Table 4. VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS’ INVENTORIES FOR INDUSTRY GROUPS

(Millions of Dollars)

Seasonally Adjusted

Not Seasonally Adjusted

Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent
Industry Change
Oct. Sept. Aug. Sept. - | Aug. - | July - Oct. Sept. Aug. Oct. Oct.
2000° 2000° 2000 Oct. Sept. Aug. 2000° 2000° 2000 1999 00/99
All manufacturing industries... 491,857] 488,884] 487,644] +06) +0.3]  +0.3] 493,305] 487,743] 491,512] 468,752| $5.2
Manufacturing industries
with unfilled order: 324,685] 322,376] 321,553] +0.7/ +0.3}  +0.5] 325,067] 321,889] 326,006] 309,363 +5.1
without defense capi 473,014} 469,959] 469,014] +0.7/ +0.2/ +0.3] 474,407] 468,489] 472,543] 450,164] +5.4
Durable goods industries... 307,808] 305,333] 305,162) +0.8] +0.1]  +0.5] 308,070] 304,219] 308,777] 293,439] +5.0)
With unfilled orders.. 281,674] 279,492| 279,026] +0.8] +0.2| +0.5| 282,249] 278,886] 282.821] 268,868 +5.0
Stone, clay, and glass product: 10,288] 10,301] 10,227 0.1] 40.7] +0.7] 9,943] 10,134] 10,201] 9,512 +45
Primary metals. 25,189] 25,150] 25,122} +0.2) +0. -0.4) 25,093] 25,126] 25,221] 23,819) 45.3
Blast furnaces, steel mill 12,232] 12,244) 12,257 0.1 “0.1 0.9] 12,249) 12,285] 12,343] 11,384) +76
Iron and steel foundrie: 1,620| 1,612} 1,612) +0.5 0.0] +08) 1,576] 1,574] 1,584) 1,533 +28
Nonferrous and other primary
metals. 11,337] 11,294) 11,253] +0.4f +04] 0.0} 11,268] 11,267] 11,294] 10,902! +3.4
Fabricated 32,662} 32,629} 32,779) +01 0.5 +0.7[ 32,407] 32,427) 32,821 31,094) +4.2
Industrial machinery and equipment 63,169} 62,466} 62,311 +44 +0.2 +0.6[ 63,240] 61,948] 63,223] 59,757 +5.8
Engines and turbines... 5,003] 4,768] 4,781] +4.9 0.3} 40.1) 5,164) 4,728] 5,023] 4674] +10.5
Farm and garden machiner 3,764) 3,713] 3,891] +14 4.6] 42.1] 3,570] 3,430] 3,607] 3,479 +2.6
Construction, mining and
material handling equipment. 8,986] 9,019] 9,010) -0.4{ +01] +08] 8,910] 8,903] 8,916] 8,769 +1.6
Metalworking machinery... 8,396] 8,319} 8,355] +09 0.4) +04) 8517) 8516] 8,775) 8,217 +37
Computer and office equipment. 8,869} 8,776) 8,736, +11) +05] +1.6] 8931] 8690] 9,405] 8,578 +41
Electronic and other
electrical equipment... 46,978] 46,009] 46,230] +2.1 0.5] +0.7{ 47,106] 45,358] 47,101} 42,241] +115
Electrical transmission and
distribution equipment and
industrial apparatus. 5,671] 5,720) +1.9) 0.9] +28] 5,827) 5,589] 5,716] 5,349) +8.9
Household appliance: 2,661 2,682 +18 0.8 +01 2,641 2,520] 2,637 2,359) +12.0)
Electric lighting and
wiring equipment... 4,084] 4,114 -0.3) 0.7} 40.6} 4,140] 4,063) 4,210] 3,843) 477
Household audio and
video equipment. 1,200} 1,185) +2.8 +13 +3.6) 1,284 1,285 1,298 1,107 +16.0
Communications equipment 11,555] 12,088] +2.9 4.4) 41.5] 11,947] 14,437] 12,448) 11,222 +65
Electronic components. 16,533] 16,242) +23) +18 -0.7] 16,904) 16,177] 16,442) 14,723] +148
Transportation equipment. 69,342} 69,259) +05 +04 0.0} 70,241 69,793} 70,183} 70,908 -0.9)
Motor vehicles and parts. 18,945] 18,808] +03] +0.7] +0.4) 18,930] 19,009] 19,200] 17,559) +78
Aircraft, missiles,
space vehicles, and parts. 44,155] 44,141] +0.2 0.0) -0.5] 44,924] 44,635] 44,573) 47,129 4.7
Shipbuilding and tanks... 2519] 2411) +22) +45) 0.0] 2,500] 2,500} 2,395] 2,169) +15.3}
Instruments and related products. 27,976] 27,968] +0.8] oof +0.4) 28,336] 27,966] 28,617] 27.197 +4.2
Search and navigation equipment 6,751] 6,762 0.1 0.2] 40.41 6,751] 6,758] 6,946] 6,960 -3.0|
Measuring and controlling devices. 9,154] 9,092] +1.9} 40.7] 41.3] 9,321] 9,145] 9,335] 8,183] -+13.9
Medical instruments and supplies. 8,893] 8,952) +0.5 0.7 0.6] 8,981] 8,812] 9,115] 8,870 +13)
Photographic goods. 2,438) 2,427] +05} +0.5[ +11] 2,542) 2.518] 2,483) 2,442 +41
All other durable goods. 31,460] 31,266] +0.6] +06) +1.4) 31,704) 31,467] 31,410] 28,911 +9.7
Nondurable goods industries. 184,049] 183,551] 182,482] +0.3] +06) -0.1] 185,235] 183,524) 182,735] 175,313 +5.7
With unfilled orders 43,011] 42,884) 42,527] +03] +0.8] +0.5] 42,818] 43,003] 43,185] 40,495] +5.7
Food and kindred products. 38,280} 38,171 +0.3 -1.0] -0.9] 40,231} 38,710} 38,177] 40,938 1.7
Meat products. x 4,655 +05 +0.8 0.0 4,690) 4,581 4,520 4,487 +45
Dairy products... 3,862 17 +0.2 “1d 3,795 3,835 3,915 3,943 -3.8)
Beverages... 8,911 +05 +0.8) +0.6 9,166} 9,007 8,623] 8,875 $3.3
All other foods, except fats and oil 19,209 +01 “2.7 -1,.7| 20,831] 19,880] 19,751] 21,821 45
Tobacco products. 5,407 3.4 +13 0.3 5,404 5,292 4,955] 5,366 +0.7
Textile mill produc 10,495 0.0] +0.3] +0.3) 10,324] 10,378} 10,531{ 9,900 +43
Broadwoven fabi
other textiles... 6,088 +0.3 0.0] +03] 6,015} 5,965] 6,104] 5,992 +0.4
Paper and allied product: 17,270) 0.3 0.4) 40.2) 16,947) 17,130] 17,331] 15,889 +6.7
Pulp, paper, and
paperboard mill products... 6,794] at -0.3 0.0] 6,615] 6,747] 6,803] 6,214! +65
Paperboard containers and boxes. 4,508 “0.1 -0.4] 0.3) 4,416) 4.479] 4,515] 4,164) +61
Miscellaneous converted
paper products... 5,968 +05 0.5 +0.9 5,916] 5,904| 6,013 5,511 +73
Chemicals and allied products. 51,012] 50,924) +0.2] 41.0] +0.2] 50,579] 50,364] 50,515] 46,352 +91
Industrial chemicals. 20,443) 20,636) -0.9) +0.4 -1,.0) 20,144) 20,646} 20,581 18,977 +61
Drugs, soaps, and toiletries. 24,527) 24,283) +10] +14) +1.1] 24,572] 23,994] 24,321) 21,707] +13.2
Petroleum and coal products. 14,580] 14,431 +10] +2.7 0.9] 14,852] 14,686] 14,182) 12,284) +20.9
Rubber and plastics product: 18,758] 18,662 +05] +0.2/ +03) 18,449} 18,351] 18,472) 17,389 +6.1
All other nondurable goods. 28,474] 28,191 +1.0] +18] +0.8] 28,449) 28,613] 28,572) 27,195 +46

Preliminary " Revised

See note at end of Table 2 relating to survey error and revision



10

Total Manufacturing
New Orders and Shipments
Three Month Moving Averages

Billions of Dollars

400 400
New Orders
380 F | Shipments | - - - -- ----------------22-- + 380
360 P--- ~~~ + + eee 4 360
Ce 340
0 320
300 1 i 1 L 1 L 1 1 L it L 300
Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct
Oct. 1998 - Oct. 2000
Total Manufacturing
Ratio of Unfilled Orders and
Inventories to Shipments
1/S Ratios UO/S Ratios
2.5 3.7
2.4 vos [4 3.6
2.3 vs (43.5
2.2 43.4

2.1

Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb = Apr
Oct. 1998 - Oct. 2000

Jun Aug Oct

Note: All Charts based on seasonally
adjusted current dollars.


