Manufacturers' Shipments,

 Inventories, and Orders: October 2003 Issued December 2003

 M3-1(03)-10

 For Wire Transmission 10:00 a.m. E.S.T., December 5, 2003 Current 

 Industrial

 Reports

For data, call 301-763-4673. For inquiries, contact Dan Sansbury or Derrick Roy, Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders Branch, Manufacturing and 

Construction Divison (MCD), Washington, DC 20233-6900 or call 301-763-4832.

The advance report on durable goods for November is scheduled for December 24, 2003 at 8:30 a.m. and the full report on January 6, 2004 at 10:00 a.m. 

For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington DC, 20402 

Our Internet address is : http://www.census.gov/m3

Total Manufacturing Shipments

and Three Month Moving Average

300

320

340

360

380

Oct-01

Dec-01

Feb-02Apr-02

Jun-02

Aug-02

Oct-02

Dec-02

Feb-03Apr-03

Jun-03

Aug-03

Oct-03

300

320

340

360

380

 Shipments Average

Billions Of Dollars

Total Manufacturing Inventories

and Three Month Moving Average

420

440

460

480

500

Oct-01

Dec-01

Feb-02Apr-02

Jun-02

Aug-02

Oct-02

Dec-02

Feb-03Apr-03

Jun-03

Aug-03

Oct-03

420

440

460

480

500

 Inventories Average

Billions Of Dollars
2

Figures in text, other than year-to-date, are in seasonally adjusted current dollars. Figures on new and unfilled orders exclude data

for semiconductor manufacturing.

Summary

New orders for manufactured goods in October

increased $7.3 billion or 2.2 percent to $341.2 billion,

the Department of Commerce, Census Bureau reported

today. This is the fifth increase in the last six months

and follows a 1.4 percent September increase. Year to

date, new orders for 2003 were 3.1 percent above the

same period a year ago.

Shipments increased $2.3 billion or 0.7 percent to

$339.9 billion. This is the fifth increase in the last six

months and follows a 1.8 percent September increase. 

Year to date, shipments for 2003 were 2.1 percent above

the same period a year ago. 

Unfilled orders, up eight of the past nine months,

increased $7.6 billion or 1.6 percent to $499.6 billion. 

This followed a 0.4 percent September increase. The

unfilled orders-to-shipments ratio was 4.04, up from

4.00 in September.

Inventories, up following five consecutive decreases,

increased $0.2 billion to $438.5 billion, following a 0.3

percent September decrease. The inventories-toshipments ratio was 1.29, down from 1.30 in September.

New Orders

New orders for manufactured durable goods in

October, up five of the last six months, increased $6.2

billion or 3.4 percent to $184.9 billion, revised from the

previously published 3.3 percent increase.

Transportation equipment had the largest increase,

$2.8 billion or 5.5 percent to $54.2 billion.

New orders for manufactured nondurable goods

increased $1.1 billion or 0.7 percent to $156.3 billion.

Shipments

Shipments of manufactured durable goods in October,

up five of the last six months, increased $1.2 billion or

0.6 percent to $183.5 billion, revised from the

previously published $183.3 billion.

Computers and electronic products had the largest

increase, $0.9 billion or 2.6 percent to $36.5 billion,

led by semiconductors, which increased $0.7 billion. 

This was the highest level in computers and electronic

products since April 2001.

Shipments of manufactured nondurable goods

increased $1.1 billion or 0.7 percent to $156.3 billion. 

Basic chemicals had the largest increase, $0.8 billion

or 2.1 percent to $40.0 billion.

Unfilled Orders

Unfilled orders of manufactured durable goods in

October, up eight of the past nine months, increased

$7.6 billion or 1.6 percent to $499.6 billion, revised

from the previously published 1.5 percent increase.

Computers and electronic products, up six

consecutive months, had the largest increase, $3.9

billion or 3.0 percent to $132.1 billion. This was the

largest percent increase in computers and electronic

products since June 2000. 

Inventories

Inventories of manufactured durable goods in

October increased $0.6 billion or 0.2 percent to $262.3

billion, revised from the previously published $262.4

billion. This was the first increase since December

2002.

Transportation equipment, up following four

consecutive decreases, had the largest increase, $0.3

billion or 0.5 percent to $67.6 billion. 

Inventories of manufactured nondurable goods

decreased $0.4 billion or 0.2 percent to $176.2 billion. 

Basic chemicals had the largest decrease, $0.2 billion

or 0.4 percent to $52.3 billion.

By stage of fabrication, October materials and

supplies increased 0.4 percent in durable goods and

decreased 0.7 percent in nondurable goods. Work in

process increased 0.8 percent in durable goods and 1.3

percent in nondurable goods. Finished goods

decreased 0.6 percent in durable goods and 0.5 percent

in nondurable goods. 

SEE BACK PAGE FOR SURVEY DESCRIPTION

Our internet address is: http://www.census.gov/m3

For data, call 301-763-4673. For inquiries, contact Dan Sansbury or Derrick Roy, Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories, and Orders Branch,

Manufacturing and Construction Division (MCD), Washington, DC 20233-6900, or call 301-763-4832.

The advance report on durable goods for November is scheduled for December 24, 2003 at 8:30 A.M. EST and the full report on January 6,

2004 at 10:00 A.M. EST. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC 20402. 
 3 

Table 1. Value of Manufacturers' Shipments for Industry Groups

[Millions of Dollars]

Seasonally Adjusted Not Seasonally Adjusted 1

Monthly Percent Change Monthly

Industry Percent

Oct. Sept. Aug. Sept. - Aug. - July - Oct. Sept. Aug. Oct. 2003/

2003p 2003r 2003 Oct. Sept. Aug. 2003p 2003r 2003 2002 2003p 2002 2002

 All manufacturing industries .................. 339,857 337,598 331,676 0.7 1.8 -1.7 355,433 357,911 335,985 341,009 3,319,158 3,252,592 2.0

 Excluding transportation ................... 287,557 284,532 281,829 1.1 1.0 -0.8 298,070 300,909 285,603 283,671 2,803,480 2,725,543 2.9

 Excluding defense .............................. 330,770 328,175 322,515 0.8 1.8 -1.6 346,448 347,684 327,088 333,326 3,231,053 3,175,620 1.7

 With unfilled orders ........................... 123,575 123,057 119,669 0.4 2.8 -3.1 127,633 132,609 119,157 125,275 1,205,450 1,226,448 -1.7

 Durable goods industries ........................ 183,541 182,379 177,187 0.6 2.9 -2.5 192,199 197,413 177,143 185,688 1,781,873 1,785,307 -0.2

 Wood products................................. ...... 8,500 8,308 7,925 2.3 4.8 4.0 9,042 8,865 8,457 7,592 77,527 74,045 4.7

 Nonmetallic mineral products................... 7,620 7,503 7,312 1.6 2.6 -0.5 8,443 8,049 7,927 7,871 74,510 75,204 -0.9

 Primary metals............................ .......... 10,954 10,782 10,577 1.6 1.9 -2.3 11,623 11,041 10,758 12,137 110,646 115,464 -4.2

 Iron and steel mills............................ 4,821 4,788 4,731 0.7 1.2 -3.1 5,063 4,899 4,771 5,638 50,185 52,474 -4.4

 Aluminum and nonferrous metals......... 4,850 4,715 4,624 2.9 2.0 -1.1 5,158 4,804 4,724 5,100 47,446 49,338 -3.8

 Ferrous metal foundries...................... 1,283 1,279 1,222 0.3 4.7 -3.9 1,402 1,338 1,263 1,399 13,015 13,652 -4.7

 Fabricated metal products...................... 20,459 20,424 19,977 0.2 2.2 -4.3 21,888 21,388 20,848 22,500 206,031 212,636 -3.1

 Machinery............................................. 21,601 21,375 21,057 1.1 1.5 -1.0 21,457 22,088 20,304 21,121 211,123 215,110 -1.9

 Farm machinery................................. 1,418 1,402 1,390 1.1 0.9 3.8 1,283 1,425 1,285 1,255 14,403 13,808 4.3

 Construction machinery..................... 1,927 1,811 1,764 6.4 2.7 -2.6 1,906 1,711 1,678 1,621 17,644 17,089 3.2

 Mining, oil field, and 

 gas field machinery......................... 717 777 705 -7.7 10.2 -3.2 662 815 685 597 7,028 6,370 10.3

 Industrial machinery.......................... 2,972 2,979 3,023 -0.2 -1.5 4.0 3,005 3,086 2,678 2,750 29,095 26,536 9.6

 Photographic equipment...................... 878 814 840 7.9 -3.1 -2.2 966 898 831 894 8,077 7,952 1.6

 Ventilation, heating, air-conditioning,

 and refrigeration equipment............ 2,535 2,547 2,537 -0.5 0.4 -3.1 2,414 2,685 2,718 2,334 25,332 25,972 -2.5

