Table 4. VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS’ INVENTORIES FOR INDUSTRY GROUPS
(Millions of dollars)

Seasonally adjusted Not seasonally adjusted
Industry Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent
change
Sept. Aug. July] Aug-| — July-| — June- Sept. Aug. July Sept.| Sept.
199° 1999' 1999] Sept.|  Aug.| July} 1999” 1995" 1999 1998] 99/98
All manufacturing industries . 465,346 | 464,351] 465,043] +02 01}  +0.5] 464,876] 467,794] 466,518] 467,407] -0.5
Manufacturing industries
with unfilled orders... ..... - | 308,828] 308,152] 309,105] +0.2 03} 40.5] 308,661] 312,270] 311,804] 314,283 -18
without defense capital goods . 446,550] 445,755] 446,435] +402] -02} 40.5] 445,804] 448,795 | 447,496] 448,400 06
Durable goods industries -. | 292,726] 292,461] 293,505}  +0.1 04] +06} 292,103} 295,746] 294,993} 295,733 +12
With unfilled orders... . - - 268,270 | 267,761} 268,648) —+0.2 -03 +0.6| 267,976 | 271,238] 270,594] 272,462 1.6
Stone, clay, and glass products - 9,716 9,726 9,473 -O.1 427 40.8 9,546 9,692 9,514 9,049 45.5
Primary metals... . . «++ | 23,399] 23,660] — 23,693 03 01] +01] 23,667) 23.786] 23,797} 24,912 “5.0
Blast furnaces, steel mills . 11,225) 11317] 11,396 08] -0.7 +06} 11322] Wall} 11ast | 12,464 92
Iron and steel foundries ........ 1,571 1,595 1,605 “15 06}  -04 1,536 1,568 1,591 1540] -03
Nonferrous and other primary
metals . : -| 10,803] 10,748] 10692] +05} +05] +09] 10,809] 10,807) 10,755] 10,908] -0.9
Fabricated metal products... 31216] 31,028] 31,005} +0.6] = 40.1] +09] 31,039] 31,049] 31,198] 30,831] +0.7
Industrial machinery and equipment 60,209} 59,990] 59,791 +0.4 +03 -0.1] 59,752] 60,718] 59,753} 60,425 “Ll
Engines and turbines 4462] 4.468} 4,490] -0.1 05} 45.1 4,475 4,684] 4.550] 4,055] +104

Farm and garden machinery.

3,600} 3,560} 3,530] +11] 40.8] -20) 3,363} = 3,298] 3,261] 3,546] 5.2
Construction, mining and

material handling equipment 8,842] 8,840] 8,877 00] -04 00] 8,696] 8,740] 8,781 8,694 0.0
Metalworking machinery .. 8,117 8,006 8,010 +14 0.0 -13 8,290 8,353 8,218 8115 422
Computer and office equipment 9278) 9169) 8765] 412] +46] -27] 95147] 9.715] 8.916 9,073] 40.8

Electronic and other
electrical equipment... .. oe 41,209] 41,204} 41,221 0.0 00} +05] 40,913] 42,028] 41,832] 39,852] +2.7

Electrical transmission and
distribution equipment and
industrial apparatus. .
Household appliances . .
Electric lighting and

wiring equipment .......... 3,688] 3,604) 3,570] 42.3] +10] +01] 3,664] 3,680) 3,664] 3,454] 46.1
Household audio and

$5,209 5,253 5,242 08 +02 +0.5 5,134 5,264 5,226 5,208
2,392 2,336 2,384 +24 2.0 “Ld 2,281 2,283 2,399 2,285

video equipment . - 1,066 1,023 1136] +42] 99] +89 1,140 1,122 1,268 Lin] +26
Communications equipment... 10.911] 10,818} 10,749] 40.9] 40.6] = +0.2} 10,942] HN112] 10,929] 10,309] +6.1
Electronic components ........ 14342] 14,561] 14,481 -15{ +06] +02} 14i44] 14.814] 14,552] 13,871] 42.0
Transportation equipment ....... 70,809} 70,868} 72,403 0.1 21} 411] 71,165] 71,927] 72,712] 75.935] -6.3
Motor vehicles and parts . . . . 17,402] 17,569] 17,677 “10 -0.6} +05] 17,494] 17,955] 17,942] 16,889] +36
Aircraft, missiles,
space vehicles, and parts. .... . 47,380| 47,082] 48,623] +0.6] 3.2] +12] 47,690] 47,669] 48,611] 53,512] -10.9
Shipbuilding and tanks . . = 2213] 2266) 2.2241 23] +19| 40.7] 2.206] 2.278] 2,220 1843] +19.7
Instruments and related products . . . 27,113] 27,060] 26.930} +02] 405] +13) 27,108) 27,591] 27,276] 26.545] #21
Search and navigation equipment 6.857| 6,789 6,788] +10 00} +14] 6850] 6974] 7015] 6674] +26
Measuring and controlling devices 8368] 8.267] 8,122] +12] 418] 412] 8352] 8402] 8191 7975] +4.7
Medical instruments and Supplies : 8,801 8,842] 8,838] -0.5 00} +13] 8760) 9,008] 8899] 8470] +34
Photographic goods ..... . 2,328 2,406 2,433 3.2 -ll +04 2,401 2,454 2,423 2,734{ — -12.2
All other durable goods ........ 28,855] 28,925] 28,989] -02] -02] +07] 28913] 28,955] 28.911] 28,184] +26
Nondurable goods industries ...... 172,620} 171,890} 171,538] +04] = 40.2) = 40.3] 172,773 | 172,048] 171,525] 171,674] +0.6
With unfilled orders . . . 40,558] 40,391] 40457] +04] = -02] = 0.6] 40,685] 41,032] 41,210] 41,821 27
Food and kindred products . 38,086 | 38,018] 38,019] +0.2 0.0 0.0] 38,958] 37,693] 36946] 37,919) +27
Meat products . . . : 4400] 4340) 4.285] +14] +13] 407] 4349] 4.251 4304] 3,976] +9.4
Dairy products ...... : 3,884] 3.909] 3,875] 0.6} +09 00} 3853| 3979] 3,998] 3,745] +29
Beverages .. . 8,601 8.726] 8695] -14] +04 12] 8696] 8540] 8459] 8,293} +49
All other foods, except fats and oils 19,628] 19,466] 19,537 +08] -04] +0.7] 20,582} 19,505] 18.630] 20,160} +2.
Tobacco products... .. : 5155] 5,149} 5,160} +01 02} -09] 5,001 4305] 4,645} 3.577] -103
Textile mill products ......... 10,122} 10,030} 10,026] +09 0.0) 08] 9974] 10,086] 10,163] 10,116) =
Broadwoven fabrics and
other textiles... . fees 6,123] 6,126] 6,116 oof +02] 09] 5992] 6139] 6,167] 6,261 43
Paper and allied products ......... | 16,085] 15,928} 16,009] +1.0) —-0.5 04] 15,920| 15,887] 15971] 16344] -26
Pulp, paper, and
Paperboard mill products... ... 6290| 6326) 6408] -06) -13] -10}) 6213] 6,300] 6,350] 6,666] -6.8
Paperboard containers and boxes 4179| 4053] 3,974] 43.1] 420] 408] 4,172] 4,041 3,981 4198] 0.6
Miscellaneous converted
Paper products... . . : 3616] 5,549| 5,627] +12] 0-14] 05] 5,535] 5,546] Soo] 5,480 +10
Chemicals and allied products... | 46,601] 46,619| 46,848 00 05] +06) 45981] 46,588] 47,019] 45,777] +04
Industrial chemicals _ 19222] 19.214] 19,404 00] -1o] +15] 19185] 19,218] 19,444] 20,148] 4.8
Drugs, soaps, and toiletries 24515] 21,512] 21,523 oo] 0.1 03) 21,231} 21,787] 21,929] 20,203) +5.1
Petroleum and coal products....... | 11949] 1nses} 1ni4s] 423] 0 +40} 43.1] 12,078] 11,728] 11,275] 10,867] #111
Rubber and plastics products... . . 17462| 17261 17050] 412| +12] #09] 17144] 17,085] 17,061} 16.270] +5.4
All other nondurable goods... . . . 27260) 27.297) 27,282) 0.1] +0.1 02) 27:717| 28,176] 28,445] 28,804] 3.8

* Preliminary. ‘ Revised.
See note at end of table 2 relating to survey error and revision.


