Migration Data From the U

Census Bureau

U.S. Census Bureau

Webinar Presented on 

November 15, 2011
Speakers

• Stanley J. Rolark, Chief, Public Information Offic• Alison Fields, Chief, Journey-to-Work and Migra

Statistics Branch

• William Frey, Senior Fellow, Metropolitan Policy 

Program, Brookings Institution
Access to Today’s Webin

Toll free number 1-800-989-7686

Participant passcode: CENSUS
Migration Webinar Press 

• Today’s slide presentation• Data sources• News release• Speaker bios
Products Being Released T

• Geographical Mobility: 2010 to 2011 

Detailed Tables

• Geographical Mobility Report: 2008 

2009

• State-to-State Migration Flows: 2010• Lifetime Mobility in the United States
Geographical Mobility: 2010 

2011 Detailed Tables

(Based on 2011 Current Population Survey
2010-2011 Migration Estim

(Population 1 year and over)

• Mover rate: 11.6%. Lowest since first 

collected by CPS in 1948. 

• Type of move*

– Same county: 7.7%.– Different county, same state: 2.0%.– Different state: 1.6%. – From abroad: 0.4%.* When added, these numbers do not equal the mover rate due to rounding

Other Results

• Reason for Move

– Family related: 27.9% – Employment related: 18.5%– Housing related: 44.9%– Other: 8.8%

• Foreclosure/eviction: 1.2%**The foreclosure/eviction category is new for 2011. It was cre

write-in responses and will be added as a pre-coded resp

2012. 
Geographical Mobility Repo

2008 to 2009

(Based on 2009 Current Population Survey a

American Community Survey)
Topics Covered in the Rep

• Mover Rate by Age: 2009• State-to-State Migration: 200

through 2009

• Reason for Move by Distance 

Intercounty Move: 2009 


State-to-State Migration

(Among the largest yearly flows

Because of sampling error, the estimates may not be significantdifferent from one another or from estimates for other flows.

2009 1-year ACS data 2008 1-year ACS data

California to Texas 61,270 California to Texas New York to Florida 53,482 New York to Florida California to Arizona 46,921 California to Arizona Florida to Georgia 43,170 Florida to Georgia California to Washington 42,693 New York to New Jersey 

2007 1-year ACS data 2006 1-year ACS data

California to Texas 78,310 Louisiana to Texas 1Florida to Georgia 77,098 New York to Florida California to Arizona 65,684 California to Arizona New York to Florida 63,312 California to Texas California to Nevada 53,489 Florida to Georgia 

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-year estimates, 2006 to 2009
State-to-State Migration Flow

2010

(Based on 2010 American Community Surve
2010 1-Year ACS State-to-S

Migration (Among the largest flo

State-to-State Flow Estimate State-to-State Flow 

California to Texas 68,959 New York to New Jersey New York to Florida 55,011 California to Washington Florida to Georgia 49,901 Texas to California California to Arizona 47,164 Georgia to Florida New Jersey to Pennsylvania 42,456 California to Nevada 

Because of sampling error, the estimates may not be significantly different from one another or from estimates for other flows.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-year estimate
In- and Out- Migration by St

(Among the largest flows

)

State Domestic Inmigration State Domest

Outmigra

Texas 486,558 California 573,98Florida 482,889 Florida 427,85California 444,749 Texas 411,64New York 269,427 New York 363,13North Carolina 263,256 Illinois 277,57

These estimates were first released in September with the 2010 ACS 1-ystandard data products on American FactFinder. Because of sampling eestimates may not be significantly different from one another or from estnot shown.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-year estima
The States of Origin....

Among the largest origin states to Tex

ACS 2010 data 

– California 68,959– Louisiana 31,149– Florida 26,668– Oklahoma 22,969– Illinois 20,169

These estimates have not been previously published for 2010 ACS. Because of samplinthese estimates may not be significantly different from one another or from estimates fonot listed. 
And the States of Destinati

Among the largest destination states f

California in ACS 2010 data

– Texas 68,959– Arizona 47,164– Washington 39,468– Nevada 35,472– Oregon 34,190

These estimates have not been previously published for 2010 ACS. Because of samplinthese estimates may not be significantly different from one another or from estimates for not listed. 
Lifetime Mobility in the Un