Table 6. VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS’ UNFILLED ORDERS AND TOTAL INVENTORIES

FOR TOPICAL SERIES '

(Millions of Dollars}
Seasonally Adjusted Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly Percent Change ‘Monthly Percent
Industry Change
Oct. Sept, | Aug. | Sept.-| Aug.- | July- | Oct. Sept. | Aug. Oct. ‘Oct.
2000° | 2000' | 2 Oct. | Sept. | Aug. | 2000° | 2000' | 2000 | 1999 | o0/99
UNFILLED ORDERS
Ail manufacturing industries. 583,990| 587,799] 581,177 0.6] +11] +0.3] 582,606] 584,845] 583,156] 524,929] +11.0
Market categories:
‘Automotive equipment, 2,427) 2,496] 2,476 2,403] 2,456] 2,510] 2,517 45
Home goods and apparel 91101} 9,099] 9/146 91101] 9,110] 9,203] 9,306 “2.2
Consumer staples. 3,026} 3,089] 2,952 2,990] 3,240} 3352] 2,964] ~—-+0.9
Machinery and equipment. 264/102] 265,786] 258,825. 263,478] 264,809] 258,899] 234/569] +12.3
Business supplie: 7.415) 7.472) 7,298 7,286) 7.554] 7.671 7,200) +1.2
Construction materials,
and supplies. 17,977] 17,818] 18,002 17,787] 17,776] 18,089] 17,453] — +1.9]
Defense product: 103,379] 102,907] 103,386 102,273] 102,044] 102,491] 86,411] +18.4]
Other materials, supplies and
intermediate products... 176,563] 179,132] 179,092} 177,288] 177,856] 180,936] 164,509] +7.8
Durable goods industries:
Nondefense capital goods * 279,593] 281,396] 275,728] -0.6] +21]  +0.8] 279,144] 280,487] 275,445] 251,630] +10.9
Excluding aircraft and part 130,809] 130,777] 129,385] +01] +11] +0.27] 130,460] 129,868] 129,102] 111,715] +168
Defense capital goods *.. 109,222] 108,670] 109.011] +05 -0.3] | +1.0] 107,894] 107,727] 108,109] 90,887] +18.7
Durables excluding capital goods....| 170,118] 172,309] 171,150] -1.3) +0.7]—-0.8| 171,051] 171,040] 173,332] 157,462) +8.6
Miscellaneous series:
Producers’ durable equipment... 303,640] 305,210} 298,068] 0.5 +0.6] 303,086] 304,054] 298,522| 272,942] +11.0)
Household durable goods... 5.565] 5,596) 5,692 0.6} 40.9] 5,715| 5,626] 5,718] 5,975) “4.4
Information technology industries... 50,181] 49,528] 49,177] +1.3 +0.4] 50,227] 49/523) 49/583] 41,203] +21.9
Health care equipment
and products... 10,839] 10,906] 10,785] -0.6)+1.1 -0.2] 10,919] 10,765] 10,830} 9,907] +10.2
TOTAL INVENTORIES
All manufacturing industries... 491,857] 488,884] 487,644] +06] +0.3] +0.3] 493,305] 487,743] 491,512] 468,752] —+5..2|
Market categories:
Automotive equipment 9,556] 9,471] 9,485] +0.9) -0.1]  +0.4) 9,516] 9,412] 9,780] 8,837] 9 +7.7
Home goods and apparel. 33,988] 33,735] 33.377] +07] +11] +1.4] 33/666] 33,839] 34,068] 31/132] +8.1
Consumer staple: 80,419] 80,199] 79,691] +03] +06)  -0.1] 82/513] 80,474] 791555] 77/973] +5.
Machinery and equipmer 117,716] 116,472] 117/303] +1.1 0.7] +0.7] 118,386) 115,864] 119,023] 116,538] +1.6
Business supplies. 30,207] 30,023] 29,816] +06] +07] +0.8] 30,402] 30,325] 30,209] 28,485]  +6.7
Construction materials
and supplies. 32,265] 32,131] 32,138] +04 0.0] +0.4) 31,969] 31,872] 32,207] 29,885] —+7.0
Defense product: 18,306] 18,415] 18,120] 0.6] +1.6] -0.4] 18/349] 18/695] 18,394) 18,246] +0.6|
Other materials, supplies and
intermediate products. 169,400] 168,438] 167,714] +06] +04]  -0.1] 168,504] 167,262] 168,276] 157.656] +6.9|
Durable goods industries:
Nondefense capital goods 108,750] 107,441] 108,009) 1 -0.5] +07] 109,682] 107,123] 109,836] 107,775] +1.8
Excluding aircraft and par 76,815] 75,647) 75,915] +15) 0.4) 41.41 77,170] 75,162] 77,542] 72,720] +6.1
Defense capital goods * 18,843] 18,925] 18,630] 0.4] +16] +0.2| 18,898] 19,254] 18,969] 18,588] = +1.7
Durables exciuding capital goods....| 180,215] 178,967| 178,523] +0.7| +0.2| +0.4] 179,490] 177,842] 179,972] 167,076] +7.4
Miscellaneous series:
Producers’ durable equipmen 198,508] 196,689] 196,991] +09]  -0.2] +1.0] 199,060] 196,015] 199,785] 190,293] +4.6|
Household durable goods......... 18,202] 18,083] 17,864 +0.7] +1.2/ +26] 18,198] 18,113] 18,230] 16,284] +118
Information technology industries...] 35,462] 34,803] 35,160] +19] -1.0]  +1.4| 35.665] 34.637] 36,546] 33,286) 9 +7.
Health care equipment
and products... 22,199] 22,023] 21,903] +08] +05) +04] 22,262! 21,787) 22,266] 20,623] +7.9

° Preliminary " Revised
See footnotes at end of Table 5

See note at end of Table 2 relating to survey error and revisions.



Table 5. VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS’ SHIPMENTS AND NEW ORDERS

FOR TOPICAL SERIES '
(Millions of Dollars)

‘Seasonally Adjusted

Not Seasonally Adjusted”

Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent] Year to date
Industry Change]
Oct. | Sept. | Aug. |Sept.-] Aug. -] July-] Oct. | Sept. | Aug. | Oct. | Oct.
2000° | 2000 | 2000 | Gct. | Sept. ] Aug. | 2000? | 2000' | 2000 | 1999 Joo/99] 2000" | 1999
SHIPMENTS
All manufacturing industries...... 377,720] 380,025] 380,780] -0.6]  -0.2| +0.8] 384,545] 407,432] 382,021] 369,691] +4.0]3,772,807|3,528,827
Market categories:
Automotive equipment 15,881] 16,471] 15,859] -3.6] +3.9] -2.4] 17,369] 17,935] 15,991} 17,940] -3.2] 165,946] 163,812
Home goods and apparel... 20,448] 20,283) 20,870) +0.8) -2.8) +0.8} 22,100) 22,266] 22,027) 21,987} +0.5] 209,014] 200,286
Consumer staples. 81,055] 80,840] 80,979] +0.3] -0.2] +1.1] 83,014] 85,264] 83,229] 78,185] +6.2) 796,940] 732,228
Machinery and equip 73,935] 74,970] 74,971] -1.4) 0.0] +26] 72,327) 83,835] 70,949] 68,189] +6.1| 727,270] 672,896
Business supplies 28,624] 28,663] 28,634] -0.1] +0.1] +0.8] 29,488] 29,972] 29,018] 27,723] +6.4] 282,101] 263,951
Construction materials
and supplies. 22,934] 22,909] 23,094] +0.1] 0.8] +0.6] 23,766] 24,288] 24,274] 24,243 235,031] 232,106
Defense products..... 6.465] 6,561] 6535] -1.5] +0.4| -2.7| 6,392] 6.967| 6,245] 6,741 64,917] 66,627
Other materials, supplies and
intermediate products.......... 128,378] 129,328] 129,838] -0.7) -0.4] +0.4] 130,089] 136,905] 130,288] 124,683] +4.3]1,291,588] 1,196,921
Durable goods industries:
Nondefense capital goods 2 62,042] 62,826] 62,832] -1.2] 0.0] +3.4] 58,958] 71,655] 58,678] 53,981] +9.2] 600,457] 540,298]
Excluding aircraft and parts. 54,764] 54,247] 53,962] +1.0] +0.5} 0.0) 52,282] 62,136] 50,153] 46,414] +12.6| 522,928] 459,189]
Defense capital goods * 6,261] 6,378] 6,253] -1.8] +2.0/ -4.5] 6,220] 6,786] 5,936] 6,531] -4.8] 62,567] 64,138
Durables excluding capital goods... 143,441] 144,961] 144,933] -1.0] 0.0] +0.1] 148,851] 155,195] 145,837] 146,349] +1.7|1,453,824] 1,389,941
Miscellaneous series:
Producers’ durable equipment......... 137,285] 138,909] 138,876] -1.2] 0.0] +1.0] 138,560] 152,566] 135,041] 134,668] +2.9]1,372,854]1,301,218
Household durable goods 11,045] 10,800] 11,124) +2.3] -29] -0.8] 11,561) 11,846) 11,117] 11,143] +3.8] 110,632| ‘103,451
Information technology industries...) 34,062] 33,736} 32,926] +1.0] +2.5] +0.8] 31,824] 40,230] 30,258] 26,684] +19.3] 314,081] 262,958
Health care equipment
and products 14,115] 13,967] 14,109] +1.1]  -1.0] +2.9] 13,974] 15,559] 14,007] 13,172] +6.1] 136,374] 129,555
NEW ORDERS
All manufacturing industries 373,911] 386,647] 382,368] -3.3] +1.1] +2.0] 382,306] 409,121] 381,043] 373,387) +2.4/3,822,722)3,540,719
Market categories:
Automotive equipment. 15,811] 16,491] 15,839] -4.1] +4.1] -2.7] 17.315] 17,882| 16,029] 17,994] 3.8] 165,862] 163,925
Home goods and apparel. 20,450] 20,237] 20,910) +1.1) -3.2) +1.3} 22,091] 22,172) 21/872] 22,171] -0.4) 209,507] 201,280]
Consumer staples 80,992] 80,977) 80,903] 0.0] +0.1] +1.2] 82,765] 85,152] 83,052] 78,104] +6.0] 796,865] 732,929
Machinery and equipment 72,251] 81,931] 76,841) -11.8] +66] +2.7] 70,996] 89,745] 72,663] 67.984] +4.4] 751,556] 666,886]
Business supplies. 28,567| 28,836] 28,611) -0.9] +0.8] +1.11 29,220] 29,850] 28,944) 27/580] +5.9) 282,193] 264,632|
Construction materials
and supplies. 23,093] 22,724] 23,023] +1.6] -1.3] 0.0] 23,777] 23,976] 24,113] 24,164] -1.6} 235,452] 232,320]
Defense products. 6,937] 6,082] 7.436] +14.1] -18.2] +19.1] 6,622} 6519] 5,785] 8,383] -21.0] 78,106] 62,123
Other materials, supplies and
intermediate products. | 125,810] 129,369] 128,805] -2.8] +0.4] +2.4] 129,520] 133,825] 128,585] 127,007] +2.0]1,303,181] 1,216,624
Durable goods industries:
Nondefense capital goods ®..... 60,239] 68,494] 64,993] 12.1] +5.4] +4.4] 57,615] 76,697] 61,025] 54,441] +5.8| 623,006] 534,838
Excluding aircraft and parts. 54,896] 55,639] 54,801] -1.3] +1.5] -1.3] 52,874] 62,902] 51,178] 47,440] +11.5] 538,170] 464,319)
Defense capital goods *... ..J 6.813} 6,037] 7,306] +12.9] -17.4] +20.0] 6,387] 6,404] 5,562] 8,038] -20.5] 76,821] 59,312
Durables excluding capital goods...] 141,250] 146,120] 143,561 -3.3] +1.8[ +1.5] 148,862] 152,903] 143,554] 148,412] +0.3] 1,467,331] 1,410,115
Miscellaneous series:
Producers’ durable equipment......... 135,715] 146,051] 140,728] -7.1] +3.8] +1.0] 137,592] 158,098] 137,320] 134,171] +2.5]1,399,414] 1,294,605
Household durable goods. 11,014] 10,704] 11,176] +29] 4.2] oo] 11,650] 11,754] 11,105] 11,512} +1.2] '110,901] “104/265
Information technology industries... 34,714) 34,088] 33,145] +18] +28] +2.0] 32,528] 40,170] 30,738] 26,722] +21.7| 319,461] 265,045
Health care equipment
and products. 14,047] 14,088] 14,086} -0.3] 0.0] +4.0] 14,127] 15,494} 14,061] 13,410] +5.3} 137,218] 129,837]

° Preliminary * Revised

* Topical series are regroupings of the separate industry categories.

2

‘Shipments and new orders are the totals for the period and are adjusted for trading-day and calendar-month variations.

> Nondefense capital goods industries include: ordnance and accessories; steam, gas and hydraulic turbines; internal combustion engines; construction, mining,
and material handling equipment; metalworking machinery; special industry machinery; general industrial machinery; computer and office equipment;
refrigeration, heating and service industry machinery; electrical transmission and distribution equipment; electrical industrial apparatus; communications
equipment; aircraft, missiles, space vehicles, and engines and parts; ships and tank components; railroad equipment; and search and navigation equipment.

* Defense capital goods industries include: ordnance and accessories; communications equipment; aircraft, missiles, space vehicles, and engines and parts; ships,
tanks, and tank components; and search and navigation equipment.

See note at end of Table 2 relating to survey error and revision


Table 8. RATIOS OF MANUFACTURERS' INVENTORIES TO SHIPMENTS

AND UNFILLED ORDERS TO SHIPMENTS, BY INDUSTRY GROUP
(Based on Seasonally Adjusted data)

Inventory/Shipments ratio Unfilled Orders/Shipments ratic

Industry Oct Sep Aug Jul Oct Sep Aug Jul
2000° | 2000’ | 2000 | 2000 | 2000° | 2000' | 2000 | 2000

All manufacturing industries........ 1.30) 1.29} 1.28] 1.29] 2.70] 2.69} 2.65] 2.67

1.45) 1.43 1.43 1.43 3.15 3.14 3.09 3.12
117} 1.18) 1.15) 1.16] 0.74] 0.74, 0.74) 0.75)
Primary metals... 1.62 1.60; 1.59 1.58 1.96) 1.94 1.93) 1.95)
Fabricated metal products. 1.63} 1.62] 1.60) 1.60) 1.34f 1,33] 1.30] 1.31
Industrial machinery and equipment. 144) 1.44[ 1.43f 1.40) 2.19} 2.24) 2.22} 2.14]
Electronic and other

Durable goods industries...
Stone, clay, and glass product:

electrical equipment. tia} aaa) 1.12) 1.13] 2.43] 2.45] 2.44] 2.49
Transportation equipment. 1.51] 1.43) 1.45) 1.48] 10.211 9.59] 9.35] 9191
Instruments and related products. 1.81) 1.80) 1.81) 188] 3.13] 3.11f 3.13] 3.27)

Nondurable goods industries. 1.11) 1.11] 1.09] 1.10] 0.641 0.65] 0.64] 0.65
Food and kindred products 0.90] 0.90] 0.90] 0.92 (x) (x) (Xx) (x)
Tobacco products. 1.20 1.26] 1.17] 1.19 (X) (x) (x) x)
Textile mill products. 1.67] 1.67) 1.64) 1.60) (NA)} NA] (NAN] (NA)
Paper and allied product: 1.21] 1.19] 1.20f 1.19} (NA)] (NA) (NA)] (NA)
Chemicals and allied product 1.38] 1.39] 1.36] 1.38) (x) (Xx) (x) (x)
Petroleum and coal products.. 0.71] 0.71, 071] 0.72 (x) (x) (x) X)
Rubber and plastics products 1.32) 1.31] 1.28) 1.29 (x) (x) (x) (x)

° Preliminary “ Revised
(X) Not Applicable (NA) Not Available

* Excludes the following industries with no unfilled orders: Wood and lumber products; glass containers;
metal cans, barrels and drums; farm and garden machinery; motor vehicle assembly operations; other
transportation equipment; foods and related products; tobacco; knitting mill products; apparel and related
products; chemicals; petroleum and coal products; and rubber and plastics products.