10

Total Manufacturing
New Orders and Shipments
Three Month Moving Averages

Billions of Dollars

380

360

340

380

360

340

320 F- ---------- rrr 320
300 F- - - ------ errr rnd 300
280 1 L 1 il 1 il 1 il 1 1 L 1 1 280
Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep
Sep. 1997 - Sep. 1999
Total Manufacturing

Ratio of Unfilled Orders and

Inventories to Shipments
VS Ratios UO/S Ratios
2.5 3.7
24b----- ee rr rr rr vors 3.6
2.3 43.5
2.2 3.4
2.1 3.3
2 3.2
1.9 3.1

1.8 3
1.7 2.9
1.6 2.8
1.5 2.7
1.4 2.6
V.3b------- cr rrr ae a 2.5
1.2 1 1 L L L 1 L 1 1 1 L il 1 2.4
Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep

Sep. 1997- Sep. 1999

Note: All Charts based

on seasonally

adjusted current dollars.


Table 6. VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS’ UNFILLED ORDERS AND TOTAL INVENTORIES

FOR TOPICAL SERIES'
(Millions of dollars)

Seasonally adjusted Not seasonally adjusted
Industry Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent
change
Sept. ‘Aug. July | Aug- | July- | June- Sept. Aug. July Sept. | Sept.
1999" | 1999" 1999 | Sept. | Aug. | July | 1999 | 1999" 1999 1998 | 99/98
UNFILLED ORDERS
All manufacturing industries 525,482 | 523,262 | 520,666 | +04] +05 | +05 | 521,503 | 525,024 | 523,311 | 525,390 0.7
Market categories :
Automotive equipment . 2548 | 2,529 | 2493] +08] +14] 05] 2527] 2553 | 2474 | 2,364 +69
Home goods and apparel 9,029 | 8946 | 8956] +09} -o1] +05] 9115 } 9115 | 9.293} 8513 +71
Consumer staples... .. 2813 | 2897 | 2697 | -29] +74] +01} 3.045 | 3382] 3.145 | 2.458 | +239
Machinery and equipment 235,812 | 233,990 | 235318 | +08] -06 | -0.4 } 235,106 } 234.054 | 235,429 | 249,387 “3.7
Business supplies 7219 | 7373 | 7,142 21) +32] +04] 7344] 7.813 | 71529 | 6994 +5.0
Construction materials
and supplies vesessees} 17,525 | 17,926 | 18,042 | 22] -06 | 40.7 | 17,475 | 18,004 | 18,198 | 17,661 “Ll
Defense products .......... 86,321 | 87,562 | 88985 | -14] -16] -0.1 | 84,769 | 86.367 | 88.871 | 90,636 “65
Other materials, supplies and
and intermediate products 164,215 | 162,039 | 157,033 }| +13 | 43.2 | +23 | 162,122 | 163,736 | 158,372 | 147,377 | +100
Durable goods industries :
Nondefense capital goods 252,212 | 250,671 | 251,535 | +06] -03 | -04 | 251,591 | 250,165 | 251,123 | 265,900
Excluding aircraft and parts 111,700 | 109,751 | 109,96 | +18]  -0.1 0.0 | 111,079 | 109,245 | 109,484 | 107,217
Defense capital goods +... 90,988 | 92.378 | 93,798 -s| -1s | -0.1 | 89378 | 91,158 | 93,704 | 95,442
Durables excluding capital goods 157312 | 154,840 | 150819 | +16] 42.7 | 423 | 155.247 | 157,212 ] 152,718 | 139,770 | +111
Miscellaneous series
Producers’ durable equipment . 274,887 | 272,573 | 274,023 | +08 -0.5 | 274,172 | 272,815 | 274,030 | 288,929 “3.1
Household durable goods 5507 | 5.511 5,608 0.1 +12 | 5598 | 5,628 | 5,760 | 5,442 429
Information technology industries 41349 | 40,382 | 40.899 | 42.4 +0.1 | 41398 | 40594 | 41,146 | 40,054 43.4
Health care equipment
and products. 9747] 98] 9,783] -15 +15 | 9,645 | 10,004 | 9,659 | 9,697 “05
TOTAL INVENTORIES
All manufacturing industries 465,346 | 464,351 | 465,043 | +402] 0.1 | 40.5 | 464,876 | 467,794 | 466,518 | 467,407 0.5
Market categories :
Automotive equipment . . 8,704 | 8,786 | 8876 |  -09 +0.7 | 8688 | 9,023 | 9,024 | 8,332, +43
Home goods and apparel 31618 | 31,452 | 31,515 | +05 +03 | 31,652 | 32,030 | 32,439 | 32,046 “2
Consumer staples... .. 74,830 | 74649 | 74397 | +02 +02 | 75345 | 74512 | 73,540 | 73,120 |  +3.0
Machinery and equipment 116,102 | 115,663 | 116,962 | +04 +05 | 115,603 | 117.242 | 117,099 | 119,884 36
Business supplies... . . 28,395 | 28.227 | 28,231 | +06 +0.2 | 28,709 | 28.515 | 28.551 | 28,721 0.0
Construction materials
and supplies ......... 29,693 | 29,592 | 29,438 | +03 +08 | 29,527 | 29,662 | 29,585 | 28,578 433
Defense products. . 13,408 | 18238 | 18324 | +09| -05] +13 | 18636 | 18589] is710 | 18,677 -02
Other materials, supplies and
and intermediate products . 157,596 | 157,744 | 157,300 | -01 | +03 | +0.7 | 156,716 | 158,221 | 157,570 | 158,049 -08
Durable goods industries :
Nondefense capital goods * 107,504 | 107,353 | 108,390 | +01 | -1.0 | +0.4 | 107,211 | 109,022 | 108,615 | 112,209 “45
Excluding aircraft and parts 72,450 | 72,409 | 71949] +01] +06] +03} 72,102 | 73,773 | 72516 | 71,233 +12
Defense capital goods * 18,796 | 18,596 | 18608 | +11 | -01 | +17 | 19,072 | 18,999 | 19,022 | 19,007 +03
Durables excluding capital goods 166,426 | 166,512 | 166,507 | -0.1 0.0 | +06 | 165,820 | 167,725 | 167,356 | 164.517 +08
Miscellaneous series :
Producers’ durable equipment 190,140 | 189,001 | 190,148 | +06} -0.6 | +0.5 | 189,583 } 191,376 | 191,124 | 192,300 “14
Household durable goods. . . 16,335 | 16248 | 16308 | +05] -04 | +04 | 16333 | 16511 | 16,634 | 16,350 “0.1
Information technology industries. | 33°70 | 33aza| 32'g71 | +08] +19 | +01 | 33655 | 34'375 | 335303 | 32468 43.7
Health care equipment :
and products... . 20,451 | 20,489 | 20,488 0.2 0.0 | +04 | 20,257 | 20,800 | 20,766 | 19.413 +43

See footnotes at end of table 5.

See note at end of table 2 relating to survey error and revision.


Table 5. VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS’ SHIPMENTS AND NEW ORDERS
FOR TOPICAL SERIES’
(Millions of dollars)

Seasonally adjusted

Not seasonally adjusted ?

Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent Year to date
Industry change
Sept.| Aug. | July | Aug-| July-| June-} Sept] Aug] July | Sept. | Sept.
1999] 1999] 1999] Sept.] Aug.} July] 199°] 1999°] 1999] 1998] 99/98] 1999" | — 1998
SHIPMENTS
All manufacturing industries 358,874] 361,844] 357,301] -0.8) +13] +0.7] 383,967] 363,407] 320,282] 364,324) —+5.4] 3,158,908 |3,018,261
Market categories :
Automotive equipment 16,682| 16,909] 16,809] -1.3] +06) —-0.9] 17,898] 17,352] 10,180] 16,275] +10.0] 145,856] 128,097
Home goods and apparel 19,694] 20,051] 20,035] -1.8] +0.1] +2.0 21.998] 21,249] 18,725] 21,064] +4.4] 178.274] 169.656
Consumer staples : 75,551] 75,085] 74,010] +0.6]  +1.5|  -0.1] 79,925] 76,810] 71,795] 73,983] +8.0] 654,070] 618,574
Machinery and equipment . 67,997] 70,348] 69,036] -3.3 +1.9] +12) 75,238] 66,796] 57,136] 73,262) +2.7| 604,627} 569,900
Business supplies . . . 26,939) 26,885] 26,701] +0.) +0.7] +0.7} 28,121] 27,108] 25,331] 26,584] +5.8] 236,292} 228,261
Construction materials
and supplies 23,496] 23,594] 23,376] -0.4] +0.91 +0.3) 24,996] 24,830} 23,137] 23,183] +7.8] 207,947] 195,163,
Defense products . 6,666] 6,678] 6,785] -0.2) 1.6 +34) 7,058] 6,454] 6,022 7,368] -4.2| 59,810] 60,978
Other materials, supplies and
and intermediate products . 121,849} 122,294] 120,549] -0.4] +1.4]  +0.9] 128,733] 122,808] 107,956] 122,605] _ +5.0] 1,072,032 1,047,632
Durable goods industries :
Nondefense capital goods * 54,812] 57,287| 56,095] -4.3] +2.1] +3.) 61,662] 53,421] 48,646] 59,943] +2.9] 486,112] 456,809
Excluding aircraft and parts 47,338] 47,915) 48,774] -1.2] 1.8] +5.0} 53,734] 44,621] 42,377] $0,929] -+5.5] 412,576] 389,916
Defense capital goods * --| 6,403} 6.468} 6,584] -1.0] -1.8) +49] 6,776} 6.213] 5,750] 7,093] 4.5} 57,532] 57.931
Durables excluding capital goods | 140,894] 141,954] 140:389] -0.7} +10 +02} 150'539} 143/589] 116.853] 142,000] +6.0] 1,243/543 [1,1691170
Miscellaneous series
Producers’ durable equipment 130,976] 134,795} 133,226] -2.8} +1.2) +1.2) 142,638] 131,678] 106,291] 137,399] +38] 1,166,090 1,088,257
Household durable goods . 10,291] 10,642] 10,585] -3.3} +0.51 #3.1] 11,520] 10,707] 9,206] 10,549] +9.2] 92,310] "82,855
Information technology industries 27,061) 27,719] 28,928] -24} -4.2| +8.5] 32,084] 25,409] 24,338] 30,210] +62) 236,055] 217,263
Health care equipment
and products... .. 13,350} 13,285] 13,063] +0.5| +1.7]  -1.9| 14,811] 13,009] 12,061] 13,782] +7.5] 116,340] 106,357
NEW ORDERS
All manufacturing industries 361,094] 364,440] 359,903) -0.9] +13] +2.5] 380,446] 365,069] 328,590] 359,884] — +5.7]3,167,374 [3,012,093
Market categories
Automotive equipment . 16,700] 16,945] 16,797] -1.4) +09} 1.1] 17,872] 17,422] 10,218] 16,288] +9.7] 145,978] 127,974
Home goods and apparel 19,778] 20,041] 20,081] -1.3] -0.2) +26 21,998) 21,071] 19,021] 21,051] +45} 179,078] 169,612
Consumer staples 75,467) 75,285] 74,014] +02] +1.7]  -0.2} 79,589) 77,047] 72,218] 73,786] +79] 654,853] 618,983
Machinery and equipment . 69,819) 69,020} 68.011] +12] +15] 44.9} 76,289] 65,412] 56,557] 73,983] +3.1] $99,154] $76,545
Business supplies 26,785] 27,116] 26,729] -1.2| +14] +09 27,652] 27,393} 25,580] 26,378] +4.81 237,116] 228,823,
Construction materials 7
and supplies 23,094] 23,479} 23,499] 1.6] -0.1] 0.0}. 24,466) 24,637] 23,265] 22,793] —-+7.3] 208,182] 195,198
Defense products . 5,425] 5,254] 6,709] +3.3) -21.7] 422.2} 5,459] 3,950] 5,475] 7,945] -31.3| 53,663] $4,069
Other materials, supplies and
and intermediate products 124,026] 127,300] 124,063] -2.6]  +2.6f +3.3) 127,121] 128,137] 116,256] 117,660] —_ +8.0] 1,089,350 }1,040,889
Durable goods industries
Nondefense capital goods * 56,353| 56,423] 55,030] -0.1] +2.5] +8.0] 63,088] $2,455] 47,804] 60,062} +5.0] 480,613] 461,493
Excluding airoraft and parts 49,287) 47,770] 48,763] +32 -2.0| +9.5| 55,568] 44,374] 42,589] 53,569] +3.7] 417,070] 393,961
Defense capital goods * : 5,013] 5,048] 6.476] -0.7] -22.1} +243] 4,996 3,667] 5,066] 7,529] -33.6] 51,197] 51,157
Durables excluding capital goods 143,366] 145,975] 144,026] -1.8] 41.41 +2.21 148,574] 148,040] 125,670] 137,706, +7.9| 1,261,502 |1,166,038
Miscellaneous series :
Producers’ durable equipment 133,290} 133,345] 131,905} 0.0] +1.1] +2.7] 143,995] 130,412] 106,225] 139,041] +3.6] 1,160,707 ]1,094,072
Household durable goods 10,287] 10,545] 10,652] -2.4)  -1.0]. +3.8] 11,490] 10,575] 9,557] 10,576} +8.6| 92,747] 82,514
Information technology industries 28,028] 27,202} 28,962} +3.0] -6.1]  +8.0) 32,888) 24,857] 24,636] 30,287] +8.6]_ 238,337] 219,347
Health care equipment
and products... . 13,206] 13,393] 13,203] -1.4) +14) +34) 14,452] 13,354] 12,524] 13,797} +4.7| 116,360] 107,590

» Preliminary. ‘ Revised.

' Topical series are regroupings of the separate industry categories.

? Shipments and new orders are the totals for the period and are adjusted for trading-day and calendar-month variations.

*“Nondefense capital goods industries include : ordnance and accessories; steam, gas and hydraulic turbines; internal combustion engines; construction, mining, and mate

handling equipment, metalworking machinery; spi

and parts; ships and tank components; railroad equipment; and search and navigation equipment.

Defense capital goods industries include :
and tank components; and search and navigation equipment.

See note at end of table 2 relating to survey error and revision.

ial industry machinery; general industrial machinery; computer and office equipment; refrigeration, heating and ser,
industry machinery; electrical transmission and distribution equipment; electrical industrial apparatus; communications equipment; aircraft, missiles, space vehicles, and engi

ordnance and accessories; communications equipment; aircraft, missiles, space vehicles, and engines and parts; ships, ta


Table 8. RATIOS OF MANUFACTURERS’

UNFILLED ORDERS TO SHIPMENTS, BY INDUSTRY GROUP
(Based on seasonally adjusted data)

INVENTORIES TO SHIPMENTS AND

Inventory / Shipments ratio

Unfilled Orders / Shipments ratio'

Industry Sept. Aug. July June Sept. Aug. July June
1999" 1999" 1999 1999 19995 1999' 1999 1999
All manufacturing industries. 130 1.28 130 130 2.58 2.53 2.55 2.57
Durable goods industries. . . 1.45 1.42 1.44 1.45 3.02 2.95 2.98 3.01
Stone, clay, and glass products : 1.09 1.10 110 110 0.69 0.70 0.73 0.74
Primary metals 3.0.2... 20. 134 1.56 159 161 2.10 210 211 2.09
Fabricated metal products 153 149 1.52 130 131 129 131 131
Industrial machinery and equipment 1.60 1.55 152 1.60 226 215 2.10 220
Electronic and other
electrical equipment 1.16 7 117 1.20 2.14 2.04 1.94 1.93
‘Transportation equipment . . . 1.45 139 148 144 8.75 8.23 8.96 8.78
Instruments and related products 1.85 1.87 1.88 1.82 3.15 3.23 3.28 3.23
Nondurable goods industries . 1.10 1.10 Mi Lu 0.66 0.67 0.65 0.65
Food and kindred products 0.90 091 0.92 0.90 (X) (X) () (X)
Tobacco products : 121 121 121 123 (&) (x) (x (X)
Textile mill products . . - 1.36 154 153 157 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
Paper and allied products .. . . 116 14 118 119 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
Chemicals and allied products 133 133 136 1.35 (x) (x) (x) (x)
Petroleum and coal products 0.75 0.76 0.77 0.79 & & ® &
Rubber and plastics products 1.28 1.25 1.27 1.24 & &) (X) (X)

° Preliminary. ‘Revised. (X) Not applicable. (NA) Not available.

