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FOR RELEASE AT 8:30 AM EDT, THURSDAY, OCTOBER 24, 2019

MONTHLY ADVANCE REPORT ON MANUFACTURERS’ SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES AND

ORDERS SEPTEMBER 2019

Release Number: CB 19‐160 M3‐1 (19)‐09

October 24, 2019 — The U.S. Census Bureau announces the September advance report on manufacturers’

shipments, inventories and orders:

New Orders

New orders for manufactured durable goods in September decreased $2.8 billion or 1.1 percent to $248.2

billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today.  This decrease, down following three consecutive

monthly increases, followed a 0.3 percent August increase.  Excluding transportation, new orders

decreased 0.3 percent.  Excluding defense, new orders decreased 1.2 percent.  Transportation equipment,

also down following three consecutive monthly increases, led the decrease, $2.3 billion or 2.7 percent to

$84.5 billion.

Shipments

Shipments of manufactured durable goods in September, down three consecutive months, decreased $1.0

billion or 0.4 percent to $252.5 billion.  This followed a 0.1 percent August decrease.  Transportation

equipment, also down three consecutive months, drove the decrease, $1.0 billion or 1.2 percent to $84.6

billion.

DURABLE GOODS – NEW ORDERS

SEPTEMBER 2019 $248.2 billion             ‐1.1%°   

AUGUST 2019  

(revised) $251.0 billion             +0.3%°

Next release: November 27, 2019

Data adjusted for seasonal variation but not for price changes.

°Statistical significance is not measurable for this survey.  The Manufacturers' Shipments,

Inventories, and Orders estimates are not based on a probability sample, so the sampling

error of these estimates cannot be measured nor can the confidence intervals be computed.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories and Orders, October 24,

2019.

Oct‐18 Nov‐18 Dec‐18 Jan‐19 Feb‐19 Mar‐19 Apr‐19 May‐19 Jun‐19 Jul‐19 Aug‐19 Sep‐19

% Change ‐4.4% 0.6% 1.1% 0.5% ‐2.6% 1.7% ‐2.8% ‐2.3% 1.8% 2.1% 0.3% ‐1.1%

‐8.0%

‐7.0%

‐6.0%

‐5.0%

‐4.0%

‐3.0%

‐2.0%

‐1.0%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

DURABLE GOODS NEW ORDERS 2018‐2019

Seasonally Adjusted,   Month‐To‐Month Percentage Change

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories, and Orders,

October 24, 2019.
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Unfilled Orders

Unfilled orders for manufactured durable goods in September, down following two consecutive monthly

increases, decreased less than $0.1 billion or virtually unchanged to $1,163.5 billion.  This followed a 0.2

percent August increase.  Fabricated metal products, down following three consecutive monthly increases,

drove the decrease, $0.1 billion or 0.1 percent to $87.0 billion.

Inventories

Inventories of manufactured durable goods in September, up fourteen of the last fifteen months,

increased $2.1 billion or 0.5 percent to $430.3 billion.  This followed a 0.2 percent August increase.  

Transportation equipment, also up fourteen of the last fifteen months, led the increase, $2.1 billion or 1.4

percent to $145.3 billion.   

Capital Goods

Nondefense new orders for capital goods in September decreased $2.1 billion or 2.8 percent to $71.6

billion.  Shipments decreased $0.1 billion or 0.1 percent to $74.2 billion.  Unfilled orders decreased $2.6

billion or 0.4 percent to $690.4 billion.  Inventories increased $1.8 billion or 0.9 percent to $194.5 billion.  

Defense new orders for capital goods in September decreased $0.6 billion or 4.5 percent to $13.2 billion.  

Shipments increased $0.2 billion or 1.4 percent to $12.8 billion.  Unfilled orders increased $0.4 billion or

0.2 percent to $157.5 billion.  Inventories increased $0.2 billion or 1.0 percent to $24.0 billion.