Table 9. REVISIONS TO PREVIOUSLY PUBLISHED MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES
(Based on Seasonally Adjusted data)

Shipments New Orders Unfilled Orders Inventories
Oct Oct Oct Oct
Industry Oct? | 1999- Oct? 1999- Oct? | 1999- Oct? 1999-
Oct! | 1995-] Sep | oct’ | 1995-}| Sep | oct’ | 1995-] Sep | oct’ | 1995-] Sep
2000 | 1999 | 2000 | 2000 | 1999 | 2000 | 2000 | 1999 | 2000 | 2000 | 1999 | 2000

All manufacturing industries... (x) 0.0) 0.0 (x) ot] -0.2 x) 0.4 0.4 x) oo} -0.1

Durable goods industries... 0.3] 0.2) 0.0] -0.1 0.0] -0.3 0.0 ot} 0.4 )  -0.1 0.0

Stone, clay, and glass products.. (x)} 0.3 O41 (x) 0.0 0.0 (x) 0.7] -0.2 OM) 0.2) -0.1

Primary metals... -0.1 Ot} -0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.4 (0.4) 04

Fabricated metal products. I} 0.1 0.1 (Xi} 0.2) -0.2 (X)] Oi] 0.2 (X) 0.0 0.0

Industrial machinery and e 0.3] 0.4) 01] 0.7) 0.4] 05} 0.3 Ot} -0.2 (x) 0.0 0.0
Electronic and other

electrical equipment... -0.4 0.0; -0.2 0.0 1.0) -0.7 0.4 0.7] 0.3 ) 0.0 0.0

Transportation equipment. 0.6) -0.1 01; -0.3f -0.3]  -0.1 0.1) 0.1 0.0 OO} -0.4 O41

Instruments and related product: (XP -0.1 On (Xx) 1.4] -0.4] (x) Ot} -0.2 (x) 04 O41

Nondurable goods industries. (x) 0.2 0.0) {X) 0.3 0.0 0] 0.4 01 (x) 0.0} -0.1

Food and kindred products. (Xx) 0.3 0.2 (x) (X) (x) (x) x) (x) (x) 0.3 0.0

Tobacco products. (x) 2.3] 0.6 x) (x) (x) x) (x) (x) (x) 0.4 -0.1

Textile mill products. (x) 0.4 0.3 (XJ) (NA}] (NA) Ox} (NA) (NA) (x) 04 0.0

Paper and allied product: (xX) 0.0] -0.2 (df (NA) (NA) (x)} (NA) (NA) x) 0.0} -0.4

Chemicals and allied products. x) 0.0) 01 x) (x) x) (x) (x) (x) P04} 04

Petroleum and coal products. ) 11 0) (x) (x) (x) (x) x) (x) (x) 0.2] -1.0

Rubber and plastics product: (x) 0.4 0.0 (x) (x) x) (x) (x) (x) (x) 0.0 0.0
Capital goods industrie:

Nondefense. 0.6)  -0.2 0.8] 0.5 0.0] -0.1 0.0 (XM -0.2 0.0

Defense 0.0] -0.7 -0.2| -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 x) 0.3 0.0

!X) Not Applicable (NA) Not Available

NOTE: The five year and the twelve month revisions are the differences between the month-to-month percent changes of the preliminary and
‘inal estimates. The monthly averages are the simple averages of the absolute values of the differences for the months specified. The
advance to final percent change revisions for the durable goods industries are shown in the advance report for the month.

The current month revisions are the difference between the advance percent change and the percent change as shown in this publication.
* Average for this month for the last five years.

3ee note at end of Table 2 relating to survey variability. In Table 9, the second column for each item represents the average revisions of the
surrent month for the past five years.



es
By

U. S. Department of Commerce
Economics and Statistics Administration
BUREAU OF THE CENSUS

Manufacturers’ Shipments,
Inventories, and Orders

October 2000
M3-1-(00)-10
For Wire Transmissions 10:00 a.m. E.S.T. December 5, 2000

For Data - (301) 457-4673
For Questions - Lee Wentela or Derrick Roy
(301) 457-4832 or (301) 457-4814

All figures in text are in seasonally adjusted current dollars

Summary

New orders for manufactured goods in October decreased
$12.7 billion or 3.3 percent to $373.9 billion, the Department of
Commerce, Bureau of the Census reported today. This follows
a 1.1 percent September increase. Year to date, new orders are
8.1 percent above the same period a year ago.

Shipments decreased $2.3 billion or 0.6 percent to $377.7
billion, following a 0.2 percent September decrease. Year to
date, shipments are 7.0 percent above the same period a year
ago.

Unfilled orders decreased $3.8 billion or 0.6 percent to
$584.0 billion, following a 1.1 percent September increase. This
is the largest decrease since June 1999. ‘The unfilled orders-to-
shipments ratio was 2.70, up from 2.69 in September.

Inventories increased $3.0 billion or 0.6 percent to $491.9
billion, following a 0.3 percent September increase. This is the
seventh consecutive increase. The inventories-to-shipments ratio
was 1.30, up from 1.29 in September.

New Orders

New orders for manufactured durable goods in October
decreased $12.3 billion or 5.6 percent to $208.3 billion, revised
from the previously published 5.5 percent decrease.

Transportation equipment had the largest decrease, $8.6
billion or 16.1 percent to $44.7 billion, mostly due to aircraft and
arts. Electronic and other electrical equipment decreased $4.3
illion or 9.9 percent to $39.0 billion, mostly due to electronic
components. Primary metals decreased $0.4 billion or 2.7
percent to $15.3 billion; this is the largest decrease since January
1999, Industrial machinery and equipment increased $0.5 billion
or 1.1 percent to $43.9 billion.

New orders for nondurable goods decreased $0.4 billion or
0.2 percent to $165.6 billion. Paper and allied products had the
largest decline,

Shipments
Shipments of durable goods in October decreased $2.4

billion or 1.1 percent to $211.7 billion, revised from the
previously published 0.8 percent decrease.

Transportation equipment had the largest decrease, $2.6
billion or 5.3 percent to $46.1 billion, mostly due to aircraft and
parts and motor vehicles and parts. Electronic and other
electrical equipment decreased $0.5 billion or 1.2 percent to
$41.1 billion. Industrial machinery and equipment increased $0.7
billion or 1.6 percent to $44.0 billion.

Shipments of nondurable goods increased $0.1 billion or
0.1 percent to $166.0 billion.

Unfilled Orders

Unfilled orders for durable goods in October decreased $3.4
billion or 0.6 percent to $558.9 billion, unrevised from the
previously published 0.6 percent decrease. This is the largest
decrease since June 1999.

Electronic and other electrical equipment had the largest
decrease, $2.1 billion or 2.1 percent to $99.9 billion, mostly due
to electronic components. Transportation equipment, led by
aircraft and parts, decreased $1.3 billion or 0.5 percent to $247.5
billion. Primary metals, down eleven of the last twelve months,
decreased $0.2 billion or 0.6 percent to $30.4 billion.
Instruments and related products, up for the first time since June,
increased $0.3 billion or 0.6 percent to $48.7 billion.