" Excludes the following industries with no unfilled orders : Wood and lumber products; glass containers; metal cans, barrels and drums; farm and garden machinery;
motor vehicle assembly operations; other transportation equipment; foods and related products; tobacco; knitting mill products; apparel and related products; chemicais;
petroleum and coal products; and rubber and plastics products.

Table 9. REVISIONS TO PREVIOUSLY PUBLISHED MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES
(Based on seasonally adjusted data)

Shipments New orders Unfilled orders Inventories
Industry
Sept. Sept. Sept, Sept.
Sept? | 1998- Sept? | 1998- Sept? | 1998- Sept? | 1998-
Sept! | 1994-| Aug. | Sept. | 1994-] Aug. | Sept. | 1994-] Aug. | Sept.! | 1994- | Aug.
199 1998 | 1999 | 1999 | 1998] 1999 | 1999] 1998 | 1999 | 1999 | __ 1998 | _ 1999
All manufacturing industries , ® oO. 0. fe) 02 02 0) 0.0 01 9) ol 0.0
Durable goods industries ...... ol 02 02 0.0 02 oa] -o1 00 oO. (x) ol 0.0
Stone, clay, and glass products . (x) 06 04 (x) 0.7 0.5 (Xx) 04 0.5 (x) 0.1 02
Primary metals... . 0.1 02 02 0.1 09 08 0.0 04 03 &) 01 0.0
Fabricated metal products () 03 02 (x) 05 05 (X) 02 03 & 02 01
Industrial machinery and equipment -1.0 05 04 “Ld 0.6 03 0.0 02 01 (x) 0.1 0.1
Electronic and other
electrical equipment 08 03 04 09 0.5 12 02 02 0.6 (x) 0.2 02
Transportation equipment 06 07 06) 03 10 09] -0.1 01 01 & 02 02
Instruments and related products oa) 05 06 (0) 18 13 x) 04 04 (x) 02 Ol
Nondurable goods industries . . (%) 02 ol (x) 02 0.1 (%) 04 02 (%) 01 01
Food and kindred products &) 03 02 (%) 0) oa (x) io) fea) &) 02 1
Tobacco products & 0.0 0.0 () (X) (x) &) & (X) & 0.0 0.1
Textile mill products &) 03 03 (%) | eva) | NA) (x) | (NA) | (NA) &) 0.0 01
Paper and allied products . (X) 03 0.2 (xX) (NA) (NA) (X) (NA) (NA) (X) 02 01
Chemicals and allied products &) 04 03 &) (x (x) &) (x) (x) &) on wn
Petroleum and coal products (xX) Ol 05 (xX) (xX) (X) (xX) (x) (x) (xX) 04 0.6
Rubber and plastics products &) 02 02 &) x) (x) &) (&) (x) &) 02 02
Capital goods industries :
Nondefense 03 05 03 0.1 05 0.5 0.1 01 Ol (xX) 0.0 0.1
Defense . . 09 1.0 06 21 14 45 0.0 O41 03 (X) 04 02

(X) Not applicable. (NA) Not available,

Note: The five year and the twelve month revisions are the differences between the month-to-month percent changes of the preliminary and final estimates. The
monthly averages are the simple averages of the absolute values of the differences for the months specified. The advance to tina percent change revisions for the

durable goods industries are sI

}own in the advance report for the month.

' The current month revisions are the difference between the advance percent change and the percent change as shown in this publication
? Average for this month for the last five years


CURRENT INDUSTRIAL REPORTS

en

4

U. S. Department of Commerce
Economics and Statistics Administration
BUREAU OF THE CENSUS

Manufacturers’ Shipments,
Inventories, and Orders

September 1999
M3-1-(99)-09
For Wire Transmissions 10:00 a.m. E.S.T. November 3, 1999

For Data - (301) 457-4673
For Questions - Frances Porter or Lee Wentela
(301) 457-4804 or (301) 457-4832

All figures in text are in seasonally adjusted current dollars

Summary

New orders for manufactured goods in September
decreased $3.3 billion or 0.9 percent to $361.1 billion, the
Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census reported today.
This follows a 1.3 percent August increase and is the first
decrease since April. Excluding transportation, new orders
decreased 0.4 percent, the first decrease since May. Year-to-
date, new orders are 5.1 percent above the same period a year
ago; new orders for the third quarter are 3.9 percent above the
second quarter.

Shipments decreased $3.0 billion or 0.8 percent to $358.9
billion, following a 1.3 percent August increase. This is the first
decrease since April. Year-to-date, shipments are 4.7 percent
above the same period a year ago; shipments for the third quarter
are 2.4 percent above the second quarter.

Unfilled orders increased $2.2 billion or 0.4 percent to
$525.5 billion, following a 0.5 percent August increase. The
unfilled orders-to-shipments ratio was 2.58, up from 2.53 in
August.

Inventories increased $1.0 billion or 0.2 percent to $465.3
billion, follow a 0.1 percent August decrease. The
inventories-to-shipments ratio was 1.30, up from 1.28 in August.

New Orders

New orders for manufactured durable goods in September
decreased $2.7 billion or 1.3 percent to $204.7 billion, unrevised
from the previously published 1.3 percent decrease. This is the
first decrease since April.

Transportation equipment, led by aircraft and parts and
motor vehicles and parts, had the largest decrease, $2.1 billion or
4.2 percent to $46.9 billion. This is the first decrease since
April. Fabricated metal products, down for the first time since
April, decreased $0.6 billion or 2.7 percent to $20.3 billion.
Industrial machinery and equipment, down four of the last five
months, decreased $0.3 billion or 0.7 percent to $38.8 billion.
Electronic and other electrical equipment, up four consecutive
months, increased $0.5 billion or 1.3 percent to $39.1 billion.

New orders for nondurable goods, down for the first time
since April, decreased $0.6 billion or 0.4 percent to $156.4
billion. Paper and allied products had the largest decrease.

Shipments

Shipments of durable goods in September decreased $3.6
billion or 1.8 percent to $202.1 billion, revised from the
previously published 1.9 percent decrease. This is the largest
decrease since January 1998 and the first since April.

Transportation equipment, led by aircraft and parts and
motor vehicles and parts, had the largest decrease, $2.2 billion or
43 percent to $48.8 billion. This is the largest decrease since
June 1998. Industrial machinery and equipment decreased $1.2
billion or 3.0 percent to $37.5 billion. This is the largest
decrease since January 1994. Fabricated metal products
decreased $0.4 billion or 1.8 percent to $20.4 billion. This is the
largest decrease since May 1997. Instruments and related
products, up four of the last five months, increased $0.2 billion
or 1.3 percent to $14.7 billion.

Shipments of nondurable goods increased $0.6 billion or
0.4 percent to $156.8 billion. This is the seventh increase in the
last eight months. Petroleum and coal products, up eight
consecutive months, increased $0.5 billion or 3.1 percent to
$15.7 billion. Food and kindred products, up four of the last five
months, increased $0.4 billion or 0.9 percent to $42.1 billion.

