] +01 | +10 | 166,187 | 164,429 | 166,816 | 160.921 433
Durable goods industries. . 84816 | 84,518 | 84,670 | +04] 02] +10 | 83,722 | 82,856 | 85,069 | 80,656 43.8
Stone, clay, and glass products 4973 | 4924 | 4964 | +10} -08 | 434] 4705 | 4.751 | 4'881 | 4.499 | +46
Primary metals. 8.225 | 81130 | 842} 412} 0.1 | 40.1 | 81052 | 8022 | 8.133 | 81078 03
Fabricated metal products |. mis7i | i436 | ina7s | +10] -02 | -02 | 11.250 | 11074 | 11348 | 10.897 43.2
Industrial machinery and equipment 18.479 | 18,666 | 18.533 -10| 40.7 | +30 | 18283 | 18106 | 18;492 | 18,143 +08
Electronic and other
electrical equipment . 11,620 | 11,326 | 11,035 | +426] +26] +433 | 11,680] 11018 | 11,295 | 10524} +110
Transportation equipment 849 9,876 10,224 03 34 +08 9,791 9,913 10,483 9,266 45.7
Instruments and related products 7.736 | 7813 | 7/884 10} 09} 06 | 7.903 | 7:882 | 8.034 | 7635 335
Lumber, furniture and
miscellaneous durable goods 12363 | 12327 | 12413. | 403} 0.7 | 20 12,090 | 12,403 | 11,614 43.8
Nondurable goods industries 82,220 | 81414 | 81.023 | +10] +05 | +10 81,573 | 81,747 | 80,265 42.7
Food and kindred products 21215 | 20656 | 20396 | 427] +13 | +03 2.565 | 20842 | 21388 44.4
Tobacco products 458 502 316] 88] 27] +12 473, 64 | 34.7
Textile mill products 4,698 4,753 4,735 -12 +04 +0.2 4,647 4 388 4,582 +03
Paper and allied products 6651 | 6619 | 658i | +05] +10] 13 6.507 | 6.5 6,805 “41
Chemicals and allied products 22,488 | 22389 | 22,456 | +04] -03 | +17 21913 21,592 424
Petroleum and coal products Ssg0 | “S530 | “S434 ] +09] +14] +40 5692 S017 | +132
Rubber and plastics products ||. 8373 | 8103 | 7.956 | 433] +18] +16 7.164 7264 | +112
Apparel, printing and publishing
and leather goods . . 12,757 | 12,862 | 12,959 | -08 | -07 | +08 13,012 12,753 “1A

* Preliminary. ‘ Revised.

See note at end of table 2 relating to survey error and revision.


Table 3. VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS’ UNFILLED ORDERS FOR INDUSTRY GROUPS
(Millions of dollars)