 Metalworking machinery..................... 1,480 1,529 1,756 -3.2 -12.9 1.0 1,629 1,780 1,710 2,301 16,733 20,242 -17.3

 Turbines, generators, and other

 power transmission equipment....... 2,657 2,579 2,576 3.0 0.1 -4.9 2,627 2,803 2,538 2,963 26,446 32,434 -18.5

 Material handling equipment............... 1,392 1,364 1,317 2.1 3.6 0.0 1,479 1,388 1,247 1,364 13,447 13,515 -0.5

 Computers and electronic products ......... 36,549 35,614 35,343 2.6 0.8 0.6 36,073 41,682 33,241 31,812 337,539 320,722 5.2

 Computers........................................ 5,736 5,120 5,212 12.0 -1.8 -5.6 6,442 6,063 4,634 4,746 48,029 41,224 16.5

 Computer storage devices................... 1,254 1,469 1,282 -14.6 14.6 -13.6 864 2,323 1,008 791 12,594 11,613 8.4

 Other peripheral equipment................ 1,477 1,488 1,482 -0.7 0.4 -6.1 1,309 1,931 1,320 1,321 14,258 13,724 3.9

 Nondefense communications

 equipment.................................... 6,294 6,125 6,072 2.8 0.9 -0.8 5,733 7,319 5,538 5,062 56,816 61,133 -7.1

 Defense communications equipment... 481 440 458 9.3 -3.9 3.9 462 479 460 359 4,279 3,677 16.4

 Audio and video equipment.................. 737 687 669 7.3 2.7 -5.2 885 766 653 792 6,580 6,946 -5.3

 Semiconductors ................................. 6,284 5,611 6,352 12.0 -11.7 19.9 6,406 6,476 6,181 5,305 57,895 47,534 21.8

 Electronic components........................ 4,167 4,115 4,081 1.3 0.8 0.1 4,380 4,380 4,127 4,625 40,664 45,830 -11.3

 Nondefense search and navigation

 equipment..................................... 848 860 819 -1.4 5.0 -5.3 804 996 831 835 8,371 8,441 -0.8

 Defense search and navigation

 equipment..................................... 2,531 2,449 2,492 3.3 -1.7 -11.7 2,482 2,549 2,392 2,155 23,856 21,024 13.5

 Electromedical, measuring,

 and control instruments................. 6,205 6,738 5,938 -7.9 13.5 3.6 5,683 7,828 5,612 5,179 59,234 53,776 10.1

 Electrical equipment, appliances, 

 and components................................... 8,527 8,463 8,300 0.8 2.0 -2.9 8,563 9,528 8,188 8,556 83,793 86,273 -2.9

 Electric lighting equipment................... 1,045 1,058 986 -1.2 7.3 -5.6 1,030 1,169 945 1,030 10,238 10,162 0.7

 Household appliances........................ 2,032 2,050 2,032 -0.9 0.9 1.6 2,016 2,236 2,048 1,906 19,527 18,847 3.6

 Electrical equipment............................ 2,547 2,465 2,411 3.3 2.2 -3.9 2,461 2,871 2,400 2,424 24,740 25,508 -3.0

 Batteries........................................... 473 469 479 0.9 -2.1 -12.6 545 570 450 531 4,546 4,907 -7.4

 Transportation equipment...................... 52,300 53,066 49,847 -1.4 6.5 -6.3 57,363 57,002 50,382 57,338 515,678 527,049 -2.2

 Automobiles..................................... 7,146 7,406 6,848 -3.5 8.1 -11.1 8,418 7,998 6,987 8,468 72,700 74,703 -2.7

 Light trucks and utility vehicles............ 11,188 11,289 10,219 -0.9 10.5 -7.6 13,180 12,257 10,438 12,834 107,836 108,560 -0.7

 Heavy duty trucks ............................. 1,131 1,136 1,010 -0.4 12.5 -4.4 1,278 1,145 1,057 1,491 10,951 11,636 -5.9

 Motor vehicle bodies, parts, 

 and trailers.................................... 18,272 18,228 17,576 0.2 3.7 -4.1 20,453 18,967 17,989 21,044 181,594 189,906 -4.4

 Nondefense aircraft and parts.............. 5,468 5,637 5,332 -3.0 5.7 -9.7 4,904 6,216 5,048 5,512 54,441 62,883 -13.4

 Defense aircraft and parts.................. 3,392 3,515 3,413 -3.5 3.0 -1.0 3,375 3,858 3,358 2,779 32,446 28,445 14.1

 Ships and boats................................. 2,221 2,320 2,156 -4.3 7.6 -1.3 2,347 2,456 2,294 2,032 21,402 17,762 20.5

 Furniture and related products................. 5,915 5,858 5,899 1.0 -0.7 -2.0 6,239 6,105 6,367 5,997 58,204 58,692 -0.8

 Miscellaneous durable goods................. 11,116 10,986 10,950 1.2 0.3 0.2 11,508 11,665 10,671 10,764 106,822 100,112 6.7

 Nondurable goods industries................... 156,316 155,219 154,489 0.7 0.5 -0.6 163,234 160,498 158,842 155,321 1,537,285 1,467,285 4.8

 Food products....................................... 39,221 39,241 38,946 -0.1 0.8 0.4 41,427 40,620 39,689 39,765 381,709 372,931 2.4

 Grain and oilseed milling..................... 4,300 4,258 4,180 1.0 1.9 2.0 4,555 4,227 4,235 4,211 41,037 39,383 4.2

 Dairy products.................................. 5,856 5,741 5,652 2.0 1.6 1.2 5,892 5,934 5,684 5,005 54,200 50,621 7.1

 Meat, poultry, and seafood products... 11,508 11,512 11,302 0.0 1.9 0.2 11,669 11,480 11,803 10,881 111,692 109,670 1.8

 Beverage and tobacco products............... 8,784 8,692 8,770 1.1 -0.9 -1.4 8,783 8,815 9,123 8,978 88,456 92,978 -4.9

 Beverages......................................... 5,723 5,702 5,618 0.4 1.5 -0.8 5,722 5,825 5,971 5,658 57,466 56,580 1.6

 Tobacco............................................ 3,061 2,990 3,152 2.4 -5.1 -2.5 3,061 2,990 3,152 3,320 30,990 36,398 -14.9

 Textile mills........................................... 3,383 3,270 3,202 3.5 2.1 -0.6 3,566 3,561 3,401 3,691 33,516 36,541 -8.3

 Textile products................................... 3,013 2,964 2,913 1.7 1.8 0.1 3,095 3,087 3,156 2,928 29,256 28,821 1.5

 Apparel................................................ 4,445 4,421 4,264 0.5 3.7 -0.5 5,087 4,796 4,772 4,918 44,249 45,249 -2.2

 Leather and allied products..................... 874 879 923 -0.6 -4.8 -2.2 925 881 1,009 969 9,008 8,439 6.7

 Paper products...................................... 13,240 13,137 13,113 0.8 0.2 -2.3 13,828 13,561 13,390 13,539 133,225 126,280 5.5

 Pulp, paper, and paperboard mills....... 5,598 5,542 5,571 1.0 -0.5 -4.2 5,828 5,678 5,755 6,276 57,697 58,549 -1.5

 Paperboard containers........................ 3,552 3,565 3,582 -0.4 -0.5 -1.2 3,817 3,651 3,707 3,973 36,821 37,404 -1.6

 Printing................................................. 7,694 7,844 7,822 -1.9 0.3 0.9 8,335 8,264 8,041 9,032 78,682 80,854 -2.7

 Petroleum and coal products.................. 19,991 20,035 20,767 -0.2 -3.5 4.2 20,929 20,552 22,357 19,114 200,430 171,291 17.0

 Petroleum refineries.......................... 18,217 18,341 19,100 -0.7 -4.0 4.9 18,894 18,546 20,372 17,310 182,976 154,604 18.4

 Basic chemicals...................................... 39,967 39,160 38,508 2.1 1.7 -3.4 40,629 40,464 38,241 36,471 382,788 353,509 8.3

 Pesticides, fertilizers, and other

 agricultural chemicals..................... 1,764 1,686 1,650 4.6 2.2 5.2 1,242 1,190 1,258 1,016 15,872 16,586 -4.3

 Pharmaceuticals and medicines............ 9,993 9,758 9,746 2.4 0.1 -16.4 10,677 10,506 9,496 10,288 98,474 97,072 1.4

 Paints, coatings, and adhesives.......... 2,466 2,516 2,385 -2.0 5.5 1.0 2,481 2,504 2,491 2,386 24,281 23,965 1.3

 Plastics and rubber products.................. 15,704 15,576 15,261 0.8 2.1 -1.5 16,630 15,897 15,663 15,916 155,966 150,392 3.7

p Preliminary r

 Revised NA Not available.

1

 Shipments are the totals for the period and are adjusted for trading-day and calendar-month variations.

See note at end of Table 2 relating to survey error and revision.