Unfilled Orders

Unfilled orders for durable goods in September increased
$2.6 billion or 0.5 percent to $500.5 billion, revised from the
previously published 0.6 percent increase. Electronic and other
electrical’ equipment, up ten consecutive months, had the largest
increase, $3.7 billion or 5.1 percent to $75.7 billion. This is the
largest increase since August 1997. Industrial machinery and
equipment, up nine of the last ten months, increased $1.3 billion
or 1.7 percent to $80.8 billion. Transportation equipment, down
fifteen of the last seventeen months, decreased $1.8 billion or 0.8
percent to $226.3 billion. Instruments and related products,
down four consecutive months, decreased $0.5 billion or 1.1
percent to $46.2 billion..

Inventories

Inventories of durable goods in September increased $0.3
billion or 0.1 percent to $292.7 billion.

Industrial_machinery and equipment had the largest
increase, $0.2 billion or 0.4 percent to $60.2 billion.

Inventories of nondurable goods, up six of the last seven
months, increased $0.7 billion or 0.4 percent to $172.6 billion.
Petroleum and related products, up seven consecutive months,
had the largest increase, $0.3 billion or 2.3 percent to $11.8

illion.

By stage of fabrication, September finished goods
decreased 0.3 percent in durables and increased 0.3 percent in
nondurables. Work in process increased slightly in durables and
increased 0.4 percent in nondurables. Materials and supplies
increased 0.5 percent in durables and 0.6 percent in nondurables.

Our internet address is: http://www.census.gov/indicator/www/m3

conact + am Aueahle nnade far Aetoher ic eeheduiled for November 23. 1999 at 8:30 a.m. and the full report on December 3, 1999 at 10:00.a.m. For sale by the Superintendent


Nondefense Capital Goods 11

New Orders and Shipments
Three Month Moving Averages

Billions of Dollars
62 62

New Orders

Shipments

42 Lo i i H n n L L 1 | L ! Lt 42
Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep

Sep. 1997-Sep. 1999

Defense Capital Goods
New Orders and Shipments

Three Month Moving Averages
Billions of Dollars

10 10
oL------------- 2-2 eee New Orders | | 4
Shipments
a 48

4 ko L n n n L i n L n L i Lt 4

Sep Nov Jan Mar May = Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May — Jul Sep
Sep. 1997- Sep. 1999

Note: All Charts based on seasonally
adjusted current dollars.


Table 7. VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS’
B

SY INDUSTRY GROUP

(Millions of dollars)

INVENTORIES, BY STAGE OF FABRICATION,

‘Seasonally adjusted

Not seasonally adjusted

Industry Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent
change
Sept. Aug July July- }June- Sept. Aug. July Sept. | Sept.
1999" | 1999" 1999 ‘Aug. | July | 1999 | 1999" 1999 1998 | 99/98
MATERIALS AND SUPPLIES.
All manufacturing industries 154,246 | 153,426 | 153,915 -03 | +06 | 154,758 | 153,694 | 154,458 | 156,325 -10
Durable goods industries 92,995 | 92,531 | 92,918 -04 | +1.0 | 93,782 | 93,290 | 93,582 } 93,880 0.1
Stone, clay, and glass products . | 3267 | 3,246 | 3,204 +13 | +04 | 3296 | 3276 | 3.205 | -31s7 | +44
Primary metals 7447 "397 | 7:393 +01} +05 | 7597 | 7468 | 7412 | 81193 73
Fabricated metal products | 10,739 | 10.583 | 10.537 +04 | +09 | 10.836 | 10.618 | 10.579 | 10.884 -04
Industrial machinery and equipment | 20,103 | 19.875 | 19,959 +04 | -0.2 | 20300 | 20,159 | 20,090 | 19,933 +18
Electronic and other
electrical equipment . . 16,161 | 16,112 | 16,420 -19 | +32 | 16209 | 16367 | 16,793 | 15,612 | 43.8
Transportation equipment . 15.258 | 15,209 | 15,406 -13 | +09 | 15,286 | 15,205 | 15,662 | 15,596 2.0
Instruments and related products 9126 | 91152 | 9.075 +08 | +0.7 | 9162 | 9281 | 9117 | 9267 eI
Lumber, furniture and
miscellaneous durable goods 10,894 | 10,957 | 10,924 +03 | +07 | 11,096 | 10.916 | 10,724 | 11,238 13
Nondurable goods industries . 61,251 | 60,895 | 60,997 02 | +0.1 | 60,976 | 60,404 | 60,876 | 62,445 24
Food and kindred products - 1413 | 10513 | 11543 03 | -04 | 11208 | 11214 | 11342 | 11.244 -03
Tobacco products 4364 | 4/555 | 4/568 03 | -06 | 4/449 | 4333 | 4:209 | 4°857 8.4
Textile mill products 2/949 | 2/875 | 2,828 +17 | -16 | 2/902 | 2/873 | 2872 | 2}922 “0.7
Paper and allied products 7907 | 7.713 | 7.713 oo} +01 | 7,795 | 7.679 | 7,668 | 81042 3.1
Chemicals and allied products 15,286 | 15,303 | 15,654 22 | 412 | 15.257 | 15.261 | 15,784 | 13,605 22
Petroleum and coal products 3742 37280 | 3,262 +06 | +04 | 3142 27 28 240 45.7
Rubber and plastics products 7101 7045 | 6916 +19 | +409 | 7089 | 6975 | 6.968 | 6.807 +4.1
Apparel, printing and publishing
and leather goods . . . 8,705 | 8611 | 8513 +12 | 07 | 8850 | 8,799 | 8,745 | 9,728 9.0
WORK IN PROCESS,
All manufacturing industries 145,366 | 145,232 | 147,073 13 | +03 | 145,784 | 147,284 | 147,799 | 151,584 38
Durable goods industries . 115,288 | 115,260 | 116,737 13 | +06 | 115,560 | 117,387 | 117,417 | 122,089 33
Stone, clay, and glass products . . 33 31 1,469 432] +1 V504 | 11535 1486 3306 | +152
Primary metals - : 8,056 | 8121 | 81166 06 | -04 | 06s | 8185 | 8283 | 8582 ~6.0
Fabricated metal products 9,022 | 81970 | 8.969 0.0 0.0 | 9119 | 9.083 | 9062 | 9,082 +04
Industrial machinery and equipment | 21,425 | 21,582 | 21,839 -12 | +06 | 21382 | 22,067 | 21;890 | 22,802 6.2
Electronic and other
electrical equipment 13,858 | 14,057 | 14,119 04] 03 | 13,773 | 14366 | 14,232 | 14,017 “17
Transportation equipment 45635 | 45.435 | 46.856 “30 | +12 | 45,961 | 46.239 | 46821 | 51,213 | -103
Instruments and related products . 10,140 | 10,024 | 91926 +10 | +03 | 10,045 | 10,276 | 10,185 | 9,749 +3.0
Lumber, furniture and
miscellaneous durable goods 3,622 | 5,955 | 5,393 +30] +03 | si 5,636 | 5,458 | 5,338 47.0
Nondurable goods industries 30,078 | 29,972 | 30,336 -12 | -0.7 | 30,224 | 29,897 | 30,382 | 29,495 42.5
Food and kindred products 6,099 | “6.109 | 61137 05] 01 126 637 636 375 +99
Tobacco products». . 80 82 49 0.0 85 76 78 107 | -206
Textile mill products 2,412 2 400 2,473 21 0.7 2,425 2,429 2,491 2,660 8.8
Paper and allied products 1,679 | 1,664 | 1,662 40.1 05 1,650 | 1,671 1,670 | 1,546 +6.7
Chemicals and allied products 8'906 | 8,860 | 9,122 29 | 18 | si7ar | 8953 | 9314 | 8584 +24
Petroleum and coal products 21906 | 21854 | 2,639 +81 | 424 | 2976 | 2905 | 2636 | 2,663 | HI18
Rubber and plastics products 2283 | 2:260 | 2305 20] 05 | 2280 | 21258 :280 | 2,205 +34
Apparel, printing and publishing
and leather goods . 3.73 | 3,727 | 5,916 32] -t 5,891 5,968 | 6.277 | 6,155 “43
FINISHED GOODS
All manufacturing industries 165,734 | 165,693 | 164,055 +10 | +06 | 164,334 | 166,816 | 164,261 | 159,498 | +3.0
Durable goods industries 84,443 | 84,670 | 83,850 +10 | +03 | 82,761 | 85,069 | 83,994 | 79,764 43.8
Stone, clay, and glass products . 4919 | 4.964 | 4.800 +34] +h | 4746 | 4'881 | 41823 | 4586 | 435
Primary metals: 8.096 | 8142 | 81134 40.1 | +02 | soos | 8133 | 3102 | 8137 “1.6
Fabricated metal products 11,455 11,475 11,499 -0.2 +15 11,084 11,348 11,557 10,865 +2.0
Industrial machinery and equipment 18,681 | 18533 | 17993 +3.0 | 09 | 18070 | 181492 | 17,773 | 17,690 $211
Electronic and other
electrical equipment 11,190 | 11,035 | 10,682 433 | 22 | 10,931 | 11,295 | 10,807 | 10,223 +69
Transportation equipment 916 | 10,224 | 10,141 +08 | +11] 91918 | 10,483 | 10,229 | 9,126 +8.7
Instruments and related products 7.847 88: "92 06 | 433 | 7901 8.034 | 7.974 | 73529 | +49
Lumber, furniture and
miscellaneous durable goods 12,339 | 12,413 | 12.672 2.0 | +08} 12,106 | 12,403 | 12,729 | 11,608 +43
Nondurable goods industries 81,291 | 81,023 | 80,205 +10 | +08 | 81573 | 81,747 | 80,267 | 79,734 +23
Food and kindred products 20,574 | 20396 | 20,339 +03 | +02 | 21,624 | 20,842 | 19,968 | 21,100 +25
Tobacco products . . Su 31 31 +12 | -40 467 396 358 613 | -23.8
Textile mill products 4,761 | 4,735 | 4,725 +02 | 04} 4647 | 4,784 | 4,800 | 4,534 42:5
Paper and allied products... 6599 | 6.551 | 6.634 “3 | -09 | 6475 | 6537] 6633 | 6.756 4.2
Chemicals and allied products 22409 | 22,456 | 22.072 +17 | +12 | 21933 | 22374 | 21.921 | 21/588 +16
Petroleum and coal products 5517 | 5454 | 5.243, +40 | +511 51676 | 5,553 | “5.351 4964 | +143
Rubber and plastics products 81078 | 7.956 | 7/829 +h6 | +13 | 7.775 | 7.852 | 7.813 | 7.258 +71
Apparel, printing and publishing
and leather goods . 12,842 | 12,959 | 12,853 +08 | +06} 12.976 | 13.409 | 13.423 | 12,921 +04