Seasonally adjusted

Not seasonally adjusted

Industry Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent
change
Oct. Sept. Aug. Sept.- Aug.- July- Oct. Sept. Aug. Oct. Oct.
1999" 199° 1999] Oct.|— Sept.| Aug. 1999" 199° 1999 1998] 99/98
All manufacturing industries 525,188] 525,439] 523,262 oo] +04]  +0.5| 525,099] 521,233] $25,024} 522,765] +04
Manufacturing industries
without defense capital goods . . 432,498 | 434,031] 430,884 “0.4 +0.7 +0.9| 434,114] 431,853] 433,866} 428,591 +13
Durable goods industries 499,640] 500,343] 497,889 01] +05] +04} 500,042] 495,949] 498,535] 499,520] +0.1
Stone, clay, and glass products . . 6,142] 6,057 5,969] +14] +15 09} 6,066] 6,047 5,985 6,178 -18
Primary metals. 32316] 32,114] 31951] +06) +05) +14] 30668] 31,194] 31,804] 27,850} +101
Blast furnaces, steel ‘mills 12,957 12,892 12,775 +0.5 40.9 +19 12,076 12,327 12,667 10,633 +13.6
Iron and steel foundries 4,901 4,876 4971 +0.5 19 +16 4,736 4,738 4,922 5,340] -11.3
Nonferrous and other Primary
metals : 14,458) 14,346] 14,205} +08} +10) +10] 13,896] 14,129] 14,215) 11,877] 416.7
Fabricated metal products ........ | 24,762] 25,024) 25,233 -1.0 08} +01] 24,526] 25,063] 25,496] 25,944 5.5
Industrial machinery and equipment. 80.957| 80813] 79.478] +02) +1.7| +05) 80,947] 80,213] 78,889] 74,156] +9.2
Engines and turbines : 24.061| 23,866] 22,781) +408) +48) 412] 24,589] 24,055) 22,496] 17,325] +41.9
Construction, mining and
material handling equipment 8,560 8,719] 8,926 “18 23 08] 8,250] 8,336] 8,592] 9,689] -14.9
Metalworking machinery 7,087 7,132] 7,010 06; +17] +06] 7,087] 7,132] 7,010] 6,894) 42.8
Computer and office equipment 8,197 8,384 8,479 22 ll} +17 8,247 8,448 8,694] 7,885] +4.6
Electronic and other
electrical equipment 75,346] 75,452] 72,025 ol} 448] 44.8] 79,703] 74,178] 73,728] 62,795] +26.9
Electrical transmission and
distribution equipment and
industrial apparatus . . . 6,927] 6,789] 6818] +20 04] 448] 69191 6,685 6858] 6374] $8.6
Electric lighting and
wiring equipment . . 5,082 5,009) 3,302] +15 “55 “14 5,082 5,009] 5,302 5,006] +15
Communications equipment 21,263} 19,162] 17,794] #110] +7.7 2.0} 21,747] 18,743] 17,748} 17,500] +24.3
Electronic components 36,336 | 38,883] 36,404 66) +68] +107} 40,180] 38,253] 38,130] 27,937] +43.8
Transportation equipment . 225,709 | 226,222] 228,184 0.2 0.9 -0.9| 223,824] 224,857] 227,404] 246,459 92
Aircraft, missiles,
space vehicles, and parts. 191,116] 191,783] 193,193 03 -0.7 -0.7| 189,467] 190,471} 192,289] 210,264 99
Shipbuilding and tanks . . 18,213] 18,216} 18,648 0.0 23 25] 18,252] 18,271] 18,682] 18,511 -14
Instruments and related products 45,999] 46.329] 46,686] -0.7 0.8 08} 45,630] 45,955] 46,532] 47,651 42
Search and navigation equipment 25,364] 25,581 | 25,817 -08 09] -12] 24,824] 25,284] 25,547] 26,447 “6.1
Measuring and controlling devices 10,085] 10,177] 10,150 09] +03 <7] 10,085] 10,177] 10,150] 10,214 “13
Medical instruments and supplies 9648 9,697] 9,849 0.5 AS] +11 9836] 9.627] 9,960} 10,047 21
All other durable goods 8.409] 8,332 8363] — +0.9 04 -0.6| 8,678 8,442] 8,697 8487, +23
Nondurable goods industries 25,548] 25,096] 25,373] +18 li] 433] 25,057] 25,284] 26,489] 23,245] +7.8

” Preliminary. ‘ Revised.

See note at end of table 2 relating to survey error and revision.


Table 2. VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS’ NEW ORDERS FOR INDUSTRY GROUPS