Revised August Data

Revised seasonally adjusted August figures for all manufacturing industries were: new orders, $500.0

billion (revised from $499.8 billion); shipments, $502.5 billion (revised from $503.0 billion); unfilled orders,

$1,163.6 billion (revised from $1,162.9 billion) and total inventories, $695.8 billion (revised from $695.9

billion).

Revised and more detailed estimates, plus nondurable goods data, will be published on November 4, 2019,

at 10:00 a.m. EST.  The Advance Report on durable goods for October is scheduled for release on

November 27, 2019 at 8:30 a.m. EST.  View the full schedule in the Economic Briefing Room:

<www.census.gov/economic‐indicators/> The full text and tables of this release can be found at

www.census.gov/m3>.
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EXPLANATORY NOTES

Figures in text are adjusted for seasonality, but not for inflation.  Figures on new and unfilled orders

exclude data for semiconductor manufacturing.  

“Virtually unchanged” indicates that the change is less than 0.05 percent for a percent increase or

decrease.

Description of the survey  

This report is compiled from results of the U.S. Census Bureau’s Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories,

and Orders (M3) survey, which is a voluntary survey authorized by Title 13 of the United States Code.  This

survey provides statistics on a calendar‐month basis for manufacturers' value of shipments, new orders

(net of cancellations), end‐of‐month order backlog (unfilled orders), end‐of‐month total inventory (at

current cost or market value), and inventories by stage of fabrication (materials and supplies, work‐in‐

process, and finished goods).  Data published from the M3 survey are based on a panel of approximately

5,000 reporting units that represent approximately 3,100 companies and provide an indication of month‐

to‐month change for the Manufacturing Sector.  These reporting units may be divisions of diversified large

companies, large homogenous companies, or single‐unit manufacturers in 92 industry categories, which

are combined into 65 publication levels due to the small monthly panel size.  The survey methodology

assumes that the month‐to‐month changes of the total operations of the reporting units in the M3 panel

effectively represent the month‐to‐month movements of all establishments that make up the category.  

The companies for which shipments data are currently reported or imputed in the M3 survey represent

approximately 64 percent of the total value of shipments for manufacturing establishments in the 2012

Economic Census, and these companies include almost two‐thirds of the manufacturing companies with

$500 million or more in shipments in the 2012 Economic Census.  The companies for which shipments data

are currently reported in the M3 survey represent approximately 57 percent of the total value of

shipments for manufacturing establishments in the 2012 Economic Census.  Statistics based on the M3

panel differ from the results that would be obtained from a complete enumeration of all manufacturing

companies.  The M3 panel is not based on a probability sample; therefore, the sampling errors that are

normally provided with sample surveys cannot be measured.  Nonsampling errors are attributable to many

sources.  The use of company or divisional reports to estimate the monthly change for establishments is

one source of nonsampling error.  The use of primarily large companies to represent the month‐to‐month

movement of all companies is another potential source.  Any corrections will be published in the full

report.  Corrections received after the full report will be released in the next month’s advance report.  Any

revisions made later than two months will be reflected in the annual benchmark publication.  Additional
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survey documentation can be found on our web site:  

<www.census.gov/manufacturing/m3/how_the_data_are_collected/index.html>.

2020 RELEASE DATES FOR THE M3 SURVEY

Source: https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp‐content/uploads/2019/09/pfei_schedule_release_dates_2020.pdf

RESOURCES

API

The Census Bureau’s application programming interface (API) lets developers create custom apps to reach

new users and makes key demographic, socio‐economic and housing statistics more accessible than ever

before.

<www.census.gov/developers/>

NEW TIME SERIES

Beginning with the release of June 2018 data on July 26, 2018, historical estimates of the Monthly Advance

Report on Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories and Orders are available on a seasonally adjusted basis

as well as a not seasonally adjusted basis at: <https://www.census.gov/econ/currentdata/>.   