Year to date
 4

Table 2. Value of Manufacturers' New Orders for Industry Groups

[Millions of Dollars]

Seasonally Adjusted Not Seasonally Adjusted 1

Monthly Percent Change Monthly

Industry Percent

Oct. Sept. Aug. Sept. - Aug. - July - Oct. Sept. Aug. Oct. 2003/

2003p 2003r 2003 Oct. Sept. Aug. 2003p 2003r 2003 2002 2003p 2002 2002

All manufacturing industries 2................... 341,216 333,957 329,401 2.2 1.4 -0.3 356,069 349,573 329,567 329,368 3,272,122 3,174,373 3.1

 Excluding transportation 2

................... 287,039 282,623 278,153 1.6 1.6 -0.1 297,984 295,144 279,617 276,444 2,757,302 2,656,798 3.8

 Excluding defense 2

............................. 330,038 324,874 317,667 1.6 2.3 -1.2 345,718 340,889 320,021 324,493 3,177,594 3,097,670 2.6

 With unfilled orders 2

.......................... 131,218 125,027 123,746 5.0 1.0 1.4 134,675 130,747 118,920 118,939 1,216,309 1,195,763 1.7

 Durable goods industries 2........................ 184,900 178,738 174,912 3.4 2.2 -0.1 192,835 189,075 170,725 174,047 1,734,837 1,707,088 1.6

 Primary metals............................ ............ 11,552 10,885 11,000 6.1 -1.0 1.1 11,961 10,729 11,107 11,609 110,856 114,305 -3.0

 Iron and steel mills.............................. 5,323 4,834 5,168 10.1 -6.5 3.0 5,321 4,667 5,226 5,188 50,486 52,935 -4.6

 Aluminum and nonferrous metals......... 4,832 4,701 4,619 2.8 1.8 1.0 5,094 4,705 4,620 4,988 47,181 47,957 -1.6

 Ferrous metal foundries...................... 1,397 1,350 1,213 3.5 11.3 -6.2 1,546 1,357 1,261 1,433 13,189 13,413 -1.7

 Fabricated metal products...................... 20,842 20,755 20,531 0.4 1.1 -0.8 22,113 21,392 20,926 22,098 206,201 211,178 -2.4

 Machinery............................................. 21,794 21,411 21,102 1.8 1.5 -0.4 21,722 21,767 20,240 20,736 209,886 205,914 1.9

 Construction machinery....................... 1,888 1,871 1,795 0.9 4.2 -12.1 1,901 1,664 1,689 1,682 17,703 16,841 5.1

 Mining, oil field, and

 gas field machinery......................... 763 768 918 -0.7 -16.3 31.9 708 806 898 613 7,138 6,327 12.8

 Industrial machinery............................ 2,974 3,110 2,884 -4.4 7.8 7.6 3,245 2,915 2,388 3,081 29,223 27,054 8.0

 Photographic equipment...................... 876 849 850 3.2 -0.1 -0.1 964 920 841 913 8,303 8,028 3.4

 Ventilation, heating, air-conditioning,

 and refrigeration equipment............ 2,606 2,582 2,715 0.9 -4.9 -3.3 2,400 2,587 2,876 2,368 25,767 25,874 -0.4

 Metalworking machinery....................... 1,543 1,618 1,740 -4.6 -7.0 2.4 1,798 1,825 1,643 2,388 16,922 20,168 -16.1

 Turbines, generators, and other 

 power transmission equipment.......... 2,642 2,399 2,437 10.1 -1.6 -3.6 2,590 2,594 2,486 2,116 23,832 23,381 1.9

 Material handling equipment............... 1,355 1,445 1,194 -6.2 21.0 -6.3 1,362 1,668 1,054 1,289 13,181 13,201 -0.2

 Computers and electronic products 2...... 34,164 32,878 30,663 3.9 7.2 1.9 34,272 36,582 27,155 25,431 290,465 264,553 9.8

 Computers........................................ 5,513 5,322 5,533 3.6 -3.8 8.3 6,170 6,073 5,200 4,802 48,469 41,080 18.0

 Nondefense communications

 equipment...................................... 9,415 7,635 6,604 23.3 15.6 -1.7 9,403 8,279 4,685 5,020 65,534 56,915 15.1

 Defense communications equipment... 650 404 375 60.9 7.7 -10.5 631 443 377 476 4,505 3,628 24.2

 Semiconductors 2................................ (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)

 Electronic components........................ 4,408 4,264 4,195 3.4 1.6 9.8 4,627 4,390 4,298 4,609 38,700 44,020 -12.1

 Nondefense search and navigation

 equipment..................................... 869 849 864 2.4 -1.7 -6.9 856 915 800 927 8,567 8,044 6.5

 Defense search and navigation

 equipment...................................... 2,973 2,697 3,261 10.2 -17.3 12.9 2,770 2,659 2,813 500 24,818 18,289 35.7

 Electromedical, measuring,

 and control instruments.................... 6,333 7,551 5,912 -16.1 27.7 -0.8 6,134 8,231 5,516 5,551 61,477 54,494 12.8

 Electrical equipment, appliances, 

 and components................................... 8,584 8,598 8,429 -0.2 2.0 1.0 8,806 9,327 8,273 8,642 84,044 85,943 -2.2

 Electric lighting equipment................... 929 1,079 1,161 -13.9 -7.1 16.1 918 1,120 1,114 1,006 10,230 10,397 -1.6

 Household appliances.......................... 2,069 2,004 1,954 3.2 2.6 0.2 2,074 2,137 1,962 1,950 19,510 18,559 5.1

 Electrical equipment............................ 2,658 2,611 2,411 1.8 8.3 -1.6 2,698 2,899 2,377 2,402 25,344 24,960 1.5

 Transportation equipment........................ 54,177 51,334 51,248 5.5 0.2 -1.8 58,085 54,429 49,950 52,924 514,820 517,575 -0.5

 Motor vehicle bodies, parts, 

 and trailers..................................... 18,721 18,708 17,554 0.1 6.6 -5.0 20,804 19,215 17,694 20,565 181,857 189,206 -3.9

 Nondefense aircraft and parts.............. 5,692 4,663 4,912 22.1 -5.1 -11.6 4,626 5,698 4,628 3,427 47,160 51,562 -8.5

 Defense aircraft and parts................... 3,900 3,668 3,537 6.3 3.7 10.7 3,131 3,292 2,511 1,736 35,698 32,709 9.1

 Ships and boats.................................. 1,445 1,530 4,004 -5.6 -61.8 114.3 1,785 1,733 3,772 2,227 19,481 18,392 5.9

 Furniture and related products................. 5,922 5,943 5,798 -0.4 2.5 0.8 6,254 6,133 6,065 5,965 58,477 58,016 0.8

 Nondurable goods industries.................. 156,316 155,219 154,489 0.7 0.5 -0.6 163,234 160,498 158,842 155,321 1,537,285 1,467,285 4.8

p

 Preliminary r Revised NA Not available.

1

 New orders are the totals for the period and are adjusted for trading-day and calendar-month variations. 2

 Data on new orders are not available for the semiconductor industry. Estimates and percent changes for new orders exclude semiconductor industry data. 

Note: Estimates of manufacturers' shipments, inventories and orders are subject to survey error and revision. One major component of survey error is nonsampling

error, which includes errors of coverage, response, and nonreporting. Since the survey panel is not a probability sample, estimates of sampling error cannot be

calculated. Further details on survey design, methodology, and data limitations are contained in our most recent annual benchmark publication,

Current Industrial Reports: M3-1(02), "Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders: 1992-2002."

Year to date
 5 

Table 3. Value of Manufacturers' Unfilled Orders for Industry Groups

[Millions of Dollars]

Seasonally Adjusted Not Seasonally Adjusted

Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent

Industry Change

Oct. Sept. Aug. Sept. - Aug. - July - Oct. Sept. Aug. Oct. Oct.