(Millions of dollars)
Seasonally adjusted Not seasonally adjusted!
Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent Year to date
Industry change
Oct} Sept.] Aug. | Sept- | Aug-| July-] Oct. | Sept] Aug. | Oct. | Oct.
1999°| 1999] 1999} Oct. | Sept. Aug.] 1999"] 1999'} 1999] 1998] 99/98} 1999] 1998
All manufacturing industries 360,004] 360,886] 364,440} -0.2) 1.0] +1.3} 374,020] 380,404] 365,069] 347,900] +7.5]3,541,352 [3,359,993
Manufacturing industries
with unfilled orders... 204,886] 205,678] 209,239]  -0.4 1.7} 1.2) 212,167] 217,318] 206,422] 198,008] — +7.2] 2,018,768 {1,921,752
without defense capital goods 352,250) 355,401] 359,392] -0.9] -L.l] +17] 365,933] 375,331] 361,402] 342,165] +6,9] 3,481,991 [3,303,101
Durable goods industries 201,867) 204,349 207,446] -1.2] —-1.5]  +0.9] 211,122] 216,720] 204,162] 197,533] — +6.9] 2,004,496 [1,876,221
With unfilled orders... .. 166,674] 168,229] 170,626] -0.9}  -1.4 +1.1] 173,138} 178,586] 166,472] 160,816] — +7.7] 1,643,251 ]1,548,816
Stone, clay, and glass products 8,953] 8,955] 8,804) 0.0) +17] +3.3} 9,469] 9,518] 9,265] 8,520) +11.1] 86,926] 80,749
Primary metals... . --} 15,370] 15,461] 15,659} -0.6)-1.3)-0.5) 15,021] 15,242) 15,558] 13,123] +145] 150,681] 147,574
Blast furnaces, steel mills... .. 5,930] 5,931] 6,065] 0.0] 2.2) +33] 5,767] 5,609] 5,990] 4,798] +20.2| 58,397] 58,823
Iron and steel foundries 1,494] 1,445} 1,632] +3.4) -11.5] +0.7] 1,553] 1,450] 11,6621 ~— 1,570 -L1} 14,905] 15,163
Nonferrous and other primar
metals... : vee 8,085] 7,962) 1.7) 7,701] 8,183] 7,906} 6,755] +14.0] 77,379] 73,588
Fabricated metal products 20,168} 20,814) — -0.7| 20,862) 21,143) 21,361] 21,088} = -1.1] 205,151] 199,882
Industrial machinery and equipment 39,077] 39,110) +1.7 39,121] 43,040] 36,479] 34,785} +12.5] 382,946] 368,420
Engines and turbines 3,793] 2,998] -25.9 3,057] 4,585] 2,897] 2.994] +2.1] 30,216] 26,694
Construction, mining and
material handling equipment 3,550] 3,586] 3,674] -1.0] 3,551] 3,612} 3,302] 3,839) -7.5] 37,671] 42,147
Metalworking machinery | : 4,025) 3,962} 3,751] +1.6 4,508] 4,474} 3,592] 3,641] +23.8] 36,633) 33,951
Computer and office equipment ...] 12,788) 11.017) 12,112] +16.1 11,296] 13,589] 10,956] 9,522 +18.6) 113,638] 105,288
Electronic and other
electrical equipment - 34,724] 38,734] 38,616] -10.4 40,284) 40,871] 37,824] 37,676] +6.9] 357,336] 314,502
Electrical transmission and
distribution equipment and
industrial apparatus . . . 3,907] 3,904) 4,452) +0.1] -12.3] +10.0f 3,836] 4,326} 4,436] 3,641] +5.4{ 39,021] 36,733
Electric lighting and
wiring equipment ..... . 2,563] 2,242] 2,466] +143] -9.1] -2.3] 2,509] 2,578] 2,463} 2,245] +118] 23,854] 22,194
Communications equipment 10,593] 10,261] 8,361] +32) 422.7] 6.0 10,876] 11,516] 7,295] 7.388] +47.2] 85,263] 71,029
Electronic components 12,027] 16,801] 17,604] -28.4] -4.6]  +5.5] 16,755] 16.257] 17,722] 18,111] 7.5] 153,031 132,366
Transportation equipment 47,217} 46,593] 49,000] +13} 4.91 +3.7) 49,923] 49,046] 48,278} 48,013] +4.0| 466,675] 432,431
Aircraft, missiles,
space vehicles, and parts. 10,829] 9,480] 11,415] +142] -17.0] +10.8] 10,033) 9,687] 9,845] 8,842] +135} 100,657) 102,025
Shipbuilding and tanks 992] 785} 577] +26.4] +36.0] -15.1] 940) 892] 537] -1,930]-51.5] 8,796] 9,958
Instruments and related products 14,533] 14,440] 14,111] +06) +23) -0.4) 14,265] 15,809] 13,632] 13,397] +6.5] 141,695] 136,535,
Search and navigation equipment 2,958] 2,883) 2,813] +26 +25] -2.2) 2,622) 3,161] 2,492) 2.412} 8.7] 29,567] 27,416
Measuring and controlling devices 4,287| 4,334] 4,082] -1.t] +6.2) 2, 4,227] 4,747] 4,042] 3,841] +10.0) 41,411] 39,638
Medical instruments and supplies 4815} 4,823] 4,867 0.2] -09| +06 4,827] 5,236] 4,874] 4,701] -+2.7] 47,780] 46,104
All other durable goods 21,291) 20,921) 21,332) +18] - -0.1] 22,177] 22,051] 21,763} 20,931] +6.0] 213,136} 196,128
Nondurable goods industries 158,137] 156,537} 156,994] +1.0] —-0.3]  +4.7] 162,898] 163,684] 160,907] 150,367] +8.3 | 1,536,856 ]1,483,772
With unfilled orders 38,212) 37,449] 38,613] +2.0] -3.0f_ +1.5] 39,029] 38,732] 39,950] 37,192] +4.9] 375,517] 372,936