Survey month Advance Report             

(8:30 a.m. release time)

Full Report                  

(10:00 a.m. release time)

Nov‐19 Tue 12/24/2019 Tue 1/7/2020

Dec‐19 Tue 1/28/2020 Tue 2/4/2020

Jan‐20 Thu 2/27/2020 Thu 3/5/2020

Feb‐20 Wed 3/25/2020 Thu 4/2/2020

Mar‐20 Fri 4/24/2020 Mon 5/4/2020

Apr‐20 Thu 5/28/2020 Wed 6/3/2020

May‐20 Thu 6/25/2020 Thu 7/2/2020

Jun‐20 Mon 7/27/2020 Tue 8/4/2020

Jul‐20 Wed 8/26/2020 Wed 9/2/2020

Aug‐20 Fri 9/25/2020 Fri 10/2/2020

Sep‐20 Tue 10/27/2020 Tue 11/3/2020

Oct‐20 Wed 11/25/2020 Fri 12/4/2020

Nov‐20 Thu 12/24/2020 Not available at this time
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FRED Mobile App

Receive the latest updates on the nation’s key economic indicators by downloading

the FRED App <https://fred.stlouisfed.org/fred‐mobile/> for both Apple and

Android devices.  FRED, the signature database of the Federal Reserve Bank of St.

Louis, now incorporates the Census Bureau’s 13 economic indicators.

###
Table 1.  Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments and New Orders 1

[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders Survey.]

Seasonally Adjusted Not Seasonally Adjusted

Monthly Percent Change Monthly Year to Date

Item           Percent

Sep Aug Jul Aug ‐ Jul ‐ Jun ‐ Sep Aug Sep Change

2019 2 2019 r 2019 Sep 2 Aug r Jul 2019 2 2019 r 2018 2019 2018 2019/2018

DURABLE GOODS

   Total:               

               Shipments................................ 252,519 253,507 253,792 ‐0.4 ‐0.1 ‐1.2 262,826 263,258 263,398 2,296,555 2,247,446 2.2

               New Orders4

.............................. 248,164 251,001 250,328 ‐1.1 0.3 2.1 255,862 254,212 266,421 2,237,061 2,254,208 ‐0.8

         Excluding transportation:

               Shipments................................ 167,942 167,931 167,285 0.0 0.4 ‐0.8 174,364 173,794 170,487 1,514,993 1,486,406 1.9

               New Orders4

.............................. 163,673 164,210 163,727 ‐0.3 0.3 ‐0.5 168,091 166,476 165,956 1,480,724 1,469,298 0.8

         Excluding defense:

               Shipments................................ 237,702 238,792 239,144 ‐0.5 ‐0.1 ‐1.2 246,682 248,770 248,335 2,166,297 2,128,978 1.8

               New Orders4

.............................. 231,727 234,608 236,624 ‐1.2 ‐0.9 1.4 235,461 240,050 241,034 2,105,605 2,120,072 ‐0.7

    Manufacturing with unfilled orders:

               Shipments................................ 174,062 174,336 174,193 ‐0.2 0.1 ‐1.7 181,888 180,106 184,838 1,589,332 1,565,587 1.5

               New Orders.............................. 174,047 176,092 175,020 ‐1.2 0.6 3.0 179,325 175,632 192,018 1,567,162 1,607,336 ‐2.5

    Primary metals:

               Shipments................................ 20,559 20,252 20,164 1.5 0.4 ‐1.2 20,461 21,083 21,297 189,008 193,372 ‐2.3

               New Orders.............................. 20,749 20,684 20,259 0.3 2.1 ‐0.8 19,815 20,856 20,757 188,826 195,981 ‐3.7

    Fabricated metal products:

               Shipments................................ 33,876 33,810 33,441 0.2 1.1 ‐1.1 34,890 35,826 33,156 305,600 295,293 3.5

               New Orders.............................. 33,761 34,287 33,906 ‐1.5 1.1 ‐0.8 33,818 35,889 32,476 308,771 302,476 2.1

    Machinery:

               Shipments................................ 32,827 33,292 32,921 ‐1.4 1.1 ‐1.6 33,035 33,618 32,690 299,817 294,070 2.0

               New Orders.............................. 32,733 32,681 32,777 0.2 ‐0.3 ‐1.0 32,341 32,559 32,616 297,346 297,653 ‐0.1

    Computers and electronic products 4

:

               Shipments................................ 27,603 27,703 27,861 ‐0.4 ‐0.6 ‐0.3 30,743 27,668 29,984 246,148 236,343 4.1

               New Orders.............................. 23,328 23,541 23,640 ‐0.9 ‐0.4 ‐0.2 27,000 21,912 26,946 209,709 204,590 2.5

         Computers and related products:

               Shipments................................ 1,673 1,718 1,693 ‐2.6 1.5 ‐2.4 2,090 1,649 2,265 15,350 16,058 ‐4.4

               New Orders.............................. 1,708 1,685 1,683 1.4 0.1 ‐1.1 2,125 1,616 2,313 15,294 16,283 ‐6.1

         Communications equipment:

               Shipments................................ 3,899 3,866 3,876 0.9 ‐0.3 ‐0.7 4,801 3,523 4,345 33,956 30,673 10.7

               New Orders.............................. 3,709 3,654 3,793 1.5 ‐3.7 ‐1.2 4,658 3,193 4,512 32,891 31,834 3.3

    Electrical equipment, appliances,    

       and components:                   

               Shipments................................ 11,793 11,689 11,788 0.9 ‐0.8 ‐0.3 12,545 12,256 12,101 105,148 101,444 3.7

               New Orders.............................. 11,879 11,774 11,991 0.9 ‐1.8 0.2 12,371 12,267 11,670 106,188 101,798 4.3

    Transportation equipment:    

               Shipments................................ 84,577 85,576 86,507 ‐1.2 ‐1.1 ‐1.9 88,462 89,464 92,911 781,562 761,040 2.7

               New Orders.............................. 84,491 86,791 86,601 ‐2.7 0.2 7.3 87,771 87,736 100,465 756,337 784,910 ‐3.6

         Motor vehicles and parts:

               Shipments................................ 60,787 61,685 62,608 ‐1.5 ‐1.5 0.3 61,989 65,916 60,369 554,947 525,270 5.6

               New Orders.............................. 60,436 61,431 62,430 ‐1.6 ‐1.6 0.2 61,487 66,104 60,538 553,697 525,583 5.3

         Nondefense aircraft and parts:

               Shipments................................ 9,332 9,170 9,375 1.8 ‐2.2 ‐15.3 10,789 8,706 17,495 97,252 116,910 ‐16.8

               New Orders.............................. 7,987 9,059 10,936 ‐11.8 ‐17.2 52.2 6,646 7,027 14,484 75,121 123,739 ‐39.3

         Defense aircraft and parts:

               Shipments................................ 4,234 4,359 4,543 ‐2.9 ‐4.1 ‐0.6 4,827 4,360 5,380 40,117 39,690 1.1

               New Orders.............................. 5,743 5,404 3,539 6.3 52.7 34.7 7,211 3,652 12,259 40,322 46,326 ‐13.0

    All other durable goods:           

               Shipments................................ 41,284 41,185 41,110 0.2 0.2 ‐0.1 42,690 43,343 41,259 369,272 365,884 0.9

               New Orders.............................. 41,223 41,243 41,154 0.0 0.2 ‐0.1 42,746 42,993 41,491 369,884 366,800 0.8

    Capital goods3

:

               Shipments................................ 87,058 86,984 87,058 0.1 ‐0.1 ‐2.9 93,549 86,643 97,752 794,280 787,889 0.8

               New Orders.............................. 84,784 87,480 87,815 ‐3.1 ‐0.4 6.4 89,619 83,236 99,157 770,793 806,019 ‐4.4

           Nondefense capital goods:

               Shipments................................ 74,232 74,339 74,492 ‐0.1 ‐0.2 ‐2.9 79,685 74,246 84,982 681,851 686,906 ‐0.7