Inventories
Inventories of durable goods in October increased $2.5

billion or 0.8 percent to $307.8 billion. This is the seventh
consecutive increase.

Electronic and other electrical equipment had the largest
increase, $1.0 billion or 2.1 percent to Yaho billion. This is the
largest increase since December 1999. Industrial machinery and
equipment, up seven consecutive months, increased $0.7 billion
or 1.1 percent to $63.2 billion.

Inventories of nondurable goods, up fifteen of the last
sixteen months, increased $0.5 billion or 0.3 percent to $184.0
billion.

By stage of fabrication, October finished goods increased
2.0 percent in durables and 0.5 percent in nondurables, Work in
process increased 0.2 percent in durables and 2.2 percent in
nondurables. Materials and supplies increased 0.4 percent in
durables and decreased 0.9 percent in nondurables.

Our internet address is: http://www.census.gov/indicator/www/m3

‘The advance report on durable goods for November is scheduled for December 22, 2000 at 8:30 a.m. and the full report on January 4, 2001 at 10:00.a.m. For sale by the Superintendent
of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC 20402. This report is available on the day of issue through STAT-USA/Internet at www. stat-usa. gov


Nondefense Capital Goods 11
New Orders and Shipments
Three Month Moving Averages
Billions of Dollars
66 FF| New Orders} - - - - -------- 22-2 Le <- - +466
Shipments
ea +58
2h -\- > f-- 77 7 7 ee ee eee 452
i 1 L 1 1 i L 1 1 1 1 L 1
Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct
Oct. 1998 - Oct. 2000
Defense Capital Goods
New Orders and Shipments
Three Month Moving Averages
Billions of Dollars
12 12
11 | New Orders | - - - - ~~ --------------------2- 265 cnn ml
10 F| Shipments | - - ---------------------222--4222 2. +10

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb
Oct. 1998 - Oct. 2000

Apr Jun Aug Oct

Note: All Charts based on seasonally
adjusted current dollars.


Table 7. VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS’ INVENTORIES, BY STAGE OF FABRICATION,

BY INDUSTRY GROUP
(Millions of Dollars)

Seasonally Adjusted Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent
Industry Change
Oct. Sept. Aug. Sept.- | Aug.- | July - Oct. Sept. Aug. Oct. Oct.
2000° | 2000' | 2000 | Oct. | Sept. | Aug. | 2000° | 2000' | 2000 1999 | 00/99
MATERIALS AND SUPPLIES
All manufacturing industries. 163,545] 163,746] 163,648 0.1] +01] +05] 163,720] 164,183] 164,023] 154,549) +5.9
Durable goods industries..... . 99,618] 99,208} 99,430] +0.4] 0.2} +1.0] 99,979} 99,878] 100,271] 93,306| +7.2
Stone, clay, and glass product: 3,408] 3,419} 3,418 0.3 0.0} +08 3,456] 3,451] 3,277 +3.8
Primary metals... 7,975] 7,963} 8,027) +0.2 0.8 -1.0] 8,081} 8,101] 7,621 +65
Fabricated metal products. 10,913] 11,038] 11,215] 11 -1.6| -0.3 11,141] 11,261] 10,653 +19
Industrial machinery and equipment 21,324) 21,695] 21,715 17) O.1f 42.4) 22,048] 22,065] 19,792 +7.4
Electronic and other electrical
equipment. 19,148] 18,834] 18,997] +1.7' 0.9) +18 18,698] 19,256] 16,469] +16.4
Transportation equipmen 15,525] 15,084] 15,056} +2.9) +0.2 0.1 15,077] 15,013] 15,128 +2.2
Instruments and related products. 3,776] 9,601) 9,382) +18) +23 -0.2| 9,632] 9,507] 9,181 +6.9
Lumber, furniture and
miscellaneous durable goods... 11,549] 11,574] 11,620) 0.2 04, +21 11,745] 11,617] 11,184 +65
Nondurable goods industries 63,927] 64,538] 64,218 0.9) +05 “0.1 64,305] 63,752] 61,243) +41
Food and kindred products. 11,417] 11,398] 11,359] +0.2] +03 -0.6| 11,150] 11,069] 11,544] +1.0
Tobacco products. 4,452) 4,613] 4,562 3.5) +101 “0.1 4,529] 4.3301 4.680 -4.0
Textile mill products. 3,050] 3,047} 3,071] +0.1 0.8] +1.6] 3,022] 3,090] 2,833 +51
Paper and allied products. 8,039} 8,065] 8,079 0.3 0.2] 0.9 8,056] 8,048] 7,725 +34
Chemicals and allied product: 15,815] 16,209] 16,110] 2.4)  +0.6| 0.1 16,203] 16,054) 15,220] +27
Petroleum and coal products. 4,198] 4,301) 4,281 2.4) +05] +06) 4,282) 4,267] 3,587] +17.2
Rubber and plastics products. 7,612) 7,632] 7,683 0.3 -0.7 0.3 7,628} 7.631] 7,042 +67
Apparel, printing and publishing
and leather goods. 9,344] 9,273] 9,073] +08) 42.2) 40.1 9,435] 9,263] 8,612 +7.6
WORK IN PROCESS
All manufacturing industries. 145,383] 144,511] 144,687; -0.5| 147,257| 144,694] 146,516] 147,837 0.4
Durable goods industries... 112,592] 112,413] 112,626] -0.7] 113,381] 112,504] 114,474] 116,330 “25
Stone, clay, and glass products. 1,713] 1,685] 1,680) +21) 1,646] 1,652] 1,710} ~— 1,503 +95)
Primary metals. 8,819] 8,823] 8,790] +0.6] 8,746] 8,803] 8,857) 8,136] +75
Fabricated metal products. 9,365 9,241 9,337 0.0 9,458 9,291 9,454} 9,180} +3.0
Industrial machinery and equipment 20,641} 20,207] 20,333 -2.4| 20,868] 19,972) 20,763] 21,714 3.9)
Electronic and other electrical
equipment. 13,265 13,225] 13,859. -1,.6] 13,151] 13,097] 14,259] 14,041 6.3
Transportation equipment... 42,586] 42,964) 42/383 -0.5] 43,312] 43,378] 42,779] 45,997 5.8
Instruments and related pro 10,184] 10,215] 10,305) +0.7| 10,176] 10,165} 10,636] 10,106 +0.7
Lumber, furniture and
miscellaneous durable goods.. 6,019 6,053 5,939 0.0 6,024] 6,146 6,016 5,653 +6.6
Nondurable goods industries. 32,791] 32,098} 32,061 +0.1] 33,876] 32,190) 32,042] 31,507 +75
Food and kindred products. 6,272] 6,378] 6,466 0.5] 6,950] 6,369} 5,945] 7,008) 0.8
Tobacco products. 110 99) 86| +24 128 97 74] 122| +4.9
Textile mill products. 2,478] 2,497] 2,500 +11] 2,489] 2,510] 2,503] 2,471 +0.7
Paper and allied products...... 1,886] 1,881 1,868] +14) 1,805] 1,864) 1,878] 1,645 +9.7
Chemicals and allied product 10,108] 9,743] 9,741 0.4) 10,234) 9,671] 9,939] 8,970] +14.1
Petroleum and coal products. 3,741 3,386 3,327 2.5 3,858 3,427 3,371 2,966 +301
Rubber and plastics products. 2,334 2,317 2,305 +0.7 +0.5, 0.1 2,352 2,324 2,308} 2,277 +33
Apparel, printing and publishing
and leather goods. 5,862 5,791 5,768 +1.2 +0.4) +2.3 6,060} 5,928 6,024| 6,048 +0.2

FINISHED GOODS
All manufacturing industries. --| 182,929] 180,627 +13) +0.7) +0.7] 182,328] 178,866} 180,973] 166,366] +9.6

42.0} +0.7) +1.4) 94,710] 91,837] 94,032] 83,803] +13.0
0.6] +13] +03) 4,895) 5,026) 5,040] 4,732 +3.4

Durable goods industries.
Stone, clay, and glass products.