” Preliminary. * Revised.

* Shipments and new orders are the totals for the period and are adjusted for trading-day and calendar-month variations

(a) When new orders for a prior month are negative because of cancellations, the percentage change calculation is algebraically negative, even though there is a net «
increase from the prior month to the current month

Note : Estimates of manufacturers’ shipments, inventories and orders are subject to survey error and revision. One major component of survey error is nonsampling
which includes errors of coverage, response, and nonreporting. Since the survey panel is not a probability sample, estimates of sampling error cannot be calculated. Ft
details on survey design, methodology, and data limitations are contained in our most recent annual benchmark publication, Current Industrial Reports: M3-1
“Manufacturers” Shipments, Inventories, and Orders: 1987-1996."


Table 1, VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS’
(Millions of dollars)

SHIPMENTS

FOR INDUSTRY GROUPS

Seasonally adjusted

Not seasonally adjusted!

Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent Year to date
Industry change
Oct. Sept. Aug. | Sept- | Aug-| July- Oct. Sept. Aug. Oct. Oct.
1999" 1999" 1999} Oct. | Sept.] Aug. 1999" 1999" 1999 1998 | 99/98 1999" 1998
All manufacturing industries 360,255] 358,709] 361,844] +0.4] -0.9] — +1.3) 370,154] 384,195] 363,407) 350,525 +5.6} 3,529,290 ]3,368,786
Manufacturing Industries
with unfilled orders. . 205,137} 203,501} 206,643}  +0.8] 1.5] +1.2) 208,301) 221,109] 204,760} 200,633 +3.8 | 2,006,706 |1,930,545
without defense capital goods. 353,783} 352,254] 355,376} +04] -0.9]  +1.3] 363,672} 377,344] 357,194) 343,522 +5,9| 3,465,201 ]3,303,852
Durable goods industries 202,570} 201,895} 205,709] +0.3 -1.9] — +1.2] 207,029} 219,306] 203,223) 199,125) +40] 1,994,545 ]1,883,035
With unfilled orders 167,377] 165,775] 168,889] +1.0) -18) +14] 169,045] 181,172] 165,533) 162,408) +4.1] 1,633,300 1,555,630
Stone, clay, and glass products 8,868) 8,867 8,859) 0.0) +01) 43.3) 9,450] 9,456f 9,358) 8,757, +7.9 86,931] 80,747
Primary metals 15,168} 15,298] 15,204] -0.8)  +0.6/  +2.0) 15,547) 15,852] 15,298] 14,935 +4.1] 148,860] 154,062
Blast furnaces, steel ‘mills’. 5,865] 5,814) 5,824] +0.9) 0.2) +2.5] 6,018] 5,949] 5,897| 5,851 42.9 57,356] 62,548
Iron and steel foundries 1,469 1,540) 1,554) -4.6| 0.9 -0.8) 1,555) 1,634 1,575] 1,603} 3.0 15,521 15,299
Nonferrous and other primary
metals . . 7,834 7,944) 7,826) -1.4) +15] +2.2) 7,974] 8,269) 7,826] 7,481 +6.6 75,983} 76,215
Fabricated metal products: . 20,296) 20,377) 20,781 0.4) 1.9) +1.9] 21,399) 21,576) 21,368) 21,391 0.0} 206,059] 200,288