               New Orders.............................. 71,590 73,670 75,994 ‐2.8 ‐3.1 5.2 72,958 70,724 81,808 657,601 696,708 ‐5.6

                Excluding aircraft:

                    Shipments........................... 68,928 69,392 69,413 ‐0.7 0.0 ‐0.7 72,938 69,557 71,717 623,042 607,215 2.6

                    New Orders.......................... 68,642 68,987 69,435 ‐0.5 ‐0.6 0.0 72,195 67,630 72,022 620,288 613,994 1.0

           Defense capital goods:

               Shipments................................ 12,826 12,645 12,566 1.4 0.6 ‐2.6 13,864 12,397 12,770 112,429 100,983 11.3

               New Orders.............................. 13,194 13,810 11,821 ‐4.5 16.8 14.7 16,661 12,512 17,349 113,192 109,311 3.6

r Revised data due to late receipts and concurrent seasonal adjustment.     

1

Estimates of shipments and new orders are for the duration of the period, while estimates of unfilled orders and total inventories are for the end of the period. Not seasonally adjusted estimates of    

shipments and new orders include adjusted data for non‐calendar reporters. Seasonally adjusted estimates include concurrent adjustments for holiday and trading‐day differences, where appropriate,  

as well as seasonal variation, based on the results of the latest annual review of the model parameters. Estimates are not adjusted for price changes.         2 Based on advance sample. Estimates of manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders are subject to survey error and revision. One major component of survey error is nonsampling error, which includes errors of coverage, response and

nonreporting. Since the survey panel is not a probability sample, estimates of sampling error cannot be calculated. For further details on survey design, methodology, and data limitations, see http://www.census.gov/manufacturing/m3.      3 The Capital Goods Industries include Nondefense : small arms and ordnance; farm machinery and equipment; construction machinery; mining, oil, and gas field machinery; industrial machinery; vending, laundry, and other machinery; photographic

equipment; metalworking machinery; turbines and generators; other power transmission equipment; pumps and compressors; material handling equipment; all other machinery; electronic computers; computer storage devices; other computer

peripheral equipment; communications equipment; search and navigation equipment; electromedical, measuring, and  control instruments; electrical equipment; other electrical equipment, appliances, and components; heavy duty trucks; aircraft;

railroad rolling stock; ships and boats; office and institutional furniture; and medical equipment and supplies. Defense Capital Goods include : small arms and ordnance, communications equipment, aircraft; missiles, space vehicles, and parts, ships and

boats, and search and navigation equipment.    4 Estimates and percent changes of shipments and inventories for the semiconductor industry are included in computers and electronic products, and all other applicable aggregate totals.  Estimates and percent changes for new orders and unfilled

orders exclude semiconductor industry data.   

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories, and Orders (M3) Survey, September Advance Report, October 24, 2019. Information on data sources and methodology can be found on our website at

<www.census.gov/manufacturing/m3/how_the_data_are_collected/index.html>.  
Table 2.  Durable Goods Manufacturers' Unfilled Orders and Total Inventories 1

[Estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Manufacturers' Shipments,  Inventories,  and Orders Survey.]

Seasonally Adjusted Not Seasonally Adjusted

Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent

Item           Change

Sep Aug Jul Aug ‐ Jul ‐ Jun ‐ Sep Aug Sep 2019/

2019 2 2019 r 2019 Sep 2 Aug r Jul 2019 2 2019 r 2018 2018

DURABLE GOODS

   Total:                   

               Unfilled Orders 4......................... 1,163,542 1,163,557 1,161,801 0.0 0.2 0.1 1,157,464 1,160,027 1,178,161 ‐1.8

               Total Inventories....................... 430,317 428,201 427,196 0.5 0.2 0.4 430,022 431,863 410,520 4.8

         Excluding transportation:

               Unfilled Orders 4......................... 369,037 368,966 368,425 0.0 0.1 0.2 366,112 367,984 364,452 0.5