Preliminary. ‘ Revised



Table 3. VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS’ UNFILLED ORDERS FOR INDUSTRY GROUPS

(Millions of dollars)

Seasonally adjusted

Not seasonally adjusted

Industry Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent
change
Sept Aug. july] Aug-}  July-} June- Sept. Aug, July Sept.] Sept.
1999" 1999 1999] Sept.] Aug.} July 1999" 1999" 1999 1998] 99/98
All manufacturing industries 525,482] $23,262] 520,666] +04] +05] +05] 521,503] 525,024] 523,311] 525,390 0.7
Manufacturing industries
without defense capital goods 434,494 430,884] 426,868] +08] +09] +06] 432,125] 433,866] 429,607] 429,948] +05
Durable goods industries 500,512] 497,889] 496,152] +05] +04] +05] 496,216] 498,535) 497,545] 501,112 -1.0
Stone, clay, and glass products 5,942 5,969] 6,024 -0.5 09] -10] 5,938] 5,985 6,078] 6,415 -14
Primary metals 2 32175{ 31951] 31496] +0.7| +14] 42.7) 31,282] 31,804] 31,544] 29,662] 5.5
Blast furnaces, steel mills 12:88) } 12.775} 12534] 408} #19] +15] 12,328] 12,667) 12,574] 11,686] #55
Iron and steel foundries 4.871 4971 4,893 20| +16 +1 4734) 4,922] 4,835 5373] -11.9
Nonferrous and other primary
metals : 14,423) 14203] 14069} +15] +10] 443] 14,220] 14,215] 14,135] 12,603] +12.8
Fabricated metal products. 25,094 25,233 25,200 0.6 40.1 0.4 25,085 25,496 25,503 26,247 44
Industrial machinery and equipment 30.791| 79.478] 79.089] +17] 40.5] +11] 80.201] 78,889} 78,518) 74,847) 47.2
Engines and turbines 23,864 | 22,781 22,515 +48 +12 +15] 24,055] 22,496] — 22,066 16,581} +45.
Construction, mining and
material handling equipment 8811 8,926] 8,995 “13 -08 -1.0] 8,432] 8,592 8.859] 9,894] -14.8
Metalworking, machinery 7,204 7010) 6971] +28] +06] +43 7,204 7,010) 6,971 7135] +1.0
Computer and office equipment . 8,626] 8,479 8339] +17) +17] +19] 8,684 8,694 8,587 7:996|  +8.6
Electronic and other
electrical equipment 75,707) 72,025] 68,748] 45.1] +48] 439] 74,463] 73,728] 70,027] 57,546] +294
Electrical transmission and
distribution equipment and
6771 6818] 6,507 07) +48] +12] 6685] 6,858] 6,510] 6,255] +69
wiring equipment . 5,006] 5,302 5,375 36) 14] +14] 5,006] 5,302 3375] 4,986
Communications equipment 18,769] 17,794] 18,156] +55 20] +02) 18,743) 17,748] 18,132] 17,107
Electronic components 39285] 36404] 32871] +79] +10.7[ +80] 38,199] 38,130] 34,302] 23,475
‘Transportation equipment . 226.334 | 228,184 | 230,164 0.8 -0.9 -0.7] 225,068} 227,404] 230,205] 250,126
Aircraft, missiles,
space vehicles, and parts. 191,907] 193,193] 194,586 “0.7 0.7 190,651 | 192,289] 194,576 | 213,757
Shipbuilding and tanks . 18.216] 18.648} 19,127 23 25 18.271] 18,682] 19,172} 18,047
Instruments and related products 46.171 | 46,686] 47,049 “Ll -0.8 45.741] 46,532] 46,875] 47,952
Search and navigation equipment 25,425] 25,817| 26,129 “15 12] -1.3} 23,097] 25,547] 26,069] 27,109
Measuring and controlling devices . 10,174| 10,150} 10,325] +0.2 “17 0.0) 10,174] 10,150] 10,325] 10,211
Medical instruments and supplies 9.706} 9,849] 9.741 -15| +11] +15] 9603} 9.960] = 9,614] 9,655
All other durable goods . 8,298 8,363 8,412 -0.8 -0.6 0.8 8,438 8,697 8,846 8317
Nondurable goods industries . . 24,970| 25,373] 24,514 16] 435] +14] 25,287] 26,489} 25,766] 24,278} +4.2

° Preliminary. ‘ Revised.

See note at end of table 2 relating to survey error and revision


Table 2. VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS’ NEW ORDERS FOR INDUSTRY GROUPS
(Millions of dollars)

Seasonally adjusted

Not seasonally adjusted!

Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent Year to date
Industry change
Sept} Aug.] July | Aug-| July-] June-} Sept] Aug.] July | Sept. | Sept.
1999} 199°] 1999] Sept} Aug.| July} 1999°| 1999] 1999] 1998] 99/98} 1999" ] — 1998
All manufacturing industries 361,094] 364,440] 359,903] -0.9] +13] +2.5) 380,446] 365,069] 328,590] 359,884) +5.713,167,374|3,012,093
Manufacturing industries
with unfilled orders... ... 205,724] 209,239] 206,804] -1.7] +1.2}  +4.6| 217,332] 206,422] 189,389] 208,650} — +4.2| 1,806,615 |1,723,744
without defense capital goods 356,081] 359,392] 353,427] 09] +1.7| +2.2| 375,450) 361,402) 323:524] 352,355] +6.6] 3,116,177 |2,960,936
Durable goods industries 204,732] 207,446] 205,532| -13] +0.9] +4.3) 216,658] 204,162] 178,540] 205,297] +5.5]1,793,312 1,678,688
With unfilled orders... . 168,295] 170,626] 168,770] -1.4] +1.1|_ +3.5 178,422] 166,472] 151,732] 170,234] _ +4.8] 1,469,949]1,388,000
Stone, clay, and glass products . - 8,894] 8,804] 8.520] +1.0] +33) -0.1] 9,476] 9,265] 8,593] 8,541] +109] 77,415] 72,229
Primary metals 2... 0... 15,547, 15,659] 15,730] -0.7]  -0.5]  +3.4) 15,347] 15.558] 14,435] 13,789] +113] 135,765] 134,451
Blast furnaces, steel mills 5916} 6,065| 5,872] -2.5] +33) 0.2] 5610] 5,990] 5,307] 5.088] +103] 52,631] 54,025
Iron and steel foundries 1:452| 1,632) 1,621] 11.0] +0.7] +15.8] 1,439} 1,662} 1,334] 1,378] +44) 13,341] 13,593
Nonferrous and other primary
metals... . ve 8,179] 7,962] 8,237] +27] -3.3| +4.0f 8,298] 7,906] 7,794] 7,323) +13.3] 69,793] 66,833,
Fabricated metal products ....... | 20,258| 20,814] 20.286] -2.7) +26 0.0 21,136] 21,361] 18,325) 20,918] +1.0} 184,282] 178,794
Industrial machinery and equipment . | 38,829] 39,110] 40,257] -0.7|_ -2.81 +10.5] 42,762] 36,479] 35,206] 43,032] -0.6| 343,547] 333,635
Engines and turbines ........ 3,687| 2,998] 2,906] +23.0] +3.2) +49. 4,452] 2.897] 2,428] 6,143, 5] 27,026| "23,700
Construction, mining and
material handling equipment 3,679] 3,674] 3,695] +0.1]  -0.6] +2.0] 3,685] 3,302] 3,235] 3,905 34,193] 38,308
Metalworking machinery --} 3,940} 3,751] 3,925} 45.0] 4.4] +14.5) 4,496] 3,592] 3,344] 3,781 9} 32,147] 30,310
Computer and office equipment . Vi7t] 12112] 13,281] -7.8|-8.8) +17.7] 13,734) 10,956] 11,047] 13,623] +0.8) 102,487] 95,766
Electronic and other
electrical equipment Le 39,129] 38,616] 37,976] +1.3] 41.7] +8.0} 41,110] 37,824] 37,743] 34,517] +19.1| 317,291] 276,826
Electrical transmission and
distribution equipment and
industrial apparatus ......... 3,992] 4,452] 4,047] -10.3] +10.0] +83] 4,410] 4,436] 3,671 4,221] +4.5] 35,269] 33,092
Electric lighting and
wiring equipment 2,248] 2.466] 2,523] -8.8] 2.31 -6.1] 2,572] 2,463] 2,122| 2,340] +9.9] 21,339] 19,949
Communications equipment 91964} 8361] 8,899] +192] 6.0) 43.0) 11,516] 7,295] 7,578] 9,120] +263] 74,387) 63,641
Electronic components . . 17,155] 17,604] 16,694] 2.6] +5.5] +167] 16.210] 17,722] 19,370] 12.937] +253] 136,229] 114,255
Transportation equipment 46,929] 49,000] 47,235] -4.2] +3.7|  +2.1) 49.280] 48.278] 31,128] 47,885] +29] 416,986] 384,418
Aircraft, missiles,
space vehicles, and parts. 9,575| 11,415] 10,302] -16.1] +10.8] +13.0] 9,861) 9,845} 8,490] 9,924] 0.6] 90,798] 93,183
Shipbuilding and tanks 790] 77] 680) +369) -15.1] 1473] 891) 537] 575] 2.217] 59.8] 7,855] 8,019
Instruments and related products 14,140] 14,111] 14,166] +0.2|  -0.4]  +2.0) 15,419] 13,632] 12,629] 15,653] 1.5] 127,040] 123,138
Search and navigation equipment 2.703] 2,813] 2,875] 3.9] 22) -7.0f 2,927] 2.492) 2.196] 3,407] -14.1] 26,711] 25,004
Measuring and controlling devices 4,229 4,082) 4:165] 43.6] -2.0] +23] 4,617] 4,042] 3,669] 4,324] -+6.8] 37,054] 35,797
Medical instruments and supplies 4/833] 4,867] 4'836] -0.7| +06] +99] 5.213] 4.874] 4,683] 5,150] +12] 42,930] 41,403
All other durabie goods ..... . 21,006| 21;332) 21,362] -1.5]  -0.1} +0.1] 22,128] 21,765] 20,531] 20,962] +5.6] 191,036] 175,197
Nondurable goods industries . 156,362] 156,994] 154,371] 0.4] +1.7] +0.2} 163,788] 160,907] 150,050] 154,587} +6.0| 1,374,062 ]1,333,405
With unfilled orders . . 37,429] 38.613] 38,034] -3.1] | +1.5| +0.7} 38.910] 39,950] 37,657] 38,416] —+1.3] 336,666] 335,744

» Preliminary. ' Revised.

‘ Shipments and new orders are the totals for the period and are adjusted for trading-day and calendar-month variations.

(n) When new orders for a prior month are negative because of cancellations, the percentage change calculation is algebraically negative, even though there is a net dollar

increase from the prior month to the current month.

Note: Estimates of manufacturers” shipments, inventories and orders are subject to survey error and revision. One major component of survey error is nonsampling error,
which includes errors of coverage, response, and nonreporting, Since the survey panel is not a probability sample, estimates of sampling error cannot be calculated. Further
details on survey design, methodology, and data limitations are contained in our most recent annual benchmark publication, Current Industrial Reports: M3-1(96),

“Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories, and Orders: 1987-1996."


Table 1. VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS’
(Millions of dollars)

SHIPMENTS

FOR INDUSTRY GROUPS

Seasonally adjusted

Not seasonally adjusted!