2003p 2003r 2003 Oct. Sept. Aug. 2003p 2003r 2003 2002 03/02

All manufacturing industries 1................... 499,649 492,006 490,036 1.6 0.4 0.8 491,538 484,496 486,358 481,835 2.0

 Excluding transportation 1................... 251,588 245,822 242,120 2.3 1.5 1.1 247,980 241,660 240,949 239,862 3.4

 Excluding defense 1

............................. 344,544 338,992 336,682 1.6 0.7 0.4 340,570 334,894 335,213 340,432 0.0

 Durable goods industries 1

........................ 499,649 492,006 490,036 1.6 0.4 0.8 491,538 484,496 486,358 481,835 2.0

 Primary metals........................................ 15,260 14,662 14,559 4.1 0.7 3.0 14,669 14,331 14,643 15,141 -3.1

 Iron and steel mills.............................. 8,508 8,006 7,960 6.3 0.6 5.8 8,101 7,843 8,075 8,376 -3.3

 Aluminum and nonferrous metals......... 4,346 4,364 4,378 -0.4 -0.3 -0.1 4,216 4,280 4,379 4,574 -7.8

 Ferrous metal foundries...................... 2,406 2,292 2,221 5.0 3.2 -0.4 2,352 2,208 2,189 2,191 7.3

 Fabricated metal products...................... 37,197 36,814 36,483 1.0 0.9 1.5 37,070 36,845 36,841 38,266 -3.1

 Machinery.............................................. 41,634 41,441 41,405 0.5 0.1 0.1 41,183 40,918 41,239 44,316 -7.1

 Construction machinery....................... 2,250 2,289 2,229 -1.7 2.7 1.4 2,068 2,073 2,120 1,880 10.0

 Mining, oil field, and

 gas field machinery......................... 1,008 962 971 4.8 -0.9 28.1 1,008 962 971 1,013 -0.5

 Industrial machinery............................ 7,658 7,656 7,525 0.0 1.7 -1.8 7,600 7,360 7,531 7,936 -4.2

 Photographic equipment...................... 773 775 740 -0.3 4.7 1.4 780 782 760 539 44.7

 Ventilation, heating, air-conditioning,

 and refrigeration equipment............ 4,615 4,544 4,509 1.6 0.8 4.1 4,431 4,445 4,543 4,165 6.4

 Metalworking machinery....................... 3,785 3,722 3,633 1.7 2.4 -0.4 3,832 3,663 3,618 3,739 2.5

 Turbines, generators, and other 

 power transmission equipment.......... 8,107 8,122 8,302 -0.2 -2.2 -1.6 8,116 8,153 8,362 11,648 -30.3

 Material handling equipment............... 4,677 4,714 4,633 -0.8 1.7 -2.6 4,623 4,740 4,460 4,891 -5.5

 Computers and electronic products 1...... 132,062 128,163 125,288 3.0 2.3 1.4 129,638 125,033 123,657 117,848 10.0

 Computers......................................... 8,702 8,925 8,723 -2.5 2.3 3.8 8,564 8,836 8,826 7,031 21.8

 Nondefense communications

 equipment...................................... 51,745 48,624 47,114 6.4 3.2 1.1 50,523 46,853 45,893 42,699 18.3

 Defense communications equipment... 3,168 2,999 3,035 5.6 -1.2 -2.7 3,168 2,999 3,035 2,993 5.8

 Semiconductors 1................................ (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)

 Electronic components.......................... 13,551 13,310 13,161 1.8 1.1 0.9 13,520 13,273 13,263 16,097 -16.0

 Nondefense search and navigation

 equipment..................................... 4,759 4,738 4,749 0.4 -0.2 1.0 4,685 4,633 4,714 4,477 4.6

 Defense search and navigation

 equipment...................................... 35,502 35,060 34,812 1.3 0.7 2.3 34,596 34,308 34,198 32,160 7.6

 Electromedical, measuring,

 and control instruments.................... 14,635 14,507 13,694 0.9 5.9 -0.2 14,582 14,131 13,728 12,391 17.7

 Electrical equipment, appliances, 

 and components................................... 14,114 14,057 13,922 0.4 1.0 0.9 14,043 13,800 14,001 14,122 -0.6

 Electric lighting equipment................... 1,468 1,584 1,563 -7.3 1.3 12.6 1,447 1,559 1,608 1,563 -7.4

 Household appliances.......................... 957 920 966 4.0 -4.8 -7.5 882 824 923 897 -1.7

 Electrical equipment............................ 8,640 8,529 8,383 1.3 1.7 0.0 8,675 8,438 8,410 8,258 5.0

 Transportation equipment........................ 248,061 246,184 247,916 0.8 -0.7 0.6 243,558 242,836 245,409 241,973 0.7

 Motor vehicle bodies, parts, 

 and trailers..................................... 12,975 12,526 12,046 3.6 4.0 -0.2 12,396 12,045 11,797 11,386 8.9

 Nondefense aircraft and parts.............. 104,916 104,692 105,666 0.2 -0.9 -0.4 104,213 104,491 105,009 111,477 -6.5

 Defense aircraft and parts................... 61,080 60,572 60,419 0.8 0.3 0.2 59,216 59,460 60,026 55,268 7.1

 Ships and boats.................................. 19,156 19,932 20,722 -3.9 -3.8 9.8 18,727 19,289 20,012 20,859 -10.2

 Furniture and related products................. 5,471 5,464 5,379 0.1 1.6 -1.8 5,527 5,512 5,484 5,618 -1.6

p

 Preliminary r Revised NA Not available.

1

 Data on new orders are not available for the semiconductor industry. Estimates and percent changes for new orders exclude semiconductor industry data. 

See note at end of Table 2 relating to survey error and revision.
 6

Table 4. Value of Manufacturers' Inventories for Industry Groups

[Millions of Dollars]

Seasonally Adjusted Not Seasonally Adjusted

Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent

Industry Change

Oct. Sept. Aug. Sept. - Aug. - July - Oct. Sept. Aug. Oct. Oct.

2003p 2003r 2003 Oct. Sept. Aug. 2003p 2003r 2003 2002 03/02

 All manufacturing industries..................... 438,483 438,294 439,632 0.0 -0.3 -0.3 441,923 438,210 443,020 447,245 -1.2

 Excluding transportation...................... 370,911 371,071 372,179 0.0 -0.3 -0.2 373,290 370,499 374,506 379,563 -1.7

 Excluding defense............................. 415,048 415,335 416,798 -0.1 -0.4 -0.2 418,234 415,006 419,619 426,058 -1.8

 With unfilled orders............................. 205,188 204,769 205,891 0.2 -0.5 -0.8 206,233 204,114 207,963 214,501 -3.9

 Durable goods industries........................ 262,280 261,678 262,949 0.2 -0.5 -0.6 263,314 260,534 265,538 272,118 -3.2

 Wood products........................................ 9,409 9,333 9,322 0.8 0.1 -0.9 9,527 9,276 9,211 9,901 -3.8

 Nonmetallic mineral products................... 9,676 9,729 9,783 -0.5 -0.6 -1.2 9,370 9,567 9,752 9,127 2.7

 Primary metals........................................ 17,164 17,382 17,803 -1.3 -2.4 -1.0 17,134 17,374 17,782 18,744 -8.6

 Iron and steel mills.............................. 9,168 9,339 9,701 -1.8 -3.7 -1.0 9,178 9,387 9,717 10,675 -14.0

 Aluminum and nonferrous metals......... 6,323 6,356 6,409 -0.5 -0.8 -1.1 6,332 6,360 6,414 6,422 -1.4

 Ferrous metal foundries...................... 1,673 1,687 1,693 -0.8 -0.4 -1.1 1,624 1,627 1,651 1,647 -1.4

 Fabricated metal products......................... 30,970 30,900 31,058 0.2 -0.5 -0.2 30,815 30,656 31,048 31,704 -2.8

 Machinery.............................................. 41,373 41,381 41,485 0.0 -0.3 -1.0 41,476 40,992 41,654 43,382 -4.4

 Farm machinery.................................. 2,172 2,162 2,157 0.5 0.2 -1.1 2,032 2,056 2,079 2,000 1.6

 Construction machinery........................ 3,466 3,476 3,489 -0.3 -0.4 1.3 3,456 3,415 3,427 3,639 -5.0

 Mining, oil field, 

 and gas field machinery.................. 2,235 2,239 2,263 -0.2 -1.1 -1.5 2,247 2,249 2,299 2,279 -1.4

 Industrial machinery............................ 6,544 6,583 6,600 -0.6 -0.3 -0.5 6,520 6,507 6,641 7,177 -9.2

 Photographic equipment...................... 1,426 1,402 1,397 1.7 0.4 -0.8 1,470 1,418 1,404 1,433 2.6

 Ventilation, heating, air-conditioning,

 and refrigeration equipment............ 4,170 4,130 4,101 1.0 0.7 0.5 4,165 4,047 4,139 3,959 5.2

 Metalworking machinery....................... 4,238 4,281 4,222 -1.0 1.4 -5.9 4,313 4,342 4,402 4,931 -12.5

 Turbines, generators, and other

 power transmission equipment.......... 4,213 4,140 4,115 1.8 0.6 0.6 4,396 4,157 4,214 4,574 -3.9

 Material handling equipment............... 2,296 2,342 2,356 -2.0 -0.6 1.0 2,282 2,337 2,357 2,349 -2.9

 Computers and electronic products......... 47,156 46,937 46,949 0.5 0.0 -1.2 47,357 46,467 48,132 52,397 -9.6

 Computers......................................... 2,481 2,589 2,633 -4.2 -1.7 2.9 2,378 2,687 2,759 2,488 -4.4

 Computer storage devices................... 1,219 1,215 1,222 0.3 -0.6 1.8 1,243 1,116 1,312 1,263 -1.6

 Other peripheral equipment................ 2,399 2,362 2,337 1.6 1.1 0.3 2,504 2,322 2,457 2,720 -7.9