Primary metals 8,395] 8,364 +041 +0.7) 0.7 8,227] 8,242) 8,263} 8,062 +2.0
Fabricated metal product: 12,384] 12,350] +03] +1.0f +21] 12,097] 11,995} 12,106] 11,261 +74
Industrial machinery and equipment. 21,204] 20,564 43.4 +15} +1.8} 21,122] 19,928] 20,395] 18,251] +15.7
Electronic and other electrical

equipment. 14,565] 13,950] 44.4) +4.3[ 41.8] 14,789] 13,563] 13,586} 11,731] +26.1
Transportation equipment 11,575] 11,294 +2.5 4.5 42.1) 11,467) 11,338) 12,391 9,782) +17.2)
Instruments and related products. 8,233] 8,160) +0.9 1.5 +08] 8,343} 8,169] 8,474} 7,910 +5.5)
Lumber, furniture and

miscellaneous durable goods... 13,833 +17) +0.9f 41.3] 13,770) 13,576] 13,777] 12,074) +14.0

Nondurable goods industries. 86,915 +05 +0.8 0.0] 87,618] 87,029] 86,941 82,563] +61

Food and kindred products. 20,395) +1.0 “1.7 -1,.2] 21,622} 21,191] 21,163] 22,386 “3.4
Tobacco products... 695 4.9] +1.0 1,7, 783| 666) 551 564] +38.8
Textile mill products... 4,951 40.4) 41.2) 1,0] 4,857 4,846] 4,938] 4,596 +5.7
Paper and allied products 7,324 -0.3 Of 41.1 7,154} 7,210] 7,405] 6,519) +97
Chemicals and allied products. 24,966) +05 +16] +0.5[ 24,710] 24,490) 24,522) 22,162) +11.5
Petroleum and coal products. 6,744) 1.5) +48) 1.0] 6,789] 6,977 6,544) 5,731] +18.5
Rubber and plastics products. 8,713 414 +0.8] +0.8] 8,583] 8,399] 8,533) 8,070) +6.4
Apparel, printing and publishing

and leather goods. . 13,268] 13,127 +141 +21 +0.5} 13,120] 13,250] 13,285] 12,535] +4.7

° Preliminary * Revised



Table 3. VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS’ UNFILLED ORDERS FOR INDUSTRY GROUPS

(Millions of Dollars)
Seasonally Adjusted Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent
Industry Change
Oct. Sept. | Aug. | Sept.-| Aug.- | July- | Oct. Sept. | Aug. Oct. Oct.
2000° | 2000° 2000 Oct. Sept. Aug. 2000" | 2000° 2000 1999 00/99
All manufacturing industries. 583,990] 587,799] 581,177 0.6] +1.1]  +0.3] 582,606] 584,845] 583,156] 524,929] +11.0
Manufacturing industries
without defense capital goods.. 474,768] 479,129] 472,166 0.9! +1.5}  +0.1) 474,712) 477,118] 475,047] 434,042] +9.4
Durable goods industries. 558,933] 562,375] 555,889| -0.6] +1.2] +0.3] 558,089] 559,254] 556,886] 499,979] +11.6
Stone, clay, and glass products 6,257] 6,225] 6,296] +0.5 1.0] 6,148] 6,147] 6,240] 6,101 +0.8
Primary metals... 30,393] 30,583] 30,558] -0.6] -1.3] 28,900] 23,756] 30,317] 30,704 5.9
Blast furnaces, steel mills 11,215] 11,547] 11,583 -2.9 -2.4{ 10,377] 11,019} 11,379] 12,099) 14.2
Iron and steel foundries. 4,949] 4,897] 5,000] + 1.1 1.3] 4,794 4,768) 4,978] 4,718) +16
Nonferrous and other primary
metals... 14,229] 14,139] 13,975} +0.6 2) -0.4] 13,729] 13,969] 13,960] 13,887] “1.4
Fabricated metal product: 25,419) 25,320) 25,221 +04 4 +0.2) 25,206] 25,354) 25,547] 24,587 42.5
Industrial machinery and equipment. 92,100} 92,212} 92,101 0.1 7 +2.2) 91,733] 91,372] 91,667] 80,953} +13.3
Engines and turbines. 29,956] 30,165} 29,640) 0.7 8] +1.9] 30,337) 30,326} 29,389] 24,584) +23.4
Construction, mining and
material handling equipment. 8,681] 8,763} 8,589) 0.9] +2.0 -0.4/ 8,302] 8,333] 8,218] 8,245, +0.7
Metalworking machinery... 6,468 6,801 6,639 4.9] +2.4 +1.2 6,468) 6,801 6,639 7,054, 8.3
Computer and office equipment. 9,824) 9,491 9,881 +35 3.9] +12.3 9,881 9,504) 10,294 8,312 +18.9
Electronic and other
electrical equipment... 99,861] 102,004] 100,357) 21) 41.6) -1.3] 102,620] 101,181] 101,033] 79,706]  +28.7
Electrical transmission and
distribution equipment and
industrial apparatus. 7,665] 7,519 +19] +06 1.6] 7,639] 7,401] 7,580] 6,918] +10.4
Electric lighting and
wiring equipment. 5,118] 5,025 +19) “5.7 aad 5,118] 5,025] 5,326] —_ 5,090 +0.6
Communications equipment. 29,880] 30,107 0.8] +0.9) 1.2) 30,113) 29,718] 28.572] 21,749) +38.5
Electronic components. 50,167} 52,161 3.8] +26 -2.1] 82,671] 52,002) 52.597] 40,178} +31.1
Transportation equipment... 247,524] 248,862] 244,199) 0.5] +1.9]  +0.7) 246,372] 248,570] 244,755] 223,753] +10.1
Aircraft, missiles,
space vehicles, and parts. 213,583] 214,787] 209,834] 0.6) +24) +1.2) 212,586] 214.512] 210,329] 189,294) +12.3
Shipbuilding and tanks....... 18,400] 18,282] 18,140] +0.6] +0.8] -2.9] 18,459] 18,381] 18,137] 18,276 +1.0
Instruments and related products. 48,672| 48,385] 48,390] +0.6 0.0) -0.3] 48,171] 47,950] 48,298] 45,494 +5.9
Search and navigation equipment. 26,025} 25,953] 26,091] +0.3 0.5 -0.9} 25,461] 25,674] 25,958) 24,827 +26
Measuring and controlling devices 10,932} 10,673] 10,658} +2.4) +0.1] +0.7{ 10,932] 10,673] 10,658] 9917) +10.2
Medical instruments and supplies. 10,793] 10,861] 10,740) 0.6] +11 -0.2] 10,872] 10,719] 10,782] 9,865] +10.2
All other durable goods... 8,707 8,784 8,767 -0.9 +0.2 -0.6) 8,939} 8,924] 9,029 8,681 +3.0
Nondurable goods industries. 25,057} 25,424] 25,288] 1.4) +05 -1.0} 24,517] 25,591] 26,270] 24,950 7

° Preliminary " Revised

See note at end of Table 2 relating to survey error and revision.