Industrial machinery and equipment .} 39,601] 37,742] 38,691] +4.9) 2.5) -1.9) 38,387] 41,716) 36,108) 35,476) +8.2) 376,440) 367,689
Engines and turbines 2,616] 2,708] 2,732) -3.4] 0.9) +65] 2,523 3,026] 2,467 2,250) +12.1 24,352} 21,903
Farm and garden machinery 1,572) 1,688 1,753) 6.9] 37] 0.5] 1,402) 1,350 1,416) 1,624] -13.7 19,195] 21,285
Construction, mining and
material handling equipment . 3,709] 3,793] 3,743) 22) +13) - 3,637 3,868 3,569) 4,044) -10.1 39,054) 42,824
Metalworking machinery 4,070] 3,840) 3,712) +60) +34) 421 4,553 4,352 3,553) 3,882) +173 35,992} 34,206
Computer and office equipment 12,975] 11,112} 11,972] +16.8} -7.2| 8.8) 11,497] 13,835) 10,849) 9,633) +19.4] 113,332] 105,035
Electronic and other
electrical equipment 34,830) 35,307) 35,339) -1.4 -0.1 -O.1) 34,759] 40,421) 34,123) 32,427 47.2) 335,439) 305,013
Electrical transmission and
distribution equipment and
industrial apparatus 3,769} 3,933) 4,141 42) 5.0] +43) 3,602) 4,499] 4,088 3,522 42.3 38,283| 36,877
Household appliances 2,336) 2,221 2,432] +5.2| 8.7) +06) 2,304) 2,344) 2,474 2,067) +115 23,588] 20,896
Electric lighting and
wiring equipment 2,490) 2,535) 2,539) -1.8] -0.2[ 43.8) 2,436) 2,871 2,536 2,225) +9.5 23,794) 22,115
Household audio and
video equipment . 1,001 1,061 1,090} -5.7| -2.7] -2.6} 1,266) 1,278) 1,138 1,340} “5.5 10,400 9,993
Communications equipment 8,492) 8,893] 8,723] 45) +1 -1.5] 7,872) 10,521 7,679 6,995) +12.5 80,573} 67,860
Electronic components . . 14,574) 14,322) 14,071) +18) +18) -1.4) 14,828] 16,134) 13,894] 13,649] +8.6] 136,506} 125,969
‘Transportation equipment 47,730) 48,555] 50,980} -1.7 4.8] +44) 50,956] 51,593] 51,079] 51,680} -14] 485,435] 440,489
Motor vehicles and parts 32,946] 33,908} 34.669) 8 -2.2[ +03) 36,584) 35,918] 35,318} 35,596} +2.8] 335,722] 298,692
Aircraft, missiles,
space vehicles, and parts. 11,496] 10,890] 12,808) +56) -15.0) +177] 11,037] 11,505) 12,132] 12,335) -10.5} 115,198] 109,881
Shipbuilding and tanks 995) 1,217 1,056) -18.2) +15.) +7.6] 959) 1,303] 1,027) 1,475) 35.0 9,866 9,877
Instruments and related products . 14,863] 14,797) 14,474) +04) +22] +09) 14,590/ 16,386] 13,975] 13,698] 46.5] 143,250] 139,013
Search and navigation equipment 3,175) 3,119] 3,125} +1.8] 0.2) -2.6] 3,082 3,424 3,014] 3,074 +03 B1IT1} 30,212
Measuring and controlling devices . 4379) 4,307) 4,257, +1.7) 1.2) 2.2) 4,319) 4,720) 4,217) 3,838) +12.5 41,511] 40,277
Medical instruments and Supplies 4,864 4,975) 4,759] -2.2) +45) +13) 4,618 5,569] 4,528} 4,309) 472 47,530) 44,481
Photographic goods .. . 1,944) 1,897 1,835} 42.5) 43.4) +12) 2,081 2,149 1,719] 2,032 42.4 18,157] 19,477