States: 2010

(Based on 2010 American Community Su

Percent Born in State of Residence by Age and Re

0

102030405060708090

100

Under 5 5‐17 18‐24 25‐44 45‐54 55‐64 65‐74 75 and

over

Percentage

Age

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-year Estimates, 20
States with the Highest and Lowest Percentag

of Residents Born in Current State, 2010

State Total Population

Percent Born in

Current State

M

Highest PercentageLouisiana 4,544,228 78.8 Michigan 9,877,574 76.6 Ohio 11,536,182 75.1 Pennsylvania 12,709,630 74.0 Wisconsin 5,691,047 72.1 Lowest PercentageAlaska 713,985 39.0 Arizona 6,413,737 37.7 District of Columbia 604,453 37.3 

Florida 18,843,326 35.2 Nevada 2,704,642 24.3 

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-year Estimates, 2010.
U.S. Cities with the Highest and Lowest P

of the Homegrown Population

85.8

79.0 76.9 76.9 75.8 75.8 75.0 74.9 74.4 74.0

8.1 8.0 7.8 6.9 6.5 6

Percentage of Population 25 and Older Born in State of R

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-year Estimates, 20

Because of sampling error, the estimates in this table, except Cheektowaga CDP, may not be significananother or from estimates for other cities not listed in the table.
Source and Accuracy

• The migration products being released today are fro

American Community Survey and the Current PopulSurvey’s Annual Social and Economic Supplement. from surveys are subject to sampling and nonsampliFor more information on the source of the data and aof the estimates, including standard errors and confiintervals, see Appendix G of the technical documenthttp://www.census.gov/apsd/techdoc/cps/cps-main.h

the CPS and Accuracy of the Data at http://www.census.gov/acs/www/data_documentationtation_main/ for the ACS. 

• All comparative statements have undergone statistic

and, unless otherwise noted, all comparisons are stasignificant at the 10 percent significance level.
Trend Analyses of US Cen

Migration Data

William H. Frey

The Brookings Institution

www.brookings.edu/experts/freyw
* National Migration Rate Trends -- Post WW II Low

CPS Annual Social and Economic Supplement Data thru 2011

* State Migration Flows -- Pre and Post Recession

American Community Survey Data 2005-2010

* Birthplace of State Populations – Century Trends

Decennial Censuses 1900-2000, ACS Data 2010
Local (Within County) Migration Rate

Dips to Low Point in 2000‐11
Inter County Migration Rates

Continues Post 2009 Level
Long Distance (Inter‐state) Migration Rate

Continues Post 2007 Levels
Rates of Migration 2005‐6 to 2010‐1
College Graduates (age 25+)

Rates of Migration 2005‐6 to 2010‐11

Source: W. Frey analysis of US Census Bureau Current Population Survey Annual Social and Econo
Persons in Owned Homes

Rates of Migration 2005‐6 to 2010‐11
Source: W. Frey analysis of US Census Bureau Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic 

Intercounty Moves by Age: 2005‐6 vs 2010‐11
Source: W. Frey analysis of US Census Bureau Current Population Survey Annual Social and Econom

Reasons for Move 2010‐ 2011
Intercounty Reasons for Move: Employment vs Ho

Source: W. Frey analysis of US Census Bureau Current Population Survey Annual Social and Econ
Florida In , Out and Net Migration 200
Flows Between New York and Florida, 2005

Source: W. Frey analysis of US Census Bureau American Community Survey 
California In, Out and Net Migration 20
Flows Between California and Arizona, 2005

Source: W. Frey analysis of US Census Bureau American Community Survey 
Texas In, Out and Net Migration 2005
Born in Same State: 1900 ‐ 201
Birthplace of California Residents 1900 ‐ 
Questions from Reporter
Key Upcoming Release

• 90+ Population in the United States: 2006-2008 (Nov. 17• 2010 Census Brief: Older Americans (November 2011)• 2006-2010 American Community Survey Five-Year Estim

(December 2011)

• 2010 Census Summary File 2 (Beginning December 201• July 1, 2011 State Population Estimates (December 201• 2005-2009 American Community Survey County-to-Cou

Migration Flows (Early 2012)
Contact Information

U.S. Census BureauPublic Information OfficePhone: 301.763.3030www.census.govRachel HarveyMetropolitan Policy Program, Brookings InstitutioPhone: 202-797-6073rharvey@brookings.eduwww.brookings.edu/metro