Table 2. VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS’ NEW ORDERS FOR INDUSTRY GROUPS
(Millions of Dollars)

Seasonally Adjusted Not Seasonally Adjusted '
Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent] __Year to date
Industry Change}
Oct. | Sept. | Aug. |Sept.-] Aug. -| July-] Oct. | Sept. | Aug. | Oct. | Oct.
2000° | 2000' | 2000 } Oct. | Sept.] Aug. | 2000° | 2000' | 2000 } 1999 | 00/99) 2000? | 1999
All manufacturing industries.......... 373,911] 386,647) 382,368] | -3.3] +1.1]  +2.0] 382,306] 409,121] 381,043] 373,387] + 2.4)3,822,722]3,540,719)
Manufacturing industries
with unfilled orders... 212,845] 225,031| 220,867] -5.4] +1.9] +3.0] 215,661] 239,814] 216,077] 211,691] +1.9]2,198,934] 2,018,292
without defense capital goods.......] 367,098] 380,610| 375,062) -3.6) +1.5| +1.7| 375,919] 402,717] 375,481] 365,349] + 2.9]3,745,901]3,481,407
Durable goods industries. ...| 208,302] 220,651] 215,860] 5.6] +2.2] +2.9] 212,864] 236,004] 210,141] 210,891] +0.9]2,167,158] 2,004,265
With unfilled orders. ] 1741238] 185,530] 181,798] -6.1] +2.1| +3.7] 176,624] 198,855] 175,951] 172,965] +2.1] 1,808,081] 1,643,078
Stone, clay, and glass products. 8,823| 8,670] 8,803] +1.8| -1.5| +0.5| 9,257] 9,078] 9,249] 9,496] -2.5} 89,032] 86,953
Primary metals........... 15,326] 15,756] 15,430] -2.7] +24] -1.1] 14,914] 15,673] 15,172] 15,049 9] 158,434] 150,709
Blast furnaces, steel mills. 5,408| 5,679] 5.640] -4.8| +0.7| -0.8] 5,157] 5,415} 5,533] 5,796] -11.0] 58,836] 58,426
{ron and steel foundries. 1.456} 1.305] 11365] +11.6] 4.4) -11.1] 1503) 1,271] 1,386] 1,534 o| 14,998] 14,886
Nonferrous and other primary
metals 8,462] 8,772| 8,425] -3.5] +41] +0.6] 8,254] 8,987] 8,253] 7,719] +6.9] 84,600) 77,397)
Fabricated 20,172) 20,291) 20,587] -0.6| -1.4) +1.7} 20,892] 21,073] 21,257] 20,860) +0.2] 206,792] 205,149)
Industrial machinery and equip 43,851| 43,387) 45,623] 41.1] -4.9] -0.4 42,891] 47,689] 42,917] 39,045] +9.9] 434,186] 382,870
Engines and turbines. 2379] 3,154] 3.274] -24.6] -3.7| -18.0] 2,406] 3,857] 3,261] 3,055] -21.2) 31,370] 30,214]
Construction, mining and
‘material handling equipment. 3,831] 4,023] 3,865] -4.8] +4.1] +0.2] 3,737] 3,960] 3,422] 3,545] +5.4) 39,977] 37,665)
Metalworking machinery... 314211 3.990] 3,966] -14.3] +0.6]+10.4] 3,830] 4.619] 3,799] 4,408] -13.1] 37,331] 36,533
Computer and office equipment 15.711) 14,483| 15,725] +8.5] -7.9| +4.7| 14,478) 17,558] 14,741] 11,332] +27.8[ 139,927] 113,674]
Electronic and other
electrical equipment...... 38,955] 43,232| 39,858] -9.9} +8.5] +4.5] 41,688] 47,960] 37,214] 40,323] +3.4] 413,636] 357,375
Electrical transmission and
distribution equipment and
industrial apparatus......-.e--s| 4,233 4,201] 4,043] +0.8| +3.9] -2.7] 4,072) 4,602] 4,055] 3,835] +6.2] 42,386] 39,020
Electric lighting and
wiring equipment... 2,700] 2,277| 2,537] +18.6] -10.2| -7.5] 2,604] 2,587] 2,515] 2,514) +3.6) 25,652] 23,859)
Communications equipment 10,402] 11,004] 10,015] -5.5] +9.9] -2.4] 10,122] 13,985] 8,319] 10,991] -7.9] 103,206] 85,378
Electronic components 16,393| 19,928 17,256] -17.7| +15.5| +13.7] 19,094] 20,503] 16,034] 16,682] +14.5] 184,381] 152,958)
Transportation equipment... 44,729] 53,309] 49,441] 16.1] +7.8] +7.1] 46,298] 56,129] 48,619] 49,951] | -7.3] 502,480] 466,703
Aircraft, missiles,
space vehicles, and parts. 9,332] 16,945] 14,615] -44.9] +15.9] +47.2] 8,039] 17,291] 13,398] 9,935] -19.1) 132,635] 100,559)
Shipbuilding and tanks... 1,280] 1,157 619] +10.6] +86.9] -24.0] 1,224) 1,290] 580] 948] +29.1{ 9,697] 8,804
Instruments and related products 15.827] 15,569] 15,323] +1.7] +1.6] +4.5] 15,454] 16,938] 14,639} 14,045] +10.0) 151,367] 141,475
‘Search and navigation equipment... 3,033] 2,908) 2,856] +4.3] +1.8| -0.7| 2.640] 3,076] 2,478] 2,623 +0.6} 30,203) 29,568]
Measuring and controlling devices.| 5,579] 5.362] 5,127| +4.0] +4.6] +5.9] 5,506] 5,881] 5,047) 4,089] +34.7] 49,855] 41,273
Medical instruments and supplies...) 4.791] 4.900] 4,845{  -2.2) 41.1] +7.0] 4,810] 5,325] 4,735] 4,813] -0.1] 47,307] 47,766
All other durable goods. 20,619} 20,437] 20,795} +0.9) -1.7) +1.6] 21,470] 21.464] 21,074) 22,122] -2.9) 211,231) 213,081
Nondurable goods industries | 165,609] 165,996] 166,508] -0.2/  -0.3]  +0.8] 169,442] 173,117] 170,902] 162,496] +4.3] 1,655,564] 1,536,454]
With unfilled orders. 38,607| 39,501] 39,069] -2.3| +1.1] | -0.1] 39,037] 40,959] 40,126] 38,726] +0.8] 390,883] 375,214

° Preliminary " Revised

’ Shipments and new orders are the totals for the period and are adjusted for trading-day and calendar-month variations.

{n) When new orders for a prior month are negative because of cancellations, the percentage change calculation is algebraically negative, even though there is a
net dollar increase from the prior month to the current month.

Note: Estimates of manufacturers’ shipments, inventories and orders are subject to survey error and revision. One major component of survey error is
nonsampling error, which includes errors of coverage, response, and nonreporting. Since the survey panel is not a probability sample, estimates of sampling
error cannot be calculated. Further details on survey design, methodology, and data limitations are contained in our most recent annual benchmark publication,
Current Industrial Reports: M3-1(97), "Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders: 1987-1997."



Table 1. VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS’ SHIPMENTS FOR INDUSTRY GROUPS
(Millions of Dollars)