All other durable goods 21,214) 20,952} 21,381] +13 -2.0[  -0.2) 21,941} 22,306] 21,914) 20,761 +5.7) 212,130] 195,734
Nondurable goods industries 157,685] 156,814] 156,135) +06) +04)  +1.4) 163,125} 164,889] 160,184] 151,400) +7.7| 1,534,745 [1,485,751
With unfilled orders 37,760) 37,726) 37,754] +0.1 0.1] +0.2) 39,256) 39,937) 39,227) 38,225) +2.7| 373,406) 374,915
Food and kindred Products 42,292) 42,142] 41,767) +04] +09} +1.1] 43,815] 44,064] 42,498] 42,783) +24) 416,049} 407,241
Meat products 9,346 9,211 9,061} +15) +1.7) 43.3) 9,604) 9,457 9,419 8,773) +95 88,771] 87,179
Dairy products 6,450 6,538] 6,511 13] +04) +3.8) 6,759] 6,535 6,339) 0.4 64,261) 61,271
Beverages . . 6,445 6,399] 6,333) +0.7] +10) +03] 6,593) 6,815 6,114 +5.6 63,937} 61,619
All other foods, except “fats and oils 18,142) 18,201] 18,138] -0.3) +03]  -0.6 19,462} 18,005} 19,470) +0.3] 180,672] 176,505
Tobacco products 4,435 4,275) 4257) +37] +0.4] -0.2) 4,132) 4319 3,659} +23.6 41,923} 34,367
Textile mill products . 6,619 6,502) 6514) +18 0.2) 0.4] 7130} 6,912] 6,836 42.2 65,787] 68,266
Broadwoven fabrics and
other textiles. 3,630] 3,609) 3,657] +0.6} -13) -1.5] 3,963 3,765 3,948 6.3 37,340] 41,235
Paper and allied products 13,767) 13,777] 13,949] -O.1 1.2) 42.8] 14,250] 14,220) 13,735 42.5} 136,360] 138,877
Pulp, paper, and
paperboard mill products 5,243) 5,361 5,470} -2.2] 2.0) +43) 5,534 5,605] 5,235 +19 52,329] 53,658
Paperboard containers and boxes 3,638] 3,541 3,570] +2.7 0.8] +5.3] 3,620) 3,669} 3,545 +7.0 34,349] 36,109
Miscellaneous converted
Paper products . . 4,886) 4,875 4,909) +0.2] 0.7] -0.6) 5,096) 4,946} 4,955) 0.2 49,682] 49,110
Chemicals and allied products 35,495] 35,040) 35,028) +13 0.0) +13) 35,051] 36,521} 34,532} 31,536] +111] 343,236] 327,365
Industrial chemicals 15,957] 15,677) 15,296] +1.8)  +2.5] +02) 15,886] 16,007) 15,274) 14,397] +10.3) 151,889} 151,725
Drugs, soaps, and toiletries 15,689] 15,481} 15,731) +13 -1.6) +18] 15,813] 17,153] 15,639) 13,850) +14.2] 151,239} 135,665
Petroleum and coal products 15,582] 15,663} 15,218)  -0.5)  +2.9] +4.5] 16,687) 16,642] 16,227) 12,267] +36 137,475] 123,920
Rubber and plastics products: 13,772} 13,701} 13,839} +0.5 1.0) +35} 14,339) 14,291] 14,131] 13,796 +3.9) 137,841] 133,461
All other nondurable goods 25,723} 25,714) 25,563 0.0) +0.6) -L.1] 27,649] 27,859] 27,345] 26,788) +3.2] 256,074] 252,254

T Preliminary. * Revised

' Shipments and new orders are the totals for the period and are adjusted for trading-day and calendar-month variations.

See nate at end of tahle 7 relating ta survey error and revision