 Nondefense communications

 equipment...................................... 9,635 9,670 9,654 -0.4 0.2 -2.3 9,659 9,634 9,818 12,429 -22.3

 Defense communications equipment...... 1,308 1,373 1,297 -4.7 5.9 1.1 1,308 1,373 1,297 1,132 15.5

 Audio and video equipment.................. 976 977 978 -0.1 -0.1 -1.1 1,124 1,053 1,034 1,321 -14.9

 Semiconductors1

................................ (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)

 Electronic components.......................... 7,515 6,986 7,320 7.6 -4.6 -5.6 7,526 6,870 7,563 8,230 -8.6

 Nondefense search and navigation

 equipment...................................... 2,569 2,600 2,619 -1.2 -0.7 -0.9 2,584 2,574 2,636 2,830 -8.7

 Defense search and navigation

 equipment...................................... 2,876 2,769 2,749 3.9 0.7 0.7 2,891 2,771 2,832 3,033 -4.7

 Electromedical, measuring 

 and control instruments.................... 10,229 10,278 10,175 -0.5 1.0 0.0 10,237 10,100 10,375 10,571 -3.2

 Electrical equipment, appliances, 

 and components................................... 12,245 12,284 12,364 -0.3 -0.6 -0.3 12,130 11,935 12,307 12,857 -5.7

 Electric lighting equipment................... 1,428 1,436 1,492 -0.6 -3.8 -0.2 1,410 1,402 1,508 1,543 -8.6

 Household appliances.......................... 2,057 2,035 2,043 1.1 -0.4 -1.0 2,020 1,925 1,998 2,090 -3.3

 Electrical equipment............................ 4,019 4,016 4,038 0.1 -0.5 0.7 4,024 3,885 4,036 4,059 -0.9

 Batteries............................................ 596 591 547 0.8 8.0 -0.9 597 596 578 615 -2.9

 Transportation equipment...................... 67,572 67,223 67,453 0.5 -0.3 -0.4 68,633 67,711 68,514 67,682 1.4

 Automobiles....................................... 1,830 1,891 1,858 -3.2 1.8 -0.1 1,795 1,938 1,900 2,000 -10.3

 Light trucks and utility vehicles............ 2,310 2,202 2,413 4.9 -8.7 2.4 2,352 2,269 2,560 2,299 2.3

 Heavy duty trucks .............................. 738 737 744 0.1 -0.9 1.1 756 765 771 880 -14.1

 Motor vehicle bodies, parts, 

 and trailers..................................... 15,052 15,172 15,351 -0.8 -1.2 0.1 15,240 15,294 15,393 15,824 -3.7

 Nondefense aircraft and parts.............. 24,958 25,050 24,988 -0.4 0.2 -0.3 25,525 25,086 25,242 26,172 -2.5

 Defense aircraft and parts..................... 11,017 10,846 10,627 1.6 2.1 -2.3 11,190 10,971 11,008 9,811 14.1

 Ships and boats.................................. 2,938 2,810 2,763 4.6 1.7 0.6 2,954 2,802 2,778 2,453 20.4

 Furniture and related products................. 7,676 7,698 7,798 -0.3 -1.3 -0.8 7,671 7,698 7,882 7,728 -0.7

 Miscellaneous durable goods.................... 19,039 18,811 18,934 1.2 -0.6 0.4 19,201 18,858 19,256 18,596 3.3

 Nondurable goods industries................... 176,203 176,616 176,683 -0.2 0.0 0.3 178,609 177,676 177,482 175,127 2.0

 Food products........................................ 33,482 33,364 33,157 0.4 0.6 0.3 35,723 33,781 33,226 34,807 2.6

 Grain and oilseed milling..................... 3,729 3,659 3,616 1.9 1.2 2.2 3,981 3,459 3,445 3,744 6.3

 Dairy products.................................... 3,506 3,497 3,495 0.3 0.1 0.2 3,499 3,488 3,550 3,430 2.0

 Meat, poultry, and seafood products...... 6,141 6,146 6,028 -0.1 2.0 0.5 6,406 6,179 5,936 6,056 5.8

 Beverage and tobacco products............... 14,817 14,850 14,692 -0.2 1.1 0.6 15,299 15,065 14,195 15,066 1.5

 Beverages......................................... 10,042 10,008 9,843 0.3 1.7 0.9 10,389 10,220 9,560 9,866 5.3

 Tobacco........................................... 4,775 4,842 4,849 -1.4 -0.1 -0.2 4,910 4,845 4,635 5,200 -5.6

 Textile mills........................................... 5,027 5,112 5,028 -1.7 1.7 -0.5 4,953 5,035 5,082 4,905 1.0

 Textile products...................................... 4,991 5,024 5,011 -0.7 0.3 0.5 4,955 5,080 5,041 4,897 1.2

 Apparel................................................. 7,252 7,282 7,331 -0.4 -0.7 -1.0 7,134 7,393 7,535 6,896 3.5

 Leather and allied products..................... 1,669 1,647 1,606 1.3 2.6 -0.6 1,676 1,689 1,664 1,653 1.4

 Paper products....................................... 14,792 14,863 14,871 -0.5 -0.1 -0.2 14,601 14,743 14,800 14,476 0.9

 Pulp, paper, and paperboard mills.......... 6,708 6,720 6,673 -0.2 0.7 -0.2 6,552 6,622 6,635 6,262 4.6

 Paperboard containers........................ 4,070 4,125 4,177 -1.3 -1.2 -1.2 4,055 4,138 4,149 4,247 -4.5

 Printing.................................................. 6,167 6,235 6,243 -1.1 -0.1 0.1 6,396 6,511 6,632 6,657 -3.9

 Petroleum and coal products..................... 15,619 15,601 15,728 0.1 -0.8 3.1 15,775 16,096 16,043 15,425 2.3

 Petroleum refineries............................. 14,113 14,103 14,192 0.1 -0.6 3.4 14,289 14,601 14,453 13,961 2.3

 Basic chemicals...................................... 52,276 52,478 52,859 -0.4 -0.7 0.2 52,252 52,378 53,250 51,326 1.8

 Pesticides, fertilizers, and other

 agricultural chemicals....................... 2,224 2,273 2,338 -2.2 -2.8 -0.8 2,084 2,046 2,010 2,459 -15.3

 Pharmaceuticals and medicines............ 20,911 20,908 20,954 0.0 -0.2 0.6 21,231 21,119 21,471 19,910 6.6

 Paints, coatings, and adhesives............. 2,713 2,793 2,764 -2.9 1.0 0.9 2,676 2,739 2,762 2,700 -0.9

 Plastics and rubber products..................... 20,111 20,160 20,157 -0.2 0.0 -0.4 19,845 19,905 20,014 19,019 4.3

p

 Preliminary r Revised NA Not available.

1 Inventories for semiconductor industry data are included in computers and electronic products and total durable goods industries, but are not shown separately. 

See note at end of Table 2 relating to survey error and revision.
 7 

Table 5. Value of Manufacturers' Shipments, New Orders, Unfilled Orders, and Total Inventories for 

 Topical Series 1

[Millions of Dollars]

Seasonally Adjusted Not Seasonally Adjusted2

Monthly Percent Change Monthly Year to date Percent

Industry Change6

Oct. Sept. Aug. Sept. - Aug. - July - Oct. Sept. Aug. Oct. 2003/

2003p 2003r 2003 Oct. Sept. Aug. 2003p 2003r 2003 2002 2003p 2002 2002

SHIPMENTS

 All manufacturing industries .................. 339,857 337,598 331,676 0.7 1.8 -1.7 355,433 357,911 335,985 341,009 3,319,158 3,252,592 2.0

 Construction materials and supplies...... 36,371 35,924 34,922 1.2 2.9 -1.7 39,023 38,136 37,232 36,966 354,692 354,451 0.1

 Information technology......................... 29,406 29,123 28,142 1.0 3.5 -3.1 28,764 34,406 26,109 25,441 271,799 262,159 3.7

 Computers and related products .......... 8,467 8,077 7,976 4.8 1.3 -7.1 8,615 10,317 6,962 6,858 74,881 66,561 12.5

 Motor vehicle and parts........................ 37,737 38,059 35,653 -0.8 6.7 -6.5 43,329 40,367 36,471 43,837 373,081 384,805 -3.0

 Capital goods...................................... 66,578 66,430 64,267 0.2 3.4 -3.2 65,647 73,771 61,570 61,281 634,006 623,762 1.6

 Nondefense capital goods 3.................. 58,638 58,438 56,487 0.3 3.5 -2.8 57,771 65,256 53,890 54,770 558,804 558,789 0.0

 Excluding aircraft............................. 56,248 55,774 54,085 0.8 3.1 -2.2 55,830 62,456 51,781 52,192 534,492 526,875 1.4

 Defense capital goods 4....................... 7,940 7,992 7,780 -0.7 2.7 -5.7 7,876 8,515 7,680 6,511 75,202 64,973 15.7

 Consumer goods.................................. 128,954 128,739 127,433 0.2 1.0 -2.3 137,503 134,526 130,911 132,392 1,269,672 1,228,329 3.4

 Consumer durable goods..................... 34,123 34,253 32,669 -0.4 4.8 -4.9 37,996 36,708 33,004 37,118 333,295 334,116 -0.2

 Consumer nondurable goods............... 94,831 94,486 94,764 0.4 -0.3 -1.4 99,507 97,818 97,907 95,274 936,377 894,213 4.7

 All manufacturing industries 5................. 341,216 333,957 329,401 2.2 1.4 -0.3 356,069 349,573 329,567 329,368 3,272,122 3,174,373 3.1

 Construction materials and supplies...... 36,509 36,338 35,715 0.5 1.7 0.8 38,954 38,183 37,592 36,716 355,097 354,760 0.1

 Information technology......................... 33,087 31,898 29,742 3.7 7.2 0.8 33,180 35,713 26,068 24,488 284,482 255,681 11.3

 Computers and related products .......... 8,244 8,279 8,297 -0.4 -0.2 1.5 8,343 10,327 7,528 6,914 75,321 66,417 13.4

 Motor vehicle and parts........................ 38,186 38,539 35,631 -0.9 8.2 -7.0 43,680 40,615 36,176 43,358 373,344 384,105 -2.8

 Capital goods...................................... 71,196 67,803 67,386 5.0 0.6 2.6 70,373 73,036 61,425 57,225 646,619 595,959 8.5

 Nondefense capital goods 3.................. 61,952 60,225 57,229 2.9 5.2 -1.6 61,695 65,753 53,039 53,083 565,291 534,756 5.7

 Excluding aircraft............................. 59,209 58,188 54,907 1.8 6.0 -0.2 59,903 63,124 51,010 51,975 546,381 512,724 6.6

 Defense capital goods 4....................... 9,244 7,578 10,157 22.0 -25.4 36.0 8,678 7,283 8,386 4,142 81,328 61,203 32.9

 Consumer goods.................................. 129,604 128,789 127,176 0.6 1.3 -2.3 138,168 134,459 130,577 132,519 1,270,101 1,227,253 3.5

 Consumer durable goods..................... 34,773 34,303 32,412 1.4 5.8 -5.1 38,661 36,641 32,670 37,245 333,724 333,040 0.2

 Consumer nondurable goods.............. 94,831 94,486 94,764 0.4 -0.3 -1.4 99,507 97,818 97,907 95,274 936,377 894,213 4.7

 All manufacturing industries 5

................. 499,649 492,006 490,036 1.6 0.4 0.8 491,538 484,496 486,358 481,835 (X) (X) 2.0

 Construction materials and supplies...... 31,706 31,568 31,154 0.4 1.3 2.6 31,538 31,607 31,560 32,167 (X) (X) -2.0

 Information technology......................... 122,333 118,652 115,877 3.1 2.4 1.4 119,937 115,521 114,214 105,694 (X) (X) 13.5

 Computers and related products .......... 8,702 8,925 8,723 -2.5 2.3 3.8 8,564 8,836 8,826 7,031 (X) (X) 21.8

 Motor vehicle and parts........................ 12,975 12,526 12,046 3.6 4.0 -0.2 12,396 12,045 11,797 11,386 (X) (X) 8.9

 Capital goods...................................... 357,212 352,594 351,221 1.3 0.4 0.9 351,324 346,598 347,333 336,798 (X) (X) 4.3

 Nondefense capital goods 3

..................222,360 219,046 217,259 1.5 0.8 0.3 219,889 215,965 215,468 214,698 (X) (X) 2.4

 Excluding aircraft............................. 141,928 138,967 136,553 2.1 1.8 0.6 140,160 136,087 135,419 130,791 (X) (X) 7.2

 Defense capital goods 4

....................... 134,852 133,548 133,962 1.0 -0.3 1.8 131,435 130,633 131,865 122,100 (X) (X) 7.6

 Consumer goods.................................. 12,406 11,756 11,706 5.5 0.4 -2.1 12,296 11,631 11,698 12,168 (X) (X) 1.1

 Consumer durable goods..................... 12,406 11,756 11,706 5.5 0.4 -2.1 12,296 11,631 11,698 12,168 (X) (X) 1.1 

 All manufacturing industries .................. 438,483 438,294 439,632 0.0 -0.3 -0.3 441,923 438,210 443,020 447,245 (X) (X) -1.2

 Construction materials and supplies...... 46,418 46,410 46,654 0.0 -0.5 -0.6 46,082 45,857 46,573 46,746 (X) (X) -1.4

 Information technology......................... 39,739 39,898 39,752 -0.4 0.4 -0.5 39,971 39,648 40,571 44,233 (X) (X) -9.6

 Computers and related products .......... 6,099 6,166 6,192 -1.1 -0.4 1.7 6,125 6,125 6,528 6,471 (X) (X) -5.3

 Motor vehicle and parts........................ 19,930 20,002 20,366 -0.4 -1.8 0.4 20,143 20,266 20,624 21,003 (X) (X) -4.1

 Capital goods...................................... 124,632 124,497 124,707 0.1 -0.2 -0.5 125,597 123,999 126,455 131,381 (X) (X) -4.4

 Nondefense capital goods 3

..................105,682 105,935 106,178 -0.2 -0.2 -0.4 106,542 105,299 107,506 113,804 (X) (X) -6.4

 Excluding aircraft............................. 87,997 88,152 88,445 -0.2 -0.3 -0.5 88,343 87,425 89,591 94,194 (X) (X) -6.2

 Defense capital goods 4

....................... 18,950 18,562 18,529 2.1 0.2 -0.8 19,055 18,700 18,949 17,577 (X) (X) 8.4

 Consumer goods.................................. 135,879 135,632 135,588 0.2 0.0 0.5 138,921 137,069 136,620 135,895 (X) (X) 2.2

 Consumer durable goods..................... 27,178 26,978 27,219 0.7 -0.9 -0.4 27,296 26,980 27,622 27,852 (X) (X) -2.0

 Consumer nondurable goods............... 108,701 108,654 108,369 0.0 0.3 0.7 111,625 110,089 108,998 108,043 (X) (X) 3.3

p

 Preliminary r Revised X Not Applicable.

1

 Topical series are regroupings of the separate industry categories. 2

 Shipments and new orders are the totals for the period and are adjusted for trading-day and calendar-month variations. 3

 Nondefense capital goods industries include: small arms and ordnance; farm machinery and equipment; construction machinery; mining, oil, and gas field machinery;

industrial machinery; vending, laundry, and other machinery; photographic equipment; metalworking machinery; turbines and generators; other power transmission

equipment; pumps and compressors; material handling equipment; all other machinery; electronic computers; computer storage devices; other computer peripheral

equipment; communications equipment; search and navigation equipment; electromedical, measuring, and control instruments; electrical equipment; other electrical 

equipment, appliances, and components; heavy duty trucks; aircraft; railroad rolling stock; ships and boats; office and institutional furniture; and medical equipment

and supplies.

4 Defense capital goods industries include: small arms and ordnance; communications equipment; aircraft; missiles, space vehicles, and parts; ships and boats;

and search and navigation equipment.

5 Estimates and percent changes exclude semiconductor industry data. 6

 Based on year-to-date for shipments and new orders, but on same month prior year for unfilled orders and inventories.

See note at end of Table 2 relating to survey error and revision.

NEW ORDERS

UNFILLED ORDERS

TOTAL INVENTORIES
 8

Table 6. Value of Manufacturers' Inventories, by Stage of Fabrication, by Industry Group

 

[Millions of Dollars]

Seasonally Adjusted Not Seasonally Adjusted

Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent

Industry Change

Oct. Sept. Aug. Sept. - Aug. - July - Oct. Sept. Aug. Oct. Oct.

2003p 2003r 2003 Oct. Sept. Aug. 2003p 2003r 2003 2002 03/02

MATERIALS AND SUPPLIES

 All manufacturing industries ..................... 142,972 143,033 143,185 0.0 -0.1 -0.7 143,597 142,996 143,598 150,969 -4.9

 Durable goods industries ........................ 83,968 83,637 84,068 0.4 -0.5 -1.3 84,369 83,669 84,771 91,168 -7.5

 Wood products................................... 3,648 3,490 3,524 4.5 -1.0 -1.1 3,912 3,598 3,517 3,869 1.1

 Nonmetallic mineral products............... 3,387 3,365 3,346 0.7 0.6 -2.9 3,419 3,396 3,382 3,420 0.0

 Primary metals.................................... 5,690 5,812 5,805 -2.1 0.1 -2.0 5,819 5,896 5,835 6,649 -12.5

 Fabricated metal products..................... 11,019 11,036 11,014 -0.2 0.2 -0.2 10,920 11,048 11,064 11,453 -4.7

 Machinery.......................................... 12,464 12,495 12,545 -0.2 -0.4 -3.4 12,513 12,408 12,641 13,946 -10.3

 Computers and electronic products ...... 16,682 16,468 16,800 1.3 -2.0 -1.5 16,576 16,371 17,097 19,647 -15.6

 Electrical equipment, appliances,

 and components.............................. 4,608 4,622 4,670 -0.3 -1.0 -0.6 4,581 4,540 4,648 4,920 -6.9

 Transportation equipment.................. 16,935 16,912 16,940 0.1 -0.2 -0.7 17,100 17,002 17,048 17,613 -2.9

 Furniture and related products............ 3,217 3,206 3,278 0.3 -2.2 0.1 3,197 3,192 3,276 3,211 -0.4

 Miscellaneous products........................ 6,318 6,231 6,146 1.4 1.4 -0.4 6,332 6,218 6,263 6,440 -1.7

 Nondurable goods industries.................... 59,004 59,396 59,117 -0.7 0.5 0.3 59,228 59,327 58,827 59,801 -1.0

 Food products.................................... 10,554 10,398 10,316 1.5 0.8 0.4 10,794 10,151 10,120 10,753 0.4

 Beverage and tobacco products............ 5,455 5,590 5,513 -2.4 1.4 1.6 5,359 5,520 5,345 5,793 -7.5

 Textiles.............................................. 1,372 1,393 1,390 -1.5 0.2 -0.3 1,355 1,383 1,393 1,516 -10.6

 Textile products.................................. 1,679 1,692 1,703 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 1,684 1,743 1,728 1,741 -3.3

 Apparel............................................. 1,669 1,665 1,701 0.2 -2.1 -0.8 1,670 1,643 1,684 1,787 -6.5

 Leather and allied products................... 439 436 434 0.7 0.5 0.5 438 444 448 444 -1.4

 Paper products................................... 6,831 6,846 6,844 -0.2 0.0 -0.8 6,818 6,841 6,788 6,944 -1.8

 Printing ............................................. 2,672 2,745 2,739 -2.7 0.2 -1.4 2,769 2,865 2,793 2,994 -7.5

 Petroleum and coal products............... 4,617 4,986 4,638 -7.4 7.5 4.8 4,678 5,025 4,670 3,939 18.8

 Basic chemicals................................... 16,450 16,474 16,524 -0.1 -0.3 -0.2 16,419 16,526 16,527 16,674 -1.5

 Plastics and rubber products............... 7,266 7,171 7,315 1.3 -2.0 0.0 7,244 7,186 7,331 7,216 0.4

WORK IN PROCESS

 All manufacturing industries ..................... 127,997 126,826 127,710 0.9 -0.7 -0.1 130,375 127,550 129,102 128,648 1.3

 Durable goods industries ........................ 96,286 95,533 96,258 0.8 -0.8 -0.1 97,391 95,818 97,477 96,429 1.0

 Wood products................................... 1,899 1,968 1,951 -3.5 0.9 -0.4 1,904 1,961 1,952 2,157 -11.7

 Nonmetallic mineral products............... 1,187 1,197 1,195 -0.8 0.2 -1.1 1,132 1,163 1,195 1,170 -3.2

 Primary metals.................................... 5,786 5,787 6,027 0.0 -4.0 -0.5 5,789 5,800 6,024 6,188 -6.4

 Fabricated metal products..................... 9,393 9,265 9,319 1.4 -0.6 1.4 9,468 9,303 9,461 9,474 -0.1

 Machinery.......................................... 14,628 14,635 14,478 0.0 1.1 3.1 14,869 14,670 14,770 14,440 3.0

 Computers and electronic products ...... 18,057 17,578 17,886 2.7 -1.7 -1.3 18,164 17,552 18,277 19,221 -5.5

 Electrical equipment, appliances,

 and components.............................. 2,874 2,891 2,892 -0.6 0.0 -0.1 2,838 2,817 2,909 2,965 -4.3

 Transportation equipment.................. 38,112 37,828 37,447 0.8 1.0 -0.9 38,846 38,132 37,745 36,259 7.1

 Furniture and related products............ 1,520 1,550 1,547 -1.9 0.2 -2.4 1,510 1,543 1,546 1,580 -4.4

 Miscellaneous products........................ 2,830 2,834 3,516 -0.1 -19.4 -0.8 2,871 2,877 3,598 2,975 -3.5

 Nondurable goods industries.................... 31,711 31,293 31,452 1.3 -0.5 -0.2 32,984 31,732 31,625 32,219 2.4

 Food products.................................... 3,020 2,995 3,010 0.8 -0.5 0.3 3,609 2,890 2,771 3,282 10.0

 Beverage and tobacco products............ 4,762 4,702 4,588 1.3 2.5 1.3 5,213 4,895 4,212 4,762 9.5

 Textiles.............................................. 1,293 1,290 1,288 0.2 0.2 -0.4 1,285 1,290 1,290 1,190 8.0

 Textile products.................................. 704 723 707 -2.6 2.3 -0.6 702 730 710 747 -6.0

 Apparel............................................. 1,224 1,232 1,222 -0.6 0.8 -0.5 1,171 1,190 1,238 1,304 -10.2

 Leather and allied products................... 173 164 156 5.5 5.1 -1.9 179 167 160 205 -12.7

 Paper products................................... 1,192 1,183 1,156 0.8 2.3 -0.1 1,154 1,183 1,180 1,188 -2.9

 Printing ............................................. 1,750 1,738 1,767 0.7 -1.6 1.3 1,875 1,829 1,985 2,127 -11.8

 Petroleum and coal products............... 4,586 4,154 4,345 10.4 -4.4 -1.9 4,653 4,301 4,497 4,441 4.8

 Basic chemicals................................... 10,553 10,622 10,792 -0.6 -1.6 0.3 10,668 10,777 11,181 10,561 1.0

 Plastics and rubber products............... 2,454 2,490 2,421 -1.4 2.9 -2.7 2,475 2,480 2,401 2,412 2.6

FINISHED GOODS

 All manufacturing industries ..................... 167,514 168,435 168,737 -0.5 -0.2 0.0 167,951 167,664 170,320 167,628 0.2

 Durable goods industries ........................ 82,026 82,508 82,623 -0.6 -0.1 -0.5 81,554 81,047 83,290 84,521 -3.5

 Wood products................................... 3,862 3,875 3,847 -0.3 0.7 -1.0 3,711 3,717 3,742 3,875 -4.2

 Nonmetallic mineral products............... 5,102 5,167 5,242 -1.3 -1.4 -0.2 4,819 5,008 5,175 4,537 6.2

 Primary metals.................................... 5,688 5,783 5,971 -1.6 -3.1 -0.6 5,526 5,678 5,923 5,907 -6.4

 Fabricated metal products..................... 10,558 10,599 10,725 -0.4 -1.2 -1.5 10,427 10,305 10,523 10,777 -3.2

 Machinery.......................................... 14,281 14,251 14,462 0.2 -1.5 -2.7 14,094 13,914 14,243 14,996 -6.0

 Computers and electronic products ...... 12,417 12,891 12,263 -3.7 5.1 -0.5 12,617 12,544 12,758 13,529 -6.7

 Electrical equipment, appliances,

 and components.............................. 4,763 4,771 4,802 -0.2 -0.6 -0.2 4,711 4,578 4,750 4,972 -5.2

 Transportation equipment.................. 12,525 12,483 13,066 0.3 -4.5 1.4 12,687 12,577 13,721 13,810 -8.1

 Furniture and related products............ 2,939 2,942 2,973 -0.1 -1.0 -1.1 2,964 2,963 3,060 2,937 0.9

 Miscellaneous products........................ 9,891 9,746 9,272 1.5 5.1 1.5 9,998 9,763 9,395 9,181 8.9

 Nondurable goods industries.................... 85,488 85,927 86,114 -0.5 -0.2 0.5 86,397 86,617 87,030 83,107 4.0

 Food products.................................... 19,908 19,971 19,831 -0.3 0.7 0.3 21,320 20,740 20,335 20,772 2.6

 Beverage and tobacco products............ 4,600 4,558 4,591 0.9 -0.7 -1.4 4,727 4,650 4,638 4,511 4.8

 Textiles.............................................. 2,362 2,429 2,350 -2.8 3.4 -0.8 2,313 2,362 2,399 2,199 5.2

 Textile products.................................. 2,608 2,609 2,601 0.0 0.3 1.5 2,569 2,607 2,603 2,409 6.6

 Apparel............................................. 4,359 4,385 4,408 -0.6 -0.5 -1.3 4,293 4,560 4,613 3,805 12.8

 Leather and allied products................... 1,057 1,047 1,016 1.0 3.1 -0.9 1,059 1,078 1,056 1,004 5.5

 Paper products................................... 6,769 6,834 6,871 -1.0 -0.5 0.3 6,629 6,719 6,832 6,344 4.5

 Printing ............................................. 1,745 1,752 1,737 -0.4 0.9 1.2 1,752 1,817 1,854 1,536 14.1

 Petroleum and coal products............... 6,416 6,461 6,745 -0.7 -4.2 5.3 6,444 6,770 6,876 7,045 -8.5

 Basic chemicals................................... 25,273 25,382 25,543 -0.4 -0.6 0.3 25,165 25,075 25,542 24,091 4.5

 Plastics and rubber products............... 10,391 10,499 10,421 -1.0 0.7 -0.1 10,126 10,239 10,282 9,391 7.8

p

 Preliminary r Revised

See note at end of Table 2 relating to survey error and revisions.
 9

Table 7. Ratios of Manufacturers' Inventories to Shipments and Unfilled Orders 

 to Shipments, by Industry Group

[Based on Seasonally Adjusted data]

Inventory/Shipments ratio Unfilled Orders/Shipments ratio 1

Industry Oct Sep Aug Jul Oct Sep Aug Jul

2003p 2003r 2003 2003 2003p 2003r 2003 2003

 All manufacturing industries 2

...... 1.29 1.30 1.33 1.31 (X) (X) (X) (X)

Durable goods industries 2................... 1.43 1.43 1.48 1.46 4.04 4.00 4.09 3.94

 Wood products................................ 1.11 1.12 1.18 1.23 (X) (X) (X) (X)

 Nonmetallic mineral products........... 1.27 1.30 1.34 1.35 (X) (X) (X) (X)

 Primary metals................................. 1.57 1.61 1.68 1.66 1.39 1.36 1.38 1.31

 Fabricated metal products............... 1.51 1.51 1.55 1.49 1.91 1.89 1.92 1.81

 Machinery....................................... 1.92 1.94 1.97 1.97 2.13 2.15 2.18 2.14

 Computers and electronic products 2.. 1.29 1.32 1.33 1.35 5.03 4.96 5.00 4.83

 Electrical equipment, appliances,

 and components............................. 1.44 1.45 1.49 1.45 1.75 1.76 1.78 1.72

 Transportation equipment................. 1.29 1.27 1.35 1.27 7.55 7.41 7.80 7.39

 Furniture and related products........... 1.30 1.31 1.32 1.31 1.05 1.06 1.03 1.03

 Miscellaneous products.................... 1.71 1.71 1.73 1.72 (X) (X) (X) (X)

Nondurable goods industries.............. 1.13 1.14 1.14 1.13 (X) (X) (X) (X)

 Food products................................... 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 (X) (X) (X) (X)

 Beverage and tobacco products......... 1.69 1.71 1.68 1.64 (X) (X) (X) (X)

 Textiles.......................................... 1.49 1.56 1.57 1.57 (X) (X) (X) (X)

 Textile products............................... 1.66 1.70 1.72 1.71 (X) (X) (X) (X)

 Apparel.......................................... 1.63 1.65 1.72 1.73 (X) (X) (X) (X)

 Leather and allied products............... 1.91 1.87 1.74 1.71 (X) (X) (X) (X)

 Paper products................................ 1.12 1.13 1.13 1.11 (X) (X) (X) (X)

 Printing.......................................... 0.80 0.79 0.80 0.80 (X) (X) (X) (X)

 Petroleum and coal products............ 0.78 0.78 0.76 0.77 (X) (X) (X) (X)

 Basic chemicals............................... 1.31 1.34 1.37 1.32 (X) (X) (X) (X)

 Plastics and rubber products.............. 1.28 1.29 1.32 1.31 (X) (X) (X) (X)

p

 Preliminary r Revised X Not Applicable

1

 Excludes the following industries with no unfilled orders: Wood products; nonmetallic mineral products;

medical equipment and supplies; office supplies; other miscellaneous manufacturing; cutlery and handtools;

farm and garden machinery; computer storage and peripheral devices; audio and video equipment; manufacturing

and reproducing magnetic and optical media; batteries; automobiles; light trucks and utility vehicles; heavy duty

trucks; and miscellaneous furniture.

2 Unfilled orders to shipments ratio excludes semiconductor manufacturing.

Oct2 Oct2 Oct2 Oct2

Industry 2002- 2002- 2002- 2002-

Oct1 Sep Oct1 Sep Oct1 Sep Oct1 Sep

2003 2003 2003 2003 2003 2003 2003 2003

 All manufacturing industries ......... (X) 0.2 (X) 0.3 (X) 0.1 (X) 0.1

Durable goods industries ...................... 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1

 Wood products................................... (X) 0.9 (X) (NA) (X) (NA) (X) 0.4

 Nonmetallic mineral products.............. (X) 0.4 (X) (NA) (X) (NA) (X) 0.2

 Primary metals.................................... 0.1 0.6 -0.1 0.9 -0.1 0.5 0.0 0.5

 Fabricated metal products................... 0.2 0.4 0.3 1.1 0.1 0.5 -0.1 0.2

 Machinery.......................................... 0.6 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.3 -0.1 0.3

 Computers and electronic products ..... -0.2 0.4 -0.1 1.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.3

 Electrical equipment, appliances,

 and components............................. 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.2

 Transportation equipment................... 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1

 Furniture and related products............. (X) 0.8 (X) 1.6 (X) 1.1 (X) 0.2

 Miscellaneous products...................... (X) 0.7 (X) 0.9 (X) 1.2 (X) 0.3

Nondurable goods industries.................. (X) 0.3 (X) (NA) (X) (NA) (X) 0.1

 Food products................................... (X) 0.4 (X) (NA) (X) (NA) (X) 0.2

 Beverage and tobacco products............ (X) 0.6 (X) (NA) (X) (NA) (X) 0.2

 Textiles............................................. (X) 1.9 (X) (NA) (X) (NA) (X) 0.5

 Textile products.................................. (X) 0.8 (X) (NA) (X) (NA) (X) 0.3

 Apparel.............................................. (X) 1.1 (X) (NA) (X) (NA) (X) 0.5

 Leather and allied products.................. (X) 1.9 (X) (NA) (X) (NA) (X) 0.9

 Paper products.................................... (X) 0.5 (X) (NA) (X) (NA) (X) 0.3

 Printing.............................................. (X) 0.5 (X) (NA) (X) (NA) (X) 0.5

 Petroleum and coal products................ (X) 1.0 (X) (NA) (X) (NA) (X) 0.8

 Basic chemicals.................................. (X) 0.6 (X) (NA) (X) (NA) (X) 0.3

 Plastics and rubber products................ (X) 0.4 (X) (NA) (X) (NA) (X) 0.2

X Not Applicable NA Not Available

1

 The current month revisions are the difference between the advance percent change and the percent change as shown in this publica 2

 The twelve month revisions are the differences between the month-to-month percent changes of the preliminary and

final estimates. The monthly averages are the simple averages of the absolute values of the differences for the months specified. The

advance to final percent change revisions for the durable goods industries are shown in the advance report for the month.

[Based on Seasonally Adjusted data]

Table 8. Revisions to Previously Published Monthly Percent Changes

Shipments New Orders Unfilled Orders Inventories
10

Survey Description 

This report is compiled from results of the U.S.

Census Bureau’s Manufacturers’ Shipments,

Inventories, and Orders (M3) survey. This survey

provides statistics on manufacturers' value of

shipments, new orders (net of cancellations), end-ofmonth order backlog (unfilled orders), end-of-month

total inventory (at current cost or market value), and

inventories by stage of fabrication (materials and

supplies, work-in-process, and finished goods). The

M3 includes approximately 3,500 reporting units. 

Units may be divisions of diversified large

companies, large homogenous companies, or singleunit manufacturers in 89 industry categories. Due to

the small monthly sample, these 89 categories have

been combined into 59 publication levels. The

survey methodology assumes that the month-to-month

changes of the total operations of those companies in

the monthly survey effectively represent the monthto-month movements of all establishments that make

up the category. The current coverage levels in the

survey show that reported data in the monthly survey

represent approximately 60 percent of the shipments

estimates at the total manufacturing level. Data

published represent manufacturing in a calendar

month. The data collection is based on a voluntary

survey authorized by Title 13 of the United States

Code.

The data presented in this release are based on data

obtained from a panel of 3,500 reporting units and

provide an indication of the activity within the

manufacturing sector. The results differ from what

would be obtained from a complete enumeration of

all manufacturing companies. In addition, a different

panel of 3,500 companies would yield different

results. The M3 panel is comprised of companies

with $500 million or more in shipments and a limited

number of smaller companies. From a statistical

perspective, the panel is not a probability sample;

therefore, the sampling errors that are normally

provided with sample surveys cannot be measured. 

Nonsampling errors are attributable to many sources. 

The use of company or divisional reports to estimate

the monthly change for establishments is one source

of nonsampling error. The use of primarily large

companies to represent the month-to-month

movement of all companies is another potential

source.

Additional survey documentation can be found on our

web site: http://www.census.gov/m3.