Seasonally Adjusted

Not Seasonally Adjusted *

Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent] Year to date
Industry Change|
Oct. | Sept. | Aug. |Sept.-| Aug. -| July-] Oct. | Sept. | aug. | oct. | Oct
2000" | 2000' | 2000 | Oct. | Sept.| Aug. | 2000° | 2000' | 2000 | 1999 }00/99] 2000" | 1999
All manufacturing industries..........] 377,720] 380,025] 380,780 -0.6| -0.2) +0.8) 384,545] 407,432] 382,021] 369,691] +4.0]3,772,807/3,528,827
Manufacturing industries
with unfilled orders...... 216,654] 218,409] 219,279 4} +1.1} 217,900] 238,125] 217,055} 207,995| +4.8]2,149,019] 2,006,400
without defense capital goods. 371,459] 373,647} 374,527 .2) +0.9] 378,325] 400,646] 376,085] 363,160] +4.2]3,710,240] 3,464,689]
Durable goods industries. 211,744] 214,165] 214,018) 1] +0.9] 214,029] 233,636] 210,451] 206,861] +3.5]2,116,848] 1,994,377
With unfilled orders...... 177,680] 179,044] 179,956 5] +1.4) 177,789] 196,487] 176,261] 168,935] +5.2]1,757,741] 1,633, 190)
Stone, clay, and glass products. 8,791 8,741 8,867 4 9] 9,256 9,171 9,377 9,442] -2.0] 89,121 86,923
Primary metals... 15,516] 15,731] 15,842 7 5] 15,770] 16,234] 15,900] 15,539} +1.5] 160,655] 148,852
Blast furnaces, steel mills. 5,740 5,715 5,925 -3.5 8] 5,799 5,775 5,971 6,024] “3.7 61,092 57,362
Iron and steel foundries. 1,404] 1,408} 1,431 6 7) 1,477) 1,481 1,452) 1,554) -5.0} 14,868 15,520}
Nonferrous and other primary
metals... 8,372 8,608] 8,486] 4 8 8,494] 8,978 8,477 7,961) +6.7 84,695 75,970}
Fabricated metal products. 20,073} 20,192] 20,545 1.7) 8] 21,040] 21,266} 21,222] 21,336] -1.4] 206,334] 205,996
Industrial machinery and equipment. 43,963] 43,276} 43,617] -0.8] 3] 42,530] 47,984} 40,645] 38,305] +11.0] 423,680] 376,358
Engines and turbines. 2,588 2,629 2,728] -3.6] .5 2,395 2,920] 2,479 2,526] -5.2| 25,831 24,355
Farm and garden machinery. 1,886) 2,072 2,098} 2 9) 1,609} 1,849) 1,690} 1,402] + 14.8) 21,576 19,195)
Construction, mining and
material handling equipment... 3,913 3,849 3,898 3 -2.6| 3,768 3,845 3,685] 3,636] +3.6 40,254) 39,053
Metalworking machinery... 3,754) 3,828 3,890} 6) +19 4,163] 4,457 3,723} 4,486 -7.2 37,353) 35,925
Computer and office equipment... 15,378] 14,873] 14,646 5] 3.2) 14,101] 18,348] 13,407} 11,468] +23.0] 138,727] 113,303
Electronic and other
electrical equipment...............00 41,098] 41,585} 41,176 0} +1.0) 40,249] 47,812] 39,559] 34,795] +15.7] 394,703] 335,475)
Electrical transmission and
distribution equipment and
industrial apparatus...... 4,087 4,159 4,166] “1.7 0.2 -0.2 3,834] 4,781 4,101 3,602] +6.4 41,643 38,283
Household appliances. 2,307 2,396] 2,347 3.7] 42.1] +2.3] 2,212 2,550} 2,318 2,302 3.9 24,104] 23,586)
Electric lighting and
wiring equipment... 2,607] 2,578 2,595] +1.1 -0.7 -2.8] 2,511 2,888 2,573] 2,433] +3.2 25,566) 23,791
Household audio and
video equipment.. 1,128 1,074| 1,136] +5.0] 5.5 7.5 1,385) 1,237 1,197) 1,266] +9.4 11,465 10,400
Communications equipmen 10,629} 10,733] 10,391 -1.0] +3.3] +2.4] 9,727] 12,839] 9,129 7,985) +21.8 98,716) 80,686
Electronic components... 18,387] 18,594) 18,338 11) +1.4) 41.1] 18,425) 21,098] 18,019] 14,757] +24.9] 172,184] 136,435)
Transportation equipment. 46,067] 48,646] 47,649 5.3) +21] +2.1) 48,496] 52,314] 47,448} 51,055) -5.0] 482,490] 485,534)
Motor vehicles and parts... 31,846] 32,821] 31,994 -3.0) +2.6] 3.0] 34,815] 34,942} 32,199] 36,628 -4.9) 334,221] 335,766
Aircraft, missiles,
space vehicles, and parts. 10,536) 11,992] 12,063] -12.1 -0.6] +17.5] 9,965] 13,108] 11,562} 11,112] -10,3] 110,557] 115,273
Shipbuilding and tanks.. 1,162| 1,015) 1,152] +14.5] -11.9) -2.6) 1,146 1,046) 1,151 943) +21.5 10,766} 9,850]
Instruments and related products....... 15,540] 15,574] 15,476) -0.2) +06) +4.3] 15,233] 17,286] 14,988] 14,506] +5.0] 149,692] 143,166]
Search and navigation equipment. 2,961 3,046 3,083 2.8] -1.2) 42.7 2,853] 3,360] 2,982 3,080} 7.4 30,162) 31,169
Measuring and controlling devices... 5,320] 5,347 5,051 -0.5) +5.9) +6.5 5,247 5,866] 4,971 4,349] +20.6) 49,055, 41,541
Medical instruments and supplies. 859) 4,779) 4,868] +1.7 1.8) +3.6 4,657) §,388| 4,680) 4,575) +1.8) 46,470 47,487
Photographic goods... 1,880} 1,896 1,947| -0.8 -2.6) +4.2 1,967) 2,149) 1,824| 2,012 -2.2 18,857] 18,088)
All other durable good: 20,696] 20,420} 20,846] +1.4 -2.0] +1.2) 21,455] 21,569] 21,312] 21,883 -2.0] 210,173] 212,072
Nondurable goods industries. | 165,976] 165,860] 166,762] +0.1 -0.5] +0.8] 170,516] 173,796] 171,570] 162,830] +4.7]1,655,959] 1,534,450,
With unfilled orders. 38,974] 39,365] 39,323) -1.0) +0.1 -0.1) 40,111] 41,638] 40,794) 39,060] +2.7) 391,278] 373,210]
Food and kindred products. 42,752] 42,595} 42,852] +0.4| -0.6} +0.8} 44,181] 44,486] 43,727] 43,792] +0.9] 423,939] 416,026
Meat products....... 9,862 9,775 9,939] +09 -1.7) +0.7| 9,985] 9,911] 10,250) 9,700] +2.9 97,028] 88,867
Dairy products. 6,155] 6,276| 6,245) 1.9] +0.5 -0.8] 6,024] 6,565) 6,261 6,283} 4.1 62,265) 64,230
Beverages... 6,810] 6,816 6,680] -O.1f +2.0) 41.7 6,847 7,051 7,173 6,466] +5.9 67,416) 63,948
All other foods, except fats and oils] 18,044) 17,979] 18,217) +0.4) -1.3] +09] 19,444] 19,210] 18,272] 19,441 0.0] 179,300] 180,580]
Tobacco products.. 4,356) 4,307 4,575) +1.1 -5.9} +2.2) 4,405) 4,029) 4,822) 4,522 -2.6 44,010) 41,923)
Textile mill products. 6,286 6,276 6,370] +0.2 1.5 2.1 6,595) 6,816 6,719) 7,003} 5.8 64,970) 65,801
Broadwoven fabrics and
other textiles. 3,499 3,538 3,608 Vd “1.9 1.3] 3,524) 3,875 3,721 3,698 47 36,252 37,339
Paper and allied products... 14,294) 14,480] 14,394 -1.3) +0.6) -1.0} 14,526] 14,900] 14,651] 14,081] +3.2} 145,083] 136,368
Pulp, paper, and
Paperboard mill products...... 5,699 5,679 -0.6] +0.4| 2.3 5,701 5,810] 5,781 5,334] +6.9 57,769 52,330
Paperboard containers and boxes... 3,785) 3,881] +1.0] 2.5) 40.1 3,954] 3,831 3,991 3,792) +4.3 39,257] 34,348
Miscellaneous converted
paper products... 4,996] 4,834) -3.7) +3.4) -0.3 4,871 5,259) 4,879) 4,955) 1.7 48,057, 49,690)
Chemicals and allied products... 36,668] 37,072] +0.6 -1,1] +1.3] 36,403} 38,256] 36,925] 35,055} +3.8] 366,992] 343,240)
Industrial chemicals. 15,911] 16,125] +0.4| 1.3) +0.7] 15,876] 16,157) 16,145] 15,879 0.0] 160,757] 151,882
Drugs, soaps, and toiletries 16,965] 17,060] +0.8| 0.6} +2.5} 17,206] 18,806] 17,215] 15,849] +8.6} 165,874] 151,275)
Petroleum and coal products. 20,360] 19,815] +0.8] +2.8) +0.5] 21,515] 21,435] 20,858] 16,531] +30.1] 196,671] 137.319]
Rubber and plastics products. 14,228) 14,531 -0.2 -2.1) +0.6] 14,643] 14,701] 14,853] 14,358] +2.0] 146,501] 137,860]
All other nondurable goods... 26,946] 27,153] -1.0] -0.8] +1,.8] 28,248] 29,173] 29,015} 27,488] +2.8] 267,793} 255,913

Preliminary * Revised

‘Shipments and new orders are the totals for the period and are adjusted for trading-day and calendar-month variations.
2e note at end of Table 2 relating to survey error and revision.