               Total Inventories....................... 284,974 284,918 285,691 0.0 ‐0.3 ‐0.1 284,239 287,250 280,262 1.4

         Excluding defense:

               Unfilled Orders 4

........................... 963,089 964,724 964,646 ‐0.2 0.0 0.2 955,951 962,771 982,312 ‐2.7

               Total Inventories....................... 401,944 400,089 398,803 0.5 0.3 0.3 401,618 403,696 383,614 4.7

    Manufacturing with unfilled orders:

               Unfilled Orders......................... 1,163,542 1,163,557 1,161,801 0.0 0.2 0.1 1,157,464 1,160,027 1,178,161 ‐1.8

               Total Inventories....................... 351,159 349,149 348,200 0.6 0.3 0.3 351,318 352,455 334,437 5.0

    Primary metals:

               Unfilled Orders......................... 31,926 31,736 31,304 0.6 1.4 0.3 30,921 31,567 30,487 1.4

               Total Inventories....................... 34,771 34,956 35,480 ‐0.5 ‐1.5 ‐0.8 34,846 35,242 35,887 ‐2.9

    Fabricated metal products:

               Unfilled Orders......................... 86,959 87,074 86,597 ‐0.1 0.6 0.5 86,735 87,807 84,557 2.6

               Total Inventories....................... 54,371 54,333 54,494 0.1 ‐0.3 ‐0.3 54,341 54,535 54,277 0.1

    Machinery:     

               Unfilled Orders......................... 102,184 102,278 102,889 ‐0.1 ‐0.6 ‐0.1 101,329 102,023 104,920 ‐3.4

               Total Inventories....................... 72,261 72,260 72,390 0.0 ‐0.2 0.4 72,350 72,951 69,777 3.7

    Computers and electronic products4

:

               Unfilled Orders......................... 118,536 118,471 118,371 0.1 0.1 0.1 117,928 117,270 115,704 1.9

               Total Inventories....................... 43,585 43,360 43,300 0.5 0.1 ‐0.3 43,333 43,976 43,139 0.4

         Computers and related products:

               Unfilled Orders......................... 2,139 2,104 2,137 1.7 ‐1.5 ‐0.5 2,139 2,104 2,103 1.7

               Total Inventories....................... 3,911 3,832 3,810 2.1 0.6 0.1 3,872 3,949 3,711 4.3

         Communications equipment:

               Unfilled Orders......................... 25,198 25,388 25,600 ‐0.7 ‐0.8 ‐0.3 25,028 25,171 26,220 ‐4.5

               Total Inventories....................... 5,593 5,589 5,577 0.1 0.2 0.4 5,492 5,722 5,287 3.9

    Electrical equipment, appliances,    

        and components:                   

               Unfilled Orders......................... 20,201 20,115 20,030 0.4 0.4 1.0 19,995 20,169 19,386 3.1

               Total Inventories....................... 20,223 20,261 20,342 ‐0.2 ‐0.4 0.2 19,923 20,577 18,937 5.2

    Transportation equipment:    

               Unfilled Orders......................... 794,505 794,591 793,376 0.0 0.2 0.0 791,352 792,043 813,709 ‐2.7

               Total Inventories....................... 145,343 143,283 141,505 1.4 1.3 1.3 145,783 144,613 130,258 11.9

         Motor vehicles and parts:

               Unfilled Orders......................... 26,179 26,530 26,784 ‐1.3 ‐0.9 ‐0.7 25,942 26,444 26,820 ‐3.3

               Total Inventories....................... 38,915 38,767 38,602 0.4 0.4 0.6 38,951 39,147 36,586 6.5

         Nondefense Aircraft and parts:

               Unfilled Orders......................... 579,892 581,237 581,348 ‐0.2 0.0 0.3 576,057 580,200 599,939 ‐4.0

               Total Inventories....................... 76,742 75,170 73,346 2.1 2.5 1.7 76,974 75,848 66,119 16.4