Monthly Percent Change Monthly Percent Year to date
Industry change
Sept.} Aug. July | Aug-| July-| June-|  Sept.} Aug. | July | Sept. | Sept.
1999" 1999" 1999] Sept.| Aug.] July 1999" 1999" 1999 1998 | 99/98 1999" 1998
All manufacturing industries . 358,874] 361,844] 357,301 -0.8] +13) +0.7) 383,967] 363,407] 320,282} 364,324] +5.4) 3,158,908 ]3,018,261
Manufacturing Industries
with unfilled orders 203,504) 206,643] 204,202) — -1,5] 1.2) +1.5} 220,853} 204,760} 181,081] 213,090) +3.6] 1,798,149 }1,729,912
without defense capital goods 352,471] 355,376] 350,717] = -0.8] 1.3) +0.7) 377,191] 357,194) 314,532] 357,231 +5.6 | 3,101,376 12,960,330
Durable goods industries. 202,109} 205,709] 203,268) -1.8)  +1.2)  +1.1} 218,977] 203,223} 171,249] 209,036 +4.8] 1,787,187 }1,683,910
With unfilled orders wee 165,672} 168,889] 166,506] -1.9] +14) +1.6) 180,741] 165,533] 144,441} 173,973 43.9} 1,463,824 [1,393,222
Stone, clay, and glass Products 8,921 8,859] 8,578} +0.7}  +3.3} 0. 9,523) 9,358 8,641 8,608] +10.6 77,548} 71,990
Primary metals 15,323} 15,204) 14,903) +0.8) +2. +1.5) 15,869] 15,298} 13,574) 15,402 +30} 133,330] 139,127
Blast furnaces, steel mills 5,810] 5,824 5,681 0.2) +2.5) +12) 5,949) 5,897] 5,169} 6,003) 09 51,338] 56,697
Tron and steel foundries . 1,552] 1,554) 1,566] -0.1 0.8) +2. 1,627 1,375, 1,321 1,590) +23 13,959] 13,696
Nonferrous and other primary
metals 22.0... 7,961 7,826} 7,656) +1.7) 42.2) +1.7) 8,293 7,826) 7,084) 7,809) +6.2 68,033] 68,734
Fabricated metal products . 20,397) 20,781} 20,394) -1.8) +19) -0.7] 21,547] 21,368} 18,208] 21,460) +0.4] 184,631] 178,897
Industrial machinery and equipment 37,516] 38,691) 39,434] -3.0) -1.9} +5,7] 41,450} 36,108] 34,097) 40,690} +19] 337,787} 332,213
Engines and turbines . 2,604 2,732 2,566] -4.7]  +6.5)  +3.9} 2,893) 2,467, 1,860) 2,468) +17.2 21,696] 19,653
Farm and garden machinery 1,706 1,753] 1,761 “2.7 0.5) 0.1 1,550} 1,416 1,420 1,744 lll 17,793] 19,661
Construction, mining and
material handling equipment 3,794) 3,743) 3,788) +14 12-21 3,845) 3,569 3,544) 4,280] -10.2 35,394) 38,780
Metalworking machinery 3,746) 3,712) 3,635) 40.9] +2.1) +24) 4,302] 3,553) 3,054 3,981 48.1 31,389] 30,324
Computer and office equipment 11,024) 11,972] 13,126) -7.9) -8.8] +17.6[ 13,744] 10,849} 10,641) 13,791 0.3) 101,744] 95,402
Electronic and other
electrical equipment we 35,447] 35,339) 35,373} +0.3) 0.1) +3.4) 40,375] 34,123} 30,909) 36,667) +10.1] 300,634) 272,586
Electrical transmission and
distribution equipment and
industrial apparatus 4,039} 4,141 3,970] --2.5] +4.3) +7.01 4,583] 4,088 3,582] 4,417 43.8 34,765] 33,355
Household appliances 2,222) 2,432 2,418) -8.6) +0.6) +3.0) 2,344] 2,474) 2,253) 2,279 +2.9 21,284] 18,829
Electric lighting and
wiring equipment 2,544) 2,539 2.447) +02) +3.8)  -2.5) 2,868) 2,536 2,046) 2,540) +12.9 21,355] 19,890
Household audio and
video equipment .. . 1,082) 1,090 1119] -0.7 +3.3) 1,278] 1,138] 998 1,188] +76 9,134 8,653
Communications equipment 8,989) 8,723] 8,856] +3.0} +3.8) 10,521 7,679) 7,530] 8,803} +19.5 72,701 60,865
Electronic components 14,274] 14,071) 14,266) +1.4] 43.9) 16,141) 13,894) 12,711} 14,870 48.5) 121,685] 112,320
Transportation equipment 48,779) 50,980} 48,816]  -4.3 1.9) 51,616) 51,079] 32,697} 49,441 44.4) 434,502} 388,809
Motor vehicles and parts 34,139] 34,669] 34,550} -1.5] 0.8} 35,935] 35,318} 20,450) 32,753 +9.7| 299,155] 263,096
Aircraft, missiles,
space vehicles, and parts. 10,861} 12,808] 10,879) -15.2} +17.7] -3.9] 11,499} 12,132} 9,299] 12,771 10.0} 104,155] 97,546
Shipbuilding and tanks 1,222 1,056) OBL] +15.7} +76) +738) 1,302) 1,027 903) 1,108) +17.5 8,906 8,402
Instruments and related products 14,655} 14,474) 14,340) +13) +09] 1.9) 16,210] 13,975] 12,834] 15,714 43.2) 128,484) 125,315
Search and navigation equipment 3,095] 3,125) 3,207) -1.0] -2.6) +0.) 3,377] 3,014) 2,877 3,378) 0.0 28,042] = 27,138
Measuring and controlling devices . 4,205 4,257) 4,165) 12) 42.2) +11 4,593) 4,217, 3,669] 4,396) +45 37,065] 36,439
Medical instruments and supplies 4,976] 4,759] 4,696] +4.6) +1.3) SK 5,570} 4,528) 4,221 5,135) +85 42,913) 40,172
Photographic goods . + 1,883] 1,835| 1,813] +2.6)  +1.2)  -3.2) 2,149) 1,719 1,619] 2,328) “77 16,076] 17,445
All other durable goods 21,071} 21,381) 21,430] -1.4 0.2} +0. 22,387] 21,914] 20,288) 21,054 +63] 190,270) 174,973
Nondurable goods industries. 156,765} 156,135] 154,033] +0.4] +14) +0.2) 164,990] 160,184} 149,033} 155,288] +6.2] 1,371,721 |1,334,351
With unfilled orders 37,832} 37,754] 37,696} +02) +02) +0.7] 40,112) 39,227) 36,640] 39,117] 42.5] 334,325] 336,690
Food and kindred products 42,133] 41,767} 41,309] +09} +11 1.8) 44,103] 42,498] 39,577) 43,044: +25) 372,273) 364,458
Meat products . 9,133 9,061 8,775] +08] +33) -2.9) 9,440) 9,419) 8,678) 8,946) 45.5 79,150} 78,406
Dairy products 6,536] 6,511 6,273} +04] +38 3.1 6,731 6,535 5,909] 6,752 03 57,919} 54,932
Beverages .. 6,388) 6,333) 6314) +09) +03) -0.2] 6,590) 6,815 6,621 6,381 +33 57,479] 55,505
All other foods, except fats and oils 18,265} 18,138) 18,246} +0.7| ~0.6{  -0.8] 19,531] 18,005) 16,668] 18,954 +3.0] 161,208] 157,035
Tobacco products 4.278 4,257) 4,265] +0.5 -0.2) +08) 4,157] 4,319} 4,157 3,522} +18.0 37,426] 30,708
Textile mill products 6,474] 6,514) 6,540] -0.6) 04) +14) 7,139) 6,912] 6,045) 7,129 +01 58,807] 61,430
Broadwoven fabrics and
other textiles .. 3,620) 3,657) 3,713] -1.0) -15] -0.5] 3,983 3,765 3,253 4311 -7.6 33,661] 37,287
Paper and allied product 13,887] 13,949) 13,575] -0.4]  +2.8]  +0.9] 14,348) 14,220) 13,208) 13,98) 42.6) 122,385} 125,142
Pulp, paper, and
paperboard mill products 5,407] 5,470] 5,244] -1.2] +431 41.0] 5,540) 5,605] 5,162] 5,256] +5.4} 47,002] 48,423
Paperboard containers and boxes 3,529 3,570) 3,391 -L.1] +53) +19) 3,618] 3,669 3,275 3,527] +2.6 30,554] 32,564
Miscellaneous converted
Paper products . 4,951 4,909} 4,940) +0.9) -0.6] 0.0) 5,190) 4,946) 4,771 5,198} 0.2 44,829] 44,155
Chemicals and allied products 34,917) 35,028] 34,569} -0.3)  +1.3] +02) 36,414) 34,532] 33,033] 34,084) +68} 308,078} 295,829
Industrial chemicals 15,575} 15,296} 15,267) +1.8) 40.2) +13] 15,978] 15,274] 14,960} 14,920) +71) 135,974) 137,328
Drugs, soaps, and toiletries 15,450} 15,731} 15,448] -1.8] +1.8) 0.0} 17,072} 15,639] 14,495] 15,956} +7.0] 135,345] 121,815
Petroleum and coal products 15,697) 15,218] 14,563} +3.1] +4.5] +63} 16,667] 16,227] 15,083] 12,436} +34.0) 120,813] 111,653
Rubber and plastics products 13,676] 13,839) 13,376) -1.2) +3.5) 1.7] 14,265] 14,131] 12,292] 13,875] +2.8] 123,476] 119,665
All other nondurable goods 25,703] 25,563} 25,836] +0.5 -l.Af) +04) 27,897) 27,345) 25,638) 27,217, 42.5] 228,463} 225,466

T Preliminary. * Revised.

Donte