         Defense Aircraft and parts:       

               Unfilled Orders......................... 82,400 80,891 79,846 1.9 1.3 ‐1.2 82,394 80,010 79,130 4.1

               Total Inventories....................... 13,481 13,404 13,399 0.6 0.0 0.3 13,472 13,437 13,123 2.7

    All other durable goods:           

               Unfilled Orders......................... 9,231 9,292 9,234 ‐0.7 0.6 0.5 9,204 9,148 9,398 ‐2.1

               Total Inventories....................... 59,763 59,748 59,685 0.0 0.1 0.0 59,446 59,969 58,245 2.1

    Capital goods3

:

               Unfilled Orders......................... 847,871 850,145 849,649 ‐0.3 0.1 0.1 843,710 847,640 867,223 ‐2.7

               Total Inventories....................... 218,441 216,419 214,858 0.9 0.7 0.9 218,292 218,977 202,055 8.0

           Nondefense capital goods:

               Unfilled Orders......................... 690,415 693,057 693,726 ‐0.4 ‐0.1 0.2 685,170 691,897 712,614 ‐3.9

               Total Inventories....................... 194,481 192,701 190,851 0.9 1.0 0.9 194,292 195,237 179,462 8.3

                Excluding aircraft:               

                    Unfilled Orders.................... 217,899 218,185 218,590 ‐0.1 ‐0.2 0.0 216,591 217,334 221,269 ‐2.1

                    Total Inventories................... 130,234 129,896 129,977 0.3 ‐0.1 0.3 129,945 131,616 125,491 3.5

           Defense capital goods:

               Unfilled Orders......................... 157,456 157,088 155,923 0.2 0.7 ‐0.5 158,540 155,743 154,609 2.5

               Total Inventories....................... 23,960 23,718 24,007 1.0 ‐1.2 1.3 24,000 23,740 22,593 6.2

r  Revised data due to late receipts and concurrent seasonal adjustment.      1 Estimates of shipments and new orders are for the duration of the period, while estimates of unfilled orders and total inventories are for the end of the period. Not seasonally adjusted estimates of shipments and

new orders include adjusted data for non‐calendar reporters. Seasonally adjusted estimates include concurrent adjustments for holiday and trading‐day differences, where appropriate, as well as seasonal variation,

based on the results of the latest annual review of the model parameters. Estimates are not adjusted for price changes.         2 Based on advance sample. Estimates of manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders are subject to survey error and revision. One major component of survey error is nonsampling error, which includes errors

of coverage, response and nonreporting. Since the survey panel is not a probability sample, estimates of sampling error cannot be calculated. For further details on survey design, methodology, and data limitations,

see http://www.census.gov/manufacturing/m3.      3 The Capital Goods Industries include Nondefense : small arms and ordnance; farm machinery and equipment; construction machinery; mining, oil, and gas field machinery; industrial machinery; vending, laundry,

and other machinery; photographic equipment; metalworking machinery; turbines and generators; other power transmission equipment; pumps and compressors; material handling equipment; all other machinery;

electronic computers; computer storage devices; other computer peripheral equipment; communications equipment; search and navigation equipment; electromedical, measuring, and  control instruments;

electrical equipment; other electrical equipment, appliances, and components; heavy duty trucks; aircraft; railroad rolling stock; ships and boats; office and institutional furniture; and medical equipment and

supplies. Defense Capital Goods include : small arms and ordnance, communications equipment, aircraft; missiles, space vehicles, and parts, ships and boats, and search and navigation equipment.    4 Estimates and percent changes of shipments and inventories for the semiconductor industry are included in computers and electronic products, and all other applicable aggregate totals.  Estimates and percent

changes for new orders and unfilled orders exclude semiconductor industry data.   

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories, and Orders (M3) Survey, September Advance Report, October 24, 2019. Information on data sources and methodology can be found on our

website at <www.census.gov/manufacturing/m3/how_the_data_are_collected/